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EE307ProbabilityandRandomProcesses:ProblemSet1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. IfA={2x5}andB={3x6},findAUB,AB1,and(AUB)(AB)2. ShowthatifAB=,thenP(A)P(B). IfS={1,2,3,4},findthesmallestfieldthatcontainsthesets{1}and{2,3}. Acalloccursattimetwheretisrandompt.intheinterval(0,10).Find(a)P(6t8)andP(6t8/t>5). TheeventsAandBaremutuallyexclusive.Cantheybeindependent? Box1contains1000bulbsofwhich10%aredefective.Box2contains2000bulbsofwhich5%aredefective. Twobulbsarepickedfromarandomlyselectedbox.(a)Findtheprobabilitythatbothbulbsaredefective. (b)Assumingthatbothbulbsaredefective,findtheprobabilitythattheycamefromBox1. Wehavetwocoins;oneisfairandtheotheristwoheaded.Oneofthecoinsispickedatrandomandtossed twice.Headsshowsupbothtimes.Findtheprobabilitythatthecoinpickedisfair. Aslandlord,youareobligedtoprovidelaundryfacilitytoyourtenants.Yourchoicesaretolease1)two inexpensivemachinesthatbreakdownfrequently(unreliable)atRs50/montheach,or2)asingle,more reliablemachineatRs100/month.Ifunreliableisoutofcommission40%ofthetimeandreliableisoutof commission20%ofthetime,(a)Fromthetenantspointofviewwhichisthebetteralternative?

(b)from thelandlordsPoVwhichisthebetteralternative.(Incompleteinfo;youmayneedtomakesomepractical assumptions). Arandomnumbergeneratorproducesintegersfrom19(inclusive).Alloutcomesareequallylikelyand eachintegerisgeneratedindependentlyofanypreviousinteger.Let=N1+N2denotethesumoftwo consecutivelygeneratedintegers.(a)Giventhatisodd,whatistheconditionalprobabilitythat=7?(b) Giventhat>10,whatistheconditionalprobabilitythatatleastoneoftheintegersis>7?(c)GiventhatN1 >8,whatistheconditionalprobabilitythatwillbeodd? Wargamestrategistssolveproblemsofthefollowingtype:Thereare6incomingballisticmissiles(BM) againstwhicharefired12antimissilemissiles(AMM).TheAMMsarefiredsothattwoofthemaredirected againsteachBM.Thesingleshotkillprobability(SSKP,theprobabilitythatanAMMdestroysaBM)ofan AMMis0.8.AssumethattheAMMsdontinterferewitheachotherandthatanAMMcan,atmost,destroy onlytheBMagainstwhichitisfired.Computetheprobabilitythat(a)allBMsaredestroyed,(b)atleastone BMgetsthroughtodestroythetarget,(c)exactlyoneBMgetsthrough. Asmuggler,tryingtopasshimselfoffasaglassbeadimporter,attemptstosmugglediamondsbymixing diamondbeadsamongglassbeadsintheproportionofonediamondper1000glassbeads.Abusycustoms inspectorexaminesasampleof100beads.Whatistheprobabilitythatthesmugglerwillbecaught? Acountryisatcivilwar,anditisnotuncommontofindabombonboardpassengeraircraft.Theprobability thatabombwillbeonboardonanygivenflightis102.Anervouspassengeralwaysflieswithanunarmed bombinhissuitcase,reasoningthattheprobabilitythattherewillbe2bombsonboardis104.Bythis maneuver,thenervouspassengerbelievesthathehasgreatlyreducedtheairplaneschancesofbeing blownup.Whatdoyouthink?

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ABisusedtodenoteAintersectionB (AB)denotescomplementofAintersectionB.

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