Morning Note

15 Feb 2013
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DATA MATRIX OF LAST SESSION

INDEX Sensex Nifty Midcap Smallcap Close 19497 5897 6608 6583 %Chg -0.57 -0.61 -1.43 -1.86

FIRST LIGHT HEADINGS

GAIL Q3 profit rises 17.7% to Rs 12.84 bn Tata Motors Q3 disappoints, consolidated profit plunges 52% Wockhard Q3 profit doubles as margins surge SBI Q3 profit rises 4%, missing estimates Dr Reddy`s Q3 profit drops 29%

VALUE TRADED (Rs Crs)

BSE NSE F& O Total Total Volume 2166 12747 122635 137548

%Chg
6.12 15.32 26.26 24.79

MARKET INSIGHT
On Thursday 14 Jan 2013, stocks from Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) and Information Technology (IT) counters, were the pivotals which staged resilience, rest all the sectoral indices surrendering to the selling pressure ended in red. Stocks from Capital Goods, Oil & Gas, Auto and Realty counters were the worst performers of the session. Further, even PSU oil marketing stocks, failed to gain any momentum even as reports suggested of petrol and diesel prices to go higher as early as Friday. The market breadth on the BSE ended negative; advances and declining stocks were in a ratio of 781: 812 while 1368 scrips remained unchanged. On the global front, Asian pacific shares rose on improving risk sentiment while the yen steadied ahead of the weekend meeting of G20 finance and central bank officials, for clues to their views about global growth and the role currencies play in the economies of individual member countries. However, European shares fell on Thursday as growth data from the region's two largest economies came in weaker than forecast, throwing a first quarter recovery for the bloc into doubt. The BSE Sensex lost 110.90 points or 0.57% and settled at 19497.18. The index touched a high and a low of 19639.83 and 19639.83 respectively. 11 stocks were seen advancing while 19 stocks were declining and one stocks remains unchanged on the index (Provisional). The BSE Mid-cap index was down by 1.43% while Small-cap index was down by 1.86%. On the BSE Sectoral front, FMCG was up by 0.44%, IT up by 0.27% and Metal up by 0.04% were the top gainers, while Capital Goods down by 2.27%, Oil & Gas down by 1.59%, Auto down by 1.49%, Power down by 1.25% and Realty down by 1.21% were the losers in the space. India VIX, a gauge for markets short term expectation of volatility lost 0.33% at 15.09 from its previous close of 15.14 on Wednesday. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 44.30 points or 0.75% to settle at 5,888.65. The index touched high and low of 5,940.20 and 5,884.55 respectively. 19 stocks advanced against 31 declining and one stock remains unchanged on the index. (Provisional) Most Asian markets ended higher on Thursday, with investors looking ahead to an upcoming G20 meeting. Hong Kong stocks closed with strong gains on the first trading day in the year after three days of public holidays held to celebrate the Lunar New Year. Japan's Nikkei went home with green mark as the yen retreated again after posting strong gains on Wednesday, while there was little reaction to Bank of Japan's move to left its monetary policy steady. Markets in mainland China and Taiwan remained closed for public holiday.

NET INFLOWS (Rs Crs)

FIIs DIIs 321.3 (249.0)

%Chg
-59.86 -14.05

FII OPEN INTEREST (Crs)

FII Index Futures FII Index Options FII Stock Futures FII Stock Options 9058.22 48672.86 29634.40 2929.41

%Chg
4.37 0.20 -2.10 5.11

World Indices
Dow Jones Nasdaq FTSE 100 13973 3199 6327

%Chg
-0.07 0.06 -0.50

Commodity
Crude (US$/bl)

%Chg
97.5 1633.0 0.31 -0.63

Gold (US$/oz) Top 5 Movers GAIL HINDUNILVR TATASTEEL HDFCBANK ASIANPAINT

Close Price
335 463.45 381.6 673.95 4,529.15

%Chg
2.12 1.69 1.49 1.47 1.3

Top 5 Loser
SIEMENS BHARTIARTL BPCL POWERGRID MARUTI

Close Price
574 311.6 384.75 106 1,478.65

%Chg
-5.06 -4.4 -4.16 -3.55 -3.51

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SEBI SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431 Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, INPMS Regn No. INP000002387 Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd

Morning Note
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MARKET OUTLOOK- CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC

QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS: Snapping two consecutive session's gaining streak, Indian equity markets, resumed its declining trajectory as early euphoria sensed on account of better than expected WPI figures, fizzled away completely by the end of the trade, leaving the benchmark equity indices at the lowest point of the day. India's main inflation gauge, wholesale price index (WPI), which cooled down to four year low at 6.62% (Provisional) for the month of January, 2013. A negative start of European markets mainly added to the pressure of Indian equity markets. Thus, by the close, barometer 30 share index, Sensex, offloaded over 3 /4 of a percent, to end sub crucial 19500 bastion. Likewise, 50 share index, Nifty, on NSE, too taking a cut of over half a percent, concluded below the psychological 5900 level. For the upcoming sessions we believe spot index may continue its consolidation pattern around 5800-5780. Any sharp selling below this level with substantial volumes may further drag spot index towards 5650-5680 where possibility of bounce back cant be rule out. On the flip side 6030-6060 could be the crucial resistance levels. HAPPY TRADING..............

TODAY'S MARKET LEVELS

Index
SENSEX NIFTY BANKNIFTY

Support 2
19014 5822 12044

Support 1
19302 5866 12202

Previous Close
19497 5897 12330

Resistance 1
19775 5972 12622

Resistance 2
19910 6035 12898

Trend
Rangebound Rangebound Rangebound

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SEBISEBI RegnINB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 Reg.No: BSE: No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, INPMS Regn No. INP000002387 Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd

Website: www.moneysukh.com

Morning Note
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NAME
Varun Gupta Pashupati Nath Jha Vikram Singh

DESIGNATION
Head - Research Research Analyst Research Analyst

E-MAIL
varungupta@moneysukh.com pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com vikram_research@moneysukh.com

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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

For Private circulation Only

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SEBI SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431 Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, INPMS Regn No. INP000002387 Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd

Website: www.moneysukh.com