last year average 47.8 with the standard deviation of 14.

7
Number of employee Days that number
absent
f*M
was absent "f" Median, M f*M
20
29
5
24.5
122.5
3,001
30
39
9
34.5
310.5
10,712
40
49
8
44.5
356
15,842
50
59
10
54.5
545
29,703
60
69
12
64.5
774
49,923
70
79
11
74.5
819.5
61,053
80
89
8
84.5
676
57,122
90
99
3
94.5
283.5
26,791
total
66
3887
254,147
mean Xg =
58.89
Mode_g =
Sample Variationi s_g =
388.09
Sample Standard Variation s =
19.70
Conclusion :

last year average = 47.8, median of 13.2, mode of 14.5, ans variance s = 8.21
Hour of completion
5
7
9
11
13
15

total

Conclusion :

7
9
11
13
15
17

Number of time
the task took this Median, M f*M
long
4
6
8
8
12
10
8
12
5
14
2
16

39
mean Xg =
Mode_g =
Sample Variationi s_g =
Sample Standard deviation s =

10.41
7.20
2.68

f*M
24
64
120
96
70
32

144
512
1,200
1,152
980
512

406

4,500

Binomial Distribution Probability - a Discrete

P(x) = n!*()^r*(1-)^(n-r) / x!(n-r) !
n=
x, r =
=
1-

10
4
20%
80%

P(4) =

probability that out of n number of worker

a given number x would be interested in joiining in group of n
Probability of success as percentage
Probability of failure

0.08808

given ;

only 20% of the civilian employee at a restricted miliatary base carry their personal identification.
If 10 employee arrive, what is the probability that the security guard will find
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)

8
4
4
5
4

empolyee with identification

empolyee with identification
at least employee with identification
the most employee with identification
7
between 4 and 7 with identification

P(8) =
P(4) =
P(4 at least) =
P(5 the most) =
P(4 between7) =

x=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

onal identification.

0.00007373
0.08808
0.12087
0.99363
0.12080

0.12087

P (x) =
0.10737418
0.26843546
0.30198989
0.20132659
0.08808038
0.02642412
0.00550502
0.00078643
0.00007373
0.00000410
0.00000010

Binomial Distribution Probability - a Discrete

P(x) = n!*()^r*(1-)^(n-r) / x!(n-r) !
n=
x, r =
=
1-

12
5
35%
65%

P(5) =

probability that out of n number of worker

a given number x would be interested in joiining in group of n
Probability of success as percentage
Probability of failure

0.20392

given ;

only 20% of the civilian employee at a restricted miliatary base carry their personal identification.
If 10 employee arrive, what is the probability that the security guard will find
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)

4
3
4
5
4

empolyee with identification

empolyee with identification
at least employee with identification
the most employee with identification
8
between 4 and 7 with identification

P(4) =
P(3) =
P(4 at least) =
P(5 the most) =
P(4 between8) =

x=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

onal identification.

0.23669235
0.19537
0.65335
0.78726
0.64774

0.65327

P (x) =
0.00568801
0.03675329
0.10884628
0.19536512
0.23669235
0.20391957
0.12810332
0.05912461
0.01989770
0.00476184
0.00076922
0.99992131

0.15128758

Binomial Distribution Probability - a Discrete

P(x) = n!*()^r*(1-)^(n-r) / x!(n-r) !
n=
x, r =
=
1-

10
5
60%
40%

P(5) =

probability that out of n number of worker

a given number x would be interested in joiining in group of n
Probability of success as percentage
Probability of failure

0.20066

given ;

only 20% of the civilian employee at a restricted miliatary base carry their personal identification.
If 10 employee arrive, what is the probability that the security guard will find
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)

8
4
4
5
4

empolyee with identification

empolyee with identification
at least employee with identification
the most employee with identification
7
between 4 and 7 with identification

Normal Distribution Z
Z=
-0.85
P(-0.85) =
0.3023
P(Z> -0.85) =
0.8023
P(Z< -0.85) =
0.1977

0.15
0.0596

<Z<
0.2642

0.93
0.3238

P(8) =
P(4) =
P(4 at least) =
P(5 the most) =
P(4 between7) =

x=
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

onal identification.

P (x) =
0.00010486
0.00157286
0.01061683
0.04246733
0.11147674
0.20065812
0.25082266
0.21499085
0.12093235
0.04031078
0.00604662

0.28
0.25
0.23
0.20
0.18
0.15
0.13
0.10
0.08
0.05
0.03
0.00

0.12093235
0.11148
0.94524
0.36690
0.77795

0.94524

10

11

12

Normal Distribution Probability

average is
standard devication
Normal Distribution Z
Z=
0
P(0) =
0.0000
P(Z> 0) =
0.5000
P(Z< 0) =
0.5000
Z=
P(-0.99) =
P(Z> -0.99) =
P(Z< -0.99) =
Z=
P(2.24) =
P(Z> 2.24) =
P(Z< 2.24) =

-0.99
0.3389
0.8389
0.1611

Z = (X - u )/

35,000
1114
35000

0.18
0.0714

<Z<

1.71
0.4564

0.3849

33900 less than

2.24
37500 less than
0.4875 so this amount is more than average
0.9875 the probability of Z>2.24 more than average
0.0125

Z = 2.2441652
x=
37500
X=
35000
=
1114

Poission Probability

you are purchase bicycle parts form a supplier in Toledo that has 3 defects per 100 parts.
You are in the market for 150 parts but will no accept a probability of more than 50 percent that mor
than two parts are defectives. Do you buy from this supplier ?

u = nP
n=
P=
0 P(0) =
1 P(1) =
2 P(2) =
1-(P0+P1+P2) =

0.8264

4.5
150
3%
0.0111
0.0500
0.1125

defects per 100 parts.

of more than 50 percent that more

The population of miles driven by trucker for over the road va lines exhibits a mean of 8500,
with a standard deviation of 1950. if a sample of n = 100 drivers is taken, what is the probability the mean will :
a- exceed 8900 ?
b- Be less than 8000 ?
c- Between 8200 and 8700 ?
d- Between 8100 and 8400 ?
a) - probability of the mean exceed :
n = 100
= 1950
X = 8900
u = 8500
Z = 2.05

`==> P =

8900

Z = (X - u )/(/n)

Z> 0 mean at the right side

P (more than 8900) =

0.4798
0.47988
0.0202

b) - P (less than 8000)

8000
Z=
-2.56
`==> P =

0.49483

Z < 0 mean at the left side

P (less than 8000) =

0.00517

c) - P (between 8200 and 8700 )

8200
Z=
-1.54
`==> P =
8700
Z=
1.03
`==> P =

0.43803

P (between 8200 and 8700 ) =

0.78550

d) - P (between 8100 and 8400 )

8100
Z=
-2.0513
`==> P =
8400
Z=
-0.5128
`==> P =

0.47988

P (between 8200 and 8700 ) =

0.28392

0.34747

0.19596

ean of 8500,
s the probability the mean will :

Sampling distribution for proportions

E(p) = p/K
Expected value of the sampling distribution
K is the number of successes
Each sample will have its own proportion of successes p
what is the probability it will be placed on the next ballot ?
= 0.82
n=
p=

82%
1000
85%

p =
0.0121
Z=
2.4693
Probability of Z =
0.4932
so the probaility to be place in the next ballot is

0.9932

Z = (p - )/p
p = sqrt(*(1-)/n)

Sampling distribution for proportions

E(p) = p/K
Expected value of the sampling distribution
K is the number of successes
Each sample will have its own proportion of successes p
what is the probability the current plan will be supplemented ?
= 0.82
n=
p=

65%
100
60%

p =
0.0477
Z=
-1.0483
Probability of Z =
0.3527
so the probaility current plan will be supplimented

0.1473

Z = (p - )/p
p = sqrt(*(1-)/n)