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A lot of blog posts have been written about Twitter no longer delivering
outbound SMS over its UK or European number. Instead of talking more
about the same, I'll provide insights and make suggestions how to make
their business model work instead of simply writing opinions such as
"without Twitter actually having figured out a business model yet, it was
always destined to be this way…" (paidContent:UK).
On top of that, the co‐founder of Twitter, Biz Stone, got his PR completely
wrong talking about a costly situation created by his users: "Even with a
limit of 250 messages received per week, it could cost Twitter about
$1,000 per year to send SMS outside of Canada, India, or the US." How
can you ever publicly talk about your customer 'costing' you money. It is
your lifeblood of your company! Time for Biz Stone to learn a thing or two
about media, mobile advertising, monetization…
According to TechCrunch, Twitter gets about $0.020 to $0.031 per
incoming text message (also called Mobile Originated message or MO),
and according to Mike Butcher and the FT Twitter is paying between
£0.010 and £0.030 per outbound message (Mobile Terminated, or MT
message). Roughly converting this to USD: $0.020 and $0.056. Important
to know: Twitter only transmits 140 characters and leaves 20 characters
open for… mobile advertising of course!
The beauty of Twitter is that for every MO, or in other words, for every
user sending in a piece of content to Twitter, the system triggers a
multitude of MTs, or people receiving the content over SMS in an alerted
way. This is an almost perfect example of a Social Media network. No
editors, moderators, or humans sitting in between users sending in
content, and the community receiving content. No paper, computers,
television screens, but a fully automated almost complete mobile service
driven by servers, software and mobile networks. Talking about
technology!
Now, let's start to build up their business model, and indirectly their
revenue basis. Let's assume a user sends a piece of content over SMS into
Twitter: "I have a hangover today, don't mix beer and wine" and this user
is followed by 10 people. Twitter will receive about 3 cent from the MO
and pays let's assume on average about 3 cent [$0.020 to $0.056] for
every outbound MT, or 27 cent in total for sending ten messages [30 – 3 =
27]. In marketing terms: the cost to reach 10 people is 27 cents. Realize,
this is a fully opted‐in service(Twitter is a subscription service) triggered
by a user‐activity, not by editors and media moguls publishing paper!
If we scale this up to a $1,000 cost generated by a single user, then I
conclude for the sake of Twitter's business model, that a single user can
create a mobile media inventory of 37,000 SMS impressions per year (or
37,037 to be exact), by simply dividing $1,000 by $0.027! Mobile
inventory has the meaning of monetizable interactivity for advertising
purposes.
With regards to the sms advertising product, you have two copies to sell.
The most valuable is a ‘Full Message Copy’ which is a 160 character
advertising messages followed after or before the Tweet. Within the
Tweet you can insert a ‘Teaser Copy’ which takes up the available space,
could be 20 to 60 characters, introducing the Full Message Copy. You
price the products in a CPM model.
In terms of CPM prices in the mobile media world, Twitter has to create
advertising deals from $27 upwards, just to be cost‐neutral. So, instead of
blaming the consumer to be the problem, he is simply part of the
solution, as this user just created a 37,000 impression mobile advertising
inventory. In terms of CPM prices, I would enter the market with a $50 to
$100 CPM price point, depending on the number of characters used: 20
characters for a $50 CPM (approx. 20% margin); and for a dedicated 160
character follow‐on mobile advertising messages I would set the price at
$100 (approx. 70% margin!!!). Reference: LinkedIn sells online advertising
at a $75 CPM.
Even at a price‐point of $50 with a +20% margin, you can outsource the
sales. Media buyers are looking for a 15% commission. To summarize
Twitter: perfect scalability in terms of technology and business, fully
automated platform, great user experience, outsourced sales, and still
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making 5% on every outgoing message, doing nothing, just keeping it in a
good shape and dealing with huge volumes... we are talking hundreds of
thousands outgoing messages per day!
The difficulty: it requires advertising sales skills to convince advertisers
about the advantages of mobile media: the device is always switched on,
location can be pulled from the network, and tweets received from
people you follow are always read, as you show an interest in that
person! A dream for every marketer to get involved in that kind of
communication!
Big question now: how sustainable is it?I see three problems with Twitter:
P R O B L E M #1: R A N DO M N E SS : the way the platform works is that anyone
can request to become a follower of a person. The community is
connected in such a 'woven' way that it is very difficult to extract any
targeted information from (a) the context (b) the community and (c) the
content. Having no user patterns, content categories, or demographics
available will make it difficult in time to sustain the mobile advertising
CPM price.
P R O B L E M #2: B O R E DO M : the type of communication over the Twitter
platform is very fluid. Although having some kind of real‐time alerting
information about what your friends are doing, how they are feeling,
what they are reading, seeing, experiencing might be great for the first
couple of weeks, but after a while you become more selective about the
alerts and tweets you want to receive.
P R O B L E M #3: I N T E RA C T I V I T Y : for me personally the most annoying
missing thing about Twitter is that I cannot respond or interact over
Twitter from a received tweet. There was no direct interaction possible on
posted content, maybe something for Twitter to think about. This could
just increase the SMS traffic volumes by probably another 300% or so.
With our experience, we’ve done things differently: our choice of content
to build up a opted‐in SMS advertising inventory was 'Classifieds' allows
us to understand the context (buying or selling), popularity &
ranking (measurement), and to define vertical content categories
(automotive, housing, etc.). at Mobiya we have also a 100% bi‐directional
interactivity (not like Twitter or Blyk, simply 'broadcasting' SMS
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messages), as buyers and sellers are interacting over a single short code,
and over a unique piece of classified content. Very exciting times, and I
wish Twitter all the best in sourcing the right SMS partner for their
business. SMS advertising is the way forward as the complete online
advertising model has fallen apart, unless you name Google.
CONTACT INFORMATION
SACHA VEKEMAN
CO‐FOUNDER MOBIYA
sacha@mobiya.com
MOBILE: +32 499 50 4050
ONLINE INFORMATION
LINKEDIN REDIRECT: www.vekeman.net
COMPANY: www.mobiya.com
BLOG: www.mobiyalog.com
LIVE: www.mobiya.co.uk
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