NBC/WSJ Poll - Late October 2013

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 800 Adults, including 240 cell phone only respondents
Date: October 25-28, 2013
48 Male
52 Female
Study #13452
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is 3.46%
Unless otherwise noted by a +, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.)
18-24 ....................................................................
25-29 ....................................................................
30-34 ....................................................................
35-39 ....................................................................
40-44 ....................................................................
45-49 ....................................................................
50-54 ....................................................................
55-59 ....................................................................
60-64 ....................................................................
65-69 ....................................................................
70-74 ....................................................................
75 and over ..........................................................
Not sure/refused ................................................
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background?
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
No, not Hispanic ..............................................
Not sure/refused ............................................
Q2c
10
8
9
9
11
7
8
10
12
6
4
5
1
11
89
-
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?
White ..............................................................
Black ..............................................................
Asian ..............................................................
Other ..............................................................
Hispanic (VOL) .............................................
Not sure/refused ..........................................
74
12
2
4
7
1

Late October 2013
Q3

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things
are off on the wrong track?
High
Headed in the right direction......

Off on the wrong track ...............
Mixed (VOL) ............................
Not sure ...................................
9/01
72
11
11
6
Low
10/1720/08+
12
78
7
3
4/11
28
63
6
3
2/11
31
60
6
3
1/11
35
56
5
4
8/59/10
32
58
6
4
6/10
29
62
5
4
5/611/10
34
56
6
4
3/10
33
59
5
3
6/09
42
46
9
3
4/09
43
43
10
4
2/09
41
44
9
6
1/09
26
59
9
6
10/2528/13
22
70
4
4
10/79/13
14
78
4
4
9/13
30
62
5
3
7/13
29
61
6
4
6/13
32
59
6
3
4/13
31
61
5
3
2/13
32
59
6
3
1/13
35
57
4
4
12/12
41
53
3
3
10/12+
41
53
4
2
9/2630/12+
40
53
5
2
9/1216/12+
39
55
4
2
8/12+
32
61
4
3
7/12+
32
60
5
3
6/12
31
61
5
3
5/12
33
58
5
4
4/12
33
59
6
2
3/12
33
58
5
4
1/12
30
61
5
4
12/11
22
69
6
3
11/11
19
73
5
3
10/11
17
74
5
4
8/11
19
73
5
3
7/11
25
67
5
3
6/11
29
62
6
3
5/11
36
50
10
4
12/10
28
63
6
3
11/10
32
58
6
4
10/2830/10+
31
60
5
4
10/1418/10+
32
59
6
3
9/10
32
59
5
4
8/2630/10
30
61
6
3
1/23 25/10
32
58
7
3
1/1014/10
34
54
10
2
12/09
33
55
10
2
10/09
36
52
9
3
9/09
39
48
10
3
7/09
39
49
9
3
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

Late October 2013
Q4

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
High
Approve .................
Disapprove ............
Not sure ..............
Low
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/79/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
8/13
44
48
8
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
4/09
61
30
9
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/2630/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/59/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/2325/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14

Late October 2013
Q5

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups. I'd like you to rate your feelings
toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you
don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)
Barack Obama1
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013 ..........................
July 2013 .....................................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013.....................................
February 2013..............................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
September 12-16, 2012+ .............
August 2012+...............................
July 2012+ ...................................
June 2012 ....................................
May 2012 .....................................
April 2012.....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011 ...........................
November 2011 ...........................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
June 2011 ....................................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011.....................................
February 2011..............................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010 ...........................
November 2010 ...........................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
August 26-30, 2010......................
August 5-9, 2010..........................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
December 2009 ...........................
October 2009 ...............................
September 2009 ..........................
July 2009 .....................................
June 2009 ....................................
April 2009.....................................
February 2009..............................
January 2009 ...............................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
24
26
25
28
28
30
31
31
37
34
37
35
31
33
29
32
30
28
28
22
26
23
24
27
33
28
28
29
25
28
29
29
29
26
27
27
28
31
29
29
36
38
37
41
45
47
43
17
21
20
20
19
17
18
21
16
15
15
13
17
16
19
17
18
21
22
23
19
23
20
22
21
22
21
23
23
21
18
19
18
20
19
20
19
19
23
21
20
18
18
19
19
21
23
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
13
11
12
12
13
10
11
11
9
8
6
9
8
8
14
10
13
14
10
13
15
14
12
14
14
14
15
15
14
12
12
9
12
12
13
13
15
11
14
13
11
11
10
11
12
12
17
13
11
16
14
12
15
14
11
14
12
11
11
13
11
11
12
13
12
14
15
13
12
14
13
13
13
15
14
14
13
15
17
14
14
14
15
14
14
14
15
12
14
14
12
10
9
8
32
30
26
26
28
27
26
26
24
31
31
31
30
32
27
29
26
25
25
27
27
28
30
24
18
23
20
18
24
26
27
26
27
27
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
19
20
17
13
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
10
32
40
Barack Obama
High
February 2009 .....................................
47
21
12
9
Presidential Term Low
October 25-28, 2013............................
24
17
13
13
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ .........................
14
17
18
5
1

Late October 2013

Q5 (cont'd)
The Republican Party1
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013 ..........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
February 2013 .............................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+...............................
July 2012+ ...................................
June 2012 ....................................
May 2012 .....................................
April 2012.....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011 ...........................
November 2011 ...........................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011.................................
June 2011 ....................................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011.....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010 ..........................
November 2010 ..........................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
August 26-30, 2010 .....................
August 5-9, 2010 .........................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
May 6-11, 2010 ............................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
December 2009 ...........................
October 2009 ...............................
September 2009 ..........................
July 2009 .....................................
June 2009 ....................................
April 2009.....................................
February 2009 .............................
High
December 2001 ...........................
Low
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
16
17
21
24
21
20
21
21
24
24
23
21
23
22
24
23
21
21
22
24
22
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
23
18
24
23
22
25
25
23
23
19
23
19
19
22
19
24
21
27
26
24
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
23
23
24
23
23
21
21
24
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
25
28
26
26
26
24
27
27
27
27
27
29
29
25
24
23
24
23
18
20
24
18
18
18
16
18
18
19
19
19
19
23
18
18
23
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
22
24
23
21
22
20
18
24
24
23
22
21
23
22
25
30
29
21
23
26
25
27
25
25
29
25
26
24
24
24
25
25
26
26
23
21
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
21
22
19
19
20
23
20
18
19
23
21
20
21
22
22
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
21
36
18
13
16
24
23
30
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
6
7
7
8
8
6
9
15
14
12
11
10
9
11
8
8
6
9
11
8
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
7
6
6
10
8
6
7
7
5
6
5
9
6
7
7

Late October 2013

Q5 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party1
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013........................
September 2013 ..........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
February 2013 .............................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ..............................
July 2012+ ...................................
June 2012 ....................................
May 2012 .....................................
April 2012 ....................................
March 2012..................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011 ...........................
November 2011 ...........................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011 ................................
June 2011 ....................................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011 ....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010 ...........................
November 2010 ...........................
October 28-30, 2010+..................
October 14-18, 2010+..................
September 2010 ..........................
August 26-30, 2010 .....................
August 5-9, 2010 .........................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010..........................
May 6-11, 2010............................
March 2010..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
December 2009 ...........................
October 2009 ...............................
September 2009 ..........................
July 2009 .....................................
June 2009 ....................................
April 2009 ....................................
February 2009 ..............................
December 2008 ............................
High
January 2000 ................................
Low
July 2006 ......................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
22
25
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
22
24
23
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
25
22
24
26
26
28
25
27
25
28
27
29
26
28
29
32
21
18
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
19
21
24
23
25
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
19
22
21
18
19
19
22
20
19
20
18
19
16
19
18
22
18
20
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
21
19
18
21
23
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
19
18
20
18
18
19
17
18
19
14
17
17
16
15
14
15
22
20
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
19
19
18
18
19
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
24
26
24
22
24
24
21
23
26
22
22
20
21
19
17
13
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
20
30
23
15
10
25
27
22
17
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
15
14
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
17
15
15
15
9
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
11
11
15
11
9
14
11
10
14
14
13
19
17
20
17

1

Late October 2013

Q5 (cont'd)
The Tea Party Movement

October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013 ..........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
January 2013 ...............................
July 2012+ ...................................
April 2012.....................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011 ...........................
November 2011 ...........................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011.................................
June 2011 ....................................
April 2011.....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010 ...........................
November 2010 ...........................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
August 26-30, 2010 .....................
August 5-9, 2010 .........................
June 2010 ....................................
May 6-11, 2010 ............................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
High
June 2010 ....................................
Low
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
John Boehner
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
January 2012 ...............................
February 2011 .............................
January 2011 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
October 2009 ...............................
January 2007 ...............................
Harry Reid
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
January 2013 ...............................
January 2012 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
September 2010 ..........................
August 5-9, 2010 .........................
January 10-14, 2010 ...................
October 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ..............................
January 2007 ...............................
September 2006+ ........................
February 2005 .............................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
9
9
9
11
9
14
10
10
10
12
12
11
13
13
13
15
14
14
14
15
12
14
15
16
13
14
14
12
16
15
14
14
17
18
17
15
16
17
15
16
16
18
16
18
16
15
16
16
19
15
16
14
22
20
23
26
20
23
23
19
21
21
21
20
20
20
22
20
21
18
20
21
19
23
21
21
22
20
10
13
15
13
15
14
11
16
15
14
12
14
14
14
14
14
13
12
11
13
12
12
12
10
10
6
37
34
27
25
32
29
27
27
28
30
29
29
27
30
24
23
25
28
27
23
24
22
19
20
18
15
8
12
10
11
10
6
12
10
9
8
10
9
11
7
11
10
11
10
12
13
17
13
14
18
21
31
15
19
21
12
19
14
12
20
13
34
12
3
5
3
3
4
6
7
8
3
5
2
1
14
12
15
16
14
14
16
11
11
9
7
4
20
20
23
23
22
22
23
20
16
19
12
12
18
17
18
14
16
9
9
7
6
8
7
4
25
25
19
15
16
12
6
10
12
9
8
2
20
21
22
29
28
37
39
44
52
50
64
77
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
4
12
13
12
10
11
12
9
10
12
12
9
8
7
17
16
20
23
20
20
22
20
18
22
13
15
21
11
12
10
10
11
12
7
8
7
10
9
6
5
23
20
18
21
21
20
24
24
19
11
8
12
3
32
34
36
32
34
33
36
35
42
43
58
57
60
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

Late October 2013

Q5 (cont'd)
Mitch McConnell
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
January 2013 ...............................
January 2012 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
September 2010 ..........................
October 2009 ..............................
January 2007 ...............................
Ted Cruz
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
Federal government employees
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
February 2011 ..............................
1
Hillary Clinton
October 25-28, 2013* ..................
September 2013 ..........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013.....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
November 2011 ...........................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011.....................................
December 2010 ...........................
January 10-14, 2010 ...................
July 2009 .....................................
February 2009 .............................
January 2009 ...............................
December 2008 ...........................
September 2008+ ........................
August 2008+...............................
June 2008+ ..................................
April 2008+ ..................................
March 24-25, 2008+.....................
March 7-10, 2008+.......................
January 2008 ...............................
June 2007 ....................................
March 2007 ..................................
December 2006 ...........................
April 2006.....................................
December 2004 ...........................
July 2003 .....................................
March 2001 ..................................
January 2001 ...............................
High
February 2009 .............................
Low
March 2001 ..................................
Chris Christie
October 25-28, 2013** .................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
February 2013 ..............................
August 2012+................................
June 2011 .....................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
9
10
7
8
9
6
9
22
22
25
22
20
19
19
14
11
7
8
9
8
5
14
11
12
11
9
6
1
39
44
46
48
50
58
64
9
7
4
10
7
6
16
13
13
8
8
4
22
20
8
35
44
65
15
14
21
28
33
34
15
14
11
8
5
2
22
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27
24
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
21
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
16
19
15
18
31
9
12
12
11
10
24
29
24
17
13
24
22
20
21
19
10
8
10
10
7
7
4
2
9
7
26
25
32
32
44
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Late October 2013

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Chris Christie .....................................................
33
17
Hillary Clinton .....................................................
46
33
Federal government employees .........................
36
26
The Democratic Party ........................................
37
40
Barack Obama ...................................................
41
45
Ted Cruz ............................................................
19
30
Mitch McConnell ................................................
11
28
Harry Reid ..........................................................
17
34
The Tea Party Movement...................................
23
47
John Boehner .....................................................
17
43
The Republican Party.........................................
22
53
D/S
14
13
10
-3
-4
-11
-17
-17
-24
-26
-31
And, switching topics

Q6
Do you think America is in a state of decline, or do you feel that this is not the case?
10/2528/13*
In a state of decline ...........................
63
Not in a state of decline .....................
34
Not sure...........................................
3
1/11
54
42
4
8/2630/10
65
31
4
12/09
61
35
4
9/1922/08+
74
22
4
6/08+
69
25
6
11/07
57
38
5
12/91
63
32
5
10/91
53
42
5
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
Now, thinking about something else

Q7
Thinking for a moment about our system of government and how well it works, do you feel generally
optimistic as far as the future is concerned, do you feel generally pessimistic about it, or feel uncertain about
our system of government and how well it works?
Generally optimistic ..........

Generally pessimistic .......
Uncertain ..........................
Not sure ..........................
1
10/2528/13
30
28
41
1
6/13
31
29
39
1
3/111
26
23
49
2
10/102
33
20
46
1
1/083
44
23
33
-
2/834
51
21
27
1
2/81
51
21
26
2
Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News/Washington Post.

Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News/Yahoo News Post.
Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Gallup/USA Today.
4
Comparative data prior to 2008 comes from a survey conducted by the Roper Organization.
2
3
2/79
49
22
26
3
8/77
47
21
29
3
2/77
57
14
26
2
8/75
45
24
29
3
8/74
55
15
27
3

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 10

And, although its a long way off

Q8
What is your preference for the outcome of NEXT year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
10/2528/13+
Republican-controlled Congress ..........
41
Democrat-controlled Congress .............
45
Not sure ..............................................
14
10/79/13+
39
47
14
9/13+
43
46
11
7/13+
44
44
12
6/13+
42
45
13
10/12+
43
45
12
9/2630/12+
43
47
10
8/12+
42
47
11
7/12+
45
46
9
6/12+
44
45
11
5/12+
43
44
13
4/12+
44
46
10
3/12+
41
46
13
1/12+
41
47
12
12/11+
43
45
12
11/11+
43
46
11
10/11+
41
45
14
8/11+
47
41
12
6/11+
44
44
12
10/10+
44
46
10
9/10+
44
44
12
8/2630/10+
43
43
14
8/59/10+
42
43
15
6/10+
45
43
12
5/2023/10+
44
43
13
5/611/10+
44
44
12
3/10+
42
45
13
1/2325/10+
42
44
14
1/1014/10+
41
41
18
12/09+
41
43
16
10/09+
38
46
16
9/09+
40
43
17
7/09+
39
46
15
4/09+
39
48
13
11/08+
36
48
16
10/08+
36
49
15
9/08+
37
50
13
8/08+
36
47
17
7/08+
36
49
15
6/08+
33
52
15
4/08+
34
49
17
3/08+
35
49
16
11/07+
37
46
17
9/07+
35
47
18
10/06+
37
52
11
9/06+
39
48
13
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
38
49
13
4/06+
39
45
16
3/06+
37
50
13
1/06+
38
47
15
12/05+
38
46
16
11/05+
37
48
15
10/05+
39
48
13
7/05+
40
45
15
5/05+
40
47
13
10/04+
43
44
13
9/04+
42
46
12
6/04+
42
44
14
5/04+
41
44
15
3/04+
42
45
13
1/04
42
43
15
12/13/03
42
42
16
10/02+
43
42
15
9/02
42
42
16
7/02
43
41
16
6/02
42
41
17
1/02
44
40
16
12/01
42
40
18
12/99
40
44
16
10/99
39
41
20
7/99
39
43
18
6/99
42
41
17
4/99
41
40
19
3/99
37
43
20
10/98+
41
43
16
9/98
40
39
21
7/98
41
40
19
6/98
39
40
21
2/98
41
37
22
1/98
40
42
18
12/97
41
37
22
9/97
41
39
20
7/97
45
39
16
4/97
44
38
18

Late October 2013
Q9
Study #13452 -- page 11

In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do
you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?
10/2528/13+
Deserves to be reelected ...........
29
Give new person a chance ........
63
Not sure ...................................
8
7/13+
32
57
11
8/12+
43
47
10
3/12+
40
48
12
8/11+
42
47
11
10/2830/10+
37
51
12
8/2630/10+
31
56
13
6/10+
35
57
8
1/1014/10+
39
49
12
12/09+
38
49
13
10/09+
41
49
10
9/09+
40
49
11
7/08+
40
47
13
11/07+
39
51
10
6/07+
41
48
11
10/1316/06+
39
45
16
9/3010/2/06+
38
45
17
9/811/06+
41
43
16
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
42
45
13
3/06+
41
48
11
1/06+
41
46
13
12/05+
41
44
15
11/05+
37
51
12
5/05+
42
45
13
10/04+
49
34
17
10/02+
42
39
19
9/02
41
42
17
10/00+
50
35
15
9/00+
49
38
13
6/00+
49
39
12
12/99
42
47
11
10/98+
48
37
15
12/97+
41
45
14
10/94+
39
49
12
9/94
30
53
17
5/94
34
50
16
1/94
35
47
18
10/93
34
52
14
9/93
37
47
16
7/93
30
55
15
10/92+
31
56
13
9/92+
31
56
13
7/92+
27
62
11
4/92+
33
57
10
2/92+
37
52
11
1/92+
42
48
10
Now, thinking some more about how you might vote for Congress next year
Q10
If the choice in your district had the following, would you be more likely to vote for a -- (ROTATE:)
Republican candidate for Congress, a Democratic candidate for Congress -- or an independent or third party
candidate for Congress?
Republican candidate ..................................................

Democratic candidate ...................................................
Independent/third party candidate ................................
Not sure ......................................................................
10/2528/13+
28
35
30
7
9/10+
31
36
25
8
8/2630/10+
32
34
25
9
6/10+
31
34
25
10

Late October 2013
Q11
Study #13452 -- page 12

In general, do you think that it is better for the same political party to control both the Congress and the
presidency, so they can work together more closely, or do you think that it is better to have different political
parties controlling the Congress and the presidency to prevent either one from going too far?
Better if same party controls Congress and the presidency ...........

Better if different parties control Congress and the presidency ......
Not sure .........................................................................................
10/2528/13+
34
58
8
8/2630/10+
29
62
9
5/610/10+
31
62
7
3/10+
31
60
9
10/45/08+
41
48
11
12/03
32
57
11
12/02
29
62
9
10/00+
41
47
12
9/00+
41
47
12
12/99
33
60
7
9/98
34
55
11
9/97
25
67
8
6/96+
43
44
13
12/95
42
48
10
1/95
33
55
12
10/94
36
55
9
6/94
30
59
11
1/94
33
56
11
10/93
30
58
12
12/92
37
51
12
10/92+
39
47
14
9/92+
40
46
14
8/92+
43
44
13
7/92+
40
47
13
4/92+
32
61
7
10/91+
24
67
9
1/92+
28
62
10
10/90+
23
67
10
1/90+
24
63
13
9/86+
28
64
8
Q12a
And in general, do you feel that Congress is contributing to the problems in Washington or is working to
solve these problems?
Contributing to problems ..............................

Working to solve problems ...........................
Some of both (VOL) ...................................
Neither (VOL) .............................................
Not sure ......................................................
Q12b
10/2528/13
74
17
3
2
4
4/92
71
20
3
2
4
And in general, do you feel that your own representative in Congress is contributing to the problems in
Washington or is working to solve these problems?
Contributing to problems ..............................

Working to solve problems...........................
Some of both (VOL) ...................................
Neither (VOL) .............................................
Not sure ......................................................
10/2528/13
43
40
2
2
13
4/92
30
53
2
2
13
10/91
21
56
6
2
15
10/90
26
57
6
2
9

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 13

Moving on
(Q13A AND Q13B ROTATED AMONG INDEPENDENTS)
(ASKED ONLY OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS (QF3:1-4))
Q13a
Do you want Democratic leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on the
current budget debate, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain
consensus on the budget?
Total Democrats and Independents
Make compromises .............................................

Stick to their positions .........................................
Depends (VOL) .................................................
Neither (VOL)....................................................
Not sure ............................................................
10/2528/13
69
22
2
7

Depends (VOL) .................................................
Neither (VOL)....................................................
Not sure ............................................................
10/2528/13
68
23
2
7

Depends (VOL) .................................................
Neither (VOL)....................................................
Not sure ............................................................
10/2528/13
71
18
2
1
8
12/12
71
23
2
1
3
7/11
65
27
1
7
4/11
71
23
1
5
12/101
64
29
2
1
4
4/11
68
26
1
5
12/101
63
29
2
1
5
4/11
76
18
1
1
4
12/101
65
27
2
2
4
Democrats
12/12
70
25
2
3
7/11
62
30
8
Independents
12/12
74
17
2
2
5
7/11
73
18
2
7
In December 2010, the Question was phrased Do you want Democratic leaders in the House and Senate to make
compromises to gain consensus on legislation, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not
being able to gain consensus on legislation?

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 14

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (QF3:4-7))

Q13b
Do you want Republican leaders in the House and Senate to make compromises to gain consensus on the
current budget debate, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain
consensus on the budget?
Total Republicans and Independents
Make compromises ..............................................

Stick to their positions ..........................................
Depends (VOL) ..................................................
Neither (VOL) .....................................................
Not sure .............................................................
10/2528/13
53
38
2
1
6

Depends (VOL) ..................................................
Neither (VOL) .....................................................
Not sure .............................................................
10/2528/13
46
47
2
1
4

Depends (VOL) ..................................................
Neither (VOL) .....................................................
Not sure .............................................................
10/2528/13
67
20
2
3
8
12/12
62
32
1
1
4
7/11
53
42
1
4
4/11
48
47
1
4
12/101
53
38
3
6
4/11
38
56
1
5
12/101
47
47
2
4
4/11
66
30
4
12/101
64
23
3
1
9
Republicans
12/12
59
37
1
3
7/11
43
52
1
4
Independents
12/12
69
22
1
1
7
7/11
68
24
1
7
In December 2010, the question was phrased Do you want Republican leaders in the House and Senate to make
compromises to gain consensus on legislation, or do you want them stick to their positions even if this means not being
able to gain consensus on legislation?

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 15

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (F3:4-7))

Q14a
When it comes to your viewpoint of the Democratic Party which of these statements comes closest to your
point of view. (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
Total
Republicans &
Independents
Republicans
Independents
While I disagree with many of the Democratic Partys

ideas and policy, it has several good leaders and quite a
few good policy areas with which I agree ...........................
18
11
32
While I disagree with many of the Democratic Partys

ideas and policy, it has some people and a couple of
policy areas with which I agree ..............................................
45
47
41
I disagree with almost everything the Democratic Partys

stands for in their ideas and policies and I do not like any
of their leaders .......................................................................
33
39
20
Not sure ...............................................................................
(ASKED ONLY OF DEMOCRATS AND INDEPENDENTS (F3:1-4))

Q14b
When it comes to your viewpoint of the Republican Party which of these statements comes closest to your
point of view. (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
While I disagree with many of the Republican Partys

ideas and policy, it has several good leaders and quite a
few good policy areas with which I agree ...........................
While I disagree with many of the Republican Partys
ideas and policy, it has some people and a couple of
policy areas with which I agree ..............................................
I disagree with almost everything the Republican Partys
stands for in their ideas and policies and I do not like any
of their leaders .......................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................
Total
Democrats &
Independents
Democrats
Independents
22
21
23
49
47
53
28
1
31
1
19
5

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 16

Now, turning to the economy...

Q15
During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay
about the same?
Economy will get better .....................

Economy will get worse ....................
Economy will stay about the same....
Not sure ..........................................
10/2528/13
23
34
42
1
10/79/13
17
42
38
3
9/13
27
24
48
1
7/13
31
21
47
1
6/13
32
18
49
1
12/12
38
28
33
1
10/12+
45
9
34
12
9/2630/12+
44
13
35
8
9/1216/12+
42
18
32
8
8/12+
36
18
38
8
7/12+
27
25
45
3
6/12
35
20
41
4
5/12
33
19
46
2
4/12
38
19
42
1
3/12
40
23
35
2
1/12
37
17
44
2
12/11
30
22
47
1
11/11
25
28
47
-
10/11
21
32
45
2
8/11
22
30
47
1
7/11
26
31
41
2
6/11
29
30
39
2
4/11
33
21
46
-
2/11
29
29
41
1
1/11
40
17
42
1
12/10
32
24
42
2
11/10
37
15
46
2
10/1418/10+
37
20
41
2
9/10
32
24
41
3
8/2630/10
26
26
45
3
8/59/10
34
25
39
2
6/10
33
23
43
1
5/610/10
40
20
38
2
3/10
41
22
36
1
1/1014/10
41
19
38
2
10/09
42
22
33
3
9/09
47
20
30
3
7/09
44
21
32
3
6/09
46
22
29
3
4/09
38
30
30
2
10/08+
38
20
37
5
10/06+
22
22
51
5
10/04+
43
10
33
14
10/02+
41
20
34
5
10/98+
17
24
54
5
10/94
31
24
40
5
Prior to April 2001, the question was phrased, Over the next year

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 17

Now, thinking about the recent debate over the federal budget
Q16
As you know, President Obama and the Republicans in Congress did not reach a budget agreement, and
this led to a shutdown of the federal government. Who do you think was more to blame for this shutdown
(ROTATE) President Obama, the Republicans in Congress would you say both were equally to blame or that
neither were to blame?
President Obama .....................
Republicans in Congress .........
Both equal.................................
Neither ......................................
Not sure ..................................
23
38
36
2
1
Q17
For each of the following individuals and groups, please tell me if their actions and positions in the recent
negotiations that led to a shutdown of the federal government have made you feel (ROTATE) -- more
favorable or less favorable -- toward that individual or group or has your opinion not changed one way or the
other. (RANDOMIZE)
ITEMS RANKED BY % MORE FAVORABLE
Opinion
Not
Less
More
Changed
Favorable
Not Sure
Favorable
Barack Obama .....................................
21
41
38
The Democrats in Congress .................
16
38
45
1
Tea Party Republicans in Congress .....
12
45
37
6
The Republicans in Congress ..............
9
53
38
-
Q18
As you may know, Congress passed a bill that ended the 16-day government shutdown and provides
th
funding for government operations until January 15 when a new bill funding the government must be
passed. Do you feel that it is likely or not likely there will be another government shutdown on January 15th?
If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (IF LIKELY OR NOT LIKELY, ASK:) And do you
feel that way strongly or not-so-strongly?
Total Likely ..................................
Strongly .........................................
Not so strongly ..............................
Total Not Likely ...........................
Not so strongly ...........................
Strongly ........................................
Do not have an opinion ...............
Not sure ......................................
Q19
50
37
13
28
13
15
20
2
Were you or anyone in your family affected by the federal government shutdown, in terms of
employment, services, or benefits?
10/2528/13
Yes, have been affected ............. 27
No, have not been affected ........ 73
Not sure ....................................
-
10/79/13
31
68
1
1/96
18
81
1
11/95
18
81
1

Late October 2013
Q20
Study #13452 -- page 18

How much harm, if any, did the government shutdown have on the U.S. economy a great deal, quite a bit,
just some, very little, or none at all?
Great deal .............................

Quite a bit ..............................
Just some ..............................
Very little ...............................
None at all .............................
Not sure .............................
1
10/2528/13
33
24
22
12
5
2
10/71
9/13
34
31
21
10
2
2
In early October, the question read How much

harm, if any, is the government shutdown having on
the U.S. economy
(ASKED OF FORM A ON 10/25-27 ONLY)

Q21a
In a few words or a short phrase, what lessons do you hope that President Obama and the Democrats learn
from the confrontation over the budget and the recent government shutdown?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE
(ASKED OF FORM B ON 10/25-27ONLY)

Q21b
In a few words or a short phrase, what lessons do you hope that Speaker John Boehner and the
Republicans learn from the confrontation over the budget and the recent government shutdown?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

Late October 2013
Study #13452 -- page 19

Now as you may know, Barack Obamas health care plan was passed by Congress and signed into law in
2010
Q22
From what you have heard about the new health care law, do you think it is (ROTATE) a good idea or a ad
idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (If Good idea/Bad idea, ask:) And, do you
feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?
Total Good idea ..............

Strongly ...........................
Not so strongly ................
Total Bad idea ................
Not so strongly ...............
Strongly ...........................
Do not have an opinion ..
Not sure .........................
10/2528/13
37
28
9
47
5
43
14
1
10/79/13
38
31
7
43
5
38
17
2
9/13
31
24
7
44
6
38
24
1
7/13
34
26
8
47
6
41
18
1
6/13
37
28
9
49
6
43
13
1
Total Good idea ..............

Strongly ...........................
Not so strongly ................
Total Bad idea ................
Not so strongly ...............
Strongly ...........................
Not sure .........................
7/12+
40
31
9
44
5
39
15
1
6/12
35
25
10
41
6
35
22
2
4/12
36
27
9
45
6
39
17
2
12/11
34
23
11
41
8
33
24
1
1/11
39
29
10
39
5
34
21
1
10/1418/10+
36
25
11
46
5
41
16
2
6/10+
38
28
10
46
7
39
15
1
5/61
10/10
38
28
10
44
6
38
17
1
Good idea .........................

Bad idea ...........................
Not sure .........................
3/10
36
48
15
1
1/2325/10
31
46
22
1
1/1014/10
33
46
18
3
12/09
32
47
17
4
10/09
38
42
16
4
9/09
39
41
17
3
8/09
36
42
17
5
7/09
36
42
17
5
6/09
33
32
30
5
4/09
33
26
34
7
Prior to May 2010, the question did not ask And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?
Q23
When it comes to your opinion about the health care law, do you feel that it(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM,
BOTTOM TO TOP)
Is working well the way it is .............................
Needs minor modifications to improve it ........
Needs a major overhaul ..................................
Should be totally eliminated ............................
Other (VOL) ...................................................
Not sure ........................................................
Q24
6
38
28
24
1
4
Has what you have seen, read, or heard over the last few weeks about the new health care law made you
feel (ROTATE) -- more confident or less confident -- about the law or has your opinion of the law not
changed?
More confident ..............................................................
Less confident ..............................................................
No change..................................................................
Have not seen, read, or heard about law (VOL).......
Not sure ......................................................................
9
40
50
1

Late October 2013
Q25
And, have you seen read or heard the news coverage about the problems people have reported
experiencing when trying to use the new federal health care exchange website to apply for health insurance
coverage? (IFYES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this?
Total Yes
Yes, a lot ......................................
Yes, some ...................................
No ................................................
Not sure .......................................
Q26
Study #13452 -- page 20

83
59
24
16
1
And, thinking some more about the problems people have reported experiencing with the new federal health
care exchange website, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view.(ROTATE)
These problems are short-term technical issues that happen in large projects like this and can be corrected.
or
These problems point to longer-term issues with the new health care law and its overall design that cannot
be corrected.
.or, is it too soon to say one way or the other?
Short-term technical issue/can be corrected..........
Long-term design issue/cannot be corrected .........
Too soon to say .......................................................
Both (VOL) .............................................................
Neither (VOL) .........................................................
Not sure .................................................................
37
31
30
2
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1a Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]?
Registered .........................................
Not registered ....................................
Not sure...........................................
85
15
-
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in last November's
election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone
else?+
Total Yes, Voted
Voted for Barack Obama .............................
Voted for Mitt Romney .................................
Voted for someone else ...............................
Not sure .......................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .....................................................
91
44
37
5
5
9
-
QF2
What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.)
Grade school .......................................................
Some high school ................................................
High school graduate ..........................................
Some college, no degree.....................................
Vocational training/school....................................
2-year college degree ..........................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.........................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ..................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.....
Doctoral/law degree ............................................
Not sure/refused ................................................
4
24
19
2
8
25
3
12
3
-

Late October 2013
QF3
Study #13452 -- page 21

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.")
Strong Democrat .............................
Not very strong Democrat ...............
Independent/lean Democrat ............
Strictly Independent.........................
Independent/lean Republican ..........
Not very strong Republican .............
Strong Republican ...........................
Other (VOL) .....................................
Not sure.........................................
QF4
18
11
14
17
14
8
12
4
2
Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?
Yes .........................
No ..........................
Depends (VOL) ....
Not sure ...............
10/2528/13+
22
70
3
5
10/79/13+
20
70
2
8
9/13+
21
67
3
9
7/13+
21
67
3
9
6/13+
24
65
3
8
2/13+
20
64
4
12
1/13+
23
63
4
10
10/12+
24
64
3
9
9/2630/12+
25
66
2
7
9/1216/12+
22
65
4
9
8/12+
26
63
3
8
7/12+
25
65
2
7
6/12+
24
64
3
9
5/12+
30
60
2
8
4/12+
25
64
2
9
3/12+
28
63
2
7
1/12+
27
66
2
5
12/11+
27
65
3
5
11/11+
25
69
2
4
10/11+
26
64
3
7
8/11+
27
62
4
7
6/11+
26
63
3
8
5/11+
26
62
2
10
4/11+
25
67
3
5
2/11+
29
61
3
7
1/11+
27
62
3
8
12/10+
29
61
3
7
11/10+
30
59
4
7
10/2830/10+
28
61
3
8
10/1418/10+
30
59
2
10
9/10+
28
61
3
8
QF5
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?
Very liberal ........................................
Somewhat liberal ..............................
Moderate...........................................
Somewhat conservative ....................
Very conservative .............................
Not sure ..........................................
7
15
39
20
16
3

NBC/WSJ Poll - Late October 2013

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Late October 2013

Study #13452 -- page 1

Interviews: 800 Adults, including 240 cell phone only respondents

Date: October 25-28, 2013

The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is 3.46%

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 2

Headed in the right direction......

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 4

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 5

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 7

The Tea Party Movement

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 8

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 9

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

And, switching topics

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Now, thinking about something else

Generally optimistic ..........

Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News/Washington Post.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 10

And, although its a long way off

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 11

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Republican candidate ..................................................

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 12

Better if same party controls Congress and the presidency ...........

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Contributing to problems ..............................

Contributing to problems ..............................

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 13

Make compromises .............................................

Make compromises .............................................

Make compromises .............................................

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 14

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (QF3:4-7))

Make compromises ..............................................

Make compromises ..............................................

Make compromises ..............................................

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #13452 -- page 15

(ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND INDEPENDENTS (F3:4-7))