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| |
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\ .
(1)
where, P
WG, max
and P
furl
are WGs output power at rated and cut
out speeds, respectively. In this study, the exponent m is equal
to 3. Also, in above equation, v
W
refers to wind speed at the
height of WGs hub.
The effect of wind turbine installation height is expressed by
Exponent Law [2], as follows:
h ref
W W
ref
h
v v
h
| |
= |
|
\ .
(2)
where is a constant between 0.14 and 0.25. In this study it
is supposed to be 0.14. The detailed model of the WT type
studied in this work can be found in [2].
2-2- Photovoltaic panel
The output power of PV panels using a set of separate
vertical and horizontal components of the solar irradiation data
is calculated based on the following conventional model [2]:
, ,
1000
PV PV rated PV conv
G
P P =
(3)
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( )
, cos
sin
PV V PV
H PV
G t G t
G t
=
+
(4)
where, G is perpendicular radiation at arrays surface (W/m
2
),
P
PV,rated
is rated power of each PV array at G=1000 W/m
2
, and
PV
is the PV panel tilt angle. G
V
(t) and G
H
(t) are the vertical
and horizontal components of solar irradiation, and,
PV,conv
is
the efficiency of the Maximum Power Point Tracker (MPPT),
connected to it.
2-3- Fuel cell, electrolyzer, hydrogen storage tank and the
inverter
A simplified model to compute the output power of the fuel
cell is to multiply the efficiency of the device by the power of
the input hydrogen [2]:
Fig. 1. Diagram of the stand-alone hybrid energy system under study
FC inv tank FC FC
P P
= (5)
The energy available from the hydrogen stored in tanks is
obtained from the following equation [2]:
( )
( ) ( )
( ) 1
tank tank
el tank tank FC storage
E t E t
P t t P t t
=
+
(6)
where
t
is the simulation time step given 1 hour here.
P
tank_FC
is the transferred power from the hydrogen tank to
the FC. Storage efficiency (
storage
) may present losses
resulted from leakage or pumping, and assumed to be equal
to 95% for all working states [2].
The relation between the mass of hydrogen flow in tanks
and the energy producible from hydrogen is derived from the
following equation [2]:
( )
2
( )
storage
storage
H
E t
m t
HHV
=
(7)
The same story as for fuel cell stands true for electrolyzer
and inverter namely the calculation of power by efficiency:
el tank ren el el
P P
= (8)
( )
inv load FC inv ren inv inv
P P P
= +
(9)
where
inv
is the inverters efficiency. The efficiency is
roughly supposed to be constant for whole the inverters
working range (90%) [2].
3- Reliability
Several reliability indices are referenced and discussed in
[2]. All the indices rely on consideration of the probability of
failure in demand satisfaction during a specified time period.
The most widely used ones are Loss of load expected
(LOLE), Loss of Energy Expectation (LOEE) or Expected
Energy Not Supplied (EENS), Loss of Power Supply
Probability (LPSP), and Equivalent Loss Factor (ELF). The
reader is referred to [2] for detailed formulae of the
mentioned indices.
Whilst all the mentioned indices are evaluated in this work,
the last one namely ELF is selected as the main index of
reliability because it represents the number of outages along
with the unserved energy [6]. The maximum allowed ELF in
the standards applied in developed countries is 0.0001 [2].
However, for the autonomous system designed in that study,
ELF is restricted to 0.01 [6].
( )
( ) 1
1
N
t
Q t
ELF
N D t
=
=
(10)
where Q(t) is the amount of loss of energy and D(t) is the
load demand (kWh) in time step t.
Here, the probability of failure and forced outage for RES
components especially for PV, WT and FC is involved in the
reliability analysis unlike other equipments that are assumed
to be 100 % reliable.
An approximated model is utilized in order to calculate the
mathematical expectation of reliability indices which
considers an average output power of WT units and PV
arrays instead of considering every single outage condition
of WT units and PV arrays [2].
| | ( ) ( )
ren ren p
s S
E P P s f s
(11)
f
p
(s), in the above equation, is the probability of
encountering state s, and P
ren
(s) is the injected power to the
DC bus, generated by renewable sources. The simplified
model for the system under study is achieved as:
| |
ren WG WG WG PV PV PV
E P N P A N P A = + (12)
where, A
WG
and A
PV
are availabilities of each WG and PV
array.
4- Objective function and constraints
The aim of the optimization problem is to achieve a set of
design parameters including number and tilt angle of PV
panels, number of WTs, fuel cells and their unit capacity,
and the capacity of electrolyzer, inverter and hydrogen tank
while a minimum net present value (NPC) of the overall cost
of the system is achieved. The objective function consists of
operational costs during the 20 year lifetime of the system
and initial investments of equipments as well as costs of
ELF (NPC
loss
).
total i loss
i
MinC NPC NPC = +
(13)
The operation and maintenance costs are given by:
( )
i i i i i
NPC N CC RC K MC PWA = + + (14)
K and PWA are factors that convert replacement costs and
operational costs into the net present cost, respectively. The
definition of these factors is well presented in [7]. The NPC
for loss of load is also calculated by:
loss loss
NPC LOEE C PWA =
(15)
The optimization procedure is executed while the
following constraints are satisfied:
ELF should not exceed a defined limit [2]; the variable
representing the number of each component should be a
positive integer; the PV panel inclination angle should take
values in the range of (0,90) degree; and the probability of
failure of RES has a relation with their output power [2]:
( ) ( )
( )
,
fail fail fail
ren WG PV WG WG WG
fail
PV PV PV
P n n N n P
N n P
=
+
(16)
5-Differential Evolutionary Algorithm
Differential evolution algorithm, introduced by Storn and
Price [8], is a simple population based, stochastic
evolutionary algorithm for global optimization and is
capable of handling non-differentiable, nonlinear and multi-
modal objective functions [8]. In DEA, the population
consists of real-valued vectors with dimension D that equals
the number of design parameters. The size of the population
is adjusted by the parameter Np [8]. The initial population is
uniformly distributed in the search space. Each variable k in
an individual i in the generation G is initialized within its
boundaries x
k,min
and x
k,max
. At each generation, two
operators, namely mutation and crossover (recombination),
are applied to each individual; thus producing the new
population. Then, a selection phase takes place, where each
individual of the new population is compared to the
corresponding individual of the old population, and the best
of them is selected as a member of the population in the next
generation. In the following, the evolutionary operators are
briefly described. The first step is the mutation that can be
described as follows:
, 1 1, 2, 3,
V .( )
i G r G r G r G
X F X X
+
= + (17)
Where X
ri,G
is randomly chosen vector among the
population in the generation G; F is a constant within (0, 2);
and V
i,G+1
is the trial vector. If X
r1,G
is replaced by X
best,G
,
another form of DE called BDE will be formed. In the
second step called the crossover step, equation (17) is used
to determine the trial vector that may replace the current
vector in the next population with the probability of
crossover constant (CR) which is between 0 and 1 [8].
, , 1 ,
, , 1
, , 1
j i G j i
j i G
j i G
V if rand CR or j i
U
X otherwise
+
+
+
=
(18)
In the above equation, rand
j,i
is a random number
generated within the range 0 and 1. Finally, the selection
phase is performed and the generated vector is tested by
being compared with the best vector of prior iteration. These
steps are repeated in times of a defined number of iterations
or the algorithm is terminated if the stop circumstances are
confirmed [9].
6- Results
A case study is performed on a hybrid energy system with
the same configuration as explained in section 2. The
characteristics of components applied in system simulation
are depicted in table 1. Hourly wind speed and solar
irradiation (horizontal and vertical) data for a year pertaining
to a region (38 14' 57" N / 48 18' 5" E) in North West of
Iran is used in the simulation [2]. The load profile
considered in this work is the IEEE reliability test system
(with 50 kW at peak) [2].
The cost of loss of energy, the system expected lifespan
and the internal rate of return (IRR) are considered 5.6
($/kWh), 20 years and 6%, respectively [2].
Optimization results including the costs and reliability
indices are presented in Table 2. While the cost is
minimized, the resulted value of ELF has conformed to the
standard and is less than predetermined value (0.01) which
expresses the validity of the results. The resulting optimal
configuration of the hybrid system is shown in Table 3.
Table 4 presents the comparison between DE and PSO as
two widely used optimization methods where the result
achieved by the former outperforms the result of the latter.
Illustration of PSO algorithm is found in [9].
The amount of hydrogen stored in tanks and reliability
indices during a year are shown in Fig. 2 and 3, respectively.
As shown in Fig. 3, all reliability indices are within
permissible ranges.
7-Conclusions
In this work, cost minimization of a stand-alone hybrid
energy system comprising photovoltaics, wind turbines and
fuel cells through the overall 20-years life time of the system
was performed considering reliability constraints. System
costs such as investment cost, operation and maintenance
cost and the cost associated with loss of load were included
in the objective function. The simulation was performed for
a region in North West of Iran. The mixed-integer nonlinear
optimization problem was solved by differential
Evolutionary algorithm. To provide a time-efficient solution
process for the optimization problem, an approximated
reliability model was utilized for reliability assessment. With
regard to obtained results, the overall system cost was
optimized, while the reliability indices lied within a
satisfactory bound with regard to the reliability standards.
The proposed solution method outperforms the particle
swarm optimization (PSO) in solving the problem under
study.
Table 1
Specification of equipment used in optimization of the hybrid system [5].
Table 2
Optimization results for the case study.
OLE
(hr/yr)
LOEE
(mWh/yr)
LPSP ELF Present value of LOEE
cost for 20 year (106 $)
Investment cost
(106 $)
Present value of
Total energy cost
for 20 year
(106 $)
336 2.4 0.009 0.008 0.15 2.3 2.7
Table 3
Optimal configuration of the hybrid system
PV
( ) P
INV
(KW) P
FC
(KW)
M
TANK
(KG) P
EL
(KW) N
PV
N
WT
Equipment
Capital cost
($/unit)
Replacement cost
($/unit)
Maintenance cost
($/unit-year)
Lifetime(y
ear)
Efficiency(%) Availability(
%)
Wind turbine 19400 15000 75 20 - 96
Photovoltaic arrays 7000 6000 20 20 - 96
Electrolyzer 2000 1500 25 20 75 100
Hydrogen storage tank 1300 1200 15 20 95 100
Fuel cell 3000 2500 175 5 50 100
Inverter (DC/AC) 800 750 8 15 90 99/89
34.1 46.7 43.4 144.2 119.4 224 8
Table 4
Comparison between result achieved by DE as compared with PSO algorithm for present value of Total energy cost for 20 year.
PSO DE
2.9 2.7 Present value of Total energy cost for 20 year (10
6
$)
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
time [hour]
E
t
a
n
k
[
k
W
h
]
Fig. 2. Hydrogen Storage tank expected stored energy
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
0
0.5
1
L
O
L
E
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
0
10
20
30
40
L
O
E
E
[
k
W
h
]
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
0
0.5
1
E
L
F
time [hour]
Fig. 3. Reliability indices for the simulation year.
8- References
[1] Pavlos S. Georgilakis, Yiannis A. Katsigiannis,
Reliability and economic evaluation of small
autonomous power systems containing only
renewable energy sources, Renewable Energy 34
(2009) 6570.
[2] Kashefi Kaviani, G.H. Riahy, SH.M. Kouhsari,
Optimal design of a reliable hydrogen-based stand-
alone wind/PV generating system, considering
component outages, Renewable Energy 34 (2009)
23802390.
[3] L. Ntziachristos, C. Kouridis, Z. Samaras, K. Pattas,
2005.A Wind-power Fuel-cell Hybrid System Study
on the Non-interconnected Aegean Island Grid,
Renewable Energy 30 (2005) 1471-1487.
[4] T. Monai, I. Takano, H. Nishikawa, Y. Sawada,
2002.Response Characteristics and Operation
Methods of New Type Dispersed Power Supply
System Using PhotovoltaicU, UFuel Cell and SMES,
Power Engineering Society Summer Meeting, IEEE,
pages 1231-1236.
[5] Wei Zhou, Chengzhi Lou, Zhongshi Li, Lin Lu,
Hongxing Yang, 2010. Current status of research on
optimum sizing of stand-alone hybrid solarwind
power generation systems, Applied Energy 87 (2010)
380389.
[6] R.S. Garcia, D. Weisser, A Winddiesel System
with Hydrogen Storage: Joint Optimization of Design
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2320.
[7] S.M. Hakimi, S.M. Tafreshi, A. Kashefi, 2007. Unit
Sizing of a Stand-alone Hybrid Power System Using
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