Professional Documents
Culture Documents
For
:Legislators and Local Government Officials in Liberia
January 4, 2009
,By: Gleh Huston Appleton
;BBA, (Student-MPA-International Development Policy and Management
(Management Institute of Canada
;Dear Mr. Editor and fellow Liberians
I believe, and I am sure you agreed with me, that as Liberia transitions from a period of acrimony;
during the dark period of its history, into the dawn of a new democracy, there is an ever increasing
role, duty and responsibility for proficiency marked by accountability, transparency and
professionalism and participation in the discharge of public duties. In an effort to building national
capacity in response to meeting the growing challenges of the 21st century requiring strategic policy
decisions and actions, the concerted effort of all is required. Our world and society are plagued by a
number of uncertainties requiring competitive policy actions in areas such as Poverty Reduction,
Market Failures, Corruption, Climate Change and Environmental Protection, National Security and
Human Rights, Foreign Policy Options, Social Inequalities, Health Care, Building Responsive
Educational System, Building New and Emerging Market/Investment Industries, Rebuilding New
.Infrastructures and Energy Shifts, etc
Hence, if Liberia must muscle up the courage and build the capacity to respond to the critical
challenges of the 21st century, we must work together to build the resilience and action for change.
And so, I wish to provide this policy guidance note to help national and local government policy
.makers in the discharge of their duties
1
Institute of Policy Development: Research Unit; Singapore, 2007: “Policy Development in Practice, an overview of the
policy process”.
community visions, goals and objectives. And the role of the Policy Analyst (a Policy
researcher, policy entrepreneurs, crafter, proponent, etc) in this process is to “a. produce
arguments for public debates of public policy issues, b. produce evidence for decisions
about public policies, c. act as independent consultant maintaining a balance on political
fronts and d. handle both technical and people-centered aspects of the process, etc.” 2
4. Hence, the six steps of the Policy Process or Circle can be described as follow:
• Policy Initiation: Get issues on the agenda: Identify/define/detail problem-
this is probably the most-people centered activity of the process, at this
stage/step; you state the problem meaningfully and determine its magnitude and
extend. Question the acceptable thinking and initial formulation with
supporting data and the analysis of similar policy analyzes. You clarify
objective and resolve conflicting goals focusing on the central and critical
factors as well as identify major stakeholders to the issue. This stage tries to set
the pace for testing public opinion on the subject matter and alerting decision-
makers about a past, current or perceived problem indicating the urgent need
for actions.
• Problem Identification and Evaluation: Document existing conditions:
Establish evaluation criteria-at this stage, you set problem scope and outline the
goals and objectives and adopt measurable indicators for implementation and
success. Identify criteria central to the problem and stakeholders, predate
desirable and undesirable outcomes and conduct a cost-benefit analysis, focus
the socioeconomic implications as well as the legal and political propositions of
the situation. It involves the following activities:
i. The assembling and analyzing of available multiple sources
data;
ii. Understanding the context of the problem and conducting a
force field analysis (external and internal forces of change),
historical events and related issues;
iii. Understand stakeholders perspectives of the problem; and
iv. Identify the values and interests at stake.
Policy Alternatives Identification: Generate alternatives:•
identify/specify alternative policies- this stage probably marks
the beginning of the analytical phase of the process. You
consider a wide range of policy options with the status quo in
mind. In this stage, there is an attempt to answer to the
questions of “Which policy option is the most viable? Which is
the most cost-effective? And which is the most feasible in the
terms of public acceptability, relevant to addressing the situation
at hand, etc. Brainstorming of the problem, the relevant policy
alternatives is essential as is consult with experts in respective
fields of policy study. But this stage tries to ensure that some
level of divergent thinking occurs bearing the possibilities for
values and assumptions to be questioned in mind, providing
tangible options to policy makers. “Some ways to develop
policy alternatives include scenarios writing, experts
consultation, literature review, inter-country comparison, etc”3
with the option of in-action or non-action listed as an
.alternative
Policy Alternatives Evaluation and Decision: Identify Key•
Interest Groups/Decide: assess/display/distinguish alternative
policies and recommend/adopt policy strategy - At this stage,
you identify stakeholders and link them with their values, select
appropriate policy method and apply them correctly, estimate
the expected outputs, outcomes and impact of each alternative
2
Ibid-1
3
Ibid-2
and align them with the policy goals and objectives for
consistencies and predictability of desired results. At this stage,
you seek to answer whether the predicted outcomes meet
desired results, which alternative should be discarded and which
is the best approach/method to implement based on tested
.assumptions
Policy Implementation: Implement and Monitor:•
implement/monitor/readjust- Polices are embodied in sets of
laws, ordinances, procedures, rules, programmes/projects
documents, etc and can not be meaningful unless
implemented/tested. This stage involves the fruition of the
plan/strategy to reach desired results. At this stage, you draw
plan of action, monitoring is essential as success indicators are
set as process indicators measuring the degree of consistencies,
uncovering unintended obstacles, meeting timelines, responding
to conflicting but mutual values and interests, readjusting to
meet desired results and documenting best practices for
replications. But, initially a clear distinction must be drawn
between parties on specific roles, duties and responsibilities to
avoid conflicts in implementation. And
Policy Outcomes Evaluation: evaluate policy outputs,•
outcomes and impacts- This is the stage at which the policy is
assessed against impact indicators stated in the goals and
objectives. By this, you assess for effectiveness, responsiveness,
transparency, coherence and you draw up conclusions as set of
.recommendations in the event of future replications
4
University of New South Wales: Guide to Policy Development Process; phase two-Research and Analysis;
Version 1.1, 22/07/2008
5
Ibid-1
community meetings, workshops, etc with the intend to gather feedbacks and evaluate
behavior-change-effect before and after implementation of policy decision.
c. These methods, used at any combination collectively or in isolation, provide a
systematic way of looking at events, collecting data, analyzing information, and
reporting results with a human-face in response to the WHY and HOW of policy
analysis.
B. Quantitative Applications: involve the evaluation of policy
effects, outcomes and impacts by the use of statistical/mathematical
and or numerical values through various methods/approaches to
research. Some common methods include the following:
a. Surveys- in the quantitative framework, appears to be the single most integrated and
commonly used research and policy analysis approach as it tries to incorporate various
quantitative (can also represent qualitative analysis) categories and methods in data
collection, analysis and reporting expressed either graphically or statistically with a
focus on either opinions, facts or both. And it is applied normally by the use of
questionnaires or structured interviews. It includes serial survey (referred to as time-
series data analysis) representing the repetition of similar questions at different points
in time either by the use of new and different sample (cross-sectional) or the same
sample (Longitudinal). Common methods may include Mail survey-postal service,
Telephone survey-landline of cell-phones, Online survey -email or web, Personal
Contact survey (Home), Personal mall intercept survey (shoppers in small groups).
b. Statistics- as an analytical tool is applicable across the almost every inter-disciplinary
study. It examines simple and complex quantitative facts, opinions and logics necessary
for the conduct of studies/research and reaching rational decisions. Though structural
application in process may vary by discipline and scientist, the process normally
integrates the use of mathematical functions in data collection, analysis, interpretation
and presentation necessary for reaching informed decisions. Some common
method/approaches include Literature reviews-comparing similar practice in other fields and
occasions including webs, government publications and published survey data; System
modeling- using economic market models, evolutionary models, operations research models, or
linear programming models to analyze policy effects and trends; Sensitivity Analysis- testing
the extent of reliance of assumptions on policy effect, usually when there are uncertain factors
that may effect policy outcomes; Outcomes Matrixes- systematically comparing policy options
in terms of pre-determined criteria; and Graphing and Grading Methods- presenting a
schematic diagram, chart either as bi or pie, and percentage rating of data representing trends,
series, sequence, tendency or movements/shift in factors and conditions.
d. A Comparative Analysis of Policy Quantitative and Qualitative Methods:
e. √ Qualitative Analysis: brings the human-face and values to the process of
policy analysis, investigating behavior change in terms of perceptions, beliefs,
values, opinions, etc through the derivation and testing of theories and hypotheses.
It describes meaning through communications and observations usually by the
synthesizing of unstructured data collection. It is multi-focused ensuring flexibility
and analysis are based on non-numerical values, analysis is time-and place-bound
representing content, context analysis and responses and is often narrative oriented
in nature. While;
√ Quantitative Analysis: representing the opposite of the above; brings
mathematical/statistical or numerical values to the process of policy analysis and
investigation. It tests theories and hypotheses establishing cause and relationships
and tries to verify and make a proof of hypotheses through the use of instruments.
Data are collected in a structured pattern eliminating the high degree of error and
biases. It is issue-specific and objective. It believes in findings extrapolation and
generalization. Approaches are rigid.
6
”.Mark T. Imperial: PLS 304: Introduction to Public Policy; “The Policy Process
Policy Documents, Plans or Programmes, etc. But these policy instruments must be
legitimized in the process where public hearings, opinions and other administrative
procedures are held. The next stage leads to Policy Implementation –involves the
execution of the selected option as provided by the analyst, consulted by the experts
and vetted by the public. During this process, readjustments are common as conditions
may have changed in time. But the results of implementation will become an evidence
of a good policy in formulation. Finally, Policy Monitoring and Evaluation- the result
of this stage leads to either of three outcomes; continuation, replication or
termination depending on the quality of process as in performance evaluation and
results. However the above, at the formulation, implementation and evaluation,
important revelations are often uncovered which ultimately lead to the recycling of the
policy process in addressing new and surfacing issues of public interest which move up
the ladder from systemic/non-institutional to institutional/government.7
16. An Empirical Case/Simple Case-In-Point: ”Action to Reduce the Increased Crime
Rate in Monrovia City”:
Developing the Policy Issue Paper:
1. Issue Identification/Agenda Setting: Facts: 14-yrs of war have left total socio-
economic breakdowns. Unemployment stands at 85% of labor force,
underemployment at 50% of percentage of workforce, annual GDP growth rate at
5%, 1003 ex-combatants disarmed, crime incidence rate increased by 25% in 12-
months; Police force stands at 10,000 trained and equipped men, Military stands at
4,000 trained and equipped men. There are 15-political sub-divisions of Liberia
requiring security protection. Issues: a. General Issue-“Growing Crime Rate and
Insecurity”, b. Specific Issue- “Increased Prevalence of Armed-Rubbery resulting to
murder.” Advocacy: through Media coverage and selective engagements with
stakeholders, establish pluralist/popular support and get institutional attention.
2. Estimation/Policy Formulation: Goal: Reduce general crime-rate prevalence by
building institutional capacity for response. Objectives and Indicators: a. to reduce
rate of armed-rubbery by 80% by end of 2009 through effective security response;
and b. to increase public confidence and investment security by 80% through the
improvement of information/communication by end of 2009. Policy
Alternatives/Analysis: a. No Action- effect could lead to increased prevalence rate
of crime and murder by an additional 20% by end of 2009; b. Increase Police
Presence in the Streets- recruiting/training and equipping an additional 2,000 police
officers will effectively combat crime and reduce rate by 80% in 12-months at full
capacity but will have a time lead of at least 6-months for full impact; c. Creating a
Parallel Team: Giving Military Temporary Police-Power to Act- At full capacity of
4,000 well-trained and fully equipped, in the absence of internal/external
aggression, the military can be given temporary police-power as a parallel force to
the police to respond to the urgent increase in crime rate. At a combined force full
capacity, holding all factors constant, crime rate may decrease by 80% in 6-months,
but strategy may create lax in the urgent need for government to build the capacity
of the police force and reserve the military for other civil duties and keeping them
ready for potential aggressions as there remains the possibilities for a nation just
from war to return to war in her first 10 post-war years. No-Action, as an option,
will cost the government a steady decrease in revenue collection of approximately
$250,000 as insecurity may decrease private investment spending, result to jobs-
cuts and ultimately result to a recession/stagnation. The effect would be a.
subsequent increase in crime rate resulting to murders as an alternative option to
income in a deep economic recession, b. riots and lawlessness as idleness may
create social perception change. Increase Police Presence in the Streets, as an
option, may cost a. approximately $50 million in additional security spending over
12-months, b. political will and commitment of policy-makers and implementers;
7
Ibid-1
while in effect, a. the police force have likelihood of reaching full capacity to
respond to the growing rate of crimes in the medium and long runs and b. there is a
likelihood that private investment would reduce in the short-run but additional
consumption spending on security may bust private investment spending and
resuscitate economic growth with a multiplier effect in the medium and long-runs
and increase public confidence overtime. Finally; Creating a Parallel Team:
Giving Military Temporary Police-Power to Act, as an option, will cost a.
approximately $50 million in additional security spending over 12-months for
police capacity development, b. an additional $1million in joint operation cost of
the parallel team in 12-months; while in effect; there will be a. the immediate
capacity for response, b. private remains steady in the short-run with a potential for
growth in the medium and long-runs, and c. public confidence remains effective
and responsive as economic growth leads to jobs creation.
3. Policy Selection/Adoption: With the analysis of the above option, Creating a
Parallel Team: Giving Military Temporary Police-Power to Act has the potential
for creating short-term, medium, and long-term impact and is a recommended
option for policy action resulting to legislation and the development of ”Strategic
Security Enhancement Plan.” This recommendation is based on the current public
security risk possibilities assessment and expert’s opinions, public resource
availability and the potential impact of alternative.
4. Policy Implementation: drafting a robust implementation strategy: For instance, A
”4-Components RFSF Document” (Results Focused Security-Enhancement
Framework) is developed. Components may include a. Key Pillars of Intervention;
b. Resource Mobilization Schedule; c. Programming Strategies and d. Monitoring
and Evaluation Matrix. (A detail plan can be developed if this is an issue on the
Liberian Government Agenda by a strategic public-private partnership engagement
forum)
I thank you.