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th
()
1 5 3 6
n < peoples, show that the probability that at least two peoples
()
365!13 6 5 3 6 5 !
n
Solution
The probability that at least two peoples have the same birthday could
bedetermined effortlessly if the probability that all birthdays are unique is known
. Thisis due to the fact that, instead of saying at least two people has the same birthday; itwould be
rather liable to express the situation as someone shares his/her birthday with at least someone else
()
P
A , thenthe probability that someone shares his/her birthday with at least someone else
( (
) )
selected at random from the sample of n peoples, and in order for all the birthdays are unique,
Person 1s birthday could fallon any one day out of 365 days. Or, in other words, there are 365 possible days
forhis/her to get born. Subsequently, if the second person (Person 2) is selected atrandom after Person 1 is
chosen, then there are 364 possible days remaining to bePerson 2s birthday in such a way that all
birthdays are unique.By assuming that the selection of people from the sample of n
peoples whosebirthday s are different is independent , then the total probability is equal to
()
P A , it would be much easier to consider a
()
P
tabulated in Table 1 as shown:Table 1: Computation of probability that all birthdays are unique from a
()
P365
ii
30 336 336/365Total
( (
3 6 6 5
) )
5 3 303
3 6
X AA
==
===
In terms of simplicity,
()
30
3653643 6 3 3 3 6 P36 5 A =
( )( )( )( )
303030
3653643 6 3 3 3 6 P36
5365!3 6 5 ! 3 6 5 3 6 4 3 6 3 3 3 6 3 3 5 3 3 4 3 3 3 1 36 530!3 6 5 3 0 ! 3 3 5 3
As a result, if the sample consists of n people, then the probability that at least
( ) ( ) ( )( )( )
P1P365!P 1 w h e r e 1 3 6 5 ( S h o w n ) 3 6 5 3 6 5 !
n
AAAn n = = <