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New Issues Have More Subordination For Senior Notes And Higher Overcollateralization Ratios Higher OC Event Of Default Triggers Provide More Protection To Senior Noteholders Senior Noteholders Demand Higher Spreads, Lower Leverage, And Lower Manager Fees Reinvestment And Non-Call Periods Are Shorter, And Maturity Extensions Are Constrained Stricter Controls On Subordinate Note Cancellations EU Rules Regulate Investor Capital Requirements Limited Loan Finance Leads To More Senior Secured Bonds In Pools Optional Re-Pricing Of Notes Offers A Refinancing Alternative Eligibility Criteria Simplify The Asset Pool Sovereign Risk Concerns Limit Exposure To Certain Assets Single Currency Transactions Dominate Recent European CLOs
WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS.COM/RATINGSDIRECT JUNE 17, 2013 1
1145668 | 301674531
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In the year to June 7, six new European CLOs had priced: Cairn CLO III B.V. (Cairn), Dryden XXVII Euro CLO 2013 B.V. (Dryden), ALME Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd. (ALME), Grand Harbour I B.V. (Grand Harbour), Carlyle Global Market Strategies Euro CLO 2013-1 B.V. (Carlyle), and GOLDENTREE CREDIT OPPORTUNITIES EUROPEAN CLO 2013-1 B.V. (Goldentree). These transactions mark the first post-crisis revival in European arbitrage CLO issuance, a market that's been largely dormant for the past five years. In reviewing these transactions, several trends have emerged that differentiate them from their pre-crisis counterparts, and some of these trends follow the example of recent U.S. CLO issuance. For example, European CLO 2.0 transactions generally have higher levels of subordination, providing credit support to the most senior notes. They also contain provisions that, in our view, provide clarity with respect to certain issues and behaviors that arose during the financial crisis. What's more, there are a number of features that reflect the current regulatory and economic environment in Europe. These include the risk retention rules under Article 122a of the Capital Requirements Directive for credit institutions, treatment of sovereign risk, and the difficulties that collateral managers face due to the dearth of
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European loan finance. Below, we highlight 13 features that differentiate the European CLO 2.0 transactions from their predecessors and, where applicable, clarify our view or analysis in relation to these features. (For a comparison of the individual European CLOs issued this year, together with a high-level breakdown of European CLO 2.0, European CLO 1.0, and U.S. CLO 2.0 transactions, please see the Appendix.)
New Issues Have More Subordination For Senior Notes And Higher Overcollateralization Ratios
To date, the European CLO 2.0 transactions that we've rated have simpler structures. They have mostly issued term debt in a single currency, and a sequential payment structure with no turbo feature and no combination notes. They also have higher credit enhancement and higher overcollateralization (OC) coverage ratios than pre-crisis CLOs, providing more protection to the senior noteholders. With the exception of Goldentree, which has a British pound sterling tranche, all the recent European CLOs are single-currency transactions with the liabilities issued in euros and any foreign exchange mismatch between the assets and the liabilities hedged via currency swaps. Perhaps in response to investor concerns and/or in part due to changes in rating agency criteria, European CLO 2.0 transactions, as in the U.S., typically exhibit higher subordination: In today's transactions, the 'AAA' rated tranches typically have 40% credit enhancement, compared with 30% pre-crisis. The average OC coverage ratio for the latest European CLOs is in excess of 140%, versus the typical 120% seen in European CLO 1.0 transactions. Among the six recent European CLOs, Goldentree, which is a multicurrency transaction, has the highest OC coverage ratio at 160%, with the ratios for the single-currency transactions falling between 129% and 150%. The average reinvestment diversion ratio test currently stands at 114%, compared with the typical 105% seen pre-crisis. This average excludes ALME and Grand Harbour, which do not have such a test.
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OC trigger. Second, from our analysis that the trigger is at a level low enough such that the liabilities affected by either acceleration or liquidation of the transaction would fail the test at their rating levels. In all the recent European CLOs, acceleration and enforcement is subject to ordinary resolution by the controlling noteholders.
Senior Noteholders Demand Higher Spreads, Lower Leverage, And Lower Manager Fees
Post-crisis, senior noteholders are generally demanding higher spreads, averaging 133 basis points (bps) in the recent European CLOs that we've rated. Although spreads may continue to tighten, they remain significantly higher than the more typical 30 bps in the European CLO 1.0 transactions. The average leverage ratio for recent European CLO transactions is 5.8x, which is lower than that in pre-crisis European transactions we have observed, with the equity tranche ranging between 12% and 20% versus less than 10% pre-crisis. However, we note that with the exception of Goldentree, leverage is increasing on the more recently priced transactions. We also observe that the manager's incentive fee in post-crisis European CLOs is lower than in the U.S. and pre-crisis European counterparts--10% versus 20%, for example.
Reinvestment And Non-Call Periods Are Shorter, And Maturity Extensions Are Constrained
Recent European CLOs feature reinvestment and non-call periods of three and two years, respectively. This contrasts with pre-crisis CLOs that typically had a reinvestment period of six to seven years and a non-call period of three to five years. The shorter non-call period gives equity investors greater flexibility should returns not meet their expectations. This optional redemption event is subject to certain conditions. In recent transactions, amendments to extend the maturity of existing loans have provided an attractive alternative to refinancing existing corporate debt. As in the U.S., pre-crisis CLO transaction documents tended to be silent on the treatment of amend-to-extend (A-2-E) transactions. This meant that some collateral managers could adopt a less-restrictive interpretation, sometimes leading to a build-up of long-dated assets (that is, assets that mature after the legal final maturity of a CLO's notes) in transaction collateral pools. Such a build-up could potentially lead to a market value risk if a collateral manager is forced to sell these assets for less than par to redeem the CLO's notes. European CLO 2.0 transactions have resolved this issue through specific provisions in the transaction documents. In all of the transactions that we've seen, the collateral manager may vote on the issuer's behalf in favor of any waiver, amendment, or modification that would extend the maturity date of the assets in question. Typically, however, the collateral manager is only allowed to vote in favor of such an extension if the extended maturity of the asset is no longer than the maturity date of the rated notes. Alternatively, the collateral manager can vote in favor provided that the portfolio as a whole does not exceed the proportion of long-dated assets that the CLO can hold (5% in the case of Dryden) and the weighted-average life is satisfied. Lenders are generally compensated following an A-2-E transaction with an upfront amendment fee, as well as an
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increase in the obligation's loan spread margins. In a number of pre-crisis CLOs, such upfront fees may have either been disbursed into the CLO's waterfall, specified in the transaction documentation, or paid directly to the collateral manager outside the waterfall. Now, however, we understand that all such fees are paid directly into the issuer's interest account and disbursed through the payment account in accordance with the transaction's payment priorities.
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Harbour, Carlyle, and Goldentree. Of these three, Carlyle is currently the only confirmed CRR-compliant transaction as per the EBA paper through a 5% equity retention by the manager. By contrast, we understand that Goldentree was the first post-crisis CLO not to comply with the existing Article 122a retention rules, given what we understand to be a non-European target investor base, unaffected by European bank capital rules. Our rating methodology does not address the impact to the noteholders if the securities cease to be compliant with the requirements of Article 122a of the CRD or the future CRR. However, a new feature that we've seen in transactions such as Cairn and ALME is the addition of a mandatory redemption event should the retention holder no longer hold an economic interest of at least 5% (that is, a so-called retention deficiency event). Under such conditions, the notes will be redeemed using principal proceeds on the following payment date, and each payment date thereafter on a sequential basis, until the retention deficiency is addressed.
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to workouts between the lender and obligors. Bank loans also benefit from tighter covenant restrictions and closer scrutiny by lenders, including reviews of covenant compliance statements and collateral reports. In our analysis of the aforementioned transactions, we consider the higher proportion of senior secured bonds that can be potentially included in the portfolio to be reflected in the lower covenanted recovery rates in the respective transactions. Since most bonds are issued with fixed coupons, the inclusion of a higher proportion of bonds introduces an element of interest rate risk, in our view. Dryden, Carlyle, and Goldentree partially hedge this risk by issuing fixed-rate liabilities (although the transactions also allow for the possibility of entering into interest rate hedges that meet our counterparty criteria). In our analysis, we model the mix of fixed- and floating-rate assets at the maximum and minimum levels. We also bias defaults toward fixed-rate assets during low interest-rate environments and toward floating-rate assets during high interest-rate environments. The implication of the additional stresses is that the transaction may require greater credit enhancement. This, together with the increased challenge for the collateral manager in maintaining the minimum covenanted recovery rate, is the compromise that the collateral manager has to make in exchange for greater flexibility.
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(Covenant-lite loans are loans that typically contain fewer financial covenants for the lending party's benefit, or do not require continued compliance with one or more financial covenants.) By contrast, there is an average maximum bucket of 50% for recent CLOs issued in the U.S. where such obligations are more prevalent. In our analysis, we use reduced recovery rates to reflect the lower expected recoveries if any covenant-lite loans default. As with the inclusion of senior secured bonds, the collateral manager is therefore faced with the task of maintaining the minimum covenanted recovery rate in light of the lower recovery rates we assume for such assets.
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Since the obligor is likely to be rated 'D' (Default) or 'SD' (Selective Default) at the time of the purchase, we treat such loans as a defaulted obligation to the earlier of the receipt of a credit estimate or a public issuer credit rating on the restructured obligor. If there is no Standard & Poor's rating after three months, the principal balance of the asset is carried at zero. We note that the fees received in relation to the purchase of such assets are allocated to the principal account.
Related Criteria
Counterparty Risk Framework Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 29, 2012 Global Investment Criteria For Temporary Investments In Transaction Accounts, May 31, 2012 Nonsovereign Ratings That Exceed EMU Sovereign Ratings: Methodology And Assumptions, June 14, 2011 Update To Global Methodologies And Assumptions For Corporate Cash Flow And Synthetic CDOs, Sept. 17, 2009 Revised CDO Current-Pay Criteria Assumptions For Corporate Debt When Issuers Announce A Distressed Exchange Or Buyback, May 18, 2009 Methodology For Analyzing CDO Transactions That Purchase Their Own Discounted Debt, April 29, 2009
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European CLOs 2.0 Bring Greater Simplicity And Flexibility European Legal Criteria For Structured Finance Transactions, Aug. 28, 2008 The Use Of Rating-Based Haircuts In Event Of Default Overcollateralization Tests For CDOs, March 19, 2008 Qualification And Treatment Of Current-Pay Obligations In Global Cash Flow CLOs, July 11, 2007
Related Research
Presale: Carlyle Global Market Strategies Euro CLO 2013-1 B.V., May 31, 2013 New Issue: Grand Harbour I B.V., June 5, 2013 New Issue: ALME Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd., May 15, 2013 European CLOs: Life After The Reinvestment Period, May 14, 2013 New Issue: Dryden XXVII Euro CLO 2013 B.V., May 9, 2013 European CLO Performance Index Report Q1 2013: 2013 Sees The Reemergence of Primary European CLOs Following Positive Ratings Migration In 2012, April 25, 2013 New Issue: Cairn CLO III B.V., March 20, 2013 CDO Spotlight: CLO Issuance Is Surging, Even Though The Credit Crisis Has Changed Some Of The Rules, Aug. 9, 2012 CDO Spotlight: The Relationship Between Long-Dated Assets And Market Value Risk In U.S. Cash Flow CLOs, April 26, 2012
Transaction Manager
Dryden XXVII Euro CLO 2013 B.V. Pramerica Investment Management Ltd.
ALME Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd. Apollo Credit Management (CLO), LLC
Grand Harbour I B.V. Blackstone/GSO Debt Funds Europe Ltd. Citigroup Global Markets Ltd.
Arranger
Morgan Stanley
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Table 1
4.0
4.9
6.4
7.3
7.3
4.1
0.0
30.0
0.0
0.0
13.3
17.5
90.0
75.0
90.0
90.0
90.0
80.0
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Table 1
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
Required return to equity/Collateral manager fees Senior management fee (%) Subordinated management fee (%) Equity hurdle rate (%) Incentive management fee (%) 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 None
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
None
12.00 10.00
12.00 10.00
12.00 10.00
None None
12.00 10.00
None None
*Based on information received as of June 10, 2013. Subject to a number of conditions. No management fees as long as GoldenTree Asset Management is the collateral manager. TBA--To be advised. OC--Overcollateralization. EoD--Event of default. WAS--Weighted average spread. WAC--Weighted average coupon. WAL--Weighted average life. WARR--weighted average recovery. DIP--Debtor-in-possession. bps--Basis points. N/A--Not applicable.
Table 2
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Table 2
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Table 2
*Data cover a sample of transactions between March and December 2007. OC--Overcollateralization. bps--Basis points. EoD--Event of default. WAS--Weighted average spread. WAC--Weighted average coupon. WAL--Weighted average life. WAR--Weighted average recovery. DIP--Debtor-in-possession. N.A.--Not applicable.
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