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INVESTMENT MANAGERS:
Patrick Toes Investment Director with over 20 years experience in fund management. Previously a member of Rensburg Sheppards Asset Allocation and Fund Selection Committees for over 9 years. David Cowell Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
NOVEMBER 2012
the Bank of Japan to take more aggressive and sustained policy action. Again markets have rallied hard but this time we have decided to sell. Why? We have seen many false dawns from Japan trying to devalue their currency only to find other nations to retaliate with their own action. The currency outcome between developed countries has therefore changed little. We are concerned that if Abe fails, Japanese equities may lurch back into obscurity once more. We consider that mergers and acquisitions will become a growing theme as we move through 2013 and have used the proceeds from the sale of our Japanese holding to take a position in smaller companies. Returning to our outlook, we view Asia in particular very positively and it remains an area we are overweight, as has been the case for several years. We see Asian growth and valuation, from a top-down perspective, as very attractive and subject to fewer issues than in developed markets. For the last couple of years we have had some reservations about China and believe that consensus has - and continues to be - overly bullish at the corporate level. That being said, emerging markets do not only consist of China and we have in mind to add to them, perhaps as markets become more nervous in the months ahead. "A merry Christmas to us all, my dears. God bless us!" Which all the Cratchit family reechoed. "God bless us, every one!" said Tiny Tim A Christmas Carol (Charles Dickens) All of us at Myddleton Croft would like to echo that message to all those who have supported us this year, for all clients and advisers who continue to support us and with a fair wind, those who are about to. We wish you and yours all the best for the festive season.
A quick prcis of November which was a decent month for equities in performance terms (up 1 2%); gilts and the IMA 20-60% equity sector followed suit rallying 0.8%, whereas the 40-85% equity sector moved higher by 1.1%. Our moderate risk and speculative risk portfolios did modestly better than their benchmarks, IMA 20-60% & 4085% equity sectors, rising 1% and1.3%. We have maintained our slight overweight in equity but positioned in a number of defensive areas. We remain unrepentantly cautious investors and consider that having seen FTSE All Share index return in excess of 11% against a back drop of weakening growth and with several potholes as yet to be navigated, being cautious but not negative is prudent. We said in last months commentary we would review the developing and emerging markets as well as the last of the developed regions, Japan, whose delayed review will become obvious as we progress. Japan, the land of the rising Yen (excuse the pun), has so often been the market which has failed to deliver and has struggled against the currency headwind in recent years. The fundamentals point to a country whose currency should be substantially weaker - a falling trade surplus; interest payments constitute 25% of spending; weakening demographics allied to large deficits, and national debt in excess of 200% of GDP. Moreover, if older domestic investors draw down their capital from the bond market, will foreign investors make up the difference when yields are only 0.6% on ten year paper? We saw the Yen as a potential victim of its weakening internal economy and as such we saw an opportunity to profit from owning quality exporters (with the yen hedged), albeit a very small holding. In the first quarter, with the Yen looking as though it had finally broken that uptrend, the Nikkei was one of the best performing markets in the world; but no, yet again it was a false dawn. The likely next Prime Minister, Abe, has targeted a 3% inflation rate, as well as suggesting changes at
IMPORTANT INFORMATION This information has been approved for distribution to professional investors only. The information in this document is believed to be correct but cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or any other action, without first seeking advice as to the suitability of it for your needs.
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
9% 19%
16% Alternatives Commodities 7% 25% 5% Global Fixed Interest 19% Cash UK Fixed Interest
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
***IMPORTANT NOTE : THE ADVENTUROUS PORTFOLIO HAS BEEN RENAMED THE PROGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO*** MCIM Balanced Progressive Portfolio
INVESTMENT MANAGERS
Patrick Toes
Investment Director with over 20 years experience in fund management. Previously a member of Rensburg Sheppards Asset Allocation and Fund Selection Committees for over 9 years.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
***IMPORTANT NOTE: THE HIGHLY ADVENTUROUS PORTFOLIO HAS BEEN RENAMED THE ADVENTUROUS PORTFOLIO***
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over SALES: 25 years being investment management focussed. David formulates the macro economic position and leads the investment process Julie Jones across the portfolio range. He also has over 10 years Julie business 20 years to small and experience of has over consultancy experience of medium working in investment sales and sized enterprises.
marketing, previously as Head of UK Retail Sales for BNY Mellon (Newton Investment Management).
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, Model portfolios include cost of underlying dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform investments and Myddleton Crofts annual charges)
12 MONTH PERFORMANCE
management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
* The Enhanced Income Portfolio was launched at the beginning of 2011. It should be noted that the performance before that date (presented above) is from the back-tested portfolio and is provided for illustration purposes only.
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.
NOVEMBER 2012
David Cowell
Chief Executive, possessing over 40 years experience in financial services, with over 25 years being investment management focussed.
2012 PERFORMANCE*
Model portfolios include cost of underlying investments and Myddleton Crofts annual management fees, but not the charges for custodian, dealing and settlement (equivalent to platform charges)
ASSET ALLOCATION
Myddleton Croft Investment Managers, 1 Woodside Mews, Clayton Wood Close, Leeds, LS16 6QE T: 0113 274 7700 F: 0113 274 7711 E-mail: info@mcim.co.uk Website: www.myddletoncroft.co.uk Myddleton Croft Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England & Wales number 05782909. VAT number UK 889 241088. Registered office: 11 Clifford Avenue, Ilkley, LS29 0AS.