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REPUBLIC OF KENYA
PRESS RELEASE
THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MARCH-APRIL-MAY (MAM) 2012 LONG-RAINS SEASON IN KENYA
1. SUMMARY
Depressed and poorly distributed rainfall is expected over most parts of the country during March-May 2012
Long-Rains Season.
The western counties and the northern Coastal strip are likely to experience slightly enhanced rainfall while
several places in Northeastern Kenya are likely to experience highly depressed rainfall.
Most of the rainfall in various parts of the country is still expected during the peak month of April.
The specic outlook for MAM 2012 Long Rains Season is as follows:
5.4 Transport and Public Safety
Flash oods may still be experienced especially in Western and some parts of Central Kenya. This may lead to
transport problems, especially during rush hours and more so in areas where the roads become impassable when
it rains. Slippery roads and visibility during rainstorms may also pose dangers to motorists and pedestrians. All
should, therefore, take utmost care during the rainy period.
Light aircrafts are advised to take utmost care in the western routes and avoid ying through deep cumulus
clouds, especially in the afternoon hours. Such clouds are associated with severe turbulence (very strong updrafts
and downdrafts of air and cross-winds occasioned by strong convections) and lightning.
5.5 Water Resources Management Sector
Water resources for drinking, sanitation and industrial use in most municipalities of the country are expected to be
minimal due to the expected depressed rainfall. The currently available water should, therefore, be well managed
especially over areas forecasted to get decient rainfall. This should be more so in the marginal areas in order to
cater for the animal and human population needs.
5.9 Environment
In areas expected to receive enhanced rainfall, the Ministry of Environment and Mineral Resources should
encourage residents in these areas to put in place soil conservation measures to minimize environmental
degradation due to soil erosion by surface run-off of rain water. People should also be encouraged to plant more
indigenous trees in order to increase forest cover to the internationally agreed target of 10% of forest cover over
the country.
Onset Dates
Cessation Dates
Coastal Strip
North-eastern and North-western 4th week March to 1st week April 2012
districts
5. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
5.1 Agriculture and Food Security Sector
In the agricultural counties of Western, Nyanza and Rift Valley where rainfall is expected to be Near-Normal with
a tendency towards Above-Normal, the farming communities should take advantage of the rains and maximize
crop yield through appropriate land-use management. Farmers are advised to work closely with the Ministry of
Agriculture on ways of taking advantage of the expected good rainfall.
In other agricultural counties within the Central, Southeastern and Coastal Kenya, where the rainfall is expected
to be Near-Normal with a tendency towards Below-Normal, farmers are also advised to liaise with the Ministry of
Agriculture to get advice for the best use of the rains by planting appropriate crops.
Cases of wild res were reported over various parts of the country. This was as a result of the sunny and dry
conditions together with strong winds that provide very conducive conditions for wild res.
Frost formation that affected tea, potatoes and even bananas occurred in some of the highland areas including
parts of the Mau Escarpment and the Aberdare ranges.
NB: This outlook should be used with 24 hour forecasts and regular updates issued by this Department.
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METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES & PERMANENT REPRESENTATIVE OF KENYA WITH WMO