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Data Advance April 2009 Retail Sales i Released May 13, 2009
Retail Sales Fare Better in however this was lower than its year-to- Furniture and Home Furnishing Stores
April Over Year-to-date date sales. were down by -14.3% in April.
Electronics and Appliance Stores were
As the weather starts to warm up so does Clothing and Accessories Stores remained also hit with a decrease of -11.9%. First
consumer sentiment for an economic down this month by -3.0%. The category quarter sales, for the above categories
recovery. A welcome change from past bettered its year-to-date growth of -6.1% combined, fell by -9.8% compared to a
months, consumer confidence jumped 12 leaving room for optimism that sales are greater fall in April sales of -13.1%.
points from March, typifying April with picking up. A further examination of the
an index of 39. first quarter sales growth revealed that However, a further analysis of first quarter
while both men’s and women’s specialty results showed positive growth for Book
While All Stores sales for the month fell clothing stores have witnessed significant Stores (7.6%); Warehouse Clubs and
-9.4%, All Stores excluding Motor cuts (-12.7%, -12.8% respectively), Superstores (3.9%); Beer, Wine, and
Vehicle and Parts Dealers and Gasoline Family Clothing Stores have weathered Liquor Stores (3.3%); Food Services and
Stations dipped by only -1.8%. the economic storm much better (-1.1%) Drinking Place (1.9%); and Electronic
For example, Old Navy stood out amidst Shopping and Mail-Order Houses (0.4%).
Sales growth for the month of April fared an ocean of retailers, as its sales increased
better than year-to-date, indicating a by 1%. Some retailers will be spirited by their
potential, positive trend for certain retail April sales growth, while others will keep
categories. Building Material and Garden Equipment facing double digit losses. As consumers
Stores, while still negative, also enjoyed ramp up for summer fun, continued
Health and Personal Care Stores topped improved sales results in April compared investment in value and convenience will
the category list in retail sales growth, as it to the rest of the year. Sales were down play a key role in sustaining this positive
increased by 5.4%. -10.5% for the month. monthly trend.
General Merchandise Stores also Retailers that continue to under-perform in Release Date of the Next
improved this month, growing 3.2%. Both April compared to their year-to-date sales National Retail Bulletin:
include Furniture, Home Furnishings, June 11, 2009
Target and Walmart partook in the
positive results, with Walmart’s sales Electronics and Appliance Stores.
growing by nearly twice its forecasted
estimate. Please note:
The J.C. Williams Group National Retail Bulletin compares the latest monthly release of “raw” (i.e.,
unadjusted for seasonality, holiday, and trading day) retail sales figures to those in the same calendar
Food and Beverage Stores sales remained month of the previous year. The U.S. Census Bureau also reports seasonally adjusted sales that are
steady at 1.3%. Grocery Stores sales were compared to the previous month within the current calendar year to measure change in Gross Domestic
flat at 0.5%. Product (GDP). Although other sources use seasonally adjusted figures, J.C. Williams Group believes
that using raw figures and making comparisons to the previous year’s performance more accurately
reflects the seasonality of the retail industry, and therefore, are more useful in analysis. Definitions can
Food Services and Drinking Places saw an be found on the U.S. Census Website: www.census.gov.
uptick of 1.1% in revenue for the month;
350 West Hubbard St. Ste. 240, Chicago, Il. 60654 Tel: (312) 673-1254 Fax: (312) 822-9162 Website: www.jcwg.com
For more information, please contact Jim Okamura at (312) 673-1254, John Archer (416) 921-4181, or e-mail info@jcwg.com
NATIONAL RETAIL BULLETIN Release Date: 5/13/09
Source: US Census Bureau. All Values are expressed in millions of US dollars and are not seasonally adjusted
350 West Hubbard St. Ste 240, Chicago, Il. 60610 Tel: (312) 673-1254 Fax: (312) 822-9162 Website: www.jcwg.com
For more info, please contact Jim Okamura at (312) 673-1254, John Archer at (416) 921-4181, or e-mail info@jcwg.com
NATIONAL RETAIL BULLETIN Release Date: 5/13/09
Source: US Census Bureau. All Values are expressed in millions of US dollars and are not seasonally adjusted
350 West Hubbard St. Ste 240, Chicago, Il. 60610 Tel: (312) 673-1254 Fax: (312) 822-9162 Website: www.jcwg.com
For more info, please contact Jim Okamura at (312) 673-1254, John Archer at (416) 921-4181, or e-mail info@jcwg.com
NATIONAL RETAIL BULLETIN Release Date: 5/13/09
U.S. Consumer
Confidence Index
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
Oct-04
Oct-05
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Apr-04
Jul-04
Apr-05
Jul-05
Apr-06
Jul-06
Apr-07
Jul-07
Apr-08
Jul-08
Apr-09
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Source: U.S. Conference Board
U.S.
U S Monthly Retail Sales by Major Category
Percentage Change from Same Month, Previous Year
Auto Food & Drug GAFO
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
-30%
-35%
Oct-07
Nov-07
Oct-08
Nov-08
Jun-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
Jun-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
Jul-07
Jul-08
Aug-07
Aug-08
May-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
May-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-07
Sep-07
Apr-08
Sep-08
350 West Hubbard St. Ste 240, Chicago, Il. 60610 Tel: (312) 673-1254 Fax: (312) 822-9162 Website: www.jcwg.com
For more info, please contact Jim Okamura at (312) 673-1254, John Archer at (416) 921-4181, or e-mail info@jcwg.com