Freedonia Focus Reports

US Collection

Medium- & Heavy-Duty

Trucks & Buses:
United States

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January 2014

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Highlights

Industry Overview
Industry Size and Trends | Product Segmentation | Trade | NAFTA Overview
Regulatory Factors | Technology and Product Development

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Industry Forecasts
Market Environment | Product Forecasts

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Resources

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Industry Structure
Industry Composition | Industry Leaders | Additional Companies Cited
www.freedoniafocus.com

Medium- & Heavy-Duty Trucks & Buses: United States

ABOUT THIS REPORT

Scope & Method

This report forecasts US medium- & heavy-duty (MD/HD) truck and bus production,
retail sales, and park (or vehicles in use) in units to 2017. Total production, retail sales,
and park are each segmented in units in terms of:

heavy-duty trucks
medium-duty trucks
MD/HD buses.

MD/HD trucks and buses are defined as vehicles in weight classes 4 through 8. MD/HD
trucks include special purpose vehicles (eg, fire trucks, tow trucks, and garbage trucks)
but do not include off-road construction equipment and recreational vehicles. The terms
demand, sales, and retail sales are used interchangeably throughout this report.
Figures in the trade section are measured in terms of MD/HD vehicle chassis, which
may include incomplete vehicles.
To illustrate historical trends, total production and retail sales are provided in an annual
series from 2002 to 2012; the various segments are reported at five-year intervals for
2007 and 2012. Forecasts emanate from the identification and analysis of pertinent
statistical relationships and other historical trends/events as well as their expected
progression/impact over the forecast period. Changes in quantities between reported
years of a given total or segment are typically provided in terms of five-year compound
annual growth rates (CAGRs). For the sake of brevity, forecasts are generally stated in
smoothed CAGR-based descriptions to the forecast year, such as demand is projected
to rise 3.2% annually through 2017. The result of any particular year over that period,
however, may exhibit volatility and depart from a smoothed, long-term trend, as
historical data typically illustrate.
Key macroeconomic indicators are also provided at five-year intervals with CAGRs for
the years corresponding to other reported figures. Other various topics, including
profiles of pertinent leading suppliers, are covered in this report. A full outline of report
items by page is available in the Table of Contents.

Sources
Medium- & Heavy-Duty Trucks & Buses: United States represents the synthesis and
analysis of data from various primary, secondary, macroeconomic, and demographic
sources including:

firms participating in the industry, and their suppliers and customers

government/public agencies
national, regional, and international non-governmental organizations

2014 by The Freedonia Group, Inc.

Medium- & Heavy-Duty Trucks & Buses: United States

trade associations and their publications

the business and trade press
The Freedonia Group Consensus Forecasts dated June 2013 and
August 2013
the findings of other industry studies by The Freedonia Group.

Specific sources and additional resources are listed in the Resources section of this
publication for reference and to facilitate further research.

Industry Codes
The topic of this report is related to the following industry codes:
NAICS/SCIAN 2007
North American Industry Classification System

SIC
Standard Industry Codes

336120
336211
336212
336399
485210

3711
3713
3714
3715
4119
4131
4141
4151

485410
485510
487110

Heavy Duty Truck Mfg

Motor Vehicle Body Mfg
Truck Trailer Mfg
All Other Motor Vehicle Parts Mfg
Interurban and Rural Bus
Transportation
School and Employee Bus
Transportation
Charter Bus Industry
Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation,
Land

Motor Vehicles and Passenger Car Bodies

Truck and Bus Bodies
Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories
Truck Trailers
Local Passenger Transportation, NEC
Intercity and Rural Bus Transportation
Local Bus Charter Service
School Buses

Copyright & Licensing

The full report is protected by copyright laws of the United States of America and
international treaties. The entire contents of the publication are copyrighted by The
Freedonia Group, Inc.

2014 by The Freedonia Group, Inc.

Medium- & Heavy-Duty Trucks & Buses: United States

Table of Contents
Section

Page

Highlights....................................................................................................................................................... 1
Industry Overview ......................................................................................................................................... 2
Industry Size & Trends............................................................................................................................. 2
Chart 1 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Supply & Demand Trends, 2002-2012 ....................... 3
Product Segmentation ............................................................................................................................. 4
Chart 2 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Demand by Type, 2012 .............................................. 4
Chart 3 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Production by Type, 2012 .......................................... 4
Table 1 | MD/HD Truck & Bus Types by Weight Class ...................................................................... 5
Chart 4 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Park by Type, 2012 .................................................... 6
Heavy-Duty Trucks. ............................................................................................................................ 7
Medium-Duty Trucks........................................................................................................................... 8
MD/HD Buses. .................................................................................................................................... 9
Trade ...................................................................................................................................................... 11
Chart 5 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Chassis Trade Trends, 2002-2012 ........................... 11
NAFTA Overview ................................................................................................................................... 12
Chart 6 | NAFTA Region: MD/HD Truck & Bus Demand by Country, 2012 ..................................... 12
Chart 7 | NAFTA Region: MD/HD Truck & Bus Production by Country, 2012 ................................. 12
Regulatory Factors ................................................................................................................................. 13
Air Quality. ........................................................................................................................................ 13
Fuel Economy. .................................................................................................................................. 13
Safety. ............................................................................................................................................... 14
Technology & Product Development ..................................................................................................... 15
Industry Forecasts ....................................................................................................................................... 17
Market Environment ............................................................................................................................... 17
Table 2 | United States: Key Indicators for MD/HD Truck & Bus Supply & Demand (bil 2005 $) .... 17
Product Forecasts .................................................................................................................................. 18
Table 3 | United States: MD/HD Truck & Bus Supply & Demand (thousand units) ......................... 18
Heavy-Duty Trucks. .......................................................................................................................... 19
Medium-Duty Trucks......................................................................................................................... 19
MD/HD Buses. .................................................................................................................................. 20
Industry Structure ........................................................................................................................................ 22
Industry Composition ............................................................................................................................. 22
Industry Leaders .................................................................................................................................... 23
Daimler AG ....................................................................................................................................... 23
Navistar International Corporation .................................................................................................... 24
PACCAR Incorporated...................................................................................................................... 25
Additional Companies Cited................................................................................................................... 26
Resources ................................................................................................................................................... 27
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2014 by The Freedonia Group, Inc.