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=
=
n
i
pi X Xpi ai X
n
i
Xai
pi X Xpi ai X
n
i
Xai
R
1
2
) (
2
)
1
(
) )(
1
(
(18)
where Xai and Xpi are measured and computed values; ai X and pi X are average values of Xai and
Xpi values respectively; i represents index number and n is the total number of concentration
observations.
3.2. Root mean square error (RMSE)
Mean-squared error is the most commonly used measure of success of numeric prediction,
and root mean-squared error is the square root of mean-squared-error; take to give it the same
dimensions as the predicted values themselves. The root mean squared error (RMSE) is computed as:
=
=
n
i
Xpi Xai
n
RMSE
1
)
2
) ( (
1
(19)
3.3. Normalized Error (NE)
The NE, which is a measure of the methodology performance, is defined as:
NE =
ai
X
Xpi Xai ) (
(20)
3.4. Standard Error of Estimates (SEE)
The standard error of estimate (SEE) is an estimate of the mean deviation of the regression
from observed data. It is defined as:
) 2 (
1
) (
=
n
n
i
Xpi Xai
SEE (21)
3.4. Model Efficiency (NashSutcliffe Coefficient
The model efficiency (ME
Nash
), an evaluation criterion proposed by Nash and Sutcliffe
(1970), is employed to evaluate the performance of the developed model. It is defined as:
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 6308 (Print),
ISSN 0976 6316(Online) Volume 4, Issue 4, July-August (2013), IAEME
175
=
n
i
ai X
ai
X
n
i
pi
X
i
Xa
1
2
) (
2
)
1
(
0 . 1
Nash
ME
(22)
A value of 90% and above indicates very satisfactory performance; a value in the range of
8090% indicates fairly good performance.
4. ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
ANNs are good alternative candidates for traditional modeling techniques in the solution of
large scale complex problems, such as pattern recognition, nonlinear modeling, classification and
control (Tayfur and Singh, 2006). ANN is a broad term covering a large variety of network
architecture, the most common of which is a multilayer perceptron. In applications, a single hidden
layer-feed forward type of ANN is shown to have universal approximation ability and they are also
relatively easier to train (Figure 2). There is no definite formula that can be used to calculate the
number hidden layer(s) and number of nodes in the hidden layer(s) before the training starts, and
usually determined by trial-and-error method. Present paper utilized Levenberg- Marquardt (LM)
algorithm to optimize the weights and biases in the network.
Figure 2. feed forward ANN architecture
4.1. Development of ANN Model
The MATLAB-NEURAL NETWORKS TOOL BOX software from MATLAB (2007)
version was used to perform the necessary computations. For the purpose of this research work,
experimentation was performed with several network architectures to determine the most appropriate
model. The optimum number of neurons in the hidden layer was determined by varying their number
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 6308 (Print),
ISSN 0976 6316(Online) Volume 4, Issue 4, July-August (2013), IAEME
176
starting with a minimum of 1 then increasing the network size in steps by adding1 neurons each time.
The performance of the network during the training process was examined for each network size
until no significant improvement was observed. As a result, the best-suited network architecture was
determined to have: (a) One input neurons (Flow rate or discharge), (b) One hidden layer with 2
neurons, (c) Four output neuron. (Depth of flow, width of the channel and side slope z
1,
z
2
) and (d)
Tangent hyperbolic function in the hidden layer Out of total 100 data sets, 75 are utilized for
training and 25 for testing the ANN architecture. The progress of the training process was monitored
by observing the mean sum squared error at every iteration of the back propagation process. The
results are shown in Fig. 3.
Figure 3. Variations of training error with number of epochs
The best performing ANN architecture was obtained by experimentations (with trial and error
by increasing or decreasing the number of neurons in hidden layer).
5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
The work presented herein utilizes the ANN technique to model and prediction of depth of
flow, width of the channel and side slopes for varying discharge. Most of the previous works
obtained optimal section for a specified flow (discharge) value (Das, 2000; Jain et al., 2004;
Bhattacharjya, 2007). Since flow is highly uncertain hydrological phenomenon, this methodology
addresses the change in flow and corresponding change in optimal dimensions. In the present work,
network with two hidden neurons, 1-2-4, was found to perform better. Out of 75 data sets some
results obtained from ANN model training are shown in TABLE 1 and out of 25 data set some result
obtained from ANN model testing are shown in TABLE 2. The final results are presented in TABLE
3. Results confirm that ANN model is able to perform to high degree of accuracy. However, the
prediction error is more in testing as evident from the scatter plots for testing data.
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 6308 (Print),
ISSN 0976 6316(Online) Volume 4, Issue 4, July-August (2013), IAEME
177
Table1. Results obtained from ANN Model in training
Table2. Results obtained from ANN Model in testing
Table3. Training and testing results for ANN Model , 1-2-4
The results show normalized error less than one percent and model efficiency (Nash and
Sutcliffe, 1970) more than 98 percent in both training and testing. Thus, the initial results are
encouraging and demonstrate the potential applicability of the methodology. An extensive evaluation
of ANN architecture with observed data is also required for fully establishes the methodology.
6. CONCLUSIONS
The optimization formulation based ANN methodology is presented in this work for optimal
design of irrigation channels. The performance evaluations show high predictive accuracy in both
training and testing data. This certainly establishes the application of the methodology. The study
based upon limited flow and channel section constraints. An extensive evaluation is required with
increased number of flow constraints (e.g., steady and unsteady; critical and super critical flows etc.)
and channel stability criteria.
Disch. Actual Values ANN Model- Predicted Values
Q Width Depth side side Cost Width Depth side side Cost
slope slope slope slope
(w) (h) (k
1
) (k
2
) (S) (w) (h) (k
1
) (k
2
) (S)
99.72 4.692 4.837 0.238 0.255 23.124 4.692 4.837 0.239 0.255 23.123
112.07 4.884 5.050 0.242 0.260 24.944 4.884 5.050 0.242 0.260 24.943
129.85 5.138 5.331 0.247 0.266 27.458 5.138 5.331 0.247 0.266 27.456
134.57 5.202 5.402 0.248 0.268 28.109 5.202 5.402 0.248 0.268 28.107
166.10 5.595 5.838 0.254 0.276 32.290 5.595 5.838 0.254 0.276 32.189
Disch. Actual Values ANN Model- Predicted Values
Q Width Depth side side Cost Width Depth side side Cost
slope slope slope slope
(w) (h) (k
1
) (k
2
) (S) (w) (h) (k
1
) (k
2
) (S)
91.70 4.559 4.691 0.236 0.251 21.906 4.559 4.690 0.236 0.251 21.905
104.29 4.765 4.918 0.240 0.257 23.805 4.765 4.918 0.240 0.257 23.805
129.43 5.133 5.325 0.247 0.266 27.402 5.133 5.325 0.247 0.266 27.401
142.61 5.308 5.519 0.250 0.270 29.201 5.308 5.518 0.250 0.270 29.201
155.91 5.474 5.703 0.252 0.273 30.967 5.474 5.703 0.252 0.273 30.966
Training or Performance Evaluation statistics
Testing
NE RMSE R SSE ME
Nash
Training 8.91251E-05 0.0005 0.99 0.0002 0.99
Testing 8.78253E-05 0.0004 0.99 0.0004 0.99
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET), ISSN 0976 6308 (Print),
ISSN 0976 6316(Online) Volume 4, Issue 4, July-August (2013), IAEME
178
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Approach International Journal of Civil Engineering & Technology (IJCIET), Volume 4,
Issue 3, 2013, pp. 98 - 110, ISSN Print: 0976 6308, ISSN Online: 0976 6316,
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[20] Dr. Laith Khalid Al- Hadithy, Dr. Khalil Ibrahim Aziz and Mohammed Kh. M. Al-Fahdawi,
Flexural Behavior of Composite Reinforced Concrete T-Beams Cast in Steel Channels with
Horizontal Transverse Bars as Shear Connectors, International Journal of Civil Engineering
& Technology (IJCIET), Volume 4, Issue 2, 2013, pp. 215 - 230, ISSN Print: 0976 6308,
ISSN Online: 0976 6316.