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Education
As with anything in life, education is a foundational building block of successful trading. But there is no holy Trade MT4-
grail out there. A "can't miss" strategy does not exist, but a general understanding of basic trading strategies is Regulated Firm
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In this section we discuss the 3-headed "technical" monster…chart patterns, candlestick patterns, and
technical analysis. We also cover popular option strategies, and of course we offer our recommended reading
on our bookshelf.
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Chart Patterns
At the end of the day, the only thing that matters in the stock market is supply and demand. When there areCompany
more buyers than sellers, stocks go up. More sellers than buyers, stocks go down. A chart is simply a Stock
Research
graphical representation of supply and demand. Any news or information that is important or relevant will show
up in the chart. It is a totally unbiased, unemotional, direct representation of everything going on in the stock.
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History has shown that stocks often form patterns, and when these patterns are broken, price movements can
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Here we discuss numerous popular chart patterns used by successful traders. Today!
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Bullish Patterns Neutral Patterns Bearish Patterns
Symmetrical Triangles Symmetrical Triangles Symmetrical Triangles
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The best breakouts occur ½ to ¾ of the way through the pattern. A stock seems to gain energy as it is Forex and CFDs.
compressed into the triangle, but that energy dissipates beyond the ¾ point. It is recommended that Trade on MT4
traders abandon a stock that trades beyond the ¾ mark for very little movement is likely to occur. Volume with regulated
typically diminishes as the pattern develops because traders become more and more unsure as to the broker
stock's future direction. Then, seemingly without warning, the stock explodes out of the pattern. www.gcitrading.com/meta
Bullish symmetrical triangles appear in uptrends and typically resolve themselves to the upside. Breakouts
to the upside must be accompanied by a significant increase in volume to confirm the breakout. Failure to Where are
accomplish this doesn't automatically render the play invalid, but it does raise a yellow flag. Besides stocks
volume, the astute trader ought to look for a close above the most recent high. This price represents the headed?
previous area of selling pressure and an area where stockholders may be looking to “get out even.” It is The answer may
recommended that if volume does not accompany the break, and if the stock fails to make a higher high surprise you. Find
within a reasonable amount of time, the trader should move a sell stop up to protect profits. out now with
Chart of the Day.
The expected price movement upon breakout is approximately equal to the widest part of the pattern. www.chartoftheday.com
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TEO formed a typically symmetrical triangle in an uptrend in the late winter months of '03. After steadily rallying on solid volume
(notice the black volume bars are generally bigger than the red ones) the stock made a lower high and a couple higher lows as the
stock was compressed by converging trendlines. Volume then surged on the mid-April breakout. Notice the widest part of the Trader Makes
pattern (approx. 1.75 points) accurately predicted the move from 4.25 up to 6.0. Textbook play. $4 Billion
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TRPS traded into a symmetrical triangle and broke out on massive volume. Notice the move from 10 to 20 into the pattern was
pretty good at forecasting the move from 20 to 30 upon breakout. Share Market
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BDY formed a solid symmetrical triangle pattern in the fall of '01 and provided a great move to the upside when the stock broke
out. Notice the volume; it was huge on the rally into the pattern, and than it significantly fell off within the pattern.That's exactly
what you want to see. Then volume surged again on the breakout. Textbook scenario.
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It is as if a massive sell order has been placed at the upper trendline and even though the stock is strong No commissions,
and in an uptrend, it takes some time to fully execute the order. Volume usually diminishes as the pattern Forex and CFDs.
develops. Once the overhead supply is absorbed, the stock is free to catapult higher because the lack of Trade on MT4
supply shifts the supply/demand imbalance to favor the buyers. Also, if indeed a stock is in a steady with regulated
uptrend, every stockholder who bought in the prior several months will be showing a gain. Satisfied and broker
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happy stockholders rarely sell. This reality also helps to push the stock higher after the break.
The best breakouts occur ½ to ¾ on. Breakouts that art art breakouts occur &frac1e delayed until prices Where are
crowd into the apex usually fail or are mediocre at best. If by chance a stock trades below the lower stocks
trendline, it is not reason to go short. Instead, the trader ought to simply redraw the lower trendline and headed?
keep watching for an eventual break to the upside. This act of redrawing a trendline is pretty common. The answer may
Remember, drawing trendlines is a subjective art at best. They are the trader's best guess as to where surprise you. Find
support and resistance could be or should be, so redrawing them is perfectly permissible. out now with
Chart of the Day.
Breakouts should be accompanied by a significant increase in volume. Failure to accomplish this doesn't www.chartoftheday.com
render the breakout invalid, but a red flag is raised and appropriate stops should be employed.
There are two guidelines a trader can use to determine the extent of the rally upon breakout. The first
Company
expected price movement is approximately equal to the widest part of the pattern. The second price target
Stock
is equal to the rally into the pattern. The extent of the advance will often depend on the overall market. A Research
strong market will help greatly in achieving the more ambitious price target, but in a weak market, a trader 2,000 Stock
should be happy with just a moderate advance. Analyst Reports &
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ATH was in a steady uptrend when it consolidated in an ascending triangle pattern. Resistance is not perfectly defined but the
The answer may
series of higher lows maintains the generally upward nature of the stock. Volume didn't exactly surge on the breakout, but the
surprise you. Find
stock didn't pullback much, so there was never a reason to get out (remember, volume is used as a confirmation – not a decision
out now with
making element). Eventually the bulls stepped up and provided a nice gain for those patient enough to stay with the position.
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This is a textbook play for MOVI. Volume surge on the move into the pattern and then calmed down within the pattern. Then Might be the
volume surged again on the breakout. This is exactly the type of action you want to see. beginning of a
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AGI was in a steady uptrend when it traded into and then exploded out of this ascending triangle pattern. Notice how resistance is
very easy to determine (always a bonus when it's exact, and you don't have to estimate) and how volume dried up just prior to the
breakout.
» back to top
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Trendlines upside must be accompanied by a significant increase in volume to confirm the breakout. Failure to
accomplish this doesn't automatically render the play invalid, but it does raise a red flag. Besides volume, Today!
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the astute trader ought to look for a close above the most recent high. This price represents the previous
area of selling pressure and an area where stockholders may be looking to “get out even.” It is Trader Makes
recommended that if volume does not accompany the break, and if the stock fails to make a higher high $4 Billion
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If the pattern is on the smaller size, then the expected price movement should mirror the price movement
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On a side note, rectangles are difficult to play. Symmetrical triangles have converging trendlines, and
therefore must break by a certain day. But since rectangles have parallel trendlines – and therefore
theoretically can go on for many months - no time horizon is offered as to when the stock will most likely Technical
break. Analysis
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CIG was in a solid uptrend with volume to support the strength when it traded into this bullish downward sloping rectangle pattern.
The falling nature of the pattern acts to shake out the weak long positions and cause a little confusion (as evidenced by the lack of
volume in June and July. The stock then breaks out and volume surges. It's not an easy trade because the parallel trendlines don't
offer any clues as to when the stock will breakout, but following other charting tools (like the high volume bullish engulfing pattern
that formed at the bottom of the pattern just before the stock moved up and broke out) will help.
DPH was in steady uptrend when it formed this bullish rectangle pattern. At first the pattern is bullish because the stock is in an
uptrend. If the pattern lasts too long (this is subjective) the momentum would be neutralized. Notice the big volume in late February
and early March. The first price target is measured by the height of the rectangle. The second target is measured by the move into
the pattern.
ForexCandlesticksMadeEasy.c
This is a textbook bullish rectangle pattern. The stock rallied on huge volume in early September. Then the stock traded between
parallel trendlines on much lighter volume, and then the stock broke out on another big volume surge. The quick and violent move
into the pattern was from about 7 to 11, so it is no surprise the move out of the pattern was also quick and violent and from 10 to
14.
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Bullish pennants typically appear in the middle of large rallies or immediately after a stock has broken out
surprise you. Find
of a basing period.
out now with
Bullish breakouts should be accompanied by a significant increase in volume. Use appropriate stops if this Chart of the Day.
www.chartoftheday.com
is not seen.
The price action prior to the pennant formation can be used as a guide in predicting the price movement Technical
upon breakout. So, for a bullish pennant in an uptrend to truly possess great potential, it must have been Analysis
preceded by a significant move (i.e. if the movement into the pattern was quick and full of energy, the rally Charts
after the breakout most likely will be quick and full of energy). Charts, analysis,
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The expected price movement upon breakout is approximately equal to the distance of the move into the trading systems
pattern. for US indexes
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NWS was steadily trending up when it traded into this 7-week bullish pennant pattern. The volume surge within the pattern is not
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typical; in fact one would think that type of volume would cause the stock to penetrate one of the trendlines. Also notice the
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Here is an example of a stock that broke out from a very long basing period and then immediately traded into a bullish pennant.
This scenario happens often. It takes a lot of energy to breakout of the base, so the stock needs to “rest” before continuing its
move up. Notice the volume on both the breakout from the base as well as the breakout from the pennant.
SNIC was a pretty simple play. The stock was in a steady uptrend when it exploded up in late-July. The stock then trended
sideways in a small pennant and then busted out again with another volume surge. Textbook pattern and trade.
FRNT is another example of a stock that broke out of large base on strong volume and then immediately traded into a small
bullish pennant. After its brief rest, the stock then broke out again on another strong volume surge. This action is typical and
somewhat easy to play.
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The slight short-term downtrend against the overall uptrend is very healthy as it functions to scare off weak
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and emotional long positions that would otherwise slow the movement after the breakout. These longs
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would sell at the first sign of strength. But instead, as the stock slowly trends down, these weak
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stockholders sell their positions. Once enough have sold, the overhead resistance in essence is cleared
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Whether a bullish flag pattern appears during a large rally or after breaking out of a consolidation period,
Where are
the expected price movement upon breakout is approximately equal to the preceding move into the flag.
stocks
It is important to emphasize that for a bullish flag to truly posses great potential, it must have been headed?
preceded by a significant move on heavy volume. Like pennants, bullish flags tend to be symmetrical in The answer may
that the stock movement after the breakout often mirrors the move into the pattern. surprise you. Find
out now with
Chart of the Day.
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AZO formed a textbook bullish flag pattern in 2001. The stock was in a steady uptrend when it popped up on strong volume. It then
traded into a 3+ week bullish flag on lighter volume before busting out on a huge volume surge. This is the exact sequence of
events you want with a bullish flag pattern.
BYD is an example of a stock that broke out of a large basing period and then needed to rest in a bullish flag before continuing its
move up. In this situation you would use the move into the pattern to measure the expected move out of the pattern, but the
massive volume that accompanied the breakout tells you there are a lot of buyers, and you can expect to get a bigger move.
CREAF is another example of a stock that broke out of large basing period, moved up and traded into a bullish flag, and then Technical
busted out again. The move into the pattern (from approx. 4 to 8.5) predicted a move to 12.5 when the stock broke out at 8. Not Analysis
bad, but price targets are only guidelines and should never be blindly adhered to. Sometimes stocks come up short while other Charts
times they blow right through them. Charts, analysis,
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This is not what we would consider an easy trade. Certainly the chart posted here look easy and obvious to play, but notice how Effective Forex
the stock basically giggled in place for a few weeks before busting out. It took a high volume gap up to break out of the pattern, Trading Strategies
and only an active and patient trader would have gotten in the trade. In Less Than 30
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Bullish wedges typically appear in the middle of a large rally or immediately after a stock has broken out of from the current
a basing period. World Record
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Bullish breakouts should be accompanied by a significant increase in volume with appropriate stops used if market.
this is not seen. www.chartpattern.com
The price action prior to a wedge formation can be used as a guide in predicting the price movement upon
breakout. So, for a bullish wedge in an uptrend to truly possess great potential, it must have been Free Java DAO
preceded by a significant move (i.e. if the movement into the pattern was quick and full of energy, the rally Generator
after the breakout most likely will be quick and full of energy). Create a fully
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DOVP was in a steady uptrend when it traded into a downward sloping bullish wedge. This pattern is very similar to a bullish
pennant except here both trendlines slant down. Volume popped on the breakout and was then fairly steady during the rally.
URBN traded into a textbook bullish wedge in the spring of '02. Three touches established both support and resistance and
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CRK was a herky jerky stock that traded into a downward sloping bullish wedge in the late summer months of 2003. Volume indicators and
surged several consecutive days on the breakout, and that makes the pattern easier to trade because each of the highs from trading systems
within the pattern can act as resistance on the way up. Getting a big explosive move that achieves “separation” from the breakout for US indexes
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The above chart illustrates the sequence of events that unfold as the pattern develops. The left shoulder is Stock Tips &
formed as just another sell-off and bounce within a long downtrend. The stock then falls and makes Analysis
another lower low. This action, which forms the left shoulder and first half of the head is no different than Free Trial: 2000
what is expected with a stock in a typical downtrend. And at this point in time, there is no way for the Stock Research
trader to know that a head & shoulders bottom is forming. The stock then begins its usual “bounce within a Reports with Buy
downtrend,” but not only does the stock trade above the left shoulder, it rallies to, or close to, the same & Sell Prices
level as the previous bounce. The head has now been formed. This is the first sign that the selling pressure www.Morningstar.com
may be abating and the stock seems to be gaining strength. A trendline, called the neckline, can be drawn
between the two troughs. The stock then falls again but the imbalance of supply and demand is such that
the stock does not make a lower low. This is the second sign the downtrend may be nearing an end. A Where are
rally from this shallower dip (right shoulder) through the neckline with a volume surge would mark a stocks
headed?
successful reversal of the downtrend.
The answer may
Like all other upside breaks, a surge in volume must accompany the breakout. Failure to accomplish this surprise you. Find
doesn't necessarily mean the pattern will be a complete failure, but a red flag is raised. The stock may out now with
have broken prematurely due to overall market strength. The stock may just need to pull back to do more Chart of the Day.
www.chartoftheday.com
“work” (form a second right shoulder) before the real breakout occurs. Remember, a head & shoulders
bottom occurs after a weak stock has been in a long downtrend. There really needs to be a massive
amount of buying to reverse the downtrend.
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Typically it is equal to the distance from the neckline to the extreme point of the head. But this is just a
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guideline. Head and shoulders is a reversal pattern, so there must be a significant move to reverse. A
from the current
small move into the pattern usually results in a small rally upon break. Also, the rally tends to be the mirror
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Duration of the entire pattern (i.e. how long the stock trades below the neckline) also plays a role. The market.
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longer the stock trades down there, the greater the chance that most of the disgruntled stockholders will
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Head & shoulder bottom patterns rarely fit the textbook description, and ANAD is a good example of that. Typically you'd like the Options!
pattern to be bigger, but in this case the neckline was fairly easy to determine and the volume surge on the breakout sealed the www.VirtualinvestingClub
deal. Absent the volume surge, the stock most likely would have pulled right back into the pattern.
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MACR formed a nice head & shoulder bottom pattern in the fall of 2001. Notice the volume pick up on the right side of the head, www.Dodjit.com
and fall off on the left side of the right shoulder. The volume surged when the stock exploded out of the pattern.
Whole numbers are often significant numbers, so when AAPL formed a head & shoulder bottom pattern with its neckline at 20, the
astute trader needs to pay more attention. The move down into the pattern was 5 points (from 25 down to 20) and the size of the
head was 5 points (15 to 20), so the projected move out of the pattern was 5 points (from 20 to 25). We didn't quite get it (probably
because there wasn't much volume on the breakout), but we did get a nice 20% move nevertheless.
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The above chart illustrates the sequence of events that unfold as the pattern develops. After a nice rally
(preferably on solid volume), the stock begins a long drawn out correction. When the pullback begins, Stock
many stockholders decide that after the nice rally, they now would like to take profits up near the peak. Free Trial: 1800
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these stockholders have one thing on their mind – to “get out even.” These two groups will create selling Reports with Buy
pressure when the stock regains strength. Months later when the stock trades close to the first peak, & Sell Prices
stockholders jump at the opportunity and start selling. Thus a second pullback begins. A line drawn www.Morningstar.com
through the two peaks forms a trendline. This second pullback is very healthy and normal for a strong stock
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The best patterns possess a decent amount of symmetry with the right half of the cup mirroring the left half
and the right half of the handle mirroring the left half. But while it is nice for the pattern to have a smooth
even balance, it is not absolutely necessary. Also, it is important that the handle not go below the midpoint
of the cup. Theoretically, only the selling to satisfy the people who want to get out near the previous high Trading Forex
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The same breakout requirements govern as with other breakouts. Volume must surge to validate the
breakout, and appropriate stops shall be implemented if volume is not satisfactory.
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first is the equal to the depth of the cup. The second is the price movement into the first peak. Often the
from the current
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GSIC rallied strongly from penny stock land and then formed a nice cup & handle pattern with easily defined resistance. Notice the for US indexes
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volume starting to pick up on the right side of the cup and then drop off on the left side of the handle before surging during the
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HEPH also formed a cup & handle pattern while in a steady uptrend. The stock did pull back to test the breakout area, and after
succeeding it began a nice steady climb. It would have been nice to get a big breakout from the get-go, but this isn't rocket science
– patterns don't always work perfectly. As long as the stock stays in its uptrend, there is no reason to exit the trade.
WMAR is another decent cup & handle example. Notice the volume starting to pick up on the right side of the head and then falloff
on the left side of the handle. That is the type of action you want to see.
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After gapping down and basing for 5 months with easily defined resistance, DCN broke out on steady volume that lasted well over
a month. Maybe you can call it a head & shoulder pattern with two shoulders on each side…it doesn't matter. The only important
features are the size of the base (5 months) and the volume on the breakout. We got both, so it doesn't matter what you call the
pattern.
AXL was generally trading neutral with easily defined trendline resistance overhead. Until the stock breaks out on volume, there
isn't much to do from a “chart pattern” standpoint other than play the range. But once resistance is taken out on big volume, the
stock become playable to the upside.
CNX is another simple example of a trendline being used to determine entry on a trade. Resistance is formed by a couple touches,
and volume pops on the breakout. Notice how the pricing action on the rally after the breakout is very similar to the pricing action
on the move up into the pattern.
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IMAX didn't really fit well into the bullish wedge, flag or pennant patterns, but the pattern was too good to ignore. In this case we Shocking Report
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Wedges
Head & Shoulder Top
Trendlines
The best breakouts occur ½ to ¾ of the way through the pattern. A stock seems to gain energy as it is
compressed into the triangle, but that energy dissipates beyond the ¾ point. It is recommended that
traders abandon a stock that trades beyond the ¾ mark for very little movement is likely to occur. Volume
typically diminishes as the pattern develops because traders become more and more unsure as to the
stock's future direction. Then, seemingly without warning, the stock explodes out of the pattern.
Bearish symmetrical triangles appear in downtrends and typically resolve themselves to the downside.
Breakdowns do not have the same volume or movement requirements as their opposite upside breaks. In
fact, when stock breaks support with a massive volume surge, it often signals that of a capitulation sell-off
and the stock rebounds shortly after. The best downside breaks occur on average volume followed by the
stock drifting lower for a few days on increasing volume. Psychologically, when a stock first breaks
support, stockholders become concerned; many of them show a loss and some sell. As the stock trades
lower, concern becomes fear and the selling accelerates. Then fear becomes panic, and people sell
regardless of price. This is why there typically is a delayed volume surge with breaks to the downside.
The expected price movement upon breakout is approximately equal to the widest part of the pattern.
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BRCM was in a steady downtrend when it traded into this bearish symmetrical triangle. Notice how the volume dropped off
towards the completion of the pattern. That's a sign that temporarily it's an equal battle between the bulls and bears and neither
one is willing to step up and place a bet as to the stock's future movement. Then the stock breaks support and volume ramps up
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TEO formed a decent size symmetrical triangle within a steady downtrend. These patterns typically resolve themselves in the Learn
direction of the trend, and that's exactly what happened. Notice how volume dried up within the pattern and then surge after the Technical
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Pretty pattern here. Not all bearish symmetrical triangles will setup this nicely. ALSC was in a downtrend...two higher lows formed
support while one lower high formed resistance. Volume dropped off within the pattern and then surged after the break down. The
stock did bounce around between 9 and 10 after the break down, but as a chart pattern trader, as long as the overall market is
leaning weak, that action is nothing to worry about. Give the stock room to run its course.
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Symmetrical Triangles Winners
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Rectangles Rectangles can form in trends, but their sheer size will often neutralize whatever momentum existed when from the current
Pennants
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Wedges way it will break until it actually happens. Rarely are any reliable clues given. A trader can only wait until
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Trendlines the stock “makes up its mind;” then and only then should money be committed to a position. market.
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If the rectangle is large, the expected price movement is approximately equal to the height of the rectangle.
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ADRX formed a very large neutral rectangle pattern in the second half of '02 that could have broken out either way. A good trader
can play the range by buying at support and selling and selling short at resistance. But if this is done, the prudent trader would exit
and go the other way if either support or resistance was penetrated.
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ADBE was in an uptrend when it started to meander its way sideways in this neutral rectangle pattern. With 3 touches at
resistance, 5 touches at support, and sporadic volume within the pattern, the stock could have broken either way. A good trader
could play the range while always being ready for a break when one of the trendlines in approached.
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TWR was generally a neutral stock. Although it was in a slight uptrend, the size of the symmetrical triangle neutralizes whatever
momentum existed on the rally into the pattern. In this case the stock could breakout either way. Although there were a few black Trader Makes
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WMS was in a steady uptrend when it traded into this large 6-month symmetrical triangle. The size of the pattern neutralizes the
strong move into the pattern, so the stock simply becomes trendless rather than a strong stock in a steady uptrend. The size of the
pattern was about 10 points, so that is our first expected price move. Once that is accomplised, use the rally into the pattern to
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CTXS was in a downtrend when it traded into this symmetrical triangle. If the pattern lasts a couple months we would consider the
stock to be weak and is a downtrend (and most likely to resolve itself to the downside), but the pattern is big enough to neutralize
the battle between the bulls and bears. The stock did continue the move down, but it could have broke out either way.
DISH was trending sideways for 6 months when it made a series of higher lows and lower highs to form this symmetrical triangle.
Given the neutrality of the pattern, the stock could have broken out either way. Notice how volume fell off towards the end of the
pattern and then ramped up after the break. That's exactly what you want to see.
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It is as if a massive buy order has been placed at the lower trendline, and even though the stock is weak
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The best breakdowns occur ½ to ¾ of the way through the pattern. Breakdowns that are delayed until stocks
prices crowd into the apex usually fail or are mediocre at best. Similar in concept to ascending triangles, if headed?
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PMCS formed a pretty simple descending triangle pattern. Volume was big into the pattern and the first couple weeks of the
pattern's formation and then fell off noticeably right before support was penetrated. The move we got on the downside was approx.
equal to the size of the triangle, and that is what you can expect as long as the overall market cooperates.
ULCM sold off big time and then traded sideways into a descending triangle pattern. Notice the volume surge on the break and the
steady down volume that lasted several weeks. As an added bonus, it's nice when support is a whole number like 15. That makes
it easier to play.
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Here is a good example of volume ramping up after support is penetrated. When the stock first breaks down, stockholders start to Dow Jones 100
get worried and some sell. As the stock continues down, general concern turns to fear which then turns to an outright panic, and Year Chart
the volume ramps up exactly as seen here. You owe it to
yourself to study
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Bearish rectangles appear in downtrends and typically resolve themselves to the downside. Breakdowns
do not have the same volume or movement requirements as their opposite upside breaks. In fact, when
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stock breaks support with a massive volume surge, it often signals that of a capitulation sell-off and the
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stock rebounds shortly after. The best downside breaks occur on average volume followed by the stock
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drifting lower for a few days on increasing volume. Psychologically, when a stock first breaks support,
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If the rectangle is large, the expected price movement is approximately equal to the height of the rectangle.
If the pattern is on the smaller size, then the expected price movement should mirror the price movement
preceding the pattern. Where are
stocks
On a side note, rectangles are difficult to play. Symmetrical triangles have converging trendlines, and headed?
therefore must break by a certain day. But since rectangles have parallel trendlines – and therefore The answer may
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CIMA gapped down on big volume and then traded into a bearish rectangle pattern. These patterns typically resolve themselves in
the direction of the trend which was obviously down. In this situation, traders need to be aware of a possible attempt at filling the
gap, but once support was taken out, the stock couldn't even muster any type of bounce for over a month.
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CVC was in a steady downtrend when it formed this bearish rectangle pattern. The false break down in July serves as example as
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Textbook play here. ADIC was weak and then trended sideways between parallel trendlines. Once support was taken out, the
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Bearish pennants appear in the middle of large drops or immediately after a stock has broken down from a
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Downside breaks do not have the same volume requirement as their bullish counterparts. Like other Trial- Sign Up
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The price action prior to the pennant formation can be used as a guide in predicting the price movement
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same trading activity when support is taken out. But if the stock slowly meanders its way into the pattern,
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Here's an example of a stock forming a bearish pennant immediately after breaking a longer term support trendline. This happen
often as the stock is still generally in an uptrend when the first break occurs and some amateur traders recognize what they think is
a buying opportunity. But the pros are unloading and when buying from the public dries up, the bottom falls out.
Here's is another example of a stock trading into a bearish pennant soon after a longer term uptrend was broken. Notice volume
on the initial break was simply average, but the next day was a blood bath. This happens often…a delayed volume surge.
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MCD traded into a bearish pennant while in a downtrend. The trendlines are easy to draw which is a bonus. Notice how volume Analysis
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The slight short-term uptrend against the overall downtrend is very healthy and has serves two functions.
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covering is partially responsible for the short-term upward slant. Once enough have covered, the Trial- Sign Up
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2) The slight uptrend also indicates that the lay public is being “suckered into” the stock as they buy what
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Whether a bearish flag pattern appears during a large fall or after breaking down from a distribution period, trading systems
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IDPH was rolling along when it formed this bearish flag pattern. Notice how volume ramped up into the pattern and then fell off
within the pattern. It then picked up again with support was taken out. This is the type of volume action you want to see to confirm
the price moves.
KLIC is an example of a stock that formed a bearish flag pattern after having broken a longer term support line. You can see how
volume dried up within the pattern and then got huge during and after the breakdown.
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PCSA is another example of a stock that formed a bearish flag immediately after breaking down from a larger pattern. Volume was Analysis
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HGSI is very similar to the IDPH pattern above. The stock was gently rolling along in a downtrend when if formed a bearish flag Strategy?
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CPRT is a good example of a stock that traded into a upward sloping bearish wedge while being in a pretty ugly downtrend. Notice
how volume dropped off while the stock traded up within the pattern. That's a dead give-away that lower prices will follow.
SGR got crushed in the early months of 2003 and then slowly traded into a bearish wedge pattern. Unlike a bearish rectangle
which has parallel trendlines and offers no clues as to when the stock may break down, the converging trendlines with a wedge
pattern at least narrow the breakdown day to within a few weeks. Notice, like many bearish pattern, volume surged well after the
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the pattern could potentially act as support, so watch for bounces in those areas. www.Dodjit.com
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Company
The above chart illustrates the sequences of events that unfold as the pattern develops. The left shoulder Stock
is formed as just another peak and correction within a long uptrend. The stock then rallies and makes Research
another higher high. This action, which forms the left shoulder and first half of the head is no different than 2,000 Stock
what is expected with a stock in a typical uptrend. And at this point in time, there is no way for the trader to Analyst Reports &
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not only does the stock trade below the left shoulder, it falls to, or close to, the same level as the previous Trial- Sign Up
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stock seems to be losing strength. A trendline, called the neckline, can be drawn between the two troughs. www.Morningstar.com
The stock then rallies again but is unable to eclipse its previous high. This is the second sign the uptrend
may be nearing an end. A sell-off from this shorter peak (right shoulder) through the neckline would mark a Where are
successful reversal of the uptrend. stocks
headed?
There is a tendency for a head & shoulders to develop a high degree of symmetry. This is amazing The answer may
considering all the news and events and “things” that can influence a stock's price on a day-to-day basis. surprise you. Find
Some traders demand symmetry and only consider the pattern valid if the two shoulders are equal in size out now with
and duration. However, although this is desired and the pattern may have a very satisfying balance, it is Chart of the Day.
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not necessary. A perfectly symmetrical head & shoulders pattern doesn't happen often. There usually is
some distortion or variation (such as the formation of a second right shoulder) in the pattern, and since
chart reading is an art, there will always remain a subjective human aspect to the analysis.
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volume followed by the stock drifting lower for a few days on increasing volume. Psychologically, when a
stock first breaks support, stockholders become concerned; many of them show a loss and some sell. As
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people sell regardless of price. This is why there typically is a delayed volume surge with breaks to the Winners
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The character and extent of the expected price movement upon breakage depends on several factors. World Record
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small move into the pattern usually results in a small drop upon break. Also, the drop tends to be the
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the entire market is weak, there probably will be no bounce. If on the other hand the market is trending up
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A Head & shoulders top that breaks through its neckline almost always experiences a significant drop; a stocks
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This is not what we would consider a textbook head & shoulder top pattern, but the neckline was easy to define, so it was playable Options!
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anyways. Ideally you'd like to see volume pick up a little more on the right side of the head. That would indicate sellers are starting
to step up.
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DIGL traded into a small head & shoulder top pattern after having rallied from just over 10 to up near 60. Notice the bounce in late
June. After breaking down on big volume the stock rallies back up near the neckline before being rejected and heading back
down. The stock wasn't just playable on the violation of support but also on the failed bounce attempt to “support turned
resistance.”
OII formed a head & shoulder top pattern during the summer of '02. The move down after the neckline was penetrated was
prefectly projected by the "height" of the head.
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Bearish Patterns
break because a delayed volume surge is preferable, and the pricing Stock Market
Symmetrical Triangles action after the break should mirror the move into the pattern. Winners
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Rectangles Bearish trendlines also appear after a stock has had a big rally and tops
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Don't be fooled here – not all trendline breaks work this well. But it does go to show you what can happen. When PCS traded
below the June low, every single trader/investor who bought the stock in the previous 9 months was showing a loss. As the stock
dropped and more and more stockholders became frustrated, fear turned to panic and the stock completely collapsed when
everyone tried to run for the exit.
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ARW was in a steady downtrend and then traded sideways with resistance established at 15. The pattern trading action didn't
exactly fit any of our “canned” patterns discussed in this section, but it was still playable when support was taken out…just a simple
continuation pattern.
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Candlestick Patterns
A single day's trading activity can be summarized in a "candle." Groups of candles or certain candlestick
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A long black day is followed by a Doji that gaps in the direction of the trend. Then a white day occurs
Three Inside Up gapping in the opposite direction with no overlapping shadows.
Three Line Strike Where are
Three Outside Up
The Psychology stocks
Three Stars In the South
Three While Soldiers In a downtrend or within a pullback of an uptrend, the market gaps down but does not continue its headed?
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The bullish Abandoned Baby formation doesn't occur too often and is similar to the bullish Doji Star, bullish
Morning Star, and the bullish Morning Doji Star.
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GENZ fell and churned along the 20 level to establish support. It then formed a bullish Abandon Baby pattern which began its
reversal of the downtrend. If this pattern formed as the first set of candles at 20, it is less likely a reversal could have immediately
occurred, but since the Abandon Baby formed after the stock was able to establish support, the play to the long side became more
reliable.
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COT was in a nice uptrend when it pulled back to support on declining volume. The Belt Hold candle was playable on the long side
because it occurred at support and at 20 (a nice whole number). This candle is much more reliable if played within an uptrend
rather than at the end of a downtrend.
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The first two days are Black Marubozu days (open is the high of the day and the close is the low of the
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A long black day is followed by a Doji that gaps in the direction of the trend. The shadows of the Doji
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Here is a great example of when a bullish Engulfing pattern is very reliable. SSYS was in a solid uptrend when it established a
PC
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This candle formation presented a great entry on the long side to ride the next leg up.
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BBBY also formed a bullish Engulfing pattern at a level that had previously been established as support. This is what we mean
when we say this pattern is better played on a pullback within an uptrend rather than at the end of a down trend.
CSCO was trending up when it pause for a few days. It then formed a bullish Engulfing pattern as a continuation of the uptrend.
JNJ bounced around in volatile fashion and then established short term support at around 49. After a few days of churning, the
stock formed a bullish Engulfing pattern that started a leg up. If this pattern would have formed as the first set of candles at 49, it is
less likely the stock would have reverse, but because the stock churned around for a few days, the pattern became much more
reliable.
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A Doji forms at the lower end of the trading range. The upper shadow is usually long while the lower
Three Inside Up shadow is small or almost nonexistent.
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Up Where are stocks
The Psychology
Three Stars In the South headed?
Three While Soldiers In a downtrend or during a pullback within an uptrend, the stock gaps down. A valid attempt is made to The answer may
Tri Star
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rally the stock off the bottom, but the strength subsides and the stock falls to close near the day’s low at surprise you. Find
Upside Gap Three Methods the same price it opened. The rally attempt failed, but it does suggest that there are some bulls out there out now with Chart
Upside Tasuki Gap looking to buy. For a reversal to occur a strong follow up day is needed with solid volume. of the Day.
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The bullish Gravestone Doji is similar to the bullish Inverted Hammer, bearish Shooting Star, and bearish
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Here's a good example of playing what is considered a reversal candle….in a continuation scenario. GNTX was steady trending up
when it pulled back on declining volume to an area that had previously been established as possible support. It then formed a
bullish Gravestone Doji candle, and this started the reversal of the move down (but we actually consider it to be a continuation of
the move up).
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The bullish Hammer is similar to the bullish Dragonfly Doji, bearish Hanging Man, and bearish Dragonfly Company
Doji. Stock
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CCK rallied nicely off its early May low on seven consecutive up days. The stock then pulled back to establish a possible short
term support level. The bullish Hammer candle that formed a few weeks later was playable to the upside when confirmation was
given by the white candle that followed.
NKE suffered a pretty drastic sell off in February '00. In our opinion a bullish Hammer candle in late Feb would not have been
playable…too risky. But two weeks later after the down trend had been halted, the bullish Hammer presented a favorable
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ACAS made a higher high in late April and that level then became support a few weeks later. A bullish Harami candle formed and
the stock never did trade below that level. This is where we like to play Harami candles…at support, not at the end of a
downtrend.
ATSI was trading in a bullish triangle pattern and was getting close to decision time because the stock was near the apex of the
pattern. The bullish Harami signaled the beginning of the breakout and next leg up.
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Here is an example of a stock forming bullish reversal candle at support…the most reliable place to appear. Your risk/reward is
heavily in your favor if you play a Harami Cross at support rather than at what you think might be the end of a downtrend.
POOL presents anther desirable place to play a Harami Cross. The stock was in a steady uptrend and simply pulled back to the
longer term support trendline and formed the bullish reversal (we consider it a continuation) candle. The white candle that follows is
your entry.
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The bullish Homing Pigeon is similar to the bullish Harami and bullish Matching Low.
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This isn't a great example of a bullish Homing Pigeon, but it at least gives the reader a glimpse at one may look like. MDG was a
fairly weak stock, so buying this pattern was risky. In hindsight it turned out to be support, but hindsight is always 20/20.
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A small real body forms at the lower end of the trading range. The upper shadow is usually no more than
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Three Outside Up
The Psychology stocks
Three Stars In the South
Three While Soldiers In a downtrend or during a pullback within an uptrend, the stock gaps down. A valid attempt is made to headed?
Tri Star rally the stock off the bottom, but the strength subsides and the stock falls to close near the day’s low. The The answer may
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The bullish Inverted Hammer is similar to the bearish Shooting Star, bullish Gravestone Doji, and bearish
Gravestone Doji and could become the middle day of the bullish Morning Star.
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The bullish Ladder Bottom is similar to the bullish Concealing Baby Swallow and bearish Three Black Forex
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A long white day in an uptrend is followed by a relatively small black day that gaps in the direction of the
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Three Line Strike Forex
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Here is a great place to go long a bullish Matching Low formation. In a steady uptrend, TNE pulled back and formed the pattern
right at a previous support area.
NEM was slowly moving up when it formed a bulling Matching Low pattern. The stock immediately moved higher (probably
coincidental) and continued its move up.
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A long black day is followed by a long white day that gaps in the direction of the trend but then rallies to
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A long black day is followed by a Doji that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third day is a white day
Three Inside Up which closes in the top half of the black day.
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Three Outside Up
The Psychology stocks
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Three While Soldiers In a downtrend or during a pullback within an uptrend, the market gaps down but does not continue its headed?
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AMH rallied nicely on solid volume before trending sideways and establishing support at around 27. Then a bullish Morning Doji
Star formed, volume picked up, and the stock continued to move up. Although Morning Doji Star formations are considered
reversal patterns, their reliability increases significantly if you play them at support.
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Where are
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A long black day is followed by a small day that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third day is a white
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Here is a great example of an ideal entry place with a Morning Star formation. ASML was in a steady uptrend when the stock fell
back to a longer term support trendline in late June. The bullish Morning Star pattern presented a low risk/high reward setup just
the same as the bullish Engulfing pattern on May 27 offered.
A bullish Morning Star formation also presented a good entry with DRCO. The stock was in a nice uptrend when it established and
then bounced off support in June. These candlestick patterns don't always work, but if you patiently wait for your ideal entries, the
odds significantly shift in your favor.
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GE was trending sideways with well established support. Although bullish Piercing Line candles are considered reversal patterns,
we think the reliability of the candle increases if played at support as shown here.
GM formed a Piercing Line candle formation at support, and that started the next leg up. How far it goes is unknown when the
pattern forms. All you can do is play it and move stops according to the pricing action. In this case it turned out to be a good one.
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Like the other examples, AMZN formed a bullish Piercing Line formation right at support, and that started a better than 30% move
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A long white day in an uptrend is followed by three relatively small candles that move opposite the overall
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Three Line Strike Where are
of the first day and continues the uptrend.
Three Outside Up stocks
Three Stars In the South
Three While Soldiers The Psychology headed?
Tri Star In an uptrend, a long white day is followed by a brief pullback (preferably on lightish volume). The fifth day The answer may
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Some of these candlestick patterns don't form too often. We tried hard to find a Rising Three Methods formation but have failed so
far. So we are using a Rising “two” Methods to serve as an example. Note the move up in early June got close to 80 but was
rejected. Then the 80 level was solidified as being noteworthy when the stock traded above and below the level for 6 consecutive
days later in the month. It should then come as no surprise that the Rising Methods formed and used 80 as support before moving
up.
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A black day is followed by a white day that has the same opening price.
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Three Outside Up
Three Stars In the South
In an uptrend, the underlying issue gaps up and falls to produce a black day. This proves to be simple Research
Three While Soldiers profit taking within the uptrend when the issue gaps up the next day and rallies to close near its high. 2,000 Stock
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A white day is followed by another white day that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third candle is also
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If bullish Harami candles have high reliability when played at support then bullish Three Inside Up formations have very high
reliability. Here is an example. BNN/A.TO (Canadian stock) traded down to 33 – a level that had previously been established as
significant. The stock then formed a bullish Three Inside Up pattern that then started the next leg up.
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A bullish Engulfing pattern is followed by a white day whose close is higher than the second day.
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Three Line Strike The Psychology Trade MT4-
Three Outside Up
In a downtrend or during a pullback within an uptrend, a bullish Engulfing pattern forms. By itself the Regulated Firm
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Dow Jones 30
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Might be the
Since bullish Engulfing patterns have decent reliability when played at support, Three Outside Up formations have high reliability beginning of a
when they form in the same situation. Here, FMXI rallied and then gave back about 50% of its gains. The stock then formed a long crossover
bullish Engulfing pattern and followed it up with a another up day to complete the Three Outside Up pattern, and the stock bottom. View now
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Here is another example of the high reliability bullish Three Outside Up pattern forming at a level that was previously established
as support. Note the volume surges.
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TEVA was bouncing around in pretty volatile fashion when it formed a bullish Three Outside Up pattern which ended the Analysis
consolidation period and began the next leg up for the stock. Charts
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Here is an example of a bullish Three White Soldiers formation that formed well into CP's uptrend. I personally think it's a little late
to chase the stock, so this merely serves as an example of what this pattern looks like.
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Here's an example of a bullish Upside Gap Three Methods formation as a continuation pattern. After breaking out of a base, CLSR
paused in a this candle pattern and then continued the move up.
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A long white day is followed by a second long white day that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third
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DIS was in a steady uptrend when it formed a bullish Upside Tasuki Gap formation. Notice the large volume on the up days
compared to the lighter volume on down days. That was dead giveaway that higher prices were to come.
ATW formed a sloppy bullish Upside Tasuki Gap pattern at the same time it broke resistance. The trade was to play the breakout,
but if you missed it, you could go long when support held at 24.5.
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If you can handle the volatility, DAL provided a decent entry on a short when the stock formed a bearish Abandoned Baby
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The bearish Advance Block is similar to the bullish Three White Soldiers and bearish Deliberation.
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This bearish Advanced Block pattern which formed at a previous high wasn't going to signal the end of the uptrend and beginning trading systems
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Dark Cloud formations are thought to be of the reversal variety but we also think they are playable on bounces within steady
downtrends. CL was falling steadily and bounced on less than impressive volume. The Dark Cloud Cover formation signaled the
Technical
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Here is an example of a Dark Cloud Cover candle formation occurring at resistance. In a steady uptrend, playing this pattern for a
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WEDC formed a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candle right at a previous high and began a tradable leg down. When this candle forms
at resistance, your risk declines on a the short side.
After rallying nicely FRED pulled back and then formed a bearish Dark Cloud Cover at the top of the subsequent bounce. But
realistically, given the strenght of the stock, you could not expect the stock to trade below the previous low. Active traders could
sell a long when the candle forms and then look to rebuy when support holds.
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Where are
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A long white day is followed by a second long white day that closes higher than the first. The third white
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Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down The first two white days say “full speed ahead” as the stock appears strong and in a solid uptrend. But the Don't Take
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Deliberation formations are not for the light of heart because you are essentially shorting a strong stock. Here you can see AT&T
rally strongly on high volume. The third white day (which was small) hinted that the buyers may be getting tired. A good trader
would wait until the next day to short the gap down at the open…or the pattern could simply be used as an exit strategy for an
existing long position.
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Again, it's hard to short a stock as strong as VXGN was in this bearish Deliberation pattern, but its formation could offer an exit
strategy if you are long.
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A long white day is followed by a Doji that gaps in the direction of the trend. The shadows of the Doji
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The bearish Doji Star could be the first two days of the bearish Evening Doji Star or the bearish Abandoned
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A Doji forms at the upper end of a trading range with a long lower shadow (the longer the more bearish)
Side By Side White Lines with no, or almost no upper shadow.
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The Psychology stocks
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Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, a sharp intraday sell-off is followed by a reversal which headed?
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APD was going nowhere when if formed a bearish Downside Gap Three Methods pattern. Essentially the stock was trying to
bounce prior to hitting support, but that obviously didn't happen. If you were short and the white day occurs on light volume as it
did here, there is no reason to cover just yet. But when the stock falls to support, then you better be ready to cover is the stock
bounces.
TNE pulled back from resistance and formed a bearish Downside Gap Three Methods pattern while attempting to move up again.
After one more attempt on less than average volume, resistance held and the stock fell. Once again, don't blindly trade these
candle formations in a vacuum. Make sure you check out the longer term charts and the overall market.
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: continuation
In Neck Reliability: moderate
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long black day is followed by a second long black day that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third
Side By Side White Lines day is white and opens within the body of the second day and closes within the gap.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down In a downtrend a gap is partially filled. This is simply a profit taking scenario for the shorts and a sucker
Thrusting entry for dumb longs. We have a weak stock in a downtrend that bounces. As long as the white day is on
Tri Star
Two Crows lighter volume, the bears will most likely retake control soon after.
Upside Gap Two Crows
The bearish Downside Tasuke Gap is similar to the bearish Downside Gap Three Methods.
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I wouldn't exactly say this is a good example of a Downside Tasuki Gap candle because I'd put it in the category of candle
formations that form by happenstance. ANF was going nowhere with no clear trend, but nevertheless it does give the reader a
glimpse at was this type of pattern could look like.
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Separating Lines
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A white day is then completely “engulfed” by a large black day which gaps above the white day's high and
Side By Side White Lines closes below its low. Company
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Light a Votive
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Like many reversal patterns, the bearish Engulfing pattern is better played at resistance rather than blindly in an uptrend. In the beeswax candles
chart above, HL tried hard to move up but the 7 area was too much to handle. Twice the stock formed a bearish Engulfing candle, and more.
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Light a Votive
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NKE formed a bearish Engulfing pattern at an area of a previous resistance point. The stock then broke support to confirm the
prayer.
reversal. You can't expect all trades to work this well; but you can enter and keep a reasonable stop in place while letting the stock www.oblatesusa.org
run its course.
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DRD formed a bearish Engulfing pattern and broke support on the same day…a nice one-two punch.
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal
In Neck Reliability: high
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a Doji that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third day is a black day
Side By Side White Lines that closes in the bottom half of the white candle.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, the market gaps up but does not continue its upward
Thrusting movement. Instead enough bears step up to bring supply and demand back into equilibrium and the stock
Tri Star
Two Crows churns in place. This is the bearish Doji Star formation. A subsequent follow through gap down that closes
Upside Gap Two Crows below the midpoint of the white day completes the pattern and confirms the reversal.
The bearish Evening Doji Star is similar to the bearish Doji Star, bearish Evening Star, and bearish
Abandoned Baby.
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We consider this to be a risky trade. ET was rallying on strong volume when it formed a bearish Evening Doji Star formation that Picks Free 14 Day
ended the uptrend and began a downtrend. We consider this to be a risky trade even though Evening Doji Stars carry a high Trial- Sign Up
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal
In Neck Reliability: high
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a small body that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third day is a black
Side By Side White Lines day that closes in the bottom half of the white candle.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, the market gaps up but does not continue its upward
Thrusting movement. Instead enough bears step up to bring supply and demand back into equilibrium so a small
Tri Star
Two Crows body forms. A subsequent follow through gap down that closes below the midpoint of the white day
Upside Gap Two Crows completes the pattern and confirms the reversal.
The bearish Evening Star is similar to the bearish Evening Doji Star, bearish Abandoned Baby, bearish Doji
Star, bearish Two Crows, and bearish Upside Gap Two Crows.
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GFF was in a steady uptrend when it formed an Evening Star pattern at an area that was previously established as possible using advanced
resistance. Coupled with confirmation from one or two technical indicators, this reversal pattern is very reliable – especially when it neural networks
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forms at a previous high.
JNJ bounced nicely off 49, but the area of the previous reaction highs were too much to overcome and the bearish Evening Star
pattern suggested a reversal was likely.
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Here is somewhat of a hap-hazard play. AMTD gapped up on big volume and immediately formed a bearish Evening Star pattern,
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: continuation
In Neck Reliability: high
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long black day in a downtrend is followed by three relatively small candles that move opposite the overall
Side By Side White Lines trend but stay within the range of the first day. The fifth day is a long black day that closes below the close
Three Black Crows of the first day and continues the downtrend.
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down The Psychology
Thrusting In a downtrend, a long black day is followed by a brief bounce (preferably on lightish volume). The fifth day
Tri Star
Two Crows simply continues the trend. The brief bounce is nothing more than a few days off for the bears.
Upside Gap Two Crows
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The bearish Gravestone Doji is similar to the bearish Shooting Star, bullish Inverted Hammer, and bullish
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Here is an example of using a Gravestone Doji as a reason to exit a long position – but not to enter a short. The stock is simply too for US indexes
strong to short unless you are a slick short term trader. If this pattern forms at resistance, a safer short entry would be provided. www.marketvolume.com
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block stocks
Belt Hold headed?
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover The answer may
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Engulfing
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Shooting Star
A small real body forms at the upper end of the trading range with a long lower shadow (the longer the
Side By Side White Lines more bearish) with no, or almost no upper shadow.
Three Black Crows Forex
Three Inside Down
The Psychology Candlesticks?
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, a sharp intraday sell-off is followed by a reversal which Don't Take
Thrusting causes the stock to close near its opening price near the day's high. Although the stock recovers from its Another Forex
Tri Star Course Until You
Two Crows intraday sell-off, it suggests the bulls are starting to lose strength, and a reversal may occur. The pattern is
Upside Gap Two Crows a slightly more reliable if the real body is black. A weak following day on solid volume is still needed to Read This
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The bearish Hanging Man is similar to the bullish Dragonfly Doji and bullish Hammer.
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Bearish Hanging Man candles form very often so you need to use other indicators to confirm potential moves. Here BBBY formed 6 Months.
a Hanging Man candle that was followed up by a bearish Engulfing stick. That's a good one-two combination to play. ApnaNifty.com
After making a higher high DPH formed a bearish Hanging Man candle on strong volume and was followed a filled candle that
confirmed the reversal of the uptrend.
Here is a bearish Hanging Man candle that would be best used to exit a long position rather than as a short entry. The stock is
simply too strong to short unless you are a very slick short term trader.
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal
In Neck Reliability: low
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a black day that gaps down and is completely engulfed by the real body of
Side By Side White Lines the first day.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend a long white day occurs. The next day's gap down comes
Thrusting as a surprise to bulls who thought they were sitting on a great position the previous day. Reliability of the
Tri Star
Two Crows bearish Harami is low, so a weak following day is needed for confirmation.
Upside Gap Two Crows
The bearish Harami could be the first two days of bearish Three Inside Down.
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Here is an example of a bearish Harami forming right at resistance. This situation offers the safest entry on the short side because
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AA also formed a bearish Harami at resistance. Notice the lack of volume on the rally up to the previous high. That's hint #1 that
the stock has limited upside potential. When the stock got rejected and dropped on big volume and then gapped down the next
day, the Harami candle was confirmed, and the stock did indeed reverse course.
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Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal
In Neck Reliability: moderate
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a Doji that gaps down and is completely engulfed by the real body of the
Side By Side White Lines first day.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend a long white day occurs. The next day's gap down comes
Thrusting as a surprise to bulls who thought they were sitting on a great position the previous day. Reliability of the
Tri Star
Two Crows bearish Harami Cross is better than that of the bearish Harami, but it is still on the low side. A weak
Upside Gap Two Crows following day is needed for confirmation.
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Given the average reliability of the Harami Cross candle as a reversal pattern, you need to look at other indicators or be picky in Another Forex
only playing the pattern at resistance. Here CGNX formed a small head & shoulder top pattern with a bearish Harami Cross at the Course Until You
top of the right shoulder. That provided a low risk short entry because the prudent trade would exit immediately if a higher high was Read This
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TJX formed two Identical Three Crows formations in short order in the early fall months of 2003. You can see that by the time the Research
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block
Belt Hold
Breakaway
Dark Cloud Cover
Deliberation
Doji Star
Dragonfly Doji
Downside Gap Three Methods
Downside Tasuki Gap
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Harami
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal
In Neck Reliability: high
Kicking
Meeting Lines
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A White Marubuzo (opens at low and closes at high) is followed by a Black Marubuzo (opens at high and
Side By Side White Lines closes at low) that gaps down.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology
Three Outside Down A big black candle that opens at its high and closes at the day's low is bearish regardless of the overall
Thrusting trend. Volume confirmation on the black day solidifies the patter as is a follow up weak day.
Tri Star
Two Crows
Upside Gap Two Crows The bearish Kicking is similar to the bearish Separating Lines.
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Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a long black day that gaps up at the open but then drops to close at the
Side By Side White Lines same price as the white day's close. Company
Three Black Crows Stock
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology Research
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend a long white day occurs. The next day gaps up at the open 2,000 Stock
Thrusting and most likely causes the remaining shorts to throw in the towel and cover while the smart money sells
Tri Star Analyst Reports &
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The bearish Meeting Lines is similar to the bearish Dark Cloud Cover.
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Hanging Man
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Harami Free Trial: 2000
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Identical Three Crows Pattern: continuation Stock Research
In Neck Reliability: moderate Reports with Buy
Kicking & Sell Prices
Meeting Lines
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On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A long black day is followed by a long white day that gaps down at the open and closes below the close of
Side By Side White Lines the black day.
Three Black Crows The Truth
Three Inside Down
The Psychology About Forex
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down The On Neck pattern is a more severe relative of the In Neck pattern because it fails to rally as much Don't Take
Thrusting intraday. A gap down is seen as a buying and short covering opportunity, but failure to rally the stock up Another Forex
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Two Crows into the previous day's range indicates the buying most likely will be brief and the downtrend will resume.
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The bearish On Neck is similar to the bullish Piercing Line, bearish In Neck, bearish Thrusting, and bullish Shocking Report
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Harami Cross Another Forex
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal Course Until You
In Neck Reliability: low/moderate Read This
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Meeting Lines Shocking Report
On Neck Identification ForexCandlesticksMadeE
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A small body forms at the lower end of the trading range. The upper shadow is usually long while the lower
Side By Side White Lines shadow is small or almost nonexistent.
Three Black Crows
Three Inside Down
The Psychology Stock
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, the stock gaps up. A valid attempt is made to rally the Free Trial: 1800
Thrusting stock, but the strength subsides and the stock falls to close near the day's low and near its opening price. Stock Research
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Two Crows Failure to follow through with strength suggests the bulls may be losing strength. Although this is not Reports with Buy
Upside Gap Two Crows necessarily extremely bearish, it is less bullish, so stops should be moved up or profits taken on longs. For & Sell Prices
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a reversal to occur a weak day is needed to confirm the pattern.
The bearish Shooting Star is similar to the bullish Inverted Hammer, bearish Gravestone Doji, and bullish
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Here is an example of how a bearish Shooting Star can be used to pick the top of a range. BMY was trading aimlessly without
much conviction in either direction, so a buying the bottom and selling and selling short the top would provide profits for the patient
trade. After the stock bounced from 25 to over 27, it was a Shooting Star candle that signaled the top.
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Dark Cloud Cover Another Forex
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Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
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Falling Three Methods Technical
Gravestone Doji
Hanging Man
Analysis
Harami Free Trial: 1800
Harami Cross
Identical Three Crows Pattern: continuation Stock Research
In Neck Reliability: moderate Reports with Buy
Kicking & Sell Prices
Meeting Lines
www.Morningstar.com
On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A black day is followed by a white day that gaps in the direction of the trend. The third candle is also white
Side By Side White Lines and is almost identical to the previous day.
Three Black Crows Where are
Three Inside Down
The Psychology stocks
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down In a downtrend a black day is followed by two white days that are gapped below the first day. The lack of headed?
Thrusting follow through on the second white day suggests the bears are still somewhat in control, and unless the The answer may
Tri Star surprise you. Find
Two Crows bulls can fill that overhead gap with some volume behind the move, the downtrend will remain intact.
Upside Gap Two Crows out now with
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Dark Cloud Cover Another Forex
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Downside Tasuki Gap ForexCandlesticksMadeE
Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods Where are
Gravestone Doji stocks
Hanging Man headed?
Harami
Harami Cross The answer may
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal surprise you. Find
In Neck Reliability: high out now with
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Separating Lines
Shooting Star
Three long black days occur with each successive open being within the body of the previous day and
Side By Side White Lines each successive close being below the previous day's and near the day's low. Company
Three Black Crows Stock
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology Research
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, the three long black candles speak for themselves. If 2,000 Stock
Thrusting volume accompanies the move, the reliability of the pattern increases significantly.
Tri Star Analyst Reports &
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Upside Gap Two Crows The bearish Three Black Crows is similar to the bearish Identical Three Crows, bullish Concealing Baby Trial- Sign Up
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Three Black Crows is a solid reversal pattern whose only flaw is the fact that it takes three down days to form, so going short after
Technical
its formation may be chasing the stock. You can see above SUNW dropped 8 points (about 12%) before the pattern was
Analysis
completed. Exiting a long at that time was a little late to enter a short carried higher risk.
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BMC presented a more favorable way to play a bearish Three Black Crows formation. The third candle also broke support. That's
Technical
a nice one-two combination and because the prudent trader will often wait until support it taken out, you don't feel like you are Analysis
chasing the play. School
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After gapping down, CKFR made a valiant attempt at filling the gap, but that attempt ended with a bearish Three Black Crows
formation. Notice the previous low held, so that's here you take profits.
Here's an example of a bearish Three Black Crows pattern that failed miserably...and it formed at resistance (40). They don't
always work!!
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The Truth
Gravestone Doji About Forex
Hanging Man Don't Take
Harami
Harami Cross Another Forex
Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal Course Until You
In Neck Reliability: high Read This
Kicking
Meeting Lines Shocking Report
On Neck Identification ForexCandlesticksMadeE
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A bearish Harami pattern is followed by a black day whose close is lower than the second day.
Side By Side White Lines
Three Black Crows The Psychology Where are
Three Inside Down
In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, a bearish Harami forms. By itself this pattern has stocks
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down moderate reliability as a reversal pattern, but when followed by a weak day (preferably with a pick up in headed?
Thrusting volume) the overall pattern becomes much more reliable. The answer may
Tri Star surprise you. Find
Two Crows
Upside Gap Two Crows The bearish Three Inside Down is a continuation of the bearish Harami. out now with
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DRD was in a steady uptrend, but the mid-September attempt at a higher high failed and resulted in a bearish Three Inside Down
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candle formation which reversed the uptrend.
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SFD collapsed on huge volume in late June. The stock then experienced an oversold bounce which ended in a bearish Three trading Knowledge
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Here is an example of when not to play a bearish Three Inside Down formation. LFG has just made a higher high on better than
average volume. The candle pattern was just a pause in an uptrend...not a reason to go short.
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Dragonfly Doji
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Engulfing
Evening Doji Star
Evening Star
Falling Three Methods Where are
Gravestone Doji stocks
Hanging Man headed?
Harami
Harami Cross The answer may
Identical Three Crows Pattern: continuation surprise you. Find
In Neck Reliability: low out now with
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Meeting Lines Chart of the Day.
On Neck Identification www.chartoftheday.com
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
Three long black days with consecutively lower closes is followed by a fourth day that gaps in the direction
Side By Side White Lines of the trend and closes above the open of the first day. Company
Three Black Crows Stock
Three Inside Down
Three Line Strike
The Psychology Research
Three Outside Down In a downtrend, the Three Line Strike pattern has low reliability. The large white day can really scare the 2,000 Stock
Thrusting shorts and many contrarians will site this as bearish. If indeed the downtrend is strong, the one white day
Tri Star Analyst Reports &
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Evening Star Company
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Shooting Star
A bearish Engulfing pattern is followed by a black day whose close is lower than the second day.
Side By Side White Lines
Three Black Crows The Psychology Where are
Three Inside Down
In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, a bearish Engulfing pattern forms. By itself this pattern stocks
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down has moderate reliability as a reversal indicator, but when the it is followed by another black day (preferably headed?
Thrusting on strong volume), the overall pattern becomes much more reliable. The answer may
Tri Star surprise you. Find
Two Crows
Upside Gap Two Crows The bearish Three Outside Down is a continuation of the bearish Engulfing. out now with
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The bearish Three Outside Down pattern is one of the most reliable candle formations, and when it occurs at resistance, the
risk/reward on the short side is heavily in your favor. In this ATH example, support on the way down became resistance on the way
up, and after several weak attempts (see the low volume) to break up, the Three Outside Down pattern started the next leg down.
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SINA is an example of the riskiest way to play this formation. The stock was generally in a good uptrend with no noticeable Technical
resistance nearby. The Three Outside Down pattern did mark the end of the rally, but given the lack of overhead resistance, it was Analysis
a riskier play. Improve Your
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Evening Star Company
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Shooting Star
A black day is followed by a white day which gaps in the direction of the trend and closes below the
Side By Side White Lines midpoint of the black day.
Three Black Crows Where are
Three Inside Down
The Psychology stocks
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down The Thrusting pattern is a weaker version of the bearish On Neck and bearish In Neck continuation headed?
Thrusting patterns. The bulls start to assert themselves as evidenced by the rally into the previous day's trading The answer may
Tri Star surprise you. Find
Two Crows range, but by closing in the lower half of that range, the overall pattern is still bearish.
Upside Gap Two Crows out now with
The bearish Thrusting is similar to the bullish Piercing Line, bearish On Neck, bearish In Neck, and bearish Chart of the Day.
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Meeting Lines.
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On Neck Identification
Separating Lines
Shooting Star
A Doji occurs on three consecutive trading days with the second gapping up and the third gapping back
Side By Side White Lines down.
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Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a black candle which gaps up in the direction of the trend. The final day
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Three Black Crows day. Trading
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Thrusting In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, a gap up which fails to close above its open hints at a
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Technical
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Charts
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for US indexes
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Here's a bad example (sorry) of a bearish Two Crows pattern picking the top of a stock trading aimlessly. After the pattern was in
place the stock dropped about 10% in just a couple days.
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Abandoned Baby
Advance Block Decision Point
Belt Hold Your technical
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Identical Three Crows Pattern: reversal Analyst Reports &
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Separating Lines www.Morningstar.com
Shooting Star
A long white day is followed by a black candle which gaps in the direction of the trend. The final day
Side By Side White Lines engulfs the small black day and closes within the gap of the first two days.
Three Black Crows Where are
Three Inside Down
The Psychology stocks
Three Line Strike
Three Outside Down In an uptrend or within a bounce of a downtrend, successive gaps up which close down to force a black headed?
Thrusting candle to form suggests the bulls are weaken. They are not able to rally the stock intraday and the bears The answer may
Tri Star surprise you. Find
Two Crows are starting to take over. The reliability of the increases if the gaps up bump into resistance.
Upside Gap Two Crows out now with
The bearish Upside Gap Two Crows is similar to the bearish Two Crows and bearish Evening Star. Chart of the Day.
www.chartoftheday.com
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Where are
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Here is an example of reversal pattern that would be better used to exit a long position rather than initiating a short. After all, the
stock had just bounced on big volume. The prudent trader would look to exit a long position and then rebuy the dip.
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Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is a broad name given to the study of a company via its trading activity (versus fundamental Get
analysis, which studies the balance sheet etc.) of a company. Over the years, mathematicians and traders Morningstar
have used the pricing activity of stocks to derive formulas that assist in determining the underlying intentions of Research
the trading/investing participants. Here we discuss numerous popular technical indicators successful traders 4,000 Stock &
use in conjunction with chart patterns and candlestick patterns. Fund Reports.
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Advance/Decline Line Accumulation/Distribution Line Today!
Arms Index (TRIN) ADX (Wilder's DMI) www.Morningstar.com
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN)
Bullish Percent Index
McClellan Oscillator
McClellan Summation Index
New Highs/New Lows
Put/Call Ratio
VIX and VXO
The Advance/Decline Line (A/D Line) is a widely followed “breadth” Where are
indicator used to measure the market's internal strength. It is the stocks
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) cumulative total of the difference between the number of NYSE issues that are advancing versus those headed?
Bullish Percent Index declining. The answer may
McClellan Oscillator surprise you. Find
McClellan Summation Index
New Highs/New Lows When the A/D Line is moving up the market is said to have good breadth while a downward sloping line out now with
Put/Call Ratio indicates internal weakness. Chart of the Day.
VIX and VXO
www.chartoftheday.com
The A/D Line can be used to confirm the movement in the overall market or to hint at a possible reversal. If
both the market and the A/D line are moving up, one can expect the market strength to continue. But if the
market moves up while the A/D starts to flatten out and then move down, it hints at internal weakness, and
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the overall market is very likely to pull back.
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On the downside, if both the market and the A/D Line are moving down, one can expect the market Stock Research
weakness to continue. But if the market moves down while the A/D Line starts to flatten out and then move Reports with Buy
up, internally the market is gaining some strength and the indexes will likely bottom and reverse course. & Sell Prices
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The A/D Line is a long term indicator. The next two chart show an example of a positive divergence that formed between the NYSE
and the NYSE A/D Line. While the market was making a series of lower highs during the last half of 2002 and beginning months of $4 Billion Wiz
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Stock Research
Reports with Buy
The next two chart show the opposite situation. While the market was steadyily moving up, the A/D Line was making lower highs.
& Sell Prices
Something had to give. Either the market was going to pull back or the A/D Line was going to start moving up. In this case the A/D www.Morningstar.com
Line broke support and the NYSE wasn't far behind.
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The Arms index, or TRIN, was developed by Richard Arms in 1967 and is Where are
used to determine the strength/weakness of the market on a day-to-day stocks
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) basis. It takes into consideration the number of advancing and declining issues and the volume associated headed?
Bullish Percent Index with those issues. The answer may
McClellan Oscillator surprise you. Find
McClellan Summation Index
New Highs/New Lows The formula is: ((advancing issues/declining issues)/(advancing volume/declining volume)) out now with
Put/Call Ratio Chart of the Day.
VIX and VXO If the TRIN > 1 the market is leaning bearish with a higher number being more bearish, but an extremely www.chartoftheday.com
high number being a possible contrarian indicator.
If the TRIN <1 the market is leaning bullish with a lower number being more bullish. Morningstar
Research
On a short term basis (for day traders only) the actual number is less important than the direction it is 4,000 Stock and
moving. So if the number is 1.5 but 2 hours ago it was 2.0, and it has been steadily falling, the number says Mutual Fund
the market is leaning bearish but the direction tells you the market is improving. Reports with
Buy/Sell Opinions
Extreme readings can be used as evidence the market is either overbought or sold and will likely reverse, - Learn More
but this is a very short term indicator that should only be used by day traders. Morningstar.com
But again, unlike the A/D Line which is a “stand back and gauge the strength/weakness of the overall
market indicator,” the TRIN - for the most part - is strictly a short-term day-to-day guideline. There is Trading
however a longer term use that presents a buy signal (but it rarely appears). See below. Software
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Here is a typical 5-minute indraday TRIN line. Judging by the value most of the day, it's safe to say it was a weak day for the market. Charting stocks,
But the TRIN's uptrend was broken 2 hours before the close, and then another support line was broken 1 hour before the close. Let's funds, indicators
see what happened to the S&P 500 during this day. www.decisionpoint.com
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Where are
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Chart of the Day.
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As expected the market opened and immediately fell; it spent a majority of the day deep in the red. But when the TRIN topped out
around 12:00, the market bottomed. Then when the TRIN broke support around 14:00, the market broke resistance and started to
pick up some momentum. New lows for the TRIN was mirrored by new highs for the market.
But as we stated...this is a short term day trader's indicator that should be used with the intraday A/D Line to help determine intraday
activity.
The longer term indication given by the TRIN is associated with consistantly high readings. More specifically, if the TRIN closes
above 2.0 for 3 consecutive days, history says the market will move up. That doesn't mean it will rally hard; it just means over time, a
reading that high for 3 days has resulted in a very solid bounce. Here's an example.
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The S&P 500 proceeded to bounce 65 points over the following three weeks.
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The Bullish Percent Index (BPI) is a popular market “breadth” indicator Where are
used to gauge the internal strength/weakness of the market. It is the stocks
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) number of stocks in an index (or sector) that have point & figure buy signals relative to the total number of headed?
Bullish Percent Index stocks that comprise the index (or sector). So essentially it is the percentage of stocks that have buy The answer may
McClellan Oscillator surprise you. Find
McClellan Summation Index signals. Generally speaking, values over 70% indicate an overbought situation whereas values under 30%
New Highs/New Lows indicate an oversold environment out now with
Put/Call Ratio Chart of the Day.
VIX and VXO
Like many of the market internal indicators, it is used both to confirm a move in the market and as a non- www.chartoftheday.com
confirmation and therefore divergence indication.
Morningstar
If the market is strong and moving up, the BPI should also be moving up as more and more stocks make Research
the “buy list.” When the market moves down, one expects the BPI to also move down to confirm the 4,000 Stock and
market's weakness. Mutual Fund
Reports with
However, if the market moves up while the BPI starts to head down, the market more likely than not will pull
Buy/Sell Opinions
back. This scenario unfolds when the big-caps are strong (they are causing the indexes to move up
- Learn More
because the indexes are weighted to favor them) but the small- and mid-caps are starting to weaken
Morningstar.com
(hence the BPI is moving down).
On the other side, when the market moves down while the BPI starts to head up, a short-term bottom and Online Stock
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Here is what a typical Bullish Percent Index chart looks like. Since the BPI is the percentage of stocks given a buy signal by their Stock Research
point & figure charts, mathematically the value must stay between 0 and 100. Reports with Buy
& Sell Prices
Looking at the above Bullish Percent chart of the NASDAQ, you can see the indicator being pretty good at picking a short term www.Morningstar.com
bottom when the BPI drops to around 30 or lower and then moves up. Also note the confirmation of the March to November
uptrend by the steadily rising BPI. But don't read too much into the failure of the indicator to make higher highs above 70 when the
market continues up - after all there is a ceiling at 100, and realistically it will never get close to that number.
TWR had traded sideways for many months when it formed this 4-month symmetrical triangle. Notice the volume surge on the
breakout as the stock rallied over 40% in under one week.
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If the McClellan Oscillator goes beyond the 100 or -100 marks, a short-term reversal may briefly occur, but
Where are
it is very likely the trend will continue.
stocks
headed?
The answer may
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We realize this chart is hard to read, so we'll walk you through it. The bottom line is the McClellan Oscillator. You can see how it
basically meanders up and down. The text book use of the oscillator is to buy the underlying issue when the oscillator goes below -
70 and then turns up and to sell or sell short when the oscillator goes above 70 and turns down. From the above example, each
buy signal was indeed a good signal, but each sell signal merely indicated a pause in the existing uptrend and shorting would have Where are
at best been a breakeven proposition. stocks
headed?
The opposite scenario probably would exist for a downtrending stock. Sell signals would work great while buy signals merely The answer may
indicate a pause in the downtrend. surprise you. Find
out now with
Chart of the Day.
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The following two charts exemplify how a positive divergence between an index and its McClellan Summation Index works. Notice
the NYSE making a series of lower highs, but the Summation Index made two higher lows. Strength was building, and the NYSE
took the lead of the SI and rallied.
Where are
stocks
headed?
The answer may
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Chart of the Day.
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Morningstar
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The New Highs-New Lows (NH-NL) indicator is widely followed and used Morningstar
to gauge the market's strength. It is the difference between the number of Research
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) stocks making 52-week highs versus those making 52-week lows. 4,000 Stock and
Bullish Percent Index Mutual Fund
McClellan Oscillator When the market is strong the number of stocks making new highs should easily out number those making Reports with
McClellan Summation Index
New Highs/New Lows new lows, and vice versa when the market is weak. Buy/Sell Opinions
Put/Call Ratio - Learn More
VIX and VXO This indicator is most useful in identifying short term overbought or oversold situations. When the NH-NL Morningstar.com
line spikes up it often indicates a short term top. After all, with so many stocks making new highs, a
pullback in the near future would appear likely. On the other side, when the NH-NL line spikes down, it
Where are
reeks of a capitulation sell-off and often preludes a short-term bottom and market bounce.
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Here is a typical New Highs-New Lows chart. The line typically giggles above and below the zero line while occasionally spiking to
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The Put/Call ratio (P/C) was developed by Martin Zweig to determine the Where are
general market sentiment and expectations. It is a ratio of the number of stocks
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) calls and puts traded on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). headed?
Bullish Percent Index The answer may
McClellan Oscillator The CBOE widely advertises that 85% of all options expire worthless, and this is at the heart of the P/C's surprise you. Find
McClellan Summation Index
New Highs/New Lows effectiveness. Most of the options volume is due to buying, not selling. And unlike stocks where for every out now with
Put/Call Ratio buyer there is a seller and for every seller there is a buyer, the options market is very one-sided. The Chart of the Day.
VIX and VXO
exchange itself acts as a buyer to all sellers and a seller to all buyers. www.chartoftheday.com
Those who buy call options expect the market to rally while those who buy puts expect it to fall. Since most
options traders are wrong, one can get a clue as to the future move of the market by studying the action in
Stock Market
the options market. One could say the P/C is a contrarian indicator.
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When the Put/Call ratio spikes up, it indicates most traders belief that the market will fall. Since most Stock Research
options traders are wrong, one can use this as a clue that perhaps bearishness has reached an extreme Reports with Buy
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Since the market has a general bullish bias to begin with, this type of extreme put/call reading is not
equally effective on the downside.
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Here is a typical Put/Call line. It fluctuates wildly, and as you can see it spends most of its time below 1.0. This indicates call option surprise you. Find
volume usually beats put option volume. Spikes to the downside are not very useful, but spikes to the upside can indicate a panic out now with
by the bulls (they are buying puts to protect their holdings), and a bounce can occur. Chart of the Day.
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Here is the NYSE chart during this same time period. The spike in the Put/Call line did indeed signal an end to the small pullback
with an otherwise uptrending market.
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The VIX and VXO have been introduced by the Chicago Board Options Option
Exchange (CBOE). They are hypothetical options that are at-the-money Calculators
Advance/Decline Line
Arms Index (TRIN) and have 30 days until expiration. They attempt to represent the implied volatility of their respective option. Assess the Risk of
Bullish Percent Index When prices fall, put option buyers are more willing to pay a higher premium, and the VIX and VXO move Derivatives.
McClellan Oscillator Download
McClellan Summation Index up. The opposite occurs when stock prices drop. Put buyers are less willing to "pay up" for puts, so the VIX
New Highs/New Lows and VXO move down. FINCAD Analytics
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VIX and VXO
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The VIX is based on the SPX (S&P 500), and the VXO is based on the OEX (S&P 100).
When the market is weak and falling, the VIX and VXO move up, but when the VIX and VXO spike up to Where are
reach extreme levels, the market is thought to be oversold and due for a bounce. On the other hand, when stocks
the market is rallying, the VIX and VXO move down. It is believe low VIX and VXO readings can be used to headed?
determine short-term market tops. The answer may
surprise you. Find
In the author's opinion, the VIX and VXO do have some value forecasting possible market bottoms when out now with
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Here is a VXO chart during a 7-month period in late 2002. High readings indicate put option buyers paying a premium, but amateur
options players are usually wrong. So high VXO readings, which coorespond to put buyers being wrong at exactly the wrong time
should indicate a market bottom.
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Here is the S&P 500 chart during this same time period. You can see each time the VXO spiked up, the SPX bottomed and Kid makes $4
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Overlay Indicators
Overlay indicators are technical indicators that are plotted directly on an issue's
price chart. They are often used to determine trading ranges and periods of
extreme price movement. Here are the most popular Overlay Indicators
professional traders use.
Bollinger Bands
Donchian Channels
Exponential Moving Average
Keltner Channels
Linear Regression
Parabolic SAR
Price by Volume
Simple Moving Average
Bollinger Bans were developed by John Bollinger. They are a set of bands
that are plotted at 2 standard deviations above and below an exponential Decision Point
Bollinger Bands
Donchian Channels moving average (20-day is widely used) and are displayed over a stock's price chart. Using 2 standard Your technical
Exponential Moving Average deviations guarantees 95% of the price data will lay between the bands. analysis toolbox.
Keltner Channels
Linear Regression
Charting stocks,
Parabolic SAR Since the bands are plotted at standard deviation levels, they are self-adjusting. When a stock becomes funds, indicators
Price by Volume more volatile, the bands widen to give the stock more “room to move” within the bands. When a stock www.decisionpoint.com
Simple Moving Average
meanders around with little day-to-day movement, the bands contract.
Because of the tendency for a stock to stay within the bands, prices are considered overbought when they
reach the upper band and oversold when they reach the lower band. Bollinger
bands
Bollinger offers the following characteristics: Virtually Eliminate
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moves back inside the bands.
• Prices tend to move from one band to the other, so this can aid in projecting price targets.
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Here is a typical set of Bollinger Bands with VECO. You can see how the stock spends most of its time within the bands and the Bollinger bands
general tendency to move back and forth between the bands. Used in conjuction with other indicators for confirmation, buying at Virtually Eliminate
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This XICO chart demonstrates two Bolliger Band principals. First is the tendency for a stock to experience a big move after the
bands have narrowed. You can see this in late June. Second, when the stock moved outside the top band, although the stock did
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Here is a 3-minute intraday chart of QQQ. First note the stock always stays within the Donchian Channel (it's mathematical - it's Kid makes $4
impossible to breakout). Overall, when the market is weak, note the tendency for QQQ to "ride" the channel down while Billion Trading
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Here again is a 3-minute QQQ chart except the stock is obviously in a steady uptrend. Equal and opposite the bearish action, note
the stock's tendency ride the upper part of the channel while occasionally pulling back to kiss the bottom channel line. Where are
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CORI is a great example of a stock that likes to ride its Exponential Moving Average. Each time the stock rallied away from it, the
stock paused to allow the EMA to "catch up." Then the moving average acted as support, and the stock moved up again.
Some traders will plot two different moving averages over a stock chart and use the cross of the longer term moving average by
the shorter term MA for buy and sell signals. This type of strategy works well with gently rolling stocks that do not gap, and it
worked will for TV above (note this is a 60-minute chart). But don't try this with high beta volatile stocks because too many false
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This 60-minute QQQ chart shows how a Keltner Channel is typically displayed on a price chart. Make note of the circled candles.
Download
Those are the times when the stock traded outside the channel. The first time was the second day of the chart (a Friday). The stock
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traded through the bottom, and that started a 2-day drop. The following Wednesday the stock traded through the top of the channel,
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channel's bottom, and a 2-day drop began. The only false move occurred on the next Tuesday when the stock traded above the
channel, but we actually do not consider this a false move because the stock gapped up there rather than trading up there. A big
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A Linear Regression line is a “best fit” line modeling a scatter plot of data.
One can think of it as the equilibrium line of a set of data points. As used Option Calculators
Bollinger Bands
Donchian Channels in technical analysis, it simply offers an indication as to the general direction of the underlying issue over a Assess the Risk of
Exponential Moving Average designated period of time. Derivatives.
Keltner Channels
Linear Regression
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simply offers an idea as to the general direction of the underlying issue over a specified period of time. In this case a negative
divergence occurred. As the stock trended up, the RSI flattened out and began to move down. INTC then headed down.
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This MMM chart shows how Parabolic SAR is displed on a stock chart. Wilder used the indicator to determine stops - not entries.
Note that as the stock trended, the little blue dots slowly got closer and closer to the price chart. Wilder's goal was to capture as
much of the move as possible using a mechanical system, and this indicator did a pretty good job as you can see.
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This 13-month SPX chart shows how Price by Volume is displayed. Trader need to pay attention to the locations of large Price by $4 Billion
Volume bars because those areas will often act as either support or resistance. This price chart indicates trendline resistance in Wiz Kid Stock &
the 950-965 area and a severe lack of volume above that zone. If the index can breakout, the lack of overhead resistance Option Trader
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The SPX did break out, and the index quickly rallied to over 1000. Note the massive block of volume below 960 served as support Chart of the Day.
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Here is an example using Price by Volume that demonstrates why gaps often get filled. There is very little volume in the gap (and
actually there is no volume in the gap for the previous 7 months). The lack of volume translates to lack of resistance. So a move
into the gap could shift the supply/demand imbalance to favor the bulls because there are no sellers sitting in the gap wait to "get
out even." Let's see how this unfolded.
DGIN moved into the gap and filled it in one day. This may be a bad example because the stock rallied big, and you can't expect
that to happen often. But it's just an example of how Price by Volume can be used. Plot it on your charts to see where areas of
support and resistance my lie.
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That is a very simplified strategy and works great with some stocks, but offers no assistance with entries Morningstar
and exits with other stocks. The prudent trader needs to do some homework to see which MA's (if any) Research
work best with a particular stock. 4,000 Stock and
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Some traders also like to plot two different moving averages (typically a longer-term line and a shorter-term Reports with
line) on the same stock chart and use the crossing of the longer-term line by the shorter-term line to give Buy/Sell Opinions
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ELP is an example of a weak stock in a steady downtrend whose 50-day moving average posed as resistance each time the stock Buy/Sell Opinions
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On the other side, LRW used it 50-day moving average as support on this 100% rally off its low. out now with
Chart of the Day.
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Some traders will plot two different moving averages over a stock chart and use the cross of the longer term moving average by
the shorter term MA for buy and sell signals. This type of strategy works well with gently rolling stocks that do not gap, and it
worked fairly well with INTC (note this is a 30-minute charts). But don't try this with high beta volatile stocks because too many
false signals are suggested.
» back to top
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Chart Indicators
Chart Indicators are lines or series' of data points that are derived from an issue's opening, high, low, and
closing prices and/or volume. They attempt to either graphically confirm or not confirm price movement or
identify overbought or oversold areas. None of them work all the time, and they all have their ideal "working
conditions." The prudent trader should experiment to see what works best for him/her. Here are many
common technical indicators used by professional traders.
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI)
Average True Range (ATR)
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chaikin Oscillator
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
Comparative Relative Strength
MACD
MACD Histogram
Momentum
On Balance Volume (OBV)
Price Oscillator (PPO)
Rate of Change (ROC)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Stochastic Oscillator
Volume
Volume Oscillator (PVO)
Williams %R
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This DAL chart shows an example of a negative divergence the occurred between the stock and its Accumulation/Distribution Line. Mutual Fund
The stock was bouncing and made two higher highs, but the indicator was trending down. That means volume on up days tended Reports with
to be lighter than volume on down days and many more days the stock closed near its intraday low rather that near its intraday Buy/Sell Opinions
high. DAL eventually succumbed and fell. - Learn More
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AA shows a positive divergence. While the stock was trending down, its Accumulation/Distribution Line was in a steady uptrend
for US indexes
indicating some internal strength was building. The stock then broke out in mid November and enjoyed a nice rally. www.marketvolume.com
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Here is a simplified usage of ADX. When the line (the black line) is high, an indication is made the underlying issue is trending and
Stock Research
may be playable for a trend trade. But when the ADX value is low, the underlying issue is churning sideways and is only playable
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This QQQ chart shows examples as to how ADX can be used to offer buy and sell signals. A buy signal is given when the +DI line in a single year!
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This HOV daily chart shows how ATR is typically displayed. Notice while the stock was churing around for the first few months of
the chart, the ATR was low, but when the stock started to move, its ATR also moved up signifying a much more lively and active Where are
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Here is a weekly chart of JNJ. Notice how the stock become less volatile as it dropped, and that a pick up in volatility may signal
and end to the down trend.
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The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) was developed by Marc Chaikin to Trader Makes
Accumulation/Distribution Line
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Joe Granville came first with his On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator. It compared a stock's closing price
Chaikin Oscillator in a single year!
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) with its previous day's close and either added or subtracted the volume if the stock was up or down
Comparative Relative Strength Find out How
respectively. www.VirtualinvestingClub
MACD
MACD Histogram
Momentum Larry Williams came next. He improved (this is subjective) the OBV by comparing a stock's closing price
On Balance Volume (OBV) with the opening price and then added or subtracted volume based on the degree to which the stock closed
Price Oscillator (PPO) Where are
above or below its open.
Rate of Change (ROC) stocks
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Stochastic Oscillator headed?
Then Marc Chaikin entered the scene. Instead of using the opening price like Williams, he (Chaikin) used
Volume The answer may
Volume Oscillator (PVO) the mean price (the midpoint of the day's action). Chaikin believed that if a stock closed in the upper half of
Williams %R surprise you. Find
its trading range on a particular day and volume was strong, the stock was being accumulated, but if the
out now with
stock closed in the lower half of its range, it was being distributed. Based on whether a stock closed in its
Chart of the Day.
top or bottom half, Chaikin would either add or subtract volume. And while comparing stock trends through
www.chartoftheday.com
published resources and online resources is essential, getting information from the CMF may serve as a
safety net or somewhat a life insurance when things go wrong.
Technical
As with other indicators, Chaikin suggested looking for a divergence between the pricing action and the Analysis
oscillator. If a stock trends up while the CMF rolls over and heads down, the stock will very likely top out Charts
soon after. On the other hand , if a stock trends down while the CMF bottoms out and begins to move up, Charts, analysis,
the stock will very likely follow. indicators and
trading systems
The values of the CMF can also be used to indicate buying and selling pressure. Values that bounce for US indexes
between 0.1 and -0.1 and otherwise hang around the zero line are not strong enough to offer a bullish or www.marketvolume.com
bearish signal. Values above 0.1 and below -0.1 are indicative of buying and selling pressure respectively
while values above 0.25 and below -0.25 are indicative of strong buying and selling.
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Here is an example of a postive divergence that occurred between Alcoa's stock chart and its CMF. As the stock was declining, Morningstar.com
money was actually flowing into the stock, and this buying eventually won out and the stock rallied nicely.
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This TWX chart demonstrates another positive divergence. The stock fell hard in late '99 and early 2000, and then as the stock
flattened out and traded sideways, money started leaving the stock at a much slower rate (indicated by the negative CMF which
was trending up). The stock then experience a nice tradeable bounce.
Here is an example of a negative divergence. After rallying all summer, IBM traded sideways for 3 months, but the CMF chart
indicated money was leaving the stock. IBM eventually broke support and fell.
This JCP chart displays another negative CMF divergence. The stock was trendine up but the CMF was trending down. JCP
eventually broke support and succumbed to the negative money flow.
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The most powerful use of most chart indicators is when divergences form. Indicators should support and confirm a stock's move,
Reports with Buy
and when they don't, the indicator usually wins. In the above chart, each time a negative divergence occurred between the stock
& Sell Prices
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This PG chart shows another positive divergence between the stock chart and the Chaikin Oscillator. It also shows an example as Trading Stock
to how the Chaikin Oscillator can be used in determining a entry point. When the indicator broke above its resistance and crossed Options!
the center line, the stock immediatley did the same thing. www.VirtualinvestingClub
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The Commodity Channel Index, which can be used effectively for stocks,
not just commodities, was developed by Donald Lambert. It is meant to Stock
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI) decipher a stock's trendiness. The faster the indicator is moving the stronger the trend is, and if the CCI Free Trial: 1800
Average True Range (ATR) bounces around in a small range, it simply indicates the lack of a trend. Stock Research
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chaikin Oscillator
Reports with Buy
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) The CCI can be used as an overbought/oversold indicator. Readings above 100 imply an overbought & Sell Prices
Comparative Relative Strength situation and a possible pullback while readings under -100 imply an oversold condition and a possible www.Morningstar.com
MACD
MACD Histogram reversal bounce.
Momentum
On Balance Volume (OBV) The CCI can also be used as a divergence. If a stock makes a new high but the CCI fails to follow suite, a
Price Oscillator (PPO) Where are
warning is given that a pullback is likely.
Rate of Change (ROC) stocks
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Stochastic Oscillator headed?
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This QQQ chart shows how CCI can be used as an overbought/oversold signal. The indicator is not perfect, but if you bought when Stock Research
the CCI fell below -100 and then moved up and sold when the CCI moved above 100 and then fell, you would have done pretty Reports with Buy
well. & Sell Prices
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Comparative Relative Strength simply compares the price of one security Morningstar
with the price of another security or an index. It is most often used to Research
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI) compare a stock with an index or the sector to which it belongs. 4,000 Stock and
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Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) When the market or an individual sector is trending up, traders like to concentrate their buying in the Reports with
Chaikin Oscillator
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) strongest stocks, and Price Relative helps to identify which stocks are leading. Buy/Sell Opinions
Comparative Relative Strength - Learn More
MACD When the market or an individual sector is trending down, traders like to concentrate their shorting in the Morningstar.com
MACD Histogram
Momentum weakest stocks, and Price Relative helps to identify which stocks are lagging.
On Balance Volume (OBV)
Price Oscillator (PPO) Online Stock
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This chart shows that although MSFT was moving up, it was moving up at a much slower rate than the NASDAQ. Since the stock
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Here is an example of MMM holding on strong while the market was falling. Despite the market weakness, MMM held tight, and
when the market bounced, being one of the stronger stocks, MMM took off.
Here is an example of a trendline berakout being used on an indicator. SUNW was underperforming the NASDAQ, but then "broke
out" and the stock did the same. This shows a shift is strength. The stock went from underperforming to outperforming and that's
enough to at least demand a look.
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Here is an example of how MACD is often used to determine entries and exits. A buy signal is given when the shorter term line
(the black line) crosses up through the longer term line (the blue line). This occurred in mid October. A sell signal is offered when a
cross happens to the downside. Using this strategy, you entries and exits would have been pretty good.
Here is an example of a positive divergence with the MACD. QQQ was trending down, but its MACD bottomed and maded a
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The MACD Histogram is similar in concept to the standard MACD except Morningstar
the histogram normalizes the signal or reference line to zero. This helps Research
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI) solve the lagging problem of the standard MACD. 4,000 Stock and
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Chaikin Oscillator
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) while sell signals are given when the zero line is crosses to the downside. Also when a stock moves up and Buy/Sell Opinions
Comparative Relative Strength the MACD Histogram fails to confirm the move, a divergence occurs. This signals a pullback may be - Learn More
MACD
MACD Histogram coming. And when a stock moves lower while the MACD Histogram flattens out and moves up, a near-term Morningstar.com
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The MACD Histogram is most useful when it diverges from the underlying stock. In the above example, NTES made a series of
higher highs while in a steady uptrend, but its MACD Histogram trended down and did not confirm the move. The stock eventually
gave in.
Here is a positive divergence. QQQ trended down, but the MACD made a series of higher lows and then crossed the center line.
That was the signal to go long.
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The Momentum indicator measures the rate of change of a stock over a Official
specified period of time. One could say it indicates the velocity of a move. MetaStock®
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI) Where the ROC displays this as a percentage, Momentum displays it as a ratio. Site
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Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) Momentum can be used to trade trends (i.e. buy when oscillator bottoms and turns up and sell when the and Data. Get
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This INTC chart shows how Momentum acts (or causes the underlying stock to act depending on your perspective) during a solid Net App
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This is what you'd like to see from OBV when a stock is rallying. The OBV was steadily moving up, and this confirms more money
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This HLTH chart demonstrates a powerful negative divergence. The stock rallied but the OBV was flat. Money was not supporting
the move up, and the lack of powerful buying eventually gave way when support was broken.
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The Price Oscillator is a momentum indicator that plots the difference Stock & Funds
Accumulation/Distribution Line
between two moving averages. It is identical to the MACD except the Research
ADX (Wilder's DMI) MACD typically uses the 26-day and 12-day EMAs while the PPO allows the user to select which two Get Insights with
Average True Range (ATR) EMAs to use. Also, while the MACD uses points, the PPO uses percentages. Nevertheless, if you eliminate
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) Morningstar. 4000
Chaikin Oscillator the scale on the side of the chart, one will get the exact same result with either one. Reports with Free
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
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The PPO is most effective in wide-swinging trending markets and tends to lag price movements. It has a www.Morningstar.com
MACD
MACD Histogram couple popular uses.
Momentum
On Balance Volume (OBV) • Crossovers – some traders will buy when the PPO crosses up over its signal line and sell or sell short
Price Oscillator (PPO) Where are
when it cross down through its signal line. They will also look to buy and sell when the PPO crosses up or
Rate of Change (ROC) stocks
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Stochastic Oscillator
down through the zero line. headed?
Volume The answer may
Volume Oscillator (PVO) • Divergence – The PPO will generally lag the underlying slightly (i.e. when a stock moves up so will the
Williams %R surprise you. Find
PPO but slightly delayed), but when a divergence occurs where the PPO fails to confirm the underlying
out now with
issue's movement, the stock price typically reverses. So if a stock is rallying and the PPO tops out and
Chart of the Day.
starts to head down, a big hint is being given that the stock too will top out soon. On the other hand, if a
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The GE chart demonstrates how a negative divergence can be used to as a warning that lower prices are coming. GE moved up,
but its PPO flattened out. As with many case, the stock eventually followed the indicator...in this case down for a pullback.
Here is an example as to how PPO can be used to offer buy and sell signals. A buy signal is given when the shorter term line (the
black line) crosses up over the longer term line (the blue line), and sell signal is offered when there is a "cross down." If this stategy
was employed with the above chart, you entries were not perfect, but they weren't bad either.
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The Rate of Change is an oscillator that indicates the change in price Morningstar
between “today” and the price x periods ago. So the 10-day ROC is the Research
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI) percentage change in price between today's closing price and the closing price 10 days ago. 4,000 Stock and
Average True Range (ATR) Mutual Fund
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The ROC is generally used as a short-term overbought or oversold indicator. The higher the ROC goes, the Reports with
Chaikin Oscillator
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) more overbought the underlying is and the more likely a pullback will occur. The lower the ROC goes, the Buy/Sell Opinions
Comparative Relative Strength more oversold the underlying stock is, and a bounce is due. - Learn More
MACD
Morningstar.com
MACD Histogram
Momentum But like many other indicators one needs to do his/her homework to determine historically what ROC
On Balance Volume (OBV) values are typically high or low for a particular stock.
Price Oscillator (PPO)
Rate of Change (ROC) Decision Point
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Stochastic Oscillator Your technical
Volume analysis toolbox.
Volume Oscillator (PVO)
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Here is a great example of ROC being used as an overbought/oversold indicator. If you would have bought each time the indicator
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Here's how ROC could be used in an uptrending stock. Notice how buy signals were given just before the stock rallied and sell
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The most powerful usage of RSI is when a divergence forms. Here you can see the VXO was moving up but its RSI was flat. www.Morningstar.com
When this happens the indicator usually wins, and it did. VXO fell. The a positive divergence formed. VXO was trading flat while
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This BWA weekly chart shows two negative divergences which both worked great. In both cases the stock was trending up while
the RSI did not confirm the move. In the first case, the RSI was flat while the second scenario shows the RSI had already started
to move down.
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The middle of this chart shows a confirming RSI. The stock moved up and so did the indicator. Then the stock flattened out, but ForexCandlesticksMadeE
the RSI was more aggressive to the downside. The stock, as they often do, did as the indicator did.
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This GLW chart demonstrates how the Stochastic Oscillator can be used to offer buy and sell signals. When a crossover occurs Stock Market
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The Stochastic can also offer buy and sell signals when a divergence occurs. Twice the Stochastic diverged from its underlying
issue (QQQ) and both times the stock pulled back. But do note the stock was in a steady uptrend, so the divergence was simply a
warning for the bulls that a pullback was likely coming. It was not a reason to go short unless you were a very slick short term
trader.
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This is exactly what you want the volume to look like when a stock is rallying. When the stock moved up, volume significantly
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in identifying strong stocks.
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The Volume Oscillator is identical to the Price Oscillator (PPO) except we Net App
are obviously dealing with volume, not prices. Monitoring
Accumulation/Distribution Line
ADX (Wilder's DMI)
Powerful indepth
Average True Range (ATR) Since volume is so closely watched by traders to confirm or not confirm a price move, traders use the PVO Net App
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) to determine if volume momentum is increasing or decreasing. monitoring See
Chaikin Oscillator
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) latency, IO per
Comparative Relative Strength When the PVO crosses up over the zero line, it indicates shorter term volume is moving up in relation to volumes, more.
MACD longer term volume, but if the PVO crosses down below the zero line, it indicates shorter term volume is www.LogicMonitor.com
MACD Histogram
Momentum falling off compared to longer term volume.
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Here is an example of how PVO can be used when a negative divergence forms. As GE was moving up, volume was falling off, so
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Here is a simple example as to how Percent R can be used as an overbought or oversold indicator. After a big rally in June and
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Here is an example many false sell signals being given by Percent R. No indicator works all the time, and some indicators work
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As long as the stock closes below 27.5 on expiration day, you keep the $900 and the stock. But if the stock
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Selling the calls reduces your risk because you max loss is locked in place at a lower price than if you had only
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If the stock closes below 40, all calls will expire worthless and you keep the $190.0. Your greatest loss occurs
at 45. The long 45 calls will expire worthless and the 40 calls which you sold for 4 will need to be bought back
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at 5. Above 45, you will only make money on one of the long calls because the other one will be canceled out
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The call you sold pays for the put (i.e. the call pays for downside protection). If the stock drops below 10 you
will lose, but at least your loss will be minimized by the put option. If the stock rallies, you will make money on
the long stock position, but above 15 the long stock position will be canceled out by the short call position. Do Not Trade
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Example
Let's say CAT is trading @ 65, and you buy (1) 60 call for 5.5 and (1) 70 call for 0.50, and you sell (2) 65 calls Trader Makes
for 2.25 for a net debit of 1.5.. $4 Billion
Wiz Kid Stock &
Max profit occurs when the stock closes at 65 – the short calls expire worthless; you keep the entire premium; Option Trader
the long 60 call gets sold for a for a small profit; and the long 70 call expires worthless. Your max loss is Makes $4 Billion
locked in place at the onset and will occur if the stock closes below 60 (all calls expire worthless) or above 70 Trading Stock
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If the stock closes at 75, the 75, 80 and 85 calls expire worthless and the 70 calls would be worth 5.0.The 5-
point gain vs. the 3-point debit to initiate the trade gives you a profit of 2.0. Trader Makes
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If the stock closes at 80, the 80 and 85 calls would expire worthless, and the 5 point loss in the short 75 call California trader
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Your profit declines above 80 and below 75 with the max loss occurring above 85 and below 70, but your max www.VirtualinvestingClub
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If the stock closes below 90 on expiration day you keep the entire premium and your max profit scenario will Trader Makes
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If the stock closes above 32.5, all puts will expire worthless and you keep the $20. Your greatest loss is $230
and occurs at 30. This is where the long 30 puts will expire worthless (a $250 loss) and your 32.5 put will be
Trader Makes
worth $20 (sold it for 2.7 and bought it back 2.5). Below 30 you will start getting some of your money back and
$18 Billion
below 27.7 your profit increases to a max when the stock drops to zero. But you will only make money on one
California trader
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If the stock drops below 30 as you expect all calls (long and short) will expire worthless and you will profit
because the premium collected from selling the 30 calls was greater than what you paid for the 32 calls. Your
$4 Billion Wiz
max loss occurs at 32 where the 30 calls will have to be bought back at a higher price than what you paid and
Kid
32 calls expire worthless. Above 32, the long and short calls will cancel each other out.
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The image below summarizes the trade with a P/L Diagram.
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