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)
\
)
where \
)
refers to the value of a single, wholly-owned aliate in country ,, and
index H refers to the headquarters. The MNE is endowed with total equity/own funds
)
)
from previous operations. The distribution of own funds
)
across locations is historically
determined.
If investment 1
)
in plant , is successful, it yields an end-of-period value 1
)
+ 1
)
, where
1
)
is undepreciated capital, 1
)
= o
)
) (1
)
) is the cash-ow function satisfying )
0 )
,
and o
)
denotes productivity. Assuming that investment opportunities exceed own funds,
1
)
)
, the subsidiary has to raise internal debt 1
)
and external funds. The latter consist
of passive bank credit 1
)
and active, informed monitoring bank credit `
)
. Hence, investment
in location , is nanced by 1
)
=
)
+ 1
)
+ 1
)
+ `
)
. Total plant value is split among the
aliates stakeholders, \
)
= \
S
)
+ \
1
)
+ \
1
)
+ \
A
)
, where the upper indices refer to end-of-
period values of subsidiary dividends, internal debt, external debt from passive banks, and
external debt from monitored, active banks.
Denote the loan rates charged by standard banks by i. Since monitoring is costly and
might vary across countries, loan rates charged by active banks could dier as well, despite
of an integrated savings market with a common deposit rate. Therefore, denote the loan
1
Agency problems within rms could be of dierent nature, leading to underinvestment due to credit
rationing or overinvestment due to self-serving managers and misuse of excess internal funds (Jensen, 1986).
Lamont (1997) points out that interdependence of aliate investments may result from either type of agency
problems. Our key results do not essentially depend on which paradigm we adopt.
5
rates charged by monitoring banks in , by i
A
)
. The subsidiary is successful with probability
j and fails with probability 1 j. If it fails, cash-ow is zero and no debt, neither internal
nor external, is repaid. The deposit market yields a safe return : 0, and we utilize the
acronym 1 1+:. The loan rate on risky debt results from the no-arbitrage (or zero-prot)
condition j (1 + i) = 1. Accordingly, the end-of-period value of the subsidiary is determined
as
\
S
)
= j
[
1
)
+ 1
)
(1 + i) (1
)
+ 1
)
)
(
1 + i
A
)
)
`
)
1
)
]
1
)
. (1)
while the values \
1
)
= j (1 + i) 1
)
11
)
and \
1
)
= j (1 + i) 1
)
11
)
refer to internal debt
and external debt from passive banks, respectively, and \
A
)
= j
(
1 + i
A
)
)
`
)
1`
)
c:
)
1
)
is the value of monitored external debt.
Financial development refers to active oversight associated with informed capital. Active
banks incur monitoring costs c:
)
1
)
proportional to investment, where c is a cost parameter
and :
)
stands for the monitoring intensity. Adding up the value of all stakeholders yields
\
)
= j (1
)
+ 1
)
1
)
) (1 + c:
)
) 1
)
. (2)
With competitive lending, \
1
)
= \
1
)
= \
A
)
= 0, the subsidiary gets the entire joint surplus,
\
S
)
= \
)
, which is repatriated to the parent as an end-of-period dividend.
2
If lending
involves monitoring costs, banks must charge a higher rate, determined by j
(
i
A
)
i
)
`
)
=
c:
)
1
)
so that i
A
)
i.
The corporate tax liability owed in the source country is 1
)
. In line with common tax
practice, interest on debt is deductible while the return on equity
)
is not, so that
1
)
= t
)
[
1
)
i (1
)
+ 1
)
) i
A
)
`
)
]
. (3)
If 1
)
0, the subsidiary is a borrower and receives internal debt. If 1
)
< 0, the subsidiary
is a lender in the internal capital market. When a subsidiary in a low-tax country lends
one dollar creating a small tax liability t
|
i on interest earnings to another aliate in
a high-tax country yielding large tax savings, t
t
|
) i. Dierences in tax rates across countries introduce a
tax motive to use internal debt in order to shift prots to low-tax locations. This tax motive
may reinforce or oset other economic motives to use internal debt to allocate scarce capital
to those units with the most protable investment opportunities.
In the internal capital market, lending and borrowing over all subsidiaries must balance
and add up to zero. The total NPV of the MNE rm over all its operations is
\
1
=
)
\
)
:.t.
)
1
)
= 0. (4)
where \
)
= j
[
(1 t
)
) (1
)
i1
)
) (1 t
)
)
(
i
A
)
i
)
`
)
t
)
i
)
]
results upon substituting
(3) and zero-prot conditions together with 1
)
=
)
+1
)
+1
)
+`
)
. We will emphasize the
case :
)
= 0 and i
A
)
= i, implying \
)
= (1 t
)
) j (1
)
i1
)
) t
)
ij
)
, where the last term is
due to the tax disadvantage of equity.
2
There is a slight abuse of language. Strictly speaking, \
i (1
+1
) i
]
. In addition, the parent gets expected interest payments ji1
.
6
3.2 Investment and External Borrowing
Timing: To maximize the total value in (4), the MNE makes a sequence of decisions. It
(i) allocates loans 1
)
0 on the internal capital market; (ii) raises external debt 1
)
and `
)
from local banks and sets aliate investments 1
)
; (iii) induces managerial and monitoring
eorts in all units; and (iv) pays back external funds and repatriates dividends. We solve
backwards and begin with stage (iii).
Eort: We assume that the headquarters choose eort to manage : subsidiaries in the total
conglomerate. The success probability j is high if managerial eort allocated to subsidiary
, is high. It is low (j
1
< j) if the headquarters neglect the subsidiary (low eort) and,
instead, consumes a private benet
)
1
)
proportional to investment. The parent obtains the
expected surplus of the subsidiary (income over opportunity cost of funds), consisting of the
sum of repatriated dividends and repayment of internal debt,
)
\
S
)
+ \
1
)
= j
[
1
)
+ 1
)
1
)
(1 + i) 1
)
(
1 + i
A
)
)
`
)
]
1(
)
+ 1
)
) . (5)
The subsidiarys success probability is high only when incentives are strong. The bank
must restrict external lending and not claim too high a repayment to keep the rm incen-
tivized with high enough residual earnings. The incentive constraint to assure high eort
(avoid private benets) is
)
(j)
)
(j
1
) +
)
1
)
. Substituting (5) yields
j
[
1
)
+ 1
)
1
)
(1 + i) 1
)
(
1 + i
A
)
)
`
)
]
)
1
)
.
)
)
j, (j j
1
) . (6)
The parents total stake must at least amount to
)
1
)
to be incentive compatible.
Monitoring is not contractible either. Its purpose is to reduce private benets from a
high
)
to a low
)
. Suppose (6) is satised if both monitoring and managerial eort are
high. The monitor keeps
n
)
(j) =
[
j
(
1 + i
A
)
)
1
]
`
)
. If she diverts resources c:
)
1
)
and
fails to monitor,
)
rises to a high value
)
, thereby violating the incentive constraint (6)
and discretely reducing the rms success probability to a low j
1
< j. With low eort, she
would thus get a lower expected income
n
)
(j
1
) =
[
j
1
(
1 + i
A
)
)
1
]
`
)
but obtain income
c:
)
1
)
from diverted resources. To assure monitoring, the contract must satisfy the incentive
constraint
n
)
(j)
n
)
(j
1
) + c:
)
1
)
, or
j
(
1 + i
A
)
)
`
)
j
)
1
)
. j
)
c:
)
j, (j j
1
) . (7)
External Financing and Investment: Investment and borrowing in stage (ii) are gov-
erned by optimal contracts. Formally, banks compete with contracts that maximize the rms
surplus subject to incentive constraints for managerial and monitoring eort and participa-
tion (zero prot) constraints for active and passive banks. In the optimum, all constraints
are binding. Hence, (7) and the active banks participation constraint yield
`
)
=
j
)
c:
)
1
1
)
=
j
1
j j
1
c:
)
1
1
)
. 1 + i
A
)
= (1 + i)
j
)
j
)
c:
)
. (8)
7
In equilibrium, the rm thus raises a xed fraction of investment as monitoring capital for
which it pays i
A
)
i. Any need for further external funding must come from residual bank
credit 1
)
= 1
)
)
1
)
`
)
. Substituting this and the monitors zero-prot condition into
the incentive constraint (6) shows how the rm can raise value by expanding investment.
The rm optimally invests until the constraint becomes binding,
\
)
= j [(1 t
)
) (1
)
i1
)
) t
)
i
)
] (1 t
)
) c:
)
1
)
=
)
1
)
1(
)
+ 1
)
) . (9)
Given a level of own funds
)
of the subsidiary and a level of internal debt 1
)
allocated
by the MNE, scaling up investment is possible only if the rm is able to raise additional
external debt, 1
)
. When more debt-nanced investment raises the r.h.s. of (9) at a faster
rate than the l.h.s., see Assumption (A) below, the constraint eventually becomes binding.
At that level of lending, the rm has then exhausted its debt capacity. Banks cannot extend
more credit since this would violate the incentive constraint and lead to a discrete reduction
in the success probability. If this would occur, either the bank could not break even or the
MNE would suer a discrete reduction in the joint surplus \
)
. Hence, the level of investment
and external borrowing is implicitly determined by the binding constraint (9) as a function
of internal debt, the tax rate, and other parameters. Figure 1 illustrates the solution for
the case :
)
= 0 and i = i
A
. The curved line corresponds to the l.h.s., while the upward
sloping, straight line stands for the r.h.s. of (9). If the nancing constraint does not bind,
subsidiary investment is at the rst-best level that maximizes the expected value on the
l.h.s., o
)
)
(
1
11
)
)
= i, so that the marginal return is equal to the user cost of capital i. Taxes
are not distorting the user cost since investment is nanced with 100% debt at the margin
with interest being fully deductible.
Insert Figure 1 here
If agency costs
)
are suciently large, and since high agency costs reduce the rms
pledgeable income, investment becomes constrained and is no longer determined by the user
cost formula o
)
)
(1
)
) = i. When raising more external debt to expand investment, rms hit
the nancing constraint before reaching the rst-best level. Being constrained, they earn an
excess return on capital, j
)
0. At the intersection point in Figure 1, the slopes satisfy
)
j
)
. For this to be a well-determined equilibrium, we assume
1 + j
)
)
j
)
(1 t
)
) [j (o
)
)
(1
)
) i) c:
)
] 0. (A)
Figure 1 illustrates how the parent can relax the subsidiarys nancing constraint and
expand investment in location , if it allocates more internal debt. Other determinants of
investment are plant productivity o
)
, the prot tax rate t
)
, and agency costs
)
= (|
)
. :
)
).
A rms nancing capacity depends positively on the quality of the legal and institutional
environment (variable |
)
) and on the monitoring intensity of active banks (variable :
)
).
Tighter accounting standards, for example, make management more accountable, narrow
down the possibility to shirk and enjoy private benets and are, thus, associated with lower
)
. Active oversight by informed intermediaries similarly reduces private benets and boosts
8
debt capacity. In other words, more intensive monitoring or institutional improvements
reduce private benets by
)
= (|
)
. :
)
) . d
)
,d|
)
= 1. d
)
,d:
)
= o. (10)
To obtain analytical results, we need to take the total dierential of (9),
3
d1
)
= /
)
1 d1
)
/
)
[j (1
)
i1
)
+ i
)
) c:
)
] dt
)
+ /
)
(1 t
)
) ) (1
)
) j do
)
+ /
)
1
)
d|
)
+ [o (1 t
)
) c] /
)
1
)
d:
)
.
(11)
where /
)
1, (
)
j
)
) 0. The concavity of ) (1
)
) implies that investment is concave
in internal funds, d
2
1
)
,d1
2
)
= /
2
)
1j (1 t
)
) o
)
)
)
d1
)
,d1
)
< 0. The rst inequality of
assumption (A) implies /
)
1 1. Receiving a unit of debt from other aliates boosts
investment more than proportionately, i.e., internal debt is leveraged by additional external
debt, d1
)
,d1
)
= d1
)
,d1
)
1 = /
)
1 1 0.
A higher local tax rate reduces subsidiary investment by eroding cash-ow and tightening
the nancing constraint, d1
)
,dt
)
< 0. In Figure 1, the prot curve would shift down,
leading to a reduction of aliate investment. When the subsidiary becomes more productive,
it generates higher earnings at each level of investment which boosts pledgeable income,
improves access to external nancing and expands investment, d1
)
,do
)
0. In Figure 1,
the prot curve shifts up. Tighter accounting standards, associated with more corporate
transparency and lower agency costs, boost investment, d1
)
,d|
)
0. Finally, a more active
style of business nance, captured by an exogenous increase in monitoring intensity :
)
, has
a positive and a negative eect. It raises pledgeable income and, thereby boosts investment
in proportion to o. It also imposes extra cost and makes monitored nance more expensive
which reduces investment in proportion to c. For the net eect to be positive, we must
assume o (1 t
)
) c. Since monitored nance is costly and more expensive, it might not be
demanded. Firms attract monitored nance only if it adds value. From (9), the introduction
of monitored nancing yields
d\
)
= j
)
d1
)
(1 t
)
) c1
)
d:
)
= [oj
)
(1 t
)
) c
)
] /
)
1
)
d:
)
. (12)
We must thus assume o (1 t
)
) c
)
,j
)
(1 t
)
) c for monitoring capital to be in demand.
The last inequality is implied by (A).
3.3 Internal Capital Market
Value of Subsidiary Plants: We now show how the MNE, in stage (i), allocates funds
on the internal capital market. Capital is moved to where it generates the highest return
and adds the greatest value. Figure 1 illustrates how the subsidiary value depends on the
level of internal capital received from other units. Allocating more internal debt relaxes
the nancing constraint and boosts investment. The larger scale boosts subsidiary value in
3
All derivatives for comparative static analysis are taken at an initial position of :
= 0 so that i
= i
is xed by j (1 +i) = 1 and `
)
d1
)
d1
)
< 0.
The derivative \
)
1
represents the return on internal debt, showing by how much the value of
subsidiary , rises if it receives more funds. The second equation shows that the subsidiary
value is concave in the allocated level of internal debt.
Allocating Internal Debt: We assume that subsidiaries are historically endowed with
an amount of equity or internally accumulated funds
)
. Aliate value is a function of total
capital provided internally. Using ` to denote the Lagrange-multiplier, the MNEs global
optimization problem \
1
= max
1
)
[\ (1
)
; . . .) + ` 1
)
] leads to
\
)
1
(1
)
; t
)
. o
)
. |
)
. :
)
) = ` = \
i
1
(1
i
; t
i
. o
i
. |
)
. :
)
) .
)
1
)
= 0. (14)
The MNE operates an internal capital market to allocate funds to those units where the
return is highest. The internal capital allocation is optimal when returns are equalized. As
noted in (13), the marginal value functions are downward sloping in the level of internal
debt. Figure 2 illustrates for the case of an MNE with two aliates and shows how the
allocation changes with a country-specic shock (see the next section).
Insert Figure 2 here
Condition (14) includes tax and economic motives to use internal debt. Holding every-
thing else constant, loading subsidiary i with more internal debt reduces the tax liability
and raises its value in (2) by d\
i
= jt
i
i d1
i
. If taxes are high in location i and low in ,,
i.e., t
i
t
)
, internal lending from aliate , to i (d1
i
= d1
)
) boosts MNE value by an
amount equal to global tax savings, d\
1
= j (t
i
t
)
) i d1
i
. However, internal debt also
serves economic functions and raises subsidiary value in location i by relaxing the nancing
constraint, see Figure 1. The need to do so depends on other fundamental country and plant
characteristics which may reinforce or oset the tax motive.
4 Determinants of Internal Debt
We start from a symmetric situation
)
and all other parameters are the identical. Initially,
there is no reason, neither tax nor economic, to use internal debt, i.e., 1
)
= 0. The compar-
ative static analysis reveals how certain structural changes make subsidiary establishments
dierent from local rms. Intuition suggests that those subsidiaries which face the tightest
nancing constraints (due to high taxes t
)
, inecient capital markets with little monitoring
10
:
)
, bad legal environment reected in low |
)
, and high factor productivity o
)
creating large
investment opportunities etc.), have the highest excess return and should attract the largest
internal credit. In the following analysis, we start in a situation of :
)
= `
)
= 0, leaving
j
)
= (1 t
)
) j
(
o
)
)
)
i
)
, and will often assume that nancial constraints are not too tight
and excess returns are small.
Corporate Tax: Suppose that country 1 raises the tax rate and becomes a high-tax lo-
cation. Standard reasoning suggests that local subsidiaries should attract internal debt to
save taxes. In addition, the higher tax reduces rms pledgeable income and makes them
more constrained relative to plants in other regions which creates yet another reason to shift
internal funds towards the high-tax country. Altogether, a higher tax rate should raise the
return to internal debt in that country. The derivative of (13) yields
\
)
1t
d
2
\
)
d1
)
dt
)
= (1 + j
)
/
)
) /
)
1
[
j
(
o
)
)
)
i
)
+ (1 t
)
) jo
)
)
)
d1
)
dt
)
]
0. (15)
The square bracket reects the change in the excess return, dj
)
,dt
)
. The tax directly reduces
the return, giving rise to a negative rst term. The second term is positive since lower
investment yields a higher excess return. If the nancing constraint is not too tight and the
excess return is small at the outset, the rst term is close to zero, leaving an overall positive
eect. The return on internal debt rises when subsidiary , gets taxed more heavily, \
)
1t
0.
In Figure 2, the schedule \
1
1
shifts up.
Since the higher tax diminishes the subsidiarys external nancing capacity, the MNE
gets more constrained in location 1. Given a higher return on internal debt, the MNE
makes plant 1 borrow internally (d1
1
0) from other subsidiaries which become lenders,
d1
)
< 0. Analytically, the dierential of (14) when only country 1 raises the tax rate, gives
\
1
11
d1
1
+\
1
1t
dt
1
= d` and \
)
11
d1
)
= d`. Summing over all plants and using
)
1
)
= 0
together with symmetry, \
)
11
= \
11
, yields
d`
dt
1
=
\
1
1t
:
0.
d1
)
dt
1
=
\
1
1t
:\
11
< 0.
d1
1
dt
1
= (: 1)
\
1
1t
:\
11
0. (16)
Starting from symmetry, the higher tax makes the plant in country 1 more constrained so
that the excess return becomes larger than at other locations. Internal borrowing makes the
MNE more constrained in other locations as well so that the marginal value of a unit of debt
rises by a common factor d\
)
1
= d`. This is illustrated in Figure 2.
Factor Productivity: Turning to economic fundamentals, we argue that MNEs shift
capital towards more productive plants. Higher productivity aects the return to internal
debt only via its impact on the excess return which is proportional to d
(
o
)
)
)
)
,do
)
= )
)
+
o
)
)
)
o1
o0
. The productivity shock directly boosts the excess return but the induced investment
brings it down again. If the technology is not too concave ()
small),
4
the second term is
4
Assume ) (1) = 1
, so that )
),)
=
1
) ,d0 =
[
1 0)
/ (1 t) j
]
)
. With 0)
i and the multiplier / not much larger than one (consistent with a
realistic leverage factor d1,d1 = /1), the square bracket is surely positive for values of c 1,2.
11
small which establishes the positive sign in (17). When investment in location , gets more
protable compared to elsewhere, the return to internal debt rises:
\
)
10
= (1 + j
)
/
)
) /
)
1 j (1 t
)
)
[
)
(1
)
) + o
)
)
(1
)
)
d1
)
do
)
]
0. (17)
d1
1
do
1
= (: 1)
\
1
10
:\
11
0.
d1
)
do
1
=
\
1
10
:\
11
< 0.
The same steps as in (16) show that MNEs allocate funds towards more productive units.
Starting from symmetry, a higher productivity boosts the return on capital and makes the
rm more constrained. A more productive plant has a larger excess return than other ones
and, therefore, oers a higher return on internal funds. For this reason, the MNE makes
plant 1 borrow internally from other, less productive units. The borrowing makes the MNE
more constrained in other locations so that the marginal value of a unit of debt rises by a
common factor d\
)
1
= d`. Figure 2 illustrates, with t
1
replaced by o
1
.
The literature in public economics predominantly uses reduced-form models of internal
debt, predicting that internal lending should ow only from low to high-tax jurisdictions.
In our model, the internal lending pattern is much more complex. Consider a situation
where location 1 faces a low tax rate and lends to other units. Starting from a symmetric
equilibrium as in the preceeding subsection, this situation is created by a negative tax shock
dt
1
< 0. All other units face relatively higher tax rates and take on internal debt. Suppose
now that plant 1 becomes more productive, do
1
0. Given capital market frictions, it
cannot raise enough funds on the external capital market and needs to borrow internally to
accommodate the larger investment opportunities. Obviously, if the productivity dierence
to other units is large enough, plant 1 becomes a net internal borrower despite of it being
located in a low-tax country! One can easily compute an exchange rate (reecting the
respective trade-o), giving the size of the compensating productivity dierential required
to oset the tax rate dierential such that the level of internal debt us unchanged. Using
(16) and (17) yields
do
1
dt
1
o1
1
=0
=
1
1
,t
1
1
1
,o
1
=
\
1
1t
\
1
10
< 0. (18)
The upshot is that the pattern of internal debt not only depends on tax rate dierentials
but also on other rm and country-specic characteristics so that the ow of internal debt
cannot be predicted by looking at tax rate dierentials alone.
Institutional Development: A countrys institutional environment may be an important
determinant of capital market frictions. MNEs might then use internal debt to oset the
negative inuence. For example, better accounting standards and corporate governance
rules make management more accountable to outside stakeholders and reduce the moral
hazard problem. This improves access to the local, external capital market and reduces the
reliance on scarce internal funds. Better institutions should thus lead the MNE to release
internal resources to other aliates operating in countries with a less developed legal system.
5
5
The excess return should be high in a country with bad institutions. Antras and Caballero (2009) show
that capital does not ow from rich to poor countries despite of the return on investment there being high.
12
Institutional improvement reduces the return on internal debt. More formally, \
)
1|
= j
)
/
2
)
1+
(1 + j
)
/
)
) /
)
1
oj
o1
o1
o|
o1
o1
o|
(1
)
)
d1
)
d|
)
< 0. (19)
d1
1
d|
1
= (: 1)
\
1
1|
:\
11
< 0.
d1
)
d|
1
=
\
1
1|
:\
11
0.
By improving access to local nance, institutional development reduces the return on internal
debt, i.e., shifts down the return schedule \
1
1
in Figure 2, and triggers a ow of internal debt
towards other countries with less developed institutions.
Financial Development: We study nancial development in the sense that local interme-
diaries engage in a more active, but also more costly style of lending. Intensifying monitoring
and oversight raises a rms pledgeable income and nancing capacity by reducing private
benets, d
)
= o d:
)
, see (10). On the negative side, monitoring raises intermediation
costs c:
)
1
)
which must be compensated by higher loan rates. Starting from :
)
= 0, the
introduction of monitoring capital boosts investment by d1
)
= (o (1 t
)
) c) /
)
1
)
d:
)
0
as in (11), and raises aliate value by (12). A more active local banking sector reduces the
incentive in (13) to use internal debt by
\
)
1n
d
2
\
)
d1
)
d:
)
= oj/
2
1 + (1 + j/) /1
dj
)
d:
)
< 0. (20)
The rst term is positive and arises because monitoring directly reduces agency costs which
boosts the investment multiplier. The second, negative term results because monitoring
reduces the excess return, dj
)
,d:
)
= (1 t
)
) [c + jo)
d1
)
,d:
)
] < 0, directly by raising
monitoring costs, and indirectly by boosting investment which reduces the gross return )
.
If credit constraints are not too tight, the total eect is negative. Letting j 0 leaves
\
)
1n
= /1 dj
)
,d:
)
< 0. Repeating the steps in (16) yields
d1
1
d:
1
= (: 1)
\
1
1n
:\
11
< 0.
d1
)
d:
1
=
\
1
1n
:\
11
0. (21)
Financial development relaxes the nancing constraint and makes it less protable to allocate
funds to an aliate with better access to external funds. Financial development in country
1 reduces the return on internal debt and makes aliate 1 an internal lender. Funds ow to
aliates in other regions, turning them into borrowers.
They do not address the role of MNEs to overcome local capital market problems.
13
Empirical Implications: Table 4 summarizes the most important results:
Table 4: Allocating Internal Debt
Shocks to country 1 d1
1
d1
)
Corporate income tax dt
1
0 (+) ()
Firm level productivity do
1
0 (+) ()
Institutional weakness d|
1
< 0 (+) ()
Financial underdevelopment d:
1
< 0 (+) ()
Internal debt is used to equate the marginal value of a dollar of internal funds across
locations when there are constraints on external debt. The ow of internal debt is thus
driven by tax and economic considerations. In particular, there is no clear-cut pattern any
more between tax rates and prot shifting via internal debt when countries not only dier
by tax but also along other economic fundamentals! Suppose that country 1 is a high-tax
country and also has a well developed nancial sector, t
1
t
)
and :
1
:
)
. Clearly, the
higher tax creates positive internal debt, d1
1
0, while nancial development (switching to
d|
1
0 in Table 4) leads to less internal debt, d1
1
< 0. It improves access to external funding
which allows MNEs to economize on scarce internal funds and reallocate them to other units
operating under more constrained conditions. Obviously, these two country dierences can
oset each other.
5 Data and Empirical Approach
In what follows, we seek to identify how internal borrowing responds to both local incentives
and global incentives created within an MNE which holds aliates in dierent countries. The
above model suggests that incentives to lend or borrow among units within MNEs arise from
dierences in productivity, corporate income taxation, institutional quality, and nancial
development across locations. In this section, we introduce the data and empirical approach
utilized to infer how local versus global aspects matter and illustrate that not only features
of the most-favorable market but also those of other locations matter for the internal capital
market.
5.1 Specication of Country-specic and Aliate-specic Funda-
mentals of the Internal Capital Market
Let us use o
i|
, t
i|
, |
i|
, and :
i|
to denote productivity, the corporate prot tax rate, insti-
tutional weakness, and the level of nancial underdevelopment, respectively, at the location
of aliate i in year t. Let us refer to any of these fundamentals by t
i|
{o
i|
. t
i|
. o
i|
. i
i|
},
where, to simplify matters, | (institutional quality) and : (nancial development) as used
in Sections 3 and 4 have been replaced by o = | max{|} and i = :max{:} measur-
ing institutional weakness and nancial underdevelopment, respectively, so that t
i|
is dened
such that a higher level thereof ceteris paribus raises the incentive towards internal debt
for aliate i in t. According to the theoretical model, aliate , then has ceteris paribus
14
an incentive to provide internal debt to aliate i whenever t
i|
t
)|
(see Table 4 for the
individual comparative static eects).
Let us describe informally how we will account for the incentives of the lending entities
with regard to fundamental t
i|
. Since aliate i may borrow from other aliates in dierent
countries within the same MNE according to Sections 3 and 4, we capture the aliate-
i-specic incentive to borrow internally in relation to fundamental t
i|
by considering the
weighted (indicated by superscript u) average level of that fundamental over all aliates ,
of the same MNE with at most as favorable an environment w.r.t. that fundamental towards
internal debt nancing, t
&
i|
.
6
This average fundamental t
&
i|
involves weights that are based on
the lending capacity each aliate of an MNE exhibits.
7
For a formal treatment, let us dene a binary variable
/
i,i)|
=
{
1. if t
i|
t
)|
,
0 otherwise.
(22)
which, in words, is unity if fundamental t is more favorable to internal debt nancing at
is location than at ,s in year t and zero otherwise. Furthermore, let us dene the set of
aliates 1
i|
, which consists of all units that belong to the same MNE as i in year t, except
for ones in the same country as i. Furthermore, let us denote the internal lending carried
out by unit , in t with )
)|
. Then, we may dene the relevant share or weight of , in the
lending capacity i has access to within the same MNE among all aliates in year t as
u
i,i)|
=
{
o
,.I
)
I
1
.I
o
,.I
)
I
. if /
i,i)|
)
)|
0,
0 otherwise.
(23)
The incentive of any aliate i of an MNE in year t to use internal debt nancing arises
(ceteris paribus) from the fundamentals, t
i|
, and the fundamentals at other locations of the
same rm, t
&
i|
, where the latter are dened as
t
&
i|
=
{
t
i|
. if t
i|
= min
)
(t
)|
),
)1
.I
u
i,i)|
t
)|
otherwise.
(24)
To acknowledge the lending capacity within each MNE comprehensively
)1
.I
runs over all
units, including the German parent, even though the parent does not surface in the aliate-
level data on internal debt below. Suppose aliate i faces the least favorable fundamental t
i|
in the group in year t for internal debt nancing. Then, by design of (24), t
&
i|
= t
i|
. Hence,
the dierential t
i|
t
&
i|
0 is a compact measure of the (ceteris paribus) incentive to use
cross-border internal debt according to t
i|
.
8
Notice that all fundamentals t
i|
and t
&
i|
vary over
time for the average aliate which permits conditioning on aliate-specic xed eects and
to identify the parameters on t
i|
and t
&
i|
from the time dimension within aliates.
6
Recall that one specic aspect of the above model is that, from a specic fundamentals point of view,
there is an incentive to use cross-border internal debt from aliates in countries with a less favorable
environment, depending on the conguration of other fundamentals. We will come back to this issue below.
7
Internal lending of all German aliates is observed in the data (see Section 5.3).
8
Of course, other fundamentals may generate incentives for internal borrowing or lending beyond a specic
i
i|
+ c
i
). (26)
where () is the standard normal cumulative distribution function, x
i|
is a column vector
of explanatory variables, is the corresponding column vector of parameters to be esti-
mated, and c
i
is a time-constant aliate-specic unobserved eect which is allowed to be
correlated with all explanatory variables. x
i|
includes the fundamentals t
i|
and t
&
i|
for all
t {o. t. o
i|
. i
i|
} as introduced in Subsection 5.1. x
i|
also includes aliate-specic control
variables as introduced at the end of Subsection 5.3 and time dummy variables.
With regard to the modeling of c
i
, we follow the so-called
Mundlak-Chamberlain-Wooldridge device (see Mundlak, 1978, Chamberlain, 1982, 1984,
and Wooldridge, 2002) as in Papke and Wooldridge (2008) and assume that c
i
is normally
distributed conditional on x
i|
. They dene
c
i
= +x
i
+ c
i
. c
i
x
i
Normal(0. o
o
). (27)
where x
i
1
1
T
|=1
r
i|
is a column vector of the time-averaged explanatory variables for
aliate i and o
o
is the conditional variance of c
i
. Plugging this expression into (26), we
obtain
1[11
i|
x
i|
. c
i
] = ( +x
i|
+x
i
,(1 + o
o
)
12
) (28)
(
o
+x
i|
+x
) (29)
13
Note that the data allow us to focus on cross-border internal borrowing. Hence, 11
.
i=1
(
o
+x
i|
+x
)
)|
, yielding predicted weights, u
i,i)|
.
Notice that )
)|
is a non-negative variable which may be zero. Therefore, we use an
exponential regression model to estimate
)
)|
, conditional on aliate-specic and market-
specic time-variant variables collected in the vector z
)|
and an aliate-specic eect c
)
,
1()
)|
z
)|
. c
)
) = crj(z
)|
)c
)
. (30)
where is a vector of unknown parameters on z
)|
. We again follow the Mundlak-Chamberlain-
Wooldridge device to specify 1(c
)
z
)|
) = crj(z
)
), where z
)
are the aliate-level means of
the regressors and is a corresponding vector of unknown parameters. Then, we substitute
)
)|
in (23) by
)
)|
to calculate lending capacity weights and weighted fundamentals t
&
i|
for
t {o. t. o
i|
. i
i|
} as dened in (24).
Below, we will make use of t
&
i|
to instrument t
&
i|
.
14
We follow Papke and Wooldridge
(2008) and estimate a reduced form for t
&
i|
using the instrument t
&
i|
along with the exogenous
explanatory variables in (26). We then include the predicted residuals of this regression,
denoted as
i|
, to control for the potential endogeneity of t
&
i|
in the fractional response model
(26).
15
6 Results
6.1 Baseline Results for Exogenous versus Endogenous Lending Ca-
pacity
Table 3 shows the baseline results for a fractional response model on the internal debt ratio
11
i|
as in (26), assuming that all (lending capacity-)weighted fundamentals are strictly ex-
ogenous. The fractional response model is estimated by pooled quasi maximum-likelihood
14
Note that i
1
plant 1
plant 2
2
D
V
1
A
2
A
D
1
D
V
6
4
6
4
3
9
3
3
9
3
1
0
6
0
1
0
6
0
1
9
4
1
1
9
4
1
3
8
7
4
3
8
7
4
6
7
4
6
6
7
4
6
7
4
5
3
7
4
5
3
1
1
6
0
0
1
1
6
0
0
1
4
7
8
2
1
4
7
8
2
2
9
7
8
7
2
9
7
8
7
4
2
3
1
0
4
2
3
1
0
1
6
4
8
4
4
1
6
4
8
4
4
3
1
5
4
3
7
3
1
5
4
3
7
6
2
7
1
1
8
6
2
7
1
1
8
1
.
0
e
+
0
6
1
.
0
e
+
0
6
1
.
2
e
+
0
6
1
.
2
e
+
0
6
1
.
7
e
+
0
6
1
.
7
e
+
0
6
4
.
0
e
+
0
6
4
.
0
e
+
0
6
3
.
0
e
+
0
7
3
.
0
e
+
0
7
4
.
6
e
+
0
8
0
F
i
g
u
r
e
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:
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r
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s
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p
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a
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)
:
G
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a
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,
U
S
A
,
N
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t
h
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r
l
a
n
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,
U
K
,
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b
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a
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a
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r
a
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t
h
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l
a
n
d
s
A
n
t
i
l
l
e
s
,
B
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l
g
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u
m
.
32
F
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g
u
r
e
3
:
L
e
n
d
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g
b
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c
o
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:
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,
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.
35
Figure 4: Prediction in t-o-space
Notes: Blue dots denote predictions for the countries included in the estimation sample (evaluated at mean values of
the explanatory variables and the country-specic means of t and c). Surface corresponds to the predicted internal
debt ratio for varying values of t and c.
36
Figure 5: Prediction in t-i-space
Notes: Blue dots denote predictions for the countries included in the estimation sample (evaluated at mean values of
the explanatory variables and the country-specic means of t and r). Surface corresponds to the predicted internal
debt ratio for varying values of t and r.
37
Figure 6: Prediction in t-t
n
-space
Notes: Surface corresponds to the predicted internal debt ratio for varying values of t (c-|) and t (c|c|cco|ica-).
38
Appendix Tables
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics
Variable Acronym Mean (Std. Dev.)
Internal-debt ratio 11
.I
.1827 .2564
Corporate income tax (host) t
.I
.3235 .0724
Weighted corporate income tax (other locations) t
u
.I
.3062 .0743
Financial underdevelopment (host) r
.I
211.2420 53.5578
Weighted nancial underdevelopment (other locations) r
u
.I
196.4351 52.5706
Institutional weakness (host) c
.I
3.8210 1.6974
Weighted institutional weakness (other locations) c
u
.I
3.3883 1.7441
Aliate-level productivity OP (host) 0
.I
-21.5328 2.7130
Weighted aliate-level productivity OP (other locations) 0
u
.I
-22.4540 3.0385
Aliate-level productivity LevPet (host) 0
.I
.3505 5.9113
Weighted aliate-level productivity LevPet (other locations) 0
u
.I
.1675 4.0388
Aliate-level productivity Alt (host)
(u)
0
.I
.1928 9.3171
Weighted aliate-level productivity Alt (other locations)
(u)
0
u
.I
-.0554 8.7226
Tangibility .2490 .2731
Loss carryforward .3123 .4635
Sales .0619 .5536
Notes: 227,558 observations (
(u)
217,103 observations). All aliate-level variables are taken from the
MiDi database provided by the Deutsche Bundesbank. Internal-debt ratio is the cross-border-internal-
debt-to-total-capital ratio, where total capital consists of registered capital, capital reserves and prot
reserves, as well as internal and external debt. Corporate income tax (host) is the statutory tax rate
of the country hosting the borrowing aliate i. Weighted corporate income tax (other locations) is the
lending-weighted corporate income tax rate as dened in (24). The tax data is collected from databases
provided by the International Bureau of Fiscal Documentation (IBFD) and tax surveys provided by
Ernst&Young, PwC, and KPMG. Financial underdevelopment (host) is variable that captures the
nancial underdevelopment of the host country. To measure nancial underdevelopment, we have taken
a statistic for domestic credit to private sector relative to a countrys GDP, provided by the World
Banks World Development Indicators (WDI) database. We dene Financial underdevelopment (host)
as (
1orcsI.oCrcu.I
C1T
noa{
1orcsI.oCrcu.I
C1T
}) Weighted nancial underdevelopment (other locations)
is the lending-weighted nancial underdevelopment as dened in (24). Institutional weakness (host)
captures the institutional weakness of the host country. Also from the WDI database, to measure
institutional weakness, we use an index on the strength of investor protection. We dene the index
such that it ranges from 0 (strong investor protection) to 9 (weak investor protection). Accordingly,
weighted institutional weakness (other locations) is the lending-weighted institutional weakness as
dened in (24). Aliate-level productivity OP (host) captures the productivity of aliate i. We use
the method suggested by Olley and Pakes (1996) to estimate productivity. Weighted aliate-level
productivity OP (other locations) is lending-weighted productivity as dened in (24). Tangibility is
the aliate-specic xed-asset-to-total-asset ratio. Loss carryforward is a binary variable taking the
value one if an aliate reports a loss carryforward. Sales are the annual sales of an aliate in bill. e.
39
Table 2: Countries in Sample
Country Obs. Country Obs. Country Obs.
Albania 12 Haiti . Panama 99
Algeria 52 Honduras 37 Papua New Guinea .
Angola 9 Hong Kong 2,866 Paraguay 29
Argentina 1,303 Hungary 5,615 Peru 227
Armenia . Iceland 18 Philippines 497
Australia 3,577 India 2,082 Poland 8,754
Austria 12,580 Indonesia 755 Portugal 2,677
Azerbaijan 22 Iran 88 Qatar 6
Bahrain 18 Ireland 2,482 Romania 1,237
Bangladesh 53 Israel 300 Russian Federation 2,172
Belarus 50 Italy 11,909 Saudi Arabia 143
Belgium 6,301 Jamaica 8 Senegal 12
Bolivia 35 Japan 3,732 Sierra Leone .
Brazil 4,398 Jordan 11 Singapore 2,909
Bulgaria 513 Kazakhstan 87 Slovak Republic 1,707
Cameroon 33 Kenya 105 Slovenia 543
Canada 1,133 Korea, Rep. of 1,501 South Africa 2,470
Chile 791 Kuwait 12 Spain 11,206
China 6,437 Kyrgyzstan 8 Sri Lanka .
Columbia 459 Latvia 255 Swaziland .
Costa Rica 117 Lebanon 16 Sweden 3,821
Cte dIvoire 34 Lithuania 264 Switzerland 12,050
Croatia 592 Luxembourg 2,822 Syria 15
Czech Republic 7,592 Macedonia 51 Tanzania 24
Dem. Rep. Congo 7 Malawi 5 Thailand 1,002
Denmark 2,930 Malaysia 1,490 Trinidad & Tobago 31
Dominican Rep. . Mauritius 82 Tunisia 194
Ecuador 157 Mexico 2,566 Turkey 2,019
Egypt 393 Moldova 42 Uganda 22
El Salvador 59 Morocco 225 Ukraine 425
Estonia 235 Mozambique 6 Unit. A. Emirates 180
Ethiopia . Namibia . United Kingdom 17,968
Finland 1,336 Nepal . Uruguay 164
France 19,167 Netherlands 12,232 USA 28,756
Gabon 8 New Zealand 574 Venezuela 428
Gambia . Nicaragua 28 Vietnam 107
Georgia 10 Nigeria 150 Zambia 6
Ghana 25 Norway 949 Zimbabwe 20
Greece 1,392 Oman 12
Guatemala 105 Pakistan 184 All (118) Countries 227,558
Notes: Obs. refers to the total number of observations (aliates) from 1997 to 2007 in 118 host countries. .
denotes data, where reporting is not allowed due to condentiality reasons.
40
T
a
b
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e
3
:
D
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41
Table 4: Endogenous incentives
Coe. APE
Corporate income tax (host) 3.5471*** .9176***
(.4650) (.1202)
Weighted corporate income tax (other locations) -2.9818*** -.7714***
(.5304) (.1370)
Financial underdevelopment (host) .0010** .0003**
(.0004) (.0001)
Weighted nancial underdevelopment (other locations) -.0007 -.0002
(.0005) (.0001)
Institutional weakness (host) .0625** .0162**
(.0275) (.0071)
Weighted institutional weakness (other locations) -.0653*** -.0169***
(.0233) (.0060)
Aliate-level productivity OP (host) .0088 .0023
(.0059) (.0015)
Weighted aliate-level productivity OP (other locations) -.0018 -.0005
(.0072) (.0019)
Tangibility .0531** .0137**
(.0242) (.0063)
Loss Carryforward .1019*** .0264***
(.0060) (.0015)
Sales .0107 .0028
(.0118) (.0030)
Notes: 227,558 Observations. Fractional response model estimated by Pooled QMLE. The dependent
variable refers to internal cross-border debt. All regressions include time dummies and aliate-specic
xed eects. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses and based on panel bootstrapping. *,
**, and *** indicate signicance at 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. Tests on the joint signicance of the
instruments yield the following robust F-statistics (in the order of the endogenous variables instrumented):
171.06, 219.17, 443.83, 618.25, respectively. Estimated coecients of the control function (powers of the
estimated rst-stage regression residuals): u
1
.I
: 3.0073*** (0.5404); u
2
.I
: .0004 (.0005); u
3
.I
: .0557**
(.0238); u
4
.I
: -.0030 (.0073).
42
Table 5: Allowing for wider (endogenous) incentives I
Coe. APE
Corporate income tax (host) 3.0949*** .8009***
(.4162) (.1077)
Weighted corporate income tax
1
(other locations) -2.4556*** -.6355***
(.4722) (.1221)
Financial underdevelopment (host) .0011*** .0003***
(.0004) (.0001)
Weighted nancial underdevelopment
1
(other locations) -.0008* -.0002*
(.0005) (.0001)
Institutional weakness (host) .0746*** .0193***
(.0259) (.0067)
Weighted institutional weakness
1
(other locations) -.0763*** -.0197***
(.0213) (.0055)
Aliate-level productivity OP (host) .0090 .0023
(.0058) (.0015)
Weighted aliate-level productivity
1
OP (other locations) -.0024 -.0006
(.0071) (.0018)
Tangibility .0533** .0138**
(.0242) (.0063)
Loss Carryforward .1015*** .0263***
(.0059) (.0015)
Sales .0099 .0026
(.0118) (.0031)
Notes: 227,558 Observations. Fractional response model estimated by Pooled QMLE. The dependent
variable refers to internal cross-border debt. All regressions include time dummies and aliate-specic
xed eects. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses and based on panel bootstrapping. *,
**, and *** indicate signicance at 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. Tests on the joint signicance
of the instruments yield the following robust F-statistics (in the order of the endogenous variables
instrumented): 276.89, 174.91, 612.16, 765.75, respectively. Estimated coecients of the control function
(powers of the estimated rst-stage regression residuals): u
1
.I
: 2.4570*** (0.4826); u
2
.I
: .0005 (.0005); u
3
.I
:
0.0666*** (0.0219); u
4
.I
: -.0023 (.0073). Note that the incentives arising from other locations are dened
such that dierentials between the host and other variables may become negative. All variables denoted
with 1 are dened according to Equation (25), where we apply the less strict condition o
,.I
= 1 if
i
.I
i
I
0.1o
,.
.
43
Table 6: Allowing for wider (endogenous) incentives II
Coe. APE
Corporate income tax (host) 2.1240*** .5501***
(.3718) (.0963)
Weighted corporate income tax
11
(other locations) -1.3198*** -.3418***
(.4178) (.1081)
Financial underdevelopment (host) .0010*** .0003***
(.0003) (.0001)
Weighted nancial underdevelopment
11
(other locations) -.0007* -.0002*
(.0004) (.0001)
Institutional weakness (host) .0824*** .0214***
(.0258) (.0067)
Weighted institutional weakness
11
(other locations) -.0854*** -.0221
(.0197) (.0051)
Aliate-level productivity OP (host) .0159*** .0041***
(.0057) (.0014)
Weighted aliate-level productivity
11
OP (other locations) -.0107 -.0028
(.0069) (.0017)
Tangibility .0518** .0134**
(.0243) (.0063)
Loss Carryforward .1010*** .0261***
(.0059) (.0015)
Sales .0061 .0016
(.0118) (.0031)
Notes: 227,558 Observations. Fractional response model estimated by Pooled QMLE. The dependent
variable refers to internal cross-border debt. All regressions include time dummies and aliate-specic
xed eects. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses and based on panel bootstrapping. *, **,
and *** indicate signicance at 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. Estimated coecients of the control func-
tion (powers of the estimated rst-stage regression residuals): u
1
.I
: 1.2584*** (.4291); u
2
.I
: .0005 (.0004);
u
3
.I
: .0778*** (.0201); u
4
.I
: .0068*** (.0073). All variables denoted with 11 are dened according to
Equation (25), where we apply the less strict condition o
,.I
= 1 if i
.I
i
I
0.5o
,.
.
44
Table 7: Allowing for wider (endogenous) incentives III
Coe. APE
Corporate income tax (host) 2.8036*** .7254***
(.4307) (.1113)
Weighted corporate income tax
111
(other locations) -2.0906*** -.5409***
(.4965) (.1284)
Financial underdevelopment (host) .0009** .0002**
(.0004) (.0001)
Weighted nancial underdevelopment
111
(other locations) -.0004 -.0001
(.0005) (.0001)
Institutional weakness (host) .0808*** .0209***
(.0152) (.0039)
Weighted institutional weakness
111
(other locations) -.1067*** -.0276***
(.0196) (.0050)
Aliate-level productivity OP (host) .0088 .0023
(.0056) (.0014)
Weighted aliate-level productivity
111
OP (other locations) -.0016 -.0004
(.0065) (.0017)
Tangibility .0561*** .0145***
(.0203) (.0053)
Loss Carryforward .1009*** .0261***
(.0064) (.0017)
Sales .0112 .0029
(.0098) (.0025)
Notes: 227,558 Observations. Fractional response model estimated by Pooled QMLE. The dependent
variable refers to internal cross-border debt. All regressions include time dummies and aliate-specic
xed eects. Robust standard errors reported in parentheses and based on panel bootstrapping. *,
**, and *** indicate signicance at 10%, 5%, and 1%, respectively. Tests on the joint signicance
of the instruments yield the following robust F-statistics (in the order of the endogenous variables
instrumented): 181.77, 187.38, 498.91, 735.22, respectively. Estimated coecients of the control function
(powers of the estimated rst-stage regression residuals): u
1
.I
: 2.1495*** (.5059); u
2
.I
: 0.0002 (0.0005);
u
3
.I
: 0.0958*** (0.0198); u
4
.I
: -0.0032 (0.0066). All variables denoted with 111 are dened according to
Equation (25), where we apply the less strict condition o
,.I
= 1 if i
.I
i
I
o
,.
.
45
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46
Table 9: Examples corresponding to Figure 4
Host Institutional Corporate Income Predicted Internal Marginal
Country Weakness (host) Tax Rate (host) Debt Ratio Eect of t
Bahamas 5.0000 .0000 .0228 .0172
China 5.2133 .3186 .1960 .0881
Greece 6.6600 .3221 .2258 .0957
Hong Kong .92000 .1661 .0479 .0318
Ireland 1.4000 .1125 .0340 .0240
Japan 2.7000 .4389 .2788 .1070
Mexico 5.3967 .3229 .2033 .0901
Singapore .39999 .2293 .0703 .0430
USA 1.4000 .4084 .2190 .0941
Notes: The predicted internal debt ratio (and the marginal tax eect in column 5) is evaluated at sample
means of the explanatory variables and the country-specic averages of the institutional weakness indicator
and the corporate income tax rate of the countries listed.
Table 10: Examples corresponding to Figure 5
Host Capital Market Corporate Income Predicted Internal Marginal
Country Underdevelopment Tax Rate Debt Ratio Eect of t
Bahamas 242.7126 .0000 .0206 .0158
China 208.8015 .3186 .1722 .0813
Greece 259.5229 .3221 .1889 .0861
Hong Kong 168.3227 .1661 .0634 .0396
Ireland 191.2044 .1125 .0451 .0303
Japan 124.8518 .4389 .2734 .1060
Mexico 300.3724 .3229 .2008 .0894
Singapore 209.5045 .2293 .1036 .0574
USA 140.3398 .4084 .2435 .0998
Notes: The predicted internal debt ratio (and the marginal tax eect in column 5) is evaluated at sample
means of the explanatory variables and the country-specic averages of the institutional weakness indicator
and the corporate income tax rate of the countries listed.
47
Online Appendix to:
Corporate Taxes and Internal Borrowing within
Multinational Firms
Peter Egger
, Christian Keuschnigg
, Valeria Merlo
Aliation: ETH Zrich, KOF, CEPR, CESifo, GEP Nottingham, and OUCBT. Address: ETH Zrich,
WEH E6, Weinbergstrasse 35, 8092 Zrich, Switzerland.
Aliation: University of St. Gallen, FGN-HSG, CEPR, and CESifo. Address: University of St. Gallen,
FGN-HSG, Varnbuelstrasse 19, 9000 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
Aliation: ETH Zrich. Address: ETH Zrich, WEH E7, Weinbergstrasse 35, 8092 Zrich, Switzerland.
Aliation: ETH Zrich. Address: ETH Zrich, WEH E8, Weinbergstrasse 35, 8092 Zrich, Switzerland.
A.1
Sensitivity analysis
The aim of this online appendix is to provide more detailed information on some of the sensi-
tivity checks mentioned but largely suppressed in the paper for reasons of space constraints.
In particular, those sensitivity checks relate to (i) the treatment of location choice of aliates
as to be endogenous, (ii) an alternative treatment of standard errors by using country-year
clustering instead of a panel bootstrap procedure, (iii) eects on small versus large rms,
(iv) the relative importance of conditioning on other fundamentals than corporate prot tax
rates, (v) the role of estimating nonlinear models (which respect to the boundedness of the
dependent variable) relative to linear (OLS) models, (vi) the consideration of interaction
terms of the fundamental variables so that their nonlinear eects on internal borrowing do
not only accrue to the nonlinear functional form of the estimator for fractional dependent
variables, and (vii) the consistency of internal borrowing within a country with rm-level
productivity dierences across all units of a rm in that country and year. We discuss any
one of those considerations in more detail below.
(i) A control function approach to endogenous aliate location choice
We address the potential endogeneity of location choice by adopting a semi-parametric con-
trol function approach, akin to the one utilized with binary choice problems. For this, we
estimate annual conditional logit location choice models based on the following determinants
of (potential) aliate location (with data sources added in parentheses): the statutory cor-
porate tax rate in each potential host country (as in the paper); nancial underdevelopment
in each potential host country (as in the paper); institutional weakness in each potential
host country (as in the paper); log real GDP at constant U.S. dollars of the year 2000 in
each potential host country (World Banks World Development Indicators 2010); the cor-
ruption perception index for each potential host country (Transparency International); the
investment freedom index for each potential host country (Heritage Foundations Heritage In-
dicators); the costs of starting a business in each potential host country (World Banks World
Development Indicators 2010); log bilateral distance between Germany and each (potential)
host country (Centre dtudes Prospectives et dInformations Internationales Geographical
Database).
Tables A.1 and A.2
We report the conditional logit parameter estimates for each covered year between 1996
and 2007 in Table A.1, below. The table indicates that the parameters are not stable over
time. However, we should be careful with over-emphasizing this result since the conditional
logit model is nonlinear and the parameters should not be directly compared with each
other. We utilize the linear prediction from the location choice models across all the years
in original form and, at the same time, in squared form. These two variables (together
with the parameters that have to be estimated on them) form a quadratic control function.
This function is added to the specications in the last two columns of Table 4 of the paper
(assuming exogeneity of the potential lending weighting of other aliates) and the one in
A.2
Table 5 of the paper (assuming endogeneity of the weighting). This control function approach
is, e.g., similar in spirit to the semiparametric control function approach adopted to selection
into export markets in Helpman, Melitz, and Rubinstein (2008). The corresponding results
are summarized in Table A.2, and they suggest that controlling for endogenous location
choice in the proposed way does not lead to any big qualitative change relative to the
benchmark results in Tables 4 and 5 of the paper. In fact, the (robust) standard errors on
the parameters of the control function suggest that there is no bias in the parameters in
Tables 4 and 5 from endogenous selection into locations by the multinational rm.
(ii) Country-year clustering of standard errors instead of panel-boot-
strapped standard errors
We report counterparts to the last two columns of Table 4 and to Table 5 using country-year
clustering instead of panel bootsrapping in Table A.3, below.
Table A.3
It turns out that controlling for country-year clusters in the variance-covariance matrix leads
to slightly bigger standard errors than panel bootstrapping. However, there is no qualitative
change in the conclusions.
(iii) Regression results for small versus large rms
To assess the potential relevance of rm size (and selectivity bias in previous research) for
the results, we run the regressions in the last pair of columns of Table 4 and in Table 5 for
two alternative subsamples: one that contains rms that are smaller than the rm at the
25th centile and one that contains rms that are larger than the rm at the 75th centile. The
corresponding results are summarized in Table A.4, below, and they should be compared
with the benchmark results in Tables 4 and 5.
Table A.4
If anything, the Table A.4 suggests that utilizing a subsample of large rms leads to somewhat
smaller coecients and average partial eects than utilizing a subsample of small rms.
Hence, we conclude that to some (though not an overwhelming) extent the dierence
in magnitude of tax eects for internal borrowing between this study and previous research
may accrue to the selective reliance on larger rms in several of the studies.
(iv) Regression results without the three non-tax fundamentals
We report counterparts to the last two columns of Table 4 and to Table 5 disregarding the
three non-tax fundamentals in Table A.5, below.
Table A.5
A.3
It turns out that ignoring the three non-tax fundamentals from the specication leads to
somewhat bigger parameters for the corporate tax variables than in the benchmark spec-
ications in Tables 4 and 5. The latter holds true no matter of whether one controls for
weighted corporate tax rates elsewhere in the rm or not. This suggests that the smaller ef-
fects found in previous research are unlikely due to the omission of those other fundamentals
from the corresponding model specications.
(v) Regression results for linear (OLS) models
We report counterparts to the last two columns of Table 4 and to Table 5 based on (linear)
xed eects and two-stage least squares xed eects in Table A.6, below.
Table A.6
Indeed, it turns out that assuming a log-linear regression model (which is inadequate since it
does not pay attention to the boundedness of the dependent variable) leads to much smaller
coecients and average partial eects of the statutory income tax variable. To see this,
compare the rst column of Table A.6 with its nonlinear counterpart in the last two columns
of Table 4. It turns out that the corporate tax parameter (and the average partial eect)
is much smaller in the linear model with exogenous weighting than in the nonlinear model
as reported in the last two columns of Table 4. The parameters of the tax variables even
turn (and take on implausible signs) in case of two-stage least-squares estimation relative to
the nonlinear two-stage least-squares model in Table 5. This suggests that the inadequate
linear modeling of internal lending (in levels or as a ratio) is identied as one potentially
fundamental problem with the data at hand.
(vi) Estimating nonlinear models with interaction terms of the fun-
damentals
We report counterparts to the last two columns of Table 4 and to Table 5 based on speci-
cations which include interactive terms between all four fundamental variables employed in
Tables 4 and 5 in Table A.7, below. This is meant to account for a nonlinear impact of the
fundamentals which goes beyond the nonlinearity as imposed by the functional form of the
nonlinear models estimated. Hence, in the corresponding models there are now two sources
of nonlinearity: one that relates to the specication of the latent process and the other one
relates to the nonlinear mapping of the latent process onto the unit space.
Table A.7
The corresponding parameter estimates are impossible to interpret since the fractional re-
sponse model is nonlinear per se. However, the results can be described as follows. First,
the predictions of the surfaces contain somewhat more extreme values (zero debt ratios at
the lower bounds and unitary debt ratios at the upper bounds) than Figures 4-6. However,
the qualitative shapes of the - relationship counterpart to Figure 4, the - relationship
A.4
counterpart to Figure 5, and the -
w
relationship counterpart to Figure 6 is the same. While
the extreme values (zeros and ones of outcome) are mostly outside of the region supported
by the data anyway, the slope of the estimated surfaces are steeper in the support region.
Hence, if anything, including interaction terms among the fundamentals renders the debt
ratio even more responsive to the fundamentals (including tax rates) than in Figures 4-6.
(vii) Consistency of internal borrowing within a country with rm-
level productivity dierences
We report counterparts to the last two columns of Table 4 and to Table 5 based on speci-
cations which discern between the average productivity within a country (and year) and the
deviation from the latter per aliate in Tables A.8 and A.9. For this, we split the (measured
or estimated) rm-level productivity variables into two orthogonal components. Let us de-
note a generic productivity variable for aliate i in year t by
it
as in the paper, and the
number of all units of the rm aliate i belongs to in the same country as i and in year t by
B
it
. Then, the average productivity of that rm in the country where i is located and year
t may be denoted as
it
=
1
B
it
B
it
i=1
it
, and the deviation of i from this average in year t is
it
=
it
it
. While the regressions in Tables 4-8 included
it
as a regressor, the alternative
ones as counterparts to the benchmark regressions on the outer right of Table 4 and in Table
5 employ
it
and
it
as two separate regressors. Obviously,
it
=
it
for all rms which hold
only a single aliate in the country where i is hosted in year t. Hence, identication of the
separate eects of
it
and
it
comes entirely from multi-unit rms in a single country and
year.
Tables A.8 and A.9
Focusing on those results where the productivity measures carry statistically signicant
coecients, the ndings suggest that
it
and
it
enter with the same sign and have coecients
of quite similar magnitude. Hence, variability of productivity across units in the same rm,
host country, and year is as important for triggering internal lending as the variability of
average productivity across host countries is in the same rm and year.
Tables
A.5
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A.11
Table A.7: Determinants of Internal Debt including Interaction Terms
Exogenous and Endogenous Incentives
Coe. APE Coe. APE
Corporate income tax (host):
it
.1194 .0309 63.6379*** 16.4573***
(.6526) (.1689) (17.9019) (4.6215)
Weighted corporate income tax (other locations):
w
it
-.3862 -.1000 -87.3693*** -22.5944***
(.5993) (.1549) (23.9995) (6.1957)
Financial underdevelopment (host):
it
.0022* .0006* .1044** .0270**
(.0011) (.0003) (.0486) (.0126)
Weighted nancial underdevelopment (other locations):
w
it
-.0024** -.0006** -.1511** -.0391**
(.0010) (.0003) (.0712) (.0184)
Institutional weakness (host):
it
-.0374 -.0097 .3165 .0819
(.0408) (.0105) (1.0868) (.2809)
Weighted institutional weakness (other locations):
w
it
-.0357 -.0093 -.4305 -.1113
(.0333) (.0086) (1.4465) (.3738)
Aliate-level productivity OP (host):
it
.0057 .0015 -.9164** -.2370**
(.0120) (.0031) (.3742) (.0966)
Weighted aliate-level productivity OP (other locations):
w
it
-.0189** -.0049** 1.1925** .3084**
(.0087) (.0022) (.5014) (.1295)
Interaction term:
it
it
-.0027* -.0007* -.1441*** -.0373***
(.0016) (.0004) (.0417) (.0108)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
.0086*** .0022*** .2081*** .0538***
(.0015) (.0004) (.0574) (.0148)
Interaction term:
it
it
.0756 .0196 .4584 .1185
(.0640) (.0165) (.9314) (.2406)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
-.1287** -.0333** -.6893 -.1782
(.0606) (.0157) (1.1356) (.2934)
Interaction term:
it
it
-.0406* -.0105* 1.6008*** .4140***
(.0238) (.0062) (.5496) (.1419)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
.0381* .0099* -2.1500*** -.5560***
(.0211) (.0054) (.7114) (.1837)
Interaction term:
it
it
.0002*** .0001*** -.0026 -.0007
(.0001) (.00002) (.0022) (.0006)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
.0001 .00003 .0044 .0011
(.0001) (.00002) (.0033) (.0008)
Interaction term:
it
it
.0001* .00002* .0022 .0006
(.00004) (.00001) (.0014) (.0004)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
.00004 -.00001 -.0032 -.0008
(.00003) (-.00001) (.0021) (.0005)
Interaction term:
it
it
.0013 .0003 -.0045 -.0012
(.0013) (.0003) (.0232) (.0060)
Interaction term:
w
it
w
it
-.0016 -.0004 .0104 .0027
(.0010) (.0003) (.0324) (.0084)
Tangibility .0502** .0130** .0209 .0054
(.0243) (.0063) (.0289) (.0075)
Loss carryforward .1010*** .0261*** .1043*** .0270***
(.0059) (.0015) (.0084) (.0022)
Sales .0058 .0015 -.0497** -.0128**
(.0114) (.0030) (.0236) (.0061)
Notes: 227,558 Observations. Fractional response model estimated by Pooled QMLE. The dependent variable refers
to internal cross-border debt. All regressions include time dummies and aliate-specic xed eects. Robust standard
errors reported in parentheses and based on panel bootstrapping. *, **, and *** indicate signicance at 10%, 5%, and
1%, respectively.
A.12
T
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A.13
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A.14