Professional Documents
Culture Documents
andCanadianSupremeCourts
MatthewE.Wetstein DepartmentofPoliticalScience DeltaCollege 5151PacificAvenue Stockton,CA95207 mwetstein@deltacollege.edu C.L.Ostberg DepartmentofPoliticalScience UniversityofthePacific 3601PacificAvenue Stockton,CA95211 costberg@pacific.edu
PaperpresentedattheannualmeetingoftheMidwestPolitialScienceAssociation,Chicago,IL, April1215,2007
Introduction OverthelastcoupleofdecadestherehasbeenagrowingbodyofliteratureintheUnited StatesthathasexaminedtheimpactfemalejudgeshavehadontheAmericanjudiciary.Since thenumberoffemalejudgesonappellatehasbeenontherise,ithasbecomemorefeasibleto examinepossiblegenderdifferencesonappellatecourtsandtodevelopgeneralizationsfrom suchresearchforthelegalfieldandotherpoliticalinstitutions.Attheheartofthesejudicial studiesliesthequestion:Dofemalejudgesapproachthelawdifferentlythantheirmale colleagues?Or,asthepsychologistCarolGilligan(1982)eloquentlystated,dowomen"speakin adifferentvoice"thanmen?Theanswertothisquestioniscriticaltoexaminebecause,if substantivedifferencesdoexistbetweenthegenders,theymayhaveimportantramificationsfor thedevelopmentoflawandpoliciesinthefutureaswomenareelevatedingreaternumbersto appellatecourtsandotherelitepolicymakinginstitutions. Overall,thisstudyexaminestheimpactof femalejusticesontwohighcourtsthroughtwo distinctconceptuallenses:1)atthemacrolevelbylookingathowtheyimpacttheirworkgroup environmentasmeasuredthroughpatternsofunanimityand,2)atthemicrolevelintermsof howtheyinfluencejudicialoutcomesinalltypesofdiscriminationclaims.Ourstudyanalyzes thesequestionsintwohighcourtsofadvanceddemocraciessharingacommonlawheritage, namelyCanadaandtheUnitedStates.Whatmakesthisstudyuniqueisthatitutilizestwonew methodologicaltechniques,namelytimeseriesanalysisandlogisticregression,while simultaneouslycontrollingfornumerousfactors,includingspecificcasefacts,tohelpexamine whethergenderdifferencesoccuracrosstwodifferenthighcourtsindiscriminationcases.We knowofnostudytodatethathasappliedtimeseriesanalysistoassesspossiblegender differencesinjudicialvotingbehavior,andonlyonestudyonthelowerU.S.federalcourtsthat
analyzedgenderdifferencewhilecontrollingforcasefacts(Songeret.al.1994).Ourstudy buildsonthepriorworkbySongeret.al.(1994)byanalyzingtheimpactofgenderdifferencesin multipletypesofdiscriminationcasesamongjusticesservingontwonationalhighcourts.We alsomakeanewtheoreticalcontributiontothefeministliteraturebyadvancingthenotionthata strandof"mediatedfeminism"iscurrentlyemergingineliteinstitutions,suchascourts,because therearenumerousfactorsendemictotheseinstitutionsthatoperatetomitigatetheappearance ofstrongfeministtendenciesinthepolicymakingprocess. WechosetostudygenderdifferenceontheU.S.andCanadianSupremeCourtforseveral reasons.First,justicesonhighcourts,unlikethosefoundonlowerappellatecourt,arefarmore likelytovoteaccordingtotheirownpersonalvaluessimplybecausetheysitatthepinnacleof thejudicialhierarchy.Sincetheyarenotseekinghigheroffice,donotseethemselvesas primarilynormenforcers,anddonotfearappellatereview,theyarefarmorelikelytoexpress genderdifferencesintheirvotingbehaviorthanjudgeswhoserveonlowerappellateorState SupremeCourts(seeSegalandSpaeth1993,2002).Second,wechosetostudytheimpactof womenonthesetwohighcourtsbecausefourfemalejusticescurrentlyserveontheCanadian SupremeCourtandChiefJusticeBeverleyMcLachlinhasoccupiedthehelmofthatcourtsince 2000.Asaresult,weareabletotakeaquantitativesnapshotofwhetherChiefJustice McLachlin'sleadershipstylehasproducedchangesatthemacrolevelthatdifferfromhertwo malepredecessors,asthefeministliteraturewouldsuggest.Third,wechosetostudythese courtsbecauseitwillallowustoexaminepossiblesimilaritiesanddifferencesbetweenthe genderinfluencesfoundonthetwoeliteinstitutions,andshedlightonwhethergender differences,asfeministscholarswouldhaveusbelieve,doindeedtranscendculturalboundaries. Lastly,wechosetostudyfeministinfluencesinthejudicialareabecausewebelievethatsome
researchershavesetthebartoohighintheirexpectationoffindingwholesalefeministimpacton policymakingineliteinstitutions.
Theory&LiteratureReview
ThegroundbreakingworkofCarolGilligan(1982)providesatheoreticalfoundationfor understandingwhymenandwomenmightapproachthefieldoflawandpoliticsfromdifferent perspectives.Gilligan'sresearchledhertoconcludethatmenviewtheworldinamorelinear, hierarchical,abstractandindividualistmanner.Assuch,theyaremuchmorelikelytoresolve moralconflictsaccordingtoabstractidealizedrulesthatareincorporatedinthelanguageof rightsandareultimatelyappliedinazerosum,allornothingfashion(Gilligan1982,Palmer 2001b,92).AccordingtoGilligan,women,incontrast,seetheworldintermsofawebof interconnectedrelationshipsthatmakeupalargerinterdependentcommunity.Assuch,theyare morelikelytoresolvemoralconflictsinamoreconciliatoryfashionbyutilizingthelanguageof reconciliationandresponsibilitytothelargercommunity(Gilligan1982).Ultimately,Gilligan's researchsuggeststhatwomenwillviewtheworldthroughdifferentlensesandwilltendtospeak with"adifferentvoice"becausetheyarebiologicallydifferentandhavedifferentlifeand culturalexperiencesthantheirmalecounterparts.Needlesstosay,Gilligan'sresearchhas motivatedpoliticalscientiststoexaminewhethergenderdifferencesexistinthepoliticalarena, and,ifso,todeterminethedegreetowhichsuchdifferencesmatterinthepolicymakingprocess. Forexample,publicopinionscholarshipsuggeststhatwomenhaveconsistentlydifferent attitudesthanmenonawiderangeofpolicyissues,suchascrime,thedeathpenalty, rehabilitation,guncontrol,drugenforcement,obscenity,warandforeignpolicyissues(see HurwitzandSmithey,1998).ResearchonfemalepolicymakersinCongressandstate
legislatureshavealsoshownthatfemalelegislatorsaremorelikelytosupportliberaland feministpositionsthanmalecolleaguesonissuessuchastheEqualRightsAmendment,defense spending,abortionrights,socialwelfareissuesandthedeathpenalty(seeLeader1977and MandelandDodson1992). Moreover,femalerepresentativestendtoapproachlegislative problemsandconducthearingsdifferentlythantheirmalecolleagues(seeDuerstLahti2002 DuerstLahtiandKelly1995Kathlene1994).Manyofthestudiesfromthelegislativeliterature reinforcethefeministtheorythatfemalesineliteleadershiprolesdoapproachtheirpositionsand policymakingresponsibilitiesfromadifferentvantagepointthantheirmalecolleagues. Gilligan'sresearch,alongwithothers,hasgeneratedahostoflegalstudiesaimedat assessingthedegreetowhichgenderdifferenceshaveemergedinthelegalrealm.Thebulkof theresearchtodatehasprimarilyfocusedonlowerfederalandstatecourts,whichis understandablegiventhatmorewomenhavebeenelevatedtothesecourts.Still,theliteraturein thisareahasyieldedmixedresultsatbest.AnearlystudybyKritzerandUhlman(1977)found nosignificantdifferencesamongmaleandfemalejudgesintheirsentencingpatternsincriminal cases(seealsoGruhl,Spohn,andWelch,1981,forsimilarfindingsinthefederalcourtof appeal).AsweepingstudybyWalkerandBarrow(1985)foundfemaledistrictjudgeswereless supportiveofminoritypolicyclaims,moresupportiveofgovernmentaleconomicregulations, andvotednodifferentlyfrommenonwomen'srightsissues,anareawherethefeministliterature wouldexpectacleardifferentiationbetweenthesexes.Twootherstudies,byDavis(1986)and Gotschall(1983),ontheU.S.CourtsofAppealrevealedonlyslightdifferencesinthejudicial behaviorofmenandwomenonthebench(seealsoSongeretal.1994,427Davis,1993). Collectively,thesestudiesseemtosuggestthatnocogentorcohesivegeneralizationscanbe madeabouttheimpactofwomenonlowerappellatecourts.
Eventhoughempiricalscholarshiphasfailedtoshowthatwomenapproachthelawina fundamentallydifferentwaythantheirmalecounterpartsacrossawidespectrumoflegalissues, eitherintermsofvotingbehaviorortheprocessofdecisionmaking,numerousstudieshave indicatedthatgenderdifferencesdoemergein particulartypesoflegaldisputes.Forexample, studieshaveshownthatfemalejusticesonvariouscourtsvotemoreliberallythanmalejustices onissuesthataresignificantforwomen(AllenandWall1987MartinandPyle2000Gryskeet al.,1986SongerandCrewsMeyer2000Peresie2005),andinemploymentdiscrimination cases(Songeretal.1994Davisetal.1993).Martin(1993a,128),inaJudicaturesymposium, providedthebestoverallassessmentoftheresearchtodatewhensheconcludedthatalthough recentempiricalscholarshipfailstosupportGilligan'scontentionthatfemalejudges"speakwith adifferentvoice,"thereisclearevidencethat"womenjudgesaremakingadistinctive contributiontoourlegalsystem...mostevident(ly)inareasinvolvingissuesofgenderfairness." ThefewstudiesthathaveexaminedgenderdifferencesontheU.S.SupremeCourthave yieldedmixedfindingsaswell,althoughtwojusticesappointedtotheU.S.andCanadiantop courtshavefoundGilligan'sargumentintuitivelyappealing(seeMartin1993aWilson1990).In oneearlystudyonJusticeO'Connor,Sherry(1986)claimedJusticeO'Connor'searly jurisprudencereflectedacontextualizedfeminineperspective(1986,592616seealso BehuniakLong1992SullivanandGoldzwig1996).Yet,laterscholarshiponjudicialvoting patternsshowlittleevidencethatJusticeO'Connor'svoteddifferentlythanmenbecauseofher gender(seeDavis1993bAliotta1995Maveety1996VanSickel1998).Recentscholarshipby SongerandClark(2002),indicatesthatthevotingbehaviorofbothJusticeO'Connorand Gingsburgisbetterexplainedbytheirpartyaffiliationthangender.However,O'Connorand Segal(1990)foundthatJusticeO'Connordidvotemoreliberallythenhermalecolleaguesinsex
discriminationcases,andhermerepresenceonthecourtencouragedthecourtasawholetobe moresupportiveofsuchclaims. TherehasbeenmuchlessscholarshipexamininggenderdifferencesontheCanadian SupremeCourttodate,whichissurprisingsincefourfemalejusticescurrentlysitonthehigh court,andoneofthem,JusticeMcLachlin,hasservedaschiefjusticesince2000.Arecent comparativestudybySongeret.al.(2003)revealedlittledifferencesinthemaleandfemale votingrecordsamongCanadianSupremeCourtjusticesineithercivillibertiesorcriminalcases. Indeed,theirstudywentontoconcludethatthattherewerenostrongoverallgenderdifferences amongappellatecourtjudges,attheSupremeCourtorlowerappellatecourtlevel,inthree commonlawnationstheyanalyzed,Canada,U.S.andAustralia(Songer2003,17).Yet, scholarshipbyWhite(1998,8788)suggeststhatthefirstthreewomenontheCanadianSupreme Courtwerefarmorelikelytosupportfundamentalfreedomsandequalityrightsclaimsthantheir malecounterparts. GiventhelimitedresearchdoneongenderdifferencesintheCanadianSupremeCourt andtheplethoraofwomencurrentlyservingonthatbench,scholarshaveauniqueopportunityto assessgenderdifferencesinapivotalpolicymakinginstitutionofanadvancedindustrial democracy.Moreover,itallowsscholarstocomparethosefindingswithgenderdifferences foundintheU.S.SupremeCourtoverapproximatelythesametimeperiod.SinceU.S.studies showrelativelyconsistentgenderdifferencesindiscriminationcasesaddressingwomen'sissues, itseemsobvioustobeginourcomparativeanalysisinthatareaoflaw.Theoneuniquefeatureof thisstudyisthatitfocusesonalltypesofdiscriminationclaims,insteadofjustthoseaddressing women'sissues.Attheheartofourinquiry,weaskwhetherfemalejusticesvotedifferently than theirmalecounterpartsinalltypesofdiscriminationclaims.Second,weareinterestedtoseeif
thesedifferencesarecrossculturalinnature.Ifso,weareinterestedinwhatthispossible differencesmightsuggestfortheoriesofjudicialbehaviorintheUnitedStatesandinotherelite institutions. Lookingattheresearchholistically,onemightquestionwhystudiesongender differences,bothintheU.S.andCanada,haveyieldedsuchmixedresults.Thedifferencesfound intheliteraturecanbeexplainedbyanumberoffactors.First,sinceresearchershaveutilized differentmethodologicalapproachesandhaveanalyzedgenderdifferencesinavarietyoflegal issueareasonahostofdifferentcourtsthatadheretodifferentinstitutional andstructuralnorms, itisnotsurprisingthattheirfindingshaveyieldedmixedresults.Moreover,itisourcontention thatmanyresearchershavesetexceedinglyhighexpectationsintheirquesttoassesswhether therehasbeenafeministimpactinthejudicialfield.Itisourbeliefthatmuchofthefeminist theoryiscorrectinsuggestingwomenwillvoteandwriteaboutsomeareasoflawinadifferent manner,orvoice,thantheirmalecolleagues.However,itiscriticaltorealizethatthefeminist impactwillnotnecessarilyoccurinaholisticmanner.Rather,wearguethattheimpactof feministtheoryinthejudicialfieldwillbepiecemealandfragmentedatbestbecausetherearea multitudeofforcesthatworktomitigateordampentheimpactofgenderdifferencesinthelegal arena.Thus,"strongfeminism"isoftenmediatedbythecontext,rules,andpoliticalsettingsthat femalejusticesencounterindifferentcourts.Considerforexample,theimpactofafemale justicejoiningaparticularlymasculinebenchwithtraditionalmodesofindividualizedopinion expressionandvotingbehavior.Inthissetting,afemalejusticemighthaveherdistinctive feministvoicemediatedbythatinstitutionallymasculinizedsetting(seeAliotta2003.Other femalejusticesmightseetheirfeminineperspectiveorviewsovershadowedbytheideological polarizationevidentwithinacourt,somuchsothatideologicalvotingpatternsmaysupersedeor
trumpanygendercleavagesthatmightexistonthatcourt.Instillotherinstances,afemalejudge with"masculine"tendenciesmayjoinacourtandhavenoproblemhandingdowndissenting opinionsonherownandadvancinganaggressivestyleofopinionwritinginanalready masculineenvironment.Inothercourts,wheredistinctivenormsofcollegialityexist,the feministvoicemaybemorereadilyacceptedandadoptedintothemainstreamofmajority opinions.Overall,thetheoreticalargumentthatisbeingadvancedhereisthat"strongfeminism" istoofrequently expectedbyresearchers,wheninsteaditshouldbeacknowledgedthatthe institutionalidiosyncrasiesofcourtsandthedistinctivepoliticaldynamicsofhowtheyoperate oftenworktomediatetheimpactofgenderdifferencesfromemerginganda"strongfeminist voice"fromtakingshapeondifferentcourts.Thus,wepositthatresearchersshouldexpectless fromtheirempiricalresultsinthewayof"strongfeminism,"andbegintoappreciatethemore fragmented,piecemeal,or"mediatedfeminism"thatisemerginginthelegalfieldandinother elitepolicymakinginstitutionsasmorewomenareelevatedtokeypoliticalposts.Inthepages thatfollow,weexploretheextenttowhichstrongormediatedfeministinfluenceshaveappeared inthemodernU.S.andCanadianSupremeCourts.
DataandMethods
onetoassessthedegreeofunanimitybothbeforeandaftertheappointmentofthefirstfemale justicestotheU.S.andCanadianSupremeCourts(JusticeSandraDayO'Connorin1981and JusticeBerthaWilsonin1982).Thisinstitutionallevelanalysisreliesontimeseriestechniques totestwhethertherateofunanimityisalteredinanysubstantivewaywhenfemalejusticesare elevatedtotheSupremeCourts,andwhetherthatrateincreasesasmorefemalesareappointedto thetopbench. Thesecondlevelofanalysisexaminesthevotingpatternsofmaleandfemalejusticesina specificsetofcaseswheredifferencesaremostlikelytoappearbetweenthesexes,namely discrimination disputes.Foreachcourt,weanalyzepatternsofliberalorconservativevotingin awidearrayofcases,includingallegationsofunequaltreatmentonthebasisofage,race, religion,sex,sexualorientation,citizenship,disability,indigence,ormaritalstatus.Each justice'svoteservesasthedependentvariableintheequation.Weuselogisticregression techniquestoexplorethe"strongfeminist"hypothesisthatfemalejusticesvotemoreliberally thantheirmalecounterparts,whilesimultaneouslycontrollingforavarietyofotherfactorsthat mightinfluencejudicialvotingbehavior.Bothmodelsincludecontrolvariablesthattapthe
ideologyofthejustices(asmeasuredinnewspaperreportsatthetimeoftheirappointment),and thefactpatterns,legalclaimsandlitigantsappearingineachcase(explainedinmoredetail below).ThisresearchmimicsearlierworkontheCanadianCourtbyOstbergandWetstein (2007),butexpandsthediscussionbycomparingittodiscriminationclaimsarguedin theU.S. SupremeCourt,whichhasyettobeanalyzedusingacomprehensiveattitudinalmodel. Attheinstitutionallevel,ratesofunanimityareanalyzedusingtimeseriesmodelsthat controlforotherfactorsthatmightexplainhigherorlowerratesofagreementonthetwocourts. Forexample,sinceideologicaldifferencesamongthejusticesmightdriveconflictonthebench, weintroduceacontrolvariablethatmeasuresthepercentofpartisanagreementonthecourtsin eachyearorterm.Obviously,whenmorejusticesonacourtarefromthesamepoliticalparty, thereisagreaterlikelihoodthatunanimitywillprevail.Asaresult,ourequationscontrolforthe percentageofjusticeswhowereappointedbypresidentsorprimeministersofthesamepolitical party,andweexpectedapositivecoefficientforthisindicator.Asecondcontrolvariable measurestheworkloadofthecourtsbytabulatingbythenumberofcasesarguedinagiventerm oryear.Thepresumptionhereisthatinyearswherecaseloadsarehigher,justiceswillfeelmore pressuretoresolvecasesinamoreefficientmanner.Assuch,itisexpectedthatjusticeswillpen fewerconcurringanddissentingopinionsandgreaterunanimitywillemergeonthecourtinthese years.Athirdcontrolvariableaccountsfortheaveragepanelsizeineachyearorterm.This variablewasincludedintheanalysisbecause,intheCanadiancontext,thecourttypicallyhears casesinpanelsoffive,seven,orninejustices.IntheU.S.context,controllingforpanelsizeis importantbecauseitcanaccountforcourttransitionperiodswheretheSupremeCourtmightbe shorthanded.Inyearswheretheaveragepanelsizeislower,itislogicaltoexpecthigherratesof unanimity,simplybecauseitiseasiertogetconsensusinagroupofseventhanagroupofnine.
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Thekeyindependentvariableatthecaselevelofanalysiswasthesexofajustice(female =1,male=0).Inlightofourcodingschemeandfeministtheory,weexpectedthatliberalvotes wouldbecastmorefrequentlybyfemalejustices,allotherthingsbeingequal.Thestatistical controlsbuiltintobothmodelsincludedameasureofjudicialideologydrawnfromtheworkof SegalandCover(1989)ontheU.S.SupremeCourt,andreplicatedsuccessfullyinCanada (OstbergandWetstein2007,chapter3).Thesemeasuresrepresentamorenuancedmeasureof ideologythanpartyidentificationbecausetheyaredrawnfromjournalisticcommentaryand editorialsacrossavarietyofnewspapersatthetimeofajustice'snominationtothecourt. AlthoughbothmeasuresofSupremeCourtjusticesrankthenomineesalongaliberal conservativespectrum,theSegalCoverscoresrangefromahighof+1forthemostliberal justicesto1forconservativejusticeswhilethescoresfortheCanadianjusticesrangeacrossa +2to2spectrumofpossiblerankings.Itwasexpectedthatjusticeswithhigherscoresonthese measureswouldcastagreaterpercentageofvotesinfavorofrightsclaimantsindiscrimination cases,resultinginapositivecoefficient. Severalcasespecificindicatorswereincludedinthestatisticalmodelstocontrolfor certainfactualscenariosandcasecharacteristicsthatwereprominentinequalitycasesdecided bythetwocourts.Forexample,bothequationsincludedavariablemeasuringwhetherthe
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appellantlostajoborwasforcedtoretire(1iftrue,0ifnot).Thisvariabletestswhetherjustices wouldbemoresympathetictotheextremeeconomicharmsufferedbylitigantswholostajob. Anothertypeofinjurythecourtsaddressedindiscriminationcasespertainstotheallegeddenial ofvariousbenefits(seeOstbergandWetstein2007,129).Thesewereclassifiedintoathree tieredhierarchy,withcasesallegingthedenialofgovernmentbenefitsatthetop(scoredas2), followedbythedenialofprivatebenefits,suchasinsurance(scoredas1),andcasesfeaturingno benefitsatall(0).Giventhisclassificationscheme,itwasexpectedthatjusticeswouldbemost supportiveofclaimantsseekingequalaccesstogovernmentalbenefitsfollowedbybenefit complaintsagainstprivateentitiesandthatthejusticeswouldprovidetheleastsupportwhereno denialofbenefitsoccurred.Thelogicbehindthiscategorizationisthatjusticeswouldbemore tolerantinsituationswherebenefitsweredeniedintheprivatemarketplacethaninthe governmentalspherebecausegovernmentaldiscriminationisanathematothefundamental valuesfoundinademocraticsociety.Wealsoexpectedthejusticeswouldbemoreinclinedto protectindividualsfromharmscausedbyprivateentitiesthanwhennodirecteconomicharm appearedinthecase. Thestatisticalmodelsalsocontrolforthetypeofdiscriminationallegedineachcase,and ourcodingschemeforeachcourtfollowedconstitutionaldoctrinesetoutincaselawinboth countries.IntheU.S.model,wetestedwhetherjusticesvoteaccordingtothethreetiered judicialhierarchyofstrictscrutiny,intermediatescrutinyandreasonablenessindifferenttypesof equalprotectioncases(Ducat2004,1251).Ourexpectationwasthatthisdoctrinewouldyield distinctivevotingpatternsandresultinregressioncoefficientsofdifferingmagnitudeinlinewith thehierarchy.ManyreadersfamiliarwithU.S.caselawunderstandthatraceandreligionenjoy apreferredstatusinthehierarchy,andgovernmentsmustadvanceacompellinginterestinorder
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toinfringeontheserights(Ducat2004,1251).Assuch,claimsofracialandreligious discriminationshouldenjoyaheightenedprofileandproducealargernumberofliberalvotes thanotherformsofdiscrimination,suchasindigence,sex,age,anddisabilities.OurU.S.model excludedagediscriminationfromtheanalysisforcomparisonpurposesbecauseitisfoundinthe lowestrungofthehierarchy.Ifjusticestrulyadheredtothislegaldoctrine,weexpectedthe strongestpositivecoefficientsforcasesallegingracialorreligiousdiscrimination(foundinthe toptier),asmallerpositivecoefficientforsexdiscrimination (foundintheintermediatescrutiny category),andnorealdifferencesfortheremainingtypesofequalityclaimsinthemodel (allegationsbasedondisabilityorindigence). InCanada,ouranalysisofdifferentformsofdiscriminationclaimsfollowedthelanguage ofSection15oftheCharterofRightsandFreedoms,recognizingthatsomeformsof discriminationareexplicitlyoutlawedinthetextofthedocument,whileothersarenot.Five keyequalityguaranteesenjoytextualsupportintheCharter:age,sex,religion,disability,and noncitizenship.Inadditiontotheseclasses,sexualorientationhasbeen"readinto"theCharter bytheCanadianSupremeCourt,elevatinggayrightstoaquasiconstitutionalprofileof protectedstatus(seeEganv.Canada[1995]2S.C.R.513).Eachoftheseformscanbe distinguishedfromthecategoryofmaritalstatusdiscrimination,whichdoesnotenjoya constitutionalprofilebuthasbeenafrequentlylitigatedsourceofcontentioninCanada.Given thislowerprofile,weexpectedtheCanadianjusticestovotelessfrequentlyforlitigantswhen theyraisedmaritalstatusclaims.Assuch,weexpectedpositivecoefficientsfortheother discriminationvariablesintheCanadianmodel,andomittedmaritalstatuscasesfromthe equationasacomparisongroupforanalysis.
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ThemodelsincludedcontrolsforthenumberofconstitutionalorCharterissuesraisedby thelitigants(2=twoormoresubstantiveissues,1,or0constitutionalclaims).Afteradetailed readingofthecases,weanticipatedthatwhenclaimantsbroughtmultipleconstitutionalissues intotheirargument,theywouldbeusingascattershotapproachtothelawbytryingtoextend CharterandConstitutionalprinciplesbeyondreasonableandcustomarybounds(seeOstbergand Wetstein2007,135).Assuch,weexpectedthejusticestobelesslikelytosidewithrightsbased argumentswhenmultipleconstitutionalissueswereraised,resultinginanegativecoefficientfor thisvariable.IntheU.S.model,wealsocontrolledforthedirectionofthelowercourtruling(1 =liberal,0=conservative)anticipatingthatthejusticeshavediscretionarycontroloftheir docketandaremorelikelytotakecasesfororalargumentinordertovoteagainsttheideological leaningofthelowercourt.IntheCanadianmodel,wereliedonameasurethattappedthe ideologicaldirectionofaHumanRightCommission(HRC)ruling,andexpectedthejusticesto voteintheoppositedirectionofthesecommissions,becausethejusticesfeelcapabletoreach conclusionsaboutequalitylawwithoutdeferringtotherulingsofthesespecializedtribunals (OstbergandWetstein2007,135). Ourmodelstestforthepossibleideologicalimpactthatspecificpartiesandinterveners mighthaveonthejusticesintheareaofequalitylaw.Inbothcourts,wecontrolfortheimpact ofgovernmentattorneyswhoarefightingthechargesofdiscrimination(1=government,0=for allothercases).Weexpectedthatgovernmentattorneyswouldbemoresuccessfulinfighting discriminationcomplaintsbecauseoftheir"repeatplayer"statusbeforetheSupremeCourtof eachcountry(seeGalanter1974,2003Kritzer2003FlemmingandKurtz2002a,2002b, Femming2004).Inotherwords,thelitigationexperienceofgovernmentattorneysmaygenerate morefrequentvictoriesfortheirside,andthus,moreconservativevotesthaninothercases.If
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thishypothesisheldtrue,weexpectednegativecoefficientsineachmodel.Wealsointroduced controlsintoeachmodelforkeyintervenerswhofilelargenumbersofamicuscuriaebriefsin equalitycases.InCanada,wecontrolledfortheparticipationofaprominentfeministcivilrights group,theWomen'sLegalEducationandActionFund(LEAF),oneofthemostsuccessful interestgrouplitigantsinthatcountry(seeManfredi2004Brodie2002).Weexpectedthat LEAF'sparticipationinacasewouldfosterahigherpercentageofliberalvotes,allotherthings beingequal.IntheU.S.,ourmodelcontrolledforthepresenceoftheNAACP,asimilarly prominentinterestgrouplitigatorwithalongrecordofsuccessinthefederalcourts.Wealso controlledfortheimpactoftheEqualEmploymentOpportunityCommission(EEOC),because manyofthecasesfeaturedEEOCsupportofalitigant,eitherthrougha"lettertosue"orother formofsupport(perhapsasanamicusbrieffiler).Insuchinstances,wecodedthecasewitha +1,whereasEEOCoppositionwascodedwitha1,whilecaseslackinganyEEOCparticipation receivedazeroscore.OurexpectationwasthatEEOCsupportwouldspurjusticestobemore supportiveoftherightslitigant,thusgeneratingapositivecoefficientintheequation. AfinalcontrolvariableincludedintheCanadianmodelassessedwhetherthe contemporaryMcLachlinCourtvotedmoreliberallyinequalitycasesthanthecourtsledbyher twomalepredecessors(ChiefJusticesDicksonandLamer).Feministtheorywouldsuggestthat sincefemalesaremoresympathetictoequalityclaims,onceawomaniselevatedtothehelmof thecourt,itmightbemorepronetohanddownliberalrulingsinsuchcases.Thisargumentis enhancedintheCanadiancontextbecauseChiefJusticeMcLachlincannotonlystructure conferencedeliberationsandinfluencethedirectionofvotingbyotherjustices,butalsocan wieldthepowerofpanelassignmenttohelpfosteramoreliberaloutcome.Thus,weanticipated apositivecoefficientforthevariabletappingherleadershiptenureontheCanadianCourt.
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Results
FemaleJusticesandAggregatePatternsofInstitutionalChange Attheaggregatelevel,thetwotimeseriesregressionequationsproducedmodelresults thatdoanimpressivejobofexplainingthevaryingdegreesofunanimityinthetwoSupreme Courts(seeTable1).BothequationsproducedcomparableFTestscoresandwerestatistically significantatthe.001levels.TheadjustedRSquarevaluesindicatethattheU.S.contextand 50.8intheCanadiansetting,whichmeansthattheU.S.modelwasabletoaccountfor41percent ofthevarianceinthedependentvariable,whiletheCanadianmodelaccountedfor51percentof thevariance.TheDurbinWatsonstatisticsindicatethereisnoserialautocorrelationintheerror termsofthetwoequations,althoughalaggedvariablewasintroducedintotheCanadianmodel tocorrectforfirstorderautocorrelation(seeOstrom1978). Turningtotheindividualvariablesintheequations,thedatarevealthattheintroduction ofwomentotheU.S.SupremeCourtdidsignificantlyincreasethenumberofunanimousrulings handeddownbytheCourt(seetheleftsideofTable1).Indeed,whenthepercentageoffemales ontheU.S.SupremeCourtincreasedby11percent(comparabletoanincreaseofonejustice), therateofunanimousrulingsincreasedby4.6percent,andtheimpactissignificantatthe99 percentconfidencelevel(b=.417x11=4.6).Thisfindinglendscredencetothe"strong feminist"argumentthatwhenwomenjoinacourtthereisagreaterlikelihoodthattheyareable tofostergreatercooperationandcohesiononthebench.Havingsaidthis,theadditionofwomen totheCanadianhighcourtdidnothaveastatisticallysignificantimpactonthedegreeof unanimityreachedonthatcourt,althoughthecoefficientisintheexpecteddirection(b=.049, seetherightsideofTable1).Herewehaveevidenceofa"mediatedfeminist"impact.Perhaps
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impactonratesofunanimityontheCanadianCourtmightbeexplainedwhenonestudiesthe votingbehaviorofthefirstthreefemalejusticesingreaterdetail.Indeed,theirvotingbehavior indiscriminationcases,aswellasothercivilrightsandlibertiescasesrevealsthatthesejustices hadnotroublearticulatingtheirownviewsandwritingconcurringanddissentingopinions. Indeed,twostudiesofcourtauthorshippatternsrevealedJusticesL'HeureuxDubeand McLachlinwerethetwogreatestdissentersontheLamerCourt(seeOstbergetal.2004 McCormick1994).Thesefindinghelprefutethecontentionbysomefeministscholarsthatthe firstwomenelevatedtocourtsmaybelikelytoconformtothedominantmasculinevoting patternsofatraditionallymasculineinstitution.ThisiscertainlynotthecaseontheCanadian highcourt,wherepioneeringfemalejusticeswerewillingtospeaktheirownmindon"socalled" women'sissues.Indeed,wefinditsurprisingthatthecoefficientforwomenjusticesonthe CanadianCourtisinthepositivedirectiongiventhepropensityoftheinitialfemaleappointees todissent.Overall,ourdataonratesof unanimityatthemacrolevelreflectasurprising"strong feminist"impactontheU.S.SupremeCourt,buta"mediatedfeminist"impactontheCanadian SupremeCourt.
INSERTTABLE1HERE
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Theestimatesforaveragepanelsizeindicatethatthisfactorsignificantlyinfluencesrates ofunanimityonbothcourts.Asexpected,inyearswhenanaverageofonemorejusticehears casestherateofunanimityontheCanadianCourtdropbysixpercent,whileintheU.S.settingit goesdownby15percent(seeTables1).Thesefindingssupportthecontentionthatthemore justiceswhohearacasethegreaterthelikelihoodthatconflictwillemergeoneachcourt.Asa result,theseresultshighlightanimportantinstitutionalpowerthatisuniquetotheCanadian chiefjustice,namelythepowertocreatesmallerpanelsizesandinreduceconflictamongthe justices.ThisisapowerthattheU.S.chiefcannotwield.AlthoughCanadianscholarsand justicesarequicktopointoutthatconcertedeffortsaremadetoevenlydistributetheworkload (seeGreeneetal.1998,119),thetimesseriesanalysisclearlyshowsthatpanelsizedoes influencetheoveralldegreeofconsensusobtainedonayearlybasis. ThetwoothervariablesthatprovedtobestatisticallysignificantinTable1arethe percentofChartercasesheardandworkloadoftheCanadianCourtinagivenyear,althoughthe latterwasintheunexpecteddirection.Notsurprisingly,themoreChartercasesthatareheardby theCourtperyear,thegreaterthelikelihoodthatdisagreementwillemergeonthebench(b= .30,significantatthe95percentconfidencelevel).SinceChartercasesaremorelikelytodeal withcontroversialdisputesrelatingtocivilrightsandlibertiesissues,wearenotsurprisedthat theyarelikelytogeneratemoredisagreementonthebench.However,wedidnotanticipatethat inyearswheretheCanadianCourthandsdownmorerulingstherewouldbelesslikelihoodthat agreementwouldemerge(b=.22,significantatthe99percentconfidencelevel).Thisfinding suggeststhatworkloadpatternsdonotencourageCanadianjusticestojoinmajorityopinionsata greaterrate.Asmentionedearlier,sincehighratesofunanimityalreadyexistontheCanadian Court,thereisnotasubstantialburdenimposedonjusticeswhentheydecidetoauthoradissent.
18
EventhoughtheworkloadintheU.S.contextdoesnothaveastatisticalimpactonratesof unanimityreachedperyearonthecourt,theestimateisintheexpecteddirection(b=.028). Thevariabletabulatingthepercentofjusticesfromthesamepartydidnotachieve statisticalsignificanceineithermodel,anditwasintheincorrectdirectionintheCanadian context.Thefindingssuggestthatwhenthepercentageofjusticesfromthesamepartyincreases by11percent(theadditionofonejustice),unanimityinCanadaactuallydeclinesbyroughlytwo percentagepoints(b=.17x11=1.87,seeTable1).Yet,asimilarincreaseinjusticesfromthe samepartyintheU.S.contextincreasesconsensusbytwopercent(b=.20x11=2.2,seeTable 1).Thedisparityinthesignsofthetwocoefficientsmightbeattributedtothefactthatthe appointmentprocessisfarmoreideologicallymotivatedintheU.S.thanitisinCanada,andthus whenmorejusticescomefromthesameparty,ideologicalagreementandproclivitiesmatterthat muchmore.SincetheU.S.justicesaremorelikelytobefoundattheideologicalextremesthan thoseappointedinCanada,theadditionofonemorememberoftheU.S.Courtwhoisofthe samepoliticalpartywillbemorelikelytoincreaseratesofunanimityonthatbench. Themostimportantfindingtotakeawayfromthetimesseriesanalysisisthatwhilethe introductionoffemalejusticestotheU.S.Courthasincreasedtheratesofunanimityonan aggregatelevel,surprisingly,ithasnotdonesointheCanadiansetting.First,mostreaderswill besurprisedthattheappointmentofsevenfemalejusticesinCanadahasnotproduceda significantpositiveimpactonoverallratesofunanimity.Asmentionedearlier,themajorreason forthisdiminishedfindingisthedistinctivedissentingvoicethatseveralearlyfemalejustices displayed,mostparticularly,JusticeL'HeureuxDube.Second,mostreaderswouldbesurprised thattheadditionofJusticesO'ConnorandGinsburgtotheU.S.Courthasfosteredmore collegialityandcooperationonthehighcourtinawaythatsetsthemapartfromtheirmale
19
FemaleJusticesandEvidenceofDifferentVotingBehavior
ThetworegressionequationslaidoutinTable2assessvotingbehaviorattheindividual levelandbothmodelsproducedstatisticallysignificant,robustresults.Thefindingsontheleft sideofTable2providelogisticregressionmaximumlikelihoodestimatesforasampleof692 discriminationvotescastbytheU.S.SupremeCourtbetween19812005,alongwithmodelfit statisticsfoundatthebottomofthetable.Theresultsindicatethatourfourteenvariablemodel producedaChiSquarestatisticof781.63andaNagelkerkeRSquareof.30.Sincethemodal frequencyforthedependentvariableis52.5percentandthemodelexplainedfully69percentof thevotescorrectly,thereisa34percentimprovementoverthemodalguessingstrategy.Onthe rightsideofthetable,thefifteenvariablemodelintheCanadianCourtproducedanevenmore robustmodelfitstatisticfeaturingatotalof611discriminationvotescastbythejusticesbetween 19842005.TheCanadianmodelcorrectlypredicts71percentofthejudgevotes,andwasable toimproveuponthemodalguessingstrategyby38percent.ThisequationfeaturedaChiSquare of694.084andaNagelkerkeRSquareof.292. TurningtothejudgelevelvariablesinTables2,thefindingsrevealintriguing,andin somesensecounterintuitivefindings.NotsurprisingtomostAmericanscholars,themost importantvariableinthemodelofU.S.discriminationcasesisideology,whichisstatistically significantatthehighestlevelandisinthecorrectdirection(b=1.49,significantatthe99.9
20
percentconfidencelevel).Thefindingsinthesecondcolumnofdatasuggestthatliberaljustices are60percentmorelikelytoruleinfavorofdiscriminationclaimantsthantheirconservative counterparts.Ironically,thekeyvariablethatdrivesvotingbehaviorintheU.S.contextdoesnot appeartomattermuchinCanadiandiscriminationcases(seetherightsideofTable2).Although theestimateisintheexpecteddirectionandindicatesthatliberaljusticesarefifteenpercentmore likelythanconservativestoruleinfavorofequalityclaims,thefindingsarenotstatistically significant(b=.15).Asmentionedearlier,oneexplanationforthisdiscrepancybetweenthetwo coefficientsisthattheappointmentprocessinCanadaisnotasideologicallydrivenasitisinthe UnitedStates.AlthoughthePrimeMinister,likethePresident,hasthepowerof appointment, thelackofmeaningfulparliamentaryoversighthasensuredthattheappointmentprocesslacks
4 thebitterpartisanwranglingthatoccursintheU.S.Senate. Consequently,modernCanadian
INSERTTABLE2HERE
Thecriticalvariableinthispaper,namelythevotingbehaviorofwomenonthehigh court,alsoyieldscounterintuitiveresults.Indeed,theimpactofwomenonthetwocourtsisthe
21
exactoppositeofthatfoundattheaggregatelevel.Contrarytoexpectations,Table2indicates thatwhenJusticeO'ConnorandGinsburgparticipateindiscriminationcasesintheU.S.Court theyare22percentlesslikelytoruleinfavoroftheequalityclaimantthantheirmale counterparts,allotherthingsbeingequal(b=.89).Althoughonemustbecautiousabout reachinganydefinitiveconclusionsregardingthefeministhypothesisbasedonthevoting behaviorofonlytwojustices,itwouldappearthatthefirsttwofemalesappointedtotheU.S. highcourtdonotvotemoreliberallyinequalitycasesthantheirmalecolleagues,atleastwhen controllingfortheirideologyandfactpatternsinthecases.Thisfindingisimportantbecauseit isatoddswiththemajorityofscholarshiponlowerappellatecourts,andcastsdoubtonthe abilitytoassertthatastrongfeministhypothesisprevailsindiscriminationcasesattheSupreme Courtlevel.Onlytimewilltelltheveracityofthisclaimasmorefemalesareappointedtothe U.S.SupremeCourt. IncontrasttothesurprisingfindingintheU.S.context,femalejusticesontheCanadian SupremeCourtare24percentmorelikelytohanddownaliberalrulingindiscriminationcases thantheirmalecolleagues(b=1.02,statisticallysignificantatthe99.9percentconfidencelevel). Thefactthatthefindingsforthefemalevariableareatoddsinthetwomodelsisintriguing. Onepossibleexplanationforthedisparityintheresultsmaybeattributedtotherelativeimpact thatideologyplaysonthetwoCourts,asmentionedabove.SincetheCanadianjusticesarenot ideologicallydrivenwhenresolvingdiscriminationclaims,othervariables,suchasgender,have cometoplayamorepivotalroleinstructuringconflictinthisareaoflaw.Incontrast,since ideologyissodominantintheU.S.context,itspowermaymediatetheeffectofgender differenceandothervariablesinsuchdisputes.
22
TheCanadianCourttreatedfourofthesixtypesofdiscriminationthatareprotectedin thelanguageoftheCharterintheexpectedmanner,witheachfeaturingastatisticallysignificant positivecoefficient(seeTable2).Asanticipated,theCourttreatedequalityargumentsbasedon gayrights,religion,citizenshipanddisabilitymorefavorablythandiscriminationbasedon maritalstatus,whichisleftoutofSection15oftheCharter.Movingfromhightolow,the coefficientsforeachofthesevariablesisb=1.47(gayrights),b=.77(fordiscriminationbased onreligionandcitizenship),andb=.56(disabilityrights),andthechangesinprobabilityfor thesevariablessuggestthatCanadianjusticesare31percentmorelikelytoruleinfavorofgay rightslitigants,atthehighend,and14percentmorelikelytosidewithdisabilityassertions,at thelowend,incomparisontomaritalclaims.However,weweresurprisedtofindthatthe Canadianjusticestreatedsexandagediscriminationnodifferentlythanmaritalstatusarguments, sincethesetwoformsofequalityareprotectedundertheCharter.Infact,bothcoefficientsare intheunexpecteddirection,althoughtheresultsdonotallowustorejectthenullhypothesis.It isonlyafterlookingmorecloselyatthesexdiscriminationcasesthatonerealizesthatinalmost athirdofthem,thejusticesaredividedalonggenderlines,withthemalesvotingconservatively andthefemalesvotingliberally.5 Theseresults,inconjunctionwiththeunanimouscases handeddownintheconservativedirection,helpexplainwhythecoefficientforthesex discriminationcasesisnegativewhiletheindicatorforthefemalejusticevariableispositive. ThenegativeresultfortheagediscriminationvariablemakessensegiventhattheCanadian justicesthemselvesfaceforcedretirementfromthetopcourtattheageof75.Assuch,itisnot surprisingthattheywouldbemorereticenttosidewithequalityargumentsthatarebasedon retirementmandates.Overall,itseemsthatmembersoftheCanadianhighcourtareindeed protectingabulkofthedifferenttypesofequalityrightsenshrinedintheCharteratalevelthat
23
issignificantlyhigherthanthatfoundformaritalstatusrightsprotectedinfederalandprovincial laws. Unlikeitsnortherncounterpart,membersoftheU.S.Courtdonottreatfourofthefive typesofdiscriminationinaccordancewiththethreetieredhierarchicalstructuredevelopedin constitutionalcaselaw.Contrarytoexpectationsfromthelegalmodel,thejusticesaretheleast supportiveofracialdiscriminationinrelationtoagecases(theomittedcategory),followedby disability,religious,sex,andindigentdiscriminationinthatorder(b=2.07, 1.47,1.20, .67, and.36respectively,seeTable2).Thesefindingsarealmosttheexactoppositeofwhatone wouldexpectgiventhethreetieredlegalframeworkestablishedbytheCourt.Ultimately,one wouldexpectthehighestlevelofscrutinytobegiventoraceandreligionclaims,followedby immediatescrutinyforsexualinequality,andthereasonablenessstandardtobeappliedto discriminationbasedondisability,ageandindigency.Thedatarevealthatonlythecoefficient forindigentstatuslinesupwiththehypothesissetoutinthelegalmodel.Theothercoefficients suggestthatmembersoftheU.S.SupremeCourt,atleastinthediscriminationarea,donot adheretolegalprinciplesinthemannerthattheysuggestintheirwrittenopinions.Rather,they votefollowingthelinesoftheirownattitudinalpredilections,whichhelpsexplainwhythe ideologyvariableissooverwhelminglypowerfulintheU.S.equation.Ourfindingsonthis scorereinforcetheextensivescholarshipbySegalandSpaeth(1993,2002)illustratingthaton thecaselevelanyway,attitudinalbehavioriswritlargeintheU.S.context. Thetwomeasurestappinglowercourtinfluences,namelylowercourtliberalism(inthe U.S.) andhumanrightscommissions(inCanada),havecoefficientsintheexpecteddirectionand arestatisticallysignificantforbothcourts(seeTable2).Asexpected,bothcourtstendedtohear casesfromthelowercourtthattheywereapttooverturn.Thefindingsindicatethatwhilethe
24
U.S.Courtis15percentmorelikelytoruleagainstrightsclaimantswhowoninthelower appellatecourt,theCanadianjusticesare20percentmorelikelytovoteintheoppositedirection oftheHumanRightsCommission. Inshort,bothcourtsusetheirdiscretionarypowersofdocket controltotakecasesthattheyaremostlikelytooverturn. ThetwovariablesmeasuringCharterandconstitutionalissuesarebothintheexpected direction,althoughonlytheCanadian Chartervariableisstatisticallysignificantatthe99.9 percentconfidencelevel(.93,seeTable2).Thisvariablesuggeststhatwhentwoormore Charterissuesareraisedinacase,thejusticesare43percentlesslikelytoruleinfavorofthe rightsclaimant,whencomparedagainstcaseswithnoCharterissues.Althoughthisfindingmay seemcounterintuitivetosomereaders,onemustrememberthatanextensivereadingofcases thatraisemultipleCharterclaimsledustohypothesizethejusticeswouldperceivelitigantsas "pushingtheCharterenvelope"beyondthejustices'comfortzone.Assuch,wearenotsurprised thatthejusticestendedtorejectthelitigants'argumentsatahigherrateinthesecases(Ostberg andWetstein2007,135). Inbothcourts,thejoblossvariablehasanegligibleimpactonthejustices'voting behavior,althoughthecoefficientintheCanadianmodelisintheexpecteddirection(b=.12). Ontheotherhand,thepresenceofbenefitsdisputesinbothcourtshasanunexpectednegative impact,andinbothmodels,thecoefficientisstatisticallysignificantatthe99percentconfidence level(seeTable2).Thus,whileCanadianjusticesare17percentlesslikelytoruleinfavorof rightsclaimantswhengovernmentbenefitsareatissue,theU.S.justicesare24percentless likelytodoso.Thesefiguresareincontrasttocaseswherebenefitsarenotinplay,andthe resultsindicatethatthejusticesareleastlikelytoruleinfavorofrightsclaimantswhen governmentbenefitsareatissue.Althoughthesefindingsarenotintunewithequalityprinciples
25
presumedbydemocratictheory,theymakesenseinlightofGalanter's(1974)contentionthat repeatgovernmentplayersacquireaprivilegedstatusinthelegalsystembecausetheydevelop criticalexpertiseandenjoyresourceadvantagesinthelegalsystem(seealsoKritzer2003).This themeisreinforcedbythenegativecoefficientsforthegovernmentlitigantvariableinboth models,althoughtheresultisonlystatisticallysignificantintheCanadiansetting(b=.65, significantatthe95percentconfidencelevelinCanada,b=.14intheU.S.model).As expected,Canadianjusticesare16percentlesslikelytosidewithindividualswhoallege discriminationbythegovernment,whileU.S.justicesare3percentlesslikelytodoso. Thethreeintervenervariableshighlightedinthetwomodelsprovidecoefficientsthatare allinthecorrectdirection,suggestingapositiveimpactforrightsclaimantswhentheyare supportedbyprominentinterveners.IntheU.S.model,whentheNAACPorEEOCsupportthe litigant,thejusticesare25and29percentmorelikelytosidewiththoseraisingequalityclaims (b=1.08forNAACP,b=.60forEEOC,seeTable2).AlthoughCanadianjusticesarenine percentmorelikelytosidewithrightsclaimantswhenLEAFisinvolvedinthecase,weare unabletorejectthenullhypothesisforLEAFparticipation(b=.35).Collectively,thesefindings demonstratethatinterestgroupsdotendtoencourageprogressivedecisionmakingbythe justices,althoughmoresointheU.S.settingthantheCanadiancontext. ThelastvariableincludedintheCanadianequation,namelytheMcLachlinCourtcontrol variable,indicatesthatthehighCourtdoeshandsdownmoreliberalrulingsinequalitycases duringthefirstfiveyearsofJusticeMcLachlin'stenurethanduringthetenuresofeitherofher twomalepredecessors(b=.85,statisticallysignificantatthe99.9percentconfidencelevel). Indeed,McLachlinCourtjusticesare20percentmorelikelytohanddownaliberalrulinginthe equalityareathanjusticesontheearliercourts.Thisfindinghelpsreinforcethevitalityofthe
26
Conclusion
Thereareseveraloverarchingconclusionsthatcanbedrawnfromthisstudy.First,ona macroleveltheadditionofwomentotheU.S.SupremeCourthassignificantlyincreasedratesof unanimityonthatbench.Inotherwords,thepresenceofbothJusticesO'ConnorandGinsburg hasfosteredgreatercohesionandconsensusinthedecisionshandeddownsince1982.This findinglendscredencetothe"strongfeminist"argumentthatwomenbringagreaterdegreeof collegialityandcollaborationtothecourtregardlessoftheirrespectivepartyaffiliations. AlthoughthemacrolevelfindingsoffeministeffectdidnotpanoutintheCanadianhighCourt, theresultswereintheexpecteddirection.Ultimately,webelievethisvariabledidnot significantlyaltertherateofunanimitybecausethefirstthreefemalesappointedtotheCanadian Court,mostnotablyJusticeL'HeureuxDube,wereprolificdissentersonthepostCharter CanadianCourt.However,webelievethattheseinitialresults,exhibitingwhatsomewould label"masculine"opiniontendenciesduringthesejustices'tenure,maybetransformedwiththe passageoftimewhenthecurrentcadreoffemaleappointeeshavehadsufficienttimetomake theirmarkontheCourt.Thus,onamacrolevel,itseemsthefindingsontheU.S.Courtprovide
27
somestrongsupportforthefeministargumentfromanaggregateperspective,althoughsuch conclusionsmaybesubjecttochangeasmorewomenareappointedtotheU.S.SupremeCourt. Webelievetherearetwoimportantconclusionsthatcanbedrawnatthemicrolevel regardingtheresolutionofequalitydisputesonthesetwocourts.First,notsurprisingly, ideologyplaysaparamountroleinthevotingbehaviorofU.S.SupremeCourtjusticesin discriminationcases.Yet,acriticalfinding,andonethatmanyU.S.courtwatchersmayfind shocking,isthatideologyplaysaninsignificantroleinCanadianequalitycases.Thisstark contrasthighlightstheimportanceofdoingcomparativeresearchinthejudicialfield,becauseit notonlyprovidesinsightintohowhighcourtsoperatinginsimilaradvancedindustrialsocieties differ,butalsopointstothefactthatlongheldbeliefsaboutwhatfactorsinfluencejudicial decisionmakingintheU.S.maynotdrivejudicialbehavioralpatternselsewhere.Theweakness oftheideologyvariableinCanadacastsdoubtontheassumptionthatattitudinaldecision making,whichisthedrivingforceintheU.S.,willplayaroleatall,muchlessapivotalone,in otherhighcourtsofadvancedindustrialdemocracies. Asecondsurprisingfindingfromouranalysisisthatthefemalevariablehastheopposite impactonthetwohighcourtsatthemicrolevel,andthesefindingsstandincontrasttothe resultsattheaggregatelevel.Putsimply,althoughfemalejusticesinCanadahavenotincreased ratesofunanimityataninstitutionalleveltodate,atanindividualleveltheydocastmoreliberal votesinequalitydisputesthantheirmalecounterparts.TheU.S.resultsrunintheexactopposite direction,withunanimityhavingincreasedwiththearrivalofJusticesO'ConnorandGinsburg, butfromanindividualperspective,theirvotingbehaviorhasactuallybeenmoreconservative thanmalejusticesintheequalityarea.Webelievetheresultsattheindividuallevelmakesense whenconsideringtheideologicallypolarizednatureoftheU.S.SupremeCourt,andthe
28
overwhelmingpowerthisvariablewieldsovertheotherjudgelevelvariableintheequation.In Canada,themorenuancedappointmentprocessdampenstheimpactofideologicalvoting,andin theequalityarea,feministcleavagesareallowedtoemergeasasalientfactorinfluencing individualvotingbehavior.Thus,wereachasomewhatsurprisingconclusion:intheU.S.high court,judicialideologytrumpsgenderandmediatesitsimpactintheequalityrealm,whilein Canada,gendereffectstrumpideology.Again,thesefindingspointtotheimportanceof conductingcomparativeresearchonhighcourt,notonlybecausetheycantellussomething aboutthemorenuancedwaysthatideologyoperatesinotherhighcourts,butalsobecausethey canshedlightontheidiosyncraticnatureanddominanceofideologicalvotingbehaviorinthe U.S.highCourt. Fromanevenbroaderperspective,thefindingsfromthisresearchillustratethedistinctive impactthatfemalescanhaveontwodemocratichighcourts,andsuggeststhatthereissome validitytothecontentionthatwhenwomenrisetoeliteleadershippositionstheywillapproach theirworkingenvironmentandtheresolutionofcasesfromadifferentperspectivethantheir malecolleagues.Althoughthescopeandveracityofthefeministargumentadvancedby Gilliganandothersdoesnottakeplaceintheholisticfashiononeithercourt,thepiecemealor "mediatedfeminist"impactthatemergesfromthisstudyismorerealistic,andnolessimportant, insettingswherevariousinstitutionalfeatureswilldampentheimpactthatfemalesmakeonthe bench.Althoughwebelievethatmediatingfactorswillcontinuetooperatein thesetwohigh courts,webelievethatgenderdifferenceswillbecomeincreasinglyimportantatboththemicro andmacrolevelasmorewomenareappointedtothebench.
29
CANADIAN SUPREMECOURT Statistical significance .386 .070 .000 *** .010 ** .013 * .130
Variable PercentFemaleJustices PercentJusticesSameParty AveragePanelSize NumberofCasesArgued PercentofDocketCharter PercentUnanimousPriorYear Constant NumberofObservations AdjustedRSquare FTest DurbinWatsonStatistic
30
TABLE2 LogisticRegressionEstimatesofLiberalVotesinaSampleof U.S.SupremeCourtEqualityCasesandCanadianEqualityCases,19812005 UNITEDSTATES SUPREMECOURT Changein Probability WhenX b isLow&High CANADIAN SUPREMECOURT Changein Probability WhenX b isLow&High
Variable JudgeLevelVariables Ideology FemaleJustice CaseCharacteristics RacialDiscrimination DisabilityDiscrim. ReligiousDiscrim. SexDiscrim. IndigentDiscrim. GayRightsCase CitizenshipDiscrim. AgeDiscrim. Benefits JobLoss ConstitutionalIssues LowerCourtRuling HRCommissionRuling
.599 .218
.151 .242
.468 .347 .289 .165 .091 1.471 *** .771 * .511 .311 .180 .127 .170 .031 .433 .559 * .772 * .406 .136 .182 .101
.399 *
.195
31
TABLE2Continued LogisticRegressionEstimatesofLiberalVotesinaSampleof U.S.SupremeCourtEqualityCasesandCanadianEqualityCases,19812005 UNITEDSTATES SUPREMECOURT Changein Probability WhenX b isLow&High CANADIAN SUPREMECOURT Changein Probability WhenX b isLow&High
Variable Parties&Interveners Govt.isaParty NAACPIntervener EEOCParticipation LEAFIntervener CourtControlVariable McLachlinCourt Constant&ModelFitData Constant 2LLRChiSquare NagelkerkeRSquare PercentCorrect ReductioninError NumberofVotes
.649 **
.157
.351
.086
.852 ***
.204
32
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Notes
1
ThetabulationofratesofunanimityfortheU.S.SupremeCourtfocusedoncasesthatwere
WedidfindautocorrelationintheCanadiantimeseries,butcontrolledforthatbyintroducinga
laggedindicatorofthedependentvariableinthatmodel(seeOstrom1978).Sincewedidnot findautocorrelationintheU.S.setting,wedidnotintroducealaggedindicatorinthatequation.
3
Epsteinetal.(1996,93)reportthattherateofunanimityacrossallU.S.casesacross1975and
1994is38percent,whileOstbergandWetstein(2007,116)reporta76percentunanimityrateon theCanadianCourtbetween1984and2003.
4
Itshouldbenotedthatinrecentyearstherehavebeeneffortstoinstigateanoversightfunction
fortheCanadianParliamentintheSupremeCourtappointmentprocess,althoughthelasttwo appointmentshaveprovidedonlyatokeninformationalroleforaParliamentarycommittee.
5
SeeGouldv.YukonOrderofPioneers,[1996]1S.C.R.571 Symesv.Canada,[1993]4
39