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DENNIS NORMILE
10
Dark Mysteries
Humans are now pumping more than 7 gigatons* of CO2 into the atmosphere each year, but scientists figure only about 50% remains there. Where does the rest of it go? Possibilities include greater-than-expected uptake by northern forests, the oceans, and desert soils. Solving the mystery is more difficult because of uncertainties about how much carbon is going where. Estimates of the amount of carbon emitted by clearing forests could be off by as much as 100%, according to the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, though other flux estimates are believed to be closer to the mark.
8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 1850
Accumulations
CREDIT (TOP TO BOTTOM):
Emissions from fossil fuel Net release from land-use change Unidentified sink Atmospheric accumulation Oceanic uptake 1865 1880 1895 1910 1925 1940 1955 1970 1985 2000
1642
SPECIAL SECTION
25 20 15 RCO2 10 5 0 -600
Yapp (6) Mora (6, 7) Cerling (6) Sinha (8) Andrews (8) Ghosh (8)
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
1643