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Abstract:
Started in the hotel industry a modest beginning until reaching the
center does not dispute it of importance to the national economy to some
advanced countries and are characterized as one of the interfaces are
important in Tourism and that are related to the well being and culture
of the country and courtribute to obtain hard currency paid by the
Tourism constantly stresses most economists believe the target final of
economic activity depends on the basis of the concept of process .
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(2) Katas : Richard , Management Accounting for Hotels and Restaurants ,
University press , Glasgaw , 1997 , P(31) .
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Y = f (x)
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Y
f
x
Y = a + bx :
a :

1990

b
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2007(

1990

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Y
1990 3.865 0.024
1991 5.030 0.049
1992 10.155 0.089
1993 20.305 0.128
1994 62.926 0.251
. ( 2)

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(381)
1995 195.021 0.240
1996 205.763 0.260
1997 228.077 0.392
1998 376.235 0.522
1999 299.945 0.971
2000 366.240 1.281
2001 418.098 2.162
2002 464.244 1.434
2003 1024.428 0.706
2004 1783.665 1.228
2005 3101.433 3.041
2006 3948.361 3.075
2007 1574.996 2.091
:
:
( F =
. F

(
0.000

) ( 42.989 F

F -1

0.05

t -2
= 0.913
6.561
6.561 (x) Y = bx

0.375

0.02 t
0.95 t

(R2=

( 0.729 R -3

0.00
73 %

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.

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Y = bx
Y = 965.902 x
: ( b = +
(X)
.

( 965.902
(Y)

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(Y)
. (X)
(X

. (X)

(Y)
:
Y)
:

Y^ = bx
. Y^
Y^ = 965.902 (X 2007)
2007 = 965.902 (2.091)
= 2019.701
2007
( 5)
:

2012 Y^ 2012

Y^ 2012 = 965.902 (5)


= 4829.51
2012
( 5)
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..................................................

(388)
20 .
. 1980
21 .
.
22 .

:
1998
:
1982

23 .

2001

1- Katas : Richard , Management Accounting for Hotels and Restaurants ,

University press , Glasgaw , 1997 .


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