Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

TT2013-0290 ATTACHMENT

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Summary of Cost-Benefit Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

RouteAhead/Investing in Mobility 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

Existing Red Line LRT Existing Blue Line LRT Proposed Transitway (bus-only lanes/roads) Proposed BRT (bus rapid transit) Technology Under Review Terminus/Connection

78 Ave N Tuscany Saddletowne

West Campus Mobility

Centre Street Transitway North Crosstown BRT Rundlehorn

U of C 17 Ave SE Transitway Transitw wa w ay 52 St E/ Hubalta Rd

Westbrook 69 St W

MRU Southeast Transitway Heritage Southwest Transitway

South South Crosstown sstown n Cro T BRT

Woodbine

Quarry Park/ Douglas Glen

SomersetBridlewood

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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

North Crosstown BRT

Project information Key Objectives: 1. Improve service reliability 2. Reduce travel times 3. Improve the customer experience to attract ridership Length of project: 19 km of shared lanes Average transit travel time savings: 8 min Routes using the infrastructure: Route 19, 23, 66, 72, 73,119, 176 and Northwest Crosstown BRT (future) Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 100 692 Capital cost: $50,000,000
15,000,000 12,500,000 2,000,000 Increase 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 8,000,000 2006 10,000,000 2019

Ridership Forecast
14,000,000 2029

Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $10,600,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 4,790 ha Population and jobs intensity (2019): 48/ha Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 71,870 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019): 86/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure) Low Income (below low income cut-off in 2006) = 14,060 persons

Annual Ridership

Capital cost / rider (2019) : $5.00

2010

2020

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area

Population and Jobs

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 203,000 2006

Youth age 15-24 (2011): 11,240 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 6,690 persons

232,000 2019

258,000 2029

2010

2020

2030

Year

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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

Centre Street Transitway

Project information Key Objectives: 1. Increase capacity to handle high passenger volumes 2. Encourage transit oriented development 3. Improve service reliability Length of project: 9 km (78 Ave N to 9 Ave S) Average transit travel time savings: 6 min Routes using the infrastructure: Route 2, 3, 17, 300 BRT, 30 BRT and the North Central Express Routes Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 966 1304 Capital cost: $120,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $11.43 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $925,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 4,180 ha (excluding downtown: 3,600 ha) Population and jobs intensity (2019): 87/ha (excluding downtown: 41/ha) Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 75,470 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019, excluding downtown): 62/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure)
Population and Jobs
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 8,400,000 2006 2,100,000 Increase 10,500,000 2019

Ridership Forecast
14,000,000 2029

Annual Ridership

2010

2020

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area (excluding downtown)

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000
148,000 2019 152,000 2029

Low Income (below low income cut-o in 2006) = 13,960 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 7,370 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 6,900 persons

125,000 2006

2010

2020 Year

2030

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for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

17 Avenue SE Transitway
Project information Key Objectives: 1. 2. 3. Reduce travel times Encourage transit oriented development Improve the customer experience to attract ridership

Length of project: 3 km from 52 Street/Hubalta Road to 26 Street SE (8 km from 52 Street/Hubalta Road to Macleod Trail SE) Average transit travel time savings: 3 min Routes using the infrastructure: Routes 1, 126, 440 305 BRT Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 296 520 Capital cost: $98,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $42.61 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $600,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 3,460 ha (excluding downtown: 2,890 ha) Population and jobs intensity (2019): 86/ha (excluding downtown: 29/ha) Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 16,530 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019, excluding downtown): 69/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure) Low Income (below low income cut-off in 2006) = 12,220 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 5,600 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 5,210 persons
Population and Jobs

Ridership Forecast
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 500,000 Increase 2,500,000 0 2000 1,800,000 2006 2010 2,300,000 2019 2020 3,000,000 2029

Annual Ridership

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area (Excluding Downtown)

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 76,000 2006 85,000 2029

83,000 2019

2010

2020

2030

Year

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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

Southeast Transitway
Project information Key Objectives: 1. Reduce travel times 2. Encourage transit oriented development 3. Improve the customer experience to attract ridership Length of project: 16 km (4 St SE to Douglas Glen Station) Average transit travel time savings: 13 min Routes using the infrastructure: Route 24, 302 BRT, Southeast Express Routes Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 240 540 Capital cost: $642,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $109 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $5,200,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 9,760 ha (excluding downtown: 9,180 ha) Population and jobs intensity (2019): 44/ha (excluding downtown: 23/ha) Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 42,400 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019, excluding downtown): 29/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure) Low Income (below low income cut-o in 2006) = 9,290 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 7,600 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 4,450 persons
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 1,200,000 Increase 4,700,000 2006 5,900,000 2019 7,600,000 2029

Ridership Forecast

Annual Ridership

2010

2020

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area (excluding downtown)

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 118,000 2006 213,000 2019

Population and Jobs

238,000 2029

2010

2020

2030

Year
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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

Southwest Transitway
Project information Key Objectives: 1. Reduce travel times 2. Encourage transit oriented development 3. Improve the customer experience to attract ridership Length of project: 6.1 km dedicated + 13.5 km shared Average transit travel time savings: 6 min Routes using the infrastructure: Routes 18, 20, 63, 72, 73,112, 182 306 BRT, Southwest BRT (future) Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 114 572 Capital cost: $40,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $4.44 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $5,400,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 3,940 ha (excluding downtown (2019): 3,370 ha) Population and jobs intensity: 84/ha (excluding downtown: 35/ha) Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 64,690 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019, excluding downtown): 35/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure)
Population and Jobs
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 1,300,000 Increase 9,000,000 2019 7,700,000 2006 12,000,000 2029

Ridership Forecast

Annual Ridership

2010

2020

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area (excluding downtown)

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000
104,000 2006 117,000 2019 128,000 2029

Low Income (below low income cut-o in 2006) = 14,780 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 10,290 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 10,210 persons

2010

2020 Year

2030

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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

South Crosstown BRT

Project information Key Objectives: 1. Reduce travel times 2. Encourage transit oriented development 3. Improve the customer experience to attract ridership Length of project: 17.6 km of shared lanes Average transit travel time savings: 8 min Routes using the infrastructure: Routes 20, 23, 36, 41, 72, 73, 136, 306 BRT Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 0 538 Capital cost: $20,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $2.86 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $1,500,000 Service Area Indicators Service Area (2019): 4,440 ha Population and jobs intensity (2019): 32/ha Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 50,310 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019): 60/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure) Low Income (below low income cut-o in 2006) = 6,280 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 6,850 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 6,520 persons
Population and Jobs
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 1,700,000 Increase 500,000 Increase 5,300,000 2006 9,000,000 2029 7,000,000 2019

Ridership Forecast

Annual Ridership

2010

2020

2030

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 109,000 2006 140,000 2019 160,000 2029

2010

2020

2030

Year

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Summary of Cost-Bene t Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

West Campus Mobility Project

Project information Key Objectives: 1. 2. 3. Reduce travel times Encourage transit oriented development Improve the customer experience to attract ridership

Length of project: 5 km Average transit travel time savings: 9 min Routes using the infrastructure: 9, 72, 73, 91 Number of buses in corridor per weekday: 0 -1140 Capital cost: $30,000,000 Capital cost / rider (2019) : $21.43 Annual operating cost increase (not including increased revenues): $2,000,000 Service Area Indicators Service area (2019): 810 ha Population and jobs intensity (2019): 61/ha Emissions reduction attributed to the project: 10,060 kg Population and jobs within 600m of infrastructure in Activity Centres and Corridors (2019): 83/ha Social Indicators (within 600m of infrastructure) Low Income (below low income cut-off in 2006) = 2,110 persons Youth age 15-24 (2011): 3,280 persons Seniors age 65+ (2011): 1,140 persons
Population and Jobs
15,000,000 12,500,000 10,000,000 7,500,000 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 2000 200,000 Increase 1,200,000 2006 2010 1,400,000 2019 2,000,000 2029 2030

Ridership Forecast

Annual Ridership

2020

Year

Population and Jobs in Service Area

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 41,000 2006 2010 49,000 2019 2020 60,000 2029 2030

Year

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Summary of Cost-Benefit Analysis for 10-year Rapid Transit Corridors

ScoringSummaryandEvaluationofCostsandBenefits
17 Avenue SE Transitway Southwest Transitway Southeast Transitway Centre Street Transitway South Crosstown BRT North Crosstown BRT

Criteria

Operating & Capital Cost Value Transit Travel Time Savings Auto Travel Time Savings Transit Service Area Support for TOD Development Support for Asset Management Environmental Benefit SocioEconomic Benefit

Operating cost per rider divided by capital cost per rider. Estimated time saved on each trip divided by capital cost per rider. Estimated time saved on each auto trip divided by capital cost per rider. 2019 population and jobs per hectare divided by capital cost per rider. 2019 population and jobs per hectare in Activity Centres and Corridors divided by capital cost per rider. Cost of programmed or anticipated 10year lifecycle improvements divided by capital cost per rider. Total emissions reduction in kg attributed to the improvements. Number of youth, seniors and low income per hectare.

$0.09/ $11.43 3 6 min/ $11.43 1

$0.60/ $4.44 3 8 min/ $4.44 2

$0.21/ $2.86 3 8 min/ $2.86 3

$0.26/ $42.61 2 3 min/ $42.61 1

$1.06/ $5.00 2 8 min/ $5.00 2

$0.88/ $108.81 1 13 min/ $108.81 1

$1.43/ $21.43 1 9 min/ $21.43 1

No significant change to peak period auto travel times due to latent demand in peak period in forecasts. 1 87/ $11.43 2 264/ $11.43 2 $25 million 3 75,500 3 20.4 3 18 1 84/ $4.44 3 287/ $4.44 3 $0 1 64,700 2 14.5 2 17 1 32/ $2.86 2 61/ $2.86 2 $0 1 50,300 2 7.9 1 15 1 86/ $42.61 1 315/ $42.61 1 $12 million 3 16,500 1 19.0 3 13 1 48/ $5.00 2 86/ $5.00 1 $0 1 71,900 2 12.4 1 12 1 44/ $108.81 1 310/ $108.81 1 $0 1 42,400 1 11.4 1 8 1 61/ $21.43 1 84/ $21.43 1 $0 1 10,100 1 10.1 1 8

Total Score

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West Campus Mobility

Description of assessment of benefit scoring