Maurice Carroll, Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 582-5334 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-2013 FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 16,

LHOTA LEADS UNKNOWNS IN NEW YORK CITY GOP PRIMARY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; BUT HE LOSES MAYORAL RACE 3-1 TO ANY DEMOCRAT
Former MTA Chair & CEO Joseph Lhota leads a possible New York City Republican primary for mayor, with 23 percent of the vote, more than the other largely unknown contenders combined, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The biggest share, however, goes to undecided, with 53 percent. Lhota is followed by businessman John Catsimatidis with 9 percent, newspaper publisher Tom Allon with 5 percent, former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion with 3 percent and Doe Fund founder George McDonald with 2 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-peack) University poll finds. With 35 percent, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn has a big lead in a Democratic primary for mayor. Public Advocate Bill de Blasio has 11 percent, with 10 percent for former City Comptroller William Thompson and 9 percent for Comptroller John Liu. New York City voters disapprove 46 36 percent of the job Lhota did at the MTA and 69 percent of all voters dont know enough about him to decide whether they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. The range of voters who dont know enough about the other Republicans is from 83 percent to 92 percent. Who are those guys? Almost no one knows the Republicans who say they want to be mayor. Even Joe Lhota, the front-runner in a primary match-up and the former head of the MTA, is far from a house-hold name, said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Council Speaker Christine Quinn still dominates the Democratic field. There is almost no gender gap for any candidate. For example, Quinn gets 36 percent of women and 34 percent of men, while Liu gets 10 percent of men and 9 percent of women. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/January 16, 2013 page 2 By 3-1 margins or more, New York City voters back any of the three leading Democrats over Lhota:

Quinn leads 62 17 percent; Thompson is up 55 19 percent; de Blasio is on top 57 17 percent. In a May 2, 2001, Quinnipiac University poll, then-Republican Michael B1oomberg

trailed Democratic contenders by margins of 52 24 percent or more. The top three Democrats all thump Lhota. We limit the matchups to candidates who show some strength in their primaries, Carroll said. New York City is a very blue city. Any Republican who wants to follow in the footsteps of Mayors Rudolph Giuliani or Michael Bloomberg will need to win lots of Democratic and independent voters. Besides deficits of 68 to 76 percentage points among Democrats, Lhota trails among independent voters, 44 24 percent against Quinn, 38 26 percent against Thompson and 39 24 percent against de Blasio. New York City voters approve 64 18 percent of the job Quinn is doing and give her a 54 18 percent favorability rating, again with almost no gender gap. de Blasio gets a 48 16 percent approval and a 35 11 percent favorability rating. Liu gets a 46 27 percent approval and 28 24 percent favorability rating. Thompson gets a 31 10 percent favorability rating. If Giuliani supports a candidate, New York City voters say 42 37 percent that would have a positive effect when they decide to vote. Mayor Bloomberg should not use his personal wealth to support a candidate for New York City mayor, voters say 51 38 percent. Giuliani is in with both feet for Lhota. Will that help? A mixed result, Carroll said. From January 8 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,332 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 176 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 7.4 percentage points and 879 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.
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1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, and Bill de Blasio, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Tot Men Wom Liu Quinn Thompson de Blasio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 9% 35 10 11 1 2 31 10% 34 11 13 1 1 31 9% 36 10 10 1 3 32

TREND: (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, and Bill de Blasio, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......... Jan 16 Nov 21 Aug 15 May 10 2013 2012 2012 2012 Liu Quinn Thompson de Blasio Stringer Allon SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 9 35 10 11 na na 1 2 31 5 32 10 9 4 na 1 2 37 9 29 10 9 4 1 2 2 34 7 26 13 10 4 2 2 2 34

2. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: Joseph Lhota, John Catsimatidis, Adolfo Carrion, George McDonald, and Tom Allon, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Tot Men Wom Lhota Catsimatidis Carrion McDonald Allon SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 23% 9 3 2 5 5 53 28% 5 7 2 7 7 44 18% 13 3 3 1 3 60

3. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Christine Quinn the Democrat and Joseph Lhota the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Quinn Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 62% 17 1 3 16 Rep 17% 62 1 3 18 Dem 81% 5 1 2 10 Ind 44% 24 3 6 24 Men 58% 23 2 3 15 Wom 65% 13 1 4 17 Wht 55% 27 1 2 15 Blk 73% 9 2 5 12 Hsp 71% 8 2 3 16

WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Quinn Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 59% 23 1 2 14 46% 35 1 2 17 57% 23 1 2 17 44% 39 1 3 13 52% 32 1 1 13 58% 22 1 3 16 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 65% 17 2 16 57% 17 2 4 20 64% 18 2 3 13 63% 17 1 4 14

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Quinn Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 62% 17 2 3 16 62% 18 1 3 16

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 68% 16 2 2 13 65% 18 1 4 11 58% 19 2 3 19

4. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat and Joseph Lhota the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Thompson Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 55% 19 2 4 20 Rep 10% 67 6 17 Dem 74% 6 1 3 16 Ind 38% 26 3 6 28 Men 55% 22 2 4 17 Wom 56% 16 1 4 22 Wht 44% 29 2 4 22 Blk 73% 6 1 4 15 Hsp 63% 14 3 3 16

WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Thompson Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 47% 27 2 3 21 39% 34 1 4 22 43% 28 2 2 25 30% 45 5 19 45% 32 2 3 18 44% 25 1 5 25 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 62% 19 3 17 55% 18 2 4 22 56% 18 2 5 19 51% 20 2 4 24

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Thompson Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 54% 18 2 4 22 57% 19 1 4 18

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 61% 19 1 3 16 59% 17 2 5 18 51% 20 2 5 22

5. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat and Joseph Lhota the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot de Blasio Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 57% 17 1 4 20 Rep 12% 64 5 19 Dem 77% 5 1 3 15 Ind 39% 24 2 6 28 Men 54% 21 2 5 19 Wom 60% 14 1 4 21 Wht 50% 26 1 3 20 Blk 70% 6 1 5 18 Hsp 63% 15 2 5 16

WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom de Blasio Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 53% 24 1 3 19 43% 30 1 3 22 57% 25 3 2 14 34% 44 4 18 50% 29 1 2 18 50% 23 1 4 22 AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ 60% 17 4 19 56% 17 1 4 22 58% 18 2 5 18 56% 17 1 4 22

COLLEGE DEG Yes No de Blasio Lhota SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 57% 17 1 4 21 57% 18 1 5 19

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 63% 17 1 2 17 61% 15 2 5 17 52% 20 1 5 22

6. Is your opinion of John Liu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 28% 24 46 2 Rep 25% 32 42 1 Dem 31% 21 46 2 Ind 21% 27 49 3 Men 29% 29 40 3 Wom 27% 20 51 2 Wht 24% 35 39 1 Blk 37% 14 47 2 Hsp 20% 16 61 2

7. Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 54% 18 26 2 Rep 25% 41 32 2 Dem 64% 9 25 2 Ind 47% 24 26 3 Men 54% 20 24 2 Wom 55% 17 27 2 Wht 54% 25 20 2 Blk 63% 15 22 1 Hsp 54% 9 36 1

8. Is your opinion of William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 31% 10 57 2 Rep 18% 18 61 4 Dem 35% 8 56 1 Ind 29% 11 58 2 Men 34% 12 52 3 Wom 29% 9 61 1 Wht 26% 15 57 2 Blk 51% 8 40 1 Hsp 23% 7 69 1

TREND: Is your opinion of William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 38% July 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Aug 26 Feb 24 2009* 2009 38 10 51 1 22 5 71 1

Jan 16 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 31 10 57 2

Aug 26 2009 38 10 51 1

Jul 28 2009 38 9 52 1

Jun 16 2009 29 6 63 2

Mar 24 2009 25 5 68 2

9. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 35% 11 52 2 Rep 29% 24 46 1 Dem 40% 7 52 1 Ind 28% 13 57 2 Men 35% 14 49 2 Wom 35% 9 54 2 Wht 37% 14 47 2 Blk 38% 10 51 2 Hsp 31% 8 60 2

10. Is your opinion of Joseph Lhota favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 19% 11 69 1 Rep 43% 4 52 Dem 12% 13 73 1 Ind 21% 10 67 1 Men 22% 13 64 1 Wom 16% 10 72 1 Wht 26% 12 60 1 Blk 10% 12 78 Hsp 11% 12 74 2

11. Is your opinion of John Catsimatidis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 5% 7 87 1 Rep 15% 3 81 1 Dem 3% 8 89 1 Ind 6% 7 85 1 Men 6% 8 85 2 Wom 4% 6 89 1 Wht 7% 9 83 1 Blk 1% 7 92 Hsp 6% 2 90 2

12. Is your opinion of Adolfo Carrion favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 9% 6 83 1 Rep 5% 9 86 1 Dem 11% 6 81 1 Ind 7% 5 86 2 Men 9% 8 81 2 Wom 9% 5 85 1 Wht 6% 7 86 1 Blk 10% 8 81 1 Hsp 19% 4 75 2

13. Is your opinion of George McDonald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 5% 5 90 1 10% 6 83 3% 6 90 1 3% 3 93 1 5% 5 89 1 4% 5 90 1 3% 4 93 4% 5 91 8% 7 84 1

14. Is your opinion of Tom Allon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 5% 2 92 1 Rep 5% 2 92 2 Dem 4% 2 93 1 Ind 5% 1 92 1 Men 7% 3 89 1 Wom 3% 2 94 1 Wht 4% 2 93 1 Blk 5% 4 91 Hsp 6% 2 91 2

15. Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 48% 43 6 3 Rep 90% 4 3 3 Dem 38% 53 6 3 Ind 55% 37 3 4 Men 52% 43 4 2 Wom 46% 43 8 4 Wht 56% 40 3 2 Blk 32% 62 4 3 Hsp 52% 32 13 4

16. If Rudy Giuliani supports a candidate for mayor, is that a positive or a negative when you decide whether to vote for that candidate? Tot Positive Negative NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) DK/NA 42% 37 16 5 Brnx Positive Negative NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) DK/NA 45% 35 14 5 Rep 85% 4 10 1 Kngs 45% 36 15 5 Dem 32% 47 15 6 Man 33% 45 15 8 Ind 44% 29 21 5 Qns 42% 35 20 3 Men 41% 40 15 5 StIsl 52% 27 15 5 Wom 43% 34 18 6 Wht 45% 38 15 3 Blk 28% 50 14 8 Hsp 50% 27 14 8

20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve Disapprove DK/NA 48% 16 36 Brnx Approve Disapprove DK/NA 43% 17 40 44% 26 30 Kngs 57% 14 29 53% 12 34 Man 41% 16 44 40% 18 42 Qns 48% 17 35 49% 17 34 StIsl 47% 17 36 47% 15 38 49% 18 34 53% 19 29 42% 12 46

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? APPROVE....... High Low Jan 16 Nov 21 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 10 Nov 21 May 21 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2010 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 48 16 36 49 14 37 45 16 39 39 17 44 48 13 39 49 14 37 34 16 50

21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve Disapprove DK/NA 64% 18 18 Brnx Approve Disapprove DK/NA 59% 17 24 41% 39 20 Kngs 61% 20 18 73% 11 16 Man 66% 17 17 55% 23 22 Qns 68% 16 15 60% 23 16 StIsl 61% 25 15 66% 15 19 61% 23 15 75% 14 12 59% 15 26

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? APPROVE....... High Low Jan 16 Nov 21 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 10 Nov 21 Nov 25 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2008 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 64 18 18 65 18 18 56 27 17 55 24 21 57 23 20 65 18 18 40 29 31

22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46% 27 27 Brnx Approve Disapprove DK/NA 41% 25 35 Rep 39% 39 22 Kngs 51% 25 23 Dem 48% 22 29 Man 42% 29 29 Ind 44% 32 24 Qns 45% 29 27 Men 46% 33 21 StIsl 51% 32 17 Wom 46% 23 32 Wht 41% 35 24 Blk 58% 19 22 Hsp 41% 23 36

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? APPROVE....... High Low Jan 16 Nov 21 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 10 May 11 Dec 15 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46 27 27 48 22 30 43 31 26 40 32 28 41 32 27 57 14 30 38 35 27

23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lhota handled his job as head of the MTA? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36% 46 18 Brnx Approve Disapprove DK/NA 27% 54 19 Rep 55% 27 18 Kngs 43% 40 17 Dem 33% 47 20 Man 38% 39 23 Ind 36% 50 14 Qns 32% 50 18 Men 37% 47 16 StIsl 31% 58 11 Wom 35% 45 20 Wht 46% 34 19 Blk 23% 63 14 Hsp 27% 53 20

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lhota handled his job as head of the MTA? (*Asked is handling job) Jan 16 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36 46 18 Nov 21* 2012 38 45 17

27. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg should or should not use his personal wealth to support one of the candidates for New York City Mayor? Tot Should use wealth No, should not DK/NA 38% 51 11 Rep 36% 48 17 Dem 38% 53 9 Ind 39% 49 12 Men 37% 53 10 Wom 38% 50 12 Wht 42% 48 9 Blk 34% 55 11 Hsp 39% 53 8

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K Should use wealth No, should not DK/NA 37% 52 11 30% 59 11 45% 45 10

TREND: Do you think Mayor Bloomberg should or should not use his personal wealth to support one of the candidates for New York City Mayor? Jan 16 2013 Should use wealth No, should not DK/NA 38 51 11 Nov 21 2012 39 48 13