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International Trade, FTA, PTA, ASIDE, E-BRC, CEPA vs CECA Difference Explained Baltic Dry Index (BDI)
London based Baltic Exchange, releases this index number on daily basis. It measures changes the cost to transport raw materials by sea. If Baltic Dry index number increases = more raw material is getting shipped= world economy is doing good (and will do good). If Baltic Dry index number decreases = there is decrease in export of raw material / pre-production items= something bad is about to happen with world economy. In the recent times, BDI was highest in 2008 and then started falling. There was a small rise in BDI index during Nov.2012, but still it is nowhere near to the high level of 2008. Meaning, world economy hasnt yet recovered from the fallout in US and EU.
^As per Commerce chapter India 2013 (Yearbook.) Compositional changes in Indias export basket have been taking place over the years. The share of manufacturing exports fell drastically, mainly due to the fall in shares of traditional items like textiles and leather and leather manufactures even though the share of engineering goods and chemicals and related products increased. The rise or fall in Indias export depends mainly on following factors World growth Trading partners growth Exchange rates
Market Diversification
India has been fairly successful in diversifying its export markets from developed countries like the US and Europe to Asia and Africa This has helped us get reduce the damage from global crisis of 2008 and the recent global slowdown. Region-wise, while Indias exports to Europe and America have declined, its exports to Asia and Africa have increased
Trade surplus with 1. UAE (this turned negative in 2012 though) 2. USA, 3. Singapore 4. Hong Kong.
Trade agreements
What?
PTA
products
FTA
Free Trade Agreements It is a special case of PTA where all tariff and non-tariff barriers are abolished Free access is allowed to the products of Shallow member countries. Example NAFTA (among Mexico, US andCanada).
A Customs Union moves beyond a free trade area by establishing a common external tariff on all Customs trade between, members and non-members. Customs Unions typically contain mechanismsShallow Union to redistribute tariff revenue among members Example: Mercosur
Free flow labour, capital, and Common (goods/services) among the members. Market Example, SICA (in Central America)
output Deep
Members share a common currency and Economic macro-economic policies (Example European Union). deep union Example, European Union.
CEPA vs CECA
Both are examples of Free trade agreements.
CECA Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement Reduce the tariffs (custom/import duties). Countries sign CECA first and then gradually move towards CEPA like agreement. Example, India has CECA with
CEPA Comprehensive Economic partnership Agreement Reduce tariffs + cooperation in trade in services, investment. = wider scope. Example, India has CEPA With
1. 2. 3.
10 FTA with 1. Sri Lanka 2. SAFTA (India, Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Maldives) 3. Nepal 4. Bhutan 5. Thailand, + early harvest Scheme (EHS) 6. Singapore (CECA) 7. ASEAN (CECA) 8. South Korea: CEPA 9. Japan: CEPA 10. Malaysia: CEPA
5 PTA with
1. Asia Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA):Bangladesh, China, India, South Korea,Sri Lanka 2. Global system of trade preferences (GSTP) 3. Afghanistan 4. MERCOSUR 5. Chile
^as per commerce chapter, India 2013 (Yearbook). Further, India is currently negotiating 17 FTAs, including review/expansion of some of the existing ones. Issue: Government needs to review the inverted duty structure under the India- Thailand FTA. Because finished jewelry imports from Thailand are cheaper than primary gold (raw material) available in India!
SAFTA
Signed and came into force. South Asia Free Trade Area Under SAFTA,India has granted zero basic custom duty to all LDCs, viz. Afghanistan,Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Maldives, on all items, except alcohol and tobacco products.
IndiaThailandFTA Signed but negotiations still on. India-ASEAN CECA Signed, broader framework already in force. Minor details remain to be negotiated.
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement among ASEAN + 6 (Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea, and New Zealand). During 20th ASEAN summit in Phnom Penh Cambodia (in 2012), the ASEAN states agreed to move towards this agreement. Itll provide economic partnership among ASEAN + its FTA partners. RCEP will cover trade in goods, services, IPR, dispute settlement etc. Broad based trade and investment agreement. Negotiations still going on. Global System of Trade Preferences among Developing Countries (GSTP) It is a preferential trade agreement to increase trade between developing countries in the framework of the UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development). India has unilaterally offered special concessions to Least developed countries under this agreement. Cabinet approved implementing Indias schedule of concessions under GSPT. India has also unilaterally offered special concessions to LDC In Nov. 2012, India and Japan signed a pact to enable Japan to import rare earth minerals from India. (This will help reduce Japans reliance on China for rare earth minerals). Rare earth minerals are important for high-tech electronics, mobile phones and hybrid cars, missile guidance systems etc.
India-EU
GSTP
Japan
ASIDE, E-BRC, CEPA vs CECA Foreign Trade Policy annual supplement 2013
Released in April 2013, by Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Textiles Although Government did not launch any new scheme in it But the existing schemes were modified to provide for more relaxations and benefits to importers who are also exporters.
E-BRC
The exporter will not be required to make any request to the bank for issuance of a bank export and realization certificate (BRC). Thus their time and money will be saved.
For electronic transmission of foreign exchange realization from the respective banks to the Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) server on a daily basis.
ASIDE scheme
Assistance to States for Developing Export Infrastructure and Allied Activities (ASIDE) Scheme It provides assistance to State and union territories to create infrastructure for export Development. Top 5 exporter states in India (also top-5 in terms of ASIDE allocation): Gujarat,Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh. (Why? Think about the geographical, social, political, economic factors).
201 3
^this list in not exhaustive. only listed the new towns of export excellence under 2012 and 2013s annual supplements to foreign trade policy. But if and when preparing for UPSC interview, dig all the export excellence towns in the respective home state.
Interest Subvention
Earlier Government gave 2% interest subvention on handlooms, handicrafts, carpets, and SMEs This scheme has been extended to labor-intensive sectors viz. toys, sports goods, processed agricultural products, and readymade garments. Scheme is applicable upto 31 March 2014.
Asias first Export processing zone (EPZ) was setup in Kandla, Gujarat, 1965
Special Economic Zones (SEZ) Act, enacted in 2005 and Rules were notified in February 2006. Government has given formal approvals to setup 579 SEZs, of which 384 have been notified. As a whole, SEZs have provided employment to more than 9 lakh people. 100 per cent FDI is allowed in SEZs through the automatic route
Problem area: land acquisition. (Some of that is addressed under the 2013s annual supplement to Foreign trade policy.)
VKGuy
Vishesh Krishi and Gram Udyog Yojana (VKGUY) To promote the export of produce from agro, minor forest, gram udhyog etc.
RBIs measures
RBI increased ceilings for External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) RBI allowed the banks to determine their interest rates on loans to exporters (in foreign currency).
Anti-Dumping
Directorate General of Anti-dumping and Allied Duties (DGAD) has initiated 10 fresh cases. Against China PR, the European Union, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico,Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and the USA. DGAD falls under Commerce Ministry.
This year, and perhaps next year too, we have to find over USD 75 billion to finance the CAD. (To finance Current Account deficit) , there are only three ways before us: 1. 2. 3. FDI FII External Commercial Borrowing (ECB).
That is why I have been at pains to state over and over again that India, at the present juncture, does not have the choice between welcoming and spurning foreign investment.
What we can do is to encourage foreign investment that is consistent with our economic objectives.
To boost trade
Peak rate of basic customs duty = 10% (for non agro products) Normal excise duty = 12% Normal service tax= 12%
What?
Duty Chidambaram said Increase/decrease? Leather and leather goods are a thrust sector for exports. I propose to reduce the duty on specified machinery for manufacture of leather and leather goods and footwear.
Taxation: Export
Precious stones exporting Decrease To encourage exports, I propose to reduce the duty on pre-forms of precious and semi-precious stones from 10 percent to 2 per cent.
oil cake
Eliminated
Export duty on de-oiled rice bran oil cake has made our exports uncompetitive. Hence, I propose to withdraw the said duty.
Ilmenite
Increased
Prices of unprocessed ilmenite have gone up several fold in the export market. Considering the need to conserve our natural resources, I propose to impose a duty of 10 percent on export of unprocessed ilmenite. Ilmenite is the primary ore of titanium. Found in Tamil Nadu, Odisha and Kerala. Titanium dioxide is used in paint and coating industry. Titanium is used in aircraft, tank, weapons, artificial joints, sporting equipment and high performance alloys.
Coal
Streamlined
are used in thermal power stations, but attract different rates of customs duty and counter veiling duty. I propose to equalize the duties on both kinds of coal and levy 2 per cent customs duty and 2 per cent CVD. There is an affluent class in India that consumes imported luxury goods such as high end motor vehicles, motorcycles, yachts and similar vessels. I am sure they will not mind paying a little more. Hence, I propose to increase the duty on such vehicles.
Luxury vehicle
Increased
Coal dependence
Despite abundant coal reserves, we continue to import large volumes of coal. If the coal requirements of the existing and future power plants are taken into account, there is no alternative except to import coal and adopt a policy of blending and pooled pricing. In the medium to long term, we must reduce our dependence on imported coal. One of the ways forward is to devise a PPP policy framework to increase the production of coal. Coal ministry will announce the policies in this regard.
IT
The Rangachary Committee was appointed to look into tax matters relating to Development Centres & IT sector and Safe Harbour rules for a number of sectors. By the way, Rangachary was also a member of Shome Panel (for GAAR).
Conclusion
Gold and CAD
While the supply of gold through organized channels can be constricted, there is need to be vigilant regarding gold inflows through unauthorized channels (= Smuggling). Ultimately, the best way to reduce gold imports in a sustainable way will be to offer the public financial investment opportunities that generate attractive returns. This means bringing down inflation as well as expanding the range of investments investors have easy access to. (e.g. Rajiv Gandhi Equity savings scheme RGESS).
Trade Agreement
India always stood for open, unbiased, international trading system, but since WTO negotiations are not moving in positive direction, we need to focus on Regional Trade agreements (RTAs). Particularly for exporting our technology-intensive items. There is also need to address the inverted duty structure in sectors like electronics, textiles, and chemicals and the artificial inverted duty structure caused by some FTAs/RTAs.
Important Summits
2012 SAARC Addu, Maldives (2011) led to coup in that island country Kathmandu Brunei Durban, South Africa Los Cabos, Mexico St. Petersburg, Russia Brisbane, Australia 2013
1. Australia 2. Brunei 3. Canada 4. Chile 5. China 6. Hong Kong 7. Indonesia 8. Japan 9. South Korea 10. Malaysia 11. Mexico 12. New Zealand 13. Papua New Guinea 14. Peru 15. Philippines 16. Russia 17. Singapore 18. Taiwan 19. Thailand 20. United States 21. Vietnam 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Bangladesh China India South Korea Sri Lanka Brunei Cambodia Indonesia Laos Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam
Bangladesh Bhutan Myanmar BIMSTEC India (Bay of Nepal Bengal Initiative for Sri Lanka Multi-Sectoral Technical Thailand and Economic Cooperation) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Brazil Russia India China South Africa
BRICS
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.
COMESA (Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa) ECOWAS (Economic Community of Western African States) EFTA (European Free Trade Association)
1. 2. 3.
4.
Switzerland
EU
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.
Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden UK Argentina Australia Brazil Canada China European Union France Germany India
G20
10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
Indonesia Italy Japan Mexico Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa South Korea Turkey United Kingdom United States Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia UK US
G8
1. Bahrain 2. Kuwait 3. Qatar 4. Saudi Arabia 5. Oman 6. United Arab Emirates (UAE) 44 developing countries. 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. India Brazil South Africa Australia Bangladesh Comoros India Indonesia Iran
GSTP (Global System of Trade Preferences) IBSA IORARC/Ocean Rim (Indian Ocean Rim Association of Regional Cooperation)
7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. 2.
Kenya Madagascar Malaysia Mauritius Mozambique Oman Seychelles Singapore South Africa Sri Lanka Tanzania Thailand UAE Yemen Argentina Brazil Paraguay Uruguay Canada US Mexico Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka South Africa Botswana Lesotho Swaziland Namibia India Paki
MERCOSUR
Trade Agreement)
3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
Nepal Lanka Bangladesh Bhutan Maldives Afghanistan China Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Russia Tajikistan Uzbekistan