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Global markets at a glance The Dow Jones industrial average rose 129.21 points or 0.82 percent, to 15,884.57, the S&P 500 gained 11.22 points or 0.63 percent, to 1,786.54 and the Nasdaq Composite added 28.54 points or 0.71 percent, to 4,029.51. European shares rebounded on Monday from a four-day losing streak, led by a rise in German equities that helped offset concerns over future U.S. monetary policy. The panEuropean FTSEurofirst 300 index ended up 1.3% at 1,258.31 points, while the euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index rose by around 2% to 2,978.77 points. Asian shares got off to a promising start on Tuesday on the back of rising U.S. manufacturing output and a jump in euro zone business activity Wall Street Update US stocks rose on Monday after closing Friday their worst week since August as upbeat economic data from the United States and Europe boosted optimism ahead of a key Federal Reserve decision later in the week. In Tokyo, Nikkei futures advanced 0.8 percent, indicating a firmer open after shedding 1.6 percent to a 3-1/2 week closing low on Monday. Previous day Roundup The market closed lower for the fifth consecutive session on Monday. The Sensex fell 50.14 points to 20,665.44, and the Nifty lost 13.70 points to 6,154.70. About 1092 shares have advanced, 1312 shares declined, and 183 shares were unchanged. Index stats The Bankex and Bank Nifty both declined. Among the sartorial indices the sectors which closed up are; Capital Goods [up 43.71pts], Consumer Durables [up 67.28pts], Metals [up 19.35pts], Realty [up 1.73pts], TECK [up 49.31pts], IT [up 133.63pts], Power [up 5.39pts], and Healthcare [up 76.06pts], the index slipped were Oil & Gas [down 137.61pts], AUTO [down 84.8pts], PSU [down 16.42pts],FMCG [down 31.16pts].
World Indices
Index DJl S&P 500 NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100 Nikkei 225 Hong Kong Value 15,884.57 1,786.54 4,029.52 2,978.77 6,522.20 15,283.94 23,190.44
CMP Change
Top Gainers
Company
Top Losers
Company
Prev. Close
BEL DSKULKARNI
1006.00 48.50
CMP
18.35 0.20
Change
-1.79 -0.41
% Chg
Indian Indices
Company NIFTY SENSEX
6,154.70 20,559.52
-13.70 -56.06
-0.22 -0.27
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TECH MAHINDRA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 1750. We advise buying around 1740-1750 levels with strict stop loss 1715 for the targets of 1770-1790 levels. 2. ADANI ENTERPRISES
TATA ELXSI is looking strong on charts. We advise buying around 340-345 levels with strict stop loss of 330 for the targets of 355-365 levels. MACRO NEWS The Indian wholesale price index (WPI) for the month of November shot up to a 14-month high of 7.52% vs 7%in the previous month, led by higher primary, food and fuel prices. The street was largely expecting the November WPI to stay at 7 percent. The September WPI number has also been revised upwards at 7.05% from the provision figure of 6.46. GlaxoSmithKline plc announced a voluntary open offer to increase its stake in its publicly-listed pharmaceuticals subsidiary in India, GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Limited , from 50.7 percent to up to 755 at a price of Rs 3,100 per share. With this latest India deal, GSK is set to spend close to $2 billion in roughly a year to increase its holdings in two listed Indian companies, its biggest incremental investment in any country in that period. Foreign institutional investors sold Indian shares worth 4.32 billion rupees ($69.49 million) on Friday, to snap their 10-day buying streak, raising concerns ahead of the Fed's meeting ending on Wednesday. Reserve Bank of India likely to hike repo rate by 25bps. Government may stop charging market rates for bulk diesel purchase.
ADANI ENTERPRISES FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 260. We advise buying above 260 levels with strict stop loss 255 for the targets of 265270. YOUR MINTVISORY
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NIFTY NIFTY NIFTY BANK NIFTY SBIN INFY ICICIBANK TATASTEEL Symbol
11,000 102.55
STOCKS IN NEWS SBI reported a 33% decline in its advance tax payment for the December quarter at Rs 1,130 crore. RIL to exit non-veg business as it hurts religious sentiment. Walmart gets CCI nod to buy Bharti's stake in Indian JV. Public sector banks to go on strike on December 18. CCI clears purchase of Heidelberg's Raigad unit by JSW Steel. NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise selling on rise around 6200 with strict stop loss of 6240 for the targets of 6160-6120 levels.
INDICES
NIFTY NIFTYJUNIOR BANK NIFTY YOUR MINTVISORY
S2
6124.13 12194.13 11243.35
S1
6139.41 12237.66 11308.15
PIVOT
6161.33 12272.63 11374.5
R1
6176.61 12316.16 11439.3
R2
6198.53 12351.13 11505.65
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DAILY REPORT
17th DECEMBER. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
COMMODITY ROUNDUP A two day US Fed policy makers meet is scheduled to end on Wednesday and traders may get further clues for their trading from the meeting statement. US gold futures continued its negative trend on Monday and was seen trading down on concerns that US Central Bank may start reducing its monetary stimulus soon. India gold futures edged lower on Monday tracking a weak trend in the global market. Appreciation of Indian Rupee (INR) against US Dollar (USD) may have put pressure on the commodity prices to certain extent. HSBC Flash China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was down at 50.5 in December lower when compared to 50.8 in November. Flash China manufacturing output index is reported at 51.8 in December (52.2 in November), a two-month low.
RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 45700 TGTS 45900/46200 SL 45350 SELL SILVER BELOW 45200 TGTS 45000/44700 SL 45550 GOLD
US mines have produced 19300 kilograms of gold in September this year, a decline of 5% when compared to 20400 kg in the previous month and slightly down when compared to 19600 kg in the same period last year. MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28831 down Rs 601 , or- 2.04 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29371 and an intraday low of Rs 28766. So far 23761 contracts have been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 29250 and traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest SUPPORT of 29150 and made new low of 28766 MCX SILVER March contract was closed at Rs 45330 UP Rs 554, or 1.24 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45665 and an intraday low of Rs 44062. 26492 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap up and made day low. In mid session silver trade in big range and made night high 45665 . After 8.00 p.m. there had seen more buying pressure in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance of 45700. India Govt drive to reduce gold consumption to discourage gold imports, reduce Current Account Deficit (CAD) caused increase in smuggling activity and reduced gold jewellery exports.
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 28930 TGTS 29010/29110 SL 28820 SELL GOLD BELOW 28690 TGTS 28610/28510 SL 28810
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NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED
Barley Castor Seed Chana Chilli Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Jeera Mustard seed Ref Soya Oil Turmeric
1440 4861 2840 7348 8015 1406 12980 3620 697 5200
-0.17 +3.03 -1.05 +0.08 +2.82 -0.92 +0.12 -1.42 +0.15 +1.21
BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 4880 TGTS 4910,4960 SL 4830 SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 4650 TGTS 4620,4570 SL 4700 DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP Panel to discuss more sops for sugar mills on December 18. Jeera prices traded up by 0.73% to Rs 13,060 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as speculators created fresh positions supported by pick up in demand in the spot market. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, jeera for delivery in December rose by Rs 95, or 0.73%, to Rs 13,060 per quintal with an open interest of 2,190 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in January traded higher by Rs 80, or 0.61%, to Rs 13,122.50 per quintal in 6,834 lots. speculators created fresh positions supported by pick up in demand in the spot market that helped jeera prices to trade higher at futures trade. Coriander prices rose 2.43% to Rs 8,335 per quintal in futures trading today on strong demand in the spot market against limited arrivals from producing belts. At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, coriander for delivery in January gained Rs 198, or 2.43%, to Rs 8,335 per quintal with an open interest of 33,610 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in December traded higher by Rs 181, or 2.32%, to Rs 7,976 per quintal in 870 lots. Besides strong demand in the spot market, restricted arrivals from producing regions mainly pushed up coriander prices at futures trade.
SELL DHANIYA BELOW 8355 TGTS 8325,8275 SL 8395 BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 8460 TGTS 8490,8540 SL 8410
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CURRENCY
60.4000 101.2704
CURRENCY ROUNDUP The dollar pulled back further against the yen from a fiveyear high set on Friday. The greenback was at 103.08 yen after easing 0.3 percent on Monday. Ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia policy meeting minutes, the Australian dollar was down a tad at$0.8944, near a 3-1/2 month low of $0.8909 set on Friday. The dollar moved largely lower against most major currencies on Monday after hit-or-miss economic indicators released earlier cast doubts on recent expectations for the Federal Reserve to announce plans to taper its USD85 billion in monthly asset purchases at a policy meeting this week. The euro held the upper hand on Tuesday after surprisingly strong euro zone manufacturing data, while uncertainty over when the Federal Reserve would start to trim its economic stimulus program kept the dollar on the defensive. The Reserve Bank of India said on Monday it accepted all 58 bids for 384.50 billion rupees ($6.19 billion) at its one-day repo auction, through which it injects liquidity into the banking system. It accepted both bids for 8.03 billion rupees ($129.2 million) at its one-day reverse repo auction, through which it absorbs excess liquidity from the banking system. Indian banks' refinancing with RBI rises to 264.95 billion rupees. Indian banks' cash balances with RBI marginally lower at 3.11 trillion rupees. The Indian rupee gained on Monday, snapping three days of losses on inflows tied to dollar sales from foreign banks and corporate, even as high wholesale prices virtually sealed the case for a rate hike on Wednesday. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.73/74 per dollar compared with 62.125/135 on Friday. It rose 0.7 pct in session, its biggest single day gain in nearly a month. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 62.15 while the three-month was at 63.02.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 59.95 TGTS 59.76,59.60 SL 60.36. BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 60.74 TGTS 60.94, 61.16 SL 60.33. GBP/INR
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 100.83 TGTS 100.66,100.44 SL 101.28. BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 101.70 TGTS 101.86,102.03 SL 101.25.
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CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13 16/12/13
Commodity/ Currency Pairs MCX GOLD MCX GOLD MCX SILVER MCX SILVER NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX CASTOR SEED NCDEX DHANIYA NCDEX DHANIYA USD/INR USD/INR EUR/INR EURINR
Contract DEC DEC. DEC DEC JAN. JAN. JAN JAN DEC. DEC. DEC. DEC. CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION FUTURE FUTURE FUTURE CASH CASH FUTURE CASH
Strategy Entry Level BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY 29500 29250 45050 44500 4640 4880 8380 7950 62.21 62.48 85.34 85.64
Target 29580-29680 29170-29070 45300-45650 44250-43900 4615-4580 4905-4940 8405-8440 7925-7980 61.99-61.75 62.62-62.75 85.18-84.97 85.79-85.92
Stop Loss 29390 29360 44750 44800 4680 4840 8345 7995 62.60 62.09 85.74 85.24
Remark NOT EXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT BOOKED FULL PROFIT BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED NOT EXECUTED BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT NOT EXECUTED BOOKED PROFIT BOOKED PROFIT
Date
Scrip
Strategy
Stop Loss
Remark
NIFTY TATAMOTORS AURO PHARMA BF UTILITIES JINDAL PHOTO HCLTECH SASKEN COMM
CALL OPEN CALL OPEN BOOKED FULL PROFIT NOT EXECUTED CALL OPEN CALL OPEN BOOKED PROFIT
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ECONOMIC CALENDAR
US ECONOMIC REPORT
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUSFORECAST
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MONDAY, DEC. 16 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 9:15 AM 9:15 AM EMPIRE STATE INDEX PRODUCTIVITY REVISION INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION CAPACITY UTILIZATION DEC. Q3 NOV. NOV. TUESDAY, DEC. 17 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 10 AM CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CORE CPI CURRENT ACCOUNT HOME BUILDERS' INDEX NOV. NOV. Q3 DEC. WEDNESDAY, DEC. 18 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 2 PM 2:30 AM HOUSING STARTS BUILDING PERMITS FOMC STATEMENT BERNANKE PRESS CONFERENCE THURSDAY, DEC. 19 8:30 AM 10 AM 10 AM 10 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS EXISTING HOME SALES PHILLY FED LEADING INDICATORS 12/14 NOV. DEC. NOV. FRIDAY, DEC. 20 8:30 AM GDP REVISION Q3 Disclaimer
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3.6%
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