NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

FINAL
NPA2652 December 2012
Maryland Governor
Hello, my name is ______________ and I'm calling from _______, a national public opinion research firm. We are not trying
to sell you anything. We're conducting a survey today in Maryland on a number of public issues and your telephone number
was selected at random. According to the research procedure, could I speak to the member of the household who is 18
years of age or older with the nearest upcoming birthday.
A.

Are you registered to vote at this address? [IF YES] How are you registered, as a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN,
an INDEPENDENT or something else?
DEMOCRAT ................................................... 100%
REPUBLICAN .................................. TERMINATE
INDEPENDENT ............................... TERMINATE
SOMETHING ELSE ......................... TERMINATE
YES, DONT KNOW ......................... TERMINATE
NO/DON'T KNOW ............................ TERMINATE

B.

And which of the following is closer to what you USUALLY do with regard to Democratic primary elections, do you
ALWAYS vote in the Democratic primary, OCCASIONALLY vote or do you usually SKIP THE PRIMARY and just
vote in the general election?
ALWAYS ........................................................... 80%
OCCASIONALLY .............................................. 19
SKIP THE PRIMARY ....................... TERMINATE
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 1

1.

Would you say things in the nation today are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION or would you say things
are off on the WRONG TRACK?
RIGHT DIRECTION .......................................... 62%
WRONG TRACK ............................................... 24
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 14

2.

What about here in Maryland? Would you say things in Maryland today are generally headed in the RIGHT
DIRECTION or would you say things are off on the WRONG TRACK?
RIGHT DIRECTION .......................................... 60%
WRONG TRACK ............................................... 24
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 16

3.

Now, I'm going to read you a list of public figures and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or
UNFAVORABLE opinion of each person using a scale that runs from 0 to 10.
A 0 on this scale means you have a VERY LOW or VERY UNFAVORABLE opinion of that person.
A 10 on this scale means you have a VERY HIGH or VERY FAVORABLE opinion of that person.
Now, you can use any number between 0 and 10 to tell me your opinion of each person. If you have never heard of
a name, or don't know enough to rate them, please just say so.
Very
Fav

Smwt
Fav

Ntrl

Smwt
Unfav

Very
Unfav

CR

NH

Total
Fav

Total
Unfav

Name
ID

a. Barack Obama

56%

29

<1

85%

7%

97%

b. Martin OMalley

27%

43

70%

15%

93%

c. Doug Gansler

7%

23

10

28

28

31%

4%

44%

d. Anthony Brown

10%

26

11

23

25

35%

6%

52%

e. Ken Ulman

4%

11

32

43

15%

3%

25%

f. Peter Franchot

8%

29

10

19

27

36%

8%

54%

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

4.

NPA2652

MD GOV

If the Democratic primary for Governor was being held today and the candidates were: [RANDOMIZE]

Anthony Brown
Peter Franchot
Doug Gansler
Ken Ulman

for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] Well, which candidate do you lean towards supporting?
BROWN ............................................................ 18%
(LEAN BROWN) ................................................. 4
FRANCHOT ...................................................... 10
(LEAN FRANCHOT) ........................................... 3
GANSLER ........................................................... 7
(LEAN GANSLER) .............................................. 2
ULMAN ............................................................... 3
(LEAN ULMAN) ................................................... 1
(UNDECIDED) .................................................. 52
TOTAL BROWN ................................................ 22%
TOTAL FRANCHOT ......................................... 13%
TOTAL GANSLER .............................................. 8%
TOTAL ULMAN ................................................... 4%
5.

On a scale of EXCELLENT, GOOD, ONLY FAIR or POOR, how would you rate the job:

[RANDOMIZE]
EXLT
a. Barack Obama is doing as President ...............................40%
b. Martin OMalley is doing as Governor ..............................19%
c. Anthony Brown is doing as Lieutenant Governor ...............9%
d. Doug Gansler is doing as Attorney General ......................9%
e. Peter Franchot is doing as Comptroller ...........................10%
f. Ken Ulman is doing as Howard County Executive .............4%
6.

GOOD
41
45
32
32
32
14

ONLY
FAIR
11
20
20
18
19
8

POOR
6
11
2
1
3
1

[DK]
2
5
36
40
36
73

TOTAL TOTAL
POS
NEG
81%
17%
64%
31%
42%
22%
42%
18%
42%
22%
18%
9%

Generally speaking, how would you rate the Maryland economy these daysEXCELLENT, GOOD, NOT SO
GOOD or POOR?
EXCELLENT ....................................................... 5%
GOOD ............................................................... 53
NOT SO GOOD ................................................ 33
POOR ................................................................. 7
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 3
TOTAL POSITIVE ............................................. 58%
TOTAL NEGATIVE ........................................... 39%

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

7.

NPA2652

MD GOV

Now, lets say that Peter Franchot was to run for re-election as Maryland Comptroller. Do you think you would vote
to RE-ELECT Peter Franchot, would you CONSIDER SOMEONE ELSE or would you vote to REPLACE Franchot?
GO TO Q100 RE-ELECT ........................................................ 42%
CONSIDER SOMEONE ELSE ......................... 20
GO TO Q100 REPLACE ........................................................... 4
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 33

8.

Let me ask a slightly different way. If the election were held today, would you vote to RE-ELECT Peter Franchot or
would you vote to REPLACE Franchot with someone else? (n=267)
RE-ELECT ........................................................ 12%
REPLACE ......................................................... 16
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 72
Recalculated Franchot Re-Elect
RE-ELECT ........................................................ 42%
LEAN RE-ELECT ................................................ 6
LEAN REPLACE ................................................. 9
REPLACE ........................................................... 4
(DONT KNOW) ................................................ 39
TOTAL RE-ELECT ............................................ 49%
TOTAL REPLACE ............................................. 13%

[READ]: Now, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
100.

SEX (OBSERVATION: DO NOT ASK)

MALE ................................................................ 42%
FEMALE ............................................................ 58

101.

What is your age? (RECORD IN PROPER CATEGORY) (READ CODES IF NECESSARY)

18-29 ................................................................... 7%
30-34 ................................................................... 5
35-39 ................................................................... 8
40-44 ................................................................. 10
45-49 ................................................................... 8
50-54 ................................................................. 12
55-59 ................................................................. 11
60-64 ................................................................. 10
65-69 ................................................................... 9
70+ .................................................................... 16
(REFUSED) ........................................................ 4

102.

What is the last grade you completed in school?

SOME GRADE SCHOOL (1-8) ......................... <1%
SOME HIGH SCHOOL (9-11) ............................. 4
GRADUATED HIGH SCHOOL ......................... 19
TECHNICAL/VOCATIONAL ............................... 2
SOME COLLEGE ............................................. 19
GRADUATED COLLEGE ................................. 25
GRADUATE/PROFESSIONAL ......................... 28
(DONT KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 3

103.

Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are VERY LIBERAL, SOMEWHAT LIBERAL, MODERATE,
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE or VERY CONSERVATIVE?
VERY LIBERAL ................................................ 19%
SOMEWHAT LIBERAL ..................................... 24
MODERATE ...................................................... 35
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ........................ 14
VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................... 4
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 4

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

NPA2652

MD GOV

104.

In order to make sure we have a representative sample, could you please tell me whether you consider yourself to
be [READ LIST]
WHITE .............................................................. 48%
BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN ................... 38
HISPANIC ........................................................... 3
ASIAN AMERICAN ............................................. 2
(OTHER) ............................................................. 4
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 0
(REFUSED) ........................................................ 5

105.

Do you or does anyone in your household belong to a labor union?

YES - RESPONDENT BELONGS ..................... 7%
YES - HOUSEHOLD MEMBER .......................... 7
YES - BOTH ........................................................ 2
NO ..................................................................... 80
(DON'T KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 4

[ANNE ARUNDEL AND HOWARD ONLY]

106.
Do you usually watch television stations from Baltimore or Washington DC? (n=63)
BALTIMORE ..................................................... 65%
DC ..................................................................... 18
(DONT KNOW) ................................................ 18
[RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS]
107.
Last question. Just for statistical purposes, in which of the following categories is your total household income?
Stop me when I read the right one.
LESS THAN $15,000 .......................................... 4%
$15,000 34,999 ................................................ 8
$35,000 49,999 ................................................ 9
$50,000 74,999 .............................................. 12
$75,000 99,999 .............................................. 11
$100,000-$150,000 ............................................. 9
MORE THAN $150,000 .................................... 13
(DONT KNOW/REFUSED) .............................. 34
Thank you for taking the time to complete this interview.
Region
BALTIMORE CITY ............................................ 13%
BALTIMORE COUNTY ..................................... 15
ANNE ARUNDEL/HOWARD ............................ 13
REST OF BALTIMORE ....................................... 7
MONTGOMERY COUNTY ............................... 19
PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY ........................ 21
REST OF DC .................................................... 10
OUTER ............................................................... 3
TOTAL BALTIMORE ......................................... 48%
TOTAL DC ........................................................ 49%