CONFIDENTIAL CS/OCT2003/QMT161

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

FINAL EXAMINATION

COURSE INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS AND

PROBABILITY

COURSE CODE QMT161

DATE 7 OCTOBER 2003

TIME 3 HOURS (2.15 p.m - 5.15 p.m)

FACULTY Information Technology and Quantitative Sciences

SEMESTER June 2003- November 2003

PROGRAMME / CODE Diploma in Computer Science / CS110

Diploma in Actuarial Science / CS112
Bachelor of Science (Hons) (Intelligence System) / CS223
Bachelor of Science (Hons) (Business Computing) / CS224
Bachelor of Science (Hons) (Data Communication and
Networking) / CS225
Bachelor of Science (Hons) (Information System
Engineering) / CS226

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

1. This question paper consists of two (2) sections : SECTION A (8 Questions)

SECTION B (5 Questions)

2. Answer ALL questions from Section A and Section B. Answers to each question from Section
B should start on a new page.

3. Calculators can be used.

4. Do not bring any materials into the examination room unless permission is given by the
invigilator.

5. Please ensure that this examination pack consists of:

i) the Question Paper
ii) an Answer Booklet - provided by the Faculty
iii) Appendix 1-1 page (Formulae)
iv) Appendix 2-1 page (Standard Normal Table)

DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO

This examination paper consists of 8 pages

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CONFIDENTIAL CS/OCT2003/QMT161

SECTION A (40 MARKS)

Answer ALL questions.

QUESTION 1

The number of goals scored per game by a national footballer in the year of 2001 and 2002
were as follows:

Number of
goals 0 1 2 3 4 or more
Number of
games 9 6 3 1 1

Calculate:
a) the mean
b) the median and explain the meaning of the value obtained.
(5 marks)

QUESTION 2

The table below shows a summary of the distributions of Statistics scores for 2 groups of
students in the final examination.

Group A Group B
Mean 60.5 65.0
Median 62.0 63.0
Standard deviation 12.5 15.0
Number of students 28 30

a) Find the Pearson's coefficient of skewness for group A and determine the shape of
the distribution.

b) Find the mean score obtained for both groups.

(5 marks)

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QUESTION 3

Given that events A and B are independent and that P( A ) = - and P( A u B ) = - ,

8 3
find
a) P( B )
b) P( B1 / A').
(5 marks)

QUESTION 4

A random variable X has the following probability distribution

P(X = x) =
k,

where k is a constant.
a) Find the value of k.
b) Calculate P( | X - 1 < 4 ) .

(5 marks)

QUESTION 5

On average, the demands for a particular electronic device at a warehouse are made 4
times per day. Find the probability that on a given day this device is
a) demanded at least 4 times,
b) not demanded at all.
(5 marks)

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QUESTION 6

X is normally distributed with mean 300 and standard deviation, a. Find the value of a if
P (295 < X < 305) = 0.1587.
(5 marks)

QUESTION 7

A tile manufacturer packaged its tiles in cartons. Each carton consists of 100 boxes. The
probability that a box is found to be broken is 0.03. Using an appropriate approximation, find
the probability that a carton contains more than 2 broken boxes.
(5 marks)

QUESTION 8

A basket contains oranges of small, medium and large sizes in the ratio of 3 : 4 : 5. The
sizes are graded according to their weights. Three oranges are taken randomly without
replacement. Find the probability that
a) all three are of the same size,
b) at least two large oranges are selected.
(5 marks)

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CONFIDENTIAL CS/OCT2003/QMT161

SECTION B (60 MARKS)

Answer ALL questions.

QUESTION 9

The following frequency distribution shows the daily production (in '000 units) of Syarikat
Maju Sdn. Bhd. in June 2003.

Production ( ' 000 units ) Number of days

15 -24 7
25 -29 9
30 -34 6
35 -39 3
40 -44 3
45 -49 2

a) Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the above data.

(51/2 marks)

b) Find the modal production and explain the meaning of the value obtained.
(31/2 marks)

c) From its record, the company obtained the following statistics regarding its
production in December 2002.
Mean = 35080 units.
Standard deviation = 9030 units.

Using an appropriate measure, determine which month (June or December) has a

less consistent production. Justify your answer.
(3 marks)

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QUESTION 10

The probability density function of a continuous random variable X is given by

' 2(x + 1)
, -1
I <j»- X
V jf* 4
< I
5
f(x) = m , 1 <x<3
0, elsewhere

where m is a constant.

a) Prove that m = 1/10. (3 marks)

1
b) Find the probability that X is greater than — . (3 marks)

c) Calculate the expected value of X. (3 marks)

d) Sketch the graph of the probability density function, f(x). (3 marks)

QUESTION 11

A distribution manager can hire a truck from three transporting firms for the delivery of his
goods. Of the trucks hired 30% are from firm A, 50% from firm B and 20% from firm C. The
probabilities that the trucks from firms A, B and C will not deliver on time are 15%, 9% and
5% respectively.

a) Find the probability that a truck chosen at random will be from firm B and will deliver
on time.
(4 marks)

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b) Find the probability that a truck hired will not deliver on time.
(4 marks)

c) Suppose a late delivery is made, what is the probability that it came from firm A?
(4 marks)

QUESTION 12

The volume of soy sauce in a bottle produced by a food manufacturer is normally distributed
with mean 350 ml and standard deviation 10 ml.

a) Find the probability that a randomly selected bottle of soy sauce contains less than
340 ml.
(3 marks)

b) If a shopkeeper orders 1000 bottles of soy sauce from the manufacturer, estimate the
number of bottles with the volume less than 340 ml.
(2 marks)

c) Past records show that on average, there is one bottle of soy sauce that has volume
more than k ml in a batch of 100 bottles produced. Find the value of k.
(3 marks)

d) A bottle of soy sauce is rejected if its volume differs from the mean by more than
15 ml. Find the probability that a bottle of soy sauce will be rejected.
(4 marks)

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QUESTION 13

It is known that 75% of mice inoculated with a serum are protected from a certain disease. If
8 inoculated mice are chosen randomly, find

a) the average number of mice that do not contract the disease,

(3 marks)

b) the probability that none contracts the disease,

(21/2 marks)

c) the probability that at least 2 mice do not contract the disease,

(31/2 marks)

d) the probability that not more than 3 mice contract the disease.
(3 marks)

END OF QUESTION PAPER

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CONFIDENTIAL APPENDIX 1 CS/OCT 2003/QMT161

Sample Measurements

Yfx
1. Mean, x = ±=>—
n
- Y f m-1
2. Median, x = Lm + . C

3. Mode, x=Lmo + . C
+A

4. Standard Deviation, s = fx 2 -
n-1 n

5. Coeficientof Variation, CV = — x 100

x

Mean-Mode 3(Mean-Median)
6. Pearson's Measure of Skewness =
S tan dard Deviation S tan dard Deviation

where

n total frequency
L lower median class boundary
lower modal class boundary

m-1
cumulative frequencies for the classes before the median class
frequency of median class
(modal class frequency) - (frequency for the class before the modal
class)
A2 (modal class frequency) - (frequency for the class after the modal
class)
C size of the class

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CONFIDENTIAL APPENDIX 2 CS/OCT2003/QMT161

Areas in Upper Tail of the Normal Distribution

The function tabulated is 1 - <P(z) where <fl(z) is the cumulative distributiDa function of a standardised Normal variable, 2.
03
1 r 2
Thus I - 0{z) = -y== I *"* is the probability that a standardised Normal variatc sdected at random wiU be greater/than a

value of i =

*-," .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
a

0.0 .5000 .4960 .4920 ;4880 .4840 .4801 .4761 .4721 .4.681 .4641
0.1 .4602 .4562 .4522 .4483 .4443 .4404 .4364 .4325 .4286 .4247
OJ2 .4207 .4168 .4129 .4090 .4052 .4013 3974 .3936 .3897 3859
0.3 .3821 3783 3745 3707 .3669 3632 3594 3557 3520 3483
0.4 3446 .3409 3372 J336 .3300 3264 3222 3192 3156 3121
0_5 3085 3050 3015 J2981 .2946 J2912 .2877 .2843 .2810 .2776
0.6 .2743 J2.709 .2676 J2643 .2611 .2578 JZ546 .2514 .2483 J2451
0.7 .2420 .2389 .2358 .2327 .2296 J2266 .2236 J22Q6 .2177 J2148
0.8 .2119 .2090 .2061 .2033 .2005 .1977 .1949 .1922 .1894 -.1867
0.9 .1841 .1814 .1788 .1762 .1736 .1711 .1685 .1660 .1635 .1611
1.0 .1587 .1562- .1539 .1515 .1492 .1469 .1446 .1423 .1401 .1379
1.1 .1357 .1335 .1314 .1292 .1271 .1251 .1230 .1210 .1190 ,1170
1.2 .1151 .1131 .1112 .1093 .1075 .1056 .1038 .1020 .1003 .0985
1.3 .0968 :0951 .0934 .0918 .0901 .0885 .0869 .0853 .0838 .0823
1.4 .0808 .0793 .0778 .0764 .0749 .0735 .0721 .0708 .0694 .0681
1.5 .0668 .0655 .0643 .0630 .0618 .0606 .0594 .0582 .0571 .0559
1.6 .0548 .0537 .0526 .0516 .0505 .0495 .0485 .Q475 .0465 .0455
1.7 .0446 .0436 .0427 .0418 .0409 .0401 .0392 .0384 .0375 .0367
1.8 .0359 .0351 .0344 .0336 .0329 .0322 .0314 .0307 .0301 .0294
1.9 .0287 .0281 .0274 .0268 .0262 .0256 .0250 .0244 .0239 .0233
2.0 .02275 .07777 .02169 .02118 .02068 .02018 .01970 .01923- .01876 ,01831
2.1 .01786 .01743 .01700 .01659 .01618 .01578 .01539 .01500 .01463 .01426
2.2 .01390 .01355 .01321 .01287 .01255 .01222 .01191 .01160 .01130 .01101
2.2 .01072 .01044 .01017 .00990 .00964 .00939 .00914 .00889 .00866 .00842
2.4 .00820 .00798 .00776 .00753 .00734 .00714 .00695 .00676 .00657 .00639
2.5 .00621 .00604 .00587 .-00570 .00554 .00539 .00523 .00508 .U0494 .00480
2.6 .00466 .00453 .00440 .00427 .00415 .00402 .00391 .00379 .00368 .00357
2.7 .00347 .00336 .00326 .00317 .00307 .00298 .00289 .00280 .00272 .00264
2.3 .00256 .00248 .00240 .00233 .00226 .00219 .00212 .00205 .00199 .00193
2.9 .00187 .00181 .00175 .00169 .00164 .00159- .00154 .00149 .00144 .00139
3.0 .00135 .00131 .00126 .00122 .00118 .00114 .00111 .00107 .00104 .00100
3.1 .00097 .00094 .00090 .00087 .00084 .00082 .00079 .00076 .00074 -.00071
3J2 .00069 .00066. .00064 .00062 .00060 .00058 .00056 .00054 .00052 .00050
3.3 .00048 .00047 .00045 .00043 .00042 .00040 .00039 .00038 .00036 .00035
3.4 .00034 .00032 .00031 .00030 .00029 .00028 .00027 .00026 .00025 .00024
3.5 .00023 .00022 .00022 .00021 .00020 .00019 .00019 .00018 .00017 .00»17
3.6 .00016 .00015 .00015 .00014 .00014 .00013 .00013 .00012 .00012 .00011
3.7 .000108 .000104 .000100 .000096 .000092 .000088 .000085 .000082 .000078 .000075
3.8 .000072 .000069 .000067 .000064 .000062 .000059 .000057 .000054 .000052 000050
3.9 .000048 .000046 .000044 .000042 .000041 .000039 .000037 .000036 .000034 000033
4.0 .000032
5.0-}i- o.aoo QOO 2867 5:5'-*• 0.000 000 0190 6.0 -v 0.000:0000 01.0.

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