BWD GLOBAL

SEPT. 25, 2013 TO: JOE MONAHAN

FROM: Bruce Donisthorpe RE: SEPT. 25TH ABQ CC7 SURVEY SUMMARY & HIGHLIGHTS

METHODOLOGY Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodological standards to 432 likely voting Demcratic, Republican and Independent registered households with known voting history in general elections from the 7th City Council District in the City of Albuquerque, New Mexico. Surveys were conducted using this method between 6 pm and 9 pm. As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted or adjusted at the top-line to ensure that responses accurately reflect the populations makeup by factors such as age, sex, region, and other established demographic standards and variables. The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted for this questions is 4.7% with a 95% level of confidence for the interviews conducted in this survey. TOP LINE: Question: In the race for City Councillor in your area, who would you support between Matthew Biggs, Diane Gibson and Janice Arnold-Jones? ARNOLD-JONES GIBSON BIGGS UNDEC Margin of Error: 4.7% 45.8% 28.0% 11.6% 14.6%

432 Likely Voters, City of Albuquerque Bruce Donisthorpe has been polling professionally since 2006. He has conducted several polls for Joe Monahans political blog in the 2008, 2010 and 2012 campaigns. And conducted a survey on Mayor Berrys public approval rating last year. He was active in polling the City of Albuquerque elections in 2009, in which he accurately forecasted Berrys win and the upset victory by City Councillor Dan Lewis in Albuquerque City Counil District 5.

ANALYSIS OF RESULTS THE BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT: Albuquerque City Councillor Janice Arnold-Jones has a 46%28% lead over challenger Diane Gibson in our survey of likely voters in the 7th City Council District. Matthew Biggs garnered about 12% of the vote while almost 15% was undecided. Ms. Arnold-Jones captured 71% of the REP voters, 43% of INDP voters and 29% of DEM respondents on the poll. She needs to pick up additional support among undecided REP and INDP voters while holding her support in the DEM and INDP camps to get over the 50% vote figure to avoid a runoff in this race. Ms. Gibson showed strength among her party (DEMs) in this district which has a 15-point edge in registration favoring the DEMs. As expected, she had strong support amongst Progressive and Liberal households and needs to increase her performance in those areas before election day to ensure a second-round campaign. Challenger Biggs is running best among men and hispanic voters, but trails the other two candidates by a wide margin. Undecided voters in the race are predominantly DEM and INDP voters who are largely moderate in philosophyand are most concerned about jobs and education issues. Demographic Crosstabs are on the next page.

ABQ CC7 BALLOT TEST DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS CATEGORY OVERALL

GENDER FEMALE DEM REP INDP MALE DEM REP INDP ETHNICITY ANGLO DEM REP INDP HISPANIC DEM REP INDP PARTY DEM REP INDP IDEOL PROG LIB MOD CONSV UNSURE TOP VOTING ISSUE ABQ POLICE DEP CRIME EDUCATION ENVIRONMENT JOBS/ECON OTHER

TOTAL 432

BIGGS 50

BIGGS% GIBSON GIBSON% AR-JONES AR-JN% 11.6% 10% 11% 8% 10% 13% 16% 10% 15% 9% 10% 7% 14% 14% 15% 11% 17% 13% 9% 13% 21% 9% 7% 12% 13% 121 28.0% 29% 47% 9% 30% 22% 39% 7% 16% 29% 51% 8% 29% 19% 28% 4% 17% 44% 8% 17% 61% 56% 23% 23% 27% 198 45.8% 46% 29% 69% 40% 50% 30% 73% 46% 51% 28% 76% 42% 50% 41% 64% 50% 29% 71% 43% 9% 21% 51% 72% 33%

UNDEC 63

UND% 14.6% 15% 13% 14% 21% 14% 15% 10% 22% 11% 11% 10% 15% 17% 15% 21% 17% 14% 12% 21% 9% 14% 18% 12% 27%

9% 16% 9% 17% 10% 0%

36% 19% 34% 61% 20% 38%

27% 52% 38% 21% 56% 25%

27% 12% 19% 0% 14% 38%

ABQ MAYOR RACE BERRY DINELLI HEH UNDEC ABORTION BALLOT SUPP OPPOSE UNSURE MIN WAGE SUPP OPPOSE UNSURE

11% 10% 46% 6%

12% 67% 36% 20%

66% 15% 0% 11%

12% 8% 18% 63%

13% 10% 13%

12% 46% 16%

65% 28% 46%

10% 16% 25%

13% 10% 10%

42% 9% 12%

32% 70% 45%

14% 11% 33%