9.

Poblacin
8.0

7.0

6.0

5.0

4.0

3.0

20
2.0

1.0

0.0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

MINISTERIO DE ECONOMA
DIRECCIN GENERAL DE ESTADSTICA Y CENSOS- DIGESTYC
FONDO DE POBLACIN DE LAS NACIONES UNIDAS - UNFPA
CENTRO LATINOAMERICANO Y CARIBEO DE DEMOGRAFA - CELADE

REPBLICA DE EL SALVADOR
ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE POBLACIN
1950 - 2050

San Salvador, Revisado Mayo de 2010

Repblica de El Salvador
MINISTRO DE ECONOMA
Licdo. Ricardo Esmahan
VICEMINISTRA DE ECONOMA
Licda. Johanna Hill Dutriz
VICEMINISTRA DE COMERCIO E INDUSTRIA
Licda. Blanca Imelda Jaco de Magaa

DIRECCIN GENERAL DE

ESTADSTICA

CENSOS

DIRECTOR GENERAL
Lic. Miguel Angel Corleto Urey

DIRECTOR DEL PROYECTO VI DE POBLACIN Y VI DE VIVIENDA 2007

Lic. Edgar Roberto Guardado
ASESOR INTERNACIONAL
Lic. Manuel Rincn
Lic. Domingo Primante
Lic. Guiomar Bay
ASESOR NACIONAL
Lic. Sal Garca Carballo

EQUIPO TCNICO
Demgrafa: Ana del Carmen Eguizbal
Coordinadora de Metodologa y Capacitacin
Lic. Jos Mario Aquino
Lic. Jos Roberto Castaneda

DEPARTAMENTO DE IMPRESIONES
Sr. Ricardo Barrientos

NDICEDECONTENIDO
PRESENTACIN

11

INTRODUCCIN..

13

I.LASFUENTESDEINFORMACINSOCIODEMOGRFICASENELSALVADOR..

15

1.1EstimacinyProyeccindelosComponentesDemogrficos.19502010..

15

1.2NivelesdeTendenciadelaMortalidad.

16

1.2.2EstimacindelaMortalidadenlosprimerosaosdevida(0a5aos).

17

1.2.2EstimacindelaMortalidadde5aosymsdeedad..

19

1.2.3 ProyeccindelniveldelaMortalidadInfantil,porSexo..

20

1.2.4 EsperanzasdeVidaalNacer,porSexo.

21

1.3 NivelesyTendenciasdelaFecundidad..

23

1.3.1 EstimacinyProyeccindelaFecundidad.

23

1.3.2 EstimacindelaEstructuradelaFecundidadparaelperodo.19502005..

24

1.3.3 ProyeccindeNivelyestructuradelaFecundidadparaelperodo.
20052005..

25

1.4EstimacinyProyeccindelaMigracinInternacional..

26

II. CONCILIACINCENSALYPOBLACINBASE

28

2.1 EvaluacinCensal

29

2.2 ComposicinporSexoyEdaddelaPoblacinCensada.19502007..

29

2.3 EstimacindelaOmisinCensal.

31

III. RESULTADOSDELASPROYECCIONES..

32

IV. ANEXO.

57

4.1 Notaexplicativarelativaalaobtencindelaspoblacionesporaocalendarioy
poredadessimples.

59

4.2 PoblacinporaosCalendarioyEdadesSimples.19502050.

69

V. BIBLIOGRAFA

129

NDICEDECUADROS

CuadroNo.1 ElSalvador.TasasdeMortalidadInfantilporSexo,Estimadassegn
diversasFuentesyEstimacinadoptadaparacadaQuinquenio.
19502006...

17

CuadroNo.2 ElSalvador.ProbabilidaddeMuerteentre1y4aos(4q1) porsexo

Estimadasconbasealainformacindisponible.19502006...

18

CuadroNo.3 ElSalvador.EsperanzasdeVidaalNacimientoporSexoconBaseenla
informacindisponibleyEstimacionesQuinquenalesparaelPerodo.
19502005..

19

CuadroNo.4 ElSalvador.TasasdeMortalidadInfantilporSexoEstimadasyProyectadas
paralosQuinquenios.20052050.....

20

CuadroNo.5 ElSalvador.EsperanzadeVidaalNacerProyectadasporQuinquenio
segnSexo.20052050..

21

CuadroNo.6 ElSalvador.TasasGlobalesdeFecundidad(hijospormujer)yTasas
EspecificasdeFecundidadporGruposdeEdadyQuinquenio.
19502005.

24

CuadroNo.7 ElSalvador.TasasGlobalesdeFecundidad(hijospormujer)yTasas
EspecficasdeFecundidadporGruposdeEdadyEstimaciones
QuinquenalesparaelPerodo.20052050....

26

CuadroNo.8 ElSalvador.SaldosMigratoriosNetosEstimadosyProyectadospor
SexosegnQuinquenio.19502005..

27

CuadroNo.9 ElSalvador.ndicedeMasculinidadobservadoenlosCensos.
1950,1961,1971,1992y2007

30


CuadroNo.10 ElSalvador.OmisinporSexoyGruposdeEdad,estimadaenelCenso
dePoblacinde2007

32

CuadroNo.11 ElSalvador.TasasdeNatalidad,Mortalidad,TasasNetasdeMigracin

yTasasTotalesdeCrecimientoporQuinquenios.19502050(Tasas
pormil)...

34

CuadroNo.12 ElSalvador.PoblacinBaseporSexosegnGruposdeEdad.Ao1950..

36

CuadroNo.13 ElSalvador.EstimacinyProyeccindelaFecundidad,porTasaGlobal
deFecundidadyEdadMediadelaFecundidadsegnQuinquenios.
19502050.

37

CuadroNo.14 ElSalvador.EstimacinyProyeccindelasTasasEspecficasde
FecundidadporEdadsegnQuinquenios.19502050..

38

CuadroNo.15 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaporSexo.19502050.

39

CuadroNo.16 ElSalvador.EsperanzadeVidaalNaceryRelacionesdesobrevivencia
HombresyMujeres.....

40

CuadroNo.17 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaHombressegnGruposde
Edades.19502050.

42

CuadroNo.18 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaMujeressegnGruposde
Edades.19502050....

43

CuadroNo.19 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaAmbosSexossegn
GruposdeEdades.19502050...

44

CuadroNo.20 ElSalvador.NacimientosEstimadosyProyectadosporEdaddelaMadre,
segnQuinquenios.....

45

CuadroNo.21 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaHombressegnEdades
Simplesde5a24aos.19502050..

46

CuadroNo.22 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaMujeressegnEdades
Simplesde5a24aos.19502050..

47

CuadroNo.23 ElSalvador.PoblacinEstimadayProyectadaAmbosSexossegn
EdadesSimplesde5a24aos.19502050...

48

CuadroNo.24 ElSalvador.DistribucinRelativadelaPoblacin.19501995...

49

CuadroNo.25 ElSalvador.DistribucinRelativadelaPoblacin.20002050.

50

CuadroNo.26 ElSalvador.RelacionesdeMasculinidad(por100mujeres).
19502050....

51

CuadroNo.27 ElSalvador.Nacimientos,DefuncionesyMigrantesNetos,Estimadosy
ProyectadosporQuinquenios.19502050......

52

CuadroNo.28 ElSalvador.TasasMediasAnualesdeCrecimiento,TasasImplcitasy
TasasNetasdeMigracin(pormil)porQuinquenios.19502050..

53

CuadroNo.29 ElSalvador.RelacindeDependencia,NiosMujer,ndicede
MasculinidadyEdadMediana.19502050....................................................

54

CuadroNo.30 ElSalvador.TasasdeReproduccin,TasasdeFecundidadyEdadMedia
delaFecundidadporQuinquenios.19502050...........................................

55

CuadroNo.31 ElSalvador.EsperanzadeVidaalNaceryTasadeMortalidadInfantil,
porQuinquenios.19502050...........................................

56

NDICEDEGRFICOS

GrficoNo.1 ElSalvador.TasasdeMortalidadInfantilyEsperanzadeVidaalNacer
porSexoyPerodosQuinquenales.19502050.

22

GrficoNo.2 ElSalvador.TasaGlobaldeFecundidadTGF(hijospormujer),segn
DiversasFuentes.19502005...

24

GrficoNo.3 ElSalvador.TasaEspecficasdeFecundidadporedad,diferentes
Quinquenios.19502050...

25

GrficoNo.4 ElSalvador.TasasNetasdeMigracin,estimadasparaelPerodo
19502005.TasasProyectadas.20052050....

28

GrficoNo.5 ElSalvador.ndicedeMasculinidadporEdadessegnCensos.
(Hombresporcada100Mujeres)...

31

GrficoNo.6 ElSalvador.TasasdeNatalidad,Mortalidad,TasasNetasdeMigracin
yTasasTotalesdeCrecimiento,porQuinquenios.19502050.

34

GrficoNo.7 ElSalvador.EvolucindeEstructuraporSexoyEdaddelaPoblacin
entrelosaos.1950,1975,2000ysusPerspectivasdeCambioshacia
el2025y2050...

35

10

PRESENTACIN

La Direccin General de Estadstica

y Censos DIGESTYC ha logrado acumular nuevos e

importantes antecedentes que permiten analizar de manera amplia la Dinmica Demogrfica

del pas entre los aos 1950 2007, perodo en el cual a nivel mundial se produjeron cambios
importantes en los procesos demogrficos. De all surgieron las bases para la revisin de las
proyecciones de poblacin, resultados que se presentan en este documento.
La preparacin de las nuevas estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin para el perodo 1950
2050, fue posible mediante el uso de una amplia gama de datos aportados por variadas
fuentes. En primera instancia, los aportados por el VI Censo de Poblacin y V de Vivienda
levantado en el ao 2007, as como los obtenidos a partir de la informacin recogida en las
Encuestas

Nacionales de Salud Familiar FESAL-,

la Encuesta de Hogares de Propsitos

Mltiples, EHPM-2006 y con la informacin sobre nacimientos y defunciones del sistema de

Estadsticas Vitales y datos parciales sobre migracin internacional derivados de diversas
fuentes.
En este documento se presentan los antecedentes sobre la dinmica de la mortalidad del pas
en la segunda mitad del siglo XX y las perspectivas de evolucin hasta el ao 2050. De esta
manera se pone a disposicin del pas, y de los organismos internacionales, este material que
ser de mucha utilidad para mltiples usos y usuarios, en particular para los sectores de salud,
educacin, seguridad social, entidades aseguradoras, entre otros.

11

12

INTRODUCCIN
La poblacin en su proceso de evolucin cuantitativa y cualitativa est inmersa, de manera
permanente, a mltiples factores que le determinan sus caractersticas particulares de
crecimiento. Su dinmica est determinada, por factores asociados a las condiciones
particulares de reproduccin biolgica, la mortalidad y la movilidad territorial; factores
determinantes fundamentales del crecimiento y/o de crecimiento poblacional.
Una vez disponibles los datos del VI Censo Nacional de Poblacin y V de Vivienda, se dio inici
al proceso de anlisis de los datos para evaluacin de los resultados y para establecer las
caractersticas de la evolucin demogrfica a lo largo de los ltimos 50 aos del siglo XX de
donde se derivan los insumos fundamentales para la actualizacin de las proyecciones de
poblacin vigentes, considerando que las que se vienen utilizando estn sobreestimando el
volumen de poblacin residente en el pas.
En el documento se desarrollan y presentan los aspectos metodolgicos bsicos utilizados
para el anlisis de la dinmica demogrfica del pas y se entregan las estimaciones y
proyecciones de poblacin para el perodo 1950 2050. Esta revisin fue elaborada
conjuntamente entre la Direccin General de Estadstica y Censos (DIGESTYC) y el Centro
Latinoamericano y Caribeo de Demografa, CELADE Divisin de Poblacin de la CEPAL, con
apoyo del Fondo de Poblacin de las Naciones Unidas (UNFPA).
Estas nuevas cifras por sexo y edad, son fundamentales para la determinacin de los cambios
en las demandas sociales y la elaboracin de planes y programas en diversos campos del
desarrollo, tales como la generacin de empleos productivos, la produccin de bienes y
servicios econmicos, la construccin de establecimientos educativos y de salud, la formacin
de recursos humanos en estas reas, la construccin de viviendas y soluciones habitacionales,
entre otros de similar importancia.
Las estimaciones demogrficas de perodos recientes, puestos de manifiesto por las tres
ltimas encuestas: FESAL 1998, 2002/03 y 2008, ofrecen informacin sobre fecundidad y
mortalidad que es necesario tomar en cuenta, en los clculos bsicos y en la formulacin de
hiptesis de las proyecciones de poblacin.
Todos los elementos apuntan a sealar los logros en la reduccin de la mortalidad infantil y
general, la acentuacin del descenso de los niveles de fecundidad y un aparente y sostenido
incremento de la emigracin hacia el exterior. En este ltimo componente, la disponibilidad de
datos provenientes de los censos de la ronda del 2000 del Programa de Investigacin de la
Migracin Internacional (IMILA) del CELADE1, as como los datos especficos del Censo 2007 y
clculos indirectos han permitido visualizar las dimensiones de la migracin internacional,
variable que constituye un factor clave en la dinmica demogrfica del pas, en los aos ms
recientes.

CELADE (2006). Observatorio Demogrfico No. 1 Migracin Internacional. Abril de 2006. Santiago de Chile.

13

14

I.

LAS FUENTES DE INFORMACIN SOCIO DEMOGRFICAS EN EL SALVADOR.

Para construccin de la serie de indicadores utilizados para analizar las tendencias de las
variables demogrficas determinantes del crecimiento de la poblacin del pas se combinaron
elementos sobre estructura por edad y sexo de las estadsticas vitales, y las estimaciones
directas e indirectas sobre mortalidad infantil y juvenil, derivadas de otras fuentes. En este
caso se incorporan en el anlisis, de manera particular, los aportes de los censos de 1971,
1992 y 2007, las estadsticas vitales del perodo 1947 -2007 y, de otro lado, la informacin
suministrada por las Encuestas Nacionales de Demografa y Salud, FESAL 1998, 2002/03 y
2008, as como los aportes de la EHPM2006.
Se dispone igualmente con algunas otras estadsticas sectoriales, recogidas de forma continua,
las cuales se pueden asociar, de una u otra manera, con el crecimiento de la poblacin (se
trata entre otros de datos sobre matrcula escolar, vacunacin, construccin de vivienda,
consumo de agua y energa etc.).
De esta manera, basados en lo que, directa o
indirectamente, aportan todas estas fuentes, es posible caracterizar y analizar con mayor
profundidad aspectos fundamentales de la demografa nacional y sus caractersticas de
evolucin.
El anlisis de las tendencias demogrfica y el conocimiento de la cobertura de los censos que
se efecta dentro del proceso de validacin y conciliacin de la dinmica demogrfica entre
censos se orienta a establecer su cobertura, la calidad de los datos, la consistencia interna de
los mismos, consistencia entre las diversas variables censales, la consistencia con datos de
otros censos, su consistencia respecto a patrones universales y respecto a resultados de otras
experiencias o con otras estadsticas poblacionales del pas.
Se aplicaron modelos y tcnicas, como el de Brass y Preston, para la evaluacin de la
calidad y cobertura de la fuente bsica de informacin demogrficalas estadsticas vitales
y como uno de los puntos principales que sirven de soporte para la evaluacin y ajuste del
censo nacional de poblacin de 2007, principal punto de referencia sobre el volumen y
estructura por sexo y edad de la poblacin en el momento actual. Respecto a la calidad de
los censos se ha logrado establecer que la cobertura de las operaciones censales han
mejorado a lo largo de los aos y que el censo del ao 2007 puede considerarse como el
que ha logrado la ms amplia cobertura.

1. 1

Estimacin y Proyeccin de los Componentes Demogrficos 1950-2010.

La determinacin, de los niveles, tendencias y estructuras por sexo y edad de los componentes
demogrficos del cambio poblacional, en especial en perodos cercanos a la fecha base o de
inicio de la proyeccin, cumple al menos dos propsitos importantes. Por un lado, para
establecer el grado de consistencia entre los cambios resultantes de la interaccin de la
fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migracin - variables stas generalmente estimadas a partir de
encuestas y registros continuos - y los observados en las cifras de poblacin por sexo y edad
arrojadas por los ltimos censos de poblacin.

15

La determinacin en primera instancia de los niveles y estructuras por edad y sexo para cada
uno de los fenmenos demogrficos, en su trayectoria de evolucin histrica, a lo largo de los
casi 60 aos pasados (desde 1950 hasta la actualidad), constituyen elementos fundamentales,
para la elaboracin de las hiptesis en que se sustentan las proyecciones.
Todo ello soportado en ltima instancia en los procesos de comparacin y conciliacin de los
datos censales y las estimaciones demogrficas obtenidas para la mortalidad, la fecundidad y
migraciones internacionales del perodo, con lo cual se logra evaluar y ajustar los datos
censales y de all definir una poblacin base, como punto de partida para las presentes
proyecciones.

1.2

Niveles y Tendencias de la Mortalidad

Definir con precisin la tendencia y condicin de la mortalidad de la poblacin es uno de los

aspectos fundamentales que se abordan desde el campo del anlisis demogrfico como paso
previo de los programas de preparacin y/o actualizacin de las proyecciones de poblacin del
pas.
Es ampliamente reconocido que las condiciones de mortalidad estn asociadas a mltiples
factores de carcter biolgico, econmico, social, cultural e incluso poltico que deben ser el
marco de referencia en estudios en profundidad de esta materia. Sin embargo en esta etapa,
el enfoque y esfuerzo fundamental es evaluar, caracterizar y producir las mejores estimaciones
sobre la mortalidad por sexo y grupos de edad, conocimiento que resulta bsico para la
construccin de las tablas de vida o tablas de mortalidad.
Un indicador importante y ampliamente utilizado, para este propsito, es la Esperanza de Vida
al Nacer, cuya principal ventaja es, no estar afectado por la estructura por edad de la
poblacin. Este indicador como medida resumen de la mortalidad por edad, se deriva en
realidad de la construccin de una tabla de mortalidad, representa el nmero medio de aos
de vida que podran llegar a vivir un grupo de recin nacidos si estuvieran sujetos en cada
edad a los mismos riesgos de muerte que predominan en la poblacin en el periodo de tiempo,
regularmente un ao, al cual se refiere la tabla de mortalidad.
Las tablas de vida o tablas de mortalidad son el mejor instrumento para analizar la incidencia
de la mortalidad, en trminos del sexo y la edad, en virtud de que dicho modelo permite
establecer las probabilidades de vida y de muerte de una poblacin en funcin de sus edades.
Con dichos modelos se logra describir el comportamiento de la mortalidad del pasado y del
presente; adems, mediante una proyeccin se logran vislumbrar las perspectivas de cambio
futuro en las condiciones de mortalidad de la poblacin.
Para la construccin de las tablas de mortalidad, para el total del pas, se han utilizado el
conjunto de tasas de mortalidad por grupos de edad, que se calcularon con las defunciones
anuales, (un promedio de cinco aos centradas en las fechas censales), procedimiento con el
cual se busca obviar los posibles problemas de estacionalidad de la mortalidad y del
subregistro de los hechos vitales en el sistema de estadsticas vitales. El trabajo en definitiva
permiti construir una serie histrica de tablas de mortalidad, de donde se derivan las
funciones indispensables para la elaboracin de las proyecciones de poblacin.

16

1.2.1. Estimacin de la mortalidad en los primeros aos de vida (0 a 5 aos)

A partir de las diversas fuentes se estim las tasas de mortalidad infantil (1qo) para los
momentos censales as como para los quinquenios del perodo histrico (1950-2005).
En base al valor estimado de la mortalidad infantil de ambos sexos para cada quinquenio del
perodo 1950-2005, se determin una mortalidad infantil y una mortalidad entre 1 y 4 aos
para cada sexo, utilizando el diferencial por sexo que se pudo calcular a partir del registro de
nacimientos y defunciones del perodo.

EL SALVADOR.

Cuadro No. 1:
Tasas de Mortalidad Infantil por Sexo, Estimadas segn
Diversas Fuentes y Estimacin Adoptada para cada
Quinquenio. 1950-2006
Mortalidad infantil (por mil)

Aos

Hombres 1qo

Mujeres 1qo

Sobremortalidad
masculina

Cifras en las Fechas Censales

143.80
1.17

Factor de separacion fo
Hombres

Mujeres

0.340

0.340

1950

168.09

1961

133.54

113.20

1.18

0.292

0.309

1971

112.32

93.70

1.20

0.330

0.350

1983

84.24

69.00

1.22

0.267

0.268

1992

45.20

36.50

1.24

0.267

0.268

2006

23.91

0.236

0.240

0.33

0.33

1950-1955

19.00
1.26
Estimaciones Quinquenales
158.57
134.80
1.18

1955-1960

142.25

120.70

1.18

0.31

0.32

1960-1965

128.50

108.50

1.18

0.30

0.32

1965-1970

117.80

98.70

1.19

0.32

0.34

1970-1975

108.88

90.50

1.20

0.32

0.34

1975-1980

99.16

81.80

1.21

0.29

0.30

1980-1985

84.21

69.00

1.22

0.27

0.27

1985-1990

62.08

50.50

1.23

0.27

0.27

1990-1995

41.77

33.60

1.24

0.27

0.25

1995-2000

30.39

24.30

1.25

0.25

0.16

2000-2005

25.45

20.30

1.25

0.24

0.08

En los Cuadros 1 y 2 se presentan los valores de las tasas de mortalidad infantil y probabilidad de
muerte de los nios de 1 a 4 aos de edad (4q1) y por sexo, implcitas en las tablas de
mortalidad por sexo, construidas para el total del pas.

17

Cuadro No. 2
EL SALVADOR. Probabilidad de Muerte entre 1 y 4 aos (4q1) por Sexo
Estimadas con Base a la Informacin Disponible. 1950-2006
4q1

Aos

por mil

Hombres 4q1

Mujeres 4q1

Sobremortalidad
masculina

Cifras en las Fechas Censales

107.28
1.06

Factor de separacion 4f1

Hombres

Mujeres

1.352

1.380

1950

113.21

1961

95.80

87.66

1.09

1.421

1.399

1971

70.04

64.39

1.09

1.409

1.352

1983

46.76

42.41

1.10

1.125

1.264

1992

11.84

10.48

1.13

1.313

1.210

2006

5.29

1.444

1.336

1.368

1.386

4.70
1.13
Estimaciones Quinquenales
102.25
1.07

1950-1955

108.94

1955-1960

100.65

92.85

1.08

1.400

1.398

1960-1965

90.61

82.51

1.10

1.418

1.395

1965-1970

77.52

70.47

1.10

1.412

1.367

1970-1975

66.99

59.69

1.12

1.363

1.337

1975-1980

57.92

48.52

1.19

1.247

1.300

1980-1985

46.94

42.33

1.11

1.124

1.264

1985-1990

26.33

22.99

1.15

1.218

1.243

1990-1995

11.93

10.38

1.15

1.304

1.236

1995-2000

10.54

9.10

1.16

1.359

1.273

2000-2005

7.49

6.51

1.15

1.411

1.315

Fuente Tablas de Mortalidad Estimadas para el Pas

18

1.2.2. Estimacin de la Mortalidad de 5 aos y ms de edad.

El mtodo corrientemente utilizado para analizar las condiciones de mortalidad es calcular las
tasas centrales de mortalidad a partir de las defunciones por edad obtenidas de
Estadsticas Vitales y las cifras de poblacin de los censos, tambin por grupos quinquenales.
Utilizando informacin de la poblacin censal 1950, 1961, 1971, 1992 y 2007 y los promedios
de las defunciones por edad y sexo, de cinco aos centrados en los aos censales, se
determinaron las tasas centrales de mortalidad por sexo y grupos quinquenales de edad a
partir de los 5 aos de edad.
Con estas Tasas de Mortalidad y la Mortalidad de los menores de un ao y de 1 4 aos fue
posible construir una serie de tablas abreviadas de mortalidad por sexo.
Cuadro No. 3
EL SALVADOR. Esperanzas de Vida al Nacimiento por Sexo, con Base en la
informacin disponible y Estimaciones Quinquenales para el
Perodo. 1950-2005
Hombres
Aos

0
0

1950

41.41

1961

49.59

1971

53.66

1983

50.56

1992

63.04

2006

66.04

1950-1955

43.39

1955-1960

47.22

1960-1965

50.48

1965-1970

52.55

1970-1975

53.19

1975-1980

51.93

1980-1985

50.56

1985-1990

57.42

1990-1995

63.26

1995-2000

64.36

2000-2005

65.42

Mujeres

0
Ganancia
Ganancia
0
anual
anual
Cifras en las Fechas Censales
44.44
0.74
0.90
54.37
0.41
0.62
60.52
-0.26
0.31
64.18
1.39
0.94
72.65
0.21
0.20
75.51
Estimaciones Quinquenales
46.80
0.77
0.94
51.48
0.65
0.85
55.72
0.41
0.63
58.87
0.13
0.46
61.17
-0.25
0.31
62.73
-0.27
0.29
64.18
1.37
0.98
69.08
1.17
0.76
72.87
0.22
0.21
73.92
0.21
0.20
74.93

Diferencia
por sexo
3.03
4.78
6.86
13.62
9.61
9.47
3.41
4.26
5.24
6.32
7.98
10.80
13.62
11.66
9.61
9.56
9.51

Fuente: Tablas de Mortalidad estimadas para el pas

19

1.2.3. Proyeccin del Nivel de la Mortalidad Infantil, por Sexo.

i. Mortalidad infantil.
La mortalidad infantil es una de las principales preocupaciones de la sociedad y por supuesto
de las entidades encargadas de los planes y programas del sector salud. Adems la
mortalidad infantil tiene un peso importante en la determinacin de los niveles de la
Esperanza de vida al nacer.
Es por todo ello que en este caso, para construccin de las tablas de mortalidad del perodo
2005 2050, se consider importante efectuar una proyeccin de la mortalidad infantil por
sexo considerando para ello que su nivel continuar descendiendo de forma continua
aproximndose un valor de 10 por mil a mediados del siglo e incrementndose
paulatinamente la sobre mortalidad masculina. En el Cuadro 4 se muestran las tasas de
mortalidad infantil proyectadas.

Cuadro No. 4
EL SALVADOR. Tasas de Mortalidad Infantil por Sexo Estimadas y Proyectadas
para los Quinquenios. 2005-2050

Mortalidad infantil
Aos

Hombres 1qo

Mujeres 1qo

Sobremortalidad
masculina

Factor de separacion fo
Hombres

Mujeres

2005-2010

22.98

18.10

1.27

0.232

0.236

2010-2015

20.90

16.30

1.28

0.223

0.225

2015-2020

19.10

14.70

1.30

0.214

0.214

2020-2025

17.56

13.40

1.31

0.205

0.204

2025-2030

16.26

12.20

1.33

0.196

0.194

2030-2035

15.15

11.30

1.34

0.189

0.186

2035-2040

14.23

10.40

1.37

0.181

0.179

2040-2045

13.45

9.80

1.37

0.174

0.172

2045-2050

12.80

9.20

1.39

0.167

0.165

20

1.2.4 Esperanzas de Vida al Nacer por Sexo

Para proyectar las Esperanzas de Vida al Nacer por sexo entre 2005 y 2050 se utiliz el
procedimiento propuesto por las Naciones Unidas para cada sexo independientemente, segn
un ritmo medio de descenso de la mortalidad, posteriormente se controlaron los diferenciales
entre sexos. El Cuadro 5 resume las esperanzas de vida al nacimiento proyectadas para cada
uno de los quinquenios del perodo 2005 - 2050.
Las estimaciones de la mortalidad por sexo y grupos quinquenales de edad, interpolando las
probabilidad de muerte (q(x,5)) entre las tablas construidas para 1950, 1961, 1971, 1983,
1992 y 2006. Para la proyeccin de la estructura de la mortalidad (q(x,n)) se realiz una
interpolacin lineal entre las tablas de mortalidad estimadas para el ao 2006 y la tabla lmite
del CELADE. En el Cuadro 5 se entregan las esperanza de vida proyectadas en tanto que en el
Grfico 1, se muestran la evolucin de la Esperanzas de vida y las tasas de mortalidad infantil
por sexo, entre los aos 1950 y 2050

Cuadro No. 5
EL SALVADOR. Esperanzas de Vida al Nacer Proyectadas por Quinquenio segn
Sexo.
2005-2050
Hombres
Aos

0
0

2005-2010

66.45

2010-2015

67.45

2015-2020

68.45

2020-2025

69.45

2025-2030

70.45

2030-2035

71.25

2035-2040

72.05

2040-2045

72.85

2045-2050

73.65

Ganancia
anual

Mujeres
0
0

Ganancia
anual

75.89
0.20

Diferencia
por sexo
9.44

0.20
76.89

0.20

9.44
0.20

77.89
0.20

9.44
0.18

78.79
0.20

9.34
0.16

79.59
0.16

9.14
0.16

80.39
0.16

9.14
0.12

80.99
0.16

8.94
0.12

81.59
0.16

8.74
0.12

82.19

8.54

21

Grfico No. 1
EL SALVADOR. Tasas de Mortalidad Infantil y Esperanza de Vida al Nacer
por Sexo y Perodos Quinquenales. 1950-2050.
e() en aos

TMI (por mil)

180.0

90.0

160.0

80.0

140.0

70.0

120.0

1qo hombres

60.0

1qo Mujeres
Esperanza Hombres

100.0

50.0

Esperanza mujeres
80.0

40.0

60.0

30.0

40.0

20.0

20.0

10.0

0.0

0.0
1950-1955

1970-1975

1990-1995

2010-2015

2030-2035

Fuente: Cuadros 1 a 4

22

1.3 Niveles y tendencias de la fecundidad

Para analizar la dinmica de los componentes de esta variable, se consideran dos aspectos:
uno el nivel y otro la estructura. Para analizar el nivel de fecundidad se utiliza como indicador
general la Tasa Global de Fecundidad2 (TGF) y para establecer la estructura, las tasas
especficas de fecundidad por edad.
En las proyecciones de poblacin, las tasas de fecundidad por edad son utilizadas en el
modelo de componentes para generar el nmero de nacimientos que se espera ocurran
dentro de cada quinquenio. Los aspectos ms relevantes de la dinmica de la fecundidad de
la poblacin a lo largo de este perodo son, entre otros:

El importante y continuo proceso de reduccin de la fecundidad que se inicia en la

dcada de los 60 y 70. En 40 aos la fecundidad del pas se redujo en alrededor de
dos tercios del nivel que tena en los aos 60. Esto sin duda significa un proceso de
rpido cambio demogrfico.

La enorme coherencia que tienen las estimaciones de la fecundidad del pas, no

obstante que provienen de diversas fuentes (Grfico 3).

El paulatino cambio en la estructura general de la fecundidad con una tendencia a la

concentracin en edades jvenes y con una mayor participacin de las mujeres de
20 a 24 aos.

1.3.1. Estimacin y Proyeccin de la Fecundidad.

Con la informacin proveniente de las fuentes disponibles, se estimaron tasas globales y
especficas de fecundidad por edad, mediante la aplicacin de mtodos directos (censos,
encuestas y estadsticas vitales) e indirectos (mtodo P/F de Brass) de estimacin. para las
TGF del perodo histrico (1950-2005).
En funcin de los valores obtenidos de las diversas fuentes y el proceso de conciliacin
censal, se adoptaron valores de tasas globales de fecundidad para cada quinquenio del
perodo 1950-2005. El Cuadro 6 presenta los valores seleccionados de las tasas globales de
fecundidad para cada quinquenio.

La Tasa Global de Fecundidad representa el nmero de hijos que en promedio tendra cada mujer de una cohorte hipottica
de mujeres no expuestas al riesgo de muerte desde el inicio hasta el fin del perodo frtil y que, a partir del momento en que se
inicia la reproduccin, estn expuestas a las tasas de fecundidad por edad del momento de la poblacin en estudio.

23

Grfico No. 2
EL SALVADOR. Tasa Global de Fecundidad TGF (hijos por mujer), segn
Diversas Fuentes. 1950-2005
TGF

8,00
7,00
6,00
5,00
4,00
3,00

TGF Vitales

2,00

TGF Encuestas

1,00
0,00
1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

Aos

1.3.2. Estimacin de la estructura de la fecundidad para el perodo 1950-2005.

Para determinar la estructura de la fecundidad se analiz el comportamiento de las tasas
especficas de fecundidad por edad-f(x,n)- de las fuentes disponibles. En funcin de este
anlisis se obtuvieron las tasas por edad ajustndose al nivel de fecundidad estimado para el
perodo 1950-2005. El Grfico 3 ilustra los resultados para tres momentos del perodo 1950
2005 y dos quinquenios de la proyeccin, cifras que aparecen en el Cuadro 6 y Cuadro 7.
Cuadro No. 6
EL SALVADOR. Tasas Globales de Fecundidad (hijos por mujer) y Tasas Especficas de
Fecundidad por Grupos de Edad y Estimaciones Quinquenales para el
Perodo. 1950-2005.

Edades

19501955 19551960 19601965 19651970 19701975 19751980 19801985 19851990 19901995 19952000 20002005

1519

0.1526

0.1598

0.1637

0.1557

0.1508

0.1508

0.1434

0.1286

0.1172

0.1115

0.0919

2024

0.3078

0.3224

0.3303

0.3141

0.2962

0.2819

0.2566

0.2313

0.2102

0.1880

0.1435

2529

0.2873

0.3010

0.3083

0.2933

0.2709

0.2477

0.2169

0.1913

0.1728

0.1572

0.1279

3034

0.2386

0.2500

0.2560

0.2435

0.2203

0.1929

0.1615

0.1393

0.1217

0.1023

0.0831

3539

0.1770

0.1855

0.1900

0.1807

0.1615

0.1378

0.1121

0.0949

0.0818

0.0676

0.0512

4044

0.0735

0.0770

0.0789

0.0750

0.0718

0.0701

0.0654

0.0503

0.0365

0.0288

0.0185

4549

0.0228

0.0239

0.0245

0.0233

0.0182

0.0105

0.0038

0.0040

0.0053

0.0042

0.0036

Total

1.2596

1.3196

1.3517

1.2856

1.1897

1.0917

0.9597

0.8397

0.7455

0.6596

0.5197

TGF

6.30

6.60

6.76

6.43

5.95

5.46

4.80

4.20

3.73

3.30

2.60

24

Grfico No. 3
EL SALVADOR. Tasas Especficas de Fecundidad por Edad, diferentes Quinquenios.
1950-2050

0.3500
1950-1955

0.3000

1975-1980
2000-2005

0.2500

2020-2025
2045-2050

Tasas

0.2000

0.1500

0.1000

0.0500

0.0000

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

Edades

1.3.3. Proyeccin del nivel y estructura de la fecundidad para el perodo 2005 2050.
Para proyectar los niveles de fecundidad (las tasas globales de fecundidad TGF-) en este
perodo, se utiliz una curva logstica, modelo que expresa, de mejor manera y en forma
satisfactoria, el comportamiento y evolucin de la fecundidad en funcin del tiempo.
Los parmetros utilizados para este ejercicio, se basaron en los criterios de evolucin
propuestos por la Divisin de Poblacin de las Naciones Unidad, que plantean trabajar con una
funcin logstica tomando como asntota superior el valor de 7 hijos por mujer y para la
asntota inferior 1.75. El Cuadro 7 resume los valores de la TGF proyectados hasta el
quinquenio 2045-2050.
Las tasas de la fecundidad por edad -f(x,n)- se determinaron a partir del modelo relacional de
Gompertz tomando como estructura base la estimada para el quinquenio 1995-2000 (TGF de
3,30) y como estndar la estimada para el quinquenio 2005-2010 (TGF de 2.35). De este
manera se logra una mejor coherencia entre la evolucin de la estructura observada en el
perodo histrico, con la del perodo de proyeccin.

25

Cuadro No. 7
EL SALVADOR. Tasas Globales de Fecundidad y Tasas Especficas de Fecundidad por Grupos de
Edad Proyectadas para los Quinquenios. 2005 - 2050.

Edades 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045

2045-2050

15-19

0.0827

0.0814

0.0774

0.0739

0.0708

0.0681

0.0657

0.0642

0.0642

20-24

0.1288

0.1271

0.1214

0.1165

0.1122

0.1083

0.1049

0.1028

0.1028

25-29

0.1176

0.1160

0.1108

0.1063

0.1023

0.0987

0.0956

0.0936

0.0936

30-34

0.0758

0.0747

0.0712

0.0681

0.0654

0.0631

0.0610

0.0597

0.0597

35-39

0.0458

0.0451

0.0428

0.0409

0.0391

0.0376

0.0363

0.0355

0.0355

40-44

0.0159

0.0156

0.0148

0.0140

0.0134

0.0128

0.0124

0.0121

0.0121

45-49

0.0031

0.0030

0.0029

0.0027

0.0026

0.0024

0.0023

0.0023

0.0023

Total

0.4697

0.4629

0.4413

0.4224

0.4058

0.3910

0.3782

0.3702

0.3702

TGF

2.35

2.32

2.21

2.11

2.03

1.96

1.89

1.85

1.85

1.4. Estimacin y Proyeccin de la Migracin Internacional.

La movilidad espacial de la poblacin en general y la migracin internacional en particular, son
aspectos demogrficos que por lo general son de difcil determinacin. En el pas, se tiene una
informacin muy limitada pues no se dispone de adecuadas fuentes de informacin sobre esta
materia. De esta manera, aunque las estimaciones que se tienen no son suficientemente
precisas, se reconoce y desde hace mucho tiempo, que el pas se ha caracterizado por ser
eminentemente expulsor de poblacin.
Para la determinacin de este componente se consider informacin proveniente de:
i
ii
iii
iv

v
vi

Poblacin total de los censos de 1950, 1961, 1971, 1992 y 2007.

Poblacin censada residente en El Salvador nacida en pases extranjeros (inmigrantes,
Programa IMILA3).
Poblacin nacida en El Salvador y censada en otros pases (emigrantes, Programa
IMILA).
Poblacin nacida en El Salvador que en los censos nacionales realizados en el pas,
declararon que en un perodo anterior, por lo regular cinco ao antes, estaban
viviendo, en otro pas (inmigracin de retorno).
Datos de entradas y salidas.
Estimaciones indirectas.

Programa de Investigacin de la Migracin Internacional en Latinoamrica del CELADE.

26

Con estos antecedentes y el anlisis de la dinmica demogrfica del perodo 1950-2005, y

en base al proceso de conciliacin censal 1950 - 2005 se lograron establecer las
caractersticas por sexo y edad de la movilidad internacional en el pas, para quinquenios del
perodo indicado.
Del anlisis realizado se concluye que El Salvador se ha caracterizado por ser un pas de
saldo migratorio negativo (mayor emigracin que inmigracin), con una estructura
migratoria diferencial por edades, esto es, mayor emigracin de jvenes en edades de
trabajar. Tambin se destaca el hecho de que la migracin es una variable de suma
importancia en la dinmica de la poblacin del pas. Impacta no slo a la poblacin
emigrante adulta joven sino que tambin a la poblacin de menores de 5 aos, dado que
emigra un importante volumen de mujeres en edad frtil.
Con base en las estimaciones obtenidas y en el proceso de conciliacin censal, se estimaron
los saldos netos migratorios por sexo y edad de cada perodo. Para proyectarlos, se
consider un descenso gradual de la migracin neta y una mayor igualdad en la composicin
por sexo y edad de los saldos migratorios. Los saldos netos totales estimados y proyectados
se presentan en el Cuadro 8.
Cuadro No. 8
EL SALVADOR. Saldos Migratorio Netos, Estimados y
Proyectados por Sexo, segn Quinquenios. 1950 - 2050

Aos

Migracin neta

Tasas netas
de migracin
(por mil)

1950-1955

-69840

-6.03

1955-1960

-50520

-3.88

1960-1965

-12070

-0.80

1965-1970

-42580

-2.44

1970-1975

-96980

-4.87

1975-1980

-192600

-8.66

1980-1985

-253160

-10.49

1985-1990

-288400

-11.18

1990-1995

-249285

-9.03

1995-2000

-383760

-13.16

2000-2005

-339705

-11.34

2005-2010

-279710

-9.15

2010-2015

-223430

-7.12

2015-2020

-167640

-5.17

2020-2025

-109010

-3.24

2025-2030

-59890

-1.71

2030-2035

-26930

-0.74

2035-2040

-10520

-0.28

2040-2045

-3760

-0.10

2045-2050

-1080

-0.03

27

Grfico No. 4
El Salvador. Tasas Netas de Migracin estimada para el Perodo 1950 2005. Tasas
Proyectadas 2005 - 2050

0.0

Tasas netas de migraccin (por mil)

-2.0

-4.0

-6.0

-8.0

-10.0

-12.0

-14.0
1950-1955

1970-1975

1990-1995

2010-2015

2030-2035

Perodos Quinquenales

II. CONCILIACIN CENSAL Y POBLACIN BASE

Adems de establecer la dinmica de los componentes del crecimiento de la poblacin, uno
de los puntos ms importantes durante la preparacin de las proyecciones de poblacin tiene
que ver con la necesidad de establecer una poblacin base por sexo y grupos de edades. Esta
poblacin constituye el punto de partida del escenario poblacional que se va a construir y en
tal sentido, para que los resultados sean satisfactorios, debe buscarse que dicha poblacin
sea lo ms correcta posible en trminos de tamao y composicin por sexo y edad.
Estas poblaciones se obtienen de las cifras censales, evaluadas y corregidas, en cuanto a
cobertura y mala declaracin de la edad, pero adems conciliadas con los antecedentes sobre
el comportamiento pasado y reciente de la mortalidad, la fecundidad y la migracin.

28

2.1. Evaluacin Censal.

El censo es una fotografa de la poblacin en un momento dado, donde se empadrona a toda
la poblacin que reside o est presente en un determinado territorio en una fecha
determinada. La calidad y cobertura depender de la complejidad del proceso mismo: por el
tamao o dificultad de acceso del territorio censado; o por las caractersticas de la
informacin captada en el censo; o por la calidad de la capacitacin del personal involucrado
en el trabajo de campo; o por la complejidad del proceso de creacin y procesamiento de la
base de datos correspondiente (entre los ms frecuentes).
Por otra parte, adems de los problemas de cobertura, est el problema de calidad de la
informacin, asociados a errores en la informacin recogida. De estos errores el ms
frecuente es la mala declaracin de la edad, ya sea por la preferencia de dgitos o redondeo
de la edad (normalmente se prefiere los terminados en cero y cinco); ello ocurre cuando el
informante no es la persona sobre la cual se requiere ese dato, sino que un miembro del
hogar informa tambin por el resto de las personas del mismo.
Por lo anterior se justifica que al proceso de estimacin y proyeccin de la poblacin est
precedido por una etapa de evaluacin de la poblacin censada por sexo y edad. Esta
evaluacin puede ser realizada de manera directa por medio de las encuestas de postempadronamiento o de manera indirecta evaluando la dinmica demogrfica del perodo de
estimacin, 1950-2007 en este caso particular.
En el estudio realizado se ha estimado la omisin censal por sexo y edad de los cinco ltimos
censos por el mtodo de conciliacin censal, que considera la dinmica demogrfica del
perodo 1950-2007. Este proceso es dinmico; se realiza una primera conciliacin que orienta
en la revisin de las estimaciones de los componentes demogrficos analizando la omisin
censal, obtenida a partir de estimaciones iniciales. Posteriormente a la revisin de estas
estimaciones de los componentes demogrficos, se obtiene la omisin censal definitiva.

2.2 Composicin por Sexo y Edad de la Poblacin Censada. 1950-2007.

La composicin por sexo y edad de la poblacin captada en los censos de

poblacin,

constituye la base para las estimaciones demogrficas y el denominador de diversos

indicadores relacionados con caractersticas especficas de la poblacin en estudio. De ah la
importancia de cuidar la calidad durante el levantamiento censal y obtener una evaluacin de
la misma posteriormente.

29

Al analizar el ndice de masculinidad4, Cuadro 9, se observa un valor inferior a 100 en los

cinco censos analizados, como resultado de presentarse un menor nmero de hombres que
mujeres. Este valor estara indicando: una mayor emigracin de hombres que de mujeres,
una mayor omisin censal de hombres que de mujeres y, en buena medida, el efecto de la
mortalidad diferencial por sexo. Generalmente, la composicin por sexo de la poblacin total
censada, es el resultado de la combinacin de estos factores.

Cuadro No. 9
EL SALVADOR. ndice de Masculinidad observado en los Censos,
1950, 1961, 1971, 1992 y 2007.
Grupos de
Edades

1950

1961

1971

1992

2007

0-4

102.3

101.7

101.4

103.5

103.9

5-9

102.3

101.7

103.9

104.5

104.0

10-14

108.2

106.9

105.1

104.9

103.7

15-19

95.4

93.8

95.2

96.1

98.7

20-24

89.9

89.3

93.7

85.6

88.2

25-29

90.0

88.2

90.6

85.9

82.5

30-34

95.9

94.0

98.5

87.9

79.7

35-39

94.3

90.6

95.0

86.8

79.6

40-44

98.2

96.4

97.1

90.4

77.1

45-49

98.6

94.6

94.0

90.4

77.3

50-54

95.7

96.4

94.4

87.5

79.1

55-59

93.7

94.7

93.7

85.2

80.6

60-64

98.2

98.4

99.2

89.9

81.5

65-69

100.5

94.9

91.1

85.7

80.4

70-74

91.1

91.6

93.9

89.5

80.5

75-79

99.5

90.6

91.7

84.8

79.5

80 y+

74.0

76.0

73.0

76.2

73.6

Total

98.0

97.1

98.4

94.4

89.9

Fuente: Censos de Poblacin.

El ndice de masculinidad es el cociente entre la poblacin masculina y la poblacin femenina de la poblacin en estudio.
Tambin se puede obtener ndices de masculinidad por grupos de edades. En general se expresa en el nmero de hombres por
cada 100 mujeres. Un valor de 100 indica el equilibrio entre hombre y mujeres en la poblacin objeto del estudio; un valor inferior
a 100 indica un mayor nmero de mujeres y, consecuentemente, un valor superior a 100 mayor nmero de hombres que de
mujeres.

30

En el Grfico 5 se presentan los ndices de masculinidad de los sucesivos censos de poblacin

realizados entre 1950 y el ao 2007. En todos los casos los ndices de las primeras edades son
muy cercanos al valor 104,

valores muy prximos a la masculinidad al nacimiento pero es

claro que estos se reduce de forma importante en las edades adultas jvenes lo cual en este
caso se debe sin duda a los efectos de la sobre mortalidad masculina y seguramente al efecto
diferencial de las migraciones internacionales.
Grfico No. 5
El Salvador. ndice de Masculinidad por Edades segn Censos.
(Hombres por cada 100 Mujeres)
115
110

Indices de masculinidad

105
100
95
90
85

1950
1961

80

1971
1992

75

2007
70
65
0-4

10-14

20-24

30-34

40-44
EDADES

50-54

60-64

70-74

80 y+

Fuente: Censos de Poblacin.

2.3

Estimacin de la omisin censal.

El mtodo de conciliacin censal para determinar la cobertura de los censos, ms que un

procedimiento de tipo matemtico estadstico es un anlisis de la informacin con criterios
demogrficos, basados en el conocimiento y la experiencia acumulada sobre los problemas de
la informacin. El resultado final es una descripcin coherente de la dinmica demogrfica,
considerada para el perodo de anlisis entre los cinco censos en cuestin. Esta dinmica
incluye la estimacin de la poblacin por sexo y edad, as como de los componentes que
explican su evolucin (fecundidad, mortalidad y migracin internacional).
La dinmica demogrfica depende esencialmente de las variables demogrficas fecundidad,
mortalidad y migraciones. Se utiliza universalmente el conocido Mtodo de los Componentes
Demogrficos para proyectar y analizar poblaciones, y que se apoya en la consideracin
independiente de cada una de estas tres variables. Esa misma tcnica fue utilizada en este
trabajo para ajustar y corregir la poblacin para el 30 de Junio de 1950 y hacer la correccin
de los censos del perodo 1950-2007.

31

La ventaja de utilizar este mtodo es que se logra una mayor coherencia entre la dinmica
poblacional estimada y los censos de poblacin. De esta manera se obtiene un perodo
histrico, cuya tendencia de las variables demogrficas ser la base para la proyeccin que se
realizar. Adems se obtiene una estimacin de la omisin censal de forma indirecta. En el
Cuadro 10 se presentan las poblaciones censadas y corregidas del ao 2007.

Cuadro No. 10
El Salvador. Omisin por Sexo y Grupos Edad, estimada en el Censo de Poblacin de 2007.
ESTIMADA AL 30 DE JUNIO
Grupos de CENSADA Y LLEVADA AL 30 DE JUNIO
Edad
Hombres
Mujeres
Total
Hombres Mujeres
Total
Total

2,722,264

3,027,953 5,750,217 2,887,804 3,210,911 6,098,714

0-4

283589

272923

556,512

313847

300222

5-9

349524

335928

685,452

355765

10-14

359911

347183

707,094

15-19

298689

302492

20-24

228247

25-29

OMISION ESTIMADA
Hombres Mujeres

Total

5.73

5.70

5.71

614069

9.64

9.09

9.37

340872

696637

1.75

1.45

1.61

383359

366878

750237

6.12

5.37

5.75

601,181

324723

330414

655136

8.02

8.45

8.24

258817

487,064

249065

282402

531468

8.36

8.35

8.35

207185

251213

458,398

202972

250901

453873

-2.08

-0.12

-1.00

30-34

178593

224093

402,686

182630

231534

414164

2.21

3.21

2.77

35-39

156685

196840

353,525

164963

209202

374165

5.02

5.91

5.52

40-44

132357

171592

303,949

141606

180931

322537

6.53

5.16

5.76

45-49

110067

142315

252,383

119896

152832

272728

8.20

6.88

7.46

50-54

95373

120587

215,959

103625

130209

233835

7.96

7.39

7.64

55-59

81808

101464

183,272

88839

110901

199740

7.91

8.51

8.24

60-64

68279

83747

152,026

75083

93079

168162

9.06

10.03

9.60

65-69

55837

69445

125,282

62495

77290

139786

10.65

10.15

10.38

70-74

43494

54061

97,555

48906

61059

109965

11.07

11.46

11.29

75-79

33690

42369

76,058

33881

43012

76892

0.56

1.49

1.08

80 y ms

38937

52884

91,821

36147

49174

85321

-7.72

-7.54

-7.62

III.- RESULTADOS DE LAS PROYECCIONES

En este punto se presentan las cifras de poblacin por sexo y grupos quinquenales de edad
para cada uno de los aos iniciales de los quinquenios en el periodo 1950-2050, junto con los
cuadros resumen de la dinmica demogrfica y sus indicadores bsicos en el horizonte de la
proyeccin. Se presenta un breve resumen a manera de ilustracin sobre algunos de los
principales resultados que se derivan de estas proyecciones nacionales. Desde luego su
utilidad es mucho ms amplia y se espera que los usuarios puedan aprovecharlas
extensamente.

32

El Salvador es un pas que se encuentra en una etapa de plena transicin demogrfica5,

presenta unos niveles de fecundidad y mortalidad relativamente bajos. Esta particularidad se
resume en una poblacin con tasas de crecimiento bajas y con una estructura por edades de
una poblacin en proceso de envejecimiento.
En la medida que se considera que continuar el avance del proceso de transicin
demogrfica, se tendr un menor crecimiento y una estructura ms envejecida. No se puede
dejar de mencionar que el proceso migratorio observado en el pas acelera este proceso. El
Cuadro 11 y Grfico 6, ilustran el efecto de este proceso de transicin de las variables
demogrficas y en las transformaciones ocurridas y las que van a ocurrir en la estructura por
sexo y edad de la poblacin en la medida en que se cumplan los supuestos de evolucin de
las variables demogrficas.
La poblacin se acercara a los 6,2 millones de habitantes en el ao 2010 (1,2 millones menos
que la proyeccin anterior) y a los 6,9 millones en el ao 2025. El nmero de nacimientos
mantiene su tendencia hasta un poco ms de cien mil anuales hacia mediados del siglo. El
volumen de defunciones crecera rpidamente desde un poco ms de 40 mil anuales en el
momento actual, hasta unas 65 mil al final de la proyeccin.
Como consecuencia de los cambios en el nivel y en la estructura de la mortalidad, el peso
relativo de las muertes de menores de un ao, se reduce drsticamente, pasando de 33.3% en
el quinquenio 1950-1955 al 6,1% para el periodo 2005-2010, a 4,0%, en el quinquenio 20202025 y a menos del 2% para el periodo 2045-2050.
Bajo los supuestos con los cuales se elaboraron estos nuevos escenarios demogrficos, se
producira una reduccin substancial en el ritmo de crecimiento de la poblacin que conlleva a
un envejecimiento de la poblacin, en tal forma que su edad mediana se incrementa un poco
mas de 7 aos entre los aos 2005 y el 2025, pasando de 22,7 a 29.8 aos, aumentado otros
7 aos al 2050, donde la edad mediana alcanzara a 36.7 aos. Este envejecimiento implica un
incremento de la poblacin mayor de 60 aos que pasa de representar un 9,2% en el 2005, a
un 12,6 % en el ao 2025, y a un 19,3% en el 2050.
En el Grfico 6 se representan las tendencias histricas del avance de la transicin de las
variables demogrficas entre 1950 y el ao 2005 y las perspectivas de avance que en esa
materia se llegara a producir hasta mediados del presente siglo. Por su parte, en el Grfico 7
se ilustran las estructuras por sexo y edad en 5 momentos, pudindose observar los cambios
ocurridos y los esperados hasta mediados del prximo siglo.

5
Por transicin demogrfica se entiende el paso de niveles altos a bajos de las tasas de natalidad y las tasas de mortalidad, consecuentemente pasando de tasas
de crecimiento natural (natalidad-mortalidad) bajas a altas y nuevamente a tasas muy bajas de crecimiento, una vez terminada la transicin.

33

Cuadro No. 11.

El Salvador: Tasas de Natalidad, Mortalidad, Tasas
Netas de Migracin y Tasas Totales de Crecimiento por
Quinquenios. 1950-2050 (Tasas por mil)
Perodos
quinquenales

Tasas brutas de Tasas brutas de Tasas netas

natalidad
mortalidad
de migracin

1950-1955
1955-1960
1960-1965
1965-1970
1970-1975
1975-1980
1980-1985
1985-1990
1990-1995
1995-2000
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2025-2030
2030-2035
2035-2040
2040-2045
2045-2050

46.83
47.99
47.57
44.49
41.96
39.86
36.03
32.69
30.31
27.41
21.87
20.43
20.90
19.98
18.32
16.60
15.31
14.37
13.67
13.18

20.69
17.95
15.52
13.55
12.33
11.99
11.66
8.81
6.97
6.90
6.83
6.89
7.02
7.11
7.14
7.18
7.32
7.56
7.88
8.25

-6.03
-3.88
-0.80
-2.44
-4.87
-8.66
-10.49
-11.18
-9.03
-13.16
-11.34
-9.15
-7.12
-5.17
-3.24
-1.71
-0.74
-0.28
-0.10
-0.03

Tasas medias
anuales de
crecimiento
exponencial
20.13
26.18
31.29
28.52
24.77
19.21
13.91
12.79
14.40
7.39
3.71
4.37
5.93
7.16
8.17
7.88
7.27
6.46
5.63
4.90

Grfico No. 6.
El Salvador: Tasas de Natalidad, Mortalidad, Tasas Netas de
Migracin y Tasas Totales de Crecimiento, por Quinquenios. 1950-2050
1950-1955

1965-1970

1980-1985

1995-2000

2010-2015

2025-2030

2040-2045

60.00

Tasa bruta de natalidad

50.00

Tasa bruta de mortalidad

Tasa neta de migracin

Tasas por mil

40.00

Tasa de crecimiento

30.00

20.00

10.00

0.00

-10.00

-20.00

34

Grfico No.7
El Salvador. Evolucin de la Estructura por Sexo y Edad de la Poblacin entre los aos 1950, 1975, y
2000 y sus Perspectivas de Cambios hacia el 2025 y 2050.
1975

1950

80 y ms

80 y ms

70 - 74

70 - 74
Mujeres

60 - 64

Mujeres

60 - 64

Hombres

Edad

Edad

50 - 54
40 - 44

40 - 44

30 - 34

30 - 34

20 - 24

20 - 24

10 - 14

10 - 14

0-4

Hombres

50 - 54

0-4

-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10

-0.10

-0.05

Porcetaje
2000

0.10

80 y ms

70 - 74

70 - 74

60 - 64

Mujeres

50 - 54

Mujeres

60 - 64

Hombres

Edad

Edad

0.05

2025

80 y ms

40 - 44

Hombres

50 - 54
40 - 44

30 - 34

30 - 34

20 - 24

20 - 24

10 - 14

10 - 14

0- 4
-0.10

0.00
Porcentaje

0-4

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10

-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10

Porcentaje

Porcentaje
2050

80 y ms
70 - 74

Edad

60 - 64

Mujeres
Hombres

50 - 54
40 - 44
30 - 34
20 - 24
10 - 14
0-4
-0.10

-0.05

0.00

0.05

0.10

Porcentaje

Como anexo se presentan los resultados de la estimacin y proyeccin de la poblacin por

sexo y grupos de edad, as como de los componentes del cambio, mortalidad, fecundidad y
migracin internacional. El siguiente es el conjunto de los principales cuadros que se derivan
del programa de proyecciones por componentes.

35

Cuadro No. 12
El Salvador. Poblacin Base por Sexo, segn Grupos de Edad. Ao 1950
POBLACIN 1950

GRUPOS DE EDAD
HOMBRES

TOTAL

MUJERES

TOTAL

1,085,452

1,114,445

2,199,897

0-4

183,962

180,790

364,752

5-9

153,365

151,512

304,877

10 - 14

135,706

134,315

270,021

15 - 19

112,539

116,445

228,984

20 - 24

90,186

96,555

186,741

25 - 29

77,963

84,891

162,854

30 - 34

64,917

70,612

135,529

35 - 39

54,490

58,290

112,780

40 - 44

47,035

48,667

95,702

45 - 49

40,209

40,498

80,707

50 - 54

33,760

33,853

67,613

55 - 59

27,888

27,985

55,873

60-64

22,648

23,518

46,166

65-69

17,475

18,749

36,224

70-74

12,223

13,793

26,016

75-79

7,195

8,480

15,675

80 y ms

3,891

5,492

9,383

36

El Salvador.

Cuadro No. 13.

Estimacin y Proyeccin de la Fecundidad por Tasa Global de
Fecundidad y Edad Media de la Fecundidad segn Quinquenios
1950 2050

QUINQUENIOS

TASA GLOBAL DE
FECUNDIDAD

EDAD MEDIA

1950-1955

6.30

28.66

1955-1960

6.60

28.66

1960-1965

6.76

28.66

1965-1970

6.43

28.66

1970-1975

5.95

28.48

1975-1980

5.46

28.13

1980-1985

4.80

27.78

1985-1990

4.20

27.54

1990-1995

3.73

27.31

1995-2000

3.30

26.97

2000-2005

2.60

26.81

2005-2010

2.35

26.79

2010-2015

2.22

26.78

2015-2020

2.13

26.77

2020-2025

2.11

26.77

2025-2030

2.03

26.77

2030-2035

1.96

26.76

2035-2040

1.89

26.76

2040-2045

1.85

26.76

2045-2050

1.85

26.76

37

Cuadro No. 14.

El Salvador. Estimacin y Proyeccin de las Tasas Especficas de Fecundidad por Edad segn
Quinquenios. 1950 2050
TASAS ESPECFICAS POR EDAD (POR MUJER)
QUINQUENIOS
15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

1950-1955

0.1526

0.3078

0.2873

0.2386

0.1770

0.0735

0.0228

1955-1960

0.1598

0.3224

0.3010

0.2500

0.1855

0.0770

0.0239

1960-1965

0.1637

0.3303

0.3083

0.2560

0.1900

0.0789

0.0245

1965-1970

0.1557

0.3141

0.2933

0.2435

0.1807

0.0750

0.0233

1970-1975

0.1508

0.2962

0.2709

0.2203

0.1615

0.0718

0.0182

1975-1980

0.1508

0.2819

0.2477

0.1929

0.1378

0.0701

0.0105

1980-1985

0.1434

0.2566

0.2169

0.1615

0.1121

0.0654

0.0038

1985-1990

0.1286

0.2313

0.1913

0.1393

0.0949

0.0503

0.0040

1990-1995

0.1172

0.2102

0.1728

0.1217

0.0818

0.0365

0.0053

1995-2000

0.1115

0.1880

0.1572

0.1023

0.0676

0.0288

0.0042

2000-2005

0.0919

0.1435

0.1279

0.0831

0.0512

0.0185

0.0036

2005-2010

0.0827

0.1288

0.1176

0.0758

0.0458

0.0159

0.0031

2010-2015

0.0779

0.1222

0.1115

0.0716

0.0431

0.0149

0.0029

2015-2020

0.0745

0.1175

0.1071

0.0687

0.0412

0.0142

0.0027

2020-2025

0.0739

0.1165

0.1063

0.0681

0.0409

0.0140

0.0027

2025-2030

0.0708

0.1122

0.1023

0.0654

0.0391

0.0134

0.0026

2030-2035

0.0681

0.1083

0.0987

0.0631

0.0376

0.0128

0.0024

2035-2040

0.0657

0.1049

0.0956

0.0610

0.0363

0.0124

0.0023

2040-2045

0.0642

0.1028

0.0936

0.0597

0.0355

0.0121

0.0023

2045-2050

0.0642

0.1028

0.0936

0.0597

0.0355

0.0121

0.0023

38

Cuadro No. 15.

El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada por Sexo. 1950 2050
AO

POBLACIN
TOTAL

HOMBRES

MUJERES

1950

2,199,897

1,085,452

1,114,445

1955

2,432,783

1,200,836

1,231,947

1960

2,773,055

1,369,762

1,403,293

1965

3,242,690

1,608,015

1,634,675

1970

3,739,784

1,860,642

1,879,142

1975

4,232,876

2,094,007

2,138,869

1980

4,659,533

2,291,482

2,368,051

1985

4,995,213

2,438,133

2,557,080

1990

5,325,115

2,591,081

2,734,034

1995

5,722,596

2,770,712

2,951,884

2000

5,938,146

2,852,261

3,085,885

2005

6,049,412

2,874,929

3,174,483

2010

6,183,002

2,913,743

3,269,259

2015

6,369,224

2,983,568

3,385,656

2020

6,601,411

3,080,833

3,520,578

2025

6,876,814

3,205,097

3,671,717

2030

7,153,328

3,335,150

3,818,178

2035

7,418,295

3,463,123

3,955,172

2040

7,661,759

3,583,990

4,077,769

2045

7,880,563

3,695,631

4,184,932

2050

8,076,089

3,798,798

4,277,291

39

Cuadro No. 16 El Salvador. Esperanza de Vida al Nacer y Relaciones de Sobrevivencia Hombres y Mujeres
EDADES

0-0/0-4
0-4/5-9
5-9/10-14
10-14/15-19
15-19/20-24
20-24/25-29
25-29/30-34
30-34/35-39
35-39/40-44
40-44/45-49
45-49/50-54
50-54/55-59
55-59/60-64
60-64/65-69
65-69/70-74
70-74/75-79
75+/80+

EDADES

0-0/ 0-4
0- 4/ 5- 9
5-9/10-14
10-14/15-19
15-19/20-24
20-24/25-29
25-29/30-34
30-34/35-39
35-39/40-44
40-44/45-49
45-49/50-54
50-54/55-59
55-59/60-64
60-64/65-69
65-69/70-74
70-74/75-79
75+/80+

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1950-1955
45.05
43.39
46.80
0.80360
0.82792
0.91634
0.92127
0.97472
0.97498
0.98089
0.98315
0.96907
0.97604
0.95987
0.97004
0.95574
0.96419
0.95216
0.95889
0.94501
0.95159
0.93316
0.94101
0.91954
0.93049
0.89880
0.91438
0.86443
0.87930
0.82070
0.83615
0.75504
0.77726
0.62400
0.65110
0.38114
0.41910

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1955-1960
49.30
47.22
51.48
0.82157
0.84450
0.92717
0.93289
0.98200
0.98262
0.98560
0.98764
0.97603
0.98288
0.96812
0.97908
0.96440
0.97444
0.96157
0.96934
0.95626
0.96336
0.94580
0.95427
0.93139
0.94296
0.90952
0.92524
0.87626
0.89505
0.83051
0.85636
0.76711
0.80131
0.66488
0.70725
0.44321
0.50490

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1960-1965
53.04
50.48
55.72
0.83843
0.86006
0.93673
0.94285
0.98682
0.98772
0.98885
0.99101
0.98085
0.98792
0.97374
0.98559
0.97031
0.98196
0.96776
0.97705
0.96330
0.97175
0.95371
0.96384
0.93904
0.95254
0.91657
0.93454
0.88459
0.90785
0.83729
0.87103
0.77668
0.81921
0.69533
0.74693
0.48667
0.55709

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1965-1970
55.63
52.55
58.87
0.85433
0.87454
0.94501
0.95105
0.98830
0.98983
0.99013
0.99310
0.98271
0.99089
0.97573
0.98914
0.97246
0.98629
0.96951
0.98161
0.96445
0.97617
0.95505
0.96912
0.94086
0.95883
0.91856
0.94227
0.88813
0.91738
0.84000
0.87928
0.78294
0.82989
0.71104
0.76600
0.50827
0.57707

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1970-1975
57.08
53.19
61.17
0.86660
0.88667
0.95275
0.95869
0.98953
0.99141
0.98898
0.99382
0.97843
0.99183
0.97095
0.99058
0.96918
0.98837
0.96610
0.98394
0.96069
0.97836
0.95152
0.97150
0.93797
0.96157
0.91671
0.94637
0.88890
0.92348
0.84340
0.88665
0.78878
0.83817
0.72102
0.77716
0.52898
0.59064

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1975-1980
57.20
51.93
62.73
0.87794
0.89907
0.96101
0.96701
0.99067
0.99265
0.98411
0.99301
0.96440
0.99051
0.95532
0.98975
0.95734
0.98812
0.95453
0.98400
0.94903
0.97828
0.94022
0.97084
0.92762
0.96055
0.90892
0.94684
0.88580
0.92655
0.84854
0.89431
0.79522
0.84498
0.72480
0.78078
0.55138
0.59943

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1980-1985
57.20
50.56
64.18
0.89556
0.91313
0.97021
0.97231
0.99204
0.99333
0.97804
0.99255
0.94701
0.98975
0.93581
0.98927
0.94261
0.98796
0.94017
0.98402
0.93452
0.97820
0.92617
0.97043
0.91472
0.95992
0.89917
0.94704
0.88180
0.92822
0.85473
0.89856
0.80290
0.84869
0.72923
0.78269
0.57313
0.60702

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1985-1990
63.11
57.42
69.08
0.92749
0.94017
0.98173
0.98429
0.99449
0.99571
0.98585
0.99461
0.96675
0.99262
0.95743
0.99195
0.95805
0.99055
0.95470
0.98734
0.94948
0.98291
0.94193
0.97657
0.93128
0.96794
0.91570
0.95583
0.89895
0.93853
0.87027
0.91111
0.82258
0.86660
0.75504
0.80306
0.58292
0.61742

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1990-1995
67.95
63.26
72.87
0.95428
0.96254
0.99033
0.99229
0.99619
0.99726
0.99141
0.99596
0.98088
0.99450
0.97287
0.99371
0.96913
0.99225
0.96497
0.98950
0.95996
0.98597
0.95294
0.98055
0.94277
0.97317
0.92710
0.96153
0.91076
0.94521
0.88079
0.91924
0.83589
0.87824
0.77218
0.81612
0.59062
0.62462

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1995-2000
69.02
64.36
73.92
0.96575
0.97165
0.99176
0.99383
0.99648
0.99745
0.99138
0.99614
0.98043
0.99458
0.97177
0.99373
0.96819
0.99237
0.96521
0.98984
0.96081
0.98642
0.95409
0.98112
0.94433
0.97381
0.92922
0.96252
0.91302
0.94651
0.88378
0.92074
0.84038
0.88045
0.77952
0.81975
0.59753
0.62608

40

Cuadro No. 16 El Salvador. Esperanza de Vida al Nacer y Relaciones de Sobrevivencia, Hombre y Mujeres.

EDADES

0-0/0-4
0-4/5-9
5-9/10-14
10-14/15-19
15-19/20-24
20-24/25-29
25-29/30-34
30-34/35-39
35-39/40-44
40-44/45-49
45-49/50-54
50-54/55-59
55-59/60-64
60-64/65-69
65-69/70-74
70-74/75-79
75+/80+

EDADES

0-0/0-4
0-4/5-9
5-9/10-14
10-14/15-19
15-19/20-24
20-24/25-29
25-29/30-34
30-34/35-39
35-39/40-44
40-44/45-49
45-49/50-54
50-54/55-59
55-59/60-64
60-64/65-69
65-69/70-74
70-74/75-79
75+/80+

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2000-2005
70.06
65.42
74.93
0.97201
0.97658
0.99385
0.99563
0.99710
0.99785
0.99131
0.99649
0.97944
0.99474
0.96936
0.99378
0.96610
0.99260
0.96573
0.99051
0.96266
0.98733
0.95660
0.98225
0.94775
0.97510
0.93385
0.96449
0.91798
0.94914
0.89033
0.92376
0.85023
0.88488
0.79565
0.82706
0.60638
0.62833

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2005-2010
71.05
66.45
75.89
0.97553
0.98038
0.99542
0.99610
0.99761
0.99818
0.99149
0.99683
0.97931
0.99501
0.96851
0.99399
0.96556
0.99297
0.96699
0.99123
0.96488
0.98828
0.95936
0.98348
0.95124
0.97660
0.93836
0.96672
0.92280
0.95213
0.89648
0.92756
0.85896
0.89046
0.80903
0.83569
0.61265
0.63216

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2010-2015
72.05
67.45
76.89
0.97767
0.98230
0.99577
0.99648
0.99776
0.99834
0.99211
0.99712
0.98085
0.99546
0.97085
0.99453
0.96805
0.99357
0.96927
0.99195
0.96715
0.98921
0.96180
0.98477
0.95390
0.97837
0.94137
0.96916
0.92603
0.95552
0.90018
0.93258
0.86319
0.89780
0.81343
0.84610
0.61420
0.63883

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2015-2020
73.05
68.45
77.89
0.97955
0.98403
0.99610
0.99683
0.99791
0.99850
0.99272
0.99741
0.98237
0.99591
0.97317
0.99505
0.97054
0.99416
0.97154
0.99267
0.96942
0.99013
0.96423
0.98603
0.95655
0.98011
0.94438
0.97155
0.92924
0.95885
0.90387
0.93749
0.86739
0.90501
0.81781
0.85632
0.61574
0.64527

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2020-2025
74.01
69.45
78.79
0.98119
0.98545
0.99642
0.99714
0.99806
0.99864
0.99333
0.99766
0.98389
0.99630
0.97547
0.99551
0.97301
0.99468
0.97379
0.99329
0.97167
0.99094
0.96664
0.98714
0.95918
0.98163
0.94736
0.97366
0.93243
0.96178
0.90754
0.94183
0.87157
0.91135
0.82217
0.86533
0.61726
0.65088

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2025-2030
74.91
70.45
79.59
0.98260
0.98675
0.99672
0.99740
0.99821
0.99875
0.99394
0.99787
0.98540
0.99664
0.97776
0.99591
0.97546
0.99513
0.97603
0.99383
0.97390
0.99163
0.96904
0.98809
0.96179
0.98294
0.95032
0.97546
0.93560
0.96428
0.91118
0.94553
0.87572
0.91678
0.82649
0.87304
0.61876
0.65569

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2030-2035
75.71
71.25
80.39
0.98379
0.98777
0.99695
0.99766
0.99832
0.99887
0.99441
0.99809
0.98657
0.99698
0.97954
0.99630
0.97736
0.99558
0.97776
0.99436
0.97563
0.99233
0.97090
0.98904
0.96382
0.98426
0.95262
0.97727
0.93805
0.96680
0.91400
0.94927
0.87893
0.92225
0.82984
0.88082
0.61993
0.66041

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2035-2040
76.41
72.05
80.99
0.98479
0.98874
0.99718
0.99784
0.99844
0.99896
0.99488
0.99824
0.98774
0.99721
0.98131
0.99658
0.97926
0.99589
0.97950
0.99474
0.97737
0.99282
0.97276
0.98971
0.96584
0.98518
0.95491
0.97854
0.94050
0.96857
0.91682
0.95189
0.88215
0.92610
0.83320
0.88629
0.62110
0.66381

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2040-2045
77.11
72.85
81.59
0.98567
0.98942
0.99741
0.99803
0.99855
0.99904
0.99534
0.99839
0.98890
0.99746
0.98308
0.99687
0.98115
0.99621
0.98122
0.99513
0.97909
0.99332
0.97460
0.99040
0.96785
0.98613
0.95720
0.97985
0.94294
0.97040
0.91963
0.95459
0.88534
0.93006
0.83653
0.89193
0.62226
0.66720

TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
2045-2050
77.82
73.65
82.19
0.98641
0.99011
0.99762
0.99820
0.99866
0.99913
0.99581
0.99854
0.99006
0.99770
0.98483
0.99715
0.98303
0.99653
0.98293
0.99551
0.98080
0.99381
0.97644
0.99108
0.96985
0.98706
0.95946
0.98114
0.94537
0.97218
0.92242
0.95724
0.88852
0.93394
0.83984
0.89745
0.62341
0.67050

41

Cuadro No. 17 El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada Hombres, Segn Grupos de Edades. 1950 2050
EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

POBLACIN HOMBRES
1950
1,085,452
183,962
153,365
135,706
112,539
90,186
77,963
64,917
54,490
47,035
40,209
33,760
27,888
22,648
17,475
12,223
7,195
3,891

1955
1,200,836
223,233
165,872
139,168
121,363
99,968
84,297
74,282
61,921
51,674
44,001
36,974
30,343
24,107
18,587
13,194
7,627
4,225

1960
1,369,762
262,778
206,115
161,236
129,484
109,244
92,321
80,006
70,988
59,213
48,873
40,982
33,628
26,589
20,021
14,258
8,773
5,253

1965
1,608,015
307,091
246,152
203,298
158,648
125,604
107,655
90,050
77,286
68,242
56,332
45,794
37,563
29,747
22,263
15,550
9,914
6,826

1970
1,860,642
339,625
290,204
243,122
195,072
149,085
122,056
105,570
88,305
73,799
64,295
52,440
41,724
33,361
24,988
17,430
11,057
8,509

1975
2,094,007
370,980
321,668
271,165
224,293
177,594
139,414
116,654
101,251
84,633
70,121
60,307
48,073
37,089
28,137
19,710
12,568
10,350

1980
2,291,482
398,284
354,515
296,367
241,157
194,308
154,559
127,267
109,350
94,790
78,574
64,146
54,814
42,583
31,471
22,375
14,286
12,636

1985
2,438,133
397,688
377,119
327,893
249,959
199,878
163,835
138,889
117,593
101,990
88,592
73,073
58,678
49,035
36,897
25,268
16,316
15,430

1990
2,591,081
395,794
368,423
338,141
289,753
218,847
178,369
149,463
129,197
111,352
95,967
83,004
67,713
53,649
43,274
30,551
19,079
18,505

1995
2,770,712
409,229
379,266
333,419
293,132
254,393
198,525
168,348
143,177
123,499
106,612
91,675
77,853
62,370
47,253
36,172
23,591
22,198

2000
2,852,261
393,897
391,157
344,856
289,595
247,285
212,142
179,190
153,041
130,111
112,369
96,476
82,876
69,296
54,702
39,711
28,197
27,360

POBLACIN HOMBRES
2005
2,874,929
324,423
380,974
380,783
307,629
242,376
204,533
183,950
161,709
137,561
116,799
101,668
86,630
73,454
60,647
46,509
31,596
33,688

2010
2,913,743
310,111
314,297
372,464
349,342
267,265
205,743
180,189
168,528
147,990
125,671
107,104
92,551
77,782
64,990
52,093
37,627
39,996

2015
2,983,568
314,122
301,899
307,513
347,025
315,502
236,324
185,370
167,152
156,592
137,287
116,697
98,544
83,975
69,418
56,098
42,374
47,676

2020
3,080,833
315,250
307,717
296,708
288,375
320,537
289,667
218,992
174,494
157,241
147,211
128,942
108,497
90,281
75,383
60,212
45,878
55,448

2025
3,205,097
313,531
310,752
304,160
283,739
270,489
301,384
275,109
209,612
166,421
149,535
139,651
121,044
100,326
81,594
65,701
49,505
62,544

2030
3,335,150
295,749
310,653
308,566
296,277
272,316
258,263
290,288
266,515
202,421
159,918
142,971
132,104
112,789
91,235
71,453
54,301
69,331

2035
3,463,123
281,215
294,017
309,401
304,121
289,018
263,955
250,746
282,932
259,250
195,931
153,753
135,927
123,720
103,009
80,189
59,295
76,644

2040
3,583,990
271,770
280,092
293,259
306,717
299,072
282,486
258,110
245,246
276,220
251,948
189,088
146,710
127,760
113,399
90,869
66,813
84,431

2045
3,695,631
266,859
270,946
279,585
291,512
302,852
293,622
276,931
253,133
240,008
269,114
243,798
180,955
138,309
117,482
100,396
76,015
94,114

2050
3,798,798
265,532
266,194
270,553
278,304
288,474
298,138
288,569
272,164
248,243
234,333
260,980
233,904
171,069
127,579
104,385
84,317
106,060

42

Cuadro No. 18 El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada Mujeres, Segn Grupos de Edades. 1950 2050
EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

POBLACIN MUJERES
1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1,114,445
180,790
151,512
134,315
116,445
96,555
84,891
70,612
58,290
48,667
40,498
33,853
27,985
23,518
18,749
13,793
8,480
5,492

1,231,947
219,037
164,596
139,791
124,942
107,655
89,722
78,851
65,519
53,968
45,636
37,593
30,955
24,607
19,665
14,573
8,981
5,856

1,403,293
257,250
203,157
159,606
134,663
119,063
101,593
83,929
73,503
60,939
50,200
42,273
34,783
27,706
21,073
15,757
10,307
7,491

1,634,675
300,013
242,548
199,952
156,771
130,907
114,977
98,050
80,983
70,867
58,325
47,408
39,216
31,577
24,133
17,263
11,770
9,915

1,879,142
331,104
285,327
239,701
197,023
152,843
126,175
109,211
91,747
75,113
65,499
53,744
43,301
35,236
27,355
20,027
13,223
12,513

2,138,869
361,496
317,426
275,466
226,940
183,863
144,533
122,438
106,267
89,022
72,862
62,872
50,761
39,987
31,242
22,928
15,565
15,201

2,368,051
388,448
348,571
295,793
246,040
204,286
167,079
138,316
118,379
102,659
85,426
68,988
58,829
46,733
35,761
26,399
17,902
18,442

2,557,080
386,338
366,192
328,346
269,589
219,819
181,994
153,267
130,006
111,298
97,523
80,702
64,334
53,607
41,292
30,050
20,662
22,061

2,734,034
382,295
358,369
332,821
297,876
243,900
204,949
171,274
145,127
123,984
107,190
93,897
76,937
60,280
48,841
35,784
24,132
26,378

2,951,884
393,076
361,648
330,087
301,866
268,413
234,176
199,896
168,951
143,930
122,622
104,944
90,389
72,827
55,411
42,894
29,204
31,550

3,085,885
377,348
372,951
336,051
296,473
269,780
247,515
217,164
187,365
157,732
135,648
116,051
98,911
84,454
66,655
48,587
35,163
38,037

POBLACIN MUJERES
2005
3,174,483
310,341
365,199
364,149
317,021
274,648
248,992
229,513
202,923
173,966
146,322
125,970
106,890
89,995
74,866
57,721
39,974
45,993

2010
3,269,259
296,742
300,491
357,954
348,305
298,759
257,268
233,931
217,480
191,475
164,002
137,718
117,628
98,573
80,886
65,635
48,067
54,345

2015
3,385,656
300,525
288,797
294,722
345,173
333,383
284,545
244,963
224,028
207,874
182,889
156,305
130,151
109,836
89,857
71,790
55,394
65,424

2020
3,520,578
301,569
294,392
284,414
285,149
333,762
322,293
274,903
237,158
216,377
200,720
176,141
149,368
122,875
101,420
80,702
61,375
77,960

2025
3,671,717
299,870
297,337
291,422
278,018
277,593
326,133
315,388
269,149
231,469
210,835
195,012
169,882
142,409
114,717
92,029
69,764
90,690

2030
3,818,178
282,840
297,240
295,555
287,651
273,504
273,088
321,695
311,293
264,946
227,192
206,128
189,337
163,133
134,102
104,951
80,315
105,208

2035
3,955,172
268,900
281,348
296,264
293,571
285,172
270,972
270,601
318,911
308,035
261,362
223,116
201,042
182,741
154,608
123,575
92,433
122,521

2040
4,077,769
259,864
267,989
280,806
295,173
292,102
283,587
269,339
268,788
316,271
304,585
257,289
218,168
194,604
173,849
143,142
109,524
142,689

2045
4,184,932
255,117
259,232
267,642
280,154
294,193
290,977
282,332
267,887
266,872
313,145
300,291
252,054
211,670
185,737
161,680
127,673
168,276

2050
4,277,291
253,836
254,628
258,987
267,191
279,439
293,295
289,918
281,025
266,189
264,462
309,072
294,607
245,032
202,609
173,467
145,100
198,434

43

Cuadro No. 19
EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
EDAD/AO
TOTAL
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada Ambos Sexos, Segn Grupo de Edades. 1950 2050.
POBLACIN AMBOS SEXOS

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2,199,897
364,752
304,877
270,021
228,984
186,741
162,854
135,529
112,780
95,702
80,707
67,613
55,873
46,166
36,224
26,016
15,675
9,383

2,432,783
442,270
330,468
278,959
246,305
207,623
174,019
153,133
127,440
105,642
89,637
74,567
61,298
48,714
38,252
27,767
16,608
10,081

2,773,055
520,028
409,272
320,842
264,147
228,307
193,914
163,935
144,491
120,152
99,073
83,255
68,411
54,295
41,094
30,015
19,080
12,744

3,242,690
607,104
488,700
403,250
315,419
256,511
222,632
188,100
158,269
139,109
114,657
93,202
76,779
61,324
46,396
32,813
21,684
16,741

3,739,784
670,729
575,531
482,823
392,095
301,928
248,231
214,781
180,052
148,912
129,794
106,184
85,025
68,597
52,343
37,457
24,280
21,022

4,232,876
732,476
639,094
546,631
451,233
361,457
283,947
239,092
207,518
173,655
142,983
123,179
98,834
77,076
59,379
42,638
28,133
25,551

4,659,533
786,732
703,086
592,160
487,197
398,594
321,638
265,583
227,729
197,449
164,000
133,134
113,643
89,316
67,232
48,774
32,188
31,078

4,995,213
784,026
743,311
656,239
519,548
419,697
345,829
292,156
247,599
213,288
186,115
153,775
123,012
102,642
78,189
55,318
36,978
37,491

5,325,115
778,089
726,792
670,962
587,629
462,747
383,318
320,737
274,324
235,336
203,157
176,901
144,650
113,929
92,115
66,335
43,211
44,883

5,722,596
802,305
740,914
663,506
594,998
522,806
432,701
368,244
312,128
267,429
229,234
196,619
168,242
135,197
102,664
79,066
52,795
53,748

5,938,146
771,245
764,108
680,907
586,068
517,065
459,657
396,354
340,406
287,843
248,017
212,527
181,787
153,750
121,357
88,298
63,360
65,397

POBLACIN AMBOS SEXOS

2005
6,049,412
634,764
746,173
744,932
624,650
517,024
453,525
413,463
364,632
311,527
263,121
227,638
193,520
163,449
135,513
104,230
71,570
79,681

2010
6,183,002
606,853
614,788
730,418
697,647
566,024
463,011
414,120
386,008
339,465
289,673
244,822
210,179
176,355
145,876
117,728
85,694
94,341

2015
6,369,224
614,647
590,696
602,235
692,198
648,885
520,869
430,333
391,180
364,466
320,176
273,002
228,695
193,811
159,275
127,888
97,768
113,100

2020
6,601,411
616,819
602,109
581,122
573,524
654,299
611,960
493,895
411,652
373,618
347,931
305,083
257,865
213,156
176,803
140,914
107,253
133,408

2025
6,876,814
613,401
608,089
595,582
561,757
548,082
627,517
590,497
478,761
397,890
360,370
334,663
290,926
242,735
196,311
157,730
119,269
153,234

2030
7,153,328
578,589
607,893
604,121
583,928
545,820
531,351
611,983
577,808
467,367
387,110
349,099
321,441
275,922
225,337
176,404
134,616
174,539

2035
7,418,295
550,115
575,365
605,665
597,692
574,190
534,927
521,347
601,843
567,285
457,293
376,869
336,969
306,461
257,617
203,764
151,728
199,165

2040
7,661,759
531,634
548,081
574,065
601,890
591,174
566,073
527,449
514,034
592,491
556,533
446,377
364,878
322,364
287,248
234,011
176,337
227,120

2045
7,880,563
521,976
530,178
547,227
571,666
597,045
584,599
559,263
521,020
506,880
582,259
544,089
433,009
349,979
303,219
262,076
203,688
262,390

2050
8,076,089
519,368
520,822
529,540
545,495
567,913
591,433
578,487
553,189
514,432
498,795
570,052
528,511
416,101
330,188
277,852
229,417
304,494

44

Cuadro No. 20 El Salvador. Nacimientos Estimados y Proyectados por Edad de la Madre segn Quinquenio

EDAD/AO

1950-1955

1955-1960

1960-1965

1965-1970

1970-1975

1975-1980

1980-1985

1985-1990

1990-1995

1995-2000

2000-2005

TOTAL

542,355

624,467

715,096

776,138

835,787

885,712

870,258

845,571

839,295

800,353

655,655

15-19

92,089

103,712

119,269

137,714

159,834

178,314

184,853

182,440

175,724

166,787

140,950

20-24

157,140

182,735

206,412

222,814

249,331

273,548

272,063

268,145

269,220

252,950

195,314

25-29

125,416

143,965

166,921

176,825

183,337

192,965

189,285

185,056

189,702

189,304

158,758

30-34

89,155

101,737

116,467

126,170

127,580

125,748

117,727

113,021

112,928

106,663

92,797

35-39

54,786

64,472

73,381

78,031

79,948

77,390

69,610

65,275

64,229

60,217

49,957

40-44

18,859

22,120

25,999

27,371

29,462

33,592

34,982

29,587

24,447

21,720

15,341

45-49

4,910

5,726

6,647

7,213

6,295

4,155

1,738

2,047

3,045

2,712

2,538

EDAD/AO

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2025-2030

2030-2035

2035-2040

2040-2045

2045-2050

TOTAL

623,923

629,891

630,291

625,141

588,336

558,402

538,913

528,625

525,563

15-19

137,556

135,055

117,397

104,045

100,124

98,953

96,701

92,340

87,849

20-24

184,637

193,120

195,974

178,057

154,583

151,262

151,390

150,678

147,424

25-29

148,840

151,030

162,481

172,319

153,251

134,247

132,540

134,448

136,720

30-34

87,823

85,722

89,287

100,497

104,163

93,435

82,341

82,337

85,408

35-39

48,136

47,573

47,502

51,770

56,738

59,239

53,334

47,630

48,716

40-44

14,526

14,876

15,061

15,675

16,630

18,335

19,353

17,640

16,125

45-49

2,405

2,515

2,589

2,778

2,847

2,931

3,254

3,552

3,321

45

Cuadro No. 21 El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada Hombres segn Edades simples de 5 a 24 aos. 1950 2050
EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

HOMBRES DE 5 A 24 AOS
1950
32,441
31,439
30,569
29,804
29,112
28,504
27,991
27,344
26,455
25,413
24,431
23,485
22,520
21,539
20,564
19,603
18,633
17,826
17,263
16,860

2000
80,343
79,663
78,580
77,148
75,423
73,440
71,234
68,962
66,719
64,501
62,197
59,817
57,638
55,785
54,159
52,530
50,936
49,405
47,924
46,489

1955
36,469
34,559
32,929
31,544
30,370
29,387
28,573
27,822
27,067
26,319
25,667
25,111
24,441
23,568
22,577
21,641
20,727
19,888
19,170
18,543

2005
73,253
75,165
76,649
77,679
78,229
78,428
78,407
77,362
74,956
71,630
68,192
64,517
61,070
58,177
55,674
53,052
50,394
48,066
46,195
44,669

1960
45,398
43,217
41,129
39,134
37,236
35,432
33,719
32,123
30,656
29,306
28,035
26,836
25,763
24,834
24,017
23,259
22,574
21,883
21,143
20,385

2010
58,849
60,314
62,428
64,973
67,733
70,745
74,044
76,152
76,349
75,175
74,018
72,753
70,706
67,730
64,135
60,404
56,469
52,878
49,965
47,549

1965
53,241
51,075
49,086
47,241
45,510
43,912
42,471
40,887
39,023
37,005
35,107
33,281
31,573
30,038
28,649
27,302
25,992
24,883
24,042
23,385

2015
61,018
60,569
60,237
60,048
60,027
60,006
59,819
60,457
62,335
64,896
67,211
69,511
70,794
70,483
69,025
67,568
66,028
63,818
60,806
57,282

1970
61,872
59,935
58,022
56,128
54,247
52,384
50,545
48,673
46,742
44,778
42,858
41,000
39,087
37,079
35,048
33,092
31,175
29,503
28,186
27,129

1975
68,386
66,373
64,343
62,303
60,262
58,213
56,152
54,151
52,246
50,404
48,572
46,777
44,933
42,995
41,016
39,100
37,240
35,441
33,723
32,090

HOMBRES DE 5 A 24 AOS
2020
2025
62,346
62,350
61,977
62,273
61,571
62,181
61,137
62,058
60,685
61,889
60,276
61,707
59,970
61,546
59,523
61,141
58,844
60,378
58,095
59,388
57,364
58,480
56,434
57,663
56,446
56,793
57,913
55,852
60,217
54,951
62,263
54,056
64,317
52,979
65,423
52,860
65,011
54,200
63,523
56,394

1980
75,114
73,137
71,018
68,784
66,462
64,062
61,591
59,174
56,875
54,665
52,448
50,240
48,122
46,124
44,223
42,375
40,597
38,847
37,101
35,388

1985
77,986
76,934
75,653
74,143
72,404
70,525
68,599
66,171
63,060
59,539
56,037
52,443
49,318
46,980
45,180
43,351
41,601
39,933
38,290
36,703

1990
75,748
74,728
73,708
72,665
71,574
70,429
69,222
67,842
66,232
64,417
62,571
60,758
58,498
55,598
52,328
49,116
45,839
43,067
41,111
39,714

1995
79,067
77,605
75,980
74,229
72,385
70,442
68,393
66,476
64,808
63,300
61,719
60,075
58,520
57,095
55,723
54,355
53,083
51,409
49,106
46,439

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

61,580

57,362

55,132

53,698

53,063

61,997

58,043

55,533

53,906

53,121

62,267

58,783

55,980

54,153

53,209

62,401

59,543

56,465

54,436

53,327

62,410

60,286

56,982

54,753

53,474

62,291

61,031

57,496

55,098

53,648

62,043

61,793

57,974

55,466

53,848

61,742

62,264

58,542

55,874

54,079

61,425

62,296

59,246

56,330

54,343

61,064

62,017

60,000

56,818

54,635

60,628

61,699

60,688

57,285

54,946

60,163

61,288

61,355

57,705

55,272

59,496

60,832

61,727

58,204

55,629

58,552

60,387

61,662

58,827

56,020

57,438

59,915

61,286

59,490

56,436

56,397

59,364

60,870

60,087

56,830

55,450

58,786

60,362

60,663

57,176

54,477

58,024

59,816

60,947

57,598

53,467

57,006

59,286

60,802

58,142

52,524

55,838

58,739

60,354

58,729

46

Cuadro No. 22 El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada Mujeres segn Edades simples de 5 a 24 aos. 1950 2050
EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

MUJERES DE 5 A 24 AOS
1950
32,074
31,082
30,206
29,427
28,724
28,095
27,538
26,941
26,248
25,493
24,782
24,116
23,379
22,534
21,633
20,753
19,856
19,110
18,599
18,237

2000
76,412
75,785
74,850
73,656
72,249
70,655
68,898
67,140
65,476
63,883
62,234
60,539
59,038
57,831
56,830
55,821
54,824
53,895
53,033
52,207

1955
36,043
34,228
32,682
31,373
30,270
29,352
28,601
27,925
27,271
26,642
26,099
25,632
25,099
24,432
23,680
22,970
22,290
21,574
20,805
20,016

2005
70,582
72,266
73,487
74,261
74,603
74,595
74,319
73,461
71,906
69,868
67,692
65,333
63,117
61,251
59,628
57,921
56,175
54,652
53,442
52,458

1960
44,738
42,607
40,547
38,572
36,694
34,898
33,170
31,661
30,440
29,436
28,493
27,620
26,845
26,162
25,544
24,980
24,474
23,910
23,228
22,471

2010
56,339
57,692
59,668
62,074
64,716
67,638
70,884
73,075
73,545
72,811
72,135
71,355
70,113
68,386
66,317
64,088
61,682
59,445
57,576
55,969

1965
52,408
50,328
48,391
46,573
44,849
43,248
41,798
40,209
38,348
36,350
34,472
32,647
31,054
29,801
28,797
27,821
26,896
26,079
25,370
24,741

2015
58,520
58,020
57,618
57,358
57,282
57,219
56,998
57,733
59,893
62,879
65,664
68,501
70,377
70,700
69,932
69,202
68,374
67,108
65,377
63,322

1970
60,763
58,915
57,064
55,214
53,370
51,525
49,671
47,870
46,152
44,484
42,840
41,262
39,567
37,671
35,682
33,773
31,896
30,257
28,972
27,944

1975
66,818
65,128
63,468
61,826
60,186
58,568
56,992
55,278
53,346
51,281
49,247
47,207
45,257
43,460
41,770
40,099
38,489
36,840
35,099
33,336

MUJERES DE 5 A 24 AOS
2020
2025
59,737
59,719
59,341
59,617
58,901
59,494
58,438
59,345
57,975
59,162
57,571
58,977
57,284
58,825
56,948
58,502
56,509
57,921
56,101
57,196
55,742
56,580
55,220
56,091
55,718
55,599
57,760
55,087
60,709
54,661
63,443
54,273
66,232
53,725
68,079
54,204
68,388
56,228
67,621
59,163

1980
73,546
71,746
69,817
67,785
65,675
63,496
61,254
59,064
56,986
54,992
52,990
50,992
49,090
47,320
45,648
44,014
42,438
40,868
39,276
37,691

1985
75,370
74,443
73,380
72,175
70,823
69,373
67,871
66,048
63,793
61,260
58,718
56,119
53,674
51,515
49,563
47,596
45,654
43,831
42,150
40,587

1990
73,528
72,608
71,687
70,753
69,794
68,794
67,737
66,627
65,457
64,205
62,911
61,632
60,007
57,880
55,446
53,038
50,571
48,379
46,659
45,253

1995
74,898
73,618
72,331
71,043
69,759
68,466
67,150
65,914
64,800
63,757
62,696
61,642
60,498
59,208
57,821
56,442
55,051
53,665
52,302
50,952

2030
58,953

2035
54,906

2040
52,752

2045
51,377

2050
50,752

59,337

55,552

53,135

51,577

50,811

59,577

56,250

53,560

51,812

50,897

59,688

56,968

54,023

52,081

51,012

59,686

57,673

54,518

52,385

51,156

59,571

58,385

55,016

52,718

51,330

59,343

59,123

55,485

53,077

51,532

59,097

59,598

56,047

53,480

51,766

58,881

59,677

56,749

53,936

52,031

58,662

59,481

57,509

54,431

52,328

58,394

59,264

58,219

54,918

52,651

58,124

58,977

58,925

55,369

52,998

57,708

58,683

59,372

55,915

53,389

57,082

58,439

59,433

56,602

53,834

56,343

58,207

59,224

57,350

54,320

55,705

57,922

58,993

58,046

54,795

55,195

57,635

58,691

58,737

55,235

54,689

57,207

58,385

59,173

55,770

54,170

56,575

58,134

59,225

56,449

53,744

55,833

57,898

59,012

57,190

47

Cuadro No. 23 El Salvador. Poblacin Estimada y Proyectada por Ambos Sexos segn Edades simples de 5 a 24 aos. 1950 2050
EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

EDAD
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

AMBOS SEXOS DE 5 A 24 AOS

1950
64,515
62,521
60,775
59,231
57,836
56,599
55,529
54,285
52,703
50,906
49,213
47,601
45,899
44,073
42,197
40,356
38,489
36,936
35,862
35,097

2000
156,755
155,448
153,430
150,804
147,672
144,095
140,132
136,102
132,195
128,384
124,431
120,356
116,676
113,616
110,989
108,351
105,760
103,300
100,957
98,696

1955
72,512
68,787
65,611
62,917
60,640
58,739
57,174
55,747
54,338
52,961
51,766
50,743
49,540
48,000
46,257
44,611
43,017
41,462
39,975
38,559

2005
143,835
147,431
150,136
151,940
152,832
153,023
152,726
150,823
146,862
141,498
135,884
129,850
124,187
119,428
115,302
110,973
106,569
102,718
99,637
97,127

1960
90,136
85,824
81,676
77,706
73,930
70,330
66,889
63,784
61,096
58,742
56,528
54,456
52,608
50,996
49,561
48,239
47,048
45,793
44,371
42,856

2010
115,188
118,006
122,096
127,047
132,449
138,383
144,928
149,227
149,894
147,986
146,153
144,108
140,819
136,116
130,452
124,492
118,151
112,323
107,541
103,518

1965
105,649
101,403
97,477
93,814
90,359
87,160
84,269
81,096
77,371
73,355
69,579
65,928
62,627
59,839
57,446
55,123
52,888
50,962
49,412
48,126

2015
119,538
118,589
117,855
117,406
117,309
117,225
116,817
118,190
122,228
127,775
132,875
138,012
141,171
141,183
138,957
136,770
134,402
130,926
126,183
120,604

1970
122,635
118,850
115,086
111,342
107,617
103,909
100,216
96,543
92,894
89,262
85,698
82,262
78,654
74,750
70,730
66,865
63,071
59,760
57,158
55,073

1975
135,204
131,501
127,811
124,129
120,448
116,781
113,144
109,429
105,592
101,685
97,819
93,984
90,190
86,455
82,786
79,199
75,729
72,281
68,822
65,426

AMBOS SEXOS DE 5 A 24 AOS

2020
2025
2030
122,083
122,069
120,533
121,318
121,890
121,334
120,472
121,675
121,844
119,575
121,403
122,089
118,660
121,051
122,096
117,847
120,684
121,862
117,254
120,371
121,386
116,471
119,643
120,839
115,353
118,299
120,306
114,196
116,584
119,726
113,106
115,060
119,022
111,654
113,754
118,287
112,164
112,392
117,204
115,673
110,939
115,634
120,926
109,612
113,781
125,706
108,329
112,102
130,549
106,704
110,645
133,502
107,064
109,166
133,399
110,428
107,637
131,144
115,557
106,268

1980
148,660
144,883
140,835
136,569
132,137
127,558
122,845
118,238
113,861
109,657
105,438
101,232
97,212
93,444
89,871
86,389
83,035
79,715
76,377
73,079

2035
112,268
113,595
115,033
116,511
117,959
119,416
120,916
121,862
121,973
121,498
120,963
120,265
119,515
118,826
118,122
117,286
116,421
115,231
113,581
111,671

1985
153,356
151,377
149,033
146,318
143,227
139,898
136,470
132,219
126,853
120,799
114,755
108,562
102,992
98,495
94,743
90,947
87,255
83,764
80,440
77,290

2040
107,884
108,668
109,540
110,488
111,500
112,512
113,459
114,589
115,995
117,509
118,907
120,280
121,099
121,095
120,510
119,863
119,053
118,201
117,420
116,637

1990
149,276
147,336
145,395
143,418
141,368
139,223
136,959
134,469
131,689
128,622
125,482
122,390
118,505
113,478
107,774
102,154
96,410
91,446
87,770
84,967

2045
105,075
105,483
105,965
106,517
107,138
107,816
108,543
109,354
110,266
111,249
112,203
113,074
114,119
115,429
116,840
118,133
119,400
120,120
120,027
119,366

1995
153,965
151,223
148,311
145,272
142,144
138,908
135,543
132,390
129,608
127,057
124,415
121,717
119,018
116,303
113,544
110,797
108,134
105,074
101,408
97,391

2050
103,815
103,932
104,106
104,339
104,630
104,978
105,380
105,845
106,374
106,963
107,597
108,270
109,018
109,854
110,756
111,625
112,411
113,368
114,591
115,919

48

Cuadro No. 24 El Salvador. Distribucin Relativa de la Poblacin 1950 1995

EDAD/AO

DISTRIBUCIN RELATIVA DE LA POBLACIN: HOMBRES

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

0- 4

16.95

18.59

19.18

19.10

18.25

17.72

17.38

16.31

15.28

14.77

5- 9

14.13

13.81

15.05

15.31

15.60

15.36

15.47

15.47

14.22

13.69

10-14

12.50

11.59

11.77

12.64

13.07

12.95

12.93

13.45

13.05

12.03

15-19

10.37

10.11

9.45

9.87

10.48

10.71

10.52

10.25

11.18

10.58

20-24

8.31

8.32

7.98

7.81

8.01

8.48

8.48

8.20

8.45

9.18

25-29

7.18

7.02

6.74

6.69

6.56

6.66

6.74

6.72

6.88

7.17

30-34

5.98

6.19

5.84

5.60

5.67

5.57

5.55

5.70

5.77

6.08

35-39

5.02

5.16

5.18

4.81

4.75

4.84

4.77

4.82

4.99

5.17

40-44

4.33

4.30

4.32

4.24

3.97

4.04

4.14

4.18

4.30

4.46

45-49

3.70

3.66

3.57

3.50

3.46

3.35

3.43

3.63

3.70

3.85

50-54

3.11

3.08

2.99

2.85

2.82

2.88

2.80

3.00

3.20

3.31

55-59

2.57

2.53

2.46

2.34

2.24

2.30

2.39

2.41

2.61

2.81

60-64

2.09

2.01

1.94

1.85

1.79

1.77

1.86

2.01

2.07

2.25

65-69

1.61

1.55

1.46

1.38

1.34

1.34

1.37

1.51

1.67

1.71

70-74

1.13

1.10

1.04

0.97

0.94

0.94

0.98

1.04

1.18

1.31

75-79

0.66

0.64

0.64

0.62

0.59

0.60

0.62

0.67

0.74

0.85

80+

0.36

0.35

0.38

0.42

0.46

0.49

0.55

0.63

0.71

0.80

Edad Mediana

18.10

17.97

17.11

16.50

16.47

16.85

17.00

17.33

18.33

19.49

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

0- 4

16.22

17.78

18.33

18.35

17.62

16.90

16.40

15.11

13.98

13.32

EDAD/AO

DISTRIBUCIN RELATIVA DE LA POBLACIN: MUJERES

5- 9

13.60

13.36

14.48

14.84

15.18

14.84

14.72

14.32

13.11

12.25

10-14

12.05

11.35

11.37

12.23

12.76

12.88

12.49

12.84

12.17

11.18

15-19

10.45

10.14

9.60

9.59

10.48

10.61

10.39

10.54

10.90

10.23

20-24

8.66

8.74

8.48

8.01

8.13

8.60

8.63

8.60

8.92

9.09

25-29

7.62

7.28

7.24

7.03

6.71

6.76

7.06

7.12

7.50

7.93

30-34

6.34

6.40

5.98

6.00

5.81

5.72

5.84

5.99

6.26

6.77

35-39

5.23

5.32

5.24

4.95

4.88

4.97

5.00

5.08

5.31

5.72

40-44

4.37

4.38

4.34

4.34

4.00

4.16

4.34

4.35

4.53

4.88

45-49

3.63

3.70

3.58

3.57

3.49

3.41

3.61

3.81

3.92

4.15

50-54

3.04

3.05

3.01

2.90

2.86

2.94

2.91

3.16

3.43

3.56

55-59

2.51

2.51

2.48

2.40

2.30

2.37

2.48

2.52

2.81

3.06

60-64

2.11

2.00

1.97

1.93

1.88

1.87

1.97

2.10

2.20

2.47

65-69

1.68

1.60

1.50

1.48

1.46

1.46

1.51

1.61

1.79

1.88

70-74

1.24

1.18

1.12

1.06

1.07

1.07

1.11

1.18

1.31

1.45

75-79

0.76

0.73

0.73

0.72

0.70

0.73

0.76

0.81

0.88

0.99

80+

0.49

0.48

0.53

0.61

0.67

0.71

0.78

0.86

0.96

1.07

Edad Mediana

18.89

18.70

18.03

17.39

17.12

17.53

18.07

18.67

19.93

21.66

49

Cuadro No. 25 El Salvador. Distribucin Relativa de la Poblacin 2000-2050

EDAD/AO
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
Edad Mediana

EDAD/AO
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
Edad Mediana

2000
13.81
13.71
12.09
10.15
8.67
7.44
6.28
5.37
4.56
3.94
3.38
2.91
2.43
1.92
1.39
0.99
0.96
20.13

2005
11.28
13.25
13.24
10.70
8.43
7.11
6.40
5.62
4.78
4.06
3.54
3.01
2.55
2.11
1.62
1.10
1.17
20.90

2010
10.64
10.79
12.78
11.99
9.17
7.06
6.18
5.78
5.08
4.31
3.68
3.18
2.67
2.23
1.79
1.29
1.37
22.07

2015
10.53
10.12
10.31
11.63
10.6
7.92
6.21
5.60
5.25
4.60
3.91
3.30
2.81
2.33
1.88
1.42
1.60
23.51

DISTRIBUCIN RELATIVA DE LA POBLACIN: HOMBRES

2020
2025
2030
2035
0.23
9.78
8.87
8.12
9.99
9.70
9.31
8.49
9.63
9.49
9.25
8.93
9.36
8.85
8.88
8.78
0.40
8.44
8.17
8.35
9.40
9.40
7.74
7.62
7.11
8.58
8.70
7.24
5.66
6.54
7.99
8.17
5.10
5.19
6.07
7.49
4.78
4.67
4.79
5.66
4.19
4.36
4.29
4.44
3.52
3.78
3.96
3.92
2.93
3.13
3.38
3.57
2.45
2.55
2.74
2.97
1.95
2.05
2.14
2.32
1.49
1.54
1.63
1.71
1.80
1.95
2.08
2.21
25.20
26.99
28.56
29.81

2040
7.58
7.82
8.18
8.56
8.34
7.88
7.20
6.84
7.71
7.03
5.28
4.09
3.56
3.16
2.54
1.86
2.36
31.14

2045
7.22
7.33
7.57
7.89
8.19
7.95
7.49
6.85
6.49
7.28
6.60
4.90
3.74
3.18
2.72
2.06
2.55
32.57

2050
6.99
7.01
7.12
7.33
7.59
7.85
7.60
7.16
6.53
6.17
6.87
6.16
4.50
3.36
2.75
2.22
2.79
34.02

2000
12.23
12.09
10.89
9.61
8.74
8.02
7.04
6.07
5.11
4.40
3.76
3.21
2.74
2.16
1.57
1.14
1.23
22.97

2005
9.78
11.50
11.47
9.99
8.65
7.84
7.23
6.39
5.48
4.61
3.97
3.37
2.83
2.36
1.82
1.26
1.45
24.20

2010
9.08
9.19
10.95
10.65
9.14
7.87
7.16
6.65
5.86
5.02
4.21
3.60
3.02
2.47
2.01
1.47
1.66
25.63

2015
8.88
8.53
8.71
0.20
9.85
8.40
7.24
6.62
6.14
5.40
4.62
3.84
3.24
2.65
2.12
1.64
1.93
27.29

DISTRIBUCIN RELATIVA DE LA POBLACIN: MUJERES

2020
2025
2030
2035
8.57
8.17
7.41
6.80
8.36
8.10
7.78
7.11
8.08
7.94
7.74
7.49
8.10
7.57
7.53
7.42
9.48
7.56
7.16
7.21
9.15
8.88
7.15
6.85
7.81
8.59
8.43
6.84
6.74
7.33
8.15
8.06
6.15
6.30
6.94
7.79
5.70
5.74
5.95
6.61
5.00
5.31
5.40
5.64
4.24
4.63
4.96
5.08
3.49
3.88
4.27
4.62
2.88
3.12
3.51
3.91
2.29
2.51
2.75
3.12
1.74
1.90
2.10
2.34
2.21
2.47
2.76
3.10
29.05
31.04
33.10
35.17

2040
6.37
6.57
6.89
7.24
7.16
6.95
6.61
6.59
7.76
7.47
6.31
5.35
4.77
4.26
3.51
2.69
3.50
36.67

2045
6.10
6.19
6.40
6.69
7.03
6.95
6.75
6.40
6.38
7.48
7.18
6.02
5.06
4.44
3.86
3.05
4.02
38.04

2050
5.93
5.95
6.05
6.25
6.53
6.86
6.78
6.57
6.22
6.18
7.23
6.89
5.73
4.74
4.06
3.39
4.64
39.29

50

Cuadro No. 26 El Salvador. Relaciones de Masculinidad (por 100 mujeres). 1950 a 2050
GRUPOS DE EDAD

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

TOTAL

97.40

97.47

97.61

98.37

99.02

97.90

96.77

95.35

94.77

93.86

0- 4

101.75

101.92

102.15

102.36

102.57

102.62

102.53

102.94

103.53

104.11

5- 9

101.22

100.77

101.46

101.49

101.71

101.34

101.71

102.98

102.81

104.87

10-14

101.04

99.55

101.02

101.67

101.43

98.44

100.19

99.86

101.60

101.01

15-19

96.65

97.14

96.15

101.20

99.01

98.83

98.02

92.72

97.27

97.11

20-24

93.40

92.86

91.75

95.95

97.54

96.59

95.12

90.93

89.73

94.78

25-29

91.84

93.95

90.87

93.63

96.74

96.46

92.51

90.02

87.03

84.78

30-34

91.93

94.21

95.33

91.84

96.67

95.28

92.01

90.62

87.27

84.22

35-39

93.48

94.51

96.58

95.44

96.25

95.28

92.37

90.45

89.02

84.74

40-44

96.65

95.75

97.17

96.30

98.25

95.07

92.34

91.64

89.81

85.80

45-49

99.29

96.42

97.36

96.58

98.16

96.24

91.98

90.84

89.53

86.94

50-54

99.73

98.35

96.95

96.60

97.58

95.92

92.98

90.55

88.40

87.36

55-59

99.65

98.03

96.68

95.79

96.36

94.70

93.17

91.21

88.01

86.13

60-64

96.30

97.97

95.97

94.20

94.68

92.75

91.12

91.47

89.00

85.64

65-69

93.20

94.52

95.01

92.25

91.35

90.06

88.00

89.35

88.60

85.28

70-74

88.62

90.54

90.49

90.08

87.03

85.96

84.76

84.09

85.37

84.33

75-79

84.85

84.93

85.12

84.24

83.62

80.74

79.80

78.97

79.06

80.78

80+

70.85

72.16

70.13

68.85

68.00

68.08

68.52

69.94

70.15

70.36

GRUPOS DE EDAD

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

TOTAL

92.43

90.56

89.13

88.12

87.51

87.29

87.35

87.56

87.89

88.31

88.81

0- 4

104.39

104.54

104.51

104.52

104.54

104.56

104.56

104.58

104.58

104.60

104.61

5- 9

104.88

104.32

104.59

104.54

104.53

104.51

104.51

104.50

104.52

104.52

104.54

10-14

102.62

104.57

104.05

104.34

104.32

104.37

104.40

104.43

104.43

104.46

104.47

15-19

97.68

97.04

100.30

100.54

101.13

102.06

103.00

103.59

103.91

104.05

104.16

20-24

91.66

88.25

89.46

94.64

96.04

97.44

99.57

101.35

102.39

102.94

103.23

25-29

85.71

82.14

79.97

83.05

89.88

92.41

94.57

97.41

99.61

100.91

101.65

30-34

82.51

80.15

77.03

75.67

79.66

87.23

90.24

92.66

95.83

98.09

99.53

35-39

81.68

79.69

77.49

74.61

73.58

77.88

85.62

88.72

91.24

94.49

96.85

40-44

82.49

79.07

77.29

75.33

72.67

71.90

76.40

84.16

87.34

89.93

93.26

45-49

82.84

79.82

76.63

75.07

73.34

70.93

70.39

74.97

82.72

85.94

88.61

50-54

83.13

80.71

77.77

74.66

73.20

71.61

69.36

68.91

73.49

81.19

84.44

55-59

83.79

81.05

78.68

75.72

72.64

71.25

69.77

67.61

67.25

71.79

79.40

60-64

82.05

81.62

78.91

76.46

73.47

70.45

69.14

67.70

65.65

65.34

69.81

65-69

82.07

81.01

80.35

77.25

74.33

71.13

68.03

66.63

65.23

63.25

62.97

70-74

81.73

80.58

79.37

78.14

74.61

71.39

68.08

64.89

63.48

62.10

60.18

75-79

80.19

79.04

78.28

76.50

74.75

70.96

67.61

64.15

61.00

59.54

58.11

80+

71.93

73.25

73.60

72.87

71.12

68.96

65.90

62.56

59.17

55.93

53.45

51

Cuadro No. 27
El Salvador. Nacimientos y Defunciones y Migrantes Netos,
Estimados y Proyectados por Quinquenios.
1950-2050

NMERO ESTIMADO DE
QUINQUENIOS
NACIMIENTOS

DEFUNCIONES

MIGRANTES
NETOS
TOTAL

1950-1955

542,354

239,628

-69,840

1955-1960

624,466

233,675

-50,520

1960-1965

715,096

233,390

-12,070

1965-1970

776,138

236,465

-42,580

1970-1975

835,787

245,716

-96,980

1975-1980

885,713

266,456

-192,600

1980-1985

870,257

281,416

-253,160

1985-1990

845,571

227,270

-288,400

1990-1995

839,296

192,528

-249,285

1995-2000

800,354

201,047

-383,760

2000-2005

655,654

204,678

-339,705

2005-2010

623,924

210,626

-279,710

2010-2015

629,890

220,237

-223,430

2015-2020

630,292

230,468

-167,640

2020-2025

625,141

240,724

-109,010

2025-2030

588,336

251,932

-59,890

2030-2035

558,402

266,507

-26,930

2035-2040

538,913

284,931

-10,520

2040-2045

528,625

306,058

-3,760

2045-2050

525,563

328,957

-1,080

52

Cuadro No. 28
El Salvador. Tasas Medias Anuales de Crecimiento, Tasas implcitas y Tasas Netas de Migracin (por
mil) por Quinquenios. 1950 - 2050

QUINQUENIOS

TASAS MEDIAS ANUALES

TASAS IMPLCITAS

DE CRECIMIENTO (Por mil)

( Por mil )

EXPONENCIAL

GEOMTRICO

CRECIMIENTO
NATURAL

BRUTA DE
NATALIDAD

BRUTA DE
MORTALIDAD

TASA NETA DE
MIGRACIN (POR
MIL)

1950-1955

20.13

20.33

26.14

46.83

20.69

-6.03

1955-1960

26.18

26.53

30.03

47.98

17.95

-3.88

1960-1965

31.29

31.79

32.03

47.55

15.52

-0.80

1965-1970

28.52

28.94

30.91

44.46

13.55

-2.44

1970-1975

24.77

25.08

29.60

41.93

12.33

-4.87

1975-1980

19.21

19.39

27.85

39.84

11.99

-8.66

1980-1985

13.91

14.01

24.40

36.06

11.66

-10.49

1985-1990

12.79

12.87

23.96

32.77

8.81

-11.18

1990-1995

14.40

14.50

23.42

30.39

6.97

-9.03

1995-2000

7.39

7.42

20.55

27.45

6.90

-13.16

2000-2005

3.71

3.72

15.05

21.88

6.83

-11.34

2005-2010

4.37

4.38

13.51

20.40

6.89

-9.15

2010-2015

5.93

5.95

13.05

20.07

7.02

-7.12

2015-2020

7.16

7.19

12.33

19.44

7.11

-5.17

2020-2025

8.17

8.21

11.41

18.55

7.14

-3.24

2025-2030

7.88

7.92

9.59

16.77

7.18

-1.71

2030-2035

7.27

7.30

8.01

15.33

7.32

-0.74

2035-2040

6.46

6.48

6.73

14.29

7.56

-0.28

2040-2045

5.63

5.65

5.72

13.60

7.88

-0.10

2045-2050

4.90

4.91

4.92

13.17

8.25

-0.03

53

Cuadro No. 29
Relacin de Dependencia, Nios-Mujer, ndice de Masculinidad y Edad Mediana.
1950 2050.
REL A C I O NES DE
EDAD
AO

DEPENDENCIA
(POR MIL)

NIOS-MUJER
(POR MUJER)

MASCULINIDAD
(POR 100 MUJERES)

MEDIANA
(AOS)

1950

875.5

0.707

97.4

18.50

1955

888.3

0.781

97.5

18.34

1960

952.3

0.834

97.7

17.57

1965

993.5

0.854

98.5

16.92

1970

992.7

0.820

99.1

16.78

1975

960.3

0.774

98.0

17.18

1980

942.7

0.741

96.8

17.53

1985

915.5

0.673

95.3

18.07

1990

833.5

0.601

95.0

19.22

1995

770.9

0.557

94.3

20.61

2000

754.7

0.510

92.7

21.65

2005

710.1

0.398

90.8

22.74

2010

628.8

0.355

89.4

24.02

2015

572.1

0.352

88.4

25.38

2020

566.3

0.342

87.8

27.21

2025

561.0

0.320

87.6

29.07

2030

538.6

0.293

87.6

30.99

2035

517.5

0.273

87.8

32.52

2040

506.3

0.264

88.1

33.81

2045

502.5

0.264

88.5

35.06

2050

507.3

0.268

89.0

36.59

a/(N-15+N65 y + /N15-64)*1000

54

Cuadro No. 30
El Salvador. Tasas de Reproduccin, Tasas de Fecundidad y Edad Media de la
Fecundidad por Quinquenios. 1950 2050.
TASAS DE
QUINQUENIOS

BRUTA

EDAD MEDIA DE

TASAS DE FECUNDIDAD

REPRODUCCIN
NETA

GLOBAL

LA FECUNDIDAD

GENERAL

(AOS)

1950-1955

3.072

2.099

6.2980

0.201

28.66

1955-1960

3.219

2.344

6.5980

0.210

28.66

1960-1965

3.297

2.527

6.7585

0.214

28.66

1965-1970

3.136

2.496

6.4280

0.203

28.66

1970-1975

2.902

2.375

5.9485

0.190

28.48

1975-1980

2.663

2.228

5.4585

0.176

28.13

1980-1985

2.341

2.001

4.7985

0.156

27.78

1985-1990

2.048

1.844

4.1985

0.138

27.54

1990-1995

1.818

1.702

3.7275

0.123

27.31

1995-2000

1.609

1.524

3.2980

0.109

26.97

2000-2005

1.268

1.211

2.5985

0.085

26.81

2005-2010

1.146

1.101

2.3485

0.076

26.79

2010-2015

1.083

1.045

2.2205

0.071

26.78

2015-2020

1.039

1.005

2.1295

0.068

26.77

2020-2025

1.030

1.000

2.1120

0.066

26.77

2025-2030

0.990

0.963

2.0290

0.061

26.77

2030-2035

0.954

0.930

1.9550

0.056

26.76

2035-2040

0.922

0.902

1.8910

0.053

26.76

2040-2045

0.903

0.884

1.8510

0.053

26.76

2045-2050

0.903

0.886

1.8510

0.053

26.76

55

Cuadro No. 31
El Salvador. Esperanza de Vida al Nacer y Tasa de Mortalidad Infantil por
Quinquenios. 1950 2050

TASA
QUINQUENIOS

ESPERANZA DE VIDA AL NACER

HOMBRES

MUJERES

MORTALIDAD
INFANTIL

TOTAL

(POR 1000)

1950-1955

43.39

46.80

45.05

147.0

1955-1960

47.22

51.48

49.30

131.7

1960-1965

50.48

55.72

53.04

118.7

1965-1970

52.55

58.87

55.63

108.5

1970-1975

53.19

61.17

57.08

99.9

1975-1980

51.93

62.73

57.20

90.7

1980-1985

50.56

64.18

57.20

76.8

1985-1990

57.42

69.08

63.11

56.4

1990-1995

63.26

72.87

67.95

37.8

1995-2000

64.36

73.92

69.02

27.4

2000-2005

65.42

74.93

70.06

22.9

2005-2010

66.45

75.89

71.05

20.6

2010-2015

67.45

76.89

72.05

18.7

2015-2020

68.45

77.89

73.05

17.0

2020-2025

69.45

78.79

74.01

15.5

2025-2030

70.45

79.59

74.91

14.3

2030-2035

71.25

80.39

75.71

13.3

2035-2040

72.05

80.99

76.41

12.4

2040-2045

72.85

81.59

77.11

11.7

2045-2050

73.65

82.19

77.82

11.0

56

IV- ANEXO
4.1-

Nota Explicativa relativa a la obtencin de las poblaciones por ao

calendario y por edades simples.

4.2

Poblacin por aos Calendario y Edades simples. 2000-2020.

57

58

ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE POBLACIN

NOTA EXPLICATIVA RELATIVA A LA OBTENCIN DE LAS POBLACIONES, POR AO
CALENDARIO Y POR EDADES SIMPLES.

1.

Consideraciones sobre las estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin.

Para llevar adelante la elaboracin de estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin, se sigue el

procedimiento propuesto por el Centro Latinoamericano y Caribeo de Demografa (CELADE),
Divisin de Poblacin de la Comisin Econmica para Amrica Latina, de la Organizacin de
las Naciones Unidas (CEPAL-ONU). Este organismo es el encargado, con contrapartes
nacionales, de efectuar las proyecciones de poblacin en la mayora de los pases del mbito
latinoamericano y caribeo, de tal manera que las estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin
resultantes, se constituyen en los datos de poblacin oficiales, tanto para el sistema de las
Naciones Unidas, como para los pases correspondientes.
Esta aplicacin se realiza a partir del denominado mtodo de los componentes, que considera a
cada uno de los componentes que hacen al crecimiento o decrecimiento de una poblacin, es
decir los nacimientos, las defunciones y los saldos migratorios internacionales, que pueden
operar en el sentido de aumentar o disminuir la poblacin de un pas; para ello se determinan los
niveles de las variables demogrficas: la fecundidad y la mortalidad, con el agregado de los
saldos migratorios internacionales.
Como se puede ver en este documento, la revisin y actualizacin de las proyecciones de
poblacin comprende el estudio de las variables demogrficas desde 1950 hasta la actualidad,
perodo demogrfico histrico, que da lugar a las estimaciones de poblacin para los distintos
momentos, y el perodo de proyeccin hasta el 2050, donde se establece el comportamiento de
las variables demogrficas a futuro, tomando en cuenta la experiencia pasada y la evolucin de
estas variables en el contexto regional y lo acaecido en pases donde se ha llegado a los niveles
de la fecundidad y mortalidad ms bajos; con respecto a los saldos migratorios internacionales de
signo negativo que tiene el pas, las proyecciones actuales contemplan saldos decrecientes,
llegando a ser casi nulos hacia el final de la proyeccin.
El mtodo de los componentes se caracteriza por proyectar longitudinalmente a la poblacin,
considerando la evolucin de las diferentes generaciones o cohortes de individuos; estas
aplicaciones se facilitan utilizando el software desarrollado por el CELADE denominado
PRODEM (PROyecciones DEMogrficas)6.
Con el PRODEM se obtienen poblaciones cada cinco aos, partiendo de 1950, ao considerado
como base para las proyecciones de poblacin, este punto de partida se facilita, para la mayora
de los pases de la regin latinoamericana, por haber realizado censos de poblacin en ese ao,
como sucedi en El Salvador7.
6

/ El PRODEM utilizado corresponde a la 2da. Versin del CELADE, diseada con el apoyo del Programa de
Cooperacin e Intercambio de este organismo, con la Agencia Canadiense para el Desarrollo Internacional (ACDI), y
el Fondo de Poblacin de las Naciones Unidas (UNFPA).

59

Los resultados principales corresponden, por consiguiente, a las estimaciones y proyecciones de

la poblacin total y por sexo, para cada cinco aos: 1950, 1955, 2000, 2045, 2050; con el
agregado de que las poblaciones se obtienen por grupos quinquenales de edades: 0-4, 5-9, 10-14,
. 75-79, 80 aos y ms, para cada uno de esos aos.
Estos resultados se pueden ver en las pginas 42, 43 y 44 del presente documento, adems, con
la intencin de proveer de datos especficos al sector educativo, se contempla la presentacin de
los datos de la poblacin por sexo y edades simples, para el tramo de edades de los 5 a los 24
aos, tambin cada cinco aos, partiendo de 1950, hasta el 2050 (pginas 46, 47 y 48).
Sin embargo, esta desagregacin practicada resulta insuficiente, por lo que el CELADE, tratando
de dar respuesta a las necesidades de informacin de un mayor nmero de usuarios,
particularmente de instituciones del estado (especialmente de los sectores educativo y de salud),
que necesitan datos para cada ao calendario y para distintos tramos de la poblacin segn las
edades, es que tomando como base interpolaciones matemticas, entre las poblaciones referidas
a cada quinquenio, se derivan estimaciones y proyecciones de la poblacin para cada ao
calendario: 1950, 1951, . 2000, 2001, 2049, 2050, tambin se procede a la desagregacin
de los grupos quinquenales de edades, en edades simples: 0, 1, 2, . 40, 41, 78, 79, 80 aos y
ms.
De esta manera se optimiza la utilizacin de los datos provenientes de las proyecciones de
poblacin, permitiendo a los usuarios contar con poblaciones ao a ao y datos sobre las edades
simples, lo que permite practicar el agrupamiento de edades que resulte ms adecuado a las
necesidades institucionales (esta informacin est disponible al final de este documento, para los
aos calendario del 2000 al 2020, comprendiendo la primera parte, 2000-2010, un perodo de
estimaciones y del 2011-2020, la fase de proyecciones de poblacin).
Pero es necesario advertir que las proyecciones de poblacin, van perdiendo precisin a medida
que se consideran momentos ms alejados del ao correspondiente al ltimo censo, dado que la
vigencia de las poblaciones obtenidas a futuro, est condicionada al cumplimiento de los
supuestos y decisiones tomadas, relativas al comportamiento de las variables demogrficas,
variables que pueden sufrir cambios de importancia por cuestiones coyunturales, por ejemplo, la
crisis econmica que en mayor o menor medida afect y afecta a los pases de la regin
centroamericana, lo que a su vez incide en aspectos vinculados a los movimientos migratorios
internacionales.
Si resultan objetables las proyecciones nacionales, en el perodo de proyeccin, es evidente que
con mayor razn resultan objetables las proyecciones subnacionales, es decir proyecciones de
poblacin referidas a los departamentos y a los municipios; en donde, a los cambios eventuales
de las variables demogrficas, se deben agregar, siguiendo el ejemplo anterior, los movimientos
internos de la poblacin; es decir que la vigencia de las proyecciones subnacionales,
generalmente no supera el corto plazo.
7

/ Censo de Las Amricas, programa impulsado por las Naciones Unidas, con el objetivo de que todos los pases de
la regin, realizaran su censo de poblacin en 1950.

60

2.

Procedimientos seguidos en las desagregaciones practicadas en las edades.

Estos comentarios y las explicaciones que se vierten a continuacin, tienen como referencia unas
notas aclaratorias suministradas por el CELADE, donde se indican los procedimientos seguidos
para llevar adelante las desagregaciones de las poblaciones; se ha tratado de ampliar el contenido
de esas notas, tambin se incorporan algunos ejemplos que facilitan la interpretacin de los
resultados y que muestran como se realizan las aplicaciones matemticas, conducentes a esos
resultados.
Se hace hincapi en que los procedimientos utilizados estn basados en tcnicas de interpolacin,
las que permiten resolver el problema, dando como resultado el objetivo perseguido: Poblaciones
para cada ao calendario y por edades simples, se advierte tambin que las elaboraciones
matemticas tienen ciertas complicaciones y que no siempre conducen a resultados totalmente
aceptables, desde la ptica demogrfica.
En forma resumida la metodologa seguida, parte de interpolaciones matemticas utilizando los
Multiplicadores de Sprague para separar los grupos quinquenales de edades en edades simples, y
los Multiplicadores de Karup-King para proceder a la obtencin de las poblaciones para cada ao
calendario.
Las interpolaciones a partir de los Multiplicadores de Sprague, se aplican a los grupos
quinquenales de 5-9, 10-14, hasta los 65-69 aos, el grupo de 0-4 aos amerita un tratamiento
diferente, al igual que para la poblacin de 70 aos en adelante, donde se siguen procedimientos
especficos desarrollados por el CELADE.
2.1

Desagregacin de la poblacin en edades simples, edades de los 5 a los 69 aos.

Como se expres anteriormente el PRODEM tiene incorporada una rutina que permite
la desagregacin de las poblaciones entre los 5 y 24 aos de edad, ello se logra con los
Multiplicadores de Sprague, se trata de extender esta aplicacin para la poblacin de los
25 hasta los 69 aos y despus de este proceso, aplicando los Multiplicadores de KarupKing, obtener tambin las poblaciones por edades simples, para cada ao calendario.
Para efectuar las desagregaciones aplicando Sprague, se debe tomar la precaucin de
que el grupo de edad a descomponer tiene que ser, en lo posible, un grupo central;
en este caso la aplicacin de los multiplicadores se efecta sobre cinco pivotes, o grupos
de edades, pero es evidente que si el grupo a desagregar corresponde a 5-9 aos,
que forma parte de la secuencia: 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, 15-19 y 20-24 aos, no es un grupo
central, por lo que en esta situacin se hace uso de otro conjunto de multiplicadores,
denominado de Semi-extremo, que se apoya en cuatro pivotes: poblaciones de 0-4, 5-9,
10-14 y 15-19 aos.
A continuacin se presenta la expresin general utilizada para obtener las poblaciones
por edades simples, en el intervalo de edades considerado (15-69 aos):
5

Nx + (j-1) = (Ni * msij) con j = 1, 2, 3, 4 y 5

i=1

61

Con Nx se identifica a la poblacin de los distintos grupos de edades, que participan en

la interpolacin y ms que corresponde a los Multiplicadores de Sprague.
Multiplicadores de Sprague:
Grupo de edad Semi-extremo
1
2

3
4

1
0.0336
0.2272
-0.0752
0.0144

2
0.0080
0.2320
-0.0480
0.0080

3
-0.0080
0.2160
-0.0080
0.0000

4
-0.0160
0.1840
0.0400
-0.0080

5
-0.0176
0.1408
0.0912
-0.0144

-0.0016
0.0144
0.2224
-0.0416
0.0064

0.0064
-0.0336
0.2544
-0.0336
0.0064

0.0064
-0.0416
0.2224
0.0144
-0.0016

0.0016
-0.0240
0.1504
0.0848
-0.0128

Grupo de edad Central

1
2
3
4
5

-0.0128
0.0848
0.1504
-0.0240
0.0016

Para el grupo 5-9 aos se utilizan los multiplicadores correspondientes al conjunto

Semi-extremo, con i variando de 1 a 4, en este caso las poblaciones utilizadas como
pivotes, corresponden a los grupos 0-4, 5-9,10-14 y 15-19 aos.
A continuacin se ejemplifica la obtencin de las poblaciones de 5 y 6 aos, para ambos sexos
en el 2010, a partir de los datos presentados en la pgina 44.
N52010 = [(606 853 * 0.0336) + (614 788 * 0.2272) + (730 418 * (-0.0752)) + (697 647 * 0.0144)] =
= 115 189
N62010 = [(606 853 * 0.0080) + (614 788 * 0.2320) + (730 418 * (-0.0480)) + (697 647 * 0.0080)] =
= 118 007

De igual manera se procede para desagregar el grupo de edad de 10-14 aos, en este caso
haciendo uso del conjunto de multiplicadores correspondientes a un grupo de edad Central, es
decir se utilizan cinco pivotes: 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, 15-19 y 20-24 aos; como ejemplo se presenta
el clculo para la poblacin de 10 aos, en 2010:
N102010 = [(606 853 * (-0.0128)) + (614 788 * 0.0848) + (730 418 * 0.1504) + (697 647 * (-0.0240)) +
+ (566 024 * 0.0016)] = 138 383

Se utiliza el conjunto de multiplicadores para desagregar un grupo central, hasta los

65-69 aos, por ejemplo, para la poblacin de 69 aos, en 2010:
N692010 = [(210 179 * 0.0016) + (176 355 * (-0.0240)) + (145 876 * 0.1504) + (117 728 * 0.0848) +
+ (85 694 * (-0.0128))] = 26 930

Los resultados obtenidos en cada uno de estos ejercicios, se pueden corroborar al final del
documento, primera y segunda pgina de: ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACIN
DE AMBOS SEXOS, POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES.

62

2.2

Desagregacin de la poblacin en edades simples, para el grupo 0-4 aos.

El procedimiento es ms complejo, se comienza rejuveneciendo el grupo de los 5-9 aos

(obtenido por edades simples en el paso anterior, para 1955, 1960, 2050), o sea del ao t +5,
partiendo de 1950, es decir:
t+5

Nx+5
Nx =
5 Px
t

En donde Nxt es la poblacin de edad x en el momento t, es decir x = 0, 1, 2, 3 y 4, y

Nx+5t+5 es la poblacin de edad x + 5, en el momento t + 5, con x + 5 = 5, 6, 7, 8, y 9, cinco aos
despus de t; por otro lado 5Px es la probabilidad que tienen las personas de edad x, en la
poblacin estacionaria (es decir en una tabla de mortalidad), de sobrevivir 5 aos, sobrevivir del
momento t, al t + 5.
Para rejuvenecer las poblaciones entre los 0 y los 4 aos, se calculan las relaciones de
supervivencia por edades simples, para intervalos de 5 aos, a partir del tiempo vivido (Lx), entre
las edades x y x + 1 de la poblacin estacionaria de las tablas de mortalidad.
Pero en las proyecciones de poblacin, las tablas de mortalidad presentan el tiempo vivido del
grupo 0-4 aos, desagregado en las edades 0 y 1-4 aos, lo que implica que se tiene el tiempo
vivido por edad simple, para los menores de 1 ao, se debe proceder a la desagregacin del
tiempo vivido en 1-4 aos, en los tiempos correspondientes a 1, 2, 3 y 4 aos.
Para realizar el paso indicado anteriormente, se utilizan las tablas modelo de mortalidad de Coale
y Demeny8, correspondientes a la familia Oeste, efectuando una interpolacin lineal del nivel
correspondiente al tiempo vivido de las tablas modelo, con el obtenido en las tablas de
mortalidad definidas en las proyecciones, tablas obtenidas para cada quinquenio, de 1950-55 a
2045-50.
Este procedimiento se aplica para todos los quinquenios, teniendo en cuenta que para obtener los
menores de 5 aos en 1950, por edades simples, se parte de la poblacin de 5-9 aos, por edades
simples, de 1955; los menores de 5 aos en el 2045, siempre por edades simples, son
consecuencia de rejuvenecer a la poblacin de 5-9 aos del 2050; esto implica que para el 2050
se necesitara la poblacin de 5-9 aos del 2055 y de tablas de mortalidad del quinquenio 205055, para salvar esta dificultad se toma la misma distribucin de la poblacin, de 0-4 aos, por
edades simples, que se tiene para el 2045 y se aplica a este grupo de edad obtenido para el 2050,
derivando las poblaciones de 0, 1, 2, 3 y 4 aos, de acuerdo a la distribucin que se presentan
estas poblaciones, en el 2045.
8

/ COALE ANSLEY y DEMENY PAUL. Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations, Second Edition.
Academic Press. New York, 1983.

63

2.3

Desagregaciones de las poblaciones correspondientes a los grupos 70-74 y 75-79

aos.

Con la aplicacin del PRODEM se generan poblaciones por grupos quinquenales hasta 75-79
aos y un grupo abierto final de 80 aos y ms; para proceder a la obtencin de las poblaciones
por edades simples de los grupos 70-74 y 75-79 aos, siguiendo con el procedimiento de los
Multiplicadores de Sprague y utilizando los correspondientes a un grupo de edad central, se
requiere de las poblaciones de 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79 y 80-84, para abrir en edades simples
el grupo de 70-74, y se necesitan los grupos 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84 y 85-89 aos, a los
efectos de que el ltimo grupo a descomponer, 75-79 aos, sea un grupo central.
Se desea desagregar la poblacin a partir de los 70 aos, sea t15 (es decir 1965, si se parte de
1950), el primer paso consiste en determinar una relacin de sobrevivencia para el grupo 70-74
aos (5P70-74); este valor se obtiene de las tablas de mortalidad de la misma proyeccin (tabla
correspondiente al quinquenio 1965-70, si la poblacin a desagregar es la de 70 aos y ms, en
1965).
Para abrir el grupo de 80 aos y ms, se requieren de relaciones de sobrevivencia para los grupos
75-79, 80-84 y 85-89 aos (5P75-79, 5P80-84 y 5P85-89), las mismas provienen nuevamente de las
tablas modelo de mortalidad de Coale y Demeny, familia Oeste, en estas tablas se interpola
linealmente, para ello se toma como referencia, para determinar el nivel de estos indicadores de
mortalidad, la 5P70-74, obtenida en el paso anterior; esto se hace para los quinquenios entre t0 y t15;
conocidas las relaciones de sobrevivencia para estos quinquenios, se proyecta la poblacin a
partir de 65-69 aos, en los momentos t0, t5 y t10, llevndola al momento t15, obteniendo los
grupos 70-74, 75-79 y 80-84 aos; a estos grupos se aplican los multiplicadores de Sprague, para
el grupo central, desagregando la poblacin de 70-74 y 75-79 aos, en edades simples.

3.

Obtencin de las poblaciones por ao calendario.

Con las elaboraciones anteriores se determinaron las poblaciones por edades simples, para los
aos terminados en 0 y 5, desde 1950 al 2050; estos son los insumos necesarios para la
aplicacin de los Multiplicadores de Karup-King y derivar con ellos las poblaciones para cada
ao calendario.
La expresin general que muestra como se obtienen las poblaciones para los distintos momentos,
es la siguiente:
j

Nx = (Nx * mkij) con j = 1, 2, 3 y 4

i=1
j

En donde Nx es la poblacin de un ao calendario, Nx es la poblacin de edad x en los

aos terminados en 0 y 5 y mk son los Multiplicadores de Karup-King.

64

Multiplicadores de Karup-King:
AO QUINQUENAL
1
2
3
4

0
1.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

1
0.6560
0.5520
-0.2720
0.0640

1
2
3
4

5
0.0000
1.0000
0.0000
0.0000

6
-0.0640
0.9120
0.1680
-0.0160

1
2
3
4

10
0.0000
0.0000
1.0000
0.0000

11
0.0160
-0.1280
1.0080
0.1040

AOS CALENDARIO
Extremo Inicial
2
0.4080
0.8560
-0.3360
0.0720
Intervalo Central
7
-0.0720
0.6960
0.4240
-0.0480
Extremo Final
12
0.0480
-0.2640
0.9840
0.2320

3
0.2320
0.9840
-0.2640
0.0480

4
0.1040
1.0080
-0.1280
0.0160

8
-0.0480
0.4240
0.6960
-0.0720

9
-0.0160
0.1680
0.9120
-0.0640

13
0.0720
-0.3360
0.8560
0.4080

14
0.0640
-0.2720
0.5520
0.6560

A continuacin se ejemplifica la obtencin de la poblacin para ambos sexos en 2011, a partir de

los datos presentados en la pgina 44; utilizando los multiplicadores del Intervalo Central,
aplicados a las poblaciones totales de 2005, 2010, 2015 y 2020:
2011

= [(6 049 412 * (-0.0640)) + (6 183 002 * 0.9120) + (6 369 224 * 0.1680) + (6 601 411 *
* (-0.0160))] = 6 216 143

De igual manera se procede para calcular la poblacin para cualquier grupo quinquenal de edad,
o para el grupo abierto final, por ejemplo, la poblacin de ambos sexos de 80 aos y ms, en
2011, es:
2011

N80 y ms = [(79 681 * (-0.0640)) + (94 341 * 0.9120) + (113 100 * 0.1680) + (133 408 * (-0.0640))] =
= 97 806

Es evidente que si se trata de obtener la poblacin de los menores de 1 ao (edad 0); es necesario
contar con la desagregacin del grupo de 0-4 aos (descripta en el punto 2.2), operacin que
debe efectuarse antes de poder aplicar los multiplicadores de Karup-King; partiendo de las
edades simples, el clculo de la poblacin de 0 aos en 2011, es:
2011

N0

= [(119 602 * (-0.0640) + (123 401 * 0.9120) + (125 151 * 0.1680) + (124 283 * (-0.0160))] =
= 123 924

65

Los resultados obtenidos se pueden verificar en los cuadros finales del anexo; en estas tres
aplicaciones, realizadas para interpolar entre 2010 y 2015, se utiliza el mismo juego de
multiplicadores.
Para calcular las poblaciones del 2012, 2013 y 2014, se utilizaran los multiplicadores del
Intervalo Central, correspondientes a las columnas 7, 8 y 9, respectivamente; aplicados siempre a
las poblaciones del 2005, 2010, 2015 y 2020.
Los multiplicadores del Intervalo Central, se utilizaran en todos los casos que comprenda la
desagregacin de las poblaciones totales y por edades simples, entre los aos 1955 y 2045.
La publicacin de las poblaciones por ao calendario y edades simples, comprende el perodo
2000-2020, pero es claro que se puede obtener la poblacin de cualquier ao y de cualquier edad,
por ejemplo, se quiere calcular la poblacin total para 1951, en ese caso se debe hacer uso de los
multiplicadores del Extremo Inicial y columna 1, apoyndose en los pivotes correspondientes a
las poblaciones totales de 1950, 1955, 1960 y 1965:
1951

= [(2 199 897 * 0.6560) + (2 432 783 * 0.5520) + (2 773 055 * (-0.2720) + (3 242 690 * 0.0640)]
= 2 239 290

O calcular la poblacin en el 2049, en cuyo caso se deben utilizar los multiplicadores del
Extremo Final y columna 14 y las poblaciones de 2035, 2040, 2045 y 2050:
2049

4.

= [(7 418 295 * 0.0640) + (7 661 759 * (-0.2720)) + (7 880 563 * 0.5520) + (8 076 089 *
* 0.6560)] = 8 038 758

Comentarios acerca de los procedimientos seguidos, en la desagregacin de las

poblaciones por ao calendario y edades simples.

Como se indica al inicio, se trata de la obtencin de estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin,

por edades simples para cada ao comprendido en el perodo que va de 1950 al 2050; dado que
la obtencin de poblaciones por grupos quinquenales de edades y poblaciones de cinco en cinco
aos, se constituyen en insumos insuficientes para los usuarios de datos de poblacin.
Siguiendo la metodologa utilizada en todas las proyecciones de poblacin, que han contado y
cuentan con el apoyo tcnico del CELADE y tratando de dar respuestas a los requerimientos de
informacin en forma amplia, se llevan adelante las desagregaciones de las poblaciones, de la
manera descripta anteriormente.

66

Pero se advierte que esta es una solucin basada fundamentalmente en mtodos matemticos,
que pueden no cumplir con requisitos de orden demogrfico, en particular cuando en los pases
se tiene un descenso importante de la natalidad, como est ocurriendo en el pas, eso puede
conducir a resultados no esperados, por ejemplo, en el 2008 la poblacin de 0 aos de edad, es de
120 410, resultando de 121 150 en el 2009, con edad de 1 ao, este es un resultado
demogrficamente no aceptable, lo esperado es una poblacin menor, como consecuencia de
defunciones que debieron ocurrir en esta poblacin a lo largo de un ao; es decir la poblacin de
una edad especfica no puede ser mayor que la poblacin del ao anterior de la cual proviene,
salvo que, en el ejemplo mostrado, hubiera una cierta inmigracin de nios y nias al pas
(comportamiento que no es real).
En las Estimaciones y Proyecciones Nacionales de Poblacin, 1950-2050, este efecto est
presente, en algunos casos, en las primeras edades y puede trasmitirse a las edades jvenes en los
aos futuros, pero no se presenta en edades adultas jvenes, tampoco en edades intermedias, ni
avanzadas.
Sin embargo hay que tener en cuenta, que las poblaciones obtenidas en las desagregaciones
practicadas, (poblaciones para cada ao calendario y edades simples), no obstante que puede
haber algn comportamiento demogrfico no totalmente aceptable, se constituyen en
estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin, que permiten su aplicacin en el campo de la
planificacin, es decir que es factible su uso, las cifras obtenidas son ordenes de magnitud
(no necesariamente son exactas), pero ello no implica que no puedan utilizarse.
El comportamiento observado en las desagregaciones practicadas, puesto de manifiesto en el
ejemplo mostrado, no es exclusivo de las proyecciones del pas; esto ha tenido como
consecuencia que el CELADE est trabajando en una nueva versin del PRODEM, se trata del
PRODEX que toma como base el PRODEM y lo despliega en un entorno Excel, que facilita su
aplicacin y contempla, ahora s, la obtencin de poblaciones para cada ao por edades simples,
en donde el comportamiento de estas poblaciones, es el resultado de la interaccin de las
variables demogrficas y no consecuencia de interpolaciones matemticas.

67

68

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

2,199,897

2,239,290

2,281,747

2,327,797

2,377,967

2,432,783

2,491,895

2,554,951

2,622,478

2,695,003

0-4

364,752

380,817

396,384

411,670

426,892

442,270

457,657

472,909

488,242

503,876

86,479

90,547

94,261

97,728

101,058

104,358

107,556

110,580

113,539

116,540

75,825

79,585

83,061

86,346

89,533

92,715

95,830

98,815

101,764

104,770

70,825

74,153

77,331

80,418

83,474

86,557

89,628

92,649

95,676

98,771

67,249

70,023

72,833

75,688

78,597

81,568

84,596

87,675

90,813

94,020

64,374

66,510

68,899

71,489

74,231

77,072

80,047

83,190

86,450

89,776

5-9

304,877

302,372

304,941

311,322

320,251

330,468

342,813

358,128

375,151

392,620

64,516

64,593

65,713

67,594

69,954

72,512

75,454

78,969

82,776

86,592

62,520

62,129

62,854

64,401

66,477

68,787

71,529

74,896

78,597

82,338

60,775

60,109

60,535

61,778

63,562

65,611

68,110

71,241

74,730

78,300

59,230

58,454

58,669

59,641

61,136

62,918

65,144

67,970

71,163

74,486

57,836

57,087

57,170

57,907

59,123

60,640

62,577

65,051

67,885

70,903

10-14

270,021

269,658

270,189

271,794

274,657

278,959

284,579

291,395

299,590

309,345

10

56,599

56,001

56,017

56,547

57,487

58,739

60,369

62,444

64,863

67,526

11

55,529

55,186

55,189

55,528

56,193

57,174

58,478

60,111

62,064

64,327

12

54,285

54,224

54,275

54,503

54,972

55,747

56,785

58,043

59,586

61,478

13

52,703

52,901

53,059

53,280

53,672

54,338

55,210

56,216

57,462

59,054

14

50,905

51,345

51,648

51,937

52,334

52,961

53,737

54,581

55,614

56,960

15-19

228,984

234,513

238,219

240,894

243,326

246,305

249,305

251,800

254,578

258,431

15

49,213

49,936

50,407

50,771

51,176

51,765

52,444

53,113

53,920

55,009

16

47,600

48,644

49,307

49,763

50,184

50,743

51,325

51,814

52,384

53,207

17

45,900

47,155

47,966

48,513

48,978

49,540

50,079

50,474

50,908

51,559

18

44,073

45,367

46,243

46,866

47,397

48,000

48,565

48,985

49,421

50,037

19

42,198

43,411

44,296

44,980

45,591

46,257

46,893

47,413

47,946

48,619

20-24

186,741

191,427

195,673

199,664

203,586

207,623

211,652

215,550

219,501

223,692

20

40,356

41,506

42,413

43,171

43,872

44,611

45,325

45,951

46,583

47,315

21

38,489

39,582

40,526

41,376

42,188

43,017

43,826

44,578

45,329

46,134

22

36,937

37,923

38,844

39,725

40,589

41,462

42,327

43,168

44,009

44,876

23

35,862

36,685

37,500

38,314

39,136

39,975

40,826

41,682

42,552

43,445

24

35,098

35,731

36,391

37,080

37,801

38,558

39,349

40,171

41,027

41,922

25-29

162,854

164,395

166,279

168,510

171,089

174,019

177,298

180,925

184,902

189,231

25

34,326

34,759

35,265

35,837

36,469

37,155

37,899

38,706

39,569

40,483

26

33,625

33,819

34,147

34,589

35,128

35,743

36,447

37,254

38,144

39,098

27

32,789

32,894

33,140

33,508

33,981

34,541

35,200

35,970

36,833

37,772

28

31,687

31,943

32,262

32,648

33,106

33,642

34,252

34,933

35,689

36,526

29

30,427

30,979

31,466

31,928

32,406

32,938

33,499

34,062

34,666

35,352

30-34

135,529

140,885

144,839

147,876

150,479

153,133

155,515

157,302

158,979

161,028

30

29,250

30,071

30,707

31,232

31,718

32,241

32,750

33,197

33,656

34,199

31

28,109

29,226

30,021

30,607

31,098

31,605

32,054

32,370

32,664

33,052

32

27,025

28,296

29,184

29,816

30,323

30,833

31,260

31,517

31,735

32,041

33

26,033

27,222

28,087

28,736

29,276

29,812

30,275

30,593

30,872

31,219

34

25,113

26,070

26,839

27,484

28,064

28,642

29,176

29,625

30,052

30,517

35-39

112,780

115,158

117,949

121,017

124,226

127,440

130,750

134,245

137,791

141,252

35

24,203

24,959

25,650

26,295

26,916

27,533

28,133

28,701

29,259

29,827

36

23,309

23,859

24,470

25,120

25,787

26,448

27,119

27,814

28,511

29,187

37

22,481

22,875

23,415

24,051

24,734

25,413

26,122

26,894

27,679

28,427

38

21,736

22,071

22,563

23,159

23,810

24,464

25,156

25,918

26,702

27,455

39

21,052

21,394

21,852

22,392

22,979

23,581

24,220

24,918

25,641

26,356

69

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

40-44

95,702

97,317

99,121

101,112

103,286

105,642

108,180

110,904

113,808

116,892

40

20,394

20,721

21,137

21,621

22,150

22,703

23,296

23,941

24,618

25,305

41

19,767

20,072

20,440

20,862

21,330

21,833

22,379

22,973

23,605

24,268

42

19,146

19,448

19,786

20,162

20,579

21,039

21,540

22,081

22,664

23,291

43

18,514

18,837

19,171

19,527

19,915

20,345

20,810

21,303

21,835

22,415

44

17,882

18,240

18,587

18,940

19,313

19,722

20,156

20,606

21,087

21,613

45-49

80,707

82,814

84,625

86,275

87,901

89,637

91,393

93,080

94,832

96,784

45

17,277

17,672

18,032

18,378

18,732

19,117

19,518

19,919

20,344

20,814

46

16,692

17,135

17,511

17,850

18,184

18,543

18,906

19,254

19,616

20,023

47

16,124

16,586

16,966

17,298

17,617

17,957

18,294

18,606

18,927

19,291

48

15,574

16,007

16,370

16,692

17,003

17,332

17,659

17,965

18,280

18,631

49

15,040

15,414

15,746

16,057

16,364

16,689

17,017

17,336

17,665

18,024

50-54

67,613

68,835

70,152

71,555

73,030

74,567

76,173

77,857

79,606

81,409

50

14,521

14,841

15,146

15,446

15,751

16,071

16,399

16,729

17,071

17,435

51

14,017

14,279

14,556

14,846

15,150

15,467

15,798

16,142

16,499

16,869

52

13,520

13,740

13,994

14,275

14,575

14,886

15,214

15,564

15,928

16,299

53

13,023

13,230

13,474

13,744

14,035

14,336

14,653

14,993

15,347

15,705

54

12,532

12,744

12,983

13,243

13,520

13,807

14,109

14,429

14,761

15,101

55-59

55,873

56,795

57,809

58,905

60,071

61,298

62,592

63,961

65,394

66,881

55

12,054

12,266

12,499

12,749

13,013

13,287

13,575

13,878

14,192

14,515

56

11,582

11,797

12,026

12,266

12,519

12,781

13,055

13,341

13,637

13,944

57

11,139

11,344

11,559

11,785

12,022

12,270

12,530

12,800

13,082

13,375

58

10,737

10,906

11,093

11,296

11,514

11,745

11,989

12,249

12,522

12,806

59

10,361

10,482

10,633

10,808

11,004

11,214

11,443

11,694

11,962

12,241

60-64

46,166

46,332

46,707

47,255

47,936

48,714

49,613

50,659

51,813

53,038

60

9,988

10,065

10,182

10,331

10,505

10,697

10,910

11,151

11,412

11,685

61

9,623

9,655

9,737

9,859

10,012

10,184

10,383

10,615

10,870

11,139

62

9,249

9,255

9,314

9,416

9,549

9,703

9,885

10,102

10,344

10,600

63

8,856

8,868

8,923

9,013

9,130

9,268

9,430

9,623

9,838

10,068

64

8,449

8,488

8,551

8,636

8,740

8,863

9,005

9,168

9,349

9,546

65-69

36,224

36,670

37,056

37,422

37,808

38,252

38,729

39,212

39,741

40,355

65

8,048

8,110

8,179

8,259

8,351

8,460

8,582

8,716

8,865

9,032

66

7,650

7,736

7,813

7,888

7,968

8,062

8,164

8,270

8,387

8,522

67

7,248

7,351

7,433

7,504

7,576

7,660

7,748

7,834

7,927

8,039

68

6,843

6,946

7,027

7,097

7,167

7,246

7,329

7,407

7,491

7,592

69

6,435

6,527

6,604

6,674

6,745

6,824

6,906

6,986

7,071

7,170

70-74

26,016

26,330

26,661

27,010

27,378

27,767

28,176

28,604

29,052

29,522

70

6,029

6,113

6,188

6,259

6,332

6,410

6,492

6,573

6,658

6,752

71

5,628

5,706

5,780

5,853

5,929

6,008

6,089

6,171

6,256

6,347

72

5,217

5,284

5,354

5,427

5,504

5,583

5,664

5,749

5,837

5,927

73

4,789

4,840

4,902

4,971

5,045

5,122

5,205

5,293

5,385

5,479

74

4,353

4,387

4,437

4,499

4,569

4,644

4,726

4,818

4,916

5,016

75-79

15,675

15,648

15,762

15,983

16,276

16,608

17,002

17,480

18,008

18,553

75

3,929

3,945

3,983

4,039

4,106

4,179

4,262

4,358

4,462

4,569

76

3,514

3,511

3,537

3,586

3,650

3,722

3,807

3,909

4,021

4,136

77

3,115

3,099

3,117

3,160

3,221

3,289

3,372

3,475

3,589

3,707

78

2,737

2,721

2,736

2,775

2,829

2,892

2,969

3,064

3,170

3,279

79

2,380

2,372

2,388

2,423

2,470

2,526

2,592

2,674

2,765

2,861

80 y ms / and over

9,383

9,325

9,381

9,536

9,774

10,081

10,466

10,941

11,488

12,095

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

70

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

2,773,055

2,858,263

2,950,277

3,046,650

3,144,936

3,242,690

3,340,415

3,439,743

3,539,917

3,640,182

0-4

520,028

537,222

555,313

573,515

591,041

607,104

621,360

634,333

646,540

658,499

119,692

123,105

126,707

130,333

133,817

136,996

139,789

142,308

144,669

146,993

107,925

111,340

114,954

118,600

122,111

125,322

128,150

130,707

133,115

135,496

101,991

105,448

109,104

112,789

116,338

119,584

122,449

125,046

127,489

129,891

97,304

100,769

104,409

108,069

111,594

114,829

117,712

120,345

122,823

125,242

93,116

96,559

100,140

103,724

107,180

110,374

113,260

115,927

118,444

120,878

5-9

409,272

424,999

440,643

456,366

472,331

488,700

505,965

524,016

542,119

559,536

90,136

93,350

96,422

99,439

102,486

105,649

109,023

112,549

116,088

119,497

85,824

89,003

92,071

95,107

98,191

101,403

104,849

108,477

112,127

115,638

81,676

84,824

87,928

91,039

94,205

97,476

100,961

104,625

108,307

111,848

77,706

80,820

83,986

87,205

90,480

93,814

97,304

100,950

104,604

108,117

73,930

77,002

80,236

83,577

86,969

90,358

93,828

97,415

100,993

104,436

10-14

320,842

334,775

351,023

368,546

386,301

403,250

419,598

436,040

452,265

467,963

10

70,330

73,362

76,689

80,182

83,715

87,160

90,577

94,052

97,492

100,809

11

66,889

69,898

73,358

77,052

80,762

84,269

87,598

90,896

94,123

97,242

12

63,785

66,683

70,131

73,860

77,604

81,096

84,345

87,532

90,638

93,647

13

61,096

63,754

66,957

70,458

74,011

77,370

80,568

83,769

86,924

89,982

14

58,741

61,078

63,889

66,993

70,209

73,356

76,510

79,792

83,088

86,283

15-19

264,147

271,855

281,029

291,476

303,004

315,419

329,409

345,102

361,468

377,476

15

56,527

58,558

61,004

63,740

66,640

69,579

72,671

75,998

79,392

82,682

16

54,455

56,175

58,252

60,616

63,198

65,928

68,958

72,333

75,827

79,213

17

52,608

54,071

55,827

57,853

60,128

62,627

65,520

68,821

72,278

75,639

18

50,996

52,293

53,821

55,584

57,589

59,839

62,484

65,521

68,726

71,876

19

49,561

50,758

52,126

53,683

55,450

57,445

59,776

62,430

65,246

68,066

20-24

228,307

233,191

238,221

243,629

249,648

256,511

264,267

272,761

281,919

291,666

20

48,239

49,329

50,525

51,863

53,383

55,123

57,151

59,442

61,893

64,402

21

47,048

48,031

49,045

50,152

51,412

52,887

54,606

56,529

58,611

60,806

22

45,793

46,715

47,626

48,593

49,683

50,963

52,430

54,042

55,799

57,704

23

44,370

45,294

46,211

47,170

48,221

49,412

50,726

52,128

53,648

55,315

24

42,857

43,822

44,814

45,851

46,949

48,126

49,353

50,620

51,968

53,439

25-29

193,914

199,143

204,916

210,946

216,947

222,632

227,790

232,611

237,413

242,514

25

41,441

42,453

43,523

44,636

45,779

46,937

48,073

49,194

50,360

51,627

26

40,097

41,172

42,336

43,543

44,743

45,890

46,934

47,905

48,880

49,935

27

38,768

39,869

41,087

42,351

43,589

44,730

45,720

46,607

47,470

48,392

28

37,449

38,510

39,706

40,959

42,188

43,317

44,300

45,190

46,053

46,955

29

36,160

37,139

38,263

39,457

40,647

41,757

42,763

43,714

44,649

45,606

30-34

163,935

167,873

172,518

177,611

182,892

188,100

193,313

198,705

204,158

209,556

30

34,902

35,813

36,882

38,038

39,205

40,310

41,346

42,361

43,367

44,378

31

33,644

34,493

35,522

36,656

37,819

38,935

40,015

41,109

42,202

43,278

32

32,565

33,350

34,311

35,382

36,496

37,586

38,678

39,813

40,959

42,078

33

31,742

32,466

33,321

34,267

35,263

36,270

37,315

38,425

39,558

40,673

34

31,082

31,750

32,481

33,269

34,110

34,998

35,960

36,997

38,073

39,150

35-39

144,491

147,328

149,854

152,339

155,053

158,269

162,022

166,133

170,545

175,204

35

30,426

31,036

31,644

32,279

32,971

33,750

34,640

35,621

36,658

37,712

36

29,821

30,366

30,836

31,302

31,833

32,498

33,324

34,263

35,277

36,328

37

29,088

29,606

30,013

30,395

30,838

31,428

32,183

33,046

33,989

34,985

38

28,128

28,677

29,135

29,569

30,042

30,619

31,298

32,036

32,836

33,701

39

27,028

27,643

28,225

28,793

29,369

29,974

30,578

31,167

31,785

32,478

71

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

40-44

120,152

123,805

127,854

131,972

135,832

139,109

141,416

142,972

144,355

146,142

40

25,981

26,658

27,351

28,040

28,707

29,333

29,861

30,304

30,747

31,274

41

24,952

25,697

26,510

27,330

28,094

28,743

29,188

29,472

29,723

30,072

42

23,965

24,744

25,628

26,527

27,353

28,019

28,425

28,629

28,781

29,030

43

23,054

23,810

24,676

25,565

26,389

27,060

27,491

27,741

27,940

28,217

44

22,201

22,896

23,689

24,510

25,288

25,954

26,452

26,827

27,164

27,549

45-49

99,073

101,803

104,885

108,160

111,470

114,657

117,744

120,837

123,901

126,898

45

21,351

21,993

22,725

23,491

24,235

24,901

25,459

25,948

26,410

26,890

46

20,507

21,095

21,767

22,481

23,194

23,864

24,490

25,102

25,699

26,281

47

19,732

20,270

20,882

21,538

22,210

22,867

23,531

24,219

24,903

25,555

48

19,050

19,547

20,105

20,703

21,323

21,945

22,591

23,273

23,960

24,618

49

18,432

18,897

19,406

19,947

20,509

21,080

21,673

22,296

22,929

23,554

50-54

83,255

85,115

86,997

88,944

90,998

93,202

95,540

97,984

100,557

103,282

50

17,830

18,258

18,713

19,192

19,694

20,215

20,764

21,341

21,936

22,539

51

17,252

17,641

18,037

18,449

18,885

19,355

19,860

20,393

20,953

21,539

52

16,669

17,029

17,383

17,746

18,134

18,561

19,023

19,511

20,029

20,586

53

16,062

16,406

16,744

17,090

17,456

17,856

18,283

18,726

19,200

19,715

54

15,442

15,781

16,120

16,467

16,830

17,214

17,610

18,013

18,438

18,904

55-59

68,411

70,006

71,674

73,380

75,093

76,779

78,347

79,819

81,332

83,022

55

14,844

15,176

15,516

15,863

16,219

16,586

16,948

17,305

17,679

18,093

56

14,259

14,588

14,930

15,279

15,631

15,980

16,306

16,612

16,929

17,285

57

13,679

14,002

14,342

14,691

15,037

15,371

15,671

15,943

16,220

16,536

58

13,101

13,414

13,744

14,083

14,418

14,741

15,031

15,295

15,563

15,864

59

12,528

12,827

13,142

13,465

13,787

14,101

14,391

14,664

14,941

15,244

60-64

54,295

55,604

56,991

58,425

59,879

61,324

62,744

64,158

65,589

67,061

60

11,963

12,251

12,553

12,863

13,174

13,480

13,771

14,051

14,335

14,637

61

11,410

11,687

11,977

12,275

12,576

12,875

13,168

13,457

13,750

14,053

62

10,858

11,123

11,400

11,687

11,978

12,269

12,559

12,852

13,149

13,449

63

10,306

10,555

10,820

11,095

11,376

11,657

11,937

12,221

12,508

12,799

64

9,758

9,989

10,241

10,505

10,776

11,044

11,309

11,576

11,847

12,123

65-69

41,094

41,987

43,007

44,111

45,255

46,396

47,527

48,676

49,855

51,074

65

9,219

9,433

9,672

9,926

10,186

10,443

10,695

10,948

11,205

11,468

66

8,685

8,883

9,110

9,354

9,606

9,852

10,092

10,331

10,575

10,826

67

8,181

8,361

8,572

8,801

9,037

9,270

9,497

9,724

9,956

10,198

68

7,720

7,881

8,067

8,270

8,483

8,697

8,910

9,128

9,353

9,588

69

7,288

7,429

7,587

7,759

7,943

8,134

8,334

8,545

8,766

8,994

70-74

30,015

30,510

31,006

31,534

32,126

32,813

33,615

34,512

35,472

36,464

70

6,861

6,983

7,114

7,257

7,413

7,582

7,769

7,973

8,187

8,409

71

6,445

6,547

6,651

6,763

6,890

7,038

7,212

7,408

7,619

7,835

72

6,020

6,110

6,196

6,288

6,394

6,525

6,686

6,871

7,071

7,276

73

5,573

5,661

5,745

5,833

5,933

6,054

6,201

6,368

6,548

6,735

74

5,115

5,209

5,300

5,394

5,497

5,614

5,747

5,892

6,047

6,209

75-79

19,080

19,592

20,112

20,637

21,162

21,684

22,184

22,663

23,151

23,680

75

4,673

4,772

4,869

4,968

5,073

5,185

5,305

5,429

5,560

5,700

76

4,247

4,352

4,457

4,562

4,668

4,777

4,882

4,985

5,091

5,207

77

3,819

3,927

4,036

4,145

4,253

4,357

4,452

4,540

4,628

4,726

78

3,385

3,490

3,597

3,705

3,810

3,911

4,001

4,083

4,164

4,254

79

2,956

3,053

3,154

3,256

3,358

3,454

3,543

3,626

3,707

3,794

80 y ms / and over

12,744

13,453

14,233

15,058

15,902

16,741

17,575

18,421

19,278

20,145

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

72

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

3,739,784

3,839,721

3,940,498

4,040,615

4,138,573

4,232,876

4,323,915

4,412,689

4,498,609

4,581,087

0-4

670,729

683,318

695,923

708,407

720,636

732,476

744,718

757,452

769,490

779,646

149,397

151,977

154,653

157,283

159,724

161,832

163,674

165,346

166,747

167,777

137,974

140,613

143,332

146,032

148,618

150,991

153,264

155,502

157,536

159,197

132,367

134,939

137,530

140,108

142,639

145,090

147,624

150,263

152,763

154,879

127,695

130,159

132,572

134,968

137,382

139,849

142,577

145,541

148,431

150,936

123,296

125,631

127,836

130,015

132,273

134,714

137,579

140,801

144,014

146,856

5-9

575,531

589,726

602,611

614,755

626,726

639,094

652,245

665,801

679,180

691,802

122,635

125,417

127,938

130,325

132,704

135,204

137,979

140,944

143,866

146,516

118,850

121,676

124,221

126,618

129,001

131,501

134,241

137,132

139,992

142,636

115,086

117,939

120,514

122,934

125,325

127,811

130,474

133,231

135,959

138,535

111,342

114,209

116,815

119,267

121,670

124,129

126,682

129,259

131,803

134,259

107,617

110,485

113,123

115,610

118,026

120,448

122,868

125,235

127,560

129,856

10-14

482,823

496,886

510,359

523,181

535,291

546,631

556,610

565,268

573,490

582,159

10

103,909

106,765

109,438

111,970

114,403

116,782

119,046

121,168

123,235

125,336

11

100,216

103,046

105,759

108,350

110,813

113,144

115,228

117,069

118,837

120,706

12

96,543

99,349

102,078

104,691

107,154

109,429

111,369

112,998

114,538

116,211

13

92,893

95,685

98,389

100,967

103,381

105,592

107,453

108,992

110,426

111,976

14

89,262

92,041

94,696

97,203

99,541

101,685

103,514

105,042

106,454

107,932

15-19

392,095

405,416

418,125

430,088

441,169

451,233

459,967

467,461

474,184

480,606

15

85,699

88,451

91,051

93,487

95,747

97,819

99,604

101,109

102,484

103,878

16

82,262

84,973

87,498

89,839

92,000

93,984

95,718

97,201

98,541

99,848

17

78,653

81,320

83,808

86,116

88,243

90,189

91,903

93,383

94,709

95,959

18

74,750

77,372

79,890

82,267

84,467

86,455

88,186

89,683

91,014

92,245

19

70,730

73,300

75,880

78,381

80,713

82,786

84,556

86,084

87,435

88,675

20-24

301,928

313,289

325,798

338,580

350,758

361,457

370,574

378,694

385,968

392,551

20

66,866

69,377

72,003

74,607

77,052

79,199

81,008

82,571

83,949

85,201

21

63,071

65,530

68,213

70,932

73,500

75,729

77,582

79,185

80,592

81,857

22

59,760

62,108

64,745

67,460

70,043

72,281

74,148

75,784

77,229

78,526

23

57,159

59,306

61,739

64,264

66,689

68,821

70,651

72,307

73,803

75,155

24

55,073

56,969

59,099

61,316

63,474

65,426

67,185

68,847

70,395

71,812

25-29

248,231

254,695

261,694

269,033

276,516

283,947

291,575

299,529

307,439

314,932

25

53,052

54,706

56,550

58,480

60,390

62,175

63,867

65,536

67,134

68,615

26

51,144

52,551

54,103

55,740

57,398

59,015

60,643

62,324

63,979

65,531

27

49,450

50,665

51,981

53,372

54,812

56,274

57,819

59,467

61,123

62,693

28

47,961

49,074

50,252

51,488

52,777

54,112

55,552

57,101

58,671

60,176

29

46,624

47,700

48,808

49,953

51,139

52,371

53,693

55,102

56,532

57,917

30-34

214,781

219,760

224,571

229,324

234,128

239,092

244,249

249,528

254,876

260,245

30

45,405

46,437

47,466

48,509

49,584

50,709

51,914

53,188

54,485

55,760

31

44,322

45,311

46,257

47,192

48,150

49,163

50,249

51,386

52,548

53,711

32

43,135

44,107

45,016

45,900

46,794

47,736

48,731

49,752

50,795

51,853

33

41,728

42,708

43,641

44,550

45,457

46,386

47,331

48,277

49,232

50,203

34

40,191

41,196

42,191

43,175

44,144

45,098

46,024

46,925

47,816

48,718

35-39

180,052

185,298

190,977

196,781

202,398

207,518

212,030

216,141

220,017

223,825

35

38,750

39,786

40,846

41,904

42,934

43,912

44,818

45,668

46,492

47,319

36

37,375

38,453

39,588

40,729

41,827

42,832

43,715

44,510

45,259

46,006

37

36,005

37,095

38,275

39,475

40,626

41,657

42,537

43,314

44,034

44,742

38

34,634

35,688

36,862

38,075

39,246

40,295

41,198

42,009

42,764

43,495

39

33,289

34,274

35,406

36,598

37,765

38,823

39,762

40,640

41,469

42,263

73

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

40-44

148,912

152,920

157,779

163,109

168,528

173,655

178,602

183,623

188,550

193,215

40

31,970

32,896

33,995

35,176

36,348

37,420

38,396

39,337

40,236

41,087

41

30,647

31,517

32,595

33,780

34,971

36,067

37,085

38,093

39,064

39,974

42

29,527

30,334

31,352

32,486

33,641

34,720

35,750

36,796

37,817

38,772

43

28,702

29,439

30,343

31,347

32,381

33,380

34,375

35,411

36,440

37,415

44

28,066

28,733

29,493

30,320

31,187

32,068

32,995

33,987

34,993

35,967

45-49

129,794

132,431

134,834

137,237

139,875

142,983

146,668

150,773

155,138

159,601

45

27,432

28,027

28,646

29,301

30,007

30,776

31,642

32,597

33,589

34,568

46

26,849

27,365

27,828

28,296

28,826

29,476

30,284

31,212

32,203

33,198

47

26,145

26,621

27,001

27,366

27,793

28,362

29,105

29,970

30,907

31,866

48

25,217

25,713

26,129

26,527

26,970

27,519

28,190

28,940

29,748

30,593

49

24,151

24,706

25,230

25,746

26,279

26,849

27,446

28,055

28,692

29,376

50-54

106,184

109,439

113,031

116,695

120,166

123,179

125,450

127,155

128,721

130,572

50

23,140

23,747

24,367

24,987

25,595

26,180

26,702

27,171

27,643

28,173

51

22,148

22,814

23,538

24,270

24,960

25,558

25,998

26,313

26,603

26,965

52

21,187

21,882

22,666

23,466

24,207

24,816

25,216

25,454

25,648

25,917

53

20,284

20,955

21,721

22,509

23,246

23,858

24,281

24,563

24,802

25,096

54

19,425

20,041

20,739

21,463

22,158

22,767

23,253

23,654

24,024

24,420

55-59

85,025

87,415

90,100

92,971

95,919

98,834

101,819

104,947

108,063

111,013

55

18,568

19,135

19,777

20,452

21,116

21,725

22,269

22,777

23,265

23,749

56

17,712

18,230

18,819

19,447

20,085

20,699

21,308

21,932

22,546

23,125

57

16,923

17,395

17,929

18,506

19,106

19,710

20,352

21,046

21,740

22,381

58

16,227

16,660

17,144

17,667

18,218

18,786

19,409

20,092

20,781

21,423

59

15,594

15,995

16,431

16,900

17,395

17,913

18,480

19,100

19,731

20,336

60-64

68,597

70,155

71,721

73,356

75,120

77,076

79,266

81,649

84,161

86,738

60

14,972

15,337

15,723

16,133

16,571

17,040

17,560

18,128

18,716

19,293

61

14,373

14,700

15,030

15,377

15,753

16,171

16,643

17,162

17,708

18,262

62

13,755

14,054

14,345

14,647

14,977

15,353

15,783

16,253

16,755

17,277

63

13,092

13,378

13,656

13,942

14,253

14,605

15,002

15,432

15,891

16,375

64

12,406

12,687

12,968

13,257

13,567

13,907

14,278

14,673

15,091

15,532

65-69

52,343

53,667

55,040

56,454

57,902

59,379

60,848

62,312

63,828

65,450

65

11,741

12,019

12,301

12,592

12,898

13,223

13,565

13,920

14,292

14,688

66

11,090

11,367

11,653

11,949

12,253

12,564

12,874

13,184

13,506

13,852

67

10,452

10,723

11,008

11,302

11,600

11,896

12,181

12,458

12,743

13,051

68

9,832

10,090

10,361

10,639

10,921

11,201

11,471

11,734

12,003

12,292

69

9,228

9,468

9,717

9,971

10,231

10,495

10,756

11,016

11,284

11,567

70-74

37,457

38,444

39,445

40,471

41,532

42,638

43,798

45,004

46,244

47,505

70

8,633

8,857

9,087

9,322

9,563

9,810

10,063

10,320

10,585

10,860

71

8,049

8,259

8,470

8,685

8,907

9,140

9,386

9,642

9,906

10,175

72

7,478

7,674

7,869

8,069

8,277

8,496

8,733

8,982

9,239

9,498

73

6,920

7,104

7,290

7,481

7,679

7,887

8,108

8,341

8,581

8,821

74

6,377

6,550

6,729

6,915

7,107

7,304

7,507

7,718

7,933

8,151

75-79

24,280

24,967

25,721

26,517

27,329

28,133

28,919

29,705

30,503

31,327

75

5,849

6,011

6,183

6,364

6,549

6,735

6,922

7,112

7,306

7,504

76

5,338

5,489

5,656

5,832

6,012

6,188

6,359

6,530

6,703

6,881

77

4,842

4,981

5,138

5,304

5,473

5,637

5,794

5,947

6,102

6,263

78

4,359

4,484

4,623

4,772

4,922

5,070

5,213

5,353

5,496

5,644

79

3,892

4,002

4,120

4,245

4,373

4,502

4,632

4,763

4,897

5,035

80 y ms / and over

21,022

21,896

22,768

23,656

24,577

25,551

26,578

27,647

28,756

29,900

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

74

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

4,659,533

4,732,584

4,800,633

4,865,724

4,929,902

4,995,213

5,060,482

5,124,346

5,188,566

5,254,902

0-4

786,732

789,888

789,906

788,075

785,685

784,026

782,563

780,436

778,448

777,398

168,334

168,215

167,487

166,456

165,426

164,702

164,272

163,932

163,701

163,599

160,318

160,709

160,482

159,921

159,311

158,937

158,741

158,535

158,403

158,428

156,368

157,050

157,088

156,751

156,308

156,030

155,810

155,469

155,166

155,057

152,747

153,704

154,012

153,913

153,645

153,448

153,166

152,640

152,103

151,788

148,964

150,210

150,836

151,034

150,995

150,910

150,574

149,861

149,076

148,527

5-9

703,086

713,560

723,611

732,447

739,278

743,311

743,149

739,318

733,917

729,043

148,661

150,301

151,591

152,530

153,119

153,356

152,961

151,935

150,698

149,672

144,884

146,792

148,483

149,869

150,863

151,377

151,116

150,138

148,887

147,805

140,835

142,973

145,030

146,838

148,228

149,033

148,958

148,115

146,946

145,892

136,569

138,893

141,269

143,458

145,221

146,318

146,471

145,840

144,843

143,896

132,137

134,601

137,238

139,752

141,847

143,227

143,642

143,289

142,543

141,778

10-14

592,160

604,578

618,825

633,271

646,285

656,239

662,697

666,746

669,039

670,227

10

127,557

130,134

133,006

135,824

138,238

139,898

140,590

140,548

140,091

139,543

11

122,846

125,530

128,643

131,777

134,523

136,470

137,439

137,703

137,531

137,193

12

118,238

120,891

124,021

127,223

130,091

132,219

133,489

134,172

134,444

134,484

13

113,861

116,288

119,109

122,017

124,702

126,854

128,453

129,707

130,644

131,295

14

109,658

111,736

114,045

116,429

118,732

120,799

122,726

124,618

126,328

127,712

15-19

487,197

493,327

498,682

504,208

510,849

519,548

531,849

547,122

563,053

577,327

15

105,438

107,171

108,975

110,846

112,775

114,755

116,999

119,510

121,972

124,068

16

101,232

102,589

103,846

105,158

106,679

108,562

111,144

114,322

117,591

120,449

17

97,212

98,292

99,146

100,039

101,233

102,992

105,712

109,216

112,913

116,207

18

93,444

94,419

95,127

95,853

96,880

98,495

101,051

104,357

107,884

111,101

19

89,871

90,857

91,588

92,313

93,282

94,743

96,943

99,716

102,693

105,502

20-24

398,594

403,490

407,136

410,445

414,328

419,697

426,630

434,520

443,249

452,697

20

86,389

87,363

88,083

88,772

89,653

90,948

92,805

95,074

97,537

99,970

21

83,035

83,998

84,709

85,360

86,145

87,255

88,729

90,439

92,326

94,336

22

79,715

80,683

81,404

82,045

82,776

83,764

84,973

86,290

87,771

89,471

23

76,376

77,360

78,096

78,747

79,474

80,440

81,596

82,834

84,227

85,848

24

73,079

74,086

74,845

75,521

76,281

77,290

78,528

79,884

81,388

83,073

25-29

321,638

327,127

331,648

335,843

340,356

345,829

352,285

359,296

366,828

374,846

25

69,929

70,971

71,772

72,492

73,294

74,337

75,619

77,033

78,583

80,274

26

66,902

67,989

68,844

69,621

70,473

71,556

72,882

74,350

75,938

77,624

27

64,084

65,203

66,112

66,951

67,857

68,970

70,311

71,788

73,368

75,018

28

61,529

62,655

63,613

64,513

65,468

66,589

67,884

69,278

70,760

72,318

29

59,194

60,310

61,308

62,266

63,263

64,377

65,589

66,847

68,179

69,612

30-34

265,583

270,860

276,110

281,378

286,712

292,156

297,441

302,535

307,846

313,777

30

56,967

58,076

59,117

60,136

61,179

62,293

63,440

64,587

65,794

67,117

31

54,850

55,956

57,046

58,132

59,229

60,349

61,434

62,476

63,561

64,775

32

52,920

54,002

55,102

56,213

57,327

58,436

59,474

60,445

61,450

62,590

33

51,200

52,227

53,279

54,347

55,424

56,499

57,512

58,469

59,461

60,581

34

49,646

50,600

51,566

52,550

53,552

54,578

55,581

56,558

57,580

58,714

35-39

227,729

231,615

235,373

239,174

243,192

247,599

252,328

257,264

262,507

268,160

35

48,179

49,061

49,948

50,853

51,787

52,766

53,756

54,749

55,793

56,936

36

46,792

47,603

48,411

49,237

50,105

51,038

52,018

53,030

54,101

55,257

37

45,484

46,239

46,975

47,726

48,527

49,411

50,371

51,385

52,463

53,617

38

44,238

44,962

45,645

46,331

47,068

47,899

48,822

49,806

50,857

51,981

39

43,036

43,749

44,394

45,027

45,705

46,485

47,360

48,294

49,294

50,370

75

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

40-44

197,449

201,027

204,059

206,887

209,850

213,288

217,140

221,178

225,496

230,184

40

41,885

42,584

43,188

43,766

44,385

45,115

45,948

46,841

47,801

48,837

41

40,797

41,477

42,032

42,545

43,098

43,775

44,571

45,431

46,361

47,367

42

39,621

40,307

40,857

41,357

41,890

42,542

43,305

44,123

45,006

45,966

43

38,287

39,014

39,625

40,188

40,771

41,439

42,177

42,940

43,753

44,639

44

36,859

37,645

38,356

39,031

39,706

40,418

41,138

41,843

42,574

43,375

45-49

164,000

168,434

173,010

177,582

181,999

186,115

189,704

192,863

195,933

199,252

45

35,481

36,323

37,128

37,905

38,664

39,415

40,118

40,766

41,420

42,140

46

34,141

35,044

35,945

36,825

37,669

38,457

39,138

39,721

40,289

40,921

47

32,799

33,730

34,693

35,649

36,560

37,386

38,071

38,639

39,177

39,773

48

31,452

32,360

33,331

34,314

35,261

36,121

36,849

37,477

38,075

38,713

49

30,126

30,976

31,914

32,888

33,846

34,735

35,528

36,260

36,973

37,704

50-54

133,134

136,539

140,502

144,827

149,317

153,775

158,296

163,010

167,777

172,454

50

28,819

29,617

30,530

31,501

32,474

33,392

34,246

35,075

35,890

36,705

51

27,499

28,247

29,143

30,124

31,123

32,078

32,997

33,924

34,843

35,742

52

26,376

27,065

27,905

28,838

29,808

30,756

31,706

32,698

33,694

34,657

53

25,544

26,164

26,892

27,699

28,554

29,429

30,357

31,357

32,380

33,376

54

24,897

25,446

26,032

26,665

27,357

28,120

28,989

29,957

30,970

31,974

55-59

113,643

115,669

117,193

118,642

120,440

123,012

126,523

130,690

135,265

140,001

55

24,246

24,723

25,168

25,632

26,166

26,821

27,637

28,581

29,591

30,607

56

23,644

24,039

24,328

24,605

24,966

25,505

26,269

27,196

28,214

29,253

57

22,916

23,270

23,476

23,650

23,910

24,370

25,077

25,951

26,927

27,938

58

21,964

22,336

22,575

22,783

23,059

23,505

24,149

24,923

25,785

26,693

59

20,873

21,301

21,646

21,972

22,340

22,811

23,392

24,039

24,747

25,509

60-64

89,316

91,944

94,666

97,406

100,090

102,642

104,870

106,825

108,793

111,065

60

19,830

20,309

20,749

21,178

21,623

22,112

22,627

23,148

23,705

24,323

61

18,803

19,338

19,880

20,420

20,948

21,454

21,895

22,276

22,665

23,127

62

17,809

18,374

18,978

19,588

20,170

20,690

21,091

21,395

21,689

22,057

63

16,878

17,427

18,022

18,628

19,210

19,732

20,145

20,475

20,792

21,167

64

15,996

16,497

17,037

17,592

18,139

18,653

19,112

19,530

19,944

20,391

65-69

67,232

69,177

71,249

73,443

75,758

78,189

80,838

83,708

86,645

89,498

65

15,112

15,574

16,070

16,587

17,108

17,621

18,120

18,615

19,112

19,619

66

14,234

14,656

15,111

15,592

16,092

16,606

17,150

17,729

18,317

18,887

67

13,397

13,782

14,194

14,635

15,106

15,608

16,173

16,800

17,442

18,051

68

12,615

12,967

13,340

13,739

14,172

14,644

15,188

15,801

16,432

17,034

69

11,874

12,198

12,534

12,891

13,280

13,711

14,207

14,763

15,342

15,908

70-74

48,774

49,985

51,148

52,359

53,716

55,318

57,208

59,320

61,590

63,950

70

11,149

11,442

11,737

12,048

12,391

12,781

13,236

13,747

14,284

14,822

71

10,446

10,705

10,955

11,215

11,509

11,856

12,269

12,735

13,235

13,748

72

9,752

9,985

10,201

10,424

10,679

10,990

11,363

11,784

12,240

12,721

73

9,058

9,275

9,477

9,685

9,921

10,207

10,546

10,924

11,335

11,774

74

8,370

8,578

8,778

8,986

9,216

9,485

9,793

10,130

10,495

10,886

75-79

32,188

33,076

33,982

34,923

35,916

36,978

38,079

39,206

40,407

41,727

75

7,706

7,906

8,103

8,308

8,530

8,780

9,055

9,348

9,664

10,005

76

7,067

7,260

7,456

7,660

7,876

8,107

8,347

8,593

8,855

9,144

77

6,434

6,617

6,807

7,004

7,209

7,422

7,634

7,844

8,066

8,313

78

5,802

5,968

6,141

6,321

6,507

6,701

6,894

7,086

7,289

7,515

79

5,179

5,326

5,475

5,630

5,794

5,968

6,150

6,336

6,533

6,749

80 y ms / and over

31,078

32,288

33,532

34,813

36,132

37,491

38,883

40,307

41,773

43,295

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

76

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

5,325,115

5,403,197

5,487,974

5,573,459

5,653,662

5,722,596

5,779,018

5,826,921

5,868,167

5,904,621

0-4

778,089

781,887

788,258

795,151

800,517

802,305

801,317

798,921

793,913

785,088

163,644

164,193

165,230

166,226

166,648

165,965

164,093

161,386

157,970

153,973

158,694

159,518

160,843

162,195

163,100

163,082

162,217

160,820

158,781

155,987

155,302

156,180

157,586

159,099

160,302

160,775

160,711

160,388

159,519

157,815

151,929

152,761

154,127

155,676

157,057

157,918

158,540

159,157

159,348

158,693

148,519

149,236

150,472

151,955

153,410

154,564

155,756

157,170

158,294

158,620

5-9

726,792

727,510

729,799

733,141

737,019

740,914

745,630

751,513

757,356

761,956

149,276

149,683

150,612

151,806

153,009

153,965

154,896

155,972

156,861

157,232

147,335

147,600

148,303

149,262

150,296

151,222

152,242

153,476

154,623

155,381

145,395

145,523

145,983

146,671

147,482

148,311

149,328

150,604

151,882

152,909

143,418

143,425

143,640

144,037

144,589

145,272

146,213

147,431

148,731

149,920

141,368

141,278

141,260

141,365

141,642

142,144

142,951

144,031

145,259

146,514

10-14

670,962

670,493

668,383

665,763

663,761

663,506

664,649

666,439

669,397

674,045

10

139,222

139,048

138,807

138,620

138,613

138,908

139,533

140,407

141,486

142,730

11

136,959

136,702

136,242

135,769

135,473

135,543

135,949

136,562

137,432

138,606

12

134,470

134,238

133,671

133,013

132,505

132,390

132,586

132,929

133,547

134,562

13

131,689

131,640

131,130

130,436

129,836

129,608

129,633

129,727

130,066

130,830

14

128,622

128,864

128,533

127,926

127,335

127,057

126,949

126,814

126,866

127,318

15-19

587,629

593,249

595,730

596,138

595,539

594,998

593,495

590,319

587,001

585,074

15

125,481

126,005

125,852

125,329

124,747

124,414

124,165

123,794

123,549

123,678

16

122,391

123,195

123,198

122,732

122,128

121,717

121,315

120,701

120,152

119,944

17

118,505

119,613

119,927

119,739

119,339

119,019

118,575

117,814

117,041

116,560

18

113,478

114,910

115,748

116,154

116,286

116,304

115,983

115,218

114,344

113,698

19

107,774

109,526

111,004

112,184

113,039

113,544

113,456

112,792

111,916

111,194

20-24

462,747

474,723

488,704

502,704

514,733

522,806

525,778

524,974

522,109

518,901

20

102,153

104,223

106,328

108,261

109,819

110,797

110,937

110,374

109,498

108,694

21

96,410

98,816

101,592

104,337

106,651

108,135

108,511

108,047

107,158

106,257

22

91,446

94,037

97,208

100,447

103,239

105,074

105,686

105,416

104,663

103,825

23

87,770

90,320

93,448

96,665

99,481

101,408

102,234

102,284

101,877

101,329

24

84,968

87,326

90,129

92,994

95,542

97,391

98,410

98,852

98,915

98,797

25-29

383,318

392,792

403,291

413,992

424,069

432,701

440,057

446,686

452,333

456,742

25

82,112

84,285

86,791

89,345

91,662

93,458

94,677

95,508

96,036

96,342

26

79,386

81,344

83,511

85,710

87,762

89,488

90,917

92,167

93,197

93,964

27

76,708

78,507

80,439

82,395

84,266

85,945

87,511

89,036

90,401

91,487

28

73,940

75,698

77,598

79,535

81,403

83,095

84,689

86,256

87,679

88,843

29

71,172

72,959

74,952

77,007

78,976

80,715

82,263

83,719

85,021

86,107

30-34

320,737

329,337

339,308

349,729

359,681

368,244

375,283

381,413

386,833

391,746

30

68,614

70,399

72,434

74,547

76,567

78,322

79,822

81,182

82,386

83,419

31

66,206

67,982

70,048

72,207

74,262

76,019

77,453

78,695

79,780

80,744

32

63,966

65,716

67,770

69,925

71,975

73,713

75,093

76,254

77,263

78,189

33

61,921

63,608

65,579

67,646

69,620

71,310

72,672

73,832

74,858

75,817

34

60,030

61,633

63,476

65,404

67,257

68,881

70,244

71,450

72,546

73,577

35-39

274,324

281,328

289,105

297,160

305,000

312,128

318,458

324,320

329,844

335,162

35

58,227

59,753

61,482

63,282

65,025

66,581

67,928

69,153

70,288

71,364

36

56,525

57,974

59,586

61,257

62,886

64,370

65,696

66,933

68,099

69,212

37

54,857

56,241

57,761

59,331

60,867

62,283

63,571

64,787

65,945

67,058

38

53,184

54,523

55,993

57,510

58,991

60,352

61,576

62,719

63,806

64,861

39

51,530

52,837

54,285

55,780

57,230

58,542

59,688

60,728

61,706

62,667

77

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

40-44

235,336

241,299

248,011

254,951

261,597

267,429

272,207

276,279

280,003

283,738

40

49,959

51,232

52,651

54,116

55,529

56,789

57,857

58,799

59,675

60,546

41

48,457

49,699

51,090

52,525

53,898

55,104

56,090

56,927

57,694

58,467

42

47,011

48,215

49,570

50,969

52,301

53,459

54,385

55,152

55,845

56,550

43

45,622

46,773

48,077

49,427

50,715

51,835

52,735

53,488

54,169

54,855

44

44,287

45,379

46,621

47,913

49,154

50,242

51,139

51,912

52,620

53,319

45-49

203,157

207,911

213,287

218,895

224,341

229,234

233,516

237,449

241,119

244,613

45

42,986

44,023

45,211

46,453

47,652

48,710

49,601

50,390

51,116

51,821

46

41,699

42,685

43,827

45,029

46,195

47,231

48,120

48,928

49,675

50,386

47

40,513

41,456

42,542

43,687

44,801

45,799

46,675

47,486

48,241

48,951

48

39,464

40,371

41,388

42,447

43,479

44,416

45,255

46,039

46,777

47,473

49

38,495

39,376

40,318

41,279

42,214

43,078

43,865

44,607

45,310

45,983

50-54

176,901

181,124

185,216

189,170

192,974

196,619

200,057

203,295

206,404

209,457

50

37,532

38,386

39,257

40,126

40,969

41,766

42,510

43,217

43,894

44,550

51

36,603

37,427

38,222

38,992

39,739

40,468

41,171

41,849

42,507

43,155

52

35,553

36,369

37,131

37,854

38,552

39,241

39,915

40,563

41,194

41,821

53

34,298

35,140

35,935

36,691

37,413

38,110

38,769

39,386

39,979

40,565

54

32,915

33,802

34,670

35,508

36,300

37,034

37,691

38,280

38,830

39,367

55-59

144,650

149,404

154,428

159,435

164,135

168,242

171,623

174,470

176,982

179,355

55

31,569

32,497

33,432

34,342

35,196

35,962

36,616

37,178

37,687

38,179

56

30,243

31,215

32,217

33,201

34,116

34,914

35,563

36,094

36,556

37,000

57

28,917

29,906

30,950

31,985

32,948

33,776

34,434

34,964

35,418

35,848

58

27,604

28,566

29,606

30,653

31,637

32,487

33,176

33,752

34,254

34,721

59

26,317

27,220

28,224

29,254

30,238

31,102

31,834

32,483

33,067

33,607

60-64

113,929

117,587

121,848

126,406

130,957

135,197

139,223

143,239

147,097

150,649

60

25,032

25,883

26,857

27,876

28,865

29,746

30,519

31,234

31,893

32,497

61

23,730

24,530

25,482

26,503

27,507

28,411

29,225

30,006

30,737

31,403

62

22,585

23,325

24,220

25,192

26,164

27,056

27,891

28,720

29,511

30,233

63

21,673

22,343

23,131

23,984

24,850

25,679

26,500

27,348

28,177

28,942

64

20,909

21,506

22,158

22,851

23,571

24,304

25,088

25,931

26,779

27,574

65-69

92,115

94,311

96,187

98,020

100,087

102,664

105,954

109,773

113,816

117,778

65

20,141

20,663

21,182

21,719

22,297

22,939

23,688

24,530

25,398

26,226

66

19,413

19,853

20,225

20,592

21,016

21,559

22,275

23,122

24,020

24,888

67

18,579

18,973

19,262

19,530

19,860

20,333

21,004

21,817

22,692

23,549

68

17,559

17,959

18,266

18,551

18,885

19,339

19,950

20,671

21,445

22,216

69

16,423

16,863

17,252

17,627

18,029

18,494

19,037

19,633

20,260

20,899

70-74

66,335

68,827

71,472

74,143

76,716

79,066

81,029

82,689

84,291

86,079

70

15,332

15,807

16,266

16,719

17,176

17,647

18,121

18,593

19,077

19,588

71

14,255

14,771

15,308

15,845

16,362

16,837

17,236

17,571

17,897

18,267

72

13,214

13,747

14,327

14,914

15,466

15,943

16,296

16,550

16,782

17,064

73

12,233

12,743

13,305

13,879

14,422

14,892

15,246

15,511

15,753

16,037

74

11,301

11,760

12,266

12,786

13,290

13,747

14,131

14,463

14,782

15,123

75-79

43,211

44,898

46,756

48,730

50,762

52,795

54,883

57,063

59,256

61,382

75

10,377

10,793

11,251

11,729

12,203

12,649

13,059

13,449

13,831

14,218

76

9,469

9,843

10,256

10,695

11,142

11,581

12,021

12,472

12,923

13,359

77

8,600

8,932

9,301

9,696

10,109

10,530

10,979

11,462

11,949

12,410

78

7,775

8,072

8,400

8,752

9,124

9,510

9,931

10,389

10,855

11,298

79

6,990

7,258

7,548

7,857

8,183

8,524

8,893

9,291

9,699

10,097

80 y ms / and over

44,883

46,517

48,189

49,931

51,773

53,748

55,857

58,081

60,414

62,854

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

78

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

5,938,146

5,966,716

5,989,089

6,008,304

6,027,399

6,049,412

6,073,859

6,098,714

6,124,705

6,152,558

0-4

771,245

748,959

719,032

686,600

656,798

634,764

621,662

614,069

610,235

608,413

149,522

143,861

136,906

129,789

123,643

119,602

118,236

118,792

120,410

122,233

152,327

146,997

140,070

132,755

126,257

121,786

119,796

119,482

120,161

121,150

154,987

150,278

143,878

136,927

130,561

125,916

123,268

121,860

121,278

121,109

156,771

152,944

147,491

141,372

135,544

130,966

127,691

125,079

123,052

121,531

157,637

154,879

150,686

145,757

140,793

136,495

132,671

128,856

125,334

122,390

5-9

764,108

764,968

765,341

763,490

757,679

746,173

725,440

696,637

665,063

636,013

156,754

155,427

153,472

150,889

147,676

143,835

138,584

131,925

125,026

119,058

155,448

154,971

154,150

152,767

150,600

147,431

142,436

135,762

128,643

122,314

153,430

153,706

153,906

153,639

152,513

150,136

145,731

139,559

132,786

126,577

150,804

151,729

152,824

153,570

153,449

151,940

148,383

143,125

137,155

131,466

147,672

149,136

150,988

152,625

153,441

152,832

150,307

146,267

141,451

136,599

10-14

680,907

691,985

706,930

722,739

736,408

744,932

748,874

750,237

748,178

741,852

10

144,095

146,018

148,528

150,970

152,687

153,024

151,709

149,178

145,840

142,106

11

140,132

142,464

145,572

148,772

151,384

152,726

152,796

152,050

150,488

148,113

12

136,102

138,603

141,981

145,581

148,746

150,822

152,019

152,772

152,768

151,691

13

132,195

134,541

137,751

141,253

144,480

146,862

148,705

150,386

151,450

151,439

14

128,384

130,358

133,099

136,163

139,110

141,498

143,647

145,852

147,631

148,503

15-19

586,068

590,193

596,428

604,459

613,971

624,650

638,302

655,136

672,444

687,518

15

124,431

126,008

128,245

130,839

133,486

135,884

138,390

141,207

143,797

145,625

16

120,356

121,484

123,143

125,188

127,472

129,850

132,722

136,187

139,641

142,483

17

116,676

117,402

118,533

120,053

121,944

124,187

127,190

130,965

134,901

138,388

18

113,616

114,061

114,807

115,912

117,434

119,428

122,255

125,878

129,755

133,348

19

110,989

111,238

111,699

112,466

113,635

115,301

117,744

120,900

124,350

127,674

20-24

517,065

515,907

514,284

513,236

513,802

517,024

523,144

531,468

541,632

553,272

20

108,352

108,377

108,512

108,896

109,670

110,973

112,999

115,655

118,650

121,693

21

105,760

105,546

105,337

105,317

105,667

106,569

108,121

110,202

112,664

115,363

22

103,299

102,944

102,492

102,160

102,163

102,718

103,843

105,395

107,345

109,664

23

100,958

100,602

100,049

99,543

99,325

99,637

100,456

101,619

103,164

105,126

24

98,696

98,439

97,893

97,320

96,978

97,127

97,725

98,597

99,809

101,428

25-29

459,657

460,298

458,837

456,442

454,281

453,525

453,649

453,873

454,984

457,768

25

96,510

96,358

95,832

95,203

94,741

94,719

95,066

95,604

96,434

97,660

26

94,426

94,396

93,901

93,224

92,644

92,443

92,528

92,712

93,133

93,933

27

92,175

92,289

91,908

91,297

90,720

90,444

90,356

90,280

90,382

90,831

28

89,631

89,904

89,736

89,342

88,934

88,724

88,590

88,390

88,309

88,530

29

86,914

87,351

87,459

87,376

87,242

87,195

87,108

86,887

86,725

86,814

30-34

396,354

400,743

404,779

408,332

411,270

413,463

414,398

414,164

413,527

413,256

30

84,263

84,876

85,268

85,504

85,651

85,773

85,741

85,512

85,279

85,237

31

81,622

82,424

83,126

83,713

84,170

84,483

84,521

84,294

83,998

83,827

32

79,102

80,045

80,973

81,819

82,516

82,998

83,146

83,007

82,755

82,567

33

76,778

77,787

78,799

79,744

80,551

81,149

81,450

81,502

81,436

81,384

34

74,589

75,612

76,614

77,552

78,382

79,061

79,540

79,848

80,058

80,240

35-39

340,406

345,556

350,525

355,341

360,034

364,632

369,349

374,165

378,761

382,815

35

72,413

73,449

74,452

75,400

76,270

77,042

77,707

78,281

78,775

79,198

36

70,291

71,333

72,326

73,273

74,178

75,047

75,915

76,780

77,587

78,279

37

68,139

69,176

70,159

71,108

72,044

72,989

74,007

75,085

76,124

77,027

38

65,908

66,934

67,923

68,895

69,868

70,862

71,943

73,098

74,228

75,232

39

63,654

64,664

65,665

66,666

67,673

68,693

69,777

70,921

72,047

73,078

79

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

40-44

287,843

292,302

296,877

301,590

306,466

311,527

316,889

322,537

328,297

333,997

40

61,472

62,455

63,453

64,465

65,492

66,531

67,623

68,766

69,904

70,977

41

59,327

60,277

61,267

62,287

63,329

64,384

65,475

66,609

67,749

68,861

42

57,353

58,259

59,210

60,200

61,220

62,263

63,343

64,465

65,608

66,751

43

55,623

56,468

57,339

58,243

59,189

60,186

61,248

62,371

63,530

64,704

44

54,068

54,843

55,608

56,395

57,235

58,163

59,201

60,326

61,506

62,704

45-49

248,017

251,090

253,774

256,432

259,426

263,121

267,636

272,728

278,218

283,927

45

52,544

53,249

53,910

54,580

55,315

56,170

57,173

58,288

59,471

60,681

46

51,082

51,710

52,255

52,798

53,416

54,189

55,152

56,251

57,436

58,654

47

49,625

50,203

50,679

51,142

51,684

52,394

53,307

54,361

55,507

56,695

48

48,133

48,704

49,181

49,646

50,179

50,861

51,712

52,679

53,731

54,836

49

46,634

47,224

47,749

48,266

48,833

49,507

50,292

51,149

52,073

53,061

50-54

212,527

215,567

218,529

221,483

224,496

227,638

230,766

233,835

237,057

240,648

50

45,195

45,802

46,367

46,926

47,518

48,179

48,896

49,643

50,442

51,313

51

43,799

44,428

45,039

45,646

46,266

46,913

47,555

48,183

48,844

49,588

52

42,452

43,086

43,717

44,346

44,976

45,608

46,201

46,753

47,327

47,985

53

41,162

41,770

42,375

42,980

43,588

44,200

44,781

45,331

45,901

46,545

54

39,920

40,481

41,032

41,584

42,149

42,739

43,333

43,925

44,543

45,218

55-59

181,787

184,171

186,374

188,559

190,887

193,520

196,507

199,740

203,145

206,650

55

38,693

39,216

39,723

40,233

40,764

41,335

41,940

42,567

43,224

43,920

56

37,474

37,961

38,429

38,903

39,406

39,964

40,584

41,252

41,953

42,675

57

36,304

36,766

37,199

37,635

38,106

38,642

39,263

39,947

40,667

41,395

58

35,195

35,649

36,056

36,455

36,887

37,390

37,982

38,638

39,330

40,033

59

34,122

34,580

34,968

35,334

35,725

36,189

36,737

37,336

37,971

38,627

60-64

153,750

156,205

158,113

159,763

161,446

163,449

165,752

168,162

170,711

173,431

60

33,048

33,508

33,878

34,211

34,565

34,994

35,504

36,058

36,647

37,264

61

31,988

32,449

32,797

33,095

33,409

33,803

34,278

34,790

35,339

35,923

62

30,854

31,329

31,679

31,972

32,273

32,650

33,098

33,573

34,081

34,628

63

29,598

30,106

30,495

30,825

31,155

31,542

31,978

32,424

32,893

33,399

64

28,262

28,813

29,264

29,660

30,044

30,460

30,895

31,318

31,752

32,217

65-69

121,357

124,539

127,528

130,341

132,997

135,513

137,780

139,786

141,694

143,670

65

26,945

27,537

28,046

28,501

28,935

29,378

29,810

30,211

30,610

31,036

66

25,645

26,279

26,844

27,357

27,838

28,304

28,732

29,108

29,470

29,854

67

24,309

24,969

25,580

26,150

26,680

27,177

27,614

27,987

28,336

28,702

68

22,927

23,586

24,229

24,847

25,428

25,964

26,429

26,832

27,206

27,587

69

21,530

22,169

22,829

23,487

24,115

24,691

25,196

25,648

26,072

26,491

70-74

88,298

91,095

94,305

97,711

101,092

104,230

107,139

109,965

112,686

115,281

70

20,140

20,761

21,440

22,138

22,814

23,428

23,971

24,469

24,937

25,390

71

18,734

19,337

20,040

20,786

21,517

22,175

22,757

23,300

23,811

24,296

72

17,471

18,044

18,734

19,479

20,217

20,886

21,490

22,069

22,620

23,139

73

16,428

16,955

17,575

18,245

18,917

19,550

20,150

20,750

21,334

21,887

74

15,525

15,997

16,515

17,064

17,627

18,190

18,770

19,376

19,984

20,569

75-79

63,360

65,058

66,530

67,973

69,587

71,570

74,049

76,892

79,908

82,906

75

14,623

15,039

15,456

15,887

16,345

16,841

17,401

18,015

18,648

19,264

76

13,768

14,121

14,426

14,728

15,068

15,492

16,032

16,658

17,321

17,974

77

12,817

13,127

13,363

13,583

13,847

14,216

14,724

15,331

15,986

16,636

78

11,689

11,992

12,227

12,447

12,705

13,052

13,515

14,058

14,644

15,232

79

10,463

10,779

11,057

11,329

11,622

11,968

12,377

12,830

13,309

13,800

80 y ms / and over

65,397

68,079

70,903

73,814

76,758

79,681

82,523

85,321

88,164

91,141

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

80

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

6,183,002

6,216,143

6,251,495

6,288,899

6,328,196

6,369,224

6,412,028

6,456,715

6,503,218

6,551,472

0-4

606,853

606,217

607,670

610,220

612,877

614,647

615,531

616,189

616,623

616,832

123,401

123,924

124,374

124,738

125,001

125,151

125,167

125,059

124,856

124,588

121,764

122,072

122,529

123,034

123,484

123,778

123,896

123,907

123,838

123,720

120,941

120,906

121,281

121,864

122,456

122,857

123,056

123,188

123,267

123,304

120,438

119,970

120,180

120,771

121,446

121,909

122,169

122,425

122,661

122,861

120,310

119,345

119,306

119,813

120,488

120,953

121,242

121,610

122,001

122,360

5-9

614,788

602,535

595,722

592,626

591,525

590,696

590,793

592,966

596,231

599,606

115,189

113,976

114,639

116,344

118,256

119,538

120,203

120,808

121,336

121,766

118,007

116,168

115,976

116,761

117,855

118,589

119,032

119,630

120,279

120,876

122,096

119,615

118,357

117,915

117,884

117,855

117,962

118,476

119,198

119,929

127,047

123,954

121,525

119,680

118,334

117,406

117,089

117,440

118,165

118,975

132,450

128,822

125,224

121,926

119,197

117,308

116,507

116,612

117,253

118,060

10-14

730,418

710,343

682,190

651,255

622,838

602,235

590,591

584,373

581,867

581,355

10

138,383

134,220

129,344

124,433

120,167

117,225

115,920

115,799

116,393

117,232

11

144,927

140,149

133,775

126,981

120,937

116,817

115,035

114,808

115,516

116,538

12

149,227

144,435

137,525

129,907

122,992

118,190

115,892

115,157

115,399

116,033

13

149,894

145,993

140,040

133,270

126,921

122,227

119,365

117,509

116,398

115,767

14

147,986

145,547

141,506

136,664

131,820

127,776

124,380

121,100

118,160

115,785

15-19

697,647

703,389

706,550

706,295

701,789

692,198

673,999

647,749

618,731

592,228

15

146,153

145,108

142,849

139,784

136,323

132,875

128,989

124,392

119,761

115,774

16

144,108

144,515

144,107

142,886

140,853

138,012

133,582

127,562

121,121

115,429

17

140,819

142,401

143,541

143,926

143,241

141,172

136,781

130,279

123,072

116,565

18

136,116

138,362

140,447

141,915

142,312

141,183

137,705

132,183

125,849

119,935

19

130,452

133,003

135,606

137,784

139,060

138,956

136,941

133,332

128,928

124,527

20-24

566,024

581,668

600,448

619,691

636,728

648,885

656,711

661,985

663,888

661,600

20

124,491

127,400

130,613

133,599

135,828

136,770

136,152

134,328

131,707

128,696

21

118,150

121,423

125,280

129,125

132,364

134,402

135,238

135,268

134,494

132,920

22

112,323

115,725

119,886

124,207

128,087

130,926

132,931

134,503

135,329

135,100

23

107,541

110,765

114,773

119,033

123,014

126,183

128,840

131,341

133,234

134,070

24

103,518

106,355

109,897

113,728

117,435

120,605

123,550

126,546

129,124

130,813

25-29

463,011

470,955

481,076

493,011

506,397

520,869

538,169

558,538

579,367

598,044

25

99,385

101,800

104,837

108,208

111,625

114,802

118,084

121,665

125,022

127,636

26

95,251

97,184

99,638

102,468

105,530

108,679

112,303

116,498

120,682

124,274

27

91,793

93,286

95,201

97,507

100,177

103,181

106,910

111,384

116,016

120,219

28

89,238

90,409

91,921

93,808

96,106

98,849

102,382

106,683

111,233

115,513

29

87,345

88,276

89,480

91,020

92,958

95,358

98,489

102,308

106,413

110,400

30-34

414,120

415,609

417,212

419,692

423,811

430,333

439,486

450,763

463,819

478,310

30

85,581

86,243

87,095

88,235

89,764

91,781

94,472

97,770

101,397

105,073

31

83,977

84,356

84,836

85,551

86,636

88,228

90,418

93,117

96,186

99,484

32

82,620

82,806

83,006

83,384

84,100

85,317

87,052

89,196

91,724

94,612

33

81,477

81,595

81,652

81,826

82,295

83,241

84,637

86,364

88,460

90,960

34

80,465

80,609

80,624

80,697

81,015

81,766

82,908

84,315

86,051

88,181

35-39

386,008

387,835

388,509

388,787

389,426

391,180

393,549

396,029

399,371

404,328

35

79,563

79,741

79,726

79,708

79,877

80,424

81,282

82,325

83,651

85,360

36

78,803

79,029

78,995

78,893

78,914

79,249

79,810

80,469

81,359

82,614

37

77,697

78,018

78,054

77,979

77,968

78,194

78,550

78,922

79,468

80,347

38

76,009

76,473

76,691

76,792

76,908

77,166

77,451

77,675

78,015

78,646

39

73,936

74,574

75,043

75,415

75,759

76,147

76,456

76,638

76,878

77,360

81

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

40-44

339,465

344,907

350,438

355,748

360,527

364,466

367,069

368,542

369,629

371,074

40

71,928

72,749

73,478

74,127

74,708

75,232

75,574

75,726

75,876

76,210

41

69,909

70,930

71,945

72,903

73,749

74,430

74,819

74,954

75,021

75,210

42

67,874

69,040

70,262

71,447

72,497

73,320

73,800

74,001

74,095

74,251

43

65,869

67,090

68,382

69,648

70,791

71,712

72,327

72,701

72,961

73,235

44

63,884

65,099

66,370

67,622

68,781

69,772

70,549

71,160

71,677

72,167

45-49

289,673

295,565

301,722

307,983

314,188

320,176

326,148

332,211

338,064

343,404

45

61,873

63,086

64,347

65,602

66,794

67,868

68,816

69,675

70,456

71,172

46

59,855

61,060

62,303

63,553

64,775

65,936

67,073

68,205

69,282

70,251

47

57,876

59,062

60,286

61,530

62,774

64,001

65,272

66,600

67,891

69,053

48

55,961

57,121

58,338

59,589

60,855

62,114

63,430

64,818

66,180

67,424

49

54,108

55,236

56,447

57,709

58,990

60,256

61,557

62,914

64,254

65,504

50-54

244,822

249,692

255,115

260,921

266,940

273,002

279,209

285,674

292,243

298,764

50

52,278

53,364

54,556

55,814

57,098

58,367

59,657

60,995

62,328

63,600

51

50,462

51,499

52,668

53,918

55,202

56,470

57,743

59,054

60,372

61,665

52

48,789

49,770

50,888

52,094

53,341

54,583

55,829

57,113

58,417

59,723

53

47,315

48,232

49,260

50,369

51,530

52,712

53,928

55,199

56,504

57,824

54

45,978

46,827

47,744

48,726

49,770

50,871

52,051

53,312

54,623

55,953

55-59

210,179

213,593

216,940

220,432

224,280

228,695

233,785

239,409

245,405

251,612

55

44,665

45,444

46,251

47,107

48,034

49,051

50,186

51,423

52,725

54,053

56

43,403

44,107

44,794

45,514

46,312

47,238

48,321

49,530

50,819

52,141

57

42,106

42,757

43,368

43,999

44,710

45,564

46,588

47,744

48,986

50,268

58

40,719

41,355

41,958

42,581

43,274

44,090

45,049

46,115

47,259

48,454

59

39,286

39,930

40,569

41,232

41,950

42,752

43,641

44,597

45,616

46,695

60-64

176,355

179,525

182,919

186,474

190,126

193,811

197,395

200,922

204,590

208,602

60

37,901

38,550

39,217

39,913

40,647

41,430

42,248

43,095

43,990

44,953

61

36,541

37,201

37,903

38,636

39,390

40,153

40,895

41,624

42,384

43,220

62

35,222

35,877

36,591

37,338

38,094

38,835

39,523

40,174

40,845

41,593

63

33,957

34,582

35,266

35,984

36,712

37,426

38,094

38,730

39,386

40,110

64

32,735

33,314

33,942

34,603

35,283

35,967

36,636

37,299

37,986

38,726

65-69

145,876

148,295

150,819

153,472

156,282

159,275

162,485

165,894

169,451

173,105

65

31,516

32,056

32,638

33,252

33,892

34,550

35,218

35,902

36,612

37,360

66

30,297

30,800

31,339

31,912

32,517

33,153

33,825

34,535

35,273

36,032

67

29,123

29,597

30,096

30,626

31,193

31,800

32,462

33,176

33,921

34,675

68

28,010

28,465

28,931

29,419

29,941

30,509

31,137

31,817

32,528

33,250

69

26,930

27,377

27,815

28,263

28,739

29,263

29,842

30,464

31,117

31,788

70-74

117,728

119,928

121,895

123,778

125,726

127,888

130,249

132,710

135,293

138,020

70

25,844

26,280

26,690

27,098

27,530

28,012

28,548

29,122

29,725

30,353

71

24,761

25,185

25,562

25,927

26,313

26,753

27,247

27,774

28,333

28,921

72

23,623

24,047

24,413

24,759

25,120

25,533

25,994

26,479

26,993

27,540

73

22,396

22,839

23,226

23,588

23,958

24,366

24,807

25,258

25,730

26,234

74

21,105

21,578

22,004

22,405

22,805

23,224

23,653

24,078

24,512

24,972

75-79

85,694

88,281

90,795

93,223

95,552

97,768

99,790

101,627

103,401

105,235

75

19,826

20,326

20,788

21,224

21,650

22,078

22,494

22,890

23,286

23,704

76

18,566

19,095

19,593

20,065

20,516

20,952

21,353

21,717

22,072

22,444

77

17,230

17,771

18,293

18,791

19,264

19,708

20,103

20,451

20,783

21,127

78

15,786

16,312

16,835

17,346

17,832

18,284

18,683

19,038

19,373

19,716

79

14,285

14,778

15,287

15,797

16,289

16,746

17,156

17,530

17,887

18,245

80 y ms / and over

94,341

97,806

101,475

105,288

109,183

113,100

117,070

121,135

125,245

129,352

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

82

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

6,601,411

6,653,708

6,708,407

6,764,498

6,820,971

6,876,814

6,932,230

6,987,894

7,043,500

7,098,746

0-4

616,819

616,995

617,361

617,297

616,183

613,401

608,346

601,432

593,564

585,648

124,283

124,025

123,794

123,466

122,917

122,025

120,618

118,779

116,763

114,828

123,581

123,517

123,508

123,412

123,084

122,380

121,141

119,461

117,582

115,744

123,313

123,389

123,521

123,570

123,394

122,852

121,812

120,366

118,716

117,060

123,009

123,186

123,402

123,536

123,468

123,076

122,266

121,121

119,778

118,380

122,633

122,880

123,136

123,313

123,320

123,068

122,509

121,706

120,725

119,636

5-9

602,109

603,752

605,189

606,402

607,375

608,089

608,962

610,007

610,596

610,100

122,083

122,268

122,335

122,307

122,211

122,070

121,967

121,887

121,705

121,295

121,318

121,589

121,756

121,846

121,882

121,890

121,966

122,093

122,127

121,922

120,472

120,820

121,105

121,336

121,524

121,675

121,887

122,152

122,328

122,273

119,576

119,981

120,386

120,771

121,116

121,403

121,714

122,060

122,320

122,370

118,661

119,094

119,606

120,142

120,642

121,051

121,429

121,814

122,115

122,240

10-14

581,122

581,832

584,629

588,517

592,500

595,582

597,781

599,760

601,493

602,956

10

117,847

118,299

118,902

119,563

120,188

120,685

121,084

121,449

121,732

121,885

11

117,254

117,739

118,409

119,147

119,839

120,371

120,732

121,000

121,188

121,312

12

116,471

116,824

117,483

118,282

119,057

119,643

120,011

120,272

120,468

120,643

13

115,353

115,329

115,870

116,717

117,613

118,299

118,766

119,186

119,573

119,942

14

114,197

113,640

113,966

114,809

115,803

116,584

117,186

117,853

118,532

119,174

15-19

573,524

563,786

559,491

558,889

560,228

561,757

564,154

568,585

574,036

579,489

15

113,106

112,075

112,227

113,091

114,193

115,060

115,756

116,597

117,486

118,326

16

111,654

110,214

110,328

111,373

112,723

113,754

114,546

115,515

116,541

117,505

17

112,164

110,265

109,930

110,567

111,585

112,392

113,101

114,107

115,239

116,329

18

115,673

113,246

111,831

111,156

110,950

110,939

111,298

112,210

113,412

114,641

19

120,926

117,986

115,174

112,701

110,777

109,612

109,452

110,157

111,358

112,688

20-24

654,299

638,537

614,860

588,442

564,458

548,082

540,486

538,222

539,529

542,649

20

125,706

122,297

118,195

114,060

110,552

108,329

107,708

108,248

109,476

110,919

21

130,548

126,614

121,116

115,201

110,015

106,704

105,685

106,192

107,603

109,295

22

133,502

129,614

123,645

116,976

110,989

107,063

105,594

105,659

106,670

108,036

23

133,399

130,414

125,415

119,612

114,213

110,428

108,438

107,439

107,156

107,314

24

131,144

129,598

126,488

122,593

118,690

115,557

113,062

110,683

108,624

107,086

25-29

611,960

621,693

628,984

632,964

632,764

627,517

613,838

592,307

567,999

545,988

25

128,987

128,813

127,461

125,323

122,792

120,260

117,296

113,641

109,937

106,830

26

126,693

127,944

128,415

128,098

126,980

125,053

121,565

116,525

111,056

106,285

27

123,408

125,797

127,776

129,024

129,220

128,043

124,589

119,072

112,847

107,274

28

119,005

122,012

124,881

127,155

128,377

128,092

125,508

120,929

115,542

110,534

29

113,866

117,127

120,451

123,364

125,395

126,069

124,880

122,141

118,616

115,065

30-34

493,895

512,303

533,762

555,679

575,455

590,497

601,396

609,882

615,067

616,063

30

108,519

112,082

115,947

119,595

122,505

124,155

124,293

123,266

121,453

119,236

31

102,874

106,741

111,177

115,604

119,443

122,116

123,633

124,381

124,343

123,500

32

97,832

101,774

106,454

111,290

115,701

119,106

121,719

123,930

125,414

125,847

33

93,902

97,628

102,114

106,845

111,308

114,987

118,188

121,252

123,724

125,148

34

90,767

94,078

98,071

102,344

106,499

110,133

113,562

117,053

120,133

122,332

35-39

411,652

421,578

433,605

447,379

462,549

478,761

497,727

519,681

542,057

562,288

35

87,552

90,410

93,870

97,653

101,481

105,075

108,780

112,782

116,564

119,609

36

84,369

86,715

89,564

92,776

96,211

99,730

103,713

108,254

112,781

116,721

37

81,719

83,603

85,891

88,557

91,572

94,909

98,951

103,716

108,630

113,118

38

79,745

81,290

83,162

85,396

88,025

91,081

94,903

99,470

104,273

108,805

39

78,267

79,561

81,117

82,997

85,260

87,966

91,379

95,459

99,809

104,036

83

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

40-44

373,618

376,781

380,068

384,201

389,901

397,890

408,405

420,965

435,215

450,800

40

76,916

77,930

79,129

80,605

82,454

84,770

87,736

91,290

95,156

99,060

41

75,709

76,432

77,253

78,301

79,704

81,591

84,053

87,005

90,309

93,825

42

74,640

75,161

75,699

76,408

77,440

78,949

80,955

83,354

86,118

89,219

43

73,651

74,096

74,485

74,987

75,771

77,007

78,675

80,660

82,995

85,711

44

72,702

73,163

73,503

73,901

74,531

75,573

76,987

78,655

80,636

82,986

45-49

347,931

351,170

353,323

355,100

357,212

360,370

364,108

367,951

372,600

378,753

45

71,833

72,320

72,625

72,928

73,409

74,246

75,380

76,691

78,269

80,207

46

71,060

71,588

71,871

72,088

72,421

73,050

73,892

74,828

75,980

77,474

47

69,994

70,604

70,945

71,181

71,475

71,990

72,628

73,280

74,094

75,219

48

68,453

69,186

69,686

70,077

70,478

71,012

71,569

72,068

72,674

73,551

49

66,591

67,472

68,195

68,826

69,430

70,072

70,638

71,084

71,582

72,303

50-54

305,083

311,401

317,822

324,041

329,756

334,663

338,306

340,888

343,091

345,601

50

64,759

65,798

66,754

67,634

68,449

69,206

69,790

70,196

70,596

71,165

51

62,900

64,114

65,327

66,486

67,539

68,433

69,051

69,428

69,740

70,159

52

61,014

62,351

63,745

65,106

66,340

67,355

68,046

68,475

68,799

69,175

53

59,140

60,514

61,961

63,384

64,690

65,785

66,591

67,170

67,639

68,115

54

57,270

58,625

60,036

61,431

62,738

63,885

64,829

65,619

66,318

66,987

55-59

257,865

264,269

270,931

277,698

284,414

290,926

297,432

304,035

310,436

316,338

55

55,368

56,706

58,093

59,476

60,800

62,010

63,103

64,115

65,051

65,921

56

53,450

54,767

56,122

57,485

58,823

60,103

61,361

62,618

63,822

64,920

57

51,546

52,832

54,156

55,500

56,845

58,174

59,547

60,975

62,370

63,639

58

49,671

50,922

52,227

53,566

54,920

56,268

57,671

59,145

60,595

61,929

59

47,830

49,042

50,332

51,671

53,027

54,371

55,749

57,182

58,599

59,928

60-64

213,156

218,359

224,078

230,152

236,425

242,735

249,184

255,877

262,665

269,396

60

46,003

47,165

48,428

49,752

51,100

52,435

53,792

55,196

56,594

57,934

61

44,178

45,286

46,516

47,821

49,158

50,481

51,811

53,179

54,552

55,900

62

42,476

43,523

44,696

45,951

47,244

48,532

49,827

51,157

52,506

53,855

63

40,952

41,930

43,012

44,170

45,374

46,598

47,854

49,159

50,497

51,847

64

39,547

40,454

41,426

42,459

43,548

44,689

45,900

47,185

48,515

49,861

65-69

176,803

180,426

184,007

187,727

191,769

196,311

201,455

207,080

213,035

219,171

65

38,156

38,989

39,853

40,763

41,736

42,791

43,949

45,200

46,509

47,839

66

36,802

37,558

38,305

39,082

39,931

40,891

41,991

43,204

44,487

45,799

67

35,419

36,117

36,783

37,469

38,228

39,111

40,146

41,298

42,526

43,789

68

33,962

34,633

35,278

35,941

36,668

37,504

38,467

39,527

40,656

41,829

69

32,465

33,129

33,789

34,473

35,205

36,014

36,902

37,851

38,857

39,915

70-74

140,914

144,005

147,278

150,688

154,187

157,730

161,207

164,649

168,220

172,084

70

30,998

31,653

32,324

33,020

33,751

34,527

35,339

36,180

37,064

38,007

71

29,538

30,189

30,874

31,587

32,319

33,063

33,795

34,521

35,277

36,096

72

28,124

28,759

29,441

30,152

30,872

31,583

32,254

32,898

33,561

34,289

73

26,779

27,378

28,024

28,698

29,382

30,057

30,695

31,309

31,939

32,629

74

25,474

26,025

26,615

27,232

27,864

28,500

29,123

29,741

30,379

31,062

75-79

107,253

109,441

111,717

114,101

116,612

119,269

122,097

125,083

128,190

131,380

75

24,164

24,672

25,212

25,780

26,367

26,968

27,574

28,191

28,830

29,502

76

22,862

23,328

23,822

24,343

24,889

25,457

26,050

26,669

27,311

27,973

77

21,515

21,944

22,395

22,870

23,373

23,906

24,481

25,093

25,730

26,377

78

20,092

20,494

20,907

21,338

21,797

22,293

22,838

23,426

24,039

24,660

79

18,620

19,002

19,381

19,771

20,187

20,644

21,154

21,704

22,281

22,869

80 y ms / and over

133,408

137,380

141,302

145,220

149,182

153,234

157,347

161,490

165,707

170,042

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

84

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

7,153,328

7,207,404

7,261,178

7,314,411

7,366,863

7,418,295

7,468,759

7,518,412

7,567,181

7,614,988

0-4

578,589

572,329

566,263

560,481

555,069

550,115

545,638

541,580

537,911

534,606

113,229

112,005

110,986

110,113

109,327

108,570

107,844

107,188

106,599

106,075

114,188

112,932

111,817

110,814

109,895

109,031

108,226

107,498

106,844

106,258

115,599

114,324

113,102

111,946

110,868

109,878

108,983

108,174

107,444

106,787

117,065

115,795

114,478

113,170

111,930

110,815

109,831

108,938

108,131

107,399

118,508

117,271

115,880

114,438

113,050

111,821

110,754

109,781

108,895

108,087

5-9

607,893

603,373

596,958

589,551

582,052

575,365

569,422

563,624

558,067

552,854

120,533

119,248

117,525

115,617

113,780

112,268

111,117

110,159

109,338

108,598

121,334

120,201

118,620

116,833

115,078

113,595

112,402

111,338

110,378

109,497

121,843

120,907

119,558

117,997

116,422

115,033

113,819

112,649

111,536

110,495

122,088

121,381

120,329

119,074

117,755

116,510

115,302

114,035

112,771

111,569

122,095

121,637

120,925

120,030

119,018

117,959

116,783

115,442

114,045

112,695

10-14

604,121

605,408

606,833

607,770

607,589

605,665

601,390

595,183

587,953

580,611

10

121,862

121,676

121,358

120,889

120,248

119,416

118,285

116,869

115,329

113,823

11

121,386

121,499

121,640

121,678

121,481

120,916

119,831

118,314

116,594

114,899

12

120,839

121,188

121,659

122,059

122,191

121,862

120,906

119,452

117,750

116,046

13

120,306

120,784

121,365

121,873

122,135

121,974

121,263

120,121

118,736

117,298

14

119,727

120,261

120,810

121,270

121,534

121,498

121,105

120,426

119,545

118,545

15-19

583,928

587,372

590,498

593,279

595,686

597,692

599,695

601,712

603,148

603,406

15

119,022

119,603

120,136

120,572

120,864

120,964

120,883

120,652

120,256

119,680

16

118,287

118,877

119,356

119,738

120,036

120,265

120,509

120,759

120,888

120,770

17

117,204

117,838

118,344

118,764

119,140

119,516

120,016

120,613

121,117

121,342

18

115,634

116,384

117,064

117,688

118,271

118,826

119,466

120,180

120,802

121,163

19

113,781

114,669

115,598

116,518

117,376

118,122

118,821

119,508

120,084

120,451

20-24

545,820

549,716

555,509

562,191

568,755

574,190

578,493

582,337

585,727

588,671

20

112,102

113,091

114,199

115,332

116,393

117,286

118,037

118,711

119,267

119,665

21

110,645

111,733

112,974

114,249

115,438

116,421

117,185

117,810

118,316

118,723

22

109,166

110,175

111,455

112,838

114,153

115,231

116,040

116,692

117,237

117,724

23

107,638

108,301

109,487

110,936

112,387

113,581

114,503

115,327

116,074

116,765

24

106,269

106,416

107,393

108,836

110,384

111,671

112,728

113,796

114,833

115,794

25-29

531,351

525,242

524,277

526,724

530,851

534,927

539,594

546,006

553,200

560,210

25

104,963

104,649

105,457

106,921

108,572

109,944

111,096

112,338

113,583

114,742

26

103,337

102,622

103,389

105,024

106,914

108,444

109,688

111,056

112,436

113,719

27

103,709

102,538

102,859

104,089

105,647

106,952

108,112

109,514

110,997

112,401

28

107,092

105,395

104,652

104,594

104,950

105,451

106,264

107,570

109,116

110,652

29

112,250

110,037

107,920

106,097

104,769

104,135

104,433

105,529

107,068

108,697

30-34

611,983

599,484

579,158

556,018

535,077

521,347

515,965

515,588

518,514

523,035

30

116,995

114,304

110,911

107,452

104,565

102,886

102,722

103,647

105,204

106,933

31

121,837

118,612

113,837

108,622

104,081

101,326

100,759

101,640

103,363

105,324

32

124,905

121,696

116,434

110,461

105,116

101,741

100,717

101,151

102,470

104,099

33

125,067

122,699

118,350

113,191

108,393

105,128

103,575

102,950

102,989

103,426

34

123,179

122,172

119,626

116,293

112,922

110,266

108,192

106,200

104,487

103,252

35-39

577,808

589,205

598,191

603,882

605,394

601,843

589,922

570,222

547,701

527,318

35

121,400

121,688

120,817

119,163

117,098

114,997

112,441

109,178

105,841

103,059

36

119,502

121,136

122,004

122,088

121,370

119,829

116,733

112,095

107,014

102,590

37

116,606

119,310

121,610

123,187

123,718

122,881

119,792

114,666

108,829

103,606

38

112,557

115,833

118,969

121,514

123,016

123,023

120,762

116,534

111,499

106,816

39

107,743

111,240

114,791

117,930

120,193

121,113

120,195

117,749

114,519

111,247

85

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

40-44

467,367

486,598

508,729

531,236

551,596

567,285

578,881

588,066

593,974

595,737

40

102,725

106,491

110,542

114,368

117,461

119,311

119,670

118,879

117,307

115,326

41

97,414

101,452

106,031

110,589

114,561

117,385

119,073

120,000

120,147

119,498

42

92,628

96,720

101,516

106,451

110,960

114,479

117,220

119,559

121,179

121,762

43

88,838

92,710

97,305

102,125

106,672

110,446

113,745

116,901

119,469

121,004

44

85,762

89,224

93,334

97,703

101,942

105,664

109,173

112,727

115,871

118,147

45-49

387,110

397,901

410,661

425,042

440,702

457,293

476,458

498,426

520,735

540,925

45

82,594

85,611

89,198

93,084

96,999

100,673

104,440

108,477

112,288

115,374

46

79,434

81,949

84,938

88,265

91,793

95,387

99,413

103,963

108,485

112,430

47

76,803

78,864

81,304

84,095

87,209

90,620

94,694

99,449

104,336

108,803

48

74,861

76,586

78,616

80,980

83,712

86,842

90,695

95,248

100,017

104,515

49

73,418

74,890

76,605

78,619

80,988

83,770

87,216

91,289

95,610

99,802

50-54

349,099

353,132

357,244

362,116

368,430

376,869

387,648

400,313

414,540

430,003

50

72,076

73,269

74,629

76,245

78,206

80,601

83,606

87,160

91,002

94,871

51

70,860

71,763

72,750

73,944

75,465

77,436

79,944

82,906

86,194

89,677

52

69,761

70,459

71,165

72,024

73,181

74,780

76,839

79,259

82,018

85,091

53

68,714

69,331

69,886

70,540

71,453

72,785

74,513

76,530

78,870

81,567

54

67,688

68,311

68,814

69,363

70,125

71,266

72,747

74,458

76,455

78,798

55-59

321,441

325,308

328,137

330,586

333,311

336,969

341,115

345,311

350,224

356,524

55

66,732

67,371

67,834

68,288

68,902

69,842

71,050

72,414

74,023

75,965

56

65,860

66,530

66,965

67,333

67,801

68,537

69,461

70,460

71,656

73,167

57

64,694

65,432

65,916

66,294

66,719

67,340

68,064

68,789

69,658

70,813

58

63,056

63,901

64,526

65,041

65,559

66,192

66,834

67,413

68,084

69,002

59

61,100

62,073

62,897

63,629

64,329

65,057

65,705

66,234

66,804

67,577

60-64

275,922

282,433

289,031

295,426

301,332

306,461

310,391

313,314

315,862

318,668

60

59,163

60,275

61,307

62,264

63,155

63,986

64,649

65,138

65,617

66,248

61

57,190

58,457

59,721

60,933

62,040

62,994

63,685

64,149

64,545

65,036

62

55,186

56,558

57,983

59,373

60,642

61,702

62,457

62,965

63,371

63,818

63

53,190

54,586

56,047

57,485

58,810

59,935

60,787

61,425

61,958

62,492

64

51,193

52,557

53,973

55,371

56,685

57,845

58,814

59,637

60,371

61,074

65-69

225,337

231,627

238,142

244,740

251,278

257,617

263,931

270,316

276,506

282,238

65

49,156

50,493

51,874

53,248

54,564

55,773

56,868

57,884

58,828

59,709

66

47,097

48,401

49,740

51,083

52,401

53,662

54,899

56,132

57,313

58,396

67

45,046

46,309

47,605

48,917

50,228

51,522

52,853

54,231

55,577

56,808

68

43,019

44,236

45,500

46,793

48,096

49,393

50,739

52,144

53,527

54,805

69

41,019

42,187

43,423

44,699

45,990

47,267

48,573

49,925

51,262

52,520

70-74

176,404

181,274

186,584

192,195

197,968

203,764

209,664

215,760

221,931

228,055

70

39,022

40,132

41,327

42,574

43,840

45,094

46,365

47,675

48,980

50,231

71

37,017

38,063

39,212

40,424

41,662

42,888

44,119

45,381

46,646

47,890

72

35,130

36,108

37,192

38,344

39,529

40,708

41,892

43,103

44,330

45,558

73

33,417

34,322

35,316

36,374

37,470

38,581

39,714

40,888

42,087

43,298

74

31,817

32,648

33,538

34,479

35,466

36,493

37,574

38,713

39,888

41,077

75-79

134,616

137,805

140,974

144,259

147,798

151,728

156,126

160,900

165,936

171,120

75

30,219

30,974

31,760

32,587

33,464

34,404

35,423

36,515

37,653

38,810

76

28,651

29,328

30,004

30,709

31,470

32,316

33,269

34,308

35,403

36,523

77

27,021

27,636

28,231

28,844

29,515

30,282

31,163

32,135

33,167

34,228

78

25,272

25,853

26,412

26,985

27,609

28,319

29,128

30,012

30,952

31,927

79

23,453

24,015

24,568

25,134

25,739

26,407

27,143

27,929

28,761

29,631

80 y ms / and over

174,539

179,198

183,990

188,916

193,974

199,165

204,426

209,756

215,252

221,008

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

86

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

7,661,759

7,707,470

7,752,173

7,795,901

7,838,687

7,880,563

7,921,508

7,961,500

8,000,572

8,038,758

8,076,089

0-4

531,634

529,025

526,797

524,908

523,315

521,976

520,919

520,172

519,693

519,439

519,368

105,614

105,228

104,919

104,669

104,457

104,267

104,109

103,997

103,911

103,834

103,746

105,737

105,290

104,920

104,613

104,354

104,129

103,947

103,819

103,729

103,664

103,608

106,196

105,678

105,237

104,863

104,549

104,284

104,074

103,926

103,831

103,780

103,763

106,737

106,145

105,629

105,187

104,813

104,506

104,267

104,099

103,998

103,961

103,984

107,351

106,684

106,092

105,577

105,142

104,791

104,522

104,331

104,224

104,201

104,268

5-9

548,081

543,763

539,834

536,274

533,061

530,178

527,636

525,450

523,599

522,063

520,822

107,884

107,197

106,573

106,012

105,513

105,075

104,700

104,387

104,135

103,945

103,815

108,668

107,893

107,190

106,556

105,988

105,484

105,044

104,672

104,364

104,119

103,932

109,540

108,675

107,889

107,179

106,539

105,965

105,459

105,025

104,658

104,354

104,106

110,488

109,534

108,666

107,878

107,164

106,517

105,942

105,443

105,013

104,648

104,339

111,501

110,464

109,515

108,648

107,858

107,137

106,491

105,923

105,427

104,998

104,630

10-14

574,065

568,246

562,548

557,075

551,933

547,227

542,887

538,843

535,201

532,064

529,540

10

112,512

111,402

110,386

109,455

108,601

107,816

107,105

106,474

105,915

105,419

104,977

11

113,459

112,285

111,225

110,261

109,373

108,542

107,782

107,105

106,491

105,923

105,381

12

114,589

113,384

112,266

111,226

110,258

109,354

108,519

107,759

107,064

106,429

105,845

13

115,996

114,804

113,597

112,413

111,290

110,265

109,314

108,412

107,595

106,903

106,374

14

117,509

116,371

115,074

113,720

112,411

111,249

110,166

109,094

108,135

107,390

106,963

15-19

601,890

597,983

592,084

585,116

578,002

571,666

565,492

558,864

552,707

547,943

545,495

15

118,907

117,830

116,459

114,957

113,484

112,203

111,006

109,786

108,702

107,919

107,597

16

120,280

119,263

117,802

116,131

114,478

113,075

111,768

110,403

109,211

108,423

108,270

17

121,099

120,221

118,834

117,187

115,532

114,119

112,781

111,352

110,081

109,219

109,018

18

121,094

120,467

119,395

118,069

116,683

115,429

114,179

112,803

111,496

110,448

109,854

19

120,509

120,202

119,594

118,772

117,825

116,840

115,758

114,521

113,217

111,932

110,755

20-24

591,174

593,619

596,003

597,750

598,289

597,045

594,401

590,739

585,486

578,069

567,913

20

119,863

119,869

119,710

119,376

118,853

118,133

117,221

116,126

114,835

113,339

111,625

21

119,053

119,386

119,708

119,898

119,836

119,399

118,669

117,726

116,450

114,718

112,410

22

118,201

118,791

119,460

120,027

120,307

120,119

119,584

118,825

117,657

115,899

113,368

23

117,420

118,149

118,938

119,623

120,040

120,027

119,692

119,145

118,221

116,758

114,591

24

116,637

117,425

118,187

118,827

119,252

119,367

119,234

118,918

118,323

117,354

115,918

25-29

566,073

570,773

574,953

578,636

581,844

584,599

586,886

588,691

590,036

590,942

591,433

25

115,728

116,567

117,315

117,937

118,393

118,647

118,724

118,648

118,382

117,889

117,130

26

114,792

115,642

116,342

116,914

117,381

117,767

118,055

118,232

118,319

118,339

118,315

27

113,565

114,456

115,180

115,789

116,333

116,863

117,346

117,748

118,119

118,510

118,973

28

111,927

112,924

113,812

114,613

115,354

116,056

116,705

117,284

117,818

118,331

118,846

29

110,060

111,184

112,305

113,384

114,383

115,266

116,056

116,779

117,398

117,874

118,169

30-34

527,449

532,368

538,928

546,210

553,295

559,263

564,728

570,302

575,066

578,101

578,487

30

108,375

109,586

110,870

112,146

113,334

114,352

115,254

116,094

116,792

117,266

117,435

31

106,918

108,213

109,613

111,014

112,315

113,413

114,376

115,273

116,002

116,459

116,543

32

105,467

106,673

108,099

109,595

111,010

112,193

113,244

114,265

115,105

115,611

115,635

33

103,994

104,853

106,182

107,739

109,283

110,574

111,771

113,037

114,129

114,807

114,829

34

102,695

103,043

104,165

105,716

107,354

108,732

110,082

111,632

113,039

113,958

114,044

35-39

514,034

508,961

508,794

511,862

516,494

521,020

526,553

534,207

542,312

549,196

553,189

35

101,463

101,352

102,306

103,876

105,613

107,071

108,546

110,339

112,000

113,082

113,137

36

99,925

99,414

100,323

102,058

104,026

105,633

107,274

109,346

111,255

112,405

112,205

37

100,325

99,361

99,829

101,167

102,809

104,193

105,694

107,687

109,610

110,898

110,987

38

103,644

102,156

101,582

101,658

102,124

102,718

103,615

104,989

106,579

108,123

109,359

39

108,677

106,678

104,755

103,103

101,921

101,405

101,423

101,845

102,868

104,688

107,501

87

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION AMBOS SEXOS

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, BOTH SEXES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

40-44

592,491

580,970

561,754

539,736

519,813

506,880

497,674

488,930

485,545

492,414

514,432

40

113,307

110,833

107,658

104,404

101,696

100,155

99,367

98,916

99,425

101,518

105,817

41

118,033

115,029

110,496

105,523

101,195

98,598

97,009

95,703

95,767

98,286

104,348

42

120,991

117,993

112,981

107,262

102,146

98,942

96,777

94,779

94,257

96,519

102,875

43

121,062

118,879

114,752

109,826

105,243

102,149

99,780

97,374

96,074

97,025

101,370

44

119,098

118,237

115,867

112,722

109,534

107,036

104,741

102,159

100,022

99,065

100,021

45-49

556,533

568,130

577,358

583,359

585,278

582,259

574,872

563,689

547,852

526,506

498,795

45

117,237

117,633

116,894

115,386

113,474

111,521

109,285

106,523

103,599

100,878

98,726

46

115,248

116,952

117,908

118,097

117,500

116,097

113,901

110,925

107,150

102,555

97,123

47

112,301

115,039

117,385

119,023

119,639

118,920

117,074

114,311

110,317

104,777

97,378

48

108,259

111,540

114,682

117,246

118,793

118,885

117,813

115,872

112,621

107,621

100,435

49

103,488

106,966

110,488

113,606

115,872

116,836

116,799

116,058

114,166

110,674

105,133

50-54

446,377

465,262

486,875

508,816

528,687

544,089

556,621

567,882

575,473

576,996

570,052

50

98,504

102,227

106,215

109,979

113,032

114,886

115,867

116,300

115,696

113,569

109,430

51

93,225

97,195

101,675

106,128

110,017

112,806

114,851

116,512

117,251

116,531

113,816

52

88,454

92,465

97,139

101,942

106,336

109,787

112,652

115,287

117,157

117,726

116,459

53

84,653

88,443

92,915

97,597

102,017

105,703

108,969

112,131

114,716

116,252

116,267

54

81,542

84,932

88,931

93,171

97,285

100,907

104,282

107,653

110,654

112,919

114,079

55-59

364,878

375,492

387,921

401,855

416,988

433,009

450,125

468,542

487,951

508,043

528,511

55

78,330

81,285

84,773

88,540

92,332

95,896

99,401

103,016

106,487

109,562

111,986

56

75,114

77,580

80,485

83,704

87,113

90,586

94,207

98,059

102,018

105,958

109,755

57

72,395

74,421

76,793

79,492

82,496

85,784

89,370

93,268

97,457

101,916

106,624

58

70,324

72,027

74,006

76,297

78,933

81,948

85,319

89,025

93,097

97,572

102,483

59

68,715

70,179

71,863

73,822

76,114

78,795

81,828

85,174

88,891

93,036

97,664

60-64

322,364

326,521

330,718

335,598

341,804

349,979

359,694

370,521

383,102

398,081

416,101

60

67,192

68,392

69,739

71,321

73,223

75,534

78,194

81,146

84,477

88,274

92,623

61

65,782

66,705

67,699

68,879

70,362

72,263

74,507

77,014

79,901

83,285

87,282

62

64,452

65,182

65,909

66,773

67,910

69,457

71,323

73,416

75,873

78,832

82,430

63

63,134

63,784

64,372

65,046

65,956

67,251

68,833

70,600

72,703

75,291

78,513

64

61,804

62,459

62,999

63,580

64,353

65,474

66,838

68,345

70,147

72,399

75,253

65-69

287,248

291,140

294,092

296,694

299,539

303,219

307,338

311,503

316,305

322,336

330,188

65

60,534

61,202

61,707

62,202

62,841

63,776

64,906

66,128

67,595

69,461

71,879

66

59,336

60,031

60,513

60,931

61,438

62,184

63,068

63,990

65,100

66,550

68,490

67

57,845

58,598

59,120

59,547

60,011

60,649

61,370

62,084

62,927

64,032

65,534

68

55,896

56,734

57,374

57,914

58,455

59,096

59,771

60,413

61,123

61,999

63,140

69

53,636

54,575

55,379

56,100

56,794

57,514

58,224

58,889

59,561

60,295

61,145

70-74

234,011

239,960

245,984

251,840

257,284

262,076

266,376

270,346

273,744

276,327

277,852

70

51,384

52,434

53,411

54,323

55,177

55,982

56,733

57,424

58,062

58,656

59,214

71

49,085

50,259

51,431

52,558

53,597

54,505

55,311

56,043

56,659

57,115

57,370

72

46,775

48,029

49,329

50,602

51,773

52,766

53,632

54,421

55,058

55,468

55,577

73

44,508

45,767

47,083

48,382

49,587

50,623

51,540

52,389

53,094

53,578

53,767

74

42,259

43,472

44,729

45,975

47,151

48,200

49,160

50,070

50,872

51,509

51,923

75-79

176,337

181,658

187,158

192,733

198,278

203,688

209,033

214,384

219,634

224,680

229,417

75

39,960

41,130

42,338

43,543

44,703

45,776

46,790

47,773

48,683

49,478

50,118

76

37,636

38,759

39,911

41,070

42,212

43,314

44,390

45,457

46,492

47,470

48,368

77

35,289

36,357

37,451

38,562

39,677

40,785

41,895

43,012

44,127

45,227

46,303

78

32,916

33,926

34,972

36,042

37,125

38,211

39,307

40,420

41,539

42,654

43,753

79

30,536

31,486

32,485

33,516

34,561

35,602

36,652

37,722

38,794

39,851

40,876

80 y ms / and over

227,120

233,596

240,373

247,439

254,782

262,390

270,272

278,435

286,867

295,557

304,494

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

88

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

1,085,452

1,105,256

1,126,317

1,149,015

1,173,728

1,200,836

1,230,085

1,261,224

1,294,630

1,330,683

04

183,962

192,082

199,961

207,707

215,429

223,233

231,048

238,802

246,604

254,559

43,926

45,949

47,805

49,547

51,226

52,893

54,515

56,056

57,569

59,104

38,220

40,107

41,856

43,513

45,124

46,734

48,314

49,832

51,335

52,867

35,657

37,341

38,951

40,515

42,064

43,628

45,187

46,721

48,260

49,833

33,820

35,240

36,674

38,128

39,609

41,120

42,659

44,223

45,815

47,443

32,338

33,446

34,676

36,004

37,406

38,857

40,373

41,970

43,625

45,312

59

153,365

151,859

153,028

156,200

160,705

165,872

172,149

179,982

188,701

197,636

32,441

32,471

33,033

33,982

35,175

36,469

37,959

39,740

41,670

43,604

31,439

31,214

31,566

32,342

33,390

34,559

35,949

37,662

39,546

41,448

30,569

30,185

30,375

30,993

31,893

32,929

34,199

35,800

37,586

39,411

29,804

29,343

29,414

29,890

30,643

31,545

32,680

34,134

35,780

37,490

29,112

28,646

28,640

28,992

29,603

30,370

31,362

32,645

34,119

35,683

1014

135,706

134,999

134,958

135,617

137,009

139,168

142,071

145,696

150,076

155,245

10

28,504

28,093

28,041

28,283

28,753

29,387

30,226

31,316

32,591

33,985

11

27,991

27,681

27,607

27,747

28,077

28,573

29,253

30,130

31,182

32,386

12

27,344

27,174

27,122

27,202

27,430

27,822

28,366

29,053

29,898

30,916

13

26,455

26,454

26,472

26,551

26,735

27,067

27,518

28,059

28,734

29,585

14

25,413

25,596

25,715

25,833

26,014

26,319

26,708

27,138

27,672

28,373

1519

112,539

115,752

117,719

118,962

120,002

121,363

122,696

123,652

124,754

126,524

15

24,431

24,816

25,047

25,208

25,386

25,667

25,993

26,307

26,695

27,242

16

23,485

24,098

24,456

24,670

24,851

25,111

25,374

25,567

25,801

26,187

17

22,520

23,278

23,727

23,989

24,186

24,441

24,672

24,797

24,939

25,221

18

21,539

22,306

22,780

23,073

23,298

23,568

23,807

23,940

24,081

24,341

19

20,564

21,253

21,709

22,021

22,280

22,577

22,850

23,041

23,238

23,534

2024

90,186

92,669

94,706

96,480

98,174

99,968

101,742

103,375

105,048

106,944

20

19,603

20,226

20,674

21,013

21,313

21,641

21,953

22,202

22,457

22,787

21

18,633

19,188

19,631

20,006

20,357

20,726

21,087

21,408

21,734

22,108

22

17,826

18,313

18,736

19,123

19,498

19,888

20,275

20,642

21,016

21,421

23

17,263

17,694

18,080

18,441

18,797

19,170

19,545

19,910

20,284

20,688

24

16,860

17,248

17,586

17,898

18,209

18,543

18,882

19,213

19,557

19,940

2529

77,963

79,454

80,698

81,830

82,985

84,297

85,677

87,034

88,504

90,221

25

16,462

16,793

17,080

17,347

17,619

17,918

18,231

18,539

18,868

19,242

26

16,106

16,364

16,589

16,804

17,033

17,299

17,586

17,879

18,201

18,575

27

15,691

15,925

16,124

16,314

16,519

16,763

17,031

17,304

17,609

17,970

28

15,155

15,441

15,673

15,881

16,092

16,336

16,594

16,846

17,121

17,448

29

14,549

14,932

15,232

15,484

15,722

15,980

16,235

16,465

16,704

16,987

3034

64,917

67,591

69,673

71,355

72,828

74,282

75,591

76,626

77,580

78,643

30

13,988

14,460

14,821

15,110

15,369

15,637

15,889

16,095

16,299

16,538

31

13,450

14,022

14,447

14,774

15,052

15,329

15,573

15,750

15,911

16,103

32

12,943

13,556

14,016

14,370

14,667

14,955

15,202

15,376

15,526

15,699

33

12,481

13,044

13,487

13,847

14,160

14,462

14,731

14,940

15,127

15,328

34

12,055

12,509

12,903

13,254

13,580

13,898

14,197

14,464

14,718

14,976

3539

54,490

55,563

56,949

58,541

60,233

61,921

63,674

65,563

67,482

69,326

35

11,638

11,994

12,345

12,690

13,030

13,363

13,690

14,012

14,327

14,635

36

11,229

11,484

11,791

12,132

12,488

12,838

13,196

13,575

13,955

14,317

37

10,857

11,034

11,303

11,631

11,987

12,342

12,714

13,126

13,546

13,943

38

10,530

10,674

10,914

11,218

11,555

11,894

12,256

12,661

13,078

13,476

39

10,236

10,377

10,596

10,869

11,173

11,484

11,817

12,189

12,576

12,954

89

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

4044

47,035

47,641

48,441

49,403

50,492

51,674

52,972

54,409

55,951

40

9,953

10,083

10,278

10,520

10,791

11,075

11,383

11,726

12,087

57,563
12,449

41

9,685

9,802

9,971

10,179

10,416

10,671

10,952

11,265

11,600

11,946

42

9,415

9,528

9,678

9,860

10,069

10,299

10,554

10,838

11,146

11,472

43

9,134

9,252

9,395

9,563

9,753

9,966

10,202

10,461

10,742

11,044

44

8,848

8,975

9,119

9,282

9,462

9,663

9,882

10,119

10,376

10,652

4549

40,209

40,977

41,705

42,427

43,180

44,001

44,865

45,748

46,686

47,716

45

8,573

8,713

8,858

9,014

9,182

9,368

9,569

9,782

10,011

10,260

46

8,307

8,463

8,612

8,760

8,916

9,087

9,268

9,454

9,653

9,872

47

8,042

8,207

8,356

8,499

8,646

8,806

8,972

9,139

9,315

9,511

48

7,776

7,936

8,082

8,221

8,363

8,516

8,675

8,834

9,001

9,186

49

7,512

7,658

7,797

7,933

8,073

8,224

8,380

8,539

8,705

8,886

5054

33,760

34,340

34,951

35,594

36,268

36,974

37,712

38,481

39,283

40,116

50

7,252

7,387

7,520

7,654

7,793

7,941

8,095

8,253

8,418

8,595

51

6,997

7,120

7,248

7,381

7,520

7,666

7,818

7,977

8,142

8,314

52

6,746

6,859

6,982

7,112

7,250

7,393

7,543

7,700

7,863

8,031

53

6,502

6,608

6,725

6,851

6,984

7,122

7,266

7,418

7,576

7,738

54

6,263

6,365

6,476

6,595

6,721

6,852

6,989

7,134

7,284

7,438

5559

27,888

28,301

28,757

29,253

29,783

30,343

30,936

31,566

32,227

32,916

55

6,027

6,124

6,230

6,343

6,462

6,587

6,718

6,856

7,000

7,148

56

5,794

5,886

5,987

6,094

6,207

6,326

6,452

6,584

6,722

6,865

57

5,569

5,654

5,747

5,848

5,955

6,068

6,187

6,313

6,445

6,583

58

5,353

5,428

5,512

5,604

5,704

5,809

5,922

6,042

6,168

6,300

59

5,145

5,208

5,281

5,364

5,455

5,553

5,658

5,772

5,893

6,020

6064

22,648

22,836

23,084

23,384

23,728

24,107

24,527

24,994

25,498

26,033

60

4,939

4,990

5,053

5,127

5,210

5,301

5,399

5,507

5,622

5,743

61

4,736

4,774

4,827

4,893

4,968

5,050

5,142

5,244

5,355

5,471

62

4,532

4,563

4,609

4,667

4,734

4,810

4,894

4,989

5,093

5,202

63

4,325

4,356

4,399

4,452

4,514

4,582

4,659

4,745

4,838

4,938

64

4,116

4,152

4,195

4,245

4,301

4,364

4,433

4,508

4,590

4,679

6569

17,475

17,703

17,916

18,127

18,347

18,587

18,840

19,099

19,374

19,677

65

3,910

3,950

3,993

4,039

4,090

4,147

4,208

4,274

4,345

4,423

66

3,706

3,750

3,793

3,836

3,882

3,932

3,986

4,043

4,103

4,169

67

3,499

3,546

3,589

3,630

3,672

3,718

3,767

3,815

3,867

3,925

68

3,287

3,336

3,378

3,418

3,459

3,503

3,548

3,593

3,640

3,692

69

3,074

3,121

3,163

3,204

3,244

3,287

3,331

3,374

3,419

3,468

7074

12,223

12,418

12,610

12,801

12,995

13,194

13,397

13,602

13,812

14,029

70

2,863

2,910

2,952

2,992

3,033

3,075

3,117

3,158

3,201

3,247

71

2,655

2,702

2,746

2,787

2,827

2,868

2,910

2,949

2,990

3,032

72

2,446

2,490

2,532

2,572

2,612

2,652

2,693

2,732

2,772

2,813

73

2,235

2,270

2,306

2,343

2,381

2,420

2,460

2,500

2,542

2,585

74

2,024

2,047

2,075

2,107

2,142

2,179

2,219

2,262

2,307

2,353

7579

7,195

7,178

7,230

7,334

7,472

7,627

7,811

8,034

8,281

8,533

75

1,820

1,830

1,850

1,878

1,911

1,946

1,986

2,031

2,080

2,129

76

1,621

1,618

1,630

1,654

1,684

1,718

1,758

1,807

1,860

1,914

77

1,430

1,419

1,426

1,446

1,474

1,506

1,544

1,593

1,647

1,702

78

1,248

1,238

1,244

1,261

1,286

1,315

1,350

1,394

1,444

1,494

79

1,076

1,073

1,080

1,096

1,117

1,142

1,172

1,209

1,250

1,293

80yms/andover

3,891

3,893

3,931

4,001

4,100

4,225

4,377

4,560

4,769

5,001

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

90

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1,369,762

1,412,746

1,459,382

1,508,351

1,558,335

1,608,015

1,657,929

1,708,955

1,760,288

1,811,119

04

262,778

271,524

280,725

289,985

298,906

307,091

314,371

321,009

327,262

333,382

60,714

62,448

64,272

66,111

67,890

69,536

71,022

72,398

73,703

74,976

54,475

56,211

58,046

59,900

61,691

63,341

64,816

66,169

67,451

68,709

51,471

53,229

55,088

56,963

58,770

60,424

61,889

63,220

64,473

65,703

49,111

50,874

52,729

54,594

56,385

58,020

59,462

60,766

61,988

63,184

47,007

48,761

50,590

52,418

54,169

55,769

57,181

58,456

59,648

60,810

59

206,115

214,071

221,952

229,858

237,891

246,152

254,907

264,088

273,297

282,135

45,398

47,024

48,576

50,099

51,639

53,241

54,950

56,738

58,534

60,269

43,217

44,824

46,370

47,898

49,452

51,075

52,821

54,663

56,517

58,302

41,129

42,720

44,282

45,844

47,436

49,086

50,852

52,715

54,589

56,387

39,134

40,710

42,302

43,918

45,562

47,241

49,012

50,870

52,731

54,512

37,236

38,793

40,422

42,099

43,803

45,510

47,271

49,102

50,926

52,666

1014

161,236

168,405

176,729

185,675

194,709

203,298

211,595

219,954

228,148

235,947

10

35,432

36,972

38,649

40,404

42,178

43,912

45,650

47,429

49,186

50,859

11

33,719

35,250

36,993

38,846

40,706

42,471

44,169

45,868

47,526

49,099

12

32,123

33,606

35,354

37,238

39,125

40,887

42,544

44,182

45,771

47,279

13

30,656

32,034

33,690

35,493

37,314

39,022

40,643

42,263

43,845

45,350

14

29,305

30,543

32,043

33,694

35,385

37,005

38,590

40,212

41,820

43,360

1519

129,484

133,854

139,286

145,450

152,014

158,648

165,583

173,041

180,673

188,132

15

28,035

29,137

30,493

32,004

33,574

35,107

36,647

38,257

39,872

41,428

16

26,836

27,802

29,013

30,384

31,835

33,281

34,774

36,370

37,991

39,560

17

25,763

26,610

27,682

28,911

30,230

31,573

32,994

34,536

36,120

37,663

18

24,834

25,594

26,544

27,635

28,817

30,038

31,347

32,776

34,255

35,713

19

24,017

24,711

25,555

26,515

27,558

28,649

29,822

31,102

32,435

33,768

2024

109,244

111,949

114,936

118,207

121,763

125,604

129,764

134,242

138,989

143,953

20

23,259

23,885

24,618

25,443

26,343

27,302

28,345

29,482

30,677

31,892

21

22,574

23,129

23,743

24,422

25,170

25,991

26,901

27,895

28,953

30,053

22

21,883

22,393

22,933

23,518

24,163

24,883

25,683

26,551

27,483

28,469

23

21,143

21,643

22,176

22,748

23,367

24,042

24,769

25,543

26,368

27,248

24

20,385

20,899

21,466

22,076

22,719

23,385

24,067

24,771

25,508

26,290

2529

92,321

94,935

97,973

101,238

104,531

107,655

110,548

113,341

116,127

119,001

25

19,685

20,214

20,814

21,457

22,119

22,774

23,409

24,039

24,687

25,371

26

19,024

19,578

20,220

20,908

21,598

22,246

22,832

23,386

23,938

24,517

27

18,411

18,966

19,620

20,321

21,015

21,651

22,209

22,723

23,223

23,742

28

17,855

18,373

18,983

19,640

20,296

20,906

21,458

21,983

22,499

23,022

29

17,346

17,804

18,336

18,912

19,503

20,078

20,640

21,209

21,780

22,350

3034

80,006

81,651

83,450

85,431

87,622

90,050

92,875

96,077

99,419

102,662

30

16,854

17,259

17,725

18,235

18,772

19,319

19,893

20,505

21,131

21,743

31

16,374

16,728

17,132

17,582

18,072

18,598

19,191

19,855

20,542

21,205

32

15,944

16,258

16,607

16,998

17,439

17,935

18,528

19,213

19,930

20,617

33

15,579

15,871

16,177

16,515

16,902

17,356

17,916

18,569

19,258

19,924

34

15,254

15,536

15,810

16,101

16,437

16,841

17,346

17,934

18,558

19,172

3539

70,988

72,349

73,480

74,560

75,769

77,286

79,157

81,261

83,532

85,902

35

14,936

15,207

15,447

15,692

15,976

16,334

16,791

17,322

17,893

18,465

36

14,642

14,899

15,101

15,295

15,524

15,835

16,245

16,725

17,247

17,783

37

14,285

14,542

14,734

14,908

15,112

15,392

15,760

16,184

16,647

17,135

38

13,825

14,099

14,320

14,524

14,747

15,024

15,356

15,720

16,115

16,538

39

13,300

13,602

13,877

14,140

14,410

14,701

15,004

15,310

15,631

15,982

91

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

4044

59,213

60,979

62,884

64,809

66,635

68,242

69,491

70,461

71,363

72,405

40

12,794

13,124

13,450

13,770

14,083

14,386

14,660

14,906

15,154

15,434

41

12,292

12,653

13,035

13,418

13,778

14,096

14,337

14,517

14,685

14,888

42

11,811

12,186

12,601

13,021

13,413

13,741

13,968

14,117

14,244

14,406

43

11,366

11,730

12,138

12,555

12,945

13,276

13,515

13,686

13,835

14,010

44

10,950

11,286

11,660

12,046

12,416

12,744

13,011

13,236

13,445

13,668

4549

48,873

50,191

51,646

53,188

54,767

56,332

57,927

59,583

61,239

62,831

45

10,533

10,844

11,190

11,550

11,904

12,231

12,525

12,801

13,066

13,331

46

10,119

10,403

10,720

11,055

11,394

11,723

12,048

12,379

12,705

13,018

47

9,736

9,996

10,284

10,592

10,912

11,234

11,575

11,939

12,305

12,648

48

9,397

9,637

9,900

10,182

10,478

10,783

11,114

11,473

11,836

12,181

49

9,088

9,311

9,552

9,809

10,079

10,361

10,665

10,992

11,327

11,653

5054

40,982

41,864

42,761

43,699

44,701

45,794

46,986

48,262

49,606

51,003

50

8,786

8,991

9,207

9,436

9,679

9,937

10,218

10,521

10,834

11,146

51

8,495

8,680

8,869

9,067

9,281

9,514

9,772

10,051

10,345

10,646

52

8,203

8,373

8,542

8,719

8,910

9,122

9,358

9,612

9,882

10,167

53

7,902

8,064

8,226

8,393

8,572

8,771

8,988

9,219

9,465

9,727

54

7,597

7,756

7,917

8,084

8,260

8,449

8,650

8,859

9,080

9,317

5559

33,628

34,370

35,144

35,942

36,751

37,563

38,346

39,106

39,891

40,748

55

7,301

7,457

7,617

7,782

7,954

8,133

8,316

8,501

8,695

8,905

56

7,013

7,167

7,327

7,492

7,659

7,828

7,991

8,150

8,314

8,495

57

6,725

6,876

7,034

7,197

7,360

7,521

7,670

7,811

7,955

8,115

58

6,438

6,582

6,735

6,891

7,048

7,202

7,346

7,482

7,621

7,773

59

6,151

6,288

6,431

6,579

6,729

6,878

7,022

7,162

7,306

7,459

6064

26,589

27,170

27,782

28,419

29,075

29,747

30,439

31,154

31,885

32,624

60

5,868

5,998

6,135

6,276

6,419

6,564

6,707

6,851

6,998

7,151

61

5,590

5,714

5,844

5,978

6,116

6,257

6,401

6,549

6,701

6,854

62

5,315

5,432

5,555

5,682

5,814

5,950

6,092

6,242

6,394

6,546

63

5,042

5,151

5,267

5,387

5,513

5,642

5,778

5,920

6,066

6,211

64

4,773

4,874

4,982

5,095

5,213

5,335

5,461

5,592

5,727

5,862

6569

20,021

20,410

20,836

21,293

21,771

22,263

22,770

23,298

23,844

24,408

65

4,507

4,600

4,701

4,808

4,919

5,033

5,150

5,272

5,397

5,525

66

4,245

4,330

4,424

4,525

4,629

4,736

4,845

4,958

5,075

5,194

67

3,992

4,070

4,156

4,249

4,346

4,446

4,547

4,651

4,759

4,871

68

3,753

3,823

3,901

3,984

4,072

4,162

4,256

4,353

4,454

4,560

69

3,524

3,586

3,654

3,727

3,805

3,886

3,973

4,064

4,159

4,258

7074

14,258

14,492

14,730

14,980

15,250

15,550

15,882

16,240

16,621

17,019

70

3,298

3,353

3,412

3,475

3,543

3,616

3,695

3,779

3,869

3,961

71

3,078

3,126

3,176

3,229

3,286

3,351

3,422

3,501

3,584

3,671

72

2,856

2,899

2,943

2,989

3,039

3,097

3,162

3,234

3,311

3,391

73

2,628

2,671

2,713

2,757

2,804

2,857

2,918

2,983

3,052

3,125

74

2,399

2,443

2,486

2,531

2,578

2,629

2,685

2,744

2,806

2,871

7579

8,773

9,001

9,230

9,458

9,686

9,914

10,137

10,353

10,573

10,805

75

2,177

2,223

2,268

2,313

2,359

2,409

2,460

2,513

2,567

2,625

76

1,965

2,012

2,058

2,104

2,151

2,198

2,245

2,292

2,339

2,390

77

1,754

1,801

1,848

1,895

1,941

1,987

2,030

2,072

2,114

2,159

78

1,542

1,588

1,634

1,680

1,725

1,769

1,810

1,849

1,888

1,928

79

1,335

1,377

1,421

1,465

1,509

1,551

1,591

1,628

1,665

1,703

80yms/andover

5,253

5,531

5,838

6,163

6,496

6,826

7,153

7,484

7,819

8,161

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

92

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1,860,642

1,909,122

1,957,098

2,004,170

2,049,939

2,094,007

2,136,612

2,178,021

2,217,874

2,255,814

04

339,625

346,036

352,446

358,786

364,987

370,980

377,146

383,532

389,566

394,674

76,255

77,580

78,927

80,234

81,441

82,490

83,414

84,253

84,956

85,469

69,995

71,333

72,690

74,029

75,311

76,498

77,650

78,791

79,833

80,689

66,965

68,269

69,577

70,877

72,153

73,392

74,675

76,011

77,278

78,357

64,412

65,665

66,904

68,141

69,385

70,645

72,019

73,501

74,945

76,202

61,998

63,189

64,347

65,506

66,697

67,955

69,389

70,976

72,553

73,957

59

290,204

297,280

303,630

309,587

315,488

321,668

328,313

335,199

342,047

348,579

61,872

63,307

64,620

65,867

67,103

68,386

69,780

71,247

72,690

74,012

59,935

61,372

62,669

63,891

65,103

66,373

67,753

69,198

70,630

71,969

58,022

59,448

60,722

61,915

63,098

64,343

65,688

67,086

68,478

69,808

56,128

57,532

58,779

59,941

61,092

62,303

63,598

64,927

66,258

67,554

54,247

55,621

56,840

57,973

59,091

60,262

61,494

62,741

63,992

65,236

1014

243,122

249,530

255,324

260,718

265,927

271,165

276,286

281,147

285,967

290,967

10

52,384

53,719

54,905

56,007

57,089

58,213

59,372

60,522

61,677

62,852

11

50,545

51,827

52,973

54,039

55,080

56,152

57,225

58,264

59,310

60,406

12

48,673

49,923

51,052

52,103

53,121

54,151

55,153

56,098

57,044

58,050

13

46,742

47,998

49,145

50,213

51,236

52,246

53,203

54,086

54,953

55,864

14

44,778

46,062

47,248

48,355

49,400

50,404

51,333

52,177

52,982

53,796

1519

195,072

201,575

207,872

213,840

219,355

224,293

228,586

232,315

235,585

238,498

15

42,858

44,161

45,379

46,517

47,579

48,572

49,469

50,268

51,006

51,721

16

41,000

42,317

43,562

44,726

45,801

46,777

47,638

48,389

49,057

49,665

17

39,087

40,405

41,673

42,866

43,960

44,933

45,772

46,495

47,117

47,654

18

37,079

38,379

39,660

40,883

42,008

42,995

43,836

44,557

45,170

45,688

19

35,048

36,314

37,599

38,848

40,006

41,016

41,870

42,606

43,235

43,770

2024

149,085

154,654

160,693

166,798

172,567

177,594

181,870

185,664

188,991

191,867

20

33,092

34,323

35,611

36,883

38,070

39,100

39,967

40,717

41,362

41,911

21

31,175

32,375

33,667

34,966

36,186

37,240

38,122

38,891

39,554

40,120

22

29,503

30,647

31,905

33,185

34,395

35,441

36,322

37,097

37,773

38,355

23

28,186

29,239

30,404

31,597

32,731

33,723

34,571

35,334

36,011

36,600

24

27,129

28,070

29,105

30,167

31,185

32,090

32,888

33,624

34,291

34,882

2529

122,056

125,374

128,893

132,488

136,037

139,414

142,679

145,913

149,030

151,941

25

26,110

26,942

27,853

28,788

29,695

30,519

31,270

31,982

32,644

33,240

26

25,153

25,873

26,656

27,463

28,257

28,999

29,704

30,395

31,054

31,659

27

24,308

24,939

25,613

26,307

26,998

27,664

28,319

28,978

29,620

30,220

28

23,571

24,151

24,751

25,361

25,971

26,571

27,174

27,787

28,391

28,965

29

22,913

23,469

24,021

24,569

25,116

25,661

26,212

26,770

27,322

27,856

3034

105,570

108,078

110,346

112,467

114,538

116,654

118,791

120,885

122,972

125,087

30

22,319

22,848

23,348

23,831

24,311

24,799

25,300

25,804

26,307

26,803

31

21,797

22,299

22,745

23,159

23,568

23,997

24,446

24,897

25,351

25,811

32

21,215

21,704

22,123

22,504

22,875

23,269

23,679

24,085

24,496

24,918

33

20,509

20,998

21,430

21,828

22,211

22,603

22,995

23,370

23,744

24,130

34

19,731

20,229

20,699

21,146

21,573

21,986

22,372

22,728

23,073

23,425

3539

88,305

90,848

93,577

96,329

98,941

101,251

103,179

104,833

106,333

107,799

35

19,003

19,513

20,021

20,515

20,984

21,417

21,798

22,134

22,449

22,767

36

18,305

18,833

19,385

19,932

20,448

20,903

21,279

21,593

21,876

22,157

37

17,631

18,161

18,736

19,317

19,864

20,336

20,714

21,024

21,296

21,561

38

16,988

17,495

18,060

18,638

19,187

19,664

20,053

20,383

20,677

20,959

39

16,378

16,845

17,375

17,926

18,458

18,931

19,335

19,699

20,035

20,355

93

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

4044

73,799

75,639

77,785

80,095

82,425

84,633

86,755

88,886

90,973

92,959

40

15,777

16,210

16,711

17,242

17,763

18,235

18,656

19,052

19,426

19,780

41

15,177

15,576

16,054

16,571

17,087

17,563

18,003

18,434

18,848

19,238

42

14,658

15,025

15,467

15,952

16,443

16,905

17,350

17,799

18,239

18,653

43

14,257

14,592

14,984

15,409

15,845

16,270

16,696

17,137

17,575

17,994

44

13,930

14,237

14,569

14,921

15,287

15,660

16,051

16,464

16,884

17,294

4549

64,295

65,555

66,653

67,704

68,822

70,121

71,618

73,238

74,954

76,741

45

13,606

13,883

14,157

14,437

14,733

15,057

15,417

15,807

16,212

16,616

46

13,306

13,551

13,759

13,960

14,181

14,451

14,781

15,151

15,547

15,951

47

12,947

13,177

13,353

13,511

13,690

13,924

14,223

14,562

14,929

15,312

48

12,483

12,723

12,918

13,096

13,285

13,514

13,782

14,071

14,381

14,713

49

11,953

12,220

12,466

12,700

12,933

13,176

13,416

13,646

13,885

14,149

5054

52,440

54,000

55,692

57,392

58,972

60,307

61,251

61,888

62,437

63,117

50

11,447

11,739

12,030

12,315

12,587

12,839

13,049

13,222

13,391

13,589

51

10,948

11,268

11,610

11,949

12,262

12,524

12,702

12,810

12,901

13,027

52

10,464

10,797

11,168

11,540

11,879

12,150

12,313

12,393

12,448

12,536

53

10,008

10,329

10,690

11,057

11,395

11,670

11,849

11,956

12,039

12,146

54

9,573

9,867

10,195

10,531

10,850

11,125

11,338

11,506

11,658

11,819

5559

41,724

42,847

44,087

45,400

46,743

48,073

49,442

50,879

52,306

53,644

55

9,139

9,408

9,708

10,020

10,325

10,602

10,846

11,071

11,284

11,494

56

8,704

8,948

9,222

9,512

9,804

10,085

10,364

10,650

10,930

11,191

57

8,303

8,525

8,771

9,035

9,309

9,586

9,884

10,207

10,529

10,823

58

7,950

8,152

8,373

8,611

8,861

9,121

9,408

9,726

10,047

10,343

59

7,629

7,815

8,013

8,223

8,445

8,680

8,940

9,225

9,516

9,794

6064

33,361

34,071

34,759

35,465

36,229

37,089

38,059

39,113

40,232

41,395

60

7,313

7,481

7,654

7,835

8,029

8,239

8,475

8,734

9,002

9,266

61

7,008

7,158

7,303

7,453

7,615

7,800

8,011

8,244

8,490

8,742

62

6,693

6,828

6,954

7,082

7,223

7,387

7,576

7,783

8,006

8,242

63

6,351

6,480

6,601

6,723

6,855

7,008

7,181

7,368

7,569

7,785

64

5,996

6,124

6,247

6,373

6,506

6,655

6,816

6,985

7,165

7,361

6569

24,988

25,588

26,208

26,844

27,489

28,137

28,758

29,357

29,978

30,667

65

5,653

5,779

5,905

6,033

6,166

6,309

6,455

6,604

6,762

6,935

66

5,317

5,443

5,572

5,704

5,839

5,975

6,106

6,233

6,365

6,512

67

4,988

5,112

5,241

5,374

5,507

5,638

5,757

5,868

5,981

6,110

68

4,670

4,787

4,910

5,036

5,163

5,286

5,400

5,505

5,613

5,734

69

4,361

4,468

4,581

4,696

4,813

4,929

5,040

5,147

5,257

5,377

7074

17,430

17,854

18,295

18,751

19,223

19,710

20,215

20,737

21,274

21,821

70

4,057

4,156

4,260

4,366

4,475

4,584

4,693

4,801

4,912

5,030

71

3,760

3,851

3,946

4,043

4,144

4,248

4,355

4,466

4,579

4,696

72

3,473

3,557

3,644

3,734

3,828

3,926

4,029

4,139

4,252

4,364

73

3,200

3,278

3,359

3,442

3,530

3,621

3,718

3,821

3,926

4,031

74

2,939

3,011

3,087

3,165

3,247

3,331

3,419

3,511

3,605

3,700

7579

11,057

11,332

11,625

11,931

12,247

12,568

12,893

13,225

13,566

13,919

75

2,687

2,753

2,823

2,896

2,972

3,049

3,129

3,211

3,296

3,382

76

2,445

2,505

2,570

2,638

2,708

2,779

2,851

2,924

3,000

3,077

77

2,208

2,263

2,322

2,384

2,448

2,512

2,577

2,642

2,709

2,778

78

1,973

2,023

2,075

2,131

2,187

2,245

2,303

2,361

2,421

2,484

79

1,744

1,788

1,834

1,882

1,931

1,982

2,034

2,087

2,141

2,198

80yms/andover

8,509

8,860

9,213

9,574

9,951

10,350

10,771

11,208

11,664

12,139

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

94

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

2,291,482

2,323,964

2,353,499

2,381,459

2,409,213

2,438,133

2,467,893

2,497,578

2,527,678

2,558,683

04

398,284

399,971

400,117

399,359

398,337

397,688

397,147

396,288

395,510

395,213

85,740

85,658

85,259

84,707

84,170

83,812

83,638

83,538

83,504

83,532

81,270

81,475

81,364

81,087

80,796

80,641

80,604

80,584

80,609

80,707

79,124

79,490

79,535

79,395

79,208

79,110

79,051

78,940

78,851

78,860

77,127

77,645

77,854

77,866

77,790

77,739

77,630

77,387

77,137

77,003

75,023

75,702

76,105

76,303

76,372

76,386

76,224

75,840

75,409

75,110

59

354,515

360,192

365,796

370,823

374,765

377,119

377,070

374,956

371,997

369,413

75,114

76,017

76,786

77,390

77,800

77,986

77,776

77,192

76,489

75,922

73,137

74,183

75,158

75,990

76,606

76,934

76,796

76,240

75,532

74,940

71,018

72,181

73,335

74,371

75,180

75,653

75,618

75,146

74,498

73,932

68,784

70,037

71,336

72,545

73,527

74,143

74,236

73,898

73,365

72,875

66,462

67,775

69,182

70,527

71,653

72,403

72,645

72,480

72,113

71,743

1014

296,367

302,608

309,543

316,511

322,848

327,893

331,544

334,243

336,141

337,390

10

64,062

65,420

66,918

68,383

69,642

70,525

70,924

70,954

70,774

70,546

11

61,591

62,995

64,588

66,180

67,581

68,599

69,155

69,377

69,383

69,292

12

59,174

60,532

62,086

63,661

65,080

66,171

66,894

67,368

67,648

67,787

13

56,875

58,061

59,382

60,728

61,991

63,060

63,961

64,766

65,438

65,940

14

54,665

55,601

56,570

57,560

58,554

59,539

60,610

61,778

62,897

63,825

1519

241,157

242,937

243,771

244,594

246,344

249,959

256,517

265,393

274,970

283,629

15

52,448

53,137

53,763

54,403

55,135

56,037

57,274

58,793

60,348

61,689

16

50,240

50,663

50,918

51,182

51,631

52,443

53,859

55,761

57,787

59,573

17

48,122

48,361

48,361

48,361

48,600

49,319

50,790

52,855

55,102

57,120

18

46,124

46,317

46,258

46,188

46,349

46,980

48,321

50,210

52,291

54,206

19

44,223

44,460

44,471

44,460

44,629

45,180

46,274

47,774

49,442

51,040

2024

194,308

195,921

196,695

197,220

198,085

199,878

202,549

205,705

209,423

213,778

20

42,375

42,641

42,701

42,726

42,886

43,351

44,206

45,338

46,618

47,920

21

40,597

40,897

41,013

41,080

41,231

41,601

42,194

42,919

43,772

44,748

22

38,847

39,180

39,350

39,463

39,622

39,933

40,345

40,789

41,340

42,074

23

37,101

37,453

37,656

37,802

37,983

38,290

38,667

39,053

39,532

40,190

24

35,388

35,751

35,975

36,150

36,363

36,703

37,137

37,607

38,161

38,847

2529

154,559

156,706

158,440

160,028

161,737

163,835

166,315

169,000

171,898

175,018

25

33,757

34,141

34,403

34,622

34,876

35,246

35,716

36,232

36,819

37,499

26

32,192

32,605

32,912

33,183

33,486

33,890

34,398

34,963

35,582

36,251

27

30,758

31,195

31,546

31,868

32,217

32,649

33,177

33,763

34,388

35,034

28

29,492

29,944

30,334

30,702

31,089

31,534

32,042

32,588

33,163

33,758

29

28,361

28,820

29,244

29,652

30,069

30,516

30,983

31,454

31,947

32,476

3034

127,267

129,544

131,893

134,267

136,616

138,889

140,938

142,795

144,685

146,833

30

27,288

27,756

28,212

28,661

29,110

29,565

30,002

30,418

30,847

31,324

31

26,277

26,756

27,247

27,740

28,224

28,689

29,101

29,467

29,837

30,264

32

25,360

25,834

26,336

26,845

27,343

27,809

28,206

28,545

28,885

29,285

33

24,541

24,989

25,464

25,950

26,429

26,883

27,279

27,630

27,984

28,392

34

23,802

24,210

24,635

25,071

25,510

25,943

26,350

26,735

27,131

27,568

3539

109,350

110,936

112,476

114,047

115,727

117,593

119,661

121,879

124,223

126,670

35

23,111

23,480

23,858

24,247

24,648

25,061

25,476

25,892

26,326

26,791

36

22,464

22,793

23,121

23,461

23,822

24,215

24,640

25,091

25,566

26,064

37

21,850

22,149

22,439

22,739

23,065

23,438

23,864

24,333

24,830

25,344

38

21,254

21,545

21,818

22,094

22,397

22,750

23,163

23,619

24,105

24,606

39

20,672

20,969

21,239

21,505

21,794

22,130

22,518

22,943

23,396

23,866

95

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

4044

94,790

96,385

97,779

99,096

100,459

101,990

103,679

105,445

107,303

109,267

40

20,117

20,418

20,681

20,935

21,206

21,524

21,892

22,292

22,717

23,162

41

19,594

19,896

20,149

20,386

20,637

20,936

21,284

21,661

22,063

22,485

42

19,025

19,336

19,595

19,834

20,084

20,375

20,707

21,060

21,434

21,831

43

18,376

18,705

18,993

19,263

19,537

19,838

20,161

20,490

20,834

21,200

44

17,678

18,030

18,360

18,679

18,994

19,317

19,634

19,942

20,255

20,589

4549

78,574

80,520

82,595

84,700

86,733

88,592

90,184

91,575

92,908

94,325

45

17,004

17,379

17,749

18,113

18,467

18,808

19,120

19,405

19,687

19,990

46

16,347

16,746

17,158

17,568

17,960

18,319

18,623

18,881

19,128

19,396

47

15,700

16,108

16,546

16,987

17,408

17,784

18,089

18,341

18,577

18,832

48

15,067

15,463

15,900

16,350

16,783

17,171

17,494

17,770

18,031

18,305

49

14,455

14,824

15,242

15,682

16,114

16,510

16,858

17,178

17,486

17,801

5054

64,146

65,590

67,302

69,186

71,142

73,073

75,015

77,034

79,074

81,082

50

13,850

14,193

14,595

15,029

15,462

15,867

16,240

16,598

16,950

17,301

51

13,238

13,556

13,947

14,379

14,819

15,237

15,635

16,034

16,430

16,817

52

12,716

13,007

13,369

13,775

14,197

14,608

15,017

15,442

15,869

16,284

53

12,325

12,586

12,897

13,242

13,610

13,985

14,381

14,807

15,244

15,671

54

12,017

12,248

12,494

12,761

13,053

13,375

13,743

14,153

14,582

15,010

5559

54,814

55,688

56,319

56,898

57,620

58,678

60,136

61,867

63,771

65,753

55

11,706

11,907

12,089

12,279

12,498

12,770

13,112

13,509

13,935

14,365

56

11,419

11,584

11,697

11,800

11,939

12,157

12,474

12,861

13,288

13,726

57

11,063

11,213

11,291

11,350

11,444

11,628

11,919

12,282

12,689

13,113

58

10,588

10,751

10,851

10,933

11,042

11,224

11,490

11,809

12,165

12,542

59

10,038

10,233

10,391

10,537

10,698

10,899

11,141

11,406

11,695

12,006

6064

42,583

43,841

45,183

46,541

47,847

49,035

50,010

50,816

51,596

52,493

60

9,512

9,735

9,945

10,148

10,354

10,570

10,787

10,999

11,221

11,469

61

8,991

9,246

9,510

9,775

10,028

10,260

10,449

10,600

10,748

10,927

62

8,488

8,760

9,059

9,363

9,648

9,893

10,068

10,189

10,298

10,436

63

8,018

8,284

8,581

8,886

9,175

9,423

9,608

9,746

9,871

10,018

64

7,574

7,817

8,088

8,369

8,642

8,889

9,098

9,282

9,458

9,643

6569

31,471

32,407

33,445

34,558

35,717

36,897

38,150

39,494

40,850

42,137

65

7,129

7,353

7,603

7,866

8,128

8,376

8,608

8,832

9,052

9,270

66

6,685

6,891

7,121

7,368

7,621

7,871

8,127

8,396

8,663

8,915

67

6,266

6,452

6,661

6,887

7,125

7,370

7,638

7,933

8,230

8,505

68

5,878

6,046

6,232

6,434

6,650

6,879

7,139

7,429

7,726

8,003

69

5,513

5,665

5,828

6,003

6,193

6,400

6,638

6,904

7,179

7,443

7074

22,375

22,901

23,401

23,928

24,533

25,268

26,166

27,193

28,299

29,435

70

5,158

5,292

5,429

5,576

5,739

5,924

6,141

6,388

6,648

6,902

71

4,815

4,929

5,038

5,154

5,287

5,448

5,647

5,875

6,119

6,367

72

4,475

4,574

4,663

4,757

4,867

5,009

5,187

5,394

5,619

5,854

73

4,133

4,224

4,306

4,391

4,492

4,620

4,780

4,964

5,166

5,378

74

3,794

3,882

3,964

4,050

4,148

4,268

4,411

4,572

4,747

4,933

7579

14,286

14,660

15,040

15,436

15,858

16,316

16,794

17,284

17,813

18,403

75

3,469

3,554

3,635

3,721

3,815

3,925

4,050

4,186

4,333

4,492

76

3,158

3,239

3,322

3,408

3,500

3,600

3,705

3,814

3,931

4,061

77

2,852

2,929

3,010

3,094

3,181

3,272

3,362

3,451

3,545

3,654

78

2,550

2,620

2,693

2,770

2,849

2,931

3,012

3,092

3,177

3,275

79

2,257

2,318

2,380

2,444

2,513

2,587

2,664

2,742

2,827

2,920

80yms/andover

12,636

13,158

13,704

14,268

14,845

15,430

16,017

16,610

17,217

17,846

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

96

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2,591,081

2,626,869

2,665,720

2,704,641

2,740,636

2,770,712

2,794,241

2,813,220

2,828,589

2,841,289

04

395,794

397,960

401,445

405,190

408,138

409,229

408,870

407,766

405,309

400,889

83,615

83,935

84,495

85,023

85,248

84,898

83,920

82,496

80,704

78,621

80,907

81,369

82,073

82,781

83,251

83,244

82,791

82,052

80,980

79,530

79,040

79,533

80,291

81,100

81,745

82,013

81,999

81,847

81,411

80,549

77,112

77,586

78,341

79,194

79,960

80,458

80,834

81,210

81,365

81,080

75,120

75,537

76,245

77,093

77,933

78,616

79,326

80,162

80,848

81,108

59

368,423

369,324

371,303

373,915

376,718

379,266

381,930

385,006

387,940

390,175

75,749

76,089

76,774

77,620

78,445

79,067

79,587

80,126

80,533

80,656

74,728

74,991

75,552

76,269

77,000

77,604

78,174

78,802

79,351

79,684

73,708

73,887

74,297

74,845

75,437

75,980

76,552

77,214

77,851

78,345

72,665

72,761

73,006

73,360

73,781

74,229

74,764

75,414

76,087

76,695

71,574

71,596

71,673

71,821

72,054

72,385

72,854

73,451

74,118

74,795

1014

338,141

337,896

336,554

334,863

333,569

333,419

334,280

335,655

337,742

340,743

10

70,429

70,376

70,283

70,216

70,246

70,442

70,818

71,331

71,954

72,665

11

69,221

69,090

68,818

68,530

68,347

68,393

68,657

69,057

69,609

70,330

12

67,842

67,702

67,330

66,891

66,552

66,476

66,632

66,909

67,357

68,024

13

66,232

66,188

65,833

65,358

64,953

64,808

64,876

65,029

65,339

65,879

14

64,417

64,541

64,291

63,868

63,471

63,300

63,297

63,329

63,483

63,845

1519

289,753

292,870

294,058

294,026

293,481

293,132

292,522

291,180

289,789

289,033

15

62,570

62,851

62,698

62,318

61,922

61,719

61,641

61,549

61,544

61,727

16

60,758

61,191

61,112

60,750

60,328

60,075

59,917

59,703

59,543

59,544

17

58,498

59,103

59,209

59,016

58,720

58,520

58,333

58,025

57,724

57,553

18

55,598

56,398

56,845

57,040

57,089

57,095

56,954

56,595

56,177

55,855

19

52,328

53,327

54,194

54,902

55,422

55,723

55,678

55,307

54,801

54,354

2024

218,847

225,578

233,919

242,450

249,748

254,393

255,666

254,515

252,017

249,248

20

49,116

50,310

51,588

52,793

53,768

54,355

54,405

54,021

53,431

52,858

21

45,839

47,246

48,971

50,718

52,188

53,083

53,229

52,824

52,130

51,413

22

43,066

44,567

46,525

48,567

50,320

51,409

51,660

51,321

50,655

49,929

23

41,111

42,526

44,377

46,321

48,012

49,106

49,466

49,320

48,877

48,342

24

39,714

40,928

42,457

44,051

45,462

46,439

46,906

47,029

46,924

46,706

2529

178,369

182,145

186,340

190,664

194,822

198,525

202,007

205,461

208,537

210,882

25

38,296

39,318

40,550

41,829

42,989

43,867

44,444

44,828

45,049

45,134

26

36,966

37,775

38,680

39,610

40,493

41,259

41,952

42,618

43,192

43,609

27

35,683

36,342

37,021

37,713

38,407

39,093

39,853

40,694

41,492

42,126

28

34,365

34,989

35,635

36,297

36,968

37,640

38,394

39,234

40,040

40,696

29

33,059

33,721

34,453

35,215

35,965

36,665

37,364

38,089

38,765

39,317

3034

149,463

152,837

156,805

160,974

164,953

168,348

171,128

173,556

175,677

177,540

30

31,881

32,561

33,341

34,159

34,953

35,660

36,305

36,931

37,499

37,971

31

30,797

31,493

32,318

33,188

34,019

34,727

35,310

35,825

36,273

36,657

32

29,802

30,501

31,342

32,229

33,069

33,765

34,298

34,732

35,096

35,419

33

28,903

29,575

30,374

31,214

32,010

32,674

33,186

33,602

33,955

34,279

34

28,079

28,707

29,430

30,183

30,903

31,523

32,029

32,466

32,853

33,213

3539

129,197

131,907

134,815

137,767

140,606

143,177

145,432

147,476

149,379

151,211

35

27,304

27,896

28,558

29,241

29,896

30,475

30,968

31,407

31,807

32,185

36

26,582

27,143

27,747

28,362

28,955

29,494

29,970

30,406

30,813

31,202

37

25,860

26,394

26,956

27,521

28,067

28,571

29,027

29,451

29,851

30,237

38

25,107

25,624

26,166

26,711

27,236

27,718

28,147

28,540

28,910

29,270

39

24,344

24,849

25,388

25,932

26,452

26,919

27,319

27,672

27,997

28,317

97

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

4044

111,352

113,692

116,276

118,905

121,379

123,499

125,162

126,502

127,672

128,824

40

23,620

24,113

24,647

25,186

25,698

26,149

26,521

26,837

27,123

27,405

41

22,925

23,408

23,936

24,471

24,976

25,410

25,754

26,033

26,278

26,522

42

22,250

22,721

23,242

23,772

24,268

24,689

25,012

25,265

25,482

25,697

43

21,596

22,051

22,559

23,079

23,565

23,976

24,289

24,534

24,742

24,947

44

20,961

21,399

21,892

22,397

22,872

23,275

23,586

23,834

24,047

24,252

4549

95,967

97,965

100,224

102,549

104,744

106,612

108,097

109,330

110,396

111,381

45

20,339

20,761

21,241

21,737

22,203

22,599

22,908

23,159

23,375

23,578

46

19,720

20,129

20,600

21,090

21,552

21,944

22,254

22,510

22,731

22,934

47

19,144

19,541

19,999

20,474

20,925

21,307

21,612

21,867

22,088

22,289

48

18,625

19,013

19,450

19,899

20,323

20,685

20,976

21,219

21,431

21,624

49

18,140

18,521

18,934

19,350

19,740

20,077

20,349

20,574

20,771

20,955

5054

83,004

84,881

86,749

88,546

90,209

91,675

92,877

93,855

94,713

95,553

50

17,657

18,032

18,422

18,807

19,166

19,479

19,735

19,945

20,130

20,307

51

17,190

17,558

17,922

18,272

18,598

18,887

19,126

19,324

19,499

19,672

52

16,673

17,039

17,393

17,728

18,037

18,314

18,545

18,734

18,902

19,070

53

16,070

16,446

16,813

17,161

17,481

17,765

17,998

18,186

18,351

18,514

54

15,414

15,806

16,199

16,578

16,927

17,230

17,473

17,666

17,831

17,989

5559

67,713

69,752

71,935

74,112

76,135

77,853

79,205

80,292

81,204

82,034

55

14,776

15,182

15,598

16,004

16,377

16,697

16,949

17,146

17,311

17,466

56

14,146

14,566

15,006

15,438

15,836

16,172

16,432

16,633

16,798

16,949

57

13,526

13,949

14,401

14,851

15,266

15,615

15,884

16,095

16,268

16,424

58

12,924

13,332

13,779

14,229

14,650

15,006

15,286

15,514

15,706

15,878

59

12,341

12,722

13,151

13,590

14,006

14,364

14,655

14,904

15,121

15,318

6064

53,649

55,159

56,928

58,814

60,675

62,370

63,914

65,403

66,811

68,117

60

11,759

12,115

12,527

12,959

13,373

13,733

14,035

14,303

14,543

14,762

61

11,169

11,501

11,902

12,330

12,746

13,111

13,424

13,710

13,972

14,211

62

10,646

10,951

11,323

11,727

12,125

12,482

12,798

13,100

13,383

13,643

63

10,220

10,494

10,817

11,165

11,514

11,842

12,154

12,467

12,770

13,053

64

9,855

10,098

10,359

10,633

10,916

11,203

11,504

11,823

12,144

12,448

6569

43,274

44,168

44,872

45,527

46,273

47,253

48,545

50,055

51,664

53,253

65

9,488

9,699

9,900

10,103

10,322

10,569

10,859

11,185

11,523

11,847

66

9,140

9,315

9,449

9,576

9,725

9,929

10,209

10,545

10,904

11,253

67

8,735

8,892

8,991

9,075

9,184

9,359

9,624

9,951

10,305

10,654

68

8,235

8,399

8,512

8,609

8,725

8,896

9,137

9,426

9,738

10,050

69

7,676

7,863

8,020

8,165

8,318

8,500

8,714

8,948

9,194

9,448

7074

30,551

31,687

32,875

34,057

35,176

36,172

36,961

37,581

38,161

38,828

70

7,136

7,345

7,541

7,728

7,913

8,103

8,290

8,470

8,654

8,851

71

6,604

6,837

7,074

7,307

7,526

7,723

7,880

8,001

8,115

8,251

72

6,087

6,331

6,594

6,856

7,097

7,301

7,440

7,528

7,603

7,701

73

5,596

5,832

6,090

6,351

6,594

6,798

6,942

7,040

7,123

7,226

74

5,128

5,342

5,576

5,816

6,045

6,247

6,410

6,543

6,666

6,799

7579

19,079

19,868

20,753

21,695

22,655

23,591

24,525

25,485

26,437

27,352

75

4,665

4,860

5,076

5,300

5,519

5,721

5,899

6,062

6,219

6,377

76

4,211

4,387

4,585

4,795

5,006

5,208

5,403

5,599

5,792

5,976

77

3,784

3,940

4,118

4,310

4,508

4,704

4,906

5,120

5,333

5,533

78

3,391

3,530

3,688

3,858

4,035

4,215

4,406

4,611

4,818

5,013

79

3,028

3,151

3,287

3,433

3,586

3,743

3,911

4,092

4,275

4,452

80yms/andover

18,505

19,181

19,867

20,585

21,355

22,198

23,118

24,101

25,141

26,229

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

98

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2,852,261

2,860,305

2,864,793

2,867,526

2,870,304

2,874,929

2,881,162

2,887,804

2,895,210

2,903,737

04

393,897

382,585

367,358

350,840

335,654

324,423

317,737

313,847

311,869

310,918

76,325

73,435

69,901

66,292

63,176

61,124

60,424

60,696

61,508

62,425

77,656

74,955

71,456

67,766

64,489

62,231

61,219

61,051

61,384

61,875

79,117

76,729

73,482

69,953

66,720

64,359

63,010

62,287

61,983

61,889

80,133

78,193

75,409

72,275

69,289

66,946

65,274

63,943

62,910

62,135

80,666

79,271

77,109

74,553

71,980

69,763

67,810

65,870

64,085

62,593

59

391,157

391,437

391,385

390,174

386,979

380,974

370,386

355,765

339,771

325,062

80,343

79,577

78,460

77,017

75,273

73,253

70,575

67,223

63,769

60,786

79,663

79,349

78,833

78,024

76,832

75,165

72,616

69,245

65,664

62,483

78,580

78,680

78,724

78,524

77,894

76,649

74,399

71,268

67,840

64,698

77,148

77,619

78,168

78,534

78,458

77,679

75,860

73,176

70,130

67,228

75,423

76,212

77,201

78,075

78,523

78,229

76,936

74,854

72,369

69,867

1014

344,856

351,182

359,587

368,422

376,038

380,783

382,857

383,359

381,993

378,460

10

73,440

74,513

75,900

77,250

78,210

78,428

77,752

76,414

74,647

72,680

11

71,234

72,576

74,345

76,160

77,641

78,407

78,430

77,966

77,053

75,732

12

68,962

70,417

72,357

74,410

76,202

77,362

77,966

78,265

78,140

77,475

13

66,719

68,071

69,887

71,850

73,645

74,956

75,919

76,745

77,230

77,166

14

64,501

65,605

67,098

68,752

70,339

71,630

72,790

73,969

74,924

75,408

1519

289,595

291,442

294,119

297,675

302,162

307,629

315,161

324,723

334,690

343,438

15

62,197

63,045

64,206

65,541

66,915

68,192

69,570

71,141

72,605

73,664

16

59,817

60,383

61,170

62,144

63,271

64,517

66,121

68,107

70,115

71,784

17

57,638

57,949

58,402

59,043

59,917

61,070

62,753

64,936

67,241

69,291

18

55,785

55,912

56,131

56,527

57,181

58,177

59,738

61,809

64,055

66,140

19

54,159

54,153

54,210

54,420

54,877

55,674

56,979

58,730

60,674

62,560

2024

247,285

245,686

243,733

242,089

241,416

242,376

245,073

249,065

254,198

260,316

20

52,530

52,375

52,242

52,239

52,473

53,052

54,088

55,510

57,149

58,836

21

50,936

50,619

50,286

50,057

50,053

50,394

51,129

52,180

53,470

54,925

22

49,405

48,996

48,526

48,127

47,930

48,066

48,537

49,254

50,217

51,425

23

47,924

47,525

47,008

46,517

46,198

46,195

46,484

46,968

47,684

48,671

24

46,489

46,170

45,670

45,149

44,762

44,669

44,835

45,154

45,678

46,459

2529

212,142

211,838

210,203

207,960

205,830

204,533

203,741

202,972

202,721

203,480

25

45,113

44,876

44,403

43,859

43,410

43,222

43,246

43,372

43,673

44,218

26

43,803

43,660

43,222

42,663

42,155

41,869

41,744

41,666

41,727

42,017

27

42,472

42,422

42,058

41,543

41,040

40,712

40,490

40,265

40,142

40,225

28

41,082

41,111

40,862

40,466

40,056

39,764

39,516

39,224

38,999

38,954

29

39,671

39,768

39,659

39,430

39,170

38,966

38,744

38,444

38,181

38,065

3034

179,190

180,668

181,941

182,951

183,641

183,950

183,600

182,630

181,459

180,505

30

38,310

38,485

38,522

38,465

38,358

38,247

38,057

37,759

37,463

37,279

31

36,977

37,236

37,433

37,565

37,628

37,621

37,473

37,185

36,864

36,615

32

35,731

36,054

36,369

36,641

36,837

36,923

36,836

36,599

36,305

36,049

33

34,605

34,960

35,323

35,653

35,912

36,062

36,054

35,916

35,717

35,527

34

33,567

33,932

34,295

34,628

34,904

35,097

35,180

35,171

35,109

35,035

3539

153,041

154,881

156,683

158,432

160,113

161,709

163,322

164,963

166,479

167,718

35

32,554

32,928

33,296

33,640

33,943

34,187

34,367

34,493

34,575

34,622

36

31,584

31,963

32,332

32,684

33,012

33,311

33,595

33,869

34,110

34,293

37

30,618

30,994

31,357

31,710

32,055

32,393

32,754

33,139

33,500

33,791

38

29,634

29,998

30,354

30,706

31,058

31,415

31,808

32,237

32,650

32,998

39

28,651

28,998

29,344

29,692

30,044

30,404

30,798

31,226

31,645

32,014

99

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

4044

130,111

131,500

132,888

134,326

135,867

137,561

139,485

141,606

143,807

145,973

40

27,710

28,036

28,365

28,701

29,047

29,407

29,805

30,237

30,670

31,068

41

26,797

27,099

27,406

27,726

28,061

28,420

28,818

29,252

29,696

30,124

42

25,947

26,224

26,506

26,801

27,118

27,466

27,857

28,285

28,732

29,178

43

25,181

25,434

25,685

25,948

26,236

26,563

26,941

27,360

27,804

28,254

44

24,476

24,707

24,925

25,151

25,405

25,706

26,066

26,471

26,905

27,350

4549

112,369

113,269

114,023

114,771

115,650

116,799

118,245

119,896

121,711

123,650

45

23,792

23,999

24,183

24,371

24,588

24,860

25,198

25,584

26,003

26,437

46

23,137

23,317

23,463

23,609

23,784

24,023

24,335

24,698

25,097

25,519

47

22,483

22,648

22,775

22,897

23,049

23,265

23,551

23,886

24,258

24,657

48

21,814

21,982

22,117

22,249

22,405

22,614

22,879

23,180

23,514

23,877

49

21,143

21,323

21,485

21,645

21,823

22,036

22,282

22,548

22,839

23,160

5054

96,476

97,485

98,513

99,555

100,608

101,668

102,673

103,625

104,619

105,747

50

20,495

20,688

20,874

21,061

21,257

21,473

21,698

21,928

22,175

22,452

51

19,862

20,071

20,284

20,502

20,720

20,939

21,142

21,331

21,528

21,757

52

19,259

19,475

19,702

19,933

20,162

20,380

20,569

20,736

20,905

21,104

53

18,697

18,903

19,117

19,336

19,552

19,762

19,952

20,124

20,300

20,501

54

18,162

18,349

18,536

18,724

18,916

19,114

19,311

19,507

19,710

19,932

5559

82,876

83,673

84,365

85,033

85,761

86,630

87,674

88,839

90,073

91,328

55

17,632

17,804

17,967

18,130

18,301

18,490

18,695

18,912

19,140

19,380

56

17,108

17,265

17,406

17,544

17,696

17,876

18,092

18,335

18,592

18,852

57

16,583

16,732

16,858

16,980

17,117

17,290

17,510

17,763

18,033

18,302

58

16,048

16,201

16,327

16,446

16,579

16,745

16,955

17,196

17,451

17,707

59

15,505

15,671

15,807

15,933

16,067

16,229

16,421

16,633

16,857

17,087

6064

69,296

70,302

71,150

71,911

72,656

73,454

74,279

75,083

75,908

76,794

60

14,966

15,142

15,287

15,419

15,554

15,711

15,890

16,078

16,276

16,483

61

14,429

14,616

14,769

14,906

15,043

15,196

15,360

15,525

15,698

15,884

62

13,878

14,077

14,243

14,390

14,533

14,687

14,843

14,993

15,147

15,317

63

13,305

13,519

13,702

13,865

14,021

14,182

14,340

14,488

14,636

14,798

64

12,718

12,948

13,149

13,331

13,505

13,679

13,846

14,000

14,152

14,312

6569

54,702

56,013

57,265

58,457

59,585

60,647

61,617

62,495

63,324

64,142

65

12,135

12,380

12,599

12,800

12,990

13,176

13,351

13,510

13,663

13,822

66

11,559

11,820

12,057

12,274

12,478

12,674

12,856

13,020

13,176

13,333

67

10,964

11,234

11,487

11,723

11,945

12,154

12,346

12,518

12,680

12,838

68

10,340

10,611

10,877

11,135

11,379

11,606

11,810

11,994

12,166

12,332

69

9,703

9,968

10,245

10,524

10,792

11,037

11,254

11,453

11,639

11,816

7074

39,711

40,881

42,254

43,721

45,175

46,509

47,729

48,906

50,031

51,097

70

9,072

9,331

9,619

9,918

10,208

10,470

10,700

10,913

11,112

11,300

71

8,435

8,687

8,989

9,311

9,627

9,907

10,151

10,376

10,586

10,784

72

7,860

8,101

8,397

8,720

9,040

9,325

9,576

9,813

10,036

10,246

73

7,381

7,602

7,868

8,157

8,447

8,715

8,966

9,213

9,452

9,678

74

6,963

7,161

7,380

7,614

7,854

8,092

8,336

8,591

8,845

9,089

7579

28,197

28,912

29,517

30,105

30,767

31,596

32,654

33,881

35,181

36,461

75

6,545

6,719

6,893

7,074

7,266

7,475

7,712

7,974

8,243

8,503

76

6,149

6,296

6,420

6,542

6,682

6,858

7,089

7,358

7,645

7,924

77

5,707

5,837

5,931

6,016

6,122

6,275

6,493

6,756

7,041

7,320

78

5,183

5,311

5,407

5,494

5,597

5,742

5,940

6,176

6,430

6,683

79

4,613

4,749

4,866

4,979

5,100

5,246

5,421

5,616

5,822

6,031

80yms/andover

27,360

28,551

29,808

31,102

32,405

33,688

34,929

36,147

37,375

38,647

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

100

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2,913,743

2,925,284

2,938,123

2,952,174

2,967,351

2,983,568

3,000,833

3,019,202

3,038,666

3,059,213

04

310,111

309,787

310,535

311,846

313,211

314,122

314,578

314,917

315,142

315,253

63,016

63,285

63,522

63,718

63,863

63,947

63,960

63,908

63,807

63,673

62,181

62,339

62,578

62,842

63,078

63,233

63,297

63,304

63,271

63,213

61,799

61,782

61,974

62,274

62,578

62,784

62,886

62,954

62,995

63,015

61,578

61,338

61,443

61,742

62,084

62,318

62,449

62,579

62,699

62,801

61,537

61,043

61,018

61,270

61,608

61,841

61,986

62,172

62,370

62,552

59

314,297

308,052

304,555

302,941

302,344

301,899

301,941

303,048

304,716

306,440

58,849

58,236

58,564

59,416

60,373

61,018

61,359

61,673

61,950

62,178

60,314

59,380

59,273

59,659

60,203

60,569

60,795

61,103

61,439

61,748

62,428

61,163

60,516

60,282

60,257

60,237

60,290

60,552

60,921

61,294

64,973

63,393

62,154

61,211

60,523

60,048

59,883

60,059

60,425

60,834

67,733

65,880

64,048

62,373

60,988

60,027

59,614

59,662

59,981

60,385

1014

372,464

362,232

347,962

332,313

317,944

307,513

301,595

298,416

297,116

296,834

10

70,745

68,617

66,141

63,656

61,499

60,006

59,337

59,266

59,556

59,972

11

74,044

71,600

68,374

64,947

61,901

59,819

58,906

58,776

59,117

59,618

12

76,152

73,704

70,208

66,367

62,883

60,457

59,285

58,898

59,004

59,310

13

76,349

74,364

71,347

67,922

64,710

62,335

60,883

59,940

59,373

59,052

14

75,175

73,948

71,892

69,421

66,951

64,896

63,184

61,537

60,066

58,882

1519

349,342

352,598

354,289

354,121

351,798

347,025

338,036

325,028

310,650

297,549

15

74,018

73,514

72,351

70,759

68,969

67,211

65,261

62,965

60,660

58,681

16

72,753

72,996

72,755

72,067

70,973

69,511

67,296

64,302

61,107

58,292

17

70,706

71,566

72,122

72,257

71,853

70,794

68,614

65,389

61,821

58,607

18

67,730

68,961

70,056

70,812

71,022

70,483

68,782

66,054

62,920

60,000

19

64,135

65,561

67,006

68,227

68,981

69,025

68,083

66,318

64,142

61,971

2024

267,265

276,109

286,952

298,197

308,246

315,502

320,155

323,271

324,563

323,747

20

60,404

62,048

63,881

65,609

66,936

67,568

67,351

66,483

65,193

63,710

21

56,469

58,338

60,583

62,849

64,782

66,028

66,561

66,617

66,235

65,455

22

52,878

54,823

57,261

59,820

62,129

63,818

64,963

65,812

66,249

66,158

23

49,965

51,787

54,111

56,608

58,949

60,806

62,312

63,686

64,729

65,237

24

47,549

49,113

51,117

53,312

55,450

57,282

58,968

60,672

62,157

63,187

2529

205,743

209,615

214,768

221,043

228,281

236,324

246,202

258,020

270,234

281,298

25

45,081

46,372

48,043

49,927

51,860

53,674

55,561

57,632

59,599

61,177

26

42,630

43,613

44,907

46,437

48,128

49,905

51,997

54,454

56,933

59,090

27

40,621

41,330

42,283

43,476

44,910

46,582

48,732

51,359

54,107

56,615

28

39,200

39,714

40,421

41,357

42,557

44,056

46,067

48,565

51,233

53,753

29

38,211

38,586

39,114

39,845

40,826

42,106

43,845

46,010

48,363

50,663

3034

180,189

180,198

180,252

180,821

182,371

185,370

189,914

195,691

202,558

210,373

30

37,319

37,536

37,857

38,350

39,082

40,120

41,572

43,390

45,418

47,494

31

36,545

36,597

36,699

36,938

37,401

38,173

39,302

40,731

42,388

44,204

32

35,922

35,860

35,799

35,840

36,081

36,623

37,464

38,539

39,848

41,393

33

35,416

35,312

35,169

35,093

35,192

35,571

36,206

37,027

38,069

39,370

34

34,987

34,894

34,729

34,600

34,615

34,883

35,370

36,004

36,835

37,911

3539

168,528

168,638

168,149

167,468

167,000

167,152

167,618

168,128

169,139

171,108

35

34,642

34,566

34,388

34,212

34,146

34,296

34,616

35,037

35,625

36,446

36

34,394

34,345

34,161

33,945

33,801

33,830

33,977

34,172

34,501

35,048

37

33,968

33,968

33,823

33,624

33,461

33,425

33,451

33,479

33,606

33,930

38

33,232

33,305

33,252

33,140

33,037

33,011

32,992

32,936

32,947

33,127

39

32,292

32,453

32,525

32,547

32,556

32,591

32,582

32,503

32,460

32,558

101

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

4044

147,990

149,955

151,944

153,812

155,410

156,592

157,094

157,015

156,749

156,692

40

31,398

31,653

31,856

32,017

32,144

32,245

32,252

32,160

32,071

32,088

41

30,509

30,867

31,216

31,532

31,792

31,972

32,006

31,909

31,781

31,723

42

29,602

30,036

30,491

30,923

31,288

31,541

31,623

31,563

31,450

31,373

43

28,694

29,155

29,649

30,128

30,544

30,849

30,999

31,025

30,994

30,973

44

27,787

28,244

28,732

29,211

29,642

29,985

30,215

30,358

30,452

30,535

4549

125,671

127,846

130,201

132,631

135,028

137,287

139,502

141,743

143,870

145,740

45

26,871

27,326

27,814

28,301

28,756

29,144

29,462

29,729

29,955

30,149

46

25,947

26,399

26,885

27,379

27,857

28,296

28,710

29,116

29,490

29,811

47

25,070

25,512

25,987

26,480

26,971

27,444

27,927

28,432

28,915

29,335

48

24,266

24,690

25,152

25,636

26,128

26,611

27,116

27,654

28,178

28,641

49

23,517

23,919

24,363

24,835

25,316

25,792

26,287

26,813

27,331

27,803

5054

107,104

108,714

110,515

112,469

114,542

116,697

119,001

121,478

124,027

126,549

50

22,774

23,150

23,572

24,023

24,490

24,958

25,447

25,968

26,488

26,977

51

22,040

22,387

22,781

23,210

23,660

24,118

24,598

25,111

25,632

26,139

52

21,360

21,678

22,042

22,440

22,864

23,303

23,769

24,268

24,783

25,297

53

20,747

21,042

21,371

21,730

22,117

22,529

22,975

23,457

23,962

24,473

54

20,182

20,457

20,749

21,065

21,410

21,789

22,211

22,674

23,163

23,662

5559

92,551

93,682

94,753

95,858

97,091

98,544

100,240

102,116

104,139

106,277

55

19,631

19,884

20,140

20,411

20,712

21,055

21,450

21,888

22,356

22,838

56

19,105

19,335

19,550

19,772

20,024

20,328

20,692

21,101

21,544

22,006

57

18,553

18,768

18,960

19,153

19,375

19,650

19,985

20,362

20,774

21,209

58

17,948

18,161

18,356

18,553

18,774

19,038

19,349

19,692

20,065

20,464

59

17,314

17,533

17,747

17,968

18,206

18,472

18,763

19,071

19,401

19,759

6064

77,782

78,899

80,119

81,400

82,699

83,975

85,169

86,310

87,484

88,779

60

16,699

16,924

17,156

17,398

17,651

17,916

18,185

18,457

18,745

19,060

61

16,090

16,322

16,577

16,844

17,114

17,380

17,626

17,859

18,099

18,367

62

15,513

15,747

16,010

16,287

16,564

16,826

17,056

17,264

17,475

17,712

63

14,987

15,209

15,458

15,721

15,983

16,233

16,458

16,665

16,874

17,106

64

14,493

14,697

14,919

15,150

15,386

15,620

15,845

16,065

16,291

16,533

6569

64,990

65,846

66,681

67,532

68,433

69,418

70,509

71,682

72,906

74,150

65

13,996

14,185

14,382

14,588

14,801

15,022

15,247

15,479

15,719

15,969

66

13,499

13,673

13,848

14,028

14,220

14,428

14,657

14,903

15,160

15,422

67

13,003

13,167

13,324

13,485

13,659

13,855

14,082

14,332

14,595

14,858

68

12,500

12,663

12,815

12,967

13,131

13,316

13,530

13,765

14,012

14,259

69

11,992

12,158

12,312

12,464

12,622

12,797

12,993

13,202

13,420

13,642

7074

52,093

52,993

53,803

54,564

55,315

56,098

56,892

57,670

58,462

59,299

70

11,482

11,652

11,806

11,955

12,108

12,274

12,453

12,639

12,832

13,032

71

10,971

11,143

11,298

11,444

11,590

11,746

11,909

12,073

12,241

12,420

72

10,442

10,619

10,777

10,924

11,069

11,220

11,372

11,519

11,669

11,830

73

9,887

10,072

10,238

10,393

10,542

10,694

10,843

10,983

11,125

11,276

74

9,311

9,507

9,684

9,848

10,006

10,164

10,315

10,456

10,595

10,741

7579

37,627

38,678

39,678

40,626

41,525

42,374

43,152

43,859

44,527

45,189

75

8,737

8,942

9,130

9,304

9,470

9,632

9,785

9,925

10,061

10,201

76

8,172

8,387

8,585

8,768

8,941

9,107

9,261

9,400

9,532

9,665

77

7,570

7,789

7,993

8,185

8,365

8,535

8,691

8,830

8,961

9,091

78

6,915

7,128

7,334

7,532

7,719

7,893

8,050

8,192

8,325

8,454

79

6,233

6,433

6,636

6,837

7,029

7,206

7,366

7,511

7,647

7,779

80yms/andover

39,996

41,443

42,965

44,532

46,112

47,676

49,235

50,811

52,383

53,935

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

102

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

3,080,833

3,103,865

3,128,317

3,153,679

3,179,442

3,205,097

3,230,770

3,256,801

3,283,001

3,309,180

04

315,250

315,345

315,538

315,512

314,948

313,531

310,951

307,419

303,399

299,355

63,520

63,392

63,278

63,114

62,837

62,384

61,667

60,728

59,699

58,711

63,144

63,114

63,112

63,066

62,901

62,544

61,912

61,054

60,095

59,156

63,020

63,059

63,128

63,155

63,066

62,790

62,259

61,520

60,677

59,831

62,876

62,965

63,076

63,144

63,109

62,908

62,494

61,908

61,222

60,507

62,690

62,815

62,945

63,033

63,036

62,905

62,619

62,208

61,706

61,149

59

307,717

308,552

309,282

309,897

310,390

310,752

311,197

311,732

312,034

311,781

62,346

62,444

62,480

62,468

62,420

62,351

62,301

62,263

62,173

61,967

61,977

62,117

62,203

62,249

62,268

62,273

62,313

62,380

62,399

62,296

61,571

61,748

61,892

62,010

62,104

62,181

62,289

62,424

62,514

62,486

61,137

61,342

61,546

61,740

61,914

62,058

62,215

62,391

62,522

62,546

60,685

60,902

61,160

61,431

61,684

61,889

62,079

62,274

62,425

62,486

1014

296,708

297,079

298,521

300,522

302,572

304,160

305,293

306,313

307,207

307,962

10

60,276

60,501

60,806

61,140

61,457

61,707

61,908

62,090

62,231

62,306

11

59,970

60,211

60,549

60,925

61,277

61,546

61,726

61,858

61,950

62,009

12

59,523

59,699

60,035

60,445

60,842

61,141

61,328

61,459

61,556

61,643

13

58,844

58,837

59,119

59,558

60,022

60,378

60,621

60,840

61,042

61,235

14

58,095

57,830

58,011

58,455

58,975

59,388

59,710

60,066

60,428

60,769

1519

288,375

283,716

281,807

281,764

282,703

283,739

285,223

287,743

290,775

293,795

15

57,364

56,869

56,972

57,433

58,015

58,480

58,861

59,316

59,797

60,251

16

56,434

55,744

55,835

56,393

57,107

57,663

58,103

58,637

59,201

59,731

17

56,446

55,538

55,414

55,779

56,337

56,793

57,204

57,770

58,400

59,005

18

57,913

56,752

56,104

55,829

55,792

55,852

56,101

56,631

57,306

57,991

19

60,217

58,813

57,483

56,329

55,452

54,951

54,953

55,388

56,072

56,817

2024

320,537

313,223

301,994

289,417

278,060

270,489

267,296

266,771

268,024

270,169

20

62,263

60,639

58,683

56,719

55,069

54,056

53,839

54,203

54,909

55,720

21

64,317

62,444

59,812

56,982

54,517

52,979

52,576

52,932

53,736

54,679

22

65,423

63,590

60,737

57,544

54,691

52,860

52,245

52,393

53,011

53,803

23

65,011

63,648

61,284

58,519

55,957

54,200

53,340

52,976

52,969

53,179

24

63,523

62,901

61,478

59,653

57,826

56,394

55,297

54,267

53,399

52,786

2529

289,667

295,552

299,983

302,644

303,216

301,384

295,488

285,741

274,629

264,641

25

62,080

62,161

61,613

60,653

59,498

58,367

57,050

55,405

53,741

52,370

26

60,583

61,391

61,743

61,669

61,200

60,366

58,803

56,490

53,975

51,801

27

58,525

59,919

61,035

61,752

61,947

61,497

59,963

57,425

54,545

51,983

28

55,807

57,533

59,142

60,428

61,189

61,218

60,126

58,050

55,573

53,282

29

52,671

54,547

56,449

58,140

59,382

59,937

59,547

58,371

56,795

55,205

3034

218,992

229,431

241,784

254,530

266,146

275,109

281,640

286,755

290,121

291,409

30

49,461

51,507

53,740

55,874

57,624

58,707

58,983

58,643

57,894

56,944

31

46,110

48,329

50,910

53,514

55,803

57,437

58,400

58,918

59,016

58,719

32

43,174

45,426

48,148

50,989

53,595

55,614

57,129

58,375

59,227

59,562

33

40,966

43,065

45,643

48,387

50,987

53,130

54,952

56,662

58,054

58,926

34

39,282

41,103

43,343

45,766

48,137

50,221

52,175

54,157

55,930

57,258

3539

174,494

179,391

185,496

192,663

200,750

209,612

220,246

232,748

245,623

257,377

35

37,568

39,096

40,983

43,074

45,213

47,242

49,349

51,638

53,829

55,640

36

35,898

37,098

38,590

40,306

42,176

44,131

46,393

49,007

51,642

53,964

37

34,546

35,455

36,592

37,958

39,553

41,376

43,658

46,400

49,255

51,878

38

33,580

34,284

35,168

36,269

37,621

39,259

41,387

43,982

46,737

49,348

39

32,901

33,459

34,162

35,055

36,187

37,604

39,459

41,721

44,161

46,547

103

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

4044

157,241

158,102

159,011

160,408

162,732

166,421

171,571

177,890

185,234

193,459

40

32,316

32,711

33,205

33,861

34,744

35,918

37,485

39,402

41,516

43,673

41

31,834

32,060

32,335

32,739

33,355

34,263

35,510

37,041

38,787

40,681

42

31,420

31,528

31,640

31,848

32,245

32,925

33,887

35,070

36,474

38,098

43

31,027

31,089

31,117

31,208

31,464

31,983

32,743

33,677

34,819

36,204

44

30,645

30,713

30,715

30,752

30,924

31,332

31,947

32,700

33,637

34,803

4549

147,211

148,033

148,301

148,390

148,676

149,535

150,686

151,878

153,533

156,072

45

30,320

30,401

30,387

30,377

30,469

30,762

31,215

31,762

32,465

33,386

46

30,055

30,160

30,139

30,090

30,106

30,283

30,569

30,901

31,356

32,014

47

29,646

29,793

29,806

29,767

29,762

29,874

30,043

30,213

30,475

30,917

48

28,998

29,207

29,298

29,334

29,378

29,492

29,613

29,698

29,844

30,145

49

28,191

28,472

28,670

28,822

28,962

29,124

29,246

29,303

29,393

29,610

5054

128,942

131,300

133,691

135,973

138,007

139,651

140,669

141,153

141,460

141,948

50

27,404

27,764

28,076

28,350

28,592

28,809

28,940

28,978

29,018

29,155

51

26,609

27,057

27,498

27,909

28,268

28,552

28,701

28,730

28,729

28,790

52

25,795

26,305

26,837

27,349

27,798

28,143

28,330

28,387

28,394

28,431

53

24,977

25,504

26,064

26,611

27,100

27,485

27,728

27,858

27,934

28,016

54

24,156

24,671

25,217

25,755

26,249

26,661

26,970

27,200

27,385

27,556

5559

108,497

110,864

113,400

116,008

118,588

121,044

123,467

125,922

128,272

130,379

55

23,322

23,828

24,365

24,902

25,409

25,856

26,238

26,576

26,875

27,142

56

22,478

22,972

23,498

24,034

24,555

25,041

25,505

25,963

26,392

26,770

57

21,660

22,138

22,648

23,174

23,700

24,210

24,731

25,274

25,797

26,260

58

20,887

21,344

21,836

22,349

22,869

23,382

23,917

24,484

25,039

25,537

59

20,150

20,582

21,054

21,549

22,055

22,556

23,077

23,627

24,170

24,669

6064

90,281

92,012

93,914

95,954

98,102

100,326

102,688

105,211

107,798

110,356

60

19,415

19,820

20,265

20,738

21,225

21,713

22,222

22,761

23,300

23,810

61

18,684

19,057

19,472

19,919

20,385

20,858

21,354

21,880

22,414

22,935

62

18,000

18,343

18,725

19,140

19,577

20,029

20,505

21,013

21,535

22,057

63

17,379

17,696

18,044

18,419

18,818

19,241

19,694

20,181

20,687

21,199

64

16,802

17,096

17,407

17,740

18,098

18,486

18,912

19,376

19,861

20,355

6569

75,383

76,555

77,685

78,851

80,128

81,594

83,269

85,101

87,060

89,115

65

16,233

16,503

16,777

17,066

17,381

17,732

18,129

18,563

19,023

19,495

66

15,680

15,925

16,159

16,401

16,669

16,981

17,344

17,746

18,177

18,625

67

15,109

15,335

15,543

15,754

15,990

16,271

16,602

16,970

17,366

17,783

68

14,498

14,715

14,918

15,124

15,350

15,615

15,918

16,250

16,608

16,987

69

13,863

14,078

14,289

14,506

14,738

14,995

15,275

15,571

15,887

16,226

7074

60,212

61,218

62,296

63,420

64,564

65,701

66,787

67,840

68,925

70,107

70

13,239

13,452

13,670

13,896

14,132

14,380

14,635

14,894

15,167

15,463

71

12,614

12,826

13,054

13,292

13,534

13,774

14,002

14,222

14,448

14,698

72

12,011

12,219

12,448

12,688

12,928

13,159

13,367

13,560

13,756

13,973

73

11,446

11,641

11,855

12,079

12,304

12,521

12,720

12,907

13,097

13,304

74

10,902

11,079

11,268

11,465

11,666

11,867

12,064

12,257

12,456

12,668

7579

45,878

46,577

47,264

47,964

48,703

49,505

50,386

51,330

52,312

53,310

75

10,351

10,513

10,681

10,855

11,035

11,222

11,415

11,615

11,821

12,035

76

9,806

9,952

10,098

10,249

10,409

10,584

10,777

10,985

11,202

11,422

77

9,225

9,359

9,489

9,622

9,765

9,926

10,112

10,317

10,532

10,747

78

8,586

8,715

8,837

8,960

9,092

9,239

9,406

9,589

9,780

9,971

79

7,910

8,038

8,159

8,278

8,402

8,534

8,676

8,824

8,977

9,135

80yms/andover

55,448

56,915

58,350

59,760

61,155

62,544

63,913

65,256

66,593

67,945

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

104

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

3,335,150

3,360,991

3,386,830

3,412,545

3,438,016

3,463,123

3,487,899

3,512,424

3,536,649

3,560,521

04

295,749

292,553

289,457

286,506

283,744

281,215

278,928

276,853

274,977

273,287

57,895

57,272

56,752

56,308

55,907

55,522

55,151

54,815

54,513

54,245

58,362

57,722

57,154

56,643

56,175

55,734

55,323

54,951

54,616

54,317

59,085

58,434

57,811

57,221

56,670

56,165

55,708

55,294

54,921

54,585

59,835

59,186

58,513

57,844

57,211

56,641

56,138

55,682

55,269

54,896

60,572

59,940

59,228

58,491

57,781

57,152

56,607

56,110

55,658

55,245

59

310,653

308,341

305,059

301,270

297,435

294,017

290,982

288,022

285,188

282,528

61,580

60,925

60,045

59,071

58,133

57,362

56,776

56,289

55,871

55,495

61,997

61,418

60,611

59,697

58,801

58,043

57,435

56,893

56,404

55,955

62,267

61,787

61,097

60,299

59,493

58,783

58,163

57,566

56,998

56,467

62,401

62,037

61,498

60,855

60,180

59,543

58,925

58,277

57,631

57,017

62,410

62,173

61,807

61,347

60,829

60,286

59,684

58,998

58,283

57,593

1014

308,566

309,233

309,972

310,461

310,378

309,401

307,220

304,048

300,353

296,601

10

62,291

62,193

62,029

61,787

61,458

61,031

60,451

59,726

58,938

58,167

11

62,043

62,098

62,168

62,186

62,083

61,793

61,237

60,459

59,578

58,711

12

61,742

61,919

62,160

62,364

62,432

62,264

61,774

61,030

60,158

59,287

13

61,425

61,674

61,975

62,239

62,376

62,296

61,935

61,352

60,645

59,911

14

61,064

61,349

61,640

61,885

62,029

62,017

61,823

61,480

61,034

60,526

1519

296,277

298,230

300,004

301,587

302,963

304,121

305,261

306,392

307,212

307,421

15

60,628

60,944

61,234

61,472

61,636

61,699

61,669

61,560

61,365

61,076

16

60,163

60,493

60,763

60,980

61,152

61,288

61,428

61,569

61,647

61,596

17

59,496

59,858

60,150

60,395

60,615

60,833

61,110

61,434

61,708

61,838

18

58,552

58,983

59,375

59,735

60,069

60,387

60,743

61,134

61,474

61,679

19

57,438

57,952

58,483

59,004

59,490

59,915

60,310

60,695

61,018

61,232

2024

272,316

274,811

278,245

282,102

285,865

289,018

291,555

293,819

295,821

297,569

20

56,397

56,974

57,609

58,252

58,854

59,364

59,795

60,181

60,502

60,738

21

55,450

56,090

56,807

57,537

58,218

58,786

59,234

59,604

59,908

60,156

22

54,477

55,091

55,841

56,639

57,396

58,024

58,505

58,898

59,231

59,527

23

53,467

53,922

54,636

55,476

56,311

57,006

57,555

58,045

58,489

58,899

24

52,524

52,734

53,353

54,198

55,087

55,838

56,466

57,090

57,691

58,248

2529

258,263

256,072

256,409

258,411

261,214

263,955

266,958

270,798

274,990

279,048

25

51,602

51,594

52,137

52,999

53,947

54,750

55,435

56,159

56,877

57,545

26

50,515

50,318

50,847

51,799

52,870

53,759

54,502

55,301

56,101

56,844

27

50,400

49,988

50,305

51,066

51,983

52,771

53,484

54,313

55,175

55,990

28

51,759

51,096

50,901

51,041

51,381

51,785

52,337

53,129

54,032

54,922

29

53,986

53,076

52,218

51,506

51,032

50,891

51,200

51,896

52,804

53,747

3034

290,288

285,131

276,160

265,812

256,528

250,746

249,034

249,764

252,088

255,153

30

56,002

54,864

53,391

51,889

50,664

50,021

50,111

50,732

51,656

52,655

31

58,052

56,657

54,519

52,172

50,152

48,994

48,895

49,500

50,511

51,630

32

59,255

57,875

55,503

52,789

50,380

48,923

48,608

49,002

49,822

50,787

33

59,073

58,113

56,183

53,855

51,701

50,295

49,725

49,610

49,817

50,210

34

57,906

57,622

56,563

55,107

53,632

52,514

51,694

50,920

50,283

49,872

3539

266,515

273,255

278,594

282,204

283,759

282,932

278,128

269,566

259,636

250,732

35

56,792

57,149

56,898

56,242

55,384

54,529

53,477

52,091

50,672

49,519

36

55,643

56,661

57,240

57,404

57,177

56,582

55,269

53,222

50,967

49,028

37

53,923

55,472

56,755

57,650

58,034

57,785

56,479

54,197

51,576

49,251

38

51,509

53,354

55,086

56,505

57,410

57,602

56,705

54,853

52,608

50,533

39

48,649

50,620

52,616

54,403

55,753

56,434

56,199

55,201

53,812

52,402

105

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

4044

202,421

213,091

225,566

238,388

250,102

259,250

266,046

271,461

275,174

276,867

40

45,720

47,838

50,132

52,325

54,145

55,318

55,710

55,504

54,899

54,096

41

42,654

44,923

47,532

50,158

52,477

54,164

55,203

55,812

56,012

55,827

42

39,941

42,228

44,959

47,798

50,408

52,452

54,010

55,307

56,223

56,636

43

37,863

39,996

42,581

45,319

47,914

50,067

51,911

53,643

55,067

55,987

44

36,243

38,106

40,362

42,787

45,158

47,249

49,211

51,194

52,973

54,321

4549

159,918

165,160

171,518

178,855

187,038

195,931

206,476

218,762

231,378

242,911

45

34,586

36,164

38,079

40,182

42,325

44,358

46,460

48,729

50,898

52,702

46

32,952

34,214

35,749

37,490

39,372

41,329

43,573

46,146

48,733

51,020

47

31,629

32,611

33,803

35,206

36,821

38,649

40,906

43,594

46,385

48,952

48

30,698

31,480

32,427

33,573

34,952

36,598

38,702

41,242

43,931

46,479

49

30,053

30,691

31,460

32,404

33,568

34,997

36,835

39,052

41,432

43,757

5054

142,971

144,257

145,568

147,314

149,906

153,753

158,939

165,189

172,380

180,388

50

29,483

29,961

30,527

31,242

32,165

33,357

34,914

36,795

38,857

40,957

51

29,002

29,315

29,669

30,140

30,804

31,739

32,985

34,491

36,196

38,037

52

28,577

28,774

28,969

29,250

29,703

30,415

31,386

32,557

33,930

35,509

53

28,161

28,310

28,422

28,589

28,905

29,463

30,238

31,170

32,293

33,641

54

27,747

27,896

27,981

28,094

28,329

28,780

29,416

30,176

31,104

32,244

5559

132,104

133,220

133,820

134,244

134,833

135,927

137,263

138,613

140,373

142,940

55

27,384

27,540

27,606

27,672

27,830

28,169

28,651

29,215

29,920

30,825

56

27,075

27,248

27,305

27,332

27,416

27,643

27,965

28,323

28,792

29,446

57

26,621

26,829

26,913

26,946

27,007

27,170

27,379

27,584

27,869

28,318

58

25,934

26,193

26,344

26,442

26,543

26,705

26,866

26,991

27,168

27,485

59

25,090

25,410

25,653

25,852

26,037

26,240

26,401

26,500

26,626

26,867

6064

112,789

115,184

117,602

119,917

121,999

123,720

124,865

125,520

126,006

126,646

60

24,261

24,648

24,991

25,297

25,572

25,822

25,990

26,072

26,153

26,320

61

23,420

23,883

24,339

24,767

25,146

25,455

25,639

25,713

25,757

25,855

62

22,562

23,076

23,610

24,125

24,583

24,943

25,160

25,258

25,309

25,384

63

21,703

22,227

22,780

23,321

23,808

24,200

24,461

24,620

24,730

24,841

64

20,844

21,350

21,882

22,407

22,891

23,300

23,615

23,857

24,058

24,245

6569

91,235

93,475

95,857

98,297

100,709

103,009

105,276

107,567

109,764

111,747

65

19,967

20,458

20,975

21,492

21,981

22,414

22,789

23,122

23,421

23,690

66

19,079

19,552

20,053

20,560

21,055

21,517

21,960

22,396

22,806

23,171

67

18,213

18,664

19,143

19,635

20,126

20,604

21,091

21,597

22,086

22,522

68

17,386

17,812

18,268

18,741

19,219

19,692

20,185

20,704

21,213

21,673

69

16,590

16,989

17,419

17,869

18,328

18,782

19,253

19,748

20,238

20,690

7074

71,453

72,978

74,639

76,411

78,270

80,189

82,219

84,376

86,587

88,776

70

15,791

16,159

16,559

16,981

17,415

17,850

18,303

18,780

19,257

19,709

71

14,986

15,319

15,685

16,076

16,484

16,897

17,330

17,787

18,250

18,704

72

14,230

14,530

14,862

15,219

15,595

15,983

16,391

16,824

17,269

17,715

73

13,544

13,818

14,116

14,436

14,776

15,133

15,516

15,924

16,348

16,778

74

12,901

13,152

13,417

13,699

14,000

14,325

14,680

15,062

15,462

15,870

7579

54,301

55,247

56,163

57,106

58,131

59,295

60,610

62,040

63,563

65,161

75

12,259

12,487

12,718

12,960

13,222

13,512

13,836

14,188

14,559

14,941

76

11,638

11,842

12,037

12,237

12,456

12,708

12,998

13,316

13,655

14,009

77

10,952

11,135

11,305

11,476

11,665

11,886

12,145

12,429

12,735

13,057

78

10,156

10,326

10,486

10,649

10,826

11,031

11,263

11,516

11,787

12,075

79

9,296

9,456

9,617

9,784

9,962

10,157

10,368

10,591

10,827

11,080

80yms/andover

69,331

70,752

72,196

73,659

75,143

76,644

78,141

79,634

81,157

82,745

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

106

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

3,583,990

3,607,044

3,629,717

3,652,028

3,673,993

3,695,631

3,716,930

3,737,879

3,758,494

3,778,794

3,798,798

04

271,770

270,440

269,307

268,348

267,539

266,859

266,322

265,944

265,701

265,571

265,532

54,009

53,813

53,656

53,530

53,423

53,327

53,247

53,190

53,147

53,108

53,062

54,051

53,824

53,636

53,481

53,350

53,236

53,144

53,080

53,034

53,001

52,971

54,283

54,020

53,795

53,606

53,446

53,312

53,205

53,131

53,082

53,056

53,047

54,557

54,256

53,993

53,768

53,578

53,421

53,300

53,214

53,163

53,144

53,156

54,869

54,529

54,227

53,964

53,742

53,563

53,426

53,329

53,274

53,263

53,297

59

280,092

277,887

275,879

274,059

272,418

270,946

269,650

268,536

267,595

266,818

266,194

55,132

54,782

54,463

54,176

53,921

53,698

53,507

53,348

53,221

53,126

53,063

55,533

55,137

54,778

54,454

54,164

53,906

53,683

53,493

53,337

53,214

53,121

55,980

55,538

55,136

54,773

54,446

54,153

53,895

53,674

53,487

53,333

53,209

56,465

55,978

55,534

55,131

54,766

54,436

54,142

53,888

53,669

53,483

53,327

56,982

56,452

55,968

55,525

55,121

54,753

54,423

54,133

53,880

53,661

53,474

1014

293,259

290,292

287,389

284,602

281,983

279,585

277,372

275,311

273,452

271,849

270,553

10

57,497

56,929

56,410

55,935

55,499

55,098

54,735

54,413

54,128

53,874

53,648

11

57,974

57,374

56,834

56,342

55,889

55,466

55,078

54,732

54,419

54,127

53,848

12

58,542

57,927

57,357

56,828

56,335

55,874

55,448

55,060

54,705

54,380

54,079

13

59,247

58,640

58,025

57,423

56,851

56,329

55,845

55,385

54,968

54,615

54,343

14

60,000

59,422

58,763

58,075

57,409

56,818

56,266

55,721

55,232

54,853

54,635

1519

306,717

304,783

301,821

298,305

294,710

291,512

288,394

285,039

281,922

279,519

278,304

15

60,688

60,143

59,448

58,685

57,936

57,285

56,677

56,056

55,506

55,108

54,946

16

61,355

60,844

60,104

59,256

58,417

57,705

57,042

56,349

55,744

55,346

55,272

17

61,727

61,290

60,590

59,757

58,919

58,204

57,527

56,803

56,159

55,725

55,629

18

61,662

61,357

60,822

60,156

59,458

58,827

58,197

57,502

56,842

56,315

56,020

19

61,286

61,149

60,856

60,451

59,981

59,490

58,950

58,328

57,672

57,026

56,436

2024

299,072

300,520

301,907

302,949

303,358

302,852

301,619

299,850

297,260

293,563

288,474

20

60,870

60,899

60,840

60,688

60,438

60,087

59,636

59,090

58,443

57,691

56,830

21

60,362

60,564

60,756

60,876

60,865

60,662

60,308

59,843

59,206

58,337

57,176

22

59,815

60,156

60,531

60,849

61,018

60,947

60,696

60,328

59,750

58,870

57,598

23

59,286

59,705

60,148

60,533

60,778

60,802

60,659

60,403

59,953

59,227

58,142

24

58,739

59,197

59,634

60,004

60,259

60,354

60,320

60,187

59,909

59,438

58,728

2529

282,486

285,292

287,791

289,999

291,937

293,622

295,042

296,186

297,070

297,715

298,138

25

58,119

58,611

59,050

59,418

59,697

59,870

59,948

59,943

59,837

59,612

59,250

26

57,473

57,980

58,404

58,756

59,049

59,296

59,488

59,617

59,696

59,737

59,752

27

56,676

57,213

57,658

58,036

58,375

58,702

59,000

59,249

59,478

59,713

59,981

28

55,671

56,270

56,804

57,286

57,731

58,151

58,539

58,885

59,202

59,504

59,806

29

54,547

55,218

55,876

56,504

57,085

57,602

58,068

58,492

58,858

59,149

59,349

3034

258,110

261,256

265,158

269,370

273,443

276,931

280,131

283,343

286,118

288,009

288,569

30

53,502

54,224

54,971

55,706

56,389

56,982

57,511

58,001

58,414

58,712

58,856

31

52,559

53,330

54,144

54,949

55,697

56,339

56,907

57,434

57,871

58,168

58,276

32

51,613

52,350

53,187

54,048

54,862

55,555

56,175

56,771

57,271

57,600

57,685

33

50,656

51,233

52,032

52,933

53,820

54,574

55,274

55,999

56,631

57,051

57,143

34

49,780

50,117

50,825

51,733

52,675

53,482

54,265

55,138

55,932

56,478

56,609

3539

245,246

243,728

244,585

246,988

250,113

253,133

256,599

261,061

265,693

269,670

272,164

35

48,931

49,053

49,687

50,614

51,613

52,467

53,321

54,320

55,247

55,882

56,005

36

47,929

47,865

48,485

49,499

50,619

51,553

52,495

53,639

54,694

55,371

55,380

37

47,857

47,580

47,994

48,824

49,794

50,629

51,513

52,628

53,700

54,452

54,609

38

49,188

48,661

48,578

48,807

49,219

49,681

50,282

51,108

52,029

52,915

53,633

39

51,341

50,569

49,841

49,244

48,868

48,803

48,988

49,365

50,023

51,050

52,536

107

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION MASCULINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, MALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

4044

276,220

271,670

263,431

253,845

245,257

240,008

236,537

233,282

232,586

236,792

248,243

40

53,292

52,294

50,966

49,604

48,501

47,950

47,754

47,720

48,140

49,307

51,515

41

55,279

54,025

52,051

49,870

47,996

46,945

46,373

45,937

46,151

47,530

50,589

42

56,427

55,179

52,975

50,435

48,184

46,843

45,998

45,234

45,173

46,438

49,652

43

56,207

55,359

53,574

51,404

49,397

48,105

47,160

46,196

45,763

46,411

48,691

44

55,015

54,813

53,865

52,532

51,178

50,165

49,252

48,195

47,359

47,105

47,796

4549

251,948

258,699

264,105

267,853

269,627

269,114

266,523

262,064

255,422

246,283

234,333

45

53,874

54,284

54,109

53,545

52,786

52,026

51,136

49,986

48,770

47,684

46,922

46

52,691

53,733

54,356

54,580

54,427

53,918

53,039

51,776

50,151

48,183

45,895

47

50,970

52,516

53,810

54,732

55,163

54,985

54,276

53,117

51,387

48,969

45,743

48

48,600

50,421

52,135

53,549

54,470

54,708

54,389

53,643

52,276

50,098

46,914

49

45,813

47,744

49,695

51,447

52,781

53,477

53,682

53,542

52,838

51,349

48,858

5054

189,088

199,390

211,378

223,686

234,948

243,798

251,147

257,906

262,708

264,188

260,980

50

42,952

45,013

47,237

49,364

51,136

52,294

53,012

53,460

53,381

52,516

50,605

51

39,954

42,148

44,662

47,190

49,427

51,069

52,320

53,381

53,949

53,718

52,384

52

37,295

39,498

42,119

44,840

47,346

49,321

50,976

52,522

53,642

54,021

53,344

53

35,248

37,300

39,774

42,391

44,875

46,946

48,791

50,594

52,078

52,965

52,977

54

33,640

35,431

37,588

39,902

42,165

44,167

46,049

47,948

49,658

50,968

51,670

5559

146,710

151,758

157,821

164,784

172,534

180,955

190,125

200,119

210,822

222,122

233,904

55

31,990

33,506

35,334

37,336

39,375

41,314

43,243

45,254

47,211

48,975

50,409

56

30,359

31,571

33,031

34,683

36,466

38,323

40,292

42,414

44,628

46,878

49,103

57

29,015

29,959

31,092

32,419

33,944

35,670

37,596

39,718

42,041

44,569

47,305

58

28,033

28,788

29,690

30,775

32,076

33,628

35,408

37,393

39,618

42,116

44,922

59

27,313

27,935

28,673

29,571

30,672

32,020

33,585

35,339

37,324

39,585

42,164

6064

127,760

129,098

130,445

132,178

134,674

138,309

142,833

147,994

154,169

161,735

171,069

60

26,660

27,133

27,684

28,368

29,243

30,367

31,701

33,207

34,942

36,963

39,328

61

26,088

26,408

26,761

27,218

27,851

28,731

29,810

31,041

32,495

34,243

36,357

62

25,554

25,766

25,973

26,254

26,690

27,361

28,214

29,196

30,386

31,864

33,712

63

25,008

25,175

25,305

25,484

25,795

26,324

27,013

27,806

28,788

30,043

31,656

64

24,450

24,615

24,722

24,853

25,094

25,526

26,095

26,745

27,559

28,621

30,015

6569

113,399

114,523

115,198

115,719

116,381

117,482

118,823

120,208

121,931

124,290

127,579

65

23,937

24,108

24,199

24,290

24,462

24,794

25,233

25,726

26,353

27,194

28,330

66

23,472

23,659

23,743

23,802

23,909

24,140

24,446

24,775

25,204

25,807

26,660

67

22,869

23,084

23,191

23,255

23,340

23,512

23,727

23,942

24,222

24,632

25,237

68

22,046

22,299

22,459

22,573

22,690

22,857

23,041

23,212

23,418

23,705

24,122

69

21,074

21,372

21,605

21,799

21,981

22,180

22,376

22,552

22,735

22,951

23,229

7074

90,869

92,937

95,029

97,039

98,863

100,396

101,707

102,867

103,770

104,311

104,385

70

20,112

20,460

20,772

21,053

21,308

21,544

21,756

21,942

22,106

22,254

22,393

71

19,128

19,536

19,938

20,319

20,659

20,943

21,181

21,385

21,538

21,623

21,622

72

18,149

18,594

19,057

19,505

19,907

20,231

20,497

20,728

20,890

20,952

20,882

73

17,204

17,649

18,120

18,582

19,002

19,344

19,632

19,889

20,080

20,172

20,129

74

16,276

16,697

17,141

17,580

17,987

18,334

18,640

18,923

19,155

19,310

19,359

7579

66,813

68,560

70,416

72,318

74,205

76,015

77,789

79,568

81,290

82,894

84,317

75

15,325

15,725

16,148

16,571

16,972

17,331

17,661

17,978

18,259

18,482

18,627

76

14,369

14,746

15,146

15,552

15,949

16,323

16,684

17,041

17,380

17,685

17,942

77

13,390

13,741

14,113

14,497

14,882

15,259

15,635

16,016

16,391

16,753

17,089

78

12,378

12,701

13,046

13,405

13,770

14,133

14,499

14,874

15,250

15,619

15,973

79

11,351

11,646

11,963

12,294

12,632

12,969

13,309

13,659

14,010

14,355

14,686

80yms/andover

84,431

86,210

88,059

89,987

92,002

94,114

96,316

98,603

100,984

103,466

106,060

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

108

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

1,114,445

1,134,034

1,155,430

1,178,782

1,204,238

1,231,947

1,261,810

1,293,727

1,327,847

1,364,320

0-4

180,790

188,735

196,423

203,962

211,464

219,037

226,609

234,106

241,639

249,317

42,553

44,599

46,456

48,181

49,832

51,464

53,041

54,524

55,970

57,436

37,604

39,478

41,205

42,833

44,409

45,981

47,516

48,983

50,429

51,903

35,168

36,812

38,380

39,903

41,410

42,929

44,441

45,927

47,416

48,938

33,428

34,783

36,159

37,560

38,988

40,448

41,937

43,452

44,998

46,577

32,036

33,064

34,222

35,485

36,825

38,215

39,675

41,220

42,825

44,464

5-9

151,512

150,513

151,914

155,122

159,547

164,596

170,664

178,146

186,450

194,984

32,074

32,122

32,680

33,612

34,779

36,043

37,496

39,230

41,107

42,989

31,082

30,915

31,288

32,059

33,086

34,228

35,580

37,234

39,051

40,889

30,206

29,924

30,160

30,785

31,669

32,682

33,911

35,441

37,144

38,889

29,427

29,111

29,255

29,751

30,492

31,373

32,464

33,836

35,383

36,997

28,724

28,441

28,530

28,915

29,520

30,270

31,215

32,405

33,765

35,220

10-14

134,315

134,659

135,231

136,177

137,648

139,791

142,508

145,699

149,513

154,100

10

28,095

27,908

27,976

28,263

28,734

29,352

30,142

31,127

32,272

33,541

11

27,538

27,505

27,582

27,781

28,116

28,601

29,225

29,981

30,882

31,940

12

26,941

27,050

27,153

27,300

27,541

27,925

28,419

28,991

29,688

30,562

13

26,248

26,447

26,586

26,729

26,936

27,271

27,692

28,157

28,728

29,469

14

25,493

25,749

25,933

26,104

26,320

26,642

27,029

27,443

27,943

28,587

15-19

116,445

118,761

120,501

121,932

123,323

124,942

126,610

128,148

129,824

131,906

15

24,782

25,120

25,360

25,563

25,789

26,099

26,451

26,806

27,225

27,767

16

24,116

24,546

24,851

25,093

25,333

25,633

25,951

26,247

26,583

27,020

17

23,379

23,877

24,239

24,525

24,792

25,099

25,407

25,677

25,968

26,338

18

22,534

23,060

23,463

23,793

24,099

24,432

24,758

25,044

25,340

25,696

19

21,633

22,158

22,587

22,959

23,311

23,680

24,043

24,372

24,707

25,085

20-24

96,555

98,759

100,967

103,184

105,412

107,655

109,910

112,175

114,454

116,749

20

20,753

21,279

21,739

22,158

22,560

22,970

23,372

23,749

24,126

24,528

21

19,856

20,394

20,895

21,370

21,831

22,290

22,739

23,170

23,596

24,026

22

19,110

19,611

20,108

20,602

21,091

21,574

22,052

22,526

22,994

23,456

23

18,599

18,991

19,420

19,873

20,339

20,805

21,281

21,772

22,269

22,758

24

18,237

18,483

18,805

19,181

19,592

20,016

20,466

20,958

21,470

21,981

25-29

84,891

84,940

85,581

86,680

88,104

89,722

91,621

93,891

96,398

99,009

25

17,864

17,966

18,185

18,489

18,850

19,236

19,669

20,167

20,701

21,241

26

17,519

17,455

17,558

17,785

18,094

18,444

18,861

19,375

19,943

20,523

27

17,098

16,969

17,015

17,193

17,462

17,778

18,170

18,666

19,224

19,802

28

16,532

16,503

16,589

16,767

17,014

17,306

17,658

18,087

18,568

19,078

29

15,878

16,047

16,234

16,445

16,684

16,958

17,264

17,596

17,962

18,366

30-34

70,612

73,294

75,166

76,521

77,651

78,851

79,924

80,676

81,398

82,385

30

15,262

15,611

15,887

16,122

16,349

16,604

16,862

17,102

17,357

17,661

31

14,659

15,204

15,574

15,833

16,045

16,276

16,482

16,619

16,753

16,949

32

14,082

14,740

15,168

15,446

15,657

15,878

16,057

16,141

16,209

16,342

33

13,552

14,178

14,600

14,890

15,116

15,350

15,545

15,653

15,745

15,892

34

13,057

13,561

13,937

14,230

14,484

14,743

14,979

15,161

15,334

15,541

35-39

58,290

59,595

61,000

62,476

63,993

65,519

67,076

68,682

70,309

71,926

35

12,565

12,966

13,305

13,605

13,886

14,170

14,442

14,689

14,932

15,191

36

12,079

12,375

12,678

12,987

13,299

13,610

13,923

14,239

14,556

14,870

37

11,624

11,841

12,112

12,421

12,747

13,072

13,408

13,768

14,133

14,484

38

11,206

11,397

11,648

11,941

12,254

12,570

12,900

13,258

13,624

13,979

39

10,817

11,017

11,256

11,522

11,806

12,098

12,403

12,729

13,065

13,402

109

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1950

1951

1952

1953

1954

1955

1956

1957

1958

1959

40-44

48,667

49,676

50,680

51,709

52,795

53,968

55,208

56,494

57,858

59,329

40

10,441

10,638

10,859

11,101

11,359

11,628

11,913

12,215

12,531

12,856

41

10,082

10,269

10,469

10,683

10,914

11,162

11,427

11,707

12,005

12,322

42

9,730

9,919

10,108

10,302

10,510

10,740

10,985

11,242

11,518

11,819

43

9,380

9,585

9,776

9,965

10,162

10,379

10,608

10,842

11,092

11,370

44

9,034

9,264

9,468

9,658

9,850

10,059

10,275

10,487

10,711

10,961

45-49

40,498

41,836

42,920

43,848

44,720

45,636

46,529

47,332

48,146

49,068

45

8,704

8,960

9,174

9,364

9,550

9,749

9,949

10,137

10,333

10,554

46

8,385

8,672

8,899

9,090

9,268

9,456

9,638

9,800

9,963

10,152

47

8,082

8,379

8,610

8,799

8,971

9,151

9,321

9,467

9,612

9,780

48

7,798

8,070

8,288

8,471

8,640

8,816

8,984

9,131

9,278

9,445

49

7,529

7,756

7,950

8,124

8,291

8,465

8,637

8,797

8,960

9,138

50-54

33,853

34,495

35,201

35,961

36,762

37,593

38,462

39,375

40,323

41,293

50

7,269

7,454

7,626

7,792

7,957

8,130

8,304

8,476

8,653

8,840

51

7,021

7,160

7,308

7,466

7,630

7,801

7,979

8,165

8,357

8,555

52

6,773

6,881

7,012

7,163

7,325

7,493

7,671

7,864

8,065

8,268

53

6,521

6,622

6,748

6,893

7,051

7,214

7,387

7,575

7,771

7,968

54

6,270

6,379

6,507

6,648

6,799

6,955

7,120

7,295

7,477

7,662

55-59

27,985

28,494

29,052

29,652

30,288

30,955

31,656

32,395

33,167

33,965

55

6,027

6,142

6,269

6,406

6,550

6,700

6,857

7,022

7,193

7,367

56

5,788

5,911

6,039

6,173

6,311

6,455

6,603

6,757

6,916

7,079

57

5,571

5,690

5,811

5,937

6,067

6,203

6,343

6,488

6,637

6,792

58

5,383

5,478

5,581

5,692

5,810

5,935

6,067

6,207

6,353

6,506

59

5,216

5,274

5,351

5,444

5,548

5,661

5,785

5,922

6,068

6,221

60-64

23,518

23,496

23,623

23,871

24,209

24,607

25,086

25,665

26,314

27,005

60

5,049

5,076

5,129

5,204

5,295

5,396

5,511

5,644

5,790

5,942

61

4,888

4,881

4,910

4,967

5,044

5,133

5,241

5,371

5,516

5,668

62

4,718

4,692

4,706

4,749

4,814

4,893

4,991

5,113

5,251

5,397

63

4,531

4,512

4,524

4,561

4,616

4,685

4,771

4,878

5,000

5,130

64

4,333

4,335

4,355

4,390

4,439

4,499

4,572

4,659

4,758

4,868

65-69

18,749

18,967

19,140

19,295

19,461

19,665

19,889

20,113

20,367

20,678

65

4,139

4,160

4,186

4,220

4,261

4,313

4,373

4,442

4,520

4,609

66

3,944

3,987

4,020

4,052

4,086

4,130

4,178

4,227

4,284

4,353

67

3,749

3,805

3,844

3,874

3,904

3,942

3,982

4,018

4,060

4,114

68

3,556

3,610

3,649

3,679

3,708

3,743

3,780

3,814

3,851

3,900

69

3,361

3,406

3,440

3,471

3,501

3,537

3,575

3,612

3,653

3,702

70-74

13,793

13,911

14,051

14,209

14,383

14,573

14,779

15,002

15,241

15,493

70

3,166

3,203

3,236

3,267

3,299

3,336

3,375

3,414

3,457

3,505

71

2,973

3,003

3,034

3,067

3,101

3,139

3,179

3,222

3,267

3,315

72

2,771

2,794

2,822

2,855

2,892

2,930

2,972

3,017

3,065

3,115

73

2,554

2,571

2,596

2,628

2,664

2,703

2,745

2,793

2,843

2,895

74

2,329

2,341

2,363

2,392

2,427

2,465

2,508

2,556

2,609

2,663

75-79

8,480

8,470

8,532

8,649

8,804

8,981

9,191

9,445

9,727

10,020

75

2,109

2,115

2,133

2,161

2,195

2,233

2,276

2,327

2,382

2,440

76

1,893

1,892

1,907

1,932

1,966

2,004

2,048

2,102

2,161

2,222

77

1,685

1,680

1,691

1,715

1,747

1,784

1,828

1,882

1,942

2,005

78

1,489

1,483

1,493

1,514

1,543

1,577

1,619

1,669

1,726

1,785

79

1,304

1,300

1,308

1,327

1,353

1,383

1,420

1,465

1,515

1,568

80 y ms / and over

5,492

5,432

5,450

5,535

5,674

5,856

6,089

6,381

6,719

7,093

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

110

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1,403,293

1,445,518

1,490,895

1,538,298

1,586,601

1,634,675

1,682,487

1,730,787

1,779,628

1,829,063

0-4

257,250

265,698

274,588

283,530

292,135

300,013

306,989

313,323

319,278

325,117

58,978

60,657

62,435

64,222

65,927

67,460

68,767

69,910

70,967

72,018

53,450

55,129

56,908

58,700

60,420

61,981

63,334

64,538

65,664

66,787

50,520

52,219

54,015

55,826

57,568

59,159

60,560

61,826

63,016

64,188

48,193

49,895

51,680

53,475

55,209

56,809

58,249

59,579

60,836

62,057

46,108

47,798

49,550

51,307

53,011

54,605

56,079

57,471

58,796

60,067

5-9

203,157

210,928

218,691

226,508

234,440

242,548

251,058

259,928

268,822

277,401

44,738

46,326

47,847

49,340

50,847

52,408

54,072

55,811

57,554

59,228

42,607

44,179

45,701

47,208

48,739

50,328

52,028

53,814

55,610

57,336

40,547

42,104

43,646

45,194

46,769

48,391

50,109

51,909

53,718

55,461

38,572

40,110

41,684

43,288

44,919

46,573

48,292

50,081

51,873

53,606

36,694

38,208

39,814

41,477

43,167

44,849

46,557

48,313

50,067

51,769

10-14

159,606

166,371

174,295

182,871

191,593

199,952

208,004

216,086

224,117

232,016

10

34,898

36,390

38,040

39,779

41,538

43,248

44,927

46,623

48,306

49,949

11

33,170

34,648

36,365

38,207

40,056

41,798

43,430

45,028

46,597

48,143

12

31,661

33,077

34,776

36,623

38,479

40,209

41,802

43,349

44,866

46,368

13

30,440

31,720

33,267

34,965

36,697

38,347

39,925

41,506

43,079

44,631

14

29,436

30,536

31,846

33,299

34,823

36,350

37,920

39,580

41,268

42,923

15-19

134,663

138,002

141,743

146,027

150,990

156,771

163,826

172,062

180,795

189,344

15

28,493

29,421

30,511

31,736

33,066

34,472

36,024

37,741

39,520

41,254

16

27,620

28,373

29,239

30,232

31,363

32,647

34,183

35,963

37,836

39,653

17

26,845

27,461

28,145

28,942

29,897

31,054

32,526

34,285

36,158

37,976

18

26,162

26,700

27,277

27,949

28,772

29,801

31,138

32,745

34,470

36,163

19

25,544

26,048

26,571

27,167

27,892

28,797

29,954

31,328

32,811

34,298

20-24

119,063

121,242

123,285

125,422

127,885

130,907

134,503

138,519

142,930

147,713

20

24,980

25,445

25,907

26,420

27,040

27,821

28,806

29,960

31,216

32,509

21

24,474

24,902

25,302

25,730

26,243

26,896

27,705

28,634

29,657

30,753

22

23,910

24,322

24,693

25,075

25,520

26,079

26,748

27,490

28,316

29,235

23

23,228

23,651

24,035

24,422

24,853

25,371

25,957

26,585

27,280

28,067

24

22,471

22,922

23,348

23,775

24,230

24,741

25,287

25,850

26,461

27,149

25-29

101,593

104,208

106,943

109,708

112,416

114,977

117,242

119,270

121,285

123,512

25

21,756

22,238

22,709

23,179

23,660

24,163

24,664

25,155

25,673

26,256

26

21,072

21,594

22,116

22,635

23,145

23,645

24,101

24,519

24,942

25,418

27

20,357

20,903

21,467

22,031

22,574

23,079

23,511

23,884

24,247

24,650

28

19,594

20,137

20,723

21,319

21,893

22,411

22,841

23,206

23,554

23,932

29

18,814

19,336

19,928

20,545

21,144

21,680

22,124

22,506

22,868

23,256

30-34

83,929

86,222

89,068

92,181

95,271

98,050

100,439

102,628

104,740

106,894

30

18,047

18,554

19,158

19,803

20,433

20,991

21,453

21,855

22,237

22,635

31

17,271

17,765

18,390

19,074

19,747

20,337

20,824

21,254

21,659

22,072

32

16,620

17,092

17,704

18,384

19,057

19,651

20,149

20,600

21,029

21,461

33

16,162

16,596

17,145

17,752

18,361

18,914

19,399

19,856

20,300

20,748

34

15,828

16,215

16,671

17,168

17,673

18,157

18,614

19,063

19,515

19,978

35-39

73,503

74,979

76,374

77,779

79,285

80,983

82,866

84,872

87,013

89,301

35

15,489

15,829

16,197

16,587

16,994

17,415

17,849

18,299

18,765

19,247

36

15,179

15,467

15,735

16,008

16,309

16,664

17,079

17,538

18,031

18,545

37

14,803

15,064

15,279

15,487

15,726

16,036

16,423

16,862

17,342

17,850

38

14,303

14,577

14,815

15,045

15,295

15,595

15,941

16,316

16,722

17,164

39

13,728

14,041

14,348

14,653

14,960

15,274

15,574

15,857

16,155

16,496

111

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1960

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

40-44

60,939

62,826

64,970

67,163

69,198

70,867

71,925

72,511

72,992

73,736

40

13,187

13,534

13,901

14,270

14,624

14,947

15,201

15,399

15,594

15,840

41

12,659

13,044

13,475

13,912

14,316

14,647

14,851

14,954

15,038

15,183

42

12,154

12,558

13,027

13,505

13,941

14,279

14,457

14,512

14,536

14,624

43

11,687

12,079

12,538

13,011

13,444

13,783

13,975

14,055

14,105

14,207

44

11,251

11,611

12,029

12,465

12,873

13,211

13,441

13,591

13,719

13,881

45-49

50,200

51,612

53,239

54,973

56,704

58,325

59,818

61,254

62,661

64,067

45

10,818

11,149

11,536

11,942

12,332

12,670

12,934

13,147

13,344

13,558

46

10,388

10,692

11,047

11,426

11,800

12,141

12,443

12,723

12,993

13,263

47

9,996

10,274

10,597

10,945

11,298

11,633

11,956

12,280

12,599

12,907

48

9,653

9,911

10,205

10,521

10,845

11,162

11,477

11,800

12,124

12,438

49

9,345

9,586

9,854

10,138

10,430

10,719

11,008

11,303

11,602

11,901

50-54

42,273

43,252

44,237

45,246

46,297

47,408

48,554

49,722

50,951

52,279

50

9,044

9,268

9,506

9,756

10,015

10,278

10,546

10,820

11,102

11,392

51

8,757

8,961

9,168

9,381

9,604

9,841

10,087

10,342

10,609

10,893

52

8,466

8,656

8,840

9,027

9,224

9,439

9,665

9,898

10,147

10,419

53

8,160

8,342

8,519

8,697

8,883

9,085

9,295

9,508

9,735

9,987

54

7,846

8,025

8,203

8,384

8,570

8,765

8,961

9,154

9,359

9,587

55-59

34,783

35,636

36,529

37,439

38,342

39,216

40,001

40,713

41,441

42,274

55

7,542

7,719

7,898

8,080

8,265

8,452

8,632

8,804

8,984

9,187

56

7,246

7,421

7,603

7,788

7,972

8,152

8,314

8,462

8,614

8,790

57

6,954

7,126

7,308

7,494

7,677

7,850

8,001

8,132

8,266

8,421

58

6,664

6,832

7,010

7,192

7,370

7,539

7,685

7,813

7,942

8,090

59

6,377

6,539

6,711

6,885

7,058

7,222

7,369

7,502

7,635

7,785

60-64

27,706

28,434

29,209

30,007

30,804

31,577

32,305

33,003

33,704

34,438

60

6,095

6,253

6,418

6,588

6,755

6,916

7,063

7,200

7,337

7,486

61

5,819

5,973

6,133

6,297

6,460

6,618

6,767

6,908

7,050

7,199

62

5,543

5,691

5,846

6,005

6,163

6,319

6,467

6,611

6,755

6,904

63

5,264

5,403

5,553

5,708

5,863

6,015

6,159

6,301

6,442

6,588

64

4,985

5,115

5,259

5,410

5,562

5,709

5,849

5,984

6,120

6,261

65-69

21,073

21,577

22,170

22,818

23,484

24,133

24,756

25,378

26,011

26,665

65

4,712

4,833

4,971

5,118

5,267

5,410

5,544

5,676

5,807

5,944

66

4,440

4,553

4,685

4,830

4,977

5,116

5,246

5,373

5,500

5,632

67

4,189

4,291

4,415

4,552

4,691

4,825

4,950

5,073

5,197

5,326

68

3,967

4,058

4,166

4,287

4,411

4,534

4,654

4,775

4,899

5,028

69

3,764

3,842

3,933

4,032

4,138

4,248

4,362

4,482

4,607

4,736

70-74

15,757

16,017

16,276

16,555

16,876

17,263

17,733

18,271

18,851

19,445

70

3,563

3,629

3,702

3,782

3,870

3,966

4,074

4,193

4,319

4,448

71

3,368

3,421

3,476

3,535

3,604

3,687

3,790

3,908

4,035

4,164

72

3,165

3,210

3,253

3,299

3,355

3,428

3,524

3,637

3,760

3,885

73

2,945

2,991

3,032

3,076

3,129

3,197

3,284

3,385

3,496

3,610

74

2,716

2,766

2,813

2,863

2,919

2,984

3,062

3,148

3,241

3,339

75-79

10,307

10,591

10,883

11,179

11,476

11,770

12,047

12,309

12,578

12,876

75

2,495

2,549

2,602

2,656

2,713

2,776

2,845

2,917

2,993

3,074

76

2,282

2,340

2,398

2,458

2,518

2,578

2,637

2,693

2,752

2,817

77

2,065

2,126

2,188

2,250

2,312

2,370

2,422

2,468

2,514

2,567

78

1,843

1,902

1,963

2,025

2,085

2,142

2,191

2,234

2,277

2,325

79

1,621

1,675

1,732

1,791

1,848

1,903

1,952

1,998

2,043

2,091

80 y ms / and over

7,491

7,923

8,395

8,895

9,406

9,915

10,422

10,937

11,459

11,985

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

112

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1,879,142

1,930,599

1,983,400

2,036,445

2,088,634

2,138,869

2,187,303

2,234,668

2,280,735

2,325,273

0-4

331,104

337,282

343,476

349,620

355,649

361,496

367,572

373,919

379,925

384,973

73,143

74,396

75,727

77,050

78,282

79,342

80,260

81,093

81,791

82,307

67,979

69,280

70,641

72,003

73,307

74,493

75,614

76,711

77,703

78,509

65,402

66,670

67,953

69,231

70,486

71,698

72,950

74,253

75,485

76,523

63,283

64,495

65,668

66,827

67,998

69,205

70,558

72,039

73,486

74,734

61,298

62,442

63,488

64,509

65,576

66,758

68,190

69,824

71,461

72,900

5-9

285,327

292,446

298,981

305,168

311,238

317,426

323,932

330,602

337,133

343,223

60,763

62,110

63,318

64,458

65,601

66,818

68,199

69,697

71,176

72,504

58,915

60,303

61,552

62,728

63,897

65,128

66,488

67,934

69,362

70,667

57,064

58,491

59,792

61,020

62,227

63,468

64,786

66,146

67,481

68,727

55,214

56,677

58,036

59,325

60,578

61,826

63,084

64,332

65,546

66,704

53,370

54,864

56,283

57,637

58,935

60,186

61,374

62,494

63,568

64,621

10-14

239,701

247,356

255,035

262,463

269,365

275,466

280,324

284,121

287,523

291,192

10

51,525

53,046

54,532

55,962

57,315

58,568

59,674

60,646

61,558

62,483

11

49,670

51,219

52,786

54,310

55,732

56,992

58,003

58,804

59,527

60,300

12

47,870

49,426

51,026

52,588

54,032

55,278

56,216

56,900

57,493

58,160

13

46,152

47,686

49,244

50,753

52,144

53,346

54,251

54,906

55,473

56,112

14

44,484

45,978

47,447

48,849

50,141

51,281

52,180

52,865

53,472

54,136

15-19

197,023

203,841

210,253

216,248

221,814

226,940

231,381

235,145

238,599

242,108

15

42,840

44,290

45,672

46,970

48,167

49,247

50,134

50,841

51,478

52,157

16

41,262

42,657

43,936

45,113

46,199

47,207

48,080

48,812

49,485

50,184

17

39,567

40,915

42,135

43,250

44,283

45,257

46,130

46,888

47,592

48,305

18

37,672

38,993

40,229

41,383

42,459

43,460

44,350

45,127

45,844

46,557

19

35,682

36,986

38,281

39,532

40,707

41,770

42,686

43,479

44,200

44,905

20-24

152,843

158,635

165,106

171,782

178,192

183,863

188,704

193,030

196,978

200,684

20

33,774

35,053

36,392

37,724

38,982

40,099

41,041

41,854

42,588

43,291

21

31,896

33,155

34,546

35,966

37,314

38,489

39,460

40,294

41,038

41,737

22

30,257

31,460

32,839

34,275

35,648

36,840

37,826

38,686

39,456

40,171

23

28,972

30,067

31,335

32,667

33,958

35,099

36,080

36,972

37,792

38,555

24

27,944

28,899

29,993

31,149

32,289

33,336

34,297

35,223

36,104

36,930

25-29

126,175

129,321

132,802

136,545

140,479

144,533

148,896

153,616

158,409

162,991

25

26,942

27,764

28,698

29,692

30,695

31,656

32,598

33,554

34,491

35,375

26

25,991

26,678

27,448

28,277

29,141

30,015

30,939

31,928

32,925

33,872

27

25,142

25,726

26,368

27,066

27,814

28,610

29,501

30,489

31,503

32,473

28

24,390

24,924

25,501

26,127

26,806

27,541

28,378

29,313

30,280

31,211

29

23,710

24,230

24,787

25,383

26,023

26,711

27,481

28,332

29,209

30,061

30-34

109,211

111,682

114,226

116,857

119,590

122,438

125,459

128,643

131,904

135,157

30

23,087

23,590

24,118

24,677

25,273

25,910

26,615

27,384

28,178

28,956

31

22,525

23,012

23,512

24,033

24,582

25,166

25,804

26,489

27,197

27,900

32

21,920

22,403

22,893

23,396

23,919

24,468

25,052

25,667

26,299

26,935

33

21,219

21,710

22,211

22,722

23,245

23,782

24,336

24,906

25,487

26,073

34

20,460

20,967

21,492

22,029

22,571

23,112

23,652

24,196

24,743

25,293

35-39

91,747

94,449

97,400

100,452

103,457

106,267

108,851

111,308

113,685

116,026

35

19,747

20,273

20,825

21,389

21,950

22,495

23,020

23,534

24,042

24,552

36

19,070

19,620

20,203

20,796

21,379

21,929

22,436

22,917

23,383

23,849

37

18,374

18,934

19,539

20,158

20,762

21,321

21,824

22,291

22,738

23,181

38

17,646

18,193

18,803

19,437

20,059

20,631

21,145

21,627

22,087

22,536

39

16,911

17,429

18,031

18,671

19,307

19,892

20,426

20,940

21,434

21,908

113

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1970

1971

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

40-44

75,113

77,281

79,994

83,014

86,103

89,022

91,847

94,736

97,577

100,256

40

16,193

16,686

17,284

17,934

18,585

19,185

19,740

20,284

20,809

21,307

41

15,471

15,941

16,541

17,209

17,884

18,504

19,082

19,659

20,216

20,736

42

14,868

15,309

15,885

16,535

17,198

17,814

18,401

18,997

19,578

20,119

43

14,445

14,847

15,360

15,938

16,536

17,110

17,679

18,274

18,865

19,420

44

14,136

14,496

14,924

15,399

15,900

16,408

16,945

17,522

18,109

18,673

45-49

65,499

66,876

68,181

69,533

71,054

72,862

75,049

77,536

80,184

82,860

45

13,826

14,143

14,489

14,864

15,274

15,720

16,226

16,790

17,378

17,952

46

13,543

13,814

14,069

14,336

14,646

15,026

15,504

16,061

16,656

17,247

47

13,198

13,444

13,649

13,855

14,104

14,437

14,881

15,407

15,978

16,554

48

12,734

12,990

13,211

13,432

13,685

14,005

14,407

14,869

15,367

15,880

49

12,198

12,485

12,764

13,046

13,345

13,674

14,031

14,408

14,807

15,227

50-54

53,744

55,439

57,339

59,304

61,194

62,872

64,198

65,267

66,283

67,455

50

11,693

12,008

12,336

12,672

13,009

13,341

13,653

13,949

14,252

14,584

51

11,200

11,546

11,928

12,321

12,698

13,034

13,296

13,503

13,702

13,938

52

10,723

11,085

11,499

11,926

12,328

12,667

12,902

13,060

13,200

13,381

53

10,276

10,626

11,031

11,452

11,851

12,188

12,432

12,607

12,763

12,950

54

9,852

10,174

10,544

10,932

11,308

11,642

11,915

12,147

12,367

12,602

55-59

43,301

44,567

46,013

47,571

49,176

50,761

52,377

54,067

55,757

57,370

55

9,430

9,727

10,069

10,432

10,791

11,124

11,423

11,706

11,980

12,255

56

9,009

9,282

9,597

9,936

10,281

10,615

10,944

11,282

11,616

11,934

57

8,620

8,870

9,158

9,471

9,797

10,124

10,469

10,840

11,211

11,558

58

8,277

8,508

8,770

9,056

9,357

9,666

10,000

10,366

10,735

11,081

59

7,965

8,180

8,419

8,677

8,950

9,233

9,540

9,875

10,215

10,542

60-64

35,236

36,084

36,962

37,891

38,892

39,987

41,206

42,536

43,930

45,344

60

7,659

7,856

8,069

8,298

8,542

8,801

9,085

9,395

9,714

10,028

61

7,364

7,542

7,727

7,924

8,137

8,371

8,632

8,918

9,218

9,520

62

7,062

7,226

7,391

7,565

7,754

7,967

8,207

8,470

8,749

9,035

63

6,741

6,897

7,055

7,219

7,398

7,597

7,821

8,064

8,322

8,589

64

6,410

6,564

6,721

6,885

7,060

7,252

7,462

7,688

7,926

8,172

65-69

27,355

28,080

28,832

29,610

30,414

31,242

32,089

32,956

33,850

34,782

65

6,088

6,240

6,397

6,560

6,731

6,915

7,110

7,315

7,530

7,754

66

5,773

5,924

6,081

6,245

6,414

6,589

6,768

6,951

7,141

7,340

67

5,464

5,612

5,767

5,928

6,092

6,259

6,424

6,591

6,762

6,941

68

5,162

5,304

5,451

5,603

5,758

5,915

6,072

6,229

6,390

6,558

69

4,867

5,000

5,136

5,275

5,418

5,565

5,716

5,869

6,027

6,190

70-74

20,027

20,589

21,150

21,720

22,309

22,928

23,583

24,267

24,970

25,684

70

4,575

4,701

4,827

4,955

5,088

5,226

5,370

5,519

5,672

5,830

71

4,289

4,408

4,524

4,641

4,763

4,892

5,031

5,176

5,327

5,479

72

4,005

4,117

4,225

4,335

4,449

4,571

4,703

4,843

4,988

5,133

73

3,720

3,826

3,931

4,038

4,149

4,266

4,390

4,521

4,655

4,790

74

3,437

3,538

3,642

3,750

3,860

3,973

4,088

4,207

4,328

4,451

75-79

13,223

13,635

14,096

14,586

15,083

15,565

16,026

16,480

16,937

17,408

75

3,162

3,258

3,360

3,468

3,577

3,686

3,793

3,901

4,010

4,122

76

2,893

2,984

3,086

3,194

3,304

3,409

3,508

3,606

3,703

3,803

77

2,634

2,718

2,816

2,920

3,025

3,125

3,217

3,305

3,393

3,484

78

2,386

2,461

2,548

2,641

2,735

2,825

2,910

2,992

3,075

3,160

79

2,148

2,214

2,286

2,363

2,442

2,520

2,598

2,676

2,756

2,838

80 y ms / and over

12,513

13,036

13,555

14,082

14,627

15,201

15,808

16,439

17,092

17,761

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

114

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

2,368,051

2,408,620

2,447,133

2,484,265

2,520,689

2,557,080

2,592,589

2,626,768

2,660,887

2,696,219

0-4

388,448

389,917

389,789

388,716

387,349

386,338

385,416

384,148

382,938

382,186

82,593

82,556

82,228

81,749

81,256

80,890

80,634

80,394

80,197

80,067

79,049

79,234

79,118

78,834

78,516

78,296

78,137

77,952

77,794

77,721

77,244

77,560

77,553

77,355

77,100

76,920

76,759

76,529

76,314

76,198

75,620

76,058

76,158

76,047

75,855

75,708

75,536

75,253

74,966

74,785

73,941

74,508

74,732

74,731

74,622

74,524

74,350

74,021

73,667

73,417

5-9

348,571

353,368

357,814

361,625

364,513

366,192

366,078

364,362

361,920

359,630

73,547

74,284

74,805

75,140

75,319

75,370

75,185

74,743

74,209

73,749

71,746

72,609

73,325

73,879

74,257

74,443

74,321

73,899

73,355

72,865

69,817

70,792

71,695

72,467

73,048

73,380

73,340

72,969

72,448

71,960

67,785

68,857

69,933

70,913

71,694

72,175

72,235

71,943

71,478

71,021

65,675

66,826

68,056

69,225

70,195

70,823

70,997

70,809

70,431

70,035

10-14

295,793

301,970

309,282

316,760

323,437

328,346

331,153

332,504

332,898

332,837

10

63,496

64,714

66,088

67,441

68,595

69,373

69,666

69,594

69,317

68,997

11

61,254

62,535

64,056

65,597

66,942

67,871

68,284

68,325

68,148

67,901

12

59,064

60,359

61,935

63,562

65,010

66,048

66,595

66,803

66,796

66,697

13

56,986

58,227

59,728

61,289

62,711

63,793

64,493

64,941

65,206

65,355

14

54,992

56,136

57,475

58,870

60,178

61,260

62,116

62,840

63,431

63,886

15-19

246,040

250,389

254,912

259,615

264,505

269,589

275,332

281,729

288,083

293,698

15

52,990

54,034

55,212

56,442

57,639

58,718

59,726

60,717

61,625

62,379

16

50,992

51,925

52,928

53,976

55,048

56,119

57,285

58,561

59,805

60,876

17

49,090

49,931

50,785

51,678

52,633

53,673

54,922

56,361

57,810

59,086

18

47,320

48,102

48,870

49,665

50,532

51,515

52,730

54,147

55,593

56,895

19

45,648

46,397

47,117

47,853

48,653

49,563

50,670

51,943

53,251

54,462

20-24

204,286

207,569

210,441

213,225

216,244

219,819

224,081

228,815

233,826

238,919

20

44,014

44,722

45,382

46,046

46,766

47,596

48,598

49,737

50,919

52,050

21

42,438

43,101

43,695

44,280

44,914

45,654

46,536

47,519

48,554

49,588

22

40,868

41,503

42,054

42,583

43,154

43,831

44,628

45,501

46,431

47,397

23

39,276

39,908

40,441

40,945

41,491

42,150

42,929

43,781

44,695

45,658

24

37,691

38,335

38,869

39,371

39,918

40,587

41,391

42,277

43,228

44,226

25-29

167,079

170,422

173,209

175,815

178,619

181,994

185,970

190,296

194,929

199,828

25

36,173

36,830

37,369

37,871

38,418

39,091

39,904

40,801

41,764

42,775

26

34,710

35,384

35,931

36,437

36,987

37,666

38,485

39,387

40,356

41,373

27

33,326

34,008

34,566

35,082

35,640

36,321

37,134

38,025

38,980

39,984

28

32,037

32,711

33,279

33,811

34,379

35,055

35,841

36,690

37,597

38,560

29

30,833

31,489

32,064

32,614

33,194

33,861

34,606

35,393

36,232

37,136

30-34

138,316

141,317

144,216

147,111

150,096

153,267

156,503

159,740

163,160

166,944

30

29,679

30,320

30,905

31,475

32,069

32,729

33,438

34,169

34,947

35,793

31

28,573

29,200

29,799

30,393

31,005

31,660

32,333

33,009

33,724

34,512

32

27,561

28,168

28,767

29,368

29,984

30,627

31,268

31,900

32,565

33,305

33

26,659

27,238

27,815

28,398

28,995

29,616

30,233

30,839

31,476

32,189

34

25,844

26,390

26,931

27,478

28,042

28,635

29,231

29,823

30,449

31,145

35-39

118,379

120,680

122,897

125,127

127,465

130,006

132,667

135,385

138,284

141,490

35

25,068

25,582

26,090

26,605

27,140

27,705

28,280

28,857

29,467

30,145

36

24,328

24,811

25,289

25,776

26,283

26,823

27,378

27,939

28,535

29,193

37

23,635

24,090

24,536

24,987

25,461

25,973

26,507

27,052

27,633

28,273

38

22,984

23,417

23,827

24,237

24,670

25,149

25,659

26,187

26,752

27,375

39

22,364

22,780

23,155

23,522

23,911

24,355

24,842

25,350

25,898

26,504

115

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

40-44

102,659

104,642

106,280

107,791

109,391

111,298

113,460

115,733

118,193

120,917

40

21,768

22,166

22,507

22,831

23,179

23,590

24,056

24,549

25,084

25,675

41

21,203

21,581

21,883

22,159

22,461

22,839

23,286

23,770

24,298

24,882

42

20,595

20,971

21,262

21,523

21,806

22,167

22,597

23,063

23,572

24,135

43

19,912

20,309

20,632

20,925

21,233

21,601

22,016

22,450

22,919

23,439

44

19,181

19,615

19,996

20,352

20,711

21,101

21,504

21,901

22,320

22,786

45-49

85,426

87,914

90,415

92,882

95,267

97,523

99,520

101,288

103,025

104,927

45

18,477

18,944

19,379

19,792

20,197

20,608

20,999

21,362

21,733

22,150

46

17,794

18,298

18,787

19,257

19,709

20,138

20,515

20,840

21,161

21,525

47

17,099

17,622

18,147

18,662

19,151

19,602

19,981

20,297

20,600

20,941

48

16,385

16,897

17,430

17,964

18,478

18,950

19,355

19,706

20,044

20,408

49

15,671

16,153

16,672

17,207

17,732

18,224

18,669

19,083

19,486

19,903

50-54

68,988

70,949

73,199

75,641

78,175

80,702

83,281

85,976

88,703

91,372

50

14,969

15,424

15,934

16,473

17,012

17,525

18,007

18,477

18,940

19,404

51

14,261

14,690

15,196

15,745

16,304

16,841

17,363

17,890

18,414

18,925

52

13,660

14,058

14,535

15,063

15,610

16,148

16,689

17,256

17,825

18,373

53

13,219

13,578

13,996

14,456

14,944

15,444

15,976

16,550

17,136

17,705

54

12,880

13,199

13,538

13,905

14,305

14,744

15,246

15,804

16,388

16,964

55-59

58,829

59,980

60,875

61,744

62,820

64,334

66,387

68,823

71,494

74,248

55

12,540

12,817

13,078

13,353

13,668

14,051

14,525

15,072

15,656

16,242

56

12,225

12,455

12,631

12,805

13,027

13,348

13,795

14,335

14,926

15,527

57

11,853

12,057

12,185

12,300

12,465

12,742

13,157

13,669

14,238

14,825

58

11,376

11,585

11,724

11,850

12,017

12,281

12,659

13,114

13,620

14,151

59

10,834

11,067

11,256

11,435

11,642

11,912

12,251

12,633

13,053

13,503

60-64

46,733

48,103

49,483

50,866

52,243

53,607

54,860

56,009

57,198

58,573

60

10,318

10,574

10,805

11,030

11,270

11,542

11,840

12,150

12,484

12,855

61

9,811

10,092

10,369

10,645

10,919

11,194

11,447

11,676

11,916

12,200

62

9,321

9,614

9,919

10,225

10,522

10,797

11,023

11,206

11,391

11,620

63

8,860

9,143

9,441

9,743

10,036

10,309

10,537

10,729

10,920

11,149

64

8,422

8,680

8,949

9,223

9,497

9,765

10,014

10,248

10,486

10,748

65-69

35,761

36,770

37,804

38,886

40,040

41,292

42,688

44,213

45,795

47,362

65

7,983

8,221

8,467

8,720

8,980

9,245

9,512

9,782

10,060

10,349

66

7,548

7,766

7,990

8,224

8,471

8,735

9,023

9,333

9,654

9,971

67

7,131

7,330

7,533

7,748

7,981

8,238

8,535

8,867

9,212

9,545

68

6,737

6,921

7,108

7,306

7,522

7,765

8,050

8,371

8,706

9,031

69

6,360

6,533

6,706

6,888

7,087

7,310

7,570

7,859

8,163

8,465

70-74

26,399

27,084

27,746

28,431

29,184

30,050

31,041

32,128

33,291

34,516

70

5,991

6,151

6,308

6,472

6,653

6,858

7,095

7,358

7,637

7,920

71

5,631

5,777

5,917

6,061

6,222

6,407

6,623

6,861

7,115

7,381

72

5,277

5,411

5,537

5,668

5,812

5,981

6,176

6,390

6,621

6,867

73

4,924

5,050

5,170

5,294

5,430

5,587

5,766

5,960

6,169

6,395

74

4,575

4,696

4,814

4,936

5,068

5,217

5,382

5,559

5,749

5,953

75-79

17,902

18,416

18,941

19,487

20,058

20,662

21,285

21,922

22,595

23,324

75

4,237

4,352

4,468

4,587

4,715

4,854

5,005

5,163

5,331

5,513

76

3,909

4,020

4,134

4,252

4,376

4,507

4,642

4,779

4,924

5,083

77

3,582

3,687

3,797

3,910

4,028

4,150

4,271

4,393

4,520

4,659

78

3,251

3,348

3,448

3,551

3,659

3,770

3,882

3,994

4,112

4,240

79

2,922

3,008

3,096

3,186

3,280

3,381

3,486

3,593

3,707

3,829

80 y ms / and over

18,442

19,130

19,829

20,545

21,286

22,061

22,866

23,697

24,556

25,449

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

116

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2,734,034

2,776,328

2,822,254

2,868,818

2,913,026

2,951,884

2,984,777

3,013,701

3,039,578

3,063,332

0-4

382,295

383,927

386,813

389,961

392,379

393,076

392,447

391,155

388,604

384,200

80,029

80,258

80,736

81,203

81,400

81,068

80,173

78,890

77,266

75,352

77,786

78,148

78,769

79,414

79,849

79,838

79,426

78,768

77,800

76,456

76,263

76,647

77,294

77,999

78,557

78,762

78,712

78,542

78,108

77,266

74,817

75,175

75,786

76,482

77,096

77,460

77,706

77,947

77,983

77,613

73,399

73,698

74,228

74,862

75,477

75,948

76,431

77,008

77,446

77,512

5-9

358,369

358,186

358,496

359,226

360,301

361,648

363,700

366,506

369,417

371,782

73,528

73,594

73,838

74,185

74,563

74,898

75,309

75,846

76,328

76,577

72,608

72,609

72,751

72,994

73,296

73,618

74,068

74,674

75,272

75,697

71,687

71,636

71,686

71,826

72,044

72,331

72,777

73,390

74,032

74,565

70,753

70,664

70,634

70,677

70,809

71,043

71,449

72,017

72,643

73,224

69,794

69,683

69,587

69,543

69,588

69,759

70,098

70,580

71,141

71,719

10-14

332,821

332,596

331,829

330,900

330,192

330,087

330,369

330,784

331,654

333,302

10

68,794

68,672

68,524

68,404

68,367

68,466

68,715

69,076

69,532

70,064

11

67,738

67,612

67,423

67,239

67,126

67,150

67,292

67,505

67,822

68,276

12

66,627

66,536

66,342

66,121

65,953

65,914

65,953

66,020

66,190

66,538

13

65,457

65,453

65,297

65,078

64,883

64,800

64,758

64,698

64,727

64,951

14

64,205

64,323

64,243

64,058

63,864

63,757

63,652

63,485

63,383

63,473

15-19

297,876

300,379

301,672

302,112

302,057

301,866

300,973

299,139

297,213

296,042

15

62,911

63,154

63,154

63,011

62,825

62,696

62,524

62,245

62,004

61,952

16

61,632

62,004

62,086

61,983

61,800

61,642

61,399

60,998

60,609

60,400

17

60,007

60,510

60,718

60,723

60,619

60,498

60,243

59,789

59,317

59,007

18

57,880

58,511

58,904

59,114

59,196

59,208

59,029

58,622

58,167

57,843

19

55,446

56,199

56,810

57,282

57,618

57,821

57,778

57,485

57,115

56,840

20-24

243,900

249,145

254,785

260,254

264,985

268,413

270,112

270,458

270,092

269,653

20

53,038

53,913

54,739

55,468

56,051

56,442

56,532

56,353

56,067

55,836

21

50,571

51,570

52,620

53,619

54,464

55,051

55,282

55,224

55,027

54,844

22

48,379

49,470

50,683

51,880

52,920

53,665

54,026

54,096

54,008

53,896

23

46,659

47,794

49,070

50,344

51,470

52,302

52,768

52,964

53,000

52,986

24

45,253

46,398

47,672

48,943

50,080

50,952

51,504

51,822

51,991

52,091

25-29

204,949

210,647

216,951

223,328

229,247

234,176

238,050

241,225

243,796

245,861

25

43,816

44,967

46,241

47,516

48,673

49,590

50,233

50,680

50,987

51,208

26

42,420

43,569

44,831

46,100

47,268

48,229

48,965

49,549

50,005

50,355

27

41,024

42,166

43,418

44,682

45,859

46,852

47,658

48,343

48,909

49,361

28

39,575

40,708

41,963

43,238

44,435

45,455

46,295

47,022

47,638

48,147

29

38,114

39,237

40,499

41,792

43,011

44,050

44,899

45,631

46,256

46,790

30-34

171,274

176,501

182,504

188,755

194,728

199,896

204,155

207,857

211,156

214,207

30

36,733

37,838

39,093

40,388

41,614

42,662

43,517

44,251

44,887

45,447

31

35,409

36,489

37,730

39,019

40,243

41,292

42,143

42,870

43,507

44,088

32

34,164

35,215

36,429

37,696

38,906

39,947

40,795

41,521

42,166

42,770

33

33,018

34,033

35,205

36,432

37,610

38,636

39,486

40,230

40,903

41,539

34

31,951

32,926

34,047

35,220

36,355

37,358

38,214

38,984

39,692

40,364

35-39

145,127

149,421

154,290

159,393

164,393

168,951

173,026

176,843

180,465

183,952

35

30,924

31,857

32,924

34,042

35,129

36,106

36,960

37,746

38,481

39,179

36

29,943

30,831

31,838

32,895

33,931

34,876

35,725

36,526

37,286

38,010

37

28,997

29,847

30,805

31,810

32,800

33,712

34,544

35,336

36,094

36,821

38

28,077

28,899

29,826

30,799

31,755

32,634

33,428

34,179

34,896

35,591

39

27,186

27,988

28,896

29,847

30,778

31,623

32,368

33,056

33,709

34,350

117

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

40-44

123,984

127,607

131,735

136,045

140,218

143,930

147,045

149,776

152,331

154,914

40

26,339

27,119

28,005

28,930

29,831

30,640

31,336

31,962

32,553

33,141

41

25,532

26,291

27,154

28,054

28,923

29,694

30,336

30,895

31,416

31,946

42

24,761

25,494

26,328

27,197

28,033

28,770

29,373

29,887

30,363

30,853

43

24,026

24,723

25,518

26,348

27,150

27,859

28,446

28,954

29,426

29,908

44

23,326

23,980

24,729

25,516

26,281

26,967

27,553

28,078

28,573

29,067

45-49

107,190

109,946

113,063

116,346

119,597

122,622

125,419

128,119

130,722

133,232

45

22,647

23,262

23,970

24,716

25,448

26,111

26,693

27,231

27,741

28,242

46

21,979

22,557

23,227

23,939

24,643

25,286

25,867

26,417

26,944

27,452

47

21,370

21,915

22,544

23,212

23,877

24,493

25,063

25,618

26,153

26,662

48

20,839

21,358

21,938

22,548

23,157

23,732

24,279

24,820

25,346

25,848

49

20,356

20,854

21,384

21,929

22,473

23,001

23,517

24,032

24,539

25,028

50-54

93,897

96,243

98,468

100,624

102,765

104,944

107,181

109,440

111,691

113,905

50

19,875

20,353

20,835

21,319

21,803

22,287

22,776

23,271

23,764

24,243

51

19,413

19,869

20,300

20,720

21,142

21,581

22,045

22,525

23,008

23,483

52

18,880

19,330

19,738

20,126

20,515

20,928

21,370

21,829

22,292

22,750

53

18,229

18,694

19,123

19,530

19,932

20,345

20,771

21,200

21,628

22,051

54

17,501

17,996

18,471

18,929

19,373

19,804

20,218

20,615

20,999

21,378

55-59

76,937

79,652

82,493

85,322

88,001

90,389

92,418

94,179

95,778

97,320

55

16,793

17,316

17,834

18,338

18,818

19,265

19,668

20,033

20,376

20,713

56

16,096

16,648

17,211

17,763

18,280

18,743

19,131

19,461

19,758

20,051

57

15,391

15,957

16,548

17,135

17,683

18,161

18,550

18,869

19,150

19,424

58

14,681

15,233

15,827

16,424

16,988

17,482

17,890

18,238

18,548

18,844

59

13,976

14,498

15,073

15,664

16,231

16,739

17,179

17,579

17,946

18,289

60-64

60,280

62,428

64,920

67,592

70,282

72,827

75,309

77,836

80,286

82,533

60

13,274

13,768

14,329

14,918

15,492

16,014

16,484

16,931

17,349

17,735

61

12,561

13,029

13,581

14,173

14,761

15,300

15,802

16,296

16,766

17,193

62

11,939

12,374

12,897

13,465

14,038

14,574

15,092

15,620

16,128

16,590

63

11,453

11,849

12,314

12,819

13,336

13,837

14,346

14,881

15,407

15,889

64

11,054

11,408

11,799

12,218

12,655

13,102

13,584

14,108

14,635

15,126

65-69

48,841

50,143

51,315

52,493

53,814

55,411

57,409

59,718

62,151

64,526

65

10,652

10,965

11,282

11,616

11,975

12,370

12,829

13,344

13,875

14,378

66

10,273

10,538

10,776

11,017

11,291

11,630

12,065

12,577

13,116

13,635

67

9,844

10,081

10,271

10,455

10,676

10,974

11,380

11,866

12,387

12,895

68

9,324

9,559

9,754

9,943

10,161

10,443

10,812

11,245

11,707

12,166

69

8,748

9,000

9,232

9,463

9,710

9,994

10,323

10,685

11,066

11,451

70-74

35,784

37,141

38,597

40,086

41,541

42,894

44,068

45,108

46,130

47,251

70

8,195

8,462

8,726

8,991

9,263

9,544

9,832

10,123

10,423

10,737

71

7,651

7,934

8,234

8,538

8,836

9,114

9,356

9,570

9,782

10,016

72

7,127

7,416

7,733

8,058

8,369

8,643

8,856

9,022

9,179

9,363

73

6,637

6,911

7,215

7,528

7,829

8,094

8,304

8,472

8,630

8,811

74

6,173

6,419

6,689

6,970

7,245

7,499

7,721

7,921

8,116

8,324

75-79

24,132

25,030

26,003

27,034

28,107

29,204

30,357

31,579

32,819

34,030

75

5,711

5,933

6,176

6,429

6,684

6,929

7,161

7,387

7,612

7,841

76

5,259

5,456

5,672

5,900

6,136

6,373

6,617

6,873

7,131

7,383

77

4,816

4,992

5,182

5,386

5,601

5,826

6,073

6,341

6,616

6,877

78

4,384

4,542

4,712

4,895

5,089

5,295

5,525

5,778

6,037

6,285

79

3,962

4,107

4,261

4,424

4,597

4,781

4,982

5,200

5,424

5,645

80 y ms / and over

26,378

27,337

28,322

29,345

30,418

31,550

32,740

33,980

35,273

36,625

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

118

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

3,085,885

3,106,412

3,124,297

3,140,778

3,157,094

3,174,483

3,192,697

3,210,911

3,229,495

3,248,821

0-4

377,348

366,374

351,674

335,760

321,145

310,341

303,925

300,222

298,367

297,495

73,197

70,425

67,004

63,497

60,467

58,478

57,813

58,096

58,902

59,807

74,671

72,042

68,614

64,988

61,768

59,555

58,576

58,431

58,777

59,275

75,870

73,548

70,396

66,974

63,841

61,557

60,259

59,573

59,295

59,220

76,639

74,751

72,083

69,097

66,255

64,020

62,416

61,136

60,142

59,396

76,971

75,608

73,577

71,204

68,814

66,731

64,861

62,985

61,249

59,797

5-9

372,951

373,531

373,956

373,315

370,699

365,199

355,054

340,872

325,291

310,951

76,412

75,850

75,012

73,872

72,404

70,582

68,009

64,702

61,258

58,272

75,785

75,622

75,317

74,742

73,768

72,266

69,820

66,517

62,980

59,830

74,850

75,025

75,182

75,115

74,619

73,487

71,332

68,292

64,946

61,878

73,656

74,110

74,656

75,036

74,991

74,261

72,523

69,949

67,025

64,238

72,249

72,924

73,788

74,549

74,918

74,603

73,370

71,412

69,082

66,733

10-14

336,051

340,803

347,343

354,316

360,370

364,149

366,017

366,878

366,185

363,392

10

70,655

71,505

72,628

73,720

74,477

74,595

73,957

72,763

71,194

69,426

11

68,898

69,889

71,227

72,612

73,743

74,319

74,366

74,084

73,435

72,381

12

67,140

68,186

69,624

71,171

72,544

73,461

74,052

74,507

74,628

74,217

13

65,476

66,470

67,864

69,403

70,835

71,906

72,785

73,641

74,221

74,273

14

63,883

64,753

66,001

67,411

68,772

69,868

70,857

71,882

72,707

73,095

15-19

296,473

298,751

302,309

306,784

311,809

317,021

323,141

330,414

337,754

344,079

15

62,234

62,963

64,040

65,298

66,571

67,692

68,820

70,066

71,192

71,961

16

60,539

61,101

61,973

63,044

64,201

65,333

66,601

68,079

69,526

70,699

17

59,038

59,452

60,131

61,010

62,026

63,117

64,438

66,029

67,659

69,098

18

57,832

58,149

58,676

59,385

60,252

61,251

62,517

64,069

65,701

67,208

19

56,830

57,085

57,490

58,047

58,759

59,628

60,766

62,171

63,676

65,113

20-24

269,780

270,222

270,551

271,147

272,387

274,648

278,070

282,402

287,434

292,956

20

55,821

56,002

56,270

56,658

57,197

57,921

58,911

60,145

61,501

62,857

21

54,824

54,927

55,051

55,260

55,614

56,175

56,991

58,022

59,194

60,438

22

53,895

53,948

53,966

54,033

54,234

54,652

55,306

56,141

57,127

58,238

23

53,033

53,076

53,041

53,026

53,127

53,442

53,972

54,652

55,480

56,455

24

52,207

52,269

52,223

52,171

52,215

52,458

52,890

53,443

54,131

54,969

25-29

247,515

248,461

248,634

248,481

248,451

248,992

249,908

250,901

252,263

254,288

25

51,397

51,483

51,430

51,344

51,331

51,497

51,821

52,232

52,762

53,442

26

50,623

50,736

50,679

50,560

50,489

50,574

50,784

51,045

51,407

51,916

27

49,703

49,867

49,850

49,754

49,681

49,731

49,865

50,014

50,241

50,606

28

48,549

48,792

48,875

48,876

48,878

48,960

49,074

49,166

49,310

49,576

29

47,243

47,583

47,800

47,947

48,073

48,229

48,364

48,443

48,545

48,749

30-34

217,164

220,076

222,838

225,381

227,629

229,513

230,798

231,534

232,068

232,751

30

45,953

46,391

46,746

47,040

47,292

47,526

47,684

47,753

47,816

47,958

31

44,645

45,187

45,692

46,148

46,542

46,862

47,048

47,109

47,134

47,212

32

43,371

43,991

44,604

45,178

45,679

46,075

46,311

46,408

46,450

46,519

33

42,173

42,827

43,477

44,091

44,638

45,087

45,396

45,586

45,719

45,857

34

41,022

41,680

42,319

42,924

43,478

43,963

44,359

44,677

44,949

45,205

35-39

187,365

190,675

193,842

196,909

199,921

202,923

206,027

209,202

212,282

215,097

35

39,858

40,521

41,156

41,759

42,327

42,854

43,341

43,789

44,200

44,577

36

38,708

39,370

39,994

40,589

41,166

41,736

42,320

42,911

43,477

43,986

37

37,521

38,183

38,802

39,398

39,990

40,597

41,253

41,946

42,624

43,236

38

36,274

36,936

37,569

38,189

38,810

39,447

40,134

40,861

41,578

42,234

39

35,003

35,665

36,321

36,974

37,629

38,289

38,979

39,695

40,403

41,064

119

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

40-44

157,732

160,803

163,989

167,264

170,599

173,966

177,404

180,931

184,490

188,024

40

33,762

34,418

35,087

35,765

36,445

37,124

37,818

38,529

39,234

39,909

41

32,530

33,178

33,860

34,562

35,268

35,964

36,657

37,357

38,053

38,737

42

31,406

32,035

32,704

33,399

34,102

34,797

35,486

36,180

36,876

37,574

43

30,443

31,035

31,654

32,295

32,953

33,623

34,307

35,011

35,727

36,450

44

29,591

30,136

30,683

31,243

31,831

32,457

33,135

33,855

34,600

35,354

45-49

135,648

137,821

139,751

141,661

143,776

146,322

149,390

152,832

156,507

160,277

45

28,752

29,251

29,726

30,209

30,727

31,309

31,975

32,703

33,469

34,244

46

27,945

28,393

28,792

29,189

29,632

30,166

30,817

31,554

32,338

33,135

47

27,142

27,555

27,903

28,244

28,634

29,129

29,755

30,475

31,249

32,039

48

26,318

26,722

27,064

27,398

27,774

28,247

28,833

29,499

30,217

30,958

49

25,491

25,901

26,265

26,621

27,010

27,470

28,009

28,600

29,234

29,901

50-54

116,051

118,082

120,016

121,928

123,888

125,970

128,093

130,209

132,439

134,901

50

24,699

25,114

25,493

25,866

26,260

26,706

27,197

27,715

28,267

28,861

51

23,937

24,358

24,755

25,145

25,545

25,974

26,413

26,852

27,316

27,830

52

23,192

23,611

24,015

24,413

24,814

25,228

25,631

26,017

26,422

26,881

53

22,465

22,867

23,257

23,644

24,035

24,437

24,829

25,207

25,601

26,044

54

21,758

22,132

22,496

22,860

23,233

23,625

24,022

24,418

24,833

25,286

55-59

98,911

100,497

102,009

103,526

105,126

106,890

108,832

110,901

113,072

115,322

55

21,061

21,412

21,756

22,103

22,463

22,845

23,245

23,655

24,084

24,540

56

20,365

20,695

21,024

21,359

21,710

22,088

22,492

22,917

23,362

23,823

57

19,721

20,033

20,341

20,655

20,988

21,352

21,753

22,183

22,633

23,093

58

19,148

19,448

19,728

20,009

20,308

20,645

21,027

21,442

21,879

22,326

59

18,617

18,909

19,160

19,400

19,657

19,960

20,315

20,703

21,114

21,540

60-64

84,454

85,903

86,963

87,852

88,790

89,995

91,473

93,079

94,803

96,637

60

18,082

18,366

18,590

18,792

19,010

19,283

19,614

19,979

20,371

20,781

61

17,559

17,834

18,028

18,189

18,366

18,608

18,918

19,265

19,641

20,039

62

16,976

17,252

17,436

17,582

17,740

17,963

18,255

18,580

18,934

19,312

63

16,293

16,586

16,794

16,961

17,134

17,360

17,638

17,936

18,256

18,601

64

15,544

15,865

16,115

16,328

16,539

16,781

17,049

17,318

17,600

17,905

65-69

66,655

68,526

70,263

71,885

73,413

74,866

76,163

77,290

78,371

79,528

65

14,811

15,157

15,446

15,701

15,945

16,202

16,459

16,701

16,947

17,214

66

14,086

14,459

14,787

15,083

15,360

15,630

15,875

16,087

16,294

16,521

67

13,345

13,734

14,094

14,427

14,735

15,023

15,268

15,469

15,657

15,864

68

12,587

12,975

13,352

13,712

14,049

14,358

14,619

14,837

15,040

15,255

69

11,826

12,201

12,584

12,962

13,323

13,654

13,942

14,195

14,433

14,675

70-74

48,587

50,213

52,051

53,990

55,917

57,721

59,410

61,059

62,655

64,184

70

11,068

11,430

11,821

12,220

12,606

12,959

13,271

13,556

13,826

14,090

71

10,299

10,650

11,052

11,475

11,891

12,268

12,606

12,924

13,225

13,512

72

9,611

9,944

10,337

10,758

11,177

11,562

11,914

12,256

12,584

12,893

73

9,047

9,353

9,707

10,087

10,471

10,834

11,185

11,537

11,881

12,209

74

8,562

8,837

9,135

9,450

9,773

10,098

10,434

10,786

11,139

11,480

75-79

35,163

36,146

37,013

37,868

38,820

39,974

41,395

43,012

44,727

46,445

75

8,078

8,320

8,563

8,813

9,079

9,366

9,689

10,042

10,405

10,761

76

7,619

7,825

8,006

8,185

8,387

8,634

8,943

9,299

9,677

10,050

77

7,109

7,291

7,432

7,566

7,725

7,941

8,232

8,575

8,945

9,316

78

6,506

6,681

6,821

6,954

7,107

7,310

7,575

7,882

8,213

8,549

79

5,850

6,030

6,191

6,350

6,522

6,723

6,957

7,214

7,487

7,769

80 y ms / and over

38,037

39,528

41,095

42,712

44,353

45,993

47,594

49,174

50,789

52,494

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

120

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

3,269,259

3,290,858

3,313,372

3,336,726

3,360,845

3,385,656

3,411,195

3,437,513

3,464,552

3,492,259

0-4

296,742

296,430

297,135

298,375

299,666

300,525

300,953

301,271

301,480

301,580

60,385

60,639

60,852

61,020

61,139

61,204

61,208

61,151

61,049

60,915

59,583

59,732

59,952

60,192

60,406

60,545

60,600

60,602

60,567

60,507

59,141

59,125

59,307

59,591

59,878

60,073

60,170

60,234

60,272

60,289

58,860

58,632

58,737

59,029

59,363

59,591

59,720

59,846

59,962

60,060

58,773

58,302

58,288

58,543

58,880

59,112

59,257

59,438

59,631

59,808

5-9

300,491

294,483

291,167

289,685

289,181

288,797

288,852

289,917

291,515

293,166

56,340

55,740

56,075

56,929

57,883

58,520

58,845

59,135

59,385

59,588

57,692

56,788

56,703

57,102

57,652

58,020

58,237

58,527

58,840

59,128

59,668

58,452

57,841

57,633

57,627

57,618

57,672

57,924

58,277

58,635

62,074

60,560

59,371

58,468

57,810

57,358

57,206

57,381

57,740

58,141

64,716

62,942

61,176

59,552

58,209

57,282

56,892

56,950

57,272

57,675

10-14

357,954

348,111

334,228

318,942

304,894

294,722

288,996

285,957

284,750

284,521

10

67,638

65,604

63,203

60,777

58,669

57,219

56,583

56,533

56,837

57,260

11

70,884

68,549

65,402

62,034

59,036

56,998

56,129

56,032

56,399

56,920

12

73,075

70,731

67,316

63,540

60,109

57,733

56,607

56,259

56,395

56,723

13

73,545

71,629

68,692

65,348

62,211

59,893

58,482

57,570

57,024

56,715

14

72,811

71,599

69,614

67,243

64,870

62,879

61,196

59,563

58,094

56,903

15-19

348,305

350,791

352,261

352,174

349,991

345,173

335,963

322,721

308,081

294,679

15

72,135

71,594

70,498

69,025

67,354

65,664

63,728

61,427

59,102

57,093

16

71,355

71,519

71,353

70,819

69,881

68,501

66,285

63,260

60,014

57,137

17

70,113

70,835

71,420

71,669

71,387

70,377

68,168

64,890

61,251

57,958

18

68,386

69,401

70,391

71,104

71,290

70,700

68,924

66,129

62,929

59,935

19

66,317

67,442

68,600

69,557

70,079

69,931

68,858

67,014

64,786

62,556

20-24

298,759

305,559

313,495

321,494

328,482

333,383

336,555

338,715

339,326

337,853

20

64,088

65,352

66,731

67,990

68,892

69,202

68,801

67,845

66,514

64,987

21

61,682

63,086

64,697

66,276

67,582

68,374

68,677

68,651

68,259

67,465

22

59,445

60,901

62,625

64,387

65,958

67,108

67,968

68,691

69,081

68,942

23

57,576

58,978

60,662

62,425

64,065

65,377

66,528

67,654

68,506

68,833

24

55,969

57,242

58,780

60,416

61,985

63,322

64,581

65,874

66,967

67,627

25-29

257,268

261,340

266,308

271,968

278,115

284,545

291,967

300,518

309,133

316,746

25

54,303

55,428

56,794

58,280

59,765

61,128

62,523

64,033

65,423

66,459

26

52,622

53,570

54,730

56,031

57,403

58,775

60,306

62,044

63,750

65,184

27

51,172

51,956

52,918

54,031

55,267

56,599

58,179

60,025

61,909

63,604

28

50,038

50,695

51,500

52,451

53,549

54,792

56,315

58,118

60,001

61,761

29

49,134

49,691

50,366

51,175

52,132

53,252

54,644

56,298

58,051

59,738

30-34

233,931

235,412

236,960

238,871

241,441

244,963

249,572

255,071

261,260

267,938

30

48,262

48,708

49,238

49,885

50,682

51,660

52,900

54,380

55,980

57,579

31

47,431

47,759

48,137

48,612

49,236

50,055

51,116

52,387

53,798

55,280

32

46,698

46,946

47,207

47,544

48,019

48,695

49,588

50,657

51,876

53,219

33

46,061

46,284

46,483

46,733

47,104

47,670

48,430

49,337

50,391

51,590

34

45,478

45,715

45,895

46,097

46,400

46,884

47,538

48,311

49,216

50,269

35-39

217,480

219,197

220,360

221,319

222,425

224,028

225,931

227,901

230,232

233,220

35

44,920

45,174

45,338

45,496

45,731

46,128

46,666

47,288

48,026

48,914

36

44,409

44,685

44,835

44,948

45,113

45,419

45,833

46,297

46,858

47,566

37

43,729

44,049

44,230

44,355

44,507

44,769

45,099

45,443

45,861

46,417

38

42,777

43,168

43,439

43,652

43,870

44,155

44,458

44,739

45,068

45,520

39

41,644

42,121

42,518

42,868

43,204

43,557

43,874

44,135

44,418

44,802

121

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

40-44

191,475

194,952

198,494

201,936

205,117

207,874

209,975

211,527

212,880

214,381

40

40,530

41,096

41,622

42,111

42,565

42,987

43,321

43,566

43,805

44,122

41

39,400

40,062

40,729

41,371

41,957

42,457

42,813

43,045

43,240

43,487

42

38,272

39,004

39,772

40,523

41,209

41,779

42,178

42,439

42,645

42,878

43

37,175

37,935

38,733

39,520

40,246

40,863

41,328

41,676

41,966

42,262

44

36,097

36,855

37,638

38,411

39,140

39,788

40,334

40,802

41,224

41,632

45-49

164,002

167,719

171,521

175,352

179,160

182,889

186,646

190,468

194,194

197,665

45

35,002

35,760

36,533

37,301

38,038

38,724

39,354

39,946

40,501

41,022

46

33,907

34,660

35,419

36,174

36,917

37,640

38,362

39,090

39,792

40,440

47

32,806

33,551

34,299

35,050

35,803

36,557

37,345

38,168

38,976

39,719

48

31,695

32,432

33,186

33,953

34,727

35,503

36,314

37,164

38,003

38,782

49

30,591

31,317

32,084

32,875

33,674

34,465

35,270

36,101

36,923

37,700

50-54

137,718

140,978

144,600

148,452

152,398

156,305

160,208

164,196

168,216

172,216

50

29,504

30,213

30,984

31,791

32,607

33,409

34,210

35,027

35,839

36,623

51

28,421

29,112

29,886

30,708

31,542

32,352

33,145

33,944

34,740

35,525

52

27,429

28,092

28,846

29,654

30,477

31,279

32,060

32,846

33,635

34,426

53

26,568

27,190

27,889

28,639

29,413

30,183

30,953

31,741

32,542

33,351

54

25,796

26,370

26,995

27,661

28,360

29,082

29,840

30,638

31,460

32,291

55-59

117,628

119,911

122,187

124,574

127,189

130,151

133,545

137,294

141,267

145,334

55

25,034

25,560

26,111

26,696

27,322

27,996

28,735

29,535

30,369

31,215

56

24,298

24,772

25,244

25,741

26,288

26,910

27,629

28,429

29,276

30,135

57

23,552

23,989

24,408

24,845

25,336

25,914

26,603

27,381

28,212

29,059

58

22,771

23,194

23,603

24,028

24,500

25,052

25,699

26,422

27,195

27,990

59

21,972

22,397

22,821

23,264

23,744

24,280

24,878

25,526

26,215

26,936

60-64

98,573

100,625

102,800

105,074

107,427

109,836

112,226

114,612

117,107

119,823

60

21,201

21,626

22,061

22,515

22,996

23,514

24,063

24,637

25,245

25,892

61

20,451

20,879

21,326

21,793

22,275

22,773

23,269

23,765

24,285

24,853

62

19,708

20,130

20,581

21,051

21,530

22,010

22,468

22,910

23,370

23,881

63

18,970

19,373

19,808

20,263

20,728

21,193

21,636

22,066

22,512

23,004

64

18,242

18,617

19,023

19,453

19,897

20,347

20,791

21,234

21,695

22,193

65-69

80,886

82,450

84,138

85,940

87,850

89,857

91,976

94,212

96,546

98,955

65

17,520

17,872

18,255

18,664

19,091

19,528

19,971

20,423

20,893

21,390

66

16,798

17,127

17,492

17,884

18,298

18,726

19,169

19,632

20,113

20,610

67

16,120

16,430

16,772

17,141

17,533

17,944

18,380

18,844

19,326

19,817

68

15,509

15,803

16,116

16,452

16,810

17,193

17,607

18,052

18,516

18,991

69

14,938

15,218

15,502

15,799

16,117

16,465

16,849

17,263

17,698

18,147

70-74

65,635

66,934

68,091

69,214

70,411

71,790

73,357

75,040

76,831

78,721

70

14,362

14,628

14,883

15,143

15,422

15,738

16,095

16,483

16,893

17,321

71

13,790

14,041

14,265

14,484

14,723

15,007

15,338

15,702

16,092

16,501

72

13,181

13,427

13,636

13,835

14,051

14,313

14,622

14,960

15,324

15,710

73

12,509

12,767

12,987

13,196

13,416

13,672

13,964

14,274

14,605

14,958

74

11,794

12,071

12,320

12,557

12,798

13,061

13,338

13,621

13,917

14,231

75-79

48,067

49,603

51,118

52,597

54,027

55,394

56,638

57,768

58,874

60,046

75

11,089

11,384

11,658

11,920

12,180

12,446

12,710

12,965

13,225

13,503

76

10,395

10,708

11,008

11,296

11,574

11,844

12,092

12,317

12,539

12,779

77

9,660

9,983

10,299

10,606

10,899

11,173

11,413

11,621

11,821

12,037

78

8,871

9,184

9,501

9,814

10,114

10,391

10,633

10,846

11,049

11,262

79

8,052

8,345

8,651

8,960

9,260

9,539

9,790

10,019

10,240

10,466

80 y ms / and over

54,345

56,363

58,510

60,757

63,071

65,424

67,835

70,324

72,862

75,417

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

122

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

3,520,578

3,549,843

3,580,091

3,610,820

3,641,529

3,671,717

3,701,460

3,731,093

3,760,500

3,789,567

0-4

301,569

301,650

301,823

301,785

301,235

299,870

297,396

294,014

290,165

286,294

60,763

60,633

60,516

60,352

60,080

59,641

58,951

58,051

57,064

56,117

60,437

60,403

60,396

60,346

60,183

59,837

59,229

58,407

57,487

56,588

60,293

60,329

60,393

60,415

60,328

60,062

59,553

58,846

58,039

57,229

60,133

60,220

60,326

60,392

60,359

60,168

59,772

59,212

58,557

57,873

59,943

60,065

60,192

60,280

60,284

60,162

59,890

59,498

59,019

58,487

5-9

294,392

295,199

295,907

296,505

296,985

297,337

297,765

298,275

298,562

298,319

59,737

59,824

59,855

59,839

59,790

59,719

59,666

59,624

59,531

59,328

59,341

59,472

59,553

59,597

59,614

59,617

59,653

59,713

59,728

59,626

58,901

59,072

59,212

59,327

59,419

59,494

59,598

59,728

59,814

59,787

58,438

58,640

58,841

59,031

59,202

59,345

59,498

59,670

59,798

59,824

57,975

58,192

58,446

58,711

58,959

59,162

59,349

59,541

59,691

59,754

10-14

284,414

284,753

286,108

287,995

289,927

291,422

292,487

293,447

294,286

294,994

10

57,571

57,798

58,096

58,423

58,731

58,977

59,177

59,359

59,501

59,579

11

57,284

57,529

57,859

58,222

58,562

58,825

59,006

59,142

59,238

59,303

12

56,948

57,125

57,447

57,837

58,215

58,502

58,684

58,813

58,912

59,000

13

56,509

56,492

56,751

57,159

57,591

57,922

58,145

58,346

58,531

58,707

14

56,101

55,811

55,955

56,354

56,828

57,196

57,476

57,787

58,105

58,405

15-19

285,149

280,069

277,684

277,125

277,525

278,018

278,931

280,842

283,260

285,694

15

55,742

55,205

55,256

55,658

56,178

56,580

56,896

57,281

57,690

58,076

16

55,220

54,470

54,494

54,980

55,616

56,091

56,442

56,877

57,340

57,774

17

55,718

54,728

54,517

54,788

55,248

55,599

55,896

56,337

56,839

57,323

18

57,760

56,494

55,727

55,327

55,158

55,087

55,197

55,579

56,106

56,649

19

60,709

59,173

57,690

56,371

55,325

54,661

54,500

54,768

55,286

55,871

20-24

333,762

325,314

312,866

299,025

286,398

277,593

273,190

271,451

271,505

272,480

20

63,443

61,657

59,512

57,341

55,483

54,273

53,869

54,045

54,567

55,199

21

66,232

64,170

61,304

58,219

55,498

53,725

53,109

53,260

53,866

54,615

22

68,079

66,024

62,908

59,432

56,297

54,204

53,349

53,266

53,659

54,232

23

68,388

66,765

64,131

61,093

58,256

56,228

55,098

54,463

54,187

54,135

24

67,621

66,697

65,010

62,940

60,864

59,163

57,765

56,416

55,225

54,299

25-29

322,293

326,141

329,001

330,320

329,548

326,133

318,350

306,566

293,370

281,348

25

66,908

66,652

65,848

64,670

63,294

61,893

60,246

58,236

56,196

54,460

26

66,110

66,553

66,672

66,428

65,780

64,687

62,763

60,034

57,081

54,484

27

64,883

65,878

66,740

67,271

67,273

66,546

64,626

61,646

58,303

55,291

28

63,198

64,479

65,739

66,726

67,189

66,874

65,382

62,879

59,969

57,252

29

61,195

62,580

64,001

65,224

66,013

66,133

65,333

63,770

61,821

59,860

30-34

274,903

282,872

291,978

301,149

309,310

315,388

319,755

323,127

324,946

324,654

30

59,058

60,574

62,207

63,721

64,880

65,448

65,310

64,623

63,560

62,292

31

56,764

58,411

60,266

62,090

63,641

64,679

65,233

65,463

65,326

64,781

32

54,659

56,348

58,305

60,301

62,106

63,491

64,590

65,555

66,186

66,285

33

52,936

54,563

56,471

58,458

60,321

61,857

63,235

64,590

65,670

66,222

34

51,486

52,975

54,728

56,579

58,362

59,912

61,387

62,896

64,203

65,074

35-39

237,158

242,187

248,109

254,716

261,799

269,149

277,480

286,933

296,434

304,911

35

49,983

51,315

52,887

54,578

56,267

57,832

59,431

61,144

62,735

63,968

36

48,470

49,617

50,974

52,470

54,035

55,599

57,320

59,247

61,140

62,757

37

47,173

48,148

49,299

50,599

52,020

53,534

55,293

57,316

59,375

61,240

38

46,165

47,006

47,994

49,127

50,404

51,822

53,516

55,488

57,536

59,457

39

45,366

46,102

46,956

47,942

49,073

50,362

51,920

53,737

55,649

57,489

123

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

40-44

216,377

218,680

221,057

223,792

227,169

231,469

236,834

243,075

249,981

257,341

40

44,600

45,219

45,923

46,743

47,709

48,852

50,251

51,888

53,640

55,387

41

43,875

44,371

44,918

45,562

46,349

47,327

48,543

49,964

51,522

53,144

42

43,220

43,632

44,059

44,560

45,195

46,025

47,068

48,284

49,644

51,122

43

42,624

43,007

43,368

43,778

44,307

45,025

45,932

46,983

48,176

49,507

44

42,058

42,450

42,788

43,149

43,607

44,241

45,040

45,955

46,999

48,182

45-49

200,720

203,137

205,022

206,710

208,536

210,835

213,422

216,073

219,067

222,681

45

41,513

41,919

42,238

42,551

42,940

43,485

44,165

44,929

45,804

46,821

46

41,005

41,429

41,731

41,999

42,315

42,767

43,323

43,927

44,624

45,460

47

40,348

40,811

41,139

41,413

41,713

42,116

42,586

43,067

43,620

44,302

48

39,454

39,979

40,388

40,742

41,100

41,520

41,956

42,370

42,831

43,405

49

38,400

39,000

39,525

40,004

40,468

40,947

41,392

41,780

42,189

42,692

50-54

176,141

180,101

184,131

188,068

191,750

195,012

197,638

199,735

201,631

203,653

50

37,355

38,035

38,677

39,284

39,857

40,396

40,851

41,218

41,578

42,010

51

36,291

37,057

37,829

38,577

39,271

39,881

40,350

40,698

41,010

41,369

52

35,219

36,046

36,909

37,757

38,542

39,212

39,716

40,088

40,405

40,744

53

34,163

35,010

35,897

36,773

37,590

38,300

38,863

39,312

39,705

40,099

54

33,114

33,953

34,819

35,676

36,489

37,223

37,859

38,419

38,933

39,430

55-59

149,368

153,405

157,531

161,690

165,826

169,882

173,965

178,112

182,164

185,959

55

32,046

32,878

33,729

34,574

35,390

36,154

36,865

37,539

38,176

38,779

56

30,972

31,794

32,624

33,452

34,268

35,063

35,856

36,656

37,430

38,150

57

29,886

30,694

31,508

32,326

33,145

33,964

34,816

35,702

36,572

37,379

58

28,784

29,578

30,391

31,217

32,051

32,886

33,754

34,660

35,556

36,393

59

27,680

28,459

29,279

30,122

30,973

31,815

32,673

33,555

34,429

35,259

60-64

122,875

126,347

130,164

134,198

138,322

142,409

146,495

150,666

154,867

159,041

60

26,587

27,346

28,163

29,014

29,875

30,722

31,570

32,435

33,294

34,124

61

25,494

26,229

27,043

27,902

28,773

29,623

30,457

31,299

32,138

32,965

62

24,477

25,181

25,971

26,811

27,667

28,503

29,321

30,144

30,971

31,798

63

23,572

24,234

24,969

25,751

26,556

27,357

28,159

28,979

29,810

30,648

64

22,745

23,358

24,019

24,719

25,451

26,203

26,988

27,810

28,654

29,506

65-69

101,420

103,871

106,322

108,877

111,640

114,717

118,186

121,979

125,975

130,056

65

21,923

22,487

23,076

23,697

24,356

25,058

25,820

26,637

27,486

28,344

66

21,122

21,633

22,145

22,681

23,262

23,910

24,647

25,457

26,310

27,175

67

20,310

20,782

21,240

21,715

22,238

22,841

23,544

24,328

25,160

26,006

68

19,464

19,918

20,360

20,817

21,318

21,890

22,549

23,276

24,049

24,842

69

18,601

19,051

19,500

19,967

20,467

21,019

21,627

22,280

22,970

23,689

70-74

80,702

82,787

84,982

87,267

89,623

92,029

94,420

96,809

99,295

101,976

70

17,759

18,202

18,654

19,124

19,619

20,147

20,704

21,286

21,897

22,544

71

16,925

17,363

17,820

18,294

18,785

19,289

19,793

20,300

20,828

21,398

72

16,113

16,540

16,993

17,464

17,944

18,425

18,887

19,338

19,805

20,316

73

15,333

15,737

16,169

16,619

17,078

17,536

17,975

18,402

18,843

19,324

74

14,573

14,946

15,347

15,766

16,198

16,633

17,060

17,484

17,923

18,394

75-79

61,375

62,864

64,453

66,137

67,909

69,764

71,711

73,754

75,878

78,070

75

13,813

14,158

14,532

14,925

15,332

15,746

16,159

16,577

17,009

17,467

76

13,056

13,376

13,724

14,094

14,479

14,873

15,273

15,684

16,109

16,551

77

12,290

12,585

12,906

13,248

13,608

13,980

14,369

14,776

15,197

15,630

78

11,506

11,780

12,070

12,377

12,705

13,054

13,432

13,837

14,259

14,689

79

10,710

10,965

11,222

11,492

11,785

12,110

12,477

12,880

13,304

13,734

80 y ms / and over

77,960

80,465

82,952

85,460

88,026

90,690

93,434

96,234

99,114

102,097

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

124

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

3,818,178

3,846,413

3,874,348

3,901,865

3,928,846

3,955,172

3,980,860

4,005,988

4,030,533

4,054,468

0-4

282,840

279,776

276,806

273,975

271,325

268,900

266,710

264,727

262,934

261,318

55,334

54,734

54,234

53,805

53,420

53,049

52,694

52,373

52,086

51,830

55,826

55,210

54,663

54,171

53,720

53,297

52,903

52,547

52,227

51,941

56,514

55,890

55,292

54,726

54,197

53,713

53,275

52,879

52,523

52,202

57,230

56,610

55,965

55,325

54,719

54,173

53,692

53,256

52,861

52,504

57,936

57,332

56,652

55,947

55,269

54,668

54,147

53,671

53,237

52,842

5-9

297,240

295,032

291,899

288,281

284,617

281,348

278,440

275,601

272,880

270,326

58,953

58,323

57,479

56,546

55,646

54,906

54,341

53,871

53,467

53,103

59,337

58,782

58,010

57,136

56,277

55,552

54,967

54,445

53,974

53,542

59,577

59,119

58,461

57,698

56,929

56,250

55,656

55,083

54,538

54,028

59,688

59,343

58,831

58,219

57,575

56,968

56,377

55,758

55,139

54,551

59,686

59,464

59,118

58,682

58,189

57,673

57,099

56,444

55,761

55,102

10-14

295,555

296,175

296,861

297,309

297,212

296,264

294,170

291,135

287,600

284,009

10

59,571

59,483

59,330

59,102

58,790

58,385

57,834

57,143

56,391

55,656

11

59,343

59,401

59,472

59,493

59,397

59,123

58,594

57,855

57,015

56,188

12

59,097

59,269

59,499

59,694

59,759

59,598

59,132

58,422

57,591

56,759

13

58,881

59,110

59,390

59,635

59,759

59,677

59,328

58,769

58,091

57,387

14

58,662

58,912

59,170

59,385

59,506

59,481

59,283

58,946

58,511

58,019

15-19

287,651

289,142

290,494

291,692

292,723

293,571

294,434

295,321

295,936

295,985

15

58,394

58,659

58,902

59,099

59,228

59,264

59,214

59,093

58,892

58,603

16

58,124

58,385

58,594

58,758

58,883

58,977

59,081

59,190

59,242

59,174

17

57,708

57,980

58,193

58,368

58,524

58,683

58,906

59,178

59,409

59,504

18

57,082

57,400

57,689

57,953

58,201

58,439

58,722

59,046

59,328

59,484

19

56,343

56,717

57,116

57,514

57,885

58,207

58,511

58,814

59,066

59,219

20-24

273,504

274,905

277,264

280,090

282,890

285,172

286,939

288,517

289,906

291,102

20

55,705

56,117

56,591

57,080

57,540

57,922

58,242

58,530

58,765

58,927

21

55,195

55,643

56,168

56,712

57,220

57,635

57,951

58,206

58,408

58,567

22

54,689

55,084

55,614

56,199

56,757

57,207

57,535

57,794

58,006

58,196

23

54,170

54,379

54,851

55,460

56,077

56,575

56,948

57,282

57,585

57,866

24

53,744

53,682

54,040

54,639

55,297

55,833

56,263

56,706

57,142

57,546

25-29

273,088

269,170

267,868

268,313

269,638

270,972

272,636

275,208

278,210

281,163

25

53,361

53,055

53,320

53,922

54,625

55,195

55,661

56,179

56,706

57,197

26

52,823

52,304

52,542

53,226

54,043

54,685

55,186

55,754

56,335

56,875

27

53,308

52,550

52,553

53,023

53,663

54,181

54,628

55,201

55,822

56,410

28

55,332

54,299

53,751

53,552

53,569

53,666

53,927

54,441

55,083

55,730

29

58,264

56,961

55,701

54,591

53,737

53,245

53,234

53,633

54,264

54,950

30-34

321,695

314,353

302,998

290,206

278,549

270,601

266,931

265,824

266,426

267,882

30

60,993

59,440

57,520

55,563

53,901

52,866

52,611

52,915

53,548

54,278

31

63,786

61,955

59,317

56,450

53,929

52,332

51,864

52,140

52,852

53,695

32

65,650

63,821

60,931

57,671

54,736

52,817

52,109

52,149

52,648

53,313

33

65,994

64,586

62,167

59,336

56,692

54,834

53,850

53,340

53,173

53,216

34

65,273

64,550

63,063

61,185

59,291

57,752

56,498

55,280

54,204

53,380

35-39

311,293

315,950

319,598

321,678

321,635

318,911

311,794

300,656

288,065

276,586

35

64,607

64,539

63,920

62,921

61,714

60,468

58,964

57,087

55,169

53,540

36

63,859

64,475

64,764

64,684

64,193

63,247

61,465

58,873

56,047

53,563

37

62,684

63,838

64,856

65,537

65,684

65,096

63,313

60,469

57,253

54,355

38

61,049

62,479

63,883

65,009

65,605

65,421

64,056

61,681

58,891

56,283

39

59,094

60,619

62,175

63,527

64,440

64,679

63,996

62,548

60,706

58,845

125

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

40-44

264,946

273,506

283,162

292,847

301,494

308,035

312,835

316,605

318,799

318,870

40

57,005

58,653

60,410

62,043

63,316

63,993

63,960

63,375

62,408

61,231

41

54,760

56,529

58,499

60,430

62,084

63,222

63,870

64,188

64,135

63,671

42

52,687

54,493

56,557

58,652

60,551

62,027

63,210

64,252

64,956

65,126

43

50,975

52,713

54,724

56,806

58,758

60,379

61,834

63,258

64,402

65,017

44

49,519

51,118

52,972

54,916

56,785

58,415

59,961

61,533

62,898

63,825

45-49

227,192

232,741

239,143

246,187

253,664

261,362

269,982

279,663

289,357

298,014

45

48,008

49,448

51,119

52,901

54,674

56,315

57,980

59,749

61,390

62,672

46

46,481

47,735

49,189

50,775

52,421

54,057

55,840

57,817

59,752

61,410

47

45,174

46,253

47,500

48,888

50,388

51,972

53,788

55,855

57,951

59,851

48

44,163

45,106

46,188

47,407

48,760

50,245

51,993

54,006

56,086

58,036

49

43,365

44,200

45,145

46,215

47,420

48,773

50,381

52,237

54,178

56,044

50-54

206,128

208,875

211,676

214,802

218,525

223,116

228,709

235,124

242,159

249,614

50

42,593

43,308

44,102

45,003

46,041

47,245

48,692

50,365

52,145

53,913

51

41,858

42,447

43,081

43,804

44,661

45,698

46,959

48,415

49,998

51,639

52

41,183

41,684

42,195

42,774

43,478

44,365

45,452

46,702

48,087

49,582

53

40,553

41,021

41,464

41,951

42,548

43,322

44,275

45,360

46,577

47,926

54

39,941

40,415

40,833

41,269

41,796

42,486

43,331

44,282

45,351

46,554

55-59

189,337

192,087

194,317

196,342

198,478

201,042

203,852

206,698

209,851

213,583

55

39,347

39,830

40,228

40,616

41,072

41,673

42,399

43,199

44,103

45,140

56

38,785

39,282

39,661

40,002

40,386

40,894

41,496

42,137

42,864

43,722

57

38,072

38,603

39,003

39,348

39,712

40,170

40,685

41,205

41,789

42,495

58

37,122

37,708

38,182

38,599

39,016

39,487

39,968

40,422

40,916

41,517

59

36,010

36,664

37,244

37,777

38,293

38,818

39,304

39,734

40,178

40,710

60-64

163,133

167,250

171,428

175,509

179,333

182,741

185,526

187,794

189,856

192,022

60

34,902

35,627

36,316

36,967

37,583

38,164

38,658

39,067

39,465

39,928

61

33,770

34,574

35,383

36,166

36,894

37,539

38,046

38,436

38,788

39,181

62

32,624

33,482

34,373

35,248

36,059

36,758

37,297

37,707

38,062

38,434

63

31,487

32,358

33,267

34,164

35,002

35,735

36,325

36,805

37,229

37,650

64

30,349

31,208

32,091

32,964

33,794

34,545

35,199

35,779

36,313

36,828

65-69

134,102

138,152

142,284

146,443

150,570

154,608

158,655

162,748

166,743

170,492

65

29,189

30,035

30,898

31,756

32,583

33,358

34,079

34,762

35,407

36,018

66

28,019

28,849

29,688

30,523

31,346

32,145

32,940

33,736

34,507

35,225

67

26,834

27,645

28,462

29,282

30,102

30,918

31,762

32,634

33,491

34,286

68

25,632

26,424

27,233

28,052

28,877

29,701

30,554

31,440

32,314

33,132

69

24,429

25,198

26,004

26,830

27,662

28,485

29,320

30,177

31,024

31,830

70-74

104,951

108,296

111,945

115,784

119,699

123,575

127,445

131,383

135,344

139,279

70

23,231

23,974

24,768

25,593

26,425

27,244

28,062

28,896

29,723

30,522

71

22,031

22,745

23,527

24,348

25,179

25,991

26,789

27,594

28,396

29,186

72

20,900

21,577

22,329

23,125

23,934

24,725

25,500

26,280

27,061

27,844

73

19,873

20,504

21,200

21,938

22,695

23,447

24,199

24,964

25,739

26,520

74

18,917

19,496

20,120

20,780

21,466

22,168

22,894

23,650

24,425

25,207

75-79

80,315

82,559

84,811

87,153

89,666

92,433

95,516

98,861

102,373

105,959

75

17,960

18,487

19,042

19,626

20,242

20,892

21,587

22,327

23,094

23,869

76

17,013

17,486

17,967

18,472

19,014

19,608

20,271

20,992

21,748

22,514

77

16,069

16,500

16,926

17,368

17,851

18,395

19,019

19,706

20,432

21,172

78

15,116

15,526

15,925

16,336

16,783

17,288

17,864

18,496

19,165

19,852

79

14,157

14,559

14,950

15,350

15,777

16,250

16,775

17,339

17,934

18,552

80 y ms / and over

105,208

108,446

111,795

115,256

118,831

122,521

126,285

130,123

134,095

138,263

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

126

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age
Total

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

4,077,769

4,100,426

4,122,456

4,143,874

4,164,694

4,184,932

4,204,578

4,223,622

4,242,079

4,259,963

4,277,291

0-4

259,864

258,585

257,490

256,560

255,776

255,117

254,597

254,228

253,992

253,868

253,836

51,605

51,415

51,263

51,139

51,034

50,940

50,862

50,806

50,764

50,726

50,684

51,686

51,466

51,284

51,132

51,004

50,892

50,803

50,739

50,695

50,663

50,637

51,912

51,658

51,441

51,258

51,102

50,972

50,869

50,796

50,749

50,724

50,716

52,179

51,889

51,637

51,419

51,236

51,085

50,967

50,885

50,835

50,817

50,828

52,482

52,155

51,865

51,613

51,400

51,228

51,096

51,003

50,950

50,938

50,971

5-9

267,989

265,877

263,956

262,215

260,644

259,232

257,986

256,914

256,004

255,245

254,628

52,752

52,416

52,110

51,836

51,592

51,377

51,192

51,038

50,914

50,819

50,752

53,135

52,756

52,412

52,102

51,824

51,577

51,362

51,179

51,027

50,905

50,811

53,560

53,137

52,753

52,406

52,093

51,812

51,564

51,351

51,171

51,020

50,897

54,023

53,557

53,132

52,747

52,398

52,081

51,800

51,555

51,344

51,164

51,012

54,518

54,012

53,548

53,124

52,737

52,385

52,068

51,790

51,547

51,337

51,156

10-14

280,806

277,954

275,159

272,473

269,950

267,642

265,515

263,533

261,748

260,216

258,987

10

55,016

54,473

53,976

53,520

53,102

52,718

52,370

52,061

51,787

51,545

51,330

11

55,485

54,911

54,392

53,919

53,483

53,077

52,705

52,373

52,073

51,796

51,532

12

56,047

55,457

54,909

54,399

53,923

53,480

53,071

52,699

52,359

52,049

51,766

13

56,749

56,165

55,572

54,990

54,438

53,936

53,469

53,027

52,627

52,289

52,031

14

57,509

56,949

56,311

55,645

55,002

54,431

53,899

53,373

52,903

52,537

52,328

15-19

295,173

293,200

290,263

286,811

283,292

280,154

277,098

273,826

270,785

268,424

267,191

15

58,219

57,687

57,012

56,272

55,548

54,918

54,329

53,729

53,197

52,811

52,651

16

58,925

58,419

57,698

56,874

56,061

55,369

54,725

54,054

53,467

53,077

52,998

17

59,372

58,931

58,243

57,430

56,613

55,915

55,254

54,549

53,922

53,495

53,389

18

59,433

59,110

58,573

57,913

57,226

56,602

55,981

55,301

54,654

54,134

53,834

19

59,224

59,052

58,738

58,321

57,845

57,350

56,808

56,193

55,545

54,907

54,319

20-24

292,102

293,099

294,095

294,802

294,930

294,193

292,782

290,889

288,226

284,506

279,439

20

58,993

58,970

58,870

58,688

58,415

58,046

57,585

57,036

56,393

55,648

54,795

21

58,691

58,822

58,953

59,023

58,971

58,737

58,361

57,883

57,244

56,381

55,235

22

58,385

58,635

58,929

59,178

59,289

59,173

58,888

58,497

57,907

57,029

55,770

23

58,134

58,444

58,790

59,090

59,262

59,225

59,034

58,742

58,268

57,531

56,449

24

57,898

58,229

58,553

58,824

58,992

59,012

58,914

58,731

58,414

57,916

57,190

25-29

283,587

285,481

287,163

288,637

289,907

290,977

291,844

292,505

292,965

293,227

293,295

25

57,609

57,956

58,265

58,519

58,696

58,777

58,776

58,705

58,545

58,277

57,880

26

57,319

57,662

57,938

58,158

58,332

58,471

58,567

58,615

58,623

58,602

58,563

27

56,889

57,243

57,523

57,753

57,958

58,161

58,346

58,498

58,641

58,797

58,992

28

56,256

56,654

57,008

57,327

57,623

57,905

58,166

58,400

58,617

58,826

59,039

29

55,513

55,966

56,429

56,880

57,299

57,663

57,988

58,287

58,540

58,725

58,820

30-34

269,339

271,112

273,769

276,840

279,851

282,332

284,596

286,959

288,948

290,092

289,918

30

54,873

55,362

55,898

56,440

56,945

57,370

57,743

58,093

58,378

58,554

58,580

31

54,360

54,883

55,469

56,065

56,617

57,074

57,470

57,840

58,131

58,291

58,267

32

53,854

54,322

54,912

55,547

56,148

56,638

57,070

57,494

57,834

58,012

57,950

33

53,338

53,620

54,150

54,805

55,463

55,999

56,497

57,037

57,498

57,755

57,686

34

52,915

52,925

53,340

53,983

54,679

55,251

55,817

56,494

57,107

57,479

57,435

35-39

268,788

265,233

264,210

264,874

266,381

267,887

269,954

273,146

276,618

279,526

281,025

35

52,533

52,299

52,619

53,262

54,000

54,604

55,225

56,018

56,753

57,201

57,132

36

51,996

51,549

51,838

52,559

53,408

54,080

54,779

55,707

56,560

57,034

56,825

37

52,467

51,781

51,835

52,343

53,015

53,564

54,181

55,059

55,910

56,446

56,377

38

54,456

53,495

53,004

52,851

52,905

53,037

53,333

53,881

54,549

55,208

55,726

39

57,336

56,109

54,914

53,860

53,053

52,602

52,435

52,480

52,845

53,638

54,965

127

EL SALVADOR : ESTIMACIONES Y PROYECCIONES DE LA POBLACION FEMENINA

POR AOS CALENDARIO Y EDADES SIMPLES
EL SALVADOR : POPULATION ESTIMATES AND PROYECTIONS BY CALENDAR YEARS
AND SINGLE AGES, FEMALES
1950-2050

Edad / Age

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

40-44

316,271

309,300

298,323

285,891

274,556

266,872

261,137

255,648

252,959

255,622

266,189

40

60,014

58,539

56,691

54,800

53,195

52,206

51,613

51,196

51,286

52,211

54,302

41

62,754

61,003

58,445

55,653

53,198

51,653

50,636

49,767

49,616

50,756

53,760

42

64,564

62,814

60,006

56,826

53,962

52,098

50,779

49,545

49,084

50,081

53,224

43

64,855

63,520

61,178

58,422

55,846

54,044

52,620

51,177

50,311

50,613

52,679

44

64,083

63,424

62,002

60,189

58,355

56,871

55,489

53,963

52,663

51,960

52,224

45-49

304,585

309,431

313,252

315,506

315,651

313,145

308,349

301,625

292,430

280,223

264,462

45

63,363

63,349

62,785

61,841

60,688

59,495

58,149

56,537

54,829

53,194

51,804

46

62,557

63,219

63,552

63,517

63,073

62,179

60,862

59,149

56,999

54,372

51,228

47

61,331

62,523

63,575

64,291

64,476

63,935

62,798

61,194

58,930

55,808

51,634

48

59,659

61,119

62,547

63,697

64,323

64,177

63,424

62,229

60,344

57,524

53,521

49

57,675

59,222

60,793

62,159

63,091

63,359

63,117

62,516

61,328

59,324

56,275

50-54

257,289

265,872

275,497

285,130

293,739

300,291

305,474

309,976

312,766

312,809

309,072

50

55,552

57,214

58,978

60,615

61,896

62,592

62,856

62,840

62,315

61,053

58,825

51

53,271

55,047

57,014

58,939

60,590

61,736

62,532

63,131

63,302

62,813

61,433

52

51,159

52,966

55,021

57,102

58,991

60,466

61,675

62,765

63,515

63,705

63,115

53

49,405

51,143

53,141

55,206

57,142

58,757

60,178

61,537

62,637

63,286

63,290

54

47,902

49,501

51,343

53,269

55,121

56,740

58,233

59,704

60,997

61,951

62,410

55-59

218,168

223,734

230,100

237,071

244,454

252,054

260,001

268,424

277,128

285,921

294,607

55

46,340

47,779

49,439

51,204

52,957

54,582

56,158

57,762

59,276

60,586

61,576

56

44,755

46,009

47,454

49,022

50,647

52,263

53,915

55,646

57,390

59,080

60,651

57

43,380

44,462

45,701

47,073

48,552

50,113

51,774

53,550

55,416

57,348

59,319

58

42,291

43,239

44,316

45,522

46,857

48,320

49,911

51,631

53,480

55,456

57,560

59

41,402

42,245

43,190

44,251

45,441

46,775

48,243

49,836

51,567

53,451

55,500

60-64

194,604

197,423

200,274

203,421

207,131

211,670

216,861

222,527

228,933

236,346

245,032

60

40,532

41,258

42,055

42,953

43,980

45,167

46,493

47,940

49,536

51,311

53,294

61

39,694

40,297

40,938

41,660

42,511

43,533

44,697

45,973

47,407

49,042

50,925

62

38,898

39,415

39,937

40,519

41,220

42,096

43,108

44,220

45,488

46,968

48,718

63

38,125

38,609

39,066

39,562

40,160

40,928

41,820

42,794

43,915

45,248

46,858

64

37,354

37,844

38,278

38,726

39,260

39,947

40,743

41,600

42,588

43,777

45,238

65-69

173,849

176,617

178,894

180,976

183,158

185,737

188,515

191,296

194,374

198,046

202,609

65

36,597

37,093

37,507

37,912

38,379

38,982

39,672

40,401

41,242

42,267

43,549

66

35,863

36,372

36,769

37,130

37,530

38,044

38,622

39,215

39,896

40,743

41,830

67

34,976

35,514

35,929

36,292

36,671

37,137

37,643

38,142

38,704

39,399

40,296

68

33,851

34,435

34,914

35,340

35,765

36,239

36,730

37,201

37,705

38,294

39,018

69

32,562

33,203

33,774

34,302

34,813

35,334

35,848

36,336

36,826

37,343

37,916

70-74

143,142

147,023

150,955

154,800

158,421

161,680

164,669

167,480

169,974

172,016

173,467

70

31,273

31,974

32,639

33,270

33,869

34,439

34,976

35,482

35,957

36,403

36,822

71

29,957

30,723

31,493

32,239

32,938

33,562

34,130

34,658

35,120

35,492

35,748

72

28,625

29,435

30,273

31,097

31,865

32,535

33,135

33,693

34,168

34,516

34,695

73

27,304

28,117

28,963

29,800

30,586

31,279

31,908

32,500

33,014

33,407

33,638

74

25,983

26,774

27,588

28,394

29,163

29,865

30,519

31,147

31,716

32,199

32,564

75-79

109,524

113,098

116,742

120,415

124,072

127,673

131,245

134,816

138,344

141,786

145,100

75

24,635

25,405

26,190

26,972

27,730

28,445

29,128

29,795

30,424

30,996

31,491

76

23,267

24,012

24,766

25,519

26,263

26,990

27,706

28,416

29,112

29,785

30,426

77

21,899

22,616

23,338

24,065

24,795

25,526

26,259

26,996

27,735

28,475

29,213

78

20,538

21,225

21,926

22,637

23,355

24,078

24,808

25,546

26,289

27,035

27,780

79

19,185

19,840

20,522

21,222

21,929

22,634

23,343

24,063

24,784

25,496

26,190

80 y ms / and over

142,689

147,386

152,314

157,452

162,779

168,276

173,955

179,831

185,883

192,091

198,434

Fuente: CEPAL / CELADE - Divisin de Poblacin. Boletn demogrfico No. 66 de julio de 2000.
Source: ECLAC / CELADE - Population Division. Demographic Bulletin No. 66, july 2000.

128

BIBLIOGRAFA
DIGESTYC Y OTROS. Encuesta Nacional de Salud Familiar. FESAL 2002 2003.
Informe final. San Salvador, Junio de 2004
DIGESTYC. El salvador. Fuentes de datos, metodologa y estimaciones
demogrficas del periodo 1950 2007. Julio 2007
DIGESTYC. El salvador.
siglo xx

Evolucin de la mortalidad, durante la segunda mitad del

DIGESTYC. VI Censo Nacional de Poblacin y V de Vivienda 2007. El Salvador, Junio

12 de 2008.
Ortega, Antonio. Tablas de Mortalidad. CELADE. Serie E. No, 1004. San Jos Costa
Rica, abril de 1987.
Fajardo, Miyerlandi y Rincn , Manuel. Distribucin espacial y Migraciones. Aspectos
tericos y metodolgicos. Bogot, julio de 2007.
Fajardo, Miyerlandi y Rincn , Manuel. Teora y Mtodos para elaboracin de
estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacin. Bogot, mayo de 2007.
Preston y Coale "Estimating the completeness of reporting of adullt death in
populations that are approximately stable" 1980 p. 179-202)
Bay, Guiomar; Martinez, Jorge y Macadar, Daniel (2005). "Una Iniciativa Pionero: El
programa IMILA del CELADE en Amrica Latina". IUSSP International Population
Conference, Tours, France.
CELADE (1984). "Mtodos para proyecciones demogrficas". San Jos, Costa Rica.
_____ (1992). "PRODEM. Versin 2.0. National and subnational demographic
projections by microcomputer. User's Manual". Santiago de Chile.
____ (2000). "Boletn Demogrfico No. 65. Migracin Internacional en Amrica Latina
IMILA. Enero de 2005. Santiago de Chile.
_____ (2006) "IMILA, Programa de investigacin de la migracin internacional en
Latinoamrica". Banco de datos actualizado en enero de 2006.
_____ (2006) Observatorio Demogrfico N.o 1. Migracin Internacional.. Abril de
2006. Santiago de Chile.
Coale, J. Ansley y Demeny, Paul (1983). "Regional Life Tables and Stable Populations.
Second Edition". Academic Press. New York.
Grinblat, Joseph Alfred (1995) "Metodologa para proyecciones de mortalidad de la
Divisin de Poblacin de las Naciones Unidas". Seminario: Evolucin futura de la
mortalidad. Santiago de Chile.

129