Professional Documents
Culture Documents
40,000
2,000
500
Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Korea but not in any other jurisdiction, including the U.S.
I. 1Q Preview and mid- to long-term outlook ...............................................................................3 Earnings to improve in 1Q.............................................................................................................3 Earnings improvement to gain speed in 2Q..................................................................................7 Mid- to long-term outlook of Korean IT industry............................................................................9 Issue analysis: Chinese makers present serious threat .............................................................11 II. Investment strategy & valuation..............................................................................................12 Look before its too late ...............................................................................................................12 LG Electronics (066570 KS) ........................................................................................................ 14 Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150 KS) ..................................................................................... 18 Samsung Techwin (012450 KS) .................................................................................................. 21 LS (006260 KS).............................................................................................................................. 24 LG Innotek (011070 KS) ............................................................................................................... 27 Partron (091700 KQ)..................................................................................................................... 30 Intops (049070 KQ)....................................................................................................................... 34 Seoul Semiconductor (046890 KQ) ............................................................................................ 37 KH Vatec (060720 KQ).................................................................................................................. 40 Amotech (052710 KQ) .................................................................................................................. 43 Telechips (054450 KQ) ................................................................................................................. 46 P&Tel (054340 KQ) ....................................................................................................................... 49
In 1Q, SEC is estimated to have sold 43mn smartphones, driven by robust sales of the Galaxy S2 and the Galaxy Note (over 5mn units). Thus, we believe that the company has reclaimed its position as the worlds no. 1 smartphone seller (in terms of quarterly sales volume), beating Apple. Moreover, SEC is anticipated to unseat Nokia, ending the companys 14-year dominance of the mobile handset market. On the back of robust smartphone sales, SEC reported a record quarterly operating profit of W5.8tr in 1Q, which is typically a slow season. The companys smartphone unit is leading the growth of its semiconductor (non-memory sales including APs) and display (AMOLED, etc.) businesses, and the broader domestic IT industry.
Figure 5. Global handset market share trend
(%) 50 Nokia Apple LG Electronics Samsung ZTE
40
30
20
10
Galaxy Note
6000
40 Galaxy S2
4000
20
Galaxy S
2000
40
30
20
10
30 20 20 10
10
0 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11
300
200
100
(Wbn, %) OP 1,765.7 4.2 TTB -15.0 TTB TTB 9.2 -57.9 528.8 -60.5 -70.9 -56.5
LG Electronics 12,500.20 430.43 SEMCO 1,565.07 95.40 Samsung Techwin 632.17 30.77 LS 3,008.02 135.63 LG Innotek 1,288.72 22.35 Seoul Semiconductor 168.75 3.19 Partron 133.91 11.16 KH Vatec 71.12 0.55 Intops 109.81 5.57 P&Tel 10.84 -2.00 Telechips 17.73 -0.79 Amotech 24.71 0.96 Note: TTB refers to turning into black; Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
We think that the recent pullback of telecom equipment/electronic component shares is only a technical correction, especially considering the upward revisions to 1Q earnings estimates. As such, we expect the shares to rebound once companies release their improved 1Q results.
Figure 11. Share performances of IT product/component makers
150
120
113.5 111.1
The recovery of the TV market is one of the most important variables affecting the IT industry. Indeed, tepid TV demand led to a sluggish IT market in 2011, weighing on the earnings of the worlds largest (SEC) and second largest (LG Electronics) TV makers , as well as those of electronic components makers including LED makers (the TV market makes up the largest portion of LED sales). TV demand recovery to accelerate, driven by: 1) 2012 London Olympics 2) Projected recovery of US economy We expect the recovery of the TV market (which started in 1Q) to accelerate heading towards the 2012 London Olympics. Although some market watchers remain skeptical about the ability of sporting events such as the Olympic Games and the FIFA World Cup to directly boost TV sales, we believe that such events will surely stimulate demand amid the worst downturn ever. Expectations of a US economic recovery are also positive for TV demand. 7
80
-45 -2 -4 -6 -50 -8
60
40
20
-10 -55 1/11 4/11 7/11 10/11 1/12 -12
66
30
33
15
Profitability cannot remain high forever, as healthy profits attract rivals. As the number of market participants grows, penetration increases and profitability decreases. It appears that the smartphone market has entered this growth stage. At this stage of a business cycle, product differentiation is the key to maintaining/gaining competitiveness. However, if the products are similar, then, the company that can ensure faster and stable supply should outperform its competitors - in which case a stable supply chain is important. SEC and LGE both possess strong supply chains. SEC manufactures products such as smartphones and TVs using components and electronic materials made by Samsung Group affiliates including SEMCO, Samsung Display, and Cheil Industries. LGE also uses components supplied by its group affiliates including LG Innotek and LG Display, and electronic materials made by LG Chem. Such strong supply chains can greatly empower IT product makers that need to nimbly respond to rapidly changing market trends.
Unlike Korean counterparts, Apples competitiveness lies in its creativity and quality control. The company has invented groundbreaking products and services such as the iPhone, the iPad and iTunes. However, the company relies on Foxconn to assemble its products, and on Korean, Japanese and Taiwanese makers to source components. In turn, this enables Apple to focus instead on quality control. This type of business structure is highly effective if the company offers unique, original products. However, companies with this type of business structure may suffer when product commoditization occurs with increased penetration. Sony is a case in point. The companys revolutionary products, including the Walkman and the PlayStation, pushed the company to the top of the IT industry. But the company has lost its market share to SEC and LGE as the products became increasingly commoditized. Sony has a business structure similar to Apples, outsourcing components and electronic materials (while assembling products inhouse).
Figure 22. Supply chain of global IT industry
Product
SEC LGE Apple Foxxcon Sony
Components
SEMCO
SMD
LGI
LGD
Materials
Cheil Industries
Others
LG Chemical
Others
Shin-Etsu Chemical, SUMCO, Hitachi Chemical, JSR, Sumitomo Chemical, Furukawa, Nitto Denko, Sumitomo Bakelit
Commoditization to present opportunities to Korean smartphone makers with strong supply chains
Thus, the ongoing commoditization in the smartphone market should present a golden opportunity for Korean smartphone makers. Just as SEC and LGE respectively secured first and second place in the global TV market on the back of their competitive supply chains, we expect the companies strong supply chains to help them acquire the upper hand in the global smartphone market. SEC is already performing well, but LGE should also benefit from the commoditization trend. LGEs strongest advantage is the close relationship with its electronic materials supplier, LG Chem. Indeed, high-quality products require high-quality components, which again require high-quality materials. Surely, a lack of first-mover advantage (i.e., high profitability) and innovative products should be disappointing for Korean IT makers. However, it should be noted that SEC managed to be successful during the initial development stage of the LED BLU TV market. Moreover, we believe that OLED TVs can set a milestone for Korean IT companies in occupying the earlystage market, allowing domestic companies to narrow the gap with Japanese electronic materials rivals.
10
40
ZTE was ranked the fourth largest global handset maker in 4Q11
30
20
10
Size: 127.4 x 64.8 x 6.7 mm Weight: 110 g Display: 540 x 960 pixels (Super AMOLED capacitive touchscreen) Camera: 8 MP, LED flash OS: Android OS, v 4.0 CPU: Dual-core 1.5 GHz Release: Expect 2Q12
Source: GSMarena
11
40,000
2,000
500
12
1H12
Smartphone market growth leading to earnings improvement
Earnings improvement
2H12
2H12
Undervalued in 1H12
Possibility of corrections of IT shares
Table 2. Ratings and target prices for telecom equipment/electronic component makers in Daewoo Universe
Ratings Ticker LG Electronics SEMCO Samsung Techwin LS LG Innotek SSC Partron Intops KH Vatec Telechips P&Tel Amotech 066570 KS 009150 KS 012450 KS 006260 KS 011070 KS 046890 KQ 091700 KQ 049070 KQ 060720 KQ 054450 KQ 054340 KQ 052710 KQ Previous Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Trading Buy Buy Buy Trading Buy Hold Hold Hold Revised Previous (Wbn) 123,000 125,000 91,000 110,000 130,000 31,000 17,900 26,800 12,300 Target Price Revised (Wbn) 26,000 22,900 8,300 5,600 Share price % Change (as of April 13th) -16.1 -14.6 -32.5 77,700 100,500 64,600 75,400 92,600 23,000 12,300 17,100 7,510 5,790 2,490 5,010 Expected return (%) 58.3 24.4 40.9 45.9 40.4 13.0 45.5 33.9 10.5 11.8
Trading Buy
18
1.0
1.0x
12
5.2
0.5
0.5x
0
Sh ip b uil d in g et/ co mp on en ts Ha nd s r ms tru ct i on nd uc to Di sp Fin Int ch in e ry Ma er ne t Au to lay an c e
Se mi co
0.0 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 12F
Co
13
Maintain Buy with a target price of W123,000 1Q12 Preview: Raising operating profit forecast to W430.4bn Earnings are improving across all divisions
We maintain our Buy call on LG Electronics (LGE) with a 12-month target price of W123,000. Our target price was derived by applying a P/B of 1.75x to our 2012F BPS of W70,100 (under consolidated K-IFRS). In 2011, the companys mobile communications (MC) division suffered losses due to its weak smartphone competitiveness. Concerns over the division further deepened with the deterioration of the handset market (e.g., Nokia stagnated, while Motorola was sold to Google). Furthermore, the margin recovery outlook for the home entertainment (HE) division was uncertain amid a weak economy, and the home appliance (including air conditioners) business was expected to deteriorate due to rising raw material prices. However, we believe that LGE has already hit bottom (in terms of earnings). Losses at the MC division (handsets and smartphones) are declining on the back of growing smartphone sales and higher cost efficiency. And the HE division has obtained competitive edges in the 3D and OLED TV segments. The companys home appliance business is also regaining stability. As such, the companys valuation should return to its normal level. We recommend that investors steadily accumulate LGE shares. We project LGEs 1Q revenues and operating profit at W12.5tr and W430.4bn (up 93.6% from our previous estimate of W222.3bn), under consolidated K-IFRS. The MC division is forecast to exceed the break-even point despite weak seasonality. Although smartphone sales volume will likely fall below expectation, Optimus LTE sales are stable while LGEs smartphone lineup is likely to improve with roll-outs of new models (e.g., the Optimus Vu). The companys stronger smartphone lineup will boost profitability full swing from 2013. The HE division is expected to drive profitability improvement. The division is projected to generate an OP margin of 3.9% on the back of the higher sales contribution of high-end products, including 3D TVs. The division is forecast to post revenues of W23.7tr in 2012, providing a catalyst to LGEs earnings improvement. Investors should take note that LGEs earnings are likely to improve further. After swinging to positive in 4Q, the company should continue to see growth in 1H, aided by solid smartphone and TV sales and the arrival of a strong season for the air conditioner business.
Share price 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSPI
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
14
8,000
-3
-2
Optimus 4X HD
Optimus Vu
Optimus 3D Max
50,000
Specification
Size:-x - x 8.9 mm Weight: - g Display:720 x 1280 pixels (HD-IPS TFT capacitive touchscreen) Camera:8 MP, LED flash OS: Android OS, v4.0 CPU: Quad-core 1.5 GHz
Size: 139.6 x 90.4 x 8.5 mm Weight: 168 g Display: 768 x 1024 pixels (HD-IPS TFT capacitive touchscreen) Camera: 8 MP, LED flash OS: Android OS, v2.3 CPU: Dual-core 1.5 GHz
Size: 126.8 x 67.4 x 9.6 mm Weight: 148g Display: 480 x 800 pixels pixels (3D LCD capacitive touchscreen) Camera: 5 MP, LED flash OS: Android OS, v2.3 CPU: Dual-core 1.2 GHz
15
2,909.1 3,245.9 2,762.4 2,775.1 -100.5 -53.9 -138.8 12.0 -3.5 -1.7 -5.0 0.4 2,851.7 3,200.1 2,689.2 2,695.3 -101.1 -54.7 -139.9 9.9 -3.5 -1.7 -5.2 0.4 5,718.5 5,818.5 5,740.0 6,625.5 113.1 97.8 88.6 122.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.8 2,607.1 2,801.1 2,694.8 2,978.4 102.1 58.7 74.3 70.8 3.9 2.1 2.8 2.4 1,232.8 1,659.6 1,005.9 686.6 34.1 59.5 1.7 -38.3 2.8 3.6 0.2 -5.6 692.4 860.1 694.1 748.7 -18.0 -3.8 -57.7 -143.6 -2.6 -0.4 -8.3 -19.2 13,159.9 14,385.2 12,897.2 13,814.3 130.8 158.3 -31.9 23.1 1.0 1.1 -0.2 0.2 38.5 149.7 -530.9 -56.6 0.3 1.0 -4.1 -0.4 -30.1 97.8 -424.2 -113.2 -0.2 0.7 -3.3 -0.8 24,451 24,786 21,098 17,685 9,359 9,113 9,194 10,642 5,783 5,701 5,679 7,562
11,692.5 2,360.8 3,125.9 3,577.2 3,251.4 -281.2 24.6 25.9 54.6 43.5 -2.4 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.3 11,436.3 2,303.4 3,080.1 3,504.0 3,171.6 -285.8 23.0 24.6 52.6 41.2 -2.5 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.3 23,902.5 5,554.8 5,458.3 5,752.4 6,923.5 421.7 215.4 228.2 163.6 162.3 1.8 3.9 4.2 2.8 2.3 11,081.4 2,655.7 2,850.7 2,740.1 3,026.0 305.9 156.7 145.3 103.0 96.1 2.8 5.9 5.1 3.8 3.2 4,584.9 1,236.6 1,664.4 1,038.8 718.3 57.0 55.2 91.3 10.1 -25.7 1.2 4.5 5.5 1.0 -3.6 2,995.3 692.4 860.1 694.1 748.7 -223.1 -21.5 -21.0 -11.5 -31.3 -7.4 -3.1 -2.4 -1.7 -4.2 54,256.6 12,500.2 13,959.4 13,802.6 14,667.9 280.3 430.4 469.7 319.7 245.0 0.5 3.4 3.4 2.3 1.7 -399.3 336.2 432.1 304.6 251.9 -0.7 2.7 3.1 2.2 1.7 -469.6 289.6 372.1 262.3 216.9 -0.9 2.3 2.7 1.9 1.5 88,020 14,175 17,711 19,833 18,290 38,308 9,205 8,862 9,193 11,273 24,725 6,512 6,255 6,549 8,857
Note: Based on IFRS Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Change 12F 13F 0.5 35.3 51.3 74.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 3.5 2.4 20.7 31.3 43.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 7.5 14F 5.2 21.1 30.4 38.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.8
Note: Based on IFRS Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
16
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 17.0 1.1 11.8 -2,809 4,383 66,396 200 0.0 0.3 -2.7 12.2 58.8 TTR 7.9 10.0 9.6 -1.3 -3.7 3.1 148.4 111.0 37.5 0.9 12/12F 12.3 6.4 1.1 7.1 6,310 12,167 70,100 500 8.0 0.6 1.2 63.3 422.6 TTB 7.9 10.9 9.7 3.5 8.2 11.2 134.0 117.5 25.5 4.1 12/13F 8.3 4.8 1.0 5.2 9,394 16,185 77,550 1,000 10.7 1.3 7.3 33.1 45.4 48.9 8.0 11.1 9.6 4.8 10.9 14.1 130.6 117.7 19.6 6.0 12/14F 6.6 4.0 0.9 4.2 11,808 19,514 86,733 1,500 12.7 1.9 13.0 22.2 27.2 25.7 8.2 11.4 9.5 5.5 12.3 16.0 129.7 119.2 14.2 7.6
17
Maintain Buy and a target price of W125,000 1Q12 Preview: Solid earnings despite slow season; OP estimated at W95.4bn Historic-high operating profit (excluding the LED business) expected in 2013
We maintain our Buy call on Samsung Electro-Mechanics (SEMCO) and our target price of W125,000. Our target price is equivalent to a 2012F P/B of 2.6x (a 20% premium to the companys 5-year average P/B of 2.2x), based on a BPS of W47,596 under consolidated K-IFRS. A P/B of 2.6x does not seem undemanding. SEMCOs P/B reached 4.0x in 2010, driven by expectations for its LED business, but the unit merged into Samsung Electronics (SEC) as of April 1st. Thus, we believe it is time for investors to start focusing on the companys future without an LED business. 1) SEMCO has been delivering healthy earnings, aided by SECs robust smartphone sales. We expect a record operating profit (excluding the LED business) in 2013. 2) FC-CSP and FC-BGA will likely become the companys new growth drivers. 3) The appreciation of SECs share price (269,897 shares received in return for the sale of the LED unit; valued at W57.2bn) should boost SEMCOs shares. We estimate SEMCOs 1Q operating profit at W95.4bn, which seems healthy given that the first quarter is typically a slow season. SEMCOs substrate business (ACI division) is showing the quickest recovery among the companys business units. SECs robust smartphone sales are positively affecting the HDI substrate unit. And the FC-CSP unit is displaying topline growth alongside smartphone market growth. SEMCO became the global FC-CSP market share leader in 2010 and has steadily improved its position since then. The FC-BGA unit is also picking up, finding opportunities in the converging PC and handset markets (e.g. smartphones, tablet PCs). While SEMCO occupies only 8% of the W5tr FC-BGA market, we think the unit will become a new growth driver, following MLCC. The camera module unit (OMS division) should post solid results, also aided by SECs robust smartphone sales. The multi-layer ceramic chip capacitor (MLCC) unit (a part of the LCR division) is also projected to improve on the back of smartphone market expansion and the TV market recovery. Growing downward pricing pressure and potential yen depreciation may have negative impacts. However, given that only Murata (Japan) and SEMCO have achieved economies of scale, the MLCC business should be able to gradually pick up.
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
18
2,000
OMS (L) CDS (L) ACI (L) LCR (L) OP margin (R)
15
1,500
10
1,000
500
-5
(Wbn, W, %p)
1Q12F 1Q 22.1 -8.6 -9.7 95.5 11.9 127.3 -45.6 80.6 TTB 31.0 4.1 -6.0 1.1 11.2 0.9 14.4 -9.8 0.1 -1.2 2Q -6.7 -1.6 -6.8 -8.5 -5.9 -15.8 48.0 -24.3 -26.1 -3.6 -1.0 3.0 -0.5 -1.0 0.1 -30.8 -46.7 -2.4 -3.8
19
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 17.3 6.0 1.8 7.8 4,504 13,055 44,474 750 0.0 1.0 6.7 -4.4 -35.6 -37.0 7.7 8.0 15.6 5.5 10.0 7.1 89.1 136.4 26.8 7.0 12/12F 16.3 7.9 2.1 9.5 6,180 12,695 47,596 800 13.0 0.8 11.8 4.2 48.3 37.2 5.9 7.1 15.1 6.6 13.2 11.1 117.5 154.0 27.7 13.4 12/13F 15.7 7.3 2.0 8.3 6,384 13,692 50,112 1,000 15.7 1.0 7.9 16.4 21.0 3.3 4.8 6.1 14.1 5.9 12.9 11.3 121.7 157.6 26.8 12.5 12/14F 14.9 6.4 1.9 7.5 6,735 15,802 52,771 1,300 19.3 1.3 7.4 16.2 8.5 5.5 4.8 6.1 14.1 5.7 12.9 10.4 132.0 161.2 32.6 12.8
20
Maintain Buy and a target price of W91,000 1Q12 Preview: Operating profit estimated at W30.8bn New compressor and graphene businesses
We maintain our Buy call on Samsung Techwin and our 12-month target price of W91,000. We arrived at our target price by applying a P/B of 2.8x (20% discount to the companys five-year average P/B of 3.5x; unchanged) to our 2012F BPS of W32,772 (under consolidated K-IFRS). The target price offers an upside of 40.9% from the current price. We project the companys 1Q12 revenues to come in at W632.2bn (down 22.8% QoQ and down 1.7% YoY). We estimate the companys 1Q12 operating profit at W30.8bn (swing to positive QoQ and up 1.7% YoY). We attribute the stronger-than-expected 1Q results to: 1) the companys 4Q inventory drawdowns and 2) margin improvements at the semiconductor component and semiconductor equipment divisions. Both of these divisions are likely to reach break-even points after incurring double-digit losses in 4Q11. It should be noted that Samsung Techwins margins appear to have normalized in 1Q. Margins at the security camera, defense, and power systems units are on the road to recovery. The companys 2011 earnings were sluggish due to massive upheaval (e.g., the arrival of a new CEO). However, with restructuring nearing completion, we believe that Samsung Techwin is turning around. Our optimism for Samsung Techwin shares is premised on our growing expectations for the companys new businesses (as well as near-term earnings improvements). The company recently took orders for 17 large compressors (for use in oil and gas production) from Saudi Aramco, the worlds largest oil producer. Given that the worlds compressor market is worth a whopping W23tr, this development appears meaningful. The outlook for Samsung Techwins graphene business is rosy. The Ministry of Knowledge Economy projects that the global market for graphene, which can be used to make flexible displays, semiconductor parts, and auto/aircraft parts, will surge to US$30bn in 2015 and US$600bn in 2030. However, it should take an extended period of time for the business to be actually launched. In addition, it is not certain which company in the Samsung Group will take charge of the business. However, in its peer group, Samsung Techwin is making the quickest progress in the segment (e.g., construction of a test production pilot line). Earnings & Valuation Metrics
FY 12/10 12/11 12/12F 12/13F 12/14F Revenues OP OP Margin NP EPS EBITDA FCF ROE P/E (Wbn) (Wbn) (%) (Wbn) (Won) (Wbn) (Wbn) (%) (x) 2,924 228 7.8 233 4,394 310 -11 19.9 23.6 2,948 251 8.5 230 4,319 188 41 15.9 12.3 3,060 161 5.3 180 3,395 241 70 10.2 19.0 3,525 208 5.9 225 4,239 291 92 10.8 15.2 4,009 260 6.5 279 5,256 347 102 11.5 12.3 P/B EV/EBITDA (x) (x) 5.3 20.4 2.0 19.0 2.0 17.3 1.7 14.2 1.4 11.8
1M -6.0 -5.2
6M 10.2 0.1
Share price 140 120 100 80 60 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSPI
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
21
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F YoY QoQ 2.4 -11.4 -27.2 -5.0 14.3 -1.7 -13.0 RR TTR -25.3 9.2 1.7 -1.4 11.9 -8.8 -1.4 -0.3 0.2 -9.5 -12.5 -0.6 -0.7 -5.0 3.4 20.0 -31.9 -39.0 -22.8 142.1 RR RR -27.0 -49.2 TTB 4.8 43.0 22.0 0.4 -1.3 5.2 TTB 163.4 6.8 4.2
Revenues
Operating profit
Pretax profit Net profit Pretax profit margin Net profit margin
Note 1: SIS = Security & Image Solution, DIS = Digital & IT Solution, IMS = Intelligent Machinery & Solution * IT Solution discontinued its camera module business on June 30th Note 2: 2Q Operating profit included W156bn related to the companys Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) shares (W64.7bn on the sale of some shares; a valuation gain of W91.3bn on the remaining stake). Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
22
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 12.3 8.6 2.0 19.0 4,319 6,200 26,708 500 0.0 0.9 0.8 -39.3 10.0 -1.7 6.1 6.9 14.0 7.6 15.9 6.0 96.5 129.2 36.9 6.9 12/12F 19.0 13.2 2.0 17.3 3,395 4,884 32,772 600 17.7 0.9 3.8 27.8 -35.6 -21.4 5.6 7.2 15.6 5.3 10.2 10.5 86.1 139.0 28.5 4.6 12/13F 15.2 11.1 1.7 14.2 4,239 5,802 39,058 700 16.5 1.1 15.2 20.9 28.7 24.8 5.9 7.6 16.5 5.9 10.8 12.6 82.1 153.6 22.9 5.6 12/14F 12.3 9.4 1.4 11.8 5,256 6,904 46,240 800 15.2 1.2 13.7 19.4 25.0 24.0 6.0 7.7 16.6 6.4 11.5 14.5 79.0 166.0 18.3 6.2
23
LS (006260 KS)
Buy (Maintain)
Target Price (12M, W) 110,000 Share Price (04/13/12, W) 75,400 Expected Return (%) 45.9 EPS Growth (12F, %) 138.5 Market EPS Growth (12F, %) 19.2 P/E (12F, x) 8.7 Market P/E (12F, x) 9.8 KOSPI 2,008.91 Market Cap (Wbn) 2,428 Shares Outstanding (mn) 32 Avg Trading Volume (60D, '000) 133 Avg Trading Value (60D, Wbn) 11 Dividend Yield (12F, %) 1.8 Free Float (%) 52.8 52-Week Low (W) 66,100 52-Week High (W) 128,500 Beta (12M, Daily Rate of Return) 1.0 Price Return Volatility (12M Daily, %, SD) 2.4 Foreign Ownership (%) 14.9 Major Shareholder(s) Zayul Koo et al. (33.43%) LS Treasury Stock et al. (13.77%) NPS (9.28%) Price Performance (%) 1M 6M 12M Absolute -11.6 0.4 -32.4 Relative -10.8 -9.8 -27.1
Maintain Buy with a target price of W110,000 1Q12 Preview: Revising up operating profit estimate by 3.2% to W135.6bn Recovery of LS Cable & System provides a major tailwind
We maintain our Buy call on LS with a target price of W110,000, which was derived by applying a P/E of 12.9x (the average of the companys pre-holding 2009 P/E and post-holding 2010 P/E) to our consolidated K-IFRS 2012F EPS of W8,535. Of note, the average 2012F P/E of global cable companies is 12.4x. Our target price implies an upside of 45.9%. We forecast 1Q consolidated IFRS revenues of W3.0bn (down 3.5% YoY; up 1.8% QoQ). We revised up our 1Q operating profit estimate by 3.2% to W135.6bn (down 13.8% YoY; down 14.9% QoQ) from W131.4bn. Going forward, we expect quarterly operating profit to remain stable at around W150bn. The key strength of LS lies in its healthy subsidiaries, which tend to pick up the slack for one another. In particular, LS-Nikko Copper is expected to show strong earnings growth in 2012 thanks to rising by-product prices (e.g., sulfuric acid, gold, silver, and rare metals). In particular, sulfuric acid prices soared 136.4% in 2011. Also, LS Mtrons machine sales (e.g., tractors and auto-use injection molding machines) remain robust, and connector and copper foil sales are likely to recover. Most importantly, the companys earnings seem dependent on the recovery of LS Cable & System (a key subsidiary). In 2011, the subsidiary was hurt by declines in high-margin orders (in the wake of the political turmoil in the Middle East) and oneoff expenses (penalties and losses from a submarine cable accident). The cable accident alone added W70.7bn to expenses as of 4Q11. However, in 2012, LS Cable & Systems earnings are likely to recover on normalizing Middle Eastern orders (orders from Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Qatar have been gaining momentum) and the projected earnings pickup at its subsidiaries (US-based SPSX has been displaying stronger growth at its communications cable unit). Still, it appears as though a 1Q earnings recovery will be needed to dispel the concerns surrounding the company. We advise investors to keep tabs on the companys 1Q performance.
Share price 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSPI
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
24
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change 1.8 -14.9 -20.2 -12.1 -12.1 -0.9 -0.8 -0.3 3,008.0 131.4 77.9 58.9 1,829 4.4 2.6 2.0 0.0 3.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 0.1 0.2 0.2
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F -3.6 9.8 11.0 12.2 10.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 2014F -3.0 10.5 12.1 17.3 15.8 0.6 0.4 0.4
Revenues 12,385 13,359 14,636 Operating profit 337 520 582 Pretax profit 99 335 390 Net profit 116 257 292 EPS 3,606 7,983 9,063 OP margin 2.7 3.9 4.0 Pretax margin 0.8 2.5 2.7 Net margin 0.9 1.9 2.0 Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research
25
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 20.8 6.1 1.5 13.6 3,653 12,434 51,307 1,250 0.0 1.6 -27.3 -45.6 -43.7 -53.2 4.9 5.5 7.8 1.1 5.7 2.0 257.4 127.6 150.2 1.5 12/12F 8.7 4.7 1.3 8.6 8,715 16,192 60,253 1,350 13.4 1.8 4.2 51.0 69.1 138.5 4.9 9.2 7.8 2.8 11.7 7.4 236.9 132.6 126.4 2.5 12/13F 7.4 4.3 1.1 7.9 10,173 17,732 69,521 1,450 12.3 1.9 9.6 8.6 11.8 16.7 4.9 10.0 7.8 3.1 12.1 8.1 227.6 142.0 114.8 2.7 12/14F 6.2 3.8 0.9 7.2 12,128 19,792 80,684 1,550 11.0 2.1 12.1 10.8 14.4 19.2 5.0 10.1 7.9 3.5 12.9 8.9 216.6 149.6 104.3 2.9
26
Maintain Buy with a target price of W130,000 Likely to post record revenues and revert to operating profit (W22.4bn) in 1Q Earnings to be driven by camera modules in 1H and LEDs in 2H
We maintain our Buy call on LG Innotek with a target price of W130,000, which is based on a 2012F P/B of 2.1x (consolidated K-IFRS). Our target price also corresponds to a 2012F P/E of 33.3x (EPS of W3,900) and a 2013F P/E of 17.1x (EPS of W7,591). Although our valuation may not appear conservative, we believe that momentum from LG Innoteks earnings turnaround should be taken into account. Indeed, after bottoming in 4Q11, the companys earnings should improve through 3Q12 and the pace of the turnaround seems to be faster than expected. We believe LG Innoteks earnings have been improving at a rapid pace. For 1Q, we expect record-high revenues of W1.29tr (up 6.2% QoQ; up 17.2% YoY), aided by strong sales of camera modules (up 40.0% YoY), automotive parts (up 68.0% YoY), and touch windows (up 159.7% YoY). In particular, camera module sales are forecast to stay robust going forward, as the companys top customer rolled out a new tablet PC model and is expected to release a new smartphone model in June. Another positive is the expected improvement in margins. After posting an operating loss of W60bn in 4Q11, we expect LG Innotek to swing to an operating profit of W22.4bn in 1Q. Margin improvement should be attributable to: 1) the camera module units higher OP margin (up 3.1%p YoY) and 2) smaller losses at the LED unit. While LG Innoteks earnings are likely to be driven by the strength of its camera module business in 1H, the LED business is forecast to become an earnings driver in 2H. The LED units cost structure is anticipated to improve. In early 2011, LG Innotek signed a contract under which it agreed to purchase 6-inch sapphire substrates at over US$400/unit. The 6-inch sapphire substrate price subsequently dropped by more than 40% last year. However, this contract expired at end-4Q. The end of inventory drawdowns in late 2011 should also have a positive impact. We expect the companys LED business to turn to profit in 3Q, but an earlier recovery is also possible.
6M 30.6 20.4
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
27
(Wbn, %, W)
Est. Diff.
63.5 55.1 53.5 56.2 228.3 59.1 57.0 55.4 57.9 229.4 106.7 109.0 111.4 116.1 443.2 107.0 120.8 123.3 130.4 481.5 316.4 289.4 227.8 382.4 1,216.0 443.0 445.7 542.2 412.2 1,843.0 203.3 272.8 248.9 180.9 905.9 193.0 236.7 279.9 248.8 958.5 87.2 89.8 85.3 90.2 352.5 92.1 94.9 89.4 97.9 374.2 40.2 43.4 38.7 34.6 156.9 43.5 47.0 41.9 37.5 170.0 30.2 34.2 41.0 50.0 155.4 50.7 53.9 60.3 63.0 227.9 39.1 46.1 32.0 36.4 153.6 39.2 46.2 32.1 36.5 154.0 20.8 23.6 22.6 18.1 85.1 21.8 24.8 23.7 19.0 89.3 50.9 47.2 42.6 43.1 183.8 50.8 51.6 56.7 45.0 204.0 100.0 101.6 95.7 96.2 393.5 100.0 123.4 134.7 116.2 474.4 25.1 27.3 28.4 33.0 113.8 30.7 20.8 34.7 36.4 122.6 23.9 46.3 40.9 69.2 180.3 62.1 81.8 55.0 65.1 264.0 -8.0 -14.6 -1.7 7.2 -17.1 -4.3 -3.3 -0.5 -0.2 -8.4 1,099.3 1,171.2 1,067.1 1,213.6 4,551.2 1,288.7 1,401.2 1,528.7 1,365.7 5,584.3 -7.4 5.9 -5.4 -60.0 -66.9 22.4 39.4 59.4 48.9 170.0 -0.7 0.5 -0.5 -4.9 -1.5 1.7 2.8 3.9 3.6 3.0 -26.7 -15.2 -43.3 -89.3 -174.5 1.1 15.7 38.7 23.2 78.6 -9.5 -7.0 -35.6 -93.3 -145.3 1.1 15.7 38.7 23.2 78.6 -2.4 -1.3 -4.1 -7.4 -3.8 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.7 1.4 -0.9 -0.6 -3.3 -7.7 -3.2 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.7 1.4
5.1 63.5 55.1 -7.8 106.7 109.0 15.8 316.4 289.4 6.7 203.3 272.8 2.1 87.2 89.8 25.7 40.2 43.4 1.5 30.2 34.2 7.7 39.1 46.1 20.7 20.8 23.6 17.8 50.9 47.2 4.0 100.0 101.6 -7.0 25.1 27.3 -10.3 23.9 46.3 RR -8.0 -14.6 6.2 1,099.3 1,171.2 TTB -7.4 5.9 6.7 -0.7 0.5 TTB -26.7 -15.2 TTB -9.5 -7.0 7.4 -2.4 -1.3 7.8 -0.9 -0.6
28
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 5.0 1.2 8.5 -7,211 13,564 59,180 0 0.0 0.0 11.0 -13.9 TTR TTR 5.7 12.3 9.9 -3.4 -10.4 -1.5 232.9 117.8 134.2 -0.7 12/12F 23.7 4.0 1.5 6.9 3,900 23,337 62,166 0 0.0 0.0 22.7 49.5 TTB TTB 6.1 14.0 10.6 1.7 5.7 5.5 236.1 125.5 134.8 1.6 12/13F 12.2 3.3 1.3 5.8 7,591 28,500 69,045 50 0.7 0.1 7.8 22.9 58.1 94.6 5.7 13.6 10.3 3.1 10.2 7.2 216.6 121.3 126.3 2.4 12/14F 9.1 2.9 1.2 5.1 10,158 32,527 78,614 100 1.0 0.1 7.7 13.7 24.3 33.8 5.6 13.5 10.3 4.0 12.2 8.2 198.5 128.8 108.9 3.0
29
Maintain Buy with a target price of W17,900 Operating profit forecast to reach W11.2bn in 1Q and an all-time high of W14.4bn in 2Q12 We believe that Patron should focus on top-line growth over margins for now
We reiterate our Buy call on Patron with a target price of W17,900, which was derived by applying a P/E of 11.9x to our 2012F EPS of W1,503 (up from W1,492). We believe the stock merits a premium, given that 1) Patron is expected to display strong 2012F EPS growth (39.0%) relative to its peers and 2) the company has continued to post record-breaking earnings. Our target price implies an upside potential of 45.5% from the current share price. We expect 1Q revenues to reach an all-time high of W133.9bn (up 152.1% YoY), breaking the previous record made in 4Q11. After posting roughly W50bn in 1Q10, the company has been setting record quarterly revenues (over W70bn in 2Q11 and W100bn in 3Q11). Such remarkable top-line growth has been driven by robust sales of the Galaxy S2 and the Galaxy Note (for which Partron supplies camera modules, DMB antennae, and GPS antennae). We revised up our original 1Q revenue estimates (W125.9bn) by 6.4%.
6M -1.2 -11.4
We forecast 1Q operating profit of W11.2bn (up 101.5% YoY) and an OP margin of 8.3% (down 2.1%p YoY). We attribute such margin contraction to growing downward pricing pressures and an increase in the sales contribution of lowmargin camera modules. We expect 2Q operating profits to set a record high of W14.4bn on a combination of continued top-line growth and an OP margin improvement. It should be noted that OP margin has already fallen to the level of the firms camera module business. Partron has displayed the most rapid growth among its peer group and is likely to continue growth going forward, fueled by 1) its top customers growing smartphone sales and 2) a potential boost from tablet PC sales (Partron is supplying or is likely to supply parts for Galaxy Tab models). Although Partrons deteriorating margins remain worrisome, it is difficult for the company to achieve both top-line and bottom-line growth at this point. Given that achieving economies of scale is an important competitive advantage for parts makers, we believe that Patron should focus on top-line growth over margins for now.
Share price 140 120 100 80 60 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSDAQ
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
30
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change 10.3 9.2 3.8 5.2 5.2 -0.1 -0.5 -0.3 125.9 10.7 10.7 9.1 305 8.5 8.5 7.2 6.4 4.0 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -0.2 -0.7 -0.6
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F 1.2 0.9 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 2014F 1.8 1.5 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 0.0 -0.3 -0.2
Revenues 359.9 545.6 Operating profit 37.5 52.1 Pretax profit 37.4 52.4 Net profit 32.3 44.6 EPS 1,081 1,492 OP margin 10.4 9.5 Pretax margin 10.4 9.6 Net margin 9.0 8.2 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
31
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
2012F 2QF 3QF 8.6 13.3 0.8 22.7 6.9 1.0 3.8 104.2 7.4 145.9 5.9 9.1 0.5 15.5 4.7 0.7 2.6 71.4 5.1 100.0 19.0 0.5 -25.7 5.5 29.8 -24.0 37.0 141.2 94.9 87.4 11.5 7.9 11.6 7.9 9.2 6.3 10.7 14.6 0.9 26.2 9.3 0.6 2.0 104.9 9.0 152.0 7.0 9.6 0.6 17.2 6.1 0.4 1.3 69.0 5.9 100.0 17.8 25.3 -17.5 20.1 43.4 -54.7 20.9 46.0 107.5 41.4 16.9 11.1 17.0 11.2 13.5 8.9 4QF 9.2 12.1 0.7 22.0 8.2 1.6 1.6 92.7 10.7 136.8 6.7 8.8 0.5 16.1 6.0 1.2 1.2 67.7 7.9 100.0 1.5 -2.4 -20.2 -1.5 25.4 0.0 9.0 10.0 105.1 12.7 13.3 9.8 13.7 10.0 10.8 7.9
Crystal oscillator Dielectric filter Isolator Camera module RF module/optical mouse Total Revenues contribution (%, %p) Chip Antenna Antenna GPS Subtotal Crystal oscillator Dielectric filter Isolator Camera module RF module/optical mouse Total YoY Chip Antenna Antenna GPS Subtotal Crystal oscillator Dielectric filter Isolator Camera module RF module/optical mouse Total Operating profit OP margin Pretax profit Pretax margin Net profit Net margin
32
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 13.4 12.0 2.9 11.3 1,081 1,202 5,063 200 0.0 1.4 54.7 5.0 3.5 36.5 7.6 13.4 9.5 15.1 24.0 52.7 72.5 112.8 17.8 57.5 12/12F 8.2 7.5 1.9 6.8 1,503 1,638 6,625 250 16.5 2.0 58.0 42.2 44.1 39.0 8.6 16.4 10.0 15.3 25.5 57.8 61.2 119.2 13.0 40.7 12/13F 7.2 6.5 1.5 6.1 1,718 1,887 8,152 300 17.3 2.4 7.8 13.6 12.7 14.3 8.2 15.7 9.5 14.7 23.1 53.3 54.8 119.7 12.5 43.5 12/14F 6.3 5.7 1.3 5.4 1,942 2,156 9,852 350 17.9 2.9 11.3 14.2 13.2 13.0 8.2 15.6 9.5 14.1 21.5 48.9 51.1 123.4 12.1 43.9
33
Trim 12-month target price by 16.1% to W22,900; Maintain Buy rating 1Q12 Preview: Operating profit of W5.6bn Earnings to continue to improve
We maintain our Buy call on Intops, but lower our 12-month target price from W26,800 to W22,900. We derived the target price by applying a P/E of 9.0x (raised from 7x in reflection of market share gains) to our 2012F EPS of W2,545 (lowered from W3,840 in light of profitability deterioration and a reduction in equity-method gains). Our target price represents an upside potential of 33.9% from the current price. The stock, currently trading at a 2012F P/E of 6.4x, seems deeply undervalued in light of the following: 1) Earnings are improving sharply in line with robust smartphone sales by its largest customer; 2) Intops will be able to maintain its market share (within its largest customer) for a prolonged period of time on enhanced competitiveness; and 3) the companys 2012F EPS growth is strong (22.6%). We expect Intops to deliver 1Q revenues of W109.8bn (up 23.3% YoY; down 0.5% QoQ), exceeding the W100bn mark for the fourth straight quarter. Operating profit is forecast at W5.6bn, up 5.0% YoY. Intops continues to strengthen its position as a major supplier to its largest customer. Since 2H10, the release of smartphones by its largest customer has driven the ongoing rapid improvement in Intops earnings and profitability, with revenues doubling from W50bn to W100bn (OP margin of roughly 6%). Handset case earnings tend to fluctuate widely depending on sales volume (because of the large share of fixed costs in total production costs). Intops largest customer claimed the top spot in the global smartphone market in 3Q11, and now appears to have overtaken Nokia as the worlds top handset maker, ending Nokias 14-year dominance. As Intops is very likely to remain the core supplier for the new models to be released by its largest customer, the companys earnings should continue to grow for the time being. However, Intops is increasingly facing obstacles related to transactions with its largest customer, such as downward pricing pressure and limits on market share, which should weigh on the companys stock price.
Share price 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSDAQ
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
34
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change -0.5 528.8 -323.9 -319.6 -319.6 4.3 8.3 6.3 92.4 4.7 6.1 4.4 516 6.4 8.1 6.1 18.8 18.8 4.4 7.2 7.2 -1.3 -2.3 -1.7
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F 2.0 -4.7 -33.0 -27.6 -27.6 -0.4 -3.9 -2.3 2014F -0.1 -6.6 -32.0 -20.6 -20.6 -0.4 -3.6 -1.5
Revenues 409.5 415.1 Operating profit 19.8 24.7 Pretax profit 23.5 45.2 Net profit 17.8 33.0 EPS 2,070 3,840 OP margin 4.8 6.0 Pretax margin 5.7 10.9 Net margin 4.3 8.0 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
35
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 9.3 7.5 0.6 4.0 2,070 2,573 31,651 580 0.0 3.0 29.3 25.9 26.3 -9.3 15.3 62.6 9.9 4.9 6.7 23.3 35.4 194.4 -23.3 17.9 12/12F 6.7 5.8 0.5 2.3 2,545 2,949 33,781 430 16.9 2.5 3.8 3.5 16.7 22.9 15.1 78.4 14.3 5.7 7.7 27.6 35.1 224.9 -30.4 18.8 12/13F 6.2 5.4 0.5 1.5 2,779 3,183 35,715 480 17.3 2.8 1.6 3.5 4.0 9.2 14.0 68.5 13.3 5.8 8.0 28.2 37.6 246.6 -36.2 19.6 12/14F 5.6 5.0 0.5 0.6 3,050 3,453 37,869 530 17.4 3.1 5.0 4.4 5.0 9.7 13.6 63.5 12.9 6.0 8.3 29.1 38.3 272.5 -41.9 20.6
36
Lower 12-month target price to W26,000; Maintain Trading Buy rating 1Q12 Preview: Operating profit appears sluggish Short-term earnings are negative, but bright LED lighting market outlook and patent assets should boost competitiveness
We maintain our Trading Buy rating on Seoul Semiconductor (SSC), but cut our 12month target price from W31,000 to W26,000. In calculating our target price, we applied a P/B multiple of 2.4x (2012F BPS of W10,874), which is roughly a 10% discount to the five-year average low P/B of 2.7x. SSCs shares have been underperforming the market due to disappointing earnings. We estimate that 1Q revenues have reached a disappointing W168.8bn (under K-IFRS). The sluggish performance (down 18.6% YoY) should be attributable to flagging TV BLU revenues and weak seasonal demand. Operating profit is estimated to have hit W3.2bn, swinging to a positive territory QoQ, but falling 77.4% YoY. The contraction should be mainly due to higher fixed costs caused by revenue declines. Fortunately, the worst seems to be over for SSC. We advise investors to start taking an interest in the stock in light of the following:
6M 3.8 -6.4
1) Earnings are turning around: Capacity utilization is increasing at both SSC and its subsidiary Seoul Optodevice. In the LED industry, higher capacity utilization directly leads to profitability improvement. 2) The LED market outlook is brightening: SSC is the developer of Acrich, the worlds first semiconductor light source that operates directly from AC power without a converter. Despite the ongoing economic downturn around the globe, demand for energy-efficient LED lighting should only grow. 3) The company has strong patent assets: SSCs patents should help keep the competition in check when the lighting market expands sharply. Thus, we may revisit our rating on the company after 1Q earnings are released, in consideration of how well the lighting industry is faring.
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
37
200
10
100
-10
(Wbn, %,%p)
YoY 1Q12F QoQ 6.9 TTB TTB TTB TTB 6.9 9.6 8.9
38
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 35.4 18.9 2.1 23.6 593 1,112 9,974 119 0.0 0.6 -11.9 -61.3 -72.3 -63.2 4.6 8.4 17.6 4.2 5.9 5.0 44.3 257.2 10.5 5.7 12/12F 24.7 15.1 2.1 16.1 931 1,524 10,874 200 21.5 0.9 8.8 60.3 74.4 56.8 4.7 9.9 19.0 5.7 8.5 8.7 53.3 317.9 10.3 7.1 12/13F 16.9 11.8 1.9 12.7 1,359 1,957 12,016 250 18.4 1.1 17.9 27.6 44.9 46.0 4.6 9.6 17.7 7.5 11.4 11.1 51.2 352.1 11.1 8.6 12/14F 13.5 10.0 1.7 10.6 1,703 2,301 13,459 300 17.6 1.3 16.3 19.1 27.8 25.4 4.5 9.5 17.4 8.5 12.8 12.6 51.4 415.2 8.4 10.6
39
Lower target price to W8,300; Maintain Trading Buy 1Q12 Preview: Operating profit to remain weak (W500mn) Earnings are likely to recover, but at a slow pace
We maintain our Trading Buy rating on KH Vatec, but lower our target price from W12,300 to W8,300. We arrived at our target price by applying a P/E of 8x (down from 9x to reflect sluggish earnings) to our 2012F consolidated K-IFRS-based EPS of W1,045 (down from W1,372). Our target price implies upside potential of 10.5% from the current share price. We revised down our initial projections for KH Vatecs 1Q revenues and operating profit by 2.8% (from W73.2bn) and 73.1% (from W2bn), respectively. We estimate that that the company will deliver 1Q consolidated K-IFRS-based revenues of W71.1bn (down 31.3% YoY; down 14.6% QoQ) and an operating profit of W500mn (down 96.2% YoY; down 57.9% QoQ). The sluggish result is largely attributable to flagging module sales to Nokia. Historically, module sales to Nokia have had a significant impact on KH Vatecs earnings. When KH Vatec generated strong earnings, module sales to Nokia accounted for over 50% of revenues. However, the proportion has plummeted to less than 10% in 4Q (vs. 53% in 2010). To offset its weak sales to Nokia, the company has focused on diversifying its customer base since late-2010. However, it has not yet seen any tangible results, as the number of products adopting modules is decreasing due to tepid IT demand and the proliferation of smartphones. We expect that KH Vatecs earnings will improve gradually starting in 3Q, as: 1) magnesium product sales to Samsung Electronics are growing steadily, and 2) the company is likely to supply tablet PC-use parts to a US e-book store starting in the quarter. Nevertheless, profitability improvement may be slower than anticipated, as the companys proportion of module sales is unlikely to increase. We believe that KH Vatecs share price, currently trading at a 2012F P/B of 0.6x (based on a BPS of W12,914), is unlikely to decline sharply.
6M -7.3 -17.5
Note: All figures are based on consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
40
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change -14.6 -57.9 -35.6 TTB TTB -0.8 -0.1 0.6 73.2 2.0 1.5 1.2 72 2.8 2.1 1.6 -2.8 -73.1 -92.8 -90.9 -90.9 -2.0 -1.9 -1.4
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F -8.0 -20.4 -37.5 -22.5 -22.5 -0.9 -2.7 -1.0 2014F -8.6 -19.0 -33.2 -18.9 -18.9 -0.8 -2.4 -0.8
Revenues 351.1 371.5 Operating profit 23.6 20.7 Pretax profit 18.1 29.3 Net profit 13.1 22.0 EPS 811 1,372 OP margin 12.0 5.6 Pretax margin 10.2 7.9 Net margin 7.7 5.9 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
41
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 13.9 6.5 0.7 7.6 624 1,330 11,838 0 0.0 0.0 -10.0 -37.0 -33.7 -23.0 6.4 8.5 7.2 3.1 5.4 3.9 87.2 143.4 11.3 6.6 12/12F 7.2 4.7 0.6 5.4 1,045 1,616 12,914 50 4.6 0.7 9.2 22.3 9.2 67.4 5.4 7.7 7.5 4.4 8.2 7.3 86.4 152.1 9.4 5.9 12/13F 5.9 4.0 0.5 4.5 1,277 1,884 14,197 100 7.6 1.3 10.8 18.7 25.4 22.1 5.4 7.8 7.6 4.9 9.0 8.4 83.7 159.2 6.9 6.9 12/14F 4.7 3.4 0.5 3.6 1,602 2,240 15,777 150 9.1 2.0 11.0 21.4 28.7 25.5 5.5 7.9 7.6 5.6 10.2 9.9 79.7 166.5 3.6 8.6
42
Upgrade from Hold to Trading Buy and present a 12-month target price of W5,600 Earnings are gradually improving on solid CMF sales The smart motor business needs to take off for additional growth
We upgrade our rating on Amotech from Hold to Trading Buy and present a 12month target price of W5,600. Our target price was derived by applying a P/E of 11x to our 2012F EPS of W518 (non-consolidated K-IFRS). The companys shares are trading at a 2012F P/E of 9.5x and a 2013F P/E of 6.2x. Notably, it is positive for the shares that the company is turning around after posting losses in 2011. In 1Q, revenues are expected to rise by 22.0% YoY to W24.7bn, while operating profit is projected to soar by 738.1% YoY to W1bn. Although OP margin is anticipated to rise by 3.3%p YoY to 3.9%, profitability has not fully recovered yet. We raised our previous revenues and operating profit forecasts by 5.7% and 31.2%, respectively. Our investment recommendation is premised on the following: 1) Amotech is expected to benefit from the proliferation of smartphones. The company produces CMF (common mode filter), which mutes the noise created from the use of high-speed data in smartphones. The application of such products is expanding on the increasing sophistication of smartphones. The companys laminated CMF product has the added advantages of being small in scale (enabling the miniaturization of devices) and competitive in price. In addition, sales of the companys NFC (near field communication) antennas are also increasing, as they have been adopted in Samsung Electronics (SEC) flagship smartphone model. The NFC antennas are highly likely to be used in SECs next generation model. 2) The growth of the smart motor business, the companys next-generation growth engine, is materializing. Sales of washing-machine-use brushless DC (BLDC) motors are expected to increase, as the company began to supply to Haier (China) from 2007, and a Korean company and Whirlpool (Germany) from 2010. Car motors are also highly anticipated, as they are essential for hybrid and electric vehicles. The car motor business will likely boost the companys earnings going forward. One risk facing the company is the annual interest expense of W1bn related to the debt arising from the establishment of a subsidiary.
1M 0.0 0.8
6M 52.7 42.6
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
43
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 -28.9 -41.9 -36.1 -28.9 -41.9 -36.1 -28.9 -41.9 -3.4 2.6 2.6 -3.4 2.6 2.6 -3.4 2.6
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F 9.8 31.1 19.3 52.9 52.9 1.2 0.5 1.6 2014F 8.0 25.4 11.9 36.3 36.3 1.2 0.3 1.5
Revenues 93.3 108.4 Operating profit 2.3 5.7 Pretax profit -3.0 3.7 Net profit -1.9 2.9 EPS -198 297 OP margin 2.5 5.3 Pretax margin -3.2 3.4 Net margin -2.1 2.7 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
44
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 3.1 0.4 8.7 -198 1,162 9,884 0 0.0 0.0 2.7 -11.3 -59.7 TTR 4.6 4.4 15.1 -0.9 -1.9 1.8 119.4 67.5 90.0 0.5 12/12F 9.7 2.7 0.5 7.6 518 1,890 10,054 0 0.0 0.0 26.3 34.3 226.8 TTB 4.9 4.3 15.9 2.0 4.6 4.8 128.3 76.3 96.0 1.5 12/13F 6.3 2.2 0.5 6.8 794 2,256 10,533 0 0.0 0.0 13.9 14.9 29.5 53.3 4.8 4.3 15.7 2.9 6.7 5.8 133.1 87.4 95.2 1.7 12/14F 4.4 1.9 0.4 5.9 1,131 2,677 11,375 0 0.0 0.0 11.3 16.8 32.7 42.5 4.9 4.3 15.9 3.9 9.0 6.9 130.9 96.9 89.6 2.2
45
Maintain Hold 1Q12 Preview: Operating loss likely for the sixth consecutive quarter Likely to swing to operating profit in 2Q; Earnings to recover full swing from 2H
We maintain our Hold rating for Telechips. The companys shares appear undervalued, considering: 1) they are trading at a 2012F P/B of only 0.7x (BPS of W7,962), and 2) the companys cash and cash equivalents stand at W45bn. However, it is negative that the company generated an operating loss for the fifth consecutive quarter in 4Q and is forecast to remain in the red in 1Q. In 1Q, revenues are forecast to decline 11.3% QoQ to W17.7bn due to unfavorable seasonality. Operating loss is projected to decline YoY and QoQ to W800mn, which is attributable to 1) a decrease in the top line and 2) a deteriorating cost structure. Despite increased R&D related to application processors (AP), sales have yet to show a meaningful improvement. Due to increased R&D costs, the companys COGS-to-revenues ratio rose QoQ, while SG&A expenses also surged QoQ. Moreover, Telechips is no longer eligible for tax credits as the company has failed to return to black. This negatively affected the companys net profit. However, earnings are expected to improve from 2Q, backed by an increase in set-top box (STB) and Dongle chip sales. Orders for chipsets appear to be expanding. Furthermore, car chips sales are steadily growing. Typically, it takes some time to enter the car chip market. However, once a company penetrates the market, it can post steady growth. Telechips reported car chip sales of W17.2bn in 2010 and W20.5bn in 2011. In 2012, car chip sales are forecast to expand by 35.1% YoY to W27.7bn. We maintain our Hold rating on Telechips, as the company is expected to record poor earnings. However, we will review our rating in light of the pace of earnings improvement in 2Q.
Share price 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSDAQ
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
46
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change -11.3 -70.9 -87.8 -88.0 -88.0 9.1 12.5 12.7 17.7 -0.8 -0.3 -0.3 -26 -4.4 -1.6 -1.6 0.0 0.8 26.0 26.0 26.0 0.0 -0.4 -0.4
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F 5.2 11.8 20.0 20.0 20.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 2014F 5.2 11.1 20.9 20.9 20.9 0.4 1.2 1.1
Revenues 72.0 87.1 Operating profit -4.7 3.4 Pretax profit -3.2 5.0 Net profit -3.3 5.0 EPS -310 476 OP margin -6.5 3.9 Pretax margin -4.4 5.8 Net margin -4.6 5.8 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
47
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 5.9 0.7 2.1 -316 820 7,450 80 0.0 1.7 -2.4 -22.5 TTR TTR 11.2 6.7 10.6 -3.0 -3.6 -14.0 23.1 611.0 -51.6 12/12F 9.9 3.8 0.7 1.8 584 1,513 7,962 100 14.6 1.7 26.9 88.1 TTB TTB 9.9 7.7 8.8 5.3 6.8 11.8 31.3 584.0 -51.6 12/13F 6.8 3.2 0.7 1.4 847 1,796 8,655 120 12.1 2.1 17.2 23.0 74.2 45.1 8.7 7.5 8.5 6.9 9.2 16.5 34.6 552.4 -51.9 12/14F 6.0 3.0 0.6 1.0 959 1,930 9,443 140 12.5 2.4 10.7 10.4 22.1 13.2 8.0 7.2 8.2 7.1 9.6 17.0 36.4 561.4 -54.8
48
Maintain Hold 1Q Preview: Largest customer has yet to place orders for new models; Projected to record an operating loss for the sixth consecutive quarter Conservative approach until the company receives new orders or secures new customers
We maintain our Hold rating on P&Tel. The stock is currently trading at a 2011F P/B of only 0.3x (BPS of W8,958) under non-consolidated IFRS. Even so, we remain neutral on the company in light of the large uncertainty over its earnings recovery, and a lack of growth momentum. We also considered the need to apply a discount to asset value, as the company has continued to post losses. In 1Q, P&Tel is anticipated to report revenues of W10.8bn (down 38.1% YoY) under non-consolidated IFRS, which is only 12.5% of the record-high quarterly revenues of W86.2bn recorded in 3Q09. The company is projected to post an operating loss (W2bn) for the sixth consecutive quarter due to the sharp top line contraction. Earnings are unlikely to improve for the time being, given the failure to secure orders for new models from its largest customer, as well as a delay in securing new customers. P&Tel was a major vendor to its largest customer, satisfying at least 25% of the customers handset case requirements. We expected P&Tel to turn around in 2011, as its largest customer, building on the success of its Galaxy 2 model, was very likely to expand its smartphone business aggressively. P&Tel also played a part in the customers technological development. The companys largest customer is showing strong growth as expected. However, P&Tel has not received orders for new models. As such, we believe that investors should take a conservative approach until the company receives orders for new smartphone models from the largest customer or attracts new customers.
6M -24.7 -34.9
Share price 140 120 100 80 60 40 4/11 8/11 12/11 4/12 KOSDAQ
Note: All figures are based on non-consolidated K-IFRS; NP refers to net profit attributable to controlling interests Source: Company data, KDB Daewoo Securities Research estimates
49
(Wbn, %)
1Q12F QoQ Previous Change 2.7 RR RR RR RR 29.6 128.5 109.9 10.8 -1.2 -0.3 -0.3 -18 -11.1 -2.9 -2.9 0.0 RR RR RR RR -7.3 -5.7 -5.7
(Wbn, W, %, %p)
% Diff. 2013F 3.6 -32.7 -12.8 -12.8 -12.8 -1.3 -1.4 -1.4 2014F 8.2 10.3 13.0 13.0 13.0 0.1 0.4 0.4
Revenues 53.8 55.9 Operating profit -15.6 -1.9 Pretax profit -22.6 1.5 Net profit -19.4 1.5 EPS -1,156 88 OP margin -28.9 -3.4 Pretax margin -41.9 2.6 Net margin -36.1 2.6 Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research
50
Forecasts/Valuations (Summarized)
P/E (x) P/CF (x) P/B (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EPS (W) CFPS (W) BPS (W) DPS (W) Payout ratio (%) Dividend Yield (%) Revenue Growth (%) EBITDA Growth (%) Operating Profit Growth (%) EPS Growth (%) Accounts Receivable Turnover (x) Inventory Turnover (x) Accounts Payable Turnover (x) ROA (%) ROE (%) ROIC (%) Liability to Equity Ratio (%) Current Ratio (%) Net Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 12/11 12/12F 12/13F 12/14F 8.4 6.1 -2.7 19.3 4.9 4.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.7 51.1 -10.4 -10.6 -1,156 -89 297 406 -930 129 511 622 8,947 8,958 9,356 9,863 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -69.7 3.9 19.3 15.7 TTR RR TTB 25.7 RR RR TTB 82.2 TTR RR TTB 36.7 8.2 9.5 8.2 7.6 36.2 44.0 37.6 34.8 10.6 12.2 10.4 9.6 -11.5 -0.9 3.0 3.9 -12.4 -1.0 3.2 4.2 -60.9 -14.7 4.9 8.5 5.9 7.2 8.9 9.2 1,437.9 1,213.5 1,026.2 1,053.6 -49.7 -54.8 -60.3 -66.4 -4,617.8 -3,699.4 1,294.3 2,358.0
51
Stock Ratings Buy Trading Buy Hold Sell Relative performance of 20% or greater Relative performance of 10% or greater, but with volatility Relative performance of -10% and 10% Relative performance of -10%
Industry Ratings Overweight Neutral Underweight Fundamentals are favorable or improving Fundamentals are steady without any material changes Fundamentals are unfavorable or worsening
* Ratings and Target Price History (Share price (----), Target price (----), Not covered (), Buy (), Trading Buy (), Hold (), Sell ()). * Our investment rating is a guide to the relative return of the stock versus the market over the next 12 months. * Although it is not part of the official ratings at Daewoo Securities, we may call a trading opportunity in case there is a technical or short-term material development. * The target price was determined by the research analyst through valuation methods discussed in this report, in part based on the analysts estimate of future earnings. The achievement of the target price may be impeded by risks related to the subject securities and companies, as well as general market and economic conditions.
(W) 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 LG Electronics (W) 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 Samsung Electro-Mechanics (W) 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 0 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 50,000 100,000 Samsung T echwin (W) 150,000 LS
LG Innotek
Partron
Intops
Seoul Semiconductor
10/10
4/11
10/11
4/12
4/10
10/10
4/11
10/11
4/12
4/10
10/10
4/11
10/11
4/12
4/10
10/10
4/11
10/11
4/12
KH VAT EC
Amotech
Telechips
P&Tel
4,000 2,000 0 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12 5,000 0 4/10 10/10 4/11 10/11 4/12
4/10
10/10
4/11
10/11
4/12
Analyst Certification The research analysts who prepared this report (the Analysts) are registered with the Korea Financial Investment Association and are subject to Korean securities regulations. They are neither registered as research analysts in any other jurisdiction nor subject to the laws and regulations thereof. Opinions expressed in this publication about the subject securities and companies accurately reflect the personal views of the Analysts primarily responsible for this report. Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. policy prohibits its Analysts and members of their households from owning securities of any company in the Analysts area of coverage, and the Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or advisory board member of the subject companies. Except as otherwise specified herein, the Analysts have not received any compensation or any other benefits from the subject companies in the past 12 months and have not been promised the same in connection with this report. No part of the compensation of the Analysts was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this report but, like all employees of Daewoo Securities, the Analysts receive compensation that is impacted by overall firm profitability, which includes revenues from, among other business units, the institutional equities, investment banking, proprietary trading and private client division. At the time of publication of this report, the Analysts do not know or have reason to know of any actual, material conflict of interest of the Analyst or Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. except as otherwise stated herein.
52
Disclaimers This report is published by Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. (Daewoo), a broker-dealer registered in the Republic of Korea and a member of the Korea Exchange. Information and opinions contained herein have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith, but such information has not been independently verified and Daewoo makes no guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein or of any translation into English from the Korean language. If this report is an English translation of a report prepared in the Korean language, the original Korean language report may have been made available to investors in advance of this report. Daewoo, its affiliates and their directors, officers, employees and agents do not accept any liability for any loss arising from the use hereof. This report is for general information purposes only and it is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to effect transactions in any securities or other financial instruments. The intended recipients of this report are sophisticated institutional investors who have substantial knowledge of the local business environment, its common practices, laws and accounting principles and no person whose receipt or use of this report would violate any laws and regulations or subject Daewoo and its affiliates to registration or licensing requirements in any jurisdiction should receive or make any use hereof. Information and opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice and no part of this document may be copied or reproduced in any manner or form or redistributed or published, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Daewoo. Daewoo, its affiliates and their directors, officers, employees and agents may have long or short positions in any of the subject securities at any time and may make a purchase or sale, or offer to make a purchase or sale, of any such securities or other financial instruments from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either as principals or agents. Daewoo and its affiliates may have had, or may be expecting to enter into, business relationships with the subject companies to provide investment banking, market-making or other financial services as are permitted under applicable laws and regulations. The price and value of the investments referred to in this report and the income from them may go down as well as up, and investors may realize losses on any investments. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Distribution United Kingdom: This report is being distributed by Daewoo Securities (Europe) Ltd. in the United Kingdom only to (i) investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the Order), and (ii) high net worth companies and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(A) to (E) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as Relevant Persons). This report is directed only at Relevant Persons. Any person who is not a Relevant Person should not act or rely on this report or any of its contents. United States: This report is distributed in the U.S. by Daewoo Securities (America) Inc., a member of FINRA/SIPC, and is only intended for major institutional investors as defined in Rule 15a-6(b)(4) under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All U.S. persons that receive this document by their acceptance thereof represent and warrant that they are a major institutional investor and have not received this report under any express or implied understanding that they will direct commission income to Daewoo or its affiliates. Any U.S. recipient of this document wishing to effect a transaction in any securities discussed herein should contact and place orders with Daewoo Securities (America) Inc., which accepts responsibility for the contents of this report in the U.S. The securities described in this report may not have been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and, in such case, may not be offered or sold in the U.S. or to U.S. persons absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements. Hong Kong: This document has been approved for distribution in Hong Kong by Daewoo Securities (Hong Kong) Ltd., which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission. The contents of this report have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in Hong Kong. This report is for distribution only to professional investors within the meaning of Part I of Schedule 1 to the Securities and Futures Ordinance of Hong Kong (Cap. 571, Laws of Hong Kong) and any rules made thereunder and may not be redistributed in whole or in part in Hong Kong to any person. All Other Jurisdictions: Customers in all other countries who wish to effect a transaction in any securities referenced in this report should contact Daewoo or its affiliates only if distribution to or use by such customer of this report would not violate applicable laws and regulations and not subject Daewoo and its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.
KDB Daewoo Securities International Network Daewoo Securities Co. Ltd. (Seoul) Head Office 31-3 Yeouido-dong, Yeongdeungpo-gu Seoul 150-716 Korea Tel: 82-2-768-3026 Daewoo Securities (Europe) Ltd. Tower 42, Level 41 25 Old Broad Street London EC2N 1HQ United Kingdom Tel: 44-20-7982-8016 Shanghai Representative Office Unit 13, 28th Floor, Hang Seng Bank Tower 1000 Lujiazui Ring Road Pudong New Area, Shanghai 200120 China Tel: 86-21-5013-6392 Daewoo Securities (Hong Kong) Ltd. Two International Finance Centre Suites 2005-2012 8 Finance Street, Central Hong Kong Tel: 85-2-2514-1304 Tokyo Representative Office 7th Floor, Yusen Building 2-3-2 Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo 100-0005 Japan Tel: 81-3- 3211-5511 Ho Chi Minh Representative Office Centec Tower 72-74 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai Street Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam Tel: 84-8-3910-6000 Daewoo Securities (America) Inc. 600 Lexington Avenue Suite 301 New York, NY 10022 United States Tel: 1-212-407-1022 Beijing Representative Office Suite 2602, Twin Towers (East) B-12 Jianguomenwai Avenue Chaoyang District, Beijing 100022 China Tel: 86-10-6567-9699
53