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Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong. Murphys Law FMEA is an opportunity to defeat Murphys law
14 June 2013 TCS Confidential
Why FMEA?
Toyota incurred $ 2Bn due to sales halt and massive recalls in 2009-10:
- 4.3 Mn vehicles for incorrect floor mats causing accelerator pedals getting stuck with floor mat.
- 2.3 Mn vehicles for issues with sticking accelerator pedals due to increased friction from shoe on the pedal.
Increased friction
Not doing thorough analysis on unexpected things could cost Billions to companies
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Why FMEA?
Tata Nano fire Insufficient cooling? Foreign body in exhaust? Burst fuel pipe?
Tire burst due to mudflap bracket that came loose on one bolt and rubbed on tire at high speeds
Kansas city Hyatt Regency walkway collapse Unexpected load transfer caused failure and killed 114
Not doing thorough analysis on unexpected things could cause safety issues
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Why FMEA?
Got a scissor to cut! But, wait! How do we cut the tab?
Envision Tiltable screen - Good! But things inside the cup holder falls when we tilt!
Got a cactus shaped pencil! Cool! But, How do we use the eraser?
Not doing thorough analysis on unexpected things could cause user inconveniences/ dissatisfaction
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Why FMEA?
Expecting the unexpected and being prepared for the same is the essence of FMEA Eventually leads to a robust product : A product that is insensitive to the variations/ noise factors. Example Ambassador car is termed as robust because It can run on any type of roads Driven by variety of drivers Runs on adulterated petrol Saves the occupants in case of accidents Carry as many people as can get in
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FMEA
Tool for Risk Identification and Mitigation in NPD process Methodology of identifying ways in which a product or process can fail and plan how to prevent the failures. Systematic / Efficient thinking Process to ensure the quality & reliability of a product or service. Helps To Identify, Control & Document - Various Failure Modes - Special Characteristics - Design Deficiency Links Failure Cause to Effect
FMEA attempts to beat Murphys Law
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Background
Developed in United States Military. Governing standard is MIL-P-1629. FMEA was used as reliability evaluation technique to determine the system / equipment failure. Failures were categorized according to their impact on mission success and personnel / equipment safety.
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Motivation to do FMEA
Need for right first time Need for preventive (not corrective) approach To identify any inadequacies in development of the product Limit tests and trails to a few products To meet regulatory requirements Need for Continuous Improvement
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FMEA Types
System FMEA also called Concept FMEA, it is used to analyze systems at early concept and design stages; focus on failure modes caused by design to the functions of the system Project / Program FMEA to foresee what can go wrong with a major project Design FMEA - to analyze products before production release thru focus on potential failure modes caused by design deficiencies. Process FMEA to analyze processes like manufacturing, assembly, etc. i.e. potential failure modes caused by process deficiencies.
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FMEA Types
Service FMEA - focuses on service functions Application FMEA - focuses on how the end-customer uses the product Equipment FMEA - focuses on machinery, equipment or tooling, which are generally one-off in nature Software FMEA focuses on software functions
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1. Select the Team 6. Determine the potential 2. Understand the failure modes 11. Calculate RPN for Product 7. List the potential each failure mode / Process effects 12. Determine & 3. Study the Application of the failure undertake of the Product / 8. Brainstorm the recommended actions Process and review potential and document key elements causes of the failure 4. Understand the Control 9. Check the current 13. Recalculate RPNs system in place controls 14. Repeat cycle till 5. Identify functions, 10.Assign ratings to reliable solution is create boundary Severity, Occurrence obtained diagram & Interface & Detection matrix
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FMEA - Template
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Functions are design intent or engineering requirement of the system Identify Primary and Secondary Functions Guideline to Identify Functions What the Item supposed to do? How Much? When? What the item is not supposed to do? Example for Pen Functions are To write (P) To enable Grip (S) Write continuously - (P) Should not damage the paper (P)
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Failure Mode Pen not writing Could not make continuous stroke Not writing when the environment is cold Damaging the paper Failure mode type could be No Function Total Shutdown Partial / Over Function / Degraded over time Intermittent Failure Unintended Function
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Effects Identified by answering following questions, If Failure Mode happens, What are the consequences on Parts / Sub Components Next level Assembly System Whole Unit Customer/Government regulations
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Rank 1 2 3 4
Moderate
Significant Major Extreme Serious Hazardous
5
6 7 8 9 10
Criteria: Severity of Effect No effect Customer not annoyed. Very slight effect on product performance. Non-vital fault noticed sometimes. Customer slightly annoyed. Slight effect on product performance. Non-vital fault noticed most of the time. Customer experiences minor nuisance. Minor effect on product performance. Fault does not require repair. Non-vital fault always noticed. Customer experiences some dissatisfaction. Moderate effect on product performance. Fault on non-vital part requires repair. Customer experiences discomfort. Product performance degraded, but operable and safe. Nonvolatile part inoperable. Customer dissatisfied. Product performance severely affected but functional and safe. Subsystem inoperable. Customer very dissatisfied. Product inoperable but safe. System inoperable. Potential hazardous effect. Able to stop product without mishap, time-dependent failure. Compliance with government regulation is in jeopardy. Hazardous effect. Safety related - sudden failure. Noncompliance with government regulation.
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Since the Gondola is suspended well above the ground, if it were to fall the result could certainly be the death or serious injury of the occupants. Hence Severity 10 chosen.
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What might cause Failure? Two assumptions when cause is to be investigated - Item manufactured and assembled within engineering specifications; Parts made to print - Design may include deficiency that may cause unacceptable variation. Noise factors from P- Diagram will become an input here Root Cause must be done, when severity is 9 or 10.
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Why would the cable break? We need to brainstorm the potential causes that might make the cable break.
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- Number of failures happened / anticipated to happen during the product life cycle. - If data for the failure mode is not available, then the ranking should be based on the probability of failure
Occurrence Almost impossible Remote Very slight Slight Low Medium Moderately high High Very high Almost certain Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Criteria: Likelihood of Occurrence Failure unlikely. History shows no failures. Rare number of failures likely. Very few failures likely. Few failures likely. Occasional number of failures likely. Medium number of failures likely. Moderately high number of failures likely. High number of failures likely. Very high number of failures likely. Failure almost certain. History of failures exist from previous/similar design
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In 1998 a US Marine Jet impacted the cable supporting a cable car and resulted in the deaths of the 20 people. Since this "cause" has already occurred, it is not a 1. After taking into account the proximity of the lift to military training areas and the height of the lift, assigned an occurrence of 3. A similar analysis resulted in an occurrence of 10 for corrosion (the cable is going to corrode) and 1 for Max Strength Exceeded.
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Identifying controls; Historical methods used Previous FMEA Previous Design Verification Plan Reliability & Robustness checklist Previous Test Report Design review, CFD, CAE, Mathematical Modeling, etc. New controls needed to be identified through brainstorming.
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Corrosion- If the cable is coated with an overcoat that will prevent corrosion it would be noted as the current design control. If we use an electromagnetic instrument to detect corrosion damage in the cable, this would be also be noted. Max Strength Exceeded - The cable includes a 10X safety margin and instrumentation to detect increasing loads due to increased winds. Aircraft Collision - The current system has no method of preventing or detecting an aircraft collision.
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Detection
Almost certain Very High High Moderately High Moderate Low Very Low Remote Very Remote Absolute Uncertainty
Rank
1 2 3
4
5 6 7 8 9 10
We have almost no chance of detecting an aircraft collision before it occurs. Therefore, using the detection table the "Det" value for "Aircraft Collision" is 10.
The corrosion sensor is run daily and so the detection rating for "Corrosion" is 1.
The load sensor is run continuously and hence the detection rating is 1.
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Calculate RPN
RPN = SEV x OCC x DET
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RPN Interpretation-Example
Case 1 S=5; O=5; D=2; RPN = 50; Case 2 S=3; O=3; D=6; RPN = 54; Case 3 S=2; O=10; D=10; RPN= 200; Case 4 S=9; O=2; D=3; RPN= 54;
RPN Interpretation-Example
Dont go by just RPN; Look at individual Rankings Case 1: High Risk to Customer Satisfaction Sev. > or = to 5 and Occ > or = 4; Potential significant characteristics Case 2: OK Case 3: Annoyance; Try to improve O Case 4: Extreme Safety/Regulatory Risk =9 & 10 Severity Consider Detection only as a measure of Test Capability; Avoid using it for improving the RPN
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Engineering assessment, for preventive / corrective actions, should be done for high severity & high RPN failure mode. If there is no action planned, enter None or Not at this time in this column.
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We need to take actions to reduce the RPN of this item since the severity is 10. For example, placing beacons on the tops of the towers that support the cable would make it easier for the pilots to see that a hazard is in their path (much like the large blinking red lights on the top of radio towers). This would greatly decrease the probability of occurrence. We would therefore update our FMEA to include this action.
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Detection
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Enter the individual responsible for the action items. Enter a due date for each action item.
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Action items implementation and follow up needs to be monitored closely. Action items results should be updated in the FMEA chart and recalculate the RPN.
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FMEA example
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Limitations of FMEA
Resources need to be dedicated in performing FMEA. This calls for effort and time. Key product failures may get overlooked by the team FMEA proposes but may not result in corrective action, Team composition is critical and results may vary depending on that Also, team composition not including all stake-holders may lead to a less comprehensive analysis FMEA is required to be a generative process and needs the report to be worked on several times during development cycle
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FMEA Exercise
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Sources of information
Knowmax Home -> iQMS wiki (under KM Platforms) -> iQMS classic -> TCS-iQMS-135 (Mechanical Design Methods Guidelines)
Good books on FMEA Other Websites
www.weibull.com www.npd-solutions.com/fmea www.fmea-fmeca.com
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Thank You
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DFMEA Tools
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TCS Confidential
F M A
Boundary Diagram
Simple Block Diagram, which is a key first step of DFMEA Blocks in the diagram represent major functions Sets Boundary and defines element positions for the analysis Defines relationship among elements (sub-systems, assemblies or components), as well as the interfaces with neighbours and the environment Identifies Noise Factors. Gives input to Interface Matrix and P-Diagram
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Spring
Refill
Knob
PEN Assembly
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(Speedometer & Sensor) Lubrication System -Dyna/FLT; physical interface -Buell; material exchange Engine Management System (ECM) Shift Mechanism Shifter Cam Assembly Shifter Forks/Rails/Drums Synchronizers Shifter Controls/Shafts/Links/Pedals Shift Mechanism Accessories Crank Case System (Mid Weight)
DFMEA Boundary Physical Energy Data Materials
Transmission/Gearing
Transmission Case/Covers/Gaskets Main shaft Bearings/Bushings/Seals Main shaft Gears Countershaft/Bearings/Bushings/Seals Countershaft Gears Transmission/Gearing Accessories
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Interface Matrix
An input to the Potential Causes of Failure. Mainly captures the type of interactions and their importance for system functioning
Failure mode.
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Material Exchange Identify positive and negative interactions. While positive interactions are expected, negative interactions are unexpected. For every interaction both positive and negative must be verified
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Power Conversion Unit Motor / Gear Box Park Mechanism Acuation Halfshafts (2) Mounting sub frame #1 Mounting sub frame #2 Mounting sub frame #3 PCU Signal Connector Shield Motor Power leads High voltage power leads (positive) High voltage power leads (negative) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2 2
2 -2
-2
P E I M
2 Necessary for function 1 Beneficial, but not absolutely necessary for functionality Does not affect functionality -1 Causes negative effects but does not prevent functionality -2 Must be prevented to achieve functionality
2 Necessary for function 1 Beneficial, but not absolutely necessary for functionality Does not affect functionality -1 Causes negative effects but does not prevent functionality -2 Must be prevented to achieve functionality
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P-diagram
A structured tool recommended to identify the intended inputs (called signal factor) and outputs (called response variable) Once these desired outputs are defined, the following are identified (in order) error states noise factors that could lead to the error states control factors P - Diagram is essentially a schematic diagram that encompasses signal factor, control factor, noise factor and response variable.
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P-diagram (Sample)
Noise Factors 1. Piece to piece variation
Case variation -center variation Fork variation Drum variation Lubricant quality Speed Sensor Bearing plate variation Gear variation Assembly Process Variation Frame variation Torque on fasteners
2. Other systems
Case and Bearings Speed Sensor Primary drive / clutch Secondary Drive External Shift Linkage Engine Lubrication system Hydraulic Clutch Cover System Exhaust
Potential Causes
5. Environment
Poor road conditions Contamination Air and temp changes
Input
Engine RPM and torque Gear selection / shift input Rear wheel input on coast Clutch drag torque Heat and vibration from engine Secondary drive belt tension Vibration Energy Vehicle inputs - Strain, twist, vibration
Transmission System
Transfer power from engine to rear wheel Meet noise regulation requirements (NVH) Reduce speed from engine to rear wheel Can not effect current emissions performance No measurable decrease in shift quality Must meet Durability requirements Provide a clean signal to the vehicle speed sensor Must maintain clearance to other engine components Must interface with vehicle frame system Must interfece with engine management system Must interface with external shifter linkages Must interface with starter system Must interface with engine lube system Must interface with secondary drive system Must interface with primary drive system must interface with evaporative emisions system Must provide acceptable ground for electrical system Must maintain acceptable rider interface ergonomics Must have approiate gear ratios for vehicle applications Must meet styling requirements Must meet current cosmetic zoning reqs. Must meet social noise reqs. Must deliver acceptable handling characteristics Design meets the needs of the shipping duty cycle
Design Function
Error states
Does not transfer power from engine to rear wheel Does not meet noise regulations requirements Fails to reduce speed from engine to rear wheel Effects current emissions performance Change in shift quality Does not meet durability requirements Does not provide a clean signal to the vehicle speed sensor Interference with other engine components Does not interface with other vehicle components Does not provide electrical ground poor rider ergonimics excessive social noise poor handling characteristics does not meet assemblability requirements damage during shipping cannot operate in required ambient temps
Control factors
Emissions Regulations NVH Passby Regulations - EEC 97/24/Ch. 9 - Europe - Australia ADR 39/00 - Japan MOT articles 30 & 31 - Korean EPA Notice 91-26
- Mexican Noise Emission Standard NOM-082-ECOL-1994
Design Controls
Failure Modes
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