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CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME

FACULTY OF INDUSTRIAL SCIENCES & TECHNOLOGY


EXAMINER ANSWER SCRIPT (FINAL EXAM)
SEMESTER: II SESSION: 09/10
Course: APPLIED STATISTICS Prepared By: SITI ZANARIAH SATARI

Course Code: BT2053 Verified By : ___________________________

FIST
Answer Marks
X: life of flashlight batteries (in hours)
6 30, 461.8, 129.3, 0.02 n x s <
The 98% confidence interval for

:
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( )
( )
2 2
2 2
2 2 2 2
0.01,5 0.99,5
, 1 1 , 1
2 2
2 2
1 1 6 1 129.3 6 1 129.3
, ,
5 129.3 5 129.3
,
15.086 0.554
5541.06, 150888.89
74.4, 388.4 hours
n n
n s n s



_ _


, ,
_


B1
B1
M1
M1
A1 A1
(6 Marks)
Question No.
1
Page
1 (a)
SET A
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
X: life of flashlight batteries (in hours)

6 30, 461.8, 129.3, 0.02 n x s <

2 2 2 2
0 1
: 130 hours : 130 hours H H <
, and 0.01
( ) ( )
2 2
2
2
0
1 6 1 129.3
4.946
130
test
n s

distribution Curve
Reject H
o
if
1 , 1 0.99,5
2 2 2
0.554
test n


<
4.946 > 0.554
Accept H
o
and reject H
1.
2 2
130 hours
The standard deviation life of all flashlight batteries is
Not less than 130 hours.
There is no enough evidence for the manufacturer to
stop the production at 0.01 significance level.
B1
M1A1
M1
M1
M1
M1
A1
(8 Marks)
2 Page
Question No. 1 (b)
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
(
A
B C D
. j
x
3.8 6.8 6.5 6.2 23.3
4.2 7.1 6.4 4.5 22.2
4.1 6.7 6.2 5.3 22.3
4.4 5.8 10.2
. i
x 16.5 20.6 19.1 21.8
..
x = 78
2
451.86
ij
x

( )
2
2 2
..
78 1
451.86 17.2886
14
ij
SST x x
kn

( ) ( )
( )
( ) ( )
( )
( )
2
2 2 2 2
2 2
. ..
78 1 1 1 1
16.5 21.8 20.6 19.1
4 3 14
186.8725 263.0567 434.5714 15.3578
i
SSTr x x
n kn
+ + +
+

17.2886 15.3578 1.9308 SSE SST SSTr


Source DF SS MS F
Machine 3 (A1) 15.3578 (A1) 5.1192 (A1) 3.7083 (A1)
Error 10 (A1) 1.9308 (A1) 0.1931 (A1)
Total 13 17.2886
1 2 3 4
1
:
: , , 1, 2, 3, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4
o
i j
H
H i j i j




Reject H
o
if
0.01,3,10 test
F F >
3.7083 > 6.55
Accept H
o
and reject H
1 1 2 3 4

This sample provide sufficient evidence to not reject the null
hypothesis that all four machines dispense the same average amount of
soft drinks at = 0.01.
M1
M1
M1
A1
(11 Marks)
B1
M1A1
M1
A1
(5 Marks)
3 Page
Question No. 2
(a)
(b)
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
( )
2 2 2
2
2 2
.. ...
1
300 486 371
1 1 1157
1762.067
10 30
a
i
i
SSA x x
bn abn

+ +

(b)
Source of variation SS d.f. MS F
Age
168.03
3
1
168.033 (A1)
1.567 (A1)
Product
1762.06
7
2
881.034 (A1)
8.215 (A1)
Interaction
7955.26
7
2
3977.634 (A1)
37.087 (A1)
Error
2574.00
0
24
107.250 (A1)
Total
12459.36
7
29
(A1)
(c)
First test
H
o
: Companys monthly sales is not affected by age of salesperson
H
1
: Companys monthly sales is affected by age of salesperson
Reject H
o
if
0.05,1,24 test
F F >
1.567 < 4.24
Accept H
o
and reject H
1
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that Companys
monthly sales is not affected by age of salesperson at = 0.05.
Second test
H
o
: Companys monthly sales is not affected by type of item (product)
H
1
: Companys monthly sales is affected by type of item (product)
Reject H
o
if
0.05,2,24 test
F F >
8.215 > 3.40
Reject H
o
and accept H
1
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that Companys
monthly sales is affected by type of item (product) at = 0.05.
M1A1
(2 Marks)
(8 Marks)
B1
M1M1
M1
A1
B1
M1M1
M1
A1
(10 Marks)
4 Page
Question No. 3
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
H
o
: The transactions handled by a local bank at Kuantan distributed as
follows: branch A - 28.42%, branch B - 21.81%, branch C -17.81%, and
branch D 31.96%.
H
1
: The distribution is not the same as stated in the null hypothesis (claim)
Branch A B C D
Observed 586 751 429 734
Expected
0.2842(2500
)
= 710.5
0.2181(2500
)
= 545.25
0.1781(2500
)
= 445.25
0.3196(2500)
= 799
( )
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
2
2
2 2 2 2
586 710.5 751 545.25 429 445.25 734 799
710.5 545.25 445.25 799
21.82 77.64 0.59 5.29
105.34
test
O E
E




+ + +
+ + +

Reject H
o
if
2 2
0.005,4 1 test


>
105.34 < 12.838
Reject H
o
and accept H
1
The distribution is not the same as stated in the null hypothesis
There is a sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of
transactions has changed after the opening of new mall at = 0.005.
B1
M1M1
M1
A1
M1M1
M1
M1
A1
(10 Marks)
5 Page
Question No. 5
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
H
o
: There is no relationship between weather and their results
H
1
: There is relationship between weather and their results
Reject H
o
if
2 2
0.01,2 test
>
6.96 < 9.210
Accept H
o
and reject H
1
There is sufficient evidence to say that there is relationship between
weather and their results at 1% level of significance
B1
M1
M1
M1
M1
M1
M1
M1
M1M1
M1
A1
(12 Marks)
6 Page
Question No. 5
nij
..
.
n
n n
E
ij i
ij

( )
ij
ij ij
E
E n
2

n11
12
11
16 24
7.68
50
E


( )
2
12 7.68
2.43
7.68

n12
4
12
16 26
8.32
50
E


( )
2
4 8.32
2.24
8.32

n21
5
21
13 24
6.24
50
E


( )
2
5 6.24
0.25
6.24

n22
8
22
13 26
6.76
50
E


( )
2
8 6.76
0.23
6.76

n31
7
31
21 24
10.08
50
E


( )
2
7 10.08
0.94
10.08

n32
14
32
21 26
10.92
50
E


( )
2
14 10.92
0.87
10.92

n.. 50
( )
2
2
6.96
ij ij
test
ij
n E
E


CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
FIST
7 Page
Question No. 6
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
FIST
Answer Marks
(a) ( )
5.1414 0.5982 5 8.1324 9 times y +
(b)
75(86)
866 59.75
8
xy
x y
S xy
n

( )
2
2
2
75
803 99.875
8
xx
x
S x
n

( )
2
2
2
86
1116 191.5
8
yy
y
S y
n

0 1
: 0 : 0 H H
( )

0.5982 0
1.1733
0.26
var
test
t



where
( )
( )

191.5 0.5982 59.75


2
8 2

var 0.26
99.875
yy xy
xx
S S
n
S

1
1
1


1
] ]

Normal Curve
0.01,6
, 2
2
3.143
n
t t



Reject
0
H
if
, 2 , 2
2 2
or t
test test
n n
t t t


> <
1.1734 3.143 <
Accept
0
H
and reject
1
H
.
0

There no enough evidence to conclude that the childs age and the number of
doctor visits are linearly related at = 0.02
(c) Since there is no relationship between the childs age and the number
of doctor visits, we cannot use the regression equation in (a) to predict the
number of doctor visits of a 5-years-old disability child.
So the predicted value in (a) is not accurate.
M1A1
(2 Marks)
M1A1
M1A1
M1A1
B1
M1A1
M1
M1
M1
M1
A1
(14 Marks)
A1
(1 Mark)
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
SEMESTER II SESSION 09/10 BCT2053
FIST
Answer Marks
69.34% of selling price of a house in RM is explained by L (living area in
square feet), A (age in years), and R (number of rooms).
(ii)
229399.7893 110.3454 920.2414 10263.8962 y L A R +
.
(iii) 110.345 : when the A (age in years), and R (number of rooms) remains
constant, the selling price of a house increase by RM 110.345 for each
square feet increase in the L (living area in square feet).
(iv) The Significance F = 2.3564 10
-9
< 0.05.
Thus, at least one of the independent variables x, is related to dependent
variable the selling price of a house in RM.
A1
(1 Mark)
A1
(1 Mark)
A1
(1 Mark)
M1
A1
(2 Marks)
Page
Question No. 7 (a)
9 Page
Question No. 7(b,c) 8 Page
CONFIDENTIAL ANSWER SCHEME
FIST
Answer Marks
(a)
Equation with Variable L (living area in square feet), and A (age in years)
have the smallest P-value.
Equation with Variable L (living area in square feet), and A (age in years)
have the highest Adjusted R
Thus, if exactly two predictor variables are used to predict travel time,
variables L (living area in square feet), and A (age in years) should be
chosen.
Thus the best equation for predicting selling price of a house in RM is
184602.617 + 91.1091 L - 772.8966 A
(c)
Without the variable R (number of rooms) equation (b) has the highest R
value. So we can exclude this variable.
Thus the best equation for predicting selling price of a house in RM is
184602.617 + 91.1091 L - 772.8966 A
M1
M1
A1
A1
(4 Marks)
M1
A1
(2 Marks)

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