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Rank Final odd

12
7
6
9
12
10
4
10
9
1
12
10
2
6
8
2
10
5
4
4
12
1
7
12
3
10
1
12
12
8
11
7
4
9
6
2
9
10
3
4
9
1
12
8
3
10
12
12
12
4
9
4
7
6

63
25
5.5
36
44
74
11
16
42
6.9
15
49
8.1
31
16
18
16
12
10
37
99
9.2
22
25
55
24
12
13
46
13
89
15
54
27
14
6.5
29
19
7.8
99
39
17
25
34
24
31
16
99
37
32
7.3
12
18
20

Public estimated
probability of win
0.013015873
0.0328
0.149090909
0.022777778
0.018636364
0.011081081
0.074545455
0.05125
0.01952381
0.11884058
0.054666667
0.016734694
0.101234568
0.026451613
0.05125
0.045555556
0.05125
0.068333333
0.082
0.022162162
0.008282828
0.089130435
0.037272727
0.0328
0.014909091
0.034166667
0.068333333
0.063076923
0.017826087
0.063076923
0.009213483
0.054666667
0.015185185
0.03037037
0.058571429
0.126153846
0.028275862
0.043157895
0.105128205
0.008282828
0.021025641
0.048235294
0.0328
0.024117647
0.034166667
0.026451613
0.05125
0.008282828
0.022162162
0.025625
0.112328767
0.068333333
0.045555556
0.041

Variance
0.01284646
0.03172416
0.12686281
0.02225895
0.01828905
0.01095829
0.06898843
0.04862344
0.01914263
0.1047175
0.05167822
0.01645464
0.09098613
0.02575193
0.04862344
0.04348025
0.04862344
0.06366389
0.075276
0.021671
0.00821422
0.0811862
0.03588347
0.03172416
0.01468681
0.03299931
0.06366389
0.05909822
0.01750832
0.05909822
0.00912859
0.05167822
0.0149546
0.02944801
0.05514082
0.11023905
0.02747634
0.04129529
0.09407627
0.00821422
0.02058356
0.04590865
0.03172416
0.02353599
0.03299931
0.02575193
0.04862344
0.00821422
0.021671
0.02496836
0.09971102
0.06366389
0.04348025
0.039319

Expected total number of wins


Actual number of wins
F(x)
Total number of rides
Sum of Variance
1st
2nd
3rd
Lost
adjusted %

4.824819
5
0.533072
98
4.455406
5
4
8
81
18.78%

7
10
12
4
8
11
10
11
11
12
4
6
10
3
12
3
6
10
12
9
7
9
8
6
8
12
7
3
4
9
6
5
10
8
6
3
6
3
1
4
8
4
2
7

20
58
6.9
21
67
87
23
49
10
99
20
44
45
43
14
11
55
5.9
33
52
24
17
36
10
46
21
41
12
53
16
12
4.4
6.9
16
9.8
9.6
11
9.9
9.7
5.6
22
17
34
26

0.041
0.014137931
0.11884058
0.039047619
0.012238806
0.009425287
0.035652174
0.016734694
0.082
0.008282828
0.041
0.018636364
0.018222222
0.019069767
0.058571429
0.074545455
0.014909091
0.138983051
0.024848485
0.015769231
0.034166667
0.048235294
0.022777778
0.082
0.017826087
0.039047619
0.02
0.068333333
0.015471698
0.05125
0.068333333
0.186363636
0.11884058
0.05125
0.083673469
0.085416667
0.074545455
0.082828283
0.084536082
0.146428571
0.037272727
0.048235294
0.024117647
0.031538462
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.039319
0.01393805
0.1047175
0.0375229
0.01208902
0.00933645
0.0343811
0.01645464
0.075276
0.00821422
0.039319
0.01828905
0.01789017
0.01870611
0.05514082
0.06898843
0.01468681
0.11966676
0.02423104
0.01552056
0.03299931
0.04590865
0.02225895
0.075276
0.01750832
0.0375229
0.0196
0.06366389
0.01523232
0.04862344
0.06366389
0.15163223
0.1047175
0.04862344
0.07667222
0.07812066
0.06898843
0.07596776
0.07738973
0.12498724
0.03588347
0.04590865
0.02353599
0.03054379
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
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0
0

0
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0
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0
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0

0
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0
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0
0
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0
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0

0
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0
0
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0

0
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0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
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0
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0
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0

0
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0
0
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0
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0

0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
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0

0
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0
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0
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0
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0

0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0

0
0
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0
0
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0

0
0
0
0
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0
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0
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0
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0
0
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0
0

0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
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0
0
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0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
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0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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0

0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0

0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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0

0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Jockey

D Whyte
B Preeble
O Doleuze
G Mosse
F Coetzee
Y T Cheng
M Nunes
E Saint-Martin
C W Wong
A Delpech
D Nikolic
K L Chui
W M Lai
S Dye
C K Tong
H W Lai

Expected total
number of wins

Actual number of
wins

103.50
71.21
57.40
56.90
51.32
31.32
32.86
34.83
24.15
28.60
29.34
30.91
23.90
27.89
23.64
19.89

91
81
67
56
49
39
36
35
29
28
27
24
24
24
22
21

Cumulative
Frequency

43.71%
57.05%
57.90%
49.24%
47.81%
60.95%
54.42%
50.23%
58.93%
49.03%
46.18%
39.78%
50.19%
43.39%
46.82%
52.42%

Total number of
rides

633
507
540
523
520
530
481
373
408
409
431
419
431
322
396
429

Barrier
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Expected total
number of Actual number
wins
of wins
14.69
22
14.26
18
11.49
9
11.13
12
10.46
8
10.11
6
10.10
9
7.83
9
7.46
6
6.51
5
4.96
4
4.82
5

Cumulative Total number


Frequency
of rides
72.80%
112
62.60%
113
39.95%
113
53.67%
112
39.24%
113
31.65%
113
44.88%
112
56.67%
113
41.31%
113
39.80%
111
41.80%
109
51.57%
98

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