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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Slight Risk Areas: FROM TX NEWD INTO THE TN & OH VALLEYS AND INTO WRN NY For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook. New: The SPC Mesoanalysis Page now has an option to incorporate the experimental ESRL Rapid Refresh version 2 (RAPv2) model as background input for the mesoanalysis fields, in addition to the current operational NCEP Rapid Refresh (RAP) model. (Updated: April 30 2013)
Overview Conv. Outlook Watches MDs Storm Reports Mesoanalysis Fire Hazards
All Products Watches MDs Outlooks Fire

Enhanced Thunderstorm Outlook Issued: 06/01/2013 at 1951Z

Day 1 Convective Outlook Categorical Risk: Slight Issued: 06/01/2013 at 1945Z Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Categorical Risk: See Text Issued: 06/01/2013 at 1914Z Day 2 Convective Outlook Categorical Risk: Slight Issued: 06/01/2013 at 1723Z Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Categorical Risk: See Text Issued: 06/01/2013 at 1624Z
Hazard Sat (06/01) Sun (06/02) Mon (06/03) Tue (06/04) Wed (06/05) Thu (06/06) Fri (06/07) Sat (06/08) Severe Slight Slight Slight No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area Fire See Text See Text No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Categorical Risk: No Areas Issued: 06/01/2013 at 0900Z Day 3 Convective Outlook Categorical Risk: Slight Issued: 06/01/2013 at 0729Z Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Categorical Risk: No Areas Issued: 05/31/2013 at 2112Z

Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Today's Storm Report Trend

Tornado (0) Wind (3) Hail (0)

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report time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 More severe weather climatology data here. Full-size plot here.

Find out the difference between a severe weather Watch and Warning here.

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Tornado Safety Tips. Page last modified: June 01 2013 12:17 UTC 1 2 3 4 5 6

Latest SPC Publications

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May 31, 2013 Tornado: 24 Wind: 144 Hail: 95

Edwards, R., 2012: Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes: AReview of Knowledge in Research and Prediction . Published in Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor. Garner, J.M., 2012: Environments of Significant Tornadoes Occurring within the Warm Sector versus Those Occurring along Surface Baroclinic Boundaries. Published in Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor. Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part I: Storm Classification and Climatology. Published in Weather and Forecasting.

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Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS Tornado Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting. Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. spc.feedback@noaa.gov Page last modified: June 01 2013 21:41 UTC

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