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Additional material for this sourcebook would be welcome. Please send it to thomsona@flash.net
The items in the main section of this sourcebook are arranged in chronological order; supplementary material in Appendix A is arranged in inverse chronological order. Because of the alleged orth !orean connection" the sourcebook on the #sraeli strike against an alleged nuclear reactor in $yria" http%&&www.fas.org&man&eprint&syria.pdf " should be consulted.
http://www.wikileaks.ch/cable/2004/01/04RANGOON88.html This record is a partial e tract o! the ori"i#al cable. The !$ll te t o! the ori"i#al cable is #ot a%ailable. T$esda&' 20 (a#$ar& 2004' 0):44 *+,R+T RANGOON 000088 *-./-* NO0ORN +O 12)18 /+,2: 01/0)/2014 TAG* .GO3' .AR4' .R+2' 54' R*' 6*' 6N.. S.B/0C12 B.3MA2 3.M43S 45 C4NS13.C1-4N 45 A N.C60A3 30AC143 N0A3 M-NB. R+0: *TAT+ 2)7814 AN/ .R+3-O9* 0: RANGOON 1427 ,lassi!ied 5&: ,O4 ,arme# 4arti#e; !or Reaso#s 1.1 <5'/= 1. <*/N0= A# e patriate b$si#essma# >>>>>>>>>>>> rece#tl& %ol$#teered to a# +mbass& O!!icer that he had heard r$mors that a #$clear reactor was bei#" b$ilt #ear 4i#b$' i# ce#tral 4a"wa& /i%isio# o# the -rawadd& Ri%er. The b$si#essma# added that he perso#all& had see# a ?massi%e@ bar"e co#tai#i#" lar"eAsi;ed rebar bei#" $#loaded o# a trip to the area. A!ter aski#" local reside#ts abo$t the rebarBs p$rpose' he was told that similar si;e bar"e shipme#ts were arri%i#" almost weekl& a#d that the rebar was to be $sed i# the co#str$ctio# o! $##amed/$#ide#ti!ied !actories. -# the opi#io# o! the b$si#essma#' the C$a#tities i#%ol%ed as well as the diameter o! the rebar s$""ested a proDect lar"er tha# ?!actories.@ Alo#" these li#es' the b$si#essma# #oted that there was a #ew airport #ear 4i#b$ with a la#di#" strip that' based o# its le#"th a#d thick#ess' seemed e cessi%e' addi#" that ?&o$ co$ld la#d the space sh$ttle o# it.@ 2. <*/N0= ,omme#t: R$mors o! co#str$ctio# o! a #$clear !acilit& i#/#ear 4a"wa& /i%isio# date back to 2002 a#d "e#erall& re!er to alle"ed Go%erme#t o! 5$rma <GO5= a#d R$ssia# cooperatio# o# a #$clear research reactor proDect. *imilar r$mors' sa#s the ?R$ssia@ a#"le' ha%e bee# circ$lati#" with "reater !reC$e#c& withi# diplomatic a#d e patriate circles si#ce a No%ember 200: 0ar +aster# +co#omic Re%iew <0++R= article which described si"#s o! "rowi#" militar& ties betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. Ehile we ha%e #o direct e%ide#ce o! this alle"ed cooperatio#' r$mors o! o#"oi#" co#str$ctio# o! a #$clear reactor are s$rprisi#"l& co#siste#t a#d obser%atio#s o! acti%it& s$ch as that described abo%e appear to be i#creasi#"' as are alle"ed si"hti#"s o! North 6orea# ?tech#icia#s@ i#side 5$rma. 4arti#e;
http://www.wikileaks.ch/cable/2004/08/04RANGOON1100.html
This record is a partial e tract o! the ori"i#al cable. The !$ll te t o! the ori"i#al cable is #ot a%ailable.
0rida&' 27 A$"$st 2004' 08:08 *+,R+T *+,T-ON 01 O0 02 RANGOON 001100 *-./-* +O 12)18 /+,2: 08/28/2014 TAG* .AR4' .-NR' .R+2' 6NN.' 54' 6N *95(+,T: A22+G+/ NORTF 6OR+AN -N3O23+4+NT -N 4-**-2+ A**+452G AN/ 9N/+RGRO9N/ 0A,-2-TG ,ON*TR9,T-ON -N 59R4A ,lassi!ied 5&: ,/A' A.-. RON 4,4922+N 0OR R+A*ON 1.1 <A/,=. 1. <*= *944ARG: North 6orea# workers are reportedl& assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ a#d co#str$cti#" a# $#der"ro$#d !acilit& at a 5$rmese militar& site i# 4a"wa& /i%isio#' abo$t :11 miles NNE o! Ra#"oo#' accordi#" to >>>>>>>>>>>> . This $#solicited acco$#t sho$ld #ot be take# as a$thoritati%e' b$t it tracks with other i#!ormatio# "ar#ered a#d reported %ia >>>>>>>>>>>>. +#d *$mmar&. 2. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> :. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> some :00 North 6orea#s are worki#" at a secret co#str$ctio# site west o! 4imb$' 4a"wa& /i%isio#' i# the !oothills o! the Araka# Goma mo$#tai#s. <,omme#t: the #$mber o! North 6orea#s s$pposedl& worki#" at this site strikes $s as improbabl& hi"h. +#d comme#t.= The >>>>>>>>>>>> claims he has perso#all& see# some o! them' altho$"h he also reported the& are !orbidde# !rom lea%i#" the co#str$ctio# site a#d that he a#d other ?o$tsiders@ are prohibited !rom e#teri#". The >>>>>>>>>>>> was co#!ide#t that >>>>>>>>>>>> had the abilit& to disti#"$ish North 6orea#s !rom others' s$ch as ,hi#ese' who mi"ht be worki#" i# the area. The e act coordi#ates o! the camo$!la"ed site are #ot k#ow#' but it is reportedly in the 7icinity of #$*$$ N* (+*#, 08 '$ee Appendix ( of this sourcebook .) 4. <*= The North 6orea#s are said to be assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ o! $#k#ow# ori"i#. >>>>>>>>>>>> the North 6orea#s' aided b& 5$rmese workers' are co#str$cti#" a co#creteArei#!orced $#der"ro$#d !acilit& that is ?100 !eet !rom the top o! the ca%e to the top o! the hill abo%e.@ Fe added that the North 6orea#s are ?blowi#" co#crete@ i#to the e ca%ated $#der"ro$#d !acilit&. 1. <*= The >>>>>>>>>>>> is s$pposedl& e#"a"ed i# co#str$cti#" b$ildi#"s !or 20 5$rmese arm& battalio#s that will be posted #ear the site. O! these' two battalio#s are to be i#!a#tr&H the other 18 will be ?artiller&'@ accordi#" to this acco$#t. 8. <*= I>>>>>>>>>>>> 7. <*= ,O44+NT: The I>>>>>>>>>>>> seco#dAha#d acco$#t o! North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t with missile assembl& a#d militar& co#str$ctio# i# 4a"wa& /i%isio# "e#erall& tracks with other i#!ormatio# +mbass& Ra#"oo# a#d others ha%e reported i# %ario$s cha##els. A"ai#' the #$mber :00 is m$ch hi"her tha# o$r best estimates o! North 6orea#s i# 5$rma' a#d e actl& how the >>>>>>>>>>>> alle"edl& came to see some o! them perso#all& remai#s $#clear. 4a#& details pro%ided >>>>>>>>>>>> match those pro%ided b& other' seemi#"l& $#related' so$rces. 8. <*= ,O44+NT ,ONT-N9+/: Ee ca##ot' a#d readers sho$ld #ot' co#sider this report alo#e to be de!i#iti%e proo! or e%ide#ce o! si;able North 6orea# militar& i#%ol%eme#t with the 5$rmese re"ime. The >>>>>>>>>>>> descriptio# made #o re!ere#ce at all to #$clear weapo#s or tech#olo"&' or to s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles' ballistic or otherwise. >>>>>>>>>>>> This acco$#t is perhaps best co#sidered alo#"side other i#!ormatio# o! %ario$s ori"i#s i#dicati#" the 5$rmese a#d North 6orea#s are $p to somethi#" = somethi#" o! a co%ert militar& or militar&A i#d$strial #at$re. + actl& what' a#d o# what scale' remai#s to be determi#ed. .ost will co#ti#$e to mo#itor these de%elopme#ts a#d report as warra#ted. 4c4$lle#
http://www.washi#"to#post.com/wpAd&#/co#te#t/article/200)/07/21/AR200)072100218.html
-# ($#e' photo"raphs' %ideo a#d reports showed as ma#& as 800 t$##els' some o! them %ast' d$" i# 4&a#mar with North 6orea# assista#ce $#der a# operatio# codeA#amed KTortoise *hells.K The photos were reportedl& take# betwee# 200: a#d 2008. Thaila#dAbased a$thor 5ertil 2i#t#er is co#%i#ced o! the a$the#ticit& o! the photos' which he was the !irst to obtai#. Fowe%er' the p$rpose o! the t$##el #etworks' ma#& #ear the remote capital o! Na&p&itaw' remai#s $#k#ow#. KThere is #o do$bt that the 5$rmese "e#erals wo$ld like to ha%e a bomb so that the& co$ld challe#"e the America#s a#d the rest o! the world'K sa&s 2i#t#er' who has writte# books o# both 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea. K5$t the& m$st be decades awa& !rom acC$iri#" a#&thi#" that wo$ld e%e# remotel& resemble a# atomic bomb.K North 6oreaJs #$clear pro"ram has "i%e# it le%era"e a#d allowed the impo%erished co$#tr& to recei%e i#ter#atio#al aid i# ret$r# !or steps toward disma#tli#" its #$clear capabilities. 4&a#mar' also a poor #atio#' ma& also be seeki#" s$ch a #e"otiati#" tool. /a%id 4athieso# o! the New GorkAbased F$ma# Ri"hts Eatch' who mo#itors de%elopme#ts i# 4&a#mar' sa&s while thereJs #o !irm e%ide#ce the "e#erals are p$rs$i#" a #$clear weapo#s capabilit&' Ka swirl o! circ$msta#tial tre#ds i#dicates somethi#" i# the #$clear !ield is "oi#" o# that de!i#itel& warra#ts closer scr$ti#& b& the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&.K Albri"ht sa&s some o! the s$spicio# stems !rom North 6oreaJs #$clear cooperatio# with *&ria' which #ow possesses a reactor. *&ria had !irst approached the R$ssia#s' D$st as 4&a#mar did earlier' b$t both co$#tries were reDected' so the *&ria#s t$r#ed to .&o#"&a#" A a step 4&a#mar ma& also be taki#". *i#ce the earl& 2000s' disside#ts a#d de!ectors !rom 4&a#mar ha%e talked o! a K#$clear battalio#'K a# atomic KA&elar .roDectK worki#" o$t o! a dis"$ised !lo$r mill a#d two .akista#i scie#tists who !led to 4&a#mar !ollowi#" the *ept. 11 attacks pro%idi#" assista#ce. The& "a%e #o detailed e%ide#ce. Now a spokesma# !or the sel!Ast&led 4&a#mar "o%er#me#tAi#Ae ile' the Natio#al ,oalitio# Go%er#me#t o! the 9#io# o! 5$rma' sa&s accordi#" to people worki#" with the disside#t mo%eme#t i#side the 4&a#mar arm&' there are two hea%il& "$arded b$ildi#"s $#der co#str$ctio# Kto hold #$clear reactorsK i# ce#tral 4&a#mar. 3illa"ers i# the area ha%e bee# displaced' said spokesma# Li## 2i#. A#drew *elth o! A$straliaJs Gri!!ith 9#i%ersit&' who has mo#itored 4&a#marJs possible #$clear mo%es !or a decade' sa&s #o#e o! these reports has bee# s$bsta#tiated a#d calls the iss$e a# Ki#!ormatio# black hole.K Fe also sa&s Eester# "o%er#me#ts are ca$tio$s i# their assessme#ts' rememberi#" the i#telli"e#ce bl$#ders re"ardi#" s$spected weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# i# *addam F$ssei#Js -raC. A 9.*. *tate /epartme#t o!!icial' speaki#" o# c$stomar& r$les o! a#o#&mit&' said he wo$ld #ot comme#t o# i#telli"e#ceArelated matters s$ch as #$clear proli!eratio#. -# 2007' R$ssia si"#ed a# a"reeme#t to establish a #$clear st$dies ce#ter i# 4&a#mar' b$ild a 10Ame"awatt #$clear research reactor !or peace!$l p$rposes' a#d trai# se%eral h$#dred tech#icia#s i# its operatio#. Fowe%er' R$ssiaJs atomic a"e#c& Rosatom told The Associated .ress rece#tl& that Kthere has bee# #o mo%eme#t whatsoe%er o# this a"reeme#t with 5$rma e%er si#ce.K +%e# earlier' be!ore the militar& sei;ed power' 4&a#mar so$"ht to de%elop #$clear e#er"&' se#di#" ph&sicists to the 9#ited *tates a#d 5ritai# !or st$dies i# the 1)10s. The militar& "o%er#me#t established a /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& i# 2001 $#der 9 Tha$#"' a k#ow# propo#e#t o! #$clear tech#olo"& who heads the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&.
4&a#mar is a part& to the N$clear No#proli!eratio# Treat&' a#d $#der a sa!e"$ard a"reeme#t with the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&' it is obli"ated to let the 9.N. watchdo" k#ow at least si mo#ths i# ad%a#ce o! operati#" a #$clear !acilit&' a"e#c& spokesma# A&ha# +%re#sel said. +%re#sel said the 3ie##aAbased -A+A has asked 4&a#mar to si"# a soAcalled Kadditio#al protocolK that wo$ld allow a"e#c& e perts to carr& o$t $#a##o$#ced i#spectio#s a#d lead to a broader !low o! i#!ormatio# abo$t 4&a#marJs #$clear acti%ities. The re"ime has remai#ed sile#t o# whate%er its pla#s ma& be. A 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t spokesma# did #ot respo#d to a# eAmail aski#" abo$t R$ssia# a#d North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t i# #$clear de%elopme#t. -# a rare comme#t !rom i#side 4&a#mar' ,ha# T$#' !ormer ambassador to North 6orea t$r#ed democrac& acti%ist' told the Thaila#dAbased -rrawadd& ma"a;i#e' KTo p$t it plai#l&: 5$rma wa#ts to "et the tech#olo"& to de%elop a #$clear bomb. KFowe%er' - ha%e to sa& that it is childish o! the 5$rmese "e#erals to dream abo$t acC$iri#" #$clear tech#olo"& si#ce the& ca#Jt e%e# pro%ide re"$lar electricit& i# 5$rma'K the 4&a#mar e ile p$blicatio# C$oted him last mo#th as sa&i#". *ome e perts thi#k the "e#erals ma& be bl$!!i#". K- wo$ld thi#k that itJs C$ite possible Ga#"o# wo$ld like to scare other co$#tries or ma& !eel that talki#" abo$t de%elopi#" #$clear tech#olo"ies will "i%e them more bar"ai#i#" clo$t'K said ,risti#aAAstrid Fa#sell at the ,ali!or#iaA based (ames 4arti# ,e#ter !or No#proli!eratio# *t$dies. KThis is #ot $#reaso#able' "i%e# the pa&o!!s North 6orea has "otte# !or its #$clear pro"ram.K AAA Associated .ress writers 6wa#"Atae 6im i# *eo$l' .a$li#e (eli#ek a#d 4att 2ee i# Eashi#"to#' ,aroli#e *ta$!!er i# 5a#"kok' Geor"e (ah# a#d Eilliam 6ole i# 3ie##a a#d Natali&a 3asil&e%a i# 4oscow co#trib$ted to this report.
http://www."$ardia#.co.$k/world/200)/D$l/21/b$rmaA#orthAkoreaA#$clearAcli#to#
http://www.state."o%/secretar&/rm/200)a/D$l&/128::1.htm
N9+*T-ON: North 6orea is the mai# !oc$s o! &o$r talks this time. Fow serio$s is North 6oreaBs threat to 9#ited *tatesO *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: -tBs #ot a serio$s threat to the 9#ited *tates. At this time' its weapo#s capacit& a#d tech#olo"ical pro"ress is #ot a threat to $s. 5$t it is a threat to other o! o$r allies i! it co#ti#$es' a#d it is a threat to !$rther destabili;atio# i# +ast Asia' a#d partic$larl& Northeast Asia. EeBll be talki#" abo$t ma#& importa#t iss$es here at the A*+AN meeti#". -Bm %er& pro$d that we will P - will be si"#i#"' o# behal! o! m& co$#tr&' the Treat& o! Am#est& a#d ,ooperatio#. O! co$rse' the work o! A*+AN is D$st be"i##i#" to e plore other areas. There was the !irst e%er Doi#t e ercise i# the .hilippi#es to tr& to do better o# disaster assista#ce. *o we ha%e a !$ll a"e#da. 5$t o! co$rse' the beha%ior a#d pro%ocati%e actio#s o! the North 6orea#s raise iss$es' beca$se' !or e ample' i! North 6orea p$rs$es this #$clear pro"ram' other co$#tries are "oi#" to !eel' o$t o! their ow# sel!Ade!e#se' a #ecessit& that the& m$st also. That prod$ces a chai# reactio#. -tBs o#e o! the reaso#s wh& i# a#other part o! the world weBre %er& co#cer#ed abo$t -ra#. -! -ra# acC$ires a #$clear weapo# the# other co$#tries i# the 4iddle +ast are "oi#" to thi#k' well' the& ha%e to ha%e o#e too. A#d prett& soo#' &o$ ha%e so ma#& #$clear weapo#s' a#d #ot D$st i# the ha#ds o! states' b$t also #o#Astate actors. A#d North 6orea has bee# a #otorio$s proli!erator o! #$clear tech#olo"&. Ee k#ow that. *o we wa#t to co#ti#$e to p$t the press$re. A#d - m$st sa&' -Bm %er& "rati!ied that weB%e had a $#ited !ro#t i# Asia comi#" to"ether i# the 9#ited Natio#s' passi#" a *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio# with real teeth to tr& to "o a!ter all o! the di!!ere#t i#stit$tio#s a#d i#di%id$als that are part o! the proli!eratio# #etwork withi# North 6orea a#d that s$pports it o$tside. *o - thi#k weBre maki#" pro"ress i# creati#" a %er& stro#" respo#se to North 6orea.
http://www.smh.com.a$/world/b$rma 201)sA#$clearAsecretsA200)07:1Ae4!%.html
Ee k#ew R$ssia a"reed i# pri#ciple to sell 5$rma a small #$clear pla#t P a li"ht water reactor P a#d to trai# abo$t :00 5$rmese scie#tists to r$# the site. The stated reaso# is !or research p$rposes' speci!icall& to prod$ce medical isotopes. -# disp$te is whether the R$ssia# reactor wo$ld be lar"e e#o$"h to be di%erted to prod$ce e#riched $ra#i$m or pl$to#i$m !or a #$clear weapo#. 9s$all& a hea%& water reactor is #eeded to achie%e this' b$t perhaps #ot with North 6orea# help. 5all a#d Thor#to# write: QQAs North 6orea has show# with their Ili"ht waterM reactor' it ma& be slow a#d more comple ' b$t it is capable.BB 4oe (o alle"ed a seco#d' secret reactor o! abo$t the same si;e as the R$ssia# pla#t had bee# b$ilt at comple called Na$#" 2ai#". Fe said that the arm& pla##ed a pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" s&stem there a#d that R$ssia# e perts were o# site to show how it was do#e. .art o! the 5$rmese arm&Bs #$clear battalio# was statio#ed i# a local %illa"e to work o# a weapo#. Fe said that a# operatio#s area was b$ried i# the #earb& *etkha&a 4o$#tai#s' a setA$p i#cl$di#" e#"i#eers' artiller& a#d comm$#icatio#s to act as comma#d a#d co#trol ce#tre !or the #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. QQ-# the e%e#t that the testimo#ies o! the de!ectors are pro%ed' the alle"ed QsecretB reactor co$ld be capable o! bei#" operatio#al a#d prod$ci#" a bomb a &ear' e%er& &ear' a!ter 2014'BB write 5all a#d Thor#to#. ,laims o! this t&pe ha%e stirred serio$s o!!icial co#cer#s. The 9* *ecretar& o! *tate' Fillar& ,li#to#' Do$r#e&ed to Thaila#d !or a re"io#al sec$rit& meeti#" last mo#th a#d directl& raised the iss$e. QQEe k#ow that there are also "rowi#" co#cer#s abo$t militar& coAoperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' which we take %er& serio$sl&'BB she said. The $#ease escalated whe# a North 6orea# !rei"hter' the 6a#" Nam -' steamed towards 5$rma last mo#th carr&i#" $#disclosed car"o. A *o$th 6orea# i#telli"e#ce e pert' C$oted a#o#&mo$sl&' claimed satellite ima"er& showed the ship was part o! cla#desti#e #$clear tra#s!er a#d also carried lo#"Ara#"e missiles. *hadowed b& the 9* Na%&' the %essel e%e#t$all& t$r#ed aro$#d a#d ret$r#ed home. (apa#ese police also rece#tl& ca$"ht a North 6orea# a#d two (apa#ese #atio#als alle"edl& tr&i#" to e port a ma"#etic meas$ri#" de%ice to 5$rma that co$ld be $sed to de%elop missiles. 5$t it was what ,li#to# said d$ri#" a tele%isio# i#ter%iew i# 5a#"kok the #e t da& that raised most e&ebrows. 0or the !irst time' a se#ior Ehite Fo$se o!!icial ope#l& spec$lated o# the prospect o! #$clear coAoperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. ,li#to#: QQEe worr& abo$t the tra#s!er o! #$clear tech#olo"& a#d other da#"ero$s weapo#s.BB N$estio#: QQ0rom North 6orea' &o$ mea#OBB ,li#to#: QQEe do' !rom North 6orea' &es.BB N: QQTo 5$rmaOBB ,li#to#: QQTo 5$rma' &es.BB N: QQ*o &o$Bre co#cer#ed abo$t the tie P the closer ties betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rmaOBB ,li#to#: QQGes' &es.BB
5$t there are ma#& do$bts o%er how !ar 5$rmaBs militar& re"ime has ad%a#ced its #$clear aspiratio#. 5all a#d Thor#to# sa& a re"io#al sec$rit& o!!icer told them the Na$#" 2ai#" operatio# was a deco& to distract people !rom the tr$e site o! the reactor. QQ5e!ore it was a hea%il& "$arded Q#o "oA;o#eB. Now &o$ ca# dri%e ri"ht $p to the b$ildi#"s. 3illa"ers are allowed to "row crops a"ai#.BB The sec$rit& o!!icer said the R$ssia#As$pplied reactor was located i# the 4&ai#" area. To add to the co#!$sio#' there are do$bts o%er the e iste#ce o! the R$ssia# reactor. QQ-Bm s$re the R$ssia# reactor has #ot bee# b$ilt alread&'BB sa&s 4ark 0it;patrick' a se#ior !ellow at the -#ter#atio#al -#stit$te !or *trate"ic *t$dies a#d a 5$rma watcher o%er most o! the past decade. Fe will soo# ha%e a book p$blished o# #$clear pla#s across *o$thA+ast Asia. Fe sees QQ#othi#" alarmi#"BB i# the prospecti%e R$ssia# deal P R$ssia is a si"#ator& to the #$clear #o#A proli!eratio# treat& which "o%er#s the e port o! ci%ilia# #$clear tech#olo"& P a#d do$bts 4oscow wo$ld hide a reactor. Nor has the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& raised C$estio#s abo$t 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#s. 5$t 0it;patrick is sceptical abo$t the stated reaso#s o!!ered b& 5$rmaBs r$lers to e plai# their i#terest i# #$clear tech#olo"&' whether !or research or power "e#eratio#. QQThe most lo"ical e pla#atio# !or this i#terest i# research is a presti"e !actor'BB he sa&s. 5$rma wa#ts to demo#strate a le%el o! tech#olo"& e pertise a#d perhaps also deliberatel& raise do$bts o%er its #$clear capabilit&. Fa%i#" the bomb' a!ter all' is a power militar& deterre#t a"ai#st !orei"# attack.BB O! the de!ectorsB claims' he sa&s: QQ-B%e heard these reports a#d - pa& atte#tio# to them' a#d the& sho$ld#Bt be dismissed o$t o! ha#d.BB North 6orea is willi#" to sell a#&thi#" to a#&o#e' he sa&s' a#d poi#ts to rece#t e%ide#ce that .&o#"&a#" secretl& sold a #$clear reactor to *&ria. 5all a#d Thor#to# add to the m&ster& b& reporti#" the testimo#& o! a#other de!ector the& call Ti# 4i#. Fe claimed to ha%e worked as a bookkeeper !or a t&coo# closel& li#ked to the 5$rmese militar& re"ime' whose compa#& had s$pposedl& or"a#ised #$clear co#tracts with R$ssia a#d North 6orea. The deal with North 6orea o# #$clear coAoperatio# s$pposedl& dates back #i#e &ears' co%eri#" co#str$ctio# a#d mai#te#a#ce o! #$clear !acilities. QQTi# 4i# spoke e celle#t +#"lish a#d prese#ted his reports to $s with a to$ch o! sel!Aimporta#ce'BB write 5all a#d Thor#to#. QQTi# 4i# had "ood reaso# to k#ow what it was like to !eel importa#tH be!ore de!ecti#"' he had scaled the hei"hts o! his co$#tr&Bs hi"h societ& a#d had reaped the be#e!its o! that positio#.BB Ti# 4i# dismissed the re"imeBs ratio#ale !or reC$iri#" #$clear tech#olo"&. QQThe& sa& itBs to prod$ce medical isotopes !or health p$rposes i# hospitals. Fow ma#& hospitals i# 5$rma ha%e #$clear scie#ceO 5$rma ca# barel& "et electricit& $p a#d r$##i#". -tBs a #o#se#se.BB Fe claimed his boss o#ce told him o! the re"imeBs #$clear dreams. QQThe&Bre aware the& ca##ot compete with Thaila#d with co#%e#tio#al weapo#s. The& wa#t to pla& power like North 6orea. The& hope to combi#e the #$clear a#d air de!e#ce missiles.BB Fe said the #$clear pro"ram was k#ow# as 908 .roDect a#d was r$# b& the se#ior "e#eral 4a$#" A&e. 5all a#d Thor#to# co#cl$de the #$clear coAoperatio# is based o# a trade o! locall& re!i#ed $ra#i$m !rom 5$rma to North 6orea i# ret$r# !or tech#olo"ical e pertise. Ti# 4i# claimed his boss co#trolled m$ch o! the shippi#" i# a#d o$t o! 5$rma a#d co$ld or"a#ise the tra#sport o! eC$ipme#t to #$clear sites !rom the port at Ra#"oo#. QQFe arra#"es !or arm& tr$cks to pick $p the co#tai#ers o! eC$ipme#t !rom the North 6orea# boats that arri%e i# Ra#"oo# a#d tra#sport them at #i"ht b& hi"hwa& to the ri%er or direct to the sites.BB
Fe also claimed to ha%e paid a co#str$ctio# compa#& i# abo$t 2004 to b$ild a t$##el i# a mo$#tai# at Na$#" 2ai#" wide e#o$"h !or two lar"e tr$cks to pass each other. 5$t his stor& ca##ot be !$rther tested. Ti# 4i# died late last &ear. There are ob%io$s da#"ers o! rel&i#" o# the testimo#& o! QQde!ectorsBB. The people "i%i#" e%ide#ce ma& ha%e $lterior moti%es' as 5all a#d Thor#to# reco"#ise' a#d the re"ime is #ot sh& at dissemi#ati#" !alse i#!ormatio#. A#drew *elth !rom Gri!!ith 9#i%ersit&' a !ormer se#ior i#telli"e#ce a#al&st a#d a# e perie#ced 5$rma watcher' remai#s s$spicio$s. QQ9#dersta#dabl&'BB he rece#tl& wrote !or the 2ow& -#stit$te' QQ!orei"# o!!icials looki#" at these matters are bei#" %er& ca$tio$s. No o#e wa#ts a repetitio# o! the mistakes which preceded the last -raC war' either i# $#derestimati#" a co$#tr&Bs capabilities' or b& "i%i#" too m$ch credibilit& to a !ew $#tested i#telli"e#ce so$rces. QQThere has alwa&s bee# a lot o! smoke s$rro$#di#" 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#s. O%er the past &ear or so' the amo$#t o! smoke has i#creased' b$t still #o o#e seems to k#ow whether or #ot it hides a real !ire.BB ,o#cer# is #ot "oi#" awa&' howe%er. The most rece#t editio# o! 9* 0orei"# .olic& ma"a;i#e compared claims s$rro$#di#" 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram to 1)10s leaks abo$t -srael ha%i#" a secret #$clear site i# the desert. *imilar do$bts held !or claims abo$t -#dia a#d .akista#. All three co$#tries ha%e si#ce tested the bomb. 5all a#d Thor#to# are co#%i#ced the world m$st !ace $p to some $#com!ortable possibilities. QQAccordi#" to all the milesto#es ide#ti!ied b& the de!ectors' 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram is o# sched$le. -t is !easible a#d achie%able. 9#!ort$#atel&' it is #ot as bi;arre or ridic$lo$s as ma#& people wo$ld like to thi#k. 5$rmaBs re"io#al #ei"hbo$rs #eed to watch care!$ll&.BB Additio#al reporti#" b& /a#iel 0litto#
http://www.iiss.or"/whatsA#ew/iissAi#AtheApress/a$"$stA200)/b$rmasA#$clearAsecrets/
http://!r.kiosko.#et/a$/200)A08A01/#p/s&d#e&Rmor#i#"Rherald.html
http://www.smh.com.a$/world/re%ealedAb$rma 201)sA#$clearAbombshellA200)07:1Ae4!w.html
Their detailed testimo#& bri#"s i#to sharp !oc$s the hi#ts emer"i#" rece#tl& !rom other de!ector acco$#ts a#d si"hti#"s o! North 6orea# dele"atio#s that the 5$rmese D$#ta' $#der "rowi#" press$re to democratise' is seeki#" a deterre#t to a#& !orei"# QQre"ime cha#"eBB. Their stor& will ri#" alarm bells across Asia. QQThe e%ide#ce is prelimi#ar& a#d #eeds to be %eri!ied' b$t this is somethi#" that wo$ld completel& cha#"e the re"io#al sec$rit& stat$s C$o'BB said Thiti#a# .o#"s$dhirak' the head o! Thaila#dBs -#stit$te o! *ec$rit& a#d -#ter#atio#al *t$dies' &esterda&. QQ-t wo$ld mo%e 4&a#mar I5$rmaM !rom #ot D$st bei#" a pariah state' b$t a ro"$e state P that is' o#e that Deopardises the sec$rit& a#d wellbei#" o! its immediate #ei"hbo$rs.BB Eashi#"to# is i#creasi#"l& co#cer#ed that 5$rma is the mai# #$clear proli!eratio# threat !rom North 6orea' a!ter -srael destro&ed i# *eptember 2007 a reactor the North 6orea#s were appare#tl& b$ildi#" i# *&ria. .ro!essor 5all said a#other 4oscowAtrai#ed 5$rmese arm& de!ector was picked $p b& 9* i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies earl& last &ear. *ome weeks later' 5$rma protested to Thaila#d abo$t o%er!li"hts b& $#ma##ed s$r%eilla#ce dro#es that were appare#tl& la$#ched across Thai territor& b& 9* a"e#cies. These wo$ld ha%e &ielded lowAle%el photo"raphs a#d air samples' i# additio# to satellite ima"er&. At a meeti#" with Asia# leaders' i#cl$di#" some !rom 5$rma a#d North 6orea' i# Thaila#d last week' the 9* *ecretar& o! *tate' Fillar& ,li#to#' a#d other !orei"# mi#isters wo# promises !rom the 5$rmese the& wo$ld adhere to 9#ited Natio#s sa#ctio#s o# North 6orea# #$clear a#d missile e ports. ,hi#a a#d other Asia# #atio#s had rece#tl& helped pers$ade Ra#"oo# to t$r# back a North 6orea# !rei"hter' the Nam 6am 1' that was bei#" shadowed b& 9* warships o# its wa& to 5$rma with a# $#k#ow# car"o. A mo#th a"o' (apa#ese police arrested a North 6orea# a#d two (apa#ese !or alle"edl& tr&i#" to e port ille"all& to 5$rma a ma"#etic meas$ri#" de%ice that co$ld be $sed to de%elop missiles. .ro!essor 5all' who has st$died the 5$rmese militar& !or se%eral &ears' said the e%ide#ce !rom two wellAplaced so$rces dema#ded closer st$d&: QQAll we ca# sa& is these two "$&s #e%er met $p with each other' #e%er k#ew o! each otherBs e iste#ce' a#d &et the& both tell the same stor& basicall&. QQ-! it was D$st the R$ssia# reactor' $#der !$ll -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& s$per%isio#' which the R$ssia#s keep i#sisti#" is their polic& a#d the 5$rmese ma& ha%e a"reed to with that reactor' the# the likelihood o! them bei#" able to do somethi#" with it i# terms o! prod$ci#" !issio#able !$el a#d desi"#i#" a bomb wo$ld be ;ero. QQ-Bd be more worried abo$t a meltdow# like ,her#ob&l S -tBs the North 6orea# eleme#t which adds the da#"er to it.BB North 6oreaBs i#terest co$ld be a combi#atio# o! sec$ri#" a s$ppl& o! $ra#i$m !rom 5$rmaBs pro%e# reser%es' ear#i#" hard c$rre#c&' a#d keepi#" its pl$to#i$m e tractio# skills ali%e i# case it a"rees to !$ll& disma#tle its ow# Go#"b&o# #$clear comple . QQ/o the& wa#t a#other so$rce o! !issio#able pl$to#i$m 2:) to s$ppleme#t what the& "et !rom their Go#"b&o# reactorOBB .ro!essor 5all said.
[deletia] [deletia]
? miles 0N0 of Myamyo8 1he two 7illages are presumably Nuang 6aing and <wa'thit8 A new large building is on the eastern side of the image8
@etail showing new large building* access road and possible power line
Closer 7iew of new large building in imagery of #$$,'%$'##8 .sing the Aoogle 0arth ruler* the building seems to be in plan a sBuare about ?$ meters on a side8
http://www.ba#"kokpost.com/#ews/local/21:17/reportAre%ealsAb$rmaA2014A#$kesAtar"et 3eport re7eals Burma9s #$%+ nukes target -N"0S1-AA1-4N -@0N1-5-0S 9S0C3019 M-6-1A3< 30AC143 S-10 B.-61 B< N8 K430A .$blished: 2/08/200) at 12:00 A4
5$rma is b$ildi#" a secret #$clear reactor a#d pl$to#i$m !acilities with the help o! North 6orea a#d aims to ha%e a #$clear bomb i# !i%e &ears' accordi#" to a twoA&ear i#%esti"ati%e report. The i#%esti"atio#' co#d$cted b& re"io#al sec$rit& e pert /r /esmo#d 5all a#d 4ae *otAbased Do$r#alist .hil Thor#to#' is based o# radio i#tercepts a#d i#ter%iews with two de!ectors close to the cla#desti#e operatio# code#amed JJThe 908JJ proDect. O#e o! the de!ectors' ide#ti!ied as JJ4oe (oJJ' was a !ormer militar& o!!icer se#t to R$ssia as part o! 5$rmaJs JJ#$clear battalio#JJ pro"ramme to trai# 1'000 people. The other' JJTi# 4i#JJ' worked as a bookkeeper !or a b$si#essma# close to the D$#ta. Accordi#" to the report' p$blished i# !$ll i# toda&Js editio# o! *pectr$m' 5$rma has 10 $ra#i$m mi#es' two $ra#i$m re!i#eries a#d two #$clear reactor sites.
The 4&ai#" ci%il reactor site is located i# 4a"we i# the lower ce#tral part o! the co$#tr&. The seco#d JJsecretJJ' or militar&' site was b$ilt i#side the smallest o! three mo$#tai#s b& North 6orea#s at Na$#" 2ai#" a#d ho$ses a 10Ame"awatt li"htAwater research reactor. Ti# 4i# said 5$rmaJs ratio#ale !or ha%i#" a #$clear pro"ramme was #o#se#se. JJThe& sa& itJs to prod$ce medical isotopes !or health p$rposes i# hospitals. Fow ma#& hospitals i# 5$rma ha%e #$clear scie#ceO 5$rma ca# barel& "et electricit& $p a#d r$##i#". -tJs #o#se#se'JJ he said. 9* *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# rece#tl& %oiced co#cer#s North 6orea was tra#s!erri#" weapo#s a#d #$clear tech#olo"& to 5$rma. 9ra#i$m deposits !rom the mi#es ha%e bee# se#t to R$ssia a#d -ra# !or e%al$atio# a#d both processi#" pla#ts are close to the -rrawadd& Ri%er' o#e #ear the Tha .a Na 4ilitar& *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& /e%elopme#t ,e#tre a#d the other #ear the Thabike 6&i# tow#ship. Access to the ri%er allows the re"ime to $se bar"es to tra#sport the hea%& ore rather tha# rel& o# i#adeC$ate roads. Ti# 4i# claims that a b$si#essma#' Ta& La' a close associate o! 5$rmese leader Ge#eral Tha# *hwe' told him the re"ime had #$clear dreams a#d was serio$s abo$t the pro"ramme. JJThe&Jre aware the& ca##ot compete with Thaila#d with co#%e#tio#al weapo#s. The& wa#t to pla& #$clear poker like North 6orea. The& hope to combi#e #$clear a#d air de!e#ce missiles'JJ he said. Thiti#a# .o#"s$dhirak' the head o! the -#stit$te o! *ec$rit& a#d -#ter#atio#al *t$dies' said while the e%ide#ce was prelimi#ar& a#d #eeded to be D$sti!ied it is JJsomethi#" that wo$ld completel& cha#"e the re"io#al sec$rit& stat$s C$oJJ. JJ-t wo$ld mo%e 5$rma !rom #ot D$st bei#" a pariah state' b$t a ro"$e state' o#e that Deopardises the sec$rit& a#d wellbei#" o! its #ei"hbo$rs'JJ he said. Ehile 5$rma has ke& parts o! the #$clear !$el c&cle i# place' it #eeds a pl$to#i$m processi#" pla#t to prod$ce e#o$"h weapo#sA"rade .l$to#i$mA2:) to prod$ce a bomb. 4oe (o said R$ssia# e perts were alread& JJteachi#" pl$to#i$m reprocessi#"JJ at the site.
http://www.ba#"kokpost.com/#ews/i#%esti"atio#/21:82/
N9,2+AR R+A,T-ON* Ehat the de!ectors told $s' a#d access to tra#scripts o! 5$rmese Arm& comm$#icatio#s' helped $s strai"hte# o$t m$ch o! the co#!$sio# a#d spec$latio# o# the p$blic record. -t has bee# widel& reported that a #$clear reactor has bee# b$ilt at ei"ht or #i#e di!!ere#t sites i# 5$rma. The de!ectorsJ detailed a#d adama#t testimo#ies' co$pled with the radio tra#scripts' co#tradict this A the& sa& 5$rma has #o more tha# two reactors' o#e located at 4&ai#" a#d the other at Na$#" 2ai#". 5$t #ot e%er&o#e i# the re"io# a"rees abo$t the e te#t or the p$rpose o! the Na$#" 2ai#" operatio#. A se#ior re"io#al sec$rit& o!!icer with e te#si%e $pAtoAdate i#side i#!ormatio# abo$t the area disa"rees. K5e!ore it was a hea%il& "$arded J#oA"o ;o#eJ. Now &o$ ca# dri%e ri"ht $p to the b$ildi#"s. 3illa"ers are allowed to "row crops a"ai#. +%e# tho$"h the si"#s sa&H J4ilitar& *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& 4i#istr&J a#d there are soldiers' the le%el o! sec$rit& has bee# drasticall& red$ced. - thi#k itJs #ow a deco& site' to distract people awa& !rom the 4&ai#" area.K The 4&ai#" reactor is located i# 4a"we di%isio# a#d is k#ow# as the KN&a$#"o#e .roDectK. -t is part o! the 4O9 si"#ed with R$ssiaJs atomic e#er"& a"e#c& Rosatom <the R$ssia# 0ederal Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&= i# 4a& 2007 to b$ild a 10Ame"awatt li"htAwater reactor $si#" 20 U e#riched 9ra#i$mA2:1' #$clear waste treatme#t a#d b$rial !acilities' a# acti%atio# a#al&sis laborator&' medical isotope prod$ctio# laborator& a#d to trai# :00 specialists !or the #$clear ce#tre. At the time' a 9* *tate /epartme#t dep$t& spokesma#' Tom ,ase&' was reported as sa&i#" that the 9* Kwo$ld#Jt like to see a proDect like this mo%e !orwardK $#til 5$rma has a# adeC$ate #$clear re"$lator& a#d sec$rit& i#!rastr$ct$re i# place. The seco#d KsecretK or militar& reactor site that the de!ectors pro%ided a lar"e amo$#t o! detailed i#!ormatio# abo$t is b$ilt i#side the smallest o! three mo$#tai#s b& North 6orea#s at Na$#" 2ai#". 5oth the de!ectors a"reed the $#der"ro$#d mo$#tai# !acilities ho$se a#other 10Ame"awatt li"htAwater research reactor. ,ooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d the 5$rmese re"ime o# #$clear matters be"a# i# ear#est i# *eptember 2000 whe# a 4O9 was si"#ed b& 5$rmaJs 2ie$te#a#t Ge#eral Thei# Fla a#d North 6oreaJs 4aDor Ge#eral 6im ,ha# *$. 0o$r more detailed co#tracts were si"#ed i# 2001A02. The Ko!!icialK a"reeme#ts betwee# the two co$#tries co%ered #$clear related acti%ities at two sites a#d i#%ol%ed North 6oreaJs assista#ce to help with i#stalli#"' mai#tai#i#"' trai#i#" a#d s$ppl&i#" eC$ipme#t at the $ra#i$m re!i#i#" a#d e#richme#t pla#t at Thabike 6&i#. At the seco#d reactor site at Na$#" 2ai#" the North 6orea#s a"reed to help with the co#str$ctio# o! a# $#der"ro$#d !acilit& a#d a #$clear reactor. Ti# 4i#Js old boss Ta& La paid a co#str$ctio# compa#& i# 2004A01 to b$ild a t$##el wide e#o$"h !or two 10Awheel tr$cks to pass each other. 4oe (o said the re"ime had take# steps to de!e#d their reactors b& i#stalli#" air de!e#ce radar' o#e to be Kdeplo&edK at the airbase at .&i# Oo 2wi# a#d the other at the reactor site. -# rece#t mo#ths as North 6orea str$ts its #$clear capacit& it has !or"ed closer ties with the 5$rmese re"ime b& selli#" arms a#d missile tech#olo"& to them.
The de!ectors told $s that the 5$rmese arm& has bee# b$ildi#" si#ce 2002 a #$clear research a#d e#"i#eeri#" ce#tre i# the %ici#it& o! Na$#" 2ai#" %illa"e' so$th east o! .&i# Oo 2wi# i# 4a#dala& /i%isio#. .&i# Oo 2wi# is also home to the /e!e#ce *er%ices Academ&' 4oe (oJs old al$m#i. 4oe (o said he was told that a!ter he ret$r#ed !rom 4oscow he wo$ld be assi"#ed to a special #$clear battalio# at o#e o! the #$clear sites i# 5$rma. JJA!ter - came back !rom R$ssia - was assi"#ed to de%elop a s&stem to !ire 111 howit;ers. 5$t !irst - had to do three mo#ths trai#i#"' r$# b& INorthM 6orea# tech#icia#s' o# $si#" artiller& missile s&stems.JJ 59R4AJ* 9RAN-94 /+.O*-T* 9ra#i$m mi#i#" takes place at at least 10 locatio#s i# 5$rma. 5$rmaJs 4i#istr& o! +#er"& has ide#ti!ied !i%e areas with co#!irmed deposits o! lowA"rade $ra#i$m. Ore samples ha%e reportedl& bee# se#t to R$ssia a#d -ra# !or e%al$atio#. At Ta$#dwi#"&i' #e t to o#e o! the $ra#i$m sites ide#ti!ied b& the 4i#istr& o! +#er"&' the North 6orea#s ha%e b$ilt a lar"e $#der"ro$#d b$#ker. -# additio# to these sites' hi"h resol$tio# ima"er& p$blished b& Goo"le+arth i# 2007 shows what ma#& belie%e is a $ra#i$m mi#e a#d related re!i#er& at 4&it N"e ,ha$#"' abo$t 2:km !rom 4a#dala&. -# April 200)' it was reported that reactorA"rade $ra#i$m !or 5$rmaJs #$clear pro"ramme was bei#" mi#ed #ear 2ashio i# #orther# *ha# *tate. Accordi#" to radio tra#scripts' R$ssia# $ra#i$m prospectors made three e ploratio# missio#s to Te##asserim /i%isio# i# so$ther# 5$rma i# 2004A01. The R$ssia# e plorersJ mo%eme#ts were tracked as the& !lew !rom Ra#"oo# o# ($l& 8' 2004' to 4&eik a#d their s$bseC$e#t prospecti#" aro$#d the area o! Thei#daw !rom ($l& 18 to October 1' 2004. R+0-N-NG AN/ .RO,+**-NG .2ANT* 5$rma has at least two $ra#i$m re!i#i#" a#d processi#" pla#ts i# operatio# !or cr$shi#"' "ri#di#"' clea#i#" a#d milli#" <re!i#i#"= the $ra#i$m ore i#to JJ&ellowcakeJJ <9:08=' a co#ce#trate o! $ra#i$m o ides i# powder !orm. Gellow cake is later co#%erted to $ra#i$m he a!l$oride <908= !or e#richme#t to pro%ide !$el !or reactors or !issle material !or #$clear weapo#s. Ti# 4i# claims that b$si#essma# Ta& La told him the re"ime has #$clear dreams' a#d the& are serio$s. JJThe&Jre aware the& ca##ot compete with Thaila#d with co#%e#tio#al weapo#s. The& Ithe re"imeM wa#t to pla& #$clear poker like North 6orea. The& hope to combi#e the #$clear a#d air de!e#ce missiles. Ta& La told me the #$clear pro"ramme is k#ow# as the J908 .roDectJ a#d is the respo#sibilit& o! Ge#eral 4a$#" A&e.JJ 5oth processi#" pla#ts are close to the -rrawadd& Ri%er' o#e is se%e# kilometres !rom the ri%er a#d is #ear the Tha .a Na 4ilitar& *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& /e%elopme#t ,e#ter a#d the other pla#t is #ear the Thabike 6&i# tow#ship. 5ei#" close to the ri%er allows the re"ime to $se bar"es to tra#sport the hea%& ore rather tha# rel& o# the i#adeC$ate roads. Ti# 4i# sa&s as Ta& La co#trols m$ch o! the shippi#" i# a#d o$t o! 5$rma it is eas& !or him to or"a#ise "etti#" the eC$ipme#t to the #$clear sites !rom Ra#"oo#.
JJFe arra#"es !or arm& tr$cks to pick $p the co#tai#ers o! eC$ipme#t !rom the North 6orea# boats that arri%e i# Ra#"oo# a#d tra#sport them at #i"ht b& hi"hwa& to the ri%er or direct to the sites.JJ 4oe (o estimated that there were more tha# !i%e North 6orea#s worki#" at the Thabike 6&i# pla#t. Fe said R$ssia# clea#i#" machi#es were $sed to JJwashJJ the ore a#d that 5$rma has pro%ided &ellowcake to both North 6orea a#d -ra#. Goo"le+arth ima"er& p$blished i# 2007 shows a !acilit& with what looks like !o$r "ia#t JJthicke#i#" ta#ksJJ i# which the $ra#i$m beari#" sol$tio# is separated !rom the "ro$#d ore be!ore bei#" co#%erted to &ellowcake. FA* 59R4A TF+ ,A.A,-TG TO .RO/9,+ A N9,2+AR E+A.ONO The esse#ce o! 4oe (o a#d Ti# Ei#Js testimo#ies is that 5$rma has ke& parts o! the #$clear !$el c&cle alread& i# place. 4oe (o told $s that the arm& JJpla##edJJ to b$ild a pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" pla#t at Na$#" 2ai#"' a#d that R$ssia# e perts were alread& JJteachi#" pl$to#i$m reprocessi#"JJ at the site. A JJ#$clear battalio#JJ was established b& the re"ime i# 2000 to work o# the JJweapo#isatio#JJ aspects o! the #$clear pro"ramme. -t is based #ear the %illa"e o! Ta$#"daw' D$st west o! the Na$#" 2ai#" comple . The operatio#s compo#e#t is i# a#other $#der"ro$#d comple i# the #earb& *etkh&a 4o$#tai#s. -t i#cl$des e#"i#eeri#"' artiller& a#d comm$#icatio#s o# operatio#al aspects o! weapo#s desi"#' deli%er& capabilit& a#d a comma#d a#d co#trol ce#tre. 4oe (o sa&s b& 2012' 5$rma will ha%e 1'000 people trai#ed' access to $ra#i$m' is re!i#i#" &ellowcake a#d has two li"ht water reactors. JJGo$ do#Jt #eed 1'000 people i# the !$el c&cle or to r$# a #$clear reactor. -tJs ob%io$s there is m$ch more "oi#" o#.JJ These reactors are #ot as e!!icie#t i# prod$ci#" !issio#able pl$to#i$m as hea%&Awater reactors' b$t as North 6orea has show# with their reactor' it ma& be slow a#d more comple ' b$t it is capable. 0or 5$rma to be able to e tract pl$to#i$m !rom the spe#t !$el rods a#d to separate pl$to#i$mA2:) !rom pl$to#i$mA240 it #eeds to co#str$ct a pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" pla#t so it ca# prod$ce se%e# to ei"ht kilo"rams o! weapo#A"rade .l$to#i$mA2:) a &ear' e#o$"h !or o#e bomb a &ear. -# the e%e#t that the testimo#ies o! the de!ectors are pro%ed' the alle"ed JJsecretJJ reactor co$ld be capable o! bei#" operatio#al a#d prod$ci#" o#e bomb a &ear' e%er& &ear' a!ter 2014. A 5$rmese #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme wo$ld reC$ire e ter#al s$pport' "oi#" be&o#d r$dime#tar& R$ssia# trai#i#" a#d North 6orea# assista#ce with the c$rre#t $ra#i$m re!i#i#" capabilities a#d reactor operatio#s. 5$t North 6orea taki#" o# a "reater role i# helpi#" 5$rma "et its bomb ca##ot be r$le o$t. The& wo$ld be more tha# i#terested i# pro%idi#" limited amo$#ts o! !issio#able pl$to#i$m i# ret$r# !or &ellowcake. -t wo$ld be i# North 6oreaJs militar& i#terest' a#d i# li#e with their #$clear post$ri#"' to co#str$ct a secret pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" pla#t i# 5$rma' compleme#ti#" the secret reactor' i# e cha#"e !or access to the !issio#able prod$ct. The de!ectors talked e plicitl& o! the re"ime meeti#" their #$clear pro"ramme obDecti%es b& ha%i#" a JJha#d!$l o! bombs read& b& 2020JJ.
Accordi#" to all the milesto#es ide#ti!ied b& the de!ectors' 5$rmaJs #$clear pro"ramme is o# sched$le. -t is !easible a#d achie%able. 9#!ort$#atel&' it is #ot as bi;arre or ridic$lo$s as ma#& people wo$ld like to thi#k. 5$rmaJs re"io#al #ei"hbo$rs #eed to watch care!$ll&' especiall& !or si"#s o! a reprocessi#" pla#t. -! the re"ime starts b$ildi#" that the# the o#l& e pla#atio# is that the& pla# to b$ild a bomb. A 5$rma with #$clear capabilit& is a worr&' i! the re"imeJs respo#se to last &earJs ,&clo#e Nar"is is a be#chmark. Their respo#se was to treat it as a #atio#al sec$rit& threat' b& ba##i#" Do$r#alists' i"#ori#" o!!ers o! o$tside help !or weeks' while lea%i#" their people to die i# their tho$sa#ds. The re"io# ca##ot e pect a#& more !rom the re"ime i! there is a#& sort o! #$clear accide#t. T Not their real #ames T .ro!essor /esmo#d 5all works at the A$stralia# Natio#al 9#i%ersit&Js /e!e#ce *t$dies ,e#tre. Fe is the a$thor o! more tha# 40 books o# #$clear strate"&' A$stralia# de!e#ce' a#d sec$rit& i# the AsiaA .aci!ic. Fe has ser%ed as the coAchair o! the ,o$#cil !or *ec$rit& ,ooperatio# i# the AsiaA.aci!ic. T .hil Thor#to# is the a$thor o! Restless *o$ls: rebels' re!$"ee' medics mis!its o# the Thai 5$rma border.
http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2407/bi"AoddAm&a#marAbo
O%er the past co$ple o! da&s' -B%e bee# emaili#" with a co$ple o! collea"$es abo$t this %er& odd b$ildi#" i# 4&a#mar <#ee 5$rma=. *tari#" at that bi" bo was the mai# reaso# - tweeted that ?This 5$rmaANOR6 #$clear li#k has me worried.@ Alle# Thomso#' 5r$#o Tertrais a#d some !olks at 3+RT-, all !o$#d it too V worki#" !rom the rece#t stor& i# the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald a#d a# older stor& ori"i#all& p$blished b& a# oppositio# "ro$p. EeBd bee# C$ietl& disc$ssi#" what the thi#" mi"ht be. Now' #o o#e wa#ted to "o declare the %a"$el& s$spicio$s looki#" b$ildi#" to be somethi#" s$spicio$s i# partic$lar V b$t si#ce -*-* has !o$#d it too <the dam# thi#" is %isible !rom 4'000 !eet= a#d p$blished a #ice a#al&sis' - do#Bt s$ppose there is a#& harm i# crowdso$rci#" it. -*-* describes what - am calli#" the 5O5 <letBs lea%e the 4 o$t !or #ow= as a# ?a#omalo$s b$ildi#"@ V #oti#" that the& ca##ot ?ascribe IitM with ob%io$s #$clear i#d$strial characteristics.@ -tBs bi" a#d tall. -t is also #estled i#to the mo$#tai#s a#d re%etted. There seems to be a power tra#smissio# li#e r$##i#" i# <or o$t o! it=. -t is se%eral clicks !rom a# ob%io$s water so$rce. *till' someo#e has bee# %er& i#terested i# it Vi# additio# to this 2001 ima"e' /i"ital Globe has happ& s#aps !rom 2008 a#d 200) ce#tered ri"ht o# it. Ehat do &o$ all thi#kO
$elected (omments 1. The ob%io$s thi#" is to match $p its dime#sio#s with the *&ria# 5o Ao#Athe +$phrates. V ,her&l Ro!er W A$" :' 04:4: .4 W 2. -t is m$ch' m$ch bi""er V 80 meters o# each side. V (e!!re& 2ewis W A$" :' 04:18 .4 W :. - tried m& ha#d at !i#di#" ?Na$#" 2ai#"@ earlier toda&' a#d altho$"h - was#Bt e#tirel& s$ccess!$l it seems that the bo is a wa&s o!! !rom there. The !rami#" o! the b$ildi#"' with the a$ iliar& str$ct$res at a respectable dista#ce a#d the white sort o! co$rt&ard has the !eeli#" o! a palace to me' altho$"h that certai#l& is a bi" olB powerli#e leadi#" $p to the site' #ot s$re i! thatBs o%er the top !or !eedi#" a #o#Ai#d$strial b$ildi#". V A#ders Eidebra#t W A$" :' 01:0) .4 W 4. Go$ ca# !ollow the power li#es all the wa& thro$"h the cit& a#d to the air strip a#d the iro# mill to the so$th west o! the b$ildi#". V "ilbert W A$" :' 01:11 .4 W 1. 82 meters b& 84 meters. Almost sC$are b$t #ot C$ite' altho$"h the di!!ere#ce co$ld be distortio# i# the ima"er&. V *ea# OJ,o##or W A$" :' 01:18 .4 W 8. *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald se; de!ectors said it was made with Nork help' a#d that there is a R$ssia# reactor #earb&O /aO Ehere is the R$ssia# ci%il reactorO V 0*5 W A$" :' 08:01 .4 W
7. Nimb& applies i# 4&#amar as m$ch as it does o# 2o#" -sla#d. *tate .eace a#d /e%elopme#t ,o$#cil chie! Ge#eral Tha# *hwe has a ma#sio# i# betwee# A#ikasa# Airport a#d .&i# Oo 2wi#' #ot more tha# a 8 klicks !rom the ?bo @. 5$ilt b& Ftoo Tradi#"Bs co#str$ctio# arm' aka what Ta& La does with his spare time whe# #ot r$##i#" "$#s. -tBs hi"hl& $#likel& the ho#o$rable Tha# *hwe wo$ld wish to li%e i# the pro imate #ei"hborhood o! a #$clear reactor. As to the p$rpose o! the ?bo @' 4&#amar is $#der"oi#" a maDor "o%er#me#t spo#sored co#str$ctio# boom. *i#ce the&B%e mo%ed their capital !rom Ra#"oo# to Na& p&i daw' the&B%e bee# i#%esti#" hea%il& i# the 4a#dala& P .&i# Oo 2wi# corridorH i#d$strial i#!rastr$ct$re' tech#ical schools' silico# %illa"es' take &o$r pick. V A;rXel W A$" :' 08:11 .4 W 8. A# ol&mpic swimmi#" comple O V 46 W A$" :' 08::4 .4 W ). /oes a#&o#e ha%e coordi#ates !or the alle"ed $#der"ro$#d !acilit& me#tio#ed i# the 5all a#d Thorto# articleO V G$mp W A$" :' 08:21 .4 W 10. X0*5: Accordi#" to the Gre& A. article' ?-# 2007' R$ssia si"#ed a# a"reeme#t to ISM b$ild a 10Ame"awatt #$clear research reactor !or peace!$l p$rposes. ISM Fowe%er' R$ssiaBs atomic a"e#c& Rosatom told The Associated .ress rece#tl& that Qthere has bee# #o mo%eme#t whatsoe%er o# this a"reeme#t with 5$rma e%er si#ceB.@ There are #o e isti#" research reactors i# 4&a#mar per the -A+ABs RR/5. As !or a cla#desti#e reactor' 4ark 0it;patrick e presses do$bts i# the *4F article' a#d - ca##ot ima"i#e the R$ssia#s desperate e#o$"h to risk s$ch e pos$re or the 5$rmese able to pa& e#o$"h to ha%e it do#e C$ickl& Y C$ietl&. X46: Tho$"h it ma& seem like a ca%it& <with some #ice swimmi#" la#es' #o less=' it is act$all& a bl$e roo!. ,ertai#l& to me the most i#teresti#" characteristic is the re%etme#t me#tio#ed i# the postH seems like a si"#i!ica#t i#%estme#t i# this partic$lar str$ct$re.1 -t ob!$scates the shape' side detail a#d dime#sio#s o! the b$ildi#" a#d also pro%ides a !orti!&i#" eleme#t. ($d"i#" !rom the shadows' the roo! ca##ot be all that taller tha# the top o! the ramp' lea%i#" most o! a#& b$ildi#" e#cased or be#eath "ro$#d. Also' the ramp does#Bt seem desi"#ed to ha#dle m$ch tra!!ic <ie' m$ltiple tr$cks/loads to or !rom the !acilit&=' b$t that co$ld be m& misD$d"i#" the scale. 1. 4a&be #ot i# a comma#d eco#om&' b$t it is still C$ite pec$liar. V /erek W A$" :' 10:18 .4 W
11. - do#Bt see a#& sort o! serio$s perimeter sec$rit& P there are a co$ple o! "$ard towers' b$t itBs i# a D$#"le' a#d i# hills' a#d the& do#Bt ha%e a# o$ter !e#ce perimeter or e%e# a serio$s "$ard post o# the road. - wo$ld "$ess somethi#" related to the 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t' "i%e# the two towers a#d the berm a#d ditches' a#d somethi#" e plosi%e <otherwise' $s$all& &o$ !e#ce' rather tha# bermi#"=. .ower i# C$a#tit& wo$ld te#d to i#dicate more tha# D$st a# ammo d$mp' b$t it co$ld be a#& #$mber o! se#siti%e thi#"s i#%ol%i#" e plosi%es witho$t bei#" #$clear i# #at$re. The holes i# the mo$#tai#s #ear Napidaw are more i#teresti#"' i! harder to di%i#e. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" :' 11:28 .4 W 12. The a##o&i#" aspect o! the A$stralia# ?breaki#"@ stor&Vas $s$al - "$ess' to m& Da$#diced mi#dVis that it is a mi t$re o! !act a#d !ictio#. -! &o$ read it care!$ll& what will likel& t$r# o$t to be the !ictio#al bits pop o$t at &o$. - k#ow where - wa#t to be i# abo$t 24 ho$rs b$t -Bm #ot hotAdo""i#" i#to pri#t this mor#i#". V mark hibbs W A$" 4' 07:08 A4 W 1:. Ehere are Gale a#d Fairs whe# we #eed themO V (e!!re& 2ewis W A$" 4' 07:27 A4 W 14. -t is prett& clear that the 5O5 is i# the ri"ht place. The de!ectors told $s that the 5$rmese arm& has bee# b$ildi#" si#ce 2002 a #$clear research a#d e#"i#eeri#" ce#tre i# the %ici#it& o! Na$#" 2ai#" %illa"e' so$th east o! .&i# Oo 2wi# i# 4a#dala& /i%isio#. The !acilit& is so$theast o! .&i# Oo 2wi# i# 4a#dala& /i%isio#. 4oreo%er' altho$"h there are ma#& %illa"es called Na$#" 2ai#" i# 5$rma <4&a#mar=' accordi#" to a 1)01 Ga;eteer o! 5$rma there is a %illa"e o! that #ame Kei"ht miles east b& a little #orthK o! 4a&m&o <.&i# Oo 2wi#=. That wo$ld be co#siste#t with the termi#$s o! the road that leads o$t o! the !acilit&. Ehich' i# !act' is how !o$#d it. - we#t east o$t o! .&i# Oo 2wi# a#d saw the shi#&' #ew road a#d !ollowed i#to the mo$#tai#s. V (e!!re& 2ewis W A$" 4' 08:28 A4 W 11. Fairs is still aro$#d' b$t has#Bt posted !or mo#ths i# de!ere#ce to tr&i#" to keep his emplo&er happ& i# these straite#ed timesZ 4& !irst impressio# is: "reat swimmi#" pool P does it ha%e a di%i#" board tooZO *eco#d impressio#: FmmmmSO -Bm i#tri"$ed b& the wide t$r#i#" circles o! the access roadBs be#dsH all
e cept !or the ti"ht )0 de" be#d at the top ri"htAha#d cor#er' where o#e wo$ld ha%e tho$"ht it wo$ld be most critical. All o! which seems to s$""est that whate%er "oes i# / comes o$t is #ot o%erAlo#". Apart !rom that' -Bll ha%e to prepare three pipes a#d look at it properl& at the weeke#d. V Fairs W A$" 4' 0):17 A4 W 18. Act$all&' ma&be that last comme#t o! mi#e sho$ld be ca#celled. - had#Bt appreciated D$st how e#ormo$s the site is: -B%e D$st meas$red $p o# Goo"le earth a#d the road is abo$t 12m wide at the t$r# P so &o$ co$ld almost take a# artic$lated lorr& i# sidewa&sZ V Fairs W A$" 4' 0):4) A4 W 17. Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert' thereBs a maDor militar& checkpoi#t o# the blacktop hi"hwa& be!ore &o$ "et to the bi" temple 22[ :B:8.)8?N )8[:2B8.0:?+ V G$mp W A$" 4' 11:18 A4 W 18. Are the #ewer /i"ital Globe ima"es o#li#e somewhereO /o the& show more perimeter sec$rit& i# place #owO V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 4' 01::7 .4 W 1). (2: /ohZ - sho$ld ha%e looked harder at the act$al report be!ore hitti#" Goo"le 4aps. V A#ders Eidebra#t W A$" 4' 0::41 .4 W 20. 1)[12B:1?N )8[20B41?+ V "a#dal! W A$" 4' 0::4) .4 W 21. 2ooki#" at the road leadi#" i#to the bo ' - ca#Bt come $p with a better reaso# !or the ( shape tha# that thereBs a si"#i!ica#t hei"ht di!!ere#ce betwee# the bo a#d the road a#d that whate%er is s$pposed to tra%el betwee# the two is hea%& e#o$"h that o#l& a small i#cli#atio# is allowable. *ort o! like those models o! how the +"&ptia#s s$pposedl& dra""ed rocks $p their p&ramids. V A#ders Eidebra#t W A$" 4' 04:10 .4 W
22. G$mp P thatBs a checkpoi#t o! some t&pe' across their Natio#al Fi"hwa& : < - ass$me' !rom the map marki#"s =. 5$t itBs #ot a $se!$l perimiter. -tBs 4 km !rom that to where the road to this site t$r#s o!!. -#side that perimeter are a# eas& do;e# hamlets. - do#Bt see a s&mmetrical checkpoi#t #orth o# Natio#al Fi"hwa& : <co$ld be missi#" it' b$t - looked a wa&s #orth=. .erimiter sec$rit& !or a #$clear !acilit& wo$ld be i# closer a#d !ar ti"hter tha# that. A checkpoi#t o# a maDor hi"hwa&' that !ar awa&' ob%io$sl& co$ld help pa& atte#tio# to comi#"s a#d "oi#"s. 5$t NF : "oes $p to ,hi#a a#d is appare#tl& a maDor trade ro$te. - am #ot seei#" a#& maDor sec$rit& i#stallatio#s betwee# where the access road meets NF : < at aro$#d N 22 0:B 12@ + )8 :4B 11@ = a#d the lar"e !acilit&. There are se%eral side roads to %illa"es which e%e#t$all& meet / cross the mai# access road. There appear to be terraced !arm areas i# the #e t %alle& o%er to the #orth' a#d e%e# D$st a bit awa& o# the so$th side' D$st across the access road. -! that was a #$clear !acilit& a#d - was i# char"e o! sec$rit&' thereBd be a bi" sec$rit& checkpoi#t aro$#d the c$r%e o! the road at N 22 :B 8@ + )8 :8B 17@' a#d a d$al perimiter road a#d !e#ce' o#e at the bottom o! the s$rro$#di#" hills at the !ar side' a#d o#e at the top o! the hills' with clear areas 10m or more o# each side' pl$s li"ht posts a#d obser%atio# cameras <a#d probabl&' "$ard towers=. Go$ see sec$rit& like that at k#ow# #$clear !acilities i# ma#& #atio#s. -tBs ro$ti#e. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 4' 08:14 .4 W 2:. - tho$"ht to determi#e a positio# &o$ #eeded three poi#ts. Fow ma#& photos do &o$ #eed to compare to "$ess at the hi"ht o! speci!ic thi#"s i# the posted photoO V bradle& lai#" W A$" 4' 10:1) .4 W 24. A bi" cooli#" de%iceO A h$"e swimmi#" pool wo$ld be a "ood dis"$ise !or it. V 0er#a#do W A$" 1' 01::) A4 W 21. +%ide#ce to date: 5i" importa#t !acilit& with roo! o# it that $ses/prod$ces electricit& a#d has a road. +#o$"h with the pool Dokes<O=: it is clearl& a roo! a#d #ot water. V 0*5 W A$" 1' 08:17 A4 W 28. - challe#"e a#&o#e to !i#d me a# o!!icial ope# so$rce doc$me#t or re!ere#ce ide#ti!&i#" where the R$ssia# reactor is to be located i# 4&a#mar. ,Bmo# "$&s' emi"re a#d disside#t assertio#s do#Bt c$t it' a#d i# this case <4&ai#" a#d 6&a$kse= the& do#Bt e%e# a"ree' the& are h$#dreds o! miles apart. V mark hibbs W A$" 1' 10::1 A4 W
27. *ec$rit& is #ot a de!i#iti%e i#dicator o! a#&thi#" a#d o#e sho$ld #ot draw too ma#& co#cl$sio#s based o# its prese#ce or abse#ce. At this poi#t that b$ildi#" co$ld be a#&thi#". -tBs certai#l& bi" e#o$"h to ho$se a reactor' b$t reactors #eed cooli#" a#d - do#Bt see a#& e%ide#ce o! a cooli#" s&stem. -t is a# i#tri"$i#" a#d stra#"e b$ildi#" P hope!$ll& additio#al ima"er& a#d other i#!ormatio# will be !orthcomi#" that will tell $s more. V A#d& W A$" 1' 10:17 A4 W 28. \ Go$ see sec$rit& like that at k#ow# #$clear !acilities i# ma#& #atio#s. -tBs ro$ti#e. The 5O+ is a co$#tere ample' i! &o$ accept the *ta#dard *tor& that it ho$sed a reactor. V Alle# Thomso# W A$" 1' 01:24 .4 W 2). Eell' that is a p$;;le. <5& the wa&' - ca#Bt sa& e#o$"h "ood thi#"s abo$t $si#" the :/ ,o##e io# ?*pace Na%i"ator@ :/ poi#ti#" de%ice alo#" with Goo"le +arth=. The pro#o$#ced Do" i# the access road at 22[ :B11.07?N )8[:4B10.7:?+ is easier to $#dersta#d whe# we let G+arth s$ppl& ele%atio# data a#d look obliC$el&H itBs a switchback o# a hill. The b$ildi#" itsel!' whe# ;oomed i# e#o$"h' ca# be see# to be a !actor&/wareho$se like str$ct$re with a shallowApitch peaked roo!. A s$r%e& o! others i# the area show a lot o! bl$e roo!sH this co$ld be either a militar& co#str$ctio# sta#dard' or e%e# the $se o! bl$e plastic tarp <sometimes called ?sm$r! ski#@ !or waterpoo!i#"=. -#teresti#" that the power li#e that has 5i" 5l$e 5o o# o#e e#d appears to ha%e a#other e#d at 22[ :B27.70?N' where there are !o$r odd looki#" little bo es. No idea whatBs $p there. 5$t thereBs a Tb$#ch T o! those str$ct$res <which -Bm taki#" the libert& o! #ami#" ?C$adbo es@=H - !o$#d se%e# o! them r$##i#" alo#" a crooked 4km *EAN+ li#e <i#cl$di#" the o#e where the power li#e e#ds/be"i#s' <64L !ile a%ailable o# reC$est= -Bm s$re there are some others. A#d wh& does o#l& o#e o! them #eed a power li#eO -s there a t$##el $#der#eithO Fa%e#Bt spotted a portal &et. V 4a""ie 2eber W A$" 1' 04:10 .4 W :1. 5O+ mea#i#" the 5$ildi#" O# the +$phrates' - ass$me here. That b$ildi#" had "ood i#tri#sic site sec$rit& P i# a desert re"io#' o#e side bo$#ded b& a ri%er' a road se%eral km awa& i#la#d' #o !armi#" betwee# the road a#d ri%er o# that side i# the #ear area.
The& added i# berms o# the rid"eli#e to block li#e o! si"ht o# the b$ildi#" !rom the road #earb&. The& also had a lar"e' cleared !ield ma#& km wide to work with !or ph&sical sec$rit&. 0or a co%ert i#stallatio#' &o$ do#Bt #eed a solid !e#celi#e P &o$ do #eed a perimiter which is relati%el& eas& to watch' a#d a wa& to pre%e#t cas$al or directed i#tr$sio#s. -! o#e we#t back !$rther i# time at the *&ria# site' o#e wo$ld pres$mabl& !i#d some small b$#kers p$t i# the "ro$#d' co%ered b& terrai#' with %iew slits looki#" o$t o%er the s$rro$#di#" la#d. +#tra#ces co$ld be small e#o$"h to #ot show $p o# o%erhead photo ima"er& P the&Bd probabl& sta#d o$t o# radar' b$t the 9* #e%er released radar ima"er& o! the site. There was #o #eed to clear la#d to establish li#es o! si"ht / !ire. The dirt mo$#ds alo#" the rid"eli#es aro$#d the site wo$ld be "ood locatio#s !or b$#kers P "ood %isibilit&' a#d the dirt wo$ld help %is$all& obsc$re the b$#kerBs %isio# slits a#d e#tra#ce. -! a kid started wa#deri#" across the desert' &o$ D$st p$t a "$& i# a 4]4 o$t to dri%e $p a#d tell him to "o back to the road. -! there was a "ro$#d attack' &o$ ha%e a C$ick respo#se !orce i#side o#e o! the b$ildi#"s to respo#d' a#d the people i# the b$#kers ca# pi# dow# attackers while the NR0 "ets rolli#". -# a !orested or D$#"le e#%iro#me#t' as i# this site i# 5$rma' &o$ reall& #eed to clear a perimiter a#d add a !e#ce. Ehile itBs tech#icall& possible to do that $#der#eath the trees' it $s$all& shows $p a#&wa&s' a#d doi#" it $#der#eath trees lea%es e#o$"h tr$#ks i# the wa& to make li#es o! si"ht di!!ic$lt. The 4&a#mar !acilit& co$ld be $si#" the ditch a#d the !e#ce aro$#d the o$tside o! the pad aro$#d the b$ildi#" !or a si#"le' close i# perimeterS #ormal !or i#d$strial !acilities' ab#ormal !or somethi#" like a #$clear i#stallatio#. The& co$ld also ha%e a %irt$al !e#ce' with a !e#celi#e i# the b$sh somewhere to disco$ra"e cas$al trespassers' a#d a serio$s set o! wired or wireless cameras a#d motio# se#sors co%eri#" at least $p to a#d o%er the rid"eli#es a bit. ThatBs possible P di!!ic$lt to make per!ect' b$t possible. -t takes a lot o! ma#power to watch all the cameras a#d make s$re someo#e does#Bt s#eak i#. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 1' 07::8 .4 W :2. the& still $se %isible roo!s. itBs #ot di!!ic$lt to $se a less %isible colo$r a#d recei%e less protests aro$#d the world V d$rpi W A$" 8' 01:10 A4 W :4. ($d"i#" !rom the amo$#t o! co!!ee a#d other prod$ce that is "row# i# the cooler climes $p that wa& -Bd be more i#cli#ed to sa& itBs #othi#" more tha# a processi#" pla#t o! some descriptio#. ThereBs certai#l& ple#t& o! pla#tatio# i# the s$rro$#di#" !ields. The a$ ilar& b$ildi#"s will be #o more tha# the $s$al b$ildi#"s &o$ wo$ld e pect to see at a !actor& i# 4&a#mar' i.e. "e#erator ho$se' water treateme#t etc. V A#o# W A$" 8' 11:42 A4 W
:1. -t co$ld be a# ope# air opi$m dr&er' -B%e #e%er see# o#e this lar"e' b$t i! this is a Ta& La operatio# it makes se#se' he has the capital a#d the co##ectio#s to p$ll this o!!. The bl$e tarp o# top' completel& $##ecessar& !or co#%e#tio#al co!!ee or teak dr&i#" wo$ld be cr$cial to help pre%e#t satellite a#d 9A3 recce o! the operatio#. 4&a#marBs "o%er#me#t is p$blicl& %er& a#tiAopi$mH the& co#sider the c$lti%atio# a#d distrib$tio# o! #arcotics to be eC$i%ale#t to "e#ocide i# li"ht o! their colo#ial le"ac& o! 5ritish imposed opi$m trade. Fowe%er' it wo$ld#Bt be the !irst time that a# isolated "o%er#me#t has bee# !orced to t$r# to dr$" e ports as a hard cash trade "ood. V A;rXel W A$" 7' 01:42 .4 W
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/200)/a$"/128847.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, A$"$st :' 200)
[Excerpt]
N9+*T-ON: O# North 6orea a#d 5$rma iss$e' accordi#" to a co$ple o! the #ews reports i# A$stralia o%er the weeke#d' 5$rma has $#der"ro$#d #$clear comple b$ilt with the help !rom North 6orea. -s this part o! what *ecretar& ,li#to# tried to all$de to whe# she talked abo$t co#cer#s abo$t militar& cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6oreaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Ee do ha%e co#cer#s abo$t the #at$re o! cooperatio# betwee# both 5$rma a#d North 6orea' a#d North 6orea a#d a#& other co$#tr&. A#d as the *ecretar& did d$ri#" her rece#t trip' she ar"$ed C$ite !orce!$ll& that all co$#tries ha%e respo#sibilities re"ardi#" the 9N sa#ctio#s a#d we are hard at impleme#ti#" them. - thi#k o%er time' we wo$ld like to clari!& with 5$rma more precisel& the #at$re o! its militar& cooperatio#. The *ecretar& was e#co$ra"ed that 5$rma said that it wo$ld abide b& its respo#sibilities $#der the sa#ctio#s that were rece#tl& passed b& the 9N' a#d we will be looki#" to see them impleme#t those sa#ctio#s. N9+*T-ON: -s the 9.*. aware o! this ki#d o! $#der"ro$#d #$clear comple ' possibl& with help !rom North 6oreaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: -t is a# iss$e o! co#cer# a#d it is a# iss$e that we co#ti#$e to !oc$s o# i#te#si%el&. N9+*T-ON: Eell' whatBs a# iss$e o! co#cer#O The !acilit&O 4R. ,ROE2+G: The #at$re o! cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. N9+*T-ON: Eell' are &o$ sa&i#" that &o$ are aware o! this !acilit&O 4R. ,ROE2+G: -Bm #ot comme#ti#" o# a#& partic$lar !acilit&.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/200)/a$"/128888.htm
Robert Eood /ep$t& *pokesma# /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, A$"$st 4' 200) [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: Fow P "i%e $s some idea o! how deepl& &o$Bre looki#" i#to the P 9.*. Go%er#me#t is looki#" i#to this report abo$t the 5$rmese. Are the& bei#" C$estio#ed' are the& bei#" askedO 4R. EOO/: Abo$t which 5$rmese are &o$ talki#" abo$tO N9+*T-ON: Abo$t the t$##els. N9+*T-ON: The #$clear reactor. N9+*T-ON: N$clear reactor. 4R. EOO/: Eell' - do#Bt wa#t to "et i#to m$ch more detail tha# - alread& ha%e o# this iss$e' b$t it is a# iss$e o! co#cer# to $s. EeBre ob%io$sl& looki#" i#to these t&pes o! reports. 5$t - D$st do#Bt wa#t to "o be&o#d what we ha%e said o# that.
http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2412/oco##orAo#AtheAbob
A detailed %iew o! the mai# comple itsel! is pro%ided below. 4a#& !eat$res o! the comple ca# be discer#ed e%e# tho$"h it is still clearl& bei#" co#str$cted. Note the a!oreme#tio#ed power li#es' a#d the !act that the& termi#ate at a s$bstatio#' likel& pro%idi#" electricit& !or the comple . The mai# !acilit& appears to be sit$ated i# a shallow re%etme#t car%ed o$t o! the terrai#' with a smaller comple o%erlooki#" it !rom abo%e. There are si"#s that !e#ci#" is bei#" placed aro$#d the re%etted !acilit&' a#d si"#s that !$rther b$ildi#"s a#d roads are bei#" co#str$cted. The mai# !acilit&' meas$ri#" 82 b& 84 !eet [sic; should be meters]' appears to ha%e a sla#ted' i#%erted % shaped roo! made o! corr$"ated metal.
There are #$mero$s aspects o! this !acilit& which s$""est that' while it ma& ha%e some part to pla& i# 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram' it is #ot the site o! the co%ert #$clear pla#t or reprocessi#" ce#ter. 0irstl&' recall the cooli#" reC$ireme#ts !or a North 6orea# reactor desi"#. There is #o i#dicatio# o! a#& #earb& so$rce o! water' or a#& si"#i!ica#t pipi#" !rom s$ch a so$rce' to pro%ide the #ecessar& water #eeded to cool the reactor. -t was reported b& o#e o! the de!ectors that North 6orea#s were prese#t at the co%ert site to e#"a"e i# si"#i!ica#t t$##eli#" proDects' as the reactor a#d/or pl$to#i$m processi#" pla#t were alle"edl& to be placed below "ro$#d. No si"# o! a#& sort o! t$##eli#" is prese#t' or at least was #ot prese#t i# 2001. 0$rthermore' the terrai# where the b$ildi#" is placed' as see# i# the ima"e below' does #ot precl$de a lar"e de"ree o! t$##eli#" or 9G0 emplaceme#t. Ehile there is a de"ree o! terrai# %ariatio#' it is #ot o! s$!!icie#t depth to allow !or 9G0 co#str$ctio# witho$t bori#" dow# i#to the +arth at a# a#"le' a#d thereb& prod$ci#" a m$ch more #oticeable co#str$ctio# !ootpri#t. Also' the !acilit& does #ot appear to be s$#k i#to the terrai# to a "reat de"ree' disC$ali!&i#" its $se as a portal !or e#teri#" a b$ried 9G0.
There are two i#teresti#" !eat$res which ma& i#dicate where the co%ert !acilit&' i! it e ists' will be sited. 0irst' the access road leadi#" to the east i#to the terrai# is a #ew co#str$ctio#' a#d it leads ri"ht past the seco#d !eat$re' a possible sec$rit& checkpoi#t. This is the !irst maDor sec$rit&Arelated !eat$re prese#t i# the area' a#d s$""ests that whate%er is bei#" co#cealed is !$rther to the east. -# !act' it has bee# s$""ested b& a 5$rmese sec$rit& o!!icer that the ?Na$#" 2ai#"@ <a# alter#ate #ame !or .&i# Oo 2wi#' as well as 4a&m&o= !acilit& is merel& a distractio# mea#t to hide the locatio# o! the real !acilit&. Ehile this is #ot #ecessaril& likel&' la sec$rit& #oted i# the area as o! late s$""ests that the o!!icer was at least hal! correct: this is #ot a #$clear !acilit&. The likel& locatio# !or the co%ert site is !$rther east' #ear the ri%er. A# area o! i#terest <AO-= !or !$t$re i#%esti"atio# has bee# marked o# the !ollowi#" ima"e:
This locatio# has a #$mber o! ad%a#ta"es: A .ree isti#"' co#%e#ie#t water so$rce !or cooli#" A /eeper a#d more %aried terrai# !or 9G0 co#str$ctio# A ,o#ditio#s more ame#able to the !ormatio# a#d persiste#ce o! mist' a !eat$re claimed b& de!ectors to ha%e bee# chose# so that work o# a#d the prese#ce o! the !acilit& <a#d pote#tiall& cooli#" emissio#s= co$ld be hidde# !rom the air As demo#strated abo%e' while the $#ide#ti!ied !acilit& located i# 5$rma ma& #ot be related to the #$clear pro"ram' it does represe#t a# i#teresti#" e#i"ma' a#d its prese#ce ma& ha%e pro%ided e#o$"h i#!ormatio# to locate the "e#eral positio# o! the co%ert site. The most likel& e pla#atio# !or the 9/- !acilit&' apart !rom the pre%io$sl& me#tio#ed deco& site' is a s$pport !$#ctio# !or the si"#i!ica#t amo$#t o! t$##elli#" which m$st be $#dertake# i# order to co#str$ct the 9G0s reC$ired b& the proDect. -# time this ma& e%e# represe#t the sec$rit& a#d site s$pport base !or the !acilit&. 0$rther i#%esti"atio# a#d a#al&sis is reC$ired' b$t it ca# be stated with a de"ree o! certai#t&' "i%e# the e%ide#ce a#d i#!ormatio# at ha#d' that #o #$clear acti%it& will be $#dertake# $#der#eath the 82 b& 84 !oot roo!.
Comments 1. Fe& (e!! P A co$ple o! poi#ts. 0rom the wa& the shadows !all' - wo$ld sa& that the roo! is a #ormal pitched roo! a#d a"ree that it looks like corr$"ated metal. The ?sidewa&s@ ima"e' howe%er' probabl& adds #o i#!ormatio# at all beca$se it is simpl& a tra#s!ormatio# o! the o%erhead ima"e' as - e plai#ed here. There ma& be some terrai# ele%atio# i#!ormatio# added i#' b$t the b$ildi#" clearl& is !rom the o%erhead' a#d there!ore the e ca%ated terrai# aro$#d the b$ildi#" is likel& a simple tra#s!ormatio# o! the o%erhead' #o additio#al i#!ormatio# to i#terpret there. -t wo$ld be #ice to see the dirt pile !rom e ca%atio#' b$t it wo$ld also be a# eas& thi#" to distrib$te that dirt i# the D$#"le. V ,her&l Ro!er W A$" 1' 04::8 .4 W 2. 2 poi#ts o# OB,o##orBs a#al&sis: 1. Roo! shadow o# #orth side shows #ormal' ce#ter peak roo! #ot i#%ertedA3. 2. 82 meter sC$are' #ot !oot. 4& ow# re%iewS *omethi#" was b$""i#" me abo$t the b$ildi#" itsel!' looki#" at it. - had ass$med that there was a drai#a"e ditch d$" aro$#d it' below #at$ral "rade' a#d that acco$#ted !or the stepped appeara#ce o! the s$rro$#di#" dirt. - thi#k - was wro#". - had bee# ass$mi#" that the hill to the east was a sharp $pA"rade P that the two parallel access roads o# the east' o#e o! which "oes ?past@ a#d to the small recta#"$lar b$ildi#" abo$t 71m #ortheast' was ?$phill@ !rom the road "oi#" to the 5O5 itsel!. - was looki#" at cl$es a#d #ow - thi#k - had that backwards P - thi#k the site is !$#dame#tall& more !lat' that the 255 to the #ortheast is at the same "rade ro$"hl& as the e#tra#ce road past the berm areas. 4& c$rre#t read is that the b$ildi#" sits o# top a# arti!icial' twoAstep step p&ramid t&pe dirt str$ct$re' with the access ramp to it slopi#" $p as it heads #ortheast' the# le%el with the !acilit& as it makes the )0 de"ree t$r# to the #orthwest a#d across to the ceme#t pad aro$#d the b$ildi#". The 2Astep dirt str$ct$re has %er& li#ear' sC$ared o!! sides' a#d the bottom o! the o$tside seems to be ?at "rade@. That is %er&' %er& odd. -! - am i#terpreti#" the topolo"& correctl&' i! those steps are 41 de"ree slopes' the# the co#crete pad is o# the order o! 11 meters abo%e s$rro$#di#" "rade. - ca# thi#k o! #o "ood reaso# to place a# ordi#ar& b$ildi#" $p o# a raised pad like that. The o#l& p$rpose that comes to mi#d is b$ildi#" a# earthAco%ered str$ct$re i#side a# arti!icial mo$#d' a#d dis"$isi#" it b& p$tti#" a #ormalAlooki#" wareho$se t&pe b$ildi#" o# top. .res$mabl&' thereBs a# access ramp back dow# i#side somewhere $#der the 5O5 roo!. The o#l& t&pe o! !acilities worth doi#" that with that - ca# thi#k o! wo$ld be #$clear or militar& comma#d a#d co#trol. *o' challe#"e !or other readers P look at the site topolo"& with me. 2etBs tr& a#d !i"$re o$t P is that a step p&ramid $p' or am - misreadi#" the site topolo"&.
- a"ree with OB,o##or that a bi""er !acilit& !$rther east' o!! the Goo"le +arth detailed ima"e patch o%er b& the ri%er to the east' is more likel& a primar& !acilit&. 5$t - am #o lo#"er co#%i#ced this !acilit& is relati%el& i##oce#t. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 1' 08:1: .4 W
:. - do#Bt k#ow what 5o5 is !or' b$t OB,o##er is basi#" part o! his a#al&sis $po# a !alse
ass$mptio#.*i"#i!ica#t s$pplies o! water !or cooli#" a reactor a#d/or reprocessi#" !acilit& are not a sine qua non. This is partic$larl& so !or a low power pla#t like the *&ria# 2+GO !actor&' or the N6 bomb machi#e. A# arra& o! dr& !orced air heat e cha#"ers are certai#l& e!!ecti%e.
Eorki#" e actl& like a car radiator' the hot reactor water !rom the seco#dar& loop is p$mped thr$ a "rid o! !i##ed t$bes. 2ar"e !a#s p$ll cooli#" air thr$ the "rid. The #ow cooled water circ$lates back to the primar& ,O2/Eater heat e cha#"er e cha#"er at the reactor. -! &o$ ha%e a "ood so$rce o! cooli#" water like a ri%er or lake' the# !i#e' &o$ sa%e bi" b$cks o# electricit&' b$t i! &o$Bre i# the desert or mo$#tai#s' a#d costAe!!ecti%e#ess is #ot primar&' the# dr& cooli#" is !i#e. V Gale *imki# W A$" 8' 10:11 A4 W 4. \ *o' challe#"e !or other readers P look at the site topolo"& with me. 2etBs tr& a#d !i"$re o$t P is that a step p&ramid $p' or am - misreadi#" the site topolo"&. <- se#t this i# eAmail a bit a"o' b$t repeat it here. As alwa&s' 0E-E=: - sho$ld ha%e do#e this be!ore' b$t the Goo"le +arth terrai# tool i#dicates that the 5O5 was b$ilt o# a site that sloped $p b& twe#t& meters or so !rom the so$th to the #orth ed"e. -! thatBs so' the& had a !airl& serio$s amo$#t o! le%eli#" to do b& c$tti#" dow# the #orth side' b$ildi#" $p the so$th' or some combi#atio# o! the two. V Alle# Thomso# W A$" 8' 0::18 .4 W 1. 1/4 0or those o! &o$ with a li!e' &o$ ca# skip m& %erbal diarrhoea below P - ha%e#Bt a cl$e what this b$ildi#" is. 0or those o! &o$ who wa#t to read !$rther P &o$ sho$ld "et o$t more' a#d ma&be also "et some pro!essio#al helpZ :A= Ehe# - look at Goo"le +arth -Bm str$ck #ot D$st b& what this thi#" is' b$t also where it is. As -Bm s$re &o$B%e all #oticed' .&i# Oo 2wi# seems to be i# the heartla#d o! the 5$rmese militar&. 0or e ample' thereBs a spa#ki#" "reat :000m air!ield D$st so$thwest o! the tow#' which clearl& ca#Bt be !or to$rism beca$se thereBs a 4000m o#e abo$t 10 km so$thwest' #ear to 4a#dala&. ThereBs also the /e!e#ce
*er%ices Academ& <#icel& marked with a li#k to Eikipedia= at 22 01B 28@ N a#d )8 27B 17@ +. A#d a #ice "ol! co$rse #earb& <22 00B ::@ N' )7 27B 44@ += a#d some prett& pl$sh ho$si#" at 21 1)B N' )8 28B 40@ +. Gi%e# the look o! the /*A' -Bd also "$ess that the re"$lar str$ct$res aro$#d 22 00B 00@ N' )7 27B 00@ + are a barracks. Oh' a#d thereBs also the Go%er#orBs ho$se at 22 01B 08@ N' )7 27B 28@ +. As a# earlier poster poi#ted o$t' N-45Gism is s$rel& as %alid i# 5$rma as a#&where else' so alread& start to ha%e do$bts abo$t the str$ct$re bei#" a secret 4AGNO>At&pe reactor' which co$ld be bombed at a#& mome#t <i! weBre to belie%e the e pla#atio# o! the 5O+=. No#etheless' placi#" 5O5 o#l& 20 km !rom s$ch a collectio# o! militar& #obs a#d hobA#obs' s$""ests two thi#"s: +ither the 5$rmese wa#t the protectio# a!!orded b& ha%i#" se%eral tho$sa#d soldiers a#d trai#ees #earb&' or else the& wa#ted to p$t it somewhere where a#& $#$s$al acti%it& wo$ld be i#%isible a"ai#st a back"ro$#d o! re"$lar militar& !li"hts' co#%o&s' checkpoi#ts' detachme#ts o! soldiers marchi#" hither a#d thither' etc. 4& mo#e&Bs o# the seco#d optio#: 5O5 is where it is <i.e. #ear to .&i# Oo 2wi#= beca$se it wo$ld be more di!!ic$lt to disti#"$ish 5O5Arelated acti%ities !rom the re"$lar comi#"s a#d "oi#"s o! a militar& tow#. As to what it is' &o$r "$ess is as "ood as mi#e. 5ased o# the Goo"le +arth photo - do#Bt belie%e at the mome#t that it is a reactor. Gale correctl& sa&s that ?*i"#i!ica#t s$pplies o! water !or cooli#" a reactor a#d/or reprocessi#" !acilit& are not a si#e C$a #o#@ !or a reactor. 5$t the alter#ati%e o! $si#" airAcooled co#de#sers D$st does#Bt strike me as credible. Air cooled co#de#sers are e#ormo$sl& less e!!icie#tH &o$Bd be doi#" well to "et a hotwell temperat$re o! 80 de" , with airAcooled' compared to :: de" , with water cooled' mea#i#" that i! a p$tati%e reactor has a coreAcoola#t circ$latio# o! abo$t 100 k"/s the# the waterA cooled %ersio# co$ld r$# at a thermal power abo$t 10 4E hi"her. O# a reactor thatBs o#l& 40 P 10 4Eth a#&wa&' thatBs a bi" di!!ere#ce. V Fairs W A$" 8' 08:21 A4 W 8. 2/4 Not o#l& are airAcooled co#de#sers less e!!ecti%e' b$t the& are 5-GH the&Bd be %er& %isible !rom the air' a#d &o$ co$ld easil& see what temperat$re the&Bre r$##i#" at' a#d th$s ded$ce' !rom their s$r!ace area' what heat load is bei#" d$mped to the air. This wo$ld tell &o$ a lot abo$t the operatio#' a#d ma im$m capabilit&' o! a#& reactor. O# the e#"i#eeri#" side' airAcooled co#de#sers te#d to !o$l easil& i# tropical re"io#s' mea#i#" the& rapidl& lose per!orma#ce' a#d the&Bre also rather s$sceptible to the e!!ects o! wi#d' mea#i#" that &o$ ca#Bt alwa&s achie%e desi"# load beca$se o! the wi#d. -tBs bad e#o$"h r$##i#" a combi#edAc&cle "as t$rbi#e with airAcooled co#de#sers' b$t - certai#l& wo$ld#Bt wa#t to operate a #$clear pla#t with o#e' beca$se co#strai#ts a#d %ariatio#s i# m& cooli#" wo$ld !eedback to core reacti%it&' with co#seC$e#ces !or pl$to#i$m prod$ctio#. -! 5$rma reall& is b$ildi#" a 4AGNO> t&pe reactor the# - thi#k it wo$ld make !ar more se#se to site it #ear a ri%er a#d $se o#ceAthro$"h cooli#" <it wo$ld also be easier to hide the thermal si"#at$re b& mi i#" e cess ri%er water with the co#de#ser dischar"e' be!ore p$mpi#" it back $#der the s$r!ace o! the !lowi#" ri%er=. V Fairs W A$" 8' 08:2: A4 W 7. :/4 Re"ardi#" the ?s$bAstatio#@ at 2: 0:B 01@ N' )7 :7B :7@ +' !or what itBs worth -Bd sa& it is a 1:2 k3 statio#. Two &ears a"o there was a 0ra#co A*+AN semi#ar' which i#cl$ded a co$#tr& report b& 4&a#mar o# its electrical "rid <tr& "oo"li#" ?.oweri#" A*+AN: Tech#olo"& a#d .olic& Optio#s@ a#d ?,o$#tr& report o! 4&a#mar@H b$t i! all else !ails - co$ld se#d a cop& o! the report to (e!!re& !or posti#"=. *lide :4 o! the report shows a 1:2 k3 li#e co##ecti#" 4a#dala& to .&i# Oo 2wi#' so it wo$ld make se#se i! that s$ppl& was e te#ded to the 5O5. - do#Bt thi#k the s$ppl& is 88 k3 or :: k3 beca$se the shadows o! the p&lo#s' a#d the li#es <i#asm$ch as the& are %isible=' aro$#d 2: 0:B 40.1@ N' )8 :1B 14@ + s$""ests towers with li#es o# both sides <i.e. do$ble circ$it=. That s$""ests to me both the hi"her %olta"e' a#d a certai# amo$#t o! red$#da#c& <!or e ample' the 5$rmese co$ld ha%e D$st i#stalled a
si#"leAcirc$it :: k3 s$ppl& i! thatBs all that was #eeded=. -! we accept P based o# the Goo"le earth photo P that thereBs #o i#dicatio# o! a#& maDor cooli#"' the# the power li#es are probabl& bri#"i#" power i# rather tha# e porti#" it o$t. 2astl&' the earthworks are i#teresti#"H s$rel& the& ha%e#Bt bee# b$ilt !ust so that A,E readers ca#Bt "et some #ice' sharp shadows !or ded$ci#" the hei"ht o! the b$ildi#"Z :A= - pres$me that there is a reaso# !or the earth b$#ds / berms' b$t - ca#Bt thi#k what it mi"ht be. *imilarl&' the road headi#" o!! i#to the %er& bl$rr& #ei"hbo$ri#" photo <at 22 02B 12@ N' )8 :8B 14@ += was pres$mabl& b$ilt !or a reaso#H itBs D$st a shame we ca#Bt !ollow a#d see where it "oes. - also wo#der i! the str$ct$re at 22 02B 18@ N' )8 :8B 18@ + is some ki#d o! a checkpoi#tO V Fairs W A$" 8' 08:27 A4 W 8. 4/4 All i# all' - see a lar"e b$ildi#" close to a %er& militarised area' where it looks as i! the access roads to the b$ildi#" are "$arded b& checkpoi#ts. The b$ildi#" itsel! is s$rro$#ded <s$#k i#toO= earthe# berms' with access b& a wide road $p a ramp' with a )0 de" t$r# at the e#d. ThereBs #o ob%io$s so$rce o! cooli#" <i! it is some ki#d o! reactor / power statio#=' &et there seems to be a twi#Acirc$it "rid co##ectio# to the site <possibl& 1:2 k3' b$t likel& to be at least :: k3=. :: k3 co$ld pla$sibl& be !or li"hti#" a#d F3A, i# s$ch a lar"e b$ildi#"' b$t 1:2 k3 wo$ld impl& that somethi#" i#side is co#s$mi#" a lot o! power. -! someo#e p$t a "$# to m& head a#d said ?-tBs de!i#itel& proli!eratio#ArelatedH #ow make a "$ess@ the# -Bd "o !or a ce#tri!$"e i#stallatio#. 5$t i# compariso# to Nata#; the whole !ootpri#t is too small. N$ite !ra#kl&' altho$"h itBs s$spicio$s -Bm #ot at all s$re that it is proli!eratio#Arelated. As - said at the be"i##i#"' - ha%e#Bt a cl$e what this b$ildi#" is. V Fairs W A$" 8' 08:2) A4 W ). -tBs worthwhile to look at the locatio# o! the b$ildi#" i# the terrai# a#d satellite %iews i# Goo"le 4aps. -tBs b$ilt i#to the lower slope o! a hill i# what' !or lack o! better' -Bll call a# emba&me#t i# the s$rro$di#"' hi"her topo"raph&. 2ike e%er&bod& else' - do#Bt k#ow what it is' b$t wo$ld recomme#d ca$tio# whe# accepti#" or reDecti#" h&potheses. V Alle# Thomso# W A$" 8' 01:40 .4 W 10.-# the NGT pict$re o! the same b$ildi#"' it shows a ri%er withi# at least a mile o! it' -m #ow co#!$sed wh& &o$ sa& its #ot close e#o$"h to waterO V Dw W A$" )' 04:41 A4 W 11.($st li#ked o%er !rom 6risto!!Bs article' do#Bt k#ow m$ch abo$t #$clear sites b$t ha%e lear#ed a lot alread&. N$estio#: wh& the bl$e colorO 2ooks like a swimmi#" pool. V (oh# +dwards W A$" )' 08:24 A4 W 12.Ehat abo$t a# -,54 siloO -t wo$ld be a lot cheaper to simpl& b$& a weapo# !rom N6 tha# to b$ild the i#!rastr$ct$re a#d make o#e themsel%es. ,o$ld the power be to r$# a liC$id o &"e# pla#t !or the -,54O 2iC$id !$eled rockets are too !ra"ile !or ?real@ militar& $tilit&' b$t as a deterre#t !or a ro"$e state the& mi"ht be ?e#o$"h@. N6Bs lo#"est ra#"e missiles are liC$id !$eled.
.$tti#" it close e#o$"h to all the militar& st$!! wo$ld protect it !rom "ro$#d !orces' b$t it is !ar e#o$"h awa& !rom militar& ho$si#" that i! <whe#= it is attacked b& precisio# m$#itio#s those i# the militar& ho$si#" are #ot at risk. 2ook at the t$r# radi$s o! the access roads. Ehat does that impl& as to the le#"th o! what e%er is "oi#" to be tr$cked to the siteO The rece#t spate o! testi#" b& N6 mi"ht be part o! their marketi#" e!!ort' to demo#strate the& ha%e somethi#" to sell. The $se o! air cooli#" is #ot $#realistic. The -sraeli reactor at /imo#a is i# the middle o! a desert a#d $ses airAcooled cooli#" towers. The temperat$re o! a# airAcooled cooli#" tower is eas& to meas$re' b$t the air !low is #ot. O#e ca# easil& make a bi" dr& cooli#" tower a#d the# #ot blow m$ch air thro$"h it to "i%e the ill$sio# o! a lar"e power dissipatio#. V daedal$s W A$" )' 08:41 A4 W 1:.This is clearl& a p&ramid with a# abo%e "ro$#d area topped with a bl$e pitched roo!' that is clearl& abo%e the tree li#e. All maDor acti%it& will take place i# the p&ramid. The smaller b$ildi#" to the back is #ot abo%e it b$t below it with a smaller b$ildi#" i# !ro#t o! it. A car sits i# betwee# the p&ramid a#d the b$ildi#" showi#" that the two b$ildi#"s are !ar below it. Ehat is missi#" is a#& e#tra#ce to or !rom a#& o! the b$ildi#"s co##ecti#" them to the p&ramid' i#dicati#" $#der"ro$#d access. The ramp is #ot a road b$t probabl& the base !or a# abo%e "ro$#d pipeli#e or is !or a# alread& b$ilt $#der"ro$#d pipeli#e. The ri%er is close e#o$"h i! the water is bei#" p$mped $#der"ro$#d. There is !ar too m$ch !oc$s o# the bl$e roo! bei#" o# a si#"$lar abo%e "ro$#d b$ildi#". -t is the hi"hest poi#t o! the e#tire !acilit& that is below it i# the p&ramid a#d who k#ows how m$ch !arther dow# i#to the earth it "oes. 5ei#" close to a militari;ed area pro%ides the hi"hest protectio#. - o#l& see at this poi#t ma&be o#e b$ildi#" that co$ld be barracks. *o o#l& a !ew will be o# site at a#& time !or i#ter#al sec$rit&. + ter#al will come !rom the #earb& militar& area. This 5O5 co$ld %er& well be #$clear. V DD W A$" )' 10:24 A4 W 14.This is a commo# or "arde#' pre!abricated' sC$are metal b$ildi#" <#o ?p&ramid@=' s$rro$#ded b& parki#" <X the same le%el as the dri%ewa&=' a#d !$rther s$rro$#ded b& pla#ted berms. Ehere are the co#trol poi#ts' "$ard ho$ses' a#d alter#ate ro$tes i# a#d o$tO -! this is a #$clear' or militar& !acilit&' -Bm a mo#ke&Bs $#cle. V OldRo"$e W A$" )' 01:18 .4 W 11.2ooks like a l$ $r& resort' to me. V 0ra#k W A$" )' 0::1) .4 W 18.- a"ree that the roo! is a #ormall& pitched %Aroo!. -t is 82m 82m' a#d at the #orth e#tra#ce<O= is a# ^8m lo#" obDect' possibl& a %ehicle. The lo#"est %ehicle &o$ co$ld mo%e $p the ramp wo$ld be somethi#" p$lli#" a trailer 18A20m lo#" D$d"i#" !rom the c$r%at$re o! the ramp. 0$thermore' the ramp is 10A12m wide' whereas the road leadi#" to the site is o#l& abo$t 1m wide. /oes this s$""est that the& co$ld be e pecti#" to b$ild lar"er items o# site be!ore mo%i#" them $p the rampO There is a !lat "raded site 10]10m *+ o! the b$ildi#" P co$ld this be a helipad or a site !or a#other b$ildi#"O The other b$ildi#"s are smaller' b$t still s$bsta#tial :0m20m a#d 21m 8m.
0i#all&' the site is o#l& 8km !rom the ri%er' which wo$ld mea# pipi#" i# water wo$ld be eas&. A lar"e e#o$"h pipeli#e co$ld be co#str$cted i# o#l& a mo#th or two. Fowe%er' at the time o! this photo there is #o e%ide#ce o! a pipeli#e or p$mpi#" statio# #ear the ri%er. V ,am *#ow W A$" )' 01:1) .4 W
17.Ehile Fairs poi#ts o$t Yale correctly says that i!ni"icant supplies o" #ater "or coolin! a reactor
and$or reprocessin! "acility are not a sine qua non "or a reactor?' he writes that the alternati%e o" usin! air&cooled condensers 'ust doesn(t stri)e me as credible* - wo$ld rather sa& that 100U airAcooli#" is unlikely' b$t credible. Remember what m& ori"i#al poi#t was P that lack o! co#%e#ie#t so$rces o! water sho$ld NOT be o%erl& depe#ded $po# as a# i#dicator o! #$clear !acilities. A proli!erator makes choices that #ecessit& reC$ires. +!!icie#c&' costAe!!ecti%e#ess' reliabilit&' etc. ma& #ot alwa&s appl&. *addamBs $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram was missed beca$se #o o#e tho$"ht that he wo$ld $se the cl$#k&' massi%e' a#d terribl& waste!$l obsolete tech#olo"& o! cal$tro#s. The -raCis were circli#" i#to "etti#" master& o! the process whe# the G$l! Ear aborted it. 5TE P - do#Bt ha%e a#& reaso# to thi#k that 5o5 has a#& atomic !acilities' D$st that lack o! water does #ot completel& precl$de it P a more "e#eral obse%atio#. 5e that as it ma&' dr& cooli#" is not the o#l& waterAscarce optio#. -! the !a#Acooled heatAe cha#"ers are spra&ed with a mi#imal amo$#t o! water' e!!icie#c& sk&rockets. The water !ilm is treme#do$sl& more e!!icie#t tra#s!erri#" the heat a#d m$ch e#er"& is carried awa& b& e%aporatio#. These coolers ca# $se more tha# )1U 2+** water tha# comparable ope# water s&stems. This C$a#tit& o! water ca# be piped <as ,am poi#ted o$t=' drilled or ha$led i#. /imo#a i# the -sraeli desert a#d 6hash$b i# .akista# <abo$t 4 km !rom the #earest lar"e water so$rce= appear to $se these: 6hash$b:
/imo#a o%erhead:
V Gale *imki# W A$" )' 0):27 .4 W 18.,o#ti#$i#".. 0rom T+#%iro#me#tal -mpact Assessme#t Report New N$clear .ower .la#t i# 2ith$a#ia A$"$st 27th 2008T +-A report b& ._&r& +#er"& O& <0i#la#d= 2ith$a#ia# +#er"& -#stit$te <2ith$a#ia= +ry coolin! methods peci"ic "eatures o" an air&cooled condenser ,-CC. and /eller system are insi!ni"icant ma)e&up #ater consumption but also rather ine""ecti%e coolin!* *owever" under circumstances where water is not available these cooling methods can be a reasonable solution despite the greater investment costs and the demand of large area. -CC uses air as the coolin! substance* The lo#&pressure steam "rom the turbine is led to the condenser0 #hich consists o" numerous "inned tubes0 usually mounted to an -&"orm* The steam condenses to #ater inside the tubes and cools do#n to the desi!n temperature* The coolin! occurs #ith con%ection and
radiation* The air circulates throu!h the condenser by "ans0 #hich require electricity* 1ecause o" the lar!e diameter o" the lo# pressure steam pipelines0 the condenser must be located near the steam turbine* +ue to relati%ely lo# heat trans"er e""iciency0 -CC also requires a lar!e area to be placed* /eller is an indirect dry coolin! method* There(s a closed circulation bet#een the condenser and the dry coolin! to#er #hose structure is %ery similar to -CC(s* The condenser is 'et type #hich sprays the cooled #ater directly to the boiler #ater circulation* There"ore the coolin! #ater has to be demineralised #ater* -s the condenser is at %acuum0 the cooled #ater "rom the to#er is expanded at a re!eneration turbine #hich re!enerates a part o" the pumpin! po#er needed "or coolin! #ater circulation* ````````````````````````` A# 0DC0660N1 !$ll& ill$strated o%er%iew o! e isti#" dr&Acooled power statio#s ca# be !o$#d here V Gale *imki# W A$" )' 0):14 .4 W 1).QFairsB posted: ?SthereBs a spa#ki#" "reat :000m air!ield D$st so$thwest o! the tow#@ Take a care!$l look at this str$ct$re' at 21[1)B1).4)?N' )8[28B28.11?+ abo$t 8 miles *E o! .&i# Oo 2wi#. At low ;oom it looks like a r$#wa&' a#d i! &o$ ;oom i# o# it there appear to be %er& !ai#t r$#wa& marki#"s: ce#terli#e' !i ed dista#ce <100B 1000B 1100B 2000B=' b$t #o ide#ti!ier <e". compass headi#"=. These marki#"s look wa& too !ai#t to be o! practical $se' especiall& !l&i#" -0R. *peaki#" o! i#str$me#t !li"ht' - !i#d #o %isible e%ide#ce o! #a%aids' approach li"hti#"' tower P heck' #ot e%e# a wi#dsock. The Qr$#wa&B is abo$t 10'000 !eet lo#"' accordi#" to Goo"le +arth' b$t has #o ta iwa&s' t$r#o!!s #or' ass$mi#" it is still $#der co#str$ctio#' a#& "radi#" to prepare !or addi#" them. The o#l& ramp area is a small pad #ear the so$th e#d that co$ld probabl& o#l& accommodate a si#"le wide bod& car"o Det. A#d the si#"le weirdest thi#" abo$t this ?airport@ P #o aircra!t %isible o# the "ro$#dZ There are other oddities i! &o$ look !or them. Fowe%er' despite the !ai#t marki#"s' it is striki#" that what it remi#ds me o! is #ot a r$#wa&' b$t the co%ered 2AmileAlo#" shed that ho$ses *2A, <*ta#!ord 2i#ear Accelerator ,e#ter=. ,o$ld 5$rma possibl& be tr&i#" to do some basic ph&sics researchO This is o! co$rse !arA!etched' b$t o%erall it seems hard to e plai# what this i#stallatio# is. V 5ill 2 W A$" 10' 02:11 A4 W 20.-tBs a# airstrip i#te#ded primaril& !or e ec$ti%e tra%el. - belie%e itBs the o#e the -#dia# de!e#ce mi#ister !lew i# o# a !ew &ears back. V A;rXel W A$" 10' 12::2 .4 W 21.Apolo"ies to Gale a#d others: - a"ree that air cooli#" is ?credible@ <i# the se#se that it is tech#icall& possible' a#d has bee# do#e be!ore= tho$"h $#likel&. -# a#& case' - thi#k the poi#t is moot: The lack o! any ob%io$s pro%isio# !or cooli#" i.e. #o i#dicatio#s o! pipi#" or p$mps at the ri%er' #o hardsta#ds !or cooli#" towers <whether air or water=' #o i#dicatio#s o! 2. steam pipes "oi#" i# / o$t the b$ildi#"' all s$""ests that this is #ot a reactor. The lack o! cooli#" ma& also r$le o$t 5O5 bei#" a chemical weapo#s !actor& too' altho$"h here m& k#owled"e is ti#& a#d - am o# %er& shak& "ro$#d. V Fairs W A$" 10' 01:00 .4 W
22.The limesto#e road seems to ha%e !airl& !resh limesto#e o# it a#d it e te#ds some dista#ce !rom the site. The limesto#e had to come !rom somewhere a#d - do#Bt see a C$arr& a#&where i# pro imit& to the site. 4& ass$mptio# is that it has come !rom a hole $#der said shed roo! a#d has bee# distrib$ted alo#" the road. The road is prett& s$spicio$s as it is C$ite wide a#d a#d well made a#d leads #owhere. V *imo# W A$" 11' 01:4) A4 W 2:.There is a# i#tri"$i#" series o! sC$ares o# the "ro$#d' each with !o$r smaller sC$ares i#side' comme#ci#" at the walled b$ildi#" <a#other s$bstatio#O= at 22.110111[' )8.8148:2[. *ome o! these !eat$res ha%e elaborate roads b$ilt to them. Fere are some e amples as the& lead to the so$th o! the airport at A#isaka# a#d i#to the lowAres area: 22.0)8102[' )8.801272[H 22.08)1)2[' )8.1)82:)[H 22.07:181[' )8.1882)8[H 22.088)07[' )8.1711)4[H 22.017171[' )8.18:087[H 22.01:::1[' )8.1447:)[H 22.012184[' )8.1:)77)[H 22.011108[' )8.1:8):8[H 22.02):11[' )8.121720[H 22.01244:[' )8.112148[H 22.007270[' )8.10)487[H 21.)8:721[' )8.4)1744[H 21.)82472[' )8.478:72[H 21.)18012[' )8.:)24)8[. The& co$ld be co#str$ctio# sites !or !$t$re powerli#es' altho$"h the idea o! %e#tilatio# sha!ts !or a t$##el did cross m& mi#d. ,ompare their si;e to the e isti#" powerli#es to/!rom the mai# !acilit&' which are o# a m$ch smaller scale' e.". 22.082011[' )8.1)0)7)[. - ca#Bt trace these all the wa& to A#isakha#' o#l& to 22.081188[' )8.128)88[. V A#drew W A$" 11' 01:18 A4 W 24.(( abo%e !ell !or the same optical ill$sio# - did' sort o! a# earthe# stepAp&ramid $p abo%e a mostl& !lat s$rro$#di#" terrai#. This is a "oo!' as topolo"& a#d other so$rces a%ailable #ow i#dicate. To ill$strate what - mistake#l& saw at !irst close look' a#d the real topolo"&' - created this "raphic: http://www.retro.com/emplo&ees/"herbert/4&a#mar/TopoAGoo!.p#" [2ncluded in -ppendix 1 o" this sourceboo)*] - ha%e cross sectio#s ro$"hl& EA+ a#d NA* !or the mistake# ?p&ramid@ topolo"&' a#d the act$al ?c$t i#to hillside@ topolo"& which the other so$rces i#cl$di#" better read o# the slope a#d hill hei"hts s$pport. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 11' 02:08 A4 W 21.-# relocati#" e#tire 4&a#mar Go%er#me#t !rom Ga#"o# to N&ap&idaw' the 5$rmese <soldiers= Tatmadaw b$ilt a l$ $r& beach resort !or their hi"her ra#ked militar& a#d *2OR,/ *./, sta!! a#d A..AR+NT2G sited it i# a locatio# wa& $p i# the hills a#d #ear 4am&o <.&i# Oo2wi#=A with all the trimmi#"s o! a beach resort b$t awa& !rom the tra$matic pote#ital o! coastal li%i#" P the& imported sa#d' created a !ake beach' saili#"' imported chi#ese beach $mbrellas' deck chairs ope#ed ca!e ser%e cocktails etc etc -# abse#ce o! other %alidit& it ma& well be that 0ra#kBs s$rmisal o! these "oo"le earth photos depicti#" a l$ $r& resort is a prett& acc$rate descriptio# P /aw ma khi# a&e 11 A$"$st 200) 1400 hrs V 4a khi# a&e W A$" 11' 11:18 .4 W
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/200)/a$"/128)10.htm
Robert Eood /ep$t& /epartme#t *pokesma# /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, A$"$st 8' 200) [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: Robert' the Thai Go%er#me#t has said that itBs looki#" i#to that report that came o$t last week abo$t the 5$rmese !actor& pla#t or the comple ' whate%er it mi"ht be' that s$pposedl& was b$ilt with help !rom North 6orea. -s it !air to sa& that witho$t disclosi#" P witho$t #ecessaril& addressi#" a#& i#telli"e#ce o# this' is it !air to sa& that the 9.*. Go%er#me#t is also looki#" i#to that reportO 4R. EOO/: - said &esterda& that we are looki#" i#to reports abo$t militar& P the militar& cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. A#d there is #othi#" - ca# reall& sa& here !rom the podi$m' b$t certai#l& we wo$ld be co#cer#ed abo$t reall& close cooperatio# betwee# the two. 5$t be&o#d that' - do#Bt ha%e a#&thi#" more - ca# add to it. N9+*T-ON: *o this report was#Bt serio$s e#o$"h or s$bsta#ti%e e#o$"h !or a#& bra#ch o! the 9.*. Go%er#me#t to act$all& look i#to it serio$sl&' or &o$ D$st ca#Bt address itO 4R. EOO/: - D$st ca#Bt address it here.
http://www."$ardia#.co.$k/world/$sAembass&AcablesAdoc$me#ts/21)7)8 Th$rsda&' 08 A$"$st 200)' 18:1) ,ON0-/+NT-A2 *+,T-ON 01 O0 01 *TAT+ 08201: *-./-* 9*9N 0OR .O2 G+N+3A 0OR ,/ /+2 +O 12)18 /+,2: 08/01/201) TAG* AOR,' ,/G' +NRG' 0RK\0R' 6NN.' 4N9,' .AR4' .GO3' .R+2' 96' 9NGA' -A+A' N.T' G4
S.B/0C12 N.C60A3 N4N 346-503A1-4N 130A1< (N 1) B-6A103A6S =-1; .K* 53ANC0* AN@ A03MAN<
,lassi!ied 5&: Amb. 4ar"$erita Ra"sdale. 1.1 <b= a#d <d=. [EXCERPT ] 1. <,= *$mmar&: Ambassador *$sa# 5$rk' *pecial Represe#tati%e o! the .reside#t !or N$clear No#proli!eratio# met with ke& N$clear No#proli!eratio# Treat& <N.T= i#terloc$tors i# 2o#do#' .aris' a#d 5erli# !rom ($l& 14 = 17. The meeti#"s demo#strated that we ha%e %er& !ew di!!ere#ces with these "o%er#me#ts o# the mai# obDecti%es !or the Treat& a#d the 2010 Re%iew ,o#!ere#ce <Re%,o#=. The 96 a#d 0ra#ce are C$ite ea"er to take stro#" leadership roles a#d work closel& with $s' i#cl$di#" o# disarmame#t iss$es' a#d to e#"a"e with a wide ra#"e o! N.T .arties to e#s$re a s$ccess!$l Re%,o#. 5$rk a"reed with 96 a#d 0re#ch o!!icials o# the importa#ce o! coordi#atio# amo#" the .A1 o# N.T iss$es. The 96 a#d 0ra#ce a"reed that we sho$ld be ambitio$s i# p$rs$i#" o$r obDecti%es !or the Re%,o#. The& di!!er i# o#e ke& area' howe%er' with the 96 ea"er to promote its a""ressi%e disarmame#t post$re a#d 0ra#ce de!e#si%e abo$t disarmame#t a#d co#cer#ed that 9*/R$ssia# i#itiati%es a#d 96 $#ilateral meas$res will lead to i#creasi#" press$res o# 0ra#ce to e#"a"e o# #$clear disarmame#t. This di!!ere#t perspecti%e is ca$si#" co#siderable $#ease betwee# the two. 2. <,= Germa# o!!icials were more ca$tio$s abo$t "oals !or the Re%,o#' possibl& beca$se their e%ide#t se#siti%it& to the %iews o! No#AAli"#ed 4o%eme#t states leads them to !oc$s o# the "$l! betwee# those states a#d the Eest. All three "o%er#me#ts with whom we met see -ra# as perhaps the bi""est problem !or the N.T' a#d belie%e that hi"hAle%el i#ter%e#tio# with +"&pt will be #ecessar& to resol%e the 4iddle +ast iss$e at the Re%,o#. 5$rk was asked at e%er& stop abo$t the relatio#ship o! the 9.*.Aproposed #$clear sec$rit& s$mmit to the Re%,o#H she described the e%e#ts as related a#d compleme#tar&' rather tha# li#ked. :. <9= -# 2o#do# a#d .aris' 5$rk was Doi#ed b& -*N/4N*A /ep$t& /irector *cott /a%is' O*/Js Am& .rible' a#d Adam *chei#ma#' /irector o! No#proli!eratio#' Natio#al *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. /a%is a#d .rible also atte#ded the 5erli# meeti#"s. +#d *$mmar& [deletia] 28. <,= The last meeti#" was with ,hristia# /emocratic 5$#desta" member +ckart %o# 6laede# a#d sta!!ers !rom all the maDor Germa# political parties. 3o# 6laede# asked whether the 9#ited *tates seeks to e#!orce complia#ce b& ame#di#" the N.T' somethi#" 5$rk ass$red him is #ot a# optio# we will p$rs$e. Other C$estio#s co#cer#ed .A1/NA4 disp$tes' -ra#' ,T5T' the -A+A !$el ba#k' the 9.*.Aproposed #$clear sec$rit& s$mmit' a#d co#cer#s abo$t 4&a#marJs #$clear i#te#tio#s. ,2-NTON
http://www.radioa$stralia.#et.a$/co##ectasia/stories/200)08/s28478)7.htm Nuke theory in Burma tunneling confirmed by defectors 9pdated A$"$st 8' 200) 11:42::8 A 9* #o#Aproli!eratio# "ro$p is calli#" o# the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& to i#%esti"ate 5$rma' a!ter !resh reports the militar& D$#ta has a secret #$clear pro"ram which ma& be worki#" towards a bomb. *$spicio#s ha%e lo#" e isted' b$t ha%e bee# bolstered b& claims !rom two 5$rmese de!ectors who sa& the& had close k#owled"e o! the operatio#s. O#e o! the de!ectors sa&s h$"e t$##els are bei#" $sed to tra#sport eC$ipme#t se#t !rom North 6orea' echoi#" comme#ts !rom Fillar& ,li#to# last mo#th that the two co$#tries ma& be worki#" to"ether o# #$clear de%elopme#t. .ro!essor /esmo#d 5all' alo#" with !reela#ce Do$r#alist .hil Thor#to#' spe#t two &ears collecti#" e%ide#ce !rom the 5$rmese border. -tJs this e%ide#ce which has p$t the iss$e back o# the i#ter#atio#al sec$rit& a"e#da. .rese#ter: 2iam ,ochra#e *peaker: .ro!essor /esmo#d 5all !rom the *trate"ic a#d /e!e#ce *t$dies ,e#tre at the A$stralia# Natio#al 9#i%ersit& 5A22: Eell - talked to' as &o$ said' ma#& de!ectors. The two pri#ciple [sic] o#es were a ci%ilia# who had bee# i#%ol%ed i# the #e"otiatio#s with North 6orea a#d who had bee# i#%ol%ed i# the prepari#" o! the 4emora#d$m o! 9#dersta#di#" a#d the act$al co#tracti#" o# the ci%ilia# side. O# the militar& side 4oe (o was a D$#ior militar& o!!icer who had bee# i# the seco#d "ro$p o! 5$rmese arm& o!!icers to be se#t !or #$clear trai#i#" i# 4oscow. A!ter his period i# 4oscow he ret$r#ed to Ra#"oo# a#d the# worked i# #$clearArelated areas withi# the arm&. ,O,FRAN+: A#d i# !act he claimed that the 5$rmese militar& ha%e de%eloped a #$clear battalio#. EhatJs the role o! that "ro$p o! the arm&O 5A22: 5oth o! the de!ectors had k#owled"e o! that battalio#' him I4oe (oM more partic$larl& beca$se i# e!!ect he was part o! that battalio#. ThatJs a "ro$p that has bee# set$p #ear 4a#dala& to tr& a#d co#sider o%er the lo#" term some o! the speci!ic tech#ical a#d or"a#isatio#al iss$es' comma#dAa#dA co#trol iss$es !or what to do with a #$clear de%ice o#ce the& reach that poi#t. ,O,FRAN+: A#d !rom all that &o$J%e heard are &o$ co#%i#ced that the& are worki#" towards a #$clear weapo#O 5A22: -J%e "ot #o do$bt whatsoe%erH - met with these de!ectors' si times with o#e a#d three or !o$r with the other. -J%e "ot #o do$bt the&Jre telli#" e%er&thi#" tr$th!$ll& as the& belie%e it' a#d beca$se #either o! them had #e%er met be!ore' the& did #ot k#ow o! the e iste#ce o! the other' b$t the& had s$ch similar stories or ide#tical stories abo$t o#e partic$lar are[a] where the& alle"e the North 6orea#s are i# the process o! b$ildi#" this seco#d reactor. ,O,FRAN+: Now - ca# se#se &o$ are approachi#" this with some scepticism' is there a !ear that this mi"ht be part o! some sort o! disi#!ormatio# campai"#' that these de!ectors mi"ht ha%e sort o! bee# loaded with this i#!ormatio# !or people like &o$ to collectO
5A22: - do#Jt belie%e that' -J%e "ot to k#ow them !airl& well' - "ot to k#ow where the&Jre comi#" !rom. -Jm also !airl& !amiliar with the wa& 5$rmese i#telli"e#ce works' - D$st do#Jt thi#k that that sort o! campai"# is reall& o# the cards. No' these "$&s are telli#" it as it is. Now o#e C$ali!icatio# tho$"h to o$r pre%io$s disc$ssio#' itJs #ot so m$ch i# m& %iew 5$rma doi#" this' 5$rma co$ld #ot do this at all b& itsel!. This has to ha%e %er& s$bsta#tial North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t i# the tech#ical a#d co#str$ctio# side i! i#deed the&Jre to b$ild a bomb as &o$ asked. ,O,FRAN+: *peci!icall& what are the North 6orea#s helpi#" the 5$rmese withO 5A22: Eell it does seem that the&Jre i#%ol%ed i# prett& m$ch all eleme#ts o! the !$el c&cle' !rom the $ra#i$m mi#i#" thro$"h to the re!i#i#" a#d processi#"' the& ha%e basicall& b$ilt a seco#d re!i#er& !rom which the& take the &ellow cake Ia $ra#i$m co#ce#trateM' a#d the# the alle"atio#s o! the de!ectors are that the& ha%e i# additio# to the p$blicl& k#ow# R$ssia# reactor that 5$rmaJs "etti#"' that the& ha%e s$pplied' or are i# the process o! s$ppl&i#"' a seco#d reactor similar to the o#e that the& ha%e i# Go#"b&o# i# itsel!. A#d that the&Jre !ollowi#" that $p with a pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" capabilit&. -# other words it wo$ld "i%e 5$rma a#d/or North 6orea basicall& a complete !$el c&cle all the wa& to prod$ctio# o! a #$clear de%ice.
http://e#ews.mcot.#et/%iew.phpOid`11211
http://www.car#e"iee#dowme#t.or"/static/#pp/pd!/m&a#marRrepri#t.pd!
photo"raphs' ?what happe#ed was a mi#or !eedi#" !re#;& i# c&berspace.@ To some obser%ers' he said' ?the photos looked se & beca$se there was s$dde#l& !resh i#!ormatio# poi#ti#" to a#other co$#tr& "etti#" a secret reactor !rom North 6orea.@ No 3ussian reactor Accordi#" to the !ormer "o%er#me#t i#telli"e#ce a#al&st' be"i##i#" aro$#d 2001 a"e#cies lear#ed that ?h$#dreds o! people were tra%eli#" !rom 4&a#mar to R$ssia to work i# #$clear research ce#ters. Nearl& all o! them were trai#ees.@ 4ost o! the 5$rmese o# these trips' he said' we#t to /$b#a' the site o! R$ssiaBs (oi#t -#stit$te o! N$clear Research' which is i#%ol%ed i# hi"hAe#er"& ph&sics' #e$tro# ph&sics' a#d theoretical ph&sics. ?Ee had #o idea wh& the& were "oi#" there' or what e actl& the& were doi#"' a#d we #e%er established a research pro!ile@ !or 4&a#mar that was related to the trips to R$ssia' he said. At abo$t the same time' 4&a#mar a##o$#ced its i#terest i# setti#" $p a research reactor with R$ssia# help. The -A+A %isited 5$rma a#d !o$#d serio$s de!icie#cies i# the area o! sa!et& c$lt$re a#d i#!rastr$ct$re to s$pport s$ch a proDect. No#etheless' i# 2007 R$ssia a##o$#ced that it had reached a# a"reeme#t with 4&a#mar !or the s$ppl& o! a 10A 4E research reactor. Accordi#" to so$rces' aro$#d that time both the 9* a#d some -A+A o!!icials e pressed stro#" reser%atio#s abo$t that proDect' s$pported b& e!!orts at the -A+A /epartme#t o! N$clear +#er"& to disco$ra"e poor co$#tries !rom embarki#" o# e pe#si%e proDects to b$ild #ew research reactors witho$t ha%i#" i# place s$!!icie#t s$pporti#" k#owAhow' i#!raAstr$ct$re' a#d !i#a#cial reso$rces. ?The -A+A does#Bt wa#t co$#tries like 5$rma to e#d $p with stra#ded research reactors'@ o#e so$rce said. ?Eitho$t a s$pporti#" e#%iro#me#t'@ he said' these !acilities ?will o%er time pose a sa!et& a#d sec$rit& risk.@ 0or a co$#tr& like 4&a#mar' ?the&Bre also s$per!l$o$s a#d a waste o! reso$rces'@ he said. 5e"i##i#" a !ew &ears a"o 4&a#mar has told the -A+A it #eeds the reactor beca$se it #eeds radioisotopes' he said. ?This is the classic ratio#ale poor co$#tries $s$all& "i%e !or ha%i#" to ha%e a #atio#al research reactor. 5$t ma#& o! the isotopes 5$rma #eeds ca# be prod$ced elsewhere i# the re"io#' s$ch as at established reactors i# Thaila#d a#d 4ala&sia.@ The -A+A has bee# ?e#co$ra"i#" all these co$#tries to !orm a research reactor coalitio#'@ he said. 4ore ad%a#ced -A+A re"io#al pro"rams to share research reactors are alread& i# place !or co$#tries i# easter# a#d ce#tral +$rope. -! 4&a#mar were to "i%e $p its research reactor C$est' it mi"ht e%e# C$ali!& !or !i#a#cial s$pport !rom 9* /O+ a#d !rom the pri%ate N$clear Threat -#itiati%e' or NT-' to participate i# s$ch a cooperati%e pro"ram' he said. *ome media a#d blo" reports alle"i#" secret reactor co#str$ctio# i# 4&a#mar this mo#th #o#etheless asserted that 4&a#mar is b$ildi#"' or has b$ilt' a R$ssia# s$pplied research reactor. *ome o! these reports' citi#" 5$rmese re!$"ee so$rces' claimed the reactor is sited #ear 4&ai#". Others said that it was at 6&a$kse. The two locatio#s are abo$t a h$#dred miles apart. A se#ior o!!icial respo#sible !or e ter#al proDects at Atomstro&e port' which wo$ld be ta""ed b& R$ssia to b$ild the research reactor a#d associated i#!rastr$ct$re i# 4&a#mar $#der the 2007 R$ssoA5$rmese a"reeme#t' told .latts A$"$st 7 that c$rre#tl& there is #o co#str$ctio# i# 4&a#mar o! a#& reactor with R$ssia# assista#ce. The 9* si#ce 2007' o# political a#d #$clear polic& "ro$#ds' has opposed this proDect a#d' accordi#" to 9* o!!icials' has %oiced its obDectio#s to both the -A+A a#d the R$ssia# "o%er#me#t. /iplomatic so$rces s$""ested the proDect mi"ht be discreetl& o# hold' or is bei#" i#te#tio#all& dela&ed' !ollowi#" talks i#%ol%i#" the 9*' R$ssia' 5$rma' a#d the -A+A.
6aC reporting reBuirement Th$s !ar' so$rces said' #o reactor proDect or i#stallatio# has bee# declared b& 4&a#mar to the -A+A /epartme#t o! *a!e"$ards. 9#der reporti#" reC$ireme#ts that 4&a#mar has #ot ame#ded re"ardless o! -A+A reC$ests si#ce 2001' 4&a#mar co$ld le"all& b$ild a reactor a#d complete it witho$t reporti#" that acti%it& to the -A+A. 4&a#mar Doi#ed the N$clear No#proli!eratio# Treat& i# 1))2' a#d co#cl$ded a comprehe#si%e sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t' -#!circA477' three &ears later. Accordi#" to the -A+A' 4&a#mar si#ce 1))1 is s$bDect to the small C$a#tities protocol' or *N.' which wai%es certai# sa!e"$ards reporti#" reC$ireme#ts !or states that ha%e %irt$all& #o #$clear i#!rastr$ct$re a#d ha%e 1 kilo"ram or less o! #$clear material associated with #$clear !acilities. 9#der 4&a#marBs *N.' it m$st declare a !acilit& #o later tha# si mo#ths be!ore #$clear material is i#trod$ced i#to it' the -A+A said. -#!circA477 also co#tai#s soAcalled s$bsidiar& arra#"eme#ts' i#cl$di#" soAcalled ,ode :.1' which sets reC$ireme#ts !or pro%isio# o! desi"# i#!ormatio# !or !acilities to be sa!e"$arded. A rece#t modi!icatio# o! ,ode :.1 reC$ires earl& #oti!icatio# o! this i#!ormatio#. *i#ce 2001 the -A+A has reC$ested that 4&a#mar re%ise its *N. to esse#tiall& harmo#i;e its reC$ireme#ts with those o! the modi!ied code :.1' b$t 4&a#mar has #ot complied. Eere 4&a#mar to re%ise its *N. a#d accept the modi!ied %ersio# o! ,ode :.1' sho$ld 4&a#mar the# decide to b$ild a #$clear reactor' it m$st #oti!& the -A+A as soo# as the !acilit& is ?pla##ed.@ 9#til the#' howe%er' 4&a#mar co$ld co#str$ct a reactor or other #$clear i#stallatio# witho$t declari#" it' $#til it was si mo#ths awa& !rom i#trod$ci#" #$clear material i#to it. *o !ar' 4&a#mar has #ot #oti!ied the -A+A o! a#& i#te#ded reactor co#str$ctio#. -t is also #ot impleme#ti#" ,ode :.1' a# -A+A spokesma# said' si#ce there are appare#tl& #o !acilities to be p$t $#der sa!e"$ards i# 4&a#mar. <oung scientists -# step with 4&a#marBs i#te#si!&i#" #$clear li#ks with R$ssia si#ce the be"i##i#" o! this decade' 4&a#mar has also i#creased its participatio# i# the -A+ABs tech#ical cooperatio# pro"ram. 0rom 2000 thro$"h 2008' accordi#" to a stateme#t b& 4&a#marBs ambassador to the -A+A last &ear the co$#tr& participated i# #$mero$s T, proDects worth abo$t 9*b1.2 millio#. Abo$t o#eAC$arter o! this work was i# the !ield o! radiatio# health a#d medici#e' abo$t 20U related to applicatio# o! radiatio# i# a"ric$lt$re' 17U i# radiatio# sa!et& a#d sec$rit&' 14U was !or ?"e#eral atomic e#er"& de%elopme#t'@ a#d a#other 11U i# ?#$clear e#"i#eeri#" a#d tech#olo"&'@ he said. 9#der these last two r$brics' the -A+A is pro%idi#" what o#e -A+A o!!icial said was ?%er& basic assista#ce@ to 4&a#mar co#cer#i#" its e!!orts to set $p a #$clear research a#d de%elopme#t i#!rastr$ct$re. The c$rre#t T, proDect d$bbed 4GA/0/007 is mea#t to ?establish a #$clear scie#ce a#d tech#ical trai#i#" ce#ter !or scie#tists' e#"i#eers' tech#icia#s' a#d "rad$ate st$de#ts'@ accordi#" to -A+A data. This e#dea%or has bee# $#der wa& si#ce 2001' accordi#" to 5$rmese T, doc$me#ts' b$t its acti%ities ha%e bee# !oc$sed o# 4&a#mar perso##el i# Ga#"o#' the !ormer capital a#d headC$arters o! 4&a#marBs 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce Y Tech#olo"& a#d its /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& V #ot i# a#& site desi"#ated to host a !$t$re #$clear research ce#ter or reactor. *eparatel&' 4&a#mar has bee# participati#" i# a tech#ical cooperatio# pro"ram !or the AsiaA.aci!ic re"io# called R,A' spo#sored b& the -A+A a#d admi#istered lar"el& b& the *o$th 6orea# "o%er#me#t. 4ost o!
4&a#marBs acti%ities i# this pro"ram ha%e' as is also the a"ric$lt$re' medici#e' a#d other de%elopi#"Aco$#tr& co#cer#s. 5$t two 4&a#mar researchers i# 200: a#d 2001' respecti%el&' participated i# si Amo#th pro"rams at the 6orea Atomic +#er"& Research -#stit$te i# the !ields o! research reactor tech#olo"& a#d ad%a#ced spe#t !$el ma#a"eme#t. -# both these cases i# 6orea' a#d as was the case !or #earl& all the trai#ees k#ow# to ha%e bee# se#t to R$ssia si#ce abo$t 2001' o#e Eester# "o%er#me#t a#al&st said' ?the t&pical pro!ile is &o$#"' i#e perie#ced scie#tists a#d tech#icia#s i# their earl& to midAtwe#ties.@ /$ri#" a %isit to 4&a#mar i# 2004' .latts was told b& $#i%ersit& st$de#ts that $#til rece#tl&' the D$#ta d$ri#" ma#& &ears si#ce the late 1)80s had closed %irt$all& all i#stit$tio#s o! hi"her lear#i#" i# the co$#tr&. +%er& &ear' the /epartme#t o! *a!e"$ards e%al$ates se%eral tho$sa#d p$blished scie#ti!ic papers that mi"ht si"#al proli!eratio#Ase#siti%e research is taki#" place i# member states. *aid o#e o!!icial close to this e!!ort' i# so$th a#d so$theast Asia' ?there are lots o! papers !rom 3iet#am' .akista#' Thaila#d' 4ala&sia' -#do#esia' *i#"apore' Taiwa#' -#dia' a#d ,hi#a. ThereBs practicall& #othi#" !rom 4&a#mar.@ Gi%e# 4&a#marBs se%ere ed$catio#al i#!rastr$ct$re de!icie#cies' the o!!icial said' Eester# states are co#cer#ed abo$t 4&a#mar ?beca$se o! the North 6orea# co##ectio# a#d beca$se the& co$ld hide !acilities deep i# D$#"les a#d mo$#tai#s. 5$t this wo$ld ha%e to be a totall& black Ii.e.' secretM pro"ram with e%er&thi#" imported@ beca$se ?i# 5$rma there is #o #atio#al RY/ ce#ter !or them to hide behi#d. -tBs $#thi#kable that the& co$ld mo$#t a Icla#desti#eM #$clear pro"ram o# the basis o! what we alread& k#ow is there.@ 34ar) /ibbs0 1onn
http://www.smh.com.a$/tech#olo"&/tech#olo"&A#ews/m&sterio$sAb$rmeseA!acilit&Are%ealedAo#A"oo"leAearthA200)0810Ae!!a.html
The K i#teresti#" e#i"maK i# ce#tral 5$rma' which some p$#dits sa& ma& be part o! a cla#desti#e #$clear operatio#. Photo5 6oo!le Earth
Amate$r spies a#d armchair sle$ths $si#" Goo"le +arth ha%e disco%ered a s$spicio$s de%elopme#t i# the 5$rmese D$#"le tho$"ht to be li#ked to the pariah stateJs cla#desti#e #$clear pro"ram. The mai# !acilit&' which meas$res 82 b& 84 metres' ca# bee# see# o# satellite ima"es p$blished o# both Goo"le +arth a#d Goo"le 4aps <see embedded map below=.
-t !eat$res a pitched' bl$e corr$"ated roo!' which' at !irst "la#ce' makes it look like a# o%erAsi;ed swimmi#" pool. The lar"e i#d$strial comple is located i# a r$ral area o! ce#tral 5$rma' east o! 4a#dala& #ear the tow# o! .i# Oo 2wi#. ThatJs the same ;o#e i# which de!ectors rece#tl& told two A$stralia# researchers that the 5$rmese arm& had bee# b$ildi#" a #$clear research a#d e#"i#eeri#" ce#tre with s$pport !rom North 6orea a#d R$ssia. The de!ectorsJ testimo#& was collected o%er two &ears b& .ro!essor /esmo#d 5all' a strate"ic st$dies e pert at the A$stralia# Natio#al 9#i%ersit& <AN9= a#d .hil Thor#to#' a !reela#ce Do$r#alist based i# Thaila#d. /etails o! their i#%esti"atio#' which co#cl$des that the secret reactor co$ld be operatio#al a#d prod$ci#" a bomb a &ear b& 2014' was p$blished i# The *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald a#d The A"e earlier this mo#th. *ea# OJ,o##or' a blo""er specialisi#" i# ope# so$rce militar& a#al&sis a#d Goo"le +arth ima"er& i#terpretatio#' said that' while it mi"ht #ot be related to the #$clear pro"ram' the !acilit& Kdoes represe#t a# i#teresti#" e#i"maK. KThe most likel& e pla#atio# !or the I$#ide#ti!iedM !acilit&' apart !rom the pre%io$sl& me#tio#ed deco& site' is a s$pport !$#ctio# !or the si"#i!ica#t amo$#t o! t$##elli#" which m$st be $#dertake# i# order to co#str$ct the I$#der"ro$#d !acilitiesM reC$ired b& the I#$clearM proDect'K he wrote i# the Arms ,o#trol Eo#k blo". Fe spec$lates that the mai# str$ct$re' which appears to be d$" i#to the "ro$#d i# the !oothills o! the *etkha&a 4o$#tai#s' co$ld also be a Ksec$rit& a#d site s$pport base !or the !acilit&K. O#e promi#e#t NGO' which mo#itors i#ter#atio#al #$clear acti%it&' told $s that the b$ildi#" a#d related i#!rastr$ct$re is Ka machi#e shop with #o co##ectio# to a #$clear pro"ramK. The Goo"le +arth ima"es' which are pro%ided b& /i"ital Globe' a leadi#" s$pplier o! satellite ima"er& to commercial a#d "o%er#me#tal or"a#isatio#s' are dated !rom October 2001. The NGO' which did #ot wa#t to be #amed !or Ktactical reaso#sK' said that it !irst became aware o! the str$ct$re i# earl& ($l& a#d s$bseC$e#tl& obtai#ed 200) ima"er&' which it is still assessi#". The NGOJs co#cl$sio# is similar to the o#e reached b& the -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& <-*-*=' a Eashi#"to#Abased #o#Apro!it or"a#isatio# specialisi#" i# i#ter#atio#al sec$rit& iss$es. -# a stateme#t released this mo#th' it described the str$ct$re as a# Ka#omalo$s b$ildi#" b$ried i# the "ro$#dK witho$t Kob%io$s #$clear i#d$strial characteristicsK.
That has#Jt bee# e#o$"h to stop the spec$latio#' "i%e# the scale o! the de%elopme#t' the #ew i#!rastr$ct$re <roads a#d powerli#es= a#d the !act that access roads look to be "$arded b& checkpoi#ts. [ elected comment] IAck' -J%e bee# C$oted o$t o! co#te t i# the middle o! a tech#ical a#al&sis' which - later re!$ted... +arl& i# the a#al&sis the a%ailable ima"es showed a# ambi"$o$s s$# shadi#" e!!ect A part o! the emba#kme#ts aro$#d the b$ildi#" co$ld ha%e bee# photoi#terpreted as bei#" sloped either $p or dow#.
Other a%ailable ima"er& a#d a topolo"& a#al&sis disam"ib$ated the topolo"& A the site slopes $p abo$t 20 m i# altit$de !rom the road at the !ro#t <so$th= to the hills immediatel& #orth o! the ed"e o! the !acilit&. Eith that i#!ormatio#' a#d other i#!ormatio# made a%ailable' itJs clear that the !acilit& is b$ilt o# a !lat co#crete pad o# a sectio# o! earth e ca%ated o$t to be !lat relati%e to the road o$t i# !ro#t o! it' with a berm b$ilt aro$#d the so$th a#d part o! the east side hidi#" the b$ildi#" !rom the access road. The berm a#d other !eat$res i#cl$di#" locatio# a#d associated sec$rit& i#dicate that itJs a militar& or "o%er#me#t !acilit& o! some sort A the berm is a# i#dicator o! possible e plosi%es stora"e' b$t #ot co#cl$si%e b& a#& mea#s. 4& apolo"ies i! the workAi#Apro"ress disc$ssio# ca$sed a#& co#!$sio# or distress. -tJs clearl& #ot a b$ried hard comma#d ce#ter or b$ried #$clear !acilit&. I*F: Fi Geor"e' Tha#ks !or the heads $p' -J%e remo%ed the o$t o! co#te t comme#t.M Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert c 9*A A A$"$st 11' 200)' 4:1).4 [ elected comment] Eell k#ow# to the 5$rmese admi#istratio#' the locatio# o! the pict$red str$ct$re is close to the 6&a$k 6&a#t !a$lt li#e' which e perie#ced a massi%e C$ake o# 2: 4a& 1)12' estimated to be 8.0 o# the Richter scale. -t is p$re i"#ora#ce to thi#k that the re"ime are $#aware o! this. This t&pe o! ob%io$s beat $p' se#satio#al headli#e' simpl& $#dermi#es the crediblit& o! this K#ewsK or"a#isatio#. /isappoi#ti#" a#d dis"race!$l. *cr$!!& A A$"$st 11' 200)' 4::1.4 [ elected comment] i! &o$ look to the le!t o! the b$ildi#"' there is a Fi"h te#sio# power li#e r$##i#" !rom the b$ildi#". This is where the %e"etatio# has bee# remo%ed. TF+ 5-G C$estio# is i! that this is to s$ppl& electricit& !or a !led"li#" #$clear reactor or what is there that reC$ires a lar"e s$ppl& OOOO ste%e# c st alba#s A A$"$st 11' 200)' 1::2.4
-# partic$lar' a#al&sts looked at a bi" b$ildi#" abo$t 11 kilometres !rom the cit& <at 22[ :J4.82KN)8[:7J48.21K+=. The b$ildi#" is abo$t 80 times 80 meters a#d is resti#" o# a 121 b& 114 meter !$#dame#t. 5ased o# a# a#al&sis o! the shadows' it appears to be abo$t 10 meters hi"h.A team o! 3+RT-, %ol$#teers started a# a#al&sis o! a%ailable 2a#dsatA7 ima"er&' a#d paid partic$lar atte#tio# to the thermal ba#d. 5ased o# that a#al&sis' we co$ld co#cl$de that co#str$ctio# had started at some time i# earl& 2004' a#d that the b$ildi#" had bee# completed sometime i# 200). The thermal a#al&sis i#dicated that the b$ildi#" was warmer tha# the s$rro$#di#" back"ro$#d' which was attrib$ted to heat bei#" re!lected o!! the roo!' rather tha# acti%ities i#side the b$ildi#".
The %e"etatio# i# the area west o! the !acilit& also "i%es o!! some thermal radiatio#. The 3+RT-, team did #ot calc$late the heat emissio#s i# ce#ti"rade' altho$"h that is possible to do with 2a#dsatA7 ima"er&. A colo$r compariso# i#dicated that the b$ildi#" was #ot radiati#" si"#i!ica#t amo$#ts o! heat' as it wo$ld i! a#& maDor i#d$strial process was o# "oi#" $#der its roo!.
-# part based o# this i#!ormatio#' (e!!re& 2ewis a#d others reC$ested #ew ima"er& !rom Geo+&e. O#e ima"e' capt$red at 1: April 2004 re%eals the abse#ce o! a#& baseme#t le%el. -t also showed that the access road' at that time' had #ot bee# pa%ed. A m$ltit$de o! tracks radiati#" o$t !rom the !acilit& shows a si"#i!ica#t le%el o! h$ma# acti%it&. -t is #ot possible' howe%er' to draw a#& co#cl$sio# !rom the ima"er& o# the b$ildi#"Js pla##ed !$#ctio#. A#other hi"h resol$tio# ima"e' acC$ired o# 21 0ebr$ar& 200)' shows the b$ildi#" i# its !i#ished state. -t seems to rest o# a# asphaltAco#crete !o$#datio#' a#d there is #o e%ide#ce o! !$rther e ca%atio# o# the site. ,o#str$ctio# is !i#ished' as e%ide#ced b& the emer"e#ce o! %e"etatio#' a#d the disappeara#ce o! some o! the dirt roads associated with the earl& co#str$ctio# period. #$$+ -mage
#$$( -mage
*ome obser%ers ha%e comme#ted that there is a# abse#ce o! ma#& e ter#al !eat$res i#dicati%e o! a reactor. Fere' ma#& ha%e obser%ed the abse#ce o! a co#%e#ie#t #earb& so$rce o! water. Fowe%er' cooli#" co$ld be bro$"ht to the !acilit& thro$"h pipes !rom the #earb& ri%er' a#d the# bei#" stored i# local pools. This is commo# practice i# some parts o! the world. The 3+RT-, team there!ore paid some atte#tio# to a "ro$p o! #ewl& erected b$ildi#"s b& the water at the shortest dista#ce !rom the ri%er. This "ro$p is o! b$ildi#"s is located at 22[ 4J:8.17KN)8[:4J22.8:K+. EeJre still assessi#" this ima"er&.
Fowe%er' we lear#ed !rom two so$rces' i#depe#de#t !rom each other' that the bo Alike b$ildi#" has bee# $#der scr$ti#& b& the -A+AJs /epartme#t o! *a!e"$ards !or C$ite some time' a#d that the departme#t is #earl& certai# that the b$ildi#" does #ot ser%e a#& #$clear pro"ramme. A# o!!icial' associated with a Eester# i#telli"e#ce a"e#c&' later told $s that' KweJ%e bee# looki#" at that site !or &ears' si#ce co#str$ctio# started. Go$ ca##ot hide a reactor i# a low b$ildi#" witho$t a baseme#t le%elK. A relati%el& rece#t %isit to the !acilit& has reportedl& co#!irmed with J)) per ce#t co#!ide#ceJ that it is a machi#e shop' a#d that itJs #ot impossible that the shop is $si#" machi#er& imported !rom the /.R6 tradi#" compa#& Namcho#"a#". -ts relati%el& lar"e si;e' low hei"ht' a#d abse#ce o! baseme#t le%els is co#siste#t with this i#!ormatio#. O# 10 A$"$st 200)' 4ark Fibbs reported i# N$clear 0$el that #$clear acti%ities i# 4&a#mar are low' b$t slowl& i#creasi#". The co$#tr& has reC$ested a #$mber o! tech#ical cooperatio# proDects with the -A+A' a#d is prese#tl& impleme#ti#" proDects worth abo$t b1.2m. 5$t all acti%ities are co#d$cted i# the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce Y Tech#olo"& a#d are co#cept$al i# #at$re. This is co#siste#t with the low #$clear k#owled"e base o! the co$#tr&. As reported b& Fibbs' the Jt&pical pro!ileJ o! a 4&a#mar #$ke worker Jis &o$#"' i#e perie#ced' scie#tists a#d tech#icia#s i# their earl& to midAtwe#tiesJ. The -A+AJs /epartme#t o! *a!e"$ards ha%e picked $p %irt$all& #o scie#ti!ic papers p$blished b& 4&a#mar academics o! i#terest to the departme#t. Ehile this is co#siste#t with some #$clear weapo#s e!!orts' where the most promisi#" mi#ds o! the co$#tr& are isolated a#d prohibited !rom p$blishi#"' it is also co#siste#t with a co$#tr& with a %er& small scie#ti!ic base. 0i#all&' Fibbs reports that there are se%ere ed$catio#al i#!rastr$ct$re de!icie#cies i# the co$#tr&. Fe C$otes a# o!!icial !amiliar with the -A+A /epartme#t o! *a!e"$ards ope#Aso$rce i#%esti"atio# e!!orts sa&i#" that a cla#desti#e #$clear e!!ort' Jha%e to be a totall& black pro"ram withi# e%er&thi#" imported. -# 5$rma there is #o #atio#al RY/ ce#ter !or them to hide behi#d. -t is $#thi#kable that the& co$ld mo$#t a Icla#desti#eM #$clear pro"ram o# the basis o! what we alread& k#ow is thereJ. Ehile 5$rma has approached R$ssia !or the p$rchase o! a research reactor' a se#ior o!!icial at Atomstro&e port has co#!irmed that there is #o co#str$ctio# i# 4&a#mar o! a#& reactor with R$ssia# assista#ce.
Ee hope to co#cl$de o$r i#%esti"atio#s a#d to p$blish a 3+RT-, brie! o# this matter b& the e#d o! the mo#th.
http://www.%oa#ews.com/e#"lish/200)A08A17A%oa11.c!m .S Senator2 Burma @enies Nuclear lans 5& Feda 5a&ro# 5a#"kok 17 A$"$st 200)
9.*. *e#ator (im Eebb' who rece#tl& held talks with 5$rmaJs militar& leaders' sa&s the "o%er#me#t de#ies reports that it is tr&i#" to acC$ire #$clear tech#olo"&. The se#ator also sa&s 5$rmaJs oppositio# leader A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i has i#dicated a willi#"#ess to see some sa#ctio#s o# 5$rma li!ted. *e#ator (im Eebb sa&s he did #ot directl& raise the iss$e o! whether 5$rma has a co%ert #$clear pro"ram d$ri#" talks with the co$#tr&Js leader' Ge#eral Tha# *hwe. Eebb met with the recl$si%e leader o# *at$rda&' the !irst hi"hAra#ki#" 9.*. o!!icial to do so. Fowe%er' he said 4o#da& that the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t de#ied ha%i#" a #$clear pro"ram. K5$t it was comm$#icated to me earlier o# that there was #o tr$th to that' !rom a %er& hi"h le%el i# their "o%er#me#t'K Eebb said. +arlier this mo#th' A$stralia# researchers said i#ter%iews with de!ectors !rom 5$rma re%ealed that the "o%er#me#t has a secret #$clear pro"ram' alle"edl& aided b& North 6orea. -# ($#e' a North 6orea# ship belie%ed to be headed to 5$rma with a s$spicio$s car"o t$r#ed back $#der i#ter#atio#al press$re. 9.*. *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# war#ed that a#& militar& ties betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea pose a sec$rit& threat to the re"io#. -# a# $#precede#ted "est$re toward the 9#ited *tates' Eebb was allowed to meet oppositio# leader A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i i# Ra#"oo# *at$rda&. Fe also was able to wi# the release o! a 9.*. citi;e#' (oh# Gettaw' Dailed !or ille"all& %isiti#" A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i at her home i# 4a&. That %isit led to the "o%er#me#t e te#di#" her ho$se arrest b& 18 mo#ths. Eebb sa&s it appears A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i mi"ht #ot oppose easi#" sa#ctio#s o# 5$rma. The 9.*' the +$ropea# 9#io# a#d other Eester# "o%er#me#ts ha%e imposed eco#omic sa#ctio#s o%er the &ears to p$#ish the repressi%e militar& "o%er#me#t. Eebb !a%ors the e%e#t$al li!ti#" o! sa#ctio#s o# 5$rma' which he a#d others ar"$e o#l& i#creased the isolatio# o! its people. K- do#Jt wa#t to take the risk o! misreprese#ti#" her %iews'K Eebb said. K5$t - wo$ld sa& to &o$ that it was m& clear impressio# !rom her that she is #ot opposed to li!ti#" some sa#ctio#s.K -# the late 1))0s' A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i e pressed some s$pport !or eco#omic sa#ctio#s as a wa& to press$re the "o%er#me#t to reco"#i;e her part&Js electio# %ictor& i# 1))0 a#d allow it to !orm a "o%er#me#t. 5$t i# rece#t &ears' she has #ot p$blicl& comme#ted o# sa#ctio#s. *he has spe#t 14 o! the last 20 &ears $#der ho$se arrest. O# *$#da&' Eebb said Eashi#"to# #eeds to de%elop #ew wa&s to e#d 5$rmaJs isolatio# a#d bri#" abo$t political a#d eco#omic cha#"e. Eebb' a /emocrat' spoke with *ecretar& ,li#to# *$#da& a#d will brie! her a"ai# $po# his ret$r# to Eashi#"to#. The chairma# o! the *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s s$bcommittee o# +ast Asia a#d .aci!ic A!!airs is o# a !i%eA#atio# to$r o! *o$theast Asia. 0rom 5a#"kok' he will !l& to ,ambodia T$esda& a#d !rom there' to 3iet#am.
http://www.#pr.or"/templates/stor&/stor&.phpOstor&-d`1121848)1
O#e o! the de!ectors who worked !or a promi#e#t 5$rmese b$si#essma# with close ties to the militar&' sa&s his !ormer boss helped tra#sport materials !rom North 6orea# ships to the remote #$clear sites. 9#ide#ti!ied 4a#: Their !irst i#te#tio# is with the help o! North 6orea' the& prod$ce 92:1. -! the& "et 92:1' <$#i#telli"ible= #ot so di!!ic$lt. -! the& ca# arra#"e 908' the& ca# make the #$clear bomb. *922-3AN: .hil Thor#to# sa&s he belie%es the de!ectorJs stor& to be both credible a#d worrisome' si#ce it matches what other de!ectors i#ter%iewed i# Thaila#d has said. 4r. .F-2 TFORNTON <(o$r#alist=: .ro!essor 5all has estimated' based o# the de!ectorJs testimo#ies' that it co$ld be abo$t 2014 that ma& ha%e e#o$"h #$clear material to start thi#ki#" abo$t a weapo#. *922-3AN: 4&a#mar' o! co$rse' de#ies a#& weapo#s pro"ram e ists' b$t seems $#$s$all& se#siti%e to the rece#t p$blicit& abo$t the iss$e. 3ir"i#ia *e#ator (im Eebb sa&s it came $p d$ri#" his meeti#"s with 4&a#marJs leadership te# da&s a"o. *e#ator (-4 E+55 </emocrat' 3ir"i#ia=: - did #ot directl& raise the iss$e o! the #$clear pro"ram. -t was raised to me b& a hi"h "o%er#me#tal o!!icial' basicall& sa&i#"' &o$ k#ow' we wo$ld #e%er mo%e toward a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. *922-3AN: These de#ials' o! co$rse' are met with a "reat deal o! skepticism b& those who !ollow the "rowi#" relatio#ship betwee# North 6orea a#d 4&a#mar. 5$t a#al&st 5ertil 2i#t#er still is#Jt co#%i#ced 4&a#mar has e%e# o#e reactor' let alo#e two. There is #o co#crete e%ide#ce' he sa&s' that the R$ssia#s ha%e deli%ered the reactor the& promised' #or' he sa&s' is there a#& hard e%ide#ce the North 6orea#s ha%e either A tho$"h satellite ima"es do show co#str$ctio# aro$#d 4&a#marJs s$spected #$clear sites. Ehat is clear' 2i#t#er sa&s' is that 4&a#marJs mai# all&' ,hi#a' is well aware o! 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#s. 2ast &earJs cla#desti#e %isit to North 6orea b$t a se#ior 5$rmese "e#eral' he sa&s' pro%es it. 4r. 2-NTN+R: Fe passed thro$"h ,hi#a o# his wa& to North 6orea' back a"ai#. O# his wa& back !rom North 6orea' *hwe 4a## a#d his e#to$ra"e had meeti#"s with hi"hAle%el o!!icials. -t was almost as the ,hi#ese were' #ot o#l& aware o! what this trip thro$"h North 6orea' b$t the& were closel& i#%ol%ed i# it. *ee' itJs %er& co#%e#ie#t !or the ,hi#ese to be able to sa&' weJre #ot doi#" this. This is the North 6orea#s. Ee ca#Jt co#trol them. -tJs ki#d o! a sort o! pla$sible de#iabilit&. 5$t thereJs de!i#itel& ,hi#ese complicit& i# this #ew corporatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. *922-3AN: *omethi#" else !or the 9.*. to thi#k abo$t as it co#siders a re%iew o! its polic& toward 4&a#mar' amid the o#"oi#" t$"Ao!Awar with North 6orea o%er its #$clear pro"ram. 4ichael *$lli%a#' N.R News. -N*6++.: This is N.R News.
http://www.worldtrib$#e.com/worldtrib$#e/ETAR,/200)/eaRb$rma0880R08R27.asp
http://#ews.thea"e.com.a$/breaki#"A#ewsA#atio#al/chi#aA!orcesAworthAwatchi#"A$sAadmiralA200)0)02A!72e.html
http://www.mmtimes.com/#o488/#018.htm
http://www.d%b.#o/e#"lish/#ews.phpOid`2811
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`18788
http://www.Da#es.com/#ews/sec$rit&/Dir/Dir0)0)22R2R#.shtml
http://www.state."o%/secretar&/rm/200)a/0)/12)1:).htm
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/200)/0)/12)8)8.htm
0or the !irst time i# memor&' the 5$rmese leadership has show# a# i#terest i# e#"a"i#" with the 9#ited *tates' a#d we i#te#d to e plore that i#terest. -# additio#' co#cer#s ha%e emer"ed i# rece#t da&s abo$t 5$rma a#d North 6oreaBs relatio#ship that reC$ire "reater !oc$s a#d dialo"$e. Ehat are the strate"ic "oals a#d i#terests o! this approachO Ee ha%e rea!!irmed o$r !$#dame#tal "oals i# 5$rma. Ee s$pport a $#i!ied' peace!$l' prospero$s' a#d democratic 5$rma that respects the h$ma# ri"hts o! its citi;e#s. To that e#d' we will co#ti#$e to p$sh !or the immediate a#d $#co#ditio#al release o! A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i a#d all political priso#ers' a# e#d to co#!licts with eth#ic mi#orities a#d "ross h$ma# ri"hts %iolatio#s' a#d i#itiatio# o! a credible i#ter#al political dialo"$e with the democratic oppositio# a#d eth#ic mi#orit& leaders o# eleme#ts o! reco#ciliatio# a#d re!orm. Ee will also press 5$rma to compl& with its i#ter#atio#al obli"atio#s' i#cl$di#" o# #o#proli!eratio#' e#di#" a#& prohibited militar& or proli!eratio#Arelated cooperatio# with North 6orea' a#d !$ll complia#ce with 9#ited Natio#s 1874 a#d 1718. -! 5$rma makes mea#i#"!$l pro"ress towards these "oals' it will be possible to impro%e the relatio#ship with the 9#ited *tates i# a stepAb&Astep process. Ee reco"#i;e that this will likel& be a lo#" a#d di!!ic$lt process' a#d we are prepared to s$stai# o$r e!!orts o# this !ro#t. 5$rmaBs co#ti#$ed estra#"eme#t !rom the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& harms the co$#tr& a#d has direct #e"ati%e co#seC$e#ces be&o#d 5$rmaBs borders. 5$rmaBs e#"a"eme#t with the o$tside world has the pote#tial to e#co$ra"e #ew thi#ki#"' re!orm' a#d participatio# i# the work o! the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. -# terms o! e#"a"eme#t' we i#te#d to be"i# a direct dialo"$e with 5$rmese a$thorities to la& o$t a path towards better relatio#s. The dialo"$e will i#cl$de speci!ic disc$ssio# o! democrac& a#d h$ma# ri"hts i#side 5$rma' cooperatio# o# i#ter#atio#al sec$rit& iss$es s$ch as #o#proli!eratio# a#d complia#ce with 1874 a#d 1718' a#d areas that co$ld be o! m$t$al be#e!it s$ch as co$#ter#arcotics a#d reco%er& o! Eorld Ear -- era remai#s. [deletia] N9+*T-ON: Fow do &o$ P (ill /o$"hert& !rom ,NN. A**-*TANT *+,R+TARG ,A4.5+22: Fi' (ill. N9+*T-ON: Fow do &o$ sC$are this appare#t approach that the& ha%e with the alle"ed cooperatio# with North 6oreaO A**-*TANT *+,R+TARG ,A4.5+22: Eell' !irst o! all' - thi#k that 5$rma has do#e a %ariet& o! thi#"s. Ee thi#k the& did pla& a positi%e role behi#d the sce#es rece#tl& i# terms o! some steps associated with the impleme#tatio# o! 1874' 9N Resol$tio# 1874' a#d we ha%e #oted that i# p$blic. A#d so that willi#"#ess to pla& a more respo#sible role i# the realm o! i#ter#atio#al sa#ctio#s s$pport %isAdA%is North 6orea has bee# !actored i#to o$r o%erall approach. The tr$th is that weB%e had so little dialo"$e with 5$rma o%er the co$rse o! the last se%eral &ears that weBre still looki#" !or a clear i#dicatio# o! the directio# o! its leadership i# terms o! what it seeks i# terms o! i#ter#atio#al e#"a"eme#t.
EeB%e see# m$ch more e#"a"eme#t o! 5$rma' partic$larl& at the le%el o! eco#omic e#"a"eme#t a#d other ki#d o! i#teractio#s' both with ,hi#a' with -#dia' a#d other co$#tries i# *o$theast Asia. -tBs possible that the& seek to di%ersi!& those co#tacts to i#cl$de the 9#ited *tates' a#d we i#te#d to e plore that o%er the co$rse o! the #e t se%eral weeks a"ai#. Ges. N9+*T-ON: A#d& N$i## !rom Re$ters. A**-*TANT *+,R+TARG ,A4.5+22: Fi' A#d&O N9+*T-ON: -tBs sort o! a !ollowA$p C$estio#. Go$ talked abo$t aski#" the 5$rmese to stop whate%er prohibited co#tacts the& ma& ha%e had with the North 6orea#s. Are &o$ willi#" to let $s k#ow what &o$r assessme#t is o! the c$rre#t state o! their co#tacts' where the&Bre maki#" deals a#d what these sorts o! deals mi"ht beO A**-*TANT *+,R+TARG ,A4.5+22: - do#Bt thi#k - ca# "o %er& m$ch be&o#d what *ecretar& ,li#to# said at the A*+AN Re"io#al 0or$m a !ew mo#ths a"o i# ($l&' late ($l&. *he $#derscored at that time that there clearl& were some areas o! i#teractio# o# the militar& side' a#d perhaps e%e# be&o#d that' betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma that raised co#cer#s #ot D$st !or the 9#ited *tates' b$t also !or co$#tries i# the immediate re"io#. A#d o#e o! o$r "oals o%er the co$rse o! this period o! strate"ic re%iew ha%e bee# disc$ssio#s with Thaila#d' with -#do#esia' with the .hilippi#es' with ,hi#a. A#d thi#k there is a "reater desire o# the part o! these re"io#al part#ers !or the 9#ited *tates to ha%e a direct dialo"$e with 5$rma abo$t aspects o! their relatio#ship with North 6orea that weBre seeki#" to "ai# "reater clarit& i#to. [deletia]
http://www.Do$r#al"a;ette.#et/article/200)0):0/52OG*01/)0):0))1)
*i#ce - !irst disc$ssed the tro$bli#" prospects o! re#ewed ties betwee# these two co$#tries i# 2004' the 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee has repeatedl& raised the iss$e o! 5$rmaBs "rowi#" relatio#ship with North 6orea with a wide arra& o! 9.*. Admi#istratio# o!!icials. 0or e ample' we ha%e C$estio#ed the basis !or h$#dreds o! 5$rmese o!!icials "oi#" to R$ssia !or tech#ical ed$catio# which i#cl$ded #$clear tech#olo"& trai#i#". The #$mber o! perso#s tra%eli#" to R$ssia !or speciali;ed trai#i#" seemed to be !ar be&o#d the #$mber #eeded !or the e%e#t$al operatio# o! a #$clear reactor !or medical research p$rposes' i#te#ded to be b$ilt b& the D$#ta with R$ssia# "o%er#me#t assista#ce. 5$rmaBs m$ltiple $ra#i$m deposits' reports o! $ra#i$m re!i#i#" a#d processi#" pla#ts' a#d itBs acti%e #$clear pro"ram reportedl& assisted b& North 6orea collecti%el& poi#t to reaso# !or co#cer# i# a co$#tr& whose o!!icials resist tra#spare#c&. /r. *i"!ried Fecker' /irector +merit$s o! 2os Alamos Natio#al 2aborator& a#d #ow ,oA/irector o! the ,e#ter !or -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& a#d ,ooperatio# at *ta#!ord 9#i%ersit& rece#tl& wrote' KThe A.N. 6ha# #etwork co##ected compa#ies' i#di%id$als a#d !ro#t or"a#i;atio#s i#to a da#"ero$s proli!eratio# ri#". The re%elatio#s o! the North 6orea# reactor i# *&ria' alo#" with de%elopme#ts i# -ra# a#d 5$rma' appear to poi#t toward a di!!ere#t t&pe o! proli!eratio# ri#" AAA o#e r$# b& #atio#al "o%er#me#ts' perhaps also assisted b& other cla#desti#e #etworksK. 4r. ,hairma#' toda&Bs wit#esses represe#t disti#"$ished e perts o# 5$rma. - am pleased to i#trod$ce a Foosier' .ro!essor /a%id Eilliams' + ec$ti%e /irector o! the ,e#ter !or ,o#stit$tio#al /emocrac& at -#dia#a 9#i%ersit&' who has e te#si%e back"ro$#d o# 5$rmaArelated iss$es. A"ai#' 4r. ,hairma#' tha#k &o$ !or holdi#" toda&Bs heari#".
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/200)/0)/1:0084.htm
-# parallel to the dialo"$e o# o$r core democrac&' h$ma# ri"hts a#d #o#proli!eratio# co#cer#s' we hope to ide#tit& some i#itial positi%e steps the 5$rmese co$ld take i# other areas that wo$ld help b$ild mome#t$m i# the talks a#d co$ld pote#tiall& allow the 9#ited *tates to respo#d i# a# appropriate ma##er. There are a #$mber o! areas i# which we mi"ht be able impro%e cooperatio# to o$r m$t$al be#e!it' s$ch as co$#terA#arcotics' health' e#%iro#me#tal protectio#' a#d the reco%er& o! Eorld Ear --A era 4issi#"Ai#AActio# remai#s. [deletia]
http://www.Do$r#al"a;ette.#et/article/200)1001/N+E*0:/:1001))8)/1088/N+E*0:
http://www.straitstimes.com/5reaki#"U25News/*+U25Asia/*tor&/*T-*tor&R4:8121.html
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/200)/sept/1:00)1.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, *eptember :0' 200) [EXCERPT ] N9+*T-ON: Geah' ca# &o$ take m& C$estio#O O#e o# 5$rma' the meeti#" &esterda& P how was it &esterda& mor#i#" i# New GorkO Ehat iss$e disc$ssedO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Assista#t *ecretar& 6$rt ,ampbell a#d /ep$t& Assista#t *ecretar& *cot 4arciel did meet &esterda& i# New Gork with a 5$rmese dele"atio# headed b& 9 Tha$#"' the 5$rmese mi#ister !or scie#ce a#d tech#olo"&. 5$rmaBs perma#e#t represe#tati%e to the 9#ited Natio#s' Tha# *we' also participated i# these disc$ssio#s. - thi#k weBd characteri;e it as a# i#trod$ctor& meeti#" P ob%io$sl&' the !irst meeti#" o! this ki#d i# ma#&' ma#& &ears. A#d so - thi#k itBs' !rom o$r sta#dpoi#t' the ope#i#" sta"e o! a# i#teractio#. 0rom o$r side' we disc$ssed a #$mber o! iss$es' ob%io$sl&' i#cl$di#" the stat$s o! political priso#ers' i#cl$di#" A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' the iss$e o! eth#ic co#!lict a#d dialo"$e betwee# the Go%er#me#t o! 5$rma a#d %ario$s eth#ic "ro$ps withi# the co$#tr&. Ee talked abo$t o$r co#cer#s abo$t 5$rmaBs relatio#ship with North 6orea' o$r proli!eratio# co#cer#s associated with that. - thi#k it was a ca$tio$s be"i##i#" a#d a# i#itial meeti#"' a#d will ob%io$sl& reC$ire time a#d patie#ce as we co#ti#$e these disc$ssio#s. N9+*T-ON: -s there a#& timeli#e !or these meeti#"sO Fow lo#" does it "o a#d whe# is the #e t meeti#"O 4R. ,ROE2+G: The meeti#" &esterda& happe#ed P it lasted a co$ple o! ho$rs' ma&be a little bit lo#"er tha# we had e pected. N9+*T-ON: Two ho$rsO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Geah. N9+*T-ON: 5oth withi# the 9N premises or o$tsideO Eas it withi# the 9N premises' that P the 9#ited Natio#sO 4R. ,ROE2+G: - belie%e it was at the Ealdor!AAstoria.
[deletia] N9+*T-ON: Tha#k &o$. Geah' D$st P whe# &o$ said that &o$ disc$ssed A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i a#d eth#ic mi#orities a#d so o#' &o$ raised &o$r lo#"sta#di#" co#cer#s a#d dema#ds that A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i be released' alo#" the AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: Absol$tel&' &es. N9+*T-ON: Oka&. A#d the same thi#" o# the eth#ic mi#orities' the lo#" P oka&. 4R. ,ROE2+G: Ges. N9+*T-ON: A#d the# wh& is it appropriate to talk to the mi#ister o! scie#ce a#d tech#olo"&O Eh& is this the ri"ht perso#O 4R. ,ROE2+G: 0or this meeti#"' a#d D$st to e plai# a little bit that o%er time' weB%e recei%ed i#dicatio#s !rom the 5$rmese that the& had a# i#terest i# this ki#d o! dialo"$e. Ee heard it also !rom other parties i# the re"io#. *o P b$t !or this partic$lar meeti#"' the mi#ister !or scie#ce a#d tech#olo"& was desi"#ated as the lead o!!icial. N9+*T-ON: 0or that P - mea#' - reali;e itBs the P 4&a#marBs choice who the& wa#t to se#d to the meeti#" with &o$ "$&s. Ehat - do#Bt "et' tho$"h' is wh& &o$ thi#k this is the ri"ht perso#. - mea#' does AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' -Bm bei#" care!$l. N9+*T-ON: Geah. 4R. ,ROE2+G: This was the i#di%id$al that the& desi"#ated !or this !irst meeti#". -Bm #ot s$""esti#" that he will be the i#terloc$tor !or !$t$re meeti#"s. ThatBs #ot P ob%io$sl&' &o$Bre ri"ht. -tBs $p to the 5$rmese. N9+*T-ON: Oka&' a#d the# two other thi#"s o# this. O#e' whe# was the P &o$ k#ow' there is a sli"ht prope#sit& to !eel as i! the world is e#tirel& #ew. 5$t i# !act' *cot 4arciel met with 4&a#mar o!!icials i# ($l&. *o whatBs #ew here is that itBs at the assista#t secretar& le%el !rom the 9.*. side. Ehe# was the last time that a 9.*. assista#t secretar& or somebod& o! a similar ra#k met with the 4&a#mar a$thoritiesO 4R. ,ROE2+G: ThatBs a !air C$estio#. -t mi"ht be a matter o! decades.
http://www.re$ters.com/article/worldNews/id9*TR+1)21-O200)100:
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/*o$theastRAsia/((04Ae01.html
The co$#tr& reportedl& se#t h$#dreds o! soldiers !or #$clear trai#i#" i# R$ssia that same &ear a#d the reactor was sched$led !or deli%er& i# 200:. Fowe%er' the pro"ram was shel%ed d$e to !i#a#cial di!!ic$lties a#d a !ormal co#tract !or the reactor' $#der which R$ssia a"reed to b$ild a #$clear research ce#ter alo#" with a 10 me"awatt reactor' was #ot si"#ed $#til 4a& 2007. The reactor will be !$eled with #o#Aweapo#s "rade e#riched $ra#i$mA2:1 a#d it will operate $#der the p$r%iew o! the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&' the 9#ited Natio#sJ #$clear watchdo". The reactor itsel! wo$ld be illAs$ited !or weapo#s de%elopme#t. Fowe%er' the trai#i#" acti%ities associated with it wo$ld pro%ide the basic k#owled"e reC$ired as a !o$#datio# !or a#& #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t pro"ram o$tside o! the research ce#ter. Constrained reaction The 9#ited *tatesJ reactio# to 4&a#marJs #$clear de%elopme#ts has bee# somewhat co#strai#ed' despite the Geor"e E 5$sh admi#istratio# re!erri#" to the militar&Ar$# co$#tr& as a# Ko$tpost o! t&ra##&K. A!ter 4&a#marJs 2002 co#!irmatio# o! its i#te#t to b$ild the reactor' the 9* war#ed the co$#tr& o! its obli"atio#s as a si"#ator& to the #$clear No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T=. A!ter the co#tract was !ormall& a##o$#ced i# 4a& 2007' the 9* *tate /epartme#t e pressed co#cer#s abo$t the co$#tr&Js lack o! adeC$ate sa!et& sta#dards a#d the pote#tial !or proli!eratio#. The warmi#" a#d "rowi#" rapport betwee# 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea will likel& !$rther hei"hte# Eashi#"to#Js proli!eratio# co#cer#s. 4&a#mar broke o!! diplomatic relatio#s with .&o#"&a#" i# 1)8:' a!ter North 6orea# a"e#ts bombed the 4art&rJs ma$sole$m i# Ga#"o# i# a# attempt to assassi#ate the %isiti#" *o$th 6orea# preside#t' ,h$# /ooAhwa#. The e plosio# killed more tha# 20 people' mostl& *o$th 6orea# o!!icials' i#cl$di#" the dep$t& prime mi#ister a#d the !orei"# mi#ister' a#d the *o$th 6orea# ambassador to 4&a#mar. 0o$r 4&a#mar #atio#als perished a#d do;e#s more were wo$#ded i# the blast. 4&a#mar se%ered ties with North 6orea a!ter a# i#%esti"atio# re%ealed the three a"e#ts respo#sible !or pla#ti#" the bomb spe#t the #i"ht at a North 6orea# diplomatJs ho$se be!ore setti#" o$t o# their missio#. Fowe%er' commo# i#terests ha%e bro$"ht the two secreti%e #atio#s back to"ether. The !ami#e i# North 6orea i# the late 1))0s a#d 4&a#marJs militar& e pa#sio# ambitio#s' i#cl$di#" a dri%e !or sel!As$!!icie#c& i# prod$ctio#' ha%e !ostered rece#t trade !lows. Ehile 4&a#mar has the a"ric$lt$ral s$rpl$s to ease North 6orea# h$#"er' .&o#"&a#" possesses the weapo#s a#d tech#olo"ical k#owAhow #eeded to boost Ga#"o#Js militar& mi"ht. There is also spec$latio# 4&a#mar mi"ht pro%ide $ra#i$m' mi#ed i# remote a#d di!!ic$ltAtoAmo#itor areas' to North 6orea. As testame#t to .&o#"&a#"Js willi#"#ess to s$ppl& weapo#s to the militar& re"ime' more North 6orea# ship %isits ha%e bee# #oted at Thilawa port i# Ga#"o#' o#e o! the co$#tr&Js primar& receipt poi#ts !or militar& car"o. /$ri#" o#e o! these %isits i# 4a& 2007' two 4&a#mar #atio#als worki#" !or (apa#Js News Network were detai#ed o$tside Ga#"o# while co%eri#" a s$spected arms deli%er& b& a North 6orea# %essel. Growi#" bilateral trade has helped to heal old diplomatic wo$#ds a#d e%e#t$all& led to a Doi#t comm$#iC$e reA establishi#" diplomatic relatio#s i# April 2007. The emer"i#" relatio#ship is also a #at$ral o$t"rowth o! the ostracism each !aces i# the i#ter#atio#al are#a' i#cl$di#" the eco#omic sa#ctio#s imposed a#d mai#tai#ed a"ai#st them b& the Eest. Ehile it is possible the rece#t %isits are related to 4&a#marJs #asce#t #$clear pro"ram' the e%ide#ce is !ar !rom co#cl$si%e. Ne%ertheless' 4&a#mar has $#do$btedl& take# #otice o! the respect that is accorded to North 6orea
o# the world sta"e beca$se o! its #$clear weapo# stat$s. 9#like North 6orea' 4&a#mar is a si"#ator& to the N.T. 4&a#mar has p$blicl& stated it seeks #$clear tech#olo"& o#l& !or peace!$l p$rposes' s$ch as de%elopi#" radioA isotopes !or a"ric$lt$ral $se a#d medical research. Get two wellAplaced so$rces told this reporter that North 6orea# a#d -ra#ia# tech#icia#s were alread& ad%isi#" 4&a#mar o# a possible secret #$clear e!!ort' r$##i#" i# parallel to the abo%eboard R$ssiaAs$pported pro"ram. Asia Times O#li#e co$ld #ot i#depe#de#tl& co#!irm the claim. The lack o! participatio# b& 4&a#marJs 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& i# the rece#t trips to .&o#"&a#" wo$ld seem to i#dicate that #$clear de%elopme#ts were probabl& #ot the primar& !oc$s o! the hi"hAle%el meeti#"s. The re"ime is also k#ow# to be i#terested i# North 6oreaJs t$##eli#" tech#olo"& <see 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea share a t$##el %isio#' Asia Times O#li#e' ($l& 1)' 2008 = i# li#e with the r$li#" D$#taJs sie"e me#talit& a#d appare#t !ears o! a possible 9*Aled preAempti%e militar& attack. [http5$$###*atimes*com$atimes$ outheast=-sia$/6;:-e9;*html] The D$#ta a#d others ha%e #o do$bt #oted the e traordi#ar& problems t$##eli#" a#d ca%e comple es ha%e ca$sed 9* !orces i# -raC a#d A!"ha#ista#' #ot to me#tio# the s$ccess North 6orea has e#Do&ed i# hidi#" $#der"ro$#d its #$clear !acilities. 5$#kers are r$mored to $#derlie se%eral b$ildi#"s at Na&p&idaw' where the re"ime abr$ptl& mo%ed the #atio#al capital i# 2001. The o#"oi#" co#str$ctio# o! a seco#d capital' !or the hot seaso#' at Gada#apo#' is also belie%ed to ha%e t$##els a#d b$#kers i#te"rated i#to its la&o$t. Ehether the %isits are related to arms proc$reme#t' militar& i#d$strial de%elopme#t' t$##eli#" tech#olo"& or #$clear e cha#"e' the& !oreshadow a pote#tiall& da#"ero$s tre#d !or 4&a#marJs #o#A#$clear *o$theast Asia# #ei"hbors a#d their Eester# allies' i#cl$di#" the 9*. As the tr$e #at$re o! the b$ddi#" bilateral relatio#ship comes i#to closer %iew' the risk is risi#" that .&o#"&a#" a#d Ga#"o# are co#spiri#" to create a sec$rit& C$a#dar& i# *o$theast Asia aki# to the o#e #ow %e i#" the 9* a#d its allies o# the 6orea# .e#i#s$la. Norma# Robespierre' a pse$do#&m' is a !reela#ce Do$r#alist speciali;i#" i# *i#oAAsia# a!!airs.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`18):4
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/200)/10/1:0178.htm
Also - was wo#deri#" i! &o$ co$ld sketch o$t &o$r e pectatio#s !or .reside#t ObamaBs %isit. +speciall& &o$ me#tio#ed disc$ssio# o# climate cha#"e. Ehat do &o$ see emer"i#" thereO Assista#t *ecretar& ,ampbell: - do#Bt wa#t to dod"e &o$r seco#d C$estio#' b$t - do wa#t to sa& there is a# i#credibl& i#tricate set o! worki#" "ro$ps A tech#ical a#d political A that are $#derwa& betwee# the 9#ited *tates a#d ,hi#a' a#d those #e"otiatio#s are ad%a#ced a#d the& take place o# a dail& basis. -Bm reall& #ot $p to date to the mome#t. - thi#k m& bi""est role i# o$r deliberatio#s with ,hi#ese !rie#ds is to $#derscore how importa#t it is !or the 9#ited *tates a#d ,hi#a to take a leadership role a#d that we ha%e to be %er& war& o! how m$ch is resti#" o# o$r #eed to coordi#ate i# this re"ard. O# the C$estio# o! 5$rma polic&' o#e o! the thi#"s that *e#ator Eebb' who is the head o! o$r +ast Asia a#d .aci!ic *$bcommittee i# the 9#ited *tates *e#ate' has bee# %er& clear abo$t is his stro#" desire that the 9#ited *tates A i# additio# to a dialo"$e with the D$#ta a#d with eleme#ts o! the oppositio# a#d eth#ic "ro$ps withi# 5$rma A that there will also be a steppedA$p re"io#al diplomac& that wo$ld i#%ol%e #ot o#l& the ke& #atio#s o! A*+AN' *o$theast Asia# co$#tries who ha%e a %er& deep i#terest i# 5$rma P Thaila#d' -#do#esia' *i#"apore a#d others A b$t also to e#"a"e i# a m$ch deeper dialo"$e betwee# -#dia a#d ,hi#a. - wo$ld sa& that this was o$r !irst meeti#" that -Bm aware o! i# which 5$rma was a pri#cipal topic o! disc$ssio#. 4& role here was to e plai# i# "reat detail the process that we took i# terms o! arri%i#" at o$r co#cl$sio#s a#d o$r polic& re%iew' make clear to ,hi#a that we wo$ld seek their s$pport i# this e#dea%or' a#d ask !or their assessme#ts abo$t what the&Bre seei#" i#side A de%elopme#ts both leadi#" $p to the 2010 electio#s a#d how the& see the %ario$s militar& o!!e#ses that ha%e bee# $#derwa& i#side the co$#tr&. ,hi#a is $#iC$e i# the se#se that the& ha%e %er& hi"hAle%el' co#siste#t dialo"$e with members o! the militar& establishme#t' so we thi#k their i#si"hts a#d their role a#d s$pport behi#d the sce#es co$ld be %er& %al$able "oi#" !orward. - thi#k it wo$ld be !air to sa& that this is still a prelimi#ar& co#s$ltatio#. Ee dealt with a# aspect o! the Asia# A!!airs /irectorate i# the 4i#istr& o! 0orei"# A!!airs that has had remarkabl& little co#tact with the 9#ited *tates. *o weBre "oi#" to work with them o%er the co$rse o! the #e t co$ple o! mo#ths as o$r i#itial diplomatic steps with 5$rma $#!old.
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/200)/10/1:078).htm
The Admi#istratio#Bs ow# se#iorAle%el dialo"$e with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t be"a# with a !irst meeti#" i# New Gork o# *eptember 2). - led the 9.*. dele"atio#' a#d m& co$#terpart o# the 5$rmese side was 9 Tha$#"' the 5$rmese 4i#ister !or *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& a#d !ormer Ambassador to the 9#ited *tates. The 5$rmese .erma#e#t Represe#tati%e to the 9N' Tha# *we' also participated i# the disc$ssio#s. These were s$bsta#ti%e talks that lasted appro imatel& two ho$rs. Ee laid o$t o$r %iews clearl& a#d - stressed to 9 Tha$#" that this dialo"$e is a# opport$#it& !or 5$rma i! the a$thorities are read& to mo%e !orward. This was a# i#trod$ctor& meeti#". -t will take more tha# a si#"le co#%ersatio# to resol%e o$r di!!ere#ces. Ee i#te#d to "o to 5$rma i# the #e t !ew weeks !or a !actA!i#di#" missio#. /$ri#" that trip' we will talk to the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t' represe#tati%es o! the eth#ic #atio#alities' a#d the democratic oppositio#' i#cl$di#" the Natio#al 2ea"$e !or /emocrac& ?9#cles@ a#d A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i. Ee will keep &o$ i#!ormed as this process mo%es ahead.
http://www.mi;;ima.com/edop/comme#tar&/2)44Adialo"$eA!arAa#dAawa&A.html
5$rma Arm&Js radio comm$#icatio#s s&stem stip$lates that o!!icers are o#l& to "o o# air o# speci!ied cha##els. O#l& $#der i#str$ctio# accordi#" to re"$latio#s set b& the /irectorate o! *i"#als ca# the& "et o# a commo# cha##el. This mea#s militar& $#its ca##ot easil& lear# abo$t happe#i#"s amo#" themsel%es. /$ri#" the rei"# o! Ne Ei#' his .erso#al Assista#t <.A=' ,aptai# 6&aw *wa 4&i#t' !led to the 9*. Additio#all&' ,aptai# Oh# 6&aw 4&i#t' .A to the ,hie!Ao!A*ta!!' disliki#" the militar& dictatorship' attempted to or"a#i;e a proAdemocrac& m$ti#&. Fe was able to wi# o%er some se#ior o!!icers b$t was e%e#t$all& betra&ed. Fe so$"ht as&l$m at the 9* embass& i# Ra#"oo# b$t was t$r#ed dow#' e%e#t$all& bei#" !o$#d o$t b& a$thorities a#d e ec$ted. -! o#l& the 9* has stood !irml& b& him' 5$rma ma& ha%e started dow# the road toward democrac&. Ehe# Ge#eral Tha# *hwe became the s$preme dictator' ,aptai# Ei# 5o co#%e&ed a letter to him !rom a re%ered 5$ddhist !i"$re. The letter $r"ed the Ki#itiatio# o! dialo"$e betwee# /aw A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i a#d Ge#eral Tha# *hwe !or the be#e!it o! co$#tr&.K ,aptai# Ei# 5o was persec$ted !or this act' bei#" tort$red i# 4o$lmei# Dail' where he was e%e#t$all& beate# died. This shows that calls !or dialo"$e were $#prod$cti%e e%e# d$ri#" the time o! the oppositio#Js "olde# da&s. Ge#eral Tha# *hweBs character is secreti%e' shrewd' i#co#siste#t a#d hard to predict. As soo# as he "ot the top Dob i# 1))2' he ordered two proDects. O#e was a rocketr& s&stems a#d the other is a #$clear weapo#s proDect. The rocketr& s&stems proDect i#%ol%es lo#"Ara#"e a#d medi$mAra#"e s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles' s$r!aceAtoAair missiles a#d airAtoAair missiles. ObDecti%es o! the missile s&stem i#cl$de the capacit& to threate# 9* bases i# Thaila#d' Taiwa# a#d the .hilippi#es with #$clearAtipped missiles. Eith the help o! R$ssia# tech#icia#s' the D$#ta has alread& b$ilt air de!e#se bases i# mo$#tai#s withi# the ,oastal Re"io# ,omma#d area close to 9* bases i# Thaila#d. North 6orea# tech#icia#s were statio#ed secretl& at two detached dwelli#"s ow#ed b& the Fo$si#" /epartme#t i# Thaketa Tow#shipBs A&e Na#da Fo$si#" +state. /$e to the pre%io$s embar"o' arms deals with North 6orea were cleared $si#" *oe 4i# Ftike ,o. a#d a barter s&stem. The rocketr& proDect is ce#tered at /e!e#se -#d$str& 10 i# 4a"we /i%isio#Bs 9pper 4i#hla Tow#shipBs 6o#"&ee %illa"e. *o$th 6orea# /aewoo ,orporatio#Bs acC$ireme#t o! importa#t #at$ral "as e ploratio# a#d prospecti#" ri"hts is also part o! the D$#taJs wider scheme' i# pla##i#" to $se it !or the tra#sport o! arms a#d militar& eC$ipme#t camo$!la"ed as "as prod$ctio# eC$ipme#t. Ee will report later o# the seco#d phase o! Ge#eral Tha# *hweJs pla# to e pa#d 5$rmaJs militar& mi"ht P possessio# o! #$clear weapo#s. Ee will tell &o$r + celle#cies wh& he wa#ts to acC$ire these a#d also abo$t a C$estio# to which there is as o! &et #o a#swer !or 5$rmaBs soldiers. Respect!$ll&' .roAdemocrac& o!!icers a#d other ra#ks 5$rmese 4ilitar&
http://www.mi;;ima.com/edop/comme#tar&/2)11AaAC$estio#AwithA#oAa#swerA&et.html
-# other words' whe# soldiers sta#d b& the peopleJs side there will be a blood& re%ol$tio#. *o the& wo$ld like to k#ow whether &o$r + celle#cies are likel& to sta#d b& them a#d re#der s$pport i! s$ch a# occasio# arises. Get' i! there is #o s$pport a#d reco"#itio# b& world leaders' it is certai# that Arm& o!!icers wo$ld #ot spo#ta#eo$sl& rise $p beca$se o! their bitter e perie#ces described i# o$r pre%io$s letter. *i#ce the Arm& ca# pro%ide i#ter#atio#al sta#dards o! reco"#itio# s$ch as a sa!e ha%e# !or 4.s' b$!!er ;o#es' i#depe#de#t armed !orces' parliame#t' !ederal co#stit$tio#' etc.' it is critical !or the Arm& a#d the people to $#ite be!ore 2010. Go$r + celle#cies are mistake# i# that &o$ thi#k too m$ch o! &o$r moder# -T eC$ipme#t' !acilities' satellite comm$#icatio#s' -#ter#et a#d comp$ters while &o$ thi#k lowl& o! 5$rma. As we ha%e said be!ore' he has ma#ip$lated two 6oreas which are at lo""erheads' emplo&ed o#e co$#tr& to e plore $ra#i$m' a#other co$#tr& to pro%ide #$clear tech#olo"& a#d still a#other to pro%ide weapo#r& so as to co%er $p the tracks o! his p$rs$it o! E4/' also li#ki#" the #$clear iss$e with the electricit& a#d e#er"& sector to a%oid i#ter#atio#al scr$ti#&. Additio#all&' he s$ccess!$ll& switched to a# -#dia# satellite o$t o! !ear o! the 9* sp&i#" o# Thaksi#Js Thai satellite. +%e# Ge#eral Tha# *hweJs closest aides do #ot k#ow what is i# his mi#d. Fe has a habit o! ha%i#" his pla#e readied !or him b& his tr$sted t&coo# !rie#d Ta& La a#d !l&i#" o!! !or a desti#atio# which is disclosed o#l& i# mid!li"ht. The best sp& satellites ca##ot look i#to the $#der"ro$#d t$##els he has d$". Almost all the people thi#k that Na&p&itaw m$st be his $ltimate redo$bt' b$t i# !act he has desi"#ated a#d b$ilt $p 4a&m&o as his $ltimate li#e o! de!e#se. Ee k#ow there are co$#tries which the 9* takes serio$sl& d$e to its #atio#al i#terest or percei%ed threat to its sec$rit&. Fowe%er' we sadl& reali;e that the 9* is #ot m$ch co#cer#ed with 5$rma si#ce it poses #either a #atio#al i#terest #or sec$rit& threat. 5$t what wo$ld happe# i! 5$rma acC$ires #$clear weapo#s b& 2011O At the time o! ,&clo#e Nar"is' a 0re#ch warship was abo$t to la#d troops i# 5$rma b$t the 9* was hesita#t P !eari#" ,hi#a P !r$strati#" the 5$rmese people with the 9* i#decisio#. Eo$ld &o$ belie%e that most o! the lower o!!icers a#d other ra#ks o! the 5$rma Arm& were e pecti#" &o$ at that timeO Ee wo$ld like to tell &o$ that the& were #ot "oi#" to !i"ht &o$ like 3iet#am b$t la& dow# their arms a#d readil& welcome 9* troops comi#" o# shore to help their distressed relati%es i# the -rrawadd& /i%isio#. The 5ritish .rime 4i#isterJs ope# letter at the time o! o$r pop$lar leader /aw A$#" *a# *$$ 6&iJs rece#t trial cheered the 5$rmese people' b$t the later bailo$t o! (oh# Eilliam Geattaw P !acilitated b& a 9* *e#ator P has si#ce ca$sed !$rther disappoi#tme#t. As we ha%e said' dialo"$e is possible o#l& $#der a relati%e bala#ce o! power. There!ore' o#l& whe# the power base o! the militar& dictators erodes will the& t$r# $p at the #e"otiati#" table. 5$rmese soldiers who wa#t to side with the people ca# make it happe# to some e te#t' b$t are rel$cta#t to do so beca$se o! the C$estio# to which the& ha%e &et to recei%e a# a#swer. -t is #ecessar& to di!!ere#tiate betwee# the 5$rma Arm& led b& some Ge#erals that wo$ld like to sta#d b& the peoplesB side a#d the arm& led b& Ge#eral Tha# *hwe. As lo#" as dialo"$e is !loated s$per!iciall& a#d per!$#ctoril&' the 5$rmese people will co#ti#$e to be bored a#d disill$sio#ed. Respect!$ll&' .roAdemocrac& o!!icers a#d other ra#ks 5$rmese 4ilitar& +mail: demoster#elso#Xaol.com
http://www.breitbart.com/article.phpOid`/)5.487O2YshowRarticle`1Ycat#$m`0
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/200)/11/1:11:8.htm
where we were a#d what we hoped to achie%e. The#' as - said' we took this trip the last two da&s to meet with the "o%er#me#t' to meet with others. Ee spe#t a da& i# Na&p&idaw where we met with se%eral "o%er#me#t o!!icials' "o%er#me#t mi#isters' i#cl$di#" the 4i#ister o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& [> Thaun!]H the 4i#ister o! -#!ormatio#H a#d the# &esterda& mor#i#"' with the .rime 4i#ister as well as with some others. [deletia] N9+*T-ON: 4r. 4arciel' &o$ me#tio#ed that d$ri#" these disc$ssio#s &o$ ha%e also to$ched o# the iss$e o! #$clear proli!eratio# a#d the co#tacts betwee# the re"ime a#d North 6orea. Eo$ld &o$ be able i# a#& wa& to elaborate o# thatO Tha#k &o$. A45A**A/OR 4AR,-+2: Ehat - ca# sa& is that there ha%e bee# reports o! cooperatio# a#d closer relatio#s betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea' i#cl$di#" o# the militar& side. There ha%e bee# thi#"s i# the press &o$B%e see# spec$lati#" abo$t #$clear cooperatio#. A#d - thi#k the sit$atio# weBre i# is we wa#t to' - thi#k the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& wa#ts to work with the 5$rmese a$thorities to !i#d o$t what the !acts are a#d to impress $po# the "o%er#me#t the importa#ce partic$larl& o! ho#ori#" a#d abidi#" b& 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874. [deletia] N9+*T-ON: - ha%e two C$estio#s. O#e is where does the process "o !rom hereO The lo"isticsO - $#derstood that there was "oi#" to be appoi#tme#t o! special e#%o&s o# both sides. -s 6$rt ,ampbell "oi#" to remai# the e#%o& as !ar as AmericaBs co#cer#edO A#d 9 Tha$#"' the 5$rmese co$#terpartO [deletia] A45A**A/OR 4AR,-+2: [deletia] -# terms o! special e#%o&s' the (A/+ A,T ma#dates that we #ame a special e#%o&. Ee are i# the process o! mo%i#" to #ame a special e#%o&. 4ea#while' 6$rt ,ampbell a#d to some e te#t - are worki#" o# that. O#ce a special e#%o& is #amed - thi#k all o! $s will work to"ether. + actl& how weBll di%ide thi#"s $p is to be see#. O# the 5$rmese side' we $#dersta#d the 5$rmese ha%e asked 4i#ister 9 Tha$#" to be o$r co$#terpart. - ha%e#Bt heard a#&thi#" di!!ere#t a#d o! co$rse thatBs $p to them.
http://www.wikileaks.ch/cable/200)/11/0)RANGOON7:2.html 3L,L,>GL0001 OO R9+FE+5 /+ R9+FGO e07:2 :140):1 LNG ***** LLF O 100):1L NO3 0) 04 A4+45A**G RANGOON TO R9+F,/*+,*TAT+ EA*F/, -44+/-AT+ )188 -N0O R9+F56/A4+45A**G 5ANG6O6 :0)8 R9+F5(/A4+45A**G 5+-(-NG 2410 R9+F5G/A4+45A**G ,AN5+RRA 2:28 R9+F2O/A4+45A**G 2ON/ON 2248 R9+F4O/A4+45A**G 4O*,OE 0128 R9+F0R/A4+45A**G .AR-* 0818 R9+F92/A4+45A**G *+O92 ):88 R9+A--A/,-A EA*F/, R9+6(,*//-A EA*F/, RF+FN*,/N*, EA*F/, RFF49NA/,/R 9*.A,O4 FONO2929 FR9,N/T/9*4-**-ON 9*9N N+E GOR6 2717 R9+6(,*/*+,/+0 EA*F/, R9+6(,*/(O-NT *TA00 EA*F/, T$esda&' 10 No%ember 200)' 0)::1 *+,R+T RANGOON 0007:2 *-./-* /+.T 0OR +A./42*' -NR/+A. .A,O4 0OR 0.A +O 12)18 /+,2: 11/10/201) TAG* 6NN.' .AR4' .R+2' N.T' .GO3' .-NR' 6N' 54
,omme#t AAAAAAA :. <*= As with ma#& iss$es i# 5$rma' the tr$th behi#d a#d possible moti%atio#s !or INA4+ R+4O3+/M !irst %ersio# a#d the rece#t re%isio# are di!!ic$lt to ascertai#. Ambassador ,ha# #ow belie%es I/+TA-2* R+4O3+/M was simpl& spec$lati#" i# A$"$st a#d has corrected the record. Ee were #ot i# the act$al co#%ersatio#s' b$t to $s I/+TA-2* R+4O3+/M re%isio# so$#ds more like a# e!!ort to co%er a lapse i# D$d"me#t tha# to de#& the earlier stor& o$tri"ht. The comme#t abo$t the 6a#" Nam 1 a#d the *ecretar&Bs remarks ha%i#" ?p$t e%er&thi#" o# hold@ lea%e room !or co#cer#. That #oted' other o! INA4+ R+4O3+/M comme#ts ha%e ca$sed $s to C$estio# D$st how well pl$""ed i# INA4+ R+4O3+/M is o# the ?#$clear@ iss$e. 5ottom li#e: GO5A/.R6 cooperatio# remai#s opaC$e. *omethi#" is certai#l& happe#i#"H whether that somethi#" i#cl$des ?#$kes@ is a %er& ope# C$estio# which remai#s a %er& hi"h priorit& !or +mbass& reporti#". /-NG+R
http://www.asea#sec.or"/24020.htm
21. Ee will i#crease co#s$ltatio# a#d cooperatio# o# the challe#"es a!!ecti#" the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&' i#cl$di#" #o#Aproli!eratio#' disarmame#t a#d re"io#al peace a#d sec$rit&. Ee a"reed to work towards pre%e#ti#" the spread o! #$clear weapo#s a#d work to"ether to b$ild a world witho$t #$clear weapo#s a#d other weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#. Ee rea!!irmed the N$clear No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T= as the esse#tial !o$#datio# !or the p$rs$it o! #$clear disarmame#t' #$clear #o#Aproli!eratio# a#d peace!$l $ses o! #$clear e#er"&. Ee a"reed to s$pport the .hilippi#es as it ass$mes the preside#c& o! the 2010 N.T Re%iew ,o#!ere#ce' which pro%ides a# importa#t opport$#it& !or the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& to act i# a co#certed ma##er towards these e#ds. Ee also declared o$r s$pport !or the ,omprehe#si%e Test 5a# Treat&' a#d welcomed the declared i#te#tio# o! the 9#ited *tates to rati!& the treat&. Ee $r"ed all states to rati!& the treat& a#d !acilitate its earl& e#tr& i#to !orce. Ee welcomed the establishme#t i# the AR0 o! a# -#terAsessio#al 4eeti#" o# No#Aproli!eratio# a#d /isarmame#t as a %e#$e to !$rther e plore dialo"$e a#d cooperatio# o# these iss$es. 22. Ee $r"ed the /.R6 to ret$r# to the *i A.art& Talks process a#d to !$ll& impleme#t its commitme#ts made i# the *eptember 1)' 2001 (oi#t *tateme#t o! the *i A.art& Talks to aba#do#i#" all #$clear weapo#s a#d e isti#" #$clear pro"rams a#d ret$r#i#"' at a# earl& date' to the N.T a#d to -A+A sa!e"$ards. Ee also $r"ed the /.R6 to compl& !$ll& with its obli"atio#s i# accorda#ce with the rele%a#t 9#ited Natio#s *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio#s' i#cl$di#" those related to de#$cleari;atio# a#d res$mi#" its missile la$#ch moratori$m.
http://www.#atio#m$ltimedia.com/200)/11/18/re"io#al/re"io#alR:0118874.php
http://www.ba#"kokpost.com/#ews/local/280:8/so$theastAasiaApress$redAtoA%alidateAtestAba#Atreat&
http://o#li#e.wsD.com/article/*5128014807)0187):0).html
http://e#"lish.alDa;eera.#et/pro"rammes/peoplea#dpower/200)/12/200)122110111848411:.html 9./AT+/ ON: 4o#da&' /ecember 21' 200) 17:2: 4ecca time' 14:2: G4T .ro"rammes .+O.2+ AN/ .OE+R 4&a#mar: 5e#eath the s$r!ace The J*a!!ro# Re%ol$tio#J was 4&a#marJs o#l& show o! mass oppositio# i# 20 &ears IGA22O/G+TTGM Two &ears a"o the world watched i# disma& as 4&a#marJs militar& D$#ta br$tall& cr$shed the soAcalled *a!!ro# Re%ol$tio#. -t was the o#l& show o! mass oppositio# to ha%e occ$rred i#side the co$#tr& i# almost 20 &ears. Now' that same D$#ta is mo%i#" towards electio#s some time i# 2010' b$t #o o#e e pects them to be either !ree or !air' based as the& are o# a co#stit$tio# seemi#"l& desi"#ed to e#s$re the s$r%i%al o! those i# power. 0ilmmaker Fa;el ,ha#dler e#tered the co$#tr& $#derco%er !or .eople Y .ower' to !i#d o$t how 4&a#marJs people are !airi#"' a#d to i#%esti"ate dist$rbi#" claims that the re"ime ma& be tr&i#" to de%elop #$clear weapo#s. This episode o! .eople Y .ower ca# be see# !rom Eed#esda&' /ecember 2:' 200)' at the !ollowi#" times G4T: Eed#esda&: 0800' 12:0H Th$rsda&: 01:0' 1400' 1):0H 0rida&: 08:0' 18:0H *at$rda&: 0::0' 20:0H *$#da&: 00:0' 01:0H 4o#da&: 08:0.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`17142
http://www.timeso#li#e.co.$k/tol/#ews/world/asia/article8)80814.ece
As repressi%e a#d isolated militar& dictatorships' 5$rma a#d North 6orea mi"ht appear to ha%e m$ch i# commo#. -# !act' relatio#s were !ro;e# !or &ears a!ter a# i#cide#t i# 1)8: whe# 18 *o$th 6orea# o!!icials' i#cl$di#" !o$r cabi#et mi#isters' were blow# $p b& North 6orea# a"e#ts d$ri#" a %isit to Ra#"oo#.
http://www.#×.com/2010/01/0)/world/asia/0)m&a#mar.html
?Fe does#Bt ha%e a choice V he has to call electio#s beca$se he alread& a##o$#ced the& wo$ld "o ahead'@ 4r. Ei# 4i# said. ?5$t he is still worried abo$t threats !rom withi#.@ /eath se#te#ces i# 4&a#mar are o!te# comm$ted to li!e i# priso#' b$t the co$rt decisio# remai#s a pote#t remi#der !or those thi#ki#" o! steppi#" o$t o! li#e' 4r. Ei# 4i# said.
http://www.mi;;ima.com/edop/i#ter%iew/::17AD$#taA!i#dsAscape"oatsA!orA"o%er#me#tAleaksAsa&sA!ormerAcollea"$e.html
Fs2 &8 ;ow can you tell that he is not the one who leaked secret files to the media in eCile: A#s. Ei# Nai#" 6&aw is #ot !rom the 4i#istr& o! 0orei"# A!!airs. Fis last post was /irector o! the 0orei"# +co#omic Relatio#s /epartme#t i# the 4i#istr& o! Natio#al .la##i#". Fe C$it his post aro$#d 2004A01 as he "ot a Dob with a 9N a"e#c&. -# 4O0A the cases are $s$all& copied to 6a 6aA 6&i <O!!ice o! ,hie! o! *ta!! o! /e!e#ce *er%ices A Arm&=' 6a 6a <Fla#= <,hie! o! *ta!! o! /e!e#ce *er%ice sA -#telli"e#ce= a#d the Fead O!!ice o! Fome A!!airs. The (oh# Gattaw case !or i#sta#ce a#d all other !iles spread aro$#d the "o%er#me#t departme#ts. Fs2 +8 1he !unta sentenced to death not only =in Naing Kyaw but also 1hura Kyaw* a clerk in the 5oreign Ministry8 1he files may ha7e come from 1hura Kyaw8 =hat do you say: A#s. +%e# tho$"h the case !ile was !rom Th$ra 6&awBs o!!ice room' there are similar copies i# other "o%er#me#t a"e#cies. -# Na&p&idaw' there is !reedom to access the i#ter#et a#d the& also #eed to co$#t o# 6a 6aA 6&i a#d 6a 6aA Fla#. *omeo#e else !rom the de!e#ce establishme#t co$ld ha%e easil& se#t it. -# this case' !i#di#" Th$ra 6&awBs !iles i# the laptop o! Ei# Nai#" 6&aw is illo"ical b$t the& co$ld #ot de!e#d themsel%es at the D$#ta co$rt co#trolled b& 4A*. At a#& cost' *e#ior Ge# Tha# *hwe wa#ted to wipe o$t the straw !rom the past. This time' !i#di#" !iles i# his laptop became %alid e%ide#ce i# co$rt. Fs8 ,8 @id you know where they were detained and about his trial: O#ce the& ca$"ht him' the& reported to the headC$arters o! the 4A* a#d se#t him to Gae 6&i +&e !or i#terro"atio# the# be!ore bei#" se#te#ced he was se#t to -#sei# .riso#. The co$rt is the #orther# pro%i#ce co$rt i# -#sei# tow#ship' *hwe .&i Tha road. Fs8 H8 =hat is the e7idence that S# was assassinated: A#s. Ehile - was atte#di#" the the ,rimi#al -#%esti"atio# /epartme#t A ,-/Bs co$rse at the old 4O0A i# 2002' Ei# Nai#" 6&aw atte#ded that co$rse too a#d we become close !rie#ds. At that time' the helicopter pilot' a 4aDor was sa%ed !rom the *a# 2wi# Ri%er b$t was shot dead. Fs8 )8 =ho shot the pilot: A#s. -t is #ot k#ow#. 5$t it co$ld be betwee# the militar& i#telli"e#ce or the arm&. The a$thorities did #ot allow p$blicatio# o! the !$#eral ad%ertiseme#t i# the stateAr$# #ewspaper. Law T$# Oo' so# o! *2 Ti# Oo is still i# 4O0A. Fe a#d - were i# the same batch i# .ha$#" G&i <"o%er#me#t emplo&ees trai#i#"= i# 1))8. Accordi#" to him' there was a bi" power ri%alr& betwee# his !ather a#d 4a$#" A&e a#d 6hi# N&$#t at that poi#t i# time. Fs8 ?8 =hy did you decide to defect and what are the immediate causes: Eell' !ormer 4aDor Ei# Nai#" 6&aw did #ot k#ow that he was bei#" watched a#d was blacklisted. -! he k#ew he wo$ld #ot ha%e "o#e back to 5$rma. As !or me' - lear#t that - a#d some o! the other !ormer sta!! members were alread& blacklisted. *o' - had to de!ect' e%e# tho$"h - lo%e m& co$#tr&. The da& it is sa!e - will pro$dl& "o back to 5$rma a#d that wo$ld be the da& the co$#tr& "ets "e#$i#e democrac&.
Fs (8 =hat do you think of the nuclear ambition of the regime: The militar& "o%er#me#t is reall& a!raid o! bei#" attacked b& the 9* like -raC. Fa%i#" militar& mi"ht b& "etti#" #$clear missiles ma& "i%e it more wei"ht politicall& a#d it ass$mes the 9* will #ot attack the re"ime. Fs8 %$8 =hat do you know about regime #$%$ election plan: A#s. The re"ime wo#Bt allow !ree a#d !air polls like 1))0. The 9#io# *olidarit& /e%elopme#t Associatio# wo$ld wi# b& a maDorit&. *o' with o#e sto#e the D$#ta will kill three birds. The D$#ta will also a$tomaticall& ca#cel the res$lts o! the 1))0 electio#s a#d disarm eth#ic "ro$ps. Fs8 %%8 =hat do you know about the regime9s plan for ceasefire and the Border Auard 5orce issue: A#s. The ceaseA!ire "ro$ps are alread& i# the trap o! the Ge#erals with their lo#" term pla#' which was i#itiated b& !ormer 4ilitar& -#telli"e#ce ,hie! 6hi# N&$#t. 0ormi#" the 5order G$ard !orces $#der arm& co#trol is a tactic to destro& the armed "ro$ps o%er a !i%e &ear pla#. 0i%e &ears o#' there will be #o 5order G$ard 0orce troops' who 5$rmese Arm& soldiers will replace "rad$all&. Ns 12. Ehat do &o$ thi#k o! the relatio#ship betwee# North 6orea a#d the 5$rmese re"imeO Ehat are North 6oreaBs proDects i# 5$rmaO A#s. The two co$#tries are politicall& isolated i# the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. There are a lot o! #$clear proDects i#cl$di#" the trai#i#" o! 5$rmese militar& i#telli"e#ce perso##el. Go$ ma& alread& ha%e read abo$t the secret !iles a#d these are tr$e.
http://www.theAdiplomat.com/001!1281Rr.asp Oartid`:71
3eports that Burma>s military !unta has recei7ed assistance with constructing nuclear facilities from North Korea and akistan are causing a headache for -ndian strategists* reports +a,eev $harma8 And* although global attention is fiCed firmly on 1ehran and yongyang* the ticking of this newest nuclear clock could start to sound loud to @elhi>s policymakers8 Ehile -ra#Bs acts o! de!ia#ce i# the !ace o! i#ter#atio#al co#dem#atio# o! its secreti%e #$clear pro"ramme co#ti#$e to make headli#es' a#d while the 9#ited *tates !oc$ses o# "etti#" North 6orea to ret$r# to the si Apart& de#$clearisatio# talks' a#other #$clear clock is ticki#" C$ietl& awa& i# *o$theast Asia. 5$rma' r$led with a# iro# !ist b& a militar& D$#ta that sei;ed power i# a co$p i# 1)82' co#!irmed pla#s to b$ild a #$clear research reactor' with R$ssia# assista#ce' !or Qpeace!$l p$rposesB back i# earl& 2002. *i#ce the#' select st$de#ts a#d arm& o!!icers ha%e $#der"o#e #$clear orie#tatio# a#d trai#i#" i# 4oscow' while #$clear ph&sics departme#ts ha%e bee# established at the $#i%ersities o! Ra#"oo# a#d 4a#dala&' with e#rolme#t co#trolled b& the D$#ta. 5$t it is the persiste#t reports o! a secret pro"ramme bei#" $#dertake# with North 6orea# assista#ce' based i# part o# i#!ormatio# !rom de!ectors' that are tro$bli#" -#dia# polic&makers alread& distracted b& border te#sio#s with ,hi#a a#d .akista#. -#deed' ,olo#el R Farihara#' a retired militar& i#telli"e#ce a#al&st who speciali;es i# *o$th Asia' sa&s i! s$ch r$mo$rs are tr$e the& wo$ld i#trod$ce a #ew strate"ic #$clear paradi"m to the re"io# a#d i# the process make li!e e tremel& complicated !or -#diaBs militar& pla##ers.
Q-t mi"ht lead to a sit$atio# #ot dissimilar to -#diaBs wester# !ro#t' where itBs !aci#" a# $#stable' #$clear .akista#'B he sa&s. Q+%e# tho$"h it seems $#likel& 4&a#mar I5$rmaM wo$ld i#%est i# s$ch a #$clear "ame' -#dia will still be !orced to keep a care!$l watch o%er de%elopme#ts.B 5$rmaBs #$clear i#terest has bee# !$elled b& si"#i!ica#t $ra#i$m deposits disco%ered i# areas i#cl$di#" 4a"we' Ta$#"dwi#"&i a#d 6&a$kph&"o#' as well as some lar"el& $#to$ched i# so$ther# Ta#i#thar&i /i%isio#V!ormerl& Te#asserim /i%isio#Valtho$"h R$ssia is said to be i#%ol%ed i# the limited mi#i#" operatio# there. The "o%er#me#t is also reportedl& acti%el& e plori#" other pote#tial $ra#i$m prod$ctio# sites i#' amo#" other locatio#s' Ta"o#" a#d 4oe 4eik' while a team o! R$ssia# a#d 5$rmese e#"i#eers !rom earl& 2007 were reportedl& drilli#" !or $ra#i$m i# Faw#"A.a %illa"e. *$ch acti%it&' combi#ed with r$mo$rs o! co%ert North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t a#d a 5$rmese re"ime that seems willi#" to do a#&thi#" to sta& i# power' has "e#erated e#o$"h co#cer# amo#" -#dia# polic&makers !or it to create a dossier o! what it belie%es has bee# "oi#" o#' a cop& o! which was show# to this correspo#de#t b& a se#ior "o%er#me#t o!!icial who asked to remai# a#o#&mo$s. The dossier !irst la&s o$t the back"ro$#d o! 5$rmaBs alle"ed i#terest i# #$clear tech#olo"&' be"i##i#" i# /ecember 2000' whe# it i#dicated it was i#terested i# establishi#" a #$clear research ce#tre with R$ssia# assista#ce that was to ha%e i#cl$ded b$ildi#" a 10 me"awatt li"htAwater research reactor. Fowe%er' i# *eptember 2001' with 5$rma appare#tl& $#able to a!!ord the !$ll cost o! the reactor' it was decided that the R$ssia# 4i#istr& !or Atomic +#er"& wo$ld pla& a s$per%isor& role a#d pro%ide the #ecessar& !$el a#d e pertise !or the !acilit&' while 5$rmese a$thorities wo$ld ha#dle its co#str$ctio#. A# a"reeme#t to this e!!ect was !i#all& si"#ed b& the two co$#tries i# 4a& 2007. The !acilit&' k#ow# as the Q4&ai#" Reactor or N&a$#"o#e .roDect'B was to be co#str$cted #ear A#esakha# o# a !lat e pa#se o! la#d s$rro$#ded o# all sides b& steep hills' a#d placed $#der -A+A sa!e"$ards. -t was #ot s$pposed to be capable o! prod$ci#" weapo#sA"rade pl$to#i$m. Fowe%er' the a"reeme#t co$ld #ot be impleme#ted as 5$rma did #ot compl& with -A+A "$ideli#es reC$iri#" it to properl& ad%ise the #$clear bod& o! its pla#s. *i#ce the#' a#d despite repeated proddi#" !rom R$ssia' 5$rma has #ot approached the -A+A' sc$pperi#" the prospects o! pro"ress betwee# the two o# the !acilit&. -#deed' accordi#" to the dossier' it was R$ssiaBs i#siste#ce o# tra#spare#c& that prompted 5$rma to look elsewhere !or assista#ce i# setti#" $p a reactorV#amel& !rom North 6orea. 5$rma is said i# the dossier to be b$ildi#" a 10 me"awatt li"ht water research reactor i#side a mo$#tai# comple at Na$#" 2ai#" i# the #orth o! the co$#tr&' while North 6orea has also b$ilt a h$"e $#der"ro$#d b$#ker at Ta$#"dwi#"&i #e t to a k#ow# $ra#i$m ore site. 4ea#while' d$ri#" %isits b& dele"atio#s o! scie#tists led b& a ma# k#ow# as /r. Lai!$llah' a dep$t& o! #otorio$s .akista#i scie#tist A N 6ha#' i# A$"$st a#d /ecember 2001' .akista# is belie%ed to ha%e o!!ered #$clear tech#olo"& cooperatio#' i#cl$di#" the trai#i#" o! 5$rmese scie#tists. 9#der the a"reeme#t' 5$rmese o!!icials !rom the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& a#d Armed 0orces are said to ha%e atte#ded a 12Amo#th co$rse o# the QAd%erse +!!ects o! N$clear a#d 5iolo"ical Eeapo#s.B , * 6$pp$swam&' who has bee# closel& tracki#" 5$rmaBs e ploits i# the #$clear sector' sa&s that prior to !ormer .akista#i .reside#t .er%e; 4$sharra!Bs %isit to 5$rma i# 2001' three .akista#i #a%al %esselsVa s$bmari#e' a ta#ker a#d a destro&erVthat made port calls to 5$rma a#d .akista# are k#ow# to ha%e s$pplied co#%e#tio#al weapo#s to 5$rma.
-! tr$e' a#al&sts sa& s$ch coAoperatio# wo$ld o#l& add to a se#se o! e#circleme#t amo#" -#dia# o!!icials alread& ac$tel& aware o! a# $#stable a#d #$clearAarmed .akista# a#d a te#se border disp$te i# Ar$#achal .radesh with ,hi#a. A#d the& belie%e 5$rmaBs "eoAstrate"ic si"#i!ica#ceVa#d ,hi#aBs co%ert militar& a#d strate"ic assista#ceV sho$ld be see# i# the co#te t o! the -#dia# Ocea# Re"io# <-OR= as a whole. Accordi#" to *a#Da&a 5ar$' a !ormer media ad%isor to -#dia# .rime 4i#ister 4a#moha# *i#"h' !orce proDectio# capacit& i# the -OR is esse#tial !or -#dia. QEeBre %isible i# +ast A!rica d$e to o$r s$ccess!$l a#tiApirac& missio#s'B he sa&s. Q5$t we ha%e to show o$r prese#ce i# the -#dia# Ocea# Re"io# b& rethi#ki#" the wa& we deplo& o$r !orces.B The -OR stretches !rom A!rica across to A$stralia a#d is the third lar"est water bod& i# the world' with i#cl$des :: littoral states. +i"ht& perce#t o! ,hi#aJs a#d 81 perce#t o! -#diaJs oil is shipped thro$"h this re"io#. QThe -OR is importa#t beca$se most o! o$r e#er"& a#d trade s$pplies !low thro$"h the area' so it #eeds to be protected'B sa&s Niti# .ai' a !ellow at the Takshashila -#stit$tio#' a #o#Apro!it tr$st i# ,he##ai' Tamil Nad$. QEe #eed to be read& to redeplo& o$r !orces to protect o$r strate"ic i#terests' especiall& as ,hi#a is co#ti#$i#" to pla& its strate"ic "ames.B ,ommodore <retired= 9da& ,. 5haskar "oes !$rther' complai#i#" that -#dia has act$all& bee# "oi#" backward i# this re"ard. Q-#dia allowed the i#!l$e#ce it "e#erated !ollowi#" the 2004 ts$#ami to be dil$ted beca$se o! its co#ti#$ed abse#ce i# *o$theast Asia a#d the re"io#'B sa&s 5haskar' who c$rre#tl& heads the Natio#al 4aritime 0o$#datio#' a New /elhiAbased thi#k ta#k. -# the #earAterm' the !irst task !or -#dia# diplomats tr&i#" to re"ai# their !ooti#" will be to !ace $p to the challe#"e o! how to ha#dle the !irst m$ltiApart& electio#s i# 5$rma i# more tha# !o$r decades o! D$#ta r$le' which are sched$led !or this &ear as part o! the co$#tr&Bs se%e#Astep roadmap to democrac&. 5$t e%e# i! all "oes smoothl&' with the D$#ta determi#ed to ha#" o# to power a#d appare#tl& recei%i#" co%ert s$pport !rom .akista# a#d North 6orea <a#d moral s$pport !rom ,hi#a=' there seems #othi#" that -#diaAAor a#& other co$#tr&AAca# do as it h$rtles dow# the #$clear road.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/01/1:8171.htm
hilip /8 Crowley Assistant Secretary /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" =ashington* @C /anuary #?* #$%$ I+>,+R.TM N9+*T-ON: A C$estio# o# 5$rma. -*-* has come o$t with a report toda& abo$t 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio# a#d it also reports some co#str$ctio# acti%ities "oi#" o# #ear 4a#dala&' which co$ld be a possible #$clear reactor site. Are &o$ P do &o$ ha%e a#& stateme#t abo$t AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: -Bm #ot !amiliar with that partic$lar report. Ee P i# o$r disc$ssio#s with 5$rma' we do ha%e co#cer#s abo$t certai# acti%it& a#d the pote#tial P that risks to the "lobal #o#proli!eratio# a"e#da. -Bll be happ& to P wh& do#Bt &o$ ask me a"ai# a#d weBll see what we ca# !i#d o$t abo$t the report. N9+*T-ON: Oka&' tha#k &o$.
I ourceboo) note5 Bn 89;9&9;&8@ the 2nstitute "or cience and 2nternational ecurity ,2 2 . published the "ollo#in! studies5 1urma5 - 7uclear Canabee; uspicious Din)s to 7orth Eorea; /i!h&Tech Procurements http5$$isis&online*or!$isis&reports$detail$burma&a&nuclear&#anabee&suspicious&lin)s&to&north&)orea&hi!h&tech& procureme$ Explorin! Claims about ecret 7uclear ites in 4yanmar http5$$isis&online*or!$isis&reports$detail$explorin!&claims&about&secret&nuclear&sites&in&myanmar$ +eep Connections bet#een 4yanmar(s +epartment o" -tomic Ener!y and the +TFE http5$$isis&online*or!$isis&reports$detail$deep&connections&bet#een&myanmars&department&o"& M
http://isisAo#li#e.or"/isisAreports/detail/b$rmaAaA#$clearAwa#abeeAs$spicio$sAli#ksAtoA#orthAkoreaAhi"hAtechAproc$reme/
-*-* Reports
Burma2 A Nuclear =annabeI Suspicious 6inks to North KoreaI ;igh'1ech rocurements and 0nigmatic 5acilities
by @a7id Albright* aul Brannan* 3obert Kelley and Andrea Scheel Stricker /anuary #?* #$%$ 0or se%eral &ears' s$spicio#s ha%e swirled abo$t the #$clear i#te#tio#s o! 5$rmaBs secreti%e militar& dictatorship. 5$rma is cooperati#" with North 6orea o# possible #$clear proc$reme#ts a#d appears to be misleadi#" o%erseas s$ppliers i# obtai#i#" topAo!AtheAli#e eC$ipme#t. ,ertai# eC$ipme#t' which co$ld be $sed i# a #$clear or missile pro"ram' we#t to isolated 5$rmese ma#$!act$ri#" compo$#ds o! $#k#ow# p$rpose. Altho$"h e%ide#ce does #ot e ist to make a compelli#" case that 5$rma is b$ildi#" secret #$clear reactors or !$el c&cle !acilities' as has bee# reported' the i#!ormatio# does warra#t "o%er#me#ts a#d compa#ies taki#" e treme ca$tio# i# a#& deali#"s with 5$rma. The militar& re"imeBs s$spicio$s li#ks to North 6orea' a#d appare#t willi#"#ess to ille"all& proc$re hi"h tech#olo"& "oods' make a priorit& co#%i#ci#" the militar& "o%er#me#t to accept "reater tra#spare#c&. *$spicio#s abo$t #$clear i#te#tio#s !ollowed a# a"reeme#t b& R$ssia to sell 5$rma a research reactor i# 2001 a#d i#te#si!ied i# 2007 with the res$mptio# o! a !ormal militar& relatio#ship betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' k#ow# o!!iciall& as 4&a#mar. *ecretar& o! *tate Filar& ,li#to# said i# ($l& 200)' ?Ee k#ow there are also "rowi#" co#cer#s abo$t militar& cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' which we take serio$sl&.@ 1 Accordi#" to 9.*. o!!icials' these co#cer#s e te#d to possible #$clear cooperatio#' b$t their i#!ormatio# is i#complete.2 The e%ide#ce s$pports that 5$rma a#d North 6orea ha%e disc$ssed #$clear cooperatio#' b$t is #ot s$!!icie#t to establish that North 6orea is b$ildi#" #$clear !acilities !or 5$rmaBs militar& D$#ta' despite rece#t reports to the co#trar&. No#etheless' #o o#e ca# i"#ore the possibilit& o! si"#i!ica#t North 6orea# #$clear assista#ce to this e#i"matic' militar& re"ime. 5eca$se North 6orea secretl& sold a reactor to *&ria' a sale which the worldBs best i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies missed $#til late i# the reactorBs co#str$ctio#' #o o#e is willi#" to t$r# a bli#d e&e to the possibilit& o! North 6orea selli#" #$clear eC$ipme#t' materials' or !acilities to 5$rma. North 6oreaBs past proli!eratio# acti%ities a#d the !ail$re to promptl& detect the *&ria# reactor ca##ot b$t lead to more scr$ti#& o%er whether North 6orea mi"ht sell 5$rma a reactor or other #$clear i#d$strial eC$ipme#t a#d !acilities' or the mea#s a#d "$ida#ce to ma#$!act$re #$clear !acilities. Ehe# o#e adds 5$rmaBs ow# e!!orts to acC$ire abroad sophisticated d$alA$se "oods that ca# be $sed !or #$clear p$rposes' it becomes esse#tial to determi#e a#d co#strai# as #ecessar& the militar& D$#taBs #$clear i#te#tio#s. A#other dime#sio# is whether 5$rma is helpi#" North 6orea obtai# items !or its #$clear pro"rams. 5$rma co$ld act as a cooperati%e tra#sshipme#t part#er !or "oods $ltimatel& desti#ed !or North 6oreaBs "as ce#tri!$"e $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram. The militar& re"imeBs lack o! tra#spare#c& a#d repressi%e actio#s complicate a#& e!!ort to i#%esti"ate s$spicio#s abo$t its #$clear pro"ram. A priorit& is "etti#" the militar& "o%er#me#t to accept "reater tra#spare#c& o! its acti%ities. 5eca$se 5$rma is b$&i#" a wide %ariet& o! s$spicio$s d$alA$se "oods i#ter#atio#all&' "o%er#me#ts a#d compa#ies #eed to be more %i"ila#t i# e ami#i#" 5$rmaBs e#C$iries' or reC$ests !or eC$ipme#t' whether %ia
5$rmese "o%er#me#tal e#tities' 5$rmese tradi#" compa#ies' or other !orei"# tradi#" compa#ies. ,ompa#ies sho$ld treat e#C$iries !rom 5$rma #o di!!ere#tl& tha# those !rom -ra#' .akista#' or *&ria. 4i#imal N$clear ,apabilit& ,$rre#tl&' 5$rma has little k#ow# i#di"e#o$s #$clear i#!rastr$ct$re to s$pport the co#str$ctio# o! #$clear !acilities. No#etheless' it has so$"ht to p$rchase a #$clear research reactor !or abo$t a decade. -# *eptember 2000' 5$rma asked the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= !or assista#ce i# acC$iri#" a research reactor.@: The -A+A said that it wo$ld assist i# s$ch a# e#dea%or o#ce 5$rma achie%ed a set o! milesto#es' i#cl$di#" bri#"i#" its reactor sa!et& a#d re"$lator& i#!rastr$ct$re $p to a mi#imall& acceptable sta#dard. 4ea#while' witho$t telli#" the -A+A' 5$rma started #e"otiatio#s with R$ssia o%er the s$ppl& o! a te# me"awattAthermal research reactor.@ 4 A dra!t cooperatio# a"reeme#t was appro%ed b& R$ssia i# 4a& 2002 !or the co#str$ctio# o! a #$clear research ce#ter that wo$ld i#cl$de a te# me"awattAthermal research reactor' two laboratories <belie%ed to i#cl$de hot cells !or radioisotope prod$ctio#=' a#d !acilities !or the disposal o! #$clear waste. Fowe%er' the dra!t a"reeme#t did #ot represe#t a# appro%ed sale. The two co$#tries !i#all& si"#ed a #$clear cooperatio# a"reeme#t i# 2007 !or the sale o! the reactor comple ' b$t #o co#str$ctio# o! the research ce#ter had started as o! *eptember 200).@1 -# additio#' #either side has p$blicl& a##o$#ced the pla##ed locatio# o! this reactor proDect. 9#der the terms o! its cooperatio#' R$ssia has reportedl& co#d$cted trai#i#" o! 5$rmese i# !ields related to the b$ildi#" a#d operatio# o! research reactors. 5$rma recei%es a relati%el& small le%el o! tech#ical assista#ce !rom the -A+A i# #$clear medici#e' a"ric$lt$re' a#d !ields related to research reactors. -t also recei%es #$clear e#er"& trai#i#" i# *o$th 6orea with other members o! the Associatio# o! *o$theast Asia# Natio#s <A*+AN=. Accordi#" to a +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce o!!icial' R$ssia assists 5$rmaBs $ra#i$m e ploratio# a#d mi#i#" e!!orts' b$t this e!!ort is relati%el& smallAscale a#d has #ot e te#ded i#to the co#str$ctio# o! a $ra#i$m mill to process $ra#i$m ore. The 4&a#mar 4i#istr& o! +#er"& lists !i%e areas with pote#tial !or $ra#i$m mi#i#": 4a"we' Ta$#"dwi#"&i' 6&a$kph&"o# <4o"ok=' 6&a$ksi#' a#d .ao#"p&i# <4o"ok=. 8 4i#imal N$clear Tra#spare#c& 5$rma Doi#ed the N$clear No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T= i# 1))2. -t i#sists it is i# complia#ce with all its obli"atio#s $#der the N.T. +%ide#tl& i# reactio# to p$blished reports i# the s$mmer o! 200)' a 5$rmese o!!icial de#ied seeki#" #$clear weapo#s to *e#ator (im Eebb o# his trip to 5$rma i# A$"$st 200)' which was the !irst %isit b& a se#ior 9.*. o!!icial i# a decade.8 5$rma has a traditio#al -N0,-R, 11: comprehe#si%e sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t with the -A+A s$ppleme#ted b& a *mall N$a#tities .rotocol <*N.= that it si"#ed i# 1))1. The *N. is i# e!!ect si#ce 5$rma has declared it has #o maDor #$clear !acilities a#d o#l& small C$a#tities o! #$clear material. 9#der the *N.' the -A+A has a"reed #ot to impleme#t sa!e"$ards with a !ew e ceptio#s' mai#l& co#ditio#s aimed at determi#i#" whe# to impleme#t the sa!e"$ards proced$res i# the comprehe#si%e a"reeme#t. These co#ditio#s i#cl$de 5$rma a"reei#" to report i! it imports or e ports #$clear material' acC$ires more tha# a mi#imal amo$#t o! #$clear material' or has b$ilt a #ew #$clear !acilit& that is withi# si mo#ths o! recei%i#" #$clear material. -# the case o! the reactor !rom R$ssia' 5$rma wo$ld impleme#t the !$ll sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t' #o later tha# si mo#ths be!ore recei%i#" #$clear reactor !$el. 5$rma has disc$ssed impro%i#" sa!e"$ards with the -A+A i# the co#te t o! the reactor p$rchase. 8 Fowe%er' 5$rma has #ot a"reed to $pdate its commitme#ts $#der the *N.. -# partic$lar' it has #ot a"reed to report a #$clear !acilit& whe# it decides or a$thori;es its co#str$ctio# rather tha# si mo#ths be!ore 5$rma i#trod$ces #$clear material i# the !acilit&. 4oreo%er' it has #ot a"reed to the Additio#al .rotocol' which wo$ld obli"ate
5$rma to pro%ide !ar "reater i#!ormatio# abo$t its #$clear acti%ities a#d pla#s a#d allow the -A+A m$ch "reater access to 5$rmese sites. -mpleme#tatio# o! the Additio#al .rotocol co$ld "o !ar i# red$ci#" s$spicio#s abo$t reports o! $#declared #$clear !acilities or materials. -# a #ew de%elopme#t' it is $#derstood that 5$rma has i#dicated a# i#terest i# Doi#i#" the Asia/.aci!ic *a!e"$ards Network' a# A$stralia# i#itiati%e which came i#to operatio# i# October 200). This #etwork' which comprises a$thorities a#d a"e#cies worki#" i# sa!e"$ards' has &et to co#sider i! 5$rma sho$ld be i#%ited to Doi#. A #ew co#strai#t o# 5$rmaBs cooperatio# with North 6orea is 9#ited Natio#s *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874' which was passed i# midA200). -t prohibits member states !rom e#"a"i#" i# trade with North 6orea i# almost all co#%e#tio#al weapo#s a#d i# se#siti%e areas' i#cl$di#" those related to ballistic missiles a#d #$clear. Altho$"h the 5$rmese leadership has stated its commitme#t to !$ll& compl& with 9N*, Resol$tio# 1874' 9.*. o!!icials ha%e e pressed worries abo$t the ?#at$re a#d e te#t@ o! 5$rmaBs ties with North 6orea. ) 5eca$se tra#spare#c& remai#s so mi#imal' the !$#dame#tal C$estio# remai#s: has 5$rma decided to embark o# a co%ert ro$te to #$clear weapo#s o# its ow# or with the help o! North 6oreaO 5$rmaBs lack o! tra#spare#c& complicates e!!orts to $#dersta#d a ra#"e o! s$spicio$s proc$reme#ts a#d reports. These claims ca# be separated i#to two broad areasValle"ed $#declared #$clear acti%ities or !acilities a#d s$spicio$s or ille"al proc$reme#t acti%ities. Alle"ed 9#declared N$clear Acti%ities or 0acilities 3ario$s disside#t "ro$ps' researchers' a#d #ews reports ha%e claimed that there are co%ert #$clear sites i# 5$rma' i#cl$di#" reactors' $ra#i$m mi#es a#d mills' reprocessi#" pla#ts' a#d $ra#i$m e#richme#t !acilities. As !ar as co$ld be determi#ed' the e%ide#ce behi#d ma#& o! these claims is lar"el& based o# i#ter%iews with de!ectors or a#al&sis o! "ro$#d photos a#d o%erhead ima"er& o! s$spected sites. The oppositio# "ro$p /ictator Eatch <dictatorwatch.or"= has p$blished a ra#"e o! sites it sa&s are #$clear. 10 A#other researcher' 5ertil 2i#t#er' has p$blished a series o! photo"raphs take# i# the midA2000s o! a# e te#si%e series o! t$##els b$ilt with North 6orea# assista#ce. 11 Fe has s$""ested that some o! these mi"ht be #$clearA related. 4ore rece#tl&' A$stralia# researcher /esmo#d 5all a#d Thaila#dAbased -rishAA$stralia# Do$r#alist .hil Thorto#' citi#" de!ector acco$#ts' claimed i# the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald that 5$rma is b$ildi#" two secret #$clear reactorsH o#e alread& b$ilt with R$ssia# assista#ce' <a claim 5all later backed awa& !rom i# a# article i# the A$stralia# Do$r#al *ec$rit& ,halle#"es where he i#stead details the pla#s to b$ild it 12= a#d a#other o#e bei#" b$ilt with the help o! North 6orea' which will be secret a#d $sed !or militar& p$rposes. 1: -# additio#' 5all a#d Thorto# reported that based o# the de!ectorsB stateme#ts 5$rma is b$ildi#" or pla#s to b$ild secret pl$to#i$m separatio# pla#ts' $ra#i$m re!i#i#" a#d e#richme#t pla#ts' a#d !acilities to de%elop a#d prod$ce the #$clear weapo# itsel!. /ictator Eatch head Rola#d Eatso# claims that m$ch o! 5all a#d Thorto#Bs i#!ormatio# was p$blished earlier b& /ictator Eatch' rel&i#" o# the same de!ectors. 14 The #$clear alle"atio#s i# these reports are #ot i# "e#eral co#!irmed. As the A$stralia# researchers admit' a#& i#!ormatio# based o# i#ter%iews with 5$rmese de!ectors m$st be approached ca$tio$sl&. 11 The sheer #$mber o! alle"ed secret sites posited b& these de!ectors b& itsel! raises do$bts abo$t their claims. O#l& i# a !ew cases do the reports listi#" #$clear sites ha%e e#o$"h i#!ormatio# to assess their %eracit& $si#" satellite ima"er&. -# these cases' howe%er' where -*-* co$ld ide#ti!& speci!ic sites claimed to be #$clear' it assessed that the sites were #ot i# !act #$clear !acilities. -*-* re%iewed the "ro$#d photo"raphs o! s$spected t$##el !acilities i# 5$rma obtai#ed b& 5ertil 2i#t#er a#d p$blished o# GaleGlobal O#li#e a#d determi#ed that at least o#e o! the p$rported t$##el e#tra#ces is a dam pe#stock <see !i"$re 1=. 18 Other photo"raphs do i#deed depict t$##el e#tra#ces a#d i#door stora"e !acilities' b$t are likel& #ot #$clear i#d$strial !acilities. -*-* co$ld #ot ide#ti!& a#& #$clear i#d$strial characteristics i# the photos.
-*-* assessed claims made b& /ictatorEatch.or" a#d cited b& the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald o! a co%ert $ra#i$m mi#e a#d mill #ear 4a#dala& i# 5$rma. 17 A!ter a# a#al&sis o! a%ailable satellite a#d "ro$#d ima"er& a#d rele%a#t ope# so$rce i#!ormatio#' -*-* assessed that the s$spected $ra#i$m mill was too lar"e to be a small cla#desti#e $ra#i$m operatio#' a#d "ro$#d photo"raphs o! a# established commercial ceme#t pla#t matched %er& closel& with the o%erhead ima"er& claimed b& /ictatorEatch to depict the $ra#i$m mill. 18 -*-* also assessed that the s$spected $ra#i$m mi#e was probabl& a C$arr&' D$d"i#" b& the piecemeal scrapi#" marks i# the mo$#tai#. A co%ert $ra#i$m mi#e wo$ld likel& $tili;e moder# ope#Apit or $#der"ro$#d mi#i#" tech#iC$es. -*-* does #ot wa#t to o%erwei"h the importa#ce o! deb$#ki#" a !ew claims abo$t secret #$clear !acilities i# 5$rma. There remai# le"itimate reaso#s to s$spect the e iste#ce o! $#declared #$clear acti%ities i# 5$rma' partic$larl& i# the co#te t o! North 6orea# cooperatio#. 5$t the methods $sed i# the p$blic domai# so !ar to ide#ti!& e isti#" s$spect 5$rmese #$clear !acilities are !lawed. -de#ti!icatio# o! s$spect #$clear sites reC$ires a more ri"oro$s basis tha# is c$rre#tl& e%ide#t. *$spicio$s or -lle"al .roc$reme#t Acti%ities 5$rma is D$d"ed as $#able to b$ild #$clear !acilities o# its ow#. As a res$lt' it m$st depe#d o# o$tside s$ppliers !or #$clear tech#olo"&' eC$ipme#t' materials' a#d !acilities. There!ore' detecti#" s$spicio$s 5$rmese proc$reme#ts is pote#tiall& a# importa#t i#dicator o! $#declared #$clear materials a#d !acilities. 5$rma is seeki#" abroad a lar"e C$a#tit& o! topA#otch' hi"hl& sophisticated "oods with pote#tial missile a#d #$clear $ses. Get' #o patter# has emer"ed i# these proc$reme#ts that lead to a speci!ic missile or #$clear e#d $se. No#etheless' the proc$reme#ts are o!te# s$spicio$s or hi"hl& e#i"matic' accordi#" to o#e se#ior +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce o!!icial. The 5$rmese militar& re"ime mi"ht $se North 6orea# tradi#" e#tities to acC$ire o%erseas se#siti%e #$clear a#d #$clear d$al $se "oods. -ts militar& cooperatio# with North 6orea has i#creased o%er the last se%eral &ears' !$eli#" co#cer#s abo$t #$clear cooperatio#. North 6orea co$ld also s$ppleme#t 5$rmaBs ow# !orei"# proc$reme#t #etworks' a#d it co$ld sell #$clear "oods made i# North 6orea. 0or its part' North 6orea wo$ld !i#d s$ch a# arra#"eme#t l$crati%e' a#d it co$ld $se 5$rma as a willi#" tra#sshipme#t poi#t' or t$r#table' !or illicit sales !or itsel! or others. A#other' albeit less likel&' possibilit& is that North 6orea co$ld b$ild se#siti%e !acilities i# 5$rma !or its ow# $se. There are li#"eri#" C$estio#s abo$t two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists who reportedl& we#t to 5$rma i# late 2001' d$ri#" a time o! i#te#se i#terest o%er a#& help these same .akista#i #$clear scie#tists co$ld ha%e pro%ided al Naeda i# A!"ha#ista# be!ore the !all o! the Taliba#. The two' *$leima# Asad a#d 4$hammed Ali 4$khtar' reportedl& le!t .akista# with the a"reeme#t o! the .akista#i "o%er#me#t to el$de C$estio#i#" b& the 9#ited *tates.1) 5$rmese o!!icials s$bseC$e#tl& de#ied "i%i#" sa#ct$ar& to a#& .akista#i #$clear scie#tists. 20 Their whereabo$ts or acti%ities si#ce the# remai# $#k#ow#. Namcho#"a#" +%ide#ce o! North 6orea#/5$rmese cooperatio# i#cl$des the reported prese#ce i# 5$rma o! o!!icials !rom Namcho#"a#" Tradi#" <N,G=' a North 6orea# tradi#" compa#& that is sa#ctio#ed b& 9.N. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. *&riaBs reactor proDect depe#ded o# assista#ce !rom N,G. The #at$re o! the 5$rmese/N,G cooperatio# remai#s lar"el& $#k#ow#' b$t N,G has reportedl& sold eC$ipme#t to 5$rma or pro%ided some t&pe o! tech#ical assista#ce. 21 As me#tio#ed abo%e' there is #o co#crete e%ide#ce that North 6orea is s$ppl&i#" 5$rma a reactor' b$t a#& i#%ol%eme#t b& N,G i# 5$rma is bo$#d to i#crease s$spicio#s abo$t s$ch a sale.
Reports o! North 6orea selli#" a reactor to 5$rma date back to at least 2004' a time whe# N,G was helpi#" *&ria acC$ire its reactor. 22 Accordi#" to a 2004 Asia Times article' citi#" -#dia# i#telli"e#ce' 5$rma approached North 6orea i# No%ember 2002 as a seller o! last resort a!ter the militar& re"ime !ailed to acC$ire a reactor !rom R$ssia' ,hi#a' a#d -#dia.2: R$ssia at the time had si"#ed o#l& a dra!t reactor sales a"reeme#t. -#dia t$r#ed dow# 5$rmaBs reC$est !or a reactor i# 2000' accordi#" to the article' beca$se o! -#diaBs %iew that 5$rma did #ot #eed s$ch a reactor a#d was co#cer#ed abo$t rili#" the 9#ited *tates which had sa#ctio#s o# 5$rma. The Asia Times article makes the additio#al claim that a reactor deal was si"#ed betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea i# earl& 2004.24 5$t all these claims remai# $#co#!irmed. New +ast -#ter#atio#al Tradi#" -# ($#e 200)' (apa# arrested three i#di%id$als !or attempti#" to ille"all& e port a ma"#etometer to 5$rma %ia 4ala&sia'21 $#der the directio# o! a compa#& associated with illicit proc$reme#t !or North 6orea# militar& pro"rams.28 A$thorities lear#ed s$bseC$e#tl& that this "ro$p s$ccess!$ll& deli%ered other #$clear d$alA$se eC$ipme#t to 5$rma. The ori"i#al order !or the ma"#etometer came !rom the 5eiDi#" o!!ice o! New +ast -#ter#atio#al Tradi#"' 2td.' which reportedl& operates $#der the directio# o! North 6orea. The compa#& is headC$artered i# Fo#" 6o#" b$t also has a .&o#"&a#" o!!ice' which is !la""ed b& watch lists o! the (apa#ese 4i#istr& o! +co#om&' Trade' a#d -#d$str& <4+T-= !or its i#%ol%eme#t i# illicit proc$reme#t !or North 6orea# militar& pro"rams. 27 The ma"#etometer' which is a d$alA$se i#str$me#t that meas$res ma"#etic !ields' was i#tercepted be!ore it made its wa& to 5$rma. -# additio# to le"itimate commercial $ses i# archaeolo"ical a#d "eoph&sical scie#ces' a ma"#etometer ca# be emplo&ed i# maki#" missile co#trol s&stem ma"#ets a#d "as ce#tri!$"e ma"#ets <i# ma"#eti;i#" ma"#ets a#d meas$ri#" stre#"th=. 28 This item is co#trolled $#der (apa#Bs ?catchAall@ re"$latio#s' which ba# the e port o! d$alA$se items !or militar& applicatio#s to co$#tries s$ch as North 6orea or 5$rma. (apa#ese o!!icials sei;ed the item i# (a#$ar& 200) a#d la$#ched a# i#%esti"atio# which later led to the arrests. The three i#di%id$als' o#e o! North 6orea# #atio#alit& a#d two o! (apa#ese #atio#alit&' were the heads o! three separate (apa#ese e#tities: 2i G&eo#" Fo' a North 6orea# #atio#al was preside#t o! the Toko 5oeki tradi#" compa#&H Firohiko 4$to was preside#t o! Taik&o *a#"&o tradi#" compa#& <i#ter#et searches i#dicate this ma& be a clothi#" compa#&=H a#d 4iaki 6ats$ki' was preside#t o! Rike# /e#shi ,ompa#&. Rike# /e#shi was the ma#$!act$rer o! the ma"#etometer. -# *eptember 2008' 2i G&eo#" Fo' $#der directio# o! the 5eiDi#" o!!ice o! New +ast -#ter#atio#al Tradi#"' asked 4$to at Taik&o *a#"&o to s$bmit doc$me#ts to the local c$stoms a$thorities !or the p$rpose o! e porti#" the de%ice. 4+T- i#!ormed the compa#& that a# e port lice#se was reC$ired a#d the e port co$ld #ot be a$thori;ed.2) At this time' the acc$sed co#spired to e port the item to 5$rma %ia 4ala&sia witho$t a lice#se. -# (a#$ar& 200)' the three co#spired to replace the #ame o# the c$stoms doc$me#ts to that o! Rike# /e#shi a#d tried to e port the item !or se%e# millio# &e#' or abo$t b72'100' witho$t a lice#se !rom 4+T-. :0 The e port was stopped b& c$stoms a"e#ts i# (apa#' a#d 4+T- co#!irmed the compa#& had #ot applied !or a# e port lice#se. :1 -# 0ebr$ar&' the premises o! Toko 5oeki were searched. :2 The i#di%id$als were char"ed with %iolati#" (apa#Bs 0orei"# + cha#"e a#d 0orei"# Trade 2aw b& attempti#" to e port the ma"#etometer witho$t a lice#se. The ma"#etometer was #ot the o#l& item ordered b& New +ast -#ter#atio#al Tradi#" !or shipme#t to 5$rma b& Toko 5oeki. -# A$"$st 2008' Toko 5oeki e ported to 5$rma two small c&li#drical "ri#ders' each %al$ed at 2.1 millio# &e#' or abo$t b28'000' witho$t permissio# o! (apa#ese a$thoritiesH this t&pe o! "ri#der' which was prod$ced b& 4a#ba *eisak$sho ,o. 2td' ca# be $sed to make missile co#trol s&stems a#d to "ri#d ma"#ets !or "as ce#tri!$"es.:: -# No%ember 2008' Toko 5oeki e ported a#other c&li#drical "ri#der to 5$rma. 5$rmaBs 4i#istr& o! -#d$str& No. 2 reportedl& recei%ed the "ri#ders. :4
-# No%ember 200)' 2i G&eo#" Fo o! Toko 5oeki tradi#" compa#& was !o$#d "$ilt& a#d "i%e# a two &ear s$spe#ded se#te#ce a#d a !i#e o! si millio# &e# <abo$t b87'000=. -# his r$li#"' the D$d"e said that all these e ports or attempted e ports i#%ol%ed ?all da#"ero$s eC$ipme#t $sed to de%elop a#d/or ma#$!act$re #$clear weapo#s.@:1 The D$d"e co#cl$ded that there was ?th$s a risk o! "reatl& a!!ecti#" the peace a#d sec$rit& o! (apa# a#d the world.@:8 Altho$"h this case implies that North 6orea was p$rchasi#" d$alA$se eC$ipme#t !or 5$rma' the i#%esti"atio# did #ot co#!irm whether the items were i#te#ded !or $se i# 5$rma i# a missile or #$clear pro"ram or !or shipme#t o#ward to North 6orea or a#other co$#tr&. *$spicio$s .roc$reme#ts b& 5$rmese +d$catio#al +#tit& Accordi#" to a +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce o!!icial' i# 2008 a#d 2007 5$rma made a series o! proc$reme#ts o! e tremel& hi"h precisio#' e pe#si%e d$alA$se i#d$strial eC$ipme#t' i#cl$di#" comp$terA#$mericall& co#trolled <,N,= machi#e tools' !rom compa#ies located i# *wit;erla#d' Germa#&' a#d (apa#. A# o!!icial !rom a#other "o%er#me#t k#owled"eable abo$t the case co#!irmed to -*-* these topAo!AtheAli#e proc$reme#ts. The eC$ipme#t was ordered b& a# a"e#c& o! the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t oste#sibl& respo#sible !or tech#ical ed$catio# pro"rams i# the co$#tr&' the /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# </T3+= $#der the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&. Fowe%er' the eC$ipme#t is too sophisticated !or #ormal teachi#" a#d st$de#t e#dea%ors. At the time o! the orders' accordi#" to a +$ropea# "o%er#me#t o!!icial' the head o! the /T3+ was /r. 6o 6o Oo' who was also the head o! 5$rmaBs /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& </A+=' also $#der the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&. O!!icials i# the /T3+ ha%e si"#i!ica#t perso##el li#ks a#d associatio#s with the /A+.:7 -# 200:' both e#tities shared a ph&sical address at the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&' a#d a# o!!icial at the /T3+ had a# eAmail address at the /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"&' dae.m&atomXmptmail.#et.mm. 5oth e#tities ha%e si#ce mo%ed to the #ew capital o! Na&p&idaw. -# s$ch a small co$#tr&' o!!icials mi"ht wear more tha# o#e ?hat'@ a#d #$clear o!!icials mi"ht do more tha# D$st #$clear. 5$t the co##ectio# raises the iss$e o! whether the eC$ipme#t is i#te#ded !or a #$clear p$rpose or whether the /T3+ acts as a proc$reme#t !ro#t !or the /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& or a militar& e#tit&. -t is $#clear i! the proc$reme#ts i# +$rope were le"alVtho$"h i! the eC$ipme#t were $ltimatel& $sed i# a militar& or #$clear pro"ram' these proc$reme#ts sho$ld be a"ai#st the law i# most +$ropea# co$#tries. The proc$reme#t ro$te a#d the e portBs le"alit& are $#k#ow# !or the eC$ipme#t se#t !rom (apa# to 5$rma. 9po# closer e ami#atio# b& +$ropea# o!!icials' the declared e#d $se o! the comp$terA#$mericall& co#trolled <,N,= machi#e tools did #ot look credible. Accordi#" to o#e +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce o!!icial' the declared e#d $se had too ma#& i#co#siste#cies to belie%e what was claimed. *ome o! the ,N, eC$ipme#t was %er& lar"e' with a base o! abo$t ei"ht meters' a#d declared !or $se i# ma#$!act$ri#" sophisticated locomoti%e diesel e#"i#e parts. 5$t desi"#s o! parts "i%e# to s$ppliers appeared i#completeH the& were missi#" ke& tolera#ces. O!!icials s$spected that the desi"#s were pho#& a#d the eC$ipme#t wo$ld act$all& be $sed to ma#$!act$re other parts. -# additio#' the C$alit& a#d price o! the eC$ipme#t is be&o#d what 5$rma wo$ld be e pected to p$rchase or #eed' "i%e# its relati%el& primiti%e diesel locomoti%e ma#$!act$ri#" base a#d its modest pla#s !or e pa#di#" this ma#$!act$ri#" capabilit&. :8 +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce ser%ices &ielded that the eC$ipme#t was m$ltiAp$rpose' r$##i#" the "am$t o! possible $ses' i#cl$di#" t$rbi#es i# aircra!t' hi"hAtech#olo"& ci%ilia# ma#$!act$ri#"' missile parts' or #$clear compo#e#t ma#$!act$ri#". The eC$ipme#t appeared o%ersi;ed !or "as ce#tri!$"e ma#$!act$ri#". -t co$ld still be $sed to make ce#tri!$"e parts' b$t it is $#eco#omical to b$& s$ch lar"e eC$ipme#t !or this e#d $se. -# additio#' the eC$ipme#t appeared too precise !or missile ma#$!act$ri#"' b$t it co$ld still be dedicated to s$ch a p$rpose.
-*-* has lear#ed that two sets o! this hi"h precisio# eC$ipme#t were se#t to two separate i#d$strial b$ildi#"s' at least o#e o! which was rece#tl& b$ilt. 5oth b$ildi#"s are said to be similarAlooki#"H the& are located a dista#ce !rom a#& maDor cit& a#d ha%e e te#si%e sec$rit&. 0i"$re 2 shows o#e o! the b$ildi#"s' which is a lar"e' bl$eAroo!ed str$ct$re located te# miles #ortheast o! the tow# .&i# Oo 2wi#' [88*9<;? 70 :G*G8:H E] where 5$rmaBs /e!e#se *er%ices Academ& trai#i#" !acilit& a#d other militar& i#stallatio#s are located' a#d abo$t :1 miles !rom 4a#dala&' the #earest maDor cit&. This b$ildi#" is at the e#d o! a lo#" road set back !rom the mai# hi"hwa& a#d appears remote. 0i"$re : shows the seco#d b$ildi#". -t is located appro imatel& 80 miles west o! 4a#dala& <21.72:882' )4.788484= <see !i"$re 4=. -t has %er& similar characteristics to the !irst b$ildi#" #ear .&i# Oo 2wi#. The b$ildi#" is located o# a# isolated compo$#d a#d sits o# a wide !o$#datio#H its side le#"ths are esse#tiall& ide#tical to the !irst b$ildi#" <^80 meters=' the roo! is %a$lted a#d it appears to be bl$e i# color <see !i"$re 1=. A +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce a"e#c& co#!irmed to -*-* that this is i#deed the seco#d b$ildi#". The b$ildi#"sB dista#ce !rom a maDor cit& is odd beca$se o#e wo$ld e pect !acilities that make locomoti%e e#"i#es or sophisticated parts to be #ear a maDor cit& a#d a skilled ci%ilia# work !orce. -# co#trast' a work!orce operati#" at the !irst b$ildi#" i# !i"$re 2 wo$ld #eed to tra%el abo$t o#e ho$r b& b$s !rom 4a#dala& to reach it. -# !act' the eC$ipme#t wo$ld be e pected to "o to e isti#" diesel locomoti%e ma#$!act$ri#" !acilities' i# partic$lar the -#sei# 2ocomoti%e *hed a#d the Gwahta$#" /iesel 2ocomoti%e *hed' both o! which were bei#" $p"raded i# 2008 to make diesel locomoti%es a#d are located #ear Ga#"o# a#d 4a#dala&' respecti%el& <see !i"$res 8 a#d 7=. :) The b$ildi#" i# !i"$re 2 was b$ilt i#side a deep hole' accordi#" to a# i#telli"e#ce o!!icial. -t appears to be a lar"e i#d$strial b$ildi#" <270 !eet o# each side= with a 40A!oot wide road leadi#" to the b$ildi#". The width o! the road wo$ld impl& the $se o! lo#" tr$cks or tr$cks ha$li#" wide or lo#" obDects. ,ommercial satellite ima"es o! the b$ildi#" see# i# !i"$re 2 dati#" to 2001' earl& i# its co#str$ctio# phase' show lar"e' st$rd& !o$#datio#s' b$t the b$ildi#" D$d"ed as $#s$itable to s$pport a #$clear reactor.40 Additio#all&' #o railroad tracks are %isible i# !i"$re 2' which s$""ests the b$ildi#" is #ot !or assembli#" locomoti%es. At !irst' +$ropea# a#al&sts belie%ed that 5$rma was #ot the act$al e#d $ser o! these sophisticated imports' a#d tho$"ht perhaps North 6orea was the hidde# b$&er. The b$ildi#"s lacked %ital climate co#trol eC$ipme#t' i#cl$di#" air co#ditio#i#". 5eca$se e cess h$midit& ca# dama"e the d$alA$se eC$ipme#t' i#itial assessme#ts ass$med that 5$rma i#te#ded to ship the eC$ipme#t elsewhere. 5$t as o! midA200)' the eC$ipme#t was still i# 5$rma. -# additio#' #o co##ectio# to a#other co$#tr& has bee# established. *ome spec$late that North 6orea co$ld locate militar& i#d$stries i#side 5$rma. 5$t is the 5$rmese work!orce s$!!icie#tl& trai#ed to operate them !or North 6oreaO The work!orce i# North 6orea is more hi"hl& skilled' a#d North 6orea ca# proc$re ,N, machi#es !or itsel!. No#etheless' a Doi#t 5$rmese/North 6orea# militar& or #$clear e#terprise mi"ht make se#se. The C$estio# that remai#s is what is 5$rma pla##i#" to do with the eC$ipme#t i# these b$ildi#"sO -s the pla##ed $se reall& !or maki#" locomoti%e diesel e#"i#e parts or is it related to #$clear' missile' or co#%e#tio#al weapo#sO A ke& challe#"e is how to determi#e the tr$e p$rpose o! these imports o! sophisticated machi#er& a#d e#s$re that !$t$re o#es are s$bDect to more scr$ti#& b& s$pplier states. ,o#cl$sio# a#d .olic& Recomme#datio#s: There remai# so$#d reaso#s to s$spect that the militar& re"ime i# 5$rma mi"ht be p$rs$i#" a lo#"Aterm strate"& to make #$clear weapo#s. /espite the p$blic reports to the co#trar&' the militar& D$#ta does #ot appear to be
close to establishi#" a si"#i!ica#t #$clear capabilit&. -#!ormatio# s$""esti#" the co#str$ctio# o! maDor #$clear !acilities appears $#reliable or i#co#cl$si%e. Assi"#i#" a p$rpose to s$spicio$s proc$reme#ts likewise remai#s $#certai#. The proc$reme#ts are m$ltiA p$rpose a#d di!!ic$lt to correlate co#cl$si%el& with a secret missile or #$clear pro"ram. Altho$"h 5$rma a#d North 6orea appear to be cooperati#" o# ille"al proc$reme#ts' who is helpi#" who ca##ot be determi#ed with the a%ailable i#!ormatio#. -s North 6orea helpi#" 5$rma acC$ire #$clear' co#%e#tio#al weapo#' or missile capabilities or is 5$rma assisti#" North 6orea acC$ire this eC$ipme#tO No#etheless' the e%ide#ce s$pports that the re"ime wa#ts to de%elop a #$clear capabilit& o! some t&pe' b$t whether its $ltimate p$rpose is peace!$l or militar& remai#s a m&ster&. The o$tsta#di#" C$estio#s abo$t the re"imeBs acti%ities reC$ire that there be more scr$ti#& o! 5$rma to ascertai# i! there is a# $#derl&i#" secret #$clear pro"ram. 5eca$se 5$rmaBs k#ow# #$clear pro"ram is so small' the 9#ited *tates a#d its allies ha%e a# opport$#it& to both e#"a"e a#d press$re the militar& re"ime i# a ma##er that wo$ld make it e tremel& di!!ic$lt !or 5$rma to acC$ire a #$clear weapo#s capabilit&' let alo#e #$clear weapo#s. A priorit& is to establish "reater tra#spare#c& o%er 5$rmaBs a#d North 6oreaBs acti%ities a#d i#hibit a#& #$clear or #$clear d$alA$se tra#s!ers to 5$rma. A related problem is e#s$ri#" that 5$rma is #ot helpi#" North 6orea acC$ire #$clear a#d other militar& "oods ille"all&. 3i"oro$s impleme#tatio# o! the rece#t 9.N. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874 o# North 6orea is help!$l to these "oals. The 9.*. a#d other "o%er#me#ts sho$ld co#ti#$e to press 5$rmaBs militar& re"ime to abide b& this resol$tio#. To rei#!orce this messa"e' 5$rma sho$ld be made more aware o! the pe#alties o! bei#" labeled a pariah state. The 9#ited *tates a#d its +$ropea# allies ha%e strai#ed relatio#s with the militar& dictatorship with !ew opport$#ities to appeal to 5$rmaBs militar& re"ime. At the same time' the re"ime has demo#strated little i#terest i# breaki#" o$t o! its isolatio#' altho$"h it has show# a rece#t i#terest i# e#"a"i#" with the 9#ited *tates. The Obama admi#istratio# is ri"ht to tr& to e ploit this i#terest b& attempti#" to e#"a"e with the re"ime' despite the ob%io$s di!!ic$lties. A stated 9.*. "oal is to i#d$ce the re"ime to break or dimi#ish its relatio#ship with North 6orea. R$ssia sho$ld be pri%atel& e#co$ra"ed that be!ore it pro%ides 5$rma with a research reactor' the re"ime #eeds to meet a set o! speci!ic co#ditio#s. 4ore e!!ecti%e sa!e"$ards wo$ld be the pri#cipal co#ditio#' i#cl$di#" the Additio#al .rotocol alo#" with $p"raded sa!et& a#d sec$rit& i#!rastr$ct$re. Also #ecessar& are %eri!iable commitme#ts b& the 5$rmese re"ime to #ot proc$re eC$ipme#t illicitl& a#d to abide b& 9.N. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874' which wo$ld mea# 5$rma wo$ld #ot b$& a#& #$clear !acilities' eC$ipme#t' or materials !rom North 6orea. 5$rmaBs s$spicio$s proc$reme#ts as well as its cooperatio# with North 6orea sho$ld ca$se s$ppliers to be more %i"ila#t. *$ppliers #eed to e ercise "reater ca$tio# abo$t e#C$iries !rom 5$rmese e#tities or compa#ies i# other co$#tries where there is a# i#dicatio# that "oods are desti#ed !or 5$rma. Go%er#me#ts sho$ld war# their compa#ies abo$t possible attempts b& 5$rma to acC$ire hi"h precisio# machi#er& or other se#siti%e d$al $se items. The co$#tries that s$pplied the hi"hAprecisio# eC$ipme#t i# 2008 a#d 2007 sho$ld !i#d a le"al D$sti!icatio# to press !or access to the eC$ipme#t i# order to %eri!& that it is bei#" $sed !or its declared p$rpose. The 9#ited *tates is pla##i#" to hold more disc$ssio#s with 5$rma. -# these disc$ssio#s' the 9#ited *tates sho$ld press !or access to certai# s$spicio$s sites as a wa& to b$ild co#!ide#ce. The *&ria# reactor' -ra#Bs "as ce#tri!$"e $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram' a#d .akista#Bs hi"hl& e#riched $ra#i$m pro"ram were all e#abled i# lar"e part beca$se o! the !ail$re o! the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& to halt the illicit sale o! #$clearArelated tech#olo"&. The i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& has a $#iC$e opport$#it& to set a #ew precede#t a#d
pre%e#t 5$rma !rom acC$iri#" materials that co$ld e%e#t$all& be $sed i# a# $#sa!e"$arded #$clear pro"ram. 5$rma has #o reaso# to seek #$clear weapo#s. The i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& sho$ld co#%i#ce 5$rma that pled"i#" #ot to do so i# a tr$l& %eri!iable ma##er co$ld pro%ide si"#i!ica#t be#e!its.
5igure %8 Around photograph obtained by Bertil 6intner at <aleAlobal 4nline8 -S-S assessed that this photograph depicts a dam penstock8
5igure #8 A large* blue'roofed structure located ten miles northeast of the town yin 4o 6win* where Burma>s @efense Ser7ices Academy training facility and other military installations are located* and about &, miles from Mandalay* the nearest ma!or city8 -S-S learned that a set of high precision eBuipment was sent to this building8 .pon closer eCamination by 0uropean officials* Burma>s declared end use of the eBuipment did not look credible8
5igure &8 -S-S learned that another set of the high precision eBuipment in the first building was also sent to this building.
5igure +8 1he buildings are located west and east of Mandalay8 1he building in 5igure # is located in the area circled to the east of Mandalay8 1he building in 5igure & is in the area circled to the west of Mandalay8
5igure ,8 A side'by'side comparison of the two buildings8 1he building on the left is seen in figure #* the building on the right is seen in figure &8 1he buildings both ha7e nearly identical side lengths of approCimately ?$ meters8 Both ha7e 7aulted roofs* which appear to be blue in color8 Both are located on isolated compounds and both buildings are placed on top of wide foundations8
5igure H8 A wide'7iew image of the city <angon in Burma8 1he -nsein 6ocomoti7e Shed is likely located within -nsein 1ownship* circled in blue8
5igure )8 =ide'7iew of Mandalay in Burma8 1he <wahtaung @iesel 6ocomoti7e Shed is likely located in the area circled in blue8
1Gle## 2-bid.
6essler' ?,li#to#: 9.*. Ear& o! Growi#" 5$rmese' North 6orea# 4ilitar& ,ooperatio#'@ The Eashi#"to# .ost' ($l& 21' 200).
:5rie!i#"
4-bid. 1?*tateme#t
o! the 2eader o! the 4&a#mar /ele"atio# (.+. 9 Ti# Ei# to the 1:rd A##$al Re"$lar *essio# o! the -A+A Ge#eral ,o#!ere#ce'@ -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&' 3ie##a' *eptember 14A18' 200).
84&a#mar 74ichael
4i#istr& o! +#er"&' ?N$clear +#er"&: 9ra#i$m Ore /eposits o! 4&a#mar.@ http://www.e#er"&."o%.mm/#$cleare#er"&s$bsector.htm *$lli%a#' ?/oes 4&a#mar Ea#t N$clear Eeapo#s'@ Natio#al .$blic Radio. A$"$st 24' 200). Tra#script o! radio broadcast.
8?*tateme#t )6$rt 100or
,ampbell' Assista#t *ecretar&' 5$rea$ o! +ast Asia# a#d .aci!ic A!!airs' *tateme#t 5e!ore the Fo$se ,ommittee o# 0orei"# A!!airs' Eashi#"to#' /.,.' October 21' 200). a# e ample o! a# alle"ed $ra#i$m mi#e a#d mill' see /ictatorEatch.or"' 4arch 2007' http://www.dictatorwatch.or"/phshows/b$rma!acilit&.html.
115ertil
2i#t#er' ?5$rmaBs N$clear Temptatio#'@ GaleGlobal O#li#e' /ecember :' 2008: http://&ale"lobal.&ale.ed$/displa&.articleOid`1187:. 5ertil 2i#t#er' ?T$##els' G$#s a#d 6imchi: North 6oreaBs N$est !or /ollars P .art 1'@ GaleGlobal O#li#e' ($#e )' 200): http://&ale"lobal.&ale.ed$/displa&.articleOid`12442 .
12/esmo#d 1:/esmo#d
5all' ?5$rmaBs N$clear .ro"rams: The /e!ectorsB *tor&'@ *ec$rit& ,halle#"es' 3ol. 1' No. 4 <*$mmer 200)=. http://www.sec$rit&challe#"es.or".a$/Article.a"es/%ol1#o45all.html. 5all a#d .hil Thorto#' ?5$rmaBs N$clear *ecrets'@ The *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald' A$"$st 1' 200)' http://www.smh.com.a$/#ews/world/b$rma8217sA#$clearA secrets/200)/07/:1/1248)771)7870.htmlOpa"e`!$llpa"eeco#te#t*wap2
142etter
to /esmo#d 5all a#d .hil Thorto# !rom Rola#d Eatso#' /ictatorEatch' A$"$st :' 200). www.dictatorwatch.or".
11?5$rmaBs 18-ma"er&
5rie! o! T$##el ,omple a#d 9#ide#ti!ied 5$ildi#" i# 4&a#mar' -*-*' A$"$st :' 200). http://isisAo#li#e.or"/$ploads/isisAreports/doc$me#ts/5$rmaRt$##elsR:A$"$st200).pd!
17/ictatorEatch'
N$clear *ecrets.@
18Robert
6elle&' A#drea *cheel *tricker' a#d .a$l 5ra##a#' + plori#" ,laims abo$t *ecret N$clear *ites i# 4&a#mar' -*-*' (a#$ar& 28' 2010.
1)?.akista#i 20?4&a#mar
,o##ectio#'@ The .io#eer <New /elhi=' /ecember 1)' 2001. ,o#!irms .la#s to 5$ild N$clear Research Reactor'@ A"e#ceA0ra#ce .resse. (a#$ar& 22'
2002.
21(a&
*olomo#' ?Tests .oi#t to *pread o! Eeapo#s Trade'@ The Eall *treet (o$r#al' 4a& 28' 200)H i#ter%iews with a se#ior +$ropea# i#telli"e#ce a"e#c& o!!icial.
5hattacharDee' ?-#dia 0rets O%er Ga#"o#A.&o#"&a#" /eal'@ Asia Times' ($#e 4' 2004.
the item was alle"edl& i#te#ded !or tra#sshipme#t thro$"h 4ala&sia is i#dicated i#: 4ari Gama"$chi' ?(apa# Folds : Acc$sed o! Tradi#" !or N6orea'@ Associated .ress. ($#e :0' 200). http://www.etaiwa##ews.com/et#/#ewsRco#te#t.phpOid`))0278Yla#"`e#"R#ews.
28?(apa# 27?: 28?:
Folds : Acc$sed.@
Feld O%er + port 5id o! /.R6 4issile 6#owAFow to 4&a#mar'@ The Gomi$ri *himb$#' ($#e :0' 200). http://www.&omi$ri.co.Dp/d&/#atio#al/200)08:0T/G01:04.htm. + ecs Arrested !or Attempti#" to + port ?/$alA9se@ Tech#olo"& to 4&a#mar'@ The 4ai#ichi /ail&' ($#e :0' 200). http://md#.mai#ichi.Dp/md##ews/#ews/200)08:0p2a00m0#a011000c.html.
2)-bid. :0?:
:1?(apa#
Firokawa a#d *achiko *akamaki' ?(apa#ese .olice *earch 0irm 2i#ked to North 6orea' 6awam$ra *a&s'@ 5loomber". 0ebr$ar& 28' 200). Trader ,har"ed with *elli#" *e#siti%e 4achi#es to 4&a#mar'@ Lee News. ($l& 24' 200)H a#d *$mmar& o! ($d"me#t' *e#te#ce passed No%ember 1' 200) <tra#slated !rom (apa#ese=.
:1*$mmar& :8-bid. :7A#drea :8?.rime
o! ($d"me#t.
*cheel *tricker' /eep ,o##ectio#s betwee# 4&a#marBs /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# a#d /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"&' -*-*' (a#$ar& 28' 2010. 4i#ister o# -#spectio# To$r o! 4&it#"e ,arria"e a#d Ea"o# Eorkshop' Gwahta$#" /iesel 2ocomoti%e *hed'@ The New 2i"ht o! 4&a#mar' *eptember 27' 2008. *ee also http://missio#s.it$.i#t/^m&a#mar/07#lm/#070420.htm a#d http://www.mrt%:.#et.mm/ope#:/010107tra#.html
:)-#!ormatio#
Ai#Ab$rmaAprelimi#ar&Aa#al&sis.htmlH *ee also -ma"er& 5rie! o! T$##el ,omple a#d 9#ide#ti!ied 5$ildi#" i# 4&a#mar' -*-*' op. cit.H http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2407/bi"AoddAm&a#marAbo H a#d http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2412/oco##orAo#AtheAbob
http://www.washi#"to#post.com/wpAd&#/co#te#t/article/2010/0:/02/AR20100:0202218.html
KThe bad beha%ior has i#creased'K said +r#ie 5ower' a# e pert o# *o$theast Asia at the ,e#ter !or *trate"ic a#d -#ter#atio#al *t$dies. Ne%ertheless' 9.*. o!!icials ar"$e AA a#d 5ower a#d others a"ree AA that talki#" with 5$rma still is the best wa& !orward' especiall& "i%e# the co#cer#s abo$t 5$rmaJs deepe#i#" militar& relatio#ship with North 6orea. -t is also importa#t to keep talki#" with 5$rma' said *e#. (ames Eebb </A3a.=' beca$se ,hi#a is more tha# willi#" to replace 9.*. i#!l$e#ce i# 5$rma a#d thro$"ho$t *o$theast Asia. EebbJs trip to 5$rma last A$"$st AA the !irst b& a member o! ,o#"ress i# a decade AA has bee# credited with "i%i#" the Obama admi#istratio# the political co%er to ope# $p talks with the D$#ta. 9#derli#i#" the admi#istratio#Js co#cer#s with 5$rma is a desire to a%oid a repeat o! e%e#ts that $#!olded i# *&ria i# 2007. North 6orea is belie%ed to ha%e helped to secretl& b$ilt a #$clear reactor there capable o! prod$ci#" pl$to#i$m. -t was reportedl& o#l& weeks or mo#ths awa& !rom bei#" !$#ctio#al be!ore -sraeli warpla#es bombed it i# *eptember o! that &ear. KThe lesso# here is the *&ria# o#e'K said /a%id Albri"ht' preside#t o! the #o#A"o%er#me#tal -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& a#d a# e pert o# #$clear proli!eratio#. KThat was s$ch a massi%e i#telli"e#ce !ail$re. Go$ ca#Jt be s$re that North 6orea is#Jt doi#" it someplace else. The 9.*. "o%er#me#t ca#Jt a!!ord to be bli#dsided a"ai#.K 5$rma is belie%ed to ha%e started a militar& relatio#ship with North 6orea i# 2007. 5$t with the passa"e o! a 9.N. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio# last ($#e ba##i#" all weapo#s e ports !rom North 6orea' 5$rma has emer"ed Kas a m$ch bi""er pla&er tha# it was'K the se#ior America# o!!icial said. -# a report Albri"ht coAwrote i# (a#$ar& titled K5$rma: A N$clear Ea##abe'K he o$tli#ed the case !or co#cer# abo$t 5$rmaJs relatio#s with North 6orea. 0irst' 5$rma has alread& si"#ed a deal with R$ssia !or the s$ppl& o! a 10Ame"awatt thermal research reactor' altho$"h #o co#str$ctio# o! the research ce#ter had started as o! *eptember 200). *eco#d' altho$"h there are ma#& $#%eri!ied claims !rom disside#t "ro$ps abo$t co%ert #$clear sites i# 5$rma' the report said Kthere remai# le"itimate reaso#s to s$spect the e iste#ce o! $#declared #$clear acti%ities i# 5$rma' partic$larl& i# the co#te t o! North 6orea# cooperatio#.K The report #oted that the same compa#& that aided the *&ria#s i# co#str$cti#" their #$clear !acilit& is acti%e i# 5$rma. The compa#&' Namcho#"a#" Tradi#" <N,G=' is sa#ctio#ed b& 9.N. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. -t is $#clear what e actl& N,G is doi#" i# 5$rma' the report said' b$t its prese#ce there Kis bo$#d to i#crease s$spicio#s abo$t s$ch a sale.K -# ($#e 200)' (apa#ese a$thorities cracked a case that i#%ol%ed the sale o! a ma"#etometer a#d other se#siti%e eC$ipme#t that co$ld be $sed to de%elop or ma#$!act$re #$clear weapo#s AA !rom a 5eiDi#"A based North 6orea# tradi#" compa#& to 5$rma. 0i#all&' the se#ior 9.*. o!!icial #oted that starti#" abo$t ei"ht &ears a"o' a lar"e #$mber o! 5$rmese st$de#ts were "oi#" to R$ssia to st$d& i# #$clearArelated !ields. K-tJs #ot D$st do;e#s' itJs h$#dreds'K he said.
www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/0:/1:78)2.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, 4arch :' 2010 [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: /o &o$ ha%e a#& comme#t o# the report that the 9.*. Go%er#me#t is co#cer#ed abo$t a possible #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"& to 4&a#mar b& North 6oreaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: As weB%e said at the podi$m ma#& times' we are co#cer#ed abo$t the pote#tial co#tacts with North 6orea a#d 5$rma. Are P we do ha%e co#cer#s abo$t #$clear cooperatio#. ThatBs o#e o! the reaso#s wh& we worked with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& to pass Resol$tio# 1874. A#d we also #ote that' as we disc$ssed last !all' that 5$rma itsel! has take# steps i# s$pport o! 1874. 5$t this is somethi#" that we will co#ti#$e to talk to 5$rma abo$t i# o$r bilateral dialo"$e. N9+*T-ON: A#d do &o$ ha%e a#& pla# to ha%e a#other meeti#" with 5$rmese o!!icials o# that iss$eO 4R. ,ROE2+G: - ha%e #othi#" to !orecast i# terms o! the #e t step i# o$r bilateral dialo"$e.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/opi#io#Rstor&.phpOartRid`17)44
A#al&sts belie%e that cla#desti#e militar& ties betwee# the two co$#tries ma& ha%e bee# reestablished as earl& as 1)))' whe# 5$rmese o!!icials paid a lowApro!ile %isit to the North 6orea capital. 2ast &ear' The -rrawadd& e posed a leaked report o! a cla#desti#e %isit b& Ge# *hwe 4a## to militar& !acilities a#d missile !actories i# North 6orea. As chie! o! sta!! o! the arm&' #a%& a#d air !orce' a#d the coordi#ator o! *pecial Operatio#s' *hwe 4a## led a 17Amember' hi"hAle%el dele"atio# o# a se%e#Ada& %isit to .&o#"&a#". Amo#" the sites the& %isited were secret t$##el comple es b$ilt i#to the sides o! mo$#tai#s to store a#d shield Det aircra!t' missiles' ta#ks a#d' possibl&' #$clear a#d chemical weapo#s. Accompa#ied b& air de!e#se chie! 2tAGe# 4&i#t Flai#" a#d other se#ior arm& leaders !rom hea%& i#d$stries' the dele"atio# was clearl& o# a missio# to ceme#t stro#"er militar& ties with the hermit state. /$ri#" the %isit' *hwe 4a## a#d his North 6orea# co$#terpart' Ge# 6im 6&okAsik' si"#ed a memora#d$m o! $#dersta#di#"' o!!iciall& !ormali;i#" militar& cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. -# ($l& 200)' 9* *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# e pressed co#cer# o%er militar& li#ks betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. ?Ee k#ow that there are also "rowi#" co#cer#s abo$t militar& coAoperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' which we take %er& serio$sl&'@ ,li#to# told Do$r#alists i# 5a#"kok d$ri#" a %isit to *o$theast Asia. ?-t wo$ld be destabili;i#" !or the re"io#. -t wo$ld pose a direct threat to 5$rmaJs #ei"hbors.@ 4ilitar& a#al&sts sa& the North 6orea# re"ime has pro%ided 5$rma with weapo#s' militar& tech#olo"& tra#s!ers a#d e pertise i# $#der"ro$#d t$##eli#" $sed !or co#ceali#" secret militar& i#stallatio#s. *i#ce 2002' the& sa&' do;e#s o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e assisted the 5$rmese armed !orces. 9#der the terms o! the memora#d$m' North 6orea wo$ld b$ild or s$per%ise the co#str$ctio# o! special 5$rmese militar& !acilities' i#cl$di#" t$##els a#d ca%es i# which missiles' aircra!t a#d e%e# #a%al ships co$ld be hidde#. 5$rma wo$ld also recei%e e pert trai#i#" !or its special !orces' as well as air a#d de!e#se trai#i#". The 5$rmese o!!icials who alerted the o$tside world to these de%elopme#ts were h$#ted dow#' bro$"ht to trial a#d se#te#ced to death. *ome arm& o!!icials still at lar"e i#sisted that the 5$rmese re"ime pla#s to acC$ire #$clear weapo#s. A !ormer arm& o!!icial who still has co##ectio#s withi# the arm& told The -rrawadd& rece#tl& that top arm& leaders belie%e that the possessio# o! #$clear weapo#s will "ai# 5$rma more bar"ai#i#" chips with the Eest a#d #ei"hbori#" "o%er#me#ts.. The o!!icial said' ?The& <5$rmese leaders= look $p to North 6orea a#d .akista# as role models a#d the& are #ot o$t o! to$ch a#d the& alwa&s st$d& the re"io#al a#d i#ter#atio#al la#dscape with kee# i#terest.@
5$rmaJs #$clear pro"ram i#cl$des the acC$isitio# o! a 10Ame"awatt li"ht water #$clear reactor !rom R$ssia. -ts secret locatio# is i# 4a"we' ce#tral 5$rma. -# 2008' #$clear ph&sics departme#ts were established i# the $#i%ersities o! Ra#"oo# a#d 4a#dala&' with e#rollme#t co#trolled b& the "o%er#me#t. -# 2007' R$ssiaBs ambassador to 5$rma' /r 4ikhail 4. 4"elad;e' co#!irmed that abo$t 2'000 5$rmese st$de#ts had bee# admitted to 11 academic i#stit$tio#s i# R$ssia $#der a bilateral a"reeme#t' a#d abo$t 100 had ret$r#ed to 5$rma with bachelor' masterBs or doctorate de"rees. -# 4a& 2007' R$ssia a#d 5$rma si"#ed a #ew a"reeme#t i# 4oscow ?o# the establishme#t o! a #$clear research ce#ter i# 4&a#mar.@ The si"#atories were 5$rmaBs scie#ce a#d tech#olo"& mi#ister 9 Tha$#" a#d the head o! R$ssiaBs N$clear .ower A"e#c& <Rosatom=' *er"e& 6iri&e#ko. R$ssia is #ot o# the 9* #$clear watch list. ?-! it was D$st the R$ssia# reactor' $#der !$ll i#ter#atio#al e#er"& s$per%isio#' the# the likelihood o! them bei#" able to do somethi#" with it i# terms o! a bomb wo$ld be ;ero'@ accordi#" to .ro! /esmo#d 5all' who speciali;es i# sec$rit& iss$es i# the re"io#. ?-tJs the North 6orea# eleme#t that adds da#"er to it.@ A$#" Law is !o$#der a#d editor o! the -rrawadd& ma"a;i#e. Fe ca# be reached at a$#";awXirrawadd&.or".
http://www.koreaherald.co.kr/N+E6F*-T+/data/htmlRdir/2010/0:/11/20100:1100:8.asp
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/hi"hli"ht.phpOartRid`180:8
A map showing the on 1aung on Nya mountain range* the site of one of three nuclear reactors recently constructed by the Burmese !unta8 The #$clear reactors' which the re"ime claims are !or research p$rposes' are located at 6&a$k .a Ftoe' a %illa"e i# Thabeikk&i# Tow#ship' #orther# 4a#dala& /i%isio#H 4a&m&o 0i!t& 4iles' a# area some 80 km !rom the setti#" o! the /*AH a#d .o# Ta$#" .o# N&a' a mo$#tai#o$s area o# the border betwee# 4a"we a#d *a"ai#" di%isio#s. ?The& Imilitar& leadersM chose .o# Ta$#" .o# N&a beca$se it is a sa!e dista#ce !rom hi"hl& pop$lated cities'@ said a militar& o!!icial i# 4a&m&o' also k#ow# as .&i# Oo 2wi#. Accordi#" to local reside#ts' the site is abo$t :0 km !rom the %illa"e o! 6&aw i# Ga#t"aw Tow#ship' sit$ated o# the .akokk$$A6ala& railwa& li#e i# 4a"we /i%isio#. ?*i#ce the proDect started i# 2007' there ha%e bee# ma#& !orei"#ers who look like the& mi"ht be ,hi#ese comi#" a#d "oi#"'@ said a local so$rce li%i#" i# 6&aw. ?Ee are #ot allowed to "o a#&where #ear this area b$ilt !or militar& $se'@ the so$rce added. Altho$"h there has bee# co#!irmatio# that co#str$ctio# work o# the proDects has bee# completed' it remai#s $#clear how soo# the reactors will be read& to "o o#li#e. Fowe%er' a rece#t !l$rr& o! acti%it&' i#cl$di#" hi"hA
le%el %isits b& se#ior members o! the r$li#" re"ime' s$""ests that the reactors will soo# be read& !or $se' accordi#" to militar& so$rces. The so$rces sa& that 3ice *e#AGe# 4a$#" A&e' the D$#taJs No. 2' has made !reC$e#t trips to the /*A i# 4a&m&o i# rece#t mo#ths to meet with 4aDAGe# *ei# Ei#' the head o! the /irectorate o! /e!e#se *er%ices *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& Research' which is respo#sible !or 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram. Accordi#" to Ge Ftet' a !ormer lie$te#a#t who de!ected !rom the 5$rmese militar& while st$d&i#" !or a "rad$ate de"ree at the /*A' the re"ime has i#%ested hea%il& i# the proDect with a# e&e to earl& completio#. Fe said the D$#ta has se#t aro$#d 80'000 militar& o!!icials to R$ssia to st$d& #$clear tech#olo"&. ?The proDect is at least hal! !i#ished'@ said Ge Ftet' who !led to 4ae *ot' o# the ThaiA5$rmese border' earlier this &ear. The tech#olo"& !or 5$rmaBs #$clear research proDect was pro%ided b& R$ssiaBs 0ederal Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <R0A+A=' which a"reed i# 4a& 2007 to help desi"# a#d b$ild a 10Ame"awatt li"htAwater reactor $si#" 20 perce#t e#riched $ra#i$mA2:1 !$el. Fowe%er' the R$ssia# a"e#c& has si#ce dista#ced itsel! !rom the 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram. This has led to !ears that the re"ime has t$r#ed to North 6orea !or assista#ce i# achie%i#" its #$clear ambitio#s.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/1/141870.htm
4R. ,ROE2+G: Ee re%iew at all times. 5$t isolatio# has #ot worked either. N9+*T-ON: Eell' it does#Jt seem that P b$t it does#Jt seem that e#"a"eme#t worked so !ar. 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' weBre abo$t 11 mo#ths i#to a# admi#istratio#. - thi#k weBre willi#" to sa& P a#d a!ter ma&be three meeti#"s' weBre willi#" to sa& that' so !ar' the 5$rmese Go%er#me#t has disappoi#ted $s. Ee will co#ti#$e to e%al$ate. EeBll co#ti#$e to make clear to 5$rma what it sho$ld be doi#". The o#l& P withi# its ow# P #ot o#l& i# terms o! how it relates to its ow# people' b$t also a#other messa"e that 6$rt ,ampbell deli%ered to them toda& was to rea!!irm that we e pect 5$rma to li%e $p to its i#ter#atio#al obli"atio#s' i#cl$di#" !$ll s$pport o! 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874.
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/2010/01/141881.htm
3emarks on Burma
6$rt 4. ,ampbell Assista#t *ecretar&' 5$rea$ o! +ast Asia# a#d .aci!ic A!!airs Ra#"oo#' 5$rma 4a& 11' 2010 A. *O9N/5-T+ o! Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate !or +ast Asia 6$rt ,ampbell [Fideo soundbite at abo%e >RD] K/$ri#" %ario$s disc$ssio#s with 5$rmaJs se#ior leadership' we ha%e o$tli#ed a proposal !or a credible dialo"$e' amo#" all the stakeholders i# 5$rma' that wo$ld allow all sides to e#ter i#to s$ch a dialo"$e with di"#it&. 9#!ort$#atel&' the re"ime has choose[n] to mo%e ahead $#ilaterall&' witho$t co#s$ltatio# !rom ke& stakeholders A towards electio#s pla##ed !or this &ear. As a direct res$lt' what we ha%e see# to date leads $s to belie%e that these electio#s will lack i#ter#atio#al le"itimac&. Ee $r"e the re"ime to take immediate steps to ope# the process i# the time remai#i#" be!ore the electio#s.K K0i#all&' we ha%e $r"ed 5$rmaJs se#ior leadership to abide b& its ow# commitme#t to !$ll& compl& with 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874. Rece#t de%elopme#ts call i#to C$estio# that commitme#t. - ha%e asked the 5$rmese leadership to work with the 9#ited *tates' a#d others' to p$t i#to place a tra#spare#t process to ass$re the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& that 5$rma is abidi#" b& its i#ter#atio#al commitme#ts. Eitho$t s$ch a process' the 9#ited *tates mai#tai#s the ri"ht to take i#depe#de#t actio# withi# the rele%a#t !rameworks established b& the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&.K
http://www.state."o%/p/eap/rls/rm/2010/01/142011.htm
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/01/142:1).htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, 4a& 28' 2010 [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: ..(.' thereBs a #ew 9N report o$t that sa&s North 6orea is ille"all& e porti#" #$clear a#d ballistic materials a#d tech#olo"& despite 9N sa#ctio#s. -s this P whatBs &o$r reactio# to thisO A#d is this a si"# that the 9N is !i#all& comi#" aro$#d to thi#"s that the 9.*. has lo#" s$spectedO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' "o back to last s$mmer whe# the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil passed Resol$tio# 1874 e pressl& beca$se we ha%e lo#"sta#di#" co#cer#s abo$t North 6oreaBs proli!eratio# acti%ities a#d its e port o! da#"ero$s materials to $#sa%or& co$#tries a#d characters aro$#d the world. - do#Bt thi#k that this is a stark re%elatio#. EeB%e had co#cer#s some o! the co$#tries #amed i# that report. EeB%e had co#cer#s abo$t relatio#s a#d e ports to' amo#" others' 5$rma. A#d P b$t weB%e come P came to"ether a &ear a"o' passed 1874. Ee ha%e bee# a""ressi%el& doi#" o$r part a#d other co$#tries ha%e do#e the same to impleme#t 1874' tr& to restrict the ki#ds o! e ports which ca# ha%e destabili;i#" impact both i#side the immediate re"io# a#d other places i# the world. EeBll co#ti#$e to do that. A#d as we co#s$lt a#d the# come P at some poi#t i# the comi#" da&s' we e pect that *o$th 6orea will bri#" North P iss$es re"ardi#" North 6oreaBs beha%ior back be!ore the ,o$#cil. A#d weB%e pled"ed we will s$pport !$ll& *o$th 6orea a#d that weBll see what other steps are appropriate so we ca# !$rther restrict a#d mi#imi;e the threat that North 6orea poses to the re"io# a#d the world. N9+*T-ON: *o there is e%ide#ce to s$pport' si#ce that last 9N resol$tio#' that there P that North 6orea co#ti#$es to e port these materials. 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' North 6orea is P - mea#' a"ai#' this is #ot a re%elatio#. The o#"oi#" acti%it& o! North 6orea is destabili;i#" withi# its ow# #ei"hborhood a#d elsewhere. -t is a# e porter o! co$#ter!eit material' itBs a# e porter o! ille"al material' itBs a# e porter o! da#"ero$s hardware a#d materials. A#d weB%e lo#" reco"#i;ed that' $#!ort$#atel&' this is the e port o! missiles' #$clear tech#olo"& a#d other thi#"s are the cash crop o! North 6orea. -tBs e pressl& wh& we ha%e o!!ered North 6orea a di!!ere#t relatio#ship' so that it ca# act$all& "o abo$t b$ildi#" a le"itimate eco#om&' o#e that is !ar more co#str$cti%e a#d co#d$ci%e to stabilit& a#d peace i# the re"io#. 5$t as lo#" as we reco"#i;e the da#"er posed b& *o$th 6orea' weBll co#ti#$e to take appropriate steps AA N9+*T-ON: North 6orea. 4R. ,ROE2+G: -Bm sorr&' North 6orea P co#ti#$e to take appropriate steps to mi#imi;e the da#"er that P a#d risk that North 6orea poses to its #ei"hbors a#d to the 9#ited *tates.
N9+*T-ON: To which co$#tries is North 6orea e porti#" these materialsO 4R. ,ROE2+G: - ha%e#Bt read that !$ll report so P b$t - k#ow 5$rma is o#e o! those co$#tries me#tio#ed a#d we ha%e me#tio#ed !rom this podi$m be!ore. N9+*T-ON: -s -ra# o#eO 4R. ,ROE2+G: FmmO N9+*T-ON: -s -ra# AA N9+*T-ON: -ra# a#d *&ria are also me#tio#ed. 4R. ,ROE2+G: - mea#' to the P - mea#' i# impleme#tatio# o! 1874' co$#tries that i#tercept shipme#ts P ille"al shipme#ts !rom North 6orea' sho$ld i#%esti"ate those a#d report those to the 9N. - s$spect that this report is a c$lmi#atio# o! some o! that reporti#" i# terms o! the impleme#tatio# o! sa#ctio#s b& a %ariet& o! co$#tries. Ee are !$ll& s$pporti%e o! those e!!orts.
http://e#"lish.alDa;eera.#et/pro"rammes/"e#eral/2010/01/20101:110470))0)11.html 9./AT+/ ON: Eed#esda&' ($#e 02' 2010 18:0) 4ecca time' 11:0) G4T .ROGRA44+*
http://www.abits$.or"/Op`8041
http://www.re$ters.com/article/id9*TR+8121G52010080:
Senator /im =ebb ostpones Burma Stop After "isits to Korea* 1hailand
($#e :' 2010 Senator =ebb* chairman of the Senate 5oreign 3elations Committee Subcommittee on 0ast Asia and acific Affairs* issued the following statement today8 ;e has !ust concluded 7isits to Korea and 1hailand2 ?News reports p$blished toda& co#tai# #ew alle"atio#s re"ardi#" the possibilit& that the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t has bee# worki#" i# co#D$#ctio# with North 6orea i# order to de%elop a #$clear pro"ram. 0rom the i#itial acco$#ts' a de!ecti#" o!!icer !rom the 5$rmese militar& claims direct k#owled"e o! s$ch pla#s' a#d reportedl& has !$r#ished doc$me#ts to corroborate his claims. ?-t is $#clear whether these alle"atio#s ha%e s$bsta#ti%e merit. Fowe%er' "i%e# the !act that Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate 6$rt ,ampbell rece#tl& acc$sed 5$rma o! %iolati#" 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874 with respect to a s$spected shipme#t o! arms !rom North 6orea' there are #ow two $#resol%ed matters related to acti%ities o! serio$s co#cer# betwee# these two co$#tries. 9#til there is !$rther clari!icatio# o# these matters' - belie%e it wo$ld be $#wise a#d pote#tiall& co$#terprod$cti%e !or me to %isit 5$rma. ?- stro#"l& belie%e that a co#ti#$atio# o! dialo"$e betwee# o$r two co$#tries is importa#t !or the e%ol$tio# o! a more ope# "o%er#me#tal s&stem a#d !or the !$t$re strate"ic bala#ce i# *o$theast Asia. Fowe%er' a prod$cti%e dialo"$e will be achie%able o#l& whe# these two matters are !$rther clari!ied. ?-# the i#terim period' - i#te#d to stro#"l& s$""est to the .reside#t that he !$l!ill the reC$ireme#ts o! .$blic 2aw 110A 288 a#d immediatel& appoi#t a special e#%o& to address the e#tire ra#"e o! iss$es re"ardi#" relatio#s betwee# the 9#ited *tates a#d 5$rma.@
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/08/142811.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, ($#e :' 2010 [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: ..(.' do &o$ ha%e a#& comme#t o# *e#ator EebbBs ca#cellatio# o! trip to 4&a#mar <i#a$dible=O 4R. ,ROE2+G: Ob%io$sl&' weBre aware that he chose #ot to "o to 5$rma' b$t weBll de!er to his o!!ice !or comme#t. N9+*T-ON: Fow abo$t the press alle"atio#s o# 4&a#marBs #$clear co##ectio# to North 6oreaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: EhatO N9+*T-ON: .ress alle"atio#. 4R. ,ROE2+G: O!O N9+*T-ON: N$clear cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' we are P we ha%e bee# co#cer#ed abo$t 5$rmaBs relatio#ship with North 6orea' the tra#sactio#s that occ$r betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. Ee are %er& co#scio$s that North 6orea is a serial proli!erator o! da#"ero$s materials a#d weapo#s' a#d this is somethi#" that we ha%e e pressed directl& to 5$rma a#d that co#ti#$es to be a maDor co#cer# o! o$rs.
http://www.d%b.#o/#ews/e pertAsa&sAb$rmaAU+2U80U)8pla##i#"A#$clearAbombU+2U80U))/)127
=ho is Sai 1hein =in: *ai was a maDor i# the 5$rmese arm&. Fe saw a /35 doc$me#tar& abo$t special !actories i# 5$rma that had bee# b$ilt b& the re"ime to make compo#e#ts !or Eeapo#s o! 4ass /estr$ctio# <E4/=. Fe worked i# two o! these !actories a#d !elt there was more that #eeded to be co#%e&ed o$tside 5$rma. *ai came o$t to Thaila#d to tell the world what he has see# a#d what he was asked to do. Ehat he has to sa& adds to the testimo#& o! ma#& other 5$rmese de!ectors' b$t he s$ppleme#ts it with ma#& colo$r photo"raphs o! the b$ildi#"s a#d what the& are b$ildi#" i#side them. -# additio# he ca# describe the special demo#stratio#s he atte#ded a#d ca# #ame the people a#d places associated with the 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram that he %isited. *ai Thei# Ei# remi#ds $s o! 4ordecai 3a#$#$' a# -sraeli tech#icia# at the /imo#a #$clear site i# the Ne"e% desert. 3a#$#$ took ma#& photo"raphs o! acti%ities i# -srael that were alle"edl& related to #$clear !$el c&cle a#d weapo#s de%elopme#t. These photos were p$blished i# the *$#da& Times i# 2o#do# i# 1)88. The& p$rportedl& showed #$clear weapo#s acti%ities i# -srael at the time. -srael has #e%er co#!irmed that the ima"es were take# i# their !acilitiesH m$ch less that -srael e%e# has a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. 5$t 3a#$#$ was abd$cted' tried i# a# -sraeli co$rt a#d se#te#ced to ma#& &ears i# priso# !or di%$l"i#" state secrets. *ai is pro%idi#" similar i#!ormatio#.
Sai 1hein =in holding an impeller for a ballistic missile engine8 ;e designed the program to manufacture it on CNC machines from 0urope (@"B) =hat is the rogram that Sai @escribes: *ai tells $s that he was tasked to make protot&pe compo#e#ts !or missile a#d #$clear pro"rams. Fe is a# e perie#ced mecha#ical e#"i#eer a#d he is capable o! describi#" machi#i#" operatio#s %er& acc$ratel&. *ai has %er& acc$ratel& described a missile !$el p$mp impeller he made beca$se he is trai#ed as a missile e#"i#eer. Fis i#!ormatio# o# #$clear pro"rams is based $po# ma#& colo$r photo"raphs a#d two %isits to the #$clear battalio# at Thabeikk&i#' #orth o! 4a#dala&. The N$clear 5attalio# is the or"a#i;atio# char"ed with b$ildi#" $p a #$clear weapo#s capabilit& i# 5$rma. The N$clear 5attalio# will tr& to do this b& b$ildi#" a #$clear reactor a#d #$clear e#richme#t capabilities.
Buildings under construction at the 1habeikkyin Nuclear Battalion (@"B) -t is /35 co#s$lta#tsB !irm belie! that 5$rma is probabl& #ot capable o! b$ildi#" the eC$ipme#t the& ha%e bee# char"ed to b$ild: to ma#$!act$re a #$clear weapo#' to b$ild a weapo#s material s$ppl&' a#d to do it i# a pro!essio#al wa&. 5$t the i#!ormatio# pro%ided b& *ai a#d other reporters !rom 5$rma clearl& i#dicates that the re"ime has the i#te#t to "o #$clear a#d it is tr&i#" a#d e pe#di#" h$"e reso$rces alo#" the wa&. 5actories filled with 0uropean eBuipment Two compa#ies i# *i#"apore with Germa# co##ectio#s sold ma#& machi#e tools to the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t' #otabl& the /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# </T3+=. /T3+ is closel& associated with the /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& </A+= which is s$bordi#ate to the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& <4O*T=. A "reat deal o! i#!ormatio# is k#ow# abo$t people a#d or"a#i;atio#s i# this chai#. /T3+ is probabl& a !ro#t !or militar& p$rchasi#" !or weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#H that is to sa& #$clear' chemical a#d biolo"ical weapo#s a#d the mea#s to deli%er them' lar"el& missiles. The Germa# "o%er#me#t did #ot ha%e dero"ator& i#!ormatio# abo$t /T3+ whe# the tools were sold a#d allowed the sale. 0ort$#atel&' altho$"h the machi#e tools were %er& e pe#si%e a#d capable' the& were sold witho$t all o! the accessories to make the %er& precisio# parts reC$ired !or ma#& missile a#d #$clear applicatio#s. These !actories are o#l& maki#" protot&pes a#d !irst models o! eC$ipme#t !or other research or"a#i;atio#s. The& are #ot maki#" serial copies !or a prod$ctio# pro"ram a#d the& do #ot do research themsel%es The compa#ies belie%ed the machi#es were to be $sed !or ed$catio#al a#d %ocatio#al trai#i#"' b$t the Germa# "o%er#me#t' s$spicio$s abo$t the e#d $se' se#t a diplomat a#d a# e pert to e ami#e the machi#es that were i#stalled i# two special !actories i# 5$rma. The e pert was s$spicio$s that the machi#es wo$ld be $sed !or $ses other tha# trai#i#"H there were #o st$de#ts a#d #o $#i%ersities #earb&' a#d there were #o wome# st$de#ts. The e pert #oted that #o#e o! the male st$de#ts wore militar& $#i!orms. /35 has e ami#ed the photos a#d some o! the ?st$de#ts@ who wore ci%ilia# clothes d$ri#" the e pert %isit wear militar& $#i!orms whe# the +$ropea#s are #ot there. *ai pro%ided reco"#i;able photos o! the eC$ipme#t i#stallers a#d the Germa#s d$ri#" their site %isit. This is o#e o! ma#& i#dicatio#s that he was at the !actories a#d that his stor& is %er& credible. -t is also !ort$#ate that the Germa# "o%er#me#t was dili"e#t a#d %isited these !actories to %eri!& the e#d $se. The 5$rmese were probabl& #ot telli#" the whole tr$th' b$t the %isits allow serio$s %eri!icatio# o! the !acts.
A floor plan of the many machinery tools at 5actory # near Myaing (@"B) Sai describes eBuipment the Nuclear Battalion is building *ai has pro%ided /35 with ma#& photos o! material that the N$clear 5attalio# at Thabeikk&i# is reC$esti#". O#e o! the most ob%io$s o#es is reC$ested i# a# accompa#&i#" secret memo !rom the No <1= *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& Re"ime#t at Thabeikk&i# to the *pecial 0actor& N$mber O#e #ear .&i# Oo 2wi#. -t is !or a ?bomb reactor@ !or the ?special s$bsta#ce prod$ctio# research departme#t@ a#d there are some sketches o! what is wa#ted as well as pict$res. A bomb reactor i# a #$clear pro"ram is a special de%ice !or t$r#i#" $ra#i$m compo$#ds i#to $ra#i$m metal !or $se i# #$clear !$el or a #$clear bomb. The pict$res a#d sketches are o! s$ch a bomb reactor a#d o#e o! the pict$res has bee# s$bDected to hi"h temperat$re. The pai#t is b$r#ed o!! a#d it has bee# $sed. -t ma& be a desi"# !rom a !orei"# co$#tr& or a 5$rmese desi"#. 5$t the #eed !or a bomb reactor i# a 5$rmese N$clear 5attalio# is a stro#" si"#al that the proDect is tr&i#" to make $ra#i$m metal. Ehether the $ra#i$m metal is $sed i# a pl$to#i$m prod$ctio# reactor or a #$clear de%ice' 5$rma is e plori#" #$clear tech#olo"& that is $se!$l o#l& !or weapo#s.
1hese are Kbomb reactors> likely used to con7ert uranium compounds into uranium metal for bomb or reactor fuel (@"B)
*ai also pro%ided photos o! chemical e#"i#eeri#" machi#er& that ca# be $sed !or maki#" $ra#i$m compo$#ds s$ch as $ra#i$m he a!l$oride "as' $sed i# $ra#i$m e#richme#t. Fe describes #o;;les $sed i# ad%a#ced lasers that separate $ra#i$m isotopes i#to materials $sed !or bombs. Fe pro%ides pict$res o! a "lo%e bo !or mi i#" reacti%e materials a#d !$r#aces !or maki#" $ra#i$m compo$#ds. All o! these thi#"s co$ld ha%e other $ses' b$t take# to"ether' i# the co#te t o! the N$clear 5attalio#' the& are !or a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram.
A group of Burmese military and ci7ilian workers pose with a glo7e boC they built at 5actory % near yin 4o 6win (@"B) *ai has bee# told that the re"ime is pla##i#" to b$ild a #$clear reactor to make pl$to#i$m !or a #$clear bomb. Fe has see# a demo#stratio# o! a reactor compo#e#t called a ?co#trol rod@ that !its this stor&. Fe has bee# told that the re"ime pla#s to e#rich $ra#i$m !or a bomb a#d he has see# a demo#stratio# o! a carbo# mo#o ide laser that will be part o! this e#richme#t process. Fe has #amed the i#di%id$als he met a#d heard !rom at Thabeikk&i# a#d the& ca# be correlated thro$"h ope# so$rce i#!ormatio# with their Dobs !or the 5$rmese /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"&. 4a#& are !reC$e#t %isitors to -A+A "ra#t trai#i#" proDects. Fe himsel! was tasked to make #o;;les !or the carbo# mo#o ide laser. Fe act$all& k#ows less abo$t the chemical i#d$strial eC$ipme#t see# i# his photos tha# we ca# D$d"e' b$t his o%erall stor& is C$ite i#teresti#". -t is also clear that the demo#stratio#s a#d e pla#atio#s that he has see# are C$ite cr$de. -! the& are the best 5$rma ca# do the& ha%e a lo#" wa& to "o. ;ow does Sai fit into the o7erall Burma story: *ai is a mecha#ical e#"i#eer with e perie#ce i# machi#i#" parts o# hi"hl& speciali;ed a#d moder# machi#e tools. These machi#e tools make items that are %er& precise a#d ca# be $sed i# #$clear e#er"& pro"rams or to make missiles. *ai is #ot a #$clear e pert a#d he has little to sa& abo$t the thi#"s he made' or that his !actor& made other tha# what he was told abo$t their $ses. Fe does pro%ide photos o! items that wo$ld be $sed i# the #$clear i#d$str& to process $ra#i$m compo$#ds i#to !orms $sed i# the #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t process. These photos or his descriptio#s co$ld be !aked' b$t the& are hi"hl& co#siste#t with the $ses he s$""ests. *ai recei%ed a de"ree as a de!e#se e#"i#eer i# 5$rma. Fe the# we#t to R$ssia to trai# i# missile tech#olo"& at the presti"io$s 5a$ma# -#stit$te i# 4oscow. Fe ca# doc$me#t all o! this. Fis !rie#ds we#t to R$ssia as well a#d st$died #$clear a#d chemical tech#olo"& at the 4oscow -#stit$te o! +#"i#eeri#" .h&sics <4-0-= a#d the 4e#delee% -#stit$te o! ,hemical Tech#olo"&. 4-0- was the mai# trai#i#" i#stit$te !or *o%iet #$clear weapo#s desi"#ers !or ma#& &ears.
The o#es who st$died chemistr& at 4e#delee% are probabl& the o#es who are most importa#t i# b$ildi#" the special eC$ipme#t that *ai k#ew abo$t. Stories about a nuclear reactor in Burma There ha%e ma#& wild stories abo$t a #$clear reactor i# 5$rma. -t is clear that 5$rma a#d R$ssia co#sidered b$ildi#" a 10 4e"awatt <10 4E= research reactor i# 5$rma i# 2000. -t is also clear that this deal was #ot closed a#d that R$ssia a##o$#ced o#l& i#te#t to b$ild a 10 4E reactor aro$#d 2008. This reactor has #ot bee# b$ilt a#d R$ssia is hi"hl& $#likel& to appro%e s$ch a deal $#less 5$rma si"#s a #ew special a"reeme#t with the -A+A. This a"reeme#t is called a# Additio#al .rotocol a#d 5$rma is %er& $#likel& to si"# it beca$se it wo$ld "i%e the -A+A the access it #eeds to disco%er a cla#desti#e #$clear pro"ram i# 5$rma. 0$rthermore' a 10 4E #$clear reactor is a %er& small co#cer# !or proli!eratio#. *$ch reactors are commo# i# the world a#d the& are simpl& too small to be o! serio$s proli!eratio# co#cer#. The& ca# be $sed to teach st$de#ts how to work i# the #$clear area' b$t the& are #ot appropriate to rapidl& make a#& serio$s C$a#tities o! pl$to#i$m !or bombs. -A+A has sta#dards !or which reactors are especiall& s$itable !or pl$to#i$m prod$ctio# a#d this proposed reactor is below that limit. -t is appropriate o#l& !or #$clear tech#olo"& trai#i#" a#d the prod$ctio# o! medical radioisotopes. 2ocal prod$ctio# o! medical isotopes is o#e o! the mai# reaso#s !or reactors i# the 10 4E class aro$#d the world. 5$rma co$ld $se this reactor !or trai#i#"' b$t reports that it bo$"ht a 10 4E reactor !rom R$ssia are clearl& $#tr$e' a#d stories that the& wa#t to b$ild o#e o! their ow# !or a bomb pro"ram are #o#se#se. The idea that 5$rma is b$ildi#" a lar"er reactor' like the alle"ed o#e -srael destro&ed i# *&ria' is more i#teresti#". This co$ld be a pl$to#i$m prod$ctio# reactor' like the 21 4E <thermal= o#e that North 6orea operated i# Go#"b&o#. The !act that North 6orea wo$ld co#sider s$pporti#" #$clear pro"rams o$tside its ow# borders' i# clie#t states like *&ria' is o! serio$s co#cer# whe# e%al$ati#" 5$rma. North 6orea does ha%e a memora#d$m o! $#dersta#di#" to help 5$rma b$ild i#termediate ra#"e ballistic missiles b$t their role i# the #$clear pro"ram is o#l& a#ecdotal. -s Burma 7iolating its international agreements: The most importa#t a"reeme#t that 5$rma m$st satis!& is its a"reeme#t with the -A+A. -t si"#ed a# a"reeme#t with the -A+A i# 1))1 that it wo$ld #ot p$rs$e #$clear weapo#s $#der a care!$ll& de!i#ed sta#dard i#ter#atio#al le"al a"reeme#t. A s$ppleme#t to this a"reeme#t' a soAcalled *mall N$a#tities .rotocol' said that 5$rma had #o #$clear !acilities a#d %er& small amo$#ts o! #$clear materials' which it did #ot e%e# ha%e to itemise. As a res$lt o! this declaratio#' which was accepted b& the -A+A' there are #o #$clear sa!e"$ards i#spectio#s i# 5$rma. There are some -A+A %isits to 5$rma' beca$se 5$rma is a recipie#t o! -A+A scie#ti!ic "ra#t mo#e& !or h$ma#itaria# p$rposes. *ome o! these "ra#ts trai# 5$rmese scie#tists !or #$clear acti%ities that co$ld e#able them to prod$ce #$clear materials' b$t these are #ot the maDorit& o! the "ra#ts. 5$rma has certi!ied that it has #o #$clear !acilities' has mi#imal #$clear materials' a#d has #o pla#s to cha#"e this sit$atio#. The i#!ormatio# bro$"ht b& *ai s$""ests that 5$rma is mi#i#" $ra#i$m' co#%erti#" it to $ra#i$m compo$#ds !or reactors a#d bombs' a#d is tr&i#" to b$ild a reactor a#d or a# e#richme#t pla#t that co$ld o#l& be $se!$l !or a bomb. There is #o cha#ce that these acti%ities are directed at a reactor to prod$ce electricit& i# 5$rma. This is be&o#d 5$rmaBs e#"i#eeri#" capabilities. -t is $p to 5$rma to #oti!& the -A+A i! these co#ditio#s ha%e cha#"ed. ,learl&' i! it is tr&i#" to secretl& b$ild a bomb a#d is breaki#" these r$les it will #ot be %ol$#taril& #oti!&i#" the -A+A. 5$rma has also p$rchased hi"h C$alit& machi#e tools !rom a Germa# machi#e tool broker i# *i#"apore that ca# be $sed !or weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# ma#$!act$re. These tools co$ld be $sed to make ma#& thi#"s b$t the& are o! a si;e a#d C$alit& that are #ot co#siste#t with st$de#t trai#i#"' the declared e#d $se. The /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al trai#i#" is a !ro#t !or weapo#s proc$reme#t a#d is associated with the /A+ a#d 4O*T. All o! these departme#ts' pro"rams' a#d people associated with them' sho$ld be sa#ctio#ed a#d prohibited !rom b$&i#" a#&thi#" that co$ld co#trib$te to weapo#s pro"rams.
=hat is the state of Burma>s nuclear program: Ee ha%e e ami#ed the photos o! the 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram %er& care!$ll& a#d looked at *aiBs e%ide#ce. The C$alit& o! the parts the& are machi#i#" is poor. The mecha#ical drawi#"s to prod$ce these parts i# a machi#e shop are $#acceptabl& poor. -! someo#e reall& pla#s to b$ild a #$clear weapo#' a %er& comple de%ice made $p o! precisio# compo#e#ts' the# 5$rma is #ot read&. This co$ld be beca$se the i#!ormatio# bro$"ht b& *ai is #ot complete or beca$se 5$rma is pla&i#" i# the !ield b$t is #ot read& to be serio$s. -# a#& case' #othi#" we ha%e see# s$""ests 5$rma will be s$ccess!$l with the materials a#d compo#e#t we ha%e see#. Ehat is si"#i!ica#t is i#te#t. 5$rma is tr&i#" to mi#e $ra#i$m a#d $p"rade $ra#i$m compo$#ds thro$"h chemical processi#". The photos show se%eral steps i# this i#te#t. 5$rma is reported to be pla##i#" a#d b$ildi#" a #$clear reactor to make pl$to#i$m a#d is tr&i#" to e#rich $ra#i$m to make a bomb. These acti%ities are i#co#siste#t with their si"#ed obli"atio#s with the -A+A. +%e# i! 5$rma is #ot able to s$cceed with their ille"al pro"ram' the& ha%e set o!! alarm bells i# the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& de%oted to pre%e#ti#" weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# proli!eratio#. The -A+A sho$ld ask 5$rma i! its stated declaratio#s are tr$e. -! these alle"atio#s appear real there sho$ld be !ollowA$p C$estio#s a#d i#spectio#s o! alle"ed acti%ities. This e!!ort will be hampered b& 5$rmaBs !ail$re to si"# the Additio#al .rotocol. 9#der the c$rre#t *mall N$a#tities .rotocol A"reeme#t' -A+A has #o power to i#spect i# 5$rma. 5$rma is also tr&i#" to b$ild medi$mAra#"e missiles s$ch as *,9/s $#der a memora#d$m o! $#dersta#di#" with North 6orea. *,9/* are #ot likel& to carr& a 5$rmese #$clear warhead beca$se !irst "e#eratio# #$clear warheads are $s$all& too hea%& a#d lar"e !or the *,9/ missile. 5$t there is little reaso# to embark o# *,9/ missiles a#d #$clear weapo#s other tha# to threate# o#es #earA#ei"hbo$rs. 5$rma is r$led b& a D$#ta that has #o real political philosoph& other tha# "reed. The D$#ta r$les !or the p$rpose o! e#richi#" a small cadre with the rich reso$rces o! the co$#tr&: teak' "old' Dade' other mi#erals a#d the labo$r o! the people. 2ike their model' North 6orea' the D$#ta hopes to remai# sa!e !rom !orei"# i#ter!ere#ce b& bei#" too da#"ero$s to i#%ade. N$clear weapo#s co#trib$te to that imm$#it&. Conclusions /35 has i#ter%iewed ma#& so$rces !rom i#side 5$rmaBs militar& pro"rams. 4a#& other researchers are i#ter%iewi#" !ormer 5$rmese militar& people' !or e ample /ictator Eatch a#d /esmo#d 5all with .hil Thor#to#. The& ha%e pro%ided a#ecdotal e%ide#ce poi#ti#" to a 5$rmese #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. *ai has clari!ied these reports a#d added to them with colo$r photos a#d perso#al descriptio#s o! his %isits to the N$clear 5attalio#. Fe trai#ed i# 4oscow i# missile tech#olo"& alo#" with !rie#ds who trai#ed i# #$clear tech#olo"& who later %a#ished i#to the N$clear 5attalio# o! Thabeikk&i#. All were trai#ed i# some o! R$ssiaBs !irst C$alit& i#stit$tes. The total pict$re is %er& compelli#". 5$rma is tr&i#" to b$ild pieces o! a #$clear pro"ram' speci!icall& a #$clear reactor to make pl$to#i$m a#d a $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram. 5$rma has a close part#ership with North 6orea. North 6orea has rece#tl& bee# acc$sed o! tr&i#" to b$ild a #$clear reactor i#side *&ria to make pl$to#i$m !or a #$clear pro"ram i# *&ria or North 6orea. The time!rame o! North 6orea# assista#ce to *&ria is ro$"hl& the same as 5$rma so the co##ectio# ma& #ot be coi#cide#tal. -! 5$rma is tr&i#" to de%elop #$clear weapo#s the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& #eeds to react. There #eeds to be a thoro$"h i#%esti"atio# o! wellA!o$#ded reporti#". -! these reports pro%e compelli#"' the# there #eed to be sa#ctio#s o! k#ow# or"a#i;atio#s i# 5$rma a#d !or eC$ipme#t !or a#& weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#. 6elle&' 8:' a !ormer 2os Alamos weapo#s scie#tist' was a# -A+A director !rom 1))2 to 1)):' a#d a"ai# !rom 2001 to 2001. 5ased i# 3ie##a' A$stria' he co#d$cted weapo#s i#spectio#s i# 2ib&a' -raC' a#d *o$th A!rica' a#d complia#ce i#spectio#s i# +"&pt' T$rke&' *o$th 6orea' Taiwa#' *&ria' Ta#;a#ia' .akista#' -#dia' a#d ,o#"o' amo#" others.
i# medici#e a#d a"ric$lt$re' b$t there are also trai#i#" co$rses !or 5$rmese scie#tists i# #$clear tech#olo"&. 5$rma does #ot ha%e a#& declared #$clear !acilities a#d it claims to ha%e little or #o #$clear material.<4= This sit$atio# mea#s that the -A+A does #ot co#d$ct a#& i#spectio#s i# 5$rma beca$se both sides ha%e a"reed there is #othi#" to i#spect. The sit$atio# with -A+A will be e plai#ed i# more detail later i# this paper. ,$rre#tl& 5$rmaBs #$clear e!!ort is ma#a"ed b& the /irectorate o! /e!e#ce *er%ices *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& Research ,e#ter <//**TR,=. This or"a#i;atio# is located i# 4a& 4&o' also called .&i# Oo 2wi# at the /e!e#se *er%ices Tech#olo"ical Academ& </*TA=. -t is a lar"e comple !or the ed$catio# o! militar& o!!icers a#d !or research. -t is primaril& a headC$arters site a#d probabl& does #ot co#d$ct e perime#tal research' at least with #$clear materials or e plosi%es.
5igure %8 @efense Ser7ices 1echnological Academy at yin 4o 6win The scie#ti!ic side o! the #$clear pro"ram is r$# b& the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& <4O*T=' headed b& 4i#ister 9 Tha#". 5e#eath Tha#" is the /irector Ge#eral o! 4O*T' /r. 6o 6o Oo. /r. 6o 6o Oo is the most p$blic !ace o! 4O*T a#d its #$clear acti%ities. A# e ample is a# i#%itatio# to a ($#e 2010 trai#i#" co$rse spo#sored b& -A+A where /r. 6o 6o Oo is the addressee to choose participa#ts !rom 5$rma.<1= -t is %ital to #ote that /r. 6o 6o Oo has also ser%ed as director o! the /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# </T3+=' which is a !ro#t !or militar& proc$reme#t acti%ities. -t will become clear later i# this report that /T3+ has bee# p$rchasi#" eC$ipme#t !or the #$clear a#d missile pro"rams. There is also a /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& </A+= i# 5$rma. The /T3+ a#d /A+ at o#e poi#t shared a# address' pho#e #$mber a#d !a #$mber accordi#" to a# e celle#t a#d detailed report b& A#drea *tricker o! -*-*.<8= -# 2002 /r. 6o 6o Oo "a%e his email address at /A+ i# his perso#al data at a co#!ere#ce. <7= The //**TR, is respo#sible !or a pro"ram' which accordi#" to so$rces' is char"ed with b$ildi#" a #$clear reactor' e#richi#" $ra#i$m' a#d b$ildi#" a #$clear weapo#. -t is clear that this is a %er& di!!ic$lt task !or 5$rma to s$ccess!$ll& accomplish. 4$ch o! what *TE is pro%idi#" s$""ests 5$rma has little cha#ce o! s$cceedi#" i# its C$est' b$t that does #ot cha#"e the !act that e%e# tr&i#" to b$ild a bomb is a serio$s %iolatio# o! its i#ter#atio#al a"reeme#ts. -t wo$ld also seem that the %er& act o! tr&i#" to b$ild #$clear weapo#s is a si"# o! desperatio# a#d !ear' #o matter how $#likel& it is to s$cceed. 1habeikkyin O$r assessme#t o! m$ltiple so$rces is that 5$rma is reall& de%elopi#" #$clear tech#olo"&' that it has b$ilt speciali;ed eC$ipme#t a#d !acilities' a#d it has iss$ed orders to a cadre to b$ild a pro"ram. The cadre i# char"e is k#ow# as the
N$mber 1 *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& Re"ime#t at Thabeikk&i#.<8= -t is colloC$iall& re!erred to as the ?N$clear 5attalio#@ a#d we will adopt that term as well. 4aDor Ge#eral *ei# Ei# a#d 2t.A,ol. Ei# 6o ha%e si"#ed a doc$me#t directi#" a special !actor& to prod$ce a part !or the No. <1= *cie#ti!ic a#d Tech#olo"& Re"ime#t. This doc$me#t is importa#t a#d will s$r!ace a"ai# whe# we look at eC$ipme#t that is #eeded !or the N$clear 5attalio#. There are ma#& reported acti%ities at Thabeikk&i#. .re%io$s reports ha%e associated it with mi#i#" or ore co#ce#tratio#. This latest so$rce "oes !$rther a#d describes it as a site where ?da#"ero$s@ ore is bro$"ht a#d stored. Fe also belie%es that the site is i#%ol%ed i# tr&i#" to prod$ce ?&ellowcake@ b$t he is #ot s$re what this material is or i! the& ha%e bee# s$ccess!$l. -# Goo"le +arth ima"er& we ca# see a small ore co#ce#tratio# pla#t a#d ore reser%e abo$t 7 miles east o! the -rrawadd& at Thabeikk&i#. This is %er& close to the poi#t he describes. A "ro$p o! b$ildi#"s with o#e thicke#er a#d a taili#"s po#d are %isible. There is a pile o! ore #earb&. This co$ld be a $ra#i$m ore co#ce#tratio# pla#t' co#siste#t with m$ltiple so$rce reports o! $ra#i$m mi#i#" i# this "e#eral area. The mi#e itsel! has #ot bee# !o$#d.
5igure #8 A small ore concentration plant is 7isible at the location of 1habeikkyin gi7en by the latest source8 *TE %isited Thabeikk&i# o# two occasio#s' i# 2008 a#d 2007 a#d reported o# the !ollowi#" poi#ts. The !irst a#d most importa#t is that the missio# is to b$ild a #$clear reactor a#d to e#rich $ra#i$m !or a #$clear bomb. There is co#siderable research work at the site de%oted to this e#d. -t is #ot clear that either the reactor or e#richme#t pla#t wo$ld act$all& be b$ilt' possibl& o#l& desi"#ed here. Fe did #ot %isit the ore pla#t b$t he did %isit laboratories i# small b$ildi#"s !or a demo#stratio# to Ge#eral 4" A&e. Fe saw two demo#stratio#s o! tech#olo"&. The !irst was a power!$l laser' reportedl& a carbo#Amo#o ide <,O= laser that was $sed to b$r# a hole i# a stick. The beam was a small red spot. O#e o! his collea"$es later co#!ided to him that ,O laser beams are i#%isible so the spot was #ot !rom that laser' b$t ma&be a "$ide or poi#ti#" laser. The a$die#ce o! militar& o!!ices was %er& impressed. The top "e#eral i# the co$#tr&' Tha# *hwe atte#ded a seco#d demo#stratio# o# a s$bseC$e#t %isit: a ?co#trol rod dri%e.@ This co#sisted o! a microprocessor mo%i#" a co#trol eleme#t $p a#d dow# i# a laborator&. This so$#ds like a# e tremel& simple task a#d #ot %er& impressi%e b$t a"ai# the militar& o!!icers were pleased. *ai' witho$t prompti#" "a%e a tech#icall& credible e pla#atio# o! how a co#trol rod a!!ects the criticalit& o! a reactor b& absorbi#" #e$tro#s. Otherwise we wo$ld #ot be so s$re that the demo#stratio# he saw had a#& #$clear applicatio#.
*TE told $s that /r. Ni 2ar Ti# was the scie#tist who e plai#ed to the "ro$p how a co#trol rod works. A /r. /aw<)= Nilar Ti# is acti%e a#d %isible i# the /A+ a#d 4O*T.<10= *TE ca# "i%e the #ames o! a !ew researchers at Thabeikk&i#. /etails o! the tech#olo"& are i# a later sectio# o! this a#al&sis. 1he 5actories The N$clear 5attalio# co#trols two importa#t !actories. These !actories are dedicated to maki#" protot&pes a#d special compo#e#ts !or the missile a#d #$clear pro"rams. N$mber <1= *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"ical 4aterial .rod$ctio# Eorkshop will be abbre%iated as ?0actor& 1@ i# this report. -t is located east o! .&i# Oo 2wi# <also k#ow# as 4a&m&o.= -t was p$rposel& b$ilt !or the militar& research pro"rams. 0actor& 1 has bee# more closel& associated with the #$clear pro"ram tha# the missile pro"ram b$t has worked !or both. -t is also k#ow# b& the #ame Na$#" 2ai#".
5igure &8 5actory % is east of yin 4o 6win 0actor& 1 has bee# the s$bDect o! i#ter#et disc$ssio# i# s$ch !or$ms as the Arms ,o#trol Eo#k' where it was the s$bDect o! i#te#se spec$latio# as a reactor.<11= /35 has ma#& pict$res o! 0actor& 2 $#der co#str$ctio# that ca# be correlated to satellite ima"er&' as well as the e terior o! 0actor& 1 a!ter completio#. -t is a certai#t& that this is a machi#e tool !actor& a#d #ot a reactor.<12= N$mber <2= *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"ical 4aterial .rod$ctio# Eorkshop' ?0actor& 2'@ is located #ear 4&ai#" i# the wester# part o! 5$rma. This !actor& is s$pposedl& almost ide#tical to 0actor& 1 b$t it is more tied to the 5$rmese missile pro"ram. That pro"ram is alle"edl& pla##i#" to make protot&pe parts !or *,9/ liC$id !$eled missiles. 5$rma has a 4emora#d$m o! 9#dersta#di#" <4O9= with /.R6 o# prod$ci#" *,9/s so it is #ot $#reaso#able to co#sider there is a li#k betwee# 0actor& 2 a#d the /.R6 4O9.
The wester# world a#d /35 k#ow a "reat deal abo$t the eC$ipme#t a#d capabilit& i#side these two b$ildi#"s. A "reat deal o! the eC$ipme#t i# the b$ildi#"s is lar"e scale' precisio#' ,omp$ter N$mericall& ,o#trolled <,N,= machi#e tools. These tools are lar"el& o! Germa# a#d *wiss ori"i#' alo#" with some meas$ri#" eC$ipme#t !rom (apa#.
5igure H8 6ayout of Machine 1ools in 5actory % from a 7isitors> orientation display The compa#ies which sold this eC$ipme#t to 5$rma pres$med it was bei#" sold !or ed$catio#al or ci%ilia# p$rposes. The c$stomer !or the p$rchase was the /T3+. There was #o dero"ator& i#!ormatio# abo$t /T3+ at the time so the sale was allowed. Ne%ertheless' the compa#ies did #ot sell the latest a#d best 4 a#d 1 a is machi#e tools. -#stead the& remo%ed some o! these capabilities. To %eri!& the e#dA$se o! the eC$ipme#t' the Germa# "o%er#me#t se#t a# e pert i# machi#e tools alo#" with diplomatic represe#tati%es to the !actories. The e pert e ami#ed the tools a#d made a #$mber o! obser%atio#s' most o! which were i#compatible with the claim that the !actories were D$st $#i%ersit& trai#i#" ce#ters: h h The !actories are !ar !rom a#& $#i%ersities or st$de#ts h h There were #o !emales worki#" or st$d&i#" h h The eC$ipme#t was e tremel& lar"e !or #ormal machi#ist trai#i#" h h No militar& perso##el were obser%ed<1:= There are m$ltiple correlatio#s betwee# satellite ima"er&' e#dA$ser %eri!icatio#' a#d photos o! eC$ipme#t bei#" i#stalled b& Germa# tech#icia#s' a#d e%e# photos o! the e pert a#d the diplomat d$ri#" e#dA$ser %eri!icatio# i#spectio#s. *TE ser%ed o#e a#d o#e hal! &ears as a# arm& maDor a#d dep$t& director i# 0actor& 2 a#d the# a !ew mo#ths i# 0actor& 1 i# the same capacit&.
5igure )8 Shipping crate for machine tool deli7ered to 5actory % in the name of @1"0 Fe i#dicated that ma#& o! the Germa# tools were $#$sable d$e to dama"e a#d poor mai#te#a#ce. .hotos o! eC$ipme#t show r$st' rat droppi#"s a#d dama"ed h&dra$lic a#d electrical li#es.
5igure ?8 0lectrical discharge machine tool display for "- 7isit 1raining in 3ussia *TE has a# i#teresti#" back"ro$#d' accordi#" to his i#ter%iews with $s a#d with the /35. Fe recei%ed a# e#"i#eeri#" de"ree !rom the /*TA. Fe Doi#ed the militar& a#d later was chose# to "o to 4oscow !or additio#al trai#i#" i# missile tech#olo"& i# 2001. Fe was i# the !irst "ro$p o! st$de#ts "oi#" to R$ssia' a !act which has bee# widel& reported i# other so$rces. *ai describes how he had to appear to be a ci%ilia# !or this R$ssia# trai#i#"' a#d so he was "i%e# a !alse "rad$atio# certi!icate !rom Ga#"o# 9#i%ersit& to show to the R$ssia#s. Fe still has both 5$rmese certi!icates as well as a R$ssia# certi!icate !rom the N. +. 5a$ma# -#stit$te' 4oscow *tate Tech#ical 9#i%ersit& <4*T9=. This is a respected R$ssia# $#i%ersit& where he st$died ma#& aspects o! missile tech#olo"&. 9po# ret$r# to 5$rma he was assi"#ed to the FeadC$arters o! //**TR, !or a &ear. Fe the# was assi"#ed to 0actor& 2' while it was $#der co#str$ctio# a#d worked primaril& o# missiles. A# e ample is that he pro"rammed the ,N, machi#es to make a protot&pe impeller desi"#ed at //**TR,H howe%er' the impeller C$alit& was $#acceptable d$e to the limitatio#s o! the machi#e tool.
5igure (8 1he missile impeller as manufactured at 5actory # *ai was part o! a "ro$p which recei%ed missile trai#i#". A#other "ro$p' where he also had !rie#ds' was se#t to R$ssia at the same time' circa 2001' !or trai#i#" i# #$clear tech#olo"&. 4a#& were trai#ed at the 4oscow +#"i#eeri#" .h&sics -#stit$te k#ow# b& its R$ssia# acro#&m' 4-0-. This $#i%ersit& speciali;es i# the #$clear side o! tech#olo"&' s$ch as mathematics' ph&sics' comp$ter codes a#d theor&. At o#e time it was the primar& trai#i#" school !or the *o%iet #$clear weapo#s e perts. Other 5$rmese st$de#ts we#t to the 4e#delee% 4oscow ,hemical +#"i#eeri#" -#stit$te. This $#i%ersit& trai#ed the 5$rmese i# chemical tech#olo"ies related to acti%ities s$ch as the prod$ctio# o! $ra#i$m compo$#ds to be $sed i# the #$clear !$el c&cle. A!ter all o! the st$de#ts ret$r#ed !rom R$ssia' *TE lost direct co#tact with them' b$t he k#ew that the mecha#ical e#"i#eers with #$clear trai#i#" we#t to 0actor& 1 a#d the o#es with more speci!ic #$clear trai#i#" we#t to the N$clear 5attalio# at Thabeikk&i#. There are still 5$rmese militar& st$de#ts i# R$ssia toda&. 1he Nuclear 5uel Cycle All o! the #ew i#!ormatio# bro$"ht o$t i# photo"raphs pertai#s to chemical processi#". There are #o pict$res o! #$clear bombs or reactors a#d o#l& a ti#& bit alle"edl& o# 2aser -sotope *eparatio# <2-*=. The i#!ormatio# is all related to the chemical side o! the #$clear !$el c&cle. The tech#olo"ies o! i#terest are the !ollowi#". *tep 1 2 : 4 1 8 7 8 ) Acti%it& 9ra#i$m 4i#i#" 9ra#i$m Ore ,o#ce#tratio# Gellowcake .rod$ctio# 9ra#i$m O ides .rod$ctio# 9ra#i$m Tetra!l$oride .rod$ctio# <904= 9ra#i$m Fe a!l$oride <908= +#richme#t Gas ,e#tri!$"es Or 4olec$lar 2aser -sotope *eparatio# Red$ctio# o! 908 to 904 5omb red$ctio# o! 904 with ma"#esi$m to $ra#i$m metal
0Buipment Built at 5actory % for the Nuclear Battalion <*tep #$mbers re!er to the !$el c&cle dia"ram abo%e.=
Bomb 3eactor (Step () The bomb reactor is eas& to reco"#i;e !rom its properties a#d !rom the !act that *TE s$pplied a letter !rom the N$clear 5attalio# to 0actor& 1 reC$esti#" a ?bomb reactor.@ The bomb reactor was to be $sed b& the ?special s$bsta#ce prod$ctio# research departme#t.@ This "ro$p is located at Tech#olo"ical workshop <1=' whose locatio# we do #ot k#ow. ?5omb Reactor@ is a# $#!ort$#ate pair o! words i# the #$clear co#te t. The obDect is #ot a ?#$clear bomb@ a#d it is #ot a ?#$clear reactor.@ -t is simpl& a %er& stro#" %essel to co#tai# a %iole#t chemical reactio#. Fe#ce it is a bomb i# its stre#"th a#d shape' a#d a reactor !or co#tai#i#" the reactio# o! 904 a#d ma"#esi$m <or calci$m= metal i#side. The term bomb reactor is s&#o#&mo$s with ?bomb red$ctio# %essel@ or e%e# ?red$ctio# %essel.@ This termi#olo"& is m$ch less emoti%e.
5igure %$8 4riginal letter from the Nuclear Battalion directing 5actory % to build a MBomb 3eactorN
ecret [ tamp o" 7o ,;. cience and Technolo!y Re!iment 4inistry o" +e"ence] 7o ,;. cience and Technolo!y Re!iment Thabei))yin Detter no* ;99?$::$research$ Bo ? +ate0 89;9 Iebruary H To -rmy cience and Technolo!ical Research +epartment ub'ect5 Requestin! the continuation o" supply "or materials needed "or research ;* ;* Request 7o ,;. cience and Technolo!ical material production #or)shop to ma)e 1omb Reactor needed "or research material "or the use o" special substance production research department at technolo!ical #or)shop ,<.* 8* 8* end and report the "ormation$prototype data o" 1omb Reactor needed to be made0 as in -ppendix ,-. Dt&Col Cin Eo J & ,Please. carry it out* J & Calculate necessity , i!ned. Chie" o" /Ks ,Bn behal" o". , i!nature. ecret 5igure %%8 1ranslation of the 6etter
5igure %#8 Sketch for building the bomb reactor O#e thi#" that will D$mp o$t at the e perie#ced reader is that there are #o tolera#ces or materials listed o# this sketch. The so$rce himsel! #oted that the drawi#"s !rom the N$clear 5attalio# were %er& $#pro!essio#al. This !actors i#to o$r assessme#t that the 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram is C$ite primiti%e.
5igure %&8 1wo bomb reactors* one used and one new
The !i#ished bomb reactors are pict$red side b& side i# this ima"e !rom 0actor& 1. O#e o! the reactors has ob%io$sl& bee# s$bDected to "reat heat a#d is discolored a#d pai#t has b$r#ed o!! as it wo$ld be i! it had bee# $sed to red$ce metal. The other is #ew. There is a# ima"e o! the two %essels i# a packi#" crate bei#" recei%ed !rom the N$clear 5attalio#' so !or some reaso# a# $#$sed %essel is bei#" ret$r#ed with a# older o#e. *TE did #ot see these %essels' o#l& the photo' so he was #ot aware o! a#& health a#d sa!et& preca$tio#s. There are #o sa!et& preca$tio#s s$ch as co#tami#atio# co#trol i# a#& ima"e o! the !actories that we ha%e see#. There is #o i#!ormatio# abo$t ceramic cr$cibles' boosters' i"#iters or s$ch thi#"s. The !actor& simpl& b$ilt the items a#d shipped them elsewhere !or $se. A ro$"h estimate o! the amo$#t o! metal that co$ld be prod$ced i# this reactor is abo$t 20 P 21 k". That wo$ld be criticalit& sa!e a#d co$ld be $sed !or #at$ral or e#riched metal. 5omb red$ctio# is do#e i# other i#d$stries besides #$clear b$t it is relati%el& rare. The tech#olo"& was widel& de%eloped d$ri#" the 4a#hatta# proDect to make $ra#i$m metal !or reactor !$el a#d !or weapo#s i# to# C$a#tities. A bomb reactor b$ilt b& a special !actor&' s$bordi#ate to the Arm& N$clear 5attalio# is a %er& "ood i#dicator o! a #$clear pro"ram i# the co#te t o! ma#& other thi#"s. -nert Atmosphere Alo7e BoC (Step () *TE described the co#str$ctio# o! a simple %ac$$m "lo%e bo prod$ced at 0actor& 1. The bo was $sed to mi two materials to"ether whe# o#e o! them was hi"hl& s$sceptible to o idatio#. Fe describes e%ac$ati#" the bo a#d back!illi#" it with i#ert ar"o# !or the mi i#" to take place. O$r i#terpretatio# !or this "lo%e bo is that it is $sed !or mi i#" 904 with ma"#esi$m metal !or the bomb red$ctio# to $ra#i$m metal.
5igure %+8 -nert Atmosphere glo7e boC8 "acuum pump is behind the man on the right8 3ac$$m "lo%e bo es are #ot a# e%er&da& item i# i#d$str&. This o#e is C$ite cr$de b$t *TEBs descriptio# o! it bei#" $sed to mi readil& o idi;i#" chemicals is certai#l& credible. Fe also #oted it wo$ld be cheaper to b$& a "lo%e bo like this tha# it wo$ld be to make it. .ossibl& this was beca$se the proDect was classi!ied. -nconel 1ube 5luoride Bed 3eactor (Step H) 0actor& 1 p$t a lot o! e!!ort i#to b$ildi#" a ?!l$oride bed reactor@. -t is show# i# the #e t !i"$res. *TE did #ot k#ow the materials that were $sed' b$t the photo was !o$#d o# a ,/ i# a !ile marked ?-#co#el.@
-#co#el g is a #ickel based allo& $sed i# #$clear i#d$str& applicatio#s where !l$ori#e or h&dro"e# !l$oride <F0= is $sed i# the process. 0l$ori#e is hi"hl& corrosi%e a#d destro&s steels at hi"h temperat$res' s$ch as i# !$r#aces. -#co#el is also $sed i# a %ariet& o! other applicatio#s ra#"i#" !rom the #at$ral "as i#d$str&' to t$rbi#e blades a#d e%e# 0orm$la O#e raci#" car e ha$sts. *o the $se o! -#co#el is #ot a $#iC$e si"#at$re o! #$clear !$el c&cle $se. The termi#olo"& $sed b& this so$rce' ?!l$oride bed reactor@ does o!!er more cl$es. -t wo$ld seem that !l$ori#e is i#%ol%ed a#d !l$ori#e is a compo#e#t o! the #$clear !$el c&cle a#d a %er& corrosi%e o#e. 908 ca# be prod$ced b& placi#" 904 powder i# a !l$idi;ed bed reactor a#d a"itati#" it i# a hi"h temperat$re sectio# b& a stream o! !l$ori#e "as. -t is likel& that the assembl& show# i# the !i"$re is the e#tire !l$idi;ed bed reactor. The ca# at the bottom collects solids that are #ot !l$ori#ated a#d are #ot wa#ted i# the prod$ct. The si;e o! this reactor s$""ests a protot&pe or pilot pla#t si;e.
5igure %,8 1he Mfluoride bed reactorN assembly. Note the Tr$mabe#d 3A1:0 machi#e o# the ri"ht a#d the Tr$matic 2 :0:0 laser c$tti#" machi#e i# the back"ro$#d a#d compare to 0i"$re 8' the shop la&o$t o! 0actor& 1.
5igure %)8
resumed -nconel tube with the section surrounded by the furnace in the pre7ious figures
1ube 5urnaces (Step ,) *TE had o#l& see# drawi#"s o! these t$bes b$t he belie%ed that the& were !or the carbo# mo#o ide <,O= laser at Thabeikk&i#. That is certai#l& a possibilit& b$t the& appear more likel& to be t$be !$r#aces !or the !l$ori#atio# o! solid $ra#i$m o ide powder to solid 904powder. The& are certai#l& t$bes that ha%e bee# heated a#d there are metal ?boats@ !or holdi#" powder to be reacted. Two ha%e bee# s$bDected to heat a#d o#e appears to be #ew. This wo$ld be step 1 i# the !$el c&cle dia"ram abo%e.
5igure %?8 1wo used tube furnaces and one new one Nitrogen 1ank with steel Collectors (Step H) A# i#teresti#" item !abricated i# 0actor& 1 is a ?*teel ,ollectors a#d Nitro"e# ,o#tai#er@ <their termi#olo"&=. 0rom its desi"# it looks like a# attempt to b$ild a cold trap to catch 908 "as o# hi"h s$r!ace area plates with %er& cold liC$id #itro"e# as the re!ri"era#t.
5igure %(8
4ther eBuipment Other items i#cl$de a lar"e mi er ?Eater Red$ced Ta#k@' a# ?A$tomatic A$tocla%e *terili;er@' a#d a ?5$r#i#" ,hamber@. These are #ot partic$larl& $#iC$e or part o! the #$clear !$el c&cle. The b$r#i#" chamber is show# i# the #e t !i"$re' o#l& beca$se it ill$strates the cr$de workma#ship o! the items see#.
5igure #$8 1his ob!ect* described only as a burning chamber is rather crude
5igure #%8 M=ater 3educed 1ankN which appears to be a simple miCer 3eports of a Nuclear 3eactor The ope# so$rce literat$re is !illed with reports o! a #$clear reactor i# 5$rma. Ee are tempted to belie%e that this co$ld be la&ma#Bs co#!$sio# o%er a #$clear pro"ram i# "e#eral' beca$se $#i#!ormed so$rces ca# be %er& loose with termi#olo"&. O#e thi#" is clear' that ma#& people ha%e heard o! a R$ssia# pla# to sell a reactor to 5$rma aro$#d 2001. -t is %er& clear that the reactor was #e%er sold a#d it seems $#likel& that R$ssia wo$ld do so toda&. R$ssiaBs RO*ATO4 did a##o$#ce i#te#t to sell a reactor to 5$rma i# 2007' b$t this deal has #ot bee# co#s$mmated owi#" to !i#a#cial a#d practical le"al iss$es.<14= A# absol$te co#ditio# !or R$ssia to sell a 10 4E research reactor wo$ld be that 5$rma si"# the ?Additio#al .rotocol@ with -A+A.<11= The Additio#al .rotocol is a %ol$#tar& adde#d$m to a# e isti#" sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t s$ch as the sta#dard -N0,-R, t&pe 11: a"reeme#t i# !orce with 5$rma toda&. The
Additio#al .rotocol pro%ides the -A+A with "reater ri"hts to ask !or details o! e isti#" declared !acilities <there are #o#e i# 5$rma so !ar= a#d "reater ri"hts to probe i#to $#declared acti%ities o! the t&pe we are alle"i#". 100 co$#tries i# the world ha%e a"reed to a# Additio#al .rotocol.<18= 9#!ort$#atel&' some critical o#es' s$ch as *&ria' ha%e #ot. Eith the ma#& ope# so$rce claims that 5$rma has a co%ert #$clear pro"ram' this mi"ht #ot be the time the& wo$ld a"ree to si"#. The R$ssia#s sho$ld #ot e%e# co#sider selli#" a reactor to a state with weak a#d obsolete -A+A a"reeme#ts. -# additio#' a 10 4E #$clear reactor is a %er& small reactor' s$ited mai#l& !or prod$ci#" medical isotopes' co#d$cti#" #$clear ph&sics e perime#ts' a#d trai#i#" e#"i#eers a#d tech#icia#s i# #$clear tech#olo"& that co$ld e%e#t$all& be $sed to b$ild a lar"er reactor. A 10 4E reactor is a %er& poor so$rce o! pl$to#i$m a#d is o! little i#terest i# most co$#tries i#spected b& the -A+A toda&. -t wo$ld be i#spected a#d mo#itored o# a ro$ti#e basis a#d mis$se wo$ld be di!!ic$lt. There!ore' reports that a reactor has bee# sold a#d that 5$rma is b$ildi#" a 10 4E reactor o# its ow# seem !ar !etched a#d poi#tless. Ehat is o! !ar "reater co#cer# is the possible tie to the /.R6. *ome so$rces' albeit #ot wellA%etted' alle"e that /.R6 tech#icia#s are helpi#" to b$ild a reactor i# 5$rma. This immediatel& bri#"s to mi#d the 2007 bombi#" o! a !acilit& i# *&ria that alle"edl& was a /.R6 desi"#ed pl$to#i$m prod$ctio# reactor. This hi"hli"hts the !act that /.R6 is willi#" to b$ild at least o#e reactor o$tside its ow# territor&. Th$s' a#& r$mored acti%it& i# 5$rma sho$ld be take# serio$sl&. *o !ar #o so$rces ha%e "i%e# adeC$ate coordi#ates to locate a s$spected #$clear reactor i# 5$rma b$t this is a hi"h priorit& item !or more i#!ormatio#. 3eport of 6aser -sotope Separation The /35 so$rce pro%ided a "reat deal o! i#!ormatio# o# a 2aser -sotope *eparatio# <2-*= pro"ram at the N$clear 5attalio#. 0rom the o$tset we will readil& a"ree with critics that a laser isotope separatio# pro"ram is !ar be&o#d the capabilities o! 5$rma with its poor tech#ical reso$rces. Ne%ertheless *TE has a lot o! details abo$t the pro"ram' a#d i! 5$rma chooses to spe#d its reso$rces i# this wa& it is hearte#i#" to those who wish them to !ail. 2aser isotope separatio# has bee# a h$"e research pro"ram i# ma#& co$#tries' s$ch as the 9*' 96' 0ra#ce' R$ssia' Germa#&' *o$th A!rica' A$stralia a#d probabl& others. No#e o! these ad%a#ced i#d$strial co$#tries has s$cceeded i# maki#" si"#i!ica#t amo$#ts o! e#riched $ra#i$m at a#&thi#" close to a competiti%e price. There are two commo# approaches to 2aser -sotope *eparatio#. This is a# o%erl& detailed topic !or this paper a#d will be s$mmari;ed. *TE had bee# clearl& told that he was to make some precisio# #o;;les !or a s$perso#ic carbo# mo#o ide <,O= laser that wo$ld be $sed i# the 2-* process. ,arbo# dio ide <,O2= a#d ,O lasers are #ormall& associated with the 4olec$lar 2aser -sotope *eparatio# <42-*= process. This process $ses 908 as the chemical worki#" s$bsta#ce' the same as ce#tri!$"e e#richme#t. *TE was asked to machi#e ma#& protot&pe #o;;les !or the lasers' i# batches o! te# or so. Fe remembers them beca$se the& were di!!ic$lt to make a#d reC$ired electrical dischar"e machi#i#"' o#e o! his special skills. A sketch o! a #o;;le is see# i# the #e t !i"$re. Note a"ai# that the sketch is #ot a proper e#"i#eeri#" drawi#"' lacki#" tolera#ces other i#!ormatio#.
5igure ##8 Sketch of a proposed noLLle made at 5actory % allegedly for a supersonic C4 laser -t is o$r %iew that the 2-* process is !ar be&o#d the tech#ical capabilities that we ha%e see# elsewhere i# 5$rma. This tech#olo"& pro%ed too comple a#d e pe#si%e !or se%eral i#d$striali;ed states. -t is commo#' howe%er' i# the de%elopi#" world !or scie#tists ed$cated i# $#i%ersities i# i#d$striali;ed co$#tries' to ret$r# home a#d sell hi"h tech#olo"& pro"rams to "o%er#me#t b$rea$crats. The e pla#atio# here is probabl& simpl& that some academics ha%e !oisted this proDect o!! o# the "o%er#me#t so the& ca# do research a#d p$blish' k#owi#" that the& will #ot s$cceed i# the pro"rammatic aim. 3eport of Aas Centrifuge rogram *TE heard reports o! a "as ce#tri!$"e pro"ram. O#e o! his collea"$es who st$died #$clear tech#olo"& at 4-0- i# 4oscow said that the N$clear 5attalio# was worki#" o# ce#tri!$"es' a#d i! a pla#t was b$ilt it wo$ld be #ear
Ta$#""&i. The protot&pes were bei#" made o! plastic as !ar as he k#ew. No !$rther i#!ormatio# was a%ailable o# this topic. As a# aside' whe# *TE was disc$ssi#" his militar& trai#i#" i# the 1))0s' he me#tio#ed !iber composites. Fe was aware o! a militar& pro"ram to ma#$!act$re rocket bodies !rom some t&pe o! !iber. Fis militar& i#str$ctor had told the st$de#ts that the process was #ot reliable beca$se the t$bes ?%ibrated too m$ch@. Fe had #o more i#!ormatio# o# this topic a#d he did #ot tie it to e#richme#t himsel!' o#l& as a# a#swer to what ki#d o! materials mi"ht be $sed. -nternational Agreements -A0A 5$rma became a *tate .art& to the N$clear No#proli!eratio# Treat& i# 1))2. -t acC$ired ri"hts a#d obli"atio#s $#der this Treat&. The a"reeme#t is k#ow# as -#!ormatio# ,irc$lar 477 <-N0,-R,/477=.<17= -# partic$lar' 5$rma si"#ed a *mall N$a#tities .rotocol with the -A+A i# 1))1. This stip$lates that 5$rma has #o #$clear !acilities a#d o#l& small C$a#tities o! #$clear materials. -mporta#t #$clear !acilities are de!i#ed b& the -A+A as:<18= A. .ower reactors 5. Research Reactors a#d ,ritical Assemblies ,. ,o#%ersio# .la#ts /. 0$el 0abricatio# .la#ts +. Reprocessi#" .la#ts 0. +#richme#t <isotope separatio# pla#ts= N$clear materials are de!i#ed esse#tiall& as pl$to#i$m a#d $ra#i$m' i#cl$di#" e#riched $ra#i$m' $ra#i$mA2::' a#d $ra#i$m so$rce materials.<1)= The precise de!i#itio#s are comple a#d are le!t to the i#terested reader. *mall C$a#tities are de!i#ed as less tha#: <a= O#e kilo"ram i# total o! special !issio#able material' which ma& co#sist o! o#e o! more o! the !ollowi#": <i= .l$to#i$mH <ii= 9ra#i$m with a# e#richme#t o! 0.2 <20U= a#d abo%e' take# acco$#t o! b& m$ltipl&i#" its wei"ht b& its e#richme#tH a#d <iii= 9ra#i$m with a# e#richme#t below 0.2 <20U= a#d abo%e that o! #at$ral $ra#i$m' take# acco$#t o! b& m$ltipl&i#" its wei"ht b& !i%e times the sC$are o! its e#richme#tH <b= Te# metric to#s i# total o! #at$ral $ra#i$m a#d depleted $ra#i$m with a# e#richme#t abo%e 0.001 <0.1U=H <c= Twe#t& metric to#s o! depleted $ra#i$m with a# e#richme#t o! 0.001 <0.1U= or belowH a#d <d= Twe#t& metric to#s o! thori$m. These limits appear comple ' b$t the o#e o! mai# i#terest is <b=' te# metric to#s o! #at$ral $ra#i$m. -! 5$rma is operati#" a# ore co#ce#tratio# pla#t a#d prod$ci#" &ellowcake it will ha%e to co#sider this limit.
5$rma is bo$#d to report the import or e port o! #$clear materials e%e# i# small C$a#tities' or i! it acC$ires materials i# e cess o! the limit. -! it co#str$cts a #$clear !acilit& it m$st #oti!& -A+A si mo#ths be!ore recei%i#" #$clear material !or it. A# RY/ !acilit& operati#" a si#"le ce#tri!$"e o# 908 "as wo$ld ha%e to be reported to the -A+A as a# e#richme#t pla#t' as wo$ld pla#ts !or testi#" $ra#i$m co#%ersio#. -# additio#' ?i# its e!!orts to promote wider adhere#ce to the -A+ABs stre#"the#ed sa!e"$ards s&stem' the -A+A has i#%ited 4&a#mar IsicM to co#cl$de a# additio#al protocol <A.= to its sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t a#d to ame#d its small C$a#tities protocol i# li#e with the re%ised te t appro%ed b& the -A+A 5oard o! Go%er#ors i# *eptember 2001. ,o#cl$di#" a# additio#al protocol wo$ld "ra#t the -A+A e pa#ded ri"hts o! access to i#!ormatio# a#d sites.@<20= -# other words' the -A+A co#d$cts #o sa!e"$ards i#spectio#s i# 5$rma at the prese#t time a#d wo$ld ha%e #o ri"ht or obli"atio# to do so $#less 5$rma #oti!ies the -A+A o! a cha#"e i# stat$s. ,learl& 5$rma has #ot do#e that $p to this time. Note that other eleme#ts o! the -A+A do i#teract with 5$rma a#d carr& o$t %isits. These ha%e to do with -A+A /epartme#t o! Tech#ical ,ooperatio# "ra#t pro"rams i# medici#e a#d other ci%ilia# #$clear tech#olo"ies<21= a#d a pro"ram to establish a #$clear scie#ce a#d tech#ical trai#i#" ce#ter !or scie#tists' e#"i#eers' tech#icia#s a#d "rad$ate st$de#ts.<22= -# a s$pport pro"ram that -A+A ra# !rom 2001 to 2010' -A+A #oted: The 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& o! 4&a#mar is i#terested i# promoti#" the applicatio# o! #$clear tech#iC$es. The de%elopme#t o! h$ma# reso$rces is o#e o! the top priorities o! the 4i#istr&. The #$clear pro"ramme i# 4&a#mar depe#ded o# a small a"i#" core o! !orei"# trai#ed scie#tists a#d e#"i#eers' a#d trai#i#" pro%ided to local sta!! was almost e#tirel& thro$"h -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= assista#ce. -A+ABs /epartme#t o! N$clear +#er"& also reportedl& %isited to "i%e ad%ice o# whether 5$rma had s$!!icie#t tech#ical abilit& to r$# the #$clear reactor that R$ssia pla##ed to sell. The& reportedl& ad%ised that 5$rma was #ot read& !or this tech#ical challe#"e. -t is also #otable that #ot all trai#i#" is i# the ci%ilia# area. Two 4&a#mar researchers i# 200: a#d 2001' respecti%el&' participated i# si Amo#th pro"rams at the 6orea Atomic +#er"& Research -#stit$te i# the !ields o! research reactor tech#olo"& a#d ad%a#ced spe#t !$el ma#a"eme#t' which is i#co#siste#t with their lack o! declared #$clear !$el c&cle pro"rams.<2:= 0nd .ser Certification The /T3+ p$rchased eC$ipme#t !or two !actories a#d claimed to the %e#dors that it was !or ed$catio#al' #o#Amilitar& $se. 5ased $po# *TEBs e%ide#ce' militar& perso##el work i# the !acilities maki#" protot&pe parts !or weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# a#d deli%er& s&stems. -t wo$ld there!ore seem appropriate to sa#ctio# the /3T+ a#d e#tities associated with it s$ch as /A+ a#d 4O*T !rom a#& !$rther p$rchases o! ma#$!act$ri#"' machi#i#" a#d i#spectio# eC$ipme#t o# the basis o! a !alse e#dA$ser certi!icatio#. This wo$ld i#cl$de spare parts a#d assista#ce !or the machi#es alread& acC$ired. *tates participati#" i#' !or e ample' the N$clear *$ppliers Gro$p <N*G= a#d the 4issile Tech#olo"& ,o#trol Re"ime <4T,R= sho$ld be ad%ised o! these !i#di#"s. AS0AN and the Southeast Asia Nuclear =eapon 5ree Gone 5$rma is a si"#ator& to the *o$theast Asia N$clear Eeapo# 0ree Lo#e. A#& $#dertaki#" to prod$ce #$clear weapo#s wo$ld also be a %iolatio# o! that a"reeme#t.<24= Conclusions A si#"le so$rce' a !ormer maDor i# the 5$rmese Arm&' has come to the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma with a lar"e %ol$me o! i#!ormatio# p$rporti#" to show missile a#d #$clear acti%ities i# 5$rma $p $#til the prese#t. The !irst C$estio# that i#terested obser%ers will ask is abo$t the credibilit& o! the i#!ormatio#. The so$rce a#d /35 ha%e stro#" !eeli#"s abo$t the re"ime. Their obDecti%it& ca# be called i#to C$estio# a#d so the& ha%e asked $s to do this i#depe#de#t assessme#t o! the i#!ormatio#.
The !ollowi#" poi#ts show the o%erall co#siste#c& o! the i#!ormatio#. 5$t each reader will ha%e to make $p his or her ow# mi#d. h h *ai was wellApositio#ed to acC$ire i#!ormatio#. Fe was a# arm& maDor' trai#ed i# militar& scie#ce with !$rther trai#i#" i# R$ssia. Fe reports credibl& abo$t his ed$catio# at the 5a$ma# -#stit$te i# 4oscow a#d o# collea"$es who st$died at 4-0- a#d 4e#delee% -#stit$te. h h 4a#& so$rce reports describe the additio#al trai#i#" o! &o$#" militar& o!!icers i# elite R$ssia# $#i%ersities. This is more C$a#titati%e a#d !irstAha#d tha# ma#& other ope# so$rce stateme#ts. h h The so$rce was a dep$t& ma#a"er i# two !actories prod$ci#" parts !or missiles a#d #$clear pro"rams. h h These !actories are wellAk#ow#. There ha%e bee# e#dA$ser certi!icatio# %isits to both a#d the details o! machi#e tools dates a#d c$stomers match. There are photo"raphs o! tools a#d the +$ropea# i#stallers a#d i#spectors. The Germa# e#A $ser e pert did #ot see militar& perso##el b$t #oted discrepa#cies i# the 5$rmese stor& that /T3+ operated the !actories !or st$de#t trai#i#". h h The so$rce %isited Thabeikk&i# with two "e#eral o!!icers a#d saw cr$de demo#stratio#s o! alle"ed #$clear tech#olo"&. h h A ?N$clear 5attalio#@ at Thabeikk&i# has bee# reported b& other so$rces i# sketch& detail. This #ew i#!ormatio# allows more i#%esti"atio# especiall& $si#" satellite ima"er&. h h The so$rce reported that $ra#i$m ore was bei#" processed at Thabeikk&i# a#d that it was ha;ardo$s to health. h h Other so$rces me#tio# Thabeikk&i# i# %er& "e#eral terms a#d also claim that the reactor mi"ht be b$ilt there. O#e satellite ima"e shows a small ore co#ce#tratio# pla#t o# a po#d a#d piles o! earthe# materials #earb&. This is #ot proo! o! a $ra#i$m pla#t' b$t co#siste#t. h h The so$rce pro%ided a doc$me#t abo$t a ?bomb reactor@ bei#" b$ilt !or the N$clear 5attalio# at Thabeikk&i# alo#" with se%eral photos. h h The obDect certai#l& looks like a bomb red$ctio# %essel a#d o#e o! the two see# has bee# s$bDected to hi"h temperat$res. h h Other eC$ipme#t' #otabl& a# i#ert atmosphere "lo%e bo !or mi i#" reacti%e chemicals' a ?!l$oride bed reactor'@ 908 cold trap a#d t$be !$r#aces are all compo#e#ts o! a possible pro"ram to make $ra#i$m compo$#ds !or a weapo#s de%elopme#t e!!ort. h h This is co#siste#t with a pro"ram to make 908 !or e#richme#t b& 42-* or ce#tri!$"e a#d $ra#i$m metal !or a possible bomb core. 0rom all o! the abo%e we co#cl$de that it is likel& that 5$rma is tr&i#" to attempt ma#& o! the #$clear pro"ram steps reported b& pre%io$s so$rces. 9#realistic attempts' s$ch as the 4olec$lar 2aser -sotope *eparatio# proDect' $#pro!essio#al e#"i#eeri#" drawi#"s a#d the cr$de appeara#ce o! items i# photos' s$""est that s$ccess ma& be be&o#d 5$rmaBs reach. Ne%ertheless' the i#te#t is clear a#d that is a %er& dist$rbi#" matter !or i#ter#atio#al a"reeme#ts. -! e perime#ts with $ra#i$m are taki#" place' or si"#i!ica#t C$a#tities o! $ra#i$m compo$#ds are bei#" prod$ced' the# 5$rma #eeds to be reporti#" to the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&' which clearl& it is $#likel& to do i! it is pla##i#" a co%ert #$clear reactor' a# e#richme#t pro"ram a#d a weapo#.
The a$the#ticit& o! the photo"raphs a#d reports will #o do$bt be C$estio#ed. That is !air a#d pro!essio#al. The p$rpose o! this report is to i#!orm a#d "e#erate tho$"ht!$l a#al&sis. The so$rce a#d chai# o! c$stod& o! this i#!ormatio# is clearer tha# the rece#t ?laptop doc$me#ts@ abo$t -ra#Bs alle"ed #$clear weapo# pro"ram' !or e ample' a#d that has "e#erated co#siderable a#al&sis a#d spec$latio#. 9#dated a#d $#so$rced photos o! a reactor $#der co#str$ctio# i# *&ria are lar"el& $#challe#"ed. -t wo$ld seem reaso#able to C$estio# the a$thorities i# 5$rma a#d to hear their e pla#atio#s. -!' 5$rma de#ies the a$the#ticit& o! this i#!ormatio#' the# time will be the D$d"e. -! the a$thorities de#& the i#!ormatio# a#d the# are !o$#d to ha%e #ot told the tr$th' the i#ter#atio#al reactio# sho$ld be swi!t a#d se%ere so that 5$rma does #ot reach the imm$#it& that /.R6 has acC$ired with its #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. 0nd Notes <1= ,o#s$lta#t to the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma <2= +ditor a#d Research Assista#t' /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma <:= *$ch as: ?5$rmaBs N$clear *ecrets@' The *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald' A$"$st 1' 200): http://www.smh.com.a$/world/b$rma 201)sA#$clearAsecretsA200)07:1Ae4!%.html <4= There are le"al de!i#itio#s o! ?#$clear !acilities@ a#d ?#$clear materials@ i# the -A+A stat$te a#d -A+A -#!ormatio# ,irc$lar -N0,-R,/11:. 5$rma has #ot declared a#& materials i# these cate"ories' a#d short o! alle"atio#s that we a#d others are maki#"' there are #o le"all& declared #$clear !acilities or materials i# 5$rma. <1=.rospect$s' -A+A/R,A Trai#i#" ,o$rse o# Reporti#" i# Ad%a#ced ,li#ical Applicatio#s o! .ositro# +missio# Tomo"raph& <.+T=' 2) 4arch 2010' http://www.rcaro.or"/board/data/rcaRwhatis#ew/804)RT,18A9G10A92.pd! <8=/eep ,o##ectio#s betwee# 4&a#marBs /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# a#d /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"&' A#drea *cheel *tricker' (a#$ar& 28' 2010' http://isisAo#li#e.or"/$ploads/isisA reports/doc$me#ts/4&a#marR/A+R/T3+R28(a#$ar&2010.pd! <7= 4GAN4AR 4r. 6o 6o Oo 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& 8' 6aba A&e .a"oda Road' Ga#ki# ..O.' Ga#"o#' 4&a#mar Tel: )1 1 8842:: 0a : )1 1 810881 +mail: dae.m&atomXmptmail.#et.mm
<8= Tra#sliteratio#s %ar& a#d #ot all places i# this report will be writte# m$ltiple wa&s. Thabeikk&i# is s$ch a# importa#t site that it is importa#t to k#ow the alter#ati%e tra#sliteratio#s Tha 5eik 6&i# a#d Tha .eik 6&i#. <)= ?/aw@ is a# ho#ori!ic' #ot a #ame
<10= 2ist o! .articipa#ts' R,ARO/6A+R- Re"io#al Trai#i#" Eorkshop o# Research Reactor 9tili;atio# a#d Radiatio# Applicatio# Tech#olo"&' 6orea Atomic +#er"& Research -#stit$te <6A+R-=' /aeDeo#' the Rep$blic o! 6orea' 12 ^ 2: October 200) <11= 0or e ample' http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2407/bi"AoddAm&a#marAbo ' : A$"$st 200) <12= http://isisAo#li#e.or"/$ploads/isisAreports/doc$me#ts/5$rmaRt$##elsR:A$"$st200).pd! <1:= /35 has care!$ll& e ami#ed photo"raphs a#d #oted that perso##el who wore ci%ilia# clothes d$ri#" the Germa# e pert %isit wear militar& $#i!orms whe# the +$ropea#s are #ot there. <14=R$ssia to b$ild N$clear Reactor i# 4&a#mar' New *cie#tist a#d Re$ters' 11 4a& 2007' http://www.#ewscie#tist.com/article/d#11818Ar$ssiaAtoAb$ildA#$clearAreactorAi#Am&a#mar.html <11= -A+A -N0,-R,/140 <18= ,had became the 100th *tate to complete a# Additio#al .rotocol o# 1: 4a& 2010 <17=AGR++4+NT O0 20 A.R-2 1))1 5+TE++N TF+ 9N-ON O0 4GAN4AR AN/ TF+ -NT+RNAT-ONA2 ATO4-, +N+RGG AG+N,G 0OR TF+ A..2-,AT-ON O0 *A0+G9AR/* -N ,ONN+,T-ON E-TF TF+ TR+ATG ON TF+ NONA.RO2-0+RAT-ON O0 N9,2+AR E+A.ON*' -#!ormatio# ,irc$lar 477. <18=TF+ *TR9,T9R+ AN/ ,ONT+NT O0 AGR++4+NT* 5+TE++N TF+ AG+N,G AN/ *TAT+* R+N9-R+/ -N ,ONN+,T-ON E-TF TF+ TR+ATG ON TF+ NONA.RO2-0+RAT-ON O0 N9,2+AR E+A.ON*' -N0,-R,/11: <,orrected=' -A+A' ($#e 1)72 <1)=@N$clear material@ mea#s a#& so$rce or a#& special !issio#able material as de!i#ed i# Article >> o! the *tat$te. The term so$rce material shall #ot be i#terpreted as appl&i#" to ore or ore resid$e. <20= -A+A p$blic i#!ormatio# spokesma#' 18 *eptember 200) <21= I1M*$ch as: 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&' 4O*T' Go%er#me#t o! 5$rma' -A+A Tech#ical ,ooperatio# + pert 4issio# to /ept. o! 5iotech#olo"&' Ga#"o# <-A+A proDect a#d task 4GA/0/007A12= o# Tra#s!er o! 4olec$lar 4arket Tech#olo"ies. http://www.most."o%.mm/tech$#i/i#de .phpOoptio#`comRco#te#tYtask`%iewYid`42 <22= T, .roDect 4GA/0/007' N$clear *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& Trai#i#" ,e#tre' http://wwwA tc.iaea.or"/tcweb/proDecti#!o/proDecti#!oRbod&.asp <2:= -A+A probes 4&a#mar data' disco$ra"es #ew research reactors' 4ark Fibbs' N$clear 0$el' A$"$st 10' 200). <24= Arms ,o#trol Associatio#' N$clear Eeapo# 0ree Lo#es at a Gla#ce
http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/2720/#owAitAca#AbeAtoldAi#sideAbobecomme#t
Ee spe#t a si"#i!ica#t !ractio# o! o$r time i# Oslo tr&i#" to a$the#ticate the i#!ormatio# a#d D$d"i#" its si"#i!ica#ce. *i#ce %er& little is k#ow# abo$t whatBs "oi#" o# i#side 5$rma' most o! this co#sisted o! looki#" !or i#ter#al co#siste#c&. This was !airl& eas& !or the 5i" Odd 5o <es=' which are#Bt reall& odd at all. The ima"e doc$me#tatio# show the 5o es at #earl& all le%els o! co#str$ctio#H !rom cleari#" the !orest a#d le%eli#" the "ro$#d' to prepari#" the co#crete pad a#d s$pport beam holes' to stabili;i#" the s$rro$#di#" ba#ks with shotcrete' to !i#ishi#" the i#terior' to i#stalli#" the ,N, machi#es. Accordi#" to /35Bs so$rce<s=' both ?5o es@ are esse#tiall& the same: loaded with sophisticated milli#" machi#e a#d other eC$ipme#t !or precisio# e#"i#eeri#". *ome o! these ima"es show #o#AAsia#s <the& act$all& look like +$ropea#s to me' b$t - ca##ot sa& !or s$re= i#stalli#" some o! the sophisticated eC$ipme#t. [Pictures lin)ed to in the abo%e para!raph "ollo#]
installing the CNC machines The 5$rmese ha%e !illed this b$ildi#" with a wide ra#"e o! #$mericall& co#trolled milli#" machi#es' lathes' etc. -#teresti#"l&' the& ha%e laid o$t the machi#e shop b& placi#" to"ether those machi#es that are related. 0or i#sta#ce' there is a hall with pro"ressi%el& lar"er milli#" machi#es' a#other !or machi#es !or c$tti#" or weldi#"' a#d a#other !or precisio# :A/ meas$reme#ts. The later' o! co$rse' co$ld be $sed either !or C$alit& co#trol or re%erse e#"i#eeri#". ha%e #ot see# a#& e%ide#ce that the 5$rmese i#te#d to re%erse e#"i#eer missiles' which is probabl& a wise choice. Fowe%er' what the& are doi#" ri"ht #ow is #ot that m$ch better. The arra#"eme#t o! eC$ipme#t that - all$ded to abo%e makes se#se !or a "e#eral p$rpose machi#e shop' o#e that mi"ht "et a wide %ariet& o! orders b$t alwa&s !or o#e or two items. -t mi"ht e%e# be i#te#ded solel& !rom protot&pi#"' albeit some prett& massi%e protot&pes' some wei"hi#" $p to 20 to#sZ <Ehe# co#tacted b& the prod$cers o! the /35 doc$me#tar&' the compa#ies e porti#" these sophisticated ,N, machi#es claimed that both 5o es were set $p as trai#i#" ce#ters !or !$t$re machi#e operators a#d had #othi#" to do with missile or #$clear related prod$ctio#. Taki#" the bi" pict$re poi#t o! %iew' that' at best' D$st kicks the ca# dow# the road.= -!' o# the other ha#d' the shop was i#te#ded to prod$ce tho$sa#ds' or e%e# h$#dreds' o! copies o! the same itemVa ce#tri!$"e !or i#sta#ceVthe la&o$t wo$ld be' or sho$ld be' optimi;ed !or material !low with %er& di!!ere#t t&pes o! eC$ipme#t positio#ed #ear each other. 0or i#sta#ce' a# electro# beam welder mi"ht be positio#ed #ear a milli#" machi#e etc. *o it seems $#likel& that the shop is i#te#ded !or prod$ci#" ce#tri!$"es' which reC$ire tho$sa#ds !or a#& mea#i#"!$l proDect. <A#d wo$ld #ot #eed the %er& lar"e machi#es i# a#& case.= -t is' o! co$rse' co#cei%able that the& mi"ht make missile parts si#ce those are o!te# do#e i# o#esies a#d twosies.
07idence of a @esire to Make Missiles Accordi#" to the i#!ormatio# "ai#ed b& /35' 5$rma is p$rs$i#" a least two di!!ere#t paths towards acC$iri#" a missile prod$ctio# capabilit&. O#e is a more or less i#di"e#o$s path. The ?less i#di"e#o$s@ comes !rom the !act that the& ha%e se#t a #$mber o! 5$rmese militar& o!!icers to 4oscow !or trai#i#" i# e#"i#eeri#" related to missile desi"# a#d prod$ctio#. The seco#d i# comma#d o! o#e o! these ?5o es@ recei%ed a de"ree i# rocket e#"i#es. <Fe recei%ed a 4asterBs o! *cie#ce i# +#"i#eeri#" !rom the 5a$ma# 4oscow *tate Tech#ical 9#i%ersit& i# 2004. /$ri#" his st$dies i# 4oscow' he speciali;ed i# .ower +#"i#eeri#" !or Rocket +#"i#es' o#e o! the specialties 5a$ma# 4*T9 is k#ow# !or. Fere is a cop& o! his /iploma.= Fere he is holdi#" a test item ma#$!act$red at his ?5o .@ Fe ide#ti!ies it as the impeller !or a lar"e kerose#e/liC$id o &"e# e#"i#e i#te#ded !or static testi#".
0rom a p$rel& e%ide#tiar& poi#t o! %iew' it is %er& si"#i!ica#t that a di!!ere#t "ro$p tha# the 5o desi"#ed the impeller. Ehat took place at the 5o was a co#%ersio# !rom the ,A/ !iles to machi#e i#str$ctio#s to make the impeller $si#" the machi#e the "e#tlema# is sta#di#" i# !ro#t o!. This twoA"ro$p acti%it& implies a si"#i!ica#tl& "reater le%el o! i#terest b& the 5$rmese a$thorities tha# i! the impeller had bee# desi"#ed i# the same "ro$p as it was ma#$!act$red. -# !act' it implies at least three or"a#i;atio#al e#tities were i#%ol%ed: the desi"# "ro$p' the ma#$!act$ri#" "ro$p at the 5o ' a#d a coordi#ati#" a$thorit& that appro%ed the impeller bei#" se#t o%er to the 5o !or !abricatio#. The e#"i#e that this impeller desi"#Vthe item act$all& !abricated is simpl& a ?proo! o! co#cept@ item that lacks some si"#i!ica#t !eat$res !or a# act$al worki#" impellerVis desti#ed !or is reported' i# additio# to b$r#i#" liC$id o &"e#/kerose#e' to ha%e a comb$stio# press$re o! 21 me"aA.ascals. That is abo$t !o$r times the comb$stio# press$re o! a *,9/ e#"i#e. <4& ow# calc$latio#s' based o# ass$mi#" scali#" !rom a *,9/At&pe e#"i#e' show that the impellerBs diameter is co#siste#t with a lar"e rocket e#"i#e' perhaps a Nodo#". - did #ot tr& to estimate a#&thi#" ass$mi#" it was !or a liC$id o &"e# e#"i#e.= *$ch a lar"e press$reV#ot to me#tio# $si#" a cr&o"e#ic propella#tZV seems hi"hl& $#desirable !or the !irst e#"i#e prod$ced b& a co$#tr& that has a serio$s pla# !or de%elopi#" missiles or rockets o# its ow#. A more realistic !irst attempt at desi"#i#" a# i#di"e#o$s e#"i#e mi"ht ha%e $sed a more co#%e#tio#al propella#t combi#atio# a#d pre!erable a smaller e#"i#e with a lower comb$stio# chamber press$re. There are simpl& too ma#& h$rdles !or the #o%ice to o%ercome o# their !irst e#"i#e desi"# witho$t throwi#" i# ha#dli#" liC$id o &"e#. -# !act' this e ample per!ectl& ill$strates the risks i#%ol%ed i# i#depe#de#t i##o%atio#: the perso##el i#%ol%ed are simpl& too i#e perie#ced to k#ow whe# the& are "etti#" i# tro$ble.
O#e is le!t with the impressio# that the hi"herA$ps are i#terested i# $tili;i#" their !orei"# trai#ed scie#tists a#d e#"i#eers !or missile prod$ctio# b$t do #ot ha%e a master pla# !or de%elopme#t. -# stead' the& are "i%i#" a "ree# li"ht to their workers to e ercise their #ewA!o$#d skills. .erhaps the& will "et serio$s later b$t as o! #ow we ca# de!i#itel& sa& that this i#di"e#o$s path has a m$ch' m$ch "reater risk o! !ail$re tha# the other path the& seem to be p$rs$i#". 5$rma also appears to be !ollowi#" a#other acC$isitio# path: p$rchasi#" missile prod$ctio# li#es a#d k#owAhow !rom the North 6orea#s. Fere most o! the e%ide#ce comes !rom a si#"le so$rceH a s$mmar& o! a trip report describi#" the acti%ities a#d accomplishme#ts o! a #$mber o! hi"hAra#ki#" 5$rmese o!!icials made to North 6orea. There is' howe%er' co#siderable s$pporti#" e%ide#ce that the o!!icials did act$all& make the trip. There are ima"es o! meeti#"s o! North 6orea# a#d 5$rmese o!!icials a#d some photos that co$ld be o! sites me#tio#ed i# the trip report. The s$mmar& o! the trip report is' howe%er' the o#l& e%ide#ce o! the o#e o! the res$lts o! the meeti#": a 4emora#d$m o! 9#dersta#di#" where 5$rma "ets ass$ra#ces !rom North 6orea that it will be able to p$rchase complete prod$ctio# li#es !or missiles with ra#"es $p to :100 km. A two sta"e 9B#haA2 or a *imor"h come to mi#d. There is' $#!ort$#atel&' #o strate"ic reaso# "i%e# !or wh& 5$rma wo$ld wa#t s$ch missiles. There is' o# the other ha#d' ple#t& o! e%ide#ce i# the /35 cache o! i#!ormatio# that 5$rma !ears a# attack b& the 9#ited *tates a#d /ie"o GarciaVa maDor 9* air baseVis almost e actl& :100 km awa&. *o we ca# at least ima"i#e a deterre#t reaso# tho$"h that threat wo$ld be mi#imal witho$t a #$clear warhead. That lack o! a stated reaso#' a#d the lack o! clear a#d i#depe#de#t co#!irmatio# o! the trip report' makes me wa#t to hold o!! o# accepti#" that 5$rma is committed to p$rchasi#" a prod$ctio# li#e !or a lar"e missile !rom North 6orea. Fowe%er' - thi#k we ca# be !airl& co#!ide#t that s$ch a# acC$isitio# path wo$ld ha%e a m$ch' m$ch hi"her cha#ce o! s$ccess tha# the i#di"e#o$s path. Signs of a Sea Change in the roliferation 0n7ironment: Accordi#" to /35Bs so$rces' North 6orea had #othi#" to do with setti#" $p the two machi#e shops i#side the 5o es. -# !act' the 5o es seem to ha%e bee# set $p as "e#eral p$rpose machi#e shops a#d probabl& do #ot %iolate either the 4T,R or e%e# political sa#ctio#s imposed b& +$rope a"ai#st the ($#ta <+$ropeBs sa#ctio#s a"ai#st the 5$rmese ($#ta are co#siderabl& looser tha# those o! the 9* a#d these e ports were probabl& le"al. Now that there is e%ide#ce o! the prod$ctio# o! missile related compo#e#ts those compa#ies will probabl& wa#t to rethi#k their !$t$re e ports.= Fowe%er' this whole episode is a# i#dicatio# o! how proli!eratio# mi"ht be cha#"i#". ,o#sider how -#dia "ot started o# its road to preemi#e#ce i# solid propella#t missile tech#olo"&: it lice#sed the tech#olo"& !rom 0ra#ce' recei%ed detailed writte# k#owAhow o# prod$ctio# <a#d trai#i#" o! tech#icia#s i# 0ra#ce=' a#d recei%ed a list o! prod$ctio# eC$ipme#t' which -#dia p$rchased elsewhere. 0ra#ce was ob%io$sl& capable o! prod$ci#" the #eeded eC$ipme#t a#d choseVpres$mabl& !or political reaso#s si#ce the 9* was at the time tr&i#" to press$re other co$#tries #ot to assist -#diaBs rocket/missile pro"ramV#ot to sell them directl&. North 6orea is also at least claimi#" the abilit& to prod$ce ad%a#ced prod$ctio# machi#es a#d probabl& did sell a certai# le%el o! tech#olo"& to -ra# !or missile prod$ctio#. Fowe%er' North 6orea m$st wo#der i! it will alwa&s be able to ship lar"e pieces o! eC$ipme#t o$t o! its co$#tr& or e%e# i! its clie#ts wo$ld settle !or /.R6Bs !i#est. -#stead' the spread o! precisio# e#"i#eeri#" worldwideV A. N. 6ha#Bs $se o! 4ala&siaBs *,O.+ e#"i#eeri#" is the clearest e ample o! thisVhas ope#ed $p the possibilit& o! proli!eratio# #etworks more as co#s$lti#" e#"i#eeri#" !irms rather tha# o#eAstopA shoppi#" ce#ters. A!ter all' witho$t the testimo#& o! /35Bs so$rces' it wo$ld be impossible to tell the di!!ere#ce betwee# the 5o es set $p b& Eester#ers with the eC$ipme#t list comi#" !rom a North 6orea# co#s$lta#t !or E4//deli%er& prod$ctio# a#d the 5o es set $p b& Eester#ers as "e#eral p$rpose machi#i#". A Special 1hanks /35Bs so$rces are bra%e people who ha%e decided to sm$""le o$t a %ariet& o! i#!ormatio# abo$t the ($#taBs acti%ities so that the world mi"ht k#ow. 4issile de%elopme#t is #ot ca$si#" as m$ch harm to the 5$rmese people as ma#& o! the other acti%ities o! the ($#ta. Ne%ertheless' it is part o! a militar& pro"ram that shows a remarkable disre"ard !or the 5$rmese people. - ha%e waited to p$blish this posti#" $#til bei#" ass$red that a#& so$rce who mi"ht be implicated b& the i#!ormatio# has bee# sa!el& e%ac$ated !rom 5$rma.
http://#ews.asiao#e.com/News/2atestU25News/Asia/*tor&/A1*tor&20100807A220801.html
http://www.r!a.or"/e#"lish/#ews/b$rma/weapo#sA08072010114244.html
?The other doc$me#ts showed a real lack o! co#cer# !or the 5$rmese people that was %er& dist$rbi#".@ 0orde# said the photos appear "e#$i#e a#d co#siste#t with what is k#ow# abo$t 5$rmaBs militar& pla#s. The& appear to show the i#side o! two !actories the D$#ta has b$ilt to ho$se ad%a#ced ?Eester# tech#olo"&'@ he said' b$t added that it is $#likel& the eC$ipme#t is $sed to ma#$!act$re a#& %iable weapo#r&. ?The&Bre "e#eralAp$rpose machi#e shops with sophisticated eC$ipme#t' a#d the& co$ld do C$ite a !ew thi#"s. A#d 5$rma has show# a# i#terest i# maki#" missiles' tho$"h the& are de!i#itel& #ot %er& !ar alo#" i# their pro"ram'@ he said.
reser7ation of power
?Gi%e# North 6oreaBs prope#sit& !or #$clear de%elopme#t as well as proli!eratio# ... - thi#k there is "reat s$spicio# or certai#t& that North 6orea also has a relatio#ship with 5$rma'@ he said' addi#" that both North 6orea a#d 5$rma' which the r$li#" D$#ta calls 4&a#mar' are pariah states. 5$rma co$ld attempt to $se a missile a#d #$clear weapo#s pro"ram as a deterre#t to a 9.*. attack' 6li#"#er said' which the re"ime !ears e#o$"h to ha%e relocated the co$#tr&Bs capital !rom Ra#"oo# to the remote cit& o! Na&p&idaw i# 2001. ?Or perhaps the& wo$ld "o dow# the path o! North 6oreaVo! $si#" the threat o! a #$clear deterre#t or a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram as a wa& o! !orci#" co#cessio#s !rom their oppo#e#ts' i#cl$di#" a# amelioratio# o! i#ter#atio#al sa#ctio#s'@ he said. Fo$rs be!ore the report was released' 9.*. se#ator (im Eebb ca#celed a pla##ed trip to 5$rma' citi#" 9.*. co#cer#s o%er a# alle"ed shipme#t o! North 6orea# arms to 5$rma. Eebb chairs a 9.*. *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s pa#el o# +ast Asia' a#d has called !or i#creased dialo"$e betwee# the Obama admi#istratio# a#d 5$rmaJs D$#ta. Ori"i#al reporti#" R0ABs 5$rmese ser%ice a#d (osh$a 2ipes. 5$rmese ser%ice director: N&ei# *hwe. + ec$ti%e prod$cer: *$sa# 2a%er&. Eritte# !or the Eeb i# +#"lish b& (osh$a 2ipes. +dited b& *arah (ackso#AFa#.
http://i#.re$ters.com/article/id-N-#diaA4)107)20100807 -A0A chief says looking into Myanmar nuclear report 4o# ($# 7' 2010 8:10pm -*T 3-+NNA <Re$ters= A The 9.N. #$clear watchdo" said o# 4o#da& it was looki#" i#to a report that militar&Ar$led 4&a#mar was aimi#" to de%elop #$clear weapo#s. G$ki&a Ama#o' head o! the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A=' also said that i! #ecessar& the 3ie##aA based bod& ma& ask !or clari!icatio# !rom 4&a#mar. Acco$#ts o! s$spected #$clear pla#s s$r!aced last &ear' b$t 4&a#mar has #e%er co#!irmed or de#ied a#& #$clear ambitio#s. 2ast week' a# i#%esti"atio# b& a# e iled a#tiA"o%er#me#t "ro$p said 4&a#mar was seeki#" to de%elop a cla#desti#e #$clear pro"ramme with the i#te#t to prod$ce a# atomic bomb. The !i%eA&ear i#%esti"atio# b& the Norwa&Abased /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma </35= co#cl$ded that 4&a#mar' !ormerl& 5$rma' was a lo#" wa& !rom prod$ci#" a #$clear weapo# b$t had "o#e to "reat le#"ths to acC$ire the tech#olo"& a#d e pertise to do so. -! tr$e' it wo$ld be the !irst so$theast Asia# co$#tr& with #$clear ambitio#s a#d alter the strate"ic la#dscape o! a !astA"rowi#" re"io# whose bi" co$#tries AA !rom -#do#esia to the .hilippi#es a#d Thaila#d AA are closel& allied with Eashi#"to#. KEe ha%e see# the related articles i# the media a#d we are #ow assessi#" the i#!ormatio#'K Ama#o told a #ews co#!ere#ce. KA#d' i! #ecessar&' we will seek clari!icatio# !rom 4&a#mar'K the (apa#ese diplomat said' speaki#" o# the !irst da& o! a meeti#" o! the :1A#atio# board o! the -A+A. 4&a#mar is a member o! the #$clear No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T=' a "lobal a#tiA#$clear arms pact' a#d o! the -A+A. The /35 report cited a 9.*. #$clear scie#tist assessi#" e%ide#ce pro%ided b& *ai Thei# Ei#' a 5$rmese de!e#ce e#"i#eer trai#ed i# R$ssia i# missile tech#olo"&. Fe said he had de!ected a!ter worki#" i# !actories b$ilt to de%elop weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#. The report prompted a 9.*. *e#ator' (im Eebb' to ca#cel a trip to 4&a#mar last Th$rsda&' which he said wo$ld be K$#wise a#d i#appropriateK i# li"ht o! the report. .re%io$s claims b& de!ectors s$""est 4&a#mar had e#listed the help o! North 6orea' with which it reportedl& a"reed a memora#d$m o! $#dersta#di#" o# militar& cooperatio# d$ri#" a %isit b& a top "e#eral to .&o#"&a#" last &ear.
-# 4a& 2010' Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate 6$rt ,ampbell raised alle"atio#s that 5$rma has %iolated its commitme#t to 9N Resol$tio# 1874 re"ardi#" accepta#ce o! shipme#ts o! militar& items !rom North 6orea. Altho$"h #ot e plai#ed i# his stateme#t' a#d #ot %alidated b& s$bseC$e#t i#!ormatio#' #ews reports alle"ed that 5$rma recei%ed a shipme#t o! arms !rom North 6orea. This alle"atio#' which !rom m& $#dersta#di#" has &et to be p$blicl& clari!ied a#d s$bsta#tiated b& the *tate /epartme#t' has !ro;e# a#& prospect o! !$rther e#"a"eme#t with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t.
.rior to m& rece#t Asia trip' - a#d m& sta!! worked !or weeks to seek p$blic clari!icatio# o! this alle"atio#' b$t the *tate /epartme#t pro%ided #o#e. At the time - le!t !or m& trip to Asia' #o other co$#tries had Doi#ed the 9#ited *tates i# this alle"atio#' altho$"h it had bee# disc$ssed with se%eral other co$#tries. The *tate /epartme#t still has #ot p$blicl& clari!ied this matter. 4& sta!! was told b& /ep$t& Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate *cot 4arciel that #o other #atio# has Doi#ed the 9#ited *tates i# p$blicl& de#o$#ci#" 5$rma o# this matter. As &o$ k#ow' o#l& ho$rs be!ore - was sched$led to e#ter 5$rma' reports s$r!aced i# the i#ter#atio#al media re"ardi#" #ew alle"atio#s that the militar& re"ime was cooperati#" with North 6orea to de%elop a #$clear pro"ram. These alle"atio#s were raised b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma' which is a 9.*.A!$#ded media or"a#i;atio#. As a co#seC$e#ce o! these two alle"atio#s' - postpo#ed m& %isit to 5$rma $#til s$ch time as both o! them ca# be e ami#ed obDecti%el& a#d !act$all&. - am #ow calli#" o# &o$ to do so' i# a timel& ma##er' so that o$r !$t$re relatio#s with this co$#tr& ca# proceed !orward i# a respo#sible wa&. +8 Special 0n7oy to Burma2
Go$ will recall that the 2008 Tom 2a#tos 5lock 5$rmese (A/+ Act reC$ires the .reside#t to appoi#t a *pecial Represe#tati%e a#d .olic& ,oordi#ator !or 5$rma' b& a#d with the ad%ice a#d co#se#t o! the *e#ate. Amo#" other respo#sibilities' this positio# sho$ld ?promote a comprehe#si%e i#ter#atio#al e!!ort' i#cl$di#" m$ltilateral sa#ctio#s' direct dialo"$e with the *./, a#d democrac& ad%ocates' a#d s$pport !or #o#"o%er#me#tal or"a#i;atio#s operati#" i# 5$rma a#d #ei"hbori#" co$#tries' desi"#ed to restore ci%ilia# democratic r$le to 5$rma a#d address the $r"e#t h$ma#itaria# #eeds o! the 5$rmese people.@ *i#ce this act has bee# i# e!!ect' the positio# has #ot bee# !illed. - hope &o$ will ask the .reside#t to appoi#t a *pecial +#%o& to 5$rma witho$t dela&. -# that re"ard' - wo$ld like to stro#"l& recomme#d Ambassador +ric (oh#' who c$rre#tl& ser%es i# Thaila#d' !or this positio#. Ambassador (oh# has spe#t ma#& &ears i# +ast Asia' a#d has lo#" e perie#ce i# deali#" with the North 6orea# re"ime o# iss$es that mi"ht be similar to those we will be !aci#" i# 5$rma. ,8 -ncrease 0ast Asia Bureau 5unding2
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/08/142844.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, ($#e 8' 2010 [EXCERPT ] N9+*T-ON: *e#ator (im Eebb toda& wrote a letter to *ecretar& ,li#to# calli#" !or the passa"e o! the 9.*.A 6orea 0ree Trade A"reeme#t. 4R. ,ROE2+G: ,alli#" !or the passa"e o! the AA N9+*T-ON: O! the 9.*.A6orea 0ree Trade A"reeme#t a#d the appoi#tme#t o! a special e#%o& to 5$rma immediatel&' as well as P a#d i#creased +ast Asia 5$rea$ !$#di#" here. *o do &o$ P ha%e &o$ see# the letter or do &o$ i#te#d to respo#d to it soo#O 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' o! co$rse we will respo#d to it. -Bm #ot aware that weB%e see# the letter &et. [deletia] N9+*T-ON: -Bd like to !ollow $p o# 5$rma. 4R. ,ROE2+G: 4mAhmm. N9+*T-ON: The same letter P *e#ator Eebb also sa&s that the *tate /epartme#t is #ot willi#" to share more i#!ormatio# o# 5$rmaBs %iolatio# o! 1874' which Assista#t *ecretar& 6$rt ,ampbell has said d$ri#" his P o#e o! his meeti#" that AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: That is somethi#" that we watch %er& care!$ll&. Ee are talki#" to 5$rma' remi#di#" 5$rma abo$t its i#ter#atio#al obli"atio#s $#der 1874 a#d other resol$tio#s. As to what P the #at$re o! o$r co#%ersatio#s' we P ob%io$sl&' *e#ator Eebb' weB%e had ma#& co#%ersatio#s with him abo$t 5$rma. -tBs a co$#tr& o! P that he reco"#i;es is o! si"#i!ica#ce. A#d -Bm s$re that we will co#ti#$e o$r co#%ersatio#s with *e#ator Eebb a#d others o# the ,o#"ress abo$t the best wa& !orward. N9+*T-ON: A#d is the appoi#tme#t o! a special e#%o& !or 5$rma P is $#der co#sideratio#O /o &o$ co#sider this as a %iable optio# !or AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: -Bll take that C$estio#.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/ps/2010/08/142880.htm
http://www.#dt%.com/#ews/world/m&a#marA#$kesAwo$ldAdestabiliseAre"io#A$sA:1048.php
http://a!.re$ters.com/article/e#er"&OilNews/idA0*G+81A0GL20100811
http://www.m&a#mar.com/#ewspaper/#lm/i#de .html
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`18781
http://www.armsco#trolwo#k.com/!iles/*,R1874.pd! [-ccessed 89;9&9G&?9] Report to the I9NM *ec$rit& ,o$#cil !rom the .a#el o! + perts established .$rs$a#t to Resol$tio# 1874 <200)=1 0i#al 3ersio# [EXCERPT ] -8 0Cecuti7e Summary 1. O# 12 ($#e 200)' the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil $#a#imo$sl& adopted resol$tio# 1874 <200)= i# which it reC$ested the *ecretar&AGe#eral to establish a .a#el o! + perts ma#dated to: "ather' e ami#e a#d a#al&;e i#!ormatio# re"ardi#" the impleme#tatio# o! the meas$res imposed b& the ,o$#cil i# resol$tio#s 1718 <2008= a#d 1874 <200)=' i# partic$lar i#cide#ts o! #o#Acomplia#ceH make recomme#datio#s o# actio#s the ,o$#cil' the ,ommittee or 4ember *tates ma& co#sider to impro%e impleme#tatio# o! those meas$resH a#d' assist the 1718 ,ommittee i# carr&i#" o$t its !$#ctio#s. [deletia] 1). Ne%ertheless' the .a#el o! + perts has re%iewed se%eral "o%er#me#t assessme#ts' 24 -A+A reports21 ' research papers a#d media reports i#dicati#" co#ti#$i#" /.R6 i#%ol%eme#t i# #$clear a#d ballistic missile related acti%ities i# certai# other co$#tries i#cl$di#" -ra#' *&ria a#d 4&a#mar. A #$mber o! "o%er#me#t a#d pri%ate e perts with whom members o! the .a#el o! + perts ha%e spoke# also e pressed co#cer# that the /.R6 has the capabilit& as well as the prope#sit& to pro%ide #$clear a#d ballistic missilesArelated eC$ipme#t' !acilities' tech#ical ad%ice to a#d thro$"h clie#ts o%erseas. 80. +%ide#ce pro%ided i# these reports i#dicates that the /.R6 has co#ti#$ed to pro%ide missiles' compo#e#ts' a#d tech#olo"& to certai# co$#tries i#cl$di#" -ra# a#d *&ria si#ce the impositio# o! these meas$res. The .a#el o! + perts has also re%iewed "o%er#me#t iss$ed reports i#dicati#" that the /.R6 has pro%ided assista#ce !or a #$clear pro"ramme i# *&ria' i#cl$di#" the desi"# a#d co#str$ctio# o! a thermal reactor at /air Al;o$r. The -A+A is still attempti#" to obtai# $pdated reports co#cer#i#" the c$rre#t stat$s o! this site a#d the acti%ities i#%ol%ed.28 81. The .a#el o! + perts is also looki#" i#to s$spicio$s acti%it& i# 4&a#mar i#cl$di#" acti%ities there o! Namcho#"a#" Tradi#" <N,G=' a 1718 ,ommittee desi"#ated e#tit&' a#d reports that (apa#' i# ($#e 200)' arrested three i#di%id$als !or attempti#" to ille"all& e port a ma"#etometer to 4&a#mar %ia 4ala&sia' alle"edl& $#der the directio# o! a compa#& k#ow# to be associated with illicit proc$reme#t !or /.R6 #$clear a#d militar& pro"rammes. 82. The .a#el o! + perts belie%es that the i#!ormatio# re!erred to para"raphs 1) to 81 merits the close atte#tio# o! 4ember *tates with re"ard to the impleme#tatio# a#d e#!orceme#t o! the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil meas$res. 0$rther st$d& with re"ard to these s$spected acti%ities will be co#d$cted b& the .a#el i# order to de%elop a more thoro$"h $#dersta#di#" o! the !acts. The .a#el will seek the cooperatio# o! rele%a#t or"a#i;atio#s' i#cl$di#" the -A+A' i# this re"ard.
1
The %iews e pressed i# this report are e cl$si%el& those o! .a#el o! + perts a#d do #ot represe#t those o! a#& others $#less otherwise i#dicated.
24
Re!ere#ce is made to the .ress 5rie!i#" b& /r. 4athew (. 5$rrows' 9* Natio#al -#telli"e#ce ,o$#cil <N-,= ,o$#selor a#d /irector o! the A#al&sis a#d .rod$ctio# *ta!!' 24 4arch 2010'
iwww.d#i."o%/i#ter%iews/20100:24Ri#ter%iew.pd!\' as well as the 5ack"ro$#d 5rie!i#" with *e#ior 9.*. O!!icials o# *&riaBs ,o%ert N$clear Reactor a#d North 6oreaBs -#%ol%eme#t' 24 April 2008' iwww.d#i."o%/i#ter%iews/20080424Ri#ter%iew.pd!\. Re!ere#ce is also made to co#cer#s e pressed i# the 0re#ch Ehite .aper o# /e!e#ce a#d Natio#al *ec$rit&' ($#e 2008' re"ardi#" co#ti#$i#" militar& cooperatio# betwee# /.R6 a#d other co$#tries i# the ballistic missile !ield' iwww.li%rebla#cde!e#seetsec$rite."o$%.!r/-4G/pd!/li%reRbla#cRtome1Rpartie1.pd!\.
21
-mpleme#tatio# o! the N.T *a!e"$ards A"reeme#t o# the *&ria# Arab Rep$blic' GO3/2010/11' 18 0ebr$ar& 2010.
28
-# a letter to the -A+A dated 24 4a& 200)' *&ria de#ied these alle"atio#s b$t pro%ided #o s$pporti#" doc$me#tatio# co#cer#i#" the !acilities i# C$estio#. -# its last report o# -mpleme#tatio# o! the N.T *a!e"$ards A"reeme#t i# the *&ria# Arab Rep$blic' the -A+A $#derli#es that *&ria has #ot cooperated with the A"e#c& si#ce ($#e 2008 re"ardi#" the $#resol%ed iss$es related to the /air Al;o$r site. <*ee para"raph 11 o! Go%/2010/11 o! 18 0ebr$ar& 2010=. *ee also *tateme#t to 2010 Re%iew ,o#!ere#ce o! the .arties to the Treat& o# the No#A.roli!eratio# o! N$clear Eeapo#s <N.T= made b& -A+A /irector Ge#eral' G$ki&a Ama#o' : 4a& 2010. [deletia] 72. The Go%er#me#t o! the Rep$blic o! 6orea i#!ormed the 1718 ,ommittee o# 1: October 200) that the rele%a#t a$thorities o! the Rep$blic o! 6orea i#spected at the port o! 5$sa# a co#tai#er ship !l&i#" the .a#ama !la" with the #ame o! 4*, Rachele' ow#ed b& 4editerra#ea# *hippi#" ,ompa#&' a *wiss !irm' a#d !o$#d that !o$r co#tai#ers were !illed with worki#" protecti%e "arme#ts which were deemed to ha%e militar& $tilit& !or chemical protectio#. The Rep$blic o! 6orea a$thorities !$rther i#dicated that their i#%esti"atio# had re%ealed that the shipme#t o! the !o$r co#tai#ers i# C$estio# had ori"i#ated i# the port o! Nampo' /.R6' a#d were shipped o# or abo$t 11 *eptember 200) to /alia#' ,hi#a. -# /alia# the co#tai#ers were placed o# board the 4*, Rachele. The i#te#ded recipie#t o! the "oods was declared as the +#%iro#me#tal *t$d& ,e#ter i# *&ria. The Go%er#me#t o! *&ria disa%owed the shipme#t. -# /ecember 200)' the .a#el was "i%e# a# i#!ormatio# brie!i#" !rom RO6 o!!icials a#d e perts o# the case a#d the #at$re o! the "oods. The .a#el was also able to ph&sicall& e ami#e the "oods i# the port o! 5$sa#. 5ased o# the i#!ormatio# pro%ided a#d e pertise o! the .a#el' it co#cl$ded that these "oods wo$ld primaril& ha%e militar& applicatio# i# the protectio# a"ai#st certai# chemical a"e#ts. :1
:1
-t was #oted b& some e perts that these "oods co$ld also be $sed !or ci%il p$rposes.
[deletia] 10). The /.R6 relies hea%il& o# o%erseas bra#ches o! its ba#ks a#d o# their correspo#de#t acco$#ts to ha#dle s$rreptitio$s tra#sactio#s. This sce#ario is e empli!ied b& the acti%ities o! 6orea 6wa#"so# 5a#ki#" ,orporatio# <665,=' which co#ti#$es to mai#tai# o%erseas bra#ches. 665, has repeatedl& bee# i#%ol%ed i# tra#sactio#s !or a#d o# behal! o! the e#tities desi"#ated b& 1718 ,ommittee i#cl$di#" Ta#cho# ,ommercial 5a#k11' the 6orea 4i#i#" /e%elopme#t Tradi#" ,orporatio# <6O4-/=' 6orea F&oksi# Tradi#" ,orporatio# a#d 6orea R&o#bo#" Ge#eral ,orporatio#. Accordi#" to i#!ormatio# pro%ided to the .a#el o! + perts' 665, has ha#dled se%eral tra#sactio#s i#%ol%i#" millio#s o! dollars directl& related to tra#sactio#s co#d$cted betwee# the 6orea 4i#i#" /e%elopme#t Tradi#" ,orporatio# <6O4-/= a#d 4&a#mar. 18
18
*ee 9.*. Treas$r& /epartme#t /esi"#atio# *tateme#t co#tai#ed i# /oc$me#t TG 280 dated 11 A$"$st 200). [deletia]
D--8 3ecommendations [deletia] -nterdiction )= The .a#el o! + perts has e pressed co#cer# that certai# co$#tries s$ch as *&ria' -ra#' 4&a#mar' co#ti#$e to be associated with the /.R6 i# re"ard to proscribed acti%ities a#d belie%es that special atte#tio# sho$ld be take# b& all 4ember *tates to i#hibit s$ch acti%ities. 0$rther st$d& sho$ld be co#d$cted b& the .a#el o! + perts' a#d b& the ,ommittee' !or a more thoro$"h $#dersta#di#" o! s$ch acti%ities. ,ooperatio# with other rele%a#t i#ter#atio#al or"a#i;atio# i#cl$di#" the -A+A sho$ld be so$"ht i# this re"ard.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/07/14447:.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, ($l& 12' 2010 [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: O# 5$rma' some members o! N2/ ha%e #ow re"istered a di!!ere#t part& a#d are #ot pla##i#" to co#test the electio#s. /o &o$ see this as the militar& D$#ta has bee# s$ccess!$l i# !$rther isolati#" A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i i# the co$#tr& or di%idi#" the N2/ itsel!O 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' it does#Jt cha#"e o$r co#cer# abo$t the electoral process. Ee thi#k that this is a !lawed electoral process. Ee respect decisio#s that !ormer N2/ members ha%e made. 5$t we certai#l& do #ot ha%e a#& e pectatio# that what proceeds i# 5$rma here will be a#&thi#" that remotel& resembles a !ree' !air' or le"itimate res$lt. N9+*T-ON: /oes that make &o$ rethi#k &o$r o$treach to the "o%er#me#tO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Not at all. Ee will co#ti#$e to e#"a"e the 5$rmese Go%er#me#t beca$se itBs i# o$r i#terest to do so a#d we will co#ti#$e d$ri#" those disc$ssio#s' i! a#d whe# the& occ$r i# the !$t$re' to make clear that 5$rma has more that P m$ch more that it #eeds to do to e#"a"e i# dialo"$e with its ke& "ro$ps withi# its pop$latio# a#d to ope# $p its political process to mea#i#"!$l participatio#. N9+*T-ON: ,a# &o$ AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: A#d to release A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i. That will co#ti#$e to be o$r messa"e whe#e%er we meet with 5$rmese o!!icials. N9+*T-ON: ,a# &o$ poi#t to a#& AA N9+*T-ON: Eell' the# $ltimatel& AA N9+*T-ON: *orr&' ca# - keep "oi#"O ,a# &o$ poi#t to a#& i#sta#ce i# which' si#ce &o$ be"a# this dialo"$e $#der the c$rre#t Admi#istratio#' a#d at a hi"her le%el tha# had hitherto bee# the case' where the "o%er#me#t has mo%ed i# &o$r directio# i# a#& ma##er whatsoe%erO The two that come to mi#d partic$larl& are democrac& a#d A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' o# the o#e ha#d' a#d ass$a"i#" &o$r co#cer#s abo$t possible #$clear cooperatio# with North 6orea. Fa%e the& do#e a#&thi#" to address &o$r co#cer#s o# those two !ro#tsO
4R. ,ROE2+G: O# the democrac& !ro#t' #o. Their steps ha%e bee# i#adeC$ate. Ee co#ti#$e to ha%e co#cer#s abo$t 5$rmaBs relatio#ship with North 6orea. -tBs somethi#" that we watch %er&' %er& care!$ll& a#d co#siste#tl&. N9+*T-ON: ,a# - !ollow $p o# thatO 4R. ,ROE2+G: *$re. N9+*T-ON: ,a# - !ollow $p o# thatO - mea#' do &o$ ha%e a#& be#chmarks !or this t&pe o! e#"a"eme#t' - mea#' at which poi#t &o$ sa& that e#"a"eme#t is#Bt worki#" a#d ma&be &o$ #eed to tr& somethi#" elseO - mea#' D$st !ollowi#" o# ArshadBs C$estio#' &o$ P ob%io$sl&' &o$ wa#t to "i%e it a cha#ce. 5$t at what poi#t do &o$ sa&' well' this is #ot worki#" a#d weBre rewardi#" the militar& D$#ta there AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: ThereBs a pres$mptio# behi#d &o$r C$estio# that e#"a"eme#t is somehow a reward. +#"a"eme#t is what we thi#k is the most e!!ecti%e mea#s to a# e#d. Now AA N9+*T-ON: Eell' whatBs so e!!ecti%e abo$t itO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Fa#" o# a seco#d. Ee ha%e &ears' i! #ot decades' o! e perie#ce that tells $s that isolatio# has #ot worked either. Ee are i#%ol%ed i# direct disc$ssio#s with 5$rmese o!!icials. - ca#Bt predict whe# the #e t ro$#d will occ$r. 5$t so !ar' their respo#se o# P partic$larl& o# the democrac& !ro#t has bee# disappoi#ti#". -tBs bee# a missed opport$#it&. 5$t we will co#ti#$e to e#"a"e them P #ot to reward them' b$t D$st simpl& to make s$re that the& ha%e clarit& that i! the& e#%isio# a#& di!!ere#t ki#d o! relatio#ship with the 9#ited *tates' that !$#dame#tal processes withi# their ow# co$#tr& ha%e to cha#"e. N9+*T-ON: Eell' what i! the& do#Bt e#%isio# a !$#dame#tal di!!ere#t AA 4R. ,ROE2+G: The# at a poi#t' we will reach that co#cl$sio#. EeBre #ot there &et. N9+*T-ON: ($st to !ollow $p o# thatO 4R. ,ROE2+G: *$re. N9+*T-ON: Are &o$ a#& closer to appoi#ti#" a special e#%o& to 5$rmaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: -B%e "ot #othi#" to a##o$#ce. Eell' - k#ow where we are i# the process.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/07/14484:.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, ($l& 14' 2010 I+>,+R.TM N9+*T-ON: Fi' -Bm 4ark Fose#ball !rom Newsweek. - had some C$estio#s !or &o$. /o &o$ ha%e a#& comme#t or %iew o# alle"atio#s rece#tl& made b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma a#d other h$ma# ri"hts acti%ists based o# i#!ormatio# !rom de!ectors that 5$rma is p$rs$i#" a secret #$clear pro"ramO 4R. ,ROE2+G: All - will sa& o# this topic is that we ha%e lo#"sta#di#" co#cer#s abo$t the #at$re o! the relatio#ship betwee# 5$rma a#d the 9#ited *tates a#d we ha%e co#siste#tl& rei#!orced i# o$r co#%ersatio#s with 5$rmese a$thorities the importa#ce o! meeti#" all o! their i#ter#atio#al obli"atio#s' i#cl$di#" those i# the area o! #o#proli!eratio#. -Bm #ot "oi#" to "et i#to i#telli"e#ce matters abo$t what we k#ow or what we thi#k. This is a# area that we are watchi#" %er& care!$ll&. Ee ha%e co#cer#s abo$t the #at$re o! that relatio#ship. -t is somethi#" that we watch %er& care!$ll&. -tBs somethi#" that we co#ti#$e to talk to the 5$rmese Go%er#me#t abo$t. N9+*T-ON: - ha%e a co$ple !ollowA$ps here. *e#ator (im Eebb sa&s that he ca#Bt "et a !$ll brie!i#" !rom the Admi#istratio# o# the 5$rma #$clear alle"atio#s. Eh& is thatO -t was wellAp$blici;ed that the se#ator rece#tl& ca#celled a trip to 5$rma o# the basis o! the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rmaBs i#!ormatio# which was spo#sored' backed $p' promoted b& the Natio#al +#dowme#t !or /emocrac& a#d was based o# $#classi!ied so$rces. Eh& is#Bt the se#ator "etti#" the most $pAtoAdate a#al&sis !rom the 9#ited *tates Go%er#me#t o# thisO Eebb sa&s that he asked the *tate /epartme#t abo$t this i# writi#"' b$t "ot #o repl&. 4R. ,ROE2+G: - will check to see i! we ha%e a !ormal reC$est !rom *e#ator Eebb. Ee ha%e talked to *e#ator Eebb o# a# o#"oi#" a#d !reC$e#t basis' "i%e# his i#terest i# 5$rma' "i%e# his rece#t tra%el to the re"io#' a#d i# !act' - ca# recall a pre%io$s trip' - thi#k' last &ear where he %isited 5$rma himsel!. Ee talk to *e#ator Eebb all the time. Ee appreciate his i#terest i# 5$rma. -! he has a partic$lar reC$est that he wa#ts to make o! $s be&o#d P a#d - will check to see i! heBs alread& made that reC$est' we will certai#l& be respo#si%e. N9+*T-ON: Now' the Natio#al +#dowme#t !or /emocrac& has bee# %er& acti%el& i#%ol%ed i# s$pporti#" the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma a#d promoti#" its alle"atio#s abo$t a secret 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram. Fas the Admi#istratio#' i# a#& wa&' directed or appro%ed the +#dowme#tBs promotio# o! these alle"atio#sO A#d what co#trol or i#!l$e#ce' i! a#&' does the *tate /epartme#t or other eleme#ts o! the + ec$ti%e 5ra#ch ha%e o%er the acti%ities o! the Natio#al +#dowme#t !or /emocrac& a#d its related or"a#i;atio#sO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' -Bll take a C$estio#. -Bm #ot eC$ipped to sa& what ki#d o! democratic pro"rams we s$pport with respect to 5$rma. - will take that C$estio#.
N9+*T-ON: Oka&' a#d o#e !i#al thi#"' earlier this &ear' 4rs. ,li#to# critici;ed the "rowi#" relatio#ship betwee# the "o%er#me#ts o! 5$rma a#d North 6orea. EhatBs the 9.*. Go%er#me#tBs %iew o! the #at$re o! that relatio#shipO /oes the 9.*. Go%er#me#t ha%e a#& %alidated e%ide#ce that thereBs a #$clear eleme#t to that relatio#shipO 4R. ,ROE2+G: -B%e alread& a#swered that C$estio#. N9+*T-ON: O# 5$rma itsel!' *ecretar& P sorr&' 5ill 5$r#s tra%el to Thaila#d P does he ha%e a#& pla#s to meet the 5$rmese leader i# e ile li%i#" i# the co$#tr& i# Thaila#dO The& ha%e a h$"e 5$rmese re!$"ees li%i#" thereO 4R. ,ROE2+G: 5$rma is a member o! A*+AN. - ca#Bt sa& whether there will be a meeti#". 2etBs wait !or the trip a#d weBll see what happe#s.
http://www.re$ters.com/article/id9*TR+88-1312010071)
North Korea and Myanmar top agenda for Asia security meet
5& (aso# *;ep a#d Ambika Ah$Da 4o# ($l 1)' 2010 8:41am +/T [EXCERPT ] FANO- <Re$ters= A Te#sio# o# the 6orea# pe#i#s$la' electio#s i# militar&Ar$led 4&a#mar a#d the C$estio# o! whether the !ormer 5$rma is de%elopi#" #$clear arms will top the a"e#da o! meeti#"s o! Asia# !orei"# mi#isters this week i# 3iet#am. *o$theast Asia# !orei"# mi#isters met i# Fa#oi o# 4o#da& to disc$ss re"io#al sec$rit& ahead o! talks this week with co$#terparts !rom ,hi#a' (apa#' North a#d *o$th 6orea' the 9#ited *tates' the +$ropea# 9#io# a#d R$ssia. 4&a#marJs !orei"# mi#ister repeated that the co$#tr& had #o ambitio# to become a #$clear power' de#&i#" a report p$blished i# ($#e b& a# e ile "ro$p that it was tr&i#" to de%elop a secret #$clear pro"ram with the i#te#tio# o! maki#" a# atomic bomb. K4&a#mar told the meeti#" that itJs #ot attempti#" to proc$re or de%elop #$clear weapo#s a#d we tha#ked them !or their clari!icatio# o# the matter'K said Tha#i Tho#"pakdi' a dep$t& spokesma# !or the Thai !orei"# mi#istr&. 9.*. *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# arri%es o# Th$rsda& a#d will rei#!orce Eashi#"to#Js commitme#t to Asia i# the !ace o! risi#" ,hi#ese i#!l$e#ce a#d "rowi#" te#sio#s with North 6orea d$ri#" two da&s o! meeti#"s' 9.*. o!!icials sa&. [deletia] 30SS.30 4N M<ANMA3 9.*. o!!icials sa& ,li#to# will raise co#cer#s abo$t electio# preparatio#s i# 4&a#mar' hopi#" to $#derscore that the co$#tr&Js militar& leaders m$st be held acco$#table !or the lack o! real democratic re!orm. [deletia] The 9#ited *tates is also i#creasi#"l& co#cer#ed abo$t pote#tial li#ks betwee# 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea' i#cl$di#" reports b& a# e iled a#tiA"o%er#me#t "ro$p that 4&a#mar ma& be harbori#" #$clear ambitio#s o! its ow#' 9.*. o!!icials said. Assista#t 9.*. *ecretar& o! *tate 6$rt ,ampbell said the 9#ited *tates wo$ld press 4&a#mar to impleme#t 9.*. *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio#s ti"hte#i#" sa#ctio#s o# North 6orea b$t that there were K#o pla#s i# the c$rre#t climateK !or ,li#to# to meet represe#tati%es o! either North 6orea or 4&a#mar i# Fa#oi. <Additio#al reporti#" b& (oh# R$witch' A#drew N$i## a#d (ack 6imH +diti#" b& Ale Richardso#=
http://www.ips#ews.#et/#ews.aspOid#ews`121))
-# !act' the /35Bs i#%esti"ati%e report Q5$rmaBs N$clear Ambitio#sB poi#ted to 5$rmeseANorth 6orea# collaboratio# i# b$ildi#" a #etwork o! t$##els !or militar& p$rposes i# the secreti%e *o$thAeast Asia# #atio#. The report has alread& prompted the 3ie##aAbased -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A$thorit& <-A+A= to se#d a !ormal letter o! i#C$ir& !rom the D$#ta' which de#ied the /35Bs !i#di#"s. The 5$rmese re"ime has also iss$ed two more !ormal stateme#ts de#&i#" it has a#& #$clear ambitio#s. 5$t little o! that has t$r#ed the heat o!! the re"imeBs back. + perts i# the !ield ha%e e#tered the !ra&' ar"$i#" that Q5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio# is appare#tl& real a#d alarmi#"B' as the headli#e o! o#e comme#tar& rece#tl& p$blished i# QThe Natio#B ar"$ed. KAltho$"h 5$rmaBs p$rs$it o! #$clear weapo#s has lo#" bee# r$mo$red' the </35= doc$me#tar& co#tai#s #ew i#!ormatio# !rom a rece#t de!ector who pro%ided /35 with photo"raphs' doc$me#ts a#d a %iew !rom i#side the secreti%e militar& that sho$ld !i#all& p$t to rest a#& do$bt abo$t 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#'K wrote Robert 6ell&' a rece#tl& retired director o! the -A+A' i# that comme#tar&. KThe e%ide#ce i#cl$des chemical processi#" eC$ipme#t !or co#%erti#" $ra#i$m compo$#ds i#to !orms !or e#richme#t' reactors a#d bombs'K 6ell& added. KTake# alto"ether i# 5$rmaBs co%ert pro"ramme' the& ha%e b$t o#e $se P #$clear weapo#s.K A*+ANBs latest tro$bles with 5$rma come o# top o! mo$#ti#" press$re !rom Eester# #atio#s a#d h$ma# ri"hts "ro$ps !or it to $r"e the D$#ta to e#able a !ree a#d !air "e#eral electio# it has promised to hold this &ear. A*+AN is alread& "rappli#" with the pli"ht o! te#s o! tho$sa#ds o! re!$"ees !rom 5$rma who ha%e !led the co$#tr& d$e to the arm&Bs campai"# a"ai#st separatist rebel "ro$ps' as well as the #earl& two millio# $#doc$me#ted mi"ra#t workers who ha%e le!t their co$#tr&Bs cr$mbli#" eco#om&. Th$s !ar' A*+AN has #ot %iewed this e od$s as a# $r"e#t threat to re"io#al sec$rit&. 5$t the #$clear threat co$ld e#d its sile#ce a#d cooperatio# with 5$rma' sa& a#al&sts. K0or decades' 5$rmaBs r$li#" re"ime has bee# re"arded primaril& as a me#ace to its ow# people'K A$#" Law' editor o! the QThe -rrawadd&B' a 5$rmese a!!airs ma"a;i#e' wrote i# 4o#da&Bs editio# o! the Q5a#"kok .ostB #ewspaper. K5$t with rece#t reports co#!irmi#" lo#"Aheld s$spicio#s that the D$#ta aspires to establish 5$rma as *o$thAeast AsiaBs !irst #$clear state' there is #ow a %er& real da#"er that it is emer"i#" as a threat to the rest o! the re"io#.K K5$rma is #ot North 6orea' b$t the co$#tr&Bs militar& r$lers are #o less capable tha# their !ellow despots i# .&o#"&a#" o! holdi#" their #ei"hbo$rs to ra#som i! the& belie%e their ow# s$r%i%al is at stake'K he added. KThe& ha%e take# the !irst steps toward realisi#" their #$clear dreamH #ow the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& m$st act to pre%e#t it !rom becomi#" a #$clear #i"htmare !or the rest o! $s.K
http://www.!reemala&siatoda&.com/!mtAe#"lish/world/worldA#ews/81:0Ae#%o&Aasea#Awa#tsAcapabilit&AtoAmo#itorA#$clearAweapo#s
http://e#"lish.#tdt%.com/#tdt%Re#/#ews/2010A07A1)/)4071188)814.html
http://press.ihs.com/articleRdispla&.c!mOarticleRid`428:
/ane>s -ntelligence 3e7iew 0Camines Satellite -magery to Collaborate @efector>s 1estimony of Myanmar>s Nuclear rogramme
2ON/ON <21st ($l& 2010= (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew has acC$ired commerciall& a%ailable satellite ima"er& !rom /i"italGlobe take# o%er sites i# 4&a#mar reported to be #$clear sites' i#cl$di#" two machi#e tool !actories. These ima"es corroborate e%ide#ce "athered b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma !rom 4aDor *ai Thei# Ei#' a de!ector !rom 4&a#mar' who worked as a dep$t& director at the two machi#e tool !actories. (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew ,o#trib$tor Robert 6elle&' !ormer se#ior -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= i#spector' has pro%ided a# assessme#t o! this i#!ormatio#. Ei#Bs i#!ormatio# is so co#siste#t with Eester# i#!ormatio# that it i#creases co#!ide#ce i# its co#te#t a#d' i# combi#atio# with the /i"italGlobe satellite ima"er& a#al&sed b& (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' it has helped clari!& to some e te#t the i#te#t a#d capabilit& o! Na&p&idaw to p$rs$e a militar& #$clear pro"ramme. A!ter care!$l a#al&sis o! the dia"rams' ma#i!est orders' photo"raphs a#d satellite ima"er&' (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew ca# co#cl$de that 4&a#mar is taki#" meas$res to propa"ate a# i#di"e#o$s #$clear pro"ramme' b$t its abilit& to ad%a#ce alo#" the ro$te towards #$clearisatio# is se%erel& hampered beca$se the pro"ramme is o%erl& ambitio$s with limited e pertise. 4&a#mar retai#s obsolete a"reeme#ts with the -A+A a#d has #ot si"#ed the additio#al protocols that wo$ld pro%ide the a"e#c& "reater powers !or more i#tr$si%e i#spectio#s o! the !actories i# C$estio#. 4&a#mar has i"#ored the -A+ABs reC$est to $p"rade this a"reeme#t' which mea#s the co$#tr& is %irt$all& e empt !rom i#spectio#s. ,hristia# 2e 4ijre' editor o! (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' e plai#ed' ?There is #o C$estio# 4&a#mar is attempti#" to b$ild the compo#e#ts !or a #$clear !$el c&cle. Fowe%er' Ei#Bs testimo#& a#d other e%ide#ce also re%eal i#tri#sic !laws withi# the pro"ramme. ,are!$l a#al&sis o! the reco%ered data re%eals that 4&a#mar is %astl& o$t o! its depth i# terms o! #$clear p$rs$it. Almost all o! its dia"rams a#d comp$terAassisted desi"#s !or tool prod$ctio# are cate"oricall& !lawed. The appare#t attempts at e#richme#t $si#" the hi"hl& tech#ical process o! laser isotope separatio#' a tech#iC$e that challe#"es e%e# the most sophisticated o! #$clear actors' will #e%er materialise witho$t a# $#precede#ted a$"me#tatio# o! methodolo"&.@ (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew reported that 4&a#mar certai#l& has the i#te#t to de%elop its #$clear pro"ramme. This i# itsel! is a si"#i!ica#t breach o! -A+A a"reeme#ts a#d its membership o! the 1))1 *o$theast Asia N$clearA Eeapo#sA0ree Lo#e <Treat& o! 5a#"kok=. .arado icall&' 4&a#mar is c$rre#tl& aided i# its pro"ramme b& a lack o! -A+A o%ersi"ht a#d had Ei# #ot come !orward with his e%ide#ce 4&a#mar co$ld ha%e co#ti#$ed to !$mble alo#" its co$rse towards $ra#i$m e#richme#t with little impedime#t. 2e 4ijre co#cl$ded' ?Ei#Bs disclos$re o! the se#siti%e i#!ormatio# a#d the scr$ti#& thereo! ma& lead the wa& to hi#der 4&a#marBs e!!orts thro$"h diplomatic impedime#ts' b$t it also has ser%ed to i#!orm its #$clear leadership o! its "ra%e tech#ical shortcomi#"s. Ne%ertheless' with 4&a#marBs c$rre#t !reedom !rom sa#ctio#s a#d relati%e eco#omic prosperit&' the D$#ta ma& be able to o$tso$rce the tech#ical k#owAhow a#d tools to reach its "oals !ar soo#er tha# e pected.@ (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew is a# -F* <NG*+: -F*= p$blicatio#.
http://www.state."o%/secretar&/rm/2010/07/1410:4.htm
3emarks =ith "ietnam @eputy rime Minister And 5oreign Minister ham Aia Khiem ;illary 3odham Clinton Secretary of State
Go%er#me#t G$est Fo$se Fa#oi' 3iet#am ($l& 22' 2010 [EXCERPT] 4O/+RATOR: <3ia i#terpreter= - i#%ite the C$estio# !rom other Do$r#alist. 6im Ghattas !rom 55,' please. N9+*T-ON: N$estio# to the *ecretar& !irst. - wo$ld like to ask &o$ abo$t 5$rma. Go$B%e e pressed i# the past co#cer#s abo$t the possibilit& that 5$rma is p$rs$i#" a #$clear pro"ram' that it has co##ectio#s with North 6orea o# that !ro#t. - was wo#deri#" whether &o$ were pla##i#" to prese#t a#& e%ide#ce to members o! A*+AN abo$t &o$r s$spicio#s. A#d i! &o$ co$ld tell $s a little bit more abo$t how &o$ !eel o#e &ear o# or te# mo#ths o# abo$t how &o$r e!!orts to e#"a"e 5$rma are act$all& "oi#". A#d to the mi#ister' the *ecretar& said that sheBd raised the iss$e o! h$ma# ri"hts a#d - was wo#deri#" what &o$r respo#se was. *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Eell' !irst with respect to problems i# 5$rma a#d the impact #ot o#l& o# the people o! that co$#tr&' b$t o# the #ei"hbors as the o$t!low o! re!$"ees co#ti#$es a#d the co#seC$e#t i#stabilit& beca$se o! that. - belie%e that the A*+AN #atio#s correctl& raised &esterda& i# their meeti#" their co#cer#s abo$t 5$rma a#d partic$larl& the pla##ed electio#s that 5$rma has said will be held' b$t witho$t pro%idi#" a#& details' e%e# the date' raisi#" C$estio#s abo$t their commitme#t to s$ch electio#s. -B%e also shared with the mi#ister o$r co#cer#s abo$t the e porti#" b& North 6orea o! militar& materiel a#d eC$ipme#t to 5$rma. Ee k#ow that a ship !rom North 6orea rece#tl& deli%ered militar& eC$ipme#t to 5$rma a#d we co#ti#$e to be co#cer#ed b& the reports that 5$rma ma& be seeki#" assista#ce !rom North 6orea with re"ard to a #$clear pro"ram. *o this is a matter that is o! co#cer# to A*+AN a#d it is o! co#cer# to the 9#ited *tates. A#d we will be disc$ssi#" !$rther wa&s i# which we ca# cooperate to alter the actio#s o! the "o%er#me#t i# 5$rma a#d e#co$ra"e the leaders there to commit to re!orm a#d cha#"e a#d the betterme#t o! their ow# people.
http://www.state."o%/secretar&/rm/2010/07/1410)1.htm
http://app.m!a."o%.s"/2008/press/%iewRpress.aspOpostRid`8221
M5A ress 3elease2 1ranscript of media inter7iew by Minister for 5oreign Affairs Aeorge <eo following the Closing Ceremony of the +&rd AS0AN Ministerial Meeting and 3elated Meetings* #& /uly #$%$* ;anoi
24/07/2010 I+>,+R.TM N$estio#: Eith re"ard to 4&a#mar' is there a#& co#cer# abo$t these reports abo$t its alle"ed i#te#t to de%elop #$clear weapo#sO 4i#ister: -J%e read those reports' b$t 4&a#mar is part o! the *o$theast Asia# N$clear Eeapo#sA0ree Lo#e <*+ANE0L=' a#d the& are committed to that. The& ha%e told $s ope#l& that' &es' the& are looki#" at peace!$l $se o! #$clear e#er"&. - thi#k the R$ssia#s are helpi#" them' b$t the& ha%e #o i#te#tio# o! mo%i#" i# the directio# o! #$clear weapo#s. A#d #ot o#l& will it be !row#ed $po#' it will be a serio$s breach o! what makes A*+AN i# the !irst place. - thi#k what is importa#t i# 4&a#mar is IthatM their electio#s are here' a#d how s$ccess!$ll& those will be held. 9#less somethi#" terrible happe#s' we will still ha%e to co#ti#$e e#"a"i#" them. - do#Jt see a %er& sharp break !rom the prese#t to the !$t$re. ,o#ti#$it& is #ot #ecessaril& a bad thi#". The importa#t thi#" is that their eco#om& sho$ld be ope#ed $p. 5eca$se Io!M so ma#& ri"idities #ow which ha%e ca$sed corr$ptio#' the eco#om& has bee# red$ced to co#cessio#s a#d lice#ses a#d thatJs bad. Go$ k#ow' that mea#s that the& are #ot "rowi#" as !ast as the& co$ld. -t mea#s that the people are s$!!eri#" $##ecessaril&' a#d that the opport$#ities which #ow abo$#d i# the re"io# are #ot a%ailable to them. *o - belie%e with electio#s a#d a mo%e towards co#stit$tio#al "o%er#me#t' beha%io$r wo$ld cha#"e a#d we will see stead& pro"ress.
http://www.las%e"ass$#.com/#ews/2010/D$l/21/asea#A$r"esAm&a#marAtoAholdA!reeA!airAelectio#/
http://www.state."o%/doc$me#ts/or"a#i;atio#/141181.pd!
B.3MA
5-N@-NA The 9#ited *tates is co#cer#ed abo$t 5$rmaBs i#terest i# p$rs$i#" a #$clear pro"ram' i#cl$di#" the possibilit& o! cooperatio# with North 6orea. The 9.*. Go%er#me#t will co#ti#$e to be alert to a#& i#dicatio#s o! 5$rmese #$clear weapo#sArelated acti%ities or i#te#tio#s to de%elop a #$clear weapo#s capabilit&. At this time' the 9#ited *tates lacks e%ide#ce to s$pport a co#cl$sio# that 5$rma has %iolated its N.T obli"atio#s or -A+A sa!e"$ards' b$t 9.*. co#!ide#ce i# 5$rmaBs complia#ce wo$ld be e#ha#ced b& the adoptio# o! a# Additio#al .rotocol. BACKA34.N@ -# 4a& 2007' 5$rma a#d R$ssia si"#ed a# a"reeme#t !or R$ssia to assist i# b$ildi#" a #$clear research ce#ter i# 5$rma that wo$ld i#cl$de a 10 4e"awatt li"htwater research reactor. R$ssia has pro%ided p$blic ass$ra#ces that the research reactor wo$ld be placed $#der -A+A "$ara#tees. A%ailable i#!ormatio# s$""ests that 5$rma ma& ha%e also recei%ed North 6orea# assista#ce i# its e!!orts to establish a #$clear research ce#ter. A%ailable i#!ormatio# does #ot i#dicate that the #$clear research ce#ter called !or i# the 5$rmaAR$ssia a"reeme#t has become operatio#al' or that 5$rmaBs e!!orts to establish the ce#ter ha%e i#%ol%ed acti%ities prohibited b& the N.T or -A+A sa!e"$ards.
Compliance @iscussions *i#ce 4a& 2007' #$mero$s co$#tries i#cl$di#" the 9#ited *tates ha%e e cha#"ed %iews re"ardi#" 5$rmaBs #$clear i#te#tio#s' a#d the pote#tial #o#proli!eratio#' #$clear sa!et& a#d sec$rit&' a#d e#%iro#me#tal iss$es that co$ld res$lt !rom #$clear de%elopme#t i# 5$rma. 5$rma a!!irmed d$ri#" diplomatic disc$ssio#s i# 2008 that it attaches paramo$#t importa#ce to the N.T a#d to #$clear disarmame#t a#d that it was prepari#" to take meas$res to ali"# itsel! with -A+A sa!e"$ards. C4M 6-ANC0 ANA6<S-S The 9#ited *tates is co#cer#ed abo$t 5$rmaBs i#terest i# p$rs$i#" a #$clear pro"ram' i#cl$di#" the possibilit& o! cooperatio# with North 6orea. The 9.*. Go%er#me#t will co#ti#$e to be alert to a#& i#dicatio#s o! 5$rmese #$clear weapo#sArelated acti%ities or i#te#tio#s to de%elop a #$clear weapo#s capabilit&. At this poi#t i# time' the 9#ited *tates lacks e%ide#ce to s$pport a co#cl$sio# that 5$rma has %iolated its N.T obli"atio#s or -A+A sa!e"$ards' b$t 9.*. co#!ide#ce i# 5$rmaBs complia#ce wo$ld be e#ha#ced b& the adoptio# o! a# Additio#al .rotocol.
http://www.b$si#ess"ha#a.com/portal/#ews/i#de .phpOop`"etNewsY#ewsRcatRid`Yid`1::721
http://timeso!i#dia.i#diatimes.com/i#dia/-#diaAsa&sA4&a#marAhasA#oA#$kes/articleshow/84:874:.cms
http://www.;ee#ews.com/#ews8108)8.html
http://184.100.47.4/#ewrsC$estio#/*howN#.asp
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Eill the 4i#ister o! +>T+RNA2 A00A-R* be pleased to satate :A <a= whether it is a !act that 4&a#mar is also #ow e#"a"ed i# maki#" atomic weapo#s alo#" with North 6orea' -ra#' *&ria' .akista#' etc.H <b= i! so' the !acts i# this re"ardH a#d <c= the #ames o! those #ei"hbo$ri#" co$#tries o! -#dia wherei# atomic weapo#s are bei#" ma#$!act$red le"all& or ille"all&O
ANS=03
TF+ 4-N-*T+R O0 +>T+RNA2 A00A-R* <*FR- *.4. 6R-*FNA= <a= Y <b= Go%er#me#t has see# media reports i#dicati#" that 4&a#mar has a #$clear pro"ramme. Go%er#me#t o! 4&a#mar has reDected media reports that it was e#"a"ed i# maki#" #$clear weapo#s as $#!o$#ded a#d !allacio$s. <c= -# -#diaBs #ei"hbo$rhood' ,hi#a a#d .akista# are k#ow# to possess #$clear weapo#s.
http://www.sha#la#d.or"/i#de .phpOoptio#`comRco#te#tY%iew`articleYid`:182
photo (S;AN) -# additio#' the e isti#" 4a#dala&A Thabeikk&i#A 4o"ok road is also to be closed whe# the #ew road 4a#dala&A .&i# Oo 2wi# <4a&m&o=A Naw#"khioA 4o"ok' which is still $#der co#str$ctio#' is !i#ished' the b$si#essma# said. ?-t is e pected to be completed #e t &ear.@ The militar& re"ime has bee# b$ildi#" the #ew road si#ce last &ear i# order to stop people $si#" it e cept itsel! to carr& the $ra#i$m. The road is 80 miles lo#".
?- heard the militar& re"ime will close the road #e t &ear beca$se the& will come to b$ild #$clear reactor there'@ said a#other local reside#t !rom 4o"ok. A 5$rma Arm& missile e pert 4aD *ai Thei# Ei#' the so$rce o! the latest e posf o! the 5$rma r$li#" militar& D$#taBs #$clear weapo#s pro"ram i# 0ebr$ar& claimed that the militar& has a #$clear battalio# #ear Theabeikk&i# o# the -rrawadd& Ri%er' where the re"ime is tr&i#" to b$ild a #$clear weapo#. -# 2007' most o! the compa#ies worki#" o# "old mi#es i# Thabeikk&i#' )8 km <80 miles= #orth o! 4a#dala& were ordered to close !ollowi#" disco%er& o! $ra#i$m deposits #ear the area. -# the earl& 2000s' the 5$rmese re"ime co#!irmed p$blicl& that $ra#i$m deposits had bee# !o$#d i# !i%e areas: 4a"we' Ta$#"dwi#"&i' 6&a$ksi#' 6&a$kph&"o# a#d .ao#"p&i# i# 4o"ok Tow#ship. The ore is s$pposedl& tra#sported to a Thabeikk&i# re!i#er&. The Gale Global reported that the said !i%e $ra#i$m deposits ha%e bee# !o$#d b& the help o! R$ssia#s. -# 4a& 2007 R$ssiaks Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& a#d *./, si"#ed a# a"reeme#t to b$ild a 10 me"awatt #$clear reactor i# 5$rma. -# 6achi# *tate' there is a R$ssia# A 5$rma Doi#t %e#t$re compa#& the 3ictorio$s Glor& -#ter#atio#al 2td' that has bee# drilli#" !or $ra#i$m at Faw#" .a %illa"e i# Fpa 6a#t Tow#ship' abo$t 80 miles west o! 4&itk&i#a si#ce 0ebr$ar& 2007. Accordi#" to /ictator Eatch' *./, is mi#i#" a#d re!i#i#" $ra#i$m a#d the# barteri#" the !i#al prod$ct the K&ellowcakeK' to North 6orea a#d reportedl& to -ra#' i# ret$r# !or missiles a#d tech#ical assista#ce !or its ow# #$clear weapo#s pro"ram.
http://www."oo"le.com/hosted#ews/a!p/article/A2eC41iTi :0#G4k22128*(2RRh5%).FsA
http://i#.re$ters.com/article/id-N-#diaA118)4120100)2:
http://www.state."o%/secretar&/rm/2010/10/110141.htm
http://www.i#depe#de#t.co.$k/#ews/world/asia/b$rmeseAde!ectorAre%ealsAtr$thAabo$tAD$#tasA#$clearAambitio#sA2121748.html
Fe specialised i# missile tech#olo"& b$t i#terr$pted his doctorate st$dies i# 4oscow. Fe was appoi#ted prod$ctio# ma#"er to make compo#e#ts !or the 5$rmaJs missile a#d #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme. Fe said he was i# a tr$sted positio# a#d had access to co#!ide#tial material. O# two occasio#s' he sa&s' he atte#ded prese#tatio#s o! the soAcalled #$clear battalio# at a#other i#stallatio# at Thabeikk&i#' i# ce#tral 5$rma. At o#e o! them' Tha# *hwe P the leader o! the D$#ta P arri%ed i# a car a#d was led to a room !illed with other "e#erals. Fe sat o# a so!a a#d watched a !emale scie#tist "i%e a prese#tatio# related to their work. Appare#tl&' Tha# *hwe was impressed' "a%e a short comme#t a#d e#co$ra"ed them to co#ti#$e with their work' said *ai Thei# Ei#. The scie#tist said he did #ot do$bt that the i#te#tio# o! the soAcalled #$clear battalio# was to co#str$ct a reactor' e#rich $ra#i$m a#d b$ild a #$clear bomb. Fe said he saw doc$me#ts that pro%ed this b$t did #ot steal a#& to pro%e his claim. K+%er&o#e asks me' J/id - "et a# order !rom the "e#erals to create a #$clear bombOJ 5$t - #e%er "ot m& ha#ds o# those doc$me#ts. - had the cha#ce to steal them' b$t - did#Jt.K Fe emphasised that his !r$stratio# with problems at the !actor& was a maDor reaso# wh& he started leaki#" the i#!ormatio#. Fe said whe# machi#es broke' the& co$ld #ot !i them themsel%es b$t had to call the Germa# ma#$!act$rer' who tho$"ht the& were !or ci%il $se a#d had to be decei%ed. K-! thi#"s we#t well' - wo$ld ha%e still bee# there'K he said. K-! the& did %er& pro!essio#al work' - wo$ld be pro$d to be there. - wo$ld be pro$d to be part o! that.K A#other !actor behi#d his de!ectio# was the s$icide o! his sister while he was i# 4oscow. *he had worked at a school a#d ear#ed o#eAse%e#tieth o! what he as a pri%ile"ed arm& o!!icer co$ld ear#. KThe re"ime "i%es pri%ile"es to the o!!icers' b$t co#dem#s other p$blic workers'K he said. K0or me' the pa& was "ood e#o$"h' b$t #ot !or m& sister. -# that wa&' the re"ime was partl& respo#sible !or her s$icide.K -# 200)' he saw a tele%isio# show !rom the OsloAbased tele%isio# cha##el' the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma </35=' which spoke o! r$mo$rs o! a #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme' a#d showed a pict$re o! the !actor& where he worked. Fe said he we#t a#d bo$"ht a camera a#d took pict$res at the !actor&. A sec$rit& "$ard saw him b$t did #ot sa& a#&thi#". *o he we#t to the o!!ice' $ploaded a pict$re a#d se#t it to a co#tact. KA!ter se#di#" the pict$res' it was like m& tho$"hts kept circli#" aro$#d this' J-Jm i# da#"er' -Jm i# da#"er' -Jm i# da#"erZJK Fe co#ti#$ed to collect pict$res' "et doc$me#ts a#d $pload them. K- had to rel& o# stra#"ers. - !elt st$pid. -! the pict$res were p$blicised be!ore was o$t o! the co$#tr&' - wo$ld be killed.K Fe sat i# his o!!ice d$ri#" work ho$rs a#d $ploaded pict$res to 0acebook. /35' which he was #ow i# co#tact with' asked !or more. Fe replied that he co$ld "i%e them e%er&thi#"' b$t that he wo$ld ha%e to "et o$t C$ickl& a!terwards. Fe had a !ake passport a#d paid a b400 <l248= bribe !or a %isa. K-! the& "ot me o# D$st o#e thi#"' the& wo$ld !i#d e%er&thi#"'K he said. K- wrote #othi#" dow#' it was too da#"ero$s. +%er&thi#" was spi##i#" aro$#d i# m& head.K Fe ma#a"ed to "et a !li"ht to Thaila#d where he was met b& a represe#tati%e !rom /35. Fis doc$me#ts were se#t to the !ormer head o! the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&' Robert 6ell&' !or a#al&sis. Fe has described *ai Thei# Ei# as a Kso$rce with tr$l& e traordi#ar& i#!ormatio#K. The de!ector re%ealed h$#dreds o! photo"raphs !rom i#side a !actor& that show machi#es a#d co#str$ctio#s' as well as tech#ical doc$me#ts that s$""est attempts to de%elop #$clear tech#olo"&' accordi#" to e perts. The de!ectorJs e%ide#ce Kcorrelates well with i#!ormatio# !rom other p$blished a#d $#p$blished so$rcesK' said 4r 6ell&Js report.
-# his a#al&sis' N$clear Related Acti%ities i# 5$rma' he wrote: KO$r assessme#t o! m$ltiple so$rces is that 5$rma is reall& de%elopi#" #$clear tech#olo"&' that it has b$ilt specialised eC$ipme#t a#d !acilities' a#d it has iss$ed orders to a cadre to b$ild a pro"ramme.K 4r 6ell& has also said: KThis is #ot a "ood pro"ramme' it is #ot s$ccess!$l a#d it is #ot pro!essio#all& ma#a"ed.K *ai Thei# Ei# said his email a#d 0acebook pa"e were hacked a#d he was tippedAo!! that he had bee# traced i# Thaila#d. A!ter he le!t the co$#tr&' his mother a#d !amil& were %isited b& the secret police' p$t $#der s$r%eilla#ce a#d had to i#!orm the a$thorities i! the& were pla##i#" to lea%e Ra#"oo#' he said. The 5$rmese a$thorities ha%e called the acc$satio#s abo$t the #$clear pro"ramme K$#!o$#dedK a#d said that 5$rma Ko#l& wa#ts peace a#d has #o ambitio# to become a #$clearApower stateK. -! 5$rmaJs #$clear ambitio#s are s$bsta#tiated' it will raise C$estio#s abo$t whether the D$#ta P which has r$# the co$#tr& si#ce 1)82 P is recei%i#" help !rom ro"$e #atio#s s$ch as North 6orea. 0i#all&' whe# asked what he wa#ted to tell those who s$spected he had made $p his stor&' *ai Thei# Ei# said: KGo a#d see !or &o$rsel!. A#d wait !or more to escape with e%ide#ce. -J%e do#e m& best. -J%e do#e e%er&thi#" - co$ld.K Sai 1hein =in2 6ife in brief *ai Thei# Ei# "rew $p i# the %illa"e o! 6&a$kme i# *ha# state i# #orthAeaster# 5$rma with mo$#tai#s o# all sides. Fis !ather was a clerkH his mother sta&ed at home. Fe we#t swimmi#"' bo i#" a#d pla&ed the "$itar P b$t o#e i#terest had his special atte#tio#: weapo#s. Fe created traps' ca$"ht birds a#d st$died "$#s a#d missiles. At 18' he applied !or the militar&. 5eca$se o! his "ood "rades' he was o#e o! 100 accepted o# a de!e#ce e#"i#eeri#" co$rse. Fe st$died s$bDects i#cl$di#" electro#ics' mecha#ics a#d weapo#r&. Fe "ot $p to work at 1am e%er& da&' a#d he sa&s that he was pro$d to wear the $#i!orm. *till' the li!e he dreamed o! was as a st$de#t' a li!e he was !i#all& able to e#Do& whe# se#t to 4oscow b& the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t i# 2001. 2ater he ret$r#ed to 5$rma as a prod$ctio# ma#a"er !or the #atio#al #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme P his last Dob be!ore he !led !rom the co$#tr& !or "ood. A %ersio# o! this article appears i# the Norwe"ia# #ewspaper J4or"e#bladetJ toda&'
http://www.prop$blica.or"/article/e pertsAi#telAa"e#ciesAC$estio#AaAde!ectorsAclaimsAabo$tAb$rmasA#$clear
0Cperts* -ntelligence Agencies Fuestion a @efector>s Claims About Burma>s Nuclear Ambitions
b& *tephe# +#"elber"' .ro.$blica' a#d Nata# /ota# No%. 12' 2010' 2:41 p.m. A .ro.$blica/.5* Need to 6#ow i#%esti"atio# o# this report will air to#i"ht. ,heck local listi#"s. I1M Or watch it #ow I2M. O# ($#e 4' a startli#" alle"atio# abo$t 5$rmaJs repressi%e militar& re"ime rocketed aro$#d the "lobe: A de!ector !rom the 5$rmese Arm& said his tech#olo"icall& backward #atio# had la$#ched a pro"ram to b$ild a #$clear bomb. The de!ector' a !ormer maDor i# the 5$rmese Arm&' pro%ided pict$res a#d doc$me#ts to bolster his claims. .re%io$s alle"atio#s abo$t 5$rmaJs p$rported #$clear e!!orts had stirred little i#terest. 5$t this stor&' which was writte# a#d prepared b& a leadi#" 5$rmese oppositio# "ro$p' was accompa#ied b& a detailed report dra!ted b& Robert 6elle& I:M' a !ormer weapo#s scie#tist !or the 9.*. "o%er#me#t who had worked !or ma#& &ears !or the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&. 6elle&' whose research o# 5$rma was paid !or i# part b& 9.*. ta dollars' wrote that the Ko#l&K pla$sible i#terpretatio# o! the e%ide#ce was that 5$rma had la$#ched a pro"ram to b$ild a# atomic bomb. The stor& had immediate impact. *e#ator (im Eebb' /A3a.' who was i# Thaila#d o# his wa& to a meeti#" with 5$rmaJs "e#erals' called a press co#!ere#ce to a##o$#ce he was ca#celi#" his %isit I4M D$st ho$rs be!ore he was sched$led to cross the ThaiA5$rma border. Eebb' a# ad%ocate o! closer Eester# Ke#"a"eme#tK with the re"ime' said the report made s$ch a# approach impossible. The 5$rma stor& was me#tio#ed o# A5,Js KGood 4or#i#" AmericaK I1M a#d i# stories i# The Eashi#"to# .ost I8M' Time I7M' Natio#al .$blic Radio I8M a#d the 55, I)M. 6elle& pla&ed a direct role i# p$blici;i#" the stor&' appeari#" at a press co#!ere#ce i# Eashi#"to# a#d prese#ti#" his !i#di#"s to co#"ressio#al sta!!ers a#d other i#!l$e#tial people i# the #o#Aproli!eratio# world i# Eashi#"to#. At the press co#!ere#ce' 6elle& s$mmed $p his !i#di#"s witho$t eC$i%ocatio#' sa&i#": K- state this %er& clearl& a#d stro#"l&' this is a cla#desti#e #$clear pro"ram.K A# e ami#atio# b& .ro.$blica a#d the .5* pro"ram Need to 6#ow I10M has !o$#d that the C$estio# o! 5$rmaJs #$clear ambitio#s is m$ch less settled tha# 6elle& co#te#ds. Other e perts' i#cl$di#" Olli Fei#o#e#' the !ormer dep$t& director o! the -A+A' %iewed the e%ide#ce as i#co#cl$si%e. The& said the eC$ipme#t i# the photos had other possible $ses a#d that s$ch serio$s char"es sho$ld #ot rest o# the testimo#& o! a si#"le de!ector. KThere is #o smoki#" "$#'K Fei#o#e# said i# a# i#ter%iew. KThere is #o o#e si#"le piece which p$ts &o$r mi#d at rest telli#" that this is solel& !or #$clear p$rposes a#d !or #othi#" else.K *eparatel&' a se#ior America# o!!icial said the ,e#tral -#telli"e#ce A"e#c& a#d /epartme#t o! +#er"& had re%iewed 6elle&Js report Kli#e b& li#eK a#d had reDected its !i#di#"s. -# Germa#&' o!!icials said the& were aware that 5$rma had bo$"ht the eC$ipme#t show# i# the de!ectorJs pict$res <some o! it was e ported b& Germa# compa#ies= b$t ha%e co#cl$ded it is #ot bei#" $sed to la$#ch a# atomic weapo#s pro"ram. *ome o! the !i#a#cial s$pport !or 6elle&Js research came !rom a seemi#"l& $#likel& so$rce: The America# ta pa&er. The de!ector' *ai Thei# Ei#' was bro$"ht to Eester# #otice b& a Norwa&Abased "ro$p o! 5$rmese e iles called the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma I11M. The e iles recei%ed b400'000 last &ear !rom the Natio#al +#dowme#t !or
/emocrac& I12M' a 9.*. !o$#datio# whose b$d"et comes almost e#tirel& !rom ,o#"ress. The N+/ was created i# 1)8: to !oster democrac& mo%eme#ts aro$#d the world a#d it does so thro$"h "ra#ts a#d ad%ice. -ts past be#e!iciaries i#cl$de .ola#dJs *olidarit& mo%eme#t a#d the a#tiAapartheid !orces i# *o$th A!rica. N+/ o!!icials said the& e#co$ra"ed the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma to ha%e 6elle& %et the de!ectorJs alle"atio#s a#d later paid !or the 3ie##aAbased scie#tist to !l& to Eashi#"to# to prese#t his !i#di#"s I1:M. N+/ o!!icials said the& co#s$lted #o other e perts or o!!icials be!ore hosti#" the press co#!ere#ce at which 6ell& $#%eiled his report. O!!icials at N+/ de!e#d their role i# "etti#" the 5$rma stor& o$t a#d sa& that the& were simpl& ser%i#" the i#terests o! democrac&. The !o$#datio#Js preside#t' ,arl Gershma#' said his or"a#i;atio# had #o idea Eebb was o# his wa& to 5$rma. The "ra#ts to the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma' he said' promote K!ree media i# a co$#tr& that does#Jt ha%e a !ree media.K Gershma#' who has r$# N+/ si#ce its creatio#' said he was #ot aware that 9.*. i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies do$bted the claims abo$t 5$rmaJs #$clear e!!ort b$t said the stor& had %al$e e%e# i! it were $ltimatel& dispro%ed. K-! the& "ot it wro#"' weJll k#ow abo$t it. A#d the&Jll lear# somethi#" a#d ma&be the world will lear# somethi#".K 3i"oro$s p$blic debate is part o! a# ope# societ&' he said. KGo$ ca#Jt ha%e e%er&thi#" per!ect. Go$Jre "oi#" to ha%e di!!ere#ces o! opi#io#' thatJs what democrac& is all abo$t. Go$Jre "oi#" to make mistakes' people will ha%e di!!ere#t %iews' a#d - thi#k thatJs whatJs happe#i#" here.K The disp$te amo#" e perts o%er 5$rma ill$strates a lar"er iss$e co#!ro#ti#" the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& abo$t illicit weapo#s pro"rams. The 9#ited *tates we#t to war i# -raC s$pported b& the testimo#& o! a de!ector code#amed K,$r%eballK who described *addam F$ssei#Js s$pposed e!!orts to b$ild biolo"ical weapo#s. Ge#. ,oli# .owellJs case to the 9#ited Natio#s !or i#%adi#" -raC was based i# lar"e meas$re o# ,$r%eballJs testimo#&' which t$r#ed o$t to be !abricated I14M. No #$clear' "erm or chemical weapo#s were e%er !o$#d. *ome e perts worr& that the Eest ma& o%erreact to the ,$r%eball debacle a#d !ail to heed war#i#"s !rom a#& de!ectors. 5$t others sa& the ,$r%eball i#cide#t was a ca$tio#ar& tale abo$t the #eed to closel& st$d& a#& claims o! #$clear proli!eratio# ad%a#ced b& oppo#e#ts o! a re"ime. 6elle& ack#owled"ed the pote#tial co#!lict o! i#terest i# his report sa&i#" the oppositio# "ro$p' the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma' a#d the de!ector Kha%e stro#" !eeli#"s abo$t the re"ime.K Their obDecti%it&' he said' Kca# be called i#to C$estio#.K 5$t 6elle& wrote that the e%ide#ce' combi#ed with other pre%io$s disclos$res abo$t 5$rma' was pers$asi%e. Fe like#ed the de!ector' ide#ti!ied as 4aDor *ai Thei# Ei#' to 4ordecai 3a#$#$' the -sraeli tech#icia# who pro%ided photos o! -sraelJs secret atomic weapo#s !acilities I11M to a 5ritish #ewspaper i# 1)88. 6elle& said the a#al&sis o! Ei# a#d related e%ide#ce alread& p$blic abo$t 5$rma Kleads to o#l& o#e co#cl$sio#: this tech#olo"& is o#l& !or #$clear weapo#s a#d #ot ci%ilia# $se or #$clear power.K 6elle& worked !or &ears !or Fei#o#e#' who ser%ed as dep$t& director o! the -A+A !rom 2001 $#til this &ear. Their work i#cl$ded hi"hApro!ile i#%esti"atio#s o! -ra#' -raC a#d *o$th A!ricaJs #$clear pro"ram. Fei#o#e# said that o# 5$rma' he parts wa&s with his !ormer collea"$e. Fei#o#e# #oted that 5$rma has reser%es o! $ra#i$m a#d said its work th$s !ar co$ld be $sed as !$el !or #$clear power pla#ts. KThere mi"ht be someo#e looki#" !or $tili;atio# !or $ra#i$m' b$t we reall& do#Jt k#ow the p$rpose. There is #o alarmi#" !actor tri""eri#" s$spicio#s abo$t #$clear weapo#s pro"rams at this sta"e.K
The bar !or acc$si#" a co$#tr& o! wro#"doi#" sho$ld be set hi"her' he said. KEhe# someo#e takes the !irst molec$le !rom ore' it does#Jt mea# that heJs alread& de%elopi#" a #$clear weapo#. ThereJs a lo#" wa& to "o.K The ar"$me#ts amo#" the e perts re%ol%e aro$#d arca#e C$estio#s o! e#"i#eeri#" a#d scie#ce. O#e photo"raph pro%ided b& the de!ector shows what is k#ow# as a "lo%e bo I18M' a sealed space i# which operators ca# ha#dle da#"ero$s materials. 6elle& said the bo co$ld be $sed to make $ra#i$m metal AA a step i# the prod$ctio# o! !$el !or #$clear weapo#s. 5$t Fei#o#e# reDected this assessme#t. Fe said that creati#" $ra#i$m metal reC$ires hi"h temperat$res. KEhe# &o$ look at the pict$re &o$ see' !or e ample' that the bo has r$bber "lo%es. Go$ wo$ld #ot b$ild a bo with r$bber "lo%es to do s$ch a process.K Fei#o#e# said the operator wo$ld Kb$r# his !i#"ers literall&'K addi#": Kdo#Jt thi#k this bo is !or that p$rpose.K A#other a#al&st who disp$tes 6elle&Js %iew o! 5$rma is /a%id Albri"ht' the director o! the -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit&' a Eashi#"to#Abased research i#stit$te. -# (a#$ar& o! this &ear' 6elle& a#d Albri"ht coA a$thored a paper I17M !or -*-* with two other e perts that deb$#ked some o! the earlier claims that 5$rma was b$ildi#" a bomb. Ehe# challe#"ed abo$t some o! the co#cl$sio#s i# his rece#t report' 6elle& $r"ed reporters to co#tact Albri"ht. Albri"ht said i# a# i#ter%iew that he did #ot a"ree with 6elle&Js !i#di#"s. A close readi#" o! the report' he said' s$""ests that 6elle& ass$med that 5$rma is attempti#" to make #$clear weapo#s a#d the# looked at Ei#Js pict$res Ki# a biased wa& ascribi#" #$clear p$rposes to them.K Albri"ht said he belie%ed each piece o! eC$ipme#t i# the photos had alter#ate $ses' some o! which were #o#A#$clear. Fe #oted that Ei# had #o back"ro$#d i# #$clear scie#ce or e#"i#eeri#". KEe lear# the hard wa&'K said Albri"ht. KThis is what the whole thi#" was abo$t with -raCi E4/.K K-! &o$Jre "oi#" to make acc$satio#s that a co$#tr& has #$clear weapo#s pro"ram' &o$ ha%e to ha%e credible e%ide#ce that that is tr$e'K he said. 4$ch remai#s $#k#ow# abo$t Ei# a#d his moti%es. O# 0rida&' the da& 5$rmaJs %oters we#t to the polls i# a# electio# i#ter#atio#all& derided as ri""ed' the 5ritish #ewspaper The -#depe#de#t a#d the Norwe"ia# paper 4or"e#bladet p$blished i#ter%iews with him. Ei# said 5$rmaJs #$clear e!!orts were i#compete#t b$t real. Fe said emplo&ees assi"#ed to work o# the pro"ram sat aro$#d dri#ki#" whiske& a#d waiti#" !or desi"#s to arri%e. KEhe# we were alo#e' we sometimes talked abo$t how st$pid this was'K he told the -#depe#de#t I18M. KEe called o$rsel%es Nato AA No Actio#' Talki#" O#l&. Ee wasted o$r li%es. -Jm #ot a politicia#' -Jm pro$d to be a# e#"i#eer a#d a# o!!icer. - wo$ld be pro$d to be the !irst rocket scie#tist o! 5$rma b$t - had #o cha#ce to appl& what - had lear#ed. -t made me $pset.K Ei# said that he saw doc$me#ts i# which the re"ime ordered a K#$clear battalio#K to b$ild a reactor' e#rich $ra#i$m a#d create a bomb. 5$t he said K- #e%er "ot m& ha#d o# those doc$me#ts. - had the cha#ce to steal them' b$t - did#Jt.K Accordi#" to The -#depe#de#t' Ei# decided to come !orward a!ter watchi#" a /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma doc$me#tar& that me#tio#ed r$mors abo$t 5$rmaJs #$clear e!!orts. Fe bo$"ht a camera' took his #owA!amo$s photos a#d be"a# $ploadi#" the ima"es. Fe told The -#depe#de#t a sec$rit& "$ard at the !actor& saw him take the pict$res b$t did#Jt sa& a#&thi#".
.ro.$blica se#ior report /a!#a 2i#;er co#trib$ted to this report. 1. http://www.pbs.or"/w#et/#eedAtoAk#ow/sched$le/ 2. http://www.pbs.or"/w#et/#eedAtoAk#ow/sec$rit&/b$rmasA#$clearAp$;;le/1111/ :. http://www.d%b.#o/b$rmasA#$clearAambitio#sAd%bAreports 4. http://webb.se#ate."o%/#ewsroom/pressreleases/2010A08A0:A01.c!m 1. http://abc#ews."o.com/G4A/4edia/#orthAkoreaAhelpi#"Am&a#marAsecretA#$clearApro"ram/stor&O id`1082:4:) 8. http://www.washi#"to#post.com/wpAd&#/co#te#t/article/2010/08/0:/AR2010080:0481).htmlO hpid`moreheadli#es 7. http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0'81))'200271:'00.html 8. http://www.#pr.or"/templates/stor&/stor&.phpOstor&-d`1278822)7 ). http://www.bbc.co.$k/#ews/102:8:81 10. http://www.pbs.or"/w#et/#eedAtoAk#ow/ 11. http://www.d%b.#o/ 12. http://www.#ed.or"/ 1:. http://www.#ed.or"/e%e#ts/b$rmasA#$clearAambitio#s 14. http://www.cbs#ews.com/stories/2007/11/01/80mi#$tes/mai#:440177.shtml 11. http://www.timeso#li#e.co.$k/tol/#ews/article8:0147.ece 18. http://www.d%b.#o/b$rmasA#$clearAambitio#s/b$rmasA#$clearAambitio#sA ima"es/#$clear/)281/attachme#t/:00:200)01:A2 17. http://isisAo#li#e.or"/isisAreports/detail/b$rmaAaA#$clearAwa#abeeAs$spicio$sAli#ksAtoA#orthAkoreaAhi"hA techAproc$reme/ 18. http://www.i#depe#de#t.co.$k/#ews/world/asia/b$rmeseAde!ectorAre%ealsAtr$thAabo$tAD$#tasA#$clearA ambitio#sA2121748.html 1).
the apparat$s pict$red i# the Germa# !actories is a %iolatio# o! two o! their sa!e"$ards a"reeme#ts with -A+A. O#e o! the two so$rces i#ter%iewed b& .rop$blica' separatel& !rom 4aDor Ei#' sa&s the& ha%e bee# re!i#i#" $ra#i$m at Thabeikk&i# !or !i%e &ears.
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/12/112812.htm
.hilip (. ,rowle& Assista#t *ecretar& /ail& .ress 5rie!i#" Eashi#"to#' /, /ecember 10' 2010 [EXCERPT] N9+*T-ON: O# 5$rmaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Oka&' 5$rma. N9+*T-ON: Oka&' two C$estio#s - ha%e o# 5$rma. O#e' are &o$ co#sideri#" li!ti#" o! a#& sa#ctio#s !rom 5$rma' small or bi"' i# %iew o! the rece#t de%elopme#ts thereO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Eell' 2alit' a#d we wo$ld do that !or what reaso#O - mea#' we are prepared' as we ha%e said ma#& times' to ha%e a di!!ere#t relatio#ship with 5$rma' pro%ided 5$rma takes si"#i!ica#t steps !orward. There are %er& clear reC$ireme#ts !or 5$rma' a#d itBs #ot abo$t the 9#ited *tates dictati#" to 5$rma. -tBs abo$t what is i# 5$rmaBs best i#terest. Ob%io$sl&' the P we welcome the release o! A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' b$t that does#Bt sol%e the broader problem o! the 2'000 political priso#ers who still remai# i# c$stod& i# 5$rma. -t does#Bt sol%e the challe#"e o! the !act that the ce#tral "o%er#me#t is still at war with ma#& eth#ic "ro$ps withi# its borders. -t does#Bt sol%e the challe#"e o! ha%i#" a political s&stem that allows broader participatio# so that &o$ do#Bt ha%e a !a$ electio# here that D$st' i# esse#ce' takes "e#erals a#d makes them ci%ilia#s a#d prete#ds thatBs a di!!ere#t ki#d o! "o%er#me#t. -t is the same ki#d o! "o%er#me#t. *o we will ha%e P we are prepared to e#"a"e 5$rma. EeBre prepared to cha#"e o$r relatio#ship. That wo$ld i#cl$de a li!ti#" o! sa#ctio#s' b$t 5$rma has to take a!!irmati%e steps to warra#t that ki#d o! co#sideratio#. N9+*T-ON: A#d seco#d C$estio# abo$t these Eiki2eaks cables which sa&s that 5$rma is b$ildi#" b$#kers with the help o! North 6orea. -Bm #ot aski#" &o$ abo$t the cables. The C$estio# is' i# &o$r assessme#t' what is the ki#d o! relatio#ship 5$rma has with North 6oreaO 4R. ,ROE2+G: Ee st$d& that %er& closel&. Go$Bre ri"htH - wo#Bt "et i#to a#& partic$lar cables. Ee ha%e co#cer#s abo$t the #at$re o! the relatio#ship betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea' a#d we ha%e that co#cer# beca$se o! North 6oreaBs reco"#i;ed histor& as a proli!erator o! da#"ero$s tech#olo"&. 5$t it is somethi#" that we co#ti#$e to watch %er&' %er& closel&.
http://o#li#e.wsD.com/article/*51000142401274870::)1)04178021:70001217:88.html
http://www.washi#"to#times.com/#ews/2011/Da#/1:/iaeaAseeksApermissio#A!romAm&a#marA!orA#$keAi#spec/
A report' commissio#ed b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma' said that while the militar& ma& #ot be s$ccess!$l i# its e!!orts' Kthe i#te#t is clear.K -t said its a#al&sis led to Ko#l& o#e co#cl$sio#: this tech#olo"& is o#l& !or #$clear weapo#s a#d #ot ci%ilia# $se or #$clear power.K 4r. 6elle& re%iewed the data. KEe ha%e satellite ima"er& o! a mi#i#"Arelated !acilit& i# ro$"hl& the place ide#ti!ied b& the so$rce. - thi#k it is likel& a $ra#i$m mill' b$t to stake -A+A rep$tatio# o# this is a bit shak&'K 4r. 6elle& said. K- k#ow a #$mber o! other sites - s$spect a#d wo$ld recomme#d o#e i! asked' b$t - ha%e #ot bee# asked'@ he said. K- wo$ld e pect the team will probabl& !i#d #othi#" i! the& "o' especiall& i! the& o#l& %isit the headC$arters' a $#i%ersit& or the !actor&.K Eester# o!!icials s$spect North 6orea is assisti#" 4&a#marJs #$clear pro"ram. The 2004 cable #oted that there was #o direct e%ide#ce o! this alle"ed cooperatio#' howe%er' Kr$mors o! o#"oi#" co#str$ctio# o! a #$clear reactor are s$rprisi#"l& co#siste#t a#d obser%atio#s o! acti%it& S appear to be i#creasi#"' as are alle"ed si"hti#"s o! North 6orea# Jtech#icia#sJ i#side 5$rma.K A#other leaked cable' writte# i# No%ember 200) b& the top 9.*. o!!icial i# Ga#"o#' described 4&a#marANorth 6orea cooperatio# as KopaC$e.K K*omethi#" is certai#l& happe#i#"H whether that somethi#" i#cl$des J#$kesJ is a %er& ope# C$estio# which remai#s a %er& hi"h priorit& !or +mbass& reporti#"'K the cable said.
http://a!.re$ters.com/article/e#er"&OilNews/idA02/+70/0N320110114
http://www.slate.com/id/2284)72/
http://www."oo"le.com/hosted#ews/a!p/article/A2eC41iCCwNs-6&%/;/0N&>R4 3)3R8N1wOdoc-d`,NG.08)cd1d1dc7c41ba!82)718)248)ae8d.b41
http://www.theDakartapost.com/#ews/2011/07/21/m&a#marAde%elopi#"A#$kesAweAdo#U+2U80U))tAthi#kAsoAasea#Asa&s.html
http://www.!orbes.com/!eeds/ap/2011/07/22/"e#eralAasAasiaAsec$rit&Am&a#marR8178170.html
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/*o$theastRAsia/4F0)Ae01.html
,li#to# also p$t A*+AN o# #otice that Eashi#"to# was #ot i# !a%or o! "ra#ti#" 4&a#mar the chairma#ship o! the re"io#al "ro$pi#" i# 2014 $#less si"#i!ica#t re!orms were carried o$t. 4itchell echoed these co#cer#s d$ri#" his se#ate co#!irmatio# heari#"s last week. 4a#& a#al&sts percei%e the 9*Js p$blic co#cer#s abo$t h$ma# ri"hts a#d democrac& as co%er !or a harder sec$rit& a"e#da. Ehile h$ma# ri"hts a#d democrac& "ar#er pop$lar s$pport domesticall& a#d i# the i#ter#atio#al are#a' Eashi#"to#Js co#cer#s lie more with a desire to bl$#t ,hi#aJs i#!l$e#ce a#d impair Na&p&idawJs pote#tiall& re"io#all& destabili;i#" relatio#s with North 6orea. [deletia] A#other maDor 9* strate"ic co#cer# is 4&a#marJs "rowi#" ties with North 6orea' especiall& i# re"ards to missile a#d #$clear tech#olo"&. 4itchell said i# his heari#" that it is Kabsol$tel& criticalK !or 4&a#mar to abide b& 9N #o#proli!eratio# sa#ctio#s ba##i#" trade i# militar& hardware with .&o#"&a#". 2ast &ear' America# #a%al $#its shadowed a North 6orea# !rei"hter s$spected to be carr&i#" weapo#s e# ro$te to 4&a#mar. The ship was e%e#t$all& !orced to t$r# aro$#d. [deletia] 5ria# 4c,arta# is a !reela#ce Do$r#alist. Fe ma& be reached at bria#pmXcomcast.#et.
http://"ree#smps.or".a$/co#te#t/mediaArelease/210Ada&sAlaterAC$estio#sA"o%er#me#tAb$rmeseA#$clearAschemeAremai#A$#a#swered
#,$ days later ' Fuestions to Ao7ernment on Burmese nuclear scheme remain unanswered
4edia Release c *pokesperso# *cott 2$dlam Eed#esda& 17th A$"$st 2011' 12:::pm N$estio#s o%er pote#tial A$stralia# actio# o# 5$rmaJs alle"ed #$clear pro"ram ha%e remai#ed $#a#swered b& the Go%er#me#t !or 210 da&s' the A$stralia# Gree#s said toda&. *e#ator *cott 2$dlam p$t the C$estio#s o# #otice to the 4i#ister represe#ti#" the 0orei"# mi#ister i# the *e#ate chamber i# /ecember last &ear. K-# 4a& we were told the Go%er#me#t was co#cer#ed abo$t 5$rmaJs alle"ed #$clear problem b$t Qthe mostJ the& co$ld do was mo#itor de%elopme#ts. O# /ecember 8th - asked what had bee# do#e to mo#itor 5$rmaJs alle"ed weapo#s pro"ram. 214 da&s later A there has bee# #o a#swer. - asked !$rther C$estio#s o# /ecember 17th' still #o a#swer.K *e#ator 2$dlam said !ears abo$t collaboratio# betwee# the North 6orea# a#d 5$rmese dictatorships were well !o$#ded a#d the A$stralia Go%er#me#t m$st take #$clear disarmame#t serio$sl&. K2ast &ear - asked how A$stralia has $sed its positio# o# the 5oard o! Go%er#ors' a#d A$straliaJs 4issio# i# 3ie##a' to address this pote#tiall& %er& serio$s #$clear proli!eratio# iss$e i# o$r re"io#. -tJs A$"$st A a#d there has bee# #o e pla#atio#.K *e#ator 2$dlam will !ormall& ask the Go%er#me#t to e plai# the e traordi#ar& dela& i# the *e#ate toda& at the co#cl$sio# o! N$estio# Time.
http://"ree#smps.or".a$/co#te#t/C$estio#/b$rmasAalle"edA#$clearApro"ram
http://"ree#smps.or".a$/co#te#t/C$estio#/b$rmasAalle"edA#$clearAde%elopme#t
http://i#.re$ters.com/article/2011/0)/21/id-N-#diaA1)477020110)21
http://www.washi#"to#post.com/world/asiaApaci!ic/$sAe#%o&AtoAm&a#marAarri%esA!orAseco#dA%isitA!ollowi#"Arece#tAstepsAtowardAre!orm/2011/10/24/"-NA1,5>54Rstor&.html
.S special en7oy to Myanmar begins second 7isit following recent steps toward reform
5& Associated .ress' 9pdated: 4o#da&' October 24' 10:28 A4 [EXCERPT ] GANGON' 4&a#mar V The 9#ited *tatesB special e#%o& to 4&a#mar be"a# his seco#d %isit i# less tha# two mo#ths o# 4o#da& amid hope that the co$#tr&Bs #ew "o%er#me#t is serio$s abo$t political re!orm. /erek 4itchell will be i# 4&a#mar !or two da&s a#d will meet with democrac& mo%eme#t leader A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' se#ior o!!icials i#cl$di#" 0orei"# 4i#ister E$##a 4a$#" 2wi#' a#d represe#tati%es o! ci%il societ&' 9.*. *tate /epartme#t spokeswoma# !or +ast Asia a#d .aci!ic a!!airs /arra"h .aradiso said i# Eashi#"to#. [deletia] ?Ambassador 4itchell pla#s to %isit 5$rma !reC$e#tl& to b$ild o# o$r o#"oi#" pri#cipled e#"a"eme#t' i#cl$di#" dialo"$e with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t a#d local stakeholders'@ a 9.* +mbass& stateme#t said. Eashi#"to# $ses the co$#tr&Bs old #ame' 5$rma' which is pre!erred b& ma#& oppo#e#ts o! militar& r$le. -# his talks with "o%er#me#t o!!icials' 4itchell will raise ?o$r lo#"Asta#di#" core co#cer#s' i#cl$di#" the #eed !or the release o! all political priso#ers' dialo"$e with the oppositio# a#d eth#ic mi#orities' adhere#ce to 5$rmaBs i#ter#atio#al obli"atio#s o# #o#proli!eratio#' a#d e#d to %iole#ce a"ai#st eth#ic mi#orities'@ the stateme#t said. [deletia]
http://www.washi#"to#post.com/world/#atio#alAsec$rit&/b$rmaAp$rs$edA#$clearAweapo#sAwithA#orthAkoreaA$sAse#atorAsa&s/2011/11/24/"-NAseb9tNRstor&.html
Burma pursued nuclear weapons with North Korea* .8S8 senator says
5& Eilliam Ea# .$blished: No%ember 24 I2011M [EXCERPT] The *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee recei%ed i#!ormatio# ro$"hl& !i%e &ears a"o that the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t i#te#ded to de%elop #$clear weapo#s with the help o! North 6orea' accordi#" to *e#. Richard G. 2$"ar <RA-#d.=. The committee at the time rela&ed the details to 9.*. o!!icials b$t did #ot release the i#!ormatio# p$blicl&' accordi#" to 6eith 2$se' a committee sta!! member. 2$"arBs stateme#t' to be released 0rida& [89;;&;;&8<]' comes ahead o! a trip to 5$rma b& *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& Rodham ,li#to#' who will be the !irst o! her ra#k to tra%el to the isolated a#d a$thoritaria# co$#tr& i# hal! a ce#t$r&. KEith the $pcomi#" %isit' *e#ator 2$"ar wa#ted to throw a spotli"ht o# this iss$e a#d make s$re itBs o# the table i# o$r talks with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t'K 2$se said. 2$"ar is the ra#ki#" Rep$blica# o# the 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`22142
#$%$'%#'$%
#$$)'$+'$,
http://www.bbc.co.$k/#ews/worldAasiaA2:11:78:
http://l$"ar.se#ate."o%/record.c!mOid`::4)74Y
.ress Release o! *e#ator 2$"ar 2$"ar: 5$rma North 6orea Ties *ho$ld 5e /isclosed 4o#da&' No%ember 28' 2011 0ollowi#" is *e#ator 2$"arBs stateme#t re"ardi#" de%elopme#ts i# 5$rma. KThe 9#ited *tates is appropriatel& testi#" the appeara#ce o! re!orms withi# 5$rma. The ,o#"ress i# 2008 created the positio# o! *pecial Represe#tati%e a#d .olic& ,oordi#ator !or 5$rma to e plore wa&s o! cha#"i#" the re"imeBs beha%ior. .reside#t Obama #omi#ated /erek 4itchell i# April o! 2011 to ass$me that role. The si#cerit& with which a wide ra#"e o! re!orms has bee# promised b& the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t m$st be D$d"ed b& whether the words are !ollowed b& actio#s. 4issi#" !rom the lo#" list o! "ood i#te#tio#s has bee# re!ere#ce to the "rowi#" relatio#ship betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' a#d close cooperatio# betwee# their two militaries. North 6orea is belie%ed to be co#ti#$i#" de%elopme#t o! its #$clear' biolo"ical a#d chemical weapo#s pro"rams. O%er !i%e &ears a"o' the *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee was i#!ormed a#d s$bseC$e#tl& ad%ised 9.*. o!!icials o! 5$rmaBs reported i#te#tio# to de%elop #$clear weapo#s i# coordi#atio# with North 6orea. A# earl& "oal o! the te#tati%e 9.*. reAe#"a"eme#t with 5$rma sho$ld be !$ll disclos$re o! the e te#t a#d i#te#t o! the de%elopi#" 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram.K
http://#ews.smh.com.a$/breaki#"A#ewsAworld/#oAsi"#Ao!AmaDorAb$rmaA#$clearAdri%eA$sA201111:0A1o77D.html
http://www.sk&#ews.com.a$/topstories/article.asp Oid`8)1412Y%-d`
http://www.armsco#trol.or"/act/2012R12/4&a#marA3owsAtoA9p"radeA-A+AA*a!e"$ards
http://www.iaea.or"/#ewsce#ter/mediaad%isor&/201:/ma201:22.html
http://www.%oa#ews.com/co#te#t/b$rmaAsi"#sA#ewA#$clearAdealAwithAiaea/171148).html
http://www.#atio#m$ltimedia.com/#ew/opi#io#/5$rmaAm$stAsi"#Ai#ter#atio#alA#$clearAtreatiesA:0188724.html
o# e isti#" #$clear acti%ities. 5eca$se 5$rma has declared that all pla##ed #$clear acti%ities ha%e ceased' this sho$ld be #o problem. -t wo$ld help to re!$te acc$satio#s b& some e iles a#d a#al&sts' i#cl$di#" me' that the "o%er#me#t is attempti#" to de%elop #$clear weapo#s. This e%ide#ce comes !rom acti%ities i# two mecha#ical workshops b$ilt aro$#d 2001 a#d eC$ipped with moder# +$ropea# machi#e tools o! hi"h calibre. These tools are possibl& b$ildi#" processi#" eC$ipme#t that co$ld prod$ce $ra#i$m !or a reactor or a bomb. The eC$ipme#t was photo"raphed b& a 5$rmese arm& de!ector' who sm$""led the ima"es o$t o! the co$#tr&. To be s$re' e%e# i! 5$rma allows i#spectio#s $#der a moder# -A+A a"reeme#t' the workshops wo$ld #ot be the immediate sites !or %etti#" beca$se the& ha%e #o #$clear materials' b$t are o#l& workplaces s$pporti#" a pro"ramme elsewhere. 0ears s$rro$#di#" these pro"rammes are !$elled b& reports o! $ra#i$m mi#i#"' mostl& i# *ha# state' a#d alle"ed #$clear acti%ities at Thabeikk&i#' #orth o! 4a#dala&. No#e o! this is bei#" reported to the -A+A. -! Na&p&idaw steps $p to the table a#d si"#s a moder# !$ll i#spectio# a"reeme#t with the -A+A' the# 5$rma ca# p$t these claims to rest. -A+A s$per%isio# wo$ld also temper co#cer#s abo$t a research reactor. 0aili#" to do this' howe%er' mea#s that it remai#s i# the small cl$b o! co$#tries' alo#"side -ra# a#d *&ria' that ha%e re!$sed to si"# the moder# a"reeme#ts' a#d will retai# pariah stat$s. 9si#" the occasio# i# 3ie##a to reiterate 5$rmaJs commitme#t to i#ter#atio#al #$clear material sa!e"$ards a#d rob$st #$clear i#spectio#s holds little credibilit& $#less it is !ollowed with more ta#"ible actio#. Robert 6elle& is a !ormer director at the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c&.
http://www.a;ce#tral.com/#ews/electio#/a;electio#s/articles/2011/0)/0)/20110)0)Do#Ak&lArecallsAseptemberA11Aattacks.html
http://theAdiplomat.com/asea#Abeat/2011/08/14/ca#AweAbelie%eAb$rma/
http://www.decca#chro#icle.com/editorial/dcAcomme#t/b$rmeseAti"htropeA217
Burmese tightrope
5& *ha#kar Ro&chowdh$r& ($#e 14' 2011 -#dia m$st look awa& !or a mome#t !rom the t$rmoil i# the co$#tr&Bs wester# %ici#it& a#d spare a "la#ce eastwards towards the ?other border@ as well' the o#e which -#dia shares with a#other si"#i!ica#t #ei"hbo$r' 5$rma. 5$rma' !ormed part o! 5ritai#Bs -#dia# empire till 1):7 whe# it was declared a separate colo#ial e#tit&. There is little eth#ic or c$lt$ral co##ecti%it& eastwards' betwee# the domi#a#t -#doAGa#"etic ci%ilisatio# o! -#dia a#d that o! the -rrawadd& heartla#d o! 5$rma. -# 5$rma' the traditio#al -#dia# prese#ce has bee# o! pett& traders a#d s$bordi#ateAle%el b$rea$crac& o! 5ritish 5$rma who did #ot e#dear themsel%es to the locals. 4emories li#"er a#d' s$rprisi#"l&' -#dia#s e%e# #ow are #ot "e#erall& well re"arded. The i#ter#al political a#d ci%il str$ct$re o! 5$rma is !l$id a#d complicated. There is Tatmadaw V the 5$rmese de!e#ce !orces V i# total char"e o! all aspects o! "o%er#a#ce' thro$"h the *tate .eace a#d /e%elopme#t ,o$#cil <*/.,=' which is a militar& D$#ta o! 11 "e#erals' ser%i#" as well as retired' whose political !ort$#es !l$ct$ate with their i#ter#al eC$atio#s. Eith a# estimated stre#"th o! 410'000 to 100'000' the 5$rmese Arm& is predomi#a#tl& a li"ht i#!a#tr& !orce. Rep$ted as capable a#d pro!essio#all& compete#t' it is combatAharde#ed b& lo#" e perie#ce o! almost $#broke# co$#teri#s$r"e#c& a#d D$#"le operatio#s a"ai#st separatists almost si#ce i#depe#de#ce i# 1)48. 5$t its record o! h$ma# ri"hts has bee# se%erel& criticised b& the Eester# co$#tries' partic$larl& the 9#ited *tates' which re"ards the */., "o%er#me#t as a ro"$e re"ime a#d is p$tti#" press$re o# -#dia to dissociate a#d co#dem# the co$#tr&Bs militar& D$#ta. 5$rma carries the rep$tatio# o! a# e#i"matic a#d somewhat prickl& hermit ki#"dom which pre!ers to keep to itsel!. -#side the co$#tr&' 1) maDor a#d mi#or eth#ic "ro$ps are i# disti#ctl& $#eas& di%ersit& amo#"st themsel%es. The predomi#a#tl& ,hristia# tribal mi#orities alo#" 5$rmaBs mo$#tai#o$s' de#sel& D$#"led o$ter peripher& borderi#" Thaila#d' 2aos' ,hi#a' -#dia a#d 5a#"ladesh' are i# almost perma#e#t m$ti#& a"ai#st the r$li#" 5$rma# maDorit& i# the ce#tral heartla#d' who pro!ess 5$ddhism a#d co#stit$te 8) per ce#t o! the pop$latio#. The 1'84: km o! poro$s' de#sel&A D$#"led border shared b& the two co$#tries is comparati%el& loosel& co#trolled' partic$larl& o# the 5$rma side a#d slowAb$r#i#"H separatist tribal milita#cies o! %ario$s pers$asio#s a"ai#st both New /elhi a#d Ga#"o# smo$lder across the e#tire re"io#. TwoA wa& tra!!ic i# border crime' dr$"s' weapo#s a#d other cate"ories o! sm$""li#" ha%e rei#!orced these i#s$r"e#cies i#to a !airl& maDor #arcoAco#!lict drawi#" s$ste#a#ce !rom the Golde# Tria#"le' i# which 5$rma is the "eo"raphical pi%ot. O# the -#dia# side' the -#doA5$rma border is' as $s$al' the relati%el& ?!or"otte# !ro#tier@ i# compariso# with its wester# co$#terpart. -#terAsectoral priorities !or allocatio# o! reso$rces are lower i# the east a#d the Assam Ri!les' that co#stit$tes the -#dia# border "$ardi#" !orces here' !aces the $s$al pa$cit& o! troops. This' co$pled with e tremel& di!!ic$lt terrai# a#d debilitati#" climate' makes e!!ecti%e border ma#a"eme#t te#$o$s' tho$"h still relati%el& better tha# o# the 5$rma side. +th#ic a#d c$lt$ral commo#alities betwee# the Na"a' 4i;o a#d 6$ki tribes o# the -#dia# side o! the border i# Ar$#achal .radesh' Na"ala#d' 4a#ip$r a#d 4i;oram' a#d those i#habiti#" the co#ti"$o$s wester# a#d #orthwester# border re"io#s o! 5$rma add to the comple ities o! the sit$atio#' t&pi!ied b& the a#tiA-#dia Na"a i#s$r"e#t "ro$p' the Natio#al *ocialist ,o$#cil o! Na"ala#dA6hapla#" <N*,NA6= i# Na"ala#d a#d 4a#ip$r' which operates i# -#dia b$t is based i# 5$rma a#d headed b& *.*. 6hapla#"' a Femi Na"a !rom that co$#tr&. Relatio#s betwee# -#dia a#d 5$rma are relati%el& lowAke& b$t o# a "e#erall& e%e# keel. -#dia has #o militar& problems with 5$rma a#d the !oc$s is towards establishi#" a %iable -#dia# politicoAeco#omic prese#ce i# the co$#tr&. Fowe%er' 5$rma is a# area o! wellAe#tre#ched ,hi#ese i#terests a#d i#!l$e#ce' a#d -#dia# i#terests
m$st co#te#d with stro#" ad%erse !actors' which tra#sce#d p$rel& eco#omic or corporate ri%alries. Ne%ertheless' it remai#s a "eoApolitical imperati%e !or -#dia to e#"a"e as closel& as possible with 5$rmaBs militar& dictatorship to pro"ress its ow# e#tr& i#to the re"io#. Associatio# with a# a$thoritaria# militar& "o%er#me#t whose record o! h$ma# ri"hts has bee# i#ter#atio#all& criticised draws the disappro%al o! the 9* a#d the Eest' besides that o! the "rowi#" i#ter#al mo%eme#t !or democrac& withi# 5$rma led b& st$de#t a#d liberal acti%ists' ce#tred aro$#d the perso#alit& o! A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i. Fer part&' the Natio#al 2ea"$e !or /emocrac&' swept to a# o%erwhelmi#" %ictor& i# the #atio#al polls i# 1))0' which was disre"arded b& the militar& r$lers who placed her $#der ho$se arrest i# 1))2. *he was awarded the Nobel .ri;e !or .eace i# 1))1' a#d ma#& o! her !ollowers ha%e escaped to -#dia where the& ha%e bee# accorded sa#ct$ar& a#d are attempti#" to carr& !orward their mo%eme#t !rom e ile. -#dia !or its part has to keep cha##els o! comm$#icatio# ope# to both' the D$#ta "o%er#me#t a#d the democrac& mo%eme#t' $si#" o!!icial as well Track -- cha##els. -t is a# $#e#%iable ti"htrope a#d !or the prese#t -#dia has chose# to be pra"matic' becomi#" 5$rmaBs !o$rthAlar"est tradi#" part#er <a!ter Thaila#d' ,hi#a a#d *i#"apore=' besides i#%ol%eme#t i# maDor i#!rastr$ct$ral proDects i# that co$#tr&' i#cl$di#" the 180Akm Tam$A6alewaA 6alem&o road' completed i# 2001 a#d !$#ded totall& b& -#dia' a#d the ambitio$s *ittweA6alada# ri%erA2aw#"tlai m$ltiAmode seaAri%er road tra#sport corridor sched$led to be completed i# 201:' co##ecti#" *ittwe port i# 5$rma with Natio#al Fi"hwa& 14 at 2aw#"tlai i# 4i;oram. Fowe%er' !or -#dia' the real clo$d o# the hori;o# is 5$rmaBs #asce#t #$clear pro"ramme. 5$rma as a si"#ator& to the No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& reached a# a"reeme#t with R$ssia i# 2007 !or acC$iri#" a 10Ame"awatt #$clear reactor !or research p$rposes a#d "e#eratio# o! #$clear power. This ca##ot be a reaso# !or co#cer# i# a#& ma##er' b$t there are more di!!$sed reports o! a cla#desti#e #$clear weapo#s part#ership with North 6orea' with which .akista#Bs ro"$e #$clear scie#tist A.N. 6ha#Bs #$clear #etwork is also alle"edl& associated. -! tr$e' this wo$ld de!i#itel& be a matter o! co#cer# !or -#dia' which hope!$ll& has the mea#s a#d capabilities to keep itsel! i#!ormed a#d prepared %isAaA%is s$ch de%elopme#ts #e t door. 4ea#while' it is to be hoped that the 5$rmese D$#ta has take# #ote o! the Arab *pri#" !ar awa& i# Eest Asia' a#d ma& be co#sideri#" optio#s to ease the i#ter#al co#ditio#s withi# the co$#tr&. T Ge#. *ha#kar Ro&chowdh$r& is a !ormer ,hie! o! Arm& *ta!! a#d a !ormer 4ember o! .arliame#t
http://www.d%b.#o/a#al&sis/b$rmasAob!$scatio#AhidesAaA#$clearAsecret/1808)
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`21118
http://www.isisAo#li#e.or"/$ploads/isisAreports/doc$me#ts/5$rmaRA#al&sisR5ombRReactorsR11April2011.pd!
http://www.worldpress.or"/Asia/:818.c!m
Nuclear Matter
*imo# Ro$"h#ee# No%ember 2)' 2010 New re%elatio#s abo$t North 6oreaJs #$clear weapo#s pro"ram co$ld ha%e implicatio#s !or 5$rma' a!ter 9.*. scie#tist *ie"!ried Fecker re%ealed last week that he had bee# show# Kmore tha# 2'000 ce#tri!$"esK !or e#richi#" $ra#i$mVpart o! the process !or maki#" #$clear !$el or weapo#sVd$ri#" a rece#t %isit to North 6orea' where he said he also %iewed a #ew li"htAwater reactor' which' whe# !$eled with $ra#i$m' is the most commo# t&pe o! #$clear reactor. KThis is ob%io$sl& a disappoi#ti#" a##o$#ceme#t'K said *tephe# 5osworth' the 9.*. e#%o& o# North 6orea' addi#" that Kit is also a#other i# a series o! pro%ocati%e mo%es.K /r. Robert 6elle&' the !ormer -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= scie#tist' said that the America#s who saw the North 6orea# ce#tri!$"e pla#t last week were st$##ed b& the sophisticatio# the& wit#essed. K-t has a completel& moder# co#trol room' #othi#" like what those America#s ha%e see# i# other /.R6 INorth 6orea#M !acilities'K he said' a#d co#cl$ded that the 9#ited *tates K$#derestimated them.K 6elle& co#trib$ted to a /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma </35= report that aired o# AlA(a;eera o# ($#e 4' which was based o# doc$me#ts a#d photo"raphs sm$""led o$t o! 5$rma b& *ai Ei#' a de!ector !rom the co$#tr&Js militar&. 6elle& mai#tai#s that Kwhat we ha%e see# i# 5$rma is i#te#t to b$ild a #$clear pro"ram.K The latest North 6orea re%elatio#s come amid some co#te#tio# re"ardi#" 5$rmaJs alle"ed #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. O# No%ember 11' as the world !oc$sed o# the release o! A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' a .ro.$blica/.5* report cited Olli Fei#o#e#' the !ormer dep$t& director o! the -A+A a#d o#eAtime collea"$e o! 6elle&Js' who said that the e%ide#ce pro%ided i# the /35 report is i#co#cl$si%e. KThere is #o o#e si#"le piece which p$ts &o$r mi#d at rest telli#" that this is solel& !or #$clear p$rposes a#d !or #othi#" else'K said Fei#o#e#. This report !ollows a ($#e 2) critiC$e o! the /35 report p$blished b& the -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& <-*-*=' at the reC$est o! 9.*. *e#ator (im Eebb' who ad%ocates e#"a"eme#t with the militar& D$#ta i# 5$rma. -# his e#s$i#" letter to *e#ator Eebb' -*-* /irector /a%id Albri"ht dismisses /35 as ha%i#" Ka stro#" a"e#daK a#d later s$""ested that 6elle& ass$med that 5$rma is attempti#" to make #$clear weapo#s a#d the# looked at Ei#Js pict$res Ki# a biased wa& ascribi#" #$clear p$rposes to them'K accordi#" to a report o# the .ro.$blica website. .ro.$blica is a 9.*.Abased i#%esti"ati%e #ews or"a#i;atio#' a#d wi##er o! a .$lit;er .ri;e i# 2010 !or work o# the a!termath o! F$rrica#e 6atri#a b& Do$r#alist *heri 0i#k. Accordi#" to the .ro.$blica article' which is li#ked to the -*-* pa"e !oc$si#" o# 5$rma' Ka# e ami#atio# b& .ro.$blica a#d the .5* pro"ram KNeed to 6#owK has !o$#d that the C$estio# o! 5$rmaJs #$clear ambitio#s is m$ch less settled tha# 6elle& co#te#ds.K 6elle& sa&s that .ro.$blica approached him two weeks a!ter the /35 report came o$t' sa&i#" that the& had Ktheir ow# i#!ormatio# that the& said s$pported o$r assessme#t o! a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram i# 5$rma.K Accordi#" to 6elle&' KThe& pro%ided two separate 5$rmese de!ector debrie!i#"s o! their ow# that did speci!icall& talk abo$t a 5$rmese #$clear weapo#s pro"ram a#d pro%ided details that s$pported o$r mai# so$rce' s$ch as trai#i#" i# 4oscow $#i%ersities.K 6elle& was i#ter%iewed b& .ro.$blica i# ($#e' b$t its o!!er to take him to Thaila#d to meet the two other de!ectors #e%er came to !r$itio#' he sa&s.
6elle& has poi#ted o$t o# the .ro.$blica website that Fei#o#e# misread his report !or /35' a#d sa&s that be!ore the /35 report was broadcast' KAlbri"ht decli#ed to e%e# look at the i#!ormatio# whe# - o!!ered to share it with him whe# it was bra#d #ew a#d collaborate o# a Doi#t a#al&sis.K2ater' Albri"ht told Eebb i# his letter that Kthe sta#dards o! a#al&sis i# the rece#t reports re"ardi#" the co#cl$sio# that there e ists a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram i# 4&a#mar were #ot %er& hi"h.K 6elle& sa&s that he is comi#" $#der a lot o! press$re to back awa& !rom his assessme#t that 5$rma is worki#" o# a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. Fowe%er' the latest re%elatio#s abo$t North 6orea mi"ht prompt some additio#al co#cer# abo$t what mi"ht be taki#" place i# 5$rma' e%e# i! the hearsa& so !ar abo$t direct #$clear cooperatio# is Ktoo weak to cite'K i# 6elle&Js words. Fowe%er' there is ample e%ide#ce o! ballistic missile a#d other co#%e#tio#al militar& cooperatio# betwee# the two co$#tries. 6elle& war#s Kthat we sho$ld #ot $#derestimate 5$rma' especiall& i! the& "et o$tside help.K *peaki#" at Thaila#dJs 0orei"# ,orrespo#de#ts ,l$b rece#tl&' prior to the weeke#d re%elatio#s abo$t North 6orea' 6elle& said o! 5$rmaJs alle"ed #$clear weapo#s pro"ram' KThere is #o threat tomorrow' $#less the /.R6' which has bee# helpi#"' decides to do more' or .akista#' which has bee# selli#" #$clear secrets to a#&o#e who will b$&' decides to help.K -# a report p$blished b& -*-* i# (a#$ar&' which 6elle& a#d Albri"ht coAa$thored' the& said' KThere remai# le"itimate reaso#s to s$spect the e iste#ce o! $#declared #$clear acti%ities i# 5$rma' partic$larl& i# the co#te t o! North 6orea# cooperatio#.K .ro.$blica reported that the Norwa&Abased or"a#i;atio# is Ka leadi#" oppositio# "ro$p'K rather tha# a credible media o$tlet i# its ow# ri"ht. Fowe%er' accordi#" to a spokesperso# !or Reporters *a#s 0ro#tiers <R*0=' KTo be impartial is prett& hard !or media'K b$t added that Ko! co$rse' some o! the e iled media ha%e clearl& a sta#d i# !a%or o! the proAdemocrac& mo%eme#t.K .re%e#ted !rom operati#" commerciall& i# their #at$ral market' 5$rmese e ile media "ro$ps s$ch as /35 a#d The -rrawadd& are !$#ded b& a combi#atio# o! phila#thropic or"a#i;atio#s' do#or "o%er#me#ts a#d a"e#cies' as well as commercial media sales. -# the e&es o! R*0' KThe !act that Ie iled 5$rmese mediaM are !$#ded b& some i#ter#atio#al do#ors is #ot reall& impacti#" their editorial li#e.K .ro.$blica itsel! is !$#ded b& a #$mber o! phila#thropies' i#cl$di#" the *a#dler 0o$#datio#' The 0ord 0o$#datio# a#d the 5ill a#d 4eli#da Gates 0o$#datio#' amo#" others. 5$rma is re"arded as o#e o! the least !ree media e#%iro#me#ts i# the world' with a histor& o! imposi#" le#"th& Dail terms o# reporters ca$"ht shari#" i#!ormatio# with !orei"# or e ile media' i#cl$di#" /35 reporters. The e ile media works closel& with cla#desti#e Do$r#alists i#side 5$rma' seeki#" to brid"e the i#!ormatio# a#d #ews "ap i# the abse#ce o! 5$rmese alter#ati%es that ca# operate witho$t bei#" c$rbed b& the D$#taJs ce#sors. Ni#e #ews Do$r#als i# Ra#"oo# were s$spe#ded o# 4o#da& !or co%era"e o! the release o! A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' while !orei"# Do$r#alists were barred !rom e#teri#" the co$#tr& to co%er the No%ember 7 electio#s. Amid widespread %oter apath& a#d alle"atio#s o! !orced %oti#"' ad%a#ce %oti#" a#d ballot st$!!i#"' the re"ime pro & part& took 78 perce#t o! the %ote. 5e!ore the electio#' KproAe#"a"eme#tK %oices propa"ated the %iew that the electio#s wo$ld ope# $p some !orm o! democratic space i# 5$rma' e%e# i! the& wo$ld #ot be !ree a#d !air. This article was ori"i#all& p$blished b& The -rrawadd&: www.irrawadd&.or"/.
http://www.d%b.#o/#ews/e pertsAdebateA#$clearAi#te#tio#s/1:011
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`1)8:8
Nuclear Confusion
5& *-4ON RO9GFN++N Eed#esda&' October 27' 2010 uclear scientist and former director of the #nternational Atomic -nergy Agency .#A-A/ 0r. +obert -. !elley hit the headlines earlier this year when he wrote a report claiming that Burma1s military ,unta was mining uranium and working toward developing a nuclear reactor. *is report was commissioned by the exile Burmese news agency 0emocratic 2oice of Burma .02B/" which was" in turn" shortlisted for this year1s obel Peace Pri3e. !elley recently spoke to The #rrawaddy1s $imon +oughneen about the alleged nuclear weapons program" and said that despite the claims in his report there has been little or no international effort to investigate. *e said he believes that the Association for $outheast Asian ations .Asean/ should be at the forefront of efforts to address the nuclear weapons issue. N$estio#: Remi#d $s o! the co#te#t o! the doc$me#tatio# that &o$ re%iewed as part o! the /35 e posf o! the 5$rmese militar& D$#taJs alle"ed #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. ,a# &o$ tell $s the si"#i!ica#ce a#d implicatio#s o! this materialO A#swer: 0irstl&' the Dar"o# a#d terms that people were $si#" were remi#isce#t o! i#sider k#owled"e' #ot D$st "e#eral me#tio#s o! ?a #$clear pro"ram i# 5$rma.@ - "ot a cha#ce to i#ter%iew the de!ector so$rce' *ai Ei#' whe# he came o$t' a#d the photos he bro$"ht o$t were o! pieces o! chemical processi#" eC$ipme#t at the !actories he worked i#. - reco"#i;ed o#e o! those obDects as a bomb reactor' which is a %er& stro#" steel %essel !or prod$ci#" metal a#d chloride compo$#ds' $s$all& $ra#i$m or pl$to#i$m. Ehat - !o$#d was a set o! photos showi#" $ra#i$m compo$#ds !or $se i# a #$clear pro"ram' either !or !$el i# a #$clear reactor or metal parts i# a #$clear bomb. - did#Jt see m$ch other p$rpose !or those thi#"s' or !or keepi#" it all secret' !or doi#" it i# militar& !actories or !or l&i#" to the Germa#s i#specti#" those !actoriesV$#less it were !or a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. N: Fa%e a#& si"#i!ica#t $pdates or #ew i#!ormatio# come to li"ht si#ce the /35 report came o$t i# ($#eO A: .robabl& the most i#si"ht -B%e "ot is that - ha%e tried to $#dersta#d the or"a#i;atio# that lies behi#d the pro"ramVwho has the mo#e&' who calls the shots. - $#dersta#d that a little better #ow. There is a co#!$si#" di%isio# betwee# the arm& a#d the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&. That has led to a slowdow# i# the pro"ram' - thi#kH b$t i# the lo#" term' the wi##er o! that power str$""le co$ld take co#trol o! the pro"ram a#d reall& dri%e it o#. N: Ee are i# 5a#"kok #ow. O#e o! the ?weapo#s@ i# the #o#Aproli!eratio# ?arse#al'@ !or wa#t o! better words' is the 5a#"kok Treat&' Fow ca# that be $sed to pre%e#t or preempt a#& #$clear weapo#s pro"ramO Or' what ca# or sho$ld the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& be doi#" i# respo#se to what mi"ht be taki#" place i#side 5$rmaO A: There are three classes o! or"a#i;atio#s that co$ld deal with this. 0irstl&' the -A+A has two obsolete a"reeme#ts with 5$rma' which most co$#tries that ha%e #othi#" to hide ha%e $pdatedVthe *mall N$a#tities .rotocol I*N.M a#d the Additio#al .rotocol. The -A+A wo$ld ha%e to be#e!it !rom hea%&wei"ht diplomatic s$pport to "et back i#to 5$rma' which is %er& hard to do. The *N. has bee# ame#ded i# ma#& co$#tries a#d $pdated' b$t 5$rma re!$ses to e#"a"e o# this. *eco#dl&' there are so%erei"# states who ma& wa#t to D$mp i#' b$t these ha%e iss$es i# -raC a#d A!"ha#ista#' a#d ma& #ot wa#t to "et i#%ol%ed. The third part& that co$ld address this is Asea#. -t is their #ei"hborhood' their problem' their treat& that is bei#" %iolated' so ma&be with e%er&o#e else b$s& with other iss$es it sho$ld be dow# to Asea# to address this.
N: Go$ ha%e said that the 5$rma pro"ram' !rom what &o$ ca# see' is limited a#d $#sophisticated i# terms o! its tech#ical scope. /oes this mea# that a more ca$tio$s approach is #eeded i# addressi#" or assessi#" whether or #ot 5$rma reall& is b$ildi#" a #$clear bombO A: There is #o threat tomorrow' $#less the /.R6 INorth 6oreaM' which has bee# helpi#"' decides to do more. Or .akista#' which has bee# selli#" #$clear secrets to a#&o#e who will b$&' decides to help. There is the cha#ce that there is more to this tha# meets the e&e' as what - ca# a#al&;e is based o#l& o# the i#!ormatio# a#d doc$me#tatio# that - ha%e see#. There ma& be other work taki#" place elsewhere i# the co$#tr& that we do #ot k#ow abo$t' a#d that the so$rce *ai Ei# does #ot k#ow abo$tVother parts o! the "o%er#me#t str$ct$re. N: Ehat does it mea# !or the i#ter#atio#al #o#Aproli!eratio# s&stem i! this is #ot addressed or dealt withO A: /o we i#te#d to e#!orce the #o# proli!eratio# treat&Ve%erO Or do we D$st sit a#d sa& someo#e else has "ot the best o! $s' a#d ma&be we will stop them #e t timeO 0or me' the #e t time is this time. The -A+A has alread& bee# p$shed o$t o! the "ame !or #ow' a#d there!ore - thi#k' it is Asea#Js problem. This is the time to show that &o$ ha%e to will to sol%e a problem that &o$ ha%e disco%ered' a#d #ip a problem i# the b$d. N: *i#ce the report came o$t' is a#&thi#" act$all& happe#i#" to i#%esti"ate whether 5$rma is $#dertaki#" a #$clear weapo#s pro"ramO A: O#e o! the problems here is that the or"a#i;atio#s i#%ol%ed i# this work do #ot t&picall& sa& what the& are doi#". 5$rma has told the -A+A three times that there is #othi#" to i#%esti"ate. To the best o! m& k#owled"e' there has #ot bee# a lot o! !ollowA$pV!rom the e#tities or a"e#cies that o#e wo$ld e pect to be i#%ol%edVo# the material or with the so$rces that e posed what ma& be "oi#" o# i# 5$rma with re"ard to a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/opi#io#Rstor&.phpOartRid`1)8:4
5$t whe# is the ri"ht timeO Ehe# it is too lateO Ehat tools will the world $se the#O *a#ctio#sO 5ombsO These are ke& C$estio#s. -#telli"e#ce a#al&sis has do#e its Dob: itJs ide#ti!ied the parts o! a pote#tial smoki#" "$#. Now is the time to act. 5$rma has bee# ca$"ht earlier a#d more completel& tha# a#& other wo$ldAbe proli!erator. -tJs a"ai#st s$ch risks that the N.T a#d its s&stem o! sa!e"$ards was established. -ts compleme#t' the 5a#"kok Treat&' establishi#" a N$clear Eeapo#s 0ree Lo#e e#compassi#" Asea# states' is a !$rther b$ttress a"ai#st proli!eratio#. -! we !ail to act i# a timel& ma##er to respo#d to this poorl& e ec$ted b$t ob%io$s threat' we re#der mea#i#"less the N.T a#d the te#ets o! the 5a#"kok Treat&. -t is time to i#%oke Articles 12 a#d 1: o! the Treat& that allow the "ro$p to be"i# a# i#%esti"atio# o! these assertio#s a#d !orce 5$rma to come clea#. ,iti;e#s o! this pop$lo$s re"io# ma& #ot !eel threate#ed toda& or #e t &ear' b$t the& will #e%er k#ow whe# the& ca# !eel sa!e witho$t resol$tio# o! this iss$e. Robert 6elle& is a rece#tl& retired director o! the -A+A i# #$clear #o#Aproli!eratio# e!!orts. This article appears o# Thaila#dJs +#"lishAla#"$a"e #ewspaper The Natio# o# October 28.
http://www.spacewar.com/a!p/10102704:)0).b4)%7c;2.html
http://www.iiss.or"/p$blicatio#s/s$r%i%al/s$r%i%alA2010/&earA2010Aiss$eA1/m&a#marsA#$clearAambitio#s/
http://www.i#dia#de!e#cere%iew.com/-/RA9pdates/4&a#marA"oi#"AN$clear.html
-t is belie%ed that these secret dele"atio#s !rom 4&a#mar to North 6orea had "o#e to seek !$rther cooperatio# as part o! the t$##eli#" proDect alread& $#derwa& i# a mo$#tai# comple <*etkha&a 4o$#tai#s= i# Na$#" 2ai#" %illa"e i# so$th east o! .&i# Oo 2wi# i# 4a#dala& /i%isio#. The o!!Aloadi#" o! a special co#str$ctio# material b& North 6orea# ships o# se%eral occasio#s partiall& %i#dicates the belie!. There are ima"es a%ailable to s$""est e tremel& lar"e #etwork o! t$##els <some 800 i# #$mbers= bei#" e ca%ated' appare#tl& with the help o! North 6orea. The North 6orea# assista#ce is corroborated b& the !act that 4&a#mar does #ot ha%e t$##eli#" capabilit&. 4ea#while' 9ra#i$m is also bei#" acti%ated i# at least te# locatio#s. -t ma& be perti#e#t to me#tio# that the 6achi# state o! 4&a#mar is rich i# 9ra#i$m' which reportedl& i# the past was bei#" cla#desti#el& e ca%ated b& (apa# with the tacit i#d$l"e#ce o! re"io#al leaders d$ri#" the period whe# the state was %irt$all& o$t o! co#trol o! the ce#tral a$thorit&. The desi"# o! the reactor at Na$#" 2ai#"' as so$rces re%eal' $ses water to pro%ide carbo# dio ide $sed i# the cooli#" loop' a#d bears resembla#ce with the reactor at Go#"b&o# a#d the reactor i# *&ria' bei#" co#str$cted alle"edl& b& North 6orea# assista#ce' which was e%e#t$all& bombed b& the -sraelis i# *eptember 2007. There are other i#dicatio#s with re"ard to 4&a#marBs C$est !or #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"&. *oo# a!ter .akista# carried o$t its #$clear tests i# 4a& 1))8' 4&a#marBs Fead o! *tate' *e#ior Ge#eral Tha# *hwe si"#ed the Atomic +#er"& 2aw o# 08 ($#e 1))8. The timi#" o! this e%e#t clearl& re%eals a strate"ic p$rs$it with re"ard to #$clear tech#olo"& rather tha# a#& be#i"# desi"#s o! C$est !or #$clear e#er"& !or peace!$l p$rposes. -mporta#tl&' post )/11' two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists' *$leima# Asad a#d 4ohammad Ali 4$khtar took re!$"e i# 4&a#mar i# No%ember 2001 whe# the 9* i#telli"e#ce be"a# to i#%esti"ate the #e $s betwee# .akista#i #$clear scie#tists a#d the AlAN$aeda. This co$ld #ot ha%e bee# possible witho$t i#timate #$clear cooperatio# betwee# the two co$#tries' certai#l& with the tacit appro%al o! ,hi#a. The whereabo$ts o! these two scie#tists is still $#k#ow#. -t was alle"ed earlier that the& were sheltered i# the 4$slim domi#ated area o! 4a#dala& b& the 4&a#mar a$thorities. There is #ot a word abo$t them !rom the .akista# a$thorities a#d e%e# the 9* has become !laccid i# its h$#t !or them.
The militar& "o%er#me#t established a /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& i# 2001 $#der 9 Tha$#"' a k#ow# propo#e#t o! #$clear tech#olo"& who c$rre#tl& heads the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&. Fe made a secret %isit to .akista#' the chie! a"e#da bei#" #$clear cooperatio#. /$ri#" the same period' i# 2001' three .akista#i Na%al %essels' i.e. a s$bmari#e' a ta#ker a#d a destro&er %isited Ga#"o# port. This was a# $#precede#ted de%elopme#t' si#ce till the#' 4&a#mar had stead!astl& mai#tai#ed that it wo$ld #ot permit !orei"# #a%al %essels to %isit the co$#tr&Bs ports. The "oodwill %isit b& the .akista# Na%al ships was immediatel& !ollowed b& the %isit o! Ge#eral .ar%e; 4$sharra!' the the# ,hie! + ec$ti%e o! .akista#. The 4&a#mar a$thorities' which met Ge#eral 4$sharra! also i#cl$ded 9 Tha$#". There has bee# a !resh impet$s i# de!e#ce cooperatio# betwee# .akista# a#d 4&a#mar si#ce the &ear 2000. 4&a#mar has bee# soliciti#" .akista#Bs assista#ce i# some %er& ke& areas like setti#" $p o! a# airAde!e#ce #etwork' $p"radatio# o! air!ields' a#d establishme#t o! the 9#i%ersit& o! Aero#a$tical a#d *pace +d$catio# <4eiktila=. 4&a#mar has also so$"ht .akista#Bs assista#ce i# carto"raphic s$r%e& a#d mappi#". Gi%e# ,hi#ese strate"ic se#siti%ities with re"ard to 4&a#mar' s$ch "rowi#" bo#homie betwee# .akista# a#d 4&a#mar ca##ot be possible witho$t ,hi#ese proddi#" a#d s$pport. -t was also d$ri#" this period that R$ssia' at 4&a#marBs reC$est' a##o$#ced its i#te#tio# to b$ild a research reactor i# 4&a#mar. -# 2002' 4&a#marBs dep$t& !orei"# mi#ister' 6hi# 4a$#" Ei#' a##o$#ced that 4&a#mar had decided to b$ild a #$clear research reactor !or prod$ci#" radioAisotopes !or medical p$rposes. -t ma& be reiterated that the healthAcare !acilities i# 4&a#mar are o! ab&smal sta#dards a#d there are %er& !ew hospitals eC$ipped a#d trai#ed to ha#dle radioAisotopes. The a"reeme#t with R$ssia !or setti#" $p a 10 me"awatt reactor #ear 4a"we i# 4&a#mar was si"#ed o#l& i# 4a& 2007 d$e to !i#a#cial di!!ic$lties. Ne%ertheless' h$#dreds o! militar& perso##el had bee# se#t to R$ssia betwee# the &ear 2001 a#d 2007 !or trai#i#" i# #$clear scie#ce a#d tech#olo"&. -# some i#sta#ces' their trai#i#" d$ratio# was e te#ded as the R$ssia# i#str$ctors !o$#d a si"#i!ica#t #$mber o! perso##el witho$t the reC$isite basic k#owled"e a#d bei#" slow o# the $ptake. Th$s' 4&a#mar i# the last decade or so has bee# able to create a pool o! perso##el trai#ed i# har#essi#" #$clear tech#olo"& !or ci%il applicatio#. O# the !lip side' a#d b& co#scio$s desi"#' the& were also "ro$#ded i# the basic k#owled"e o! #$clear tech#olo"&' which is bei#" ho#ed a#d $tili;ed !or #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t pro"rammes. *o$rces' howe%er' mai#tai# that 4&a#marBs tech#olo"ical ma#power reso$rces despite all the e!!orts are still #ot compete#t e#o$"h to ha#dle #$clear !acilities or pro"rammes. There!ore' 4&a#mar has adopted a two pro#"ed strate"& !or de%elopme#t o! its #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme. The setti#" $p o! the 10 me"awatt reactor b& R$ssia is a parallel %e#t$re to act as a r$se !or #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t acti%ities with the acti%e collaboratio# o! North 6orea. Altho$"h 4&a#mar is si"#ator& to the N$clear .roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T=' it is &et to a"ree to the Additio#al .rotocol' which allows the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= to co#d$ct more i#tr$si%e mo#itori#" o! #$clear !acilities a#d operatio#s. -# 4a& 2007' the 9* *tate /epartme#t spokesma#' 4r Tom ,ase&' said that the 9* had a ?"e#eral se#se@' that 5$rma had ?#either the re"$lator& or le"al !rame #or sa!e"$ard pro%isio#s@ !or a co$#tr& to be able to ha#dle s$ch a pro"ramme. Fe e pressed the apprehe#sio# that there were ?#o acco$#ti#" mecha#isms or other ki#ds o! sec$rit& proced$res@ to pre%e#t #$clear !$el !rom bei#" stole#. Fe added: ?Ee wo$ld be co#cer#ed abo$t the possibilit& !or accide#ts' !or e#%iro#me#tal dama"e' or !or proli!eratio# simpl& b& the possibilit& o! !$el bei#" di%erted' stole# or otherwise remo%ed.@ 0ollowi#" the res$mptio# o! diplomatic relatio#s betwee# 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea' 4&a#marBs 4ilitar& ($#ta permitted North 6orea# tra#sport pla#es "oi#" to .akista# a#d -ra# to reA!$el i# the Ga#"o# airport. The cla#desti#e cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d -ra# i# the !ield o! #$clear weapo#s a#d missile tech#olo"& is well k#ow#. /e!ectors !rom 4&a#mar alle"e that the ($#ta has se#t $ra#i$m deposits !rom its mi#es to -ra#' as also R$ssia' !or e%al$atio#.
The #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme that 4&a#mar embarked o# a decade a"o characteri;es the coalesci#" o! its strate"ic imperati%es with a# i#d$l"e#t ,hi#a. The i#%ol%eme#t o! North 6orea' .akista# a#d to a# e te#t -ra#' !or !$rthera#ce o! ,hi#aBs re"io#al a#d "lobal a"e#da is i# keepi#" with their stat$s as pro & powers o! the latter. 4&a#marBs determi#ed bid to acC$ire #$clear capabilit& is Q#ot -#diaAce#tricB. -t does #ot percei%e a#& threat !rom -#dia' which is appare#t !rom the deplo&me#t patter# o! its militar&. 0$rther' it has #o !i ed de!e#ces alo#" the 148: km lo#" -#doA4&a#mar border' which is lar"el& $#disp$ted. -# !act' 4&a#mar clearl& desisted !rom de#o$#ci#" the -#dia# #$clear tests i# 4a& 1))8. 4&a#mar is p$rs$i#" the #$clear co$rse !or the %er& s$r%i%abilit& o! the militar& re"ime. -# that it is probabl& "$ided b& the North 6orea# e ample. The militar& re"ime i# 4&a#mar has also bee# circ$mspect abo$t t$r#i#" i#to a %assal state o! ,hi#a. Fowe%er' the re"imeBs s$r%i%al comp$lsio#s ha%e o$twei"hed other co#sideratio#s' which ,hi#a has bee# r$thlessl& e ploiti#". -#ter#atio#all&' the isolatio# o! 4&a#mar has re#dered it i#to a desperate political a#d eco#omic sit$atio#. There!ore' the #$clear capabilit& i# the pla$sible recko#i#" o! the 4ilitar& ($#ta will i#%est it with the m$ch #eeded diplomatic ma#e$%er space i# the i#ter#atio#al are#a' i# the abse#ce o! which 4&a#mar has #o o#e to t$r# to' e cept ,hi#a. -#deed' it is the i#ter#atio#al isolatio# o! 4&a#mar i# the )0s that compelled it to become beholde# o! ,hi#a. Ne%ertheless' ,hi#aBs patro#a"e a#d e%e# its admissio# i#to the A*+AN as a !$ll member ha%e #ot miti"ated its political a#d eco#omic problems. The wester# world co#ti#$es to %iew the 4&a#mar re"ime as totalitaria#' repressi%e a#d re"ressi%e. The militar& dispe#satio# i# 4&a#mar' %er& m$ch like the re"ime i# North 6orea is para#oid abo$t bei#" dislod"ed b& i#ter%e#tio#' militar& or otherwise' b& the 9* a#d its allies. The #$clear weapo#s capabilit&' the 4&a#mar re"ime co#te#ds will strate"icall& i#s$late it a"ai#st a#& s$ch desi"#. 0or ,hi#a' a #$clear armed 4&a#mar will !$rther bolster its strate"ic e#circleme#t o! -#dia' the maDor challe#"e to its re"io#al s$premac&. -# the "lobal co#te t' pro & #$clear states ser%e as rob$st strate"ic paw#s i# the pre%aili#" $#iApolar i#ter#atio#al order. 4&a#marBs #$clear power stat$s will ha%e serio$s rami!icatio#s !or the A*+AN. 5esides dri%i#" the wed"e i# the "ro$pi#"' it will act as a co$#terpoise to the A*+AN co$#tries co#sidered close to the 9*. -t ma& be me#tio#ed that all members o! the A*+AN si"#ed the *o$th +ast Asia# N$clear Eeapo#s 0ree Lo#e Treat&' which came i#to !orce i# 1))7. The most dist$rbi#" part o! 4&a#marBs #$clear pro"ramme is the ,hi#aANorth 6oreaA4&a#marA.akista#A-ra# a is. *ome a#al&sts recko# that it is the part that 4&a#marBs #$clear pro"ramme is #ot e#tirel& o! its ow# %olitio#' b$t is a strate"ic ma#e$%er b& ,hi#a a#d its pro ies. The& mai#tai# that the lar"e #$mber o! t$##els bei#" do#e i# 4&a#mar is to store #$clear material o! these co$#tries $#der the i#ter#atio#al sca##er. 4&a#mar bei#" a# isolated a#d closed co$#tr& is ideal !or the p$rpose. -# other words' 4&a#mar ma& be becomi#" a #$clear h$b o! all #$clear pariah states $#der the leadership o! ,hi#a. About the author R*N *i#"h' Associate +ditor -/R a#d a$thor o! the book Asia# *trate"ic a#d 4ilitar& .erspecti%e a#d The 4ilitar& 0actor i# .akista#. Fis latest book is The 9#maki#" o! Nepal.
http://theb$lleti#.or"/webAeditio#/!eat$res/#orthAkoreaAa#dAm&a#marAmatchA#$clearAproli!eratio#
-s 4&a#mar de%elopi#" #$clear weapo#s' perhaps with the help o! North 6oreaO That worrisome possibilit&' prompted b& 4&a#marJs receipt o! d$alA$se tech#olo"& %ia a# ille"al North 6orea# proc$reme#t #etwork' has "ar#ered co#siderable spec$latio#. ,ompelli#" e%ide#ce amassed i# reports p$blished this &ear b& the -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& <-*-*=' the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma </35=' (a#eJs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' a#d Al (a;eera i#dicates that' as the -*-* report p$t it' KThere remai# so$#d reaso#s to s$spect that the militar& re"ime i# 5$rma I4&a#marM mi"ht be p$rs$i#" a lo#"Aterm strate"& to make #$clear weapo#s.K 1 The possible e iste#ce o! s$ch a pro"ram ca##ot a#d sho$ld #ot be disco$#ted' b$t it is !ar !rom the o#l& e pla#atio# that ca# acco$#t !or 4&a#marJs $#$s$al imports. The d$alA$se tech#olo"& se#t to 4&a#mar AA i#cl$di#" a c&li#drical "ri#der a#d ma"#etometer AA are co#siderabl& be&o#d the co$#tr&Js c$rre#t tech#ical capabilities' accordi#" to the /35 report. *$ch sophisticated de%ices' which co$ld be $sed to prod$ce #$clearA or missileArelated parts' ma& poi#t to a wellApla##ed' lo#"Aterm #$clear weapo#s pro"ram' perhaps assisted b& North 6orea. Fowe%er' alter#ate e pla#atio#s also warra#t co#sideratio# to better $#dersta#d the #at$re o! /.R6A4&a#mar trade i# s$ch tech#olo"ies. .la$sible alter#ati%e sce#arios i#cl$de the $se o! 4&a#mar as a tra#sshipme#t h$b !or items $ltimatel& desti#ed !or North 6orea' a# e%ol%i#" co#%e#tio#al missile pro"ram' proc$reme#t errors or other pla##i#" missteps' or some combi#atio# o! these possibilities. Myanmar as a transshipment hub8 -# late 200)' the Gokohama /istrict ,o$rt i# (apa# !o$#d the preside#t o! Toko 5oeki <a small Tok&oAbased tradi#" compa#&= "$ilt& o! coordi#ati#" ille"al E4/Arelated e ports to 4&a#mar.2 -#%esti"ators determi#ed that Toko 5oeki had acC$ired c&li#drical "ri#ders a#d a ma"#etometer at the behest o! New +ast -#ter#atio#al ,ompa#&' a North 6orea# !ro#t compa#& based i# Fo#" 6o#". : Altho$"h New +ast -#ter#atio#al directed Toko 5oeki to deli%er the eC$ipme#t to 4&a#mar' it is possible that the de%ices were #ot i#te#ded to remai# thereH 4&a#mar ma& ha%e bee# a tra#s!er poi#t be!ore the "oods were shipped to a#other locatio# AA perhaps e%e# North 6orea. -#deed' 4&a#mar has disti#ct ad%a#ta"es to North 6orea# proc$reme#t #etworks that wa#t to circ$m%e#t sa#ctio#s a#d ille"all& di%ert d$alA$se eC$ipme#t to .&o#"&a#". <*ee +ditorJs Note.= Altho$"h it is also s$bDect to sa#ctio#s' 4&a#mar is #ot as isolated as North 6orea' a#d le"itimate shipme#ts ori"i#ati#" !rom (apa#' !or e ample' ca# pro%ide s$itable co%er !or E4/Arelated deli%eries. -# additio#' 4&a#marJs !lo$rishi#" ille"al trade #etworks AA i#cl$di#" dr$" a#d h$ma# tra!!icki#" AA represe#t a !amiliarit& with the ki#d o! k#owled"e reC$ired to co%ertl& tra#sship deli%eries to co$#tries with more ad%a#ced
E4/ pro"rams <s$ch as North 6orea=. The rampa#t corr$ptio# associated with the militar& re"ime !$rther e#ables illicit trade. The re%i%al o! diplomatic a#d militar& relatio#ships betwee# 4&a#marJs r$li#" D$#ta a#d .&o#"&a#" is a#other reaso# to co#sider whether North 6orea' a#d #ot 4&a#mar' ma& ha%e bee# the !i#al desti#atio# !or the d$alA$se eC$ipme#t.4 ,hartered or diplomatic air tra#sport' #ecessar& to !err& o!!icials betwee# capitals' is less s$sceptible to i#terdictio#' o!!eri#" a# ideal co#d$it !or the tra#s!er o! some t&pes o! d$alA$se eC$ipme#t !rom 4&a#mar to North 6orea. A 9N pa#el o! e perts o# Resol$tio# 1874 <which stre#"the#ed sa#ctio#s o# North 6orea a!ter its seco#d #$clear test= hi"hli"hted s$ch a sce#ario i# a 4a& 2010 report ./0' s$""esti#" that .&o#"&a#" ma& t$r# to illicit air car"o shipme#ts as a pre!erred mode o! tra#sport !or its ille"al trade. A con7entional missile program8 4&a#mar ma& be a# ideal tra#sshipme#t h$b' b$t reports !rom -*-* a#d /35 i#dicate that d$alA$se machi#e tools !rom (apa# a#d +$rope are #ot simpl& bei#" stored i# 4&a#mar' b$t also $sed there. This co$ld i#dicate that the de%ices ma& act$all& be i#te#ded !or $se i# 4&a#marJs i#di"e#o$s missile pro"ram. Altho$"h 4&a#marJs o%erall tech#olo"ical de%elopme#t appears limited i# compariso# with North 6orea' the maDorit& o! the C$estio#able d$alA$se items recei%ed b& 4&a#mar ma& tr$l& be !or its ow# missile de%elopme#t e!!ort. AcC$isitio# o! co#%e#tio#all& armed shortA a#d medi$mAra#"e ballistic missiles wo$ld pro%ide the D$#ta with a si"#i!ica#t strate"ic ad%a#ta"e o%er re"io#al a#d domestic ri%als' a#d shortAra#"e missiles co$ld be $se!$l to !i"ht i#s$r"e#t "ro$ps that challe#"e the D$#taJs a$thorit&. 1 0$rther' 4&a#marJs de!e#se i#d$str& alread& prod$ces artiller& a#d mobile rocket la$#chers' a#d the co$#tr& reportedl& has spe#t more tha# a decade impro%i#" its missile prod$ctio# capabilities. 8 This practical e perie#ce co$ld !acilitate 4&a#marJs e%e#t$al creatio# o! lar"er missiles' s$ch as *carabs or earl& *c$d deri%ati%es. 4&a#mar ca##ot &et prod$ce these missiles' b$t the eC$ipme#t ide#ti!ied i# the Toko 5oeki case a#d i# the /35 report co$ld be $sed to help it de%elop more ad%a#ced missile desi"#s. Alternati7e scenarios8 -t is also possible that' a!ter some o! the C$estio#able d$alA$se eC$ipme#t had alread& bee# recei%ed' a North 6oreaA4&a#mar proli!eratio# relatio#ship !ell i#to disarra& d$e to the e#ormo$s comple it& that pla"$es all E4/ pro"rams. .a&me#t disp$tes <similar to those [http5$$###*carne!ieendo#ment*or!$static$npp$pd"$myanmar=reprint*pd"] that held $p 4&a#marJs #e"otiatio#s with R$ssia !or a 10 me"awatt research reactor= co$ld be o#e ca$se. 7 4&a#marJs acC$isitio# o! eC$ipme#t be&o#d its tech#ical capabilities co$ld also be e plai#ed b& a proc$reme#t error or a# o%erestimatio# o! i#di"e#o$s k#owAhow' as the /35 report ack#owled"es. -# 2002' 4&a#mar e pressed i#terest i# b$&i#" a mi#iA s$bmari#e !rom .&o#"&a#"' accordi#" to (a#eJs' b$t aba#do#ed the idea d$e i# part to its lack o! e pertise. 8 The tra#s!er o! s$ch ad%a#ced eC$ipme#t co$ld also be a# e ample o! a""ressi%e sales o! $#s$itable tech#olo"& to a #ao%e D$#ta' similar to Geo!!re& 0orde#Js s$""estio# that North 6orea has bee# selli#" s$bpar missile tech#olo"& to states i# the 4iddle +ast. -t is also pla$sible that a core "ro$p o! scie#tists has the ear o! the D$#ta AA as well as its !$#di#" AA a#d ma& ha%e o%erApromised deli%erables. These scie#tists mi"ht i#cl$de 9 Tha$#"' the proA#$clear e#er"& mi#ister o! scie#ce a#d tech#olo"&' a#d 6o 6o Oo' who is director "e#eral o! the /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& a#d !ormer director o! the /epartme#t o! Tech#ical a#d 3ocatio#al +d$catio# </T3+=. The two departme#ts shared the same address' pho#e #$mber' a#d !a #$mber $#til 4&a#marJs capital was mo%ed to Na&pid&aw' a#d the /T3+ is a# e#dA$ser o! some o! the C$estio#able d$alA$se eC$ipme#t that 4&a#mar has acC$ired' accordi#" to -*-*. ) A#other possible sce#ario is that 4&a#mar co$ld be Kwareho$si#"K de%ices !or North 6orea $#der a barter a"reeme#t that allows 4&a#mar to trai# perso##el o# the d$alA$se eC$ipme#t <a#d thereb& "ai# %al$able ha#dsA o# e perie#ce with the de%ices= be!ore it is $ltimatel& mo%ed to North 6orea. -t is possible that 4&a#mar ma& e%e# be %iewed as a# o!!shore prod$ctio# h$b !or tra#s!er o! items to North 6orea or other i#terested parties.
*a#ctio#s make it #earl& impossible !or .&o#"&a#" to acC$ire co#trolled' tech#icall& ad%a#ced eC$ipme#t that reC$ires i#stallatio# a#d mai#te#a#ce b& !orei"# tech#icia#sH North 6orea a#d 4&a#mar ma& ha%e there!ore collaborated to p$rchase the eC$ipme#t' i#stall it i# 4&a#mar' a#d $se the machi#es to prod$ce ad%a#ced missile or #$clear parts that co$ld the# be more easil& ro$ted %ia air car"o to North 6orea <or elsewhere=. Conclusion8 The possibilit& that 4&a#mar is p$rs$i#" a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram is D$st o#e o! ma#& pote#tial e pla#atio#s !or its importatio# o! tech#olo"icall& ad%a#ced d$alA$se items. The alarmi#" prospect o! a #$clearA armed 4&a#mar ca##ot be i"#ored' b$t #either sho$ld it pre%e#t the assessme#t o! other !easible sce#arios. 4ore research is #eeded to determi#e precisel& wh& 4&a#mar recei%ed C$estio#able d$alA$se items a#d to disco%er their !i#al desti#atio#' i! 4&a#mar is a tra#sshipme#t poi#t. + port co#trol re"imes sho$ld take #ote o! the pote#tial !or di%ersio# o! d$alA$se items thro$"h 4&a#mar' a#d to protect re"io#al stabilit&' "o%er#me#ts i# Asia sho$ld ree ami#e their trade policies toward the *o$theast Asia# co$#tr&. +ditorJs Note: .&o#"&a#"Js ille"al #etworks are e ami#ed i# a compa#io# article' KTaki#" ,o#trol: *toppi#" North 6orea# E4/ARelated .roc$reme#t'K i# the *eptember/October 2010 di"ital iss$e o! the 5$lleti#.
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The most rece#t report is Robert 6elle& a#d Alliso# .$ccio#i' ?Atomic Re%elatio#: /e!ector Re%eals 4&a#marBs N$clear .ro"ramme'@ (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' ($l& 20' 2010.
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?(apa#ese 4a# *e#te#ced o%er N$clear ArmsAco#%ertible + ports to 5$rma !rom (apa#'@ 6&odo Eorld News *er%ice %ia 55, 4o#itori#" AsiaA.aci!ic' 1 No%ember 200) i# 2e isNe is' www.le isA#e is.com.
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0or details o# the Toko 5oeki case' see ?: Feld O%er + port 5id o! /.R6 4issile 6#owAhow to 4&a#mar'@ /ail& Gomi$ri' ($#e :0' 200)H ?Arrested 6orea# trader i# Tok&o also tied to e port to 4&a#mar'@ (iDi .ress' ($l& 24' 200)H ?: + ecs Arrested !or Attempti#" to + port Q/$alA9seB Tech#olo"& to 4&a#mar'@ 4ai#ichi /ail& News O#li#e' ($#e :0' 200)H ?0irm Tied to .ast 4&a#mar + portsH N. 6oreaAa!!iliated Toko 5oeki 4a& Fa%e -lle"all& *hipped 4issile /e%ices'@ /ail& Gomi$ri' ($l& 2' 200)H ?6itacho$se#"awa "a *ei#o$ 6omakak$ *hitei' 4&a#maa he#o 0$sei&$sh$ts$ <North 6orea seeks tech#olo"& with detailed speci!icatio#s !or ille"al e ports to 4&a#mar='@ 6&odo Ts$$shi# News' ($l& 24' 200)H ?6itakeiAsho$shaA#oA0$sei&$sh$ts$' *hacho$AraA Gaitameho$iha#AdeA6iso <North 6orea# Tradi#" ,ompa#&Bs -lle"al + port: ,ompa#& .reside#t -s -#dicted i# 3iolatio# o! the 0orei"# + cha#"e a#d 0orei"# Trade 2aw='@ Gomi$ri O#li#e' ($l& 21' 200).
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4&a#mar a#d North 6orea reAestablished diplomatic relatio#s i# 2007' altho$"h there are i#dicatio#s that earlier militar& trade betwee# the two co$#tries took place i# 2008. *ee 5ertil 2i#ter' ?,lo$ded Allia#ce: North 6orea# a#d 4&a#marBs ,o%ert Ties'@ (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' *eptember 17' 200).
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This co$ld be especiall& tr$e i! the missiles were !itted with the chemical weapo#s that 4&a#mar has bee# acc$sed o! prod$ci#". *ee ?.rod$ctio# ,apabilit& <4&a#mar=' ,hemical'@ (a#eBs ,5RN Assessme#ts' 4arch 18' 2010.
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(a#eJs -#!ormatio# Gro$p' ?/e!e#ce prod$ctio# a#d R Y / <4&a#mar=' /e!e#ce prod$ctio# a#d R Y /@' (a#eBs *e#ti#el *ec$rit& Assessme#t A *o$theast Asia' /ecember 11' 200).
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*ee also A$#" Law' ?5$rma .la&s N$clear ,ard'@ The -rrawadd&' ($l& 2007' %ol. 11' #o. 7.
5ertil 2i#ter' ?,lo$ded Allia#ce: North 6orea# a#d 4&a#marBs ,o%ert Ties'@ (a#eBs -#telli"e#ce Re%iew' *eptember 17' 200)
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*ee also /a%id Albri"ht' .a$l 5ra##a#' Robert 6elle&' a#d A#drea *cheel *tricker' ?5$rma: A N$clear Ea##abe' *$spicio$s 2i#ks to North 6orea a#d Fi"hATech .roc$reme#ts a#d +#i"matic 0acilities.@ -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit&' (a#$ar& 28' 2010.
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0'81))'200271:'00.html
4ea#while' the people i# 5$rma co#ti#$e to s$!!er. -# a 2000 Eorld Fealth Or"a#i;atio# ra#ki#"' 5$rma had the seco#d worst health s&stem i# the world' sa#dwiched betwee# the ,e#tral A!rica# Rep$blic a#d *ierra 2eo#e. This sho$ld#Jt be a s$rprise' "i%e# that o#l& 1.8U o! 5$rmaJs total p$blic e pe#dit$re is o# health' also the seco#d lowest i# the world' accordi#" to the 9#ited Natio#s /e%elopme#t .ro"ram. KThis is #ot a moder#' de%elopme#tall& !oc$sed "o%er#me#t like ,hi#a or 3iet#am'K T$r#ell sa&s' addi#" that the co$#tr&Js irratio#al militar& spe#di#" Kis the "reat sca#dal. -ts poor ha%e so ma#& #eeds.K <*ee T-4+Js special o# the battle !or "lobal health.= -! this so$#ds similar to a#other Asia# pariah state' it sho$ldH 5$rma is tr&i#" to !ollow the North 6orea# model' accordi#" to 6hi# 4a$#" Ei#. Tha# *hwe reportedl& admires 6im (o#" -l !or sta#di#" $p to the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&' a#d e%er si#ce the co$#tries !ormali;ed relatio#s i# 2007' the two states ha%e deepe#ed their militar& co##ectio#s' sa& /35 so$rces. Relatio#s betwee# the two co$#tries' howe%er' ha%e #ot alwa&s bee# so amicable. -# 1)8:' North 6orea# operati%es attempted to assassi#ate the *o$th 6orea# .reside#t i# a Ra#"oo# bomb attack that killed 21' a#d 5$rma se%ered o!!icial diplomatic relatio#s !or more tha# two decades. Rece#tl&' tho$"h' the co$#tries seem to ha%e bo#ded as Doi#t pariah states' with the D$#taJs No. : "e#eral' *hwe 4a##' %isiti#" North 6orea i# 2008. Nowada&s' 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# sa&s there are North 6orea# militar& e perts who s#eak i#to 5$rma thro$"h ,hi#a a#d act as ad%isers to ke& parts o! 5$rmaJs de!e#se i#d$str&. There is #o e%ide#ce that the North 6orea#s are directl& helpi#" with 5$rmaJs alle"ed #$clear weapo#s pro"ram' b$t a#al&sts worr& this mi"ht #ot alwa&s be the case. 5$rma has cash' a#d North 6orea #eeds it V desperatel&. /e!ectors sa& 5$rma wa#ts a bombH 9.*. i#telli"e#ce sa&s North 6orea alread& tried helpi#" b$ild a #$clear reactor !or *&ria be!ore -srael bombed it. KA co$ple &ears a"o' - wo$ldJ%e poohApoohed the whole thi#"'K sa&s T$r#ell o! 5$rmaJs #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. 5$t #ow' he sa&s' KThe whole stor& is a per!ect !it.K
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/opi#io#Rstor&.phpOartRid`18)08
North 6oreaBs record o# h$ma# ri"hts is e%e# worse tha# 5$rmaBs. There are more tha# 200'000 political priso#ers' a#d i# the 1))0s the dictatorship allowed aro$#d 1 millio# people to die !rom !ami#e. 2ike 5$rma' North 6orea C$ali!ies !or 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil atte#tio# as a #o#Atraditio#al threat to the peace. There ha%e bee# !o$r 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio#s o# North 6orea. No#e are o# its h$ma# ri"hts record. The e#tire !oc$s has bee# o# pers$adi#" North 6orea to drop its weapo#s pro"ram. The 9*A a#d i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& were e%e# prepared to !$#d a#d b$ild Qproli!eratio# proo!B #$clear reactors !or North 6orea' pro%idi#" the dictatorship with te#s o! millio#s o! dollars !or this p$rpose. -# 2007' as part o! a#other deal to tr& to pers$ade North 6orea to aba#do# its #$clear pro"ram' the 9* released b20 millio# i# !ro;e# ba#ks acco$#ts o! North 6oreaBs corr$pt a#d br$tal r$lers. F$ma# ri"hts D$st were #ot a !actor. The lesso# !rom -ra# a#d North 6orea is that h$ma# ri"hts takes seco#d place to stoppi#" #$clear proli!eratio#. A#other lesso# is that e%e# whe# a #$clear pro"ram is i#%ol%ed' ,hi#a a#d R$ssia are still likel& to block e!!ecti%e eco#omic sa#ctio#s. /o$btless' 5$rmaBs dictators wo$ld be deli"hted i! i#ter#atio#al atte#tio# mo%ed awa& !rom their h$ma# ri"hts record.
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/hi"hli"ht.phpOartRid`188)1
Accordi#" to the 9N report' a North 6orea# compa#&' Namcho#"a#" Tradi#"' which is k#ow# to be associated with illicit proc$reme#t !or 5$rmaJs #$clear a#d militar& pro"ram a#d is o# the 9* sa#ctio#s list' was i#%ol%ed i# s$spicio$s acti%ities i# 5$rma. The report also #oted three i#di%id$als were arrested i# (apa# i# 200) !or attempti#" to ille"all& e port a ma"#etometerVa d$alA$se i#str$me#t that ca# be emplo&ed i# maki#" missile co#trol s&stem ma"#ets a#d "as ce#tri!$"e ma"#etsVto 5$rma %ia 4ala&sia alle"edl& $#der the directio# o! a#other compa#& k#ow# to be associated with illicit proc$reme#t !or North 6oreaJs #$clear a#d militar& pro"rams. The 9N e perts also said that the 6orea 6wa#"so# 5a#ki#" ,orporatio# has ha#dled se%eral tra#sactio#s i#%ol%i#" millio#s o! dollars directl& related to deals betwee# 5$rma a#d the 6orea 4i#i#" /e%elopme#t Tradi#" ,orporatio#. Eith this stri#" o! e%e#ts a#d the s$spicio#s s$rro$#di#" them as a dramatic lead i#' o# ($#e 4' Al (a;eera aired a #ews doc$me#tar& prepared b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma </35= which was writte# b& Robert 6elle&' a #$clear scie#tist a#d !ormer director o! the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A=. The /35 report claimed that the r$li#" militar& D$#ta i# 5$rma is Kmi#i#" $ra#i$m' co#%erti#" it to $ra#i$m compo$#ds !or reactors a#d bombs' a#d is tr&i#" to b$ild a reactor a#d/or a# e#richme#t pla#t that co$ld o#l& be $se!$l !or a bomb.K The -A+A wrote to 5$rmaBs a"e#c& represe#tati%e' Ti# Ei#' o# ($#e 14 a#d asked whether the i#!ormatio# pro%ided i# the /35 report was tr$e. 5$rma' which is a member o! the -A+A' a part& to the N$clear No#A .roli!eratio# Treat& a#d a si"#ator& to the *o$theast Asia N$clearAEeapo#A0ree Lo#e Treat&' respo#ded with a letter stati#" that the /35 report alle"atio#s are ?"ro$#dless a#d $#!o$#ded.@ KNo acti%it& related to $ra#i$m co#%ersio#' e#richme#t' reactor co#str$ctio# or operatio# has bee# carried o$t i# the past' is o#"oi#" or is pla##ed !or the !$t$re i# 4&a#mar I5$rmaM'K the letter said. The letter also #oted that 5$rma is a si"#ator& o! the N$clear No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& a#d the a"e#c&Js soAcalled sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t. KAs stated i# the sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t' 4&a#mar will #oti!& the a"e#c& i! it pla#s to carr& o$t a#& #$clear acti%ities'K the letter said. The re"ime' howe%er' has #ot si"#ed the -A+AJs Additio#al .rotocol' mea#i#" that the a"e#c& has #o power to set $p a# i#spectio# o! 5$rmaJs #$clear !acilities $#der the e isti#" mecha#ism k#ow# as the *mall N$a#tities .rotocol. .re%io$sl&' o# ($#e 11' 5$rmaBs state radio a#d tele%isio# #ews had reported the 0orei"# 4i#istr&Js de#ial o! the alle"atio#s i# the /35 report. The de#ial claimed that a#tiA"o%er#me#t "ro$ps i# coll$sio# with the media had la$#ched the alle"atio#s with the "oal o! Khi#deri#" 5$rmaJs democratic process a#d to tar#ish the political ima"e o! the "o%er#me#t.K The 0orei"# 4i#istr& de#ial also addressed N&ap&idawBs relatio#ship with .&o#"&a#". ?0ollowi#" the reA establishme#t o! diplomatic relatio#s' 4&a#mar I5$rmaM a#d the /.R6' as i#depe#de#t so%erei"# states' ha%e bee# e#"a"i#" i# promoti#" trade a#d cooperatio# betwee# the two co$#tries i# the same wa& 4&a#mar is deali#" with others'@ the mi#istr& said i# its stateme#t. The re"ime did ack#owled"e that the ,ho#" Ge# docked at Thilawa .ort #ear Ra#"oo# i# April. 5$t the stateme#t said the North 6orea# %essel was i#%ol%ed i# importi#" ceme#t !rom North 6orea a#d e porti#" rice !rom 5$rma. 5$t i# a# article !or Asia Times o#li#e' 5$rma a#al&st 5ertil 2i#ter #oted that' ?i! carr&i#" o#l& i##oc$o$s
ci%ilia# "oods' as the stateme#t mai#tai#s' there wo$ld seemi#"l& ha%e bee# #o reaso# !or a$thorities to c$t electricit& aro$#d the area whe# the ,ho#" Ge#' a North 6orea# ship !l&i#" the 4o#"olia# !la" o! co#%e#ie#ce' docked o# the o$tskirts o! Ga#"o#.@ ?Accordi#" to i#telli"e#ce so$rces' sec$rit& was ti"ht as militar& perso##el o!!loaded hea%& material' i#cl$di#" 6orea#Amade air de!e#se radars. The ship le!t the port with a ret$r# car"o o! rice a#d s$"ar' which co$ld mea# that it was' at least i# part' a barter deal. O# (a#$ar& :1 this &ear' a#other North 6orea# ship' the Ga#" 4 3 Fa# A' reportedl& deli%ered missile compo#e#ts also at Ga#"o#Js Thilawa port'@ 2i#ter said. *trate"&pa"e.com' a militar& a!!airs website co%eri#" armed !orces worldwide' said' ?-#dicatio#s are that the North 6orea# ship that deli%ered a m&sterio$s car"o !o$r mo#ths a"o' was carr&i#" air de!e#se radars <which are #ow bei#" placed o# hills $p #orth= a#d ballistic missile ma#$!act$ri#" eC$ipme#t. /o;e#s o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e e#tered the co$#tr& i# the last !ew mo#ths' a#d ha%e bee# see# worki#" at a militar& !acilit& o$tside 4a#dala&. -tJs $#clear what this is !or. 5$rma has #o e ter#al e#emies' a#d ballistic missiles are o! #o $se a"ai#st i#ter#al oppositio#.@ -# his Asia Times o#li#e stor&' 2i#t#er #oted that o# ($#e 24' the /35 reported that a #ew radar a#d missile base had bee# completed #ear 4oh#&i# i# 4&a#marJs #orther# 6achi# *tate' a#d he reported that work o# similar radar a#d missile bases has bee# reported !rom 6e#"t$#" i# easter# *ha# *tate'180 kilometers #orth o! the Thai border tow# o! 4ae *ai. ?*i#ce 4&a#mar is #ot k#ow# to ha%e imported radars a#d missile compo#e#ts !rom a#& co$#tr& other tha# North 6orea' the i#stallatio#s wo$ld appear to be o#e o! the !irst %isible o$tcomes o! a decade o! militar& cooperatio#'@ 2i#t#er said. 2i#t#er also reported that Eester# i#telli"e#ce so$rces k#ow that :0 to 40 North 6orea# missile tech#icia#s are c$rre#tl& worki#" at a !acilit& #ear 4i#hla o# the -rrawadd& Ri%er i# 4a"we /i%isio#' a#d that some o! the tech#icia#s ma& ha%e arri%ed o%erla#d b& b$s !rom ,hi#a to "i%e the appeara#ce o! bei#" ,hi#ese to$rists. North 6orea has also iss$ed adama#t de#ials with respect to alle"atio#s re"ardi#" its relatio#ship with 5$rma. Accordi#" to the 6orea# ,e#tral News A"e#c& <6,NA=' o# ($#e 21 .&o#"&a#" said' ?The 9* is #ow maki#" m$ch !$ss' !loati#" the sheer !ictio# that the /.R6 is helpi#" 4&a#mar I5$rmaM i# its #$clear de%elopme#t.@ The 6,NA o!te# hi"hli"hts the close relatio#ship betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. O# ($#e 20' the .&o#"&a#" #ews a"e#c& reported that e A,ol Tha# T$#' dep$t& chairma# o! the 9#io# o! 4&a#mar +co#omic Foldi#" 2td.' se#t a stateme#t cheeri#" 6im (o#" -lBs 48th a##i%ersar& at the ,e#tral ,ommittee o! the r$li#" EorkersJ .art& o! 6orea. O# April 18' 6orea# stateAr$#A media reported that Tha# T$# also iss$ed a stateme#t cheeri#" the 17th a##i%ersar& o! 6im (o#" -lBs chairi#" o! North 6oreaBs Natio#al /e!e#se ,ommissio#. ?6im (o#" -lBs !ield i#spectio# o! 6.A I6orea# .eopleBs Arm&M $#its ser%ed as a mai# so$rce that helped bolster INorth 6oreaJsM sel!Arelia#t de!e#se capabilit& i# e%er& wa&'@ the stateme#t #oted. 4ilitar& so$rces said the 9#io# o! 4&a#mar +co#omic Foldi#" 2td' ma#a"ed b& the D$#ta' is respo#sible !or p$rchasi#" imported weapo#s !or 5$rmaJs armed !orces' i#cl$di#" tra#s!erri#" mo#e& to o%erseas ba#ks s$ch as 6orea 6wa#"so# 5a#ki#" ,orporatio#. 4ea#while' i# additio# to its escalati#" relatio#ship with North 6orea' the 5$rmese militar& re"ime has rece#tl& boosted ties with -ra#' which accordi#" to the 9N report is also alle"edl& recei%i#" #$clear a#d missile
tech#olo"ies !rom North 6orea. -# rece#t &ears' 5$rmese a#d -ra#ia# o!!icials %isited their co$#terparts homela#d !or the p$rported p$rpose o! impro%i#" eco#omic ties. Obser%ers' howe%er' said Tha# *hwe has made a tactical decisio# to de%elop relatio#ships with other ?pariah states'@ partic$larl& e#emies o! the 9*' to relie%e Eester# press$re o# his re"ime. -ra#ia# /ep$t& 0orei"# 4i#ister 4ohammad Ali 0athollahi met 5$rmese 0orei"# 4i#ister N&a# Ei# a#d 4i#ister o! +#er"& 2$# Thi d$ri#" his trip to 5$rma o# ($#e 11A17. ?The two sides reiterated their desire to !$rther e pa#d the ties o! !rie#dship a#d eco#omic cooperatio# a#d to i#crease cooperatio# i# the re"io#al i#ter#atio#al !or$ms s$ch as ItheM 9#ited Natio#s a#d No#AAli"#ed 4o%eme#t'@ The New 2i"ht o! 4&a#mar reported o# ($#e 18. 0athollahiBs %isit came three mo#ths a!ter 4a$#" 4&i#tBs %isit to -ra# o# 4arch 8A11' whe# he met -ra#ia# 0orei"# 4i#ister 4a#ochehr 4ottaki a#d /ep$t& 4i#ister o! .etrole$m F. No"hrehkar *hira;i.
http://www.e$rasiare%iew.com/2010070741:4/m&a#marA#AkoreaAproli!eratio#Ali#k.html
The ass$med li#k betwee# North 6orea a#d 4&a#mar sho$ld be take# serio$sl&' a#d %i"ila#ce is #eeded b& i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies a#d i#terdictio# i#str$me#ts to close a#& illicit proli!eratio# li#ks.
0ra#k OJ/o##ell is c$rre#tl& st$d&i#" !or his 4*c i# *trate"ic *t$dies at 9#i%ersit& o! Aberdee#. Fe has a# 4A Fo#o$rs <!irst class= i# i#ter#atio#al relatio#s a#d 4iddle +ast st$dies !rom the 9#i%ersit& o! *t A#drews. Graham O#"AEebb is a# Associate with the ,e#tre !or *cie#ce a#d *ec$rit& *t$dies at the /epartme#t o! Ear *t$dies' 6i#"Bs ,olle"e 2o#do#. The %iews a#d opi#io#s e pressed herei# are those o! the a$thor o#l&' #ot the -#ter#atio#al Relatio#s a#d *ec$rit& Network <-*N=.
http://ca#ada!reepress.com/i#de .php/article/21011
trai#i#" as their *tate *cholar .ro"ram a#d Eatso# reports the& ha%e ?se#t a#&where !rom :000 to 1000 o!!icers to R$ssia' where the&B%e bee# st$d&i#" scie#ces related to t$##elli#"' a%iatio#' ships' missiles' a#d all sorts o! militar& related tech#olo"ies.@ These st$dies i#cl$de #$clear scie#ces. /ictator Eatch has had access to i#!ormatio# !rom two de!ectors o! the *./,Bs *tate *cholar .ro"ram who had e pos$re to the #$clear pro"ram. These de!ectors reported that the *./, is p$rs$i#" $ra#i$m e#richme#t' a#d also that it has acC$ired eC$ipme#t !or ?pl$to#i$m acti%atio#'@ !rom North 6orea. The two so$rces o! !issio#able material !or a# atomic weapo# are hi"hl& e#riched $ra#i$m' a#d pl$to#i$m that is prod$ced as a reactor b&Aprod$ct. -t appears that 5$rma is !ollowi#" both tracks towards de%elopi#" a bomb. Eatso# pro%ided a s$mmar& o! 5$rmaBs #$clear e%ide#ce. ?0irst' 5$rma has $ra#i$m deposits a#d the& ha%e lo#" admitted it themsel%es.@ The *./, i# !act p$blished s$ch o# their ow# 4i#istr& o! +#er"& website' ide#ti!&i#" #$mero$s sites. Fe reiterated that #ot o#l& ha%e commerciall& %iable $ra#i$m deposits bee# !o$#d a#d are bei#" mi#ed' b$t that the& are ?bei#" milled i#to &ellow cake a#d o!!ered !or sale o# the black market to a#&bod& willi#" to pa& the price.@ -#deed' Eatso# said ?/ictator Eatch has i#!ormatio# abo$t s$ch sale attempts.@
The i#ter#atio#al c$stomers !or 5$rmaBs &ellow cake i#cl$de North 6orea a#d some i#telli"e#ce so$rces s$""est -ra# as well. -t is belie%ed that the lar"e C$a#tit& o! &ellow cake that -ra# p$rchased !rom *o$th A!rica i# the 1)70s has r$# o$t. -ra#Bs e#richme#t pro"ram is s$bsta#tial' a#d "rowi#"' a#d Tehra# clearl& #eeds to sec$re #ew $ra#i$m s$pplies. 5$rmaBs li#ks to -ra# a#d North 6orea are e tremel& tro$bli#"' a#d it was i# 200) that a p$blici;ed i#cide#t occ$rred betwee# the 9* Na%& a#d a North 6orea# %essel A a k#ow# weapo#s carrier called the 6a#" Nam -. This North 6orea# ship was reportedl& carr&i#" ad%a#ced weapo#r& <possibl& #$clear tech#olo"&= desti#ed !or 5$rma a#d a 9* /estro&er was dispatched to i#terdict it. The 6a#" Nam - e%e#t$all& t$r#ed back to North 6orea with car"o i#tact. Eatso# reports' howe%er' that the ship had alread& "o#e to 5$rma at least o#ce' possibl& two times pre%io$sl& a#d $#loaded its car"o at Ra#"oo# A at #i"ht. O# o#e o! those occasio#s the 6a#" Nam co#ti#$ed o# to -ra#. -# 2008 the 9#ited *tates thro$"h diplomatic reC$ests to -#dia also blocked a car"o !li"ht !rom North 6orea !rom !l&i#" to -ra# a!ter it stopped i# 5$rma. -t is !$rther belie%ed that the i#terdicted 6a#" Nam - shipme#t !rom 200) was s$ccess!$ll& deli%ered to Ra#"oo# port i# April 2010. /ictator Eatch has e%ide#ce that North 6orea has lo#" bee# selli#" 5$rma a# arra& o! weapo#r&' i#cl$di#" missiles a#d #$clear tech#olo"&. The weapo#s i#cl$de *c$d missiles <short ra#"e ballistic missiles=' a#d the *./, is reportedl& poi#ti#" them towards militar& bases i# Thaila#d. Eith all this #$clear a#d weapo#s sk$ld$""er& "oi#" o# itBs a wo#der wh& 5$rma has#Bt bee# bro$"ht be!ore the 9#ited Natio#s *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. 0or Eatso# the threat is clear' ?-! &o$ ha%e $ra#i$m mi#i#"' milli#" a#d the# barteri#" o! &ellow cake to North 6orea a#d -ra# &o$ ha%e a si"#i!ica#t threat to i#ter#atio#al sec$rit& a#d peace' i#cl$di#" di%er"e#t ro"$e tra!!icki#" o! &ellow cake to terrorists.@ Fowe%er' ,hi#a a#d R$ssia are perma#e#t members o! the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil a#d ha%e historicall& protected the *./, !rom i#ter#atio#al reperc$ssio#s. O# 5eiDi#"Bs role Eatso# lame#ts' ?The ,hi#ese are the "od!athers o! 6im (o#" -ll a#d Tha# *hwe a#d o# a# iss$e as bi" as this the& co$ld#Bt work to"ether i! ,hi#a did#Bt sa& ok.@
O#e thi#" seems clear' the world does #ot #eed a#other ro"$e #$clear state' especiall& o#e with a h$ma# ri"hts record as br$tal as 5$rmaBs. As !or the lo#" sile#ce o# 5$rmaBs #$clear m&ster&' the /35 report a#d *e#ator EebbBs ca#celled %isit s$""est it ma& be $#ra%elli#". The (A/+ Act has bee# i"#ored howe%er' a#d th$s o#l& time will tell i! /ictator EatchBs 0O-A !ili#" too will be br$shed aside.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/*o$theastRAsia/20:0Ae01.html
Fowe%er' the !$ll e te#t o! the North 6orea# prese#ce i# 4&a#mar is still a matter o! co#Dect$re. The !irst report o! a dele"atio# !rom 4&a#mar maki#" a secret %isit to .&o#"&a#" dates to No%ember 2000' where the two sides held talks with hi"hAra#ki#" o!!icials o! North 6oreaJs 4i#istr& o! the .eopleJs Armed 0orces. -# ($#e 2001' a hi"hAle%el North 6orea# dele"atio# led b& 3ice 0orei"# 4i#ister .ark 6ilA&o# paid a ret$r# %isit to Ga#"o#' where it met 4&a#marJs /ep$t& /e!e#se 4i#ister 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# a#d reportedl& disc$ssed de!e#seAi#d$str& cooperatio#. -# 200:' the !irst "ro$p o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s were spotted at #a%al !acilities #ear the the#Acapital Ga#"o#. North 6orea# pla#es were also see# la#di#" at militar& air!ields i# ce#tral 4&a#mar. Three &ears later' North 6orea# t$##eli#" e perts arri%ed at Na&p&idaw' a#d 4&a#mar militar& so$rces be"a# to leak photo"raphs o! the North 6orea#s as well as the $#der"ro$#d i#stallatio#s the& were i#%ol%ed i# di""i#" $#der a#d #ear the #ew capital. O# ($#e 24' the /35 reported that a #ew radar a#d missile base had bee# completed #ear 4oh#&i# i# 4&a#marJs #orther# 6achi# *tate. -t is #ot clear i# which directio# the i#stallatio#s are poi#ted' as 4oh#&i# is located o# the railwa& li#e that c$ts thro$"h 6achi# *tate a#d is appro imatel& eC$idista#t betwee# the -#dia# a#d ,hi#ese borders. Eork o# similar radar a#d missile bases has bee# reported !rom 6e#"t$#" i# easter# *ha# *tate' 180 kilometers #orth o! the Thai border tow# o! 4ae *ai. *i#ce 4&a#mar is #ot k#ow# to ha%e imported radars a#d missile compo#e#ts !rom a#& co$#tr& other tha# North 6orea' the i#stallatio#s wo$ld appear to be o#e o! the !irst %isible o$tcomes o! a decade o! militar& cooperatio#. 9#til rece#tl& reports o! s$ch cooperatio# were met with skepticism amo#" a#al&sts beca$se 4&a#mar had se%ered diplomatic relatio#s with North 6orea i# 1)8: a!ter three secret a"e#ts pla#ted a bomb at Ga#"o#Js 4art&rsJ 4a$sole$m a#d killed 18 %isiti#" *o$th 6orea# o!!icials' i#cl$di#" the#Adep$t& prime mi#ister *o *$kA ch$# a#d three other "o%er#me#t mi#isters. 5$t the two pariah states seem to ha%e b$ilt a bo#d aro$#d their commo# a#ta"o#ism with the 9#ited *tates. 0Cpert confirmation The /35 i#%esti"ati%e report shed #ew li"ht o# the #at$re o! this secreti%e cooperatio# a#d o! 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#s. .hoto"raphs a#d doc$me#ts sm$""led o$t o! the co$#tr& b& a de!ector !rom the 4&a#mar arm&' 4aDor *ai Thei# Ei#' were scr$ti#i;ed b& i#ter#atio#al arms e perts a#d !o$#d to be credible. Amo#" the e perts was Robert 6elle&' a !ormer 2os Alamos weapo#s scie#tist who was a director with the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= !rom 1))2 to 1)): a#d a"ai# !rom 2001 to 2001. Now based i# 3ie##a' he co#d$cted weapo#s i#spectio#s i# 2ib&a' -raC' a#d *o$th A!rica' as well as complia#ce i#spectio#s i# +"&pt' T$rke&' *o$th 6orea' Taiwa#' *&ria' Ta#;a#ia' .akista#' -#dia' a#d ,o#"o' amo#" others. 6elle& co#cl$ded a!ter a care!$l st$d& o! material prod$ced b& *ai Thei# Ei# a#d other 4&a#mar militar& de!ectors: KO$r assessme#t o! m$ltiple so$rces is that 5$rma I4&a#marM is reall& de%elopi#" #$clear tech#olo"&' that it has b$ilt speciali;ed eC$ipme#t a#d !acilities' a#d it has iss$ed orders to cadre to b$ild a pro"ram.K -t remai#s to be pro%e# that the North 6orea#s are i#%ol%ed i# 4&a#marJs !led"li#" #$clear pro"ram. +%e# i! the& are' it is #ot clear how ad%a#ced 4&a#marJs pro"ram ma& be. 4a#& skeptics ass$me the proDect is a# ill$sio# o! "ra#de$r borderi#" o# me"aloma#ia amo#" 4&a#marJs r$li#" "e#erals. North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t i# 4&a#marJs missile pro"ram is more certai#' b$t e%e# so it is $#clear that the co$#tr&Js lar"el& $#skilled tech#icia#s wo$ld be able to prod$ce a missile that works. O#e i#telli"e#ce so$rce described it as more o! a Kphallic !a#tas&K' a lar"e proDectile that 4&a#marJs "e#erals wo$ld like to show o!! at
the a##$al 4arch 27 Armed 0orces /a& parade. K($st ima"i#e how pro$d the& wo$ld be to see a tr$ck towi#" a bi" a#d impressi%e missile past the "ra#dsta#d'K the so$rce said. Eester# i#telli"e#ce so$rces are aware o! the c$rre#t prese#ce o! :0 to 40 North 6orea# missile tech#icia#s at a !acilit& #ear 4i#hla o# the -rrawadd& Ri%er i# 4a"we /i%isio#. At least some o! the tech#icia#s reportedl& arri%ed o%erla#d b& b$s !rom ,hi#a' to make it appear as i! the& were ,hi#ese to$rists. Accordi#" to a 4&a#mar so$rce with k#owled"e o! the area: KThere are se%eral de!e#se i#d$stries' /-' aro$#d 4i#hla. 4ore importa#tl&' these are #ot %er& !ar !rom the *idotara /am a#d s$spected /-A20' .wi#tb&$ a#d 4&ai#". -# other words' there are ma#& militar& acti%ities i# that area.K -# powerAstar%ed 4&a#mar' it is lo"ical that de!e#se prod$ctio# !acilities ha%e bee# sit$ated #ear a powerA "e#erati#" dam. 4&ai#" is where *ai Thei# Ei# worked as dep$t& comma#der o! a topAsecret militar& !actor& be!ore he de!ected earlier this &ear. Ehile 4&a#mar a$thorities ha%e de#ied his testimo#ies p$blicl&' i#telli"e#ce a"e#ts swooped o# his home tow# o! 6&a$kme i# *ha# *tate soo# a!ter the /35 report was aired i#ter#atio#all&. Fis !amil& has bee# i#terro"ated' b$t so !ar #o o#e has bee# arrested. O# the co#trar&' the *ha# Ferald A"e#c& !or News' a# e ileAr$# #ews "ro$p i# ,hia#" 4ai i# #orther# Thaila#d' reports that *ai Thei# Ei# has become somewhat o! a local hero si#ce he we#t p$blic with his re%elatio#s. KAmo#" the sec$rit& o!!icials who %isited 6&a$kme' o#e was also reported to ha%e said that he admired *aiJs co$ra"e a#d his Jwell do#e e poseJ'K the #ews "ro$p reported. -! acc$ratel& reported' that se#time#t wo$ld re!lect o#e reaso# wh& *ai Thei# Ei# decided to de!ect: 4&a#marJs e perime#ts with #$clear tech#olo"& a#d missiles amo$#t to little more tha# a waste o! mo#e& i# a co$#tr& that desperatel& #eeds more !$#ds dedicated to p$blic health a#d ed$catio#. 4ea#while' the re"imeJs b$ddi#" cooperatio# with North 6orea threate#s to cost the co$#tr& more i#ter#atio#all&. 9* *e#ator (im Eebb' a sta$#ch ad%ocate o! e#"a"eme#t with 4&a#marJs r$li#" "e#erals' was !orced to ca#cel his sched$led %isit to the co$#tr& whe# he lear#ed alA(a;eera wo$ld air the /35 report while he was there. As it becomes i#creasi#"l& appare#t that both co$#tries ha%e %iolated 9#ited Natio#s *ec$rit& ,o$#cil Resol$tio# 1874' which ba#s North 6orea !rom e porti#" all t&pes o! weapo#s' 4&a#mar co$ld soo# be pe#ali;ed with more i#ter#atio#al sa#ctio#s. The prospect o! that happe#i#" A a#d alread& deep dissatis!actio# o%er the close relatio#ship with a pariah re"ime like .&o#"&a#"' which is e%e# more isolated tha# the o#e i# Na&p&idaw A is reportedl& stoki#" rese#tme#t amo#" the 4&a#mar o!!icer corps. Other o!!icers like *ai Thei# Ei# ma& there!ore be waiti#" i# the wi#"s !or a# opport$#it& to de!ect a#d shed more li"ht o# 4&a#marJs deep a#d dark #$clear secrets. 5ertil 2i#t#er is a !ormer correspo#de#t with the 0ar +aster# +co#omic Re%iew a#d the a$thor o! Great 2eader' /ear 2eader: /em&sti!&i#" North 6orea 9#der the 6im ,la#. Fe is c$rre#tl& a writer with Asia .aci!ic 4edia *er%ices.
http://www.theDakartapost.com/#ews/2010/08/21/m&a#mar0:)sA#$clearAambitio#Aappare#tl&ArealAa#dAalarmi#".html
The #ew e%ide#ce prese#ted i# the /35 doc$me#tar& makes a compelli#" case that 4&a#marJs p$rs$it o! #$clear weapo#s #ow places it i# the cate"or& o! co$#tries where the K*mall N$a#tities .rotocolK wo$ld #o lo#"er appl&. Eith o$tAdated protocols "o%er#i#" its participatio# with the -A+A' 4&a#mar ma& belie%e that it ca# resist -A+A dema#ds. Fowe%er' "i%e# the serio$s a#d tro$bli#" #at$re o! the alle"atio#s o! 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#s' the -A+A a#d the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& m$st %i"oro$sl& p$rs$e all o! the tools at their disposal to compel the *tate .eace a#d /e%elopme#t ,o$#cilJs cooperatio#. 0or starters' the -A+A ca# $#ilaterall& c$t o!! all aid to 4&a#mar i# impro%i#" its #$clear i#!rastr$ct$re thro$"h e pert %isits' "ra#ts a#d eC$ipme#t p$rchases' a#d to a#& other state that has #ot si"#ed the No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& or a"reed to the Additio#al .rotocol. Ehile these #ew a"reeme#ts are %ol$#tar&' the pro%isio# o! soAcalled tech#ical cooperatio# !$#ds is a %ol$#tar& act o# the part o! the -A+A as well. -t wo$ld se#d a clear messa"e to 4&a#mar that the -A+A a#d the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& takes this iss$e serio$sl& a#d that it will #o lo#"er tolerate a#&thi#" less tha# 4&a#marJs !$ll cooperatio# with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& o# the mo#itori#" o! 4&a#marJs #asce#t #$clear pro"ram. Altho$"h some o! the aid <9*b1.: millio# i# 2008A200)= "oes !or medical a#d h$ma#itaria# assista#ce' other pro"rams s$pport trai#i#" #$clear e perts a#d pro!essio#als i# 4&a#mar' which is clearl& i#co#siste#t with the -A+AJs i#terest i# tr&i#" to #ip a co%ert #$clear pro"ram i# the b$d. The #ew i#!ormatio# o# 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#s is #ow a%ailable to e perts a#d "o%er#me#ts aro$#d the world. Get' e%e# be!ore the -A+A has e%e# o!!iciall& e#C$ired abo$t it' the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t has de#ied it. Gi%e# 4&a#marJs track record i# worki#" with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& o# iss$es m$ch less threate#i#" tha# proli!eratio#' there is little do$bt what 4&a#marJs a#swer will be whe# the& are !ormall& asked. /35Js reporta"e bro$"ht to li"ht 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#H it is also a call to a#&o#e i# 4&a#mar who k#ows more abo$t co%ert pro"rams i# #$clear' missile tech#olo"&' a#d other weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# to come !orward. Other de!ectors' s$ch as 4aDor *ai Thei# Ei#' are likel& to come !orward. 4a#& people k#ow the tr$th a#d it will take o#l& a !ew more bra%e so$ls to e pose the pro"ram !or the world to see. Too ma#& states ha%e proli!erated while the world stood back a#d watched &ear a!ter &ear. The A. N. 6ha# #etwork sold #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"& !rom .akista# a#d operated obser%ed b$t $#to$ched !or possibl& twe#t& &ears. The possibilit& that 4&a#mar is tr&i#" to b$ild #$clear weapo#s has bee# a s$spicio# !or the last decade b$t #ow the e%ide#ce is m$ch clearer. The world #eeds to "et serio$s abo$t choki#" o!! 4&a#marJs co%ert pro"ram thro$"h e port co#trols %ia the N$clear *$ppliers Gro$p a#d stre#"the#i#" the ha#d o! the -A+A. 4&a#mar is o#e o! the worldJs most repressi%e a#d secreti%e re"imes. -ts ample #at$ral wealth' i#cl$di#" "as a#d oil reser%es that will bri#" i# billio#s o! dollars a##$all& i# hard c$rre#c&' make it a #at$ral b$&er !or North 6orea a#d other co$#tries with #$clear k#owAhow to sell. 2ast mo#th the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil recei%ed a 47Apa"e report iss$ed b& a se%e#Amember pa#el o! e perts o# North 6oreaJs e porti#" #$clear tech#olo"&. The 9N e perts #oted Ks$spicio$s acti%it& i# 4&a#marK. 4&a#marJs p$rs$it o! #$clear weapo#s reC$ires immediate i#ter#atio#al atte#tio#. Allowi#" &et a#other dictatorship to acC$ire the worldJs most power!$l weapo#s is #ot a# optio#. The writer is a !ormer director o! the -A+A.
Ra#"oo# airport. Eith a h$"e re%e#$e bo#a#;a !rom sales o! #at$ral "as to Thaila#d' 5$rma was soo# able to pa& the North 6orea#s cash !or missile tech#olo"&. The "e#erals tho$"ht that the& co$ld also obtai# #$clear warheads a#d that' o#ce these warheads were mo$#ted o# the missiles' the 9#ited *tates a#d other power!$l co$#tries wo$ld #ot dare to attack 5$rma a#d ha%e m$ch less le%era"e o# the D$#ta. Tha# *hwe hid these li#ks with North 6orea as lo#" as he co$ld !rom (apa# a#d *o$th 6orea' beca$se he was worki#" to l$re (apa#ese a#d *o$th 6orea# compa#ies to i#%est more i# e!!orts to pl$#der 5$rmaBs #at$ral reso$rces. 5& 2008' the D$#taBs "e#erals !elt either desperate or co#!ide#t e#o$"h to p$blicl& res$me diplomatic relatio#s with North 6orea. 5$rma has worked !or almost a decade to e pa#d its prod$ctio# o! missiles a#d chemical warheads. Ge#eral Ti# A&e V chairma# o! the 9#io# o! 4&a#mar +co#omic Foldi#"s' the militar&Bs b$si#ess arm V is the top ma#a"er o! ordi#a#ce prod$ctio# a#d mai# liaiso# with North 6orea. Accordi#" to a secret report leaked last &ear' the re"imeBs No. : ma#' Ge#eral *hwe 4a##' also made a secret %isit to .&o#"&a#" i# No%ember 2008. Fe si"#ed a# a"reeme#t !or militar& cooperatio# that wo$ld bri#" help !rom North 6orea !or co#str$cti#" t$##els a#d ca%es !or hidi#" missiles' aircra!t' e%e# ships. That this i#!ormatio# was leaked b& 5$rmese militar& o!!icials worki#" o# s$ch se#siti%e acti%ities shows both the de"ree o! Tha# *hweBs militar& me"aloma#ia a#d the e iste#ce o! oppositio# withi# the re"ime itsel!. The words ?pra"matic e#"a"eme#t@ sho$ld #ot become s&#o#&mo$s with a#& weake#i#" o! Eashi#"to#Bs !irm oppositio# to 5$rmaBs r$lers. The 9#ited *tates a#d other #atio#s m$st co#ti#$e to C$estio# the le"itimac& o! Tha# *hwe a#d the re"ime. The& sho$ld #ot belie%e his promises to hold !ree a#d !air electio#s this &ear. O#l& coordi#ated press$re !rom aro$#d the "lobe will be e!!ecti%e i# deali#" with this master o! deceit. A$#" 2&## Ft$t is a !ormer se#ior i#telli"e#ce o!!icer i# 5$rmaBs 4i#istr& o! /e!e#se. Fe is worki#" o# his memoirs.
http://www.!orei"#polic&.com/articles/2010/08/11/haplessRdoes#tRmea#Rharmless
perso# who passed the photos o# has appare#tl& si#ce bee# shot.= 5ertil 2i#t#er' a# e pert o# 5$rmese politics who also collaborated with the !ilmmakers' sa&s that Eester# diplomats ha%e %eri!ied the prese#ce o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s at a 5$rmese missile prod$ctio# !acilit&. A#d what' !or e ample' was o# board the 6a#" Nam 1' the North 6orea# ship !rei"hter that was saili#" !or a 5$rmese port last &ear $#til the 9.*. Na%& pers$aded it to t$r# aro$#dO 9.*. *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# e pressed co#cer# abo$t deepe#i#" ties betwee# the two pariah states at a meeti#" o! re"io#al leaders last &ear. -# 4a&' 9.*. Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate 6$rt ,ampbell iss$ed a stateme#t calli#" o# the 5$rmese leaders to compl& with the 9.N. sa#ctio#s imposed o# North 6orea a!ter .&o#"&a#"Js #$clear test a !ew &ears back. The C$estio# that arises !rom all this' o! co$rse' is wh& 5$rma wo$ld wa#t to "et i#to the E4/ b$si#ess i# the !irst place. The co$#tr& has #o threate#i#" #ei"hbors' #o re"io#al ri%als that wa#t to take it o%er. 5$t that' sa& the e perts' wo$ld be to $#derestimate the re"imeJs e#ophobia a#d patholo"ical s$spicio#s o! the o$tside world. The !ilm o!!ers cl$es. O#e 5$rmese e Adiplomat de!ector i#ter%iewed o# camera p$ts it like this: K-# 1))2' whe# Ge#eral Tha# *hwe came to power' he tho$"ht that i! we !ollowed the North 6orea# e ample' we wo$ld #ot #eed to take acco$#t o! America or e%e# #eed to care abo$t ,hi#a. -# other words' whe# the& ha%e #$clear e#er"& a#d weapo#s' others will respect $s.K 5$rma a#al&st 2i#t#er poi#ts to the domestic co#te t as well. KAccordi#" to the people - ha%e talked to' the 5$rmese "e#erals belie%e the& #eed a stro#" deterre#t to remai# i# power' a"ai#st the o$tside world as well as their ow# pop$latio#.K -# 2007' it sho$ld be recalled' h$#dreds o! tho$sa#ds o! demo#strators took to the streets to protest a"ai#st the co$#tr&Js leadership. -! ha%i#" #$kes wo$ld make it that m$ch harder !or o$tsiders to press$re them' that wo$ld' co#cei%abl&' make li!e harder !or i#ter#al oppo#e#ts as well. Ee co$ld' perhaps' take some co#solatio# !rom the !act that the 5$rmese E4/ pro"ram does#Jt seem to be terribl& sophisticated. Geo!!re& 0orde#' a 4assach$setts -#stit$te o! Tech#olo"& e pert who e ami#ed the e%ide#ce o# the 5$rmese missile pro"ram' "i%es them !i%e to 10 &ears to "et a rocket la$#ched a#d b$ilt AA a#d m$ch lo#"er to come $p with o#e that wo$ld ha%e serio$s ra#"e. 6elle& sa&s that' based o# the e%ide#ce' the #$clear pro"ram looks e%e# less serio$s. The "e#erals do#Jt appear to ha%e a#& cohere#t strate"& !or act$all& maki#" a !$#ctio#i#" #$clear weapo#. The o#l& e#richme#t tech#iC$e the& seem to be $si#" so !ar is the laser isotope method' which se%eral de%eloped co$#tries ha%e tried a#d dropped as $#d$l& complicated. 6elle& spec$lates that b$rea$cratAscie#tists mi"ht be leadi#" the "e#erals o# a bit <somethi#"' he sa&s' thatJs bee# k#ow# to happe# i# other co$#tries where political leaders are ea"er to "et their ha#ds o# power!$l weapo#s=. O#e o! the de!ectors tells a stor& abo$t the scie#tists demo#strati#" a laser to %isiti#" hi"herA$ps b& b$r#i#" a hole i# a piece o! wood. O#e o! the atte#di#" "e#erals was so discom!ited b& this m&sterio$s de%ice that he immediatel& asked them to stop. Get there is still ple#t& o! ca$se to worr&. 0or o#e thi#"' the "e#erals ha%e ple#t& o! cash. O%er the #e t !ew &ears the&Jll be ear#i#" te#s o! billio#s o! dollars !rom #at$ral "as sales to the ,hi#ese AA a#d m$ch o! that mo#e& is appare#tl& slated !or the #asce#t E4/ pro"ram. A#d e%e# tho$"h the R$ssia#s halted work o# a promised reactor proDect whe# the& started to harbor do$bt abo$t 5$rmese i#te#tio#s' itJs clear that thereJs little the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& ca# do to pre%e#t the D$#ta !rom doi#" what it wa#ts i#side the co$#tr&. <-t t$r#s o$t that the -A+A basicall& "a%e 5$rma a pass a !ew &ears a"o whe# the co$#tr& esse#tiall& declared itsel! a #o##$clear power' a#d has little le%era"e to e ert as a res$lt.= O$r best bet' it wo$ld seem' is that the br$tal' para#oid' a#d astrolo"&Adri%e# "e#erals who r$# 5$rma reall& are D$st as waste!$l a#d i#compete#t as the& appear to be !rom the o$tside. *o wh& does#Jt that seem especiall& com!orti#"O
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/opi#io#Rstor&.phpOartRid`1818:
0$rther complicati#" the iss$e' Asea# has #ot reached a co#se#s$s o# how its members wo$ld mo%e !orward with a commo# approach o# #$clear e#er"& a#d sec$rit&. -# "e#eral' Asea# backs #$clear disarmame#t' which the .hilippi#es has pla&ed a leadi#" role as chair o! the D$st co#cl$ded Re%iew ,o#!ere#ce o! *tate .arties to the Treat& o# the No#A.roli!eratio# o# N$clear Eeapo#s. Asea# also backs the o#"oi#" e!!orts o! 9* a#d R$ssia o%er #o#Aproli!eratio#. O#e stick& problem is that Thaila#d' 5r$#ei /ar$ssalam' 5$rma' a#d -#do#esia ha%e &et to rati!& the ,omprehe#si%e Test 5a# Treat&. -# the case o! -#do#esia' it is o# the A##e 2 list o! the treat& which' to e#ter i#to !orce' m$st be rati!ied b& all 44 states o# this list. At the $pcomi#" Asea# s$mmit i# Fa#oi <October=' Asea# leaders will st$d& a matri o! commo# positio#s that ha%e bee# or co$ld be take# $p b& Asea#. -t remai#s to be see# how Asea# wo$ld approach some o! the se#siti%e iss$es s$ch as the *o$th ,hi#a *ea' climate cha#"e a#d iss$es related to #$clear tech#olo"&. At the rece#t N$clear *$mmit i# Eashi#"to# /,' leaders !rom 3iet#am' -#do#esia' 4ala&sia a#d Thaila#d were i#%ited b& 9* .reside#t 5arack Obama to share their %iews o# #o#Aproli!eratio# a#d peace!$l $se o! #$clear e#er"&. The& s$pported the s$mmitJs pla# o! actio# to pre%e#t #$clear terrorism. All these Asea# members ha%e lo#"Aterm pla#s to b$ild #$clear power pla#ts !or peace!$l $se as e#er"& so$rces. 3iet#am has lo#" decided o# b$ildi#" two' while Thaila#d is pla##i#" o#e i# the #e t te# &ears. -#do#esia has serio$s parliame#tar& s$pport to e plore a #$clear optio#. +%e# the *i#"apore +co#omic *trate"ies ,ommittee has recomme#ded #$clear e#er"& sho$ld be co#sidered as a possible lo#"Aterm sol$tio# to the isla#dJs e#er"& sec$rit&. Obama will certai#l& raise the iss$e a"ai# whe# he %isits -#do#esia i# the seco#d week o! this mo#th. Ehat is most i#tri"$i#" has bee# the lack o! serio$s atte#tio# !rom the Thai sec$rit& apparat$s re"ardi#" the #$cleari;atio# o! 5$rma. Apart !rom the two i#!ormal meeti#"s co#%e#ed b& the /e!e#ce ,o$#cil at the e#d o! last &ear' the topic has bee# disc$ssed o#l& amo#" a ha#d!$l o! militar& i#telli"e#ce o!!icials who ha%e worked closel& with their A$stralia# co$#terparts. The Natio#al *ec$rit& ,o$#cil still does #ot belie%e 5$rma has that ki#d o! ambitio#' #ot to me#tio# the o%erall #$clear capacit& to embark o# the co#tro%ersial pro"ram. ,o#cer#ed o!!icials ar"$ed that domestic problems still ha%e precede#ce. 6a%i ,ho#"kitta%or# is se#ior editor a#d a col$m#ist at the 5a#"kokAbased +#"lishAla#"$a"e dail& #ewspaper' The Natio#. This article appeared i# The Natio# o# 4o#da&.
http://www.theDakarta"lobe.com/opi#io#/b$rmaA#orthAkoreaAtiesAworr&AtheAworld/:71871
O! all *o$theast Asia# co$#tries' 5$rma has the stro#"est strate"ic ratio#ale !or a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. *i#ce the aborti%e proAdemocrac& $prisi#" i# 1)88' the militar& "o%er#me#t has !eared armed i#ter%e#tio# b& the 9#ited *tates a#d its allies. The re"ime has also s$!!ered !rom eco#omic sa#ctio#s a#d other p$#iti%e meas$res. 5$rmaBs "e#erals e#%& North 6oreaBs abilit& to resist s$ch press$res a#d still wi# co#cessio#s !rom the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. The& reportedl& belie%e that this i#!l$e#ce deri%es !rom .&o#"&a#"Bs possessio# o! #$clear weapo#s. -# additio#' 5$rma has !or some &ears bee# worki#" closel& with two North 6orea# tradi#" e#tities that ha%e a record o! proli!erati#" se#siti%e #$clear a#d missile tech#olo"ies. Also' 5$rma has imported a #$mber o! sophisticated machi#es a#d items o! d$alA$se eC$ipme#t !rom +$rope a#d (apa# that co$ld co#cei%abl& be $sed i# a #$clear pro"ram. The #$mber o! 5$rmese se#t to R$ssia !or #$clearArelated trai#i#" seems to be more tha# that reC$ired !or a peace!$l research pro"ram. 0$rthermore' some o! the claims made b& the ?de!ectors@ are pla$sible. No#e o! these !actors i# themsel%es pro%e that 5$rma has embarked o# a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. A!ter the mistakes o! the -raC war' #o "o%er#me#t wa#ts to r$sh to D$d"me#t based o# i#complete or $#%eri!ied i#telli"e#ce. Fa%i#" bee# ca$"ht #appi#" a !ew &ears a"o' howe%er' whe# it was disco%ered that *&ria was b$ildi#" a reactor with North 6orea# help' the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& is #ow looki#" care!$ll& !or hard e%ide#ce o! a secret 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram.
+ast Asia 0or$m A#drew *elth is a research !ellow at the Gri!!ith Asia -#stit$te i# N$ee#sla#d.
http://www.#atio#ali#terest.or"/Article.asp Oid`2:114
Nuclear 3angoon
b& /o$" 5a#dow 0:.:0.2010 0or &ears the Eest has treated 5$rma as primaril& a h$ma#itaria# crisis. Now the iss$e is complicated b& e%ide#ce that the r$li#" D$#ta is i#terested i# #$clear e#er"&' a#d perhaps e%e# i# #$clear weapo#s. *till' the idea o! a# atomic arse#al i# Ra#"oo# is both dista#t a#d !arA!etched. The more immediate challe#"e !or Eashi#"to# is deali#" with o#e o! the most repressi%e re"imes r$li#" o%er o#e o! the poorest peoples. The 9#ited *tates sho$ld promote more democratic "o%er#a#ce a#d i#creased i#ter#atio#al e#"a"eme#t' which $ltimatel& wo$ld red$ce a#& i#ce#ti%e !or 5$rma' also k#ow# as 4&a#mar' to co#sider atomic optio#s. 5$rma has s$!!ered $#der militar& r$le !or !i%e decades. The D$#ta !oolishl& held a# electio# i# 1))0' which was wo# o%erwhelmi#"l& b& A$#" *a# *$$ 6&iBs Natio#al 2ea"$e !or /emocrac&. The re"ime %oided the poll a#d arrested #$mero$s democrac& acti%ists. The soAcalled *tate .eace a#d /e%elopme#t ,o$#cil <*./,= has br$tall& s$ppressed h$ma# ri"hts e%er si#ce. *$$ 6&i' a Nobel .ri;e 2a$reate' has spe#t decades $#der ho$se arrest. The *./, #ow is prepari#" to hold electio#s or"a#i;ed to e#s$re perma#e#t militar& co#trol. .romised a$to#om& b& the 5ritish' eth#ic "ro$ps like the 6are#' 6are##i' ,hi#' *ha#' 6achi#' a#d Ea lo#" ha%e battled the ce#tral "o%er#me#t. 0i"hti#" i# the #atio#Bs east has killed a#d i#D$red te#s o! tho$sa#ds' !orced h$#dreds o! tho$sa#d to !lee o%er the border i#to Thaila#d' a#d displaced millio#s more withi# 5$rma. -# rece#t &ears the re"ime has reached ceaseA!ire a"reeme#ts with se%eral "ro$ps' b$t basic political iss$es remai# $#resol%ed a#d te#sio#s ha%e bee# risi#". The "o%er#me#t is pressi#" "ro$ps to disarm a#d disba#d' witho$t o!!eri#" a#& political protectio#s. 6are# Natio#al 9#io# Ge#eral *ecretar& Lipporah *ei# war#s that there is the ?"reatest possibilit& o! re#ewed co#!lict.@ The 5$rmese arm& a#d eth#ic !orces are prepari#" !or re#ewed hostilities. -# 2008 ,&clo#e Nar"is ra%a"ed 5$rma' killi#" a# estimated 140'000 people a#d lea%i#" more tha# three millio# homeless. The co$#tr& remai#s desperatel& poor' with a per capita G/. estimated to r$# #o more tha# b1'200. Get this tra"icall& mis"o%er#ed a#d impo%erished #atio# has bee# acc$sed o! de%elopi#" #$clear weapo#s. 2ast &ear the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald reported: ?R$mors ha%e swirled aro$#d re!$"ee circles o$tside 5$rma abo$t secret militar& i#stallatio#s' t$##els d$" i#to the mo$#tai#s to hide #$clear !acilities' the establishme#t o! a Q#$clear battalio#B i# the arm& a#d work do#e b& !orei"# scie#tists.@ /e!ectors cite pla#s to co#str$ct #$clear bombs. 2ast &ear *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# %oiced co#cer# o%er possible #$clear cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. /iscer#i#" the *./,Bs capabilities a#d i#te#tio#s is #ot eas&. A!ter all' the !a#ci!$l claims o! Ahmed ,halabiBs !amed de!ector' ?,$r%eball'@ helped D$sti!& the 9.*. i#%asio# o! -raC. A$thor ,atheri#e ,olli#s ack#owled"es that ?the e%ide#ce o! mal!easa#ce so !ar is sli"ht@ b$t worries that similar whispers o! -sraeli #$clear acti%it& i# the 1)10s t$r#ed o$t to be acc$rate. -# !act' 5$rmese i#terest i# #$clear power r$#s back decades. That does #ot' howe%er' mea# the re"ime has a# i#terest i# de%elopi#" #$clear weapo#s. 5$rma is a most $#likel& #$clear weapo#s state. -t has o#l& abo$t hal! o! North 6oreaBs per capita G/.. 2ack o! !$#ds is tho$"ht to ha%e held $p pla##ed R$ssia# co#str$ctio# o! a #$clear research reactorVwhich wo$ld operate $#der i#ter#atio#al sa!e"$ards.
The re"ime m$st spe#d hea%il& o# the arm& to s$ppress domestic protest a#d eth#ic resista#ce' p$rposes !or which atomic weapo#s wo$ld be $seless. A#d the re"ime !aces #o serio$s o$tside threats. Ehat o! para#oia a#d presti"eO A$thor 5ertil 2i#t#er co#te#ds: ?There is #o do$bt that the 5$rmese "e#erals wo$ld like to ha%e a bomb so that the& co$ld challe#"e the America#s a#d the rest o! the world.@ .erhaps' tho$"h D$st bei#" tho$"ht to ha%e the possibilit& o! maki#" o#e mi"ht ha%e some deterre#t %al$e. A#d A#drew *elth o! the Gri!!ith Asia -#stit$te poi#ts to ?a sie"e me#talit& amo#" 5$rmaBs leaders. +%e# #ow' the& !ear i#ter%e#tio# b& the 9#ited *tates a#d its alliesVpossibl& e%e# a# i#%asio#Vto restore democrac& to 5$rma.@ Fowe%er' he belie%es that at most ?a !ew 5$rmese "e#erals e#%& North 6oreaBs appare#t abilit& to $se its #$clear weapo#s capabilities to !e#d o!! its e#emies a#d wi# co#cessio#s !orm the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&.@ -# !act' the best e%ide#ce is a"ai#st a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. The -rrawadd& News 4a"a;i#e cites $#dersta#dable s$spicio#s' b$t opi#es: ?-t is admittedl& premat$re to co#cl$de that 5$rma i#te#ds to $#dertake the complicated a#d perilo$s process o! reprocessi#" $ra#i$m to "et weapo#sA"rade pl$to#i$m.@ A rece#t report !rom the 2o#do#Abased -#ter#atio#al -#stit$te !or *trate"ic *t$dies <--**= co#cl$ded that 5$rma: has no known capabilities that would lend themsel7es to a nuclear weapons program* apart from limited uranium deposits and some personnel who ha7e recei7ed nuclear training o7erseas8 -f it is built* a %$ M=t research reactor and associated training from 3ussia could pro7ide the basis for an e7entual ci7ilian nuclear power program* but few of the skills reBuired for such a program are readily transferable to nuclear weapons de7elopment8 SpecialiLed reprocessing or enrichment facilities would be necessary to produce weapons'usable fissile material* and any attempt to di7ert plutonium from the reactor is likely to be detected by -A0A inspectors8 Are there secret !acilitiesO Noted a (a#$ar& st$d& !rom the -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit& <-*-*= i# Eashi#"to#' /.,.: the ?sheer #$mber o! alle"ed secret sites posited b& these de!ectors b& itsel! raises do$bts abo$t their claims.@ North 6orea has assisted the *./, i# b$ildi#" t$##els #ear its #ew capital o! Na&p&idaw' b$t the little a%ailable i#telli"e#ce s$""ests that the& ha%e #o#A#$clear p$rposes. ,o#cl$ded the -*-*: ?/espite the p$blic reports to the co#trar&' the militar& D$#ta does #ot appear to be close to establishi#" a si"#i!ica#t #$clear capabilit&. -#!ormatio# s$""esti#" the co#str$ctio# o! maDor #$clear !acilities appears $#reliable or i#co#cl$si%e.@ -# past &ears the *i#"apore "o%er#me#t said the possibilit& was ?$#likel&@ a#d the 5ritish "o%er#me#t !o$#d #o e%ide#ce o! $ra#i$m reprocessi#" or e#richme#t. Eashi#"to# co#siste#tl& has e cl$ded 5$rma whe# disc$ssi#" #o#proli!eratio# iss$es. America a#d other states still ha%e reaso#s to be watch!$l a#d war&. There is #o crisis' howe%er. Noted the -*-*: ?5eca$se 5$rmaBs k#ow# pro"ram is so small' the 9#ited *tates a#d its allies ha%e a# opport$#it& to both e#"a"e a#d press$re the militar& re"ime i# a ma##er that wo$ld make it e tremel& di!!ic$lt !or 5$rma to acC$ire a #$clear weapo#s capabilit&' let alo#e #$clear weapo#s.@ 9#!ort$#atel&' the EestBs abilit& to i#!l$e#ce the *./, i# a#& re"ard is C$ite limited. The re"ime places its s$r%i%al abo%e all other obDecti%es' while the 9.*. a#d +9 alread& appl& eco#omic sa#ctio#s a"ai#st 5$rma. 4ost o! 5$rmaBs #ei"hbors i#%est i# a#d trade with the re"ime. R$ssia a#d ,hi#a ha%e blocked 9N sa#ctio#sH the latter also has helped arm the D$#ta. Re"ime cha#"e ob%io$sl& is desirable !or the people o! 5$rma as well as Eester# "o%er#me#ts' b$t i! the D$#ta belie%es that it !aces a militar& threatVo#e reaso# it appare#tl& reDected America# c&clo#e aid se#t %ia 9.*. warshipsVit is likel& to be less willi#" to co#sider political re!orm a#d more willi#" to p$rs$e a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. Th$s' Eashi#"to# sho$ld seek to red$ce the D$#taBs !ears.
A#drew *elth makes a reaso#able ar"$me#t that the ?a""ressi%e rhetoric' ope# s$pport !or oppositio# !i"$res' !$#di#" !or e patriate "ro$ps a#d militar& i#ter%e#tio#s i# other $#democratic co$#tries ha%e all e#co$ra"ed the belie! amo#" 5$rmaBs leaders that the America a#d its allies are be#t o# !orcible re"ime cha#"e.@ The 9#ited *tates sho$ld co#ti#$e to press !or impro%ed h$ma# ri"hts' b$t sho$ld demo#strate b& word a#d deed that there are #o pla#s to take militar& actio# a"ai#st 5$rma. -# !act' *elth belie%es that ?the *./,Bs !ears o! a# i#%asio# seem to ha%e dimi#ished i# rece#t &ears.@ At the same time' America' the +9' ,a#ada' a#d A$stralia sho$ld to"ether o!!er to rela trade a#d diplomatic sa#ctio#s i! the re"ime takes steps which "e#$i#el& ope# the political s&stem a#d red$ce eth#ic co#!lict. At the same time' the Eester# states sho$ld e#co$ra"e -#dia' (apa#' *o$th 6orea' a#d the A*+AN states to appl& coordi#ated diplomatic a#d eco#omic press$re o# the *./,' backed b& the threat o! imposi#" tar"eted sa#ctio#s a"ai#st D$#ta leaders a#d b$si#ess part#ers. The pai# sho$ld be perso#ali;ed a"ai#st decisio#Amakers rather tha# applied a"ai#st the e#tire pop$latio#. Eashi#"to# sho$ld $se the pote#tial' howe%er slim' o! a 5$rmese #$clear pro"ram to e#co$ra"e "reater -#dia# a#d R$ssia# i#%ol%eme#t' i# partic$lar. 5oth #atio#s ro$ti#el& resist i#ter%e#tio# to promote h$ma# ri"hts' b$t the& mi"ht be more willi#" to press !or political re!orm i! doi#" so wo$ld red$ce the likelihood o! #$clear complicatio#s. The 9#ited *tates sho$ld similarl& e#"a"e ,hi#a. America# o!!icials sho$ld make the ar"$me#t that 5eiDi#"' too' is harmed b& i#stabilit& i# 5$rma' especiall& i! the latter becomes a #$clear state. ,hi#a rece#tl& was a#"ered b& a 5$rmese militar& o!!e#si%e which p$shed re!$"ees across its border. *$rel& 5eiDi#" does #ot wa#t a#other isolated' $#predictable #$clear weapo#s state as a #ei"hbor. 4oreo%er' promoti#" political cha#"e i# 5$rma wo$ld e#ha#ce ,hi#aBs i#ter#atio#al rep$tatio#. Eashi#"to# also sho$ld pled"eVa promise worth repeati#" !or North 6oreaVthat that 9#ited *tates wo$ld #ot take militar& ad%a#ta"e o! a#& 5$rmese liberali;atio#. There wo$ld be #o America# bases' #a%al deplo&me#ts' or trai#i#" missio#s irrespecti%e o! the "o%er#me#t. 5$rma mi"ht #ot respo#d positi%el&. Get i# the mo#ths a!ter ,&clo#e Nar"is the -#ter#atio#al ,risis Gro$p reported that ?it is possible to work with the militar& re"ime o# h$ma#itaria# iss$es.@ 0ra#k *mith$is o! /octors Eitho$t 5orders similarl& said that ?the militar& at times has act$all& bee# C$ite help!$l to $s.@ 5$rma is o#e o! the worldBs "reatest i#ter#atio#al tra"edies. N$clear weapo#s wo$ld t$r# it i#to o#e o! the "reatest i#ter#atio#al challe#"es. 9#!ort$#atel&' c$rre#t 9.*. polic& is doi#" #othi#" to help the 5$rmese people. -t is time to tr& a di!!ere#t approach i# a# attempt to sim$lta#eo$sl& aid political liberali;atio# a#d e#d talk o! a 5$rmese 5omb. /o$" 5a#dow is a se#ior !ellow at the ,ato -#stit$te. A !ormer special assista#t to .reside#t Rea"a#' he also is the Robert A. Ta!t 0ellow at the America# ,o#ser%ati%e /e!e#se Allia#ce a#d the a$thor o! se%eral books' i#cl$di#" 0orei"# 0ollies: AmericaBs New Global +mpire <>$lo#=.
http://o#li#e.wsD.com/article/*51000142401274870:)0)804171124414011718:08.htmlOmod`E*(Rlatestheadli#es
best' most s$stai#able mea#s o! elimi#ati#" the threat posed b& 5$rmeseANorth 6orea# cooperatio# is mo%eme#t toward a more represe#tati%e' respo#sible 5$rmese "o%er#me#t' di!!ic$lt tho$"h this ma& be. As 4r. ,ampbell has said' the path to impro%ed 9.*.A5$rma relatio#s a#d impro%eme#t i# the sit$atio# i# 5$rma lies thro$"h Kthe immediate a#d $#co#ditio#al release o! 4s. *$$ 6&i a#d all political priso#ers' a# e#d to co#!licts with eth#ic mi#orities a#d "ross h$ma#Ari"hts %iolatio#s' a#d i#itiatio# o! a credible i#ter#al political dialo"$e with the democratic oppositio# a#d eth#ic mi#orit& leaders o# eleme#ts o! reco#ciliatio# a#d re!orm.K -tJs time !or the Obama admi#istratio# to !ollow $p o# those words. The Ehite Fo$se #eeds to make clear that it is #ot i#terested i# c$tti#" a deal with the 5$rmese re"ime to e#d #$clear cooperatio# with .&o#"&a#" i# e cha#"e !or accepti#" the per%ersel& labeled Kroadmap to discipli#eA!lo$rishi#" democrac&.K The& ca# start b& stro#"l& e#dorsi#" 9.N. F$ma# Ri"hts Rapporte$r Tomas ODea N$i#ta#aJs proposal to co#%e#e a ,ommissio# o! -#C$ir& to i#%esti"ate war crimes a#d crimes a"ai#st h$ma#it& i# 5$rma' a#d b& p$tti#" mea#i#"!$l *ec$rit& ,o$#cil co#sideratio# o! 5$rma back o# the a"e#da. The Obama admi#istratio# m$st sta& !oc$sed o# worki#" with other democracies' partic$larl& Asea# members' to establish be#chmarks !or the s&stemic' irre%ersible domestic political cha#"es 5$rma #eeds. This m$st be backed $p b& sa#ctio#s that are broadl& s$pported a#d #arrowl& tar"eted. As decades o! Kco#str$cti%e e#"a"eme#tK ha%e pro%e#' aba#do#i#" pri#ciple a#d attempti#" to c$t o$t the democrac& mo%eme#t to #e"otiate directl& with the D$#ta has #e%er worked with 5$rmaJs "e#erals. -#stead' it D$st pla&s i#to their ha#ds. 4s. ,$rrie is a se#ior !ellow with the .roDect 204) -#stit$te' a Eashi#"to#' /,Abased thi#k ta#k.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/*o$theastRAsia/2,10Ae02.html
http://www.!orei"#polic&.com/articles/2010/0:/01/thisRweekRatRwarRtheRpowellRdoctri#eRisRdeadOpa"e`0'1
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`17818
recei%e e pert trai#i#" !or its special !orces' air de!e#se trai#i#"' pl$s a la#"$a"e trai#i#" pro"ram betwee# perso##el i# the two armed !orces. -# ($l& 200)' 9* *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# e pressed co#cer# o%er militar& li#ks betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' a!ter e%ide#ce emer"ed that the 5$rmese D$#ta ma& be tr&i#" to acC$ire #$clear tech#olo"& !rom .&o#"&a#". ?Ee k#ow that there are also "rowi#" co#cer#s abo$t militar& coAoperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma' which we take %er& serio$sl&'@ ,li#to# told Do$r#alists i# 5a#"kok d$ri#" a %isit to *o$theast Asia. ?-t wo$ld be destabili;i#" !or the re"io#. -t wo$ld pose a direct threat to 5$rmaJs #ei"hbors.@ 4ilitar& a#al&sts sa& the North 6orea# re"ime has pro%ided 5$rma with weapo#s' militar& tech#olo"& tra#s!ers a#d e pertise i# $#der"ro$#d t$##eli#" $sed !or co#ceali#" secret militar& i#stallatio#s a#d si#ce 2002' do;e#s o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e assisted the 5$rmese armed !orces.
http://www.mi;;ima.com/#ews/re"io#al/:418Arall&AatA#$clearAsec$rit&Asemi#arAtoAprotestAb$rmasAprese#ce.html
http://www.low&i#terpreter.or"/post/2010/01/11/5$rmaA-!A#otA#$kesAwhatAabo$tAmissiles.asp
North 6orea militar& e pert (oseph 5erm$de; belie%es the iss$e o! ballistic missile sales has arise# i# all maDor meeti#"s betwee# the North 6orea#s a#d 5$rmese si#ce bilateral relatio#s warmed i# the earl& 2000s. Fowe%er' he thi#ks Na&p&idaw is #ot read& !or s$ch weapo#s &et. -t #eeds to trai# perso##el' !orm $#its a#d b$ild specialised s$pport !acilities <i#cl$di#" some $#der"ro$#d=. 5erm$de; has also s$""ested that premat$re acC$isitio# o! *R54s mi"ht complicate the p$rchase o! other !orei"# arms a#d eC$ipme#t so$"ht b& the re"ime. A#other possibilit& is that Na&p&idaw pla#s to b$ild its ow# *R54s' with .&o#"&a#"Js help. *e#ior 5$rmese o!!icials %isiti#" North 6orea ha%e i#spected ballistic missile prod$ctio# pla#ts. *ome o! the sophisticated machi#e tools a#d d$alA$se eC$ipme#t imported !rom +$rope a#d (apa# i# rece#t &ears ma& #ot be !or a secret #$clear weapo#s pro"ram' as o!te# claimed' b$t !or a# i#di"e#o$s *R54 !actor&. Ehile #ot %er& eco#omical' s$ch a scheme wo$ld be i# keepi#" with the re"imeJs wish !or de!e#ce sel!As$!!icie#c&. -! this is the re"imeJs aim' s$ch a de%elopme#t is likel& to be some &ears awa&. *till' the C$estio# #eeds to be asked: what co$ld 5$rma do with s$ch weapo#sO Gi%e# their relati%el& short ra#"e' C$estio#able acc$rac& a#d small co#%e#tio#al warhead' *R54s are o! limited militar& $tilit&. -#e%itabl&' this has prompted spec$latio# that Na&p&idaw pla#s to arm them with chemical or #$clear warheads' either made i# 5$rma or acC$ired !rom North 6orea. +%e# so' *R54s wo$ld be i#e!!ecti%e a"ai#st a seaAbor#e threat a#d the& are $#likel& to be aimed at ,hi#a or -#dia' both o! which c$rre#tl& s$pport 5$rmaJs militar& re"ime. O#e theor& is that Na&p&idaw wa#ts a weapo# that ca# pose a threat to 5a#"kok' to help deter Thaila#d !rom allowi#" the 9* to la$#ch a# i#%asio# o! 5$rma !rom Thai territor&. The 9* has #e%er co#templated s$ch a# i#%asio# a#d is $#likel& e%er to do so' b$t the prospect o! militar& i#ter%e#tio# has worried 5$rmaJs "e#erals e%er si#ce the& cr$shed the 1)88 proAdemocrac& $prisi#". +%e# the Thai ki#" has e pressed his co#cer#s abo$t Thaila#d bei#" $sed b& the 9* i# this wa&. Other reaso#s !or Na&p&idawJs i#terest i# *R54s probabl& i#cl$de the re"imeJs desire !or stat$s a#d presti"e' its perceptio#s o! what Jmoder#J armed !orces sho$ld ha%e i# their weapo#s i#%e#tories' a#d its wish !or 5$rma to be take# serio$sl& as a# i#ter#atio#al actor. As with so ma#& aspects o! 5$rmaJs sec$rit&' there is %er& little hard e%ide#ce o# which to base assessme#ts. A#d a#al&sis o! this problem is complicated' as alwa&s' b& r$mo$rs' $#s$bsta#tiated claims' spec$lati%e #ews reports a#d propa"a#da. +%e# so' the cha#ces o! 5$rma o#e da& acC$iri#" or ma#$!act$ri#" *R54s seem to be "reater tha# those o! Na&p&idaw prod$ci#" a #$clear weapo#. That makes a#other reaso# to mo#itor sec$rit& de%elopme#ts i# 5$rma closel&.
-ndian Article2 China ;elping Burma 1o Become Nuclear ;ub of 9 ariah States9
Article b& R.*.N. *i#"h: K5$rma Goi#" N$clearKH !or assista#ce with m$ltimedia eleme#ts' co#tact O*, at <800= 201A8811 or O*,i#!oXrccb.osis."o%. -#dia# /e!e#ce Re%iew Eed#esda&' /ecember 18' 200) T1::48:10L (o$r#al ,ode: )4)4 2a#"$a"e: +NG2-*F Record T&pe: 0922T+>T /oc$me#t T&pe: O*, Tra#scribed Te t Eord ,o$#t: 2':28 <Te t dissemi#ated as recei%ed witho$t O*, editorial i#ter%e#tio#= There has bee# a# $#mistakable sp$rt i# the de%elopme#t a#d acC$isitio# o! #$clear weapo# capabilities b& the 4ilitar& ($#ta re"ime i# 5$rma. Gi%e# the le%el o! pro"ress i# this re"ard' it is recko#ed b& %ario$s a"e#cies that this wo$ld be reali;ed b& the &ear 2014. The media i# the *o$theast Asia# re"io# is ri!e with i#si#$atio#s that this proDect is i# pro"ress' i# acti%e collaboratio# with North 6orea $#der the ae"is o! ,hi#a. The Associatio# o! *o$th +ast Asia# Natio#s <A*+AN= is sei;ed o! the matter. Rece#tl& at the A*+AN Re"io#al 0or$m 4eet at .h$ket i# Thaila#d i# ($l& 200)' the 9* *ecretar& o! *tate' 4s Fillar& ,li#to# %oiced her co#cer# o%er reports abo$t militar& cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d #$clear armed North 6orea. This stateme#t sho$ld be %iewed i# the backdrop o! the i#cide#t wherei# a North 6orea# 2000Ato##e !rei"hter J6a#" NamA-'J alle"edl& carr&i#" ille"al car"o' a#d headed !or 5$rma' was tracked i# ($#e 200) b& a 9* Na%& destro&er 9** (oh# * 4c,ai# a#d was !orced to re%erse co$rse' reportedl& at the behest o! ,hi#a. 9N Resol$tio# 1874 permits North 6orea# ships s$spected o! carr&i#" ille"al car"o to be searched. North 6orea co#%e&ed that a#& s$ch mo%e wo$ld be co#sidered as a# Jact o! war.J *i#ce the &ear 2000' there ha%e bee# reports abo$t North 6orea# ships o!!loadi#" co#str$ctio# a#d other material at Thilawa port i# 5$rma. -t is i#tri"$i#" that these acti%ities were taki#" place d$ri#" the period whe# North 6orea a#d 5$rma did #ot ha%e diplomatic relatio#ship si#ce 1)8:' which was restored o#l& i# 2007. The relatio#s betwee# the two co$#tries were s#apped' !ollowi#" the bombi#" o! 4art&rJs ma$sole$m i# Ga#"o# b& North 6orea# a"e#ts i# a# attempt to assassi#ate the %isiti#" *o$th 6orea# preside#t' ,h$# /oohwa#. *i#ce the restoratio# o! diplomatic relatio#s i# 2007' there has bee# a !l$rr& o! secret %isits b& 5$rma o!!icials to North 6orea' which co$ld #ot ha%e bee# possible witho$t a reaso#able le%el o! e#"a"eme#t a#d cooperatio# betwee# the two co$#tries d$ri#" the soAcalled Jdiplomatic !ree;e.J No soo#er had the diplomatic relatio#s bee# restored' a 5$rma dele"atio# led b& 2t Ge# 4&i#t Flai#"' the ,hie! o! Air /e!e#ce' !ollowed b& a#other dele"atio# headed b& 2t Ge# Ti# A&e' ,hie! o! the O!!ice o! ,hie! /e!e#se -#d$stries' %isited North 6orea. The compositio# o! these dele"atio#s s$""ests that besides cooperatio# !or proc$reme#t a#d de%elopme#t o! co#%e#tio#al weapo#s' there are aspiratio#s o# 5$rmaJs part to seek assista#ce i# #$clear weapo#s a#d missile tech#olo"&. -! it was o#l& co#%e#tio#al weapo#s' ,hi#a is well placed to meet its reC$ireme#ts. As it is 5$rma a#d ,hi#a ha%e thri%i#" de!e#ce cooperatio# a#d more tha# 70 perce#t o! 5$rmaJs militar& arse#al is o! ,hi#ese ori"i#. 4oreo%er' North 6orea la"s !ar behi#d ,hi#a i# co#%e#tio#al weapo# tech#olo"ies. 5$t as !ar as tra#s!er o! #$clear a#d missile tech#olo"ies is co#cer#ed' it has bee# the wo#t o! ,hi#a to s$ppl& them thro$"h their pro ies like North 6orea so as to de!lect i#ter#atio#al opprobri$m. .akista# is o#e s$ch "lari#" e ample. *o$rces ha%e re%ealed that the 5$rmaANorth 6orea rapprocheme#t was pai#staki#"l& bro$"ht abo$t b& ,hi#a. -t is belie%ed that whe# the 5$rma a$thorities approached ,hi#a !or s$ppl& o! Jhowit;er "$#sJ' the ,hi#ese a$thorities e pressed their i#abilit& o# the plea o! shorta"es' b$t said that the same co$ld be obtai#ed !rom North 6orea i# e cha#"e !or rice. /$ri#" that period' North 6orea was !aci#" se%ere !ood shorta"es d$e to dro$"ht. At
the behest o! ,hi#a' ambassadors o! 5$rma a#d North 6orea to Thaila#d met each other. The desperatio# o# ,hi#aJs part to !acilitate the rapprocheme#t process betwee# the two i#ter#atio#all& pariah #atio#s' e tremel& close a#d beholde# to ,hi#a' is a poi#ter towards the e%ol$tio# o! a #ew ,hi#ese strate"& i# the re"io#. -t is belie%ed that these secret dele"atio#s !rom 5$rma to North 6orea had "o#e to seek !$rther cooperatio# as part o! the t$##eli#" proDect alread& $#derwa& i# a mo$#tai# comple <*etkha&a 4o$#tai#s= i# Na$#" 2ai#" %illa"e i# so$th east o! .&i# Oo 2wi# i# 4a#dala& /i%isio#. The o!!Aloadi#" o! a special co#str$ctio# material b& North 6orea# ships o# se%eral occasio#s partiall& %i#dicates the belie!. There are ima"es a%ailable to s$""est e tremel& lar"e #etwork o! t$##els <some 800 i# #$mbers= bei#" e ca%ated' appare#tl& with the help o! North 6orea. The North 6orea# assista#ce is corroborated b& the !act that 5$rma does #ot ha%e t$##eli#" capabilit&. 4ea#while' 9ra#i$m is also bei#" acti%ated i# at least te# locatio#s. -t ma& be perti#e#t to me#tio# that the 6achi# state o! 5$rma is rich i# 9ra#i$m' which reportedl& i# the past was bei#" cla#desti#el& e ca%ated b& (apa# with the tacit i#d$l"e#ce o! re"io#al leaders d$ri#" the period whe# the state was %irt$all& o$t o! co#trol o! the ce#tral a$thorit&. The desi"# o! the reactor at Na$#" 2ai#"' as so$rces re%eal' $ses water to pro%ide carbo# dio ide $sed i# the cooli#" loop' a#d bears resembla#ce with the reactor at Go#"b&o# a#d the reactor i# *&ria' bei#" co#str$cted alle"edl& b& North 6orea# assista#ce' which was e%e#t$all& bombed b& the -sraelis i# *eptember 2007. There are other i#dicatio#s with re"ard to 5$rmaJs C$est !or #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"&. *oo# a!ter .akista# carried o$t its #$clear tests i# 4a& 1))8' 5$rmaJs Fead o! *tate' *e#ior Ge#eral Tha# *hwe si"#ed the Atomic +#er"& 2aw o# 08 ($#e 1))8. The timi#" o! this e%e#t clearl& re%eals a strate"ic p$rs$it with re"ard to #$clear tech#olo"& rather tha# a#& be#i"# desi"#s o! C$est !or #$clear e#er"& !or peace!$l p$rposes. -mporta#tl&' post )/11' two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists' *$leima# Asad a#d 4ohammad Ali 4$khtar took re!$"e i# 5$rma i# No%ember 2001 whe# the 9* i#telli"e#ce be"a# to i#%esti"ate the #e $s betwee# .akista#i #$clear scie#tists a#d the AlAN$aeda. This co$ld #ot ha%e bee# possible witho$t i#timate #$clear cooperatio# betwee# the two co$#tries' certai#l& with the tacit appro%al o! ,hi#a. The whereabo$ts o! these two scie#tists is still $#k#ow#. -t was alle"ed earlier that the& were sheltered i# the 4$slim domi#ated area o! 4a#dala& b& the 5$rma a$thorities. There is #ot a word abo$t them !rom the .akista# a$thorities a#d e%e# the 9* has become !laccid i# its h$#t !or them. The militar& "o%er#me#t established a /epartme#t o! Atomic +#er"& i# 2001 $#der 9 Tha$#"' a k#ow# propo#e#t o! #$clear tech#olo"& who c$rre#tl& heads the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&. Fe made a secret %isit to .akista#' the chie! a"e#da bei#" #$clear cooperatio#. /$ri#" the same period' i# 2001' three .akista#i Na%al %essels' i.e. a s$bmari#e' a ta#ker a#d a destro&er %isited Ga#"o# port. This was a# $#precede#ted de%elopme#t' si#ce till the#' 5$rma had stead!astl& mai#tai#ed that it wo$ld #ot permit !orei"# #a%al %essels to %isit the co$#tr&Js ports. The "oodwill %isit b& the .akista# Na%al ships was immediatel& !ollowed b& the %isit o! Ge#eral .ar%e; 4$sharra!' the the# ,hie! + ec$ti%e o! .akista#. The 5$rma a$thorities' which met Ge#eral 4$sharra! also i#cl$ded 9 Tha$#". There has bee# a !resh impet$s i# de!e#ce cooperatio# betwee# .akista# a#d 5$rma si#ce the &ear 2000. 5$rma has bee# soliciti#" .akista#Js assista#ce i# some %er& ke& areas like setti#" $p o! a# airAde!e#ce #etwork' $p"radatio# o! air!ields' a#d establishme#t o! the 9#i%ersit& o! Aero#a$tical a#d *pace +d$catio# <4eiktila=. 5$rma has also so$"ht .akista#Js assista#ce i# carto"raphic s$r%e& a#d mappi#". Gi%e# ,hi#ese strate"ic se#siti%ities with re"ard to 5$rma' s$ch "rowi#" bo#homie betwee# .akista# a#d 5$rma ca##ot be possible witho$t ,hi#ese proddi#" a#d s$pport. -t was also d$ri#" this period that R$ssia' at 5$rmaJs reC$est' a##o$#ced its i#te#tio# to b$ild a research reactor i# 5$rma. -# 2002' 5$rmaJs dep$t& !orei"# mi#ister' 6hi# 4a$#" Ei#' a##o$#ced that 5$rma had decided to b$ild a #$clear research reactor !or prod$ci#" radioisotopes !or medical p$rposes. -t ma& be reiterated that the healthAcare !acilities i# 5$rma are o! ab&smal sta#dards a#d there are %er& !ew hospitals eC$ipped a#d trai#ed to ha#dle radioAisotopes. The a"reeme#t with R$ssia !or setti#" $p a 10 me"awatt reactor #ear 4a"we i# 5$rma
was si"#ed o#l& i# 4a& 2007 d$e to !i#a#cial di!!ic$lties. Ne%ertheless' h$#dreds o! militar& perso##el had bee# se#t to R$ssia betwee# the &ear 2001 a#d 2007 !or trai#i#" i# #$clear scie#ce a#d tech#olo"&. -# some i#sta#ces' their trai#i#" d$ratio# was e te#ded as the R$ssia# i#str$ctors !o$#d a si"#i!ica#t #$mber o! perso##el witho$t the reC$isite basic k#owled"e a#d bei#" slow o# the $ptake. Th$s' 5$rma i# the last decade or so has bee# able to create a pool o! perso##el trai#ed i# har#essi#" #$clear tech#olo"& !or ci%il applicatio#. O# the !lip side' a#d b& co#scio$s desi"#' the& were also "ro$#ded i# the basic k#owled"e o! #$clear tech#olo"&' which is bei#" ho#ed a#d $tili;ed !or #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t pro"rammes. *o$rces' howe%er' mai#tai# that 5$rmaJs tech#olo"ical ma#power reso$rces despite all the e!!orts are still #ot compete#t e#o$"h to ha#dle #$clear !acilities or pro"rammes. There!ore' 5$rma has adopted a two pro#"ed strate"& !or de%elopme#t o! its #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme. The setti#" $p o! the 10 me"awatt reactor b& R$ssia is a parallel %e#t$re to act as a r$se !or #$clear weapo#s de%elopme#t acti%ities with the acti%e collaboratio# o! North 6orea. Altho$"h 5$rma is si"#ator& to the N$clear .roli!eratio# Treat& <N.T=' it is &et to a"ree to the Additio#al .rotocol' which allows the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= to co#d$ct more i#tr$si%e mo#itori#" o! #$clear !acilities a#d operatio#s. -# 4a& 2007' the 9* *tate /epartme#t spokesma#' 4r Tom ,ase&' said that the 9* had a K"e#eral se#seK that 5$rma had K#either the re"$lator& or le"al !rame #or sa!e"$ard pro%isio#sK !or a co$#tr& to be able to ha#dle s$ch a pro"ramme. Fe e pressed the apprehe#sio# that there were K#o acco$#ti#" mecha#isms or other ki#ds o! sec$rit& proced$resK to pre%e#t #$clear !$el !rom bei#" stole#. Fe added: KEe wo$ld be co#cer#ed abo$t the possibilit& !or accide#ts' !or e#%iro#me#tal dama"e' or !or proli!eratio# simpl& b& the possibilit& o! !$el bei#" di%erted' stole# or otherwise remo%ed.K 0ollowi#" the res$mptio# o! diplomatic relatio#s betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea' 5$rmaJs 4ilitar& ($#ta permitted North 6orea# tra#sport pla#es "oi#" to .akista# a#d -ra# to re!$el i# the Ga#"o# airport. The cla#desti#e cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d -ra# i# the !ield o! #$clear weapo#s a#d missile tech#olo"& is well k#ow#. /e!ectors !rom 5$rma alle"e that the ($#ta has se#t $ra#i$m deposits !rom its mi#es to -ra#' as also R$ssia' !or e%al$atio#. The #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme that 5$rma embarked o# a decade a"o characteri;es the coalesci#" o! its strate"ic imperati%es with a# i#d$l"e#t ,hi#a. The i#%ol%eme#t o! North 6orea' .akista# a#d to a# e te#t -ra#' !or !$rthera#ce o! ,hi#aJs re"io#al a#d "lobal a"e#da is i# keepi#" with their stat$s as pro & powers o! the latter. 5$rmaJs determi#ed bid to acC$ire #$clear capabilit& is J#ot -#diaAce#tric.J -t does #ot percei%e a#& threat !rom -#dia' which is appare#t !rom the deplo&me#t patter# o! its militar&. 0$rther' it has #o !i ed de!e#ces alo#" the 148: km lo#" -#doA 5$rma border' which is lar"el& $#disp$ted. -# !act' 5$rma clearl& desisted !rom de#o$#ci#" the -#dia# #$clear tests i# 4a& 1))8. 5$rma is p$rs$i#" the #$clear co$rse !or the %er& s$r%i%abilit& o! the militar& re"ime. -# that it is probabl& "$ided b& the North 6orea# e ample. The militar& re"ime i# 5$rma has also bee# circ$mspect abo$t t$r#i#" i#to a %assal state o! ,hi#a. Fowe%er' the re"imeJs s$r%i%al comp$lsio#s ha%e o$twei"hed other co#sideratio#s' which ,hi#a has bee# r$thlessl& e ploiti#". -#ter#atio#all&' the isolatio# o! 5$rma has re#dered it i#to a desperate political a#d eco#omic sit$atio#. There!ore' the #$clear capabilit& i# the pla$sible recko#i#" o! the 4ilitar& ($#ta will i#%est it with the m$ch #eeded diplomatic ma#e$%er space i# the i#ter#atio#al are#a' i# the abse#ce o! which 5$rma has #o o#e to t$r# to' e cept ,hi#a. -#deed' it is the i#ter#atio#al isolatio# o! 5$rma i# the )0s that compelled it to become beholde# o! ,hi#a Ne%ertheless' ,hi#aJs patro#a"e a#d e%e# its admissio# i#to the A*+AN as a !$ll member ha%e #ot miti"ated its political a#d eco#omic problems. The wester# world co#ti#$es to %iew the 5$rma re"ime as totalitaria#' repressi%e a#d re"ressi%e. The militar& dispe#satio# i# 5$rma' %er& m$ch like the re"ime i# North 6orea is para#oid abo$t bei#" dislod"ed b& i#ter%e#tio#' militar& or otherwise' b& the 9* a#d its allies. The #$clear weapo#s capabilit&' the 5$rma re"ime co#te#ds will strate"icall& i#s$late it a"ai#st a#& s$ch desi"#.
0or ,hi#a' a #$clear armed 5$rma will !$rther bolster its strate"ic e#circleme#t o! -#dia' the maDor challe#"e to its re"io#al s$premac&. -# the "lobal co#te t' pro & #$clear states ser%e as rob$st strate"ic paw#s i# the pre%aili#" $#iApolar i#ter#atio#al order. 5$rmaJs #$clear power stat$s will ha%e serio$s rami!icatio#s !or the A*+AN. 5esides dri%i#" the wed"e i# the "ro$pi#"' it will act as a co$#terpoise to the A*+AN co$#tries co#sidered close to the 9*. -t ma& be me#tio#ed that all members o! the A*+AN si"#ed the *o$th +ast Asia# N$clear Eeapo#s 0ree Lo#e Treat&' which came i#to !orce i# 1))7. The most dist$rbi#" part o! 5$rmaJs #$clear pro"ramme is the ,hi#aANorth 6oreaA5$rmaA.akista#A-ra# a is. *ome a#al&sts recko# that it is the part that 5$rmaJs #$clear pro"ramme is #ot e#tirel& o! its ow# %olitio#' b$t is a strate"ic ma#e$%er b& ,hi#a a#d its pro ies. The& mai#tai# that the lar"e #$mber o! t$##els bei#" do#e i# 5$rma is to store #$clear material o! these co$#tries $#der the i#ter#atio#al sca##er. 5$rma bei#" a# isolated a#d closed co$#tr& is ideal !or the p$rpose. -# other words' 5$rma ma& be becomi#" a #$clear h$b o! all #$clear pariah states $#der the leadership o! ,hi#a. </escriptio# o! *o$rce: New /elhi -#dia# /e!e#ce Re%iew i# +#"lish AA N$arterl& ma"a;i#e o# de!e#se iss$es. 4ost writers are retired se#ior militar& "e#erals.=
This is Goo"leJs cache o! http://www.#rc."o%/readi#"Arm/!oia/rece#tAreC$est.html. -t is a s#apshot o! the pa"e as it appeared o# /ec :' 200) 10:10::4 G4T. The c$rre#t pa"e co$ld ha%e cha#"ed i# the mea#time. [Retrie%ed 899:&;8&9@T;L5H9A]
http://o#li#e.wsD.com/article/*510001424012748704::1)041744)8181:717:7778.html
http://www.!orei"#polic&.com/articles/200)/10/20/theR!$t$reR#$clearRpowersR&o$Rsho$ldRbeRworriedRabo$t
http://www.thedail&star.#et/#ew/esi"#/#ewsAdetails.phpO#id`10)277
These make her more da#"ero$s. A#d bei#" so da#"ero$s is what !orces people like ,li#to# a#d Fillar& to %isit this otherwise pariah state. -# this process o! appeaseme#t' a sta"e ma& be reached whe# e%e# 5arack Obama ma& be willi#" to talk to it. There are se%eral other poi#ters that North 6orea is reall& helpi#" 5$rma to de%elop its #$clear weapo# AA .ro!. 5all s$""ested that 5$rma co$ld be processi#" 8 k" o! pl$to#i$m per &ear b& 2014' a!ter which it co$ld prod$ce o#e atomic bomb per &ear. 5$t it is also k#ow that appare#tl& compete#t i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies like ,-A a#d 4ossad ha%e bee# predicti#" that -ra# wo$ld ha%e #$clear weapo#s withi# !i%e &ears AA practicall& e%er& &ear si#ce 1))0. The& were wro#" abo$t -ra# e%er& &ear. A#d -ra# is a m$ch more ad%a#ced co$#tr& i# scie#ti!ic' tech#olo"ical a#d i#d$strial terms' tha# 5$rma. *$pposi#" the predictio# as re"ards 5$rma comes tr$e' wh& wo$ld 5$rma be doi#" itO Not to #$ke Thaila#d' 4ala&sia or 5a#"ladesh !or it has #o serio$s C$arrel with these #ei"hbo$rs. 5$t o#e ca# ima"i#e that *e#ior Ge#eral Tha# *hwe a#d his collea"$es wo$ld be a "reat deal relie%ed. 5eca$se the# the 9* a#d other "reat powers' i#stead o! co#dem#i#" a#d bo&cotti#" the 5$rmese dictatorship' wo$ld be be""i#" it to be respo#sible a#d "i%e $p its #$clear weapo#s. North 6orea also de%eloped #$clear weapo# precisel& !or the same p$rpose. 5ri" < retd= Fa!i; is !ormer /G o! 5--** [1an!ladesh 2nstitute o" 2nternational and trate!ic tudies]*
http://www.weekl&blit;.#et/i#de .phpOid`1010
A#other emi#e#t writer 5ertil 2i#t#er' who has e te#si%e k#owled"e o# *o$th Asia# a!!airs said' -t is C$ite clear' - thi#k' that altho$"h the 5$rmese ma& #ot ha%e a bomb or e%e# a #$clear capabilit& A #o' #ot &et A the&Jre certai#l& i#terested i# acC$iri#" o#e. 4r. 2i#t#er has writte# e te#si%el& abo$t 4&a#mar !rom his base i# Thaila#d. O# 18 4a& 2007' Asia News A"e#c& reported' R$ssia will pro%ide 4&a#mar with itBs !irst #$clear reactor. N$oti#" R$ssiaJs 0ederal Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& IRosatomM' Asia News A"e#c& said it had reached a deal with the militar& D$#ta to b$ild a #$clear research ce#tre. The pla#t will ha%e a li"htAwater reactor with a capacit& o! 104E. -t will $se 20 per ce#tAe#riched #$clear !$el. R$ssiaJs 0ederal Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& i#sisted 4&a#mar had a ri"ht to peace!$l #$clear tech#olo"& A a#d said that there was K#o wa&K it co$ld $se the reactor to de%elop #$clear missiles. -t was !$rther lear#t that' the N$clear Reactors wo$ld be set at .wi#t .h&$' a small cit& i# the ce#tre o! the co$#tr&' i# the re"io# o! 4a"we. 4oscow claimed that co#str$ctio# o! the 5$rmese #$clear power pla#t wo$ld take place $#der the strict s$per%isio# o! the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& I-A+AM. O# A$"$st :' 200)' .hil Thor#to#' a# A$stralia# Do$r#alist based o# the ThaiA4&a#mar border said' Ga#"oo# is b$ildi#" a secret #$clear reactor a#d pl$to#i$m e tractio# !acilit& with the assista#ce o! .&o#"&a#" a#d Ga#"oo# is also Doi#i#" ha#ds with 4oscow !or !$rther "rowth o! this proDect. 4ea#while' 4&a#marBs /ep$t& 4i#ister !or 0orei"# A!!air' 9. 6hi#A4ar#" said the reactor wo$ld be $sed to trai# to prod$ce radio isotope' which ha%e a ra#"e o! $ses' i#cl$di#" i# medici#e a#d a"ric$lt$re scie#ce. Fe also poi#ted that the rector wo$ld be !or peace!$l p$rpose i# the i#terest o! the people o! 4&a#marB. The prese#t ($#ta i# Ga#"oo# stro#"l& belie%es that ' 4&a#marBs i#terest i# #$clear power is #ot a wro#" p$rpose. /a%id Albri"ht' the head o! the Eashi#"to# based -#stit$te !or *cie#ce a#d -#ter#atio#al *ec$rit&' which mo#itors #$clear proli!eratio#' said' thereBs #o hard e%ide#ce' D$st s$spicio#s ri"ht #ow. Altho$"h' Albri"ht poi#ted o$t that %isit to 4&a#mar b& e ec$ti%e !rom the North 6orea# !irm' Namcho#"a#" Tradi#" ,orporatio#' which is $#der the sa#ctio#s !or its role i# tradi#" #$clear tech#olo"& ca# be a poi#ter to the "rowi#" s$spicio#. O# :0th ($#e '200)' Accordi#" to 5$rma#et News' (apa#ese police arrested three top b$si#essme# o# s$spicio# o! attempti#" to e port to 5$rma a meas$ri#" i#str$me#t that co$ld be $sed to de%elop lo#"Ara#"e ballistic missile s&stems. (apa# is also belie%ed that North 6orea was attempti#" to promote the tra#s!er o! missile tech#olo"ies' s$ch as its Taepodo#" s&stem' to 4&a#mar. Accordi#" to the police' the three co#spired to e port the ma"#etic meas$ri#" de%ice to 5$rma %ia 4ala&sia aro$#d (a#$ar& 200) at a price o! abo$t 7 millio# (apa#ese Ge# I9* b7:'000M. -#teresti#"l&' 4&a#mar has become b$!!er state betwee# !o$r #$clear power states i# Asia: ,hi#a' -#dia' .akista# a#d North 6orea. The militar& ($#ta has "ood tie with North 6orea. O# the other ha#d ,hi#a a#d .akista# who shares #$clear k#owhow ha%e also "ood relatio# with 4&a#mar. -# a pec$liar set $p' New /elhi which aba#do#ed s$pport !or .roAdemocrac& !orces i# 1)): a#d has embarked $po# m$lti!aceted relatio#ship with the easter# #ei"hbor. O# the wake o! 4&a#marBs #$clear ambitio# seems to be both direct or i#direct threat to the sec$rit& o! -#dia. The re%elatio# o! 4&a#marBs li#k with .akista# #$clear establishme#t also ass$mes si"#i!ica#ce i# the rece#t p$rchase o! #$clear reactor !or research p$rposes. .akista# also has bee# pro%idi#" small co#%e#tio#al weapo# a#d trai#i#" to the m&a#marises armed !orce' a#d has Doi#ed ,hi#a i# co#cl$di#" a# i#telli"e#ce shari#" a"reeme#t with 4&a#mar re"ardi#" -#diaBs !orce deplo&me#ts i# the #ortheast a#d 5a&Ao!A5e#"al.
-t is also lear#t that co#sideri#" 4&a#marBs a#tiA9* sta#d' terror patro# #atio# -ra# is also e te#di#" secret s$pport to Ga#"oo# i# b$ildi#" its #$clear stre#"th. Tehra# is also $si#" all o$r e!!orts as well its propa"a#da machi#er& as well as its ow# terrorist "ro$p #amed Fe;bollah i# spreadi#" r$mors i# the world that -srael a#d -#dia are e te#di#" millitar& a#d #$clear assista#ce to 4&a#mar. -# respo#se to m& rece#t article titled Q,risis i# *o$th Asia a#d rise o! -slamistAle!tist milita#c&B' a leader o! -ra#ia# Fe;bollah based i# 5a#"ladesh i# a# email messa"e said' ?Accordi#" to o$r so$rces' 5$rma is tr&i#" to b$ild N$clear Reactor with the help o! North 6orea. ?Accordi#" to ma#& so$rce the& I4&a#marM are serio$s to prod$ce #$clear bomb. ?4&a#mar is e#Do&i#" %er& "ood relatio# with -#dia. ?4&a#mar a#d -srael ha%e %er& "ood relatio#. -sreal sold arms to 4&a#mar a#d "i%i#" trai#i#" o# -#telli"e#ce a#d a"ric$lt$re sector.@ This partic$lar email se#t b& the -ra#ia# Fe;bollah clearl& pro%es that' Tehra# is tr&i#" to mislead the world b& spreadi#" !alse i#!ormatio# o# 4&a#marBs o#"oi#" e!!orts i# b$ildi#" N$clear 5omb. Tehra# is tr&i#" to p$t blame o# both New /elhi a#d (er$salem. *$ch propa"a#da ce#teri#" -#dia a#d -srael was p$rpose!$ll& made b& the members o! -ra#ia# terror o$t!it with the $lterior moti%e o! i#sti"ati#" a#tiA-#dia# a#d a#tiA-srael se#time#t i# all 4$slim #atio#s' i#cl$di#" 5a#"ladesh. -ra# has bee# !$#di#" a#tiA-srael acti%ities !or decades. -t e%e# patro#i;es -slamist millita#c& $#der the $mbrella o! QAlAN$ds *ociet&B i# ma#& 4$slim #atio#s. 0or &ears' -ra#ia# terror o$t!it Fe;bollah is co#ti#$i#" to spread wi#"s i# a #$mber o! 4$slim #atio#s while recr$iti#" a#d tra#i#" (ihadists with a#tiAEest brai#Awash.
http://csis.or"/!iles/p$blicatio#/pac0)88.pd!
Altho$"h the 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t has #ot show# itsel! to be s$sceptible to e ter#al press$re i# its treatme#t o! domestic oppositio#' it does care abo$t its i#ter#atio#al rep$tatio# a#d ma& be more ame#able to pers$asio# i# selecti%e cases' as demo#strated b& its appare#t a"reeme#t to adhere to 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio# 1874 ba##i#" arms e ports !rom North 6orea. 0ellow A*+AN members ma& wish to co#sider i#%oki#" the 5a#"kok Treat& Article 1: pro%isio# to reC$est a !actA!i#di#" missio# to 4&a#mar to clari!& some o! the C$estio#s that ha%e bee# raised. 4&a#mar sho$ld also allow the -A+A to i#%esti"ate credible reports o! cla#desti#e #$clear cooperatio# with other co$#tries. Other states sho$ld be willi#" to share with the -A+A a#& i#telli"e#ce i#!ormatio# abo$t s$ch reports' so that the a"e#c& has "ood "ro$#ds !or co#d$cti#" a# i#%esti"atio#. 4&a#marBs #$clear cooperatio# with R$ssia is #ot itsel! o! proli!eratio# co#cer#' "i%e# the pl$to#i$mA prod$ctio# limitatio#s o! the pla##ed 104Et reactor. The possibilit& ca##ot be dismissed' howe%er' o! 4&a#mar ha%i#" a hidde# #$clear a"e#da. Natio#al pride is the most lo"ical e pla#atio# !or wh& s$ch a# impo%erished co$#tr& wo$ld seek s$ch a hi"hAtech !acilit&' b$t it is co#cei%able that seco#dar& moti%atio#s mi"ht i#cl$de pro%idi#" a co%er !or a parallel militar& #$clear e!!ort or as a step i# a pro"ram to b$ild $p a cadre o! tech#ical e pertise that mi"ht be $sed !or weapo#sArelated work. 4&a#mar is aware o! what North 6orea accomplished i# the #$clear !ield a!ter starti#" i# the earl& 1)80s with a small research reactor. -t wo$ld behoo%e R$ssia to i#sist o# !$ll tra#spare#c& P as well as strict adhere#ce to i#ter#atio#al sa!et& co#%e#tio#s P be!ore a !i#al co#tract is a"reed. R$ssia a#d 4&a#mar sho$ld also share with the -A+A details o! disc$ssio#s o# site selectio# a#d pro%ide desi"# i#!ormatio# be!ore a#& co#str$ctio# be"i#s o# the reactor. Begin contingency planning -! co#cer#s are bor#e o$t a#d it is disco%ered that 4&a#mar is' i# !act' e#"a"ed i# secreti%e #$clear cooperatio# with North 6orea or a#& other co$#tr& or #o#Astate actor' A*+AN a#d the *+ANE0L will be p$t to the test. -! 4&a#mar were to p$rs$e #$clear weapo#s' the Associatio# as it sta#ds toda& a#d its disp$teAresol$tio# mecha#isms alo#e wo$ld #ot be able to diss$ade 4&a#mar !rom that path. .r$de#t pla##i#" !or s$ch a co#ti#"e#c& co$ld lead A*+AN members to take steps #ow to impro%e these mecha#isms' starti#" with e#!orci#" the i#!ormatio#Ashari#" reC$ireme#ts o! the 5a#"kok Treat&. 4ea#while' -#dia a#d 4&a#marBs other closest #ei"hbors alo#" with o$tside powers with re"io#al i#terests ma& wish to co#sider shari#" a#al&sis o! 4&a#marBs #$clear i#te#tio#s. 100: 5ishop *treet' *$ite 1110' Fo#ol$l$' F- )881: Tel: <808= 121A8741 0a : <808= 1))A88)0 +mail: .aci!ic0or$mXpac!or$m.or" Eeb .a"e: www.pac!or$m.or"
http://dail&mail#ews.com/0)0)/21/+ditorialR,ol$m#//4,ol$m#.php
Mission unlikely
*o#" Ni#"r$# [899:&9:&8<N] R+,+NT2G' as r$mors o! 4&a#marBs ?#$clear pla#@ be"a# to swirl i# the Eester# media' e%e# 9.*. *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# %oiced co#cer# o%er the co$#tr&Bs alle"ed #$clear ambitio#. 5$t it is C$estio#able that a# impo%erished co$#tr& like 4&a#mar co$ld prod$ce the atomic bomb i# the short term i# the !irst place. *o whatBs behi#d the spread o! the r$morsO Media fabrications O%er the &ears' the i#ter#atio#al press corps has alread& pla&ed $p 4&a#marBs ?#$clear pla#'@ reporti#" that 4&a#mar' also k#ow# as 5$rma i# the Eest' has acC$ired #$clear tech#olo"& a#d #$clear weapo#s !rom North 6orea. 5$t more rece#tl&' #$clear proli!eratio# co#cer#s re"ardi#" North 6orea a#d -ra# ha%e become bi""er hotAb$tto# iss$es. Now o#ce a"ai#' howe%er' itBs 4&a#marBs t$r#. The *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald' !or e ample' broke the #ews o# A$"$st 1 which said' with assista#ce !rom North 6orea' 4&a#mar had embarked o# a cla#desti#e #$clear proDect aimi#" to acC$ire its !irst atomic bomb withi# !i%e &ears. -t !$rther alle"ed that 4&a#mar has bee# pro%idi#" .&o#"&a#" with e#riched $ra#i$m i# e cha#"e !or #$clear tech#olo"&. The#' o# A$"$st :' a R$ssia# #ewspaper' C$oti#" e iled 4&a#mar scholars' said the #$mber o! 4&a#marBs #$clear e perts wo$ld reach 1'000 b& the &ear 2012. Tha#ks to these media reports' the 4&a#mar #$clear iss$e has become the !oc$s o! i#ter#atio#al media atte#tio#. The 9.*. Go%er#me#t has si#ce e ploited these r$mors' tr&i#" to disi#"e#$o$sl& ?arra#"e@ a 4&a#mar #$clear proDect. 2ast mo#th' i# a #otable i#sta#ce' Fillar& ,li#to# raised the specter o! closer North 6oreaA4&a#mar collaboratio# i# de%elopi#" #$clear weapo#s as a da#"ero$s precede#t d$ri#" her %isit to Thaila#d !or the Re"io#al 0or$m o! the Associatio# o! *o$theast Asia# Natio#s <A*+AN=. 4oreo%er' she %oiced co#cer# that the collaboratio# wo$ld e#da#"er #ot D$st #ei"hbori#" co$#tries b$t also re"io#al stabilit&. 6$rt ,ampbell' 9.*. Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate !or +ast Asia a#d .aci!ic A!!airs' has also spec$lated that 4&a#mar rei#!orced its cooperatio# with North 6orea !or the e press p$rpose o! obtai#i#" a #$clear weapo#. .nderfinanced* unrealistic 4&a#mar p$rs$ed a #$clear pla# !or the !irst time i# 1)18' b$t the pla# was aba#do#ed with the asce#t o! the 9 Ne Ei# militar& "o%er#me#t si &ears later. 4ore rece#t e!!orts b& 4&a#mar to b$ild a #$clear reactor' this time with R$ssiaBs help' !o$#dered as well. -#itiall&' 4oscow a"reed to help 4&a#mar establish a #$clear st$dies ce#ter' i#cl$di#" a #$clear reactor' i# 2002. 5$t the pro"ram was shel%ed the !ollowi#" &ear beca$se o! se%ere !i#a#cial problems.
-t was #ot $#til 2007 that 4&a#mar a#d R$ssia si"#ed a# a"reeme#t to restart the pro"ram with the participatio# o! R$ssiaBs *tate Atomic +#er"& ,orporatio#. A#drew *elth' a# A$stralia# academic a#d militar& e pert' said the co#str$ctio# o! the #$clear reactor had made little pro"ress' owi#" to lack o! !$#ds. -#deed' 4&a#marBs #$clear pro"ram remai#s i# its i#!a#c& d$e to !i#a#cial a#d tech#ical di!!ic$lties. Th$s' it is hi"hl& $#likel& that 4&a#mar will !$l!ill its #$clear ambitio#s a#& time soo#. -# !act' d$e to its backward eco#om&' 4&a#mar ca# hardl& "et e#o$"h !$#ds !or a #$clear proDect at all. 5ei#" o#e o! worldBs poorest #atio#s' 4&a#mar has s$!!ered !rom decades o! eco#omic sta"#atio# a#d political isolatio#. 2ast &ear' its "ross domestic prod$ct was o#l& b27.18 billio#. Eith a massi%e e ter#al debt o! b8.7 billio# a#d limited !orei"# e cha#"e reser%es o! b:.8 billio#' there is #o wa& s$ch a# $#de%eloped co$#tr& co$ld a!!ord the hi"h costs o! a #$clear proDect. -# additio#' as the #$clear reactor pro"ram with R$ssia has #ot made a#& pro"ress so !ar' it has pro%ided scarce tech#ical a#d material s$pport !or prod$ci#" #$clear weapo#s. 5esides' with the orie#tatio# o! academic research' the 4oscow -#stit$te o! .h&sics a#d Tech#olo"& ca##ot t$r# 4&a#marBs tech#icia#s i#to #$clear e perts. 0$rthermore' 4&a#mar si"#ed a comprehe#si%e sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t with the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= i# 1))1. Th$s' $#der the ti"ht re"$latio#s o! the -A+A' it will be #o secret sho$ld 4&a#mar decide to e#rich pl$to#i$m with a #$clear reactor to prod$ce #$clear weapo#s. -# !act' 9.*. i#telli"e#ce a"e#cies ha%e #o e%ide#ce li#ki#" 4&a#mar to #$clear weapo#s' #or ha%e -A+A o!!icials made a#& comme#ts to date o# the !resh alle"atio#s. 5$t *elth has said that 4&a#mar wo$ld probabl& take a risk i# acC$iri#" #$clear weapo#s i# order to e#ha#ce its i#ter#atio#al stat$s as well as to i#crease its bar"ai#i#" chips with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. A de!ector !rom 4&a#mar has also said that a secret #$clear reactor is bei#" co#str$cted with North 6oreaBs aid i# a mo$#tai# #ear Na$#" 2ai#" i# 4&a#marBs #orth. The co$#tr&' the de!ector added' is also e ploiti#" two #ew $ra#i$m mi#es. Fowe%er' with #o serio$s e%ide#ce' it is di!!ic$lt to tell i! this is credible or #ot. 1rue intentions There are se%eral iss$es at pla& here. 0irst' o#e a"e#da clearl& e ists to se%er North 6oreaBs eco#omic a#d trade co#tact with *o$theast Asia' as well as to press$re ,hi#a. 5eca$se o! Eester# media alle"atio#s' #either 4&a#mar' #or a#& other *o$theast Asia# #atio#s' wo$ld dare allow 6a#" Nam 1' the North 6orea# car"o ship reported to be saili#" to 4&a#mar !or trade i# weapo#s' to la#d ashore. -# the !$t$re' it wo$ld be e tremel& di!!ic$lt !or North 6orea# shipsVe%e# those with ordi#ar& "oods aboardVto co#d$ct #ormal tra#sactio#s with *o$theast Asia# co$#tries. 5esides' Eashi#"to# co$ld $se the opport$#it& to ratchet $p the North 6orea# #$clear iss$e as a mea#s to ma#ip$late ,hi#a a#d ,hi#ese i#terests i# the re"io#.
*eco#d' the Eest ma& i#te#d to !$rther press$re 4&a#mar with the re#ewed ca$se o! a ?#$clear threat.@ The 9#ited *tates a#d other Eester# co$#tries ha%e lo#" bee# appl&i#" sa#ctio#s a#d press$re o# 4&a#mar based o# democrac& a#d h$ma# ri"ht iss$es. 5$t these ha%e achie%ed little e!!ectVa#d #o s$pport !rom A*+AN co$#tries. 5& i"#iti#" a 4&a#mar #$clear iss$e' which mi"ht ha%e a cha#ce o! bei#" e a""erated as #$clear proli!eratio# i# the !$t$re' Eester# co$#tries co$ld ?create@ a #$clearAarmed 4&a#mar. Thro$"h this' the& co$ld dramati;e its threat to the re"io#' th$s creati#" a# atmosphere o! !ear a#d press$re !rom the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&' i#cl$di#" A*+AN. This wo$ld lea%e 4&a#mar more alo#e a#d isolated tha# it alread& is. 0$rthermore' the 9#ited *tates co$ld achie%e its "oal o! weake#i#" A*+AN a#d th$s take the opport$#it& to stre#"the# its co#trol o%er the or"a#i;atio#. 5& $p"radi#" the 4&a#mar #$clear iss$e' the 9#ited *tates will i#e%itabl& ca$se i#ter#al co#!lict amo#" A*+AN co$#tries' #otabl& betwee# 4&a#mar a#d Thaila#d' -#do#esia a#d 4ala&siaVco$#tries that ha%e a histor& o! critici;i#" 4&a#mar. This criticism is bo$#d to ca$se re"io#al te#sio#s. Third' the Eest ma& create a #ew re"io#al !lashpoi#t i# areas so$thwest o! ,hi#a' th$s t&i#" dow# 5eiDi#"Bs diplomatic reso$rces while erecti#" barriers to *i#oAA*+AN relatio#s. Eith the North 6orea# #$clear iss$e loomi#" lar"e i# Northeast Asia' the heati#" $p o! the 4&a#mar #$clear iss$e ma& &et be a#other bi" b$rde# i# ,hi#aBs i#ter#atio#al diplomac&. The Eest clearl& i#te#ds to create dist$rba#ces to drai# ,hi#aBs diplomatic e#er"&' lea%i#" it bo""ed dow# ha#dli#" peripheral mattersVwhich' as a res$lt' will lea%e 5eiDi#" with less e#er"& to address "lobal a!!airs a#d limit its role i# the i#ter#atio#al are#a. 5esides' as the relatio#s betwee# ,hi#a a#d *o$theast Asia# co$#tries ha%e bee# $p"raded' the 9#ited *tates has rece#tl& displa&ed a# ob%io$s i#te#tio# to weake# 5eiDi#"Bs i#!l$e#ce with its #ei"hbors to the so$theast. The "reat clamor o%er 4&a#marBs #$clear iss$e will bri#" hea%& #ew challe#"es to *i#oA4&a#mar a#d *i#oAA*+AN relatio#s. ,hi#a will there!ore !ace more di!!ic$lties i# bala#ci#" its relatio#s with its #ei"hbori#" co$#tries a#d with the Eest. Eill 4&a#mar obtai# its ow# #$clear weapo#sO ThatBs C$ite a C$estio#. No#etheless' the clo$d s$rro$#di#" 4&a#marBs #$clear ambitio#s will co#ti#$e to e pa#d' so lo#" as the Eest keeps pla&i#" $p its r$mors a#d re%eals more shocki#" #ews. 9.*. #$clear #o#Aproli!eratio# e perts ha%e called o# the -A+A to la$#ch a# i#%esti"atio# o# 4&a#mar. The 9.*. Go%er#me#t ma& also e ert !$rther press$re o# the -A+A' a#d e%e# bri#" the iss$e be!ore the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. *o whe# it comes to 4&a#marBs #$clear iss$e' as with the m$shroom clo$ds o! weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# i# -raC' a#& sli"htest mis$#dersta#di#" co$ld easil& e#d $p i# a#other 9.*. i#%asio#.
<The /ail& 4ailA5eiDi#" Re%iew Articles + cha#"e -tem=
http://www.the#atio#al.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/articleOA-/`/200)08:0/O.-N-ON/7082)))::
Ship seiLure
2ast 9pdated: A$"$st 2). 200) 7:11.4 9A+ / A$"$st 2). 200) ::11.4 G4T North 6orea has lo#" bee# a pi%otal !i"$re i# the illicit arms trade' its recl$si%e leadership persiste#tl& !la$#ti#" i#ter#atio#al sa#ctio#s to b$& a#d sell se#siti%e tech#olo"ies. As we report toda& i# The Natio#al' the 9A+ has sei;ed a car"o ship carr&i#" North 6orea# weapo#s desti#ed !or -ra#. .relimi#ar& reports i#dicate the co#traba#d was rocketApropelled "re#ades hidde# as ?machi#e parts@' b$t the i#cide#t sheds li"ht o# the "reater iss$e o! proli!eratio# a#d re"io#al sec$rit&. .&o#"&a#"Bs seco#d atomic test earlier this &ear demo#strated a #$clear weapo#s pro"ramme that is steadil& "ai#i#" "ro$#d. Eith s$bsta#tial e%ide#ce li#ki#" the co$#tr& i# the past to the .akista#i scie#tist AN 6ha#' the *&ria# reactor that was destro&ed b& -srael i# 2007 a#d the s$spected pro"ramme i# 4&a#mar' there is little do$bt that North 6orea is a ke& s$pporter o! illicit #$clear pro"rammes. -# o#e wa&' the sei;$re o! the ship holdi#" North 6orea# co#traba#d is a remi#der o! the %i"ila#ce #eeded to keep the G$l! !ree o! illicitl& tra!!icked arms. 9#!ort$#atel& i# the "lobalised world' the problems o! +ast Asia #ow co#cer# $s all.
http://www.radioa$stralia.#et.a$/co##ectasia/stories/200)08/s2887242.htm
,O,FRAN+: A#other piece o! e%ide#ce that has come !orward or claims that ha%e come !orward were the two de!ectors that spoke to .ro!essor /esmo#d 5all a#d a#other Do$r#alist o# the border. Ehat are &o$r %iews o# the %al$e o! the de!ectorsJ testimo#&O 9NG+R+R: Eell A#drew *elth' the a$thor o! this report' has looked at these claims %er& care!$ll& a#d i# !act the& "o back to 2002 whe# these de!ectors !irst raised their co#cer#s abo$t what was "oi#" o# i#side 5$rma. The&J%e bee# k#ow# !or some time e%e# tho$"h it was o#l& A$"$st this &ear that the 0air!a papers had p$blished this material. A#d A#drewJs report - thi#k sets o$t C$ite clearl& that we ha%e to be %er& ca$tio$s a#d care!$l abo$t some o! the claims made b& these two i#di%id$als' a#d whether or #ot either o! them wo$ld ha%e had a reall& clear %iew o! what was "oi#" o# i! 5$rma was act$all& e#"a"ed i# a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. O#e o! them was a# older acco$#ta#t' whether or #ot a# acco$#ta#t wo$ld ha%e m$ch %isibilit& o! a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram is $#clear' a#d some o! the claims reall& ha%e bee# $#tested a#d appear somewhat d$bio$s. ,O,FRAN+: /r ,arl 9#"erer D$st i# the 20 seco#ds weJ%e "ot remai#i#" - wa#t to ask &o$ abo$t the impact o! -raC a#d #ot !i#di#" weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# as e pected there. Fas that led to the world bei#" rel$cta#t to draw co#cl$sio#s o# 5$rmaO 9NG+R+R: - do#Jt thi#k itJs #ecessaril& a!!ecti#" sort o! the strate"ic a#al&sis D$d"eme#ts o# 5$rma. - thi#k people are more care!$l' the&Jre more ca$tio$s a#d thereJs "oi#" to ha%e to be m$ch harder e%ide#ce tha# is c$rre#tl& a%ailable o# 5$rma be!ore a#&o#e D$mps o$t a#d declares a #$clear weapo#s pro"ram.
http://"lobalpoliticia#.com/2181:AkoreaAb$rmaAm&a#mar
reC$ired sa!et& sta#dards. *till' 4&a#mar we#t ahead with its e plorator& talks with R$ssia o# the s$bDect' o# which 4oscow respo#ded positi%el&. 4&a#mar popped $p o# the NAradar o#ce a"ai# a!ter )/11 whe# the 9* troops reportedl& !o$#d e%ide#ce o! co#tacts betwee# some retired a#d ser%i#" #$clear scie#tists o! .akista# a#d AlANaeda chie! Osama 5i# 2ade#. Two o! the scie#tists' reportedl& associates o! .akista#i atomic re#e"ade' A N 6ha#' later o# escaped to 4&a#mar a#d the D$#ta alle"edl& o!!ered them re!$"e there. Altho$"h there was #o !$rther reliable #ews abo$t them' it was belie%ed b& ma#& that 4&a#mar was embarki#" o# a #$clearAresearch proDect with the help o! those two .akista#i scie#tists' alo#" with the scie#tists !rom R$ssia. A !ew &ears later' the D$#ta had reportedl& la$#ched a #$clearArelated QA&elar .roDectB headed b& the two .akista#i scie#tists. The stead& airbor#e trade betwee# .akista# a#d North 6orea i# missiles a#d #$clear parts remai#s a# $#de#iable !act. Fowe%er' i# 2007' it was reported that a tra#sport aircra!t that !lew !rom North 6orea to 4&a#mar !lied a !li"ht path across -#dia to .akista#. This was a si"# that the missile trade betwee# .akista# a#d North 6orea' at times' mi"ht ha%e bee# a tria#"$lar trade' i#cl$di#" 4&a#mar. -# (a#$ar& 2002' 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t e#tered i#to talks with R$ssia to b$ild a #$clear research reactor which wo$ld be $sed Q!or peace!$l p$rposesB. Fowe%er' d$e to the eco#omic h$rdles !aced b& the D$#ta a#d the R$ssia# rel$cta#ce to !i#ali;e the deal with 4&a#mar $#til it si"#s the sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t with the -A+A' #o pro"ress co$ld be made o# the #$clear proDect i# the #e t !i%e &ears. 9ltimatel& i# 4a& 2007' 4&a#mar si"#ed a 4o9 with R$ssia# atomic e#er"& a"e#c& to establish a #$clear st$dies ce#ter i# 4&a#mar' b$ild a 10Ame"awatt #$clear research reactor !or peace!$l p$rposes a#d trai# se%eral h$#dred tech#icia#s i# its operatio#. 4&a#marBs li#ks with -ra# too ha%e come to li"ht' as the 4&a#marBs de!ectors alle"ed that the D$#ta has se#t $ra#i$m deposits !rom the mi#es to -ra# <alo#" with R$ssia= !or e%al$atio#. ($st a !ew mo#ths a"o' %ideos a#d photo"raphs o! a m&sterio$s QOperatio# Tortoise *hellB made its wa& i#to Thaila#d. The e%ide#ce pro%ided b& these so$rces implicated that North 6orea was helpi#" 4&a#mar co#str$cti#" aro$#d 800 t$##els d$ri#" 200:A2008. 4&a#mar broke o!! its diplomatic relatio#s with North 6orea i# 1)8: a!ter .&o#"&a#"Bs alle"ed i#%ol%eme#t i# the bombi#" o! the 4art&rBs ma$sole$m i# Ga#"o# i# a# attempt to assassi#ate %isiti#" *o$th 6orea# .reside#t' ,h$# /ooAhwa#. Fowe%er' commo# i#terests bro$"ht the two secreti%e #atio#s back to"ether. A #$mber o! arm& dele"atio#s tra%elled to .&o#"&a#" D$st a!ter the two sidesB res$mptio# o! !ormal diplomatic relatio#s i# 2007. *oo#' the perso#alities i#%ol%ed i# the %isits i#dicated that 4&a#mar is probabl& seeki#" cooperatio# !rom the North #ot o#l& i# proc$ri#" weapo#s' b$t also i# establishi#" air de!e#se weapo#r&' missiles' rockets or artiller& prod$ctio# !acilities. At prese#t there has bee# a spec$latio# that i# ret$r# o! its militar& cooperatio#' North 6orea mi"ht ha%e bee# pro%ided with $ra#i$m b& reso$rceArich 4&a#mar. Accordi#" to the two de!ectorsB report' altho$"h diplomatic relatio#s betwee# 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea res$med o#l& rece#tl&' cooperatio# betwee# them be"a# i# ear#est i# *eptember 2000 whe# a 4o9 was si"#ed b& 5$rmaBs 2ie$te#a#t Ge#eral Thei# Fla a#d North 6orea# maDor Ge#eral 6im ,ha# *$. /$ri#" 2001A2002' !o$r more co#tracts were si"#ed. The Qo!!icialB a"reeme#ts betwee# the two co$#tries co%ered #$clear related acti%ities at two sites a#d i#%ol%ed North 6oreaBs assista#ce i# i#stalli#"' mai#tai#i#"' trai#i#"' a#d s$ppl&i#" eC$ipme#t at the $ra#i$m re!i#i#" a#d e#richme#t pla#t at Thabike 6&i#. At the seco#d reactor site at Na$#" 2ai#"' the North 6orea#s a"reed to help with the co#str$ctio# o! a# $#der"ro$#d !acilit& a#d a #$clear reactor. The report !$rther re%eals that i# rece#t times' .&o#"&a#" has !or"ed closer ties with the D$#ta b& selli#" arms a#d missile tech#olo"& to the latter. Rece#tl&' i#telli"e#ce had !o$#d that D$#ta had be"$# deali#" with the Namcho#"a#" Tradi#" ,ompa#& o! North 6orea !or missile a#d #$clear parts.
-s the alle"atio# credibleO /espite the co#cer# o%er 4&a#marBs possible #$clear ambitio#' re"io#al i#telli"e#ce so$rces seem to be sceptical abo$t the stateBs capabilit& to do so. -t is so' primaril& beca$se %eri!icatio# o! stories comi#" o$t o! 4&a#mar is C$ite di!!ic$lt' as the D$#ta has ba##ed i#ter#atio#al media. The shocki#" re%elatio#s o! the rece#t report is based o# the stateme#ts made b& the two de!ectors who ma& be tr&i#" to boost their ow# importa#ce i# the hope o! "etti#" themsel%es resettled to a third co$#tr&. A!ter all' i# %ario$s earlier occasio#s' the D$#ta tried to p$t o$t misi#!ormatio# to co%er what it is reall& doi#". Abo%e all' 4&a#mar is a part& to the N.T' a#d $#der a sa!e"$ards a"reeme#t with the -A+A' it is obli"ated to let the 9N watchdo" k#ow at least si mo#ths ahead o! operati#" a #$clear !acilit&. At the rece#t AR0 meet' 4&a#mar 0orei"# 4i#ister N&a# Ei# ass$red the A*+AN members that his "o%er#me#t wo$ld abide b& the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cilBs rece#t resol$tio# o# North 6orea that prohibits a#& cooperatio# with .&o#"&a#" i# the #$clear sector. *till' the sceptics are willi#" to co#cede that the 4&a#mar re"ime is #ot tr$stworth&. Reactio#s Reactio#s o# 4&a#marBs possible #$clear ambitio# are somewhat mi ed. Ehile d$ri#" her %isit to Thaila#d' Fillar& ,li#to# stated that the possibilit& o! .&o#"&a#" tra#s!erri#" #$clear tech#olo"& to 4&a#mar will be a threat to the 9.*. allies i# the re"io#' a#d a Qcomplete a#d irre%ersible de#$cleari;atio# is the o#l& %iable path !or North 6oreaB' o# : A$"$st' Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate !or .$blic A!!airs' .hilip ,rowle&' stated that o%er time' the 9.*. wo$ld like to clari!& with 4&a#mar more precisel& the #at$re o! its militar& cooperatio# with North 6orea. Ehile reacti#" to the 9.*. %iew o# the iss$e' R$ssia states that there is little ca$se o! co#cer# o%er a possible #$clear li#k betwee# the two ro"$e states i# Asia. R$ssia# o!!icials !$rther states that the #$clear cooperatio# betwee# R$ssia a#d 4&a#mar is #ot i# co#!lict with the N.T or -A+A reC$ireme#ts' a#d R$ssia will de!i#itel& mo%e ahead with its #$clear proDect i# 4&a#mar. 4&a#mar "oi#" #$clear will impact o# -#diaBs !orei"# polic& i# relatio# to this re"io#. Altho$"h i#itiall& both the states had di!!ere#ce o# 4&a#marBs democrati;atio# a#d A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i iss$e si#ce 2000' $#der its #ew Q2ook +astB polic&' -#dia has decided to de%elop cordial relatio#s with the D$#ta a#d Q#ot to i#ter!ere i# its i#ter#al a!!airsB. -# the last !ew &ears' both the states ha%e bee# acti%el& collaborati#" o# weedi#" o$t i#s$r"e#ts alo#" the -#doA4&a#mar border a#d de%elopi#" trade li#ks betwee# the two states. A #$clear weapo# !ree 4&a#mar is importa#t !or -#diaBs ow# sec$rit& as well as !or keepi#" the credibilit& o! the N.T re"ime i#tact. A #$clear 4&a#mar mi"ht tri""er a #$clear arms race i# the re"io#. -#dia has a cha#ce to pla& a# importa#t leadership role i# a%oidi#" the occ$rre#ce o! s$ch a sce#ario b& deali#" pr$de#tl& with the D$#ta.
http://www.thea$stralia#.#ews.com.a$/stor&/0'211)7'21888188A718:'00.html
5$rma broke diplomatic relatio#s with .&o#"&a#" i# 1)8: a!ter North 6orea# a"e#ts attempted to kill ,h$# /ooAhwa#' the *o$th 6orea# preside#t the# %isiti#" 5$rma. The& missed ,h$# b$t killed 20 other people. The two dictatorships reAestablished relatio#s i# April 2007. *i#ce the#' the militaries o! both co$#tries ha%e had a# i#te#se a#d deepe#i#" relatio#ship. 5$rma is tho$"ht to ha%e imported a "reat deal o! sta#dard i#!a#tr& eC$ipme#t !rom North 6orea. 5$rma mai#tai#s the bi""est sta#di#" arm& i# *o$theast Asia' with more tha# hal! a millio# troops a#d a paramilitar& !orce o! more tha# 100'000. Eester# "o%er#me#ts ha%e bee# a bit ca"e& abo$t re%eali#" how m$ch the& k#ow o! what militar& materiel has passed betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma. The& #ormall& do#Jt "o be&o#d calli#" o# 5$rma to !$ll& impleme#t 9N resol$tio#s that ba# member states !rom tradi#" with North 6orea i# militar& eC$ipme#t a#d arms. North 6orea also has a record o! selli#" #$clear material to a#&o#e who will b$& it. -# 2007 the -sraelis destro&ed a #$clear reactor the North 6orea#s had helped the *&ria#s b$ild. 0$rther' 5$rma certai#l& has a# i#disp$table i#terest i# acC$iri#" #$clear tech#olo"&. A !ew &ears a"o it si"#ed a deal with R$ssia to b$ild a small #$clear reactor !or research p$rposes a#d !or the prod$ctio# o! #$clear medical materials. This is a tr$l& bi;arre proDect. 5$rma has o#e o! the most primiti%e' impo%erished a#d i#e!!ecti%e health s&stems i# the world. -#ter#atio#al a#al&sts do #ot belie%e 5$rma co$ld sa!el& r$# s$ch a reactor. The R$ssia#s i#sist that what the& pro%ide 5$rma will compl& completel& with -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& sa!e"$ards. 4ost a#al&sts thi#k the R$ssia#s are o# the le%el abo$t this a#d ha%e #o desire to proli!erate a#& weapo#sA$sable tech#olo"& to the 5$rmese. Fowe%er' the 9* *tate /epartme#t has criticised the R$ssia# proDect' sa&i#" i# e!!ect that it has #o reaso#able ratio#ale a#d prese#ts serio$s da#"ers. -t seems that the proDect has "o#e e tremel& slowl&' primaril& beca$se o! 5$rmese !i#a#ci#" di!!ic$lties. A# importa#t i#si"ht comes !rom -#dia. -#dia# so$rces re%eal that two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists' *$leima# Assad a#d 4$hammad 4$khtar' who were part o! A.N. 6ha#Js #$clear proli!eratio# #etwork' we#t to li%e i# 5$rma se%eral &ears a"o. A!ter )/11 the America# 05- had wa#ted to talk to them abo$t their #$clear proli!eratio# acti%ities. There is some disa"reeme#t amo#" -#dia# so$rces as to whether the me# de!ected to 5$rma or were e#co$ra"ed b& the .akista# "o%er#me#t to "o there. -t seems stra#"e' as ,hi#a a#d -#dia' #ot .akista#' are the two mai# e ter#al competitors !or i#!l$e#ce withi# 5$rma. No#etheless' the -#dia# so$rces reporti#" this are e#tirel& credible' with i#telli"e#ce a#d hi"h "o%er#me#t ser%ice back"ro$#ds. The .akista#is s$rel& did#Jt pick 5$rma !or the li!est&le. .erhaps the most i#tri"$i#" e%ide#ce o! all was 9* *ecretar& o! *tate Fillar& ,li#to# remarki#" at the rece#t A*+AN meeti#" i# Thaila#d: KEe worr& abo$t the tra#s!er o! #$clear tech#olo"& !rom North 6orea to 4&a#mar <5$rma=.K /oes that stateme#t co#!irm that s$ch a tra#s!er has take# placeO .robabl& #ot. -! the America#s had hard e%ide#ce o! this the& wo$ld almost certai#l& be taki#" stro#"er i#ter#atio#al actio#. 5$t it wo$ld be importa#t !or ,li#to# to se#d a stro#" p$blic messa"e' #ot least to the 5$rmese' i!' as seems likel&' the America#s were aware e%e# that the 5$rmese were talki#" it o%er with the North 6orea#s' or i# the %er& earl& sta"es o! a #$clear e!!ort.
0i#all&' the 5$rmese operate at a prett& primiti%e le%el tech#olo"icall&. -tJs $#likel& the& co$ld prod$ce #$clear reactors or weapo#s. 5$t i# these matters i#te#t is e%er&thi#". The 5$rmese mi"ht be the o#l& people i# the world who see the North 6orea#s as at least partl& a positi%e model' ha%i#" sec$red themsel%es !rom e ter#al i#ter!ere#ce thro$"h possessio# o! #$clear weapo#s. This is a di!!ic$lt stor& b$t o#e o! imme#se importa#ce. This col$m# has lo#" belie%ed that b& isolati#" 5$rma the Eest o#l& ser%es to i#crease the ro"$eAstate me#talit& that a#imates its r$lers. -t is a# e tremel& $#pleasa#t re"ime' !or which there is #o ethical de!e#ce at all. 5$t i! we co#ti#$e to isolate it' we dri%e it i#to the welcomi#" arms o! ,hi#a a#d make it more likel& to t$r# towards ro"$eAstate sol$tio#s' o! which #$clear weapo#s are the ape . -tJs a to$"h a#d $"l& call' b$t the Eest #eeds a #ew polic& o! e#"a"eme#t with 5$rma.
http://www.mi;;ima.com/edop/a#sl&sis/2171Achi#aAed"&Ao%erAb$rmasA#$clearAambitio#s.html
*$ch a sit$atio# wo$ld almost certai#l& #ot be !a%o$red b& 5$rmaJs mai# i#ter#atio#al patro#. ,o#siderable e!!ort has bee# spe#t b& ,hi#a i# de%elopi#" 5$rma as a so$rce o! cheap #at$ral reso$rces to s$ppl& its "rowi#" i#d$strial base' as a trade "atewa& to its remote a#d la#dlocked so$thwester# re"io# a#d as a strate"ic co#d$it !or oil a#d "as shipme#ts !rom the 4iddle +ast. Eork is sched$led to be"i# #e t mo#th o# a# oil a#d "as pipeli#e that will carr& 20 millio# to#s o! cr$de oil a#d 12 billio# c$bic meters o! "as e%er& &ear across 5$rma to the so$thwester# cit& o! 6$#mi#". The proposed pipeli#e will allow ,hi#ese oil ri"s to b&pass the #arrow 4alacca *traits' where o%er 80 per ce#t o! its c$rre#t !$el imports pass a#d %iewed as a pote#tial strate"ic chokepoi#t i# a#& co#!lict with the 9*. The last thi#" ,hi#a wa#ts' sa& a#al&sts' is to see its #ew commercial arteries p$t at risk b& 9* co#cer#s o%er a #$clear 5$rma. ,hi#a has to %ar&i#" de"rees bee# proppi#" $p 5$rmaBs militar& re"ime si#ce it withdrew s$pport !or the 5$rmese ,omm$#ist .art& i# the late 1)80Bs 5eiDi#"Bs s$pport thro$"h massi%e arms shipme#ts has bee# ke& to the "e#eralsB abilit& to rapidl& e pa#d their militar& to a# estimated 100'000 soldiers. ,hi#aBs i#!l$e#ce has also bee# ke& to de!lecti#" criticism o! 5$rma i# i#ter#atio#al !ora' i#cl$di#" at the 9#ited Natio#Js *ec$rit& ,o$#cil. *i#ce the 1)80s 5eiDi#" has spe#t co#siderable e!!ort a#d mo#e& maki#" eco#omic i#roads a#d sec$ri#" l$crati%e co#cessio#s o%er 5$rmaJs rich #at$ral reso$rces !or ,hi#ese compa#ies. *$btle si"#s ha%e alread& s$r!aced o! ,hi#aBs "rowi#" a##o&a#ce with 5$rmaBs bri#ksma#ship with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. That ass$med co#cer# wo$ld #o do$bt "row i! 5$rma were to acC$ire ballistic missiles or a #$clearA"rade weapo#. A$stralia# 5$rma e pert A#drew *elth wrote i# a 2007 paper' K5eiDi#" is $#likel& to be happ& abo$t the prospect o! the *./, acC$iri#" a #$clear weapo#' "i%e# I5$rmaJsM pro imit& to ,hi#a' its i#ter#al i#stabilit& a#d the $#predictable beha%io$r o! its leaders.K Ehile ,hi#a has so !ar tolerated North 6orea# co#%e#tio#al weapo#s shipme#ts a#d li#ks to s$ppl&i#" ballistic missile a#d #$clear tech#olo"& to other re"imes co#sidered $#sa%o$r& i#ter#atio#all& s$ch as *&ria a#d -ra#' that "oodwill ma& be stretched b& ha%i#" that same tech#olo"& shared with its #earb& #ei"hbo$rs. This wo$ld be partic$larl& the case i! it so$rs ties with "reater *o$theast Asia' where it has rece#tl& dedicated co#siderable diplomatic a#d commercial e#er"ies i# a soAcalled Kso!t powerK campai"#. 4ai#tai#i#" re"io#al stabilit& is a paramo$#t ,hi#ese co#cer#. 5$rmaJs possessio# o! ballistic missiles or a #$clear capabilit& wo$ld risk the spread o! weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# tech#olo"ies i# a re"io# where #o state has acC$ired #$clear weapo#s. A re"io#al arms race wo$ld likel& e#s$e as 5$rmaJs #ei"hbo$rs so$"ht deterre#ce optio#s. As *elth wrote' K-# this atmosphere o! !ear a#d s$spicio#' the sec$rit& stakes i# the re"io# wo$ld "o $p' raisi#" the prospect o! other co$#tries !eeli#" obli"ed to e pa#d their ow# i#%e#tories o! strate"ic weapo#s. 5eiDi#" wo$ld also worr& abo$t the possible respo#se o! the 9* to closer I5$rmaMANorth 6orea ties.K -! 5$rma were to acC$ire ballistic missiles a#d s$bsta#ti%e e%ide#ce was !o$#d o! a #$clear pro"ramme' Eashi#"to# wo$ld likel& be !orced to reAe%al$ate its 5$rma polic& towards more direct e#"a"eme#t. /$ri#" a re"$lar press brie!i#" o# 4o#da&' 9* Assista#t *ecretar& o! *tate !or .$blic A!!airs' .hilip ( ,rowle&' said America was co#cer#ed b& ?the #at$re o! cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma.@ Altho$"h he did #ot elaborate o# what t&pe o! cooperatio# a#d re!$sed to comme#t o# C$estio#s related to a#& $#der"ro$#d #$clear comple ' ma#& obser%ers belie%e the 9* is taki#" a re#ewed i#terest i# 5$rmaBs #$clear desi"#s. Accordi#" to A#drew *elth i# a# article o# A$"$st : i# QThe -#terpreterB' the weblo" o! the 2ow& -#stit$te !or -#ter#atio#al .olic&' the Obama admi#istratio# has co#d$cted a thoro$"h i#%esti"atio# o! 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ramme as part o! its o#"oi#" re%iew o! its 5$rma polic&. The 9* has' howe%er' so !ar bee# ca$tio$s i# its stateme#ts o# the matter a#d seems to be waiti#" !or more solid e%ide#ce be!ore maki#" a !ormal stateme#t.
,o#ti#$ed leaks o! i#!ormatio# a#d the res$lta#t media atte#tio# o# militar& li#ks a#d possible #$clear cooperatio# betwee# Na&p&idaw a#d .&o#"&a#" will o#l& ser%e to mai#tai# a#d e%e# hei"hte# 9* i#terest i# 5$rma. The Obama admi#istratio# has alread& show# a re#ewed i#terest i# *o$theast Asia' maki#" it i# ,hi#aBs best i#terest to rei"# i# the ambitio#s o! its so$ther# #ei"hbo$r.
http://Dames!allows.theatla#tic.com/archi%es/200)/08/read&R!orRthisR#$kesRi#.php
Read& !or thisO N$kes i# 5$rma report 0: A$" 200) 11:28 pm A !rie#d -J%e k#ow# a#d tr$sted !or &ears i# the #atio#al sec$rit& world se#t me this report !rom the 5a#"kok .ost &esterda&. Ob%io$sl& that mea#s itJs #ot KsecretK material' a#d the report itsel! the res$lt o! reaso#i#" a#d "$ess work rather tha# a#&thi#" more de!i#ite. 5$t the a$thors i#cl$de /esmo#d 5all o! the A$stralia# Natio#al 9#i%ersit&' who is a wellAestablished a$thorit& i# #$clear weapo#s a#d strate"ic st$dies. <Nothi#" a"ai#st the other a$thorH - D$st do#Jt k#ow o! him.= The& be"i# their !i#di#"s this wa&: KO$r ow# starti#" positio# was o#e o! deep skepticism' b$t the testimo#ies !rom two de!ectors !orced $s to co#sider the $#com!ortable possibilities o! a 5$rma with #$clear capabilit&.K The reaso# this wo$ld matter is that 5$rma has ar"$abl& the worst "o%er#me#t i# the world AA a#d i! #ot the %er& worst' the# ri"ht $p there with North 6orea i# ha%i#" its ow# co#cept o! Kratio#alit&.K <This was the "o%er#me#t that wo$ld #ot allow o$tsiders to help the %ictims o! the de%astati#" t&phoo#/c&clo#e last &ear.= A#d the "ist o! this report is that North 6orea has bee# worki#" with the 5$rmese re"ime o# #$kes. To this poi#t' the 5$rmese re"imeJs destr$cti%e#ess has bee# %isited e cl$si%el& o# its ow# co$#tr&Js people rather tha# a"ai#st its #ei"hbors. O! co$rse' #$clear weapo#s ca# cha#"e thi#"s. Ee ha%e see# i# rece#t world histor& the da#"er o! leapi#" to co#cl$sio#s abo$t which da#"ero$s re"imes ha%e what #ew weapo#r&. 5$t to me this was #ews worth p$tti#" o# the worr&Ascope. + tra items !rom the 5a#"kok .ost here [http5$$###*ban!)o)post*com$ne#s$in%esti!ation$8;?G?$time&"or&a& close&loo)&at&burma&nuclear&pro!ramme] a#d here [http5$$###*ban!)o)post*com$ne#s$local$8;?;L$report& re%eals&burma&89;H&nu)es&tar!et] . The -#terpreter' !rom the 2ow& -#stit$te i# *&d#e&' toda& has a thoro$"h r$#dow# o! the r$mors a#d co$#terAar"$me#ts here. A!ter the D$mp' m& !rie#dJs i#!ormed "loss o# the a!!air. RRR 0rom m& !rie#d' who has worked i# %ario$s p$blic a#d pri%ate roles i# de!e#seArelated e!!orts. A!ter he se#t the report - wrote back sa&i#"' is there a#& reaso# to thi#k this is tr$eO Fis repl& is below. Fe sa&s 4&a#marH - sa& 5$rma' as e plai#ed here: [http5$$'ames"allo#s*theatlantic*com$archi%es$899@$9<$e%il=in=burma*php] K9#!ort$#atel&' - do belie%e that the stor& sho$ld #ot be dismissed. Ehat is most co#cer#i#" to me is the !act that it !ollows b& D$st 10 da&s or so' *ecretar& ,li#to#Js 21 ($l& stateme#ts i# which she e pressed co#cer# o%er the possibilit& that North 6orea is shari#" #$clear weapo#sArelated tech#olo"& with 4&a#mar. NGT stor& here: http://www.#×.com/200)/07/22/world/asia/22diplo.html KAt the time o! that stor&' - tho$"ht how bi;arre' how o$t o! #owhere the ,li#to# acc$satio# seemed to come. Now' "i%e# the 5all stor&' - ca#Jt help b$t thi#k that the Obama Admi#istratio# has some i#telli"e#ce i#dicati#" that the North is e#"a"i#" i# s$ch acti%it& a#d that the& were aware that it was abo$t to leak %ia the 5all stor& or perhaps other a%e#$es' a#d that the& wa#ted to "et a D$mp o# it' so as #ot to be acc$sed o! ha%i#" bee# ca$"ht $#aware. 0$rther $#derscori#" m& te#de#c& to belie%e that there is i# !act a there there is that - ca##ot belie%e that *ecretar& ,li#to# wo$ld ha%e made s$ch a# acc$satio# AA #ow echoed i# the 5all acco$#t AA $#less the Admi#istratio# had somethi#" s$bsta#tial. The& are pai#!$ll& aware AA certai#l& the i#tel comm$#it& AA is pai#!$ll& aware o! the !act that the 9.*. ca##ot a!!ord to be re%ealed as peddli#" !alse acc$satio#s.
KAs !ar as the co#te#t o! the 5all stor& "oes' the !irst a#d mai# C$estio# that - wo$ld bri#" to a#& s$ch stor& i# which a state is acc$sed o! la&i#" the "ro$#dwork !or a #$clear weapo#s materials pro"ram wo$ld be: what ha%e the& do#e to escape #otice <the #otice o! e&es i# the sk&H the #otice o! !orei"# tra%elers thro$"h the co$#tr&= a#d' $#!ort$#atel&' the co#te#tio# that 4&a#mar #ow has a reactor co#str$cted i# 8 di!!ere#t locatio#s a#d a# $#der"ro$#d secret !acilit& b$ried deep withi# a mo$#tai# AA the Na$#" 2ai#" !acilit& AA s$pplies a credible respo#se to m& C$estio#. The seco#d C$estio# wo$ld be how ca# a co$#tr& so desperatel& poor' so bere!t o! well' D$st abo$t e%er&thi#". . . b$t the# - stop a#d thi#k: North 6orea' .akista#... K-tJs wa& too earl& !or a#&o#e to be talki#" i# terms o! Kslam d$#kK e%ide#ceH certai#l& ,li#to#Js remarks did#Jt "o that !ar a#d #either does 5allJs. 5$t the bottom li#e is that 5allJs stor& is tech#icall& credible i# its ow# ri"ht a#d it s$pplies a !ollowA$p piece to ,li#to#Js earlier remarks that !its a little too #eatl& <too $#com!ortabl& #eatl&= with those remarks.K
http://www.low&i#terpreter.or"/post/200)/08/0:/5$rmasA$#a#sweredA#$clearAC$estio#.asp
As r$mo$rs o! a secret E4/ pro"ram "rew i# !reC$e#c& a#d scope' the 5$sh Admi#istratio# came $#der i#creasi#" press$re !rom acti%ists' e ile "ro$ps a#d certai# members o! ,o#"ress ope#l& to acc$se 5$rmaBs militar& re"ime o! de%elopi#" #$clear weapo#s' with North 6oreaBs help. Get it stead!astl& re!$sed to do so' e%e# i# 2008 whe# the 9* co#d$cted a co#certed campai"# i# the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil to ha%e 5$rma bra#ded a threat to re"io#al sec$rit&. -t is di!!ic$lt to escape the co#cl$sio# that the 5$sh Admi#istratio# !elt obli"ed to remai# sile#t o# this iss$e lar"el& beca$se there was i#s$!!icie#t reliable e%ide#ce o# which to make a p$blic case a"ai#st Na&p&idaw a#d .&o#"&a#". *i#ce taki#" o!!ice' the Obama Admi#istratio# has co#d$cted a thoro$"h i#%esti"atio# o! this matter' as part o! its comprehe#si%e re%iew o! 9* 5$rma polic&. Get' it too has bee# %er& ca$tio$s i# its comme#ts abo$t 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#s. 0or e ample' Na&p&idawBs s$spected E4/ pro"ram was #ot raised d$ri#" *e#ate heari#"s to co#!irm the appoi#tme#ts o! *ecretar& o! *tate ,li#to#' or 9N Represe#tati%e Rice. Nor has it bee# raised b& the 9* i# other p$blic !or$ms <i#cl$di#" the -A+A= where #$clear weapo#s proli!eratio# has bee# disc$ssed. -# her comme#ts at the A*+AN *$mmit last mo#th' Fillar& ,li#to# !i#all& broke the o!!icial 9* sile#ce o# the s$bDect. Get it is i#str$cti%e to e ami#e what was act$all& said. *he e pressed co#cer# o%er militar& li#ks betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea' i#cl$di#" Jthe tra#s!er o! #$clear tech#olo"& a#d other da#"ero$s weapo#sJ. *he later modi!ied her positio#' re!erri#" o#l& to Jdeali#"sJ betwee# .&o#"&a#" a#d Na&p&idaw that were JperhapsJ taki#" place. /espite ha%i#" the per!ect opport$#it& to do so' the *ecretar& o! *tate did #ot sa& that 5$rma was secretl& b$ildi#" a #$clear reactor' or tr&i#" to de%elop a #$clear weapo#. *he did #ot e%e# speci!& that North 6orea was passi#" 5$rma #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"&. This co#ti#$i#" o!!icial retice#ce stro#"l& s$""ests that' while the 9* is clearl& co#cer#ed abo$t Na&p&idawBs "rowi#" relatio#ship with .&o#"&a#"' it still does #ot ha%e clear e%ide#ce o! a secret 5$rmese E4/ pro"ram. As #oted i# The -#terpreter i# 0ebr$ar&' the 5$rma (A/+ Act passed b& ,o#"ress i# ($l& 2008 stip$lates that' withi# 180 da&s' the *ecretar& o! *tate m$st iss$e a stateme#t describi#" the pro%isio# o! E4/ a#d related tech#olo"ies to 5$rma. Reports !ilteri#" o$t o! Eashi#"to# s$""est that there ha%e bee# a #$mber o! co#!ide#tial brie!i#"s to se#ior o!!icials o# this s$bDect. Fowe%er' the world is still waiti#" !or a# a$thoritati%e p$blic stateme#t !rom the 9* which will p$t all the r$mo$rs a#d #ewspaper stories i#to perspecti%e.
http://democrac&!orb$rma.wordpress.com/200)/08/0:/toAdesmo#dAballAa#dAphilAthor#to#A&o$rAarticlesAthisApastA weeke#dAi#AtheAs&d#e&Amor#i#"AheraldAa#dAba#"kokApostAabo$tAb$rmasA#$clearApro"ramAco#tai#edAsomeA#ewA i#!ormatio#Aa#dAo#eA#ewAso$rceAti#/ To: /esmo#d 5all a#d .hil Thor#to#AGo$r articles this past weeke#d i# the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald a#d 5a#"kok .ost abo$t 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram co#tai#ed some #ew i#!ormatio# a#d o#e #ew so$rce <@Ti# 4i#@=. Fowe%er' the& also i#cl$ded more tha# te# pieces o! i#!ormatio# that /ictator Eatch !irst reported. <www.dictatorwatch.or"= ,o#tact: Rola#d Eatso#' rola#dXdictatorwatch.or"
Go$ me#tio# the *./,Bs !i%e $ra#i$m deposits listed o# its 4i#istr& o! +#er"& website. A!ter e te#si%e -#ter#et research' - was the o#e who !o$#d this website' a#d p$blici;ed its e iste#ce <i# (a#$ar& 2007=. Go$ talk abo$t the Goo"le +arth photos o! the s$spected 4&it N"e $ra#i$m operatio#. A# associate o! /ictator Eatch sca##ed all the #o#Acost satellite ima"er& a%ailable !or 5$rma' a#d ide#ti!ied this site <amo#" others=' which photos we p$blished <i# 4arch 2007=. Go$ me#tio# pl$to#i$m reprocessi#" at Na$#" 2ai#". Ee !irst disclosed that the *./,Bs #$clear pro"ram mi"ht e te#d to pl$to#i$m <i# A$"$st 2008=. Go$ also talk abo$t weapo#i;atio# research at Na$#" 2ai#"' which we also disclosed earlier <i# No%ember 2008=. 4ore "e#erall&' /ictator Eatch a#d ma#& 5$rmese media "ro$ps ha%e p$blished e te#si%e i#tel abo$t the co##ectio#s betwee# the *./, a#d North 6orea. 0or e ample' we re%ealed the i#%ol%eme#t o! the b$si#essma# Ta&;a <i# A$"$st 2007=' which &o$r so$rce Ti# 4i# has #ow co#!irmed. -# co#sideratio# o! all o! this' do#Bt Do$r#alistic ethics dema#d the ack#owled"me#t o! other Do$r#alists' or so$rces s$ch as ad%ocac& "ro$ps' who !irst break a stor& P who "et the scoopO *#ippets o! i#!ormatio# abo$t the *./,Bs #$clear pro"ram <other tha# the 2001 a##o$#ceme#t o! the R$ssia# reactor deal=' !irst be"a# to appear abo$t !i%e &ears a"o' #otabl& b& the /emocratic 3oice o! 5$rma a#d the *ha# Ferald A"e#c& !or News. The#' i# 2008' we at /ictator Eatch were e#tr$sted with i#!ormatio# that had #ot &et bee# made p$blic. Ee asked !or permissio# to disclose the i#tel' a#d recei%ed it. -# the process' we also lear#ed o! other so$rces o! i#tel a#d co#cei%ed a broader pro"ram to collect i#!ormatio# !rom di!!ere#t parties i# the 5$rma .roA/emocrac& 4o%eme#t. *i#ce No%ember 2008' we ha%e p$blished si tee# articles with i#telli"e#ce a#d/or i#telli"e#ce a#al&sis o! 5$rmaBs #$clear a#d missile pro"rams' i#cl$di#" its co##ectio#s with North 6orea' R$ssia' ,hi#a a#d -ra#. This is m$ch more tha# what &o$ describe i# &o$r articles: ?There ha%e bee# hi#ts 5$rma aspires to a #$clear pro"ram.@ This stateme#t is a sel!Aser%i#" mischaracteri;atio#' i! #ot a complete lie. <-t is i#co#cei%able that &o$ are #ot aware o! /ictator EatchBs i#telli"e#ce i#itiati%e.= -t is e tremel& "rati!&i#" that the 5$rma #$clear stor& is !i#all& recei%i#" widespread co%era"e. This has o#l& occ$rred' tho$"h' beca$se o! the 6a#" Nam 1: the !act that 9.*. i#tel abo$t the North 6orea# !rei"hter was leaked' a#d that the 9.*. was !orced to reco"#i;e the iss$e. /ictator Eatch sho$ld be ide#ti!ied as a so$rce i# a#& a#al&sis o! the *./,Bs pro"ram' i! o$r disclos$res are $sed. This wo$ld !$rther "i%e credit to the ma#& di!!ere#t people who ha%e assisted $s' some o! whom ha%e bee# killed or impriso#ed <b$t i# either case' #ot beca$se o! their i#%ol%eme#t with $s=. -! s$ch credit is#Bt "i%e#' is#Bt this k#ow# as pla"iarismO Or' do &o$ o#l& !eel obli"ed to credit other Do$r#alists a#d academicsO To the 5a#"kok .ost: Tha#k &o$ !or pri#ti#" m& letter &esterda& stati#" that we sho$ld ha%e bee# "i%e# credit. To the *&d#e& 4or#i#" Ferald' which did #ot pri#t the letter: Go$ owe /ictator Eatch a# apolo"&' !or #ot properl& %etti#" 5all a#d Thor#to#Bs represe#tatio# that their so$rces a#d i#!ormatio# were i# !act ori"i#al.
http://www.ba#"kokpost.com/#ews/i#%esti"atio#/21:8:/timeA!orAaAcloseAlookAatAb$rmaA#$clearApro"ramme
3emarks Secretary of State ;illary 3odham Clinton /uly #&* #$$( Sheraton Arande 6aguna 6aguna huket* 1hailand
2ast 9pdate :: 07/27/200) *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Good a!ter#oo#. 2et me start b& sa&i#" weB%e had a series o! %er& prod$cti%e sessio#s here i# .h$ket' a#d -B%e had the opport$#it& !or the !irst time to e#"a"e with the #atio#s o! A*+AN a#d o$r re"io#al part#ers o# iss$es o! commo# co#cer#' to si"# the Treat& o! Amit& a#d ,ooperatio#' a#d to la& the "ro$#dwork !or e%e# stro#"er part#erships as we mo%e !orward. -B%e also had the opport$#it& to meet o#e o# o#e with a #$mber o! m& co$#terparts. +arlier' - met with 0orei"# 4i#ister N$reshi o! .akista#' a#d we talked abo$t the e#co$ra"i#" si"#s i# .akista#Bs !i"ht a"ai#st %iole#t e tremists' i#cl$di#" the ret$r# o! si"#i!ica#t #$mbers o! re!$"ees to 5$#er a#d *wat. There are still "reat challe#"es ahead !aci#" .akista#' i#cl$di#" the o#"oi#" threat o! %iole#t e tremism a#d co#ti#$i#" eco#omic di!!ic$lt&. 5$t - ass$red the !orei"# mi#ister that the 9#ited *tates sta#ds read& to help the .akista#i Go%er#me#t a#d people. A#d - also ad%ised him that - s$pport the steps .akista# a#d -#dia ha%e take# to !i#d a more prod$cti%e wa& !orward. - wa#t to take this opport$#it& to disc$ss the sit$atio# i# North 6orea a#d o$r e!!orts here i# the A*+AN Re"io#al 0or$m to promote sec$rit& i# Northeast Asia. Gesterda&' - held co#s$ltatio#s with o$r allies a#d part#ers i# the *i A.art& process' a#d this mor#i#"' there was a %er& "ood disc$ssio# with the A*+AN #atio#s a#d re"io#al part#ers. - was "rati!ied b& how ma#& co$#tries !rom thro$"ho$t the re"io# spoke $p a#d e pressed directl& to the North 6orea# dele"atio# their co#cer#s o%er the pro%ocati%e beha%ior we ha%e see# these past !ew mo#ths. 9#!ort$#atel&' the North 6orea# dele"atio# o!!ered o#l& a# i#siste#t re!$sal to reco"#i;e that North 6orea has bee# o# the wro#" co$rse. -# their prese#tatio# toda&' the& e%i#ced #o willi#"#ess to p$rs$e the path o! de#$cleari;atio#. A#d that was tro$bli#" #ot o#l& to the 9#ited *tates' b$t to the re"io# a#d the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&. *o the C$estio# is' where do we "o !rom hereO
- thi#k itBs importa#t to stress that the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&Bs respo#se to North 6oreaBs actio#s has bee# $#eC$i%ocal a#d #earl& $#a#imo$s' leadi#" to a #ew co#se#s$s aro$#d a commo# set o! pri#ciples. The 9#ited *tates a#d its allies a#d part#ers ca##ot accept a North 6orea that tries to mai#tai# #$clear weapo#s to la$#ch ballistic missiles or to proli!erate #$clear materials. A#d we are committed to the %eri!iable de#$cleari;atio# o! the 6orea# .e#i#s$la i# a peace!$l ma##er. Now this co#%er"e#ce o! %iews re!lected' as &o$ will see later toda& i# stateme#ts b& A*+AN' a#d as &o$ saw D$st a !ew weeks a"o with the GA8 stateme#t a#d others' prod$ced two importa#t *ec$rit& ,o$#cil actio#s P a preside#tial stateme#t a#d a $#a#imo$s bi#di#" resol$tio#. Now these are more tha# e pressio#s o! co#dem#atio#. Resol$tio# 1874' combi#ed with the desi"#atio#s a$thori;ed b& the 9N *a#ctio#s ,ommittee' pro%ides a power!$l tool to c$rb North 6oreaBs $#acceptable acti%ities' a#d to p$t press$re o# i#di%id$als a#d e#tities co##ected to the re"imeBs #$clear' ballistic missile' a#d other E4/Arelated pro"rams. Ee belie%e that this resol$tio# ca# be e!!ecti%e beca$se it is $#precede#ted i# scope' s$bsta#ce' a#d approach. 0irst' it di!!ers !rom past e!!orts i# that it is based o# a "lobal co#se#s$s' bri#"i#" to bear the combi#ed wei"ht o! the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&' #ot D$st o#e #atio# or a small ha#d!$l o! #atio#s. *eco#d' it tar"ets a spectr$m o! i#di%id$als' or"a#i;atio#s' a#d i#stit$tio#s' #ot D$st o#e or two. Third' it !its i#to the broader !ramework o! o$r approach to North 6orea. -t is accompa#ied b& a messa"e' as - reiterated this mor#i#"' that we are prepared to work with the North 6orea#s i! the& are willi#" to act o# their pre%io$s commitme#ts. -# short' o$r approach isolates North 6orea' imposes mea#i#"!$l press$re to !orce cha#"es i# its beha%ior' a#d pro%ides a# alterati%e path that wo$ld ser%e e%er&o#eBs i#terests. O$r Doi#t e!!orts to take Resol$tio# 1874 !rom paper to practice are #ow $#derwa&. - asked Ambassador .hilip Goldber" to lead a# i#tera"e#c& team char"ed with impleme#ti#" the sa#ctio#s' a#d heBs alread& tra%eled to the re"io# to co#solidate a#d coordi#ate o$r e!!orts. R$ssia# a#d ,hi#ese represe#tati%es ha%e %isited Eashi#"to# to work to"ether o# these iss$es. A#d i# additio# to this weekBs meeti#"s' -B%e spoke# repeatedl& with m& co$#terparts i# ,hi#a' R$ssia' (apa#' a#d *o$th 6orea abo$t o$r commo# wa& !orward. - i#te#d to se#d Ambassador Goldber" back to the re"io# i# the #ear !$t$re to co#ti#$e o$r commo# e!!orts to e#!orce the sa#ctio#s. A#d #e t 4o#da& a#d T$esda&' as part o! o$r strate"ic a#d eco#omic dialo"$e with ,hi#a' - will be holdi#" i#te#si%e disc$ssio#s with *tate ,o$#cilor /ai 5i#""$o o# North 6orea a#d the broader C$estio#s o! peace a#d sec$rit& i# Asia. -# impleme#ti#" 1874' we are aski#" o$r part#ers to help diss$ade all #atio#s !rom !acilitati#"' directl& or i#directl&' North 6oreaBs attempts to e#ha#ce a#d proli!erate its #$clear a#d missile tech#olo"ies. Ee were "rati!ied b& 5$rmaBs stateme#t a#d those o! ma#& other co$#tries a##o$#ci#" a# i#te#sio# to impleme#t the resol$tio#. 5$rmaBs stateme#t is si"#i!ica#t beca$se i# the past' North 6orea has pro%ided 5$rma with materials #ow barred b& Resol$tio# 1874. The bottom li#e is this: -! North 6orea i#te#ds to e#"a"e i# i#ter#atio#al commerce' its %essels m$st co#!orm to the terms o! 1874 or !i#d #o port. O$r "oal i# e#!orci#" these sa#ctio#s a#d others imposed earlier is #ot to create s$!!eri#" or to destabili;e North 6orea. O$r C$arrel is #ot with the North 6orea# people. -# !act' it was the North 6orea# leadership that reDected h$ma#itaria# aid !rom the 9#ited *tates a#d !orced $s to s$spe#d o$r !ood aid pro"ram. *o let me be clear: As we work to e#d the re"imeBs #$clear pro"ram' we remai# committed to the wellAbei#"' di"#it&' a#d h$ma# ri"hts o! the people o! North 6orea. Ee will co#ti#$e to work closel& with other "o%er#me#ts' i#ter#atio#al or"a#i;atio#s' a#d NGOs to address h$ma# ri"hts %iolatio#s a#d ab$ses perpet$ated b& the re"ime. Ee will mai#tai# o$r s$pport o! NGOs worki#" to impro%e h$ma# ri"hts i# North 6orea. A#d we will keep !$#di#" 6orea# la#"$a"e radio broadcasti#" !or the same p$rposes' a#d we will soo# a##o$#ce a special e#%o& !or North 6orea# h$ma# ri"hts.
As we e#!orce sa#ctio#s' we are ope# to talks with North 6orea' b$t we are #ot i#terested i# hal! meas$res. Ee do #ot i#te#d to reward the North D$st !or ret$r#i#" to the table. Ee will #ot "i%e them a#&thi#" #ew !or actio#s the& ha%e alread& a"reed to take. A#d we ha%e #o appetite !or p$rs$i#" protracted #e"otiatio#s that will o#l& lead $s ri"ht back to where we ha%e alread& bee#. Ee a#d o$r part#ers ha%e a more ambitio$s a"e#da !or a#& !$t$re talks. *$ch talks m$st lead to irre%ersible steps b& North 6orea to de#$cleari;e. This' i# t$r#' wo$ld lead $s a#d o$r part#ers to reciprocate i# a comprehe#si%e a#d coordi#ated ma##er. 0$ll #ormali;atio# o! relatio#ships' a perma#e#t peace re"ime' a#d si"#i!ica#t e#er"& a#d eco#omic assista#ce are all possible i# the co#te t o! !$ll a#d %eri!iable de#$cleari;atio#. -# the mea#time' we will $#dertake the #ecessar& de!e#si%e meas$res to protect o$r i#terests a#d o$r allies. North 6oreaBs o#"oi#" threate#i#" beha%ior does #ot i#spire tr$st' #or does it permit $s to sit idl& b&. O$r part#ers i# the re"io# $#dersta#d that a #$clear North 6orea has !arAreachi#" co#seC$e#ces !or the sec$rit& !$t$re o! Northeast Asia. North 6oreaBs co#ti#$ed p$rs$it o! its #$clear ambitio#s is s$re to ele%ate te#sio#s o# the 6orea# .e#i#s$la a#d co$ld pro%oke a# arms race i# the re"io#. This wo$ld ser%e #o #atio#Bs i#terests P #ot o$rs' #ot (apa#Bs' *o$th 6oreaBs' ,hi#a' #or R$ssiaBs a#d #or' mi"ht - add' North 6oreaBs. O$r s$ccess i# p$tti#" this resol$tio# i#to actio# will also ha%e implicatio#s be&o#d North 6orea. -t will demo#strate to other co$#tries with #$clear ambitio#s' s$ch as -ra#Bs' that we ca# a#d will impose costl& pe#alties !or those who %iolate i#ter#atio#al a"reeme#ts a#d $#dermi#e "lobal sec$rit&. A#d it will "i%e $s a bl$epri#t !or how to ma#a"e a#& similar challe#"es that mi"ht arise i# the !$t$re. *o o$r polic& is clear. North 6orea k#ows what it has to do: ret$r# to de#$cleari;atio# talks a#d !$l!ill its commitme#ts $#der the 2001 Doi#t stateme#t to aba#do# all #$clear weapo#s a#d e isti#" #$clear pro"rams a#d ret$r# at a# earl& date to the #o#proli!eratio# treat& a#d to -A+A sa!e"$ards. The path is ope#' a#d it is $p to North 6orea to take it. Tha#k &o$ %er& m$ch. N9+*T-ON: Tha#ks. 4adame *ecretar&' the North 6orea# represe#tati%es toda& spoke D$st behi#d $s o%er there a#d said that the *i A.art& Talks were deadH there is #o wa& the&Bre comi#" back' a#d that whate%er we ha%e to o!!er them i# terms o! i#ce#ti%es is #othi#" #ew to them' a#d the& wo#Bt accept it. The !orei"# mi#istr& at the same time iss$ed a stateme#t with act$al attacks a#d i#s$lts perso#all& aimed at &o$. - wo#der whether &o$ thi#k that perhaps the time has come to replace the *i A.art& !ramework with perhaps a broader !ramework. Go$ D$st s$""ested that thereBs a broad co#se#s$s toda& here abo$t what to do with North 6orea. A#d si#ce ,hi#a has bee# rel$cta#t to p$t it P ame#d the resol$tio# so !ar' what wo$ld &o$ wa#t them to do whe# &o$ meet with them o# 4o#da& a#d T$esda& i# Eashi#"to#O Oh' a#d o#e more: Are#Bt &o$ e ha$stedO *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: <2a$"hter.= Are#Bt &o$O N9+*T-ON: - am. ThatBs wh& -Bm aski#". *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Eell' !irst' let me sa& that ,hi#a has bee# %er& %i"oro$s i# worki#" with $s i# s$pport o! !$ll impleme#tatio# o! 1874. ($st as we ha%e' the& created a# i#tera"e#c& task !orce which is worki#" with o$r ow# people. There has alread& bee# a meeti#" i# 5eiDi#"' a#d - said' there will be a !ollowAo# meeti#" i# Eashi#"to#.
The ,hi#ese ha%e bee# %er& s$pporti%e i# o$r e!!orts to deli%er a stro#" messa"e to North 6orea a#d to other #atio#s that the& e pect' as we do' that the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& will e#!orce 1874. The& pla&ed a %er& help!$l role i# the matter o! the North 6orea# ship that was o# its wa& to 5$rma. -# additio#' toda&' the *i A.art& members who were prese#t' with the e ceptio# o! North 6orea' reiterated their commitme#t to this process a#d made it %er& clear that there is #o place to "o !or North 6orea. The& ha%e #o !rie#ds le!t that will protect them !rom the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&Bs e!!orts to mo%e toward de#$cleari;atio#. *o - thi#k itBs !air to sa& that #ot o#l& were R$ssia' ,hi#a' (apa#' a#d *o$th 6orea %er& stro#" i# maki#" the poi#ts which the& did this mor#i#"' b$t those poi#ts were echoed b& so ma#& o! the A*+AN members a#d other re"io#al part#ers. *o the messa"e is comi#" o$t lo$dl& a#d clearl& to North 6orea. A#d - do#Bt thi#k weB%e see# at all the wa& this will e%e#t$all& de%elop. - thi#k weBre D$st still at the be"i##i#" o! determi#i#" how the&Bre "oi#" to respo#d. N9+*T-ON: Ehat !ramework <i#a$dible=O *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: The !ramework is the *i A.art& Talks. 4R. 6+22G: Ne t C$estio# <i#a$dible=. N9+*T-ON: 4adame *ecretar&' what e%ide#ce do &o$ ha%e o! 5$rmaBs cooperatio# i# e#!orci#" the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil resol$tio#O Fow did &o$r talks with 5$rmese o!!icials "o last #i"htO A#d most importa#tl&' how do &o$ reco#cile &o$r appreciatio# a#d "ratit$de that the& are promisi#" to e#!orce that with &o$r two da&s o! p$blic' stro#" comme#ts abo$t co#cer#s o! militar& a#d e%e# #$clear cooperatio# betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6oreaO *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Eell' weB%e e pressed that %er& clearl& a#d !orce!$ll&' b$t - do thi#k there is a positi%e directio# that weB%e see# with 5$rma' both i# the alread& e isti#" cooperatio# the& showed with respect to the North 6orea# ship' i# their stateme#ts to $s a#d others that the& i#te#d to do their part to e#!orce 1874. Now' ob%io$sl&' we ha%e to see that $#!old' b$t thatBs #e%er happe#ed be!ore' a#d weBre %er& e#co$ra"ed b& that. At the same time' we k#ow that there has bee# cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma i# the past' a#d we are "oi#" to be %i"ila#t to make s$re that it does#Bt occ$r i# the !$t$re. - was #ot part o! a#& talks. Others i# o$r Admi#istratio# were' a#d we made it %er& clear' both pri%atel& a#d p$blicl&' that there are e pectatio#s o# o$r part that A$#" *$# *$$ 6&i be released $#co#ditio#all&' that there be"i# a process o! release o! political priso#ers' that the electio# sched$led !or #e t &ear be ope# a#d !air a#d tra#spare#t a#d credible. A#d that %iew was echoed b& ma#& people i# the room. -t was #ot D$st a 9.*. %iew. -t was %er& widel& a#d' - m$st sa&' heart P it was reall& e pressed !rom the heart b& so ma#& people. *o we hope that there is "oi#" to be reco"#itio# o# the part o! the 5$rmese leadership that the& ha%e more to "ai# b& Doi#i#" the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& a#d b& e!!ecti%el& taki#" care o! their people a#d p$tti#" 5$rma o# the path to democrac&. Ee do#Bt e pect to see a cha#"e o%er#i"ht' b$t weBre P itBs better to ha%e those positi%e stateme#ts tha# the #e"ati%e o#es. *o we thi#k that "i%es $s at least somethi#" to work with. N9+*T-ON: <-#a$dible.= *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Ri"ht. A#d - spoke to !orei"# mi#isters i# the area' aski#" their help i# speaki#" to their 5$rmese co$#terpart. A#d the& did so' a#d whether or #ot it was a pro imate ca$se' shortl& a!ter' the ship t$r#ed aro$#d.
N9+*T-ON: <-#a$dible= !rom <i#a$dible= i# Asia. - D$st wa#ted to clari!&' whe# &o$ said 9.*. will take a#& de!e#si%e meas$reme#ts' what e actl& that mea#O -s it "oi#" to be like 9.*. read& to start a war with North 6orea at a#& timeO A#d how A*+AN' especiall& i# 4&a#mar' is "oi#" to pick o# thatO *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: No. 5$t - wa#ted to make %er& clear that the 9#ited *tates does #ot seek a#& ki#d o! o!!e#si%e actio# a"ai#st North 6orea. Ee ha%e said that o%er a#d o%er a"ai#. The North 6orea#s said i# a meeti#" toda& that the&B%e bee# s$bDected to #$clear weapo#s o# the 6orea# .e#i#s$la aimed at them. That has#Bt happe#ed !or decades. *o - thi#k the& are li%i#" i# a historical time period that does#Bt re!lect toda&Bs realities. Ee are %er& ope# to a positi%e relatio# with North 6orea o# the co#ditio# that the& de#$cleari;e. 5$t i! the& re!$se to do so' as the& ha%e i# the last mo#ths' a#d re!$se to !ollow the obli"atio#s the& themsel%es si"#ed $p to i# 2001 a#d A08' the# o$r allies i# *o$th 6orea a#d (apa# a#d other co$#tries i# the re"io# be"i# to worr& abo$t what North 6oreaBs i#te#tio#s are. A#d we wa#t to make clear that the 9#ited *tates will co#ti#$e to work !or the de!e#se o! allies like (apa# a#d *o$th 6orea. A#d thatBs $#!ort$#atel& o$r obli"atio#' o#e that we will be serio$s i# !$l!illi#". 5$t itBs #ot directed i# a#& o!!e#si%e ma##er a"ai#st North 6orea. Ee also wish to a%oid a# arms race i# Northeast Asia. -! the North 6orea#s are "oi#" to co#ti#$e to test #$clear weapo#s a#d their missiles' the# other co$#tries are "oi#" to start sa&i#"' well' we do#Bt k#ow what the&Bre "oi#" to do' weBd better start taki#" care o! o$rsel%es a#d doi#" that a#d to ha%e that capacit&. Ee thi#k that wo$ld be a terrible mistake. *o weBre tr&i#" to make clear that we will protect a#d de!e#d o$r allies' b$t we still hope that there is a# opport$#it& to work with North 6orea toward de#$cleari;atio#. 4R. 6+22G: Oka&' tha#k &o$. *+,R+TARG ,2-NTON: Tha#k &o$. eee
http://www.state."o%/r/pa/prs/ps/200)/D$l&/121841.htm
O$r o%erall obDecti%e i# all o! this remai#s the same' which is to ret$r# to serio$s mea#i#"!$l disc$ssio#s withi# the *i A.art& process o# de#$cleari;atio# a#d #o#proli!eratio#. Ee do#Bt see the 9N resol$tio#s or sa#ctio#s as a mea#s to p$#ish North P the North 6orea# people. Ee see themVthe resol$tio#sVas a mea#s to "et back to o$r ori"i#al i#te#tio# o! co#%i#ci#" North 6orea that there reall& is o#l& o#e wa& !orward. Ee hope to create thro$"h all o! this a process' a se#se o! tra#spare#c&' a se#se o! shi#i#" a li"ht o# North 6oreaBs acti%ities' those related to their #$clear a#d missile proli!eratio#. Ee thi#k that 1874 pro%ides some #ew tools to do so a#d ca# be $sed as a wa& to shi#e that li"ht to bri#" "reater tra#spare#c& to North 6orea# acti%ities i# i#spectio#s' which the #ew resol$tio# talks to' as well as i# the !i#a#cial area. *ome o! &o$ ma& ha%e C$estio#s abo$t 6a#" Nam 1' the ship that has t$r#ed back a#d ret$r#ed to port' its ori"i#al port o! depart$re. Ee see that as a "ood si"# that shari#" i#!ormatio#' diplomatic acti%it&' ca# ha%e a# impact. [deletia] N9+*T-ON: -Bm 2achla# ,armichael with A0.. - D$st wa#ted to !ollow $p. *i#ce &o$ were deali#" with !i#a#cial tra#sactio#s' did the ship 6a#" Nam t$r# aro$#d beca$se the North 6orea#s had pa&me#ts blocked !or the shipme#tO Or was it beca$se the 9.*. Na%& was shadowi#" itO *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: Ee ca#Bt be P &o$ ca# #e%er be absol$tel& s$re. Ehat - ca# tell &o$ is that there was co#sta#t diplomatic acti%it& o# the ship' a#d abo$t the shipBs past acti%ities a#d i#spectio#s a#d all o! that. A#d what we !o$#d was that the ship we#t back. That was a "ood o$tcome i# the se#se that there seemed to be #o place !or it to "o' or there P where%er it was ori"i#all& "oi#" was #o lo#"er a# optio# !or some reaso#. There are other possible e pla#atio#s' a#d - wo$ld#Bt de#& that. 5$t there is a "ood reaso# to thi#k that the& we#t back beca$se o! P !or the reaso#s that - me#tio#ed' the sort o! diplomatic o$treach that was do#e. - do#Bt P the !act that the& k#ew the& were bei#" watched as well' a#d that was a "ood o$tcome. N9+*T-ON: /id 6$ala 2$mp$r' the people there' shed a#& li"ht o# relatio#s betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea abo$t what ki#d o! b$si#ess deali#"s the& ha%e a#d what i#stit$tio#s are $sedO *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: Ee made the poi#t thro$"ho$t the trip that 5$rma was a desti#atio# i# the past !or North 6orea' a#d that this was a partic$larl& di!!ic$lt iss$e "i%e# 5$rmaBs ow# isolatio# a#d ow# problems with the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it&' b$t that this was a !oc$s !or A*+AN' !or the 9#ited *tates' !or ,hi#a' !or -#dia' !or other co$#tries with some sort o! i#!l$e#ce to pers$ade 5$rma #ot to participate i# a#& wa& i# North 6oreaBs ille"al acti%ities. N9+*T-ON: *o the& "a%e &o$ some commitme#ts abo$t how to select these tra#sactio#s AA *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: - thi#k A*+AN AA N9+*T-ON: AA thro$"h A*+AN or AA *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: A*+AN' as a whole' a#d the i#di%id$al co$#tries ha%e all pled"ed their commitme#t to the resol$tio#s' a#d there!ore' b& e te#sio#' to pre%e#ti#" the $se o! 5$rma or a#& other co$#tr& as a co#d$it !or North 6oreaBs ille"al acti%ities. [deletia]
N9+*T-ON: Ges. /o &o$ see the emer"e#ce o! a #e $s betwee# North 6orea' 5$rma' a#d -ra# o# #$clear #o#proli!eratio# iss$esO -# the past' there has bee# i#creased cooperatio# betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rma o# #$clear iss$es. *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: - thi#k weBre co#cer#ed abo$t trade a#d cooperatio# betwee# co$#tries that ha%e $#dertake# #$clear pro"rams' b$t - do#Bt wa#t to "o m$ch !$rther tha# that. N9+*T-ON: Ges' Gle## 6essler with The Eashi#"to# .ost. ($st to !ollow $p o# a co$ple o! thi#"s' readi#" betwee# the li#es o! what &o$ were sa&i#" be!ore' is it correct to sa& that this ship was esse#tiall& headed towards 5$rma' b$t beca$se o! diplomatic press$re placed o# Ra#"oo#' or whate%er its #ew capital is called' that that ship was t$r#ed back' that the& P the 5$rmese reali;ed that it wo$ld #ot be a# appropriate mome#t to accept that shipO -s that a correct wa& to AA *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: - do#Bt thi#k P - thi#k thatBs taki#" it o#e step be&o#d where wa#t to "o with it. Ehat - do wa#t to sa& is that a combi#atio# o! shari#" i#!ormatio# with ma#& o! the co$#tries i# the re"io# abo$t their obli"atio#s a#d o$r collecti%e obli"atio#s to i#spect' to war# ships' to what maritimers call hail a#d C$er&' that all o! those thi#"s combi#ed co#%i#ced or pla&ed a role perhaps i# co#%i#ci#" the North 6orea#s to t$r# the ship aro$#d. -# the speci!ic i#sta#ce with 5$rma' that too co$ld ha%e pla&ed a role. 5$t - do#Bt k#ow that it was P that that was the de!i#iti%e reaso#. ThatBs wh& - do#Bt wa#t to P - wa#t to war# &o$ o!! !rom a#& o#e partic$lar AA [deletia] N9+*T-ON: Fi' (a#i#e Lacharia with 5loomber". Two C$estio#s P - apolo"i;e i! o#e is a little #ao%e' - D$st came back !rom lea%e. 5$t co$ld &o$ remi#d me what the 9.*. s$spected was o# the ship that the& were tracki#" headed towards 5$rmaO A#d seco#dl&' - D$st wa#t to be clear o# AA *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: -Bm sorr&' what the AA what wasO N9+*T-ON: The ship' what was P what did the 9.*. thi#k was o# the ship. *eco#dl&' &o$ said that &o$ were co#cer#ed that the North 6orea#s wo$ld $se 4ala&sia or other co$#tries to co#ti#$e those acti%ities. /oes that mea# that &o$ s$spect that 4ala&sia# ba#ks are processi#" acco$#ts o! people who are o# the desi"#ated list at the 9N a#d the& sho$ld#Bt be doi#" itO ,o$ld &o$ D$st spell o$t speci!icall& what that mea#tO Tha#k &o$. *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: The ship i#%ol%ed had bee# e#"a"ed pre%io$sl& i# these ki#ds o! acti%ities. *o there was a hei"hte#ed s$spicio# that it co$ld be $sed a"ai# !or s$ch acti%ities. N9+*T-ON: 4ea#i#" arms shipme#ts' speci!icall&O *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: Acti%ities that were prohibited b& pre%io$s resol$tio#s' a#d which i#cl$des arms or #$clearArelated acti%ities' missile tech#olo"&' missile acti%ities. - "$ess weapo#s wo$ld !it withi# that. N9+*T-ON: *o there was #o realAtime i#telli"e#ceO -t was D$st based o# the pastO *+N-OR *TAT+ /+.ART4+NT O00-,-A2: No. - ca#Bt "et i#to i#telli"e#ce matters a#d i#!ormatio# we had. 5$t a"ai#' it was P it was to $s a commo#se#sical co#cl$sio#' i# additio# to whate%er i#!ormatio# that we had. [deletia]
http://!orei"#.se#ate."o%/testimo#&/200)/2$"ar*tateme#t0)0811p.pd!
Senate 5oreign 3elations Committee ;earing on North Korea 4pening Statement by Senator 3ichard A8 6ugar /une %%* #$$(
http://www.ba#"kokpost.com/#ews/i#%esti"atio#/1)7:0/$sAba#ArelatedAtoA#AkoreaAb$rmaAarmsAdeal
http://democrac&!orb$rma.wordpress.com/200)/04/11/cla#desti#eA#$clearAproDectsAo!Ab$rmeseAD$#taAalmostAcompleted/
their !ore!athers co#%erted the raw la#d i#to the !ertile a#d c$lti%ated la#d so !or them mo%e awa& mea# comme#ci#" o! po%ert& a#d !ami#e. 2ist o! dead a#d i#D$r& b& shooti#" are mo$#ti#" i# the area. All o! abo%e three proDects show# clearl& that reC$ireme#t !or e#er"& a#d electricit& are #ot emi#e#t i# the re"io# o! where the N$clear Reactors were located. Almost all o! the -#d$strial Lo#e are aro$#d i# Ra#"oo# area a#d which are the most #eeded places !or electricit& s$ppl& b$t all three N$clear Reactors are #ot b$ilt #earb& so i#te#tio# o! N$clear proDects are %er& clear that the& are #ot !or peace!$l p$rpose. Easti#" o! peopleBs mo#e& i# ($#taBs para#oia o! protectio# a#d sa!et& o#l& !or them is somethi#" sel!ish a#d ridic$lo$s. ($#taBs para#oia is ob%io$s that the& b$ilt the t$##el !rom their reside#t to airport i# Na&A.&iA/aw $si#" the so m$ch amo$#t o! peopleBs mo#e& o#l& !or their escape !rom peopleBs D$stice. 0$rthermore' how we ca# tr$st the seco#dha#d materials a#d tech#olo"& o! North 6orea with their tech#icia#s. Nobod& ca# ass$re the reliabilit& a#d abilit& o! North 6orea# as #o proo! o! rep$tatio# abo$t them. -! we are thi#ki#" deeper abo$t the sa!et& o! #$clear accide#t' we are terri!ied with !ears a#d scare. R$ssia#s are #ot m$ch better as we still ca#Bt !or"et the ,her#ob&l accide#t i# 1)81 at old *o%iet 9#io#. ,o#str$ctio#s o! the /ams i# all aro$#d the 5$rma b& -rri"atio# /epartme#t were %er& irrespo#sible a#d #o#A co#siderate matters as that ca$sed so ma#& #e"ati%e e!!ects. -mpact o# ecolo"ical bala#ce was so "reat a#d that ca$se irre"$larit& i# weather a#d e#%iro#me#tal dama"es. Relocati#" o! people a#d %illa"es beca$se o! co#str$ctio#s a#d !loodi#" o! water catchme#ts ca$se $#emplo&me#t a#d lost o! !ertile la#d. A# e ti#ctio# o! local !lora a#d !a$#a are #ot replaceable. 5$t those -rri"atio# /epartme#t e#"i#eers i#%ol%ed i# co#str$ctio#s proDects were rich a#d became millio#aires. The& make their !ort$#e b& mis$si#" peopleBs mo#e&' steali#" a#d accepti#" bribes !rom s$bAco#tractors !or keepi#" the bli#d e&es o# $#C$ali!ied works etc. The& ow# o#e a!ter a#other o! bi" ho$ses i# posh area o! Ra#"oo# a#d i# e%er& bi" cities i#cl$di#" abroad. The& ca# se#d their childre# to "et !$rther ed$catio# i# 9*A a#d 96. The& are the o#e ki#d o! class i# 5$rma as ca# o#l& compete with "e#erals i# corr$ptio#.The perso# i#Achar"e !or all those se#seless proDects was rece#tl& ho#ored b& ($#ta a#d was promoted to the post o! !$ll "e#eral. Fe ca# be pro$d o! mis$si#" peopleBs properties a#d obe&i#" the order o! $#ed$cated brai#less para#oid Tha# *hwe so he became three stars "e#eral. Fis #ame is Thiha Th$ra Ti# A$#" 4&i#t Oo. Reported b& Th$ Ge 6a$#". [ ee -ppendix C o" this ourceboo) "or a discussion o" the sites mentioned in the abo%e article*]
http://www.low&i#terpreter.or"/post/200)/02/-sAthereAaA5$rmaANorthA6oreaA-ra#A#$clearAco#spirac&.asp
-# 2007' the *tate /epartme#t remi#ded 5$rma o! its obli"atio#s $#der the #$clear No# .roli!eratio# Treat&' b$t o#l& re!erred to the proposed R$ssia# reactor. 0or its part' the 96 Go%er#me#t stated i# 2008 that it was Q#ot able to corroborateB reports abo$t the alle"ed tra#s!er o! #$clear tech#olo"& !rom North 6orea to 5$rma. The 96 also p$t o# record its %iew that #o $ra#i$m was bei#" processed i# 5$rma' a#d that 5$rma did #ot ha%e a#& operatio#al e#richme#t !acilities. Nor was the 96 aware o! a#& 5$rmese $ra#i$m e ports. -# 2007' *i#"aporeBs 0orei"# 4i#ister said 5$rma was Q$#likel&B to de%elop a #$clear pro"ram' "i%e# its ma#& other problems. A #ew 4o9 si"#ed b& 5$rma a#d R$ssia that &ear re%ealed that co#str$ctio# o! the research reactor had #ot e%e# be"$#. The most likel& ca$se was a lack o! !$#ds. O%er the past &ear or so' howe%er' a #$mber o! "o%er#me#ts ha%e "i%e# this iss$e a hi"her priorit&. The i#creased le%el o! i#terest seems to ha%e bee# prompted b& the appeara#ce i# Thaila#d o! se%eral 5$rmese o!!icials <both ci%ilia# a#d militar&= who claimed to ha%e direct k#owled"e' or e%e# !irstAha#d e perie#ce' o! a secret #$clear weapo#s pro"ram. Accordi#" to these Qde!ectorsB' i# 2002 5$rmaBs militar& "o%er#me#t be"a# b$ildi#" a reactor #ear 4a&m&o' with the aim o! de%elopi#" a #$clear de%ice b& 2020. The reactor a#d some related #$clear !$el processi#" pla#ts were said to be hidde# $#der"ro$#d. The e pertise !or this proDect reportedl& came !rom North 6orea' with help !rom -ra# a#d possibl& .akista#. These claims are still to be %eri!ied. *ome ma& i# !act relate #ot to a secret E4/ pro"ram' b$t to the re"imeBs e!!orts o%er the past 20 &ears to $p"rade its militar& i#!rastr$ct$re. .artic$larl& si#ce the -raC wars' 5$rma has !elt %$l#erable to attack !rom the air. -t has reportedl& co#str$cted $#der"ro$#d comma#d a#d co#trol b$#kers' harde#ed its comm$#icatio#s #odes a#d b$ilt protecti%e shelters !or a ra#"e o! #ew co#%e#tio#al weapo# s&stems. The North 6orea#s ha%e co#siderable e pertise i# maki#" s$ch !acilities. +%e# so' both Eester# a#d re"io#al "o%er#me#ts #ow seem kee# to !i#d o$t whether the de!ectorsB claims are acc$rate. A#& s$""estio#s o! a secret E4/ pro"ram' let alo#e o#e co#d$cted b& a pariah state like 5$rma' m$st be o! co#cer#. *ome o! the i#!ormatio# pro%ided b& the de!ectors appears credible' a#d there are #$mero$s de!e#ce !acilities i# 5$rma which ha%e #ot bee# ide#ti!ied. Also' #oAo#e $#derestimates the le#"ths to which the "e#erals will "o to sta& i# power' a#d to protect 5$rma !rom percei%ed e ter#al threats. 9#dersta#dabl&' howe%er' !orei"# o!!icials looki#" at these matters are bei#" %er& ca$tio$s. NoAo#e wa#ts a repetitio# o! the mistakes which preceded the last -raC war' either i# $#derestimati#" a co$#tr&Bs capabilities' or b& "i%i#" too m$ch credibilit& to a !ew $#tested i#telli"e#ce so$rces. .artic$larl& i# the hi"hl& char"ed political e#%iro#me#t that s$rro$#ds co#sideratio# o! 5$rmaBs ma#& comple problems' #o "o%er#me#t is "oi#" to accept claims o! a secret #$clear weapo#s pro"ram witho$t i#%esti"ati#" them thoro$"hl& !irst. There has alwa&s bee# a lot o! smoke s$rro$#di#" 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#s. O%er the past &ear or so' the amo$#t o! smoke has i#creased' b$t still #oAo#e seems to k#ow whether or #ot it hides a real !ire. Eith this i# mi#d' strate"ic a#al&sts i# ma#& co$#tries are looki#" to the Obama Admi#istratio# !or a# a$thoritati%e stateme#t o# 5$rmaBs #$clear stat$s. This ma& come soo#er rather tha# later. The 5$rma (A/+ Act e#acted b& ,o#"ress last ($l& stip$lates that' withi# 180 da&s' the *ecretar& o! *tate m$st iss$e a stateme#t describi#" Qthe pro%isio# o! weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio# a#d related materials' capabilities' a#d tech#olo"&' i#cl$di#" #$clear' chemical' a#d d$al $se capabilitiesB. That deadli#e has alread& passed.
http://www.dictatorwatch.or"/articles/r$ssia#i#tel2.html
O$r #ew so$rces !$rther tell $s that the *./, has secretl& tried to "ai# assista#ce !rom -ra#. This co#!irms a relatio#ship that we ha%e pre%io$sl& heard abo$t !rom other so$rces. 0$rther' i# 2000' (apa# started taki#" scholars !or doctoral le%el st$dies' to operate a reactor. Eith the help o! (apa#' #ew departme#ts o! #$clear scie#ce ha%e bee# set $p at Ra#"oo# 9#i%ersit&' 4a#dala& 9#i%ersit&' a#d the /e!e#se *er%ices Academ&. Trai#i#" i# R$ssia -# 2001' the !irst batch o! scholars' 110 militar& o!!icers' was se#t to R$ssia !rom Tada 9 Airport o# chartered Aero!lot !li"hts. -# R$ssia' the scholars atte#d a %ariet& o! i#stit$tes i# 4oscow a#d also *t..etersb$r"' depe#di#" o# their s$bDects o! st$d&. The schools i#cl$de: 4+.F- P 4oscow +#"i#eeri#" .h&sics -#stit$te 4-+T P 4oscow -#stit$te o! +lectro#ic Tech#olo"& 4AT- P 4oscow -#stit$te o! A%iatio# Tech#olo"& 4A- P 4oscow A%iatio# -#stit$te 54*T9 P 5a$ma# 4oscow *tate Tech#ical 9#i%ersit& 4-TT P 4oscow -#stit$te o! Thermal Tech#olo"& 4-*- P 4oscow ,i%il +#"i#eeri#" -#stit$te 4*49 P 4oscow *tate 4i#i#" 9#i%ersit& 4+.F- teaches #$clear scie#ce' 4-+T rocket "$ida#ce' 4A- aircra!t a#d space s$bDects' a#d 4AT- the tech#olo"& !or b$ildi#" rockets to carr& satellites. There are also co$rse pro"rams i# t$##eli#"' $ra#i$m mi#i#"' a#d $ra#i$m ore re!i#i#". O$r #ew so$rces co#!irm that ma#& o! the scholars are $#happ&. The& were !orced to "o to R$ssiaH their pa& is too lowH the harsh weather has ca$sed them problemsH a#d the medical care the& recei%e is i#adeC$ate. The& complai#ed to the 5$rma +mbass& i# 4oscow' a#d asked to be se#t home. -# respo#se' the /irectorate o! -#telli"e#ce se#t weekl& i#str$ctio#s $r"i#" them to complete their work a#d to !$l!ill the #atio#al aim <to prod$ce #$clear weapo#s=. At o#e poi#t !ormer 0orei"# 4i#ister 9 Ei# A$#" came i# perso# a#d told the st$de#ts to !i#ish their st$dies. Fe rela&ed a messa"e !rom 3ice ,hie! o! *ta!! 4a$#" A&e that a#&o#e who married a R$ssia# woma# scie#tist a#d the# ret$r#ed to 5$rma wo$ld be rewarded. Also' i# 2002' N$artermaster Ge#eral Ei# 4&i#t as well as the Na%& ,hie!' Air ,hie! a#d Tra#sport 4i#ister we#t to R$ssia a#d arra#"ed !or the trai#i#" o! twe#t& Air 0orce pilots' who wo$ld the# take te# p$rchased 4-G 2)s back to 5$rma. The& additio#all& disc$ssed whether 5$rma sho$ld acC$ire aircra!t carriers a#d s$bmari#es. -# ($l& 2002' *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& 4i#ister 9 Tha$#" we#t to R$ssia a#d si"#ed the a"reeme#t !or the acC$isitio# a#d co#str$ctio# o! the #$clear reactor. Reactor 2ocatio# -# o$r pre%io$s report we stated that the site o! the reactor is 6&a$k .a Toe <aka 6&a$k .ha Ftoe=' #ear Tha 5eik 6&i#. Ehile we do #ot &et ha%e a co#!irmatio# o! this' we ha%e recei%ed additio#al i#!ormatio# abo$t the *./,Bs e!!orts to keep its locatio# secret. +%e# the tech#icia#s who were trai#ed to b$ild the reactor were #ot allowed to k#ow its site. -# ($#e 2008' there was a# i#!ormatio# leak' a#d the o!!icers !or the pro"ram were called to Na&p&idaw a#d i#terro"ated. This is appare#tl& a re!ere#ce to the i#!ormatio# that was p$blished b& 5ertil 2i#t#er i# a ($l& 2008 Asia Times article' which said that North 6orea# tech#icia#s had bee# see# at Natma$k' a tow# to the east o! 4a"we.
Ee ha%e #ow lear#ed that a 10Ame"awatt reactor was bei#" b$ilt <or was i#te#ded to be b$ilt= i# 4&ai#" Tow#ship' 4a"we /i%isio#' a#d !$rther that it was to $se hea%& water a#d' !or that reaso#' that it wo$ld be able to prod$ce pl$to#i$m. This lea%es $s with two pla$sible reactor sites' 4&ai#" Tow#ship a#d 6&a$k .a Toe. O#e sce#ario that co$ld e plai# this discrepa#c& is that the *./,Bs ori"i#al pla# was to locate the reactor i# 4a"we' b$t that this s$bseC$e#tl& cha#"ed' perhaps beca$se' as The -rrawadd& reported' it is a# earthC$ake ;o#e. -# a#& case' while 4a"we remai#s a possibilit&' there is also a stro#" so$rce ide#ti!icatio# !or Tha 5eik 6&i#. 9ra#i$m acti%ities Ee ha%e recei%ed additio#al i#!ormatio# abo$t 5$rmaBs $ra#i$m deposits' which helps co#!irm o$r prior reports. 9ra#i$m ore that is commerciall& e ploitable e ists i# the 6&a$k .&o#' .a$#"p&i# a#d 6&a$k *i# areas. -# additio#' $ra#i$m prospecti#" has occ$rred or is $#derwa& i# so$ther# Te#asserim' 6are##i *tate <the 2oikaw area=' 4oeh#&i# i# 6achi# *tate' a#d i# areas west o! Ta$#""&i. 9ra#i$m milli#" is i# pro"ress at Tha 5eik 6&i#. 0$rther' a#d as we spec$lated i# o$r last report' we ha%e recei%ed i#!ormatio# that a pro"ram to e#rich milled $ra#i$m <&ellowcake= to 9A2:1 has also be"$# at Tha 5eik 6&i#. The e#tire operatio# at this locatio# is #ow re!erred to as N$clear 5attalio#A1. Ee ha%e also had co#!irmed that i# earl& 2008' &ellowcake was sold to North 6orea. -# ($l& 2008' the re"ime p$rchased !rom North 6orea #$clear acti%atio# eC$ipme#t !or $se i# $ra#i$m e#richme#t a#d also !or the prod$ctio# o! pl$to#i$m. Ehile we do #ot k#ow the precise #at$re o! this eC$ipme#t' there is a "ood probabilit&' "i%e# the other i#!ormatio#' that it i#cl$des ce#tri!$"es. At least o#e North 6orea# #$clear e pert is #ow worki#" i# Tha 5eik 6&i#. Ee !$rther ha%e co#!irmatio# that a related 4ilitar& Research ,e#ter was b$ilt i# the *etkh&a ra#"e <aka *a 6&i#= #ear 2$# 6&aw' which area is also reportedl& a N$clear 5attalio#' a#d that there is a ,i%ilia# Research ,e#ter i# 6&a$kse Tow#ship. There are also R$ssia# #$clear e perts i# .&i# 9 2wi#' who "i%e re!resher co$rses to the state scholars a!ter the& ret$r# home.
http://www.dictatorwatch.or"/articles/r$ssia#i#tel.html
Ear' is R$ssia still helpi#" ro"$e re"imes proli!erateO The s$r!ace a#swer o! co$rse is mo#e&' i# this case i# the !orm o! #at$ral reso$rces' b$t the deeper C$estio# remai#s. R$ssia is co#sidered to be a democrac&. Ehat wo$ld the people o! the co$#tr& thi#k o! their leaders "i%i#" s$ch help to the likes o! the *./, a#d Tha# *hweO -# 1)81' the *o%iet 9#io# "a%e North 6orea a 2 4E reactor' which was $p"raded i# 1)7: to 8 4E. -t also s$pplied !$el thro$"h at least this period. North 6orea the# we#t o# to co#str$ct a m$ch lar"er reactor' a#d i# the 1)80s be"a# weapo#s de%elopme#t. This i#cl$ded b$ildi#" separatio# !acilities to obtai# pl$to#i$m' a#d hi"h e plosi%es deto#atio# tests. <Ee ha%e recei%ed reports that the *./, has alread& co#d$cted s$ch tests' i# the *etkh&a 4o$#tai#s' aka *a 6&i# 4o$#tai#s' so$theast o! 4a#dala&.= At some poi#t North 6orea also be"a# its ow# $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram' to prod$ce weapo#s "rade material' a#d the 9.*. co#!ro#ted the co$#tr& abo$t this i# 2002. This mea#s that the North has two di!!ere#t so$rces o! !issile material !or weapo#s' reactor pl$to#i$m a#d e#riched $ra#i$m. The North deto#ated a small atomic weapo#' with a &ield o! less tha# o#e kiloto#' i# October 2008' $si#" some o! its pl$to#i$m. -t is #ow reportedl& abo$t to disclose its #$clear assets' a#d also destro& its pl$to#i$m prod$ci#" reactor' b$t the sticki#" poi#t has bee# the e#riched $ra#i$m. The North appears $#willi#" to disc$ss this <a#d at this poi#t to disclose its weapo#s cache=' which mea#s that e%e# with the destr$ctio# o! the reactor a#d the pl$to#i$m stockpile <!or the latter the si;e o! which is s$bDect to serio$s disp$te=' the North wo$ld retai# the abilit& to prod$ce weapo#s with the $ra#i$m. At the mome#t the 9.*. appears willi#" to accept partial disclos$re' i.e.' o! o#l& the pl$to#i$m. -# additio# to R$ssia' North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e bee# helpi#" 5$rma with its #$clear ambitio#s <a#d other weapo#s pro"rams=' a#d we ha%e recei%ed i#!ormatio# that the *./, has "i%e# the North re!i#ed $ra#i$m i# ret$r#' which ma& be desti#ed !or the e#richme#t pro"ram. This is all %er& dist$rbi#"' all the more so beca$se o! the appare#t weak#ess o! the 5$sh Admi#istratio#' which has bee# $#willi#" to press the North' a#d which re!$ses e%e# to me#tio# 5$rma <its #$clear pro"ram=. -t took North 6orea !ort& &ears be!ore it deto#ated a weapo#. -t will likel& take the *./, o#l& a !ractio# o! this period. O#ce the 5$rmese D$#ta has atomic weapo#s' its r$le will be e#tre#ched' a#d its #ei"hbors' !oremost Thaila#d' will be serio$sl& e#da#"ered.
http://www.abits$.or"/Op`281)
so ros& with !$ll diplomatic relatio#s. 0$rther' i# 2000' (apa# started taki#" scholars !or doctoral le%el st$dies' to operate a reactor. Eith the help o! (apa#' #ew departme#ts o! #$clear scie#ce ha%e bee# set $p at Ra#"oo# 9#i%ersit&' 4a#dala& 9#i%ersit&' a#d the /e!e#se *er%ices Academ&. 3ussian Connection -# 2001' the !irst batch o! scholars' 110 militar& o!!icers' was se#t to R$ssia !rom Tada 9 Airport o# chartered Aero!lot !li"hts. -# R$ssia' the scholars atte#d a %ariet& o! i#stit$tes i# 4oscow a#d also *t..etersb$r"' depe#di#" o# their s$bDects o! st$d&. The schools i#cl$des <4+.F-= 4oscow +#"i#eeri#" .h&sics -#stit$te' <4-+T = 4oscow -#stit$te o! +lectro#ic Tech#olo"&' <4AT-= 4oscow -#stit$te o! A%iatio# Tech#olo"&' <4A-= 4oscow A%iatio# -#stit$te' <54*T9= 5a$ma# 4oscow *tate Tech#ical 9#i%ersit&' <4-TT= 4oscow -#stit$te o! Thermal Tech#olo"&' <4-*-= 4oscow ,i%il +#"i#eeri#" -#stit$te' a#d <4*49= 4oscow *tate 4i#i#" 9#i%ersit& 4+.F- teaches #$clear scie#ce' 4-+T rocket "$ida#ce' 4A- aircra!t a#d space s$bDects' a#d 4AT- the tech#olo"& !or b$ildi#" rockets to carr& satellites. There are also co$rse pro"rams i# t$##eli#"' $ra#i$m mi#i#"' a#d $ra#i$m ore re!i#i#". O! co$rse ma#& o! the scholars are $#happ& as their pa& is too low a#d the harsh weather ca$sed them problems with the medical care the& recei%e is i#adeC$ate <As a# e ample' i# (a#$ar& this &ear o#e scholar !led to the border o! 0i#la#d' b$t was arrested b& R$ssia# i#telli"e#ce a"e#ts whe# he $sed his cell pho#e to call his co#tact o# the other side=. -# respo#se' the /irectorate o! -#telli"e#ce se#t weekl& i#str$ctio#s $r"i#" them to complete their work a#d to !$l!ill the #atio#al aim o! prod$ci#" #$clear weapo#s. At o#e poi#t !ormer 0orei"# 4i#ister 9 Ei# A$#" came i# perso# a#d told the st$de#ts to !i#ish their st$dies. Fe rela&ed a messa"e !rom 3ice ,hie! o! *ta!! 4a$#" A&e that a#&o#e who married a R$ssia# woma# scie#tist a#d the# ret$r# home bri#"i#" their wi%es wo$ld be rewarded. Also' i# 2002' N$artermaster Ge#eral Ei# 4&i#t as well as the Na%& ,hie!' Air ,hie! a#d Tra#sport 4i#ister we#t to R$ssia a#d arra#"ed !or the trai#i#" o! twe#t& Air 0orce pilots' who wo$ld the# take te# p$rchased 4-G 2)s back to 5$rma. The& additio#all& disc$ssed whether 5$rma sho$ld acC$ire aircra!t carriers a#d s$bmari#es. -# ($l& 2002' *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"& 4i#ister 9 Tha$#" we#t to R$ssia a#d si"#ed the a"reeme#t !or the acC$isitio# a#d co#str$ctio# o! the #$clear reactor. Now a 10Ame"awatt reactor was bei#" b$ilt i# 4&ai#" Tow#ship' 4a"we /i%isio#' a#d !$rther that it was to $se hea%& water a#d' !or that reaso#' that it wo$ld be able to prod$ce pl$to#i$m <read 5ertil 2i#t#erBs Asia Times article o! ($l& 2008.= 9ra#i$m ore that is commerciall& e ploitable e ists i# the 6&a$k .&o#' .a$#"p&i# a#d 6&a$k *i# areas. -# additio#' $ra#i$m prospecti#" has occ$rred or is $#derwa& i# so$ther# Te#asserim' 6are##i *tate <the 2oikaw area=' 4oeh#&i# i# 6achi# *tate' a#d i# areas west o! Ta$#""&i. 9ra#i$m milli#" is i# pro"ress at Tha 5eik 6&i#' a# e#rich milled $ra#i$m <&ellowcake= to 9A2:1. This &ellowcake was sold to North 6orea a#d i# ret$r# the re"ime p$rchased #$clear acti%atio# eC$ipme#t !or $se i# $ra#i$m e#richme#t i# ($l& 2008' a#d also !or the prod$ctio# o! pl$to#i$m a#d #ow North 6orea# #$clear e perts are #ow worki#" i# Tha 5eik 6&i#. The related 4ilitar& Research ,e#ter was b$ilt i# the *etkh&a ra#"e <aka *a 6&i#= #ear 2$# 6&aw' which area is a N$clear 5attalio#' a#d that there is a ,i%ilia# Research ,e#ter i# 6&a$kse Tow#ship. There are also R$ssia# #$clear e perts i# .&i# 9 2wi#' who "i%e re!resher co$rses to the state scholars a!ter the& ret$r# home. -# ret$r# !or the reactor a#d other ser%ices' a R$ssia# "o%er#me#t mi#i#" compa#& has recei%ed co#cessio#s to mi#e "old' tita#i$m a#d $ra#i$m. There are two "old mi#i#" sites: i# 6&a$k .a ToeH a#d i# the mo$#tai#s to the ri"ht o! the Tha;iA*hwe N&a$#" railwa& li#e. Tita#i$m is also bei#" mi#ed' or deri%ed !rom the same ore' at 6&a$k .a Toe. 9ra#i$m is bei#" mi#ed at three locatio#s: i# the .e"$AGoma 4o$#tai# ra#"e i# .a$k 6a$#" Tow#ship o! .rome /istrict <aka .&i=H i# the .ai#" N"ort area i# 4o 4eik Tow#ship i# *ha# *tateH a#d at 6&a$k .a Toe.
@isturbing 5actor Ehat is perhaps most dist$rbi#" abo$t R$ssiaBs pro"ram with the 5$rmese ($#ta is that it is ide#tical to the *o%iet 9#io#Bs assista#ce that propelled North 6orea to become a #$clear power. Eh&' with the e#d o! the *o%iet 9#io# a#d the ,old Ear' is R$ssia still helpi#" ro"$e re"imes proli!erateO The s$r!ace a#swer o! co$rse is mo#e&' i# this case i# the !orm o! #at$ral reso$rces' b$t the deeper C$estio# remai#s. R$ssia is a"ai#st democrac&. -# 1)81' the *o%iet 9#io# "a%e North 6orea a 2 4E reactor' which was $p"raded i# 1)7: to 8 4E. -t also s$pplied !$el thro$"h at least this period. North 6orea the# we#t o# to co#str$ct a m$ch lar"er reactor' a#d i# the 1)80s be"a# weapo#s de%elopme#t. This i#cl$ded b$ildi#" separatio# !acilities to obtai# pl$to#i$m' a#d hi"h e plosi%es deto#atio# tests. The ($#ta has alread& co#d$cted s$ch tests' i# the *etkh&a 4o$#tai#s' aka *a 6&i# 4o$#tai#s' so$theast o! 4a#dala&. At some poi#t North 6orea also be"a# its ow# $ra#i$m e#richme#t pro"ram' to prod$ce weapo#s "rade material' a#d the 9.*. co#!ro#ted the co$#tr& abo$t this i# 2002. This mea#s that the North has two di!!ere#t so$rces o! !issile material !or weapo#s' reactor pl$to#i$m a#d e#riched $ra#i$m. North 6orea deto#ated a small atomic weapo#' with a &ield o! less tha# o#e kiloto#' i# October 2008' $si#" some o! its pl$to#i$m. -t is #ow reportedl& abo$t to disclose its #$clear assets' a#d also destro& its pl$to#i$m prod$ci#" reactor with the 9* bowi#" to the dema#d that /.R6 be take# o!! !rom the black list o! ro"$e states. 5$t the sticki#" poi#t has bee# the e#riched $ra#i$m. The North appears $#willi#" to disc$ss this beca$se it will disclose its weapo#s cache' which mea#s that e%e# with the destr$ctio# o! the reactor a#d the pl$to#i$m stockpile <!or the latter the si;e o! which is s$bDect to serio$s disp$te=' the North wo$ld retai# the abilit& to prod$ce weapo#s with the $ra#i$m. At the mome#t the 9.*. appears willi#" to accept partial disclos$re' i.e.' o! o#l& the pl$to#i$m. 5oth R$ssia' North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e bee# helpi#" 5$rma with its #$clear ambitio#s <a#d other weapo#s pro"rams=' This is all %er& dist$rbi#"' all the more so beca$se o! the appare#t weak#ess o! the 5$sh Admi#istratio#' which has bee# $#willi#" to press the North' a#d which re!$ses e%e# to me#tio# 5$rma a#d its #$clear pro"ram. -t took North 6orea !ort& &ears be!ore it deto#ated a weapo#. -t will likel& take the 5$rmese dictatorship o#l& a !ractio# o! this period. O#ce the 5$rmese ($#ta has atomic weapo#s' its r$le will be e#tre#ched. recision =eapons 5$rma #ow possessed a wide %ariet& o! missile i#stallatio#s' i#cl$di#" lar"e C$a#tities o! la#dAbased *A4sH shipAla$#ched missiles' both s$r!ace to air a#d s$r!ace to s$r!aceH weapo#s !or its 4-G 2)sH a#d e%e# short ra#"e ballistic missiles. Ehile the ($#ta bo$"ht a#tiAaircra!t weapo#s !rom the 9krai#e' i# 2007 it has #ow p$rchased !o$r shiploads o! s$ch weapo#s !rom R$ssia a#d m$ltiAt$be mecha#i;ed rocket la$#chers !rom North 6orea ca# be $sed with the ballistic missiles. 4oreo%er' 5$rma is researchi#" the prod$ctio# o! "$ided missiles' a#d with R$ssia# assista#ce i#te#ds to b$ild a rocket !actor& i# Tha;i Tow#ship. This will mark the latest step i# a wellA reco"#i;ed proli!eratio# o! R$ssia# precisio#A"$ided m$#itio#s i# the Asia .aci!ic re"io#. The o#l& thi#" that .G4s !actor& prod$ce will be medi$m ra#"e "$ided rockets a#d that prod$ctio# is sched$led to be"i# withi# !i%e &ears. -t is clear that the Ge#erals are i#te#t o# de%elopi#" a stro#" de!e#se a"ai#st a# i#ter#atio#al i#ter%e#tio#' i#cl$di#" !orei"# Dets' helicopters a#d ships. .erhaps this is the mai# reaso# o! wh& the 9.*. a#d the 0re#ch balked at droppi#" relie! s$pplies !ollowi#" ,&clo#e Nar"is was the risk o! missile attack o# their helicopters a#d ships. The !act that the 5$rmese ($#ta is a""ressi%el& seeki#" #$clear weapo#s <#ot to me#tio# all o! its other pro"rams= sho$ld make the leaders o! Thaila#d' a#d the world' e tremel& co#cer#ed. The appeaseme#t polic& o! the s$ccessi%e Thai admi#istratio#s <i#cl$di#" A*+AN= a#d the -#ter#atio#al ,omm$#it& towards the ($#ta sho$ld ha%e seco#d tho$"ht. The 5$rmese 4ilitar& ($#ta is a threat o! the "reatest se%erit&. -t sho$ld be stopped.
*i#ce the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil' with R$ssia# a#d ,hi#ese %etoes' is $#able to act' there m$st be a# alter#ati%e sol$tio#. The o#l& real optio#s are !or the 9.*.' either alo#e or with other co#cer#ed #atio#s <i#cl$di#" Thaila#d=' to assist the people o! the co$#tr& to !ree themsel%es' $si#" whate%er mea#s are reC$ired. This sho$ld be the cr$ o! the Thai polic& i#stead o! b$ll&i#" the re!$"ees a#d the mi"ra#t workers. At the mome#t' tho$"h' there is a co#spirac& o! sile#ce e%e# to ack#owled"e this threat. Thaila#d' the 9.*. a#d other #atio#s are preocc$pied with their i#ter#al a#d other problems that there is #o desire to reco"#i;e p$blicl& a#other #ew crisis. Ee also $#dersta#d that there is s$ch a thi#" as i#%esti"ati%e Do$r#alism or media o$tlet as !ar as 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram is co#cer#ed. This lack o! co%era"e mea#s that political leaders' i# Thaila#d' the 9.*.' at the 9.N.' etc.' will co#ti#$e to act as i! there is #ot a problem. -nternational Community Ehat is the 9.*. doi#"O 9#der "eopolitical realism' the o#l& co#cer#s are #atio#al i#terests. O# a s$per!icial le%el' !or the 9.*. a#d 5$rma' these are limited to ,he%ro#Bs i#%estme#t i# 5$rmaBs #at$ral "as prod$ctio# a#d pipeli#es. A seco#dar& i#terest is the co#cer# o! 9.*. citi;e#s o! 5$rmese ori"i# as most o! the 4&a#mar tribe will side with the ($#ta o#ce the 4th 5$rmese empire is established b$t #ot the eth#ic tribe' b$t si#ce this "ro$p is small it ca# e!!ecti%el& be i"#ored. -t wo$ld seem' there!ore' that all the Admi#istratio# bl$ster #otwithsta#di#"' its o#l& real polic& obDecti%e !or 5$rma is to protect ,he%ro#' which corporatio# to bolster its case also makes lar"e campai"# do#atio#s. The real direct #atio#al i#terest o! the 9#ited *tates is to de#& 5$rma #$clear weapo#s. -t is #ot o#l& North 6orea' -ra# a#d *&ria that America <a#d the world= m$st co#tai#. Fa%i#" a #$clearAarmed 5$rmese 4ilitar& ($#ta is a# $#acceptable risk. This tr$mps the #eed to assist a domestic corporatio#. 0$rther' si#ce ,he%ro# is also a maDor cash so$rce !or the ($#ta' which $ses mo#e& as well as the direct tra#s!er o! #at$ral reso$rces to pa& its weapo#s s$ppliers' it dema#ds that the compa#& be !orced to di%est. 9* i#telli"e#ce belie%es 5$rma is seeki#" to de%elop #$clear weapo#s !rom tech#olo"& pro%ided b& North 6orea' accordi#" to two !ormer se#ior 9* "o%er#me#t o!!icials. A# article i# o#e o! the latest iss$e o! 0orei"# A!!airs' 4ichael Gree#' !ormerl& with the Natio#al *ec$rit& ,o$#cil' a#d /erek 4itchell' !ormerl& with the .e#ta"o#' write: ?Eester# i#telli"e#ce o!!icials ha%e s$spected !or se%eral &ears that the re"ime has had a# i#terest i# !ollowi#" the model o! North 6orea a#d achie%i#" militar& a$tark& b& de%elopi#" ballistic missiles a#d #$clear weapo#s.@ The article co#!irms the thr$st o! a stor& i# The A$stralia# last &ear that 5$rma was seeki#" to acC$ire missile a#d #$clear weapo#s tech#olo"& !rom North 6orea. Gree# a#d 4itchell ar"$e that 5$rma is a m$ch more $r"e#t problem !or the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& tha# is commo#l& reali;ed. This is beca$se o! the h$ma#itaria# catastrophe that 5$rma has become as well as the h$ma# a#d strate"ic !allo$t o! its acti%ities. -ts ma#& ille"al immi"ra#ts are spreadi#" the F-3AA-/* %ir$s' i# part beca$se o! the primiti%e C$alit& o! the 5$rmese health s&stem. -t prod$ces the %ast maDorit& o! Asia# heroi# a#d is i#timatel& i#%ol%ed i# dr$" a#d other sm$""li#" across most o! its borders. A#d its re"ime is i#creasi#"l& erratic. Gree# a#d 4itchell e%al$ate the approaches take# to 5$rma is that 5$rmaBs #ei"hbors especiall& i# the Associatio# o! *o$thA+ast Asia# Natio#s' o! which it is a member' ha%e tried to e#"a"e it eco#omicall& a#d politicall& while $r"i#" it to embrace political re!orm. -ts closest trade part#er a#d political patro# is ,hi#a which' alo#" with R$ssia' makes s$re the 9N takes #o e!!ecti%e actio#. -#dia has also become a# importa#t pla&er i# 5$rma a#d has tried to match ,hi#a with tech#olo"&' weapo#s sales' diplomatic e#"a"eme#t a#d trade. Ehile the 9* a#d the +$ropea# 9#io# ha%e take# the opposite tack' resol$tel& co#dem#i#" 5$rmaBs i#ter#al oppressio# a#d imposi#" se%ere trade a#d i#%estme#t sa#ctio#s b$t (apa# a#d A$stralia ha%e take# a middle path.
http://www.!orei"#a!!airs.com/articles/8:018/michaelA"ree#Aa#dAderekAmitchell/asiasA!or"otte#Acrisis
with the d$al aim o! creati#" #ew i#ce#ti%es !or the *./, to re!orm a#d i#creasi#" the price it will pa& i! it !ails to cha#"e its wa&s. 59R4+*+ EAG* A!ter Ge#eral Tha# *hwe became chair o! the D$#ta i# 1))2' repressio# "rew more bra;e#. Tho$sa#ds o! democrac& acti%ists a#d ordi#ar& citi;e#s ha%e bee# se#t to priso#' a#d *$$ 6&i has bee# repeatedl& co#!i#ed to ho$se arrest' where she remai#s toda&. *i#ce 1))8' whe# the 5$rmese arm& la$#ched its K!o$r c$tsK strate"& a"ai#st armed rebels AA a# e!!ort to c$t o!! their access to !ood' !$#ds' i#telli"e#ce' a#d recr$its amo#" the pop$latio# AA 2'100 %illa"es ha%e bee# destro&ed a#d o%er o#e millio# people' mostl& 6are# a#d *ha# mi#orities' ha%e bee# displaced. F$#dreds o! tho$sa#ds li%e i# hidi#" or i# ope# e ile i# 5a#"ladesh' -#dia' ,hi#a' Thaila#d' a#d 4ala&sia. -# 2004' the re!ormist prime mi#ister 6hi# N&$#t was arrested. Two &ears a"o' Tha# *hwe e%e# mo%ed the seat o! "o%er#me#t !rom Ra#"oo# <which the D$#ta calls Ga#"o#=' the traditio#al capital' to .&i#ma#a' a small lo""i#" tow# some 210 miles #orth AA reportedl& o# the ad%ice o! a soothsa&er a#d !or !ear o! possible 9.*. air raids. A#d this past s$mmer' the "o%er#me#t cracked dow# br$tall& o# scores o! 5$rmese citi;e#s who had take# to the streets to protest stateAordered hikes i# !$el prices. 5$rmaJs #ei"hbors are str$""li#" to respo#d to the spillo%er e!!ects o! worse#i#" li%i#" co#ditio#s i# the co$#tr&. The #arcotics trade' h$ma# tra!!icki#"' a#d F-3/A-/* are all spreadi#" thro$"h *o$theast Asia tha#ks i# part to 5$rmese dr$" tra!!ickers who re"$larl& distrib$te heroi# with F-3Atai#ted #eedles i# ,hi#a' -#dia' a#d Thaila#d. Accordi#" to the 9.*. /r$" +#!orceme#t Admi#istratio#' 5$rma acco$#ts !or 80 perce#t o! all heroi# prod$ced i# *o$theast Asia' a#d the 9N O!!ice o# /r$"s a#d ,rime has draw# a direct co##ectio# betwee# the dr$" ro$tes r$##i#" !rom 5$rma a#d the marked i#crease i# F-3/A-/* i# the border re"io#s o! #ei"hbori#" co$#tries. .er%ersel&' the *./, has bee# pla&i#" o# its #ei"hborsJ co#cer#s o%er the dr$"s' disease' a#d i#stabilit& that 5$rma "e#erates to blackmail them i#to pro%idi#" it with political' eco#omic' a#d e%e# militar& assista#ce. Eorse' the *./, appears to ha%e bee# taki#" a# e%e# more threate#i#" t$r# rece#tl&. Eester# i#telli"e#ce o!!icials ha%e s$spected !or se%eral &ears that the re"ime has had a# i#terest i# !ollowi#" the model o! North 6orea a#d achie%i#" militar& a$tark& b& de%elopi#" ballistic missiles a#d #$clear weapo#s. 2ast spri#"' the D$#ta #ormali;ed relatio#s a#d i#itiated co#%e#tio#al weapo#s trade with North 6orea i# %iolatio# o! 9N sa#ctio#s a"ai#st .&o#"&a#". A#d despite 5$rmaJs ample reser%es o! oil a#d "as' it si"#ed a# a"reeme#t with R$ssia to de%elop what it sa&s will be peace!$l #$clear capabilities. 0or these reaso#s' despite $r"e#t problems elsewhere i# the world' all respo#sible members o! the i#ter#atio#al comm$#it& sho$ld be co#cer#ed abo$t the co$rse 5$rma is taki#". [deletia]
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`77:8
As was to be e pected' 5$rmaBs disside#ts i# e ile "ot b$s& "atheri#" i#!ormatio# o# these de%elopme#ts' b$t little hard e%ide#ce has &et emer"ed. The locatio# o! the pla##ed #$clear reactor is still $#k#ow#' altho$"h some disside#ts $sed Goo"le ?+arth@ to pi#poi#t some possible sites a#d e%e# b$ildi#"s i# ce#tral 5$rma. 4a"we has bee# me#tio#ed. The tr$th m$st be !aced' howe%er' that i! the #$clear reactor is to be b$ilt with a militar& $se i# mi#d its locatio# will be a state secret. The possibilit& o! 5$rma becomi#" a #$clear power is a#&wa& still %er& ma#& &ears o!!. At the mome#t' the spotli"ht !alls o# R$ssiaBs role i# !$eli#" 5$rmaBs #$clear ambitio#s' b$t e ile "ro$ps a#d re"ime critics alle"e that 5$rma has also bee# seeki#" #$clear tech#olo"& !rom North 6orea. 4ilitar& missio#s !rom North 6orea ha%e bee# see# %isiti#" 5$rma' a#d North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e bee# spotted $#loadi#" co#str$ctio# materials !rom trai#s i# ce#tral 5$rma. R$ssia# pla#es ha%e also bee# si"hted la#di#" i# ce#tral 5$rma. +%e# the 9* has its s$spicio#s' a#d as earl& as 2004 America# o!!icials a#d co#"ressme# were war#i#" o! re#ewed secret relatio#s betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. Richard 2$"ar' the# chairma# o! the 9* *e#ate 0orei"# A!!airs ,ommittee' war#ed i# 2001 that North 6oreaBs mai# e port is da#"ero$s weapo#s tech#olo"&' a maDor threat to Asia# sec$rit& a#d stabilit&. The 9* *tate /epartme#t has also re"istered o!!icial complai#ts with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t o%er r$mored missile tra#s!ers !rom North 6orea. A# importa#t !actor i# these de%elopme#ts was the restoratio# o! diplomatic ties betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea i# April. Relatio#s betwee# the two co$#tries were broke# i# 1)8: a!ter a bomb attack i# Ra#"oo# b& North 6orea# terrorists o# a %isiti#" *o$th 6orea# dele"atio# headed b& the#A.reside#t ,h$# /ooAhwa#.
The North 6orea# car"o %essel 6a#" Nam - docks at Thilawa .ort' abo$t :0km so$th o! Ra#"oo#' o# 4a& 21' 2007. -# No%ember 2008' the 6a#" Nam - was detai#ed a#d i#spected i# Fo#" 6o#" o# s$spicio# o! sa!et& %iolatio#s ,la#desti#e co#tacts betwee# the two co$#tries had bee# established se%eral &ears a"o' as 5$rma stepped $p its search !or so$rces o! co#%e#tio#al weapo#s. 5$rma de!e#se a#al&st A#drew *elth' a$thor o! the rece#t report ?5$rma a#d #$clear proli!eratio#: policies a#d perceptio#s'@ reported that 5$rma had bo$"ht co#%e#tio#al weapo#s a#d amm$#itio# !rom North 6orea' i#cl$di#" 18 1:0mm 4A48 !ield "$#s' i# the late 1))0s. 5$rma has also reportedl& se#t militar& missio#s a#d o!!icers to .&o#"&a#". These militar& ties ca# o#l& spell more tro$ble o# the hori;o#. Fard as it is to read the mi#ds o! *#rAGe# Tha# *hwe a#d his top militar& leaders' the& are k#ow# to harbor dreams o! a ?0o$rth 5$rmese +mpire'@ s$pported b& militar& mi"ht. ($st the $#certai#t& s$rro$#di#" their #$clear ambitio#s is likel& to i#timidate s$ch #ei"hbors as Thaila#d a#d 5a#"ladesh' a#d the "e#erals mi"ht also belie%e a #$clear capabilit& "i%es them the $pper ha#d i# deali#"s with Eester# #atio#s a#d their sa#ctio#s policies. The re"ime pla#s to create a #$clear #atio# b& 2021' accordi#" to researchers i# 5$rma. *ome 5$rmese pro!essors who worked with the Ne Ei# "o%er#me#t a#d who ha%e bee# ad%isi#" the c$rre#t re"ime disclosed that #$clear reactors o! 100A400 me"awatts are pla##ed. The& sa& pla#s also i#cl$de smaller reactors a#d !$rther de%elopme#t i# the area o! #$clear research. Aside !rom Thei# Oo .o *aw' 5$rmaBs #$clear proDect has bee# de%eloped b& 4i#ister 9 Tha$#"' who si"#ed the reactor a"reeme#t i# 4oscow i# ($#e with his R$ssia# co$#terpart *er"ei 6iri&e#ko' the head o! R$ssiaBs atomic a"e#c&. 9 Tha$#" is k#ow# to be close to Tha# *hwe a#d his dep$t&' 3ice *#rAGe# 4a$#" A&e. 9 Tha$#" has i#Adepth k#owled"e o! 5$rmaBs mi#i#" a#d $ra#i$m sectors a#d resi"#ed his arm& post to become director "e#eral o! 5$rmaBs /epartme#t o! Geolo"ical *$r%e& a#d 4i#eral + ploratio# i# the 1)80s. Fis lo&alt& to the militar& is be&o#d C$estio#' a#d he co#ti#$es to ser%e $#der the c$rre#t re"ime. Appoi#ted 5$rmaBs ambassador to the 9* i# 1))8' he was recalled to Ra#"oo# to head the 4i#istr& o! *cie#ce a#d Tech#olo"&' with i#str$ctio#s to deal with the R$ssia#s a#d be"i# the reactor proDect. 9 Tha$#" %isited 4oscow se%eral times i# the past se%e# &ears i# p$rs$it o! the deal. +arlier #e"otiatio#s were i#terr$pted i# 200: beca$se o! a disp$te o%er the terms o! pa&me#t' b$t perhaps the re"ime mi"ht #ow !eel cash is #o lo#"er a problem i# %iew o! 5$rmaBs #ewl&Adisco%ered %ast #at$ral "as reser%es.
Altho$"h 5$rma has scie#ce a#d e#"i#eeri#" st$de#ts' 9 Tha$#" reali;ed the& #eed #$clear orie#tatio# a#d trai#i#" a#d 5$rma be"a# se#di#" st$de#ts a#d arm& o!!icers to 4oscow. -# 2008' N$clear .h&sics departme#ts were established i# the $#i%ersities o! Ra#"oo# a#d 4a#dala&' with e#rolme#t co#trolled b& the "o%er#me#t. 2ast &ear' R$ssiaBs ambassador to 5$rma' /r 4ikhail 4. 4"elad;e' co#!irmed that abo$t 2'000 5$rmese st$de#ts had bee# admitted to 11 academic i#stit$tio#s i# R$ssia' $#der a bilateral a"reeme#t' a#d abo$t 100 had ret$r#ed to 5$rma with bachelor' masterBs or doctorate de"rees. 5$rmese #atio#als had also bee# trai#ed b& the -A+A i# the applicatio# o! #$clear tech#olo"& !or peace!$l p$rpose' the#Adep$t& 0orei"# 4i#ister 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# a##o$#ced i# (a#$ar& 2002. ,hi#ese i#telli"e#ce so$rces belie%e that 4a$#" A&e o%ersees 5$rmaBs #$clear proDect. 4a$#" A&e paid a# o!!icial %isit to R$ssia last &ear. The reactor proDect has i#%ol%ed a# i#te#si!icatio# o! the search !or $ra#i$m i# 5$rma. -# the earl& 2000s' the re"ime co#!irmed p$blicl& that $ra#i$m deposits had bee# !o$#d i# !i%e areas: 4a"we' Ta$#"dwi#"&i' 6&a$kph&"o# a#d .ao#"p&i# i# 4o"ok' a#d 6&a$ksi#. Reside#ts o! Thabeikk&i# tow#ship' 80 miles #orth o! 4a#dala&' said rece#tl& that searches were $#derwa& i# the area. Other acti%it& was reported !rom so$ther# Te#asserim /i%isio#. Rece#tl&' a R$ssia# mi#i#" compa#& accide#tall& !o$#d lar"e deposits o! $ra#i$m i# $pper 5$rma' accordi#" to ,hi#ese so$rces. The R$ssia# compa#ies Lar$be;#e!t' -tera' 6alm&kia a#d the stateAow#ed e#terprise T&a;hprome port ha%e bee# i#%ol%ed i# oil a#d "as e ploratio# a#d the establishme#t o! a pla#t to prod$ce cast iro# i# *ha# *tate. T&a;hprome portBs i#%estme#t alo#e is worth abo$t 9* b110 millio#. -tBs #ot so m$ch the R$ssia# #$clear i#%ol%eme#t with 5$rma that creates #er%o$s#ess a#d spec$latio#' howe%er' as the "e#eralsB #ew ch$mmi#ess with North 6orea. -# April' a North 6orea# !rei"hter' the 6a#" Nam -' docked at Thilawa port' :0km so$th o! Ra#"oo#. 5$rmese o!!icials said the ship' the !irst to %isit 5$rma si#ce the restoratio# o! diplomatic relatio#s' so$"ht shelter !rom a storm. The Thilawa port is r$# b& AsiaEorld ,ompa#& 2imited' ow#ed b& !ormer dr$" ki#"pi# 2o Fsi#"Aha#. Two local reporters worki#" !or a (apa#ese #ews a"e#c& were brie!l& detai#ed a#d t$r#ed back whe# the& we#t to the port to i#%esti"ate. -t was#Bt the !irst time a North 6orea# ship reported r$##i#" i#to tro$ble i# 5$rmese watersVb& a stra#"e coi#cide#ce' the North 6orea# car"o %essel 4 3 5o#" Foa!a# so$"ht shelter !rom a storm a#d a#chored at a 5$rmese port last No%ember. The 5$rmese "o%er#me#t reported that a# o#Aboard i#spectio# had ?!o$#d #o s$spicio$s material or militar& eC$ipme#t.@ 5$t Do$r#alists a#d embassies i# Ra#"oo# remai#ed skeptical. +arl& last ($l&' a disside#t so$rce told The -rrawadd& that a North 6orea# ship carr&i#" a se#ior 6orea# #$clear tech#olo"& e pert' 4aD Fo# 6il /o#"' arri%ed i# Ra#"oo# with a biolo"ical a#d #$clear packa"e. Eester# a#al&sts a#d i#telli"e#ce so$rces C$ickl& dismissed this report b$t co#ceded it was possible that 5$rma wo$ld seek co#%e#tio#al arms a#d tech#olo"& rather tha# hi"hAtech lo#"Ara#"e missiles !rom .&o#"&a#". -#deed' to skeptics' the "oAahead !or the #$clear reactor proDect a#d the arri%al o! that North 6orea# ship are two de%elopme#ts that ca# hardl& be coi#cide#tal. The R$ssia# i#%ol%eme#t i# 5$rmaBs #$clear proDect a#d the arri%al o! North 6orea# ships also se#t alarms bells ri#"i#" i# 5eiDi#"' altho$"h 5$rmaBs close a#d power!$l political all& remai#ed ti"htAlipped o# the iss$e. 5$t 5eiDi#" ca# hardl& a!!ord to ha%e two #$clear #ei"hbors: North 6orea a#d 5$rma. -t is admittedl& premat$re to co#cl$de that 5$rma i#te#ds to $#dertake the complicated a#d perilo$s process o! reprocessi#" $ra#i$m to "et weapo#sA"rade pl$to#i$m' as thi#"s sta#d at the mome#t' altho$"h stro#" s$spicio#s will co#ti#$e to "row. 5$t as 5$rma has set a "oal o! becomi#" a #$clear power #atio# b& 2021 does it make se#se to de%elop a #$clear weapo#O 4a&be #ot.
5$t o#e chilli#" theor& is that i! the North 6orea# !rei"hters that arri%ed last No%ember a#d this &ear carried #ot o#l& co#%e#tio#al weapo#s b$t pl$to#i$m a#d processi#" materials to 5$rma' it co$ld i#deed be s$spected that 5$rma pla#s to skip the mess& process o! obtai#i#" pl$to#i$m a#d mo%e strai"ht to the prod$ctio# o! weapo#s. -t is eas& to spec$late that 5$rma ma& be seeki#" #$clear tech#olo"& !rom .&o#"&a#"' altho$"h #o solid e%ide#ce has emer"ed so !ar. -t is le"itimate' howe%er' to raise the iss$e a#d to i#C$ire i#to the re"imeBs i#te#tio#s' i# the i#terests o! keepi#" #$clear tech#olo"& o$t o! the ha#ds o! irrespo#sible "o%er#me#ts. The 5$rmese "o%er#me#t has declared that it has #o desire to de%elop #$clear weapo#s. -ts #$clear pro"ram is solel& !or ?peace!$l p$rposes'@ r$#s the "o%er#me#t li#e. All !i#e a#d "oodVi! it were#Bt !or the C$estio#able so$rce o! those ass$ra#ces.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/*o$theastRAsia/-+24Ae02.html
At that time' Ei# A$#" said #o deal had bee# si"#ed' b$t that i#itial research had bee# $#dertake#. Appare#tl& the i#itial pla#s to de%elop a #$clearAe#er"& i#d$str& emer"ed a &ear or two earlier. Ei# A$#" told the -A+A i# *eptember 2001 o! the co$#tr&Js pla#s to acC$ire a #$clearAresearch reactor a#d reC$ested the a"e#c&Js help i# sec$ri#" o#e' accordi#" to -A+A o!!icials who spoke o# co#ditio# o! a#o#&mit&. Two mo#ths later' the -A+A se#t a# i#spectio# team to 4&a#mar to assess the co$#tr&Js prepared#ess to $se a#d mai#tai# a #$clear reactor sa!el&. The team co#cl$ded that the sa!et& sta#dards i# place were well below the mi#im$m the bod& wo$ld re"ard as acceptable' accordi#" to the -A+A o!!icials. At the time' 4&a#mar !ailed to respo#d to the -A+A report a#d prompted 9N #$clear o!!icials i# 3ie##a to !ear that 4&a#mar pla##ed to proceed with its #$clear ambitio#s witho$t the #ecessar& sa!et& reC$ireme#ts. Gro$#dbreaki#" had reportedl& comme#ced' b$t co#str$ctio# was halted whe# 4oscow reali;ed the D$#ta did#Jt ha%e the !i#a#cial reso$rces to pa& !or the !acilit&. Get the D$#ta #e%er !$ll& aba#do#ed its #$clear ambitio#s. 4n the nuclear prowl -# rece#t &ears' 4&a#mar has se#t emissaries abroad to e plore di!!ere#t optio#s !or de%elopi#" a #$clear reactor a#d a%e#$es !or acC$iri#" #$clear tech#olo"&' accordi#" to Eester# diplomats tracki#" the D$#taJs #$clear pla#s. The& co#te#d that this &ear /ep$t& 0orei"# 4i#ister 6&aw Too made a lowApro!ile %isit to -ra# i# the re"imeJs search !or #$clear tech#olo"& a#d materials. 4&a#marJs close co#tacts with .akista# ha%e also rece#tl& come $#der diplomatic scr$ti#&. Eester# diplomats based i# -slamabad sa& the& are co#%i#ced that the D$#taJs desire to acC$ire #$clear k#owAhow has bee# a ce#tral !oc$s o! the b$ddi#" bilateral relatio#ship. .akista#i o!!icials ha%e !er%e#tl& de#ied that the& are i# a#& wa& abetti#" 4&a#marJs #$clear ambitio#s. 5$t widespread r$mors that two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists acc$sed o! #$clear proli!eratio# were "i%e# sa#ct$ar& i# 4&a#mar i# 200: still li#"er. 4ore omi#o$s ha%e bee# the "rowi#" co#tacts betwee# 4&a#mar a#d North 6orea A last mo#th the co$#tries !ormall& reAestablished diplomatic relatio#s. Accordi#" to a 9* *tate /epartme#t o!!icial i#%ol%ed i# mo#itori#" #$clearAproli!eratio# iss$es' se%eral s$spicio$s shipme#ts ha%e arri%ed !rom North 6orea o%er the past si mo#ths. KEe ha%e bee# tracki#" North 6orea# ships a#d se%eral docked i# Ga#"o# late last mo#th ori"i#ated !rom the port where we belie%e #$clear materials ma& be shipped'K he said. A!ter o#e North 6orea# ship docked at Ga#"o#Js port last No%ember' the o!!icial said' Eashi#"to# remi#ded the D$#ta that it was obli"ed to search the ship $#der the 9N sa#ctio# meas$res adopted the pre%io$s mo#th a!ter .&o#"&a#" sta"ed its co#tro%ersial #$clear test. 4&a#mar a$thorities reported back three da&s later' accordi#" to 9* so$rces' sa&i#" that the %essel i# C$estio# co#tai#ed #othi#" illicit or s$spicio$s. 2ast &earJs shipme#ts !rom North 6orea also reportedl& $pset ,hi#a A as #either .&o#"&a#" #or Ga#"o# i#!ormed 5eiDi#" o! the two co$#triesJ i#creasi#" militar&AtoAmilitar& co#tacts. 0or their part' ,hi#ese a$thorities are co#%i#ced that 4&a#mar has rece#tl& recei%ed militar& hardware' i#cl$di#" missiles' !rom North 6orea' b$t #ot #$clear weapo#s or materials' accordi#" to a se#ior "o%er#me#t so$rce i# 5eiDi#". The latest North 6orea# shipme#t arri%ed i# Ga#"o# this week a#d its car"o is bei#" $#loaded amid e ceptio#all& ti"ht sec$rit&' accordi#" to Ga#"o# reside#ts who ha%e passed b& the port !acilities. There is still #o co#!irmed site !or the pla##ed #$clear reactor' tho$"h reliable so$rces belie%e it will be b$ilt somewhere i# the co$#tr&Js ce#tral 4a#dala& di%isio#. North 6orea# tech#icia#s reportedl& %isited the site last &ear' accordi#" to a 4&a#mar militar& so$rce who spoke with Asia Times O#li#e. At the same time as the D$#ta presses ahead with its pla#s !or a #$clear reactor' the "o%er#me#t has stepped $p its e ploratio# !or $ra#i$m i# the co$#tr&. *$r%e&s a#d test mi#i#" are taki#" place at !o$r sites' i#cl$di#" i# the eth#ic 6achi# a#d *ha# states' a "o%er#me#t o!!icial told Asia Times O#li#e o# co#ditio# o! a#o#&mit&. At the time the ori"i#al pla#s !or a #$clear reactor were mooted' the "o%er#me#t had reportedl& disco%ered $ra#i$m deposits i# !i%e areas i# ce#tral a#d #orther# 4&a#mar' accordi#" to o!!icial "o%er#me#t statistics.
The #$clear reactor that the re"ime #ow pla#s to b$ild is reportedl& #ot capable o! prod$ci#" e#riched $ra#i$m or pote#tiall& o! a#& militar& $se' accordi#" to se#ior #$clear specialists who mo#itor these matters closel&. No#etheless' there are still co#cer#s both i# the Eest a#d i# the re"io# that 4&a#marJs militar& r$lers o%er the lo#" term co$ld harbor #$clearAweapo# ambitio#s. KThe "e#erals ca##ot be tr$sted'K said a 5a#"kokAbased Eester# diplomat who !ollows 4&a#mar a!!airs. KEhile the& sa& the& will let the -A+A i# at the mome#t' the histor& o! ro"$e re"imes like the o#e i# Ga#"o# is that the& #e%er keep their promises.K 2arr& (a"a# pre%io$sl& co%ered 4&a#mar politics !or the 5ritish 5roadcasti#" ,orp. Fe is c$rre#tl& a !reela#ce Do$r#alist based i# 5a#"kok.
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S;- M0N1
1. <*= *$mmar&: +mbass& co#tacts >>>>>>>>>>>> shared with $s o# >>>>>>>>>>>> doc$me#ts !or 112 metric to#s o! ?mi ed ore@ shipped o# (a#$ar& 21 !rom 5$rma to ,hi#a %ia *i#"apore. >>>>>>>>>>>> #oticed that a$thorities treated the shipme#t as hi"hl& se#siti%e' a#d s$spect it ma& ha%e i#cl$ded $ra#i$m. O$r co#tact had #o direct e%ide#ce to s$pport this claim. +#d s$mmar&. 2. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>>' told embo!!s that >>>>>>>>>>>> i#!ormed him the& were s$spicio$s abo$t the beha%ior o! a$thorities whe# ha#dli#" a (a#$ar& 21 shipme#t o! mi ed ore !rom Ra#"oo#. Accordi#" >>>>>>>>>>>>' sec$rit& was ti"hter tha# $s$al' s$r%eilla#ce was hea%ier' a#d o!!icials paid closer atte#tio# to the mo%eme#t o! the shipme#t a#d acti%it& at the port. >>>>>>>>>>>> also claimed that metals are $s$all& e ported i# blocks' whereas the ba"s i# this shipme#t were !illed with loose earth a#d m$d. The so$rce o! the mi ed ore' 4aw ,hi' is also a so$rce !or $ra#i$m' the& claimed. >>>>>>>>>>>> said the desti#atio# i# ,hi#a' 0a#" ,he#' a#d the shippi#" li#e' Ad%a#ce ,o#tai#er 2i#es' were $#$s$al !or ro$ti#e ore shipme#ts. *hipme#ts #ormall& "o to other ports i# ,hi#a %ia 4&a#mar 0i%e *tar 2i#e' the "o%er#me#tAow#ed shippi#" li#e' accordi#" to them. The shipper' 4&a#mar R$b& +#terprise' is a Doi#t %e#t$re' :0U ow#ed b& the 4i#istr& o! 4i#es. >>>>>>>>>>>> :. <*= 6e& i#!ormatio# co#tai#ed i# the doc$me#ts we ha%e see# i#cl$des: ,arrier: Ad%a#ce ,o#tai#er 2i#es ,o.' 2td. *hipper: 4&a#mar R$b& +#terprise Address: No. 24/28 *$le .a"oda Road' 6&a$ktada Tow#ship' Ra#"oo# *hipped !rom Ra#"oo#: (a#$ar& 21' 2007 3essel: 6ota TeraD$ to *i#"apore /esti#atio#: 0a#" ,he#' ,hi#a .ort o! /ischar"e: 0a#" ,he#' G$a#" >i' ,hi#a ,o#si"#ee: G$##a# 4i#metals Tradi#" ,o.' 2td. Address: 0/8 No. <408= 5eiDi#" Road' 6$mi#"' .R ,hi#a *hipme#t: *i co#tai#ers holdi#" :080 ba"s' 112.004) #et metric to#s o! 4awchi 4i ed Ore: <ti#' t$#"ste#' scheelite mi ed co#ce#trate= 3al$e: 1:4'28:.:7 e$ros. 4. <*= Ee ha%e #o !$rther i#!ormatio# abo$t the shipme#t or the reliabilit& o! the doc$me#ts. Ee wo$ld be pleased to !orward copies o! the doc$me#ts recei%ed to a#&o#e i#terested. 3-22ARO*A
http://www.dictatorwatch.or"/articles/b$rma#$clear2.html
radioacti%e' d$e to their pro imit& i# the earth to radioacti%e ores. Ee !$rther lear#ed that i# 2001' R$ssia# "eolo"ists' with 5$rma Arm& sec$rit&' prospected !or $ra#i$m i# 6are##i *tate. The& were disco$ra"ed !rom this e#terprise b& the 6N... The ores %ar& i# C$alit&' i#cl$di#" earthe# ores a#d solid rock' a#d i# perce#ta"e o! $ra#i$m metal. Also' the pri%ate co#cessio# !or o#e o! the 4o"ok deposits was ca#celled two &ears a"o a#d take# o%er b& 5$rma Arm& soldiers. O#ce the $ra#i$m is mi#ed it is re!i#ed i#to &ellowcake. Ee ha%e reaso# to belie%e that there is a seco#d $ra#i$m re!i#er& i# 5$rma' i# additio# to the !acilit& o# the -rrawadd& Ri%er #orth o! 4a#dal&a at Thabeikk&i#. N$clear reactors a#d weapo#s research 5$rmaBs #$clear pro"ram dates !rom Ne Ei#' who se#t a pro!essor to R$ssia !or !i%e &ears' which i#di%id$al recei%ed -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& ,ommissio# certi!icatio#. The pro"ram collapsed a!ter 1)88' b$t it was later re%i%ed b& 6hi# N&$#t' who searched the states le!t o%er a!ter the break$p o! the *o%iet 9#io# !or #$clear e perts. The pro"ram was a"ai# s$spe#ded !ollowi#" his p$r"e' b$t it was C$ickl& restarted. R$ssia o!!ered i# 2001 to sell 5$rma a #$clear reactor !or research p$rposes. *imilarl&' the *o%iet 9#io# also helped establish North 6oreaBs #$clear pro"ram' i# 1)84' b& o!!eri#" a#d the# helpi#" to assemble i# the co$#tr& a *o%iet research reactor. The 0ar +aster# +co#omic Re%iew reported i# No%ember 200: that North 6orea#s were #ow i#%ol%ed i# 5$rmaBs e!!ort' a!ter tech#icia#s !rom the co$#tr& were see# $#loadi#" lar"e crates a#d co#str$ctio# eC$ipme#t at 4&othit' 4a"we /i%isio#. 5ertil 2i#t#er i# a ($l& 2008 Asia Times article added that North 6orea#s had bee# see# at Natma$k' b$t comme#ted ?there is #o e%ide#ce that R$ssia e%er deli%ered the reactor.@ Fowe%er' he also #oted that the North 6orea#s b$ilt a h$"e $#der"ro$#d b$#ker at Ta$#dwi#"&i' which is o#e o! the ack#owled"ed $ra#i$m ore sites. Accordi#" to a 2004 article i# the -rrawadd& b& 6&aw Law 4oe' 4a"we is a# area o! acti%e !a$lt li#es' a#d it e perie#ced a stro#" earthC$ake i# *eptember 200:. There is also a report that a b$#ker i# this area shelters te# 4-GA 2)s !rom R$ssia. A seco#d possible site' where 5$rmaBs ?#$clear battalio#@ is located' is i# the *etkh&a [ et)ya] 3alle& east o! 4a#dala& a#d so$th o! 4a&m&o #ear the %illa"es o! 2$# 6&aw [probably Dun!ya#; possibly Dun)ya#] a#d Ta$#" Taw [probably Taun!da#]. This %alle& is perpet$all& co%ered b& clo$ds' a#d it is s$rro$#ded b& mo$#tai#s. There is a #ew report o! a related #$clear research !acilit& i# a restricted area #ear Eetw$# %illa"e' [near 7aun! Dain!] #ortheast o! 4a&m&o. /ri%ers who make deli%eries to the area ha%e to ha#d o%er their tr$cks to perso##el !rom i#side. A#other so$rce sa&s that the reactor i# 4a"we ma& be relocated' it is also possible that it alread& has bee# relocated' to the *etkh&a 3alle& site' beca$se o! the earthC$ake risk at the !ormer. Ee ca# also report that the b$si#essma# Ta&;a is the primar& dealmaker !or 5$rmaBs #$clear a#d missile pro"rams. Fe is or"a#i;i#" ma#& o! the speci!ic tra#sactio#s' with the North 6orea#s' ,hi#ese a#d R$ssia#s. 0or e ample' Ta&;a is the a"e#t !or Aero!lot' which !lies to 4a#dala&. The h$#dreds o! trai#ees who we#t to R$ssia were take# i# a special trai# to 4a#dala&' !rom which the& completed their Do$r#e& b& Aero!lot. Ee ha%e lear#ed that twe#t&A!i%e #$clear ph&sics academics are #ow i# North 6orea o# a threeA&ear trai#i#" co$rse. Ee also recei%ed a report that the *./, has $ra#i$m e#richme#t ce#tri!$"es at o#e e#d o! the *o$th Nawi# /am <which was b$ilt with !$#di#" !rom (apa#' a#d !orced labor=. -! tr$e' this is a si"#i!ica#t escalatio# i# the *./,Bs pro"ram' si#ce e#richme#t is $sed to create #ot o#l& !$el !or #$clear power reactors' b$t also the !issile cores !or #$clear weapo#s.
http://h&dro.iis.$Atok&o.ac.Dp/GA4+AT/GA-NAT/ro$ti#e/m&a#mar/i#de .html
http://www.hea%e#sAabo%e.com/selecttow#.aspO,o$#tr&-/`54 Ta$#"daw Ta$#"daw Ta$#"daw Ta$#"daw 4a#dala& 4a#dala& 4a#dala& 4a#dala& 21.48: 21.417 21.287 21.087 )8.28: )8.18: )8.287 )1.110 102 m )1 m 184 m :81 m
6ocations of the large building (B4B)* possible locations of 6un Kyaw* location of Setkya ;ill (possibly Setkhya Mountain$* location of 6ungyaw and three locations gi7en for 1aungdaw
5acility %
5acility #
5acility &
6ocation of =etwun relati7e to Kone Baw* Naung 6aing and the new large building (B4B)8 Note the presence of an apparently new east'west road !ust north of =etwun8
http://www.dictatorwatch.or"/articles/b$rma#$clear.html
http://www.tai4!reedom.i#!o/articles/#$ke2.html
5$rma also threate#s i#ter#atio#al sec$rit& thro$"h its dr$"A"rowi#" acti%ities. A$stralia# a$thorities belie%e m$ch o! the heroi# sold i# A$stralia is "row# i# 5$rma. Apart !rom ,hi#a' which has deep strate"ic i#terests i# 5$rma' some Third Eorld members o! the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil ma& also obDect to a resol$tio# based mai#l& o# the i#ter#al h$ma# ri"hts record o! a member #atio#. 5$rma has also made separate i#C$iries with R$ssia o%er the possibilit& o! de%elopi#" a peace!$l #$clear power i#d$str&. At di!!ere#t times the 5$rmese ha%e de#ied this. The R$ssia#s are belie%ed to ha%e bee# $#respo#si%e to the 5$rmese reC$ests. Their lack o! embassies i# each otherJs co$#tries has #ot i#hibited the de%elopme#t o! the militar&AtoAmilitar& relatio#ship. This "rowi#" relatio#ship is o! ac$te co#cer# to Eester# i#telli"e#ce. 5oth 5$rma a#d North 6orea ha%e their chie! e ter#al strate"ic relatio#ship with ,hi#a. ,hi#a sees 5$rma as a# importa#t strate"ic asset. 4$ch ,hi#ese diplomac& has ce#tred o# e#er"& sec$rit& a#d 5$rma o!!ers ,hi#a s$bsta#tial oil a#d "as reser%es. 5$rma also o!!ers ,hi#a strate"ic reach i#to the -#dia# Ocea# thro$"h access to its #a%al ports. -t also pro%ides ,hi#a with e#ha#ced i#telli"e#ce capabilities thro$"h i#telli"e#ce establishme#ts' especiall& o# the 5$rmese border with -#dia. 5$rmaJs r$li#" militar& D$#ta has become i#creasi#"l& erratic a#d $#predictable i# rece#t &ears. 2ast &ear' it mo%ed its e#tire capital !rom Ra#"oo# to .&i#ma#a i# ce#tral 5$rma a#d b$ilt a #ew capital' %irt$all& !rom scratch. This was appare#tl& beca$se it !eared a 9* attack o# Ra#"oo#' b$t the timi#" o! the mo%e' which was sched$led to withi# a mi#$te' was reportedl& determi#ed b& astrolo"ical readi#"s. At the same time as cracki#" dow# o# the oppositio# Natio#al 2ea"$e !or /emocrac&' headed b& impriso#ed Nobel la$reate A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i' the 5$rmese re"ime has i#te#si!ied a %icio$s war a"ai#st the 6are# a#d other eth#ic mi#orities. The other #i#e members o! the Associatio# o! *o$theast Asia# Natio#s are i#creasi#"l& !r$strated with 5$rma. 4ala&siaJs 0orei"# 4i#ister' *&ed Famid' called last mo#th !or the 9N to take respo#sibilit& !or e#co$ra"i#" the Ra#"oo# D$#ta towards "reater ope##ess a#d moderatio#. This call represe#ts a h$miliatio# !or A*+AN a#d a realisatio# that the strate"& o! re!ormi#" 5$rma thro$"h A*+AN membership has !ailed. *ome A*+AN leaders ha%e asked 9* .reside#t Geor"e E.5$sh to take a hard li#e o# 5$rma to help break the paral&sis o# political mo%eme#t withi# the co$#tr&. The America#s are co#sideri#" co#%e#i#" a meeti#" o! likeAmi#ded #atio#s to disc$ss 5$rma at mi#isterial le%el at this &earJs A*+AN meeti#"s' sched$led to take place i# 6$ala 2$mp$r later this mo#th. A$stralia# 0orei"# 4i#ister Ale a#der /ow#er has committed to atte#d this meeti#". The (apa#ese a#d some members o! A*+AN are likel& to be i#%ited.
4r /ow#er is also likel& to meet 5$rmaJs 0orei"# 4i#ister i# 6$ala 2$mp$r. 2ast No%ember' the 9N *ec$rit& ,o$#cil met pri%atel& !or a brie!i#" o# 5$rma !rom a member o! the 9N *ecretariat' the !irst time the *ec$rit& ,o$#cil had co#sidered 5$rma' e%e# i#!ormall&. The i#ter#atio#al mood is harde#i#" a"ai#st 5$rma a#d this co$ld res$lt i# re#ewed calls to e pel it !rom A*+AN.
http://si .pairlist.#et/pipermail/b$rma#et/20080420/000):2.html 5$rmaNet News' April 20' 2008 +ditor editor at b$rma#et.or" Th$ Apr 20 14::8:41 +/T 2008
http://www.#ews.har%ard.ed$/"a;ette/2008/02.2:/0)Ab$rma.html
[EXCERPT] A 9.*. *tate /epartme#t o!!icial reiterated the 5$sh admi#istratio#Js s$pport !or co#ti#$ed eco#omic sa#ctio#s o# 5$rma 0rida& <0eb. 17= [899G] as part o! a m$ltipro#"ed e!!ort to co#%i#ce the repressi%e militar& re"ime to embrace democratic re!orms. -# additio# to sa#ctio#s' the 9#ited *tates is worki#" with 5$rmaJs #ei"hbors a#d #atio#s that ha%e close ties with the co$#tr& i# hopes that i#ter#atio#al press$re will bear res$lts that ha%e so !ar bee# el$si%e. +ric (oh#' dep$t& assista#t secretar& o! state !or the 5$rea$ o! +ast Asia# a#d .aci!ic A!!airs' described the 9#ited *tatesJ 5$rma polic& d$ri#" a l$#chtime talk at the ,e#ter !or Go%er#me#t a#d -#ter#atio#al *t$dies. The talk' part o! the Asia ,e#terJs 4oder# Asia *eries' was moderated b& Thomas 3allel&' director o! the 3iet#am .ro"ram at the (oh# 0. 6e##ed& *chool o! Go%er#me#tJs ,e#ter !or 5$si#ess a#d Go%er#me#t. (oh# said that 9.*. co#cer#s abo$t 5$rma ha%e bee# hei"hte#ed rece#tl& with the reAestablishme#t o! diplomatic relatio#s betwee# 5$rma a#d North 6orea. The a$thoritaria# re"imes ha%e isolated themsel%es to the poi#t where the& were almost dri%e# i#to each otherJs arms' (oh# said. The pote#tial tra#s!er o! tech#olo"& !rom North 6orea' which has de%eloped #$clear weapo#s' to 5$rma hei"hte#s the admi#istratio#Js co#cer#. KAs the& isolated themsel%es !rom the rest o! Asia a#d the world'K (oh# said' Kthe& were almost poi#ted to each other.K [deletia]
+ditorJs Note: /raw# accordi#" to i#!ormatio# obtai#ed b& 4i;;ima News that adds the pro"ram was ordered s$spe#ded o# 11 A$"$st. The site appears to be also i# the %ici#it& o! the Ge&wa dam site' $#der co#str$ctio# b& ,hi#ese e#"i#eers.
4a&m&o' o#ce part o! *ha# *tateJs Fsipaw pri#cipalit&' was occ$pied b& the 5ritish as the seat o! "o%er#me#t !rom where the& admi#istered the a!!airs o! 9pper 5$rma. +%e#t$all&' it became part o! the district o! 4a#dala&. The cit& has become so militari;ed d$ri#" the last decade so$rces are estimati#" its pop$latio# as hal! ci%ilia# a#d hal! militar&. The co$#tr&Js Eest .oi#t' /e!e#se *er%ices Academ&' is located here. 0or &ears' 5$rma has bee# $#der s$spicio# o! de%elopi#" #$clear power with assista#ce !rom North 6orea a#d R$ssia' where tho$sa#ds are recei%i#" #$clear trai#i#". Fowe%er' Ra#"oo# has mai#tai#ed that it was o#l& acC$ri#" #$clear tech#olo"& !or medical research p$rposes a#d de#ied its #$clear pro"ram bei#" a !ro#t !or bombAmaki#". *till' the D$#taJs critics ha%e poi#ted o$t that the topic o! atomic e#er"&' atomic !$el a#d atomic radiatio# is bei#" placed $#der the /e!e#se 2ist. K-t sho$ld i#stead be placed $#der the +#er"& a#d +lectric .ower list'K s$""ested a participa#t !rom a cease!ire "ro$p o# ) ($#e 2004 at the militar&Aor"a#i;ed Natio#al ,o#%e#tio# to dra!t the co$#tr&Js co#stit$tio#. [ ourceboo) note5 Dun)ya#O also appears as Dun!ya#*O]
A secret trade i# co#%e#tio#al weapo#s appears to ha%e be"$# i# 1))0' two &ears a!ter 5$rmaBs militar& sta"ed its blood& co$p a#d !ell $#der arms embar"os. Accordi#" to *elth' 5$rma seems to ha%e s$cceeded i# b$&i#" 20 millio# ro$#ds o! 7.82mm A6A47 ri!le amm$#itio# !rom North 6orea i# 1))0. 5$rma ma#a"ed to p$rchase 18 1:0mm 4A48 !ield "$#s i# the late 1))0s' *elth sa&s. (a#eBs /e!e#se Eeekl& has reported that North 6orea has bee# e porti#" weapo#s to 5$rma si#ce 1))8. *ome reports claim the arms deals were arra#"ed thro$"h Thai a#d *i#"aporea# a"e#ts. Others s$""est ,hi#a brokered a missile deal betwee# the two re"imes. O!!icials !rom North 6orea a#d 5$rma ha%e e cha#"ed se%eral %isits despite the abse#ce o! !ormal diplomatic ties. -# ($#e 2001' North 6orea# 3ice 0orei"# 4i#ister .ak GilA&o# a#d %isited Ra#"oo# with a# $#o!!icial dele"atio#. 2ater it was reported that a team o! North 6orea# tech#icia#s arri%ed a#d started worki#" at Ra#"oo#. 5$rmaBs militar& o!!icials also made secret %isits to .&o#"&a#". As $#o!!icial ties co#ti#$ed' North 6orea reportedl& sold s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles to 5$rma. -# ($l& 200:' accordi#" to diplomatic so$rces' aro$#d 20 North 6orea# tech#icia#s were si"hted at 5$rmaBs mai# 4o#ke& .oi#t #a%al !acilit& i# Ra#"oo#. The& were belie%ed to be i#stalli#" missiles i# patrol boats. Reside#ts a#d diplomats i# Ra#"oo# said the North 6orea# tech#icia#s were sta&i#" at a /e!e#ce 4i#istr& "$estho$se i# the capital. 4ea#while' talks took place betwee# Ra#"oo# a#d .&o#"&a#" o%er the p$rchase o! o#e or two small s$bmari#es' a#d possibl& e%e# a #$mber o! shortAra#"e ballistic missiles. -# A$"$st 200:' accordi#" to *elth' there were $#co#!irmed reports o! a secret meeti#" i# Ra#"oo# o%er p$rchase o! the s$bmari#es a#d missiles. The s$bmari#e sale seems to ha%e bee# postpo#ed. +%e# i! a missile deal occ$rred' accordi#" to *elth' deli%er& wo$ld take some &ears. The diplomats C$oted b& 0ar +aster# +co#omic Re%iew s$""ested that 5$rma' said to be *o$theast AsiaBs lar"est prod$cer o! illicit dr$"s' was tradi#" dr$"s !or weapo#s. A se#ior 9* o!!icial said i# 200: that 5$rmaBs re"ime had a"reed to s$ppl& heroi# to North 6orea i# e cha#"e !or missiles a#d #$clear tech#olo"&. The 9#ited *tates later war#ed the 5$rmese re"ime o%er its deali#"s with North 6orea. ?The li#kA$p o! these two pariah states ca# o#l& spell tro$ble'@ said *e#ator Richard 2$"ar' ,hairma# o! *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee. ?North 6oreaJs mai# e port is da#"ero$s weapo#s tech#olo"&. These de%elopme#ts are the seeds o! a maDor threat to Asia# sec$rit& a#d stabilit&.@ The 9* *tate /epartme#t a##o$#ced i# 4arch last &ear that it had re"istered a# o!!icial complai#t with the 5$rmese "o%er#me#t o%er the r$mored missile tra#s!ers !rom North 6orea. 4atthew /ale&' dep$t& assista#t secretar& i# the b$rea$ o! +ast Asia# a#d .aci!ic A!!airs' co#!irmed the D$#ta had bee# seeki#" a #$clear reactor b$t dismissed r$mor the reactor was alread& bei#" b$ilt as ?#ot wellA!o$#ded'@ accordi#" to a 5loomber" report. Otherwise' the stor& appears to ha%e bee# !or"otte#.
http://www.wikileaks.ch/cable/2004/08/04RANGOON1100.html
This record is a partial e tract o! the ori"i#al cable. The !$ll te t o! the ori"i#al cable is #ot a%ailable.
0rida&' 27 A$"$st 2004' 08:08 *+,R+T *+,T-ON 01 O0 02 RANGOON 001100 *-./-* +O 12)18 /+,2: 08/28/2014 TAG* .AR4' .-NR' .R+2' 6NN.' 54' 6N *95(+,T: A22+G+/ NORTF 6OR+AN -N3O23+4+NT -N 4-**-2+ A**+452G AN/ 9N/+RGRO9N/ 0A,-2-TG ,ON*TR9,T-ON -N 59R4A ,lassi!ied 5&: ,/A' A.-. RON 4,4922+N 0OR R+A*ON 1.1 <A/,=. 1. <*= *944ARG: North 6orea# workers are reportedl& assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ a#d co#str$cti#" a# $#der"ro$#d !acilit& at a 5$rmese militar& site i# 4a"wa& /i%isio#' abo$t :11 miles NNE o! Ra#"oo#' accordi#" to >>>>>>>>>>>> . This $#solicited acco$#t sho$ld #ot be take# as a$thoritati%e' b$t it tracks with other i#!ormatio# "ar#ered a#d reported %ia >>>>>>>>>>>>. +#d *$mmar&. 2. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> :. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> some :00 North 6orea#s are worki#" at a secret co#str$ctio# site west o! 4imb$' 4a"wa& /i%isio#' i# the !oothills o! the Araka# Goma mo$#tai#s. <,omme#t: the #$mber o! North 6orea#s s$pposedl& worki#" at this site strikes $s as improbabl& hi"h. +#d comme#t.= The >>>>>>>>>>>> claims he has perso#all& see# some o! them' altho$"h he also reported the& are !orbidde# !rom lea%i#" the co#str$ctio# site a#d that he a#d other ?o$tsiders@ are prohibited !rom e#teri#". The >>>>>>>>>>>> was co#!ide#t that >>>>>>>>>>>> had the abilit& to disti#"$ish North 6orea#s !rom others' s$ch as ,hi#ese' who mi"ht be worki#" i# the area. The e act coordi#ates o! the camo$!la"ed site are #ot k#ow#' b$t it is reportedl& i# the %ici#it& o! 20'00 N' )4'21 +. 4. <*= The North 6orea#s are said to be assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ o! $#k#ow# ori"i#. >>>>>>>>>>>> the North 6orea#s' aided b& 5$rmese workers' are co#str$cti#" a co#creteArei#!orced $#der"ro$#d !acilit& that is ?100 !eet !rom the top o! the ca%e to the top o! the hill abo%e.@ Fe added that the North 6orea#s are ?blowi#" co#crete@ i#to the e ca%ated $#der"ro$#d !acilit&. 1. <*= The >>>>>>>>>>>> is s$pposedl& e#"a"ed i# co#str$cti#" b$ildi#"s !or 20 5$rmese arm& battalio#s that will be posted #ear the site. O! these' two battalio#s are to be i#!a#tr&H the other 18 will be ?artiller&'@ accordi#" to this acco$#t. 8. <*= I>>>>>>>>>>>> 7. <*= ,O44+NT: The I>>>>>>>>>>>> seco#dAha#d acco$#t o! North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t with missile assembl& a#d militar& co#str$ctio# i# 4a"wa& /i%isio# "e#erall& tracks with other i#!ormatio# +mbass& Ra#"oo# a#d others ha%e reported i# %ario$s cha##els. A"ai#' the #$mber :00 is m$ch hi"her tha# o$r best estimates o! North 6orea#s i# 5$rma' a#d e actl& how the >>>>>>>>>>>> alle"edl& came to see some o! them perso#all& remai#s $#clear. 4a#& details pro%ided >>>>>>>>>>>> match those pro%ided b& other' seemi#"l& $#related' so$rces. 8. <*= ,O44+NT ,ONT-N9+/: Ee ca##ot' a#d readers sho$ld #ot' co#sider this report alo#e to be de!i#iti%e proo! or e%ide#ce o! si;able North 6orea# militar& i#%ol%eme#t with the 5$rmese re"ime. The >>>>>>>>>>>> descriptio# made #o re!ere#ce at all to #$clear weapo#s or tech#olo"&' or to s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles' ballistic or otherwise. >>>>>>>>>>>> This acco$#t is perhaps best co#sidered alo#"side other i#!ormatio# o! %ario$s ori"i#s i#dicati#" the 5$rmese a#d North 6orea#s are $p to somethi#" = somethi#" o! a co%ert militar& or militar&A i#d$strial #at$re. + actl& what' a#d o# what scale' remai#s to be determi#ed. .ost will co#ti#$e to mo#itor these de%elopme#ts a#d report as warra#ted. 4c4$lle#
ourceboo) comment5 The in"ormation in para!raph ? o" the abo%e cable should be compared #ith dissident reportin! concernin! a pro'ect in the %icinity o" 7!a Phae$7!ape* The coordinates 89d 99m 70 :Hd 8<m E are 'ust #est o" an area south o" 7!ape that contains numerous buildin!s built alon! roads0 some o" them du! into hillsides* -t least one location there appears in 6oo!le Earth ima!ery o" 899H to be su!!esti%e o" under!round construction*
http://irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`:))8
http://www.asiapaci!icms.com/articles/p&o#"&a#"Rra#"oo#/ B.3MA
@angerous Bedfellows
5& 5ertil 2i#t#er a#d *haw# E. ,rispi#/5ANG6O6 This article !irst appeared i# the 0ar +aster# +co#omic Re%iew' No%ember 20' 200: +%ide#ce o! a blossomi#" militar& relatio#ship betwee# pariah re"imes i# Ra#"oo# a#d .&o#"&a#" is ca$si#" "rowi#" co#cer# o%erseas. *i"#s o! "rowi#" militar& ties betwee# North 6orea a#d 5$rmaJs r$li#" D$#ta are stirri#" co#cer# amo#" 9#ited *tates a#d Asia# sec$rit& o!!icials. -# rece#t mo#ths' Ra#"oo#A a#d 5a#"kokAbased diplomats sa& the&J%e detected !resh i#dicatio#s that .&o#"&a#" ma& be s$ppl&i#" or pla##i#" to s$ppl& 5$rma with #ew weapo#s' possibl& i# e cha#"e !or shipme#ts o! heroi#. Amo#" other #ew de%elopme#ts' 5$rma has be"$# #e"otiati#" the p$rchase o! a #$mber o! s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles !rom North 6orea' 9.*. a#d Asia# o!!icials belie%e. Abo$t 20 North 6orea# tech#icia#s are worki#" at the 4o#ke& .oi#t #a%al base #ear Ra#"oo#' possibl& to prepare to i#stall the missiles o# 5$rmese warships' Ra#"oo#Abased diplomats sa&. The e#%o&s' citi#" o#AtheA"ro$#d i#telli"e#ce reports' sa& the tech#icia#s are residi#" at a 5$rmese /e!e#ce 4i#istr& "$est ho$se i# a #orther# Ra#"oo# s$b$rb. 4ore worr&i#"' some Ra#"oo#Abased Asia# diplomats sa& North 6orea# tech#icia#s ha%e bee# spotted b& i#telli"e#ce operati%es $#loadi#" lar"e crates a#d hea%& co#str$ctio# eC$ipme#t !rom trai#s at 4&othit. The diplomats #ote that 4&othit is the closest statio# to the ce#tral 5$rmese tow# o! Natma$k' #ear where the D$#ta hopes to b$ild a #$clearAresearch reactor. Aircra!t !rom North 6oreaJs #atio#al airli#e' Air 6or&o' ha%e bee# see# la#di#" at militar& air!ields i# ce#tral 5$rma' the& sa&. Ehat is partic$larl& alarmi#" is that these i#dicatio#s o! militar& cooperatio# come at a time whe# both co$#tries are $#der mo$#ti#" political press$re !rom the 9.*.AANorth 6orea to halt its #$clear bri#ksma#ship a#d 5$rma to ope# a real dialo"$e with its political oppositio#. A# allia#ce betwee# two pariah states $p a"ai#st the wall co$ld be da#"ero$s !or the re"io# a#d be&o#d' especiall& as o#e o! them ma& ha%e #$clearAweapo#s tech#olo"& that it is read& to e port' a#al&sts sa&. The 9.*.' a# io$s to c$rb #$clear proli!eratio#' is clearl& worried. KRe"imes like North 6oreaJs... ob%io$sl& look $po# the sale o! E4/ Iweapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#M as D$st a #eat wa& to "ai# hard c$rre#c&. A#d almost a$tomaticall& the& ha%e a !airl& limited marketAAterrorist "ro$ps' ro"$e states a#d pariah states'K sa&s a se#ior 9.*. admi#istratio# o!!icial. K-tJs a co#cer#' whoe%er the& e#d $p selli#" that st$!! to' a#d we are tr&i#" to take steps to limit it a#d "et it $#der co#trol.K The si"#s o! "rowi#" militar& ties ha%e also coi#cided with the arri%al o! represe#tati%es o! the /aeso#" +co#omic Gro$pAAa# e#terprise $#der 5$rea$ :)' which is char"ed with ear#i#" !orei"# c$rre#c& !or North 6oreaAAi# 5$rma' accordi#" to Ra#"oo#Abased diplomats who ha%e see# o!!icial doc$me#ts detaili#" /aeso#"Js acti%it& i# 5$rma. /aeso#"Aa!!iliated compa#ies ha%e a doc$me#ted histor& o! e porti#" se#siti%e missile tech#olo"ies. -# the past' North 6orea has also $sed /aeso#"Aa!!iliated compa#ies to p$rchase a#d import d$alA p$rpose tech#olo"ies $sed i# .&o#"&a#"Js #$clearAweapo#s pro"ramme. O#e o! these' ,ha#""wa#" *i#&o#"' pla&ed a ke& role i# .akista#Js #$clearAweapo#s pro"ramme i# the 1))0s' accordi#" to the 9.*. *tate /epartme#t' which sa#ctio#ed ,ha#""wa#" i# 1))8 a#d 2001 !or selli#" missileArelated tech#olo"& to .akista#. /iplomats belie%e 5$rmaJs rapprocheme#t with North 6orea is li#ked to its co#cer# that it is %$l#erable to a 9.*. militar& attack' especiall& a!ter the -raC Ear. A rece#t classi!ied *tate /epartme#t report see# b& the
R+3-+E e presses co#cer# that .&o#"&a#" is s$ppl&i#" Ksmall arms' amm$#itio#' artiller&' a#d missilesK to 5$rma. -t does#Jt me#tio# North 6orea# acti%it& at Natma$k' #or does it re!er to /aeso#". 5$t a se#ior 9.*. *e#ate sta!!er sa&s the *e#ate 0orei"# Relatio#s ,ommittee is mo#itori#" de%elopme#ts at Natma$k. KThe li#kA$p o! these two pariah states ca# o#l& spell tro$ble. North 6oreaJs mai# e port is da#"ero$s weapo#s tech#olo"&'K said *e#ator Richard 2$"ar' chairma# o! the committee' i# a prepared stateme#t !or the R+3-+E. Noti#" *tate /epartme#t reports that 5$rma has bee# recei%i#" weapo#s !rom .&o#"&a#"' he war#ed: KThese de%elopme#ts are the seeds o! a maDor threat to Asia# sec$rit& a#d stabilit&.K Fla 4i#' a spokesma# !or 5$rmaJs r$li#" D$#ta' calls reports o! i#creasi#" militar& li#ks betwee# Ra#"oo# a#d .&o#"&a#" a#d North 6orea Kspec$lati%e'K citi#" i# partic$lar reports abo$t North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t i# co#str$cti#" the #$clear reactor. Repl&i#" to !a ed C$estio#s !rom the R+3-+E' Fla 4i# said: KEh& wo$ld I5$rmaM wa#t to de%elop weapo#s o! mass destr$ctio#' whe# the co$#tr& #eeds all her stre#"th a#d reso$rcesK to p$rs$e a Ktra#sitio# to m$ltiApart& democrac& a#d a# ope# market eco#om&OK Fe did#Jt respo#d to C$estio#s abo$t a possible missile p$rchase !rom .&o#"&a#". North 6orea# o!!icials co$ld #ot be reached !or comme#t. A# iet& o%er 5$rmaJs militar& mo%es has prompted at least o#e #ei"hbo$r to take co$#termeas$res. -# late October' Thaila#d took deli%er& o! a# $#disclosed #$mber o! medi$mAra#"e airAtoAair missiles !rom the 9.*.' #omi#all& to "$ard a"ai#st the threat o! terrorism' b$t more likel& to stre#"the# its de!e#ces' sa& militar& a#al&sts. -# 2002' 5$rma p$rchased a #$mber o! 4iGA2) combat Dets !rom R$ssia' a mo%e a#al&sts %iew as a respo#se to Thaila#dJs !leet o! 9.*.As$pplied 0A18s. Apart !rom the 9.*. press$re' which i#cl$des to$"h #ew sa#ctio#s imposed i# ($l&' 5$rma has come $#der rare press$re !rom its collea"$es i# the Associatio# o! *o$theast Asia# Natio#s to re#ew a political dialo"$e with democrac& leader A$#" *a# *$$ 6&i. ,hi#a' too' has rece#tl& be"$# to wa%er i# its si"#i!ica#t militar& a#d eco#omic s$pport o! the D$#ta. *imilar 4i#dsets Ra#"oo#Js "rowi#" isolatio#' diplomats a#d re"io#al sec$rit& e perts sa&' is prompti#" the militar& "o%er#me#t to seek #ew wa&s to mai#tai# its "rip o# power a#d #e$trali;e percei%ed threats' especiall& !rom the 9.*. 5$rmaJs militar&' !or e ample' is co#str$cti#" a massi%e b$#ker #ear the ce#tral 5$rmese tow# o! Ta$#"dwi#"&i to shield its 4iGA2)s !rom possible 9.*. attack' accordi#" to Ra#"oo#Abased e#%o&s. KINorth 6orea a#d 5$rmaM share a similar sort o! mi#dset'K sa&s a 5a#"kokAbased Eester# diplomat. KThe& ha%e both draw# their wa"o#s i#to a circle read& to de!e#d themsel%es. I5$rmaJs "e#eralsM admire the North 6orea#s !or sta#di#" $p to the 9#ited *tates a#d wish the& co$ld do the same. 5$t the& ha%e#Jt "ot the same bar"ai#i#" power as the North 6orea#s.K ThatJs led some sec$rit& o!!icials to !ear Ra#"oo# mi"ht tr& to b$& more pote#t weapo#r& !rom North 6orea. -# partic$lar' these o!!icials are scr$ti#i;i#" acti%it& #ear Natma$k. -# 2002' R$ssia a"reed to sell 5$rma a #$clear reactor !or medical research a#d to pro%ide assista#ce !or its co#str$ctio# a#d operatio#. 5$t 4oscow shel%ed the proDect earlier this &ear beca$se the D$#ta co$ld#Jt pa& !or it. Now' some Eester# a#d Asia# diplomats a#d re"io#al sec$rit& a#al&sts with li#ks to Thai militar& i#telli"e#ce s$""est .&o#"&a#" wa#ts to help the D$#ta restart co#str$ctio# o! the reactor. KEe are watchi#" the sit$atio# at Natma$k %er&' %er& closel&'K sa&s a 5a#"kokAbased Eester# diplomat who rece#tl& %isited 5$rma. -tJs #ot clear how po%ert&Astricke# Ra#"oo#' which lacks !orei"# c$rre#c&' is pa&i#" !or a#& militar& hardware or assista#ce itJs recei%i#" !rom North 6orea. 5$t some Eester# sec$rit& o!!icials s$spect Ra#"oo# is $si#" dr$"s to pa&. A se#ior 9.*. o!!icial' !or e ample' s$""ests .&o#"&a#" a#d Ra#"oo# ha%e rece#tl& e#tered i#to a# arra#"eme#t' whereb& 5$rma s$pplies hi"hA"rade heroi# to North 6orea i# e cha#"e !or missiles a#d possibl& #$clear k#owA how.
To back $p s$ch claims' o!!icials #ote that at least two North 6orea# ships ha%e bee# implicated i# sm$""li#" 5$rmese K/o$ble 9AO GlobeK bra#d heroi# i#to Taiwa# a#d A$stralia si#ce 2002. R$ssia# police ha%e rece#tl& sei;ed 5$rmese heroi# carried b& North 6orea# i#telli"e#ce a"e#ts o# their m$t$al border' accordi#" to #ews reports. KEeJre %er& s$spicio$s that the&Jre cooperati#" o# dr$"s'K sa&s a se#ior 9.*. o!!icial i# Eashi#"to#' citi#" i#telli"e#ce reports that .&o#"&a#" a"e#ts ha%e rece#tl& bee# spotted i# 5$rmaJs Golde# Tria#"le opi$mA prod$ci#" re"io#. 4$rra& Fiebert i# Eashi#"to# co#trib$ted to this article
http://www.spacedail&.com/#ews/#$clearAci%ilA02b.html
earlier report
4&a#mar ,o#!irms .la#s To 5$ild N$clear Research Reactor Eashi#"to# <A0.= (a# 22' 2002 The militar& re"ime i# 4&a#mar <5$rma= is pla##i#" to b$ild a #$clear research reactor a#d is i# #e"otiatio#s with R$ssia o%er the !acilit&' /ep$t& 0orei"# 4i#ister 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# has co#!irmed. -# a stateme#t iss$ed late 4o#da&' 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# said the D$#ta had i#!ormed the -#ter#atio#al Atomic +#er"& A"e#c& <-A+A= o! its i#te#tio# to co#str$ct the reactor which wo$ld be $sed K!or peace!$l p$rposesK.
KThe 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t is stri%i#" to acC$ire moder# tech#olo"& i# all !ields' i#cl$di#" maritime' aerospace' medical a#d #$clear'K he said i# the stateme#t. K-t is i# the li"ht o! these co#sideratio#s that 4&a#mar made e#C$iries !or the possibilit& o! setti#" $p a #$clear research reactor. A proposal has si#ce bee# recei%ed !rom the R$ssia# 0ederatio#.K R$ssia said last 0ebr$ar& that it pla##ed to e#ter talks with 4&a#mar o# b$ildi#" a #$clear reactor i# the *o$theast Asia# co$#tr& !or scie#ti!ic p$rposes. 4edia reports ha%e said that h$#dreds o! 4&a#mar scie#tists are prese#tl& i# R$ssia recei%i#" #$clear trai#i#". 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# said that $#der the No#A.roli!eratio# Treat& which 4&a#mar si"#ed i# 1))2' it had the ri"ht to p$rs$e Kthe peace!$l $se a#d applicatio# o! #$clear tech#olo"&K. KAll o$r #ei"hbo$ri#" co$#tries' with the e ceptio# o! 2aos' are alread& reapi#" the be#e!its !rom #$clear research reactors operati#" i# their co$#tries'K he said. K-# this a"e o! "lobali;atio# it is imperati%e that de%elopi#" co$#tries s$ch as 4&a#mar acti%el& seek to #arrow the de%elopme#t "ap so as #ot to be mar"i#ali;ed.K Fowe%er' the de%elopme#t is likel& to raise co#cer#s amo#" wester# "o%er#me#ts who %iew militar&Ar$# 4&a#mar as a pariah re"ime d$e to its poor h$ma# ri"hts record a#d re!$sal to make democratic re!orms. There will also be C$estio#s o%er whether 4&a#mar' whose eco#om& has bee# bro$"ht to its k#ees b& hea%& i#ter#atio#al sa#ctio#s' ca# a!!ord s$ch a !acilit&. 6hi# 4a$#" Ei# de#ied media reports that 4&a#mar has secretl& bro$"ht two .akista#i #$clear scie#tists i#to the co$#tr& to help it !$l!il its #$clear ambitio#s. KThe 4&a#mar "o%er#me#t cate"oricall& states o#ce a"ai# that #o #$clear scie#tists !rom .akista# ha%e bee# "i%e# sa#ct$ar& i# 4&a#mar'K he said. Fowe%er' he said 4&a#mar scie#tists had bee# trai#ed b& the -A+A Ki# the applicatio# o! #$clear tech#olo"& !or peace!$l p$rposesK. Thaila#dJs 5a#"kok .ost has reported that the 3ie##aAbased -A+A was co#cer#ed abo$t the pla#s to b$ild a reactor i# 4&a#mar a#d had asked 4oscow to pro%ide details o! the #e"otiatio#s. -t said 4&a#mar had approached the -A+A i# *eptember with its pla#s to acC$ire a reactor' a#d that two mo#ths later a team !rom the or"a#isatio# made a# i#spectio# %isit. The team co#cl$ded that the co$#tr&Js sa!et& sta#dards were Kwell below the mi#im$m the bod& wo$ld re"ard as acceptable'K it C$oted a# $##amed -A+A o!!icial as sa&i#".
http://www.irrawadd&.or"/article.phpOartRid`18418
5allJs report said that with North 6oreaJs aide the reactor i# Na$#" 2ai#" co$ld be completed aro$#d 2012 a#d 5$rma co$ld de%elop its !irst deli%erable #$clear weapo#s b& 2020. Altho$"h it is prese#tl& $#clear how North 6orea ma#a"es to sm$""le arms a#d tech#olo"& i#to 5$rma' spec$latio# o%er the North 6orea# %essel that arri%ed i# Ra#"oo# i# April !ollowed the co#tro%ers& last ($#e whe# the 6a#" Nam 1' a North 6orea# %essel belie%ed to be headi#" to 5$rma' made a $At$r# i# the *o$th ,hi#a *ea a!ter bei#" tailed b& a 9* /estro&er. *ome obser%ers belie%e that North 6orea ma& also ship arms to 5$rma b& air thro$"h ,hi#a. *o$rces i# 4eiktila' i# ce#tral 5$rma' ha%e reported seei#" militar& car"oes' belie%ed to be !rom ,hi#a a#d North 6orea' arri%i#" at 4eiktila Airport' which ser%es as a 5$rmese Air 0orce base.
AppendiC B -magery
O%er%iew o! area show#i#" locatio#s me#tio#ed i# %ario$s reports. ?5O5@ is the lar"e b$ildi#" #ear Na$#" 2ai#".
@igital Alobe imagery of #$$,'%$'## Apparently the site had been noticed and targeted for unclassified imaging by late #$$)8
Browse image corresponding to Aoogle 0arth image of #$$,'%$'##8 1he building is clearly 7isible8
-konos %browse image of #$$+'$+'%& 1he image appears to be centered on the site* suggesting it was specifically targeted
-konos image of #$$+'$+'%& 1he site has been cleared and eCca7ated but no foundation or building is present8
-mage of #$$,'%$'##
=orld"iew % browse image of #$$('$H'%H8 1he building is clearly 7isible8 A new road running from a cleared area on the ri7er east to a hilltop has been constructed8
Aoogle 0arth -mage image of #$$('%#'&% 1he hilltop at the eastern end of the new road has been cleared8
0astern clearing
0le7ations of the terrain around the building8 1he ele7ations near the building presumably represent pre7iously eCisting terrain8 1he building site is cut into the south end of a +$'meter high ridge that eCtends most of a kilometer to the north east and has an eCtension to the southeast and south that reaches ?$ meters in height abo7e the site8
http2QQwww8armscontrolwonk8comQ#+%#Qoconnor'on'the'bobRcomment R (( abo%e !ell !or the same optical ill$sio# - did' sort o! a# earthe# stepAp&ramid $p abo%e a mostl& !lat s$rro$#di#" terrai#. This is a "oo!' as topolo"& a#d other so$rces a%ailable #ow i#dicate. To ill$strate what - mistake#l& saw at !irst close look' a#d the real topolo"&' - created this "raphic: http://www.retro.com/emplo&ees/"herbert/4&a#mar/TopoAGoo!.p#" - ha%e cross sectio#s ro$"hl& EA+ a#d NA* !or the mistake# ?p&ramid@ topolo"&' a#d the act$al ?c$t i#to hillside@ topolo"& which the other so$rces i#cl$di#" better read o# the slope a#d hill hei"hts s$pport. V Geor"e Eilliam Ferbert W A$" 11' 02:08 A4 W
AppendiC C
ossible Correlations between Aoogle 0arth -mages and an 0mbassy and @issident 3eport
http://www.wikileaks.ch/cable/2004/08/04RANGOON1100.html
This record is a partial e tract o! the ori"i#al cable. The !$ll te t o! the ori"i#al cable is #ot a%ailable.
0rida&' 27 A$"$st 2004' 08:08 *+,R+T *+,T-ON 01 O0 02 RANGOON 001100 *-./-* +O 12)18 /+,2: 08/28/2014 TAG* .AR4' .-NR' .R+2' 6NN.' 54' 6N *95(+,T: A22+G+/ NORTF 6OR+AN -N3O23+4+NT -N 4-**-2+ A**+452G AN/ 9N/+RGRO9N/ 0A,-2-TG ,ON*TR9,T-ON -N 59R4A ,lassi!ied 5&: ,/A' A.-. RON 4,4922+N 0OR R+A*ON 1.1 <A/,=. 1. <*= *944ARG: North 6orea# workers are reportedl& assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ a#d co#str$cti#" a# $#der"ro$#d !acilit& at a 5$rmese militar& site i# 4a"wa& /i%isio#' abo$t :11 miles NNE o! Ra#"oo#' accordi#" to >>>>>>>>>>>> . This $#solicited acco$#t sho$ld #ot be take# as a$thoritati%e' b$t it tracks with other i#!ormatio# "ar#ered a#d reported %ia >>>>>>>>>>>>. +#d *$mmar&. 2. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> :. <*= >>>>>>>>>>>> some :00 North 6orea#s are worki#" at a secret co#str$ctio# site west o! 4imb$' 4a"wa& /i%isio#' i# the !oothills o! the Araka# Goma mo$#tai#s. <,omme#t: the #$mber o! North 6orea#s s$pposedl& worki#" at this site strikes $s as improbabl& hi"h. +#d comme#t.= The >>>>>>>>>>>> claims he has perso#all& see# some o! them' altho$"h he also reported the& are !orbidde# !rom lea%i#" the co#str$ctio# site a#d that he a#d other ?o$tsiders@ are prohibited !rom e#teri#". The >>>>>>>>>>>> was co#!ide#t that >>>>>>>>>>>> had the abilit& to disti#"$ish North 6orea#s !rom others' s$ch as ,hi#ese' who mi"ht be worki#" i# the area. The e act coordi#ates o! the camo$!la"ed site are #ot k#ow#' but it is reportedly in the 7icinity of #$*$$ N* (+*#, 08 4. <*= The North 6orea#s are said to be assembli#" ?*A4 missiles@ o! $#k#ow# ori"i#. >>>>>>>>>>>> the North 6orea#s' aided b& 5$rmese workers' are co#str$cti#" a co#creteArei#!orced $#der"ro$#d !acilit& that is ?100 !eet !rom the top o! the ca%e to the top o! the hill abo%e.@ Fe added that the North 6orea#s are ?blowi#" co#crete@ i#to the e ca%ated $#der"ro$#d !acilit&. 1. <*= The >>>>>>>>>>>> is s$pposedl& e#"a"ed i# co#str$cti#" b$ildi#"s !or 20 5$rmese arm& battalio#s that will be posted #ear the site. O! these' two battalio#s are to be i#!a#tr&H the other 18 will be ?artiller&'@ accordi#" to this acco$#t. 8. <*= I>>>>>>>>>>>> 7. <*= ,O44+NT: The I>>>>>>>>>>>> seco#dAha#d acco$#t o! North 6orea# i#%ol%eme#t with missile assembl& a#d militar& co#str$ctio# i# 4a"wa& /i%isio# "e#erall& tracks with other i#!ormatio# +mbass& Ra#"oo# a#d others ha%e reported i# %ario$s cha##els. A"ai#' the #$mber :00 is m$ch hi"her tha# o$r best estimates o! North 6orea#s i# 5$rma' a#d e actl& how the >>>>>>>>>>>> alle"edl& came to see some o! them perso#all& remai#s $#clear. 4a#& details pro%ided >>>>>>>>>>>> match those pro%ided b& other' seemi#"l& $#related' so$rces. 8. <*= ,O44+NT ,ONT-N9+/: Ee ca##ot' a#d readers sho$ld #ot' co#sider this report alo#e to be de!i#iti%e proo! or e%ide#ce o! si;able North 6orea# militar& i#%ol%eme#t with the 5$rmese re"ime. The >>>>>>>>>>>> descriptio# made #o re!ere#ce at all to #$clear weapo#s or tech#olo"&' or to s$r!aceAtoAs$r!ace missiles' ballistic or otherwise. >>>>>>>>>>>> This acco$#t is perhaps best co#sidered alo#"side other i#!ormatio# o! %ario$s ori"i#s i#dicati#" the 5$rmese a#d North 6orea#s are $p to somethi#" = somethi#" o! a co%ert militar& or militar&A i#d$strial #at$re. + actl& what' a#d o# what scale' remai#s to be determi#ed. .ost will co#ti#$e to mo#itor these de%elopme#ts a#d report as warra#ted. 4c4$lle#
http://democrac&!orb$rma.wordpress.com/200)/04/11/cla#desti#eA#$clearAproDectsAo!Ab$rmeseAD$#taAalmostAcompleted/
Aoogle 0arth image showing locations of the sites identified in the abo7e report and cable
Aoogle 0arth image showing locations of Kone Baw and we Kauk relati7e to MaymyoQ yin 4o 6win and the new large building (B4B)
-mage of &% @ecember #$$( showing new construction underway on ri7er* a candidate for the first pro!ect site
-magery of #$$+ showing an area southwest of Ngape with numerous buildings along a system of roads8 Se7eral buildings are in eCca7ations in hillsides* and one site may be the location of the second pro!ect8 1he coordinates gi7en in the 3angoon 0mbassy cable (#$ $$* (+ #,) are shown !ust to the west of the candidate second pro!ect facility
1opography of candidate second pro!ect site8 Map tack A marks embassy cable coordinates8
@igitalAlobe images in area of candidate second pro!ect site8 1wo images taken in @ecember #$$) are centered precisely on the site8
"iew of candidate third pro!ect site showing northern and southern parts
1opography of northern part of candidate third pro!ect site registered with and to the same scale as the pre7ious satellite image
1opography of southern part of candidate third pro!ect site registered with and to the same scale as the pre7ious satellite image