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DEB SAHOO MBA, ROSS SCHOOL OF BUSINESS UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN, ANN ARBOR
AGENDA
I. II. III. IV. V. Investment Summary Industry and Company Overview Financial Performance and Valuation Transaction Overview Exit Strategies
I. INVESTMENT SUMMARY
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Company overview
value-added manufacturer of high quality, prepared frozen food products for branded retail, private label, foodservice and airline customers Products are sold in retail club stores such as Sam's Club, and in leading grocery chains nationwide Headquarters, entre manufacturing and warehousing, product development, sales and quality control facilities are located at a single location in Vernon, California.
Source: Company Website
Summary financials
Customer Types
Grocery Chains Restaurants Airlines Diet Brands Discount Retailers
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
OFI is an attractive take-out target with steady cash flows, minimal debt and is not benefiting from being a public company
Overhill Farms, Inc
(Amex: OFI)
$194.5M in revenue in 2010, $209.8M estimated revenue in 2009 $17.6M in EBITDA in 2010, $21M EBITDA in 2009 Steady and healthy gross profit margin
Role of investment
Acquire company not currently benefiting from public ownership Use of operating leverage will enhance returns to equity holders Base Case: 21% IRR Allow management to monetize a portion of its equity investment Management retains 12% pro forma ownership to participate in upside Target an exit within five years by either sale of company, public offering or other capital realization
Investment structure
Financing requirements
Conservative leverage to ensure financing and deal consummation Proposing a senior bank loan of 2.2x 2010 EBITDA, credit revolver of 1.7x 2010 EBITDA, and Senior Sub Debt of 0.8x 2010 EBITDA Sponsor equity financing, management equity rollover, and balance sheet cash to cover remainder of purchase price
INVESTMENT RATIONALE
OFI provides cycle-resistant free cash flows with no current operating leverage and its management team is likely looking to monetize part of its equity position
Stable cash flows
Healthy cash flows from operations over the last three years Predictable cash flows enable self funding of capital expenditures and increases in working capital Company has maintained margins and grown free cash flows through downturn in economic cycle and material volatility of material key inputs (see slide 29) Management team is highly qualified, experienced, and has helped the Company grow. Proposed structure would retain significant equity position, allowing them to realize improved operational performance of company without punitive equity market reaction $13.2M of LT debt as of 9/26/2010 Strong cash flows enabled pay-down of proposed $20.28M of bank debt over 3 years Recent capital expenditures put company in a position for growth without requiring near future large capital investment Company invested in and operating efficient production facilities Offering expanding range of products to customer base Recently signed large white label product deal with large national retailer Continuing to grow organically and exploring growth via acquisitions
Strong management
Mitigating Factors
Commodity price volatility will affect competitors as well Explore hedging in options market Provide range of products including items for price-sensitive customers Diversified customers
Operating risk
Currently operating in a highly Operations are subject to stringent standards, including regulations mandated regulated environment by the federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, the FDA, OHSA, the EPA and the USDA Product liability
Financing risk
Ability to finance debt, particularly $7.7 million in long-term adjustable interest rate debt
Exit risk
Potential acquisition reluctance as competitors can easily expand product portfolio organically without acquisitions
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Frozen foods wholesale industry products include baked foods, seafood, poultry, meats , soups, fruits and vegetables. Demand is projected grow in line with the overall economic growth Threat of globalization in the industry is low Competition driven by relative costs/prices Highly regulated industry due to nature of the products
Industry overview
Barriers to entry
High investment requirements in warehouses and distribution system Effective quality control is a must Existing multi-year supply contracts with retailers Nature of the product and transportation costs make the industry domestic in nature Industry concentration is low, hence reasonable pricing power Top four firms account for 24% of market share Industry consolidation is expected Geographically concentrated in west and Southeast regions
Concentration
Market size
Industry revenue in 2009 expected to be $87.8 billion Frozen poultry, ready to eat dinners, vegetables and meats make 58.4% of revenue Mature industry dealing with essential items stable moderate growth rate (projected 1.5% YOY) Well positioned to benefit from improvement in the economy
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Retail Chains
Chain Restaurants
Institutional Accounts
Educational Facilities 13
Airlines
Long term contracts assure stable revenues with strong potential of revenue growth
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MANAGEMENT PROFILE
James Rudis
Chairman of the Board, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director 61 years old Was elected to board of directors in April 1995 and has served as President and Chief Executive Officer since June 1997 Prior to his employment with OFI, Mr. Rudis was president of Quorum Corporation, a private consulting firm involved in acquisitions and market development
Tracy E. Quin
Interim Chief Financial Officer 56 years old Former controller at the H. J. Heinz Company Became Interim CFO in September 2007 Previous experience includes various senior-level finance and operating positions for the H. J. Heinz Company
Robert A. Olivarez
Vice President-Finance and Secretary 31 years old Served as Secretary since May 2010 and served as Vice President-Finance since February 2010 Prior to becoming Vice President-Finance, he was Manager-Finance from June 2007. Experience includes assurance practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP in the Los Angeles, California office since 2001
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STOCK OWNERSHIP
OVERHILL FARMS INC COM (OFI) Food: Specialty/Candy Consumer Non-Durables Micro 15,823,000
Holder Name Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC Lord Abbett & Co. LLC ESTES HAROLD L Royce & Associates LLC Northern Trust Co. of Connecticut Metropolitan West Capital Management LLC Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. LSV Asset Management TT International OppenheimerFunds, Inc.
Position 2,624,352 2,507,575 1,111,565 714,888 348,952 348,952 269,611 263,094 268,337 234,522
Mkt Val 14,722,615 14,067,496 6,235,880 4,010,522 1,957,621 1,831,998 1,512,518 1,475,957 1,408,769 1,315,668
% O/S 16.59 15.85 7.03 4.52 2.21 2.21 1.70 1.66 1.70 1.48
Holdings Style Cap Group Style Type Yield Large Cap Mutual Fund Manager Value Large Cap Mutual Fund Manager Individual Value Multi Cap Investment Adviser Growth Large Cap Bank Management Division GARP Large Cap Value Multi Cap Investment Adviser Yield Large Cap Investment Adviser GARP Large Cap Growth Large Cap Investment Adviser
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MANAGEMENT COMPENSATION
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Have expertise in dealing with large financial transactions, keeping return in sight
Management Strengths
Executive management has significant experience with a solid understanding of the frozen food market Board of Directors is strong and deep includes a former executive of H. J. Heinz Company, former consultant from PwC , former executive of General Motors, several expert lawyers Focused on exploring strategic opportunities and operational efficiency CEO has a strategic vision for growth, business strategy and strategic planning skills and marketing acumen
Weaknesses
Most of top management are operational focused. This could be a problem while taking new strategic initiatives More executives except key decision makers at the top have expertise in financial services, but not in food sector which may be disadvantageous while evaluating strategic moves
Weaknesses
Revenue concentration. A significant portion of total revenues during the last three fiscal years was derived from top three customers Competition comes from numerous regional and national firms that are divisions of larger, highly integrated companies
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Significant free cash flow with minimal capital expenditures required Demonstrated ability to maintain margins during rising food price environment
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STOCK PERFORMANCE
OFI stock has generally been steady, with few dramatic reactions from investors
Closing price of $5.61 at December 10, 2010 Stock price has fluctuated between $3 and $6.40 since 2008 Prices outside this range over the last five years appear to be due to systematic conditions
May 2006, OFI successfully completes $47.5M restructuring Sept, 2010, OFI signs $30M credit facility with BofA Nov 2010, OFI launches private label frozen food line, as well as an alliance with Boston Market Dec 2010 OFI announces revenues of $194M and Net Income of $7.6M
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PUBLIC COMPARABLES
Valuation Comparison
All values in millions of U.S. Dollar, except per share items.
Total Debt / Company Name Overhill Farms, Inc. (OFI-USA) Peer Universe (5 comps) Compass Group Plc (CPG-GB) Armanino Foods of Distinction, Inc. (AMNF) Autogrill SpA (AGL-IT) Campbell Soup Co. (CPB) Cuisine Solutions, Inc. (CUSI)
Data is LTM. Market value calculated using all classes of shares for the company. Source: FactSet Fundamentals, FactSet Estimates, FactSet Daily Prices, Hoover's
Fiscal Enterprise Price / EPS FY1 Enterprise Value / Period Value LTM FY1 NTM Date Sales EBIT EBITDA EBITDA 09/2010 96.0 11.94 - 09/2010 0.49x 6.9x 5.4x 0.74x
18,326.2 16.04 23.6 8.22 6,248.9 57.64 14,292.6 14.49 21.7 (120.25)
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FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Sales growth approximates average growth of metal plating and end market industries Base case assumptions are conservative, leaving substantial upside potential to estimated returns Margin Assumptions Gross Margin 86% based on 09 and 10 performance SG&A 4% of sales based on 07 10 average (assume no margin expansion due to improved capacity utilization) Capital Expenditures moderate spike in 2011 due to protein cooking plant expansion
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VALUATION SUMMARY
Overhill Farms is substantially undervalued as a public company
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TRANSACTION SUMMARY
$6.60 / share offer price represents 20% premium over 12/10/2010 closing price
Total purchase price of $104M Financing Assumptions Senior Debt at 2.2x EBITDA (10) Utilize existing revolver of $30M Senior Subordinated debt of 0.8X EBITDA (10) Management rolls-over 5% of equity Required equity contribution of $30.2M
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Base Case
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V. EXIT STRATEGIES
EXIT STRATEGIES
Would allow for greatest valuation of company at exit Strategic buyers can utilize Overhill to reach new customer accounts or acquire leading-edge facilities
Re-lever of Overhill would provide returns to present sponsor and allow continued growth of NGA Adequate number of PE firms with matching investment criteria
Public offering
Increased size of Overhill and expanded geographical presence may increase visibility in investor community Company may be more successful continuing as private company
Dividend recapitalization
Re-lever Overhill with additional debt to provide return to equity holders Financing for transaction may be difficult to secure
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Description
Leader in selling, marketing and distributing food products to restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, and lodging establishments #1 french fry maker in the world. Also produces a variety of other frozen foods. Owns Ore-Ida food service business (not retail) Produces and markets a range of fresh meat and packaged meat products both domestically and internationally Produces, distributes and markets chicken, beef, pork, and prepared foods
Rationale
Largest player in food service space; may look to defend Sysco branded products from erosion by private labels To expand product portfolio. Able to take advantage of existing robust supply chain / channel overlap
Private
$3.37B
May be overly dependent on retail sales of packaged meats. Has room to expand institutional sales business Expand institutional customer base and diversity of prepared food product portfolio
$6.7B
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Target Criteria
$300M Revenue: $10 - $200M Fund focused on health sector and consumer food goods Recently sold stake in Atkins for 5x return
$1,500M
Revenue: $20 - $1000M EBITDA: $10 - $100M Equity: $15 - $350 Equity: $15 - $75M Revenue: $25 - $500M
Focus on food industry Multiple investments in food franchises, food producers, and restaurant chains Buys manufacturers and marketers of branded food products Also buys suppliers of ingredients and raw materials to food manufacturers
$650M
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