You are on page 1of 36

www.wunan.com.

tw
(02)2705-5066

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

20

21

1.

2.

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

iii

3.

4.

5.

6.
SAS
MINITABSPSS

iv

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066


2013 2

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066


20

21

1.

2.

vi

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

3.

H1 H0

4.

5.

SASMINITABSPSS

WORD

6.
PowerPoint

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

vii


.......................................................................................................................... iii
.................................................................................................. vi

1
1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

10

16
16

19
2.1

20

2.2

23

2.3

37

2.4

Excel 43

50
50
51

viii

55

3.1

57

3.2

61

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

3.3

67

3.4

71

3.5

77

80
81

85
4.1

87

4.2

95

4.3

102

4.4

107

111
111

115

5.1

116

5.2

5.3

X 124

5.4

S2 128

5.5

130

122

133
133

137
6.1

(Point Estimation)138

6.2

142

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

ix

6.3

(Interval Estimation)145

6.4

s2 152

6.5

p 154

6.6

157

6.7

SPSS 160

164
164

169
7.1

170

7.2

m 176

7.3

s2 183

7.4

p 185

7.5

SPSS 188

192
193

197
8.1

199

8.2

(The One-Way Analysis of Variance)202

8.3

(The Randomized Block Design)206

8.4

(Two-Way Analysis of Variance)211

8.5

SPSS 219

225
226
228

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

235
9.1

238

9.2

244

9.3

253

9.4

260

9.5

SPSS 265

273
273

10

279

10.1

281

10.2

(Sign Test)282

10.3

(Wilcoxon Sign Rank Test)286

10.4

(Wilcoxon rank-sum Test)289

10.5

Mood 294

10.6

(Kolmogorov- Smirnov Test)296

10.7

(Kruskal-Wallis Test)302

10.8

305

10.9

(Spearman Rank Correlation Test)308

10.10

SPSS 312

324
325
326

11

11.1

333
334

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

xi

11.2

336

11.3

342

11.4

347

11.5

SPSS 350

362
362

12

367

12.1 369
12.2 370
12.3 376
380
380

13

383

13.1 386
13.2 389
13.3 393
13.4 ARIMA 396
13.5 405
13.6 407
412
412

............................................................................................................ 417
A ................................................................................................ 423
xii

B .................................................................................... 449
www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

R. A.

19

statistics statisticum collegium


statista statistik Gottfried Achenwall
(1749)
19

150

17
(statistics) (state)

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

1.1

1%

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

H1N1 ?

(1) (2)
(3) (4) (5)

10%

20

(1) (2)
(3) (4)
(5)

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

1.2

3000
(Babylonians)

2000 594

1086
Domesday Book16
1662 Observations on the
London Bills of Mortality

19
1.
Achenwall (1690)
2.
Graunt (1662) Petty (1690)

3.
www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

(Laplace, 1812) (Chebychev)


(Markov) 1890
4. Quetelet 1853 1
(Gauss) (Laplace)
(1930)

19 20
1. (Fisher) 1935

2.
Knies (1821-1898) Engel (1821-1889)
3.
Galton (1880)
Person (1901)

4. Student (1908) W. S. Gosset


Gibbs (1870)
(Phase rule)Boltzmann (1877)

20
1.
Neyman PearsonK. Pearson
1933 C. R. Rao
BlackwellLemannScheffe 1960

2. 1930

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

(Wilcoxon, 1945) Hajek


Sidak (1967)
3. (Kolmogrov, 1933)
Cochran (1963)

1.3

(R. A. Fisher, 1890-1962)

1.1

(population) (parameter)
www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

1.1

(sample) (statistics)

1.1

1.1
8

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

1.4

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

8.

1.5

(state)
(information)
(statistics)

18
(descriptive statistics)
19
20

(inferential statistics)
(analytic statistics)

10

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

(estimation) (testing hypothesis)

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

11

1930

(1)
(2) (3)

12

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

(W. Edwards Deming)


14

SASMINITABSPSS

Neural NetworkFuzzy TheoryGenetic


www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

13

AlgorithmsRough Set

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

21
(fuzzy statistical analysis)
(model free)

14

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

1.
2.

3.

4.

1.

2.

3.

4.

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

15

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

21

1.1

(a)
(b)

(c)
(d)

16

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 1

1.2
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
1.3

(a)
(b)

(c)
(d)

1.4

1.5

1.6

(a)
(b)

(c)

(d)

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

17

Chapter 2

1h77

, ,

Ch2

www.wunan.com.tw
Ch4
(02)2705-5066
,

19

iPhone 4S Android
2012-01-19
http://news.cnyes.com/content/20120119/KFHZSZ38C6L5F.shtml

IT PCWorld18 iPhone 4S
(Apple Inc.)(AAPL-US) Android

44.5% (12) iPhone


10 1 Android 10
61.6% 46.9%Android 46.3%

iPhone Android RIM


10 7.7% 4.5% (Nielsen)
NPD
NPD 3 26% 10 11
43% Android 60% 47%
NPD 3 Phone 4SiPhone 4
iPhone 3GS Android

iPhone Android

2.1

20

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 2

(1) (nominal scale)(2) (ordinal


scale)(3) (metric scale)(4) (ratio scale)

01ab
cd123
1234

(mutually exclusive)
(exhaustively)

1234
=1231
2345
2 1 3 2 2 1 3 2

180 170
www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

21

165 155

(survey) (experiment)

1.

2.

22

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

Chapter 2

(census)

2.2

2009
2.1 2009 4 8
4
103.75 8 106.17 7 8

2.1
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4) (3:5)

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

23

106.5

120

106

105.5
105
104.5
104
103.5

110
100
90

103
102.5

80

2009

2009

2.14 8

ExcelMinitabSAS
SPSSMatlab
(window)

1. 2. 3.

1.

24

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066


. .
, 2013. 03

ISBN 978-957-11-6776-3
1.
510

101014859

1H77

106 339 4

(02)2705-5066

http://www.wunan.com.tw

(02)2706-6100

wunan@wunan.com.tw
01068953

(04)2223-0891

(04)2223-3549

290

(07)2358-702

(07)2350-236

2013 3

580

www.wunan.com.tw
(02)2705-5066

You might also like