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MTECHTIPS:-Stronger $10,000/ton
China
growth
may
push
Copper
above
According to a liner regression model employed by Barclays, provided that China GDP grows at 9% in 2013, the average copper cash price in 2013 could rise to over $9,600/ton with an exponential peak of $10,300/ton in Q3 2013.The average price of $9,600/ton is up by 18% y/y and 21% from Barclays base case.Less than six months ago, commodity investors, producers and consumers were still concerned about a hard landing in China.However, China's GDP growth rebounded in Q4 12 to 7.8% y/y and we expect this momentum to extend into 2013. The spotlight is now shifting to the potential upside to Chinese growth. the report observed.Economic stabilisation, a ramp-up in infrastructure spending and a boost to domestic consumption could be upside catalysts after the 12th National Peoples Congress in March 2013.
With signals of economic recovery hitting the shores, crude oil prices were almost steady on the NYMEX as well as on ICE Futures.US economy added 157000 jobs in January, even as Chinese services PMI climbed at the fastest pace in the same month. Dollar was trading near the lowest level since November 2011 against Euro which added to the appeal of commodities.Theres been an unbroken sequence of decent economic news in recent times, and China services PMI and the employment figures were no exception, said Ric Spooner, a chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney to Bloomberg.That, together with some weakness in the U.S. dollar, is generally helping to support the oil market. he added.NYMEX WTI crude oil for delivery on March 13 was spotted trading at $97.56 a barrel, a loss of $0.20 or 0.21% as of 09.59 AM IST. Brent crude oil for delivery on the same date was seen trading at $116.53 a a barrel, a gain of $0.01 or 0.01% as of 10.01 AM IST.Meanwhile Syria's President Bashar al-Assad accused Israel of trying to "destabilise" Syria, the first of the possible volleys that may be fired between Syria and Israel; reports suggested that Israel fighter jets attacked Syrian targets last week.