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2011
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2014
2015
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2018
2019 SHB-5
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
SHB-1
Gamma-1
SHB sidetrack
Source: Company.
The development plan for the OSOCO 1P reserves is presented below. (Costs in 2010 terms) Year (kbopd) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Source: Company. Production (kbopd) 2.04 2.08 1.74 1.38 1.10 0.86 0.66 0.53 0.43 0.35 0.28 0.23 0.19 0.15 0.12 0.06 0.04 Opex (US$mm) 3.7 3.8 3.2 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 Side-Track Well (US$mm) 3.5 -----------------
20
Investment Opportunity
period. The Company is expecting the Shukheir Bay crude to start trading at a 3% discount by October 2011. In order to achieve the 3% discount, the Company will have to spend US$ 1.4 million of capex in 3Q 2011. The capex will be spent on the installation of necessary pumps to accommodate for the change in the evacuation of crude. Moreover, oil produced from Gamma is currently benchmarked to Ras El Bihar crude. Figure 24 Gamma Nubia Upside Potential Figure 25 Gamma Rudeis Upside Potential
Source: Company.
Source: Company.
21
Investment Opportunity
forecast takes into account the GA 12 updip scenario with respect to the Gamma Field, as the two other scenarios are currently under evaluation. Figure 26 Total OSOCO & Upside Potential Production Profile
(bopd) 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 SHB-1 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Gamma-1
SHB-5
SHB sidetrack
G12 up dip
Source: Company.
Budgeted capital/operating expenditure for the development of Gamma for the year 2010 includes the drilling of one exploratory well with an estimated cost of US$6 million (GA-12 Updip). Operating expenses are estimated at US$5 /boe. The development plan for the 1P reserves and upside from OSOCO is presented below. (Costs in 2010 terms) Year (kbopd) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Source: Company. Production (kbopd) 2.04 3.98 3.45 2.70 1.96 1.42 1.02 0.77 0.58 0.45 0.35 0.23 0.19 0.15 0.12 0.06 0.04 Opex (US$mm) 3.7 7.3 6.3 4.9 3.6 2.6 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 Side-Track Well (US$mm) 3.5 ----------------Exploration (US$mm) 6.0 -----------------
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Investment Opportunity
4
4.1
Concession Overview
The Company received the award letter for the NEM concession in the EGAS 2006 bid round, with an effective date of July 17, 2007. The concession covers an onshore area of 3,120 km2 in North Sinai and is bound from the south by Gabal Magharah and by the Mediterranean shore line from the north. It benefits from good infrastructure exits at the northern part of the concession, which comprises the 36 Inter-Sinai National Gas Pipeline and the national coastal asphalt road to El Arish. Moreover, EGAS has designated an area adjacent to the NEM concession where any contractor may construct their facilities, thereby significantly reducing the processing time for the permits required for the construction of facilities. The concession is covered by different seismic vintages totalling 2,828 line km of 2D seismic data. Previous operators of the concession drilled seven wells, between 1973 and 1986, of which two wells had good gas shows. Several oil and gas discoveries have been found around the concession. The nearest are the onshore Fayrouz and Rommana discoveries to the west (Gas & Condensate in Early Miocene), the onshore Raad Field to the east (Gas in Mid Cretaceous), the Thekah Offshore Field to the northwest (Gas in Pliocene), the offshore Tinah discovery (Oil in Oligocene) and the offshore Mango discovery to the NE (Oil in Early Cretaceous). Under the Production Sharing Contract (PSC), the Company has a financial commitment to invest US$8 million over the initial exploration period of three years for the following activities: reprocessing of old seismic data, acquisition of new 3D seismic and the drilling of two exploration wells. As of the effective date, the Company has carried out a detailed geological assessment of the area, a petrophysical evaluation and bio-stratratigraphy analysis of available wells (reprocessing a total of 1,887 line km) and conducted a Geosat Study (phase I). 3D seismic data covering an area of 320 km2 is in the process of being processed following survey completion in mid December 2009. It is currently envisaged that it will take approximately four months to complete the processing, with drilling of the first exploratory well scheduled for the 2nd quarter 2010. Figure 27 Geographic Location
Source: Company.
23
Investment Opportunity
Source: Company.
Source: Company.
24
So ource: Company.