COLORADO GREENHOUSE GAS

INVENTORY UPDATE PROJECT

CDPHE
Theresa Takushi
Jim Dileo
Steven Arnold
Garry Kaufman
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update April 2013
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Goals
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Apr2013
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Produce an updated, default inventory with 2020
projection by March 2013
Produce a workbook for future inventories
Phased approach
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Document results and put in context
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Rerun modules with improvements and compare
Consider black carbon assessment

1990 CAA Provides Direction
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Apr2013
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1993 EPA issues grants to States to
begin work on GHG inventories
1998 Colorado GHG report
completes the second phase of the
grant process
Electric Vehicle test program
implements third phase of grant
Additional updates based via
Govoroor's ulroctloo

Accomplishments
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Three previous State inventories, plus updates
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approach, a 2000 update and a 2002 forecast
WGA/WRAP/CCS 2007 update using EPA SIT
model and other processes
Used 1990, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2020
Used EPA State Greenhouse Gas Inventory Tool (known
as SIT or SGIT) plus added processes
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inventories completed
Govoroor's oocctlvo oruor rogclros 5 yoor
updates to whole state inventory
Current effort targeted to develop draft in
March 2013 based on default mode SIT
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Many local governments have
created their own GHG inventories
in Colorado (Aspen/Pitkin County,
Boulder, Denver, Ft. Collins, etc.)
Local inventories reflect varying
levels of granularity depending on
the availability of local data
Local inventories produce a
geographic patchwork of statewide
emissions and do not all use the
same methodology
WGA/WRAP/CCS
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update
Apr2013
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Western Govoroor's Assoclotloo cootroctou wlto too
Western Regional Air Partnership to produce a state-by-
state western U.S. GHG inventory
WRAP subcontracted to
Center for Climate Strategies
to perform the work
Last inventory completed and
published 2007
(On APCD Climate Change site
With older inventories and updates)
Executive Order
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update Apr2013
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In April 22, 2008 Governor Ritter signed an
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greenhouse gas emissions inventory, with the first update
scheduled to be completed no later than 2012 and
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The Update
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update Apr2013
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Past inventories for the State are all top down
Over 20 local municipalities in Colorado have
inventories, all bottom up
Evaluation of the CCS inventory performed by CU
team:
Shortcomings identified
Changes in regulations and legislation change
assumptions from 2005 to 2020
Updated data change calculations

Top Down Approach Adopted
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update
Apr2013
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EPA released an update to the
State Inventory Tool (SIT)
(formerly State Greenhouse
Inventory Tool) -Fall 2012
Model has ten modules & projection
tool
Consideration given to using
Argonne Labs GREET model for transportation
Consideration given to use CSU Agricultural and Forest model
EPA continues to update each module with new data base links and
improvement to calculations

The EPA State Inventory Tool (SIT)-Pros
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update Apr2013
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Has 10 emissions modules
Has a projection module
Links major national data bases to calculation schemes
Has consistency with other states
Follows the international GHG protocol the U.S. agreed
to follow for the national inventory
Allows for customization of emission factors and activity
assumptions
Was updated by EPA in 2013 to improve the process
using latest assumptions
2012 National Major Stationary
Source Inventory Improves Data
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Apr2013
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SIT Model Cons
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One size fits all
Difficult to track down national data bases and
source of original information
Spreadsheets complex and appear to have some
data gaps
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National data bases often difficult to dissect to
determine validity of assumptions


Black Carbon
APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update
Apr2013
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Current SIT does not address
EPA SPECIATE model used by CCS in the 2007
inventory
Has multiple impacts in Colorado
Fine particulate related to fire
Impacts on visibility in urban and regional haze
Impacts from new sources like natural gas flaring
Role and contribution not well understood
Inventory process challenging
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APCD Greenhouse Gas Inventory Update Apr2013 15
Draft SIT Model Runs
1990-2030
(2013 Analysis)


(Million Metric Tons CO2e) 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030
Electrical Production 31 33 39 40 39 39 39
(RCI) Fuel Use 17 20 23 27 28 28 29
Transportation 20 24 27 31 30 36 40
Fossil Fuel Industry 6 5 10 11 12 15 15
Industrial Processes 1 2 4 5 5 6 8
Waste Management 1 1 1 2 3 3 3
Agriculture 8 8 9 9 8 8 7
Status and Next Steps
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Status
State facilities inventory completed
Update of state inventory model runs and summary
completed December 2012
Draft report scheduled for May 2013
Next Steps
Finish documentation of default case
Run projection case
Publish draft for review
Consider Colorado adjustments