On the Origin and Evolution of the Word Inflation by Michael F. Bryan Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Inflation, a term that first referred to a condition of the currency and later to a condition of money, is now commonly used to describe prices. This shift in meaning seems to have originated in an unfortunate—but perhaps inevitable —sequence of events. By referring to inflation as a condition of “too much money,” economists were forced to struggle with the operational issue of “how much is too much?” The quantity theory offered a clear answer to that question: Too much money is an increase in the money stock that is accompanied by a rise in the general price level. In other words, an inflated money supply will reveal itself through its effect on the price level. When Keynesian economic theory challenged the direct link between money and the price level, inflation lost its association with money and came to be chiefly understood as a condition of prices. Without being tied to the money supply, any price increase seems to have an equal claim to the word inflation. Indeed, today we regularly read reports of a seemingly endless variety of “inflations.” When the word is used as a description of the price level, an antiinflation policy can easily be characterized as being against any price increase, including higher wages! This is simply not the case. An anti-inflation strategy is concerned with a particular type of price increase—a rise in the general price level stemming from excessive money creation. When viewed in this light— the light provided by the word’s original meaning—a zero-inflation objective for the central bank becomes a much more sensible goal.
On the Origin and Evolution of the Word Inflation by Michael F. Bryan Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Inflation, a term that first referred to a condition of the currency and later to a condition of money, is now commonly used to describe prices. This shift in meaning seems to have originated in an unfortunate—but perhaps inevitable —sequence of events. By referring to inflation as a condition of “too much money,” economists were forced to struggle with the operational issue of “how much is too much?” The quantity theory offered a clear answer to that question: Too much money is an increase in the money stock that is accompanied by a rise in the general price level. In other words, an inflated money supply will reveal itself through its effect on the price level. When Keynesian economic theory challenged the direct link between money and the price level, inflation lost its association with money and came to be chiefly understood as a condition of prices. Without being tied to the money supply, any price increase seems to have an equal claim to the word inflation. Indeed, today we regularly read reports of a seemingly endless variety of “inflations.” When the word is used as a description of the price level, an antiinflation policy can easily be characterized as being against any price increase, including higher wages! This is simply not the case. An anti-inflation strategy is concerned with a particular type of price increase—a rise in the general price level stemming from excessive money creation. When viewed in this light— the light provided by the word’s original meaning—a zero-inflation objective for the central bank becomes a much more sensible goal.
On the Origin and Evolution of the Word Inflation by Michael F. Bryan Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Inflation, a term that first referred to a condition of the currency and later to a condition of money, is now commonly used to describe prices. This shift in meaning seems to have originated in an unfortunate—but perhaps inevitable —sequence of events. By referring to inflation as a condition of “too much money,” economists were forced to struggle with the operational issue of “how much is too much?” The quantity theory offered a clear answer to that question: Too much money is an increase in the money stock that is accompanied by a rise in the general price level. In other words, an inflated money supply will reveal itself through its effect on the price level. When Keynesian economic theory challenged the direct link between money and the price level, inflation lost its association with money and came to be chiefly understood as a condition of prices. Without being tied to the money supply, any price increase seems to have an equal claim to the word inflation. Indeed, today we regularly read reports of a seemingly endless variety of “inflations.” When the word is used as a description of the price level, an antiinflation policy can easily be characterized as being against any price increase, including higher wages! This is simply not the case. An anti-inflation strategy is concerned with a particular type of price increase—a rise in the general price level stemming from excessive money creation. When viewed in this light— the light provided by the word’s original meaning—a zero-inflation objective for the central bank becomes a much more sensible goal.
Inflation is the process of making central bank—and one solution—a less
addition to currencies not based on a expansive money growth rate. But as a Today, we commonly hear about dif- commensurate increase in the production condition of the price level, which may ferent kinds of inflation. Indeed, the of goods. have originated from a variety of things word inflation is often used synony- —Federal Reserve Bulletin (1919) (including a depreciating dollar, rising mously with “price increase.” But labor costs, bad weather, or a number of there is also a different, more spe- Most prominent among these inflationary factors other than “too much money”), cific, definition of inflation —a rise forces were a drop in the exchange rate the solution to—and the prudence of— in the general price level caused by of the dollar, a considerable increase in eliminating inflation is much less clear. an imbalance between the quantity labor costs, and severe weather. ■ Value, Money, and Currency of money and trade needs. This —Federal Reserve Bulletin (1978) “inflation” has but one origin —the I smiled at myself at the sight of all this F or many years, the word inflation was not a statement about prices but a condi- money. “Oh, drug,” said I, aloud, “What central bank. It is the latter defini- tion that drives many of those advo- art thou good for? Thou art not worth to cating an anti-inflation policy for the tion of paper money—a specific de- me, no not the taking off the ground. One Federal Reserve, and that more scription of a monetary policy. Today, of these knives is worth all this heap.” closely conforms with the word’s inflation is synonymous with a rise in —Daniel Defoe (1719) original meaning. prices, and its connection to money is Robinson Crusoe often overlooked. The classical economists, by which I Consider the opening quotations, taken refer to the generation writing around the from Federal Reserve Bulletins spanning time that Adam Smith’s The Wealth of a period of almost 60 years. The first de- Nations was published in 1776, were fines inflation as a condition of the cur- very exact in defining economic terms, rency, while the latter makes no reference because they were constructing a lan- to money. Indeed, it would seem that in guage on which an emerging science was 1978, inflation was about many things being built. Among their first contribu- other than excessive money growth. tions was to make explicit the distinction between “real” and “nominal” prices. This Economic Commentary considers the origin and uses of the word inflation A good’s real price, or value, was defined and argues that its definition was a casu- as the effort required to produce it, while alty in the theoretical battle over the con- its nominal, or money, price was said to nection between money growth and the be its cost in money alone (fixed in terms general price level. What was once a of gold or some other precious metal). word that described a monetary cause According to this view, the value of now describes a price outcome. This goods is anchored by the laws of nature shift in meaning has complicated the —the effort of labor—but their nominal position of anti-inflation advocates. As a price fluctuates with the availability of condition of the money stock, an inflat- the precious metal, and the laws of the ing currency has but one origin—the sovereign, that define a nation’s money. ISSN 0428-1276 The real price of everything…is the expanded the number of continental the predictable effect of propping up the toil and trouble of acquiring it. The bills of credit more than 40-fold, and, “value” of Greenback dollars, or driving same real price is always of the same to make matters worse, the states had down the Greenback price of goods. value; but on account of the variations issued their own paper monies in a simi- in the value of gold and silver, the same lar magnitude.5 In 1781, a dollar in Restoring the purchasing power of nominal price is sometimes of very paper was worth less than two cents in Greenbacks worked in favor of creditors, different values. gold coin.6 since it meant they would be repaid in a —Adam Smith (1776)1 currency that had greater purchasing By the early nineteenth century, econo- power than would otherwise have been Although the classical economists sup- mists were careful to distinguish among the case. But of course, what worked to posed that fluctuations in the money three sources of a change in the “cost” of the advantage of creditors worked to the price of goods can have temporarily dis- goods—changes in value, referring to disadvantage of debtors, who found their ruptive influences on the economy (such the real resource cost of a good, changes dollar liabilities rising in value. Debtor as producing capricious redistributions in money prices, caused largely by fluc- groups, predominantly farmers, advo- of wealth between parties bound by con- tuations in the metallic content of money, cated “inflating the Greenback” as a tracts with fixed money prices), in the and depreciation of the currency, caused means of easing the debt burdens of bor- end, these changes merely serve to alter by a change in the quantity of currency rowers and perhaps helping to redistrib- the scale by which value is measured. relative to the metal that constitutes a ute income from the eastern to the west- They do not alter values or have any nation’s money. The latter distinction ern constituencies. In the election of long-term consequences. The idea that would become a focal point in American 1868, the Democratic party endorsed the changes in the quantity of money affect political economy. “Ohio Idea,” which proposed that war only the money price of goods, not their debts be repaid with Greenbacks unless value, was championed by many of the ■ Inflation of the Currency otherwise stipulated.10 These predomi- early classical economists, most notably The era between the mid-1830s and the nantly western Democrats became David Hume. The theory was more rig- Civil War—a period economists refer to known as “Inflationists.” orously developed in the early twentieth as the “free banking era”—saw a prolif- century by American economist Irving eration of banks. Along with these in- Despite the election of Republican can- Fisher, and has come to be known as the stitutions came “bank notes,” a private didate Ulysses S. Grant to the presi- “quantity theory of money.” paper currency redeemable for a specific dency, Inflationist sentiment carried con- amount of metal. That is, if the issuing siderable influence in Congress. The If the history of commercial banking bank had it. At times, banks did not have movement was given further support by belongs to the Italians and of central enough gold or silver to satisfy all of the Supreme Court decision of 1870, banking to the British, that of paper their claims. Bank notes, like the public which reversed an earlier ruling and money issued by a government belongs notes that preceded them, also tended to declared that the issuance of paper indubitably to the Americans. depreciate. It is during this period that money as “legal tender” was constitu- —John Kenneth Galbraith (1975) the word inflation begins to emerge tional. In 1874, Congress passed the in the literature, not in reference to “Inflation Bill,” which provided for the To these early economists, the word something that happens to prices, but additional issuance of $14 million in money almost always referred to a metal- as something that happens to a paper Greenbacks. President Grant vetoed the lic coin.2 But the first generation of currency.7 measure and resumed bond redemption economists following Adam Smith in the in terms of coin. nineteenth century was very interested in The astonishing proportion between the paper money, since this form of payment The idea that the government can “cre- amount of paper circulation represent- had become popular in the burgeoning ate value” by issuing a paper money ing money, and the amount of specie American colonies.3 The colonies of- and merely stating that it is of value is actually in the Banks, during the past fered a large variety of paper currencies, in direct conflict with the quantity theo- few years, has been a matter of serious virtually all of which were conspicuous ry of money— and it was a subject of concern … [This] inflation of the cur- by their “overproduction” and their sub- considerable scorn (as the Thomas Nast rency makes prices rise.8 sequent rapid loss of purchasing power. cartoon reprinted on page 3 so perfectly —From the Bee (1855) 9 illustrates). The Continental Congress issued a paper During the Civil War, both the federal note to help finance the American Revo- and the confederate governments issued ■ Price Inflation lution, and these “bills of credit” became paper currency to help finance expendi- The term inflation was initially used to a circulating medium.4 In 1775, Con- tures. The federal government author- describe a change in the proportion of gress issued $6 million of the new cur- ized the issue of $450 million of a paper currency in circulation relative to the rency and urged the states to impose money called “Greenbacks,” and at amount of precious metal that consti- taxes for its ultimate redemption. The war’s end, President Johnson authorized tuted a nation’s money. By the late nine- taxes were never raised, however, and the Treasury to repay these notes with teenth century, however, the distinction larger continental issues were author- gold. This reduced the outstanding between “currency” and “money” was ized. By the end of 1779, Congress had Greenbacks by about 20 percent and had becoming blurred. Many current controversies about infla- tion are due not to conflicting ideas but to conflicting uses of the same word. When a nation has too much money, it is said to have inflation: that is about as near as we can come to an accepted def- inition of the term. As to what constitutes having too much money, there is not agreement … If we use the term inflation to denote any increase in the volume of money that is accompanied by a rise in the general price-level, we confine our- selves to a definite and logical use of the term, and one that directs attention at once to the practical monetary problem with which business is to-day chiefly concerned. —William Trufant Foster and Waddill Catchings (1923)
Economists appear to have reached a
definitional crossroads during the first several decades of the twentieth century. Presumably, because they could be cer- tain of the “excessiveness” of the circu- lating medium only by its effect on the price level, the notions of an inflated currency and prices became inextricably linked.
Consider the following quotations, from
works published by the same economist at two different times during this period:
Milk tickets for babies, in place of milk
…inflation occurs when, at a given price Illustration by Thomas Nast for David A. Wells, Robinson Crusoe’s Money; or the Remarkable level, a country’s circulating media — Financial Fortunes and Misfortunes of a Remote Island Community, New York: Harper and Brothers, 1876, p. 97. cash and deposit currency — increase relatively to trade needs. (Emphasis in original.) —Edwin Walter Kemmerer (1918) It has been rather the fashion with politi- At the turn of the century, economists Inflation exists in a country whenever cal economists to refuse the name Money tended to refer to any circulating medium the supply of money and of [circulating] to any medium of exchange which is not as money, and any change in the circulat- bank deposits…increases, relatively “a material recompense or equivalent.” ing medium relative to trade needs as an to the demand for media of exchange, …For myself, I can see no valid objec- inflation of money. But this shift in in such a way as to bring about a rise tion to the scientific acceptance of the meaning introduced another problem. in the general price level. (Emphasis popular term, Paper Money. The pres- Although it is easy to determine the added.) ence of the word paper so far qualifies amount of currency relative to the stock —Edwin Walter Kemmerer (1934) and explains the word money, as to show of a precious metal, how does one know that a material recompense or equivalent when the amount of the circulating is not meant. medium exceeds “trade needs”? —Francis A. Walker (1883) In the earlier definition, inflation is Linking inflation to the price level ■ Conclusion something that happens to the circulat- proved to be another important turning “That’s a great deal to make one word ing media at a given price level; in the point for the word. With the publication mean,” Alice said in a thoughtful tone. later definition, an inflating currency is of John Maynard Keynes’ General “When I make a word do a lot of work defined to exist when it produces a rise Theory in 1936, an assault on the quan- like that,” said Humpty Dumpty, “I in the general price level, as suggested tity theory of money commenced, and it always pay it extra.” by the quantity theory. What originally dominated macroeconomic thought for —Lewis Carroll (1872) described a monetary cause came to de- the next 40 years. By appealing to the Through the Looking Glass scribe a price effect. belief that resources could be regularly Inflation, a term that first referred to and persistently underemployed—an a condition of the currency and later To the quantity theorists, this shift in idea given support by the worldwide to a condition of money, is now com- emphasis may have had little direct con- depression of the time—Keynesian monly used to describe prices. This shift sequence, since it is unlikely they could theory challenged the necessary con- in meaning seems to have originated in have seen an important distinction nection between the quantity of money an unfortunate—but perhaps inevitable between these two ideas. Of course, and the general price level. Moreover, —sequence of events. By referring to increasing the quantity of currency rela- it suggested that aggregate price in- inflation as a condition of “too much tive to “trade needs” could have but one creases could originate from factors money,” economists were forced to effect—to make prices rise. And a ris- other than money. struggle with the operational issue of ing price level could have but one ori- “how much is too much?” The quantity gin—an increase in the quantity of In addition to separating the price level theory offered a clear answer to that money relative to its demand! from the money stock, the Keynesian question: Too much money is an in- revolution in economics appears to have Still, some economists attempted to crease in the money stock that is accom- separated the word inflation from a con- maintain the distinction between a rise panied by a rise in the general price dition of money and redefined it as a in the price level that originated from level. In other words, an inflated money description of prices. In this way, infla- the “creation” of additional currency supply will reveal itself through its tion became synonymous with any price relative to trade, and one that resulted effect on the price level. When Keynes- increase. Indeed, Keynes spoke about from a decrease in trade for a given sup- ian economic theory challenged the different “types” of inflation, including ply of money. It was the former, not the direct link between money and the price income, profit, commodity, and capital latter, that caused problems for econo- level, inflation lost its association with inflation. Today, little distinction is made mies whose trade was conducted via money and came to be chiefly under- between a price increase and inflation, paper money. stood as a condition of prices. and we commonly hear reports of ener- gy inflation, medical care inflation, and Without being tied to the money supply, Just as we can increase the size of a even wage inflation. Some go so far as any price increase seems to have an balloon either by pumping in more air, to argue that the monetary definition equal claim to the word inflation. In- or by decreasing the outside pressures, forces the word to take on too specific deed, today we regularly read reports of …we can increase prices either by a meaning: a seemingly endless variety of “infla- pumping more dollars into the monetary tions.” When the word is used as a circulation, or by decreasing the pres- Even if we agree that an inflationary sit- description of the price level, an anti- sure of the work that money has to per- uation is to be taken to imply something inflation policy can easily be character- form. It seems best, however, not to about prices, precise definitions vary … ized as being against any price increase, extend the term inflation to cover fail- Part of the difficulty here is that defini- including higher wages! This is simply ures to reduce the money in circulation tions of the more popular variety such not the case. An anti-inflation strategy is when prices begin to rise. Such an as “too much money chasing too few concerned with a particular type of price extension of the use of the term would goods,” not only purport to define infla- increase—a rise in the general price be at variance with its derivation, and tion, but also imply something more level stemming from excessive money would, moreover, leave the term less about particular inflationary processes. creation. When viewed in this light— definitely applicable to the actual, cur- —R. J. Ball (1964) the light provided by the word’s original rent monetary problems of the world. meaning—a zero-inflation objective for —William Trufant Foster and the central bank becomes a much more Waddill Catchings (1923)11 sensible goal. ■ Footnotes 8. This is the earliest reference to inflation 1. The idea that value is fixed by labor in the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s effort, called the “labor theory of value,” is library. The Oxford English Dictionary Michael F. Bryan is an assistant vice presi- now generally discredited by economists. shows the earliest reference to be from D.D. Barnard (1838): “The property pledge can dent and economist at the Federal Reserve Still, we make clear distinctions between a good’s real cost and its money cost. have no tendency whatever to prevent an Bank of Cleveland. The author would like to inflation of the currency.” acknowledge Jim Damask and J. Huston 2. Western economists of the time were cer- McCulloch for providing some early refer- tainly aware of paper money. Chinese notes 9. Gold and the Currency: Specie Better ences. He also thanks David Altig, Joseph called “chao” were known to have been used than Small Bills, Boston: Evans and Plumber, 1855. Haubrich, and Peter Rupert for helpful com- as early as the ninth century (they were also said to have depreciated rapidly in value). ments and suggestions. 10. However, “sound money man” Horatio The views stated herein are those of the 3. A common lament in the New World was Seymour, the reluctant Democratic candi- author and not necessarily those of the Fed- that paper money was necessary because of a date for the presidency in 1868, is said to eral Reserve Bank of Cleveland or of the lack of metallic coins. have indicated that if elected, he would not support the plan. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve 4. Some historians note that the decision to System. issue continental currency was made in the 11. Similar in spirit are the following: conventions that occurred prior to the estab- Economic Commentary is available elec- lishment of the Continental Congress. … we must distinguish between inflation and tronically through the Cleveland Fed’s site on the rise in prices. The one is not necessarily the World Wide Web: http://www.clev.frb.org. 5. See Charles J. Bullock, Essays on the synonymous with the other … An alteration Monetary History of the United States, New We also offer a free online subscription serv- in the general price level accordingly means York: Macmillan, 1990, pp. 64–5. a change in the relation between goods on ice to notify readers of additions to our Web the one hand and money on the other. Obvi- site. To subscribe, please send an email mes- 6. The French also issued a paper money— ously, however, such a change in the relation sage to econpubs-on@clev.frb.org. “assignats”—around the time of their Revo- may be ascribable, in its origin, to either of lution, with a similar result: They, too, the two elements, the goods or the money. rapidly lost their purchasing power. The French experience with paper money gave —Edwin R.A. Seligman (1921) rise to the saying, “After the paper money Either the rise in prices might be due to the machine comes the guillotine.” scarcity of goods or it might be due to the 7. Bank notes were taxed out of existence superabundance of money, but as a matter of by an act of Congress in 1865. actual historical fact it is, so far as I know, universally true … that it is the change in the money that makes the changes in the value of the money, and not changes in the goods. —Irving Fisher (1923)
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