Professional Documents
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Chapter 8
Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single
Populations
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
The overall learning objective of Chapter 8 is to help you
understand estimating
parameters of single populations, thereby enabling you to:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
CHAPTER OUTLINE
8.1
known).
when the
Sample Size is Small
Using the Computer to Construct z Confidence
Intervals for the
Mean
8.2 Estimating the Population Mean Using the t Statistic (
unknown).
The t Distribution
Robustness
Characteristics of the t Distribution.
Reading the t Distribution Table
Confidence Intervals to Estimate the Population Mean
Using the t
Statistic
Using the Computer to Construct t Confidence
Intervals for the
Mean
8.3
Intervals of the
Population Proportion
8.4
KEY WORDS
Bounds
Chi-square Distribution
Degrees of Freedom(df)
Error of Estimation
Interval Estimate
Point Estimate
Robust
Sample-Size Estimation
t Distribution
t Value
= 25
= 3.5
95% Confidence
x z
b)
n = 60
z.025 = 1.96
= 25 + 1.96
= 119.6
98% Confidence
x
xz
3.5
60
= 25 + 0.89 =
= 23.89
n = 75
z.01 = 2.33
n = 119.6 + 2.33
23 .89
119.6 6.43 = 113.17 < <
75 =
126.03
c)
x = 3.419
90% C.I.
xz
d)
= 56.7
= 0.974
n = 32
z.05 = 1.645
= 3.419 + 1.645
0.974
32
= 12.1
N = 500
n = 47
z.10 = 1.28
12 .1
N n
= 56.7 + 1.28
N 1
47
500 47
500 1
xz
= 211 1.96
8.3 n = 81
90% C.I.
xz
= 5.89
5.89
81
= 90.4
Point Estimate
94% C.I.
z.03 = 1.88
49
= 90.4 1.88 70
n
8.5 n = 39
96% C.I.
xz
2 = 49
= 90.4
xz
23
36
= 47
z.05=1.645
= 47 1.645
8.4 n = 70
x
= 211
= 23
z.025 = 1.96
N = 200
z.02 = 2.05
N n
11
= 66 2.05
N 1
39
= 11
= 66
200 39
200 1
= 66
Point Estimate
8.6 n = 120
99% C.I.
x
= 18.72
xz
8.7 N = 1500
95% C.I.
= 0.8735
= 18.72
z.005 = 2.575
x
Point Estimate
= 18.72 2.575
n = 187
z.025 = 1.96
0.8735
120
x
= 5.3 years
= 1.28 years
= 5.3 years
xz
Point Estimate
1.28
N n
= 5.3 1.96
N 1
187
1500 187
1500 1
8.9
= 5.625 1.645
n = 36
98% C.I.
xz
= 3.306 2.33
= 2.139
xz
= 1.17
= 3.306
z.01 = 2.33
90% C.I.
3.23
24
8.10 n = 36
x
= 3.23
= 5.625
z.05 = 1.645
1.17
36
= .113
= 2.139
Point Estimate
z.05 = 1.645
= 2.139 1.645
(. 113 )
= 2.139 .031 = 2.108 < < 2.170
36
= 24.533
xz
n = 45
= 5.124
= 24.533 + 1.96
z = + 1.96
5.124
45
< 26.030
n = 41
8.13 n = 13
= 45.62
s = 5.694
df = 13 1 = 12
5.694
s
= 45.62 2.179
13
n
8.14 n = 12
= 319.17
s = 9.104
df = 12 - 1 = 11
/2 = .05
x t
323.89
t.05,11 = 1.796
9.104
s
= 319.17 (1.796)
12
n
= 319.17 4.72 =
8.15 n = 41
= 128.4
s = 20.6
df = 41 1 = 40
s
20 .6
= 128.4 2.423
= 128.4 7.80 = 120.6 < < 136.2
n
41
8.16 n = 15
= 2.364
s2 = 0.81
df = 15 1 = 14
s
= 2.364 1.761
n
8.17 n = 25
= 16.088
0.81
15
s = .817
df = 25 1 = 24
/2 = .005
t.005,24 = 2.797
x t
x
(. 817 )
s
= 16.088 2.797
= 16.088 .457 = 15.631 < < 16.545
n
25
= 1,192
s = 279
df = n - 1 = 21
t.01,21 = 2.518
279
s
= 1,192 + 2.518
= 1,192 + 149.78 = 1,042.22 <
22
n
< 1,341.78
8.19
n = 20
x
df = 19
= 2.36116
95% CI
t.025,19 = 2.093
s = 0.19721
2.36116 + 2.093
0.1972
20
< 2.45346
8.20 n = 28
= 5.335
s = 2.016
df = 28 1 = 27
/2 = .05
t.05,27 = 1.703
x t
8.21 n = 10
2.016
s
= 5.335 1.703
28
n
95% Confidence
x t
8.22
n = 14
= 49.8
s = 18.22
/2 = .025
18 .22
s
= 49.8 2.262
10
n
98% confidence
df = 10 1 = 9
t.025,9 = 2.262
= 49.8 + 13.03 = 36.77 < < 62.83
/2 = .01
df = 13
= 152.16
confidence interval:
s = 14.42
14 .42
s
= 152.16 + 2.65
14
n
x t
< 162.37
8.23
n = 17
df = 17 1 = 16
/2 = .005
99% confidence
t.005,16 = 2.921
from data:
= 8.06
confidence interval:
x t
8.24
s = 5.07
s
5.07
= 8.06 + 2.921
n
17
< 11.65
The point estimate is x which is 25.4134 hours. The sample size is 26 skiffs.
The confidence level is 98%. The confidence interval is:
s
s
x t
x t
= 22.8124 < < 28.0145
n
n
The error of the confidence interval is 2.6.011.
a)
n = 44
p q
= .51 2.575
n
p z
b)
d)
8.26
a)
= .48
p z
p q
= .48 1.645
n
n = 95
p z
p q
= .32 1.555
n
n = 116
116
99% C.I.
z.005 = 2.575
(. 51 )(. 49 )
= .51 .194 = .316 < p< .704
44
95% C.I.
z.025 = 1.96
(. 82 )(. 18 )
= .82 .043 = .777 < p < .863
300
90% C.I.
z.05 = 1.645
(. 48 )(. 52 )
= .48 .024 = .456 < p < .504
1150
88% C.I.
z.06 = 1.555
(. 32 )(. 68 )
= .32 .074 = .246 < p < .394
95
99% C.I.
z.005 = 2.575
= .49
p q
= .49 2.575
n
n = 800
= .32
x = 57
= x = 57
p z
x = 479
(. 49 )(. 51 )
116
97% C.I.
z.015 = 2.17
x
479
=
= .60
n 800
p z
c)
= .82
p q
= .82 1.96
n
n = 1150
b)
n = 300
p z
c)
=.51
n = 240
p q
= .60 2.17
n
x = 106
(. 60 )(. 40 )
800
85% C.I.
d)
p z
p q
= .44 1.44
n
n = 60
x = 21
p z
8.27
x 106
=
= .44
n 240
90% C.I.
z.05 = 1.645
x
21
=
= .35
n 60
p q
= .35 1.645
n
n = 85
(. 44 )(. 56 )
= .44 .046 = .394 < p < .486
240
x = 40
(. 35 )(. 65 )
= .35 .10 = .25 < p < .45
60
90% C.I.
z.05 = 1.645
= x = 40 = .47
p z
85
p q
= .47 1.645
n
95% C.I.
p z
z.025 = 1.96
p q
= .47 1.96
n
99% C.I.
p z
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .09 = .38 < p < .56
85
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .11 = .36 < p < .58
85
z.005 = 2.575
p q
= .47 2.575
n
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .14 = .33 < p < .61
85
All other things being constant, as the confidence increased, the width of the
interval increased.
8.28
n = 1003
= .255
99% CI
z.005 = 2.575
p z
n = 10,000
= .255
99% CI
p q
= .255 + 2.575
n
p z
z.005 = 2.575
The confidence interval constructed using n = 1003 is wider than the confidence
interval constructed using n = 10,000. One might conclude that, all other things
being constant, increasing the sample size reduces the width of the confidence
interval.
8.29
n = 560
p q
= .47 + 1.96
n
p z
n = 560
p z
8.30
p z
= .28
p q
= .28 + 1.645
n
n = 1250
= .47
x = 997
95% CI
z.025 = 1.96
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 + .0413 = .4287 < p < .5113
560
90% CI
z.05 = 1.645
(. 28 )(. 72 )
= .28 + .0312 = .2488 < p < .3112
560
98% C.I.
z.01 = 2.33
x
997
=
= .80
n 1250
p q
= .80 2.33
n
(. 80 )(. 20 )
= .80 .026 = .774 < p < .826
1250
n = 3481
a)
b)
x = 927
x
927
=
= .266
n 3481
99% C.I.
p z
z.005 = 2.575
p q
= .266 + 2.575
n
8.32
n = 89
x = 48
p q
= .54 1.44
n
= .63
n = 275
p z
n = 672
p q
= .63 + 1.96
n
p z
8.34
z.075 = 1.44
x
48
=
= .54
n 89
p z
8.33
85% C.I.
x = 121
(. 54 )(. 46 )
89
95% Confidence
z.025 = + 1.96
(. 63 )(. 37 )
= .63 + .0365 = .5935 < p < .6665
672
98% confidence
z.01 = 2.33
x 121
=
= .44
n 275
p q
= .44 2.33
n
(. 44 )(. 56 )
275
a)
n = 12
.995,11
18.46 <
n=7
= 4.37
.975,6
= 2.60320
b)
s2 = 44.9
= 28.4
.005,11
df = 12 1 = 11
= 26.7569
< 189.73
= 1.23734
0.64 <
< 7.46
n = 20
= 105
s2 = 1.5376
s = 1.24
(7 1)(1.5376 )
<
14 .4494
c)
<
99% C.I.
.025,6
95% C.I. df = 7 1 = 6
= 14.4494
(7 1)(1.5376 )
1.23734
<
s2 = 1024
s = 32
90% C.I.
df = 20 1 =
19
.95,19
( 20 1)(1024 )
<
30 .1435
d)
= 10.11701
2
645.45 <
n = 17
s2 = 18.56
.90,16
<
.05,19
= 30.1435
( 20 1)(1024 )
10 .11701
< 1923.10
80% C.I.
= 9.31224
12.61 <
< 31.89
<
.10,16
= 23.5418
df = 17 1 = 16
s2 = 37.1833
n = 16
.99,15
= 5.22936
18.24 <
8.37
n = 20
.99,19
.01,15
<
= 30.5780
s2 = 18.49
= 7.63270
df = 16-1 = 15
< 106.66
s = 4.3
9.71 <
98% C.I.
.01,19
98% C.I.
df = 20 1 = 19
= 36.1908
( 20 1)(18 .49 )
7.63270
<
< 46.03
8.38
s2 = 3.067
n = 15
.995,14
= 4.07466
1.37 <
8.39
n = 14
99% C.I.
.005,14
df = 15 1 = 14
= 31.3194
<
< 10.54
s2 = 26,798,241.76
95% C.I.
df = 14 1 = 13
.975,13
= 5.00874
.025,13
14,084,038.51 <
= 24.7356
2
<
< 69,553,848.45
a)
= 36
n=
E=5
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 2 (1.96) 2 (36) 2
= 199.15
=
E2
52
Sample 200
b)
= 4.13
n=
E=1
99% Confidence
z 2 2 (2.575 ) 2 (4.13) 2
=
E2
12
= 113.1
Sample 114
c)
E = 10
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645 ) 2 (105 ) 2
n =
= 298.3
=
E2
10 2
Sample 299
d)
E=3
Range = 108 - 50 = 58
z.06 = 1.555
Sample 57
= 56.5
z.005 = 2.575
8.41
a)
E = .02
p = .40
96% Confidence
z.02 = 2.05
z 2 p q ( 2.05 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
=
n =
= 2521.5
E2
(. 02 ) 2
Sample 2522
b)
E = .04
p = .50
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 600.25
E2
(. 04 ) 2
n =
Sample 601
c)
E = .05
n =
p = .55
90% Confidence
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 55 )(. 45 )
=
= 267.9
E2
(. 05 ) 2
Sample 268
d)
E =.01
n =
p = .50
99% Confidence
z.005 = 2.575
z 2 p q (2.575 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 16,576.6
E2
(. 01) 2
Sample 16,577
8.42
E = $200
= $1,000
99% Confidence
z 2 2 (2.575 ) 2 (1000 ) 2
n =
= 165.77
=
E2
200 2
Sample 166
z.005 = 2.575
= $12.50
E = $2
n =
90% Confidence
Sample 106
8.44
E = $100
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645 ) 2 ( 475 ) 2
= 61.05
=
E2
100 2
Sample 62
8.45
p = .20
q = .80
90% Confidence,
n =
E = .02
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 20 )(. 80 )
=
= 1082.41
E2
(. 02 ) 2
Sample 1083
8.46
p = .50
q = .50
95% Confidence,
E = .05
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
n =
E2
(. 05 ) 2
Sample 385
8.47 E = .10
p = .50
q = .50
= 384.16
z.05 = 1.645
95% Confidence,
n =
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 96.04
E2
(. 10 ) 2
Sample 97
8.48
= 7.75
= 45.6
80% confidence
x z
z.01 = 2.33
= 45 .6 2.33
42.55 <
7.75
= 45.6 + 2.46
35
< 48.06
98% confidence
x z
z.03 = 1.88
= 45 .6 1.88
43.14 <
7.75
= 45.6 + 1.68
35
< 47.28
94% confidence
x z
z.10 = 1.28
= 45 .6 1.28
43.92 <
n = 35
< 48.65
7.75
= 45.6 + 3.05
35
/2 = .05
s
n
= 12 .03 1.833
11.78 <
(. 4373 )
10
s
n
(. 4373 )
10
a)
(. 4373 )
10
t.005,9 = 3.25
= 12.03 + .45
< 12.48
n = 715
p =
t.025,9 = 2.262
= 12.03 + .31
/2 = .005
= 12 .03 3.25
11.58 <
8.50
t.05,9= 1.833
< 12.34
df = 9
= 12.03 + .25
/2 = .025
= 12 .03 2.262
11.72 <
x t
n = 10
< 12.28
s = .4373
x = 329
95% confidence
z.025 = 1.96
329
= .46
715
p z
p q
(. 46 )(. 54 )
= .46 1.96
= .46 + .0365
n
715
n = 284
z
p
= .71
q
p
= .71 1.645
n
90% confidence
z.05 = 1.645
(. 71)(. 29 )
= .71 + .0443
284
n = 1250
= .48
95% confidence
z.025 = 1.96
p z
n = 457
p =
x = 270
98% confidence
z.01 = 2.33
270
= .591
457
p q
(. 591 )(. 409 )
= .591 2.33
= .591 + .0536
n
457
p z
8.51
n = 10
90% confidence,
.95,9
s2 = 54.7667
s = 7.40045
= 3.32512
/2 = .05
29.133 <
.975,9
= 2.70039
<
= 16.9190
/2 = .025
25.911 <
.05,9
1 - /2 = .95
< 148.235
95% confidence,
df = 10 1 = 9
< 182.529
.025,9
<
1 - /2 = .975
= 19.0228
8.52
a)
= 44
n =
E=3
95% confidence
z 2 2 (1.96 ) 2 (44) 2
= 826.4
=
E2
32
Sample 827
b)
E=2
Range = 88 - 20 = 68
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645 ) 2 (17 ) 2
= 195.5
=
E2
22
Sample 196
c)
E = .04
p = .50
98% confidence
q = .50
z.01 = 2.33
z 2 p q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 848.3
E2
(. 04 ) 2
Sample 849
d)
E = .03
p = .70
95% confidence
q = .30
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 70 )(. 30 )
=
= 896.4
E2
(. 03 ) 2
Sample 897
z.025 = 1.96
n = 17
= 10.765
99% confidence
s = 2.223
/2 = .005
s
2.223
= 10 .765 2.921
n
17
x t
df = 17 - 1 = 16
t.005,16 = 2.921
= 10.765 + 1.575
8.54
p = .40
n =
E=.03
90% Confidence
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
=
= 721.61
E2
(. 03 ) 2
Sample 722
8.55
s2 = 4.941
n = 17
.995,16
99% C.I.
= 5.14216
2.307 <
8.56 n = 45
<
.005,16
= 34.2671
< 15.374
= 213
98% Confidence
xz
df = 17 1 = 16
= 213 2.33
= 48
z.01 = 2.33
48
= 213 16.67
45
n = 39
= 37.256
90% confidence
x z
= 3.891
z.05 = 1.645
= 37 .256 1.645
3.891
= 37.256 1.025
39
8.58
= 6
E=1
98% Confidence
z.98 = 2.33
z 2 2 ( 2.33) 2 (6) 2
n =
= 195.44
=
E2
12
Sample 196
8.59
n = 1,255
p =
714
1255
z
p
x = 714
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
= .569
q
p
= .569 1.96
n
n = 41
s = 21
x =128
98% C.I.
t.01,40 = 2.423
Point Estimate = $128
s
21
= 128 2.423
= 128 + 7.947
n
41
x t
120.053 <
< 135.947
8.61
n = 60
= 6.717
98% Confidence
xz
s
n
= 3.06
N = 300
z.01 = 2.33
N n
3.06
= 6.717 2.33
N 1
60
300 60
=
300 1
6.717 0.825
5.892 < < 7.542
8.62 E = $20
z.025 = 1.96
Sample 196
df = 41 1 = 40
n = 245
p =
x = 189
90% Confidence
z.05= 1.645
x 189
=
= .77
n 245
p q
= .77 1.645
n
p z
(. 77 )(. 23 )
=
245
.77 .044
8.64
n = 90
p =
x = 30
x 30
=
n 90
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
= .33
p q
(. 33 )(. 67 )
= .33 1.96
= .33 .097
n
90
p z
8.65
n = 12
s2 = 228
= 43.7
df = 12 1 = 11
t.025,11 = 2.201
x t
s
n
34.11 <
.99,11
228
= 43 .7 2.201
= 43.7 + 9.59
< 53.29
= 3.05350
101.44 <
12
<
< 821.35
.01,11
= 24.7250
95% C.I.
n = 27
95% CI:
x t
= 4.82
s = 0.37
df = 26
t.025,26 = 2.056
s
0.37
= 4.82 2.056
= 4.82 + .1464
n
27
8.67
n = 77
= 2.48
95% Confidence
xz
= 12
z.025 = 1.96
= 2.48 1.96
12
77
= 2.48 2.68
8.68
n = 560
99% Confidence
p z
=.33
z.005= 2.575
p q
= .33 2.575
n
(. 33 )(. 67 )
560
= .33 .05
p = .50
E = .05
98% Confidence
z.01 = 2.33
z 2 p q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 542.89
E2
(. 05 ) 2
Sample 543
8.70
n = 27
= 2.10
98% confidence
x t
s = 0.86
/2 = .01
df = 27 - 1 = 26
t.01,26 = 2.479
s
0.86
= 2.10 2.479
= 2.10 0.41
n
27
8.71
n = 23
df = 23 1 = 22
.95,22
= 12.33801
.05,22
.0026 <
8.72
n = 39
x z
s = .0631455
90% C.I.
= 33.9245
<
< .0071
= 1.294
= 1.294 2.575
= 0.205
0.205
39
99% Confidence
= 1.294 .085
z.005 = 2.575
8.73
The sample mean fill for the 58 cans is 11.9788 oz. with a standard deviation of
.0536 oz. The 99% confidence interval for the population fill is 11.9607 oz. to
11.9969 oz. which does not include 12 oz. We are 99% confident that the
population mean is not 12 oz., indicating that the machine may be under filling
the cans.
8.74
The point estimate for the average length of burn of the new bulb is 2198.217
hours. Eighty-four bulbs were included in this study. A 90% confidence interval
can be constructed from the information given. The error of the confidence
interval is + 27.76691. Combining this with the point estimate yields the 90%
confidence interval of 2198.217 + 27.76691 = 2170.450 < < 2225.984.
8.75
The point estimate for the average age of a first time buyer is 27.63 years. The
sample of 21 buyers produces a standard deviation of 6.54 years. We are 98%
confident that the actual population mean age of a first-time home buyer is
between 24.0222 years and 31.2378 years.
8.76
A poll of 781 American workers was taken. Of these, 506 drive their cars to
work. Thus, the point estimate for the population proportion is 506/781 = .
647887. A 95% confidence interval to estimate the population proportion shows
that we are 95% confident that the actual value lies between .61324 and .681413.
The error of this interval is + .0340865.