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01 August 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Unde r V a lue d ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Over Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Under Valued ................................................ 12

Personal Care & Household Products

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ..................................................................... 12
Real Estate - REIT
Under Valued ..................................................................... 13
Real Estate REIS
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .................................................... 13


Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Under Valued ..................................................................... 14
Over Valued ....................................................... 14

Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

445.90

300.80

445.90

Neutral

Buy

Target
611

Beta
0.68

CHEMRING GROUP

308.00

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

364

0.66

COBHAM

287.60

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

301

0.83

MEGGITT

547.50

366.20

562.00

Neutral

Neutral

530

1.30

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1175.00

799.39

1240.00

Neutral

Neutral

1167

1.01

SMITHS GROUP

1385.00

1011.00

1396.00

Neutral

Sell

1167

0.77

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1816.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1721

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

350.10

201.00

350.10

Neutral

Neutral

342

1.96

INCHCAPE

570.50

353.30

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

608

1.42

LOOKERS

122.00

64.50

122.00

Neutral

Sell

106

1.23

27.50

13.50

28.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

42

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

287.90

162.30

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-830

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

747.80

538.70

769.90

Neutral

Buy

891

1.16

68.47

29.39

70.03

Sell

Sell

1.86

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

317.60

204.50

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-137

1.37

STANDARD CHARTERED

1524.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3494

1.65

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

541.00

415.00

588.50

Neutral

Sell

484

0.58

DIAGEO

2054.00

1672.50

2085.00

Neutral

Neutral

2205

0.53

SABMILLER

3220.50

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4313

0.93

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALENT

367.50

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Buy

447

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

306.60

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

547

1.21

CARCLO

343.00

342.75

503.00

Neutral

Sell

142

0.76

2509.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3177

1.06

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

250.70

201.70

275.00

Neutral

Buy

307

1.04

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2835.00

2102.27

2836.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4255

1.44

VICTREX

1510.00

1239.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1334

1.19

SYNTHOMER

196.70

139.10

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

392

1.11

ZOTEFOAMS

207.00

170.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

294

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

115.50

62.00

118.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
276

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

246.90

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1136

0.83

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

326.00

134.10

352.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

606

1.61
1.00

0.52

BELLWAY

1380.00

802.00

1455.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2847

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2259.00

1387.00

2325.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3472

0.57

BOOT (HENRY)

188.50

117.00

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

363

0.76
1.11

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

799.50

452.00

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1430

CARILLION

298.10

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1535

1.10

CLARKE (T)

54.25

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

0.80

COSTAIN GROUP
CRH
GALLIFORD TRY

277.50

209.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1130

0.51

1381.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

906

1.05

991.00

610.00

1019.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2938

0.95

KELLER

1109.00

443.75

1161.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2378

1.26

KIER GROUP

1484.00

1106.00

1486.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5316

0.94

67.25

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

224

1.05
1.32

LOW & BONAR


MARSHALLS

152.75

77.00

152.75

Neutral

Buy

203

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

670.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4517

0.69

16.75

10.88

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

60

1.07

NORCROS

1236.00

580.72

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1991

1.04

REDROW

PERSIMMON

245.00

126.00

253.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

453

0.89

SIG

181.80

93.05

183.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

526

1.72

45.50

43.00

287.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4234

0.88

106.50

46.15

108.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

226

1.62

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS

1702.00

1005.00

1710.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4392

1.92

WOLSELEY

3146.00

2287.42

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5980

1.37

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1101.00

999.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

1023

0.69

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

634.00

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

859

1.16

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

132.50

105.50

137.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

1.27

INVENSYS

496.30

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

268

1.36

LAIRD

193.00

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

432

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1425.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1260

1.11

RENISHAW

1570.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2008

1.30

SPECTRIS

2110.00

1506.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2739

1.52

75.00

75.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-506

0.75

TT ELECTRONICS

170.25

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

419

1.61

XAAR

840.00

227.00

898.00

Neutral

Sell

409

1.09

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

93.13

54.25

94.00

Neutral

Buy

136

1.18

BODYCOTE

619.50

323.70

619.50

Neutral

Neutral

613

1.58

CASTINGS

420.00

291.00

420.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

646

0.94

VESUVIUS

424.00

263.19

424.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1101

2.23

FENNER

345.40

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

1.46

HALMA

556.00

398.50

556.00

Sell

Sell

400

0.77

HILL & SMITH

438.75

302.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

516

1.36

1372.00

802.50

1400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4706

1.40

305.50

220.30

305.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

1.87

2656.00

2157.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1070

1.03

265.70

185.90

281.80

Neutral

Sell

236

1.66
0.75

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

56.25

35.40

80.16

Neutral

Sell

44

SPIRAX-SARCO

2865.00

1932.53

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

2051

0.84

VITEC GROUP

573.00

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

457

1.41

WEIR GROUP

2149.00

1566.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2101

1.47

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

432.80

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

789

0.43

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

289.10

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Buy

394

0.36

SAINSBURY (J)

393.60

320.10

398.50

Neutral

Buy

479

0.54

TESCO

367.30

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

198

0.66

83.00

23.25

100.50

Neutral

Sell

52

0.82

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1944.00

1267.00

2031.00

Neutral

Sell

1657

0.59

CRANSWICK

1150.00

732.50

1178.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1802

0.35

DAIRY CREST

510.00

332.90

510.00

Neutral

Sell

372

0.89

DEVRO

312.50

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

527

0.34

87.25

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

248

1.22

839.00

634.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1388

0.68

2669.00

2235.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2241

0.52

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

25.38

21.50

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

39

0.67

518.00

261.70

518.00

Sell

Sell

457

0.47

1530.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

1232

1.27

660.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

349

0.89

45.46

15.32

46.16

Neutral

Neutral

46

1.46

203.75

58.50

205.00

Neutral

Sell

56

1.05

32.50

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

110

1.00

HALFORDS GROUP

368.70

203.50

405.20

Neutral

Buy

511

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

919.00

651.00

925.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1750

0.51

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

77.50

39.00

80.00

Neutral

Buy

110

1.19

KINGFISHER

397.50

262.20

397.50

Neutral

Buy

445

0.87

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

481.50

334.00

485.40

Neutral

Buy

638

0.61

60.75

44.75

71.00

Neutral

Buy

73

0.98

418.25

194.75

492.75

Neutral

Sell

153

0.38

NEXT

4990.00

3320.00

5020.00

Sell

Neutral

5354

0.59

TED BAKER

1905.00

880.00

1909.00

Neutral

Sell

969

0.54

87.25

43.25

89.00

Neutral

Sell

75

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

134.00

129.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
112

0.39

CONSORT MEDICAL

793.00

660.50

839.00

Neutral

Sell

565

0.38

OPTOS

157.25

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Neutral

169

1.23

SMITH & NEPHEW

784.50

638.00

795.00

Neutral

Sell

664

0.44

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

789.50

587.50

791.50

Neutral

Neutral

773

0.38

HEADLAM GROUP

384.50

272.50

384.50

Neutral

Sell

326

0.89

80.50

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

111

0.71

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

875.00

528.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

277

0.70

CSR

569.00

308.10

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1522

1.12

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

61.50

28.38

83.25

Neutral

Sell

52

0.94

235.10

235.10

624.00

Buy

Buy

310

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

132.10

118.00

170.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

153.00

140.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-190

0.96

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
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Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1403.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-455

0.50

AMLIN

402.10

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1593

0.39

BEAZLEY

220.50

156.70

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

992

0.52

CATLIN GROUP

506.00

424.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

470

0.22

HISCOX

650.00

452.39

650.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1983

0.41

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

893.50

723.00

917.00

Neutral

Buy

1281

0.33

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

125.00

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

753

0.39

NOVAE GROUP

484.50

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3560

0.41

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2543.00

2092.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3671

0.92

ENTERPRISE INNS

129.30

55.50

132.00

Neutral

Sell

117

1.62

TUI TRAVEL

382.20

182.00

382.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

746

0.96

FULLER SMITH 'A'

940.75

700.50

958.00

Neutral

Sell

630

0.25

GREENE KING

875.00

556.50

886.00

Neutral

Sell

648

0.85

LADBROKES

213.00

154.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

268

0.87

1907.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1690

1.12

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

552.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

601

1.37

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

416.30

261.80

426.80

Neutral

Sell

288

0.96

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

140.10

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

65

1.23

13.00

6.00

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

77

1.18

160.50

116.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

580

0.97
0.70

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

529.50

315.50

557.50

Neutral

Sell

399

WETHERSPOON (JD)

711.00

447.90

767.00

Neutral

Neutral

714

0.56

WHITBREAD

3230.00

2067.00

3230.00

Neutral

Sell

2237

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

486.50

271.02

486.50

Neutral

Sell

263

0.79

MARSTON'S

155.40

109.70

164.50

Neutral

Sell

18

1.15

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

371.50

285.20

388.40

Neutral

Sell

349

1.17

CHESNARA

258.25

163.00

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

506

0.67

LEGAL & GENERAL

192.90

126.60

192.90

Sell

Strong Buy

483

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

194.20

159.20

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

404

1.52

PRUDENTIAL

1167.00

746.00

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1187

1.66

618.00

336.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6778

0.82

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

138.38

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

0.38

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

828.00

709.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.47

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

41.00

30.38

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.02

806.50

451.25

818.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1.07

1065.00

717.50

1105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.98

INFORMA

525.00

369.90

537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.61

ITE GROUP

283.80

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Buy

201

1.49

ITV

168.60

76.10

168.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.44
1.22

JOHNSTON PRESS

16.25

5.20

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1350.00

1119.00

1350.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

0.60

93.50

38.75

95.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.87

286.50

265.00

290.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.12

35.00

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.51

STV GROUP

157.50

81.50

157.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.82

ST.IVES

163.75

71.00

166.50

Neutral

Sell

159

1.48

TRINITY MIRROR

115.50

31.00

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.60

UBM

711.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

1.31

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP

164.00

97.00

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.86

1184.00

788.00

1210.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.28

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1408.00

1207.00

2084.00

Neutral

Sell

1206

1.84

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

186.50

161.00

290.00

Neutral

Buy

206

1.07

ANTOFAGASTA

882.00

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

833

1.43

1879.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2891

1.49

GLENCORE XSTRATA

277.50

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

986

#NA

LONMIN

311.60

240.84

411.96

Sell

Buy

419

2.08

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4770.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2827

0.42

RIO TINTO

2955.00

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2353

1.54

861.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2700

2.25

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

VEDANTA RESOURCES

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1186.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

886

0.86

BP

454.55

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1002

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

269.20

251.80

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-23

1.35

7.70

7.15

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

109

0.87

829.00

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

568

1.37

63.50

48.50

96.00

Neutral

Sell

-58

1.43

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta

360.70

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

403

1.47

2319.50

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8188

0.86

367.70

319.90

404.30

Neutral

Buy

468

0.57

1038.00

977.00

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

692

1.08

901.50

720.50

906.50

Neutral

Sell

721

1.45

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

129.38

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

0.79

PZ CUSSONS

393.60

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

329

0.68

4679.00

3536.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4722

0.30

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.44

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-3

0.89

3335.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9054

0.49

BTG

379.70

300.30

397.90

Buy

Sell

214

0.73

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

683.00

473.00

780.00

Neutral

Buy

924

0.20

1684.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Buy

1929

0.51

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.50

1.33

2.80

Buy

Sell

-2

0.60

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Sell

-6

0.96

2402.00

1727.00

2414.00

Neutral

Sell

1535

0.66

SKYEPHARMA

74.50

43.50

100.50

Neutral

Buy

102

0.68

VERNALIS

22.38

19.38

27.38

Neutral

Sell

11

0.88

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

435.00

300.00

440.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

654

1.15

BRITISH LAND

597.50

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

767

1.05

2411.00

1890.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4529

1.21

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

556.00

425.00

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1046

1.05

HAMMERSON

529.50

448.60

554.00

Neutral

Neutral

509

1.24

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

336.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Buy

503

1.12

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

949.00

761.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1614

1.14

25.88

24.25

40.75

Neutral

Sell

-142

0.87

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

113.50

103.20

121.40

Neutral

Sell

-3

0.30

MCKAY SECURITIES

147.50

131.50

155.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

0.66

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

400.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

235

0.36

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

339.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

97

0.30
0.64

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

41.50

26.11

43.25

Neutral

Sell

-345

SEGRO

REDEFINE INTL.REIT

310.80

221.60

310.80

Neutral

Sell

-240

1.80

SHAFTESBURY

632.00

516.00

668.00

Neutral

Buy

785

1.02

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

201.50

169.75

223.00

Neutral

Sell

17

1.03

0.98

0.70

2.52

Neutral

Sell

-921

0.96

451.60

245.00

454.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1157

0.98

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

360.90

210.50

360.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

764

35.00

22.75

37.50

Sell

Sell

-50

0.68

CLS HOLDINGS

1120.00

645.00

1120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2977

0.72

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4010.00

2706.00

4085.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7147

0.42

200.25

136.00

209.00

Neutral

Neutral

193

0.92

CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.


CAPITAL & REGIONAL

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

Target

Beta
0.65

GRAINGER

174.00

90.95

174.00

Sell

Sell

114

1.54

HELICAL BAR

299.00

178.00

302.50

Neutral

Sell

200

0.77

25.00

20.25

29.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

231

0.65

5925.00

4150.00

5950.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

14698

0.72

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

87.75

49.25

90.50

Sell

Sell

-199

1.04

RAVEN RUSSIA

70.50

61.50

79.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

216

1.51

630.00

370.00

630.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2249

0.73

86.50

71.50

88.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

389

0.35

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES

SAVILLS
SMART (J)
ST MODWEN PROPS.

316.10

174.00

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

622

1.57

UNITE GROUP

390.30

213.25

390.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1667

1.78

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

128.50

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

126

0.73

2404.00

1776.97

2588.15

Neutral

Sell

1497

1.49

COMPUTACENTER

486.00

333.29

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1149

0.88

KOFAX

342.50

260.75

347.25

Neutral

Sell

304

1.07

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

29.00

18.50

29.50

Neutral

Sell

21

0.78

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

796.00

529.08

796.00

Neutral

Buy

915

0.80

PHOENIX IT GROUP

155.25

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

240

0.71

84.00

64.00

85.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

236

0.49

2005.00

1275.00

2137.00

Neutral

Neutral

2182

0.79

350.50

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

439

0.71

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

384.30

257.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1237

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

253.70

144.60

253.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

653

0.69

9150.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

95290

0.85

425.00

260.00

426.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1422

0.96
0.68

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP
CHARLES TAYLOR

Target

Beta

187.50

155.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1626

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1045.00

743.00

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4813

0.85

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

100.00

87.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

68

0.88

4.18

0.55

4.57

Sell

Sell

-130

0.65

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

164.10

97.60

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

818

1.44

ICAP

406.80

280.80

406.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

809

1.04

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

486.30

252.70

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2311

1.69

INVESTEC

439.30

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1693

1.56

1574.00

930.00

1590.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6889

1.08

80.30

71.30

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4913

1.39

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1670.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5482

0.75

SCHRODERS

2455.00

1292.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8165

1.27

SCHRODERS NV

1919.00

1040.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10863

1.25

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

255.00

157.75

255.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

878

0.90

AGGREKO

1780.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4284

1.16

AMEC

1077.00

965.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3394

1.10

706.00

250.30

730.00

Neutral

Buy

1021

1.65

1175.00

868.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2686

0.48

597.00

358.00

604.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2412

0.80

1409.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2851

0.52

587.50

224.00

593.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1702

0.41

1043.00

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Sell

210

0.53

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

67.50

29.19

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

495

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

898.00

671.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2031

0.74

BERENDSEN

817.00

509.00

823.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3454

1.04

DE LA RUE

988.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Buy

1458

#NA

DIGNITY

1475.00

890.00

1568.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3129

0.22

DIPLOMA

575.00

418.00

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1564

0.97

ELECTROCOMP.

246.10

200.00

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

952

1.02

ESSENTRA PLC

774.00

500.00

774.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1423

1.14

G4S

224.90

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

909

0.54

HAYS

103.10

68.20

106.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

470

1.05

HOMESERVE

265.20

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1001

0.91

INTERSERVE

509.50

319.00

519.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3772

1.30

3025.00

2697.00

3453.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4908

0.81

49.00

27.50

50.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

120

1.10
0.68

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

224

MENZIES (JOHN)

737.50

573.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1812

1.40

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

446.50

346.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

863

1.37

MITIE GROUP

271.00

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1086

0.50

41.50

40.50

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

726

0.28

OFFICE2OFFICE

1091.00

670.50

1110.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2255

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

226.90

165.50

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

741

1.40

REGUS

185.20

94.00

186.70

Neutral

Sell

56

1.40

98.00

70.75

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

275

1.29

REXAM

491.80

420.70

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1823

0.86

RICARDO

435.00

340.00

435.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1716

0.87

ROBERT WALTERS

235.00

176.25

235.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1042

1.19

RPC GROUP

458.80

378.00

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1566

0.79

RPS GROUP

225.90

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1030

1.51

SERCO GROUP

627.00

535.00

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2432

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

88.00

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

277

1.50

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

59.00

23.50

64.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

318

1.23

192.75

82.00

194.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

578

0.64

55.00

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

342

0.94

407.50

295.25

412.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2367

0.80

90.50

42.00

91.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

635

0.82

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

340.70

212.50

344.00

Neutral

Buy

416

0.89

40.51

29.64

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

78

0.69

683.50

484.30

749.00

Neutral

Sell

243

0.57

83.20

68.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

115

1.23

1319.00

801.00

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

785

0.03

197.50

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Sell

99

0.51

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

300.00

178.00

300.00

Sell

Sell

233

1.25

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

432.50

350.00

452.00

Neutral

Buy

596

1.06

CLARKSON

1888.00

1150.00

1888.00

Neutral

Sell

1337

0.84

EASYJET

1412.00

530.00

1412.00

Neutral

Sell

866

0.74

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

99.95

92.00

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

283

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1046.00

615.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

787

0.75

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1582.00

1220.00

1595.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2727

1.00

NATIONAL EXPRESS

254.20

164.50

254.80

Neutral

Neutral

249

1.40

NORTHGATE

390.00

199.75

390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

639

1.33

STAGECOACH GROUP

334.70

265.90

335.90

Neutral

Buy

446

0.97

75.25

42.00

78.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

233

0.94

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

391.00

310.80

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

588

NATIONAL GRID

786.50

665.50

847.50

Neutral

Buy

1003

0.45

PENNON GROUP

695.50

598.00

768.00

Neutral

Sell

637

0.61

SSE

1575.00

1312.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2299

0.41

SEVERN TRENT

1773.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1538

0.34

721.50

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

767

0.48

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta
0.50

01 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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