183517985.xlsx.

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

Rank
1 2

Sub topic 0006 Security 0028 Patients 0019 Personnel 0024 Patients 0026 Patients 0030 Military 0008 Temporal

Risk Scenario

Enemy Military Strike Risk of an attack on the base while disease raging, delaying response. Life-threatening injury Clinical Staff Non-infected with major injury Infected with major injury Other military medical facilities During Pandemic Outbreak

3 5
6

Access to other locations may be restricted; patients may not be allowed to be transfe Direct patient care leaves clinical staff susceptible to infection

Risk of being exposed at the clinic, if not treated, injury could worsen and lead to deat

Risk of infecting others (patients, staff, base personnel) at clinic,injury could worsen a

7
8

Other military medical facilities will also be burdened and unable to accept patient tra Staffing levels are inadequate to keep up with influx of patients; staff infected

Risks which are being addressed in Phase VI

Likelihood

Most likely Effect

.001<= P < 0.01

0.01 <= P < 0.05

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0.05 <= P < 0.15

0.15 <= P < 0.50

0.50 <= P < 1.0

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

Total inability

complete failure Additional 50% Loss of work capacity Additional 25% loss of work capacity Additional 10% loss of life

28

19, 24,

Normal

After finding the probabilities for the Phase IV entries, we can see that some of the risk scenarios have been escalated, while other risk scenarios have decreased. list, our team is going to focus on the following risks for developing Phase VI Risk Mitigation strategies.

0019 Direct patient care leaves clinical staff susceptible to infection 0024 Risk of being exposed at the clinic, if not treated, injury could worsen and lead to death; exceeds the capability of the clinic; access may be restricted to other b civilian hospitals 0008 Staffing levels are inadequate to keep up with influx of patients; staff infected

Ultimately, some of these risk scenarios are pushing the scope boundary for the hospital administration. Many of these require coordination among several and strategies to tie the air base wing together. In reducing the risk scenario set down, we chose those scenarios which both remained in the high and extremely hig categories, but with viable solutions which could feasibly be implemented in a reasonable timeframe.

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

Bayesian Probability
0.005 0.01

Reduced Reduced Reduced Reduced Increased Increased Increased

0.5 0.15
0.2 0.3 0.6

Extremely High Risk

High Risk

Moderate Risk

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

Low Risk

rios have decreased. From this

y be restricted to other bases,

n among several organizations e high and extremely high risk

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Phase V

Jonathan Markowitz, Matt Davlin, John Fields

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