FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Wednesday, August 7, 2013

CONTACT: Fred Shumate fshumate@magellanbr.com

NC VOTERS EVENLY SPLIT ON HAGAN REELECT

Statistical Tie on Question of Whether or Not North Carolina Senator Deserves Another Term
Baton Rouge, La. Results of a statewide North Carolina survey released by Magellan Strategies BR show likely midterm voters even divided over U.S. Senator Kay Hagans reelection. When asked if Hagan had performed her job well enough to deserve another term, 41.4% supported her reelection (26% definitely reelect) while 42.6% felt that it is time to give a new person a chance (28% definitely new person). The 1.2% difference falls within the surveys margin of error. While any reelection number below 50% should be some cause for concern, Hagans current position puts her in a much better place than other Southern Democratic U.S. Senators up in 2014, said John Diez, Jr., Principal of Magellan Strategies BR. After being read a series of statements about Hagans support for key pieces of President Obamas agenda, respondents were asked again whether the U.S. Senator deserved reelection. The incumbents support falls to 37%. Based on her overall support for the Presidents agenda and, in particular, the 2009 stimulus plan and 2010 healthcare overhaul, at least half of the respondents were less likely to vote for Hagan. In addition, the survey shows that North Carolina continues to be a battleground state for the two parties. The Democratic candidate leads the Republican candidate by just over 2% (43.7% DEM/41.4% GOP) in a generic ballot test. When asked about which party currently best represents their political point of view, voters chose the Democratic by a slim 3% margin (44% DEM/41% GOP). Magellan Strategies BR surveyed 1,600 likely North Carolina voters between July 31 st and August 1st, 2013. The margin of error was 2.5% at a 95% confidence interval. This survey was not authorized or paid for by any campaign or political organization. The survey was conducted using automated telephone technology. Survey toplines are included below. ###

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NORTH CAROLINA STATEWIDE SURVEY FINAL MAGELLAN ID#:NCSTW_0729 Field Date: 07/31-08/01/13 Q 1. Sample Size = 1,600n; +/- 2.5%

How likely are you to vote in the 2014 elections for Congress and United States Senate in the fall of next year?
EXTREMELY LIKELY TO VOTE VERY LIKELY TO VOTE SOMEWHAT LIKELY TO VOTE 90.7% 5.7% 3.6%

Thinking now about issues that are facing the nation today Q 2. Among the following list of 5 issues, which do you think is the top priority that the federal government and Congress should be addressing the most aggressively? Please listen to all options before making your choice. Remember, press 0 if you need the list repeated.
THE ECONOMY AND JOBS NATIONAL DEBT AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING HEALTH CARE ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION NATIONAL SECURITY AND DOMESTIC TERRORISM 46.6% 24.8% 17.5% 6.8% 4.3%

Q 3/5. If the election for U.S Senate was being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Democrat and the other was a Republican, for whom would you vote?
TOTAL REPUBLICAN TOTAL DEMOCRATIC DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN PROBABLY REPUBLICAN PROBABLY DEMOCRATIC DEFINITELY DEMOCRATIC UNDECIDED 41.4% 43.7% 29.6% 11.8% 9.5% 34.2% 14.9%

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Q 6.

And thinking back to the 2012 election for President of the United States, did you vote for Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate or Barack Obama, the Democrat candidate?
MITT ROMNEY BARACK OBAMA SOMEONE ELSE CAN'T REMEMBER / DID NOT VOTE 49.0% 47.0% 1.9% 2.2%

And changing topics for a second Q 7/9. Do you believe that Kay Hagan has performed her job as US Senator well enough to deserve to be reelected or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
TOTAL REELECT TOTAL NEW PERSON DEFINITELY REELECT PROBABLY REELECT PROBABLY NEW PERSON DEFINITELY NEW PERSON DEPENDS UNDECIDED 41.4% 42.6% 26.1% 8.6% 16.9% 28.4% 6.1% 10.0%

Now I am going to read you some more information about Kay Hagans positions on various issues. After hearing each statement, please tell me if you are more likely to support her, less likely to support her, or if it makes no difference in your opinion Q 10. Kay Hagan recently voted to support immigration reform legislation that offers amnesty to illegal aliens.
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNDECIDED 30.1% 47.3% 14.0% 8.6%

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Q 11.

Kay Hagan has voted in support of President Obamas agenda more the 94% of the time.
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNDECIDED 38.9% 50.0% 6.2% 5.0%

Q 12.

Kay Hagan supported Obamacare which in some states has increased insurance premiums by 88% for people who buy their own health insurance.
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNDECIDED 31.1% 52.8% 8.4% 7.7%

Q 13.

Kay Hagan supported President Obamas stimulus plan, which increased government spending by 1 trillion dollars.
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNDECIDED 36.0% 51.0% 6.4% 6.5%

Now that you have heard some more information Q 14. Do you believe that Kay Hagan has performed her job well enough to deserve to be reelected or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
REELECT NEW PERSON DEPENDS UNDECIDED 37.3% 50.8% 6.4% 5.5%

These last few questions are for statistical purposes only Q 15. Are you male or female?
MALE FEMALE 46.0% 54.0%

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Q 16.

Regardless of how you feel today, with which party are you registered to vote?
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT OR OTHER 36.1% 45.4% 18.5%

Q 17.

Regardless of your party registration, which party do you feel best represents your political point of view?
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT/OTHER 41.0% 44.0% 15.0%

Q 18.

Which of the following age group applies to you?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 PLUS 10.4% 14.6% 20.9% 23.3% 30.8%

Q 19.

For statistical purposes only, to what racial or ethnic group do you belong?
WHITE BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN HISPANIC OR LATINO SOME OTHER ETHNIC GROUP 75.8% 20.5% 0.8% 2.9%

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