Week 15/16 Term 4 2013

Learning Brief

SM4 Probability and Statistics

Goals

By the end of this brief, you should be able to: understand probability distributions for continuous random variables recognise situations when the normal distribution applies, learn how to solve problems involving the normal distribution, and when to use the normal distribution to approximate the binomial or Poisson distribution recognise and use the formula to compute probabilities use the CAS to compute probabilities understand the assumptions on which the normal model is based understand the probability limits of almost certainly and very probably, that is, the three and two sigma limits

Theoretical Components
Wk 15: Chapter 12 of Quest Mathematical Methods 12 (Jacplus e-text): Read through Section 12E & 12F on Normal Distributions. Study and make notes on Examples 12-19 http://stattrek.com/probabilitydistributions/normal.aspx?Tutorial=AP

Practical Components
Wk 15: Maths Quest 12 Methods: EX 12E: 3, 5, 7, 11, 14,15, 23, and 29. EX 12F: 2, 4, 7, 9, 11, 13, 21, 22, and 28 Reasoning and Data (Fitzpatrick et. al): Ex 6B (q1, 2, 3); Ex 6C (q1, 4, 5); Ex 6D (1, 3, 6 ); and 6E (q1,3) Wk 16: Do few questions from each of the review exercises (at the end of each Quest chapter):

Also read worked examples 5 to 11 in Fitzpatrick - Sections 6.3, 6.4, 6.5 & 6.6, pp 179193 Wk 16: Revision Do your revision by answering questions under review exercises of the chapters listed under practical component for each week.

Investigation
See next page for details Week 15 Investigation Week 16 Prepare one-sided A4 summary sheet for test. This will be collected with the test.

QFO
Quiz/Forum/Other

Check the cLc regularly Look out for quiz/log on details on cLc messages

Final Investigation

Week 15 PART A: Watch this video and write up your solution, listing the properties of a probability density function. http://content.jacplus.com.au/faces/pages/resourceviewer.xhtml?resourceId=1 55881&category=eLesson&pk=a997088e4f49ed6a&isbn=1118310683 A random variable, X, has its frequency curve defined as:

aDraw the graph of f(x). bShow that f(x) is a probability density function. cFind the probability, correct to 4 decimal places, that X is: i smaller than 3 ii greater than 2.5 iii greater than 2.5, given that it is smaller than 3.

PART B: The wingspan of birds of a particular species has normal distribution with mean 50 cm and standard deviation 5 cm. a) Find the probability that a randomly selected bird has a wingspan greater than 60 cm. b) If the wingspan is measured to the nearest cm, find the probability that a randomly selected bird has a wingspan measured as 50 cm. Week 16: Prepare your summary sheet for the test (handwritten, one-sided A4).