Professional Documents
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P. S. M. Gunaratne PhD Professor in Finance, Department of Finance Faculty of Management & Finance, University of Colombo
Introduction
Stock
Can alter the risk return profile of the firm so the value of the firm
GDP growth rate, Level of Employment, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Interest rate Peace war situation, regulatory changes, etc.
The
level of sensitivity may vary form firm to firm economy-wide information may affect particular sector/sectors careful! Sectors are not clearly defined
Some Be
Firm-Specific Information
Information
Some
Information is vital in valuing the stocks as they alter risk-return profile of the underling firms In estimating value of stocks you need to understand the changing risk return profile of the firm with the new information Value may compare with the current market prices to decide whether stock is undervalued, over valued or even fairly valued Having followed the above steps, you can decide whether to buy, hold or sell a particular stock
attractiveness
Attractiveness
A regular flow of firm specific information come through annual reports (quarterly reports) as financial information Investor can measure firm performance through financial information Basically risk-return characteristics of the firm can be indentified through financial information Financial information not only provides a measure of past performance but also provides a measure of its financial strength
Financial Reports:
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Statement Statement of Change in Equity and Notes to Financial Statements
Independent Audit Report Shareholder and Investor Information Historical Summary Information
The resources controlled by a business are referred to as its assets. For a new business, those assets originate from two possible sources:
Investors who buy ownership in the business Creditors who extend loans to the business
Those who contribute assets to a business have legal claims on those assets. Since the total assets of the business are equal to the sum of the assets contributed by investors and the assets contributed by creditors, the following relationship holds and is referred to as the accounting equation : Assets Resources = Liabilities + Owners' Equity Claims on the Resources
Initially owners funds may use to start a business and acquire different assets needed run the business. If no borrowings are used equation could be simplified to: Assets = Owners' Equity
Ex. Assume a group of people started a business by investing 100 million and acquired Land & Building worth of 60 Million Assets: Rs. 100M = Owners' Equity 100M
Assume the same business borrowed Rs. Rs.50m from a bank and bought a motor vehicle worth of Rs.55m. Now the new equation for the business:
Assets: Rs. 150M = Liabilities 50 M + Owners' Equity 100M
Owners Equity : Equity Liabilities : Bank Loan Total Equity and Liabilities
Both Balance Sheet and Accounting Equation only shows Assets, Liabilities and Owners Equity. There are two other types of Accounts that do not directly show in the Balance sheet; Revenues and Expenditures
Ex. Assume that the business we have so far considered purchased goods (for sale) worth of Rs.150m from time to time during the subsequent year and sold 80% of goods purchased for Rs.175m and incurred various expenditures up to Rs. 18 m. Interest paid for the loan Rs. 5 m. Repayment of loan Rs. 10m Now we have to recognize the following expenditure and revenue items Expenditure: Cost of sales (150m * 80%) = Rs.120 m Other Expenditure = Rs. 18 m Interest paid = Rs. 5 m Sales = Rs. 175m
Revenue :
Income Statement
Sales (Turnover) Cost of Sales Gross profit Other Expenditure Interest Paid Net profit 175,000,000 (120,000,000) 55,000,000 (18,000,000) (5,000,000) 32,000,000
Recognize that assets and liabilities possessed by the business change with the above transactions Also recognize that the unsold merchandising goods (inventory) remaining at the end of the year is a Current Asset By the amount of profit earned equity goes up
The balance sheet portrays the financial position of the company by showing what the company owns and what it owes at the report date. Accordingly it shows; Assets, Liabilities' and Owners Equity It is a snapshot, since it reports the companys financial position at a specific point in time.
In the Blance Sheet Assets are classified into Fixed (non Current ) and Current Assets Liabilities are classified into long-term and current liabilities
The Assets section includes all the goods and property owned by the company, and uncollected amounts due (receivables) to the company from others. Assets are generally classified into Fixed Assets and Current Assets The Liabilities section includes all debts and amounts owed (payables) to outside parties. Liabilities are also classified into Long-term and Current Liabilities The Shareholders Equity section represents the shareholders ownership interest in the company-what the companys assets would be worth after all claims to other parties were paid.
The Income Statement can be thought of more like a motion picture, since it reports on how a company performed during the period(s) and shows whether that companys operations have resulted in a profit or loss. It compares periodic expenses with the periodic revenues and it shows the estimated tax for the period (only in companies) It estimates the profit or loss for the period under consideration
The Footnotes
The footnotes provide more detailed information about the financial statements.
Audit Report
There are two kinds of auditing, namely internal and external (independent) auditing. Internal auditing focuses on the audit of an entitys operational effectiveness and control. (by internal auditors) On the other hand, an external or independent audit focuses on the assessment of the fairness of an entitys financial statements (by independent auditors)
Audit report is expression of an opinion whether an entity has prepared financial statements fairly in all material respects in accordance with the financial reporting standards. To support the audit, the auditor must perform procedures to obtain audit evidence about the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. He also tests the entitys internal control and policies that are relevant to the entitys preparation and fair presentation of financial statements. It helps the credibility of the reported financial statements because of the independence and impartiality which are the qualities of external auditors.
Purpose
Different groups of Financial statement users with different information needs
Primary questions relate to company performance and financial strength, but user emphasis may differ
Investment analysts are primarily interested in financial statements as a predictor of future performance Lenders will primarily focus on the financial strength (default risk)
Simple Analysis
You can just go through figures and compare them with previous years figures analyze the difference. You my use percentage changes year to year profit growth is 38% etc. You can compare them with other firm s well Sometimes this kind of analysis is misleading
Ex. You dont know whether you get enough return for your investment
Ratio Analysis
Ratios helps us to understand certain phenomenon in a more meaningful and useful manner. Its a way of analyzing and presenting information so that user could benefit more.
Ratios are helpful to judge comparative performance Financial ratios are used to weigh and evaluate the operating performance of the firm.
If a firm earn Rs. 500,000 profit from Rs. 5,000,000 of sales (10 percent profit margin) that might be quite satisfactory where as Rs. 50,000 earnings on 5,000,000 (1 percent margin) could be disappointing
Constructed ratios can be compared with the industry as well as well as with the own past records or budgeted figures. Reasons for deviations and variations should be further studied Ratios show the symptom not the cause
Classification of Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Profit margin Return on assets (investment) Return on equity Receivable turnover Average collection period Inventory turnover Fixed assets turnover Total assets turnover Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to total assets Time interest earned Fixed charge coverage Earnings Per Share P/E ratio Market to book Ratio
Assets Utilization
Liquidity Ratios
1. Profitability Ratios: to measure the ability of the firm to earn an adequate return on sales, total assets or invested capital 2. Assets Utilization Ratios: Speed at which the firm is turning over accounts receivable, inventory and how productive the fixed assets are in terms sales generations 3. Liquidity Ratios: Firms ability to pay off short-term obligations 4. Debt Utilization Ratios: the overall debt position of the firm is evaluated in the light of its assets base and earning power
5. Market value Ratio Can be computed only for publicly traded stocks. *The user of the financial statement will attach different degrees of importance to the four categories of ratios. potential investor or share holder profitability banker or trade creditor liquidity and debt utilization
1. Profitability Ratios:
Gross profit Margin
= (Gross Profit/Sales) x 100--- (1,000,000/4,000,000)X100=25% May depend on the nature of the industry, type of product, level of competition sales policy and strategies, image of the firm and the brand.
1. Profitability Ratios:
Return on Total Assets (investment)
= (Net Income + Interest payment /Total Assets) X 100 = (200,000+40,000 / 1,600,000) x 100 Net income = After tax profit + Interest Total Assets = Owners fund and debt
= 15%
Return on Equity
=(Net Income/Total Equity ) X100 = (200,000/ 1,000,000) X 100 = 20%
Net Income = After tax profit * Above rations depend on both profit margins and assets turnover you can find whether you are getting required rate of return for your investment
1.Receivable Turnover: Sales (Credit)/ Accounts Receivables -- 4,000,000/350,000 = 11.4 times 2. Average collection period: (Days sales in receivable) Accounts Receivable /*Average daily credit sales = 350,000/10,959=32Days * Average daily Credit sales = Credit sales/365 3. Inventory Turnover Sales/Inventory = 4,000,0000/370,000 = 10.8 times * better to use average inventory 4. Average Inventory Period (Days Sales in Inventory) Inventory/Average daily sales = 370,000/10,959= 33.8 days 365 days/inventory turnover = 365/10.8 = 33.8 days. 5. Fixed Assets Turnover Sales/Fixed Assets = 4,000,000/800,000 = 5 6. Total Assets Turnover Sales/Total Assets = 4,000,000/1,600,000= 2.5
3. Equity Multiplier
Total Assets/Total Equity = 1,600,000/1,000,000 = 1.6 times
Other than the above three major ratios, shareholders may be interested in such ratios as Dividend Per share , Dividend cover, Net Assets per share etc.