Mohamed El Raey Center of Climate Change and Risk Reduction University Of Alexandria

1. Introduction 2. Climate Change And Its Potential

Impacts on Agriculture in Egypt
a. b. c. d.
Temperature Increase Sea Level Rise Salt Water Intrusion Extreme Events

3. Potential impact of salt water intrusion

on soil characteristics 4. Strategy for Mitigation and Adaptation 5. Conclusions and Recommendations
Prof El Raey 12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

1.

Impacts of increasing temperature on crop yield (whole country) Impacts of sea level rise on inundation of agricultural land (Northern delta) Impacts of salt water intrusion on groundwater and soil salinity (Northern and Middle delta Impacts of extreme events on crop yield and livestock productivity (whole country)
Prof El Raey 12/30/2013

2.

3.

4.

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

10

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

11

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

12

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

13

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

14

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

15

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

16

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

17

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

18

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

19

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

20

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

21

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

22

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

23

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

24

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

Flowers damage and reduction of blooming Early maturity of crops Increase of crop water requirement Declining yield of Crops Increase the cost of precautionary measures Increase of plant disease infection Increasing vulnerability of livestock to infection 8. Leaf damage and fruit burning

Prof El Raey

12/30/2013

25

Land Filling: 124.9 feddan Fish Cages: 80.99 feddan

1.

Agriculture yield in Egypt is vulnerable to temperature rise, sea level rise, saltwater intrusion and increasing frequency and severity of extreme events Proactive institutional adaptation policies and measures and monitoring systems are necessary to minimize risks of climate change on the Nile delta Human intervention is a very important factor affecting vulnerability and development Poverty, low awareness and socioeconomic stresses contribute significantly to the problem
Prof El Raey 12/30/2013

2.

3.

4.

27

1.

It is necessary to establish an institutional capability for monitoring, building databases, assessment and supporting decision makers A change of distribution of crops, irrigation methods, land uses and identification of temperature and salt tolerant plants, are necessary It is necessary to consider accommodating possible environmental migrants and developing employment opportunities in safe areas.
Prof El Raey 12/30/2013

2.

3.

28

1. 2.

Building and Sustaining Institutional Support Water Supply and Conservation Support Preventing, Preparing for, and Responding to Agricultural Invaders, Pests, and Diseases Land Use Planning Practices Promote Working Landscapes with Ecosystem Services to Improve Agro-biodiversity Farm and Land Management Initiatives
Prof El Raey 12/30/2013

3.

4. 5.

6.

29