Sergey Gavrov The world crisis of capitalism will restore the

Russian empire?

Today, we are dealing not just with financial and economic crisis, but with a
deep correction of liberal capitalism.
Liberal capitalism tends to unrestricted growth in recent decades by
stimulating consumer activity, above all, citizens of the richest countries in the
world, the so-called «golden billion».
Maintaining economic growth through increased consumer activity has led
to manipulate the consciousness of consumers, program them for the increasingly
rising standards of consumption. The man had to want to consume more.
For this massive use of technology advertising and PR. Customer taught that
he himself wishes to acquire all of this, inspire, referring mainly to his
subconscious, rather than consciousness. He must not understand that they are
manipulated, but being in front of the hypermarket shelves, say - I want to buy it, it
is my consumer choices.
In its ideal-typical model of liberal capitalism is seeking to dominate a one-
time thing. This one-time, having a direct and metaphorical meaning, however,
defines the archetypal capitalist aspirations.
This is one thing, in the literal sense, such as disposable utensils, clothes,
and even mobile phones. This reduction in the life cycle of things, the increasing
speed of obsolescence in technology but, more importantly, in moral terms.
Things had become not just a product containing a number of useful
properties of the consumer, but a symbol of social status of its owner. Standing out
on the market, all new models of home appliances, automobiles, fashion lines
dramatically reduces the lifetime of each specific thing.
In this potrebitelskoy race is almost impossible to win a long time, it is not
possible to stop. All that is yesterday stressed the high social status of its owner,
now becomes a symbolically neutral, but clearly flawed tomorrow. This cycling of

1
things contributed to the tax and government policies, such as the United States
and Japan, for example, to new and old cars.
For consumption, it should have been more intensive work, but, more
importantly, it opened up more and more accessible, and even imposed on credit
products.
Living in debt has become an ideology of American consumers, American
States, the American economy as a whole. This ideology has been widely
disseminated outside the United States.
But the most unpleasant is that American consumers are less involved in the
national economy as a producer, his participation in the economic exchange of
products is becoming more nonequivalent.
This nonequivalence is supported by decades of covert emissions,
virtualization of money. Now comes the natural process of dumping artificially
stimulate production and demand the return of both to a state of greater balance.
The ideology of the credit system, especially in consumer lending, fail.
Encourage consumption of who is little demand in the production of material and
intellectual property, to issue loans for a long time, but in the case of a mortgage
that decade, then advance a recipe for non-substantial part of the money.
To stimulate lending resources to do the basic rate not to stimulate end-user,
and the creation of new scientific and technological products on which you can
create a new mythology about eventually found a miraculous remedy applicable to
all. The last time such an inspiring mythology was the development of computer
and information technology. Ended with the collapse of all stock companies in the
field of information technology in 2001.
In order to overcome the current crisis, we too will have to offer investors
new inspiring ideas and new areas of the capital. Perhaps today it will be
biotechnology. The main idea, move the market and attract massive investments
can be formulated as follows: «Buy me a bit of immortality».
What would survive today and tomorrow, the government and banks need to
think not about the consumer credit, do not invest in end-user, but the

2
breakthrough, covering technology, historical and sociocultural change the scenery
of our lives. The consumer of these technologies and products created from them,
there in the world. At each new cycle of technological revolution is not new things
«hunting» for the people, and the people are eager to acquire new technological
faith.

The ideology of liberal capitalism and ecological disaster

Above the ideology of liberal capitalism and the resulting from the economic
practices that led to the fact that humanity now consumes more resources. It is
about oil and gas, although they are not so afraid of irreparable, in the not too
distant future, humanity will move to a new energy cycle.
Terrible destruction of life on the planet. Today, humanity, primarily
represented by a consumer society, kills, consumes 10% of the biota, ie 10% of all
life, and may allow the use, for the most inflated estimates, no more than 2%. This
is genocide in relation to life on the planet, moreover, that the destruction of the
planet, in any case, the conditions for the lives of all species of living creatures,
including humans.
There are several ways out of this situation.
The first is self-world, the dumping of surplus humanity, bringing its number
in line with the local ecological niche. For all of us is a tragedy, that the religious
literature is described as «the end of the world».
The second way to our self needs, the rejection of artificial stimulation of
consumption, PR and advertising, return to the medieval practice, when the thing
was worth, and passed from generation to generation.
The third way to delay the development of the first two options - a new
technological revolution, which could at any time to remove the problem. A
profound and devastating economic crisis opens the way to a technological
revolution.

3
 Crisis: from the economy to politics

Over the past hundred years the world has seen two waves of correction of
global peace. Waves correction of global peace, built on a system of colonialism, to
drop back into the world during the First and Second World Wars.
In today's crisis, we see the greatest overlap with the second crisis, the Great
Depression in the United States, perekinuvsheysya to Europe and the rest of the
world. As a result of the last world crisis seriously changed, not only economically
but also politically.
In 1929, the coming collapse of the American Exchange in Europe has been
the regime of Mussolini, but in its domestic and foreign policy, he was forced to
adhere to certain permissible limits of the Western world. Germany was a
democracy - the Weimar Republic. In the Soviet Union rolled NEP, but the degree
of transition to non-market management of the economy was still not defined, even
for Comrade Stalin.
The consequence of the American economic crisis, as now, rapidly
perekinuvshegosya in Europe, then, was the National Socialists coming to power
in Germany, to a large extent and the regime of General Franco in Spain. Europe to
paint in the authoritarian-totolitarnye colored German, Italian, Spanish flags.
In the USSR, non-economic coercion to work have become widespread, the
economy shifted to non-market form of existence and reproduction. Stalin finally
dissuade the economic opportunities of capitalism, to build mutually beneficial
trade policies with the West. To a large extent this has contributed to a drastic fall
in prices and in the traditional Soviet export goods. In political terms, the Soviet
leadership was to hold a far more stringent internal and then external policies.
After a series of economic and political crises and regime change on a more
nationalistic, the world went to the Second World War.
Today, the crisis calls into question not only the economic well-being, but
also the stability of political regimes in the new Eastern European members of the
European Union and Russia in the surrounding countries of the CIS.

4
 We believe that it is under threat and the future of the EU in its current
composition. Too different levels of economic development and economic
structure of the old and new members. And a cure for the protracted crisis, they
need different.
Government carrying out their people are not profitable pro course, can be
replaced by the more nationalist, acting on the principle of «one for itself, one God
for all».

Russia. What's next?

For Russia, the most interested in what happens in the CIS countries,
especially Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan. For Russia, the crisis is broadening the
scope of historical possibilities.
When everything is evolutionary, growing steadily, there is a serious
limitation of the variability of history, there is almost no edinovariantny its
meystrim. It can be rejected, he can even rebel, but it is meaningless, this position
is eccentric and marginalized.
During the period of deep crisis the world, and including Russia, will
increasingly fall within the zone of uncertainty of the future of the historic choice
to take a different choice. Because of these uncertainties, the future and the greater
human freedom of choice, can be born new / old historical and socio-cultural forms
of existence of the Russian state.
In Russia, the economic crisis imposed on the national humiliation caused
by the collapse of the Soviet Union and the purely local place of Russia in the
world. Economic growth translated issues of national self-abasement for individual
consumption. Now increase the volume and quality of consumption impossible.
We know that the revolution and the changes did not happen when society
turns to the socio-economic transformation, and standard of living drops
dramatically, but when he was growing, rising public expectations, and then a

5
sharp slump. Do the authorities will have the opportunity to lose it, or translate the
energy of public discontent outside.
If we are nothing, or almost nothing can be done in the field of economics, it
is necessary to move society to a non-economic objectives.
Immediately after the collapse of the Soviet Union a large collective illusion,
to some extent a unifying society and legitimize power, have opened up
possibilities of capitalism, personal saving and wealth. In the most powerful, or
just close to the power of people of people believe in the possibilities of capitalism,
has been successfully implemented in the personal fate of these inflated public
expectations. And this is probably not even on the raw billionaire, but the
gentleman Chichvarkin, realize the American dream in its Russian version, came
from the Luzhniki to Evroset and more millions.
Now there is no such illusions, and the habit of regarding the good life,
especially in Russia's cities, already have. This habit of the good life brought up
the growth of real income, the magnitude of consumer credit, crowded shelves of
hypermarkets, and even federal TV channels in recent years have argued that we
are going from good to better.
When carrying out painful economic reforms, how fast, how it managed to
lower the standard of living up to the minimum possible, so that he would only
continue to grow. Social theory in the case of long-term growth, followed by a
dramatic collapse, uneven reality and cultural expectations, does not promise
anything good.
What could promise social theory in the case of another historic turning
Russia? Of course, the future is not predetermined, we can tell no more than about
the likelihood of those or other options for historical development. Reflect on the
most likely of them.
In Russia it has not yet been the reaction to the collapse of the Soviet Union,
the division within the various people of the Russian / Soviet culture. But society is
not only social, but also a biosocial organism, and the absence of such a reaction in
the present and the future is unlikely. Time deliberately and unconsciously to play,

6
to update this map has not yet occurred, but now, this reaction can go from a latent,
in the current form. Here, historically, much the same, including the inability to
further localize the national illusion of a purely economic sphere.
The main issue for the government today - the basis of its legitimacy in an
era of crisis. In the 90 years they were based on the energy gap with communism
and the opportunity to live without a state itself to build their lives and achieve
economic well-being, relying solely on its own.
In the 2000's, this legitimacy was based on economic growth, redistribution
of surplus commodities, television propaganda. In an era of crisis of economic
growth goes to the second plan, but only to promote the legitimacy of power can
not save. Beginning of the crisis is on the helix, facing down. In some sections it
appears that a bottom, but bottom local, stop in the downward trend. The crisis,
having the financial and economic stages, has all chances to become a social crisis.
Stage of social crisis in its most active phase of the system is updated as the
political crisis. To retain power, will have to resort to internal repression by the
principle - the procedure for the sake of order, the repression is not supported by
the aim of mobilizing as well as illegitimate in the eyes of society. High probability
that power will inevitably change, and change radically, as the ideological, as well
as on a personal level.
There is another way to not only hold power, but also to the Russian society
integrating non-economic objectives. Chief among them - the restoration of the
Russian imperial state. The question is not, of course, on the Central Asia and
Caucasus. It is literally on Solzhenitsyn, the reintegration phase of the imperial
state, the Slavic republics of the former Soviet Union, possibly with the
participation of Kazakhstan.
The most visible, understandable, the Russian society from such non-
economic goals, could become a reincarnation of Russian Empire, the embodiment
of today's in the air of imperial imperial spirit in the flesh.
At the level of ideas, responding to the question of why the Russian,
Belarusian, residents of eastern Ukraine - subetnosy one people, and have the right

7
to live in a single state, long time to explain to anyone in Russia to the east of
Ukraine, Belarus will not have to.
The ideology of the new association is simple - escape the crisis is possible
only within Russia, or with Russia. With regard to technologies such incarnation
empire, they could be buying «cheap» - of falling, the economy. The next phase -
the impact of involvement of groups, political parties, training, recruitment of pro-
Russian elites.
Reabilitiruem concept of empire
Empire - universum, incorporates the people, traditions and religion. No
matter what you blood, it is important that you serve the Empire. Empire was
founded on the idea of ministry.
Russia today, de facto, is not a national state, but the truncated version of the
Russian / Soviet empire.
If we still have an empire, then we open the path leading to a fundamentally
different purposes and results. The first way is to re-establish the territorial and
intellectual empire. The second path, with all possible options and
oposredovaniyah, the result is reduced to the territorial dekonstuktsii the Russian
state, the loss inoetnicheskih and inokulturnyh territories. Construction of the
actual nation-state even in the spirit of konstuktivizma, based on the civic nation,
perhaps not on the throughout the country, but rather within the borders of the
Moscow kingdom.
Before the Russian society and the government emerged two possible
alternatives.
The first - with a conservative, frost stops, one of which we are witnessing
today, to move to the third phase of deconstruction of the Russian state, in its
extreme form to the borders of the Moscow kingdom. In its current, intermediate
form, the Russian State netransformiruemo, and it will be before the end of drift
between the Empire and the nation state, democracy and authoritarianism.

8
 The second option - to try once again to begin the process of collecting the
imperial lands, hovers over the country to embody the spirit of imperial imperial
flesh.

The crisis and the new ideology

Let's try to muddle in the Russian air today, the spirit of the changing times,
the spirit, have already lined up not only our consciousness, but something which
determines the behavior. But the amazing deal: the real, including the hostilities in
South Ossetia, in the form of reflex responses were, as awareness of the causes and
consequences of these events, by and large there was not. No, and knowing that,
«who we are, where from and where we are going». Let us try to reflect on these
eternal, but especially relevant for today.
We believe that the events in Ossetia are much wider and more lasting
impact than a local change of state maps Caucasus hitch in the negotiations with
the European Union humanitarian aid cargo delivered by the American destroyer.
This entourage, the external decoration of deep historical processes. It is not so
much here in Georgia and Ossetia, and the phenomena in these events until then
predominantly latent historical megatrends. And megatrends that seeks self, rebuild
the Russian empire.
Events in the Caucasus showed that the external constraints that can not stop
the megatrends. There is not by NATO or by the United States. Moreover, in the
event of a serious deterioration of the economic crisis, growth vnutriamerikanskoy
ethnic and social tensions, the U.S. could return to the Monroe Doctrine, leaving
its military guardianship most of the regions of the world. Including the post-
Soviet space. It is not clear that it would be the countries of the former Warsaw
Pact countries, but is not a coincidence that today Poland is not relying on NATO
to seek to sign with the United States legally binding agreement on military
protection.

9
 But if more and more weak external constraints, there may be strong internal
constraints? Asking what the limits of mental picture of the world of Russian and
other peoples of Russia, including the Russian political elite, we find that such
restrictions are not the same.
Today remains the main resource for the physical reincarnation of the
Russian empire - the imperial public consciousness. It is imperial consciousness,
hitherto located predominantly in a latent form has been manifest in the real
politics in the Caucasus. This is a common consciousness in all circles of society,
is part of mental picture of the world. Reflection on this issue, including opinion
polls, does not always fix this consciousness, it is always updated but in times of
crisis stories.
In times of crisis, people come as received, there are often on a whim, rooted
in the psyche on notions of good and evil, should not be righteous and not
righteous. There are often no umeya explain why it is so. And imperial conscience
dictates.

10