P 020110225519381516016

-
2010
4 MW 2010-2015
18.33% 21.4%
1350 /kW 8.8 /
11800 /kW
4000 /kW 2010 8.8 2011
2010 6.3
90
23 2010 3850 /kW
3MW
3MW 25%
2
S0630209060131
021-50586660-8636
njg@longone.com.cn
021-50586660-8613
xie.kai.nuaa.nju@gmail.com
2011 02 24
5,000kW/km2
1-2 kW 2010 104MW2015
9000 500 2020
1.5 3000
2008-2010 76%65%87%
74%63%74%
A+1
A+2
0.78 1.40 1.99
0.94 1.22 1.57
0.93 0.55 0.66
Q-2
Q-1
Q+1
Q+2
Q+3
0.12
0.25
0.56
0.78
1.40
1.99
1.25
0.91
1.25
0.94
1.22
1.57
1.89
1.90
0.93
0.55
0.66
0.85
Q EPS
HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN
/EPS
600416
002202
090629
4
14
25
3..8
4..9
5..11
15
115
216
318
4.19
5 ..22
25
1 25
2 87% 27
3..27
28
128
2..29
16
22004-2009 7
31996-2009 7
41996-2009 7
52005-2009 7
6 10
7 10
82009-2030 11
92009-2014 12
102009-2014 12
1117
122000-2010 18
132000-2010 18
142011-2020 23
152011-2020 23
1624
1724
1824
1927
15
2
2008 2009 6
32007-2009 8
42007-2009 8
52007-2009 8
62008-2009 9
7 10
82007-2030 11
92009-2030 11
102009 13
11 2009 13
122008-2011 16
132008-2009 18
142009 19
1520
1621
1721
182020 22
192007-2009 23
2025
2125
2226
2326
2428
252008-2010 28
2630
1981
10 8
7
3-7
3-7
19339
7876
41%
18482
3310
18%
4742
1968
42%
23049
6783
29%
8142
2566
32%
7255
2209
30%
21354
4188
20%
9597
1056
11%
4299
243
6%
106660
29143
27%
1.51018kWh 2.5 3.81016kWh

4.3l0l2kWh
1300 kW 16 kW
5ms
1m/s 1.3m/s 50% 0.2m/s

1
2
2005 27.3% 36.1%
BTM 2009 3810.3 kW 500
2009 1.6 kW 31% 1300
kW 0.12% 3400 kW
2%
22008 2009
MW%
08
08
09
09
9527
28918
11433
40351
30%
9179
65971
10738
76553
28.20%
8201
22174
14991
37147
39.30%
1065
4272
622
4890
1.60%
228
696
318
1014
0.80%
127
1.7
129
0%
29190
122158
38103
160084
100%
2009 7655.3MKW
47.9% 2010 4000 MKW 2009

28.2% 39.3% 30%
22004-2009
31996-2009
2 3 2004-2008 30%
2009 50%
41996-2009
MW%
52005-2009
MW
4 30%
5
1-3MW2009 1.68MW2009
91.4%
3-6MW 7MW
10MW 10MW 14MW
20MW
32007-2009
MW%
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
3287
16.40%
6246
22.23%
13750
36.10%
5244
26.17%
8358
29.75%
9922
26.00%
3100
15.47%
1739
6.19%
2331
6.10%
1667
8.32%
1665
5.93%
1917
5.00%
1617
8.07%
1810
6.44%
1172
3.10%
603
3.01%
1010
3.60%
1114
2.90%
888
4.43%
1200
4.27%
1104
2.90%
427
2.13%
869
3.09%
1077
2.80%
386
1.93%
526
1.87%
950
2.50%
434
2.17%
679
2.42%
645
1.70%
17653
88.10%
24102
85.80%
33982
89.20%
85%
52.1%
42007-2009
MW%
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
3287
144.02%
6246
90.02%
13750
120.14%
5244
113.69%
8358
59.38%
9922
18.71%
3100
95.34%
1739
-43.90%
2331
34.04%
1667
33.95%
1665
0.00%
1917
15.14%
1617
-9.40%
1810
11.94%
1172
-35.25%
603
44.60%
1010
67.50%
1114
10.30%
888
9.63%
1200
35.14%
1104
-8.00%
427
48.48%
869
103.51%
1077
23.94%
386
101.04%
526
36.27%
950
80.61%
434
59.91%
679
75.91%
645
-5.01%
17653
16.16%
24102
36.53%
33982
40.99%
4 2009 3
118% 64% 73% 2010
15147MW 10.16%
52007-2009
MW%
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
16879
17.95%
25237
20.66%
35159
22.00%
5875
6.25%
12121
9.93%
25853
16.10%
22277
23.69%
23933
19.60%
25813
16.10%
14714
15.64%
16453
13.47%
18784
11.70%
7845
8.34%
9655
7.91%
10827
6.80%
2721
2.89%
3731
3.06%
4845
3.00%
2471
2.63%
3671
3.01%
4775
3.00%
2394
2.55%
3263
2.67%
4340
2.70%
2150
2.29%
2829
2.32%
3474
2.20%
3088
3.28%
3159
2.59%
3408
2.10%
80415
85.50%
104051
85.20%
137277
85.80%
5 1
3
1990 220KW 2000
2000 2007 1.5MW2MW2.3MW3MW3.6MW5MW
2 MW 5MW
6MW 10MW Vestas 6.0MW Clipper 10MW
2011 1990 Nogersund 250m
2008 Thomton Bank 30km Nogersund 6m 2007
Beatrice 45m
2009 834 211
1.3%2009 9 68.9 224
2MW, 5MW 3 30.6 1 (20.7
) 1 (6 )
62008-2009
MW%
2008
2008
2009
2009
30
30
30
1.42%
397.9
228
625.9
29.66%
60
60
2.83%
25
25
1.18%
120
246.8
246.8
11.70%
110
133.3
30
163.3
7.74%
194
588
306
894
42.37%
2.3
2.3
0.11%
63
63
2.99%
344
1421
689
2110.3
100%
6 42.37%
29.66%11.7% 7.74% 100.29%

7
10-40m
>40m
>50m
25% 10 28% GWEC advanced

2010 27% 2020 9% 2030 4% IEA
2010 17% 2015 3%
6
MW
GWEC
MW
GWEC
6
2010-2015 9.8%
18.33% 21.4%
82007-2030
2007
MWEUR/KWEUR Million/year
2008
2009
2010
2015
2020
2030
reference
10
MW
19865
28700
38343
26735
20887
25712
41219
EUR/KW
1300
1350
1350
1327
1276
1240
1216
EUR Million/year)
25824
28745
51763
35507
26649
31894
50136
MW
19865
28700
38343
40212
62887
88133
148416
EUR/KW
1300
1350
1350
1329
1258
1208
1116
EUR Million/year)
25824
28745
51763
53459
79109
106504
165691
93864
120279
158505
201657
533233
1071415
2341984
moderate
advanced
MW
EUR/KW
1300
1350
1350
1328
1245
1172
1093
EUR Million/year)
25824
28745
51763
57450
109072
140762
202600
GWEC
1300EUR/KW
2010-2015
82009-2030
MW
GWEC
92009-2030
OECD
Europe
MW
OECD
North
China
India
Ameirica
OECD
Non-OE
Eastern
Latin
Pacific
CD Asia
Europe
America
Africa
Middle
East
2009
75565
38585
25805
10926
4613
475
484
1072
763
102
2010
86175
49869
39608
12629
5740
709
910
1956
1002
119
2020
250824
220002
200026
46104
37259
24204
12083
28004
11718
2487
2030
447432
278570
403741
108079
81159
120313
71011
72044
41536
24791
GWEC
11
2009
763MW 96%
253MW 54MW 2008 2020
20% 12% 7200MW 2012
7.9% 18% 253MW 1500MW
2025 40GW 12.5GW
2020 24% 2009 14MW
2020 3.5GW 2009 177MW 16%
2020 2.3-3.4GW2009
142MW 91MW 28MW
25%23% 40% 68%21%10%
1% 2020 186GW
IEA 2020 327GW 2009
11807MW 2020 46GW
2009 606MW
2010 180MW
2010 900MW 8%
2009 25777MW 7%
2020 25-30% 2009 19100MW
14.5% 2020 30% 2009
4850MW 2020 12GW 2009 4500MW 2020
23% 25GW 2009 4050MW
2020 15% 13-14GW 2009
724.6MW 2020 15% 2020 13GW
11GW 2009 343MW 2020 15GW
2009 35GW 2030 20%

89GW 2009 3.3GW 2025
20%
92009-2014
BTM
MW 102009-2014
MW
BTM
12
BTM 2010 -2014

2009 3810 2014 7165 5
4-6MW
2014
250
2010-2014 5 28760 4.7%
12.7%
5
5 8
1.5MW 86.90%
102009
MW%
0-0.75MW
1000
398
0.40
1.10%
0.75-1MW
3391
2795
0.84
7.60%
1-1.5MW
1408
1661
1.18
4.50%
1.5-2.5MW
16919
30267
1.79
81.80%
566
1882
3.33
5.10%
23284
37003
1.59
100%
2.5MW
10
11: 2009
MWM
MW
Acciona
AW77/70
1.5
70/77
Acciona
AW3000
3.0
116
Alstom
Wind1.67MW
1.7
74
Alstom
Wind1.67MW
1.7
80
Alstom
Wind1.67MW
2.0
80
Alstom
Wind1.67MW
3.0
100
Areva
Multibrid
5.0
116
Bard
Bard 5.0
5.0
122
Clipper
Liberty 2.5MW
2.5
100
Dongfang
DEC1.5MW
1.5
70
Dongfang
DEC1.5MW
1.5
77
Enercon
E66, 1.8MW
1.8
70
Enercon
E66, 2.0MW
2.0
66
13
Multibrid
Enercon
E70, 2.0 MW
2.0
70
Enercon
E82, 2.0 MW
2.0
82
Enercon
E82, 3.0 MW
3.0
82
Enercon
E112,4.5 MW
4.5
112
Enercon
E112, 6 MW
6.0
112
Enercon
E126, 6 MW
6.0
126
Fuhrlander
FL MD77
1.5
77
Fuhrlander
FL 2500
2.5
100
GAMESA
G80
2.0
80
IGBT-
GAMESA
G83
2.0
83
IGBT-
GAMESA
G87
2.0
87
IGBT-
GE Wind
1.5s,sl,se
1.5
70.5/77
IGBT-
GE Wind
Wind 2.3
2.3
84
IGBT-
GE Wind
Wind 2.5
2.5
104
IGBT-
Goldwind
GW70/1500
1.5
70
Goldwind
GW77/1500
1.5
77
Goldwind
GW82/1500
1.5
82
XE 72
2.0
72
MWT 62
1.0
62
MHI
MWT 92
2.4
92
Mingyang
MY 1.5 se
1.5
77
IGBT-
Mingyang
MY 1.5 see
1.5
82
IGBT-
Nordex
N60/N62
1.3
60/62
Nordex
S70/77
1.5
70/77
Nordex
N90,2.3MW
2.3
90
Nordex
N90,2.5MW
2.5
90
Nordex
N100,2.5MW
2.5
100
REPOWER
MD77/MM70
1.5
70/77
REPOWER
MM82
2.0
82
REPOWER
MM92
2.0
92
REPOWER
M5,5MW
5.0
126
REPOWER
M6,6MW
6.0
126
Sewind
W1250
1.3
64
Siemens
SWT-1.3-62
1.3
62
2-
Siemens
SWT-2.0-76
2.0
76
3-
Siemens
SWT-2.3-82
2.3
82.4
Siemens
SWT-2.3-93
2.3
93
Siemens
SWT-3.6-107
3.6
107
Sinovel
70-1500
1.5
70
Sinovel
77-1500
1.5
77
Sinovel
82-1500
1.5
82
Hunan XEMC
MHI
14
2-
Sinovel
SL 3000
3.0
90-110
Suzlon
Suzlon1.25MW
1.3
64/66
Suzlon
Suzlon1.50MW
1.5
82
Suzlon
Suzlon2.10MW
2.1
88
United Power
UP77/1500
1.5
77
United Power
UP82/1500
1.5
82
VESTAS
V82
1.7
82
12
VESTAS
V80-1.8MW
1.8
80
N/A
VESTAS
V80
2.0
80
VESTAS
V90-1.8/2MW
1.8/2.0
90
VESTAS
V90
3.0
90
WinWind
WinWind 1MW
1.0
62
MUltibrid
WinWind
WinWind 3MW
3.0
90/100
MUltibrid
WD77
1.5
77
Windey
1350 /kW 8.8 /

11800 /kW 4000 /kW
122008-2011
2008
2009
2010
10
2011E
100 kW
185 1.5MW
10
96
51
200 2MW
26
26 2MW
3 1.5MW
166 1.5MW
72 1.5MW
150 2MW
5 2MW
19
20
176
1122
12 2010 8.8 2011 2010

6.3
15
132008-2009
MW%
2009
2009
2008
2008
VESTAS
4766
12.88%
5581
17.82%
GE wind ()
4741
12.81%
5239
16.72%
SINOVE()
3510
9.49%
1403
4.48%
ENERCON(
3221
8.70%
2806
8.96%
GOLDWIND()
2727
7.37%
1132
3.61%
GAMESA (
2546
6.88%
3373
10.77%
DONGFANG ()
2475
6.69%
1290*
4.12%*
SUZLON
2421
6.54%
2526
8.06%
SIEMENS
2265
6.12%
1947
6.22%
10
REPOWER(
1297
3.51%
1074**
3.43%**
11
7033
19.01%
4955
15.82%
37002
100.00%
31326
100.00%
2008 * ACCIONA** NORDEX
RIS 1981-2002
15.8 / 4.04 / 2010 3 /2020
2.34 /
1
200W/m23-20m/s
t 5000h 200-150W/m2 t
5000-4000h 150-50W/m2 t 4000-2000h
50W/m2 t 2000h
20 80 2004-2005
10 32.26
kW 43.5 kW 2.53 kW 2.97 kW 2003-2005
50m
14 kW 2006
10
25.48 kW
16
11
150W/m2
20
11
3,000kW/ 5,000kW/
6-10 kW
0~20m 15.7 2002
10-20%
5,000kW/km2 1-2 kW
7-12 kW
1 50m 3 2.38 kW2

5-25m 50m 2 kW
3
7 kW
50m 3 18.5 kW
47 kW
5.7 kW
2
2010 4181 kW 3.5%
2 kW 20%
17
122000-2010 MW% 132000-2010 MW%
BTM
BTM
2009
2009 10,129 1,380
kW2009 2,580
kW 2008 2008 615 kW
1,200 kW 2009 124.3% 114.8%
13
MW
2008
2009
2009
3,650.99
5,545.17
9,196.16
1,107.70
1,680.40
2,788.10
1,224.26
1,201.05
2,425.31
1,066.46
997.4
2,063.86
836.3
823.45
1,659.75
562.25
656.85
1,219.10
639.95
548
1,187.95
645.25
451.5
1,096.75
576.81
443.25
1,020.06
393.2
289
682.20
366.89
202.45
569.34
283.75
283.5
567.25
127.5
193
320.50
190.63
43.54
234.17
58.2
138
196.20
64.5
88
152.50
39.4
102.5
141.90
78.75
42
120.75
42
42
84.00
48.75
48.75
18
13.6
1.65
12.75
26.35
13.6
13.60
3.3
4.95
2.5
2.50
0.8
12,019.60
13,803.20
25,822.80
358.15
77.9
436.05
12,019.60
13,881.10
25,900.70
0.80
2009 12 31 24
100 kW 9 200 kW 4
2009 554.5 kW 919.6 kW 150%
36% 40% 278.8 kW
242.5 kW 206.4 kW
142009
MW%
2,600.40
104.10%
18.73%
5,098.30
19.35%
1,739.85
84.20%
12.53%
3,805.80
14.45%
1,644.75
133.80%
11.85%
2,874.35
10.91%
1,239.95
279.90%
8.93%
1,682.95
6.39%
590.25
66.70%
4.25%
1,475.65
5.60%
854.45
168.90%
6.16%
1,360.25
5.16%
757.5
171.10%
5.46%
1,200.30
4.56%
386.13
81.40%
2.78%
860.63
3.27%
400.25
106.90%
2.88%
774.75
2.94%
10
260.4
111.50%
1.88%
493.85
1.87%
11
3,407.17
103.00%
24.55%
6,714.52
25.49%
12
13,881.10
111.40%
100.00%
26,341.35
100.00%
2009 2008 10
100 kW 2008 3 7
13
2009 2009
90% 80%
50% 10%
2009 50%
19
54.8% 54.4% 113.4% 111.4%

279.9%
3
0~20m 15.7
2002
10-20%
5,000kW/km2
1-2 kW 2010
104MW
15
2008
2008
2009
2009
2009
2010
2010 2010
2010
2010
2010
11
2 5m
3 5-50m
4 50m
20
16
MW
2015
2020
700
1550
4600
9450
1500
3700
3000
7000
300
1100
5000
10000
15100
32800
2010 5 18
30 kW
30 kW20 kW
20 kW
100 kW
39 955 kW
16 398 kW 4
60 kW
2010 320 kW 421.1 kW2011-2015
900 kW 2015 1,321.1 kW2016-2020 760
kW 2020 2,000 kW
17 7
MW
2010
2015
2020
2020
59
4160
4820
5150
14130
56
4211
9000
7600
20000
14
3460
14490
20350
38300
3915
6200
11200
27300
1800
3000
4200
10000
7550
12710
3800
10800
5160
2000
5000
2010 346 kW2015 1,795 kW2020

3,830 kW
1.29 km2 2.73 kW
2008 201.5 kW 2010 190 kW2011-2015
21
620 kW2016-2020 1.12 kW

2006-2020
2010 180 kW 150 kW 30 kW2015 580 kW 240
kW 200 kW 140 kW2020 1,000 kW 300 kW 250
kW 450 kW2030 2,100kW 300 kW 250 kW 1,550 kW
9204'-10020' 3751'-4250'
19.4 km2 4,000 kW
2010 475 kW 516 kW2011-2020 755 kW
2020 1,271 kW
-
3 2008-2010 200
kW 2010 200 kW2011-2015 500 kW 2015
700 kW2016-2020 380 kW 2020 1,080 kW
1 7
6
2020 1000
182020
2020
1.5
kW
2.0
kW
3.0
kW
MW%
2009
2010
2015
2011-2015
2020
2016-2020
MW
MW
MW
MW
25800
41000
90000
17%
150000
11%
25800
41000
120000
24%
200000
12%
25800
41000
160000
32%
300000
14%
2010 10 30 2015
11% 2020
15%
2020
7000-8000 3.8 1.5 3000
2000 2010 4100
2015 9000 500 2020
1.5 3000
22
142011-2020
MW
152011-2020
MW
5
90 23 2010 3850
/kW
192007-2009
MW%
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
09
680
19.08%
1,403
21.51%
3495
25.32%
830
23.31%
1,132
17.36%
2722
19.72%
222
6.23%
1,053
16.15%
2035.5
14.75%
Vestas
369
10.35%
600
9.20%
608.75
4.41%
Gamesa
560
15.73%
508
7.80%
276.25
2.00%
10
65
1.83%
233
3.58%
260.25
1.89%
12
23
0.63%
179
2.74%
274.25
1.99%
11
0.04%
174
2.67%
748.5
5.42%
51
1.43%
150
2.30%
GE
213
5.98%
146
2.23%
322.5
2.34%
0.11%
120
1.84%
454
3.29%
768
5.56%
SUZLON
206
5.78%
129
1.98%
293
2.12%
NORDEX
56
1.57%
144
2.21%
111
0.80%
13
282
7.91%
550
8.43%
1434
10.39%
3,561
100.00%
6,519
100.00%
13803
100.00%
2003
300 kW 2005 2008
23
2005
15 2009 10 5
2009
6 4 6
74.1% 73.8% 10.8% 11.4%
16
2005
2007 51%2008 72.8%2009
86.8%
2009 2MW
2.5MW 3MW
3MW
3MW
5MW
17
RMB/kW
18
MW
24
2010 4000 /kW 3850 /kW
20
KWM
SL1500/60/70/77/82
1500kW/60m-82.9m
WENDTEC
SL3000/90/100/105/110/115
3000kW/90m-115m
WENTEC
GW43/600
600kW/43m
Jacobs
GWS48/S50/750
750(800)kW/49m/50m
REPOWER
GW70/77/82/1500
1500kW/70m/77m/82M
VENSYS
GW90100/2500
2500kW/70m/77m/82M
GW100/3000
3000kW/70m/77m/82M
FD70/77/82
1500kW/70/77/82M
REPOWER
FD90/100
2500kW/90/100m
WENTEC
FD60
1000KW/60m
MY1.5se/s
1500kW/77.1m/82.6m
Aerodyn
XE72/82
2000kW/70.65m/82.64m
W1250-64-68/65
1250kW/64m/70m
Dewind
W2000-93-80/87-80/
2000kW/87m/93m
Aerodyn
W3600-116-90
3600KW/116m
Aerodyn
750kW
750kW/49/50m
Repower
800kW
800kW/52m
Repower
1.5MW
1500kW/70m/77m/82m
GH
AW-1500CI/CII
1500kW/70m/77m
21
MW
3MW 23 5MW 2010
2.53 5MW
5MW
3MW 2010
3MW 2010
5MW
3.6MW 2010 6
5MW
3MW 2010
2.5MW
21 3MW
3MW
25
25% 2
600416.SH002202.SZ 3MW
22
10-15%
3MW
10
1
25
30,000
30,000
23
kW/kW.h
10
0.4365
10
0.5013
10
0.3820
10
0.3820
20
0.5090
20
0.5090
10
0.5190
20
0.4877
26
20
0.4877
10
10
0.4616
11
30
0.4200
12
30
0.4200
13
20
0.4656
14
20
0.5006
15
30
0.4680
16
30
0.5216
17
15
0.5510
18
20
0.5206
2009 7
[2009]1906
0.51 /(kWh)0.54 /(kWh)0.58 /(kWh) 0.61 /(kWh)

19
27
24
/kW.h
0.51
0.54
0.58
0.61
0.42 /kW.h
2 87%
2009 2009
2,412 kW
2,268 kW 1,767 kW 2008
1,195 kW2008 1,217 kW
828 kW2008 939 kW
2009 2009 144 kW
25:2008-2010
MW%
2008
2009
2010
615
1380
1600
466
897
1399
76%
65%
87%
1202
2581
4181
894
1613
3107
74%
62%
74%
50 kWh 1 50~100 2 100 3
28
29
1
24 002202.SZ
601558.SH600875.SH600416.SH601727.SH
002531.SZ300129.SZ
26
300129.SZ
600416.SH
002201.SZ
600112.SH
002147.SZ
600290.SH
600875.SH
002202.SZ
601558.SH
002531.SZ
601177.SH
002122.SZ
600192.SH
002423.SZ
601727.SH
600765.SH
002204.SZ
002080.SZ
002009.SZ
601989.SH
002487.SZ
300040.SZ
002184.SZ
300169.SZ
30
002202.SZ600416.SH
600416.SH
002122.SZ600765.SH
002080.SZ
31
3 2009 3
6 20%
6 -20%20%
6 20%
6 10%
6 -10%10%
6 10%
6 15%
6 5%15%
6 -5%5%
6 5%15%
6 15%

100089
87 D 15F
8610 66216231
8610 59707100
32

200122
1589 11F
8621 50586660
8621 50819897

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0.78 1.40 1.99

0.94 1.22 1.57

0.93 0.55 0.66

1.51018kWh 2.5 3.81016kWh

1m/s 1.3m/s 50% 0.2m/s

47.9% 2010 4000 MKW 2009

29.66%11.7% 7.74% 100.29%

25% 10 28% GWEC advanced

2009 35GW 2030 20%

BTM 2010 -2014

1350 /kW 8.8 /

12 2010 8.8 2011 2010

2008 * ACCIONA** NORDEX

1 50m 3 2.38 kW2

122000-2010 MW% 132000-2010 MW%

54.8% 54.4% 113.4% 111.4%

2010 346 kW2015 1,795 kW2020

620 kW2016-2020 1.12 kW

2010 4000 /kW 3850 /kW

3MW 23 5MW 2010

0.51 /(kWh)0.54 /(kWh)0.58 /(kWh) 0.61 /(kWh)

50 kWh 1 50~100 2 100 3

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