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CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA FINAL EXAMINATION

COURSE COURSE CODE EXAMINATION TIME

STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERING QMT500 JANUARY 2013 3 HOURS

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES 1. 2. 3. This question paper consists of five (5) questions. Answer ALL questions in the Answer Booklet. Start each answer on a new page. Do not bring any material into the examination room unless permission is given by the invigilator. Please check to make sure that this examination pack consists of: i) ii) iii) iv) the Question Paper a two - page Appendix 1 (Key Formulas) an Answer Booklet - provided by the Faculty Statistical Table - provided by the Faculty

DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO

This examination paper consists of 6 printed pages
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CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

QUESTION 1 a) A smartphone dealer guarantees that he will repair, free-of-charge, any smartphone that proves to be defective within warranty periods. Based on previous experience 9% of smartphone have to be repaired under guarantee. i) If a random sample of 50 smartphones are selected, what is the probability at most 5 units require repair under guarantee. If the average cost of repair is RM250, calculate the expected repair bill for a sample of 17 smartphones. (4 marks)

ii)

b)

Customers arrive at a counter according to a Poisson distribution at an average of 15 customers per hour. What is the probability that i) ii) iii) No more than 10 customers arrive in one hour? At least 7 customers arrive in one hour? Exactly 20 customers arrive in two hours? (4 marks)

c)

The net amount of fresh orange produced by Healthy Drink Sdn. Bhd. has a normal distribution with a mean of 130 milliliters and standard deviation of 15 milliliters. i) What is the probability that a randomly selected bottle of fresh orange contains 125 to 132 milliliters of fresh orange? A bottle of fresh orange will be rejected if it contains less than 120 milliliters. What is the probability that a randomly selected bottle of fresh orange will be accepted? Let X denotes the net amount of fresh orange in a bottle produced by Healthy Drink Sdn. Bhd. If P (X > c) = 10%, estimate the value of c. (12 marks)

ii)

iii)

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CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

QUESTION 2 Mr. Danial, a manager of Financial Services Company, believes that there is a relationship between the number of clients contacts of its agents (X) and their average sales volume (Y). To document this assertion, the manager gathered the following sample information of last month client contacts and sales volume from ten of its agents. Client Contacts 14 12 20 16 46 23 48 50 55 50 Sales Volume 24 14 28 30 80 30 90 85 120 110 .

a)

Calculate the Pearson product moment correlation coefficient between client contacts and sales volume. Comment on the relationship between these two variables. Find the simple linear regression model. Interpret the value of slope in the regression equation. Compute the coefficient of determination. Explain the meaning. At the 1% significance level, can we conclude that the linear regression model is significant? (20 marks)

b) c) d) e)

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CONFIDENTIAL QUESTION 3 a)

CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

The following two-way contingency table presents data from the study of coronary heart disease. The first factor concerns the presence or absence of coronary heart disease and the second factor is serum cholesterol at three levels. CORONARY DISEASE Present Absent i) SERUM CHOLESTEROL LEVEL >260 200 - 259 41 39 245 685

<200 12 307

State the hypotheses for testing whether there is association between coronary disease and serum cholesterol level. Is there any association between coronary disease and serum cholesterol level? Test at 5% significant level. (7 marks)

ii)

b)

Four different machines are used to assemble a particular product. Six different operators are to be used in an experiment to compare the machines. The machines are randomly assigned to each operator. The operation of the machines requires physical skill and it is anticipated that there will be a difference in the speed at which they operate the machine. The duration of time (in seconds) to assemble the product was recorded as follows: Machine A B C D Operator 3 4 39.6 39.9 40.5 42.3 41.3 43.4 43.5 44.2 164.9 169.8

1 42.5 39.8 40.2 41.3 163.8

2 39.3 40.1 40.5 42.2 162.1

5 42.9 42.5 44.9 45.9 176.2

6 43.6 43.1 45.1 42.3 174.1

5>
247.8 248.3 255.4 259.4 1010.9

2>

Given: x2 = 42661.81
i) ii) iii) What is the type of experimental design used in this study? Construct a complete analysis of variance table. Test the hypothesis that the machines perform at the same mean rate of speed. Use a 5% level of significance. Is there sufficient evidence to indicate that the mean rate of speed differ for each operator? Test at 5% level of significance. (13 marks)

iv)

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CONFIDENTIAL QUESTION 4

CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

Students in health-fitness program have their body fat percentage measured at the beginning of the semester. The following measurements give percentages for 10 men and 10 women. Assume that the body fat percentages for the two populations are normally distributed with unequal variances.

Males Females

11.10 7.89 22.90 25.03

19.50 12.10 31.60 26.90

14.00 8.30 27.70 25.75

8.30 12.31 21.70 23.63

12.40 10.00 19.36 25.06

a)

Find the point estimates for the population mean and variance for both male and female students. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean of body fat for male students. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the variance of body fat for male students. Test at 5% level of significance whether the assumption that the two populations have unequal variances is true. Using the result obtained in part (d), is there an evidence to conclude that there is a significant difference in mean body fat between male and female studeents. Use 5% significance level. (20 marks)

b) c) d)

e)

QUESTION 5 a) A study was made to compare three display panels for use by air traffic controllers. Each display panel was tested for four different simulated emergency conditions. Twenty-four highly trained air traffic controllers were used in the study. Two controllers were randomly assigned to each display panel-emergency condition combination. The time (in seconds) required to stabilize the emergency condition was recorded. The data are as follows: Display panel A B C Emergencyf 2 1 17 25 24 14 15 22 19 21 29 21 28 24 condil ion 4 3 14 31 34 13 9 28 31 10 32 15 37 19
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6 Dependent Variable: y Source of Variation Display panel Emergency Display*Emergency Error Sum of Squares 218.583 1247.458 16.417 49.5

CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

i) ii)

Complete the ANOVA table, Test at a=0.01 H0: There is no interaction between display panel and emergency condition.

iii)

Test by using a=0.01

#o:
HA

= V-B = V-c

(12 marks) b) A set of data consisting of 1,000 monthly salaries were obtained and represented in the following table. Interval (RM) Less than 800 800 < 1,000 1,000 < 1,200 1,200 < 1,400 1,400 < 1,600 1,600 or above Observed Frequency 26 146 361 311 143 13 Probability 0.023 0.136 0.341 0.341 0.136 0.023

Perform a goodness of fit analysis at 5% significance level to determine whether a normal distribution with mean RM1.200 and standard deviation RM200 is an adequate model for the data. (8 marks)

END OF QUESTION PAPER

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APPENDIX 1(1) KEY FORMULAS

CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

Binomial probability formula

p(x) = P(X = x) =

p x (1-p) n - x ; x = 0,1.2,

Poisson probability formula

p(x) = P(X = x)= ^

; x = 0,1,2

CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Parameter & description Mean (a of a normal distribution, variance a 2 unknown Two-sided (1 - a)100% confidence interval
f

x t a/2

df = n - 1

vVny

Difference in means of two normal distributions ^ - |i 2 , variances a-,2 = a22 and unknown

(xi-x2)ta/2sp^-^;

df = ni + n 2 - 2 ,

sD =

1^-1)3^+(r\z-H)s2z n^ + n 2 - 2

Difference in means of two normal distributions ^ - \i2, variances oi 2 * o 2 2 and unknown

0 ^ 1 -x2)to/2 J-r- + -;rV n1

n

df_

(si2/n1+s22/n2f

(si2/niF , (s22/n2f
n-, 1 n2-1

Mean difference of two normal distributions for paired samples, \id Variance o of a normal distribution

dt

a/2

df = n - 1 where n is no. of pairs

(n-l)s2
2 ^a/2 '

(n-l)s2
2 *1-a/2

df = n - 1

Ratio of the variances ai 2 /c 2 2 of two normal distributions

*S
2

2 F S 2 r a/2;vi,v 2

a/2;v 2 ,vi

V! = n-i - 1, v 2 = n

-1

S2

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APPENDIX 1(2)

CS/JAN 2013/QMT500

HYPOTHESIS TESTING Null Hypothesis Ho : n = Ho a2 unknown

kale _

Test statistic
X-Hp

df = n - 1

tj! 2 = cr22 and unknown

Ho : Hi - H2 = D

kale

_ (xi - x 2 l - D . ,
1 1

df = ni + n 2 - 2 ,

sc

|(ni-1)Sl2+(n2-1)s22 n-| + n 2 - 2
1 1

_ (Xl-x2)-D ,
Ho : Hi - H2 = D
calc

variances o* * o2 and unknown

|si2
n

s22
n

df=

(si2/ni+s22/n2 f (si 2 /ni)

n

, (s22/n2f
n

- 1

_ 1

H 0 : Hd = D

tcaic =

df = n - 1 where n is no. of pairs

Vn"
H 0 : 0 = a 0 (or o =
2
HQ

2 _

CT0)

_(n-l)s2,
2 '

^calc ~

: o~i

= CT2

caic = ~h-1

'1 .

Vi = ^ - 1, v2 = n2 - 1

TESTING SIGNIFICANCE OF REGRESSION (Analysis of Variance approach)

Total sum of squares

ZYi

ssY= z(yi-y) =Zyf

i=1 i=1

Regression sum of squares

SSR = l ( y i - y ) 2 = p 1 S xy
i=1

(\

IX|
where Sxy = ZXJVJ i=1

U=1

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