Professional Documents
Culture Documents
e of goods and services in Addis Ababa. As usual, a total of 184 prices have been compiled under nine broad categories and the data collection exercise was conducted in collaboration with Horizon Ethiopia. The latest price data reveal double-digit year-on-year price increases for just over half of surveyed goods and services (or 93 out of 184 items). Most prominent among the commodities showing double-digit price increases are construction machinery rentals (i.e., dozers & excavators), local wooden building materials and certain fruits & vegetables (i.e., onions, bananas). More than a third of the items (37 percent) in the survey show year-on-year price declines. Notable year-on-year price declines were observed in certain widely used construction and building materials (i.e., cement & reinforcement bars) and urban land lease prices across town. On the basis of weights utilized for Addis Ababas official price index, we calculate an 18 percent average year-on-year inflation rate for the 184 commodities and services covered in our city-wide survey. This inflation estimate stands close to the 19 percent year-on-year inflation reported for Addis Ababa by the Central Statistical Agency for July 2012. Looking at food price trends alone, our survey shows year-on-year food inflation in Addis Ababa at 32 percent somewhat higher than the 25 percent year-on-year food inflation reported by the CSA during this period.
For the fourth time now, our survey included questions on price expectations for the coming quarter. More specifically, for all 184 prices surveyed, we asked retailers and businesses what price levels they anticipate in about three months time, namely in October 2012. The survey reveals an expectation of continued price rises for 23 percent (or 42 out of 184) of surveyed commodities and services. The expected quarterly inflation rate for all products is in the singledigits, at 2.5 percent, held down largely by an expected negative inflation of rate of -6.1 percent anticipated for food items, understandably due to seasonal effects. As this is only a quarterly figure, however, the implied inflation expectation from our business survey translates to an annual inflation rate of about 10 percent (i.e., 2.5 times 4) for the period ahead. This is somewhat lower than Access Capitals projections of 12 percent year-on-year inflation for end-December 2012 and what we anticipate will be an inflation rate in the low teens for most of 2013. An electronic version of the www.accesscapitalsc.com/research. price database is available at our website at
NAME
DESCRIPTI ON
Percentage Change
I. Consumer Goods
Teff White Birr/quintals Black - Birr/ quintals Home Delivered 1 liter/per day for a monthly Mama (Pack/Birr) Light (not dark) Injera in Birr/Piece Bulk salt (as opposed to in a shaker) (Birr/450 g/m) Habesha (Birr/Piece) Ferenj (Birr/Piece) Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg (Imported) Birr/Piece (350 gram) Gelgel in Birr Yedelebe in Birr Habesha in Birr Yedelebe in Birr Retail Price in Birr/Kg Wolella Birr/kg
1,080.0 930.0 321.0 1,700.0 57% 1,400.0 51% 400.0 25% 7.5 2.5 10.0 33% 3.0 20% 4.2 5.0
Milk
Injera
Table Salt
20% 2.0 2.1 24.8 4.4 7.0 24.0 34.0 6.4 14.3 7.5 60.0 3.9 543.0 1,300.0 57.0 15,000.0 14.3 61.0 2.3 15% 2.3 10% 30.0 10.0 10.0 30.0 45.0 7.0 18.0 15.0 70.0 17% 4.0 4% 1,200.0 2,000.0 54% 100.0 25,000.0 67% 14.5 2% 80.0 31% 75% 121% 21% 127% 43% 25% 32% 9% 26% 100%
Egg
Green Pepper Onions Tomatoes Broccoli Spinach Potatoes Orange Banana Apple Bread Sheep
Berbere
Unprocessed per Feresula (17kg) in Birr Processed Birr/kg Birr/Kg Birr/Kg (Busmeti) Chikena/special /kg Kitfo and Kurt/kg 3 liter (Imported) in Birr 3 liter (Local) in Birr Ethiopian Style (Sheno) in Birr/Kg Abyssinia 0.5 Liters in Birr Coca Cola (300 ml) in Birr Birr/ kg /Special/ Nyala (Birr/Pack) Marlboro (Birr/Pack) Duty Free Marlboro (Birr/Pack) Duty Free Rothmans (Birr/Pack) White Horse (1 Liter) in Birr Black Label (1 Liter) in Birr Giorgis (330 ml) in Birr Castel (330 ml) in Birr Meta (330 ml) in Birr Dashen (330 ml) in Birr Heineken (330 ml) in Birr
0% 1% -2% 0%
144.0 100.0
Butter
5.0 5% 6.0 33% 140.0 -13% 18.0 -10% 40.0 14% 40.0 0%
40.0
40.0 0%
Whisky
850.0 49% 1,500.0 20% 12.0 20% 14.0 27% 11.0 29% 12.0 20% 35.0 17%
Beer
Haircut Laundry Shoe shine Hairdressing Toilet Soaps Hair Oil (Zenith) Sanitary Napkin (Modes) Taxi
One time use in Birr For Suit (in Birr) One time use in Birr One time use in Birr 90 gram (Dove) 330 ml Unit Short Distance in Birr Medium Distance in Birr Long Distance in Birr Anbesa - Short Distance in Birr Anbesa - Long Distance in Birr Higer - Short Distance in Birr Higer - Long Distance in Birr Membership (Birr/Month) Retail Prices in Birr per Quintal (Muger OPC) by Gauge/Producer 35 gauge in Birr 32 gauge in Birr 28 gauge in Birr Birr In Berga or 12 meter length (Local) 8 mm 10 mm 12 mm 14 mm 16 mm 20 mm
20.0 40.0 2.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 10.0 1.3 2.6 3.7 1.5 2.5 1.9 3.0 510.0
30.0 40.0 2.0 30.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 1.35 2.7 3.8 1.5 2.3 1.5 3.0 750.0
Bus
Gym
Corrugated/Galvani zed Steel Sheet a. Elfign Bahru b.Elfign Bahru c.Kaliti Reinforcement Iron
4% 5% 29%
Birr In Berga or 12 meter length (Imported/Turk ey 8 mm 10 mm 12 mm 14 mm 16 mm 20 mm Angle Iron in Birr by Size (Thickness) 40x3 mm 30x3 mm 25x3 mm Building and Wooden Materials a. Timber , Local In Birr by Size 10 cm (Pines) 15 cm (Pines) 20 cm (Pines) 25 cm (Pines) 30 cm (Pines) 20 cm (Eucalyptus) 25 cm (Eucalyptus) 30 cm (Eucalyptus) 15 cm Thickness 20 cm Thickness 25 cm Thickness 30 cm Thickness Weraj (8m) Mager (4m) Kwami (4m) d. Nails Electrical Equipments a. Cables (100 Meters) 5kg. Pack in Birr in Birr by Size/Type 1.5cm thickness (Local) 1.5cm thickness (Imported)
4% 24% 27%
100 82% 220 267% 150 25% 200 25% 250 25% 295 23% 30 20 25 140 22% -25% 25% 4%
b. Timber, Imported
c. Wood (Atana)
450 380
ABB SIEMENS
110 115
850
600
-29%
Birr/Hour Birr/Hour
800 700
Birr/Hour
700
1,200 71%
Birr/Hour Birr/Hour
450 450
Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece
14,500 32% 15,500 35% 16,500 46% 14,000 31% 11,000 37%
110.0 160.0
110.0 150.0
0% -6%
0.47
0.47
0%
Customers b. General Commercial c.. High Voltage (132kV) Industrial d. Low Voltage (380V) Industrial e. Medium Voltage (380V) Industrial Water & Sewerage Services Charges (Meter Cube a. Domestic Customers (Monthly Water Consumption) 0-7 M3 8 up to 20 M3 above 20 M
3
Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh Tariff /M3 (in Birr per month) Birr /M3
0% 0% 0% 0%
1.75
1.75
0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
b. Non Domestic Customers (Commercial) c. Public Fountains (Bonno Weha) EAL International Freight Rates a. Injera +300kg b. Meat + 1000kg c. Flowers + 300kg d. Personal items (+100kg) ESL Freight Charges (Containers)
1.75
1,600
1,600 0%
0% 0% 0%
Qingdao Shanghai Tokyo C. North Continent and Mediterranean Trade Route Djibouti Port Handling Charge (Containers) Genoa
0% 0% 0%
0%
Southampton Storage Charges per TEU (Twenty Feet Equivalent Unit) in USD local Import/Export local Import/Export Birr per Quintal
1,500
1,500
0%
a. 9-15 days storage b. 11-15 days storage Road Freight Transport (Djibouti-Addis Ababa) a. Dry Bulk Traffic b. Liquid Bulk Traffic (Fuel) Auction
7.1 8.8
7.1 0% 8.8 0%
Birr/Quintal Birr/Quintal
80.0 84.0
80.0 82.0
0% -2%
a. Bole Sub-City b .Akaki-Kaliti Sub-City Rental Prices G+1 and above 250 sqm. G+1 and above 500 sqm. G+1 and above 1000 sqm. Sale Prices G+1 and above 250 sqm.
14,900.00 2,222
6,144.80 811
-59% -64%
in Birr
2,650,000
4,000,000
51%
G+1 and above 500 sqm. G+1 and above 1000 sqm. Skilled Labor Carpenter (Furniture and Shuttering) Mason (Brick or Stone) Heavy Vehicle Driver/Machine Operator a Dozer, Loader , Roller b. Excavator, Grader Electrician Semi-Skilled Labor Plumber Unskilled labor Daily Labors Professionals Accountant (Degree),0-3 years of experience a. Government b. Private c. NGO Secretary (Degree), 0-3 years of experience a. Government b. Private c. NGO Managers
in Birr in Birr
4,200,000 5,850,000
7,500,000 8,000,000
79% 37%
140
110
-21%
145
90
-38%
80
100
25%
40
40
0%
0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
Birr/Month Birr/Month Birr/Month Average Monthly Salary (in Birr) Birr/Month Birr/Month
0% 0% 0%
Maid/Janitor Guard
400 500
400 500
0% 0%
Year-on-Year Inflation Analytics on the basis of Access Capital's Quarterly Price Survey-Addis Ababa (July 2011 Vs July2012) I. AC Price Database Survey--Addis Q3/Q3 Weighted Jul-11 Jul-12 Ababa Y-o-Y Inflation
GENERAL INFLATION FOOD INFLATION NON-FOOD INFLATION
Beverages Cigarettes and Tobacco House Rent, Construction Materials, Water and Fuel and Power Transport and Communication Personal care and Effects
Source: CSA's Consumer Price Index Survey July 2011 & Access Capital's Price Database Survey--Addis Ababa (July 2012)
Inflation Analytics on the basis of Central Statstical Agencys Monthly Consumer Price Survey Addis Ababa (July 2011 Vs July2012) II. Central Statstical Agency CPI Q3/Q3 Weighted Y-o-Y Jul-11 Jul-12 Survey--Addia Ababa Inflation
GENERAL INFLATION FOOD INFLATION NON-FOOD INFLATION
Beverages Cigarettes and Tobacco House Rent, Construction Materials, Water and Fuel and Power Transport and Communication Personal care and Effects
Inflation Analytics on the basis of Central Statstical Agencys Monthly Consumer Price Survey Country Level (July2011 Vs July2012)
GENERAL INFLATION FOOD INFLATION NON-FOOD INFLATION
Beverages Cigarettes and Tobacco House Rent, Construction Materials, Water and Fuel and Power Transport and Communication Personal care and Effects
254.9 275.4
227.9 246.8 264.8 209.9 205.0 281.9
306.0 332.3
271.2 303.1 269.2 238.7 202.3 336.4
Source: CSA's Consumer Price Index Survey July 2011 & Access Capital's Price Database Survey--Addis Ababa (July 2012)
10
% Increase
266.7% 161.5% 140.0% 131.6% 127.3% 121.0% 100.0% 100.0% 88.2% 71.4%
10
% Decrease
-63.5% -58.8% -52.6% -50.0% -37.9% -37.2% -29.4% -28.4% -26.0% -25.3%
11
Expected Inflation Analytics on the basis of Access Capital's Quarterly Price Survey-Addis Ababa (July 2012 Vs October 2012) Q3/Q4 Weighted Expected Jul-12 Oct-12 Inflation I. AC Price Database Survey--Addis Ababa
GENERAL INFLATION FOOD INFLATION NON-FOOD INFLATION
Beverages Cigarettes and Tobacco House Rent, Construction Materials, Water and Fuel and Power Transport and Communication Personal care and Effects 163.7 388.6 173.7 388.6 6.1% 0.0%
*Expected Inflation in October 2012 Source: Access Capital's Quarterly Price Database SurveyAddis Ababa
12
I. Consumer Goods
Teff Milk White - Birr/quintals Black - Birr/ quintals Home Delivered 1 liter/per day for a monthly Mama (Pack/Birr) Injera Table Salt Egg Green Pepper Onions Tomatoes Broccoli Spinach Potatoes Orange Banana Apple Bread Sheep Chicken Ox (Cow) Sugar Honey Berbere Light (not dark) Injera in Birr/Piece Bulk salt (as opposed to in a shaker) (Birr/450 g/m) Habesha (Birr/Piece) Ferenj (Birr/Piece) Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg Birr/kg (Imported) Birr/Piece (350 gram) Gelgel in Birr Yedelebe in Birr Habesha in Birr Yedelebe in Birr Retail Price in Birr/Kg Wolella Birr/kg Unprocessed - per Feresula (17kg) in Birr Processed Birr/kg Shuro Rice Meat Meat Birr/Kg Birr/Kg (Busmeti) Chikena/special/kg Kitfo and Kurt/kg
1,700.0 1,400.0 400.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 2.3 2.3 30.0 10.0 10.0 30.0 45.0 7.0 18.0 15.0 70.0 4.0 1,200.0 2,000.0 100.0 25,000.0 14.5 80.0 850.0 80.0 45.0 37.0 120.0 120.0 1,600.0 1,300.0 400.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 2.3 2.3 24.0 10.0 10.0 30.0 25.0 6.0 18.0 15.0 70.0 4.0 1,500.0 2,500.0 150.0 30,000.0 14.5 80.0 750.0 75.0 45.0 37.0 120.0 120.0 -6% -7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -20% 0% 0% 0% -44% -14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 25% 50% 20% 0% 0% -12% -6% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13
3 liter (Imported) in Birr 3 liter (Local) in Birr Ethiopian Style (Sheno) in Birr/Kg Abyssinia 0.5 Liters in Birr Coca Cola (300 ml) in Birr Birr/ kg /Special/ Nyala (Birr/Pack) Marlboro (Birr/Pack) Duty Free Marlboro (Birr/Pack) Duty Free Rothmans (Birr/Pack)
71.3 120.0 100.0 5.0 6.0 140.0 18.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 850.0 1,500.0 12.0 14.0 11.0 12.0 35.0
71.3 120.0 100.0 5.0 6.0 150.0 18.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 850.0 1,500.0 12.0 14.0 11.0 12.0 35.0
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Whisky Beer
White Horse (1 Liter) in Birr Black Label (1 Liter) in Birr Giorgis (330 ml) in Birr Castel (330 ml) in Birr Meta (330 ml) in Birr Dashen (330 ml) in Birr Heineken (330 ml) in Birr
II. Services
Haircut Laundry Shoe shine Hairdressing Toilet Soaps Hair Oil (Zenith) Sanitary Napkin (Modes) Taxi One time use in Birr For Suit (in Birr) One time use in Birr One time use in Birr 90 gram (Dove) 330 ml Unit Short Distance in Birr Medium Distance in Birr Long Distance in Birr Bus Anbesa - Short Distance in Birr Anbesa - Long Distance in Birr Higer - Short Distance in Birr Higer - Long Distance in Birr Gym Cement Corrugated/Galvanized Steel Sheet a. Elfign Bahru b.Elfign Bahru Membership (Birr/Month) Retail Prices in Birr per Quintal (Muger OPC) by Gauge/Producer 35 gauge in Birr 32 gauge in Birr
120 174 122 176 2% 1% 30.0 40.0 2.0 30.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 1.35 2.7 3.8 1.5 2.3 1.5 3.0 750.0 30.0 40.0 2.0 30.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 1.35 2.7 3.8 1.5 2.3 1.5 3.0 750.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14
28 gauge in Birr Birr In Berga or 12 meter length (Local) 8 mm 10 mm 12 mm 14 mm 16 mm 20 mm Birr In Berga or 12 meter length (Imported/Turkey 8 mm 10 mm 12 mm 14 mm 16 mm 20 mm
225
230
2%
6% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%
4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Angle Iron
In Birr by Size 10 cm (Pines) 15 cm (Pines) 20 cm (Pines) 25 cm (Pines) 30 cm (Pines) 20 cm (Eucalyptus) 25 cm (Eucalyptus) 30 cm (Eucalyptus) 15 cm Thickness 20 cm Thickness 25 cm Thickness 30 cm Thickness Weraj (8m)
115 120 160 185 220 90 100 220 150 200 250 295 30 20 25 140 120 125 165 190 225 100 110 225 155 210 260 300 40 20 25 140 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 11% 10% 2% 3% 5% 4% 2% 33% 0% 0% 0%
b. Timber, Imported
c. Wood (Atana) Mager (4m) Kwami (4m) d. Nails Electrical Equipments 5kg. Pack in Birr in Birr by Size/Type
15
0% 0% 0% 0%
600
650
8%
2,200 1,700
2,200 1,700
0% 0%
1,100 1,000
1,100 1,000
0% 0%
Birr/Hour
1,200
1,200
0%
Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr /Piece Birr per liter Birr per liter Birr per liter in Birr in Birr Fee/Kwh (Equivalent Flat Rate in Birr) Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh Birr/Kwh
3% 3% 3% 4% 5%
110.0 150.0
100 145
-9% -3%
0% 0% 0% 0%
16
Industrial e. Medium Voltage (380V) Industrial Water & Sewerage Services Charges (Meter Cube a. Domestic Customers (Monthly Water Consumption) 0-7 M3 8 up to 20 M3 above 20 M
3
Birr/Kwh
0.41
0.41
0%
b. Non Domestic Customers (Commercial) c. Public Fountains (Bonno Weha) EAL International Freight Rates a. Injera +300kg b. Meat + 1000kg c. Flowers + 300kg d. Personal items (+100kg) ESL Freight Charges (Containers) a. Gulf & Indian SubContinent Trade Route
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17
0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
100
100
0%
40
40
0%
18
b. Private c. NGO Managers a. Government b. Private c. NGO Doctor (General PractitionerGP) a. Government b. Private c. NGO Domestic Services Maid/Janitor Guard
Birr/Month Birr/Month Average Monthly Salary (in Birr) Birr/Month Birr/Month Birr/Month Average Monthly Salary (in Birr) Birr/Month Birr/Month Birr/Month Average Monthly Salary (in Birr) Birr/Month Birr/Month
1,170 2,329
1,170 2,329
0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
400 500
400 500
0% 0%
19